1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 1: Your tunes about Drive on Home of the Black and 2 00:00:04,640 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 1: Goal Steelers Nation Radio m H Welcome back. I am 3 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:25,760 Speaker 1: dale ALII and UH, as we do every Friday here 4 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: at the end of the week, we take a look 5 00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 1: at the all the other games in the league and 6 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:32,839 Speaker 1: UH some interesting ones this week as opposed to some 7 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:36,839 Speaker 1: of the previous weeks. UM looking here on ESPN with 8 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:40,519 Speaker 1: their NFL Nation stuff. You have first game at one 9 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 1: o'clock on CBS. The six and three Jets are at 10 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:48,640 Speaker 1: the five and four Patriots. This is this is one 11 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:50,680 Speaker 1: of the games when people start talking about, well, four 12 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 1: teams are going to make it out of the East 13 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 1: and in both conferences. This is this is why it 14 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 1: won't happen, because they have to play each other a 15 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 1: whole bunch of times. Somebody's gonna lose those games. Exactly. 16 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 1: It's three can go three, might go four. I think 17 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 1: it's yeah for us, you know, with seven going Um 18 00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:11,080 Speaker 1: really interesting. UM. I did some Zack Wilson homework this 19 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: morning that really makes feelings on the guy. I mean, 20 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: and what's amazing about him? And I stole this from 21 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 1: some people, of course, But when he's not pressured, he's 22 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: fourth in the league. In E p A. When he's pressured, 23 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 1: he's last. And then there was another study. I forget 24 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 1: what the seconds are, but when he gets the ball 25 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 1: of his hands out quick, he's in the top of league. 26 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:36,679 Speaker 1: When he doesn't last, you know, like so holding the ball. 27 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: And Belichick knows these things. But Wilson still might be 28 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:45,520 Speaker 1: better than mac Jones. There's the better quarterback in this game, 29 00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 1: and it might be Wilson, might be Wilson. I'm not 30 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 1: sure who I'd rather have. That's always more talented. He's 31 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: a much better playmaker. His highs are way better. Mac 32 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 1: Jones looks broken. I think this is like the first 33 00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 1: one to ten type of game there. The Patriots are 34 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 1: a team they went through sheer without an offensive coordinator, 35 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:07,840 Speaker 1: a true a true offensive coordinator, somebody in that They 36 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 1: need somebody in that building who can be mac Jones buddy. Yes, 37 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 1: the Raiders are happened to be both these, but Davante 38 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 1: Adams never show left Green Bay and Josh McDaniels should 39 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: never left left. Everyone was happier a year ago. In 40 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 1: the McDaniels Adams relationship is not always greener. And for 41 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: what I understand, I mean, everyone knows how the Patriots operate. 42 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:34,520 Speaker 1: I mean, it's not fun. They're not giving you hugs. 43 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:36,960 Speaker 1: At least McDaniels would kind of put his arm around 44 00:02:36,960 --> 00:02:39,240 Speaker 1: Mac Jones, like I don't think Matt Patricia is fun 45 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 1: to be around, Like they's beat up on him. How 46 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 1: about this stat the Patriots are one in three coming 47 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:51,839 Speaker 1: off of bye with anybody but Tom Brady quarterback under 48 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 1: Bill Belichick. Believable. Yeah, Brady was fourteen and four in 49 00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 1: as he was pretty good, so people people will throw 50 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 1: that so out Bill Belichick is a fifteen and seven 51 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 1: coming off the by well, not without Tom Brady. Yeah, 52 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 1: you know this and this is a what have you 53 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:12,239 Speaker 1: done for me lately? League? That is in New England. 54 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:15,480 Speaker 1: I believe I was curious about Buffalo weather affecting that game. 55 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:17,640 Speaker 1: It's not it's supposed to be, okay, I didn't think 56 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 1: it was bad. Eric Moody picking the Jets one, I 57 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 1: don't know they gets that high SETH Walter picking the 58 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:30,079 Speaker 1: Jets nineteen sixteen, Jets getting points here. I forgot to 59 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 1: say that New England's giving three points the over under 60 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 1: just thirty eight and a half. I don't know if 61 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 1: I'd go under that. I wouldn't go over, but don't 62 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: take points. I mean, I think it's a really low 63 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 1: scoring game. Kickers rule day. The Jets of one against 64 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 1: the spread as well as outright in five of their 65 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: last six games. They're playing well. Yeah, I mean there's 66 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: something there. I still don't know what the quarterback. The 67 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: only lost the only one they lost was to the 68 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 1: Patriots in New York. Do you think that the Patriots 69 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 1: are going to sweep the Jets, that's the questionnaire. I 70 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: don't think they will. I don't think they I don't know. 71 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: I mean I think they should be favored. I would 72 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:09,080 Speaker 1: have them like a one and a half point favorite, 73 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 1: not three. Uh. The eight and one Eagles are at 74 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: the four five and one Colts. Uh, Philadelphia favored by seven. 75 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 1: The over under is forty four in that game. I'll 76 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:23,279 Speaker 1: give you seven all day long. I mean, I think 77 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,280 Speaker 1: you beat the Eagles by running the football and Taylor's 78 00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:27,279 Speaker 1: and get a million carries, and that gives you a 79 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:30,479 Speaker 1: fighter's chance. I just think I must say the same 80 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 1: thing about the Bills. I think those are wounded giants 81 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: that got embarrassed last week that are going to drop 82 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 1: forty on whoever their opponent. Was this week and in 83 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 1: Philly and Buffalo. Yeah, I don't just don't want to 84 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 1: play him this week. The Eagles are the twenty nine 85 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:47,599 Speaker 1: team to start eight no or better in the Super 86 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 1: Bowl era. Okay, eleven of the previous twenty eight, which 87 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:56,720 Speaker 1: is about and four of the past eight lost consecutive 88 00:04:56,760 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 1: games immediately after losing their first. That includes the Steelers 89 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: were one of those teams. Wow, I wonderful. Anything to 90 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 1: that or not. It's a little surprising. I mean, when 91 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 1: you hang your head for two weeks and then rebound, 92 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:14,240 Speaker 1: or maybe there's just a letdown after Oh she's we 93 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 1: just lost. Okay, Um, maybe it's a major injury. That 94 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 1: could all also be a factory whatever. Uh Moody picking 95 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 1: the the ego seventeen, Walter picking the egosen. I think 96 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:35,159 Speaker 1: it's a blowout. The Colts haven't been an underdog of 97 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:39,360 Speaker 1: six plus points at home since two thousand seventeen against 98 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: the Steelers. I guess they've been a solid organization. They 99 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:44,840 Speaker 1: covered in that game, they didn't win. The Steelers won 100 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 1: the game. Remember I remember that game. Um, that was 101 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:53,280 Speaker 1: the Jacoby Brosett starts. I believe that wasn't long remember that. Uh, 102 00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:58,719 Speaker 1: the three and six. Lions, winners of two straight are 103 00:05:58,800 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: at the seven and two Giants. The Giants favored by 104 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:04,680 Speaker 1: three the over under forty five. I think I'll lay 105 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:08,280 Speaker 1: the three. I think Barkley goes bonkers because Barkley and 106 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 1: Jones combined for like on the ground. Maybe I'm kind 107 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: of when the golf on the road with some sort 108 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 1: of weather fair weather golf camp that you bring up 109 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: sometimes too that don't quite trust him. Yeah, he's hard 110 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:29,600 Speaker 1: to trust. Uh Moody picking well at first of all. 111 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:32,360 Speaker 1: Six of nine Lions games this year have hit the over, 112 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 1: which is tied for the second highest rate in the league. 113 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 1: I don't know who would be number one. Maybe the Chiefs, 114 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:40,120 Speaker 1: I guess sounds right. Yeah, they're the only team scoring 115 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:41,919 Speaker 1: more than thirty a game themselves. I mean it's the 116 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:44,239 Speaker 1: thing is though, it's it's more perception than the teams 117 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:46,279 Speaker 1: that are scoring. Everyone knows the Chiefs score a lot. 118 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:50,760 Speaker 1: Shocked people that the Lions were uh Moody picking the Giants, 119 00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 1: Seth Walter picking the Lions. I don't know. The lines 120 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 1: have figured something out all of a sudden, but they've 121 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 1: won two in a row. Man, Oh yeah, uh this 122 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:06,120 Speaker 1: game of course being played in Detroit, while Detroit is 123 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 1: in New York. The three and six Browns at the 124 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 1: six and three Bills. Uh. The spread is now Buffalo 125 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 1: minus eight, the over under forty two. That's a low overunder. 126 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 1: I think the Bills blow him out for all the 127 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:21,840 Speaker 1: reasons I said about the Eagles. I think the weather 128 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 1: would have been a nice yeah, And I think the 129 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:28,119 Speaker 1: Browns were in for a long day on the turf. 130 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 1: And I don't like their defense. The Bill's defense has 131 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 1: allowed a hundred forty five plus rushing yards in each 132 00:07:34,840 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: of its past three games. It's been a little vulnerable. Yeah, 133 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:41,120 Speaker 1: Now that was without I think Milano missed all three 134 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 1: of those games, and he's a huge component. Yeah, but 135 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:46,400 Speaker 1: they live in Nickel right there. They're one of the 136 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 1: good examples of do they want to get big on defense? Right? 137 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 1: They just want to say we're gonna outscore you and 138 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 1: we're gonna force you to keep up with us. Yeah. 139 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 1: I mean I do think jub can have a nice day. 140 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 1: I just don't think that's enough right now. Yeah. Uh. 141 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:05,120 Speaker 1: Brown's head coach Kevin Stefanski is seven and one against 142 00:08:05,160 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 1: the spreads as an underdog of at least three and 143 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: a half points. His largest career underdraw underdog was in 144 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:16,000 Speaker 1: the h was eight points in the FC Divisional playoffs 145 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: at Kansas City and they covered in that game. Okay, 146 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:21,520 Speaker 1: I don't know if I look too much into that, 147 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 1: but good for him. Moody picking the Bills one, so 148 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 1: he's picking the cover. Walter picking the Bills thirty to seventeen. 149 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:35,560 Speaker 1: I think it's something like that. I would agree. Oh, 150 00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:38,320 Speaker 1: what a stinker of a game. This is the three 151 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:41,080 Speaker 1: and six Rams are at the three and seven Saints. 152 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:45,720 Speaker 1: They made a schedule. New Orleans is favored by three. 153 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 1: The over under that game is just thirty nine points. 154 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: I think the Saints d's still good. I don't like 155 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 1: the corners, but Rams don't have any receivers with that cop. Yeah, 156 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 1: Stafford is gonna be back to see doesn't do you 157 00:08:57,320 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 1: any good if he finishes the game. Uhould get hit 158 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: a million times just coming off incussion. Um. I like 159 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:05,680 Speaker 1: the Saints kind of big here, there are enough to cover. Yeah, 160 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 1: I feel I mean three and a half. Is that 161 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 1: what you're looking at? Yeah, Andrew's pete. We'll see if 162 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 1: he gets back here. A triceps injury. Eric McCoy got 163 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 1: placed on injured reserve, and then the left tackle James Hurst, 164 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:20,320 Speaker 1: who wasn't great to begin with. He's in concussion protocol. 165 00:09:20,520 --> 00:09:23,920 Speaker 1: I mean we saw it. They were absent, were on 166 00:09:23,960 --> 00:09:27,359 Speaker 1: their way out in this the other game. Yeah. Uh. 167 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:30,520 Speaker 1: The Saints, of course, have turned the ball over nineteen times, 168 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:34,560 Speaker 1: which leads the NFL. It's the most through ten games 169 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 1: in the NFL since two thousand fourteen. Yeah, I didn't 170 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 1: think it was that. That's their most actually from their 171 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:43,439 Speaker 1: most yeah. Um. On the flip side of that, the 172 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:45,959 Speaker 1: Rams have failed to record a takeaway in three straight 173 00:09:45,960 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 1: games and have only just they have one takeaway in 174 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:52,880 Speaker 1: their last seven games. That's hard to do. You couldn't 175 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 1: didn't fall on a FuMB board, you know. S Yeah, 176 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 1: Rams are in bad place. This is just the third 177 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:03,080 Speaker 1: dough game in the last three years. Three years in 178 00:10:03,120 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 1: the Dome. There a lot of teams playing domes that 179 00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 1: features a total in the thirties. Oh wow, interesting, I mean, 180 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 1: obviously they're the numbers are gonna be a little higher. 181 00:10:12,160 --> 00:10:13,720 Speaker 1: Don't know, whether you don't have to worry about whether 182 00:10:13,840 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 1: you make more field goals that type of thing. It's funny. 183 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:18,680 Speaker 1: These are the two teams that have mortgaged their future 184 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:22,439 Speaker 1: more than anyone. It's the it's the credit card is 185 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:26,960 Speaker 1: maxed up, right, the Rams. Moody picking the Rams seventeen, 186 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:31,480 Speaker 1: Walter picking the Rams twenty nine. I don't think the 187 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 1: Saints are as dismal. Is the Rams are, well, yeah, 188 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 1: they just lost to the Steelers. They must be awful. 189 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:40,320 Speaker 1: I think that's the logic. I'm I'm listening to a 190 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:44,559 Speaker 1: fantasy show today and and the host on it, Michael 191 00:10:44,559 --> 00:10:47,560 Speaker 1: Fabiano's he's talking about, well, the fire up the Bengals 192 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:49,679 Speaker 1: offense this week because they're you know, Joe Burrow, they're 193 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 1: playing the Steelers. I'm like, oh, I've read a lot 194 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 1: of those in the fantasy columns and stuff. You're just 195 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:56,840 Speaker 1: looking at the total numbers, dude, exactly. I mean there's 196 00:10:56,880 --> 00:11:00,200 Speaker 1: a big difference here. Yeah, right, I mean if say 197 00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 1: the same thing, if Donald, if Aaron Donald was or 198 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:05,199 Speaker 1: you know, some other star defensive defensive player, would you 199 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 1: might wanted to look at those games, But how the 200 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,400 Speaker 1: team is played in those games as opposed to the 201 00:11:09,400 --> 00:11:12,080 Speaker 1: whole season. You've read some fantasy right ups this week, Well, 202 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:14,200 Speaker 1: students don't rush the pass, or well, there there are 203 00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: too many big plays. Okay, stopping over the course of 204 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 1: ten games. That's that's completely doing this from from thirty 205 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,560 Speaker 1: thousand feet. Yeah right, I mean that's why coaches study 206 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 1: the last four games and things like that when they're 207 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:28,960 Speaker 1: game planning or you know what's changed. Yeah, that would 208 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:30,600 Speaker 1: be like saying that, you know, all the Bears just 209 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 1: don't throw the ball very well. Um, yeah, you know. 210 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 1: But without taking into account the fact that Fields over 211 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:40,280 Speaker 1: the last four games is on a historic running pace. 212 00:11:40,400 --> 00:11:45,320 Speaker 1: He's different. Uh, speaking of the Bears at three and seven, 213 00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 1: they're playing the Falcons at four and six, Atlanta favored 214 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:52,679 Speaker 1: by three. The overrun earn this when it's Forts are 215 00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 1: gonna be in this game sixteen, that's my number. Six 216 00:11:57,000 --> 00:11:58,560 Speaker 1: might be less. It's gonna be the fastest game in 217 00:11:58,559 --> 00:12:01,440 Speaker 1: the NFL history. Run run, run run. I'm just taking 218 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:04,679 Speaker 1: the points here. I don't really I hate both defenses 219 00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:07,439 Speaker 1: right now. Um, if you're gonna give me points, I'll 220 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 1: take them. That that would be my logic. But justin Fields, 221 00:12:10,840 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 1: the last two weeks has two of the top ten 222 00:12:15,640 --> 00:12:18,200 Speaker 1: single game rushing yardage totals for a quarterback in the 223 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:21,440 Speaker 1: NFL history history. Two in the last ten weeks and 224 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:24,720 Speaker 1: they're too just in the last ten weeks, that's yeah, 225 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:28,160 Speaker 1: and they're doing good things. I wonder if Atlanta is 226 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 1: going backwards. I don't think Chicago is. Atlanta's oh and 227 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:34,160 Speaker 1: four in its past four games after starting the season 228 00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:39,400 Speaker 1: six and oh against the spread, the Bear Moody picking 229 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 1: the Bears one, Walter picking the Bears seventeen. So they 230 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:45,559 Speaker 1: both have an under game and the Bears are getting points. 231 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 1: They're getting three. Yeah, yeah, I would definitely take the 232 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:52,319 Speaker 1: points there. They're playing better. Yeah. Uh. Speaking of teams 233 00:12:52,360 --> 00:12:55,040 Speaker 1: that well aren't playing all that well, the three and 234 00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:57,719 Speaker 1: seven Panthers are at the six and three Ravens. Did 235 00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: you see Lamar miss practice today? I think it was 236 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:04,760 Speaker 1: an illness, but he isn't. He's sick a lot, a lot. 237 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:08,080 Speaker 1: I mean we've run the bathroom and yeah, but we 238 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:12,320 Speaker 1: know that he's he wasn't a guy that got the vaccinated. Yeah, 239 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 1: but he's say a lot of illness mistime. Um. I 240 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:18,920 Speaker 1: think the Ravens will handle them with ease. Their favored 241 00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 1: by thirteen under forty one. But I'll take thirteen points 242 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 1: is a lot, especially for a team like the Ravens. 243 00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:25,880 Speaker 1: It just wants to run the ball. That's what I mean. 244 00:13:25,880 --> 00:13:28,600 Speaker 1: They're gonna shorten the game. And yeah, Andrews is back 245 00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:30,439 Speaker 1: and they're in a great spot. I just don't think 246 00:13:30,440 --> 00:13:33,679 Speaker 1: they win by thirteen. And you know, if Carolina was 247 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:37,040 Speaker 1: coming to town would say, well, Tomlin knows Baker, I 248 00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:41,280 Speaker 1: bet Harbor. Yeah, Baker also knows how the Ravens want 249 00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:44,040 Speaker 1: to rush the pass her. So there's some of that too, 250 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 1: Like he's they're gonna they throw a lot of exotic 251 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:49,480 Speaker 1: blitzer is at you, overloads and things of that nature 252 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:54,319 Speaker 1: and then back out of it. Um, he's seen all that. Yeah, 253 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 1: we said this last segment though, I mean, is this 254 00:13:56,840 --> 00:14:00,559 Speaker 1: the Panthers first time ever playing against lamar a Is 255 00:14:00,800 --> 00:14:03,080 Speaker 1: You know, it's not a common opponent, and that actually 256 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:08,320 Speaker 1: goes the Ravens way. Uhte Foreman is running for over 257 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:11,520 Speaker 1: a hundred and fifteen yards in each of his last 258 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 1: three games, in which he's seen at least ten carries. 259 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:16,000 Speaker 1: I'm sure that would be the recipe. Again, those teams 260 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 1: will probably run the ball a lot, a lot. Yeah, 261 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 1: the Panthers are just one in fifteen in their past 262 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 1: sixteen games is double digit underdogs, but they won the 263 00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 1: most recent one in week seven against the Buccaneers one 264 00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:31,880 Speaker 1: and outright. Yeah, so I think they can get a 265 00:14:31,880 --> 00:14:34,400 Speaker 1: backdoor cover type of thing. Yeah. Moody picking the Ravens 266 00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 1: thirty one twenty Walter picking the Ravensteen. Uh, the five 267 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 1: and five Commanders are at the one seven and one Texans. 268 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 1: Washington a three point favorite on the road, you over 269 00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 1: under forty one. Remind people here, Washington played on Monday night, 270 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:03,760 Speaker 1: won a big game against the division opponents. Yeah, screams 271 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:06,200 Speaker 1: a little bit about of a letdown here. It's tough 272 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:10,360 Speaker 1: to let down against Houston, especially because I think Washington 273 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 1: found a formula of handing the ball off in Houston 274 00:15:13,640 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 1: can't stop. Maybe that short week thing is why the 275 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 1: line is what it is. I think they should be 276 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 1: like a seven point favorite, though not a three. Yeah. 277 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:24,200 Speaker 1: I mean they're they're five under team with a good 278 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 1: d line and you know, Washingtons, I'm playing bad. This 279 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:30,800 Speaker 1: is the sixteenth consecutive game in which Houston will be 280 00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:34,080 Speaker 1: an underdog. That's the longest active streak in the NFL, 281 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:37,240 Speaker 1: in the second longest streak in franchise history. They have 282 00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 1: nineteen straight games in two thousand to two thousand three. 283 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:43,080 Speaker 1: They're gonna break that this year. I don't know who 284 00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 1: they got next, but I bet there a dog next week. 285 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:48,320 Speaker 1: You're really gonna be favorite against even everyone that division 286 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 1: is favorite against them. In Houston. Yeah, you got the 287 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:56,640 Speaker 1: two and seven Raiders at the three and six Broncos. 288 00:15:56,680 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 1: Denver favored by three, the over under forty one. I 289 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 1: think I told you this number, which is kind of 290 00:16:02,560 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 1: mind blowing to me. If Denver's offense not the team 291 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:09,960 Speaker 1: would have put up exactly eighteen points in every game 292 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 1: this season. I mean, they can't score. You can't score. 293 00:16:14,400 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 1: Defense is really really good. I'm gonna take Denver at home. 294 00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:20,600 Speaker 1: I know the Raiders will play there in a a ton, 295 00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:23,600 Speaker 1: but it's still high air and Derek Carr is a 296 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: struggle in his career against them. It's not good. It's 297 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 1: a really good defense. I'm I'm sure certained will be 298 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:32,600 Speaker 1: on Adams a lot, and they just don't have much else, 299 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:36,760 Speaker 1: you know. How about this though? The Raiders are nine 300 00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:40,080 Speaker 1: and one against the spread and eight and two straight 301 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:44,120 Speaker 1: up in their past ten games against Denver. Huh okay, 302 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:47,240 Speaker 1: that includes a five and oh against the spread as 303 00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 1: an underdog in that in that span, three and two 304 00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:52,960 Speaker 1: straight up. I mean this is probably Josh Van Daniel's 305 00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,240 Speaker 1: first game against them, know, I mean Gruden might have 306 00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 1: had something off. I mean they're gonna run the football. Yeah, 307 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 1: that's the That's the one thing that Denver doesn't handle necessarily. 308 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 1: I mean, you're tough to throw the ball on um. 309 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:08,080 Speaker 1: I think this is a low scoring game. I hesitate 310 00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:09,840 Speaker 1: to give up the points, but I don't like whe 311 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:12,480 Speaker 1: the Raiders are at at all. Moody picking the Broncos, 312 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:20,560 Speaker 1: Walter picking the Raiders. Okay, game of the week. You 313 00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:23,240 Speaker 1: got the six and three Cowboys at the eight and 314 00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 1: one Vikings. First game of the week. I should say, uh, 315 00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:29,960 Speaker 1: Dallas favored by a point and a half the over 316 00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 1: under forty seven and a half. It's a little startling 317 00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:36,879 Speaker 1: that Dallas has favored. I guess I'll take the bikes. 318 00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 1: I don't know. I guess to sit back and watch 319 00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:44,119 Speaker 1: running at home. And you know, I don't have a 320 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:45,760 Speaker 1: strong feel for this game, to be honest with I 321 00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:48,080 Speaker 1: think there are two really good teams that are in 322 00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:51,879 Speaker 1: that conversation for four or five six best team in 323 00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:54,800 Speaker 1: the league. Might learn a lot about him in this one. 324 00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:57,320 Speaker 1: You know who's real and who isn't. Here's I mean, 325 00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:01,119 Speaker 1: the Vikings just won a huge game last week in 326 00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:06,320 Speaker 1: Buffalo in overtime. Uh. The Cowboys also played over time 327 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 1: last week, so both of that. That's a level playing 328 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:11,760 Speaker 1: field in terms of that. But the Cowboys lost their game. 329 00:18:11,800 --> 00:18:16,560 Speaker 1: Did they need this one more? Yeah, that's good records. 330 00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:19,159 Speaker 1: I would say it's tough. But you if you're the 331 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 1: Cowboys and you lose this one, you take the you 332 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 1: might be in last place. On Monday, Washington's probably gonna win. 333 00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 1: That would be put Washington six and five. So technically 334 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:33,520 Speaker 1: you wouldn't be in last place, but you would have 335 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 1: the same number of wins as Washington and Minnesota. Said 336 00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:42,879 Speaker 1: night and Cowboys have turned around and then play on 337 00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:48,439 Speaker 1: Thanksgiving to So I don't have a strong Cowboys like 338 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:50,840 Speaker 1: I kind of. I don't know why, but I do. 339 00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:57,399 Speaker 1: All five meetings between Dak Prescott and Kirk Cousins in 340 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,879 Speaker 1: their careers have gone over right, Kay, I thought they 341 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:03,440 Speaker 1: played more than that since Cousins was in Washington forty 342 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,919 Speaker 1: seven and a half points. I can see a lot 343 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 1: of points in this game. Yeah. I like both defenses, 344 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:11,160 Speaker 1: but I mean there's a lot of there's some weapons. Uh, 345 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:17,639 Speaker 1: Moody picking the Cowboys. Walter picking the Cowboys, so both 346 00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:24,679 Speaker 1: both Vegas since they're the better team. Um. Moving on 347 00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:27,680 Speaker 1: here to the Sunday night game, which the Steelers got 348 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,840 Speaker 1: bumped for. You got the seven and two Chiefs at 349 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:35,040 Speaker 1: the five and four Chargers, Kansas City favored by six, 350 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:39,120 Speaker 1: the over under fifty one in that game. I'm such 351 00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:42,879 Speaker 1: a Herbert fan, apologist whatever. I've been kind of calling 352 00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:44,880 Speaker 1: for this for a couple of weeks. But I think 353 00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:48,440 Speaker 1: Allen and Williams coming back. We're gonna see Herbert again 354 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:51,320 Speaker 1: finally in this game. Earlier in the year, the Chargers 355 00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:55,280 Speaker 1: clearly outplayed in the city in Kansas City. I want 356 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 1: the points and I think this is gonna be like 357 00:19:56,480 --> 00:20:00,159 Speaker 1: the highest scoring game of the week. I just the 358 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,479 Speaker 1: Chiefs defense isn't good. No, it's not. The Chargers defense 359 00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 1: isn't good. And I think the quarterbacks are really good, 360 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:09,000 Speaker 1: but are the one thing that the Chargers don't do 361 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:11,600 Speaker 1: well is defend the run. Are the Chiefs gonna be 362 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 1: content to run the football in this game? Maybe, but 363 00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:17,040 Speaker 1: that's not really their amount, It's not what they want 364 00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:19,119 Speaker 1: to do. I mean, they have injuries that receiver. You know, 365 00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:21,119 Speaker 1: they've been more patient than they have been in the 366 00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:23,600 Speaker 1: past with sticking with the run game. But I don't 367 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 1: think either teams like I need to shorten this game 368 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:28,280 Speaker 1: and run the ball, and run the ball. I got 369 00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:30,640 Speaker 1: a really talented quarterback, go win it for is put 370 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:36,400 Speaker 1: up forty. Mahomes has wont straight road Division games. That's 371 00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 1: the second longest streak by starting quarterback in the NFL 372 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 1: since the seventy merger. That's crazy. Joe Montana had a 373 00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:49,399 Speaker 1: twenty game winning streaking those on the road. Although this 374 00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:51,480 Speaker 1: might feel like a home game for Casey, very well 375 00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:55,720 Speaker 1: made Chargers have no home field advantage of it's gonna 376 00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:59,680 Speaker 1: be they might have to go to silent count Um. 377 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:00,919 Speaker 1: This is a point So I just think it's a 378 00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:03,160 Speaker 1: back and forth fun quarterback in This is the third 379 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:06,639 Speaker 1: time this season the Chargers have been an underdog. They've 380 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 1: covered the spread in the first two, including last week 381 00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:11,960 Speaker 1: to the forty when they were an eight point underdog. 382 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,560 Speaker 1: They kept it close in that game against the Chiefs 383 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:20,400 Speaker 1: earlier this year. All right, you got the Monday night 384 00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,640 Speaker 1: game in Mexico. This is the Mexico game. The five 385 00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:27,480 Speaker 1: and four forty Niners are at the four and six Cardinals. 386 00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:31,280 Speaker 1: That's an eight fifteen game Monday, San Francisco favored by 387 00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:34,359 Speaker 1: eight and the over under forty three and a half. 388 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:36,720 Speaker 1: Correct me if I'm wrong. But the elevation of Mexico 389 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,280 Speaker 1: City is even higher than Denver. It is. I mean, 390 00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 1: it's really difficult place to play. Yes, I just think 391 00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:47,000 Speaker 1: who runs the ball better? The Niners. I mean, I 392 00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:49,600 Speaker 1: think the fourth quarter is going to very much belong 393 00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 1: to San Francisco dashing them for runs. Uncommon place to play, 394 00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:56,960 Speaker 1: never played in that elevation. I'll lay the points. I 395 00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 1: think I saw. I saw this earlier in the week 396 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:02,560 Speaker 1: that Kingsbury is like something like six one, six and 397 00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,119 Speaker 1: one against the forty Niners. My co host is a 398 00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:08,120 Speaker 1: Niners guy, and I always make the joke about that 399 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:11,480 Speaker 1: divisions all rock paper scissors. Well, the Cardinals are the 400 00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:16,200 Speaker 1: rock to the Yeah, I mean the Niners on the 401 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,679 Speaker 1: or the Niners on the Rams. You know, it's all 402 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:21,920 Speaker 1: rock paper scissors. Yeah, they all beat each other. Yeah, 403 00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,440 Speaker 1: they each have trends, and Arizona is the one that 404 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:28,439 Speaker 1: beats the Niners. Yeah, so eight points a lot, I know. 405 00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:30,679 Speaker 1: I just think the running factor and where they're playing 406 00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:35,720 Speaker 1: is big. Both writers picking the Cardinals to cover, Moody 407 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 1: picking one twenty seven, Walter picking the forty niners. What's 408 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:43,919 Speaker 1: funny is we don't know if Kyler is playing, and 409 00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:47,480 Speaker 1: I'm not sure it matters that much. Yeah, it'd be 410 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,440 Speaker 1: better if he was, But if he doesn't, that doesn't 411 00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 1: mean it I'm gonna change my pick all of a sudden. Yeah, 412 00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:55,200 Speaker 1: some interesting games are this week. There are some really 413 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:59,200 Speaker 1: interesting games. Jets Patriots is really interesting to me. Kes, Cowboys. Yeah, 414 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:01,960 Speaker 1: there's some good ones, Chiefs and the Chargers. That's a 415 00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:05,200 Speaker 1: big one. Uh. You can subscribe now to The Drive. 416 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,120 Speaker 1: Every episode we do is available for you to download. 417 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,480 Speaker 1: Subscribe today through the Steeler's mobile app, the I Heart 418 00:23:10,600 --> 00:23:13,399 Speaker 1: Radio app, and wherever you find your podcast. He is 419 00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:16,119 Speaker 1: Matt Williamson. I am Dale Lolly. We're gonna take a 420 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 1: break and we come back. It's time for the Fantasy 421 00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: Football Focus. We got to do our DFS picks, which 422 00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:22,879 Speaker 1: have been on fire again and make our picks for 423 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,399 Speaker 1: your Sunday's Steeler game. We'll do that right after this