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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. How confident

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Speaker 1: are you in bowl season? All the bowl games are

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Speaker 1: coming up? I know I'm excited, but what level of

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Speaker 1: confidence do you have? That's a big question that you're

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Speaker 1: going to have to answer because I know you're going

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Speaker 1: to do a pick them bawl. I know you're going

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Speaker 1: to do a bracket because why else would you be here.

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Speaker 1: You're a college football nut. Whether there's cash or pride

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Speaker 1: on the line, we are here for you today to

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Speaker 1: give you all of the picks and the confidence points

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Speaker 1: like you've never got before. I am Chris Welsh. You

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Speaker 1: heard me with Thor throughout the year on the Early

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Speaker 1: Look College Football Show here in Betting Pros. But now

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Speaker 1: I have got both of the big minds. I got

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Speaker 1: the big heads with me. Thorn Eystrom on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: thor Ku, Scott Bogman on Twitter at Bogman Sports, and gentlemen,

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Speaker 1: you two are the craziest people in all the land

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Speaker 1: because you were willing, not only willing, Thor wanted to

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Speaker 1: tackle every single bowl game and attach confidence points to

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Speaker 1: every single game. Who else does this, Thore? Nobody? But

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Speaker 1: we're doing it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean everybody does confidence pools. We all do

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Speaker 2: confidence pools, so yeah, we got to jump in, give

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Speaker 2: our picks and see how we do.

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Speaker 1: It's amazing, Bogs, that we're going to tackle this. We

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Speaker 1: are going to do this incredible feat and attempting under

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Speaker 1: an hour and a half around an hour, So how

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Speaker 1: this is gonna leg out?

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Speaker 3: Bogs?

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Speaker 1: I know this is probably a big test for you

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Speaker 1: as well, putting this all together and getting confidence points.

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Speaker 1: But you've done this for a long time. Are you

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Speaker 1: feeling good about this entire setup that we've got.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I feel as queasy as I always would

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Speaker 4: picking all of these games, forty three Bowl games.

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Speaker 5: And it's even more.

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Speaker 4: Difficult now because it used to be our players don't

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Speaker 4: opt out. Now players are opting out for the NFL

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Speaker 4: Draft if they're not playing games that matter. We have

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Speaker 4: the transfer Portal is the biggest party in town. If

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Speaker 4: fifty percent of the NCAA seemed to be involved in

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Speaker 4: the transfer portal, so you know, Rico's time is now, as.

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Speaker 5: Doctor Pepper a commercial told us.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean, we got a lot of moving pieces,

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Speaker 4: so it's hard to pick these games. I feel like

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Speaker 4: it's harder now than it ever has been, but I'm.

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Speaker 5: Also pretty confident in some of these picks.

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Speaker 1: All Right, we're gonna see how confident as you are

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Speaker 1: gonna lay the points, so as you guys know whether

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Speaker 1: you were jumping on one of the big outlets and

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Speaker 1: just doing a one with random people, whether you're doing

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Speaker 1: an office pool or a whole bunch of your friends

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Speaker 1: for some big, hard cash. These pools are very popular

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Speaker 1: and a lot of fun. I think right now this

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Speaker 1: is a show that you're gonna be able to come

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Speaker 1: back to the entire bowl season, come back relive them.

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Speaker 1: Because yes, the games are gonna start up on Friday,

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Speaker 1: but that's just one. You're gonna go through the beginning

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Speaker 1: of the year, so this has got some staying power.

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Speaker 1: We are going to start Friday, and we are going

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Speaker 1: to move through all of the games. Both of these

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Speaker 1: gentlemen are gonna give their picks. They're gonna give their

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Speaker 1: confidence picks. I'm gonna give you guys a tiny bit

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Speaker 1: of setup to the game. But gentlemen, are we ready

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Speaker 1: to rev up these college football confidence pool picks.

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Speaker 5: Let's do it. Let's go. Let's get it.

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Speaker 1: First one up Friday, December sixteenth, That is the Bahamas

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Speaker 1: Bowl UAB versus Miami of Ohio. UAB is an eleven

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Speaker 1: point favorite. The over under a set at forty five

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Speaker 1: and a half. We've got interim head coach Brian Vincent,

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Speaker 1: who's gonna be coaching, but Trent Dilfer is taking over

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Speaker 1: next year. Miami of Ohio a note, they've got starting

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Speaker 1: quarterback Brett Gabbert and starting left guard Caleb Schaeffer. They're

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Speaker 1: both in the portal and quarterback Avion Smith is starting

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Speaker 1: for them. Now. Thor your pick and your confidence on

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Speaker 1: the Bahamas Bowl.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, my line on this one is UAB minus eleven

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Speaker 2: point three. I am taking UAB. I put thirty six

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Speaker 2: points on it. Gabert did come back from the portal.

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Speaker 2: He's back with the team, but I don't think he's

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Speaker 2: gonna play between the stats like the late status change

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Speaker 2: and then his injury status. So I do think it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be av On Smith not nearly as good as

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Speaker 2: a thrower as Gabbert, but he's a much better runner.

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Speaker 2: Uab's defensive weakness is their run defense. That's what Miami

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Speaker 2: is going to be leading into here. But I do

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Speaker 2: think UAB is going to be able to run the ball.

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Speaker 3: A bit on Miami.

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Speaker 2: On Miami, I'm taking Miami with the points just regular.

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Speaker 2: But if we're talking straight up proposition, I'm taking the

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Speaker 2: double digit favorite u AB.

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Speaker 1: And then what confidence points do you have on this one?

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Speaker 3: Thirty six points?

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Speaker 1: Thirty six points? Maybe thirty six points, Bogman, UAB, Miami

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Speaker 1: of Ohio? Who's your pick? And where are your confidence points?

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Speaker 4: Thor coming in hot? I am not liking this game.

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Speaker 4: I'm taking the RedHawks in this game. Give me Miami, Ohio.

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Speaker 4: I it's surprising me that McBride is going to play

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Speaker 4: in this game. If there's any little inkling of him

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Speaker 4: not playing, I would take Miami big. So I think

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Speaker 4: this game is much closer, I guess than Thor does.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna go one point. This is my lowest confidence game.

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Speaker 4: Don't like it at all. So give me Miami and

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Speaker 4: get me out of this one.

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Speaker 5: Please.

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Speaker 1: We have to move. But I do want to have

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Speaker 1: one follow up question real quick, Thor, And is there

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Speaker 1: anything to a strategy in a confidence pool of going

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Speaker 1: in hot early? As much as you are? I know

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Speaker 1: you're obviously confident, but is there any strategy to go

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Speaker 1: big early so then maybe you adjust later on is

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Speaker 1: that and maybe something you're doing or you just love

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Speaker 1: this game that much.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, not necessarily. Yeah, it's you know, I'm just looking

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Speaker 2: at my adjusted line. I'm looking at the Vegas bread

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Speaker 2: and then of course my feelings about each of the games.

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Speaker 3: So you know, that's how I sort of stacked my brow.

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Speaker 4: You know, the most about these games, the quicker they

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Speaker 4: come up too, because you know, so if you're assigning

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Speaker 4: bigger points, you just know more about them right now,

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Speaker 4: whereas you don't want, you know, all those low games be.

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Speaker 1: Two weeks from now.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, two weeks from now, a bunch of players opt out.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, there is a little strategy to that. But

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Speaker 4: I don't like this game at all.

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Speaker 1: Right, Hey, big stuff, Bogman's least confident and one of

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Speaker 1: the most confident from Thor. Let's move to the Cure Bowl,

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Speaker 1: where number twenty four Troy is going off against number

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Speaker 1: twenty five UTSA love UTSA, we bet them all year

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Speaker 1: last year. The spread is one in favor of Troy,

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Speaker 1: so it's practically a pick them over under forty fifty

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Speaker 1: four and a half. So Thor, your pick your confidence,

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Speaker 1: Troy UTSA, I'm going with Troy here.

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Speaker 2: My line's basically what the Vegas one, it's only only

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Speaker 2: my line's only Troy minus zero point eight points, so

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Speaker 2: about a point.

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Speaker 3: But I do like Troy to win this game.

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Speaker 2: I'm you know, I bet on them as well at

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Speaker 2: that I think, you know, minus one or whatever it was.

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Speaker 2: I so I got eleven points on on Troy in

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Speaker 2: this one. I think their defense matches up decently well

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Speaker 2: against utsa's offense, and obviously you need to slow down

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Speaker 2: frank Harris and Franklin and stuff like that to beat them.

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Speaker 2: But between Troy has this awesome outside corner named Reddy

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Speaker 2: Stewart who is like the number seven great at PFF corner.

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Speaker 2: He's the one that they're gonna stick on Franklin. So

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Speaker 2: that should be that should be pretty good for Troy.

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Speaker 2: And then decry and Clark, one of the three stud

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Speaker 2: receivers for utsa's oh for the season, got knocked out

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Speaker 2: in October, so UTSA would only have one other recourse

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Speaker 2: through the air if Reddy Stewart's able to do that.

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Speaker 2: And then Carlton Marshall, he's the guy that cleans up,

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Speaker 2: you know, all the stuff between the tackles FBS career

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Speaker 2: all time leader in tackles. So the spread stuff that

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Speaker 2: UTSA does to put defenders into conflict and stuff like that,

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Speaker 2: I don't think it's gonna work as well against the

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Speaker 2: Troy defense.

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Speaker 3: Eleven points for me on.

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Speaker 1: Troy eleven points? All right, Bogman Troy Utsa, Are you

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Speaker 1: gonna go back to our team? We bet them all

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Speaker 1: year last year. They practically have become our second you know,

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Speaker 1: like if we had to college, we didn't go there

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Speaker 1: anything like that, but it's become our home school. What

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Speaker 1: do you got on UTSA Troy?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm taking UTSA in this one. I got sixteen

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Speaker 4: points on it. I actually, you know, I think we're

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Speaker 4: gonna put this game on the back of Frank Harris.

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Speaker 4: You can do a lot of running, a lot of passing.

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Speaker 4: I know it's a good matchup. Troy is probably a

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Speaker 4: better overall team, but there's just something about Frank Carris

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Speaker 4: I can't get out of my head. So it's gonna

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Speaker 4: be Frank Carris. I think Brady, you know, replacing the

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Speaker 4: injured running back, did a great job in the conference

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Speaker 4: championship game. They can win both ways on the ground.

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Speaker 4: Gonna be high scoring one. Give me UTSA and I

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Speaker 4: got sixteen points on him.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to Saturday the seventeenth. We've got the Finway

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Speaker 1: Bull It's Louisville in Cincinnati. Cincinnati is a one and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorite. Doesn't look like we have any

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Speaker 1: current over underline on this. Here's a big situation with this.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot of head coaching issues and changes across

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Speaker 1: the board here, and maybe one of the biggest ones

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Speaker 1: is with Louisville. Not with a head coach change, but

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Speaker 1: they've got Malie Cunningham whos declared for the draft and

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Speaker 1: is going to opt out. So brock Domon is going

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Speaker 1: to be starting for the team, which is going to

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Speaker 1: change potentially a whole lot of stuff here. So Thor Louisville, Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: Finway at Finway Park, the Finway Bowl, which your confidence

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Speaker 1: on what your pick.

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Speaker 2: I'm calling this the Scott Satterfield ball. Fortunately he's not

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Speaker 2: going to be involved. People are making the joke. You know,

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Speaker 2: team the teams are on the same side of the

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Speaker 2: field for their sidelines, and you know that Sadderfield can

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Speaker 2: coach both sides, but he ain't gonna be there. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: you have a whole bunch of stuff going on with

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Speaker 2: the coaching staffs like you mentioned, and both teams will

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Speaker 2: be starting their their quarterback too. Is Ben bryantoff for

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Speaker 2: the year for Cincinnati one? One thing like, even though

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati is more contributors that have opted out, because I

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Speaker 2: think four of their their top five pass catchers also

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Speaker 2: opted out, the drop off between Ben Bryant and Praer

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Speaker 2: their number two, it is not nearly as precipitous as

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Speaker 2: the enormous drop off from elite Cunningham to Doman. I

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Speaker 2: saw that Doman could play several times a year. He's

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Speaker 2: not good. He has some men feet number one. So

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Speaker 2: it hurts Louisville's run offense because obviously cunning Him is

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Speaker 2: a really big plus in the run game. But Doman

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Speaker 2: is also not as good of a passer as Malie

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Speaker 2: cunning Him is, whereas Praterer on the other side, He's

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Speaker 2: a worse passer than Brian for sure, but he's actually

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Speaker 2: a better runner. And so when Prater has been in,

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Speaker 2: they call a bunch of design runs. Well, Louisville's their

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Speaker 2: weakness on defense, it's the run defense.

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Speaker 3: So even though like.

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati's out all these pass catchers or whatever, I think

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati is just going to, you know, to use prator

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Speaker 2: like they did at the end of the season, call

218
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Speaker 2: a bunch of design runs. I think it's gonna work

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Speaker 2: certainly better than Louisville's quarterback swap. So I'm going to

220
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Speaker 2: take Cincinnati, and I guess what is the small upset.

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Speaker 2: My system does favor Cincinnati by just a little bit.

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Speaker 2: But because there's so many movement pieces here, and there's

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Speaker 2: so many backups that are going to be playing, and

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Speaker 2: the interim staffs and everything like that, I only put

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Speaker 2: two confidence points on Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: Two confidence points. Okay, Malie Cunningham is a huge playmaker

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Speaker 1: and him being off, is it enough for you to

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Speaker 1: move away from Louisville and go to Cincinnati and have

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Speaker 1: more confidence points than Thorn has?

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Speaker 5: Absolutely?

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Speaker 4: I mean, I'm just glad that Thorn and I finally

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Speaker 4: Simpatoco and on the same team finally three games in here.

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Speaker 5: So I am also taking Cincinnati.

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Speaker 4: I think the loss in league Cunningham is too much

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Speaker 4: for Louisville to bear in this game. Like Thorpe said,

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Speaker 4: it's just a massive downgrade when you lose a guy

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Speaker 4: like that. So give me Cincy. I've got twenty confidence points.

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Speaker 4: On the Bearcats in this one. I think they win big.

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Speaker 1: The Celebration Bowl Jackson State versus North Carolina Central, Jackson

240
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Speaker 1: State a fifteen and a half point favorite, the over

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Speaker 1: fifty six and a half. You know that we have

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Speaker 1: a question placed on here that I feel like has answered.

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Speaker 1: But what is Degan Sanders' role in this game? He's

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Speaker 1: already with Colorado. Is he coaching? I can't imagine he's

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Speaker 1: coaching this game, but thor give us some insight and

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Speaker 1: do you like that spread overall with Jackson State and

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Speaker 1: all the chaos that is going on with them, and

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Speaker 1: what confidence points are you gonna pick on it?

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Speaker 3: No, coach Prime's coaching.

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Speaker 1: He is coaching.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he told Jackson State that he wanted to stay

252
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Speaker 2: and they were happy to let him finish out the season.

253
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Speaker 2: And that was one of the things that he discussed

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Speaker 2: with Colorado when he took the job, was like, you know,

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Speaker 2: I'll take the job, but I'm finishing out the year

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Speaker 2: with Jackson State. I don't know how he's gonna sort

257
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Speaker 2: of what's the expression serve both masters like during these

258
00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:08,240
Speaker 2: weeks where he both has to recruit that obviously the

259
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Speaker 2: early signing period's coming up. Also, you have the all

260
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Speaker 2: the transfer portal madness going on, and there's a whole

261
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Speaker 2: bunch of kids that are considering Colorado now, so Dion's

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Speaker 2: got to kind of do two different things. But I

263
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Speaker 2: don't think that Jackson State is going to have a

264
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Speaker 2: problem in this game, even with the divided attention you

265
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Speaker 2: know in Vegas. Right now, this line is sixteen and

266
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Speaker 2: a half for Jackson State. I'm putting this one right

267
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Speaker 2: at the top. I'm giving this one the forty two

268
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Speaker 2: points or whatever. Actually this is not my h it's

269
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Speaker 2: my second highest one. I'm giving this one forty two

270
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Speaker 2: points for Jackson State. I believe this has the highest

271
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Speaker 2: spread of any game that we're going to tie it

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Speaker 2: at least a field goal. So I'm gonna I'm gonna

273
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Speaker 2: go Jackson State.

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Speaker 1: Wow, highest of all in the most confidence points, bagman,

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Speaker 1: Jackson State a lot of confidence points.

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Speaker 4: No, I'm taking Jackson State because the spread is enormously

277
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Speaker 4: and because coach Prime is still going to be coaching game.

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Speaker 4: They are undefeated, They've had a wonderful year. But I

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Speaker 4: don't watch a lot of fcs, so I don't want

280
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Speaker 4: to put too much confidence in this. I also hate

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Speaker 4: that prime is being pulled in a million different directions.

282
00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:16,040
Speaker 4: I don't know how the players are gonna respond. There's

283
00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:19,040
Speaker 4: also been some weirdness between Dion and the school since

284
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Speaker 4: he has decided to leave, talking about the money being

285
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Speaker 4: allocated in the wrong spot and maybe some real big

286
00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:29,360
Speaker 4: issues at Jackson State. So I'm going to take Jackson State,

287
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Speaker 4: but give me four confidence points on this one. I

288
00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:32,839
Speaker 4: do not like it very much.

289
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Speaker 1: All right, both the same pick, but way on the

290
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Speaker 1: opposite of the confidence points. Las Vegas Bowl number fourteen,

291
00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:40,760
Speaker 1: Oregon State versus Florida. Oregon State is a ten and

292
00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:43,040
Speaker 1: a half point favorite. The over under said at fifty

293
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Speaker 1: three Anthony Richardson opting for the draft. That puts some

294
00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:50,720
Speaker 1: major questions in for Florida. So thor Oregon State Florida

295
00:12:51,080 --> 00:12:53,400
Speaker 1: spread confidence points? How are you going to make out

296
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Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Ball.

297
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Speaker 3: I'm pretty confident in this one.

298
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Speaker 2: My justice line in this game is Oregon State minus

299
00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:01,200
Speaker 2: fourteen point three, so it's even higher than the ten.

300
00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:04,000
Speaker 2: Made a bunch of adjustments obviously because of all the

301
00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:07,040
Speaker 2: defections on the Florida side. Oregon State the only guy

302
00:13:07,080 --> 00:13:09,840
Speaker 2: that's out that I know. The key contributor, a starting

303
00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:13,240
Speaker 2: cornerback right that that they have is injured Musk Grave

304
00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:16,440
Speaker 2: or must grow their tight end. He's also not going

305
00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:18,000
Speaker 2: to play, but he was nicked up for most of

306
00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:20,280
Speaker 2: the season, so I'm not sure that that has a tangible,

307
00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:24,320
Speaker 2: you know, effect on this game. Whereas with Florida yet,

308
00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:26,600
Speaker 2: you know, like you mentioned, you had Richardson, you also

309
00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:30,960
Speaker 2: have Justin Shorter their number two receiver. You have Osiris Torrance,

310
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Speaker 2: who is one of the top three interior offensive linemen

311
00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:37,280
Speaker 2: in all of America. Bourbon decksher their defensive tackle. He

312
00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:39,800
Speaker 2: declared for the draft, but he says at least now

313
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Speaker 2: that he's gonna play. We'll see if he ends up

314
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Speaker 2: changing his mind, like in the lead up to this game,

315
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Speaker 2: because this game is sort of profiling, profiling for Florida,

316
00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:49,360
Speaker 2: like that that ball game against Oklahoma a couple of

317
00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:53,280
Speaker 2: years ago and Kyle Pitts and Cadarius Tony and Grimes

318
00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:56,040
Speaker 2: on the other side when everybody was hosting out for them. Yeah,

319
00:13:56,040 --> 00:13:58,480
Speaker 2: and they just they just got smoked. That's what I

320
00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:01,199
Speaker 2: think Florida's in for your. Oregon State is a really

321
00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:02,880
Speaker 2: underrated team. They would have been a buye for me.

322
00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:06,000
Speaker 2: In polseason anyway, I am putting thirty eight points on

323
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Speaker 2: the Beavers.

324
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Speaker 1: Wow, Bogman, what say you, OSU Florida Las Vegas Bowl?

325
00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:14,240
Speaker 1: Are you gonna go in? What would the confidence points again?

326
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Speaker 1: Throwing as I'm writing to these all down, would.

327
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Speaker 3: You say I'm doing thirty eight on Oregon State?

328
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Speaker 1: Hardy? Hey baby, all right, we're going hot again. Maybe

329
00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,800
Speaker 1: it wasn't an intentional thing here, but there is a

330
00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:24,800
Speaker 1: mental strategy going on there. It's got a lot of

331
00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:27,080
Speaker 1: confidence points early on, and like you said, Boggs, there's

332
00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:29,920
Speaker 1: a lot more we know with questions coming in later.

333
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Speaker 1: So what say you Las Vegas Ball?

334
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Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, run back Damian Martinez status is up

335
00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:36,400
Speaker 4: in the air, but I think he's going to get

336
00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:38,840
Speaker 4: up to play this game for Oregon State. I think

337
00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:40,720
Speaker 4: they run the ball down Florida's throat.

338
00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:41,440
Speaker 5: I have.

339
00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:43,480
Speaker 4: I don't have that many confidence points, but I do

340
00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:46,760
Speaker 4: have twenty five on the Beavs. I just don't think

341
00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:49,280
Speaker 4: Florida's gonna have enough with the backup quarterback that is

342
00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:52,680
Speaker 4: barely played. So definitely give me Oregon State and I'm

343
00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:54,840
Speaker 4: gonna put twenty five bad boys on that one.

344
00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:56,920
Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to the LA Bowl. Fresno

345
00:14:57,000 --> 00:15:01,400
Speaker 1: State versus Washington State. Presno State is a three point favorite.

346
00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:03,400
Speaker 1: A lot of these over unders just sitting kind of

347
00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:05,240
Speaker 1: in the same similar range. Fifty four and a half

348
00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:07,240
Speaker 1: is the same thing that we're looking at. Washington State

349
00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:09,560
Speaker 1: has got some wide receiver issues with guys in the

350
00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:13,400
Speaker 1: protocol or what do we got Fresno State, Washington State?

351
00:15:13,520 --> 00:15:15,040
Speaker 1: How many points and what's our pick?

352
00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:17,920
Speaker 2: This would have been different for me about a month ago,

353
00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:21,800
Speaker 2: but you you mentioned all the Washington State receiver stuff.

354
00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:24,400
Speaker 2: Three of their top four guys in terms of both

355
00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:27,560
Speaker 2: receptions and targets are out, you know, whether it's it's

356
00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,480
Speaker 2: opt out or injuries. And then the other thing, their

357
00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:34,920
Speaker 2: linebacker room got absolutely decimated as well, between opt outs

358
00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:39,240
Speaker 2: and injuries and transfers and stuff like that. Washington State

359
00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,320
Speaker 2: is starting, I believe two different linebackers in this game

360
00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:44,960
Speaker 2: who have never started a game on defense before. With

361
00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:48,120
Speaker 2: Fresno State playing as well as they are, I think Fresno's,

362
00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:50,120
Speaker 2: you know, with Hanar back and everything. Fresno States, I

363
00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:53,000
Speaker 2: think it's won nine straight games. They're gonna be able

364
00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:55,760
Speaker 2: to move the ball on Washington State's defense. Washington State's

365
00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:58,640
Speaker 2: defense has been very good situationally and very good, you know,

366
00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:02,400
Speaker 2: in terms of opportunity with the turnovers and stuff like that.

367
00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:05,040
Speaker 2: But Fresno with with Hayner under center, they don't turn

368
00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:08,000
Speaker 2: the ball over a ton. Obviously, they pass with volume,

369
00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:11,040
Speaker 2: but they also very importantly in this matchup, they prevent

370
00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:14,720
Speaker 2: the havoc that Washington State defense is good at generating.

371
00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:17,120
Speaker 2: Washington State also, like in the red zone, they were

372
00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:20,600
Speaker 2: really good at suppressing points. But you know in this

373
00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:23,440
Speaker 2: one with the hollowed out linebacker corps and also, by

374
00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:25,960
Speaker 2: the way, their defensive coordinator who did an awesome job

375
00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:26,880
Speaker 2: this year, Brian Ward.

376
00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:29,800
Speaker 3: He left for Arizona State to join Kenny Dillingham's staff.

377
00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:31,840
Speaker 2: So you wonder if some of that situational stuff on

378
00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:35,640
Speaker 2: defense drops down a little bit for Wazoo. Fresno State

379
00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:38,240
Speaker 2: being at full strength here with Hayner in his last game,

380
00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:40,040
Speaker 2: I think this is going to be a positive Swan

381
00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:40,680
Speaker 2: song for him.

382
00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:43,320
Speaker 3: I put fifteen confidence points on Fresno.

383
00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:45,040
Speaker 1: State, ugman, are you gonna stick with it? Are you

384
00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:48,120
Speaker 1: gonna go Fresno? And how many confidence points on either

385
00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:49,680
Speaker 1: side for the lable.

386
00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:52,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, Fresno State for me too, you'd like, Thors said,

387
00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:56,120
Speaker 4: Jake Hayner plays great. I'm actually a little surprised he's

388
00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:58,400
Speaker 4: gonna play this game. But this is a swan song

389
00:16:58,680 --> 00:17:01,480
Speaker 4: for Fresno State. Should be a very interesting game for him,

390
00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:04,000
Speaker 4: and Fresno State plays it against the pass. Plus, all

391
00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:06,159
Speaker 4: those pass catches are down for Washington State. Give me

392
00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:08,359
Speaker 4: Fresno steak given the Bulldogs, and I'm gonna put twenty

393
00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:09,680
Speaker 4: one points on that one.

394
00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:12,160
Speaker 1: Oh twenty one. All right, Bogwin's picking up some points

395
00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:15,359
Speaker 1: here. Here we go the Lending Tree Bowl Southern Miss versus Rice.

396
00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:18,240
Speaker 1: Not for Southern Miss, Yeah, not for this one. Southern

397
00:17:18,280 --> 00:17:20,080
Speaker 1: Miss is a seven point favorite. We do have a

398
00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:21,720
Speaker 1: lower under forty six and a half. One of the

399
00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:23,880
Speaker 1: lower one, maybe the lowest one we've talked about so far.

400
00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:26,840
Speaker 1: A little bit of maybe some quarterback questions with Rice

401
00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:29,800
Speaker 1: going on so four and the Lending Tree Bull Southern

402
00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:31,760
Speaker 1: Miss Rice, and what type of confident points are we

403
00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:32,280
Speaker 1: putting on it.

404
00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:35,480
Speaker 2: My system like Southern Miss more than any other team

405
00:17:35,560 --> 00:17:38,280
Speaker 2: in the entire Bull slate. Against the spread, you know this.

406
00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:40,760
Speaker 2: The spread right now in Vegas is six and a half.

407
00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:45,800
Speaker 2: My system has Southern Miss minus fourteen point eight and

408
00:17:45,840 --> 00:17:48,000
Speaker 2: I love Southern miss in this game too. I think

409
00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:51,159
Speaker 2: that they matched up well as is. But in particular,

410
00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:54,720
Speaker 2: when you consider the situation that Rice is in on offense,

411
00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:56,960
Speaker 2: Rice might have to either start their third string or

412
00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:00,200
Speaker 2: four string quarterback again because TJ McMahon, the guy who

413
00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,159
Speaker 2: became this you know, like Wiley Green that he had

414
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:04,159
Speaker 2: started some in the past, but he's been out for

415
00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:07,720
Speaker 2: most of the season with injury. So TJ McMahon was

416
00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:09,719
Speaker 2: starting well. TJ McMahon two and a half games, so

417
00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:11,840
Speaker 2: like in the their third to last game, he got

418
00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:14,720
Speaker 2: injured like halfway through at the time, Rice was five

419
00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:17,359
Speaker 2: and four. After that when they had to drop you know,

420
00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:20,520
Speaker 2: because Wiley Green was out, had to drop down. Rice

421
00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:23,439
Speaker 2: has lost their last three games, you know, like at

422
00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:26,720
Speaker 2: the end, you know, even though they were playing for ball. Yeah,

423
00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:29,480
Speaker 2: and and Wiley Green he came. They tried to play

424
00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:31,119
Speaker 2: him in one of the I think it was the

425
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,960
Speaker 2: second to last game, but he reaggravated the injury that

426
00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:36,280
Speaker 2: had knocked him up for the whole season. Wilett Green's

427
00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:38,359
Speaker 2: done for the year. I don't think TJ McMahon's going

428
00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:40,160
Speaker 2: to play in this one either. So again you're way

429
00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:42,960
Speaker 2: down the depth chart, you know, at quarterback. The other thing,

430
00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:46,160
Speaker 2: Luke McCaffrey their breakout receiver. You know, you know, he'd

431
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:49,920
Speaker 2: been came in as a ballyhooed quarterback, transferred between two

432
00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:52,679
Speaker 2: different Power five teams, went to Rice, couldn't win their

433
00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:55,879
Speaker 2: starting quarterback job, very smartly switched out to wide receiver

434
00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:58,040
Speaker 2: and had an awesome year this year. He missed the

435
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:00,720
Speaker 2: last two games with injury and his is up in

436
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:04,119
Speaker 2: the ear. He's also a potential UH transfer guy. He

437
00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:06,560
Speaker 2: hasn't said anything, but there has been some rumors about that,

438
00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:09,720
Speaker 2: so I'm I'm not anticipating that he's gonna play either.

439
00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:13,520
Speaker 2: Southern Missus defense is absolutely awesome for the G five,

440
00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:16,280
Speaker 2: and they create a ton of havoc. Rice is very

441
00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:18,840
Speaker 2: bad at avoiding havoc, both in the turnovers and in

442
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:20,840
Speaker 2: the facts. Southern Missis defense is going to live in

443
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,840
Speaker 2: the backfield here. And also Southern Missis their offense is

444
00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:26,920
Speaker 2: their weakness, but their offense is basically just as bad

445
00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:30,200
Speaker 2: as Rice's defense, so that thing washes out. Southern miss

446
00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:32,960
Speaker 2: defense is going to dominate Rice's offense. Southern Miss all

447
00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:36,400
Speaker 2: the way here. Forty one confidence points on Golden Eagles.

448
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:39,639
Speaker 1: Wow, this is uh you know, is this gonna be

449
00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:42,200
Speaker 1: another one of those situations? Box, I feel like the heavy,

450
00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:45,320
Speaker 1: heavy confidence side of Thor has led you on the

451
00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:47,879
Speaker 1: opposite end of lack of confidence. But you tell us

452
00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:50,280
Speaker 1: Southern Miss, Rice and other parts.

453
00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:50,920
Speaker 5: Now that's true. See.

454
00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:53,800
Speaker 4: Look, I think that Thor is right in everything he said.

455
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:55,800
Speaker 4: I do think Southern Miss wipes the floor with Rice.

456
00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:57,320
Speaker 4: I don't think Rice is a very good team.

457
00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:57,720
Speaker 5: Right.

458
00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:00,720
Speaker 4: We saw Southern Miss bow up against Miami. Probably should

459
00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,440
Speaker 4: have won that game, honestly, Like they have played some

460
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:07,959
Speaker 4: strong football this year, but it's Southern Miss. And I

461
00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:10,120
Speaker 4: do not trust Southern Miss as far as I can

462
00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:12,960
Speaker 4: throw them. He gives them these teams, especially a smart

463
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:15,080
Speaker 4: team like Rice, three weeks to prep, They're gonna come

464
00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:17,600
Speaker 4: up with some wrinkles. I do have Southern Miss, but

465
00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:19,919
Speaker 4: I have it at five points in this game. I

466
00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 4: like what Frank Gord Junior has been doing, particularly at

467
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:25,440
Speaker 4: the end of the season. So give me the Eagles,

468
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:28,120
Speaker 4: but I will take them with five confidence points.

469
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:31,000
Speaker 5: Not forty four. Wow, that's a lot on Southern Miss, right,

470
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,919
Speaker 5: forty one on Southern Miss? Who All right?

471
00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:36,600
Speaker 1: Right, we roll on New Mexico the New Mexico Bowl

472
00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:39,600
Speaker 1: SMU versus BYU. SMU is a one and a half

473
00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:42,600
Speaker 1: point favorite, big line sixty eight and a half thour.

474
00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,199
Speaker 1: What does your adjusted line have on this? Where's the

475
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:46,320
Speaker 1: pick and what are the points?

476
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 2: My adjusted line is SMU minus eight and a half.

477
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,840
Speaker 2: Now that you know, we know that that Jaron Hall

478
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 2: very likely not to play in this game for BYU,

479
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:57,960
Speaker 2: that the market the line has shifted because of that

480
00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,000
Speaker 2: sort of stuff leaking out. I don't believe it's official

481
00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:03,480
Speaker 2: as of the timer recording on Tuesday after noon, but

482
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,159
Speaker 2: that's what I heard. Mike Farrell, who I was recording

483
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:09,480
Speaker 2: with earlier, also said that he's heard the same thing.

484
00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:13,159
Speaker 2: So you're out haul. Well, it's another situation like the

485
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 2: Rice thing. You're not just out Hall. Their backup quarterback,

486
00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:19,800
Speaker 2: Jacob Conover hit the transfer portal. So BYU has fallen

487
00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:22,520
Speaker 2: all the way down their depth chart. They're having this

488
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:26,080
Speaker 2: open competition. Tatalki said, between three different kids who didn't

489
00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:28,720
Speaker 2: take a snap this year, like to determine who's going

490
00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:31,119
Speaker 2: to be the quote unquote backup to Hall, which that

491
00:21:31,280 --> 00:21:32,639
Speaker 2: you know he's going to start.

492
00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:35,960
Speaker 3: Whoever this kid is obviously enormous drop off.

493
00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:38,679
Speaker 2: BYU also had a starting receiver that is not going

494
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:40,879
Speaker 2: to play in this game, and they also there were

495
00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:43,880
Speaker 2: another team with the linebackers where their linebacker corp got

496
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 2: decimated as well.

497
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:47,040
Speaker 3: It was a terrible defense as is.

498
00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:50,359
Speaker 2: That's why they fired the defensive coordinator, and beyond the

499
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:52,840
Speaker 2: defensive coordinator, a whole bunch of staffers on the defensive

500
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,720
Speaker 2: side left, in part because Ed Lamb, their special teams

501
00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:58,920
Speaker 2: coach and associate head coach. He left for Northern Colorado

502
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 2: to take their head coaching John in the FCS, but

503
00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:04,600
Speaker 2: he took like four or five staffers with him. Sataki

504
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:06,480
Speaker 2: also it seems like he pushed out the strength and

505
00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 2: conditioning coach after the regular season, but BYU didn't announce that.

506
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:12,720
Speaker 2: The guy just disappeared from their website. There's a whole

507
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,120
Speaker 2: bunch of weird stuff going on with BYU right now.

508
00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 2: I know Rashid Rice, the star receiver for SMU, is

509
00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 2: not going to play in this game, but I don't

510
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:23,720
Speaker 2: really care. With everything going on with BYU, I just

511
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:26,440
Speaker 2: can't take them. I'm pretty confident in SMU they're gonna

512
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:28,880
Speaker 2: be able to move the ball. I'm given the Ponies

513
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 2: thirty two confidence points.

514
00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 1: Augman SMU BYU again, we can continue our trends big points,

515
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:36,800
Speaker 1: little points. So you're gonna follow Thor here it's a

516
00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:38,200
Speaker 1: big adjusted line. What do you got?

517
00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,639
Speaker 5: I'm following Thor for sure. I'm uh.

518
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,200
Speaker 4: You know, when I was picking this game, I didn't

519
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:46,120
Speaker 4: realize that Jaron Hall was definitely going to be out.

520
00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 4: I guess that's something that is comeing in fruition in

521
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:50,880
Speaker 4: the last couple of days. Here I have this at

522
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:55,040
Speaker 4: SMU by six points because they cannot stop anyone. If

523
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 4: if this quarterback whoever is playing for BYU can throw

524
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:02,360
Speaker 4: the ball downfield and throw somewhat accurate, BYU is gonna

525
00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:06,120
Speaker 4: put up points because SMUs defense is horrific this year.

526
00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 4: So I think it's gonna be high scoring and fun.

527
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:12,920
Speaker 4: Give me the Mustangs and I will put six points

528
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 4: on SMU. Not a ton of confidence, but I do

529
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 4: like them.

530
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,200
Speaker 1: In this game, we got the Frisco Bull Boise State

531
00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:22,000
Speaker 1: versus North Texas. This is in Frisco, Texas. Boise is

532
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,560
Speaker 1: a ten point favorite. Fifty six and a half is

533
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:27,960
Speaker 1: the line. Maybe some coaching stuff or where are we going?

534
00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:29,720
Speaker 1: How many confidence points? Throw?

535
00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:30,200
Speaker 5: It at US.

536
00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, you mentioned, like you know, for North Texas, this

537
00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:35,920
Speaker 2: game is really close to their you know, their campus,

538
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 2: you know, like I mean it's like, you know, like

539
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,199
Speaker 2: a ten minute drive or whatever. But you know, that's

540
00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 2: what they got going for him. But going against them,

541
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:43,720
Speaker 2: there's all kinds of weird stuff going on in that

542
00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:46,800
Speaker 2: program right now. They fired their coach after he had

543
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:48,879
Speaker 2: made the conference title game, and they said it was

544
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,200
Speaker 2: because he didn't reach eight weds. He was already at Sevan.

545
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 2: He could have gotten eight here, but obviously they they

546
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:55,240
Speaker 2: booted him. And then they don't have an a D

547
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,359
Speaker 2: to hire the new head coach, so they have to

548
00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:59,640
Speaker 2: hire an ad first. Then that guy's going to hire.

549
00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,240
Speaker 2: That called just a whole bunch of different weird stuff

550
00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:05,959
Speaker 2: going on. Their starting quarterback, Austin Noon said he's declared

551
00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 2: for the driver, said he's gonna declare for the draft,

552
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:10,280
Speaker 2: but he said he's gonna play in this game. But

553
00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:12,399
Speaker 2: I I mean, you know Austinton, the guy who's like

554
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:16,400
Speaker 2: in his late twenties. Yeah, yeah, he's not very good

555
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:18,360
Speaker 2: as as like all of his counting SATs were coming

556
00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:21,280
Speaker 2: from running it up on bad defenses. Boise State obviously

557
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 2: stopped there tolling their last game against Fresno State. But

558
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:26,080
Speaker 2: this is a much easier assignment for them. They're going

559
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 2: to run the ball all over North Texas. Holani he

560
00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 2: had got nicked up in the last game, but they

561
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,119
Speaker 2: say he's gonna play. He's back at practice. And then

562
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:34,919
Speaker 2: they have the huge dual threat quarter the six six

563
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,560
Speaker 2: dual threat quarterback from Texas, Taylon Green, who gets to

564
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:39,840
Speaker 2: have a sort of homecoming here. Both those guys are

565
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 2: going to gallop in the open field all game. Give

566
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:45,159
Speaker 2: me Boyse State. I put twenty five confidence points on

567
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:45,800
Speaker 2: the Broncos.

568
00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:49,080
Speaker 1: All right, Bogman, Boise State, North Texas. Are we going

569
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:51,800
Speaker 1: to get a big confidence points drop anytime soon?

570
00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:54,600
Speaker 4: My number one game right here, give me the Broncos

571
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 4: going away forty three points on these bad boys. I

572
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:01,119
Speaker 4: do not like anything it's going on at North Texas

573
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:05,119
Speaker 4: right now. As Dora mentioned, Latrelle out Austin on is

574
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:06,760
Speaker 4: twenty nine and declining for the draft.

575
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:08,880
Speaker 5: Dude used to play baseball Welsh.

576
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 4: You probably heard his name at some point in there,

577
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:14,560
Speaker 4: trying to make it through the minor leagues.

578
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,920
Speaker 5: But look, this is Taylor Green. It's going to be

579
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 5: a show.

580
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,679
Speaker 4: I love three weeks for this freshman to get prepped

581
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:23,080
Speaker 4: for this game and ready to roll.

582
00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:24,760
Speaker 5: I think he's going to have a huge performance.

583
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 4: And I got Boise State winning big, So this is

584
00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:28,440
Speaker 4: my biggest one.

585
00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 5: Give me the Broncos, Bronker Broncos.

586
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:33,240
Speaker 1: Make sure you guys also are always locked into the

587
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 1: YouTube channels and all of the podcast feeds here at

588
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:37,879
Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Make sure you're locked in subscribes so you

589
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 1: don't miss anything even when college football's not going on.

590
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:43,800
Speaker 1: That doesn't mean amazingness is not always happening like this

591
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:46,240
Speaker 1: awesome show. No one expected that and now you're rocking

592
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:48,200
Speaker 1: with all the confidence. Gentlemen, we are only at Monday.

593
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:50,440
Speaker 1: We are Monday, December nineteenth, but we are going to

594
00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 1: go to the Myrtle Beach Bowl. Marshall versus yukon. Marshall's

595
00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:56,399
Speaker 1: a ten point favorite, the lowest line yet forty and

596
00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 1: a half. Is there any big discrepancy thrower in your

597
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,359
Speaker 1: adjusted line on this one? And what's the picking points?

598
00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:05,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, my system actually likes Marshall more than even the spread.

599
00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:08,400
Speaker 2: I you know, Marshall, my system as a minus fourteen

600
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 2: point six, so you know, in a double digit line

601
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:15,040
Speaker 2: even in Vegas. Marshall, I haven't noted any you know,

602
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 2: opt outs or anything like that, so they look like

603
00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:20,120
Speaker 2: they're at full strength, and I guess more accurately fuller

604
00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 2: strength because Rashaun Al either start running back, came back

605
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 2: for the last two games and handle touches and both

606
00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:27,199
Speaker 2: of them, I think he ended up with sixteen carries

607
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:29,040
Speaker 2: in each one of them, so he was able to

608
00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 2: knock off the rust pretty quickly.

609
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,560
Speaker 3: Him and Lebourne are an absolutely devastating one two punch.

610
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:35,480
Speaker 2: They would be at any level, you know, even high

611
00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:38,719
Speaker 2: level P five, that would be a super duper above average,

612
00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 2: you know, or one of the best running back rooms

613
00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:44,200
Speaker 2: even in the P five. The other thing Marshall has

614
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:47,040
Speaker 2: is that dominant defense. I think that's where Yukon really

615
00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:49,280
Speaker 2: runs into problems here. I just don't know how Yukon

616
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:51,080
Speaker 2: is going to move the ball against what is one

617
00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:53,119
Speaker 2: of the better G five defenses in the top twenty

618
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:56,520
Speaker 2: defense in the country. Love Marshall here, this is my

619
00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:59,680
Speaker 2: highest one. I'm putting forty three points on the thundering hurt.

620
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 1: Ow Marshall, bagman, are you going to stay in this

621
00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 1: same spot? And if not or if with what type

622
00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:08,120
Speaker 1: of confidence points are you putting on this Monday game?

623
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:10,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I think it's so cool that Jim

624
00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:13,080
Speaker 4: Moore came in and put Yukon in a bowl game.

625
00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:14,160
Speaker 5: That's a lot of fun.

626
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:16,520
Speaker 4: But that's a successful season for them, and Marshall is

627
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:19,359
Speaker 4: looking for a little bit more. As Thorn mentioned, Kaylin

628
00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:23,120
Speaker 4: Leyburn and Rashin Ali would be a nice one to

629
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 4: punch for any team. It's gonna be a long day

630
00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:28,120
Speaker 4: for Yukon. I've got Marshall winning big, I've got them

631
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:31,120
Speaker 4: by twenty eight. I've got them as a twenty eight

632
00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:33,959
Speaker 4: point confidence in this contest. So give me the thundering

633
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:34,600
Speaker 4: hurt as well.

634
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:38,960
Speaker 1: Rolling away Tuesday, December twentieth, we're gonna start getting into

635
00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:42,280
Speaker 1: the weird names like the famous Idaho Potato bol where

636
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:44,760
Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan and San Jose State are going to be

637
00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 1: squaring off in Boise. Santase State is a three and

638
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:50,200
Speaker 1: a half point favorite the overset at fifty four four.

639
00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:52,360
Speaker 1: What type of confidence and what pick are we going with?

640
00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:54,120
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna go with the dog here. I'm gonna

641
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:58,080
Speaker 2: go with Eastern Michigan. My system has this line pretty

642
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:01,280
Speaker 2: close to what the Vegas line is. But I don't

643
00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:04,040
Speaker 2: trust San Jose State right now. It seems like they

644
00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:06,360
Speaker 2: want to be done with this season. They I think

645
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:08,439
Speaker 2: it was the last seven games they didn't cover in

646
00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:11,720
Speaker 2: any of them. They had some pretty bad upset losses

647
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 2: in there as well. And basically this whole thing coincides

648
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:17,800
Speaker 2: with you know, in October when they had a player

649
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:21,480
Speaker 2: who unfortunately passed away. There was like a he was

650
00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 2: on a moped accident, I think, and then that was

651
00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 2: when they canceled the game with New Mexico State. New

652
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:29,600
Speaker 2: Mexico State wanted to replay that game during conference championship week.

653
00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:32,639
Speaker 2: San Jose State didn't want to play it. And obviously,

654
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 2: you know, the San Jose State has been on this

655
00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 2: get Like I said, I think San Jose State just

656
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:38,120
Speaker 2: wants the season to be over.

657
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:40,440
Speaker 3: Turn the page. Eastern Michigan.

658
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:42,920
Speaker 2: That's a team that has become sort of a known

659
00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:46,200
Speaker 2: quantity in the postseason. Creighton their head coach, Chris Creighton.

660
00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 2: He's three and one against the spread in the postseason.

661
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,840
Speaker 2: And Eastern Michigan part of the reason why, you know,

662
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 2: in addition to the motivation stuff like that that I

663
00:28:54,800 --> 00:28:56,959
Speaker 2: liked them here they were five and one straight up

664
00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:59,520
Speaker 2: in one possession games this season and this sort of

665
00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:01,040
Speaker 2: profile as a closer game.

666
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 3: So give me Eastern Michigan for ten confidence points.

667
00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:07,960
Speaker 1: Bogman, what players are going to be telling their children's

668
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:11,880
Speaker 1: children about their famous Idaho Cato Bowl and what type

669
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 1: of confidence points are you're going to be putting on it.

670
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 4: I've got Eastern Michigan too. I am also taking the

671
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 4: dog in this. So Thor and I are simpatico after

672
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:22,000
Speaker 4: those first couple of games. I like that, but he

673
00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 4: seems matchup well. San Jose State has a pass first offense,

674
00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:28,280
Speaker 4: but they face EMU is stronger against the pass than

675
00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:31,240
Speaker 4: they are the run. Eastern Michigan has a lot of

676
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:33,720
Speaker 4: success running the ball behind running back Samson Evans, but

677
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 4: San Jose State is top thirty the nation against the run.

678
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,560
Speaker 4: I'll take EMU because they're probably better equipped to handle

679
00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:42,479
Speaker 4: this boise cold in the middle of December as well,

680
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:46,600
Speaker 4: being from a cold state in Michigan. Plus they are

681
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:50,400
Speaker 4: not backing into bowldseason as San Jose State is. Like

682
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 4: Thorp said, so give me Eastern Michigan and I will

683
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:54,880
Speaker 4: put eighteen points on them.

684
00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:58,760
Speaker 1: The Boca ra Dome Bowl, Liberty versus Toledo. This is

685
00:29:58,800 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 1: going to be in a Booker. Toledo is a five

686
00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:04,320
Speaker 1: point favorite. Fifty three and a half. Is the line

687
00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:07,200
Speaker 1: at Liberty is now they're gonna yeah, they're gonna be

688
00:30:07,280 --> 00:30:10,080
Speaker 1: without their head coach, who Freeze Who's left for Auburn.

689
00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:12,440
Speaker 1: So the defensive corner of Josh Aldridge is going to

690
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 1: be the interim head coach for this or is there

691
00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:18,600
Speaker 1: any value in an adjusted line here? And what's the play?

692
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:21,560
Speaker 2: I mean, it's tough to get your finger on Liberty's

693
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:25,040
Speaker 2: mindset right now. The last three games of the Hugh

694
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:28,200
Speaker 2: Freeze era, they just clearly, so clearly mailed it in

695
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 2: and you know, and lost all three. One of them

696
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 2: was a really bad, really embarrassing last when they had

697
00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 2: been good earlier in the season, right like they had

698
00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:39,480
Speaker 2: upset Arkansas and had some other really good wins. But

699
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 2: now they have been down to their third string quarterback

700
00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 2: for a long part of the season because Brewer, the

701
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 2: guy that was starting at the beginning, he had gotten

702
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 2: knocked out for most of the year. And then Cayden Salter,

703
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 2: that the kid who was the stud recruit he then

704
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 2: was playing, he was playing pretty well, but then he

705
00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:55,520
Speaker 2: gets knocked out with his own injury. But in the

706
00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:58,440
Speaker 2: regular season finale, both those guys came back. So you're

707
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 2: wondering about motivation. You're also wondering how healthy is Brewer

708
00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:04,360
Speaker 2: or Salt are going to be. If either of them

709
00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 2: is one hundred percent, they can play the whole game,

710
00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,720
Speaker 2: and Liberty has the motivation. Liberty certainly has a shot

711
00:31:09,760 --> 00:31:12,760
Speaker 2: to win this one. I'm just more confident in Toledo

712
00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 2: because those questions are up in the air. Tae Kwon Finn,

713
00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:18,960
Speaker 2: their quarterback, he had had his own injury stuff, but

714
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 2: comes back in the Mac title game, plays the whole game,

715
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:24,880
Speaker 2: ran for over ninety yards. When you take called sack

716
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:28,680
Speaker 2: yard edge, I trust Toledo more. Toledo has a good defense,

717
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 2: and now you've got the quarterback with mobility, you have

718
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 2: the running game that they have. They're going to be

719
00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 2: able to run the ball on Liberty no matter what.

720
00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 2: Less question marks on that side. So I'm going to

721
00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 2: roll with Toledo, but I'm only putting twelve point confidence

722
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:42,960
Speaker 2: points on the Rockets brog when Liberty Toledo.

723
00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 1: A lot of what Thorn said probably going to play

724
00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 1: a role in your decision making. What do you got here?

725
00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:48,840
Speaker 1: And how many confidence points?

726
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 4: This is a game I lamented, and I was texting

727
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:54,840
Speaker 4: with Thor about this one specifically and not many others

728
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 4: because Ta Kwan. Finn is such a big piece for Toledo,

729
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 4: and I read that he had, you know, obviously played

730
00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 4: that MAC Championship, but also left in a walking boot.

731
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:06,680
Speaker 4: I couldn't corroborate that story. So it seems like Finn

732
00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 4: is gonna be up for this game. If he's up

733
00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:11,239
Speaker 4: and he's good to go, I think they roll in

734
00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:14,320
Speaker 4: this one over Liberty. Like Thors said, Liberty mailing it

735
00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 4: in those last couple of weeks. Who really wants season

736
00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:19,400
Speaker 4: to be over? I got Toledo. I've got thirty points

737
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 4: on this game. As long as Finn plays. We anything

738
00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:25,200
Speaker 4: about Finn not playing, I will probably keep Toledo and

739
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:28,640
Speaker 4: lower this down like five points. But Finn's up and

740
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 4: I got Toledo, so give me the rockets.

741
00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:34,760
Speaker 1: Wednesday, December twenty first the New Orleans Bowl, Western Kentucky

742
00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:38,040
Speaker 1: versus South Alabama. South Alabama. They got the hook seven

743
00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite fifty four and a half

744
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:42,640
Speaker 1: is the line or same thing? I'm really actually very

745
00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 1: curious about your adjusted line on this one, and what's

746
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:45,920
Speaker 1: the pick with the confidence?

747
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, well, and we got we got breaking news here, guys.

748
00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, just right before we were gonna record Austin Reid,

749
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:54,560
Speaker 2: the quarter you know, the quarterback who threw for over

750
00:32:54,560 --> 00:32:57,960
Speaker 2: four thousand yards forty two hundred passing years for Western Kentucky.

751
00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:01,280
Speaker 2: He had announced his transfer before, and he had left

752
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 2: it kind of vague about it if he was gonna play,

753
00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:05,640
Speaker 2: but most people just assumed that he was gonna opt out.

754
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 2: He has decided to come back to Western Kentucky, and

755
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 2: I had heard before even before this, that he was

756
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:14,800
Speaker 2: practicing with them. I don't know in what capacity, if

757
00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 2: it was just like going to the practices and like

758
00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:18,840
Speaker 2: he was still looking at his transfer options or what.

759
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:21,720
Speaker 2: But he has been around the team during this process,

760
00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:24,000
Speaker 2: even when most people thought he was out the door.

761
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 2: I would expect Austin Reid to start here. My just

762
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:30,560
Speaker 2: a line on it. If he is, it's South Alabama

763
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 2: minus three point one. I still am gonna take South

764
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:37,320
Speaker 2: Alabama though, because I love South Alabama's defense.

765
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:39,360
Speaker 3: It's really really stingy.

766
00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:39,680
Speaker 4: You know.

767
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:41,160
Speaker 2: It's up there with a couple of the ones we

768
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 2: were talking about before for one of the G five's

769
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 2: better ones. I do think that they can match Western

770
00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:47,960
Speaker 2: Kentucky across the formation.

771
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:50,120
Speaker 3: South Alabama didn't have anyone opt out.

772
00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 2: Obviously, it was a really good year with Caine Womacdero's

773
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:55,120
Speaker 2: pointing up there. So I'm gonna ride with South Alabama

774
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:56,479
Speaker 2: for sixteen points in this one.

775
00:33:56,680 --> 00:34:00,720
Speaker 1: Hawkman, what say you? South Alabama? Western Kentucky? All these questions,

776
00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:02,640
Speaker 1: what's the pick and what's the confidence.

777
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:04,440
Speaker 4: I've got South Alabama and I got twenty six points

778
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:07,040
Speaker 4: on him. That was before, you know, obviously today we

779
00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:10,040
Speaker 4: heard Austin Reid coming back. I just don't expect them

780
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:13,800
Speaker 4: to play very well in this game anyway. Very strong

781
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:16,319
Speaker 4: defense for South Alabama. They are better against the run,

782
00:34:16,600 --> 00:34:19,759
Speaker 4: which won't matter because WKU runs that air raid. So

783
00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:23,319
Speaker 4: there is a little question here, especially with Reed coming

784
00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 4: back and depending on how much he practice.

785
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 5: But I don't know.

786
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:28,720
Speaker 4: I'm not very confident in a guy that was gonna

787
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:30,520
Speaker 4: leave and decides to come back. I don't think his

788
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:32,399
Speaker 4: boy's gonna play that hard for him in this game.

789
00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:35,959
Speaker 4: Give me South of Alabama and twenty six points on them.

790
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 1: Thursday, December twenty second, the Armed Forces Bowl Baylor versus

791
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:42,200
Speaker 1: air Force is in Texas. Six and a half point

792
00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:46,160
Speaker 1: favorite four spread forty nine and a half is the line.

793
00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:48,319
Speaker 1: What do we got on this bad boy thor?

794
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, as far as it against the spread pick,

795
00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 2: I'm still on the fence with that one because the

796
00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:56,800
Speaker 2: Service Academy Center do pretty good in the ball games.

797
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,760
Speaker 2: But as far as straight up, I am pretty confident

798
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:00,600
Speaker 2: in in Baylor.

799
00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:02,760
Speaker 3: My system has a line on this one of Baylor.

800
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:04,560
Speaker 2: Mine is six point six, so it's even a little

801
00:35:04,560 --> 00:35:07,760
Speaker 2: bit above what the Vegas one is. And you know, Baylor,

802
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:10,040
Speaker 2: it seems like they're gonna be at full strength. Dave

803
00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:13,080
Speaker 2: Randa's coming back everything like that. Dave Randa a very

804
00:35:13,120 --> 00:35:18,040
Speaker 2: good defensive mastermind. He should have something ready for the

805
00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:21,040
Speaker 2: triple auction. He's faced it before. So I'm gonna play.

806
00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:23,360
Speaker 2: I'm gonna put this one kind of close to the middle,

807
00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:26,200
Speaker 2: but I'm putting twenty four points on Baylor, all.

808
00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:29,160
Speaker 1: Right, twenty four on Baylor, bagman, what say you look?

809
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:30,319
Speaker 5: I'm going the opposite way.

810
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,520
Speaker 4: I think this is one of those wacky Bowl games

811
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:34,760
Speaker 4: where air Force comes to play.

812
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:36,680
Speaker 5: They're gonna pull out all the stops.

813
00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:39,000
Speaker 4: They're gonna have trick plays, They're gonna pass probably a

814
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 4: couple more times than they normally would too.

815
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 5: I've seen air Force in Bowl games.

816
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:46,400
Speaker 4: They have screwed me in these confidence picks before, so

817
00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:50,240
Speaker 4: I'm gonna take air Force as an upset. I'm gonna

818
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:53,800
Speaker 4: lower this pick down to fifteen points though, because Baylor.

819
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 4: If Baylor shows up to play, they will win. But

820
00:35:56,800 --> 00:35:59,879
Speaker 4: I just don't think they have much motivation for this game.

821
00:35:59,880 --> 00:36:02,400
Speaker 4: I think air Force pulls out a tight one. So

822
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:04,160
Speaker 4: fifteen points on the Falcons.

823
00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 1: All right, We're moving over to Friday, December twenty third,

824
00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:10,120
Speaker 1: the Independence Bowl Houston Louisiana. Houston is a six and

825
00:36:10,160 --> 00:36:12,640
Speaker 1: a half point favorite. We've got sixty and a half

826
00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 1: on the over. Under any value thor what's the pick

827
00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 1: and what's the confidence?

828
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:19,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going to go. I am going to take Houston.

829
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 2: But it's there's been other games where it's like two

830
00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:26,600
Speaker 2: by teams playing each other. This one is two cell teams.

831
00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:29,080
Speaker 2: I don't I don't you know. I was fading a bunch.

832
00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:31,640
Speaker 2: I faded Louisiana a bunch during the season. I don't

833
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:34,400
Speaker 2: trust either of these teams. More was expected at Houston

834
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:37,240
Speaker 2: this season, but they had a whole bunch of defensive injuries.

835
00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:40,440
Speaker 2: One of their defensive ends who the coaching staff thinks

836
00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:43,120
Speaker 2: is going to be a first round pick. He you know,

837
00:36:43,160 --> 00:36:44,640
Speaker 2: I don't know now because he got knocked out for

838
00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 2: the season with an injury I think in October. But

839
00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:51,000
Speaker 2: the good news for Houston is Tank Dell, of their

840
00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:53,399
Speaker 2: star receiver, even though he's leaving for the NFL after

841
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:56,480
Speaker 2: this year, he says that he's going to play Clayton toon.

842
00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:58,560
Speaker 2: I just assume that that he's going to be joining

843
00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:00,840
Speaker 2: him in playing as a Really sad either way, but

844
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:03,800
Speaker 2: I think that's probably a good indication, especially with Clayton

845
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:06,880
Speaker 2: or I'm sorry with take Dell with his announcement. So

846
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,560
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Houston. Don't trust them, but I

847
00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 2: maybe trust them incrementally more than I do Louisiana, who

848
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:15,000
Speaker 2: is out their starting quarterback in this game. I'm gonna

849
00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:17,040
Speaker 2: put seventeen points on Houston.

850
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:19,680
Speaker 1: All right, Bogman, Houston, Louisiana, what do you got and

851
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:22,480
Speaker 1: where the confidence point is going to be very high?

852
00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:24,879
Speaker 5: I'm all aboard the Houston training this game.

853
00:37:24,960 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 4: Forty two points on the Koogs I just think with

854
00:37:27,680 --> 00:37:30,839
Speaker 4: Tune and Dell both playing in this game, they are

855
00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:34,799
Speaker 4: worlds better than Louisiana. Louisiana's down to their backup QB.

856
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:37,360
Speaker 4: It's just been ugly for them. He has not played

857
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:40,319
Speaker 4: very well. So I think Houston rolls fairly easily in

858
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:43,840
Speaker 4: this one. So give me Houston in all the points.

859
00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:44,960
Speaker 4: Man forty two here.

860
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 1: Forty three, I mean, because you had forty two on Boise.

861
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,840
Speaker 4: State, now I have forty three on Boise State. I

862
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:53,480
Speaker 4: flipped those I did, I did go back and forth.

863
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:56,440
Speaker 4: Boise State is my number one and this game is

864
00:37:56,440 --> 00:37:58,279
Speaker 4: my number two. This is forty two points.

865
00:37:58,560 --> 00:38:02,000
Speaker 1: Oh okay, perfect. This is a real name, the gas

866
00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:06,840
Speaker 1: Parila Bowl. That's a that's a thing. That's amazing, It's incredible, awesome.

867
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 1: You have Steveton tradition, Wake Forest versus Missouri. This one's

868
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:12,360
Speaker 1: got Wake four is almost a pick and wake Forest

869
00:38:12,800 --> 00:38:16,320
Speaker 1: minus one sixty one and a half is the line

870
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:19,080
Speaker 1: thora what are you gonna do here in Missouri? Wake Forest?

871
00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:21,200
Speaker 1: And what type of confidence points deserves to be on

872
00:38:21,200 --> 00:38:21,640
Speaker 1: this game?

873
00:38:21,960 --> 00:38:22,200
Speaker 3: Yeah?

874
00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:25,320
Speaker 2: I mean Vegas has this as as essentially a coin flip.

875
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 3: I don't, and my my system does.

876
00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:29,600
Speaker 2: And I'm a little bit confused by the line in

877
00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:32,520
Speaker 2: lieu of all the opt outs on the Missouri side.

878
00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:36,560
Speaker 2: I wonder if it's the market sort of speculating on

879
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 2: I mean, it's either the market speculating that that Hartman

880
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:41,400
Speaker 2: would opt out, or you know, you know, you know,

881
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:44,840
Speaker 2: other guys at at Perry. I'm not sure, but or

882
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 2: else they're not taking in enough all the opt outs

883
00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:49,800
Speaker 2: on the missouri's. Missouri had a ton dominic Love. It

884
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:53,279
Speaker 2: is their best offensive player by margin. He's all He's

885
00:38:53,320 --> 00:38:58,120
Speaker 2: already selected his transfer destination as well. And the they

886
00:38:58,160 --> 00:39:01,200
Speaker 2: lost three key defender, three their best defenders, who all

887
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:03,800
Speaker 2: declared for the NFL Draft. None of them are gonna

888
00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 2: play either. Confused by the line, you know, assuming that

889
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:09,279
Speaker 2: Hartman plays, My adjusted line in this game is wake

890
00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:12,560
Speaker 2: Forest minus seven point eight. I'm putting twenty eight confidence

891
00:39:12,600 --> 00:39:13,600
Speaker 2: points on the demon.

892
00:39:13,640 --> 00:39:16,040
Speaker 1: Deakins Bugman, what do you got?

893
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:18,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I'm pretty close here, give me wake Forest.

894
00:39:18,640 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 4: I'm gonna put twenty four points on him. I just

895
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:24,480
Speaker 4: can't get Tennessee putting up sixty six on Missouri's defense

896
00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:26,279
Speaker 4: out of my head. When I think of this game,

897
00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:29,120
Speaker 4: lake Forest is a very, very strong offense, especially if

898
00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:30,920
Speaker 4: Hartman and at Perry are both playing.

899
00:39:31,080 --> 00:39:32,200
Speaker 5: As Door mentioned before.

900
00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:34,759
Speaker 4: So I think Wake Forest walks in this game Wake

901
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:36,440
Speaker 4: Force and twenty four points.

902
00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:40,280
Speaker 1: Christmas Eve the Hawaii Bowls San Diego State Middle Tennessee.

903
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:43,040
Speaker 1: San Diego State is a touchdown favorite. Forty nine and

904
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:45,120
Speaker 1: a half is the line? What are you doing on

905
00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:47,600
Speaker 1: Christmas Eve? Thor and how much confidence do you have?

906
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:51,000
Speaker 2: This is one where my line is closer you know,

907
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:55,280
Speaker 2: to even then Vegas has it. I have San Diego

908
00:39:55,360 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 2: State minus three point eight. So I'm gonna toggle, you know,

909
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:01,319
Speaker 2: down a little bit, you know, in terms of where

910
00:40:01,320 --> 00:40:03,440
Speaker 2: it would be if you just stacked them by the spreads.

911
00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:06,640
Speaker 2: I am going to take the Aztecs, though, I liked

912
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:09,000
Speaker 2: what what you know, the progression of their team after

913
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:11,480
Speaker 2: they had they had booted out their offensive coordinator and

914
00:40:11,560 --> 00:40:14,080
Speaker 2: after yeah, I mean they just sort of ran into

915
00:40:14,120 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 2: one at a quarterback position because beginning of the season,

916
00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:19,320
Speaker 2: you know, the guys that you know, Burmeaster and different

917
00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:21,399
Speaker 2: stuff like that, and then the guys behind him were

918
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,120
Speaker 2: not working out. The offense was terrible, and then they

919
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:28,360
Speaker 2: had signed this safety Mickens from Mississippi State, a former quarterback,

920
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:29,960
Speaker 2: but they were playing them in safety and then they

921
00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:31,239
Speaker 2: were just like, hey, mcken, do you want to you

922
00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:33,480
Speaker 2: want to play quarterback now because we don't have anybody else,

923
00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:36,120
Speaker 2: And Mickens has been like legitimately gut and it's turned

924
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:37,600
Speaker 2: around their entire offense.

925
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:39,560
Speaker 3: Middle Tennessee that they can throw the ball.

926
00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:42,680
Speaker 2: Around a little bit, but uh, San Diego State, their

927
00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:45,080
Speaker 2: defense is going to provide more resistance than the Miami

928
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 2: Hurricanes dead against Middle Tennessee. I do like San Diego

929
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:51,280
Speaker 2: State here. I'm putting nineteen points on the Aztecs.

930
00:40:51,080 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 1: All right, Bogman, San Diego State on Hawaii, on the

931
00:40:54,040 --> 00:40:55,480
Speaker 1: Hawaii Bowl, and Christmas Eve.

932
00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:57,600
Speaker 5: We're lining up here. I got San Diego State.

933
00:40:57,640 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 4: I got twenty two points on my Like what Jalen

934
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:02,160
Speaker 4: Maiden is to do for this team on offense, I

935
00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:04,640
Speaker 4: think three weeks of prep will make him put up

936
00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:07,759
Speaker 4: a very strong performance. That couple with this defense, which

937
00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:10,600
Speaker 4: is formidable, allowing just over twenty points per game, and

938
00:41:10,600 --> 00:41:12,760
Speaker 4: that's top twenty in the country, top thirty five against

939
00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:15,399
Speaker 4: the pass, thirty seventh against the run, the grade well

940
00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:19,040
Speaker 4: in PFF, top thirty five overall, twentieth against the pass,

941
00:41:19,400 --> 00:41:22,400
Speaker 4: All Conference players. They got three on the defensive line,

942
00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 4: another linebacker, and the All Conference kick returner Ampunter. I

943
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:29,440
Speaker 4: think they're better than all three phases, So give me

944
00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:32,040
Speaker 4: San Diego State and twenty two points on them.

945
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:34,640
Speaker 1: December twenty sixth, we've got the Quick Lane Bowl Bowling

946
00:41:34,680 --> 00:41:36,920
Speaker 1: Green versus New Mexico State. Bowling Green is a two

947
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:39,880
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite over under set at forty

948
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:42,040
Speaker 1: eight coming off of Christmas thor what do you want

949
00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:43,600
Speaker 1: to do and how much confidence are you going to

950
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 1: put in a Quick Lane Bowl?

951
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:46,520
Speaker 2: This is another one where I'm going to take the

952
00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:49,560
Speaker 2: underdog on the spread. You have to do that to

953
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:51,800
Speaker 2: win the confidence pool. Some you know, you don't have

954
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:53,560
Speaker 2: to go like wild wild, but you're gonna have to

955
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:55,200
Speaker 2: take some of the underdogs. This is a spot where

956
00:41:55,200 --> 00:41:58,280
Speaker 2: I'm going to do it. Jerry Kill, the fighting Jerry Kels.

957
00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:01,160
Speaker 2: I don't know how he made balls, but a really

958
00:42:01,160 --> 00:42:03,359
Speaker 2: good coaching job by him this year, Just like Jim Mora,

959
00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:05,840
Speaker 2: those are guys that should have gotten more love, I

960
00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 2: think for the culture of the year. My just a

961
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:11,240
Speaker 2: line on this game is actually New Mexico State minus

962
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:14,719
Speaker 2: half a point, So I'm showing some line value on them.

963
00:42:14,760 --> 00:42:16,840
Speaker 2: I think that they can grind this one out against

964
00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:20,120
Speaker 2: Bowling Green. So give me, give me the Agg's for

965
00:42:20,239 --> 00:42:21,280
Speaker 2: five confidence points.

966
00:42:21,600 --> 00:42:22,960
Speaker 1: Bagman, what are you going to do in the quick

967
00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:24,839
Speaker 1: lame Bowl Bowling Green New Mexico State?

968
00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:27,959
Speaker 4: I also hate this game. I'm going to take Bowling Green,

969
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:31,320
Speaker 4: and I know I shouldn't. I know everything, I've read everything.

970
00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:35,600
Speaker 4: Momentum wise, says Diego Pavia and New Mexico State are

971
00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:39,719
Speaker 4: thriving coming in here. He has eleven touchdowns in the

972
00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:41,920
Speaker 4: last two game, seven to the air, four on the ground.

973
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:44,480
Speaker 4: I just can't shake the feeling that Matt McDonald, who

974
00:42:44,520 --> 00:42:46,600
Speaker 4: is such a veteran for Bowling Green, is going to

975
00:42:46,640 --> 00:42:49,640
Speaker 4: come into his last game in college prepared and trying

976
00:42:49,640 --> 00:42:51,919
Speaker 4: to get a win. So I take the Falcons only

977
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:52,600
Speaker 4: for three points.

978
00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:53,160
Speaker 5: I don't like it.

979
00:42:53,640 --> 00:42:55,520
Speaker 1: Oh, not a lot of points, all right. On Tuesday,

980
00:42:55,520 --> 00:42:58,120
Speaker 1: December twenty sixth, We've got twenty seventh, We've got the

981
00:42:58,200 --> 00:43:02,080
Speaker 1: Camellia Bowl. Buffalovers is Georgia Southern. Georgia Southern is a

982
00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:04,160
Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite, sixty seven. One of

983
00:43:04,160 --> 00:43:06,319
Speaker 1: the bigger lines we've seen. Or what do we want

984
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:08,480
Speaker 1: to do with this Buffalo Georgia Southern game.

985
00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:13,000
Speaker 2: I'm I like Georgia Southern in this game. It's this

986
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:16,359
Speaker 2: one we call the Kyle Van Trees ball gonna get

987
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:19,640
Speaker 2: some revenge on Buffalo. But you know, Georgia Southern was

988
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:21,279
Speaker 2: beat up at the end of the year and they

989
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:23,839
Speaker 2: had a couple bad performances because of that. But they

990
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:27,719
Speaker 2: have gotten healthier now they've had the time to get healthy. Buffalo,

991
00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:29,880
Speaker 2: I don't trust that team at all. You know, you

992
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:32,440
Speaker 2: talk about a team that stumbled down the stretch and everything.

993
00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:35,120
Speaker 2: I had actually heard that there was players on the

994
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:37,600
Speaker 2: Buffalo team that were advocating not to play in the

995
00:43:37,640 --> 00:43:40,200
Speaker 2: ball game, and they actually considered turning it down. Even

996
00:43:40,239 --> 00:43:42,359
Speaker 2: if they beat Akron in that last one, and they

997
00:43:42,360 --> 00:43:44,879
Speaker 2: barely beat Akron, they had to score at They were

998
00:43:44,920 --> 00:43:47,959
Speaker 2: down the entire game to this crappy Akron team at home.

999
00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:51,040
Speaker 2: A win gets you into ballseason, and they Buffalo needed

1000
00:43:51,040 --> 00:43:53,320
Speaker 2: a touchdown like in the last minute or minute and

1001
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,439
Speaker 2: a half or whatever in order to win that game

1002
00:43:55,520 --> 00:43:57,960
Speaker 2: to even get to ball season. I don't think Buffalo

1003
00:43:58,000 --> 00:44:01,439
Speaker 2: wants to be here. Georgia Southern definitely does. Another guy

1004
00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 2: who should have been talked about in the culture of

1005
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:06,560
Speaker 2: the year thing, Clay Helton taking over a triple option school,

1006
00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:09,040
Speaker 2: bringing in the air rate. I thought Georgia Southern was

1007
00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:12,279
Speaker 2: gonna win like two games this season. Absolutely incredible job

1008
00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:14,200
Speaker 2: by Clay Helton. If you want to know how incredible,

1009
00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:16,719
Speaker 2: look at what Jeff Collins did at Georgia Tuck right

1010
00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:19,960
Speaker 2: Like he could not ever turn the triple option offense

1011
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:23,600
Speaker 2: into and he was doing an even closer acclamation trying

1012
00:44:23,600 --> 00:44:25,080
Speaker 2: to turn it into pro style.

1013
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:27,360
Speaker 5: But the better prospects too Exactly.

1014
00:44:27,400 --> 00:44:29,480
Speaker 2: It's a really precarious change. But Clay Heilton did a

1015
00:44:29,480 --> 00:44:31,440
Speaker 2: really good job this year. I think this is an

1016
00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 2: opportunity for Georgia Southern to stomp a team that doesn't

1017
00:44:34,120 --> 00:44:36,840
Speaker 2: want to be there. I'm putting twenty seven points on

1018
00:44:36,880 --> 00:44:39,279
Speaker 2: the fight in Clay Hilton's buddy, I.

1019
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:40,799
Speaker 1: Think it seems like you kind of agree here. So

1020
00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:43,120
Speaker 1: what are you doing with confidence on Yeah Southern.

1021
00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:47,480
Speaker 4: I if Kyle Van Trees is not inspired to beat

1022
00:44:47,520 --> 00:44:50,640
Speaker 4: the team that he transferred from to go to Georgia Southern,

1023
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:53,319
Speaker 4: I don't know what is wrong with him. So I

1024
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:55,800
Speaker 4: gotta think he's ready. He wants to put it on Buffalo.

1025
00:44:55,840 --> 00:44:59,239
Speaker 4: Buffalo's not very motivated. As Thor said, give me George Southern.

1026
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:00,839
Speaker 4: I'm gonna put night team points on them.

1027
00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:03,919
Speaker 1: Okay, there you go, first responders BAWL Memphis versus Utah

1028
00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:07,160
Speaker 1: State Memphis and eight point favorite sixty two and a half.

1029
00:45:07,200 --> 00:45:09,439
Speaker 1: As you're over under a note for a Utah State

1030
00:45:09,520 --> 00:45:12,839
Speaker 1: Calvin Tyler juniors opted for the NFL Draft and what

1031
00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:15,040
Speaker 1: effect that's going to have? So Thor, what's your pick

1032
00:45:15,080 --> 00:45:15,880
Speaker 1: and what's your confidence?

1033
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:16,800
Speaker 3: Uh?

1034
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:19,000
Speaker 2: This one, this one already scares me because my my

1035
00:45:19,080 --> 00:45:20,240
Speaker 2: system loves Memphis.

1036
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:21,480
Speaker 3: Memphis didn't have any yatau.

1037
00:45:21,520 --> 00:45:24,000
Speaker 2: It's Utah State, like you mentioned, they're they're without their

1038
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:27,399
Speaker 2: top running back in this game. And Utah State they're

1039
00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:33,120
Speaker 2: gonna have to start the Cooper legas because Logan Bonner

1040
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:34,160
Speaker 2: you know, is still injured.

1041
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:34,480
Speaker 3: Whatever.

1042
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:37,880
Speaker 2: Uh, with my line on this game is Memphis minus

1043
00:45:37,920 --> 00:45:38,799
Speaker 2: eighteen point two.

1044
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:41,800
Speaker 3: It's it's ten, you know, ten points above the Vegas line. Whatever.

1045
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:45,400
Speaker 2: But I don't trust silver Field at all for for Memphis,

1046
00:45:46,040 --> 00:45:48,759
Speaker 2: so it's really tough. But I am putting a whole

1047
00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:51,080
Speaker 2: bunch of confidence points on this because if if I mean,

1048
00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:54,080
Speaker 2: if Memphis plays you know even Okay, they're gonna win

1049
00:45:54,160 --> 00:45:56,720
Speaker 2: this game and and probably buy double digits.

1050
00:45:56,960 --> 00:45:58,160
Speaker 3: So I actually put.

1051
00:45:57,960 --> 00:46:00,799
Speaker 2: Forty points on it, but I'm almost miss even saying

1052
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:02,719
Speaker 2: it because I think Ryan Silverfield is one of the

1053
00:46:02,760 --> 00:46:05,920
Speaker 2: worst coaches in the FPS. Wouldn't surprise you, like, wouldn't

1054
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:09,439
Speaker 2: shock me if they got upset. But like I mean,

1055
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:11,279
Speaker 2: just in terms of talent, they can roll this thing

1056
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:13,279
Speaker 2: out and they're gonna beat a Utah State team with

1057
00:46:13,440 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 2: you know, down to their second or third string quarterback

1058
00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:18,160
Speaker 2: and with out they're running back as well.

1059
00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:21,279
Speaker 1: Budwan, what's say you on the first responders ball.

1060
00:46:21,719 --> 00:46:23,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm going with Memphis as well. Here.

1061
00:46:24,080 --> 00:46:27,280
Speaker 4: I'm more confident than thor But I mean, Calvin Tyler

1062
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:29,280
Speaker 4: leaving is so brutal for Utah State.

1063
00:46:29,520 --> 00:46:30,719
Speaker 5: They are a run first team.

1064
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:33,319
Speaker 4: Robert Briggs can feeling well for him, but even if

1065
00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:36,480
Speaker 4: he does take you know, take a big chunk of

1066
00:46:36,560 --> 00:46:39,160
Speaker 4: this and plays well, like you know, Memphis is very

1067
00:46:39,200 --> 00:46:41,719
Speaker 4: strong against the run. The great out well on PFF

1068
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:45,080
Speaker 4: against the run too. It's the fighting seth Hennigans for

1069
00:46:45,120 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 4: the Tigers.

1070
00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:46,319
Speaker 5: He does it all.

1071
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:48,520
Speaker 4: He's a leading passer, he's a leading rusher, and he's

1072
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 4: gonna have a big game here too, Memphis in thirty

1073
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:52,000
Speaker 4: five points on the Tigers.

1074
00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:56,360
Speaker 1: The Brigham Bowl East Carolina versus Coastal Carolina ECU is

1075
00:46:56,400 --> 00:46:58,880
Speaker 1: a ten and a half point favorite. Fifty nine and

1076
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:01,680
Speaker 1: a half is you're over under. There are a lot

1077
00:47:01,680 --> 00:47:04,480
Speaker 1: of different head coaching notes. There's also some opt outs

1078
00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:06,960
Speaker 1: for the NFL Eastern Carolina. Ryan Jones is going to

1079
00:47:07,000 --> 00:47:08,720
Speaker 1: be going to the NFL. There's a lot of stuff

1080
00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:11,319
Speaker 1: that can impact this game. So thor what side are

1081
00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:13,120
Speaker 1: you going to take? And is there enough to put

1082
00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:14,200
Speaker 1: a lot of confidence in it.

1083
00:47:14,920 --> 00:47:17,120
Speaker 2: I don't know how you could be confident in Coastal Carolina.

1084
00:47:17,120 --> 00:47:20,440
Speaker 2: Obviously Chadwell leaves now, Grayson McCall has entered the portal.

1085
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:21,719
Speaker 3: Hes not going to play in this game.

1086
00:47:21,800 --> 00:47:24,600
Speaker 2: One of their top offensive linemen, Willie Lambkin's their center,

1087
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:26,759
Speaker 2: but I shouldn't even say one of the best. He's

1088
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:29,960
Speaker 2: clearly their best offensive lineman. He hit the transfer portal,

1089
00:47:30,120 --> 00:47:33,440
Speaker 2: and then their best defender that the defensive end Stewart,

1090
00:47:33,680 --> 00:47:38,120
Speaker 2: He jumped into the portal as well, like you're oh

1091
00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:41,200
Speaker 2: so many like Stewart I think was greater. Buy ESPN

1092
00:47:41,360 --> 00:47:43,920
Speaker 2: is like one of the top twenty overall transfers, you know.

1093
00:47:43,960 --> 00:47:45,840
Speaker 2: I mean, of course McCall is going to be you know,

1094
00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:48,920
Speaker 2: top three or top five or whatever, and Lameken should

1095
00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:50,600
Speaker 2: probably be on on a list of it goes down

1096
00:47:50,600 --> 00:47:54,520
Speaker 2: to forty or fifty. Coastal Caroline has been absolutely decimated.

1097
00:47:55,120 --> 00:47:57,759
Speaker 2: Grayson McCall is already probably the most valuable player on

1098
00:47:57,800 --> 00:48:00,319
Speaker 2: the spread because the drop from him to that guest

1099
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:03,640
Speaker 2: kid that they play is I mean, you're talking cavern As.

1100
00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:06,239
Speaker 2: So I have to take East Carolina here, my adju

1101
00:48:06,239 --> 00:48:07,920
Speaker 2: just a line in this game's East Carolina. Mine is

1102
00:48:07,920 --> 00:48:10,279
Speaker 2: fourteen point three. Adjusting in for the rest of it.

1103
00:48:10,360 --> 00:48:12,279
Speaker 2: This is one of my highest confidence. I'm going to

1104
00:48:12,320 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 2: put it at thirty nine confidence points.

1105
00:48:14,640 --> 00:48:16,799
Speaker 1: Iman the ECU coase, I mean, it sounds like it's

1106
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:19,759
Speaker 1: an ECU play here. How confident are you?

1107
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:22,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm taking ECU as well, but I'm not confident

1108
00:48:22,520 --> 00:48:25,360
Speaker 4: at all. I'm going to put two points on the Pirates.

1109
00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:28,719
Speaker 4: They're losing some as well. I don't like this game,

1110
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:30,640
Speaker 4: and I like the coaching changes. I don't like that

1111
00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:34,319
Speaker 4: Grace McCall is in the portal. I just think I

1112
00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:37,160
Speaker 4: like watching Holton Naylor's a lot him and veteran wide

1113
00:48:37,200 --> 00:48:40,359
Speaker 4: receiver CD Johnson, great rapport, go out with the bang

1114
00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:42,440
Speaker 4: and get a dub here, but not very confident.

1115
00:48:42,520 --> 00:48:43,800
Speaker 5: Give me two points on the Pirates.

1116
00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:46,719
Speaker 1: Definitely one of the worst named bowls I think in

1117
00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:48,880
Speaker 1: this entire series is going to be out here with

1118
00:48:48,920 --> 00:48:51,759
Speaker 1: me out here in Phoenix, the Guaranteed Rate Bowl. But

1119
00:48:51,840 --> 00:48:55,000
Speaker 1: it does have an interesting matchup Wisconsin versus Oklahoma State.

1120
00:48:55,040 --> 00:48:57,720
Speaker 1: Wisconsin's a three point favorite, very low line at forty

1121
00:48:57,719 --> 00:49:00,720
Speaker 1: three and a half. Interim coach Jim Leonard will coach

1122
00:49:00,719 --> 00:49:03,480
Speaker 1: the game, but obviously the new coach Fickle is going

1123
00:49:03,520 --> 00:49:05,319
Speaker 1: to have some involvement, and there's just a whole bunch

1124
00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:07,560
Speaker 1: of other notes across the board. So what are you

1125
00:49:07,560 --> 00:49:09,920
Speaker 1: going to do in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl here?

1126
00:49:09,920 --> 00:49:13,000
Speaker 2: Thor I'm calling this the guaranteed opt out Ball. We

1127
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:15,919
Speaker 2: have so many, so many opt outs on both sides,

1128
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:17,960
Speaker 2: and then you have the coaching stuff as well on

1129
00:49:18,000 --> 00:49:21,040
Speaker 2: the on the Wisconsin side. Obviously, they told Jim Leonard,

1130
00:49:21,120 --> 00:49:23,120
Speaker 2: you know him, him and Fickle met and Fickle, you know,

1131
00:49:23,239 --> 00:49:25,160
Speaker 2: I don't know what happened that Fickle claims that he

1132
00:49:25,239 --> 00:49:26,560
Speaker 2: was cool at Jim Leonard coming back.

1133
00:49:26,680 --> 00:49:27,720
Speaker 3: Jim Leonard's bouncing.

1134
00:49:27,800 --> 00:49:29,400
Speaker 2: I don't know what happened there, but this is the

1135
00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:33,239
Speaker 2: last game for Leonard the interim coach. There, you think

1136
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:35,520
Speaker 2: maybe they would give him effort because obviously the players

1137
00:49:35,600 --> 00:49:38,440
Speaker 2: like Leonard. But you have so many different opt outs here.

1138
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:41,000
Speaker 2: It seems like actually the team's attitude is sort of

1139
00:49:41,080 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 2: jumping ship. You know, Graham Mertz, the starting quarterback, he's out.

1140
00:49:44,680 --> 00:49:47,319
Speaker 2: Their their kick returner, he's transferring. They have a couple

1141
00:49:47,320 --> 00:49:49,120
Speaker 2: of tight ends that are injured. They're weight on the

1142
00:49:49,120 --> 00:49:52,799
Speaker 2: depth chart on tight ends. Then the offensive line is

1143
00:49:52,840 --> 00:49:56,000
Speaker 2: the most pronounced one for them. They had eight guys

1144
00:49:56,000 --> 00:49:58,240
Speaker 2: that took snaps this year, like a decent amount of snaps,

1145
00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:00,120
Speaker 2: and then after that it's like, you know, twenty or

1146
00:50:00,200 --> 00:50:03,040
Speaker 2: less naps. Four of those eight guys are not playing

1147
00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:05,560
Speaker 2: in this game, which means that Wisconsin is going to

1148
00:50:05,600 --> 00:50:07,560
Speaker 2: have to start on the offensive line at least one

1149
00:50:07,600 --> 00:50:10,960
Speaker 2: guy that didn't play at all this year. Essentially, that's

1150
00:50:11,040 --> 00:50:13,600
Speaker 2: usually the foot that they're led by. Brailn Allen. You

1151
00:50:13,640 --> 00:50:15,680
Speaker 2: wonder what's going on with him. There have been the

1152
00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:18,880
Speaker 2: reports that he would return to Wisconsin if Leonard was retained,

1153
00:50:19,080 --> 00:50:21,200
Speaker 2: and he wouldn't if he if he wasn't, I don't

1154
00:50:21,200 --> 00:50:22,839
Speaker 2: know what's gonna go on there, and if he's gonna

1155
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:25,320
Speaker 2: end up playing. He hasn't announced that he's not yet.

1156
00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:28,799
Speaker 2: They also had numerous defensive studs that opted out there.

1157
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:32,640
Speaker 2: They're space leating noseguard opted out. Their their stud linebacker.

1158
00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:36,000
Speaker 2: This her big kid, he opted out. They had three

1159
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:38,840
Speaker 2: different cornerbacks that are out. They have a safety. But

1160
00:50:38,880 --> 00:50:41,120
Speaker 2: then on the Oklahoma State side, you have Spencer Sanders,

1161
00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:44,880
Speaker 2: obviously he's transferred. They're starting running back Richardson, he's gone.

1162
00:50:45,320 --> 00:50:47,560
Speaker 2: They had a couple of receivers that are injured. And

1163
00:50:47,600 --> 00:50:50,239
Speaker 2: then on their defensive line, it's funny that Oklahoma State

1164
00:50:50,280 --> 00:50:53,640
Speaker 2: defensive line got decimated. The Wisconsin offensive line got decimated.

1165
00:50:53,640 --> 00:50:57,040
Speaker 2: So you know you wondered there. But there's multiple NFL defenders.

1166
00:50:57,040 --> 00:50:59,560
Speaker 2: They're also one of their leading tackle tacklers, Mason Cobba

1167
00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:03,040
Speaker 2: linebacker and then is starting safety as well for Oklahoma State.

1168
00:51:03,360 --> 00:51:05,680
Speaker 2: I tried to bake all this in and quantify in

1169
00:51:06,120 --> 00:51:09,040
Speaker 2: my line what I ended up coming up with.

1170
00:51:09,160 --> 00:51:11,359
Speaker 3: Like, after I this game, I was tearing my hair

1171
00:51:11,400 --> 00:51:11,839
Speaker 3: out when I.

1172
00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:14,719
Speaker 2: Was doing the track here, Like I seriously spent just

1173
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:16,759
Speaker 2: hours and hours and hours like on this game, trying

1174
00:51:16,760 --> 00:51:18,640
Speaker 2: to confirm and then trying to figure out who would

1175
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:20,920
Speaker 2: be starting and everything. I was like John Nash and

1176
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:24,000
Speaker 2: a shed in a beautiful mind, sticking string between the

1177
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:27,040
Speaker 2: pictures and stuff like that. I eventually came out with

1178
00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:31,760
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State minus zero point three points, essentially a pick them.

1179
00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:34,040
Speaker 2: But because of that, I am going to ride with

1180
00:51:34,120 --> 00:51:36,680
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State here, even though I have some trepidation. But

1181
00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:39,680
Speaker 2: it's backup quarterback on backup quarterback and everything else that

1182
00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:41,880
Speaker 2: I said. I'm only gonna put seven points on it

1183
00:51:42,000 --> 00:51:43,600
Speaker 2: because all the moving parts.

1184
00:51:43,960 --> 00:51:45,319
Speaker 1: I mean, you could be at this game if you

1185
00:51:45,360 --> 00:51:47,160
Speaker 1: still live down here in Arizona, but you're a turn

1186
00:51:47,239 --> 00:51:47,760
Speaker 1: coat trader.

1187
00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:50,279
Speaker 2: You could start a quarterback on one side, Bog could

1188
00:51:50,360 --> 00:51:51,360
Speaker 2: if you look at.

1189
00:51:51,200 --> 00:51:52,920
Speaker 1: That whole new opportunity. If you were out, I.

1190
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:56,480
Speaker 4: Would be less shaky than Gundy Junior, whoever it was

1191
00:51:56,880 --> 00:52:01,479
Speaker 4: in the game. Yeah. Look, the first thing that Thor

1192
00:52:01,560 --> 00:52:05,400
Speaker 4: said here, it's motivation. It's Wisconsin playing hard for Jim Leonard.

1193
00:52:05,760 --> 00:52:07,480
Speaker 4: I think it's going to be the factor in this game.

1194
00:52:07,560 --> 00:52:09,399
Speaker 4: I'm going to take Wisconsin in this game. I think

1195
00:52:09,520 --> 00:52:13,840
Speaker 4: Raham Mertz leaving hurts Wisconsin way less than Spencer standers

1196
00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:17,120
Speaker 4: for Oklahoma State. Oklahoma State is very talented team, but

1197
00:52:17,640 --> 00:52:19,279
Speaker 4: I like the Badgers in this game.

1198
00:52:19,320 --> 00:52:22,040
Speaker 5: I'm gonna put twenty three points on him. Go Wisco.

1199
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:24,200
Speaker 1: All right, we're getting into the big stuff here. Wednesday,

1200
00:52:24,239 --> 00:52:27,359
Speaker 1: December twenty eighth, the Military Bowl Duke versus UFC. Duke

1201
00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:29,399
Speaker 1: is a one and a half point favorite. Sixty two

1202
00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:31,959
Speaker 1: and a half is the line. What do we got

1203
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:33,560
Speaker 1: thor on confidence and our pick.

1204
00:52:34,040 --> 00:52:36,120
Speaker 2: I don't like the way that UCF was playing down

1205
00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:37,840
Speaker 2: the stretch, and a lot of that had to do

1206
00:52:37,920 --> 00:52:40,880
Speaker 2: with how beat up John Rice Plumbley is. He had

1207
00:52:40,920 --> 00:52:43,560
Speaker 2: three different injuries in the last month, and he didn't

1208
00:52:43,560 --> 00:52:47,239
Speaker 2: finish five at their last six games. Unfortunately for UCF,

1209
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:49,279
Speaker 2: Mikey Keen now has left. You know, he said he

1210
00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:50,680
Speaker 2: didn't want to play in the last game because he

1211
00:52:50,680 --> 00:52:52,640
Speaker 2: wanted to retain his red shirt, which makes a lot

1212
00:52:52,640 --> 00:52:54,440
Speaker 2: of sense. But we saw the third string quarterback for

1213
00:52:54,560 --> 00:52:57,040
Speaker 2: UCF in the last game was not good. All that

1214
00:52:57,040 --> 00:52:59,799
Speaker 2: different stuff concerns me that they almost got upset by

1215
00:52:59,880 --> 00:53:01,960
Speaker 2: Ulf in the last game, even though a win got

1216
00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:05,640
Speaker 2: them into the conference title game. Duke is super underrated,

1217
00:53:05,680 --> 00:53:07,839
Speaker 2: Like people just were sort of missing that Duke. All

1218
00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:09,640
Speaker 2: of a sudden, Mike Alco turned them into it really

1219
00:53:09,640 --> 00:53:11,319
Speaker 2: saw a team. They can run the ball really well.

1220
00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:14,720
Speaker 2: They're gonna stampede UCFS front on the ground. I'm taking

1221
00:53:14,800 --> 00:53:18,279
Speaker 2: Duke here, but you know I have an adjusted line

1222
00:53:18,320 --> 00:53:20,120
Speaker 2: on it minus two Duke minus two and a half,

1223
00:53:20,160 --> 00:53:22,040
Speaker 2: so I'm only gonna put thirteen confidence points on the

1224
00:53:22,040 --> 00:53:22,680
Speaker 2: Blue Devils.

1225
00:53:23,000 --> 00:53:25,560
Speaker 1: Augman, Duke, you cf how confident are you.

1226
00:53:26,200 --> 00:53:27,680
Speaker 5: Give me Duke in this game as well?

1227
00:53:27,760 --> 00:53:30,080
Speaker 4: I'm glad Thorn and I are back on the same

1228
00:53:30,120 --> 00:53:33,759
Speaker 4: page here after disagreeing and the guaranteed rate opt out bawl.

1229
00:53:34,120 --> 00:53:37,880
Speaker 4: But I like Riley Leonard the quarterback for Duke a lot,

1230
00:53:38,120 --> 00:53:41,520
Speaker 4: like you know Thors said, UCF trailing down at the

1231
00:53:41,560 --> 00:53:44,000
Speaker 4: end of the year. Now Johnrey's plumbly most likely, so

1232
00:53:44,360 --> 00:53:46,839
Speaker 4: Duke wins this one. I'm not crazy confident though, Duke

1233
00:53:46,880 --> 00:53:48,319
Speaker 4: in seven points all right?

1234
00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:51,279
Speaker 1: The Liberty Bowl Arkansas versus Kansas. Watch a lot of

1235
00:53:51,360 --> 00:53:53,359
Speaker 1: Arkansas this year and they are a favorite by three.

1236
00:53:53,560 --> 00:53:56,520
Speaker 1: Huge line of sixty eight. Looks like there are a

1237
00:53:56,560 --> 00:53:59,160
Speaker 1: bunch of opt outs as well for Arkansas on this one.

1238
00:53:59,239 --> 00:54:01,960
Speaker 1: So what could possibly change for you or if anything,

1239
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:03,840
Speaker 1: and what type of confidence are you gonna put Arkansas

1240
00:54:03,920 --> 00:54:04,640
Speaker 1: versus Kansas.

1241
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:06,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Arkansas opt outs really hurt.

1242
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:09,359
Speaker 2: It does look like kJ Jefferson's gonna play when at

1243
00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:11,359
Speaker 2: the end of the regular season that was certainly an

1244
00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:11,959
Speaker 2: open question.

1245
00:54:12,040 --> 00:54:13,160
Speaker 3: So that's the good news for him.

1246
00:54:13,160 --> 00:54:15,680
Speaker 2: But the bad news is they lost two starting receivers

1247
00:54:15,680 --> 00:54:19,480
Speaker 2: in them portal. They lost their starting center to opt

1248
00:54:19,520 --> 00:54:21,600
Speaker 2: out and actually Hazel what I should actually retract that,

1249
00:54:21,640 --> 00:54:24,239
Speaker 2: Hazel what he's He's going into the draft. And then

1250
00:54:24,280 --> 00:54:28,280
Speaker 2: they had two different good defenders like like like the

1251
00:54:28,320 --> 00:54:30,680
Speaker 2: best defenders that are going into the NFL draft, Drew

1252
00:54:30,719 --> 00:54:34,400
Speaker 2: Sanders and Bumper Pool and then Miles Slusher, They're starting safety.

1253
00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:36,920
Speaker 2: He just walked out on the team. Guyse was upset

1254
00:54:36,960 --> 00:54:39,239
Speaker 2: with the coaching staff and stuff like that. Because of that,

1255
00:54:39,560 --> 00:54:41,799
Speaker 2: my line adjustments, I actually have Kansas favored in this

1256
00:54:41,880 --> 00:54:45,040
Speaker 2: game by one point one points. So I'm riding with

1257
00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:48,520
Speaker 2: my Kansas Jayahawks. Rockshock their first ball since two thousand

1258
00:54:48,560 --> 00:54:50,880
Speaker 2: and eight. You know that they're gonna have the motivation

1259
00:54:51,080 --> 00:54:53,600
Speaker 2: edge as well. Jayden Daniels, their quarterback now is healthy.

1260
00:54:53,680 --> 00:54:55,799
Speaker 2: But I'm only putting three points on Rock shot, just

1261
00:54:55,800 --> 00:54:58,920
Speaker 2: trying to check my bias a little bit, bagman.

1262
00:54:59,040 --> 00:55:02,120
Speaker 1: Arkansas is very fri strading this year in so many respects,

1263
00:55:02,120 --> 00:55:04,080
Speaker 1: and now they should perform. So are you going to

1264
00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:05,520
Speaker 1: take them? Are you going to ride with thor and

1265
00:55:05,560 --> 00:55:06,320
Speaker 1: what's the confidence?

1266
00:55:06,600 --> 00:55:08,600
Speaker 5: And now I'm going with the Razorbacks here.

1267
00:55:08,640 --> 00:55:11,640
Speaker 4: I just think an SEC defense, even missing big pieces

1268
00:55:11,680 --> 00:55:15,280
Speaker 4: like Sanders and Pool, they're going to be okay against Kansas.

1269
00:55:15,360 --> 00:55:19,080
Speaker 4: Kansas can score against everyone. They are more motivated than Arkansas.

1270
00:55:19,080 --> 00:55:20,960
Speaker 4: I understand that, but I just think talent win's out

1271
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:24,360
Speaker 4: in this one. With kJ Chafferson back, Kansas can't stop

1272
00:55:24,360 --> 00:55:27,840
Speaker 4: anything anyway. So they just need a couple stops of

1273
00:55:27,920 --> 00:55:30,160
Speaker 4: the Kansas offense to win this game, because I think

1274
00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:32,239
Speaker 4: every time they possess the ball theyll score. Give me

1275
00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:33,719
Speaker 4: the Razorbacks twenty nine points on.

1276
00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:36,839
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Holiday Bowl. Number fifteen. Organs going

1277
00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:39,759
Speaker 1: up against North Carolina. Big line here, Oregon favored by

1278
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:43,080
Speaker 1: fifteen and the biggest over under we've seen. It's seventy points.

1279
00:55:43,080 --> 00:55:45,280
Speaker 1: Seventy and a half. Organs OC is going to become

1280
00:55:45,719 --> 00:55:47,920
Speaker 1: the Arizona State head coach. There's a banged up bo

1281
00:55:48,080 --> 00:55:50,960
Speaker 1: Nicks lots of questions out here. Some NFL opt outs

1282
00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:54,520
Speaker 1: as well, So thor number fifteen organ North Carolina. The

1283
00:55:54,560 --> 00:55:57,120
Speaker 1: spread doesn't necessarily affect us here in the pick, but

1284
00:55:57,160 --> 00:56:00,000
Speaker 1: your pick confidence and is there any adjustment for Organs

1285
00:56:00,120 --> 00:56:01,360
Speaker 1: as far as your adjusted line.

1286
00:56:01,520 --> 00:56:04,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, I definitely baked in the you know, the opt

1287
00:56:04,280 --> 00:56:06,239
Speaker 2: outs and stuff in this one. There there was a

1288
00:56:06,239 --> 00:56:08,759
Speaker 2: bunch of them on the Oregon side. There's they have

1289
00:56:08,840 --> 00:56:11,279
Speaker 2: a laundry list of them, but like a couple of

1290
00:56:11,280 --> 00:56:13,479
Speaker 2: them were guys that were really good recruits that weren't

1291
00:56:13,480 --> 00:56:14,279
Speaker 2: contributing as much.

1292
00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:15,440
Speaker 3: Downtae Thorton the receiver.

1293
00:56:15,520 --> 00:56:16,960
Speaker 2: He started playing at the end of the season, but

1294
00:56:17,040 --> 00:56:18,839
Speaker 2: was clearly unhappy about his playing time before that.

1295
00:56:19,360 --> 00:56:20,520
Speaker 3: Justin Flow the linebacker.

1296
00:56:20,520 --> 00:56:22,600
Speaker 2: He was a top linebacker recruit, but he was only

1297
00:56:22,640 --> 00:56:26,680
Speaker 2: playing sporadically. The one that matters for them as Christian Gonzalez,

1298
00:56:26,680 --> 00:56:29,400
Speaker 2: their lockdown cornerback. He's going to the NFL Draft, so

1299
00:56:29,440 --> 00:56:29,799
Speaker 2: he's out.

1300
00:56:29,880 --> 00:56:30,360
Speaker 3: That hurts.

1301
00:56:30,560 --> 00:56:33,440
Speaker 2: But on the other side, North Carolina had three different

1302
00:56:33,480 --> 00:56:36,600
Speaker 2: starters in their secondary, all opt out, and North Carolina's

1303
00:56:36,600 --> 00:56:41,280
Speaker 2: defense wasn't abomination as is. North Carolina also had Josh Downs,

1304
00:56:41,520 --> 00:56:43,719
Speaker 2: one of the best receivers in America opted out as well,

1305
00:56:44,320 --> 00:56:47,520
Speaker 2: but both quarterbacks it looks like, are gonna play. BONICKX

1306
00:56:47,560 --> 00:56:49,799
Speaker 2: had to come out and confirm that, you know, like, yes,

1307
00:56:49,880 --> 00:56:51,359
Speaker 2: I'm I'm not going to the NFL.

1308
00:56:51,360 --> 00:56:53,200
Speaker 3: I'm gonna return and I'm gonna play in the ball game.

1309
00:56:53,640 --> 00:56:55,799
Speaker 2: Drake May he had to come out because they're all

1310
00:56:55,800 --> 00:56:59,000
Speaker 2: the rumors were starting once the Longo the offensive coordinator

1311
00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:02,239
Speaker 2: for UNCO the OC job at Wisconsin and for.

1312
00:57:02,239 --> 00:57:04,480
Speaker 3: Them, people were speculating, you know it is making to

1313
00:57:04,560 --> 00:57:04,960
Speaker 3: go with him.

1314
00:57:05,000 --> 00:57:07,400
Speaker 2: Is May gonna, you know, put himself up for nil built,

1315
00:57:07,520 --> 00:57:09,439
Speaker 2: you know, bidding to the highest better. But May came

1316
00:57:09,440 --> 00:57:11,359
Speaker 2: out and said, I'm you know, I you know, I'm

1317
00:57:11,360 --> 00:57:13,719
Speaker 2: staying in North Carolina and playing in this game. But

1318
00:57:13,880 --> 00:57:17,160
Speaker 2: everything combine, my adjusted line ended up being Oregon minus

1319
00:57:17,200 --> 00:57:20,600
Speaker 2: thirteen point one. For that reason, you know, you got

1320
00:57:20,600 --> 00:57:23,240
Speaker 2: to go pretty high on it. And UNC's not gonna

1321
00:57:23,240 --> 00:57:25,280
Speaker 2: be able to stop them. I'm putting thirty seven confidence

1322
00:57:25,320 --> 00:57:26,240
Speaker 2: points on the Dugs.

1323
00:57:26,600 --> 00:57:28,760
Speaker 1: All right, thirty seven points, bogmin, What say you?

1324
00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:31,400
Speaker 4: I've got Oregon for thirty nine points. I'm right with

1325
00:57:31,440 --> 00:57:34,320
Speaker 4: Thor in this one. I just don't think that UNC

1326
00:57:34,440 --> 00:57:37,640
Speaker 4: can stop anyone. Losing Josh Toownce is such a big blow.

1327
00:57:37,760 --> 00:57:39,160
Speaker 4: They're not gonna be able to put up as many

1328
00:57:39,160 --> 00:57:41,480
Speaker 4: points they normally do against a good Oregon defense. Either

1329
00:57:42,040 --> 00:57:44,640
Speaker 4: should be still high scoring. But give me Oregon and

1330
00:57:44,800 --> 00:57:46,480
Speaker 4: thirty nine points in this game.

1331
00:57:46,560 --> 00:57:48,600
Speaker 1: Bogman, you could go to this ball the Texas Bowl.

1332
00:57:48,680 --> 00:57:51,520
Speaker 1: All Miss is going up against Texas State. Ole Miss

1333
00:57:51,560 --> 00:57:53,760
Speaker 1: is currently a four point favorite. Texas Tech. I'm sorry,

1334
00:57:53,800 --> 00:57:56,320
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. Ole Miss a four point favorite and an

1335
00:57:56,320 --> 00:58:00,520
Speaker 1: over under set at seventy or All Miss Tech Tech.

1336
00:58:00,560 --> 00:58:02,160
Speaker 1: You're picking confidence.

1337
00:58:01,920 --> 00:58:02,800
Speaker 3: Luckily in this game.

1338
00:58:02,880 --> 00:58:05,360
Speaker 2: So far, we don't have the opt outs in the transfer,

1339
00:58:05,880 --> 00:58:07,480
Speaker 2: you know that like all of them like in some

1340
00:58:07,520 --> 00:58:09,360
Speaker 2: of these other games, so we don't even really have

1341
00:58:09,440 --> 00:58:11,040
Speaker 2: to hit on. It just comes down to what you

1342
00:58:11,080 --> 00:58:13,840
Speaker 2: think on the spread. My system has the spread of

1343
00:58:13,840 --> 00:58:16,360
Speaker 2: this one at Ole Miss minus six point nine. So

1344
00:58:16,440 --> 00:58:18,440
Speaker 2: assuming that there isn't any you know, opt outs, I'm

1345
00:58:18,440 --> 00:58:20,080
Speaker 2: going to be riding with Old Miss as well.

1346
00:58:20,320 --> 00:58:22,760
Speaker 3: I'm putting twenty six confidence points on the rebels.

1347
00:58:22,880 --> 00:58:24,800
Speaker 1: All right, Bobman, what do you got Ole Miss or

1348
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:25,479
Speaker 1: Texas Tech?

1349
00:58:25,640 --> 00:58:27,080
Speaker 5: Yeah, Texas Tech plays tough.

1350
00:58:27,160 --> 00:58:30,760
Speaker 4: I mean they beat some teams some Old Miss caliber

1351
00:58:30,800 --> 00:58:33,560
Speaker 4: teams in terms of roster strength. In Oklahoma and Texas

1352
00:58:34,040 --> 00:58:36,960
Speaker 4: they played the TCU real tough. Who's in the playoff.

1353
00:58:37,280 --> 00:58:40,520
Speaker 4: But if all Miss shows up, they should smash Texas Tech.

1354
00:58:40,560 --> 00:58:42,360
Speaker 4: They are a better team. So I'm gonna take the

1355
00:58:42,400 --> 00:58:44,800
Speaker 4: revs for thirty three points in this game.

1356
00:58:45,120 --> 00:58:48,560
Speaker 1: Thursday, December twenty ninth, we've got the Pinstripe Bowl, Minnesota

1357
00:58:48,640 --> 00:58:51,720
Speaker 1: versus Syracuse is gonna be at Yankee Stadium. Minnesota on

1358
00:58:51,760 --> 00:58:53,400
Speaker 1: the hook is a seven and a half point favorite.

1359
00:58:53,480 --> 00:58:56,400
Speaker 1: Over under is set at forty two thor what do

1360
00:58:56,400 --> 00:58:57,240
Speaker 1: you think about this guy?

1361
00:58:57,680 --> 00:59:00,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, we still don't know if Tanner Morgan, the quarterback

1362
00:59:00,840 --> 00:59:03,240
Speaker 2: for Minnesota, if he's gonna play. He missed several games

1363
00:59:03,320 --> 00:59:06,440
Speaker 2: down the stretch, and the Golphers never disclosed what his

1364
00:59:06,520 --> 00:59:07,040
Speaker 2: injury is.

1365
00:59:07,200 --> 00:59:08,800
Speaker 3: I this is me speculating.

1366
00:59:08,840 --> 00:59:11,280
Speaker 2: I believe he suffered a second concussion of the season.

1367
00:59:11,320 --> 00:59:15,240
Speaker 2: They've only said upper body injury. I don't think that

1368
00:59:15,360 --> 00:59:17,160
Speaker 2: Morgan's gonna play in this game, but he could, you know,

1369
00:59:17,600 --> 00:59:19,360
Speaker 2: they have said that that he could. I think it's

1370
00:59:19,400 --> 00:59:22,440
Speaker 2: gonna be coliac manus again, which certainly is a downgrade.

1371
00:59:22,520 --> 00:59:25,240
Speaker 2: Golphers also look like they're gonna be out two defensive

1372
00:59:25,240 --> 00:59:28,600
Speaker 2: starters who hit the transfer portal on the Syracuse side

1373
00:59:29,440 --> 00:59:32,240
Speaker 2: not as not as much a receiver that have fifteen catches,

1374
00:59:32,320 --> 00:59:34,560
Speaker 2: and then a starting defensive lineman who had six tackles

1375
00:59:34,600 --> 00:59:37,560
Speaker 2: for a loss overall, though you also have to acknowledge

1376
00:59:37,560 --> 00:59:40,480
Speaker 2: that Syracuse is playing pretty close to home. My justice

1377
00:59:40,520 --> 00:59:42,720
Speaker 2: line on it is the Gophers minus four point one,

1378
00:59:42,760 --> 00:59:44,880
Speaker 2: so a little bit less than the Vegas spread. But

1379
00:59:44,920 --> 00:59:47,360
Speaker 2: I'm going to take the Golphers to win this one,

1380
00:59:47,600 --> 00:59:50,400
Speaker 2: mostly because Muhammed Ibraheim has not opted out and it

1381
00:59:50,400 --> 00:59:52,320
Speaker 2: looks like he wants to play in this game.

1382
00:59:52,480 --> 00:59:54,240
Speaker 3: If so, Minnesota is just gonna give.

1383
00:59:54,120 --> 00:59:55,920
Speaker 2: Him the ball a billion times, like they did in

1384
00:59:56,000 --> 00:59:58,560
Speaker 2: all the games down the stretch, especially when Kaliakmanis was

1385
00:59:58,600 --> 01:00:01,240
Speaker 2: playing and now most had time to rest. Right like

1386
01:00:01,240 --> 01:00:02,600
Speaker 2: at the end of the season, he was looking like

1387
01:00:02,640 --> 01:00:04,000
Speaker 2: you might be a little bit beat up from all

1388
01:00:04,040 --> 01:00:06,160
Speaker 2: the usage by He should be fresh as at Daisy

1389
01:00:06,160 --> 01:00:08,240
Speaker 2: in this one. You're gonna run over Syracuse. I'm putting

1390
01:00:08,480 --> 01:00:09,840
Speaker 2: twenty points on the Gophers.

1391
01:00:10,240 --> 01:00:11,880
Speaker 1: I've wan Minnesota. Syracuse.

1392
01:00:12,320 --> 01:00:14,840
Speaker 4: Let's double it, Let's double it door, Let's put forty

1393
01:00:14,840 --> 01:00:19,040
Speaker 4: points on the Gophers, because I mean running this is

1394
01:00:19,080 --> 01:00:22,360
Speaker 4: the running back Bowl here man Sean Tucker and Moe Ibrahim.

1395
01:00:22,560 --> 01:00:24,800
Speaker 4: This is some NFL level talent. It's gonna be a

1396
01:00:24,800 --> 01:00:27,360
Speaker 4: lot of fun to watch. But Minnesota also much better

1397
01:00:27,400 --> 01:00:31,720
Speaker 4: on defense than Syracuse in my opinion. So Kliakmnus, we've

1398
01:00:31,760 --> 01:00:34,080
Speaker 4: come a long way thor from calling him the Greek kid.

1399
01:00:34,160 --> 01:00:34,280
Speaker 3: Right.

1400
01:00:34,640 --> 01:00:37,920
Speaker 4: So he's started a couple of games here down the stretch,

1401
01:00:37,920 --> 01:00:40,160
Speaker 4: he's looked pretty decent, and I like three weeks to prep.

1402
01:00:40,320 --> 01:00:42,520
Speaker 5: Give me Minnesota and forty points on them.

1403
01:00:42,760 --> 01:00:45,240
Speaker 1: We got the cheese at Bowl, which Bagman confirmed a

1404
01:00:45,280 --> 01:00:47,040
Speaker 1: couple of years ago. It is the biggest scam of

1405
01:00:47,080 --> 01:00:48,800
Speaker 1: all bowls because they do not, in fact give you

1406
01:00:48,880 --> 01:00:50,960
Speaker 1: cheese its, and they charged seven to eight dollars for

1407
01:00:51,040 --> 01:00:53,440
Speaker 1: tiny bags of them. But you'll at least get a

1408
01:00:53,440 --> 01:00:56,440
Speaker 1: good game. You've got number thirteen, Florida State versus Oklahoma.

1409
01:00:56,560 --> 01:00:58,120
Speaker 1: Florida State on the hook is a seven and a

1410
01:00:58,160 --> 01:01:00,920
Speaker 1: half point favorite, and the line is said it's sixty

1411
01:01:01,120 --> 01:01:05,120
Speaker 1: five and a half. So thor FSU Oklahoma, what side

1412
01:01:05,160 --> 01:01:06,120
Speaker 1: and how much confidence?

1413
01:01:06,560 --> 01:01:08,240
Speaker 2: I would trust the cheese and ball as well, But

1414
01:01:08,280 --> 01:01:09,840
Speaker 2: I want to get into one of those cheese At

1415
01:01:09,880 --> 01:01:11,560
Speaker 2: suites that they have on the field today.

1416
01:01:11,600 --> 01:01:13,800
Speaker 3: Boll fire. I don't know you've seen that, but they're setting.

1417
01:01:13,640 --> 01:01:16,360
Speaker 2: Up all these like like suites and you like literally

1418
01:01:16,520 --> 01:01:18,680
Speaker 2: sleep on the field and the whole the bet is,

1419
01:01:18,720 --> 01:01:20,440
Speaker 2: you know, dressed up as a cheese at bag or

1420
01:01:20,440 --> 01:01:22,680
Speaker 2: whatever and you know all this different stuff. So cheese

1421
01:01:22,680 --> 01:01:24,720
Speaker 2: a ball, have me to the cheese it ball so

1422
01:01:24,720 --> 01:01:26,160
Speaker 2: I could I could sleep at one of the cheese

1423
01:01:26,160 --> 01:01:29,080
Speaker 2: At sweets. As far as this game, Oklahoma should not

1424
01:01:29,160 --> 01:01:31,080
Speaker 2: have been I'm going to rip the cheese ball now

1425
01:01:31,120 --> 01:01:33,080
Speaker 2: after I just thought I wasn't. But Oklahoma should not

1426
01:01:33,080 --> 01:01:36,600
Speaker 2: have been selected into this game. Uh, Florida State. This

1427
01:01:36,680 --> 01:01:40,520
Speaker 2: is a mismatch. Oklahoma's defense is bad. It's specifically bad

1428
01:01:40,560 --> 01:01:42,640
Speaker 2: against the run. Any good running team has been able

1429
01:01:42,640 --> 01:01:44,800
Speaker 2: to stampede um Florida State.

1430
01:01:44,840 --> 01:01:47,520
Speaker 3: Now at Travis said he's going to play in this game. Ward.

1431
01:01:47,520 --> 01:01:49,040
Speaker 3: They're running back who is nicked up at the end

1432
01:01:49,040 --> 01:01:49,400
Speaker 3: of the year.

1433
01:01:49,520 --> 01:01:51,280
Speaker 2: He's healthy now, so they have the one two punch

1434
01:01:51,320 --> 01:01:53,680
Speaker 2: there again, Florida State is going to run for hundreds

1435
01:01:53,720 --> 01:01:55,600
Speaker 2: and hundreds and hundreds of yard that they can basically

1436
01:01:55,720 --> 01:01:58,200
Speaker 2: name it my just a ligne in this game is

1437
01:01:58,320 --> 01:02:01,400
Speaker 2: Florida State minus ten point one. Florida State also had

1438
01:02:01,480 --> 01:02:04,680
Speaker 2: less guys that opted out, and at least right now,

1439
01:02:04,720 --> 01:02:09,640
Speaker 2: Travisodi's gonna play where Verse and then Jimmy Robinson also

1440
01:02:09,680 --> 01:02:11,440
Speaker 2: said that they would play in this game. So it

1441
01:02:11,480 --> 01:02:14,000
Speaker 2: looks like there's some momentum behind Florida State. There certainly

1442
01:02:14,040 --> 01:02:16,919
Speaker 2: is not for Oklahoma. I'm putting thirty five confidence points

1443
01:02:16,960 --> 01:02:17,760
Speaker 2: on the seminoles.

1444
01:02:18,000 --> 01:02:21,080
Speaker 1: Ooh, Bagman, I can actually see the confidence points. This

1445
01:02:21,120 --> 01:02:22,880
Speaker 1: is one of the closest ones I think you two

1446
01:02:22,920 --> 01:02:26,040
Speaker 1: have put together. So Bagman, you like FSU and how confident?

1447
01:02:26,360 --> 01:02:29,240
Speaker 4: Well, look, I mean, you know, picking against Oklahoma is

1448
01:02:29,280 --> 01:02:33,280
Speaker 4: a bull Mania tradition for me, of course, but I

1449
01:02:33,400 --> 01:02:35,720
Speaker 4: just think that it all lines up very well this year.

1450
01:02:35,800 --> 01:02:37,960
Speaker 4: Most of the time, I'm picking ats Oklahoma with low

1451
01:02:38,000 --> 01:02:40,200
Speaker 4: confidence points just because I want them to lose.

1452
01:02:40,360 --> 01:02:42,160
Speaker 5: But I think they get smashed in this game.

1453
01:02:42,560 --> 01:02:46,680
Speaker 4: Florida State surging heading into bowl season, Oklahoma backing in

1454
01:02:46,760 --> 01:02:50,280
Speaker 4: they lost three of their last four, five straight dubs

1455
01:02:50,400 --> 01:02:52,600
Speaker 4: for Florida State, give me Florida State, give me thirty

1456
01:02:52,600 --> 01:02:53,360
Speaker 4: eight points on them.

1457
01:02:53,640 --> 01:02:55,240
Speaker 1: Well, Bagman, you're not going to be interested in the

1458
01:02:55,280 --> 01:02:57,080
Speaker 1: chee it pol you will be in the Alamo Bowl

1459
01:02:57,080 --> 01:03:00,400
Speaker 1: because you're Texas Longhorns, number twenty are face off against

1460
01:03:00,440 --> 01:03:03,320
Speaker 1: number twelve Washington. Great game five and a half. Texas

1461
01:03:03,800 --> 01:03:07,200
Speaker 1: is favored by sixty eight? Is the line, mister b

1462
01:03:07,480 --> 01:03:11,600
Speaker 1: Jhon Robinson? No go though, right bogs opting out thor

1463
01:03:11,800 --> 01:03:13,840
Speaker 1: what do you got on Texas versus Washington. This is

1464
01:03:13,840 --> 01:03:16,200
Speaker 1: a big, high ranked game, as we've talked about. I think, yet,

1465
01:03:16,320 --> 01:03:17,760
Speaker 1: what's a pick and what's the confidence?

1466
01:03:17,920 --> 01:03:21,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I expect that after Bijon and ro Sean and

1467
01:03:21,200 --> 01:03:23,280
Speaker 2: then the defender, you know, they all opted out, they're

1468
01:03:23,280 --> 01:03:24,800
Speaker 2: going to go to the NFL Draft or whatever. I

1469
01:03:24,840 --> 01:03:26,920
Speaker 2: thought this line was just going to crash, you know,

1470
01:03:27,000 --> 01:03:30,400
Speaker 2: like like you know around pick them maybe, but it's

1471
01:03:30,440 --> 01:03:32,959
Speaker 2: still up there. Confuses me a little bit where it's at.

1472
01:03:33,160 --> 01:03:35,520
Speaker 2: My adjustment spread on this game with those things baked

1473
01:03:35,520 --> 01:03:38,400
Speaker 2: in is actually Washington minus half a point, so it's

1474
01:03:38,400 --> 01:03:40,520
Speaker 2: pretty close to a pick them. But I just don't

1475
01:03:40,560 --> 01:03:43,080
Speaker 2: think the market is accurately baked and the losses on

1476
01:03:43,120 --> 01:03:46,240
Speaker 2: the Texas side puts a lot of pressure on quinn Ewers.

1477
01:03:46,560 --> 01:03:50,080
Speaker 2: Luckily for him, Washington secondary stinks, but Washington is able

1478
01:03:50,120 --> 01:03:52,080
Speaker 2: to throw on everybody, so Quinn, you weres better be

1479
01:03:52,080 --> 01:03:54,200
Speaker 2: able to pile up yards through the air. It's certainly

1480
01:03:54,200 --> 01:03:56,320
Speaker 2: not my most confident. I do think this game is

1481
01:03:56,560 --> 01:03:59,560
Speaker 2: a straight up pick them proposition. I do slightly prefer

1482
01:03:59,680 --> 01:04:01,840
Speaker 2: Washington to bring the upset here, So I'm gonna put

1483
01:04:01,880 --> 01:04:03,640
Speaker 2: four points on the hospitals.

1484
01:04:03,360 --> 01:04:05,760
Speaker 1: So one of the lowest that you put up. All right, Boggs,

1485
01:04:05,840 --> 01:04:08,280
Speaker 1: You're clearly gonna pick Texas because you're a homer here.

1486
01:04:08,280 --> 01:04:10,080
Speaker 1: But how confident, Well.

1487
01:04:09,800 --> 01:04:12,600
Speaker 4: Look, I like, you know, even though Beijeon and Roshan

1488
01:04:12,680 --> 01:04:14,720
Speaker 4: the number one number two running back for long Wrunds

1489
01:04:14,760 --> 01:04:15,760
Speaker 4: are gone, they have depth there.

1490
01:04:15,840 --> 01:04:17,160
Speaker 5: Keela Robinson's gonna step up.

1491
01:04:17,160 --> 01:04:20,560
Speaker 4: They have Blue also, James Blue to step up as well,

1492
01:04:20,800 --> 01:04:21,600
Speaker 4: and like Thor.

1493
01:04:21,520 --> 01:04:23,000
Speaker 5: Said, they just you know.

1494
01:04:23,200 --> 01:04:26,520
Speaker 4: Washington's secondary is not only bad statistically, the grade bad

1495
01:04:26,560 --> 01:04:32,520
Speaker 4: on PFF as well and Xavier Worthy, Jordan Whittington, Sanders like,

1496
01:04:32,560 --> 01:04:35,760
Speaker 4: there's a lot of receiving options for this team. They

1497
01:04:35,840 --> 01:04:38,360
Speaker 4: put pressure on the quarterback as well a less so

1498
01:04:38,480 --> 01:04:42,920
Speaker 4: Jomo and Coburn both opt out, which could happen by

1499
01:04:42,920 --> 01:04:44,120
Speaker 4: the time this game kicks off.

1500
01:04:44,360 --> 01:04:45,640
Speaker 5: This one's gonna be pretty big.

1501
01:04:45,720 --> 01:04:47,720
Speaker 4: I mean, I'm not picking against Texas anyway, but it's

1502
01:04:47,720 --> 01:04:50,880
Speaker 4: gonna be pretty decent. Confidence points for me. Longhorns and

1503
01:04:50,920 --> 01:04:51,840
Speaker 4: twenty seven points.

1504
01:04:52,240 --> 01:04:53,880
Speaker 1: Wow, that's a big one. All right, Let's go to Friday,

1505
01:04:53,920 --> 01:04:57,000
Speaker 1: December thirtieth for the Duke's Mayo Bowl Number twenty three.

1506
01:04:57,040 --> 01:04:59,520
Speaker 1: North Carolina State versus Maryland. Maryland a one and a

1507
01:04:59,560 --> 01:05:02,720
Speaker 1: half point favorite. You're over under set at forty eight.

1508
01:05:03,160 --> 01:05:05,720
Speaker 1: NC State's dealing with a few things here, from coaching

1509
01:05:05,760 --> 01:05:10,120
Speaker 1: to transfer protocol. So four your pick and your confidence here.

1510
01:05:10,520 --> 01:05:12,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is another one where I'm gonna I'm gonna

1511
01:05:12,400 --> 01:05:13,800
Speaker 2: take the very short dog.

1512
01:05:13,840 --> 01:05:15,480
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take NC State on this one.

1513
01:05:15,520 --> 01:05:18,000
Speaker 2: My adjusted line went Bacon in the opt outs is

1514
01:05:18,120 --> 01:05:20,720
Speaker 2: NC State minus one point three, So it's sort of

1515
01:05:20,760 --> 01:05:23,960
Speaker 2: like flip. But Maryland they had a really good receiving

1516
01:05:24,000 --> 01:05:26,240
Speaker 2: corps and obviously that's like the foot that they were

1517
01:05:26,320 --> 01:05:28,200
Speaker 2: led with. It was the past first thing win Tago

1518
01:05:28,240 --> 01:05:31,800
Speaker 2: Viloa was healthy, but Dante Dimas and Jacob Copland both

1519
01:05:31,840 --> 01:05:34,560
Speaker 2: going to the NFL Draft. They also had a starting

1520
01:05:34,560 --> 01:05:37,400
Speaker 2: defensive back who's opting out as well, and in addition

1521
01:05:37,440 --> 01:05:38,320
Speaker 2: to a linebacker.

1522
01:05:38,920 --> 01:05:40,680
Speaker 3: NC State you're just hoping that MJ.

1523
01:05:40,800 --> 01:05:43,560
Speaker 2: Morris is able to start this game, because obviously Leary

1524
01:05:43,640 --> 01:05:44,760
Speaker 2: is out the door with the transfer.

1525
01:05:44,800 --> 01:05:46,520
Speaker 3: He was injured anyway, but MJ.

1526
01:05:46,680 --> 01:05:50,040
Speaker 2: Morris is the better quarterback than the Ben Finley kid

1527
01:05:50,080 --> 01:05:52,360
Speaker 2: that they were playing. But with the time to rest,

1528
01:05:52,400 --> 01:05:54,720
Speaker 2: I'm just gonna assume that that we're gonna get Morris back.

1529
01:05:55,040 --> 01:05:57,400
Speaker 3: I'm putting nine confidence points on.

1530
01:05:57,360 --> 01:06:00,280
Speaker 4: The wolf back, but I mean, just Ren Streep I

1531
01:06:00,320 --> 01:06:01,560
Speaker 4: got eight points on the wolf Pack.

1532
01:06:01,680 --> 01:06:03,440
Speaker 5: My worry is about Morris as well.

1533
01:06:04,080 --> 01:06:06,080
Speaker 4: So we're gonna have to know more about this game

1534
01:06:06,120 --> 01:06:07,440
Speaker 4: for me to move it up, but I'll probably just

1535
01:06:07,480 --> 01:06:09,720
Speaker 4: keep it right around eight points for NC State.

1536
01:06:10,240 --> 01:06:12,280
Speaker 1: I'm like patiently waiting for you guys to be just

1537
01:06:12,360 --> 01:06:14,640
Speaker 1: confidence on the exact. That's the closest one we've got

1538
01:06:14,680 --> 01:06:16,880
Speaker 1: to a pick with this almost same confidence point. You

1539
01:06:16,880 --> 01:06:18,920
Speaker 1: guys were within one, the absolute closest. I don't know

1540
01:06:18,920 --> 01:06:21,160
Speaker 1: if we're going to get there, but maybe it'll get there.

1541
01:06:21,200 --> 01:06:23,920
Speaker 1: With the Sun Bowl number eighteen, UCLA is going up

1542
01:06:23,920 --> 01:06:27,280
Speaker 1: against Pittsburgh. UCLA just under a touchdown favorite minus six

1543
01:06:27,320 --> 01:06:31,520
Speaker 1: over under fifty eight or is this a good UCLA pick?

1544
01:06:31,560 --> 01:06:33,240
Speaker 1: And what type of confidence on either side? Are you

1545
01:06:33,280 --> 01:06:34,360
Speaker 1: taking it is?

1546
01:06:34,800 --> 01:06:37,760
Speaker 2: And the reason why is no one from UCLA is

1547
01:06:37,760 --> 01:06:40,000
Speaker 2: opted out. Now, if you know, if Dorian Thomas and

1548
01:06:40,040 --> 01:06:41,840
Speaker 2: Robinson his last game, if you want to opt daughter

1549
01:06:41,920 --> 01:06:44,600
Speaker 2: Sharper and a did, that would certainly change the equation.

1550
01:06:44,800 --> 01:06:47,720
Speaker 2: But there's been nothing on that front. It looks like

1551
01:06:47,760 --> 01:06:50,880
Speaker 2: they intend to play. Whereas with Pittsburgh they lost Keaton

1552
01:06:50,920 --> 01:06:54,200
Speaker 2: slovas the starting quarterback. That one hurts because they're getting

1553
01:06:54,200 --> 01:06:56,440
Speaker 2: philed Jerkovack next year. That's who they signed in the portal.

1554
01:06:56,600 --> 01:06:58,800
Speaker 2: But in this game, you got to go with either Nick,

1555
01:06:58,840 --> 01:07:02,760
Speaker 2: Patty or this Nate Yard. Now. I have been impressed

1556
01:07:02,760 --> 01:07:04,920
Speaker 2: with Patty's work when I seen him, and then also

1557
01:07:04,960 --> 01:07:09,240
Speaker 2: they stud defensive lineman. They have this cancy kid. He

1558
01:07:09,280 --> 01:07:11,960
Speaker 2: was an All American. He had been Nick dump at

1559
01:07:11,960 --> 01:07:14,000
Speaker 2: the end of the year. Just decided to shut it

1560
01:07:14,040 --> 01:07:15,800
Speaker 2: down instead of instead of trying to come back and

1561
01:07:15,800 --> 01:07:18,640
Speaker 2: play in this one. Assuming that there isn't any opt

1562
01:07:18,640 --> 01:07:21,160
Speaker 2: outs with UCLA and doing it right now, I'm very

1563
01:07:21,200 --> 01:07:24,080
Speaker 2: confident I have the Bruins minus eight point four where

1564
01:07:24,120 --> 01:07:27,000
Speaker 2: we sit right now. My system does I put thirty

1565
01:07:27,000 --> 01:07:28,760
Speaker 2: one confidence points on the Bruins, all right?

1566
01:07:28,800 --> 01:07:32,000
Speaker 1: Bogman Ucla or Pittsburgh what side I mean.

1567
01:07:32,120 --> 01:07:35,200
Speaker 4: I think if pitt had a viable QB, they could

1568
01:07:35,200 --> 01:07:38,360
Speaker 4: take advantage. Ucla is awful against the pass. They're one

1569
01:07:38,440 --> 01:07:41,600
Speaker 4: hundred and twenty statistically. They grade out in terms of

1570
01:07:41,640 --> 01:07:44,840
Speaker 4: PFF like around average, so probably a little bit better

1571
01:07:44,840 --> 01:07:45,520
Speaker 4: than that number.

1572
01:07:45,760 --> 01:07:48,080
Speaker 5: But they don't have a quarterback that can take advantage.

1573
01:07:48,080 --> 01:07:49,640
Speaker 4: Like Thor said it to the you know, l Patty,

1574
01:07:49,800 --> 01:07:52,760
Speaker 4: So I'm going to take Ucla and put seventeen points

1575
01:07:52,760 --> 01:07:53,760
Speaker 4: on them, all right.

1576
01:07:53,800 --> 01:07:56,600
Speaker 1: The Gator Bowl number nineteen South Carolina is going up

1577
01:07:56,600 --> 01:07:59,120
Speaker 1: against number twenty one North Notre Dame. Notre Dame is

1578
01:07:59,120 --> 01:08:00,600
Speaker 1: a two and a half point fait favorite. The line

1579
01:08:00,640 --> 01:08:03,360
Speaker 1: fifty one and a half Notre Dame without one of

1580
01:08:03,360 --> 01:08:06,440
Speaker 1: their top players, Michael Mayer opting for the NFL draft.

1581
01:08:06,960 --> 01:08:09,360
Speaker 1: So Thor Notre Dame two and a half? Is this

1582
01:08:09,520 --> 01:08:12,200
Speaker 1: enough for you to take them? And where's the confidence line?

1583
01:08:12,320 --> 01:08:13,960
Speaker 2: This would have been a really fun game at the

1584
01:08:14,040 --> 01:08:16,439
Speaker 2: end of November. You know, I'm not sure what we're

1585
01:08:16,439 --> 01:08:18,880
Speaker 2: going to see here now. You mentioned the Mayor's out.

1586
01:08:18,920 --> 01:08:22,599
Speaker 2: Also ISJAA. Fosky transferred one of their stud defensive ends

1587
01:08:22,600 --> 01:08:25,960
Speaker 2: and then Drew Pine is transferring out as well, the

1588
01:08:26,000 --> 01:08:27,759
Speaker 2: guy who had been starting for most of the season

1589
01:08:27,800 --> 01:08:31,360
Speaker 2: because Buckner got hurt. I don't know Buckner is going

1590
01:08:31,400 --> 01:08:33,600
Speaker 2: to come back. Notre Dame has forwarded this idea that

1591
01:08:33,640 --> 01:08:36,120
Speaker 2: Buckner could be healthy enough to return for this game,

1592
01:08:36,240 --> 01:08:38,479
Speaker 2: even though everybody had reported when he got injured that

1593
01:08:38,520 --> 01:08:41,160
Speaker 2: he was just done for the season, no question. So

1594
01:08:41,240 --> 01:08:43,880
Speaker 2: I don't know if that's just Marcus Freeman on that

1595
01:08:43,920 --> 01:08:46,320
Speaker 2: side trying to introduce doubt and tell Carolina has had

1596
01:08:46,600 --> 01:08:48,400
Speaker 2: or what. But if not, they're gonna have to start this.

1597
01:08:48,479 --> 01:08:51,479
Speaker 2: Peter Angelly kid, young kid who is a third stringer.

1598
01:08:51,760 --> 01:08:53,479
Speaker 2: I don't believe he's taking this now if he did,

1599
01:08:53,520 --> 01:08:55,519
Speaker 2: you know, in garbage time whatever for them. But then

1600
01:08:55,560 --> 01:08:58,559
Speaker 2: on the South Carolina side, recently, they've been hit really

1601
01:08:58,600 --> 01:09:01,200
Speaker 2: hard by the transfer portal. The transfer portal gave it

1602
01:09:01,280 --> 01:09:03,760
Speaker 2: to South Carolina last offseason. It is right now. It

1603
01:09:03,880 --> 01:09:07,559
Speaker 2: taketh away. Yeah, Marshawn Lloyd was the most recent one.

1604
01:09:07,600 --> 01:09:10,040
Speaker 2: They're stud running back. He hit the portal. But also

1605
01:09:10,120 --> 01:09:13,080
Speaker 2: both their stud tight ends, Jaheen Bell and Austin Stagner,

1606
01:09:13,080 --> 01:09:15,160
Speaker 2: they're out the door. And then you had their the

1607
01:09:15,280 --> 01:09:18,000
Speaker 2: elite cover corner one of the best corners in all

1608
01:09:18,000 --> 01:09:20,479
Speaker 2: of America, Cam Smith declaring for the draft He's not

1609
01:09:20,520 --> 01:09:22,559
Speaker 2: going to play in this game. South Carolina was like

1610
01:09:22,600 --> 01:09:24,559
Speaker 2: the hottest team in the entire nation at the end

1611
01:09:24,560 --> 01:09:27,400
Speaker 2: of November. They had those two enormous upset wins a

1612
01:09:27,560 --> 01:09:30,840
Speaker 2: Tennessee and then and then Clemson. The Spencer Railer is

1613
01:09:30,880 --> 01:09:33,240
Speaker 2: going to play. Some of the other stuff is up

1614
01:09:33,240 --> 01:09:35,400
Speaker 2: in the air, but then Notre Dame. It really does

1615
01:09:35,400 --> 01:09:37,360
Speaker 2: seem like they're gonna have to start the Angelly kid

1616
01:09:37,560 --> 01:09:39,400
Speaker 2: and the the you know. I mean, they were able

1617
01:09:39,439 --> 01:09:41,080
Speaker 2: to do the ground and palm thing a little bit,

1618
01:09:41,200 --> 01:09:42,960
Speaker 2: but the only recourse they had through the air was

1619
01:09:43,000 --> 01:09:45,479
Speaker 2: pined to mayor Mayor's out. I don't think that they're

1620
01:09:45,520 --> 01:09:47,200
Speaker 2: going to be able to throw, even with cam Smith

1621
01:09:47,240 --> 01:09:50,600
Speaker 2: being out on the South Carolina side. With all that said, obviously,

1622
01:09:50,640 --> 01:09:53,080
Speaker 2: as you can tell from my rambling, I'm not super confident.

1623
01:09:54,280 --> 01:09:56,479
Speaker 2: My my line on this one is is South Carolina

1624
01:09:56,720 --> 01:09:59,240
Speaker 2: minus zero point two points. So again it's an another

1625
01:09:59,280 --> 01:10:01,360
Speaker 2: one with basically pick on my system says I am

1626
01:10:01,360 --> 01:10:03,439
Speaker 2: going to take the game Cocks, but only for six

1627
01:10:03,479 --> 01:10:04,320
Speaker 2: confidence points.

1628
01:10:04,560 --> 01:10:06,960
Speaker 1: All right, bagman, are you on the other side and

1629
01:10:06,960 --> 01:10:08,080
Speaker 1: how much are you gonna put on it?

1630
01:10:08,400 --> 01:10:11,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, look, I but the bane of my

1631
01:10:11,160 --> 01:10:15,880
Speaker 4: existence in college pick'ems or picking spreads or anything is

1632
01:10:15,960 --> 01:10:18,600
Speaker 4: notre dame. I get it wrong every time when I

1633
01:10:18,600 --> 01:10:21,000
Speaker 4: pick against them, they win. When I pick them, they lose.

1634
01:10:21,360 --> 01:10:24,960
Speaker 4: But look, this boils down to me, uh to in

1635
01:10:24,960 --> 01:10:27,439
Speaker 4: this I wish we could watch the tight Ends Bowl

1636
01:10:27,600 --> 01:10:30,800
Speaker 4: in Mayer and Bell. This boils down to me to

1637
01:10:31,000 --> 01:10:33,880
Speaker 4: not trusting Spencer Rattler when anything is on the line

1638
01:10:33,920 --> 01:10:36,760
Speaker 4: at all, whatsoever. So give me Notre dame. I'm gonna

1639
01:10:36,800 --> 01:10:39,479
Speaker 4: take them. Also, low confidence points twelve for me on

1640
01:10:39,680 --> 01:10:41,040
Speaker 4: the Irish.

1641
01:10:40,680 --> 01:10:43,280
Speaker 1: Going just south of where I live in Tucson, it's

1642
01:10:43,320 --> 01:10:46,880
Speaker 1: the Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl where Ohio is going up

1643
01:10:46,880 --> 01:10:50,120
Speaker 1: against Wyoming. Ohio is a two point favorite. Forty two

1644
01:10:50,160 --> 01:10:53,280
Speaker 1: and a half is the spread in is the over under?

1645
01:10:53,320 --> 01:10:56,400
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, And Wyoming has got a bunch of protocol

1646
01:10:56,439 --> 01:10:59,559
Speaker 1: issues that are going on. So thor Ohio Wyoming. I mean,

1647
01:10:59,600 --> 01:11:03,240
Speaker 1: Wyoming is just looks decimated really from all this protocol stuff.

1648
01:11:03,280 --> 01:11:06,080
Speaker 1: So what side and where are you gonna go? With confidence?

1649
01:11:06,640 --> 01:11:09,000
Speaker 2: This is this is my least confident game. I mean,

1650
01:11:09,320 --> 01:11:11,080
Speaker 2: you can just throw a dart. You know that the

1651
01:11:11,120 --> 01:11:14,719
Speaker 2: line indicates that. But also just this situation you mentioned

1652
01:11:14,760 --> 01:11:16,120
Speaker 2: all the guys on the Wyoming side.

1653
01:11:16,160 --> 01:11:19,639
Speaker 3: Wyoming, they're this run heavy team that plays solid defense.

1654
01:11:19,960 --> 01:11:22,920
Speaker 2: They have four running backs out in this game, tightest ones,

1655
01:11:22,960 --> 01:11:23,880
Speaker 2: you know, hitting the portal.

1656
01:11:24,080 --> 01:11:25,840
Speaker 3: One of the other kids, one of the backups is

1657
01:11:25,920 --> 01:11:26,519
Speaker 3: hitting the portal.

1658
01:11:26,560 --> 01:11:28,639
Speaker 2: And then they have two guys that are injured, including

1659
01:11:28,640 --> 01:11:31,080
Speaker 2: the guy that was sort of platooning with Swam. So

1660
01:11:31,240 --> 01:11:33,679
Speaker 2: they're way down on the depth chart. Again, a run

1661
01:11:33,720 --> 01:11:36,200
Speaker 2: first team, but it's not just that, folks. They're leading

1662
01:11:36,200 --> 01:11:39,120
Speaker 2: a receiver he hit the transfer portal, Cobs, and then

1663
01:11:39,160 --> 01:11:41,400
Speaker 2: two of their best defenders I think it was their leader,

1664
01:11:41,920 --> 01:11:44,680
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, number three in sacks and ed Drusher and

1665
01:11:44,720 --> 01:11:47,040
Speaker 2: then their team leader and interceptions, a cornerback.

1666
01:11:47,080 --> 01:11:47,840
Speaker 3: They all opted out.

1667
01:11:47,960 --> 01:11:50,439
Speaker 2: But then on the other side, Curtis Rourke obviously is

1668
01:11:50,439 --> 01:11:52,599
Speaker 2: out for this season. Curtis Rourke was the highest grade

1669
01:11:52,600 --> 01:11:55,960
Speaker 2: at PFF quarterback in the entire nation, and the drop

1670
01:11:55,960 --> 01:11:58,719
Speaker 2: off between him and CJ. Harris the backup is enormous.

1671
01:11:58,880 --> 01:12:02,479
Speaker 2: Ohio only scored points last week against Toledo or two

1672
01:12:02,520 --> 01:12:04,679
Speaker 2: weeks ago, whatever that was. In the Mac title game.

1673
01:12:04,840 --> 01:12:06,760
Speaker 2: That was the first time that Ohio had run into

1674
01:12:06,880 --> 01:12:10,679
Speaker 2: a decent defense. Ohio plays terrible defense, like the podcast

1675
01:12:10,680 --> 01:12:13,000
Speaker 2: played terrible defense, and now their offense, which is the

1676
01:12:13,040 --> 01:12:15,360
Speaker 2: reason that they were winning all these games, is decimated.

1677
01:12:15,520 --> 01:12:17,400
Speaker 3: So it's like, what do you what do you do here?

1678
01:12:17,240 --> 01:12:20,120
Speaker 2: The run first team that plays good defense, all that

1679
01:12:20,160 --> 01:12:22,679
Speaker 2: stuff is gone and then Ohio they it was Rourke

1680
01:12:22,760 --> 01:12:24,559
Speaker 2: that was dragging them over the finish line.

1681
01:12:24,680 --> 01:12:25,160
Speaker 3: He's out.

1682
01:12:25,479 --> 01:12:27,960
Speaker 2: So it's just total Tosh, your hands up. I am

1683
01:12:27,960 --> 01:12:31,400
Speaker 2: gonna go with Wyoming. Not confident at all. I'm giving

1684
01:12:31,520 --> 01:12:32,639
Speaker 2: one point on the Cowboys.

1685
01:12:33,000 --> 01:12:35,160
Speaker 1: Oh okay, that is the absolute lotest one. You weren't joking,

1686
01:12:35,240 --> 01:12:38,280
Speaker 1: all right, Ohio? Wyoming Bogman, what level of confidence? And

1687
01:12:38,360 --> 01:12:40,920
Speaker 1: are you gonna move away from all those transfer protocol

1688
01:12:40,960 --> 01:12:41,839
Speaker 1: issues with Wyoming?

1689
01:12:42,120 --> 01:12:44,439
Speaker 4: Yeah? I mean the portal is rocking for Wyoming. So

1690
01:12:44,520 --> 01:12:46,720
Speaker 4: I will take Ohio in this game. I'm gonna take

1691
01:12:46,760 --> 01:12:49,479
Speaker 4: them for thirteen points here. I just you know, I

1692
01:12:49,520 --> 01:12:53,320
Speaker 4: gotta think Nancy Doba hates Barstool because Barstool, you know,

1693
01:12:53,840 --> 01:12:57,200
Speaker 4: is doing this game. This is the Barstool Arizona Ball

1694
01:12:57,320 --> 01:12:59,160
Speaker 4: or whatever, and it's Wyoming versus Ohio.

1695
01:12:59,240 --> 01:13:00,720
Speaker 5: This is the how the hell did we get to

1696
01:13:00,760 --> 01:13:02,000
Speaker 5: a bowl game? Bowl game?

1697
01:13:02,160 --> 01:13:03,640
Speaker 1: I believe this is going to be. Is this one

1698
01:13:03,640 --> 01:13:04,960
Speaker 1: of those two that I think is going to like

1699
01:13:05,040 --> 01:13:07,120
Speaker 1: not be on television, It'll be streamed, like on their

1700
01:13:07,200 --> 01:13:09,479
Speaker 1: website or something like that. I think there's no idea.

1701
01:13:09,640 --> 01:13:12,320
Speaker 5: I mean, no one's watching it anyway. It's the air now.

1702
01:13:12,400 --> 01:13:14,920
Speaker 1: If they already weren't watching it, they're definitely not watching it.

1703
01:13:15,000 --> 01:13:15,640
Speaker 5: Ohio.

1704
01:13:15,680 --> 01:13:19,120
Speaker 4: Thirteen points. Just Wyoming is losing way too much here,

1705
01:13:19,520 --> 01:13:19,880
Speaker 4: all right?

1706
01:13:20,400 --> 01:13:22,160
Speaker 1: The Orange Bowl? What a great game? This is going

1707
01:13:22,200 --> 01:13:26,360
Speaker 1: to be Number six Tennessee versus number seven Clemson. Clemson

1708
01:13:26,439 --> 01:13:28,800
Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorite. The over under

1709
01:13:28,840 --> 01:13:32,040
Speaker 1: his sixty four. There are a litany of things. Obviously,

1710
01:13:32,080 --> 01:13:34,320
Speaker 1: there's a whole bunch of draft opt outs that are

1711
01:13:34,320 --> 01:13:36,120
Speaker 1: going to be on both of these team to top

1712
01:13:36,240 --> 01:13:38,559
Speaker 1: seven teams. So or what are you going to do

1713
01:13:38,600 --> 01:13:40,080
Speaker 1: with this? Bad boy? This is gonna be one of

1714
01:13:40,120 --> 01:13:42,519
Speaker 1: the games to watch for sure, But six and a

1715
01:13:42,520 --> 01:13:45,000
Speaker 1: half points right on Clemson? What side and how much confidence?

1716
01:13:45,200 --> 01:13:45,360
Speaker 3: Yeah?

1717
01:13:45,520 --> 01:13:48,000
Speaker 2: Boy obviously gave a huge downgrade. A ton to see

1718
01:13:48,040 --> 01:13:49,280
Speaker 2: with what you know at the end of the season

1719
01:13:49,280 --> 01:13:51,200
Speaker 2: with hen and Hooker going down, dropping from him to

1720
01:13:51,280 --> 01:13:51,840
Speaker 2: Joe Milton.

1721
01:13:52,040 --> 01:13:54,360
Speaker 3: Clemson was I think it was the only team.

1722
01:13:54,160 --> 01:13:56,360
Speaker 2: Where I gave them an upgrade for their quarterback thing

1723
01:13:56,400 --> 01:13:59,120
Speaker 2: because you Akilele had been starting before. Now Klubnick's taking

1724
01:13:59,120 --> 01:14:01,840
Speaker 2: over Klubnik, obviously it is better. So I actually bumped

1725
01:14:02,040 --> 01:14:05,000
Speaker 2: Clemson up because of that. Clemson has they have some

1726
01:14:05,320 --> 01:14:08,320
Speaker 2: portal stuff. And then that Bull Collins kid. He's injured

1727
01:14:08,360 --> 01:14:10,479
Speaker 2: for the year, but both call he'd been injured for

1728
01:14:10,520 --> 01:14:11,040
Speaker 2: most of the season.

1729
01:14:11,040 --> 01:14:12,599
Speaker 3: He tried to come back. It ain't gonna work out

1730
01:14:12,640 --> 01:14:12,920
Speaker 3: for him.

1731
01:14:13,200 --> 01:14:15,080
Speaker 2: The big thing we're waiting on for Clemson is if

1732
01:14:15,120 --> 01:14:17,320
Speaker 2: any of the front seven guys are gonna go into

1733
01:14:17,360 --> 01:14:19,600
Speaker 2: the draft and opt out of this game. None of

1734
01:14:19,600 --> 01:14:21,320
Speaker 2: them have announced it yet, but you're talking about like

1735
01:14:21,400 --> 01:14:24,439
Speaker 2: Murphy Brief, say Simpson, there might be one other one

1736
01:14:24,439 --> 01:14:27,240
Speaker 2: as well that you know, whatever, if all those kids play,

1737
01:14:27,360 --> 01:14:30,000
Speaker 2: you know, I should say where we sit right now

1738
01:14:30,000 --> 01:14:32,439
Speaker 2: Tuesday afternoon with this stuff baked in my just a

1739
01:14:32,520 --> 01:14:34,800
Speaker 2: line in this game is Clemson minus nine point four.

1740
01:14:35,640 --> 01:14:37,640
Speaker 2: You know, it could change, you know, if you have

1741
01:14:37,680 --> 01:14:39,840
Speaker 2: the mass exodus of their front seven. But where we

1742
01:14:39,880 --> 01:14:43,040
Speaker 2: sit right now, I'm gonna go thirty three points on

1743
01:14:43,120 --> 01:14:46,000
Speaker 2: Clemson the start of the Klubnik era. I think he's

1744
01:14:46,000 --> 01:14:47,719
Speaker 2: gonna be able to move the ball pretty well against

1745
01:14:47,720 --> 01:14:49,960
Speaker 2: Tennessee Deep. If Spenser Raller can light you up for

1746
01:14:49,960 --> 01:14:53,000
Speaker 2: four under plus yards, Klubnik's gonna throw for whatever he

1747
01:14:53,040 --> 01:14:54,439
Speaker 2: wants here, bog me.

1748
01:14:54,400 --> 01:14:56,439
Speaker 1: And I almost got what I want. I know Alma's

1749
01:14:56,479 --> 01:14:58,639
Speaker 1: got you saw my face here because I know you're

1750
01:14:58,640 --> 01:15:01,080
Speaker 1: on Clemson and this as well. And the confidence points

1751
01:15:01,120 --> 01:15:03,280
Speaker 1: are very high thirty four.

1752
01:15:03,360 --> 01:15:06,680
Speaker 4: I'm one point more than thor here and this is

1753
01:15:07,200 --> 01:15:11,040
Speaker 4: you know, just look Tennessee was, they were in the playoff,

1754
01:15:11,120 --> 01:15:13,640
Speaker 4: they had the Heisman Trophy winner for the majority of

1755
01:15:13,640 --> 01:15:17,559
Speaker 4: the season with Hendon Hooker and her towards ACL they

1756
01:15:17,600 --> 01:15:18,599
Speaker 4: started losing games.

1757
01:15:18,640 --> 01:15:21,280
Speaker 5: They look bad. They have no motivation for this game.

1758
01:15:21,439 --> 01:15:23,040
Speaker 4: Clemson is going to get up to play for their

1759
01:15:23,040 --> 01:15:25,200
Speaker 4: new quarterback, Clube nick I got the Tigers in a

1760
01:15:25,280 --> 01:15:26,439
Speaker 4: walk in this one.

1761
01:15:26,840 --> 01:15:29,120
Speaker 5: Clemson in thirty four points, so close? All right?

1762
01:15:29,120 --> 01:15:32,040
Speaker 1: Saturday, December thirty first, it is the Music City Bowl

1763
01:15:32,120 --> 01:15:35,719
Speaker 1: in Tennessee, Kentucky versus Iowa. Iowa was a one point favorite.

1764
01:15:35,800 --> 01:15:38,880
Speaker 1: Here is your lowest line, thirty one? Is that for

1765
01:15:38,960 --> 01:15:41,759
Speaker 1: real is that it's lower than the Navy game.

1766
01:15:41,840 --> 01:15:43,000
Speaker 5: That might be high.

1767
01:15:43,160 --> 01:15:46,880
Speaker 1: That's crazy, all right, Thor Kentucky Iowa. Who do you

1768
01:15:46,920 --> 01:15:48,120
Speaker 1: got and how much confidence?

1769
01:15:48,439 --> 01:15:52,520
Speaker 2: I have a sizeable ticket on the under that I

1770
01:15:52,720 --> 01:15:56,160
Speaker 2: you know, a week ago, so you know I put

1771
01:15:56,200 --> 01:15:57,640
Speaker 2: this out on Twitter. I'll just say it's you know,

1772
01:15:57,680 --> 01:15:59,720
Speaker 2: to get it on record on audio. I believe that

1773
01:15:59,800 --> 01:16:02,040
Speaker 2: this game will be the first game in college football

1774
01:16:02,080 --> 01:16:04,519
Speaker 2: history to end with the total in the twenties. I

1775
01:16:04,520 --> 01:16:06,040
Speaker 2: do think it's too high, and I think people are

1776
01:16:06,080 --> 01:16:08,920
Speaker 2: still gonna, you know, hit the under. My systems total

1777
01:16:08,960 --> 01:16:11,639
Speaker 2: on that game was like twenty six and a half

1778
01:16:11,800 --> 01:16:14,120
Speaker 2: even before all the opt outs started. And now i

1779
01:16:14,320 --> 01:16:16,519
Speaker 2: was down to their third string quarterback because Pete Ross

1780
01:16:16,560 --> 01:16:20,040
Speaker 2: has hurt. The starter and then the backup Padilla he's bouncing,

1781
01:16:20,280 --> 01:16:22,320
Speaker 2: so they're gonna start this kid named Lee Boss.

1782
01:16:22,360 --> 01:16:26,160
Speaker 3: I think he hadn't played before h so they'll see.

1783
01:16:25,960 --> 01:16:26,280
Speaker 5: What they had.

1784
01:16:27,240 --> 01:16:28,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, maybe maybe.

1785
01:16:29,000 --> 01:16:31,400
Speaker 2: And then they had two starting receivers that went out

1786
01:16:31,400 --> 01:16:35,639
Speaker 2: the door, although as you guys know, Iowa couldn't pass anyway. Luckily,

1787
01:16:35,720 --> 01:16:37,880
Speaker 2: most of their defenders seem like they're sticking round, or at

1788
01:16:37,880 --> 01:16:38,880
Speaker 2: least the guys that were healthy.

1789
01:16:39,040 --> 01:16:39,680
Speaker 3: Justin h.

1790
01:16:39,840 --> 01:16:42,320
Speaker 2: Jacobs, the linebacker. He went to Oregon, but he got

1791
01:16:42,400 --> 01:16:45,120
Speaker 2: knocked out for the season the second week. Kentucky they

1792
01:16:45,120 --> 01:16:48,480
Speaker 2: have all the opt outs as well, leave as Chris Rodriguez,

1793
01:16:49,160 --> 01:16:51,400
Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. They're dropping down to a kid

1794
01:16:51,439 --> 01:16:53,240
Speaker 2: that we've never seen before either. I thought it was

1795
01:16:53,280 --> 01:16:54,960
Speaker 2: going to be that kid again who started for Leva

1796
01:16:55,200 --> 01:16:57,439
Speaker 2: Leavas earlier in the year that looked like he came

1797
01:16:57,439 --> 01:16:58,599
Speaker 2: out of the movie Harry Potter.

1798
01:16:58,920 --> 01:17:00,559
Speaker 3: But for whatever reason, they're going to go with this

1799
01:17:00,600 --> 01:17:00,920
Speaker 3: other kid.

1800
01:17:00,960 --> 01:17:02,519
Speaker 2: I don't know, just to give him an eboul shot,

1801
01:17:02,680 --> 01:17:05,120
Speaker 2: but a very tough proposition for that kid, because not

1802
01:17:05,160 --> 01:17:08,639
Speaker 2: only as Rodriguez out, Cavasier Smoke is transferring the other

1803
01:17:08,720 --> 01:17:11,200
Speaker 2: running back they thought they had in the preseason, Ramon Jefferson,

1804
01:17:11,840 --> 01:17:13,759
Speaker 2: who they have brought him from Colorado on the transferport

1805
01:17:13,920 --> 01:17:15,479
Speaker 2: he tore his a cy Ollens out for the year.

1806
01:17:15,600 --> 01:17:18,640
Speaker 2: So Kentucky this run heavy team. They're way down on

1807
01:17:18,640 --> 01:17:20,560
Speaker 2: the They're another one like Wyoming. They're way down on

1808
01:17:20,600 --> 01:17:23,000
Speaker 2: the depth chart and they don't have Leavs. You know,

1809
01:17:23,400 --> 01:17:25,080
Speaker 2: it's not like Leavis was great this year, but you

1810
01:17:25,080 --> 01:17:27,200
Speaker 2: know you're going to the young kid. I gotta go

1811
01:17:27,240 --> 01:17:29,000
Speaker 2: with Iowa in this game. I don't know how Kentucky

1812
01:17:29,040 --> 01:17:31,519
Speaker 2: scores at all. Iowa certainly is not going to score

1813
01:17:31,560 --> 01:17:33,479
Speaker 2: a lot of points either, but we might get at

1814
01:17:33,520 --> 01:17:36,519
Speaker 2: ten to six game here. I'm taking Iowa for twenty

1815
01:17:36,560 --> 01:17:38,760
Speaker 2: one confidence points. Mike Justin spread on them as Iowa

1816
01:17:38,840 --> 01:17:39,960
Speaker 2: minus four point three.

1817
01:17:40,160 --> 01:17:41,760
Speaker 1: Will bagman Kentucky.

1818
01:17:41,880 --> 01:17:42,200
Speaker 5: Iowa.

1819
01:17:42,280 --> 01:17:44,560
Speaker 1: What side are you take in and is there any confidence?

1820
01:17:45,000 --> 01:17:45,559
Speaker 5: Not much.

1821
01:17:45,680 --> 01:17:47,800
Speaker 4: I'm gonna take Kentucky in this game, So Thorn and

1822
01:17:47,840 --> 01:17:50,160
Speaker 4: I on opposite sides. I just think with a month

1823
01:17:50,200 --> 01:17:51,960
Speaker 4: to prep for this game, you know this is one

1824
01:17:52,000 --> 01:17:54,760
Speaker 4: of the ones later in the ball season that you

1825
01:17:54,800 --> 01:17:57,120
Speaker 4: know Stoops will have Wade and McClain ready to go

1826
01:17:57,120 --> 01:18:00,120
Speaker 4: at quarterback and running back for the Wildcats here. So

1827
01:18:00,200 --> 01:18:03,280
Speaker 4: I'll take Kentucky, but only nine points. This is under

1828
01:18:03,280 --> 01:18:04,880
Speaker 4: double Digi's for me, do not.

1829
01:18:04,880 --> 01:18:05,479
Speaker 5: Like it at all.

1830
01:18:05,920 --> 01:18:07,639
Speaker 1: Going over to the super Dome for the Sugar Bowl,

1831
01:18:07,760 --> 01:18:10,639
Speaker 1: number five Alabama's going up against number nine Kansas State.

1832
01:18:10,720 --> 01:18:12,880
Speaker 1: Bama is a three point favorite. Fifty four and a

1833
01:18:12,920 --> 01:18:15,240
Speaker 1: half is the line. We don't have a word yet.

1834
01:18:15,280 --> 01:18:16,880
Speaker 1: If do duz Von is probably gonna play a big

1835
01:18:16,960 --> 01:18:19,040
Speaker 1: role in what you would feel about Kansas State. But

1836
01:18:19,080 --> 01:18:21,639
Speaker 1: it doesn't look like there's any locked in opt out

1837
01:18:21,680 --> 01:18:24,080
Speaker 1: or anything like that that's going on. So thor what

1838
01:18:24,120 --> 01:18:26,400
Speaker 1: do you say, Alabama Kansas State low line? What's the

1839
01:18:26,439 --> 01:18:28,080
Speaker 1: pick and how much confidence.

1840
01:18:27,760 --> 01:18:29,240
Speaker 3: I'm expecting gouz Van to play.

1841
01:18:29,360 --> 01:18:32,439
Speaker 2: You know, he's one of those you know, organizational soldiers

1842
01:18:32,560 --> 01:18:34,680
Speaker 2: or whatever, you know, pride and all that stuff, and

1843
01:18:34,720 --> 01:18:37,559
Speaker 2: this Kansas State team seems like it's pretty well, you know,

1844
01:18:37,600 --> 01:18:39,479
Speaker 2: together whatever. They haven't had a lot of opt outs

1845
01:18:39,560 --> 01:18:43,559
Speaker 2: or transfer stuff like that. Alabama's had a few more

1846
01:18:43,600 --> 01:18:46,400
Speaker 2: so far. I'm curious to see is Bryce Young playing

1847
01:18:46,400 --> 01:18:48,479
Speaker 2: this game? Does Gibbs play in this game? Some of

1848
01:18:48,479 --> 01:18:49,760
Speaker 2: the guys that we know are going to go into

1849
01:18:49,760 --> 01:18:52,360
Speaker 2: the NFL Draft, they haven't announced yet. Obviously it's it's

1850
01:18:52,400 --> 01:18:54,360
Speaker 2: being played later in the month, so they don't really

1851
01:18:54,400 --> 01:18:56,439
Speaker 2: have to yet because I don't even know if they're

1852
01:18:56,439 --> 01:18:59,200
Speaker 2: practiced for this game I've started yet. My adjusted line

1853
01:18:59,320 --> 01:19:02,040
Speaker 2: right now is sits as Alabama minus two point nine,

1854
01:19:02,160 --> 01:19:04,320
Speaker 2: very close to the Vegas line. But again, if any

1855
01:19:04,360 --> 01:19:07,280
Speaker 2: of those Alabama, especially if Young does, then I would

1856
01:19:07,280 --> 01:19:09,840
Speaker 2: have Kansas State favored by a field goal or more.

1857
01:19:10,439 --> 01:19:12,080
Speaker 3: I'm going with Kansas State in this game.

1858
01:19:12,120 --> 01:19:15,880
Speaker 2: Because of that, I'm gonna pick them to upset, you know, regardless,

1859
01:19:15,880 --> 01:19:18,920
Speaker 2: But yeah, the Alabama kids also could opt out and

1860
01:19:19,000 --> 01:19:21,200
Speaker 2: change the whole equation. So I'm going Kansas State for

1861
01:19:21,320 --> 01:19:23,000
Speaker 2: eight confidence points.

1862
01:19:22,920 --> 01:19:25,400
Speaker 1: All right under the top ten on the points bagman.

1863
01:19:25,600 --> 01:19:28,080
Speaker 5: Are you on the other side, Yeah, I'm gonna take Bama.

1864
01:19:28,120 --> 01:19:30,200
Speaker 4: I'm gonna put thirty one points on him because I

1865
01:19:30,320 --> 01:19:33,240
Speaker 4: just think that if Deuce Vaughan opts out, which if

1866
01:19:33,240 --> 01:19:35,880
Speaker 4: I'm his agent, if i'm his parents, if I'm in

1867
01:19:36,000 --> 01:19:37,840
Speaker 4: his life at all, whatsoever.

1868
01:19:37,920 --> 01:19:39,960
Speaker 5: I'm saying, why are.

1869
01:19:39,760 --> 01:19:42,800
Speaker 4: You playing in this game as a small running back

1870
01:19:43,040 --> 01:19:46,479
Speaker 4: against the Bama front? You know, regardless of who transfers

1871
01:19:46,479 --> 01:19:48,400
Speaker 4: out of there, they're just gonna replace him with other

1872
01:19:48,560 --> 01:19:49,880
Speaker 4: four and five star players.

1873
01:19:49,920 --> 01:19:51,559
Speaker 1: You don't want to see another Willis mcgaate. You want

1874
01:19:51,560 --> 01:19:52,960
Speaker 1: to see Willis mcgaate situation.

1875
01:19:53,120 --> 01:19:55,240
Speaker 4: I want to see that, man, and at least that

1876
01:19:55,280 --> 01:19:57,439
Speaker 4: game there was something on the line. There is nothing

1877
01:19:57,760 --> 01:20:00,240
Speaker 4: on the line in this game for Deuce Vaughan or

1878
01:20:00,280 --> 01:20:03,120
Speaker 4: Bryce Young or any of these star players. So I think,

1879
01:20:03,360 --> 01:20:05,479
Speaker 4: all things being equal, to the top guys op out,

1880
01:20:05,520 --> 01:20:07,519
Speaker 4: which I expect most of them to because there is

1881
01:20:07,560 --> 01:20:10,160
Speaker 4: nothing on the line here. Give me Bama, and give

1882
01:20:10,200 --> 01:20:12,080
Speaker 4: me Bama big. I'm going to take them and put

1883
01:20:12,080 --> 01:20:13,160
Speaker 4: thirty one points on them.

1884
01:20:13,560 --> 01:20:16,160
Speaker 1: Time to get to the semi finals in the college

1885
01:20:16,200 --> 01:20:19,000
Speaker 1: football playoff. And guess what this one is actually literally

1886
01:20:19,080 --> 01:20:22,200
Speaker 1: in my backyard. We should totally guys have vetting pros

1887
01:20:22,280 --> 01:20:23,960
Speaker 1: or fantasy pros. Maybe get me to the game and

1888
01:20:23,960 --> 01:20:25,840
Speaker 1: I can help you guys some coverage here because it

1889
01:20:25,920 --> 01:20:29,000
Speaker 1: is literally in my backyard. We have the Fiesta Bowl

1890
01:20:29,120 --> 01:20:33,040
Speaker 1: number two Michigan versus number three TCU. Michigan on the

1891
01:20:33,040 --> 01:20:35,120
Speaker 1: hook is a seven and a half point favorite line

1892
01:20:35,560 --> 01:20:39,519
Speaker 1: fifty nine Michigan out for blood TCU. Do they stand

1893
01:20:39,520 --> 01:20:42,480
Speaker 1: a chance or what's the pick and how much confidence?

1894
01:20:42,640 --> 01:20:45,719
Speaker 2: Obviously we don't have any opts for the playoff games,

1895
01:20:45,760 --> 01:20:48,000
Speaker 2: but you have to mention quorum, you know, obviously all

1896
01:20:48,040 --> 01:20:50,600
Speaker 2: for the year. But Donovan Edwards is RB or the

1897
01:20:50,720 --> 01:20:51,920
Speaker 2: you know one B if you want to put it

1898
01:20:51,960 --> 01:20:53,760
Speaker 2: that way. There's been awesome, you know when he's had

1899
01:20:53,800 --> 01:20:54,599
Speaker 2: to carry the full oad.

1900
01:20:54,920 --> 01:20:55,040
Speaker 3: Uh.

1901
01:20:55,120 --> 01:20:57,960
Speaker 2: Michigan also has a couple injuries on the defense in

1902
01:20:58,000 --> 01:21:00,840
Speaker 2: their defensive ends, but the kids might so We'll have

1903
01:21:00,920 --> 01:21:03,040
Speaker 2: to wait and see on those guys, but I am

1904
01:21:03,080 --> 01:21:05,040
Speaker 2: pretty confident in Michigan here.

1905
01:21:05,439 --> 01:21:07,120
Speaker 3: They're just more reliable on what they can do.

1906
01:21:07,120 --> 01:21:09,519
Speaker 2: Obviously, the defense, you know, it's like what's the thing,

1907
01:21:09,560 --> 01:21:14,200
Speaker 2: pitching travels or whatever, like baseball vernacular, whatever. The defense

1908
01:21:14,240 --> 01:21:16,439
Speaker 2: definitely travels in these ball games because it's a sure

1909
01:21:16,520 --> 01:21:19,200
Speaker 2: thing that's gonna be tough for TCU's offense.

1910
01:21:19,560 --> 01:21:20,640
Speaker 3: I do like Michigan here.

1911
01:21:20,680 --> 01:21:22,479
Speaker 2: Mind, just a line on this one is Michigan minus

1912
01:21:22,520 --> 01:21:24,759
Speaker 2: nine point seven, So I'm putting thirty four confidence points

1913
01:21:24,800 --> 01:21:26,160
Speaker 2: on the Wolverines.

1914
01:21:25,840 --> 01:21:27,599
Speaker 1: All right, Bob, going in the same direction.

1915
01:21:28,000 --> 01:21:29,479
Speaker 5: Close again, I got thirty two.

1916
01:21:29,680 --> 01:21:32,320
Speaker 4: I think the spread is too big because TCU at

1917
01:21:32,360 --> 01:21:36,439
Speaker 4: their best can beat anyone. Michigan lost Blay korm who

1918
01:21:36,520 --> 01:21:39,880
Speaker 4: is a real Heisman candidate, but Harbaugh has these guys

1919
01:21:39,920 --> 01:21:42,880
Speaker 4: playing well. I think Michigan wins in a tighter than

1920
01:21:42,920 --> 01:21:45,559
Speaker 4: expected game, but I do have a lot of confidence

1921
01:21:45,560 --> 01:21:48,200
Speaker 4: in them coming away with this dub. And I'm gonna

1922
01:21:48,200 --> 01:21:50,559
Speaker 4: put thirty two points on the Wolverines, all right.

1923
01:21:50,800 --> 01:21:54,800
Speaker 1: The other semi final college football playoff matches the Peach Bowl,

1924
01:21:54,880 --> 01:21:57,400
Speaker 1: where Number one Georgia is going up against number four

1925
01:21:57,479 --> 01:22:00,000
Speaker 1: Ohio State. Georgia is a six and a half point favorite.

1926
01:22:00,120 --> 01:22:02,720
Speaker 1: Sixty two is the line and you can guess all

1927
01:22:02,760 --> 01:22:04,760
Speaker 1: of the potential opt outs that are on the line

1928
01:22:04,800 --> 01:22:08,280
Speaker 1: right here. So for Georgia Ohio State, this is a

1929
01:22:08,280 --> 01:22:10,400
Speaker 1: big dog here. You might have the national champion playing

1930
01:22:10,400 --> 01:22:12,759
Speaker 1: out of this game. What side and how much confidence?

1931
01:22:13,040 --> 01:22:15,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, you know, Georgia is obviously the better team,

1932
01:22:15,560 --> 01:22:18,160
Speaker 2: and they're they're the healthier team as well here, and

1933
01:22:18,200 --> 01:22:20,799
Speaker 2: they're also playing you know, close to home or whatever.

1934
01:22:20,920 --> 01:22:22,240
Speaker 2: You know, it's going to be his flight home field

1935
01:22:22,240 --> 01:22:25,240
Speaker 2: advantage on the Georgia side. Ohio State Jackson Smith and Jigba,

1936
01:22:25,640 --> 01:22:27,200
Speaker 2: you know, he's done. He shut it down. He's going

1937
01:22:27,240 --> 01:22:28,720
Speaker 2: to go to the NFL now. But he had the

1938
01:22:28,720 --> 01:22:31,000
Speaker 2: hamstring thing all year. I want to see what happens

1939
01:22:31,000 --> 01:22:33,200
Speaker 2: with the running back room there because it was so

1940
01:22:33,280 --> 01:22:34,920
Speaker 2: banged up at the end of the year. You wonder

1941
01:22:34,960 --> 01:22:37,080
Speaker 2: if Travon Henderson's going to be healthy for this one.

1942
01:22:37,160 --> 01:22:39,160
Speaker 2: Mayan Williams came back for the last one, but he was,

1943
01:22:39,240 --> 01:22:41,400
Speaker 2: you know, previously banged up. Those guys were just sort

1944
01:22:41,439 --> 01:22:43,640
Speaker 2: of trading off who is going to be out and

1945
01:22:43,680 --> 01:22:47,000
Speaker 2: then they're starting offensive guard Matt Jones missed the their

1946
01:22:47,040 --> 01:22:49,920
Speaker 2: regular season for the last game they played against Michigan

1947
01:22:49,960 --> 01:22:51,920
Speaker 2: with an injury. Not sure if he's going to be

1948
01:22:51,960 --> 01:22:55,000
Speaker 2: playing here. But for me, all things are pointing at Georgia.

1949
01:22:55,080 --> 01:22:58,120
Speaker 2: I have a ticket on Georgia, you know, against the spread,

1950
01:22:58,360 --> 01:22:59,960
Speaker 2: but mid just a line on this game is george

1951
01:23:00,120 --> 01:23:02,880
Speaker 2: minus seven point eight. I'm pretty confident in the Bulldogs here.

1952
01:23:02,880 --> 01:23:04,639
Speaker 2: I don't I didn't, I mean, bog mean, you know, well,

1953
01:23:04,680 --> 01:23:07,360
Speaker 2: you know you too, Welsh when podcast we were doing,

1954
01:23:07,400 --> 01:23:09,719
Speaker 2: I you know, all down the stretch, I was waiting

1955
01:23:09,720 --> 01:23:12,200
Speaker 2: for something bad to happen to Ohio State. Don't love

1956
01:23:12,240 --> 01:23:15,839
Speaker 2: that team. I'm putting thirty confidence points on Georgia, Doug.

1957
01:23:15,720 --> 01:23:17,960
Speaker 1: Man, I know you're gonna feel in the same general

1958
01:23:18,000 --> 01:23:21,840
Speaker 1: space here, So how much confidence? And I'm guessing this

1959
01:23:21,880 --> 01:23:22,960
Speaker 1: is gonna be Georgia.

1960
01:23:23,200 --> 01:23:24,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's Georgia for me too.

1961
01:23:25,160 --> 01:23:28,360
Speaker 4: I mean, I do think that this Georgia team is

1962
01:23:28,560 --> 01:23:32,519
Speaker 4: much more beatable than the team last year. And uh,

1963
01:23:32,560 --> 01:23:36,200
Speaker 4: you know, Georgia lost to Alabama last year. But I

1964
01:23:36,240 --> 01:23:39,479
Speaker 4: don't think anyone's beating Georgia here. You know, Ohio State

1965
01:23:39,520 --> 01:23:41,759
Speaker 4: got exposed by big plays from Michigan.

1966
01:23:41,960 --> 01:23:43,439
Speaker 5: I think we're gonna see at least.

1967
01:23:43,320 --> 01:23:46,760
Speaker 4: One long Rock Bowers touchdown in this game at the

1968
01:23:46,760 --> 01:23:48,599
Speaker 4: tight end from Georgia. So give me Georgia and I'm

1969
01:23:48,600 --> 01:23:52,160
Speaker 4: gonna put thirty seven confident points confidence points on him

1970
01:23:52,240 --> 01:23:54,479
Speaker 4: because I think they roll over Ohio State.

1971
01:23:54,560 --> 01:23:57,479
Speaker 1: Thirty seven in a row. All right, gentlemen, we are

1972
01:23:57,560 --> 01:24:00,160
Speaker 1: in the home stretch here and we're also in to

1973
01:24:00,240 --> 01:24:04,120
Speaker 1: the new year January tewod. The Relia Quest Bowl has

1974
01:24:04,200 --> 01:24:08,040
Speaker 1: numbered twenty two Mississippi State versus Illinois, And obviously the

1975
01:24:08,040 --> 01:24:11,920
Speaker 1: biggest thing on everybody's mind is the tragic, tragic passing

1976
01:24:12,000 --> 01:24:14,639
Speaker 1: of Mike Leach, which is kind of like we're recording

1977
01:24:14,680 --> 01:24:16,640
Speaker 1: this and it is very very fresh. People might be

1978
01:24:16,640 --> 01:24:18,760
Speaker 1: listening to this later as time has kind of gone on.

1979
01:24:18,880 --> 01:24:22,400
Speaker 1: So for your thoughts, obviously on the passing of Mike

1980
01:24:22,520 --> 01:24:25,559
Speaker 1: Leach and the outcome of what you think is going

1981
01:24:25,640 --> 01:24:26,880
Speaker 1: to go on in this game where Illinois is a

1982
01:24:26,880 --> 01:24:28,639
Speaker 1: two point favorite and the line is set at forty

1983
01:24:28,640 --> 01:24:29,240
Speaker 1: six and a half.

1984
01:24:29,439 --> 01:24:32,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, First things, first, devastating loss for college football with

1985
01:24:32,479 --> 01:24:35,479
Speaker 2: Mike Leach, and obviously it was shocking and you just

1986
01:24:35,560 --> 01:24:38,320
Speaker 2: expected that guy to coach forever, and you know, it

1987
01:24:38,360 --> 01:24:41,160
Speaker 2: happens so suddenly, and it's the saddest thing that he

1988
01:24:41,400 --> 01:24:43,559
Speaker 2: was my favorite coach, you know, going back, he got

1989
01:24:43,600 --> 01:24:46,519
Speaker 2: a lot of us into college football. You know, just

1990
01:24:46,560 --> 01:24:48,840
Speaker 2: the way that he saw the game was obviously an innovator.

1991
01:24:49,040 --> 01:24:51,879
Speaker 2: Air raid was his term. He didn't invent the offense,

1992
01:24:51,920 --> 01:24:53,720
Speaker 2: but he learned it from the guy that did hol

1993
01:24:53,800 --> 01:24:56,840
Speaker 2: Mummy and it was Leech that was the guy that

1994
01:24:56,920 --> 01:24:59,040
Speaker 2: proliferated it, you know, that took it and took it

1995
01:24:59,080 --> 01:25:00,000
Speaker 2: to the next space.

1996
01:25:00,280 --> 01:25:02,080
Speaker 3: And his coaching tree is everywhere.

1997
01:25:02,479 --> 01:25:04,680
Speaker 2: His coaching tree is something that is obviously going to

1998
01:25:04,720 --> 01:25:07,719
Speaker 2: long outlive him, both in the NFL and in college

1999
01:25:07,760 --> 01:25:10,479
Speaker 2: and the way that his concepts and everything like that

2000
01:25:10,600 --> 01:25:13,400
Speaker 2: it informs every level of football. Now that he essentially

2001
01:25:13,439 --> 01:25:16,559
Speaker 2: remade the entire game. Was obviously a super interesting guy

2002
01:25:16,600 --> 01:25:20,519
Speaker 2: and everything like that. So, you know, obviously very tragic

2003
01:25:20,600 --> 01:25:22,240
Speaker 2: news as far as this game.

2004
01:25:23,120 --> 01:25:24,080
Speaker 3: You have that going on.

2005
01:25:23,920 --> 01:25:27,320
Speaker 2: On the mississ Mississippi State side, they also had some

2006
01:25:27,320 --> 01:25:30,040
Speaker 2: some opt out's. One of their rotational backs and their

2007
01:25:30,120 --> 01:25:34,040
Speaker 2: stuck cornerback of Manuel Forbes. He the running back he transferring.

2008
01:25:34,160 --> 01:25:37,519
Speaker 2: Forbes is going to the NFL Draft Illinois. There hasn't

2009
01:25:37,560 --> 01:25:40,000
Speaker 2: been any announcements about their opt outs yet. There's four

2010
01:25:40,040 --> 01:25:42,000
Speaker 2: guys that could the four kids that are going to

2011
01:25:42,000 --> 01:25:46,560
Speaker 2: the Senior Ball, the two Brown kids, Chase Brown and

2012
01:25:46,840 --> 01:25:49,840
Speaker 2: Sydney Brown, the corner his brother the cornerback, and then

2013
01:25:51,360 --> 01:25:53,559
Speaker 2: there are other strut cornerback he's going to the Senior

2014
01:25:53,560 --> 01:25:56,439
Speaker 2: Bowl as well, and then a safety. But Repuluma is

2015
01:25:56,439 --> 01:26:01,000
Speaker 2: heavily lobbying those guys to play, so you know, we'll

2016
01:26:01,040 --> 01:26:02,800
Speaker 2: see on that, but they have not announced that they

2017
01:26:02,840 --> 01:26:03,080
Speaker 2: are not.

2018
01:26:03,240 --> 01:26:05,080
Speaker 3: So because of that, I'm going with Illinois.

2019
01:26:05,080 --> 01:26:07,720
Speaker 2: My adjustice line on this game is Illinois minus four

2020
01:26:07,760 --> 01:26:09,840
Speaker 2: point two. We found out today, you know, recording this

2021
01:26:09,880 --> 01:26:13,559
Speaker 2: on Tuesday. Illinois defensive coordinator Walters, he's taken Jeff Bram's

2022
01:26:13,560 --> 01:26:14,760
Speaker 2: all job at Purdue.

2023
01:26:14,880 --> 01:26:15,840
Speaker 3: I don't I did.

2024
01:26:15,680 --> 01:26:17,960
Speaker 2: Not see if he is planning to, you know, call

2025
01:26:18,240 --> 01:26:20,479
Speaker 2: defensive plays in this game. But obviously he did a

2026
01:26:20,479 --> 01:26:22,880
Speaker 2: fabulous job this year. But it should be sustainable what

2027
01:26:22,920 --> 01:26:25,720
Speaker 2: they were doing. And obviously in this game against the

2028
01:26:25,800 --> 01:26:27,880
Speaker 2: air raid, you know, you have sort of a clearly

2029
01:26:27,920 --> 01:26:30,240
Speaker 2: delineated strategy heading in. So I don't think that's that's

2030
01:26:30,240 --> 01:26:32,800
Speaker 2: going to be a huge manifestation here. I'm putting twenty two

2031
01:26:32,800 --> 01:26:34,880
Speaker 2: confidence points on the Aliini Bogan.

2032
01:26:34,920 --> 01:26:37,240
Speaker 1: Obviously I want your take and your pick here, But

2033
01:26:37,400 --> 01:26:39,800
Speaker 1: any thoughts on the tragic passing of Mike Leach that

2034
01:26:39,800 --> 01:26:40,639
Speaker 1: you want to get out.

2035
01:26:40,720 --> 01:26:43,479
Speaker 4: Yeah, man, it sucks. You know, guy was one of

2036
01:26:43,520 --> 01:26:45,880
Speaker 4: the biggest characters in college football. I was never his

2037
01:26:45,960 --> 01:26:48,839
Speaker 4: biggest fan, being a Texas fan playing against his Texas

2038
01:26:48,840 --> 01:26:51,720
Speaker 4: Tech teams, and Michael Crabtree and Cliff Kingsbury and all

2039
01:26:51,720 --> 01:26:54,400
Speaker 4: those guys were the bane of my existence. But there's

2040
01:26:54,400 --> 01:26:57,680
Speaker 4: no doubt that he leaves giant fingerprints all over the

2041
01:26:57,720 --> 01:26:59,880
Speaker 4: game of college football with his coaching, tree as Thorman,

2042
01:27:00,120 --> 01:27:02,720
Speaker 4: and you know, just the way he was in the

2043
01:27:02,800 --> 01:27:05,599
Speaker 4: character that he was for the game. So it really

2044
01:27:05,640 --> 01:27:09,479
Speaker 4: sucks that this happened for Mississippi State. With that being said,

2045
01:27:09,600 --> 01:27:12,040
Speaker 4: I do think that Chase Brown and Witherspoon, the two

2046
01:27:12,080 --> 01:27:15,280
Speaker 4: biggest pieces of this team on offense and defense, will

2047
01:27:15,320 --> 01:27:18,240
Speaker 4: opt out. I think just the way the college football

2048
01:27:18,280 --> 01:27:20,800
Speaker 4: is going in general. You know, I know Bilma is

2049
01:27:20,840 --> 01:27:23,400
Speaker 4: lobbing those guys to play, and they are huge difference makers,

2050
01:27:23,439 --> 01:27:26,240
Speaker 4: but there's money on the table to lose, and there's

2051
01:27:26,280 --> 01:27:28,559
Speaker 4: nothing really to gain here for these guys, so I

2052
01:27:28,560 --> 01:27:30,759
Speaker 4: think they end up opting out. I think Mississippi State's

2053
01:27:30,840 --> 01:27:33,920
Speaker 4: route is going to rally behind the passing of their

2054
01:27:33,960 --> 01:27:35,320
Speaker 4: coach and win this game.

2055
01:27:35,479 --> 01:27:37,960
Speaker 5: I've got the Bulldogs, but I only have ten points

2056
01:27:38,000 --> 01:27:38,880
Speaker 5: on him. All right.

2057
01:27:38,920 --> 01:27:41,639
Speaker 1: The Cotton Bowl, Number ten USC is facing off against

2058
01:27:41,680 --> 01:27:45,080
Speaker 1: number sixteen Tulane. USC is only a one point favorite.

2059
01:27:45,640 --> 01:27:47,720
Speaker 1: Sixty one and a half is the line for where

2060
01:27:47,800 --> 01:27:49,360
Speaker 1: you're going to go with this one and how many

2061
01:27:49,360 --> 01:27:50,960
Speaker 1: confidence points are you going to lay?

2062
01:27:51,320 --> 01:27:53,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, surprising when the Lions came out because

2063
01:27:53,840 --> 01:27:56,600
Speaker 2: Tulane was favored, and I was just so confused, and

2064
01:27:56,640 --> 01:27:59,439
Speaker 2: it seemed like the market was speculating that Caleb Williams

2065
01:27:59,439 --> 01:28:00,559
Speaker 2: was going to sit this one out.

2066
01:28:00,640 --> 01:28:03,120
Speaker 3: You know, he was, you know, gimpy in the PAC

2067
01:28:03,160 --> 01:28:04,479
Speaker 3: twelve title game or whatever.

2068
01:28:04,520 --> 01:28:07,280
Speaker 2: But I had reached out to some people around that

2069
01:28:07,360 --> 01:28:09,720
Speaker 2: program and been told that he gonna play if he

2070
01:28:09,760 --> 01:28:12,360
Speaker 2: can play, which makes sense because obviously he can't jump

2071
01:28:12,400 --> 01:28:14,800
Speaker 2: into the draft. And that's a kid who was like,

2072
01:28:14,960 --> 01:28:18,040
Speaker 2: I mean, he clearly loves football. It looks like he's

2073
01:28:18,080 --> 01:28:19,560
Speaker 2: gonna play now, and it looks like the market is

2074
01:28:19,880 --> 01:28:23,280
Speaker 2: reacting more to that now than now USC has become

2075
01:28:23,320 --> 01:28:25,800
Speaker 2: the favorites guy. The other way, my just a line

2076
01:28:25,840 --> 01:28:28,160
Speaker 2: on this game again, assuming that Caleb Williams is playing,

2077
01:28:28,240 --> 01:28:31,400
Speaker 2: is USC minus three point nine points. So even though

2078
01:28:31,439 --> 01:28:34,000
Speaker 2: I faded USC several times this year, as you guys know,

2079
01:28:34,240 --> 01:28:37,040
Speaker 2: and even though nobody rode two lane harder this year,

2080
01:28:37,160 --> 01:28:39,839
Speaker 2: I bought so many two lane tickets in the ballgame,

2081
01:28:39,880 --> 01:28:41,719
Speaker 2: I'm going the other way because of the context.

2082
01:28:41,760 --> 01:28:45,520
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take USC and eighteen points on the Trojans.

2083
01:28:45,439 --> 01:28:49,360
Speaker 1: Agman number sixteen to lane number ten USC. Caleb Williams

2084
01:28:49,360 --> 01:28:50,439
Speaker 1: in doubt, what say you.

2085
01:28:50,720 --> 01:28:54,400
Speaker 4: Thor you finally follow I finally follow you on this

2086
01:28:54,479 --> 01:28:56,320
Speaker 4: two lane train and you.

2087
01:28:56,320 --> 01:28:59,880
Speaker 5: Jump off at the exact worst time here. I don't understand.

2088
01:29:00,160 --> 01:29:01,920
Speaker 5: I'm going to take Tulane.

2089
01:29:02,280 --> 01:29:06,280
Speaker 4: USC is better in terms of roster strength, but they

2090
01:29:06,400 --> 01:29:07,280
Speaker 4: just missed the playoffs.

2091
01:29:07,280 --> 01:29:08,599
Speaker 5: There's not a lot of motivation there.

2092
01:29:08,680 --> 01:29:11,040
Speaker 4: It's a gimpy Caleb Williams, if he is playing, he

2093
01:29:11,080 --> 01:29:13,960
Speaker 4: has time to rest and recover. But I don't know.

2094
01:29:14,000 --> 01:29:15,720
Speaker 4: I don't know if he's going to play. I put

2095
01:29:15,800 --> 01:29:18,719
Speaker 4: that at fifty to fifty. I know he wants to play.

2096
01:29:18,760 --> 01:29:20,879
Speaker 4: I get it, But there's not a lot of benefit

2097
01:29:20,960 --> 01:29:24,880
Speaker 4: to it. Michael Pratt is outstanding the quarterback for Tulane.

2098
01:29:25,160 --> 01:29:27,640
Speaker 4: They had the AC offensive player of the Year in

2099
01:29:27,720 --> 01:29:30,080
Speaker 4: ty J Spears. So I just think this is one

2100
01:29:30,080 --> 01:29:31,640
Speaker 4: of those games where the G five gets up to

2101
01:29:31,680 --> 01:29:34,880
Speaker 4: play the P five here and a sneak one. So

2102
01:29:34,920 --> 01:29:37,800
Speaker 4: gimme Tulane only eleven points, very low because that is

2103
01:29:37,800 --> 01:29:38,559
Speaker 4: a big upset.

2104
01:29:38,800 --> 01:29:41,040
Speaker 5: But yeah, I like Tulane in this one.

2105
01:29:41,240 --> 01:29:44,240
Speaker 1: Over to the Citrus Bowl Number seventeen, LSU is facing

2106
01:29:44,240 --> 01:29:47,479
Speaker 1: off against Purdue. LSU is a ten point favorite. Fifty

2107
01:29:47,640 --> 01:29:50,679
Speaker 1: eight and a half is the line. Jayden Daniels suffering

2108
01:29:50,680 --> 01:29:52,519
Speaker 1: an ankle injury against Texas A and M but is

2109
01:29:52,560 --> 01:29:55,479
Speaker 1: expected to play, going to obviously play a huge role

2110
01:29:55,520 --> 01:29:58,000
Speaker 1: in that. Head coach Jeff Brom is going for the

2111
01:29:58,040 --> 01:30:01,200
Speaker 1: Louisville job, but his brother Brian Brom gonna be interim

2112
01:30:01,280 --> 01:30:03,920
Speaker 1: in this one. So thor LSU Purdue big line? What

2113
01:30:04,040 --> 01:30:04,880
Speaker 1: say you with points?

2114
01:30:05,080 --> 01:30:08,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was surprised about his brother Brian being the

2115
01:30:08,479 --> 01:30:10,360
Speaker 2: interim coach because you would assume that he would have

2116
01:30:10,439 --> 01:30:13,040
Speaker 2: just followed Jeff, And then I was wondering, like if

2117
01:30:13,040 --> 01:30:15,919
Speaker 2: that made him one of the you know, the permanent candidate,

2118
01:30:16,640 --> 01:30:19,280
Speaker 2: but then they hired Walters today, So you know, I'm

2119
01:30:19,280 --> 01:30:21,160
Speaker 2: not sure what was going on with that prom.

2120
01:30:20,920 --> 01:30:23,240
Speaker 4: I think it was until they hired Walters today, I

2121
01:30:23,240 --> 01:30:25,679
Speaker 4: think was kind of going to be coaching for his job,

2122
01:30:25,720 --> 01:30:27,320
Speaker 4: but then they just decided to go the other way.

2123
01:30:27,680 --> 01:30:29,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, and Jeff had taken the defensive coordinator

2124
01:30:29,880 --> 01:30:31,120
Speaker 2: with him, so that, you know, I think it was

2125
01:30:31,200 --> 01:30:31,879
Speaker 2: Ron English.

2126
01:30:31,920 --> 01:30:33,439
Speaker 3: That's why that was sort of a surprise.

2127
01:30:33,560 --> 01:30:35,760
Speaker 2: But at least, you know, you have some some continuity

2128
01:30:35,800 --> 01:30:38,280
Speaker 2: there as far as the opt outs. There's not much

2129
01:30:38,400 --> 01:30:40,080
Speaker 2: going on here, you know, and stuff like that. So

2130
01:30:40,160 --> 01:30:42,040
Speaker 2: it's mostly just the straight handicap because it looks like

2131
01:30:42,080 --> 01:30:43,880
Speaker 2: An O'Connell's going to play in his last game here

2132
01:30:43,920 --> 01:30:46,000
Speaker 2: for Purdue. My just a line in this game is

2133
01:30:46,120 --> 01:30:48,640
Speaker 2: LSU minus seven point five, so just a little bit

2134
01:30:48,640 --> 01:30:51,240
Speaker 2: south of Vegas. But you know, I still over a touchdown.

2135
01:30:51,360 --> 01:30:54,360
Speaker 2: I'm putting twenty nine confidence points on LSU.

2136
01:30:54,560 --> 01:30:57,760
Speaker 4: Auguman the LSU Purdue what so you yeah, I just

2137
01:30:57,840 --> 01:31:00,599
Speaker 4: I love following these SEC teams into the season. Here,

2138
01:31:00,640 --> 01:31:04,599
Speaker 4: give me LSU forty one points here. I just think,

2139
01:31:04,920 --> 01:31:07,400
Speaker 4: you know, Brian bram was coaching for a job now

2140
01:31:07,400 --> 01:31:09,920
Speaker 4: he's not that's going to load loader his motivation a

2141
01:31:09,960 --> 01:31:11,880
Speaker 4: little bit more. He probably will end up going with

2142
01:31:11,960 --> 01:31:15,479
Speaker 4: Jeff On over the new job. You know, I think

2143
01:31:15,479 --> 01:31:17,519
Speaker 4: Brian Kelly wants to win this in his first Bowl

2144
01:31:17,520 --> 01:31:19,639
Speaker 4: appearance for the Tigers, So give me lsu.

2145
01:31:19,960 --> 01:31:21,320
Speaker 5: I have forty one points on.

2146
01:31:21,360 --> 01:31:24,840
Speaker 1: Him the Rose Bowl. Number eight, Utah, number eleven Penn State.

2147
01:31:24,960 --> 01:31:27,559
Speaker 1: Utah is a three point favorite. Fifty two is the line.

2148
01:31:27,600 --> 01:31:29,599
Speaker 1: We have draft opt outs that could play a big

2149
01:31:29,680 --> 01:31:32,639
Speaker 1: role in this, so thor Utah Penn State. I feel

2150
01:31:32,640 --> 01:31:34,519
Speaker 1: like we talked a lot about Utah during the shows

2151
01:31:34,520 --> 01:31:36,080
Speaker 1: we did in Utah was always a favorite. So a,

2152
01:31:36,080 --> 01:31:37,960
Speaker 1: you're gonna play Utah on this one, and what confidence

2153
01:31:38,000 --> 01:31:39,360
Speaker 1: are you gonna lie on either side?

2154
01:31:39,479 --> 01:31:39,920
Speaker 3: I am I.

2155
01:31:40,320 --> 01:31:42,040
Speaker 2: I love my youths and I'm going to ride them

2156
01:31:42,040 --> 01:31:44,120
Speaker 2: out to the end of the season here. And it

2157
01:31:44,160 --> 01:31:46,599
Speaker 2: looks like they're going to come into this game with

2158
01:31:46,720 --> 01:31:49,160
Speaker 2: more of their roster intact. Tavy On Thomas was the

2159
01:31:49,160 --> 01:31:51,000
Speaker 2: one guy who would you know, declared for the draft

2160
01:31:51,000 --> 01:31:53,400
Speaker 2: and opted on on their side, but he had suffered

2161
01:31:53,439 --> 01:31:55,040
Speaker 2: the injury at the end of the year. It's unclear

2162
01:31:55,080 --> 01:31:57,160
Speaker 2: whether he could have returned either way, so he just

2163
01:31:57,200 --> 01:31:59,760
Speaker 2: shut it down. But Utah, They're running back rotation is

2164
01:31:59,760 --> 01:32:02,160
Speaker 2: still awesome, right like they had started PLAYT two the

2165
01:32:02,200 --> 01:32:04,360
Speaker 2: other kids in with Tavi on Thomas even before that.

2166
01:32:05,040 --> 01:32:07,760
Speaker 2: And now the freshman kid, I'm blanking on his name.

2167
01:32:07,760 --> 01:32:09,760
Speaker 2: I think he's from Texas, was awesome in the pack

2168
01:32:09,800 --> 01:32:12,160
Speaker 2: Tell title game, like that kid's got moves. Looks like

2169
01:32:12,200 --> 01:32:15,759
Speaker 2: a future star. Utah onearthed stud running backs all the time.

2170
01:32:15,800 --> 01:32:17,920
Speaker 2: Like it's like Kyle Whittingham gets out of bed and

2171
01:32:18,000 --> 01:32:21,320
Speaker 2: identifies you know these sleeper running backs that turn into studs.

2172
01:32:21,439 --> 01:32:24,679
Speaker 2: On the Penn State side, they have a bunch. Parker Washington,

2173
01:32:24,760 --> 01:32:26,280
Speaker 2: who had been injured. I don't know if he could

2174
01:32:26,280 --> 01:32:28,160
Speaker 2: have come back for this game. He just shot it down.

2175
01:32:28,200 --> 01:32:29,240
Speaker 3: He's going into the NFL draft.

2176
01:32:29,320 --> 01:32:31,040
Speaker 2: Joey Porter was one of the first guys that the

2177
01:32:31,080 --> 01:32:32,960
Speaker 2: stuck cornerback one of the best in the nation.

2178
01:32:33,240 --> 01:32:34,880
Speaker 3: He decided to opt out. He was one of the

2179
01:32:34,880 --> 01:32:36,799
Speaker 3: first ones to declare they.

2180
01:32:36,640 --> 01:32:39,480
Speaker 2: Did get good news in their left tackle for Shanu,

2181
01:32:39,760 --> 01:32:42,320
Speaker 2: he announced that he's coming back to school. But for Shan,

2182
01:32:42,360 --> 01:32:44,519
Speaker 2: who missed the last four games of the season with

2183
01:32:44,560 --> 01:32:46,640
Speaker 2: an injury, I'm not sure that he's gonna play in

2184
01:32:46,680 --> 01:32:48,160
Speaker 2: this you know that he's gonna be healthy enough for that.

2185
01:32:48,200 --> 01:32:51,200
Speaker 2: They'll even push him even though he's coming back. So

2186
01:32:51,600 --> 01:32:53,240
Speaker 2: and that was a kid that could have gone in

2187
01:32:53,280 --> 01:32:55,280
Speaker 2: the top fifty if if he had declared for the draft.

2188
01:32:55,320 --> 01:32:57,240
Speaker 2: So there's a lot of stuff going on on that side.

2189
01:32:57,400 --> 01:32:59,799
Speaker 2: My just aligned with all that stuff baked in. Assuming

2190
01:32:59,840 --> 01:33:02,080
Speaker 2: that Alton Kincaid is gonna play for Utah. He was

2191
01:33:02,080 --> 01:33:04,280
Speaker 2: obviously moving gingerly in the packed All title game and

2192
01:33:04,320 --> 01:33:06,960
Speaker 2: could declare for you know, probably will declare for the draft,

2193
01:33:06,960 --> 01:33:08,720
Speaker 2: but there there's been no sign that he's gonna opt

2194
01:33:08,760 --> 01:33:11,000
Speaker 2: up for this game. Obviously very Importy's one of the

2195
01:33:11,040 --> 01:33:13,560
Speaker 2: best tight ends in America. I like Utah adjusted the

2196
01:33:13,600 --> 01:33:15,960
Speaker 2: line in this game Utah minus six point two. I'm

2197
01:33:15,960 --> 01:33:17,960
Speaker 2: putting twenty three confidence points on the.

2198
01:33:18,040 --> 01:33:21,520
Speaker 1: Utes Dogman Utah Penn State what side.

2199
01:33:21,920 --> 01:33:23,360
Speaker 5: I'm going with Utah as well?

2200
01:33:23,520 --> 01:33:26,439
Speaker 4: Like Thors said, I just think, you know, Tavian Thomas

2201
01:33:26,640 --> 01:33:29,040
Speaker 4: is more replaceable than Joey port Junior. By the way, Welsh,

2202
01:33:29,080 --> 01:33:31,280
Speaker 4: how old does that make you feel? And Joey Fielder

2203
01:33:31,640 --> 01:33:35,360
Speaker 4: here is declaring for the NFL draft right here, and

2204
01:33:35,479 --> 01:33:38,360
Speaker 4: Parker Washington also gone so I just.

2205
01:33:38,400 --> 01:33:40,960
Speaker 5: For me, it's easy Utah.

2206
01:33:41,479 --> 01:33:44,639
Speaker 4: The confidence is a little lower though, fourteen points because

2207
01:33:44,680 --> 01:33:47,040
Speaker 4: Penn State can bow up with anyone. Rose Bowl is

2208
01:33:47,040 --> 01:33:49,400
Speaker 4: a fun game to watch, so it's gonna be tough.

2209
01:33:49,439 --> 01:33:52,160
Speaker 4: But yeah, give me Penn State, or give me Utah

2210
01:33:52,160 --> 01:33:53,760
Speaker 4: excuse me, and fourteen points on him.

2211
01:33:54,040 --> 01:33:56,639
Speaker 1: Forty two games we've gone through. We have literally given

2212
01:33:56,680 --> 01:33:59,200
Speaker 1: you every single one that you can put confident points

2213
01:33:59,200 --> 01:34:01,840
Speaker 1: on and it gets us to the final spot here

2214
01:34:02,240 --> 01:34:04,320
Speaker 1: for the championship game. We don't know what it's going

2215
01:34:04,360 --> 01:34:06,880
Speaker 1: to look like, but you guys have set up your

2216
01:34:07,200 --> 01:34:09,600
Speaker 1: you've essentially set up your games where Thor you you

2217
01:34:09,640 --> 01:34:13,280
Speaker 1: actually both have Michigan versus Georgia, so Thor you can

2218
01:34:13,320 --> 01:34:15,960
Speaker 1: pick your side, and I guess there's some outlets that

2219
01:34:15,960 --> 01:34:17,760
Speaker 1: you actually put confidence points on it, but you can

2220
01:34:17,760 --> 01:34:19,599
Speaker 1: just give us your take finally on the championship game

2221
01:34:19,640 --> 01:34:20,240
Speaker 1: to end this out.

2222
01:34:20,600 --> 01:34:22,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I'll just say, you know, on the quote

2223
01:34:23,040 --> 01:34:25,599
Speaker 2: unquote favorite, because you know, I guess on ESPN after

2224
01:34:25,680 --> 01:34:28,519
Speaker 2: the the semifinals or whatever, then you know you can

2225
01:34:28,560 --> 01:34:30,960
Speaker 2: pick it after that. So we'll just say the favorite,

2226
01:34:31,000 --> 01:34:33,280
Speaker 2: cause if I don't think Ohio State canna win or tisa,

2227
01:34:33,280 --> 01:34:34,920
Speaker 2: you gonna win. But if they did, you know, I'd

2228
01:34:34,920 --> 01:34:37,320
Speaker 2: be taking the you know, Michigan or whatever, you know,

2229
01:34:37,560 --> 01:34:41,120
Speaker 2: the higher rated team whatever. And then if it's Georgia Michigan,

2230
01:34:41,240 --> 01:34:44,160
Speaker 2: you know, straight up, I'd also probably lean towards Georgia

2231
01:34:44,200 --> 01:34:44,760
Speaker 2: against the spread.

2232
01:34:44,760 --> 01:34:45,759
Speaker 3: That would be really interesting.

2233
01:34:45,840 --> 01:34:48,040
Speaker 2: But because I don't know who the teams are and

2234
01:34:48,040 --> 01:34:50,479
Speaker 2: you got to pick it, I'm just putting fourteen points

2235
01:34:50,520 --> 01:34:53,160
Speaker 2: on it, and we'll just say that I'm taking the favorite.

2236
01:34:53,360 --> 01:34:55,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, you gotta go low on that, bog win same thing.

2237
01:34:55,600 --> 01:34:58,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, no one's beating Georgia. Thirty six points on Georgia here.

2238
01:34:59,280 --> 01:35:01,880
Speaker 4: I think they roll to this playoff. This is they're

2239
01:35:01,920 --> 01:35:04,479
Speaker 4: kind of becoming the new Alabama where it's just hard

2240
01:35:04,520 --> 01:35:07,760
Speaker 4: to squint and see anyone beating them. They will. I'll

2241
01:35:07,800 --> 01:35:10,200
Speaker 4: say this about Georgia. They get bored and they won't

2242
01:35:10,240 --> 01:35:13,679
Speaker 4: play in the first half. So if they come into

2243
01:35:13,960 --> 01:35:16,320
Speaker 4: either one of these games like that, it could be

2244
01:35:16,360 --> 01:35:17,080
Speaker 4: dicey for them.

2245
01:35:17,080 --> 01:35:18,439
Speaker 5: They can be beat.

2246
01:35:18,680 --> 01:35:20,799
Speaker 4: I just don't think they will. I got the Bulldogs

2247
01:35:20,800 --> 01:35:23,120
Speaker 4: win the whole thing. Thirty seven points on them to

2248
01:35:23,160 --> 01:35:24,400
Speaker 4: win the first round, thirty six in.

2249
01:35:24,400 --> 01:35:27,280
Speaker 1: The second, all forty three games locked for you guys

2250
01:35:27,280 --> 01:35:31,320
Speaker 1: with confidence points for coming up here over bullseason. What

2251
01:35:31,400 --> 01:35:33,400
Speaker 1: is the streaming schedule with you and Mike Farrell? Are

2252
01:35:33,400 --> 01:35:35,000
Speaker 1: you doing the couple times? We do want to let

2253
01:35:35,040 --> 01:35:36,880
Speaker 1: everybody know that's listening to this if people want to

2254
01:35:36,920 --> 01:35:38,960
Speaker 1: kind of get more up to date as the games

2255
01:35:39,000 --> 01:35:41,560
Speaker 1: go on, especially for the betting tendencies.

2256
01:35:41,960 --> 01:35:42,200
Speaker 3: Yeah.

2257
01:35:42,240 --> 01:35:44,040
Speaker 2: So you know, obviously during the season, Mike and I

2258
01:35:44,080 --> 01:35:46,760
Speaker 2: were doing the live stream from ten am Eastern on

2259
01:35:47,200 --> 01:35:51,080
Speaker 2: Saturday mornings until eleven thirty am Eastern fight in ball season.

2260
01:35:51,120 --> 01:35:53,439
Speaker 2: With the way that the schedule is, we could only

2261
01:35:53,479 --> 01:35:56,400
Speaker 2: do one of the live one, so we're doing that

2262
01:35:56,479 --> 01:35:57,640
Speaker 2: on Saturday.

2263
01:35:58,000 --> 01:36:01,000
Speaker 3: The number is at the seventeenth Saturday seventeen.

2264
01:36:00,680 --> 01:36:03,000
Speaker 2: So so we'll be on as normal at ten am

2265
01:36:03,040 --> 01:36:06,599
Speaker 2: Eastern on the Betting Pros YouTube channel, doing that for

2266
01:36:07,000 --> 01:36:08,519
Speaker 2: you know, an hour and a half whatever that date.

2267
01:36:08,560 --> 01:36:10,840
Speaker 2: But outside of that special thing that we were doing,

2268
01:36:10,840 --> 01:36:13,920
Speaker 2: we have three different podcast episodes coming that are going

2269
01:36:14,000 --> 01:36:15,679
Speaker 2: to be put out on the Betting Pros feed.

2270
01:36:15,960 --> 01:36:17,080
Speaker 3: We recorded the first one or.

2271
01:36:17,080 --> 01:36:18,840
Speaker 2: Day where we went through ten of them, and then

2272
01:36:18,840 --> 01:36:21,160
Speaker 2: we'll have two more for later in the balls when

2273
01:36:21,479 --> 01:36:23,919
Speaker 2: when those come or whatever. So just you know, subscribe

2274
01:36:23,960 --> 01:36:26,320
Speaker 2: to the Betting Pros feed and you'll see it. It'll it'll

2275
01:36:26,320 --> 01:36:28,479
Speaker 2: pop up when we record those ones. We'll have them

2276
01:36:28,479 --> 01:36:31,120
Speaker 2: out like, you know, three four days before the next

2277
01:36:31,120 --> 01:36:32,800
Speaker 2: you know, the first game that we talk about is

2278
01:36:32,960 --> 01:36:34,160
Speaker 2: so you just look for them.

2279
01:36:34,720 --> 01:36:36,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, get more updated stuff. You can find them on

2280
01:36:36,680 --> 01:36:40,080
Speaker 1: Twitter at thour Ku, Scott Bagman at bogmin Sports. Gentlemen,

2281
01:36:40,120 --> 01:36:42,360
Speaker 1: you guys did a fantastic job. That's a ridiculous thing

2282
01:36:42,439 --> 01:36:44,839
Speaker 1: to do, but I can't think of anything more helpful

2283
01:36:44,960 --> 01:36:48,520
Speaker 1: if you guys play in any type of college football

2284
01:36:48,600 --> 01:36:51,439
Speaker 1: pool and trying to figure out confidence points. It was

2285
01:36:51,520 --> 01:36:53,719
Speaker 1: literally laid out to you by two of the best.

2286
01:36:54,080 --> 01:36:56,280
Speaker 1: Bogman Thor I'm Welsh. You can find me on Twitter

2287
01:36:56,320 --> 01:36:58,040
Speaker 1: at is it the Welsh. Make sure you guys are

2288
01:36:58,080 --> 01:37:00,880
Speaker 1: subscribe to the video and the podcast of Betting Pros

2289
01:37:01,240 --> 01:37:05,120
Speaker 1: for the college football podcast on Betting Pros. It's Bogman,

2290
01:37:05,200 --> 01:37:07,360
Speaker 1: It's Thor, I'm Welsh, and we are out of here.

2291
01:37:07,360 --> 01:37:08,040
Speaker 1: Goodbye friends,