1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:09,119 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the 2 00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am 3 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: Eastern on Apple CarPlay and then broid Auto with the 4 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:19,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, 5 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:21,600 Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 2: And let's get more on housing store Paul us Economists 7 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 2: with Bloomberg Economics. It joins us now. So those mortgage apps, 8 00:00:29,640 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 2: let's start there for a second, up eleven percent. So 9 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:34,840 Speaker 2: talk to about the refinancing that we saw here, because 10 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 2: I gotta say refinancing with a six handle. That does 11 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:39,199 Speaker 2: surprise me. I thought we would have waited until we 12 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 2: got a lease down to the fives. 13 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 3: It's interesting. So there are folks who just had to 14 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:46,040 Speaker 3: buy homes, they had to make moves for jobs, They 15 00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 3: had to end up taking out mortgages over seven percent, 16 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 3: and those folks now have the opportunity to refly, right, 17 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 3: I mean, mortgage rates are now down about one hundred 18 00:00:55,920 --> 00:01:00,279 Speaker 3: and fifty basis points from the high post COVID even 19 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 3: just in the last month, or down about thirty basis points. 20 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 3: So for folks who bought a home because they had 21 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 3: to post COVID, there is some more enthusiasm about refinancing 22 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:14,480 Speaker 3: if you unpack mortgage backed securities. Though overall, and this 23 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 3: is totally to your points, Alex, the average rate being 24 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:20,960 Speaker 3: paid on existing homes, the average rate being paid by 25 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,320 Speaker 3: homeowners is still a touch under four percent, so there 26 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 3: is still more room to run for refinancing. This I 27 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 3: think is probably, you know, just a little bit of 28 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:34,759 Speaker 3: enthusiasm for folks who had to take out those long 29 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,760 Speaker 3: term mortgages when rates were significantly higher than they are today. 30 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 4: It's interesting because we were just talking about KB Home. 31 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 4: Even though it's down today. Xhb's the ETF that tracks 32 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 4: the home building index, it's still up trading around records, 33 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 4: up around twenty eight percent year to date to outpacing 34 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 4: the broader SMP five hundred. But Bank of America actually 35 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 4: was talking about how in the three months before and 36 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 4: after the Fed cuts rates, homebuilder stocks have outperformed the 37 00:01:57,720 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 4: S and P five hundred and three of the last 38 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 4: five period. So wondering what particular level when it comes 39 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 4: to say mortgage rates, when you're because you're obviously covering 40 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 4: this very closely, do you feel like you'll see more 41 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:09,360 Speaker 4: consumers come back in to try to refinance. 42 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 3: So it's a little bit tricky when you're thinking about 43 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:14,639 Speaker 3: home builders versus when you're thinking about refinancing, right, because 44 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 3: you have a few different dynamics that are at play. 45 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 3: For people like people like Alex or people like me 46 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 3: who have low mortgage rates that are locked in, you're 47 00:02:22,800 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 3: not gonna end up seeing a rush to refinancing. 48 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 2: You know, we saw a rate to move is quite high. 49 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 3: Your hurdle rate, well, your hurdle rate to move is 50 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 3: like close to four yeah, right, So there's still a 51 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 3: a there's still a ton of room to run if 52 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 3: you think about home builders though, because nobody's rushing to refinance, 53 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 3: because nobody's rushing to move if they're an existing homeowner 54 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 3: because they've locked in that low rate, there is room 55 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 3: for home builders to sort of fill the gap for 56 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 3: new households that are being formed, young people who are 57 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 3: trying to buy their first home. 58 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 4: And like lack of inventory that was such a big 59 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 4: problem even before COVID, but then was exacerbated so much 60 00:02:57,880 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 4: that obviously that they were able to pick up that 61 00:02:59,600 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 4: side of it. 62 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:05,080 Speaker 3: Extraordinary lack of inventory, especially for existing homes for sale. 63 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:07,359 Speaker 3: The thing that I find shocking, and you'll probably have 64 00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:10,639 Speaker 3: more color on this. For home builders in particular, there 65 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 3: is still just a massive inventory of new homes new 66 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 3: construction and units that are currently under construction that are 67 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 3: available for sale. I mean levels unseen since early two 68 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 3: thousand and eight, when housing was obviously frothy. So that's 69 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 3: one thing that we have. These two forces that are 70 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 3: diverging for new homebuilders. One is just this earth of 71 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 3: existing homes for sale, but you do have this mounting 72 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 3: inventory of new homes for sale that I think is 73 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 3: going to keep home prices new home prices under pressure 74 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 3: for quite some time. 75 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 2: Which also spakes a question like the transmission policy mechanism 76 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 2: from the FED, when you have sort of these structural 77 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 2: issues that have nothing to do with what the FED 78 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 2: actually does, and that's an interesting sort of dynamic. 79 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 3: There was an early there was a question, maybe it 80 00:03:57,000 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 3: was in the March press conference JPL March press conference 81 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 3: following the FOMC meeting, where somebody asked, they said, look, 82 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:08,040 Speaker 3: you cut rates to the bone during COVID, everybody refines 83 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 3: sub four percent, and now the transmission of monetary policy 84 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 3: while you're trying to tighten rates is really really slow. 85 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 3: Do you regret doing that? And he basically said, no regrets, 86 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:21,159 Speaker 3: but yeah, I mean interest rate policy has been moving 87 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 3: very very slowly through the real economy. Housing is the 88 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:28,240 Speaker 3: number one sector for monetary policy and rates policy to 89 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 3: move into the real economy. Instead, you're seeing communication tools 90 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 3: moving into financial markets actually really quickly. The second somebody 91 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:39,440 Speaker 3: shows their hand just a little bit, you see a 92 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:43,320 Speaker 3: monster move in two your eelds, for example. So different 93 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 3: policy tools moving at different speeds into different parts of 94 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 3: the economy. 95 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:49,479 Speaker 2: It's really interesting. All right, Thank you so much, Stewart, 96 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 2: appreciate it. Stuart Paul Us economists with Bloomberg Economics. 97 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:53,039 Speaker 4: On that. 98 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live 99 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am EAS. You're on applecar Play and 100 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 1: androuid Otto with the Bloomberg Business Act. You can also 101 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:08,160 Speaker 1: listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. 102 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:11,279 Speaker 1: Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 103 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 2: I want to take a moment here and get dive 104 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 2: into geopolitics to take a look at what's happening with 105 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 2: Israel and Hesbela. Israel stepping up its heaviest air attacks 106 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:24,719 Speaker 2: on Hesbela targets in Lebanon since two thousand and six, 107 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:27,120 Speaker 2: after shooting down the first missile ever fired by the 108 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 2: militant group at Tel Aviv. Joining us now in studio 109 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:33,360 Speaker 2: is Bobby Gosh, Bloomberg News Senior editor. Bobby, can you 110 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:36,479 Speaker 2: walk us through the sequence of events in the recent 111 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:39,160 Speaker 2: week that got us here and what things you're looking 112 00:05:39,160 --> 00:05:41,240 Speaker 2: at over the next day forty eight twenty four hours. 113 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 5: Yeah, it started, you remember with those those pages that 114 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:53,040 Speaker 5: went off, the thousands of pages exploded, most of them 115 00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 5: belonging to hesbe law operatives and fighters. The suspicion is 116 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:00,680 Speaker 5: that Israel was responsible for them. Israel as neither confirmed 117 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 5: nor denied it, which is there very much in the 118 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:07,279 Speaker 5: Israeli m A. The following day there was a whole 119 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:10,480 Speaker 5: bunch of walkie talkies, again many of them belonging to 120 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:15,600 Speaker 5: Hisbellah commanders and fighters, that went off. Israel also then 121 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 5: began targeted attacks against top level Hisbella commanders, the types 122 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 5: of people who would be very important in the event 123 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 5: of an all out war between Hesbellah and Israel. Simultaneously, 124 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:35,320 Speaker 5: Israel has been essentially attacking targets across its borders with Lebanon, 125 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:42,839 Speaker 5: specifically targeting missile bases, rocket launching facilities. It's all designed 126 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 5: to reduce Hisbellah's ability to strike at Israeli targets. Israel 127 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 5: says that the objective is to allow Israelis who had 128 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 5: been living close to the border and who for many 129 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:58,280 Speaker 5: months now were forced to leave their homes. It's that 130 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 5: this entire campaign is designed to allow those Israelis to 131 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:04,359 Speaker 5: go back to their homes and live in relative peace. 132 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 5: But depending on how you want to look at it, 133 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 5: this can also seem like an attempt to soften up 134 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 5: Hezbelah for a larger campaign by Israel, whether that is 135 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 5: a ground campaign or a campaign from the air. It 136 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 5: can't give that impression. 137 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 4: What has the Biden administration said about these latest earstrikes? 138 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 4: Because I know that Joe Biden just gave his final 139 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 4: address to the UN General Assembly this week. 140 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 5: Well, the Biden administration for months and months now has 141 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 5: been saying pretty much the same thing. On the one hand, 142 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 5: it continuously repeats the chiboulette that Israel has a right 143 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 5: to defend itself as it does, but at the same 144 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 5: time it says that Israel should not escalate tensions in 145 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:51,360 Speaker 5: the region with its neighbors, and it has been warning 146 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 5: against the risk of a larger war that will draw 147 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 5: in Iran, which is Hisbella's main patron, which might draw 148 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:01,600 Speaker 5: in the United States. The problem is, of course, that 149 00:08:01,760 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 5: all of that rhetoric from the Biden administration does not 150 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 5: seem to be moving the needle. Prime Minister Natanya, who 151 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:12,920 Speaker 5: of Israel, seems to be operating on his own agenda, 152 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 5: pursuing his own interests and paying almost no heed at 153 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 5: all to the American president, which is not a good 154 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:21,520 Speaker 5: look for the United States. 155 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:23,400 Speaker 2: Well, I thought it was so interesting because as we 156 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 2: were President Biden was speaking yesterday at the UN, we 157 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:29,000 Speaker 2: were also getting headlines on the terminal about Netanyahu and 158 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:32,360 Speaker 2: some things saying he was saying that was not peace 159 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 2: and unity and ending the. 160 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 4: War in Gaza. 161 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 2: So it was very striking. What do you think, how 162 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,599 Speaker 2: do you think the election impacts this in terms of 163 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:47,319 Speaker 2: what Hesbal and Israel are thinking with six weeks to 164 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:47,719 Speaker 2: kind of go. 165 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:50,559 Speaker 5: Well, there's a school of thought in Israel and in 166 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:53,679 Speaker 5: some quarters in this country that Bibi Natnia was holding 167 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:56,080 Speaker 5: out for the election, that he's not going to change 168 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:59,720 Speaker 5: tech until there's an election. Until there's a new president 169 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 5: in the United States. And according to this school of thought, 170 00:09:03,360 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 5: he's betting on Donald Trump to return to the to 171 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:09,439 Speaker 5: the presidency on the assumption that Donald Trump will be 172 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:13,840 Speaker 5: more permissive and allow him a freer hand. I don't 173 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:17,120 Speaker 5: buy that, for one thing, more permissive than what It's 174 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 5: not like Biden has really been restraining that Yahoo, There's 175 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 5: only been rhetorical attempts at restraining him. That that's not working. 176 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 5: And also I don't think necessarily that Donald Trump wants 177 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 5: to come to the office with a major conflict in 178 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 5: the Middle East to deal with. Remember, the big part 179 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 5: of his message to his voter base is America first. 180 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 5: The United States should not get involved too much in 181 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 5: foreign affairs, should get out of the old conflicts, particularly 182 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 5: in the Middle East. So if that is indeed bb 183 00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 5: Netniaho's calculus that Donald Trump would be better for him 184 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 5: than Biden, I think he may have to calculate again. 185 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 2: Such a pleasure to talk to you. You are always 186 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:05,199 Speaker 2: such a great reporter and you definitely help paint a 187 00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 2: picture for us. Bobby Goes Bloomberg, new senior editor, joining 188 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 2: us on the latest between Hesbula Israel, as well as Goza. 189 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:16,600 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live 190 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on fo Cardplay and then 191 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 1: broyd Otto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand 192 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 193 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:30,520 Speaker 2: I'm Alex d alongside Jun Tuck Gerndis Menon. Paul Sweeni 194 00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:32,679 Speaker 2: is off today. This is Bloomberg Intelligence Radio and we 195 00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:35,560 Speaker 2: are broadcasting to live from Interactive Broker Studio right here 196 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:39,559 Speaker 2: in Midtown Manhattan where Gridlock reigns. Want to get a 197 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:40,160 Speaker 2: take on the market. 198 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 4: Here. 199 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 2: Nothing's going on, so it's a good time to kind 200 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:44,959 Speaker 2: of recalibrate. What do you do as yields kind of 201 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:47,200 Speaker 2: come down the back end, though still stays a little 202 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:50,400 Speaker 2: bit higher. How do you position yourself for that when 203 00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 2: tech also is still outperforming. Nancy Dowd, a private wealth 204 00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:57,920 Speaker 2: advisor at Americpriz Financial and CEO of Opus, joins us 205 00:10:57,920 --> 00:11:01,199 Speaker 2: now to discuss her take on the markets. Nancy, we've 206 00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:03,720 Speaker 2: sort of gotten through a seminal moment with the Fed. 207 00:11:04,040 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 2: How do you need to rethink what your portfolio looks like? 208 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 6: So it was a big surprise. 209 00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:13,840 Speaker 7: We all bet on a quarter of a point cut, 210 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 7: but I guess the FED decided to frontload the rate cuts, 211 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 7: although overall the plan is still the same is to 212 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:25,920 Speaker 7: you know, to get to a certain target or by 213 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:29,719 Speaker 7: three percent by midyear twenty twenty six. So it was 214 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 7: a bit of an enigma as to why they front 215 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:36,480 Speaker 7: loaded this rate cut, But in digging deeper in the details, 216 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:41,959 Speaker 7: the justification really had to do largely with the inflation 217 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:44,959 Speaker 7: numbers not being quite where they really want them to be, 218 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:47,440 Speaker 7: at least two out of the three that they watch, 219 00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 7: and also the employment numbers are weakening, and that gave 220 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,800 Speaker 7: a little bit of concern to the FED, so they 221 00:11:56,960 --> 00:12:01,920 Speaker 7: just cut more aggressively. So now this is what we're 222 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:04,720 Speaker 7: dealing with. And I think the biggest impact was mortgage 223 00:12:05,360 --> 00:12:08,520 Speaker 7: mortgage applications. I think that's probably the biggest impact in 224 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:09,400 Speaker 7: the last two weeks. 225 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 4: So what do you think the playbook is as far 226 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:16,320 Speaker 4: as what you're advising clients to buy, what you're advising 227 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:19,959 Speaker 4: them to sell, because traditionally, I mean, every rate cutting 228 00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:21,959 Speaker 4: cycle can be very different, but normally you would see 229 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:25,839 Speaker 4: safe for instance, bond proxy sectors like utilities outperform and 230 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,160 Speaker 4: tech underperform. The first six months after rate cut. But 231 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:31,080 Speaker 4: you've already had sectors like utilities taking off a lot 232 00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:33,320 Speaker 4: of that's tied to the AI store and this sector 233 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:35,240 Speaker 4: is the second best performer in the S and P 234 00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:37,199 Speaker 4: five hundred so far this year. So where do you 235 00:12:37,320 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 4: put your money. 236 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 7: Well, if you're fully invested, clearly stay the course. But 237 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:46,760 Speaker 7: I think that the reaction over the last six weeks 238 00:12:47,040 --> 00:12:50,080 Speaker 7: and certainly over the last two weeks is way overdone 239 00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 7: in the stock market, and I would err on the 240 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 7: side of caution that I think we are probably due 241 00:12:56,040 --> 00:13:00,120 Speaker 7: for a pullback or even a correction or more. It 242 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:03,400 Speaker 7: wouldn't be so unreasonable at this time because it's this 243 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 7: is just overdone. 244 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 4: So would you use them to add to you know, 245 00:13:07,880 --> 00:13:09,119 Speaker 4: use that as a buying opportunity. 246 00:13:10,200 --> 00:13:13,200 Speaker 7: Well, yeah, absolutely, that's the best time because longer term 247 00:13:14,080 --> 00:13:17,480 Speaker 7: prospects obviously are very good. So if there is this 248 00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 7: correction or pull back, it's a grand opportunity to buy 249 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:28,320 Speaker 7: in or rebalanced, reconsolidate how you're allocated according to your 250 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 7: timeframe and your risk tolerance. But certainly the sectors that 251 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 7: you mentioned are very attractive. You know, defensive stocks will 252 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 7: be a good play right now, such as materials, industrials, utilities. 253 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:45,600 Speaker 7: The big enigma really is energy. You know, I still 254 00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 7: look into energy, but the big enigma has been why, 255 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:54,199 Speaker 7: with all the geopolitical risk that we are experiencing, and 256 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 7: more and more so in the last week or so, 257 00:13:57,640 --> 00:14:00,960 Speaker 7: why energy is down. That's a enigma, but I would 258 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:02,599 Speaker 7: I would still buy it. 259 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:05,839 Speaker 2: When you take a look at, say, if you don't 260 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:09,480 Speaker 2: get the draw down, one part of that story is like, hey, 261 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:11,720 Speaker 2: there's over six million dollars sitting in money market funds 262 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:13,680 Speaker 2: that belong somewhere. Does it go into the equity market, 263 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:16,439 Speaker 2: does it go into the bond market? Do you think 264 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:18,480 Speaker 2: that that is part of this story that we're going 265 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 2: to see? 266 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 7: Well, clearly, broader diversification is highly indicated at this time. 267 00:14:24,760 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 7: When you're too concentrated in one sector, you feel the 268 00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:35,520 Speaker 7: volatility and the pullback will be felt significantly more, especially 269 00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 7: in the technology sector because that tends to be significantly 270 00:14:38,280 --> 00:14:43,520 Speaker 7: more volatile. But diversification is very good right now, especially 271 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:48,400 Speaker 7: in the fixed income side, still maintaining shorter durations because 272 00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:53,520 Speaker 7: it's still very iffy with the rate cuts. And I 273 00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 7: do believe that the geopolitical risk is just being ignored 274 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 7: and is not factored into the market, and when that 275 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:04,720 Speaker 7: does happen, it could be significant. 276 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 4: I know that you've previously used a four percent inflation 277 00:15:08,560 --> 00:15:12,760 Speaker 4: assumption in your financial plans the past few decades. I'm 278 00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:16,880 Speaker 4: sure just given where the dynamic inflation was prior to COVID, 279 00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 4: maybe your clients didn't appreciate it as fully until recent years. 280 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 4: But with inflation have been closer to that two percent target. 281 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 4: How does that impact how you construct your portfolio models. 282 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 4: Is that something that you'll still include or are you 283 00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:29,680 Speaker 4: going to adjust that now? 284 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:34,520 Speaker 7: No, I will not be adjusting it because by using 285 00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:37,680 Speaker 7: a more conservative inflation rate it has really helped my 286 00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 7: clients achieve their outcomes much better. Because remember, you know, 287 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:45,600 Speaker 7: the overall inflation rate is not the same as the 288 00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 7: day to day inflation rate. I'm talking about food, gas, electricity, 289 00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:53,720 Speaker 7: and heat, which is these are the non negotiables of 290 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 7: everyday living. You may give up buying, going to go 291 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:02,800 Speaker 7: around out to eat, to travel, or discretionary spending, but 292 00:16:02,920 --> 00:16:05,240 Speaker 7: you're never going to give up food, gas, and electricity. 293 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 7: So these are the things that matter the most, and 294 00:16:08,400 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 7: in fact, those are the things that go up the 295 00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 7: most over the last three to four decades that I've 296 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 7: been advising clients. 297 00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:17,600 Speaker 2: All right, thank you very much, and see we really 298 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 2: appreciate Nancy Dawd joining US private wealth advisor at Maryripri's 299 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:23,800 Speaker 2: Financial and CEO of Opus. On the markets. 300 00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:29,240 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live 301 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:32,880 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and Android 302 00:16:32,920 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen 303 00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 1: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. 304 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 1: Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 305 00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Intelligence Radio. We cover all the top 306 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:49,400 Speaker 2: news in business, economics and finance. And right now in 307 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:51,200 Speaker 2: New York City, what's happening is you have the You 308 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 2: and General Assembly, and you have Climate Week. So the 309 00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:56,400 Speaker 2: benefit is we get a lot of companies now coming 310 00:16:56,440 --> 00:16:59,000 Speaker 2: in that are involved in the energy transition. Then we 311 00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 2: get to talk to them about the really cool stuff 312 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 2: that they're doing. And one of them is a company 313 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:06,520 Speaker 2: called a MSc. Now you just look at a chart 314 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,200 Speaker 2: of its market cap. Over the last five years, it 315 00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:12,679 Speaker 2: went for about two hundred million dollars to now almost 316 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:15,960 Speaker 2: a billion dollars. It's been a tremendous rise. 317 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 4: It stocks up one hundred and sixteen percent year to date. 318 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:20,880 Speaker 2: What does it do? I'm not really sure. It's called 319 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:24,680 Speaker 2: American Superconductor Corporation or CEO is here to break it 320 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:27,720 Speaker 2: all down for us. Dan McGann joining us. All right, Daniel, 321 00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:29,400 Speaker 2: what do you guys do? Break it down? 322 00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 8: We basically provide resiliency equipment for the grid. Today, we 323 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:36,000 Speaker 8: help bring more renewables onto the grid and we have 324 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,000 Speaker 8: a nascent business that's starting to grow pretty rapidly supporting 325 00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 8: ships in the fleet to protect them from harm's way. 326 00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:44,440 Speaker 2: So do you like make the stuff that helps a 327 00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:46,440 Speaker 2: solar farm plug into the grid? 328 00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:48,560 Speaker 8: Are you like we're the big equipment that sits on 329 00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 8: the grid that allows that power to be able to 330 00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:53,160 Speaker 8: come on and make sure it harmonizes with the grid 331 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,240 Speaker 8: in the way that the grid can accept it and 332 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:55,639 Speaker 8: take it. 333 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 2: There's been a shortage of this stuff, right, like a 334 00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:00,639 Speaker 2: huge backlog and shortage of the stuff that you make. 335 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:03,240 Speaker 8: Yeah, we just had a record quarter where we delivered 336 00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:06,240 Speaker 8: new orders about one hundred and twenty seven million. Just 337 00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 8: to put it in context, we're about one hundred and 338 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:12,440 Speaker 8: forty six for the entire year. We grew last quarter 339 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:16,200 Speaker 8: thirty percent versus the year ago period, and we just 340 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:19,119 Speaker 8: guide it for thirty percent growth quarter on quarter, so 341 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:20,680 Speaker 8: we're kind of hitting it out of the park on 342 00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:22,080 Speaker 8: all levels right now. 343 00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:25,800 Speaker 4: And you've also made some recent acquisitions. I read about 344 00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:29,080 Speaker 4: how and WL. It's a private company based in New 345 00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:33,280 Speaker 4: Jersey that provides power supplies in industrial and military customers. 346 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:35,400 Speaker 4: But then also you're getting into the wind turbine electrical 347 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 4: control systems with some recent deals as well. So how 348 00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 4: much do you expect those types of deals to help 349 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:42,320 Speaker 4: bolster your revenue growth moving forward? 350 00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:44,639 Speaker 8: Yeah, we think that the backlog continues to grow. I 351 00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:47,000 Speaker 8: think we went up from about one forty last quarter 352 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:50,639 Speaker 8: to about one sixty for the twelve month backlog. Total 353 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 8: backlog for all time is even higher than probably two 354 00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:56,639 Speaker 8: hundred or so, so we're in well positioned to kind 355 00:18:56,680 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 8: of grow quarter on quarter here. That's what we just 356 00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:01,320 Speaker 8: updated our guidance for the current quarter, which we'll end 357 00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:04,120 Speaker 8: here in a week or so, and we think we're 358 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 8: well positioned. I mean, the past year has been fantastic 359 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 8: for us. We went from being really excited about reaching 360 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,159 Speaker 8: thirty million per quarter on a revenue basis to now 361 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,480 Speaker 8: we just goid it to fifty, So the business is 362 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 8: really taking off. It's very healthy, and then the backlog 363 00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 8: is very deep along all product lines. 364 00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:26,399 Speaker 2: What's the biggest constraint that you have in delivering the 365 00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:29,760 Speaker 2: key product that everyone needs to then connect. 366 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:29,880 Speaker 3: To the grid. 367 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:31,960 Speaker 8: I think if you'd asked me that question a couple 368 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,000 Speaker 8: of years ago, I would say supply chain was part 369 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:36,760 Speaker 8: of it, just to be able to deal with the speed. 370 00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:41,200 Speaker 8: Now it's really we're scaling, we're scaling production, we're hiring, 371 00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 8: So it's really typical type business challenges on how do 372 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 8: you manage that growth and how do you remain effective 373 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:49,280 Speaker 8: for your customers as you grow? 374 00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:51,840 Speaker 4: And what are some of the top questions or concerns 375 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:54,119 Speaker 4: you're actually hearing from your customers at this point. What 376 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:55,879 Speaker 4: do you think that tells us about the direction of 377 00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:56,440 Speaker 4: the economy. 378 00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:58,960 Speaker 8: I think the good signs we've seen as we've seen 379 00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 8: lead times on our pum drop, so our lead times 380 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:04,959 Speaker 8: at one point we're approaching eighteen months on some products, 381 00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:06,800 Speaker 8: and now we have stuff today we're delivered in four 382 00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:10,080 Speaker 8: or five six months. So wow, the demand is growing 383 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:13,320 Speaker 8: and the demand for products sooner is growing as well, 384 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 8: and that's really a competitive vantage for us. In the market. 385 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,960 Speaker 4: Do you have a better way to move electrons? I 386 00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:20,680 Speaker 4: mean the name implies, you know, superconductors. 387 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:23,440 Speaker 8: So at the heart of what we do, particularly on 388 00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:26,879 Speaker 8: the ship business, is about superconductors. So we move electricity 389 00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 8: in a much better way. 390 00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:30,360 Speaker 4: But you've got to keep that really cold. 391 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 8: For super cold. Yeah, we do that as well. So 392 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 8: that's part of our scope and what we that's very cool. 393 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,680 Speaker 8: We do a fully integrated system for the US Navy 394 00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:41,560 Speaker 8: and we just got a contract nexcess to seventy five 395 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 8: million dollars for the Royal Canadian Navy, so we're going 396 00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:47,440 Speaker 8: to be on Canadian ships as well, and that's all superconductor. 397 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:49,399 Speaker 4: So with better lead times, is that just due to 398 00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:52,359 Speaker 4: the supply constraints with the chain just they're not as 399 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:53,080 Speaker 4: bad as they would have been. 400 00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,080 Speaker 8: Because they're not as bad, we've done more to be 401 00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:58,240 Speaker 8: able to plan what we're seeing as customers not buying 402 00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:00,879 Speaker 8: a few, but buying many, which allows us to be 403 00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:03,240 Speaker 8: able to better plan our production and be able to 404 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 8: plan our supply. So part of our growth has been 405 00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 8: larger projects, larger orders, and multiple units of the same type, 406 00:21:09,520 --> 00:21:11,600 Speaker 8: which has been great for us for our business. 407 00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:13,280 Speaker 2: So let's Broughden out for a second. We've had a 408 00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:17,520 Speaker 2: couple of AI data centers and energy deals. Amazon went 409 00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 2: the way of like, here's my own little power center 410 00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:21,639 Speaker 2: that I'm going to use and connect directly to it. 411 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:24,280 Speaker 2: Microsoft went more of the way, Hey, we're going to 412 00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:27,600 Speaker 2: buy contracts from Constellation Energy. Constellation Energy is going to 413 00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 2: re up at one of its nuclear facilities and connect 414 00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:34,480 Speaker 2: that to the grid. How do you foresee these partnerships 415 00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 2: moving forward and how does that affect you guys? 416 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,040 Speaker 8: I think it affects us because the rising tide lifts 417 00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 8: all boats. There's a huge investment in making the grid 418 00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:44,760 Speaker 8: more resilient. There's more demand, be it from data, be 419 00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 8: it from AI. We see a huge potential boom coming 420 00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:53,520 Speaker 8: for us because we provide power control solutions for semiconductor fabs. 421 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:56,720 Speaker 8: There's a huge move in our country to reshore that capability. 422 00:21:57,920 --> 00:21:59,919 Speaker 8: Each of the chip makers I think individually of an 423 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:02,600 Speaker 8: so at least twenty billion dollars a capital investment in 424 00:22:02,880 --> 00:22:05,840 Speaker 8: new fabs, and that's all going to benefit for us 425 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:08,560 Speaker 8: as well, because we're building the substation level equipment. These 426 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,280 Speaker 8: are big pieces of equipment. They're ten twenty some cases 427 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,920 Speaker 8: sixty tons they're like big mobile home type size, which 428 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:15,280 Speaker 8: we love. 429 00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,480 Speaker 2: A little confidence it all gets built because even Intel 430 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:18,879 Speaker 2: had to pair back some of those plans. 431 00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:20,720 Speaker 8: Yeah, they build a fraction of it. It's going to 432 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:22,920 Speaker 8: be a home run for us. So I know, you 433 00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:25,359 Speaker 8: know what people talked about. We have a play in 434 00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 8: electric vehicles and hybrid vehicles because we supply the power 435 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:31,600 Speaker 8: control equipment for the people that make the feedstocks that 436 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:34,720 Speaker 8: go into those. I think that if we're even able 437 00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 8: to get to a fraction and what people hope and desire, 438 00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,399 Speaker 8: I think it's a It's a big deal for our business. 439 00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:41,480 Speaker 2: So what's next? 440 00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,119 Speaker 4: Any other potential acquisitions you want to maybe tell us 441 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:44,399 Speaker 4: about it. 442 00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:46,280 Speaker 8: We have a lot of people that approach us. We've 443 00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:48,760 Speaker 8: done over a few year period here, we've done a 444 00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:52,560 Speaker 8: number of acquisitions. They've all worked really, really well. You know, 445 00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:56,000 Speaker 8: we focus on good people with a good product, so 446 00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:59,040 Speaker 8: you know, we find that there's a lot of inbound 447 00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,439 Speaker 8: traffic our ways. You know, would this be a good 448 00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:03,639 Speaker 8: fit for where we are. We think we can continue 449 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,200 Speaker 8: to grow organically and in organically the business. We have 450 00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:09,000 Speaker 8: a wonderful platform globally to be able to sell. We 451 00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:11,160 Speaker 8: have a great brand in the market and we want 452 00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:12,960 Speaker 8: to continue to leverage that. Really, at the end of 453 00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:15,280 Speaker 8: the day, we want to serve what our customers need 454 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:17,600 Speaker 8: and try to be there ahead of them before they 455 00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:18,119 Speaker 8: really need it. 456 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:19,760 Speaker 2: All right, Daniel, we really appreciate it. Thank you so 457 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:24,840 Speaker 2: much for stopping by. Daniel McGahn amsc CEO joining US 458 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 2: American super Conductor. It's a great name, it is. 459 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:29,920 Speaker 4: I was looking at the A in our function in 460 00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:32,840 Speaker 4: the terminal there's three buys A zero hold zero cells 461 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:33,239 Speaker 4: right now. 462 00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:36,160 Speaker 2: I mean, when you have the broader thesis, it's hard 463 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,200 Speaker 2: to kind of find ourselves there at the end of 464 00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:40,560 Speaker 2: the day. I think it just depends also on where 465 00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 2: we go, say with the presidential election. That's obviously a 466 00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 2: conversation that percolates right now during Climate Week. If we 467 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:48,439 Speaker 2: get a different administration, like a Trump administration, does all 468 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:51,639 Speaker 2: of this wind up changing. I mean, many are going 469 00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:55,240 Speaker 2: to say no, because the jobs are already in Republican states. 470 00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 2: For example, there's a great piece out from Jennifer Dooley 471 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:00,840 Speaker 2: that sort of looks at that shows that a lot 472 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:02,440 Speaker 2: of the jobs at of from clean energy are in 473 00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:03,320 Speaker 2: Republican states. 474 00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:05,560 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's really fascinating to see kind of where this 475 00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:07,280 Speaker 4: is headed. But what a run for the stock, over 476 00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:08,680 Speaker 4: one hundred percent gain here to date. 477 00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:14,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, you're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us 478 00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:17,600 Speaker 1: live weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and 479 00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,600 Speaker 1: Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business Act. You can also 480 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:24,200 Speaker 1: listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. 481 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,359 Speaker 1: Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 482 00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:30,760 Speaker 2: All right, well, let's get more on this nep and 483 00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,680 Speaker 2: market here. Alex Steel just mentioned John Tucker Bloomberg Intelligence 484 00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:36,639 Speaker 2: Radio Michael Kugino as president and portfolio manager at the 485 00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:40,320 Speaker 2: Permanent Portfolio family of funds, to discuss the latest on 486 00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:43,320 Speaker 2: the market. So there's really nothing happening today under the hood. 487 00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:44,919 Speaker 2: There's some fun stuff. You are seeing a sell off 488 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:46,640 Speaker 2: in the bond market, so this is a great time 489 00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 2: to talk about the individual stocks. Michael, that float your boat. 490 00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 9: He good morning, Alex. We're pretty diversified with respect to 491 00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:57,280 Speaker 9: our equity holdings. I mean, when you look at the 492 00:24:57,280 --> 00:24:59,800 Speaker 9: stock market, the S and P five hundred today, it's 493 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:04,439 Speaker 9: rating about what twenty one twenty two times earnings earnings 494 00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:06,639 Speaker 9: yield about four and a half, four and three quarters 495 00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:10,840 Speaker 9: percent as compared to the Fed funds rate right now 496 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:14,120 Speaker 9: with the Feds move last week of roughly four seventy. 497 00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:14,720 Speaker 6: Five five percent. 498 00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:18,240 Speaker 9: So you have this rough earnings yield equivalent, and it 499 00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:20,600 Speaker 9: becomes a question of what kind of an investor are you. 500 00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:24,160 Speaker 9: Are you growth oriented in which case it's a reasonable 501 00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:27,080 Speaker 9: return for equities plus you get the growth kicker, or 502 00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,320 Speaker 9: if you're more conservative, you want to take that sort 503 00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:33,200 Speaker 9: of interest yield and not take on a lot of risks. 504 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,160 Speaker 9: So for us, we actually own both. We're in bonds 505 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 9: and we're in stocks. On the equity side, we have 506 00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:42,600 Speaker 9: a diversified approach. Like I mentioned, names that come to 507 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:46,360 Speaker 9: mind would be a Lockheed Martin and aerospace and defense, 508 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 9: a costco in terms of retail, Freeport Macmaran in terms 509 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:54,840 Speaker 9: of copper and natural resources, and a mix of energy 510 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:58,880 Speaker 9: which has been beaten down lately with Chevron and Exxon 511 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 9: on the integrated side, and then some smaller, uh, you know, 512 00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:06,719 Speaker 9: producers as well. Then we do have technology. We're an investor, 513 00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 9: you know, we're an investor in video and meta and 514 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:16,040 Speaker 9: so you can see that's not one theme playing there. 515 00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 4: You mentioned stocks and bonds. Another area that I know 516 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:21,800 Speaker 4: that you had exposure to you earlier this year was 517 00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:23,600 Speaker 4: gold and it's had a banner year if you looked 518 00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 4: at those spot prices up more than twenty percent. So 519 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:29,280 Speaker 4: obviously on the back of those record highs there with 520 00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,040 Speaker 4: ray cup bets and a week er dollar. Earlier this year, 521 00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:34,480 Speaker 4: you had around twenty percent target weight in gold. Do 522 00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:36,760 Speaker 4: you still have a weight like that and what's your 523 00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:39,480 Speaker 4: highest asset class as far as what your current holding is. 524 00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:45,160 Speaker 9: Yeah, our weighting right now, our target remains around twenty percent, 525 00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:47,560 Speaker 9: but were slightly overweight our target. We're probably a little 526 00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:53,240 Speaker 9: less than almost twenty three percent gold, and that speaks 527 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:57,439 Speaker 9: to again being diversified. We see the gold market as 528 00:26:57,520 --> 00:26:59,719 Speaker 9: being a long term positive. Even with the run up 529 00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 9: all the I would say there may be some profit 530 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:04,600 Speaker 9: taking and consolidation. Investors may want to wait for a 531 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,520 Speaker 9: better entry point. However, if you're a long term investor, 532 00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:11,160 Speaker 9: when you look at the landscape out there right now, 533 00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 9: the FED being done and cutting on the interest rate cycle, 534 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:18,480 Speaker 9: likely that's better for real returns and it reduces the 535 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:23,520 Speaker 9: opportunity cost of investing in gold versus earnings yielding investments. 536 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,480 Speaker 6: You look at geopolitical risk all over the world. 537 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:30,600 Speaker 9: You look at the development of alternative currency payment systems 538 00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:33,479 Speaker 9: around the world to the US dollar. You look at 539 00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:37,679 Speaker 9: the US dollar declining after almost really multi decade highs, 540 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 9: and you look at a general fear or malaise with 541 00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:46,480 Speaker 9: respect to economic growth worldwide, and all these things add 542 00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:50,760 Speaker 9: up to a good environment for an investor to have 543 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:55,200 Speaker 9: something in gold as a portfolio enhancer or a protector. 544 00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:59,800 Speaker 2: When you talked about the portfolio and the mix and 545 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:02,840 Speaker 2: all that, is there still value in just ta bill 546 00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:05,200 Speaker 2: and chill and when does that narrative change. 547 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:10,560 Speaker 9: Well, you know, for our cash and cash equivalents, that's 548 00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:15,119 Speaker 9: exactly what we're doing. There are opportunities with gyields coming 549 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:16,920 Speaker 9: with rates coming down, there. 550 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:18,520 Speaker 6: Are opportunities to incrus duration. 551 00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:22,840 Speaker 9: We're doing that very selectively in our portfolio, but for 552 00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:27,159 Speaker 9: our shorter term cash needs for liquidity and even as 553 00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:30,720 Speaker 9: part of our diversified approach, we're still taking that. You know, 554 00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:34,040 Speaker 9: now it's five percent versus five and a half, and 555 00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:35,880 Speaker 9: it may them down a little bit further, but you're 556 00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,320 Speaker 9: still talking, you know, risk free earnings. 557 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 6: I don't think the Fed's gonna cut that drastically, you. 558 00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:43,920 Speaker 9: Know, in the next year, year and a half or 559 00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:46,720 Speaker 9: so all the way down to you know, three percent, 560 00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:48,520 Speaker 9: three and a half percent the terminal rate. 561 00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:50,280 Speaker 6: I think they ought to maintain a sort of. 562 00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:54,160 Speaker 9: Slight tight bias personally, so you're still getting risk free 563 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:56,920 Speaker 9: money for your cash, you know, at worse three and 564 00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 9: a half percent, maybe in the fours, maybe closer to five. 565 00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:03,720 Speaker 9: And so as part of a diversified approach, it makes 566 00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:06,920 Speaker 9: sense for us if you're an if you're an investor, 567 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:09,760 Speaker 9: that that's the only thing you're doing. I think you 568 00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:13,640 Speaker 9: may be selling yourself short unless you're very, very risk urse. 569 00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:16,920 Speaker 9: I think you can make more by being more broadly 570 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:18,800 Speaker 9: diversified in a number of different areas. 571 00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 4: What about when it comes to the reed side of 572 00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 4: things in the equity market, when you have reads coming down, 573 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:27,400 Speaker 4: what's your broader outlook for real estate and do you 574 00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:30,160 Speaker 4: own those corner of the market with those stocks. 575 00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:33,800 Speaker 9: Yeah, we do own some reads, and I probably should 576 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,240 Speaker 9: have mentioned that is one of our asset classes that 577 00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 9: we focus on. And you are right that with rates 578 00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:44,440 Speaker 9: coming down, reads generally are attractive in that environment, and 579 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:48,120 Speaker 9: so I see that as being a good long term 580 00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:52,480 Speaker 9: area as well. And we're spread out among a number 581 00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 9: of different industry subsectors within real estate, and so I 582 00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:58,600 Speaker 9: think the one thing you do have to be careful 583 00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,240 Speaker 9: of a little bit here in reachs would be the 584 00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:05,200 Speaker 9: balance sheets. Even though it appears that the markets may 585 00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:09,200 Speaker 9: have sidestepped the big credit crisis due to a major 586 00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:12,840 Speaker 9: refinancing of some of the debt at these higher yielding 587 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,200 Speaker 9: debt deals, especially if rates are coming down, I think 588 00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:19,120 Speaker 9: you still need to focus on the balance sheet to 589 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:23,280 Speaker 9: make sure your companies are not unduly exposed. 590 00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 6: To credit risk. That you know, so asset quality is 591 00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:27,560 Speaker 6: something you always look at. 592 00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:31,800 Speaker 9: It reads anyway, So no nothing new here, but investors 593 00:30:31,840 --> 00:30:35,040 Speaker 9: should be careful in that part of the red sector. 594 00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:38,440 Speaker 2: Hey, Michael, super appreciate it. Thank you so much. Michael Cougino, 595 00:30:38,760 --> 00:30:42,680 Speaker 2: President portfolio Manager, Permanent Portfolio Family of Funds. 596 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:48,160 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live 597 00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:51,200 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple card Play and 598 00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:54,560 Speaker 1: Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business. You can also listen 599 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:57,800 Speaker 1: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station 600 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,920 Speaker 1: Just Say Alexa playing bloom eleven thirty. 601 00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 4: One. 602 00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:06,320 Speaker 2: Other story that really caught my eye today was about 603 00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:11,640 Speaker 2: colleges and how basic other some higher education systems here 604 00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:14,680 Speaker 2: in the US. It is crazy, right, like Kinston so expensive, 605 00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:18,360 Speaker 2: they compete Harvard the whole thing. But apparently other universities 606 00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:22,320 Speaker 2: now like Northeastern, are trying to tap a Wall Street 607 00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:26,920 Speaker 2: playbook so they can rival Ivy's on admissions. This obviously 608 00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:28,760 Speaker 2: caught everybody's eye. It's one of the top reading stories 609 00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:31,960 Speaker 2: on the Bloomberg terminal. Francesca Maglione is personal finance and 610 00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:34,200 Speaker 2: higher education reporter and she joins us now in the 611 00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,920 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Interactive broker's studio. Okay, can you just walk us 612 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:37,640 Speaker 2: through the premise here? 613 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:41,959 Speaker 10: Yeah. So, Northeastern University has been known for years as 614 00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:46,280 Speaker 10: a commuter school mostly attended by local students, and since 615 00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:50,000 Speaker 10: twenty eleven they've kind of been expanding their brand. They 616 00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:54,880 Speaker 10: now have fourteen campuses across the world, with three campuses abroad. 617 00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,160 Speaker 10: What we thought was interesting is that since twenty nineteen 618 00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:02,480 Speaker 10: they've been buying up other strugglings schools, kind of tapping 619 00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 10: in that private equity playbook and m and a. Yeah, 620 00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:07,320 Speaker 10: like they've been merging with They've merged with three different 621 00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,320 Speaker 10: schools so far and kind of embedded the Northeastern brand 622 00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:12,800 Speaker 10: on these schools. And now can offer to students like, hey, 623 00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:15,320 Speaker 10: you can study for a semester in California, you can 624 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,520 Speaker 10: do a semester in New York. And this is very 625 00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:20,960 Speaker 10: different from those schools like Princeton and Harvard, which just 626 00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:24,240 Speaker 10: want to stay small and delete. They want to expand 627 00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:25,560 Speaker 10: their brand as much as they can. 628 00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:27,400 Speaker 4: Because there's a lot of schools, especially in the South 629 00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,120 Speaker 4: where I'm from, where you had a lot of magnet 630 00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:31,560 Speaker 4: schools and then satellite schools, whether it was like the 631 00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:33,640 Speaker 4: University of Texas or Texas A and M, so you'd 632 00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:36,400 Speaker 4: have not just the main campuses, say in Austin, Texas, 633 00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:39,040 Speaker 4: you had ones in SA Dallas and outside of that. 634 00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:41,760 Speaker 4: So I'm wondering, is this is there a particular playbook 635 00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:43,040 Speaker 4: when it comes to kind of like them and a 636 00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:45,120 Speaker 4: type of feel it comes to something like this, or 637 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,240 Speaker 4: is there different not apples and apples. 638 00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:50,120 Speaker 10: I guess yeah, I guess. What's interesting with the Northeastern 639 00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,440 Speaker 10: is that Higher rid is going through a very hard time. 640 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:55,400 Speaker 10: There's a lot of smaller schools that are closing all 641 00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:58,760 Speaker 10: over the US, and so Northeastern is growing at a 642 00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:01,680 Speaker 10: time when all these other college are shrinking. Colleges are 643 00:33:01,800 --> 00:33:04,880 Speaker 10: competing for students. The number of students across the US 644 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:07,160 Speaker 10: is going to drop by ten percent, the number of 645 00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:07,840 Speaker 10: students going. 646 00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 4: To college, and so why what's the driver there? 647 00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:15,840 Speaker 10: It's just a demographic cliff and the costs and it's 648 00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:21,000 Speaker 10: extremely expensive as well. COVID was really bad for the 649 00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:24,160 Speaker 10: college enrollment numbers as well. And so Northeastern is kind 650 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:26,680 Speaker 10: of growing at a time when all these other schools 651 00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:31,040 Speaker 10: are shrinking. And when looking for schools, they want valuable 652 00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:33,720 Speaker 10: real estate. The latest acquisition that they have is in 653 00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:37,200 Speaker 10: New York. Now they have three buildings in Manhattan. 654 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:40,840 Speaker 2: Did they buy Marymount or was this part of Yes. 655 00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:43,120 Speaker 10: They don't call it buying because. 656 00:33:43,600 --> 00:33:44,480 Speaker 2: Still has its own brand. 657 00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:48,920 Speaker 10: They just like swallow their liabilities and their assets. There's 658 00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:51,720 Speaker 10: no exchange of money that changes hands. 659 00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:56,520 Speaker 2: Is it working? Like, yeah, is this playbook actually helping Northeastern? Yeah, 660 00:33:56,560 --> 00:33:56,960 Speaker 2: it's working. 661 00:33:57,040 --> 00:34:00,600 Speaker 10: Northeastern last year had almost one hundred thousand students apply 662 00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:03,959 Speaker 10: to their university. They've seen their enrollment increase by fifteen 663 00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:07,440 Speaker 10: percent since twenty nineteen, and they've gone from being just 664 00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:11,719 Speaker 10: a local, little known brand to being known worldwide. 665 00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:12,799 Speaker 7: Does it. 666 00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:16,680 Speaker 2: Does it help? But part of the college thing is 667 00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:18,680 Speaker 2: like the experience, right, Like you go there and you 668 00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:21,920 Speaker 2: live there, like maybe you take a semester abroad or something, 669 00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,279 Speaker 2: but like you stay there and it feels a little 670 00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,279 Speaker 2: weird and disjointed, and then all of a sudden be 671 00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:28,120 Speaker 2: like you're here, and then you're there, and then you're there. 672 00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:30,680 Speaker 10: Yeah, for sure. That's one of the things that Northeastern 673 00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:32,799 Speaker 10: will say is changing within higher ed and that's why 674 00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:35,520 Speaker 10: they've been successful in this moment. They think that students 675 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:38,440 Speaker 10: no longer or some students no longer want to, you know, 676 00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:40,840 Speaker 10: spend four years in one place with a small community, 677 00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:43,319 Speaker 10: and they're looking to get new experiences and be more 678 00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,640 Speaker 10: practical in terms of their four years. How can this 679 00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:48,840 Speaker 10: translate into career after college and things like that. So 680 00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:50,720 Speaker 10: that's another way that they're different from other colleges. 681 00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,719 Speaker 4: Are there other potential universities or colleges that are eyeing 682 00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:56,400 Speaker 4: this type of model and they may try to do 683 00:34:56,719 --> 00:34:58,080 Speaker 4: and replicate something similar. 684 00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:02,399 Speaker 10: Yeah, for sure. Northeastern told us that they've heard from 685 00:35:02,680 --> 00:35:05,480 Speaker 10: almost fifty schools that have reached out kind of interesting 686 00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:08,880 Speaker 10: and either merging with them or learning about their business model. 687 00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:12,360 Speaker 10: We saw that Vanderbilt has now a campus in Florida. 688 00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:14,399 Speaker 10: That's kind of a school that's trying to do something 689 00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:16,680 Speaker 10: a little similar, not at the scale that Northeastern is 690 00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:19,440 Speaker 10: doing it, but there's a lot of schools watching what 691 00:35:19,480 --> 00:35:20,160 Speaker 10: they're doing right now. 692 00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:23,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, so is what they're doing also though different from 693 00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:26,000 Speaker 2: that Marymount thing, Like I can still go to Marymount here, 694 00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:28,520 Speaker 2: say in New York City versus Northeastern, and then I 695 00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:30,080 Speaker 2: go spend a semester in California. 696 00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:34,560 Speaker 10: Yes, so the Merrymount is part of their whole plan. 697 00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:37,080 Speaker 2: Okay, so that that is part Right now, they're. 698 00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:41,080 Speaker 10: Still Marymount because the merger was just announced, but eventually 699 00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:45,080 Speaker 10: it'll be Marymount at Northeastern or whatever brand they decide 700 00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:45,400 Speaker 10: to go with. 701 00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:47,200 Speaker 2: Ye, so then I can go to Northeastern and then 702 00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:48,480 Speaker 2: be like I'm gonna spend a year in New York 703 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,600 Speaker 2: going in to Marymount. Yes, okay, yeah, yeah, that's just 704 00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:54,640 Speaker 2: so interesting. It's just such a different college like experience. 705 00:35:55,960 --> 00:35:57,480 Speaker 2: I would think that you go to college, you learn 706 00:35:57,520 --> 00:35:59,600 Speaker 2: how to like be by yourself, do laundry by yourself, 707 00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:02,799 Speaker 2: debt by yourself, to brink beer by yourself, and then 708 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:05,800 Speaker 2: like that's it, not like jet setting off to different locations, 709 00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,640 Speaker 2: you know, Frantessca, thanks that it was a really great piece, 710 00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:12,320 Speaker 2: really appreciated. Francesca Maglione, personal finance and higher education reporter 711 00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:13,080 Speaker 2: at Joining Us. 712 00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:17,839 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on apples, Spotify, 713 00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:21,680 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each weekday, 714 00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:24,800 Speaker 1: ten am to noon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com, the 715 00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:28,320 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. You 716 00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:31,520 Speaker 1: can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and 717 00:36:31,719 --> 00:36:33,280 Speaker 1: always on the Bloomberg terminal