WEBVTT - OpenAI Raises $110B from Amazon, Nvidia, Others

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is alive

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<v Speaker 1>from coast to coast with Caroline Hide in New York

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<v Speaker 1>and v Lovelow in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up.

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<v Speaker 3>Open Ai raises one hundred and ten billion dollars with

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<v Speaker 3>key Amazon backing and a deal that values and startup

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<v Speaker 3>at seven hundred and thirty billion plasanthropics dispute with Appendagon

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<v Speaker 3>and intensifies over safeguards around the use of its AI

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<v Speaker 3>technology and block plans to cut close to half of

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<v Speaker 3>its entire workforce in a move the company describes as

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<v Speaker 3>a bet on AI. But first we check in on

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<v Speaker 3>these markets that have a lot more to digest than

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<v Speaker 3>just AI.

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<v Speaker 2>On the day, we're off by four tens percent, and.

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<v Speaker 3>As that investors trying to navigate what has been a

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<v Speaker 3>pretty brutal month. Yes there's anxiety over AI capex. Yes

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<v Speaker 3>there's worried about where on inflatory pressures are going. The

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<v Speaker 3>PPI data today showing that maybe the FED can't cut

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<v Speaker 3>as much as the market had wanted. But there's also

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<v Speaker 3>geopolitical risk. I ran us front and center. Let's look

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<v Speaker 3>at what we're doing over the course of the month,

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<v Speaker 3>because remember we are winding up February, and it means

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<v Speaker 3>we've had the worst month for the NASDAQ one hundred

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<v Speaker 3>and for the SMP five hundred since March of last year.

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<v Speaker 3>We're off by more than three point eight percent. Move

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<v Speaker 3>on and have individual companies in your line of sight today,

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<v Speaker 3>because the key story is a private and a public

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<v Speaker 3>market one. I'm looking at what happening to Amazon. We're

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<v Speaker 3>up four tens a percent. It is going to be

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<v Speaker 3>slump supplying fifty billion dollars to open ai in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of its latest funding rounds.

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<v Speaker 2>Does that come in compute?

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<v Speaker 3>Does that come in terms of really focused access to

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<v Speaker 3>open AI's own agents.

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<v Speaker 2>We're looking at Video off by one point eight percent?

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<v Speaker 2>What does that mean for their GPUs?

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<v Speaker 3>But they're throwing in thirty billion dollars as well, So

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<v Speaker 3>two is softbak. Let's get more details. Seth Biegerman is

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<v Speaker 3>with us and piece to say. And what's so interesting

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<v Speaker 3>is this deepening intertwined between open ai and Amazon.

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<v Speaker 2>What do you make of it?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean it's really telling. I think it's another

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<v Speaker 4>example for us that it takes all parties now to

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<v Speaker 4>meet the needs of AI and cloud computing. Amazon obviously

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<v Speaker 4>has been a long time supporter of OPENINGI rival Anthropic,

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<v Speaker 4>but increasingly opening Ianthropic and Amazon have brokeer cloud computing

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<v Speaker 4>deals as part of this form. In addition to the

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<v Speaker 4>money that Amazon is committing, Opening I will be using

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<v Speaker 4>Amazon's training and chips, which is certainly a vogue of confidence,

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<v Speaker 4>and Amazon's technology, and they'll be working together on a

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<v Speaker 4>models that might be useful for Amazon specifically. So again, Google, Amazon, Microsoft,

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<v Speaker 4>the video, they're all kind of backing everyone right now

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<v Speaker 4>to lift up the wider AI market.

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<v Speaker 3>It's interesting therefore that maybe in video is down a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit on the day throwing money into open ai,

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<v Speaker 3>but maybe people worry if there's more dependence on Trainium

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<v Speaker 3>and Amazon chips, maybe less dependence on GPUs. What's so

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<v Speaker 3>interesting as well is open Ai says the funding round

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<v Speaker 3>isn't over.

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<v Speaker 2>They're also tapping venture capitalists coming forward.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it's our understanding that there's still billions more to

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<v Speaker 4>go here, though I think the majority of it is

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<v Speaker 4>now done and committed, and so that next trench of

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<v Speaker 4>it might come from venture firms and from sovereign funds,

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<v Speaker 4>with our expectation that this will all be wrapped up

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<v Speaker 4>this quarter.

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<v Speaker 3>What's been also notable is how maybe some of the

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<v Speaker 3>pr moon music that have been so all consumed with

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<v Speaker 3>open ai and its prowess had slightly shifted to the

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<v Speaker 3>alternatives and propably been leading a lot of the charge

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<v Speaker 3>in terms of unveils.

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<v Speaker 2>To the enterprise. How much is open Ai now able.

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<v Speaker 3>To refocus to talk up its coding tools, to be

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<v Speaker 3>able to talk up its penetration into the enterprise.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, certainly, first off, this is a vote of confidence

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<v Speaker 4>in OPENINGI. I mean keep in mind that during the

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<v Speaker 4>months they've been working on this deal, I think there's

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<v Speaker 4>been heightened concerns on Wall Street about capex spending. With

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<v Speaker 4>Opening I really at the center of a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>that unprofitable startup committing to spend more than a trillion

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<v Speaker 4>dollars on infrastructure, and yet they still are on the

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<v Speaker 4>cusp of raising the largest funding round in history. Now,

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<v Speaker 4>to your point, Hoping has, like Anthropic, been investing heavily

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<v Speaker 4>in AI coding tools, AI agents and working to help

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<v Speaker 4>enterprises figure out how to make the most of its

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<v Speaker 4>existing AI technology. So I think we should just expect

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<v Speaker 4>them to double down on that in the run up

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<v Speaker 4>to what will likely be in IPO pretty.

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<v Speaker 2>Much, Seth Giegman, we so appreciate the roundup. Thank you.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's get the markets tape chaping Morgan Asset Management Global

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<v Speaker 3>market strategy is Stephanie Adiagas here with us.

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<v Speaker 2>Stephanie.

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<v Speaker 3>This is once again shining a light on the extraordinary

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<v Speaker 3>capital expenditure that is necessary for these frontier labs.

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<v Speaker 5>It absolutely is, and I think it comes on the

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<v Speaker 5>heels of this agentic boom that markets are really beginning

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<v Speaker 5>to take issue with. And the reality is the reason

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<v Speaker 5>why these agents are so phenomenal is because they think longer.

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<v Speaker 5>The amount of inference required in these agents is magnitudes

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<v Speaker 5>larger than the kind of single query just prompting an

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<v Speaker 5>LLLM of the past. So, you know, the economics around

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<v Speaker 5>AI continue to mount. We heard that from Nvidia this week.

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<v Speaker 5>I think for the markets, I mean there's just this

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<v Speaker 5>lingering anxiety of Okay, yes, we need a lot of infrastructure,

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<v Speaker 5>but who's going to make money on all of this,

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<v Speaker 5>and where are the competitive modes actually going to stick

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<v Speaker 5>in this rollout? And then of course, what does this

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<v Speaker 5>mean for some of the companies that may be privy to.

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<v Speaker 3>Disruption well, before we get there. I want to go

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<v Speaker 3>to Nvidia because it was sort of extraordinary. That's dound

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<v Speaker 3>today and yesterday on the back of such strong fundamental

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<v Speaker 3>numbers that it posted. How do you interpret that market

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<v Speaker 3>shake off of it.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, part of it is we've all become, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>Tiger parents, and we're used to exceptional results. It's not enough.

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<v Speaker 5>We're now more concerned about, okay, moving forward. We got

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<v Speaker 5>to see some kind of moderation in these growth rates,

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<v Speaker 5>given just how remarkable that they've been for so long.

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<v Speaker 6>I think markets are thinking about that.

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<v Speaker 5>I think on the other side, there's also this desire

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<v Speaker 5>to diversify perhaps exposure to some of these AI names,

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<v Speaker 5>and that's really where we're seeing caution really emerging in markets.

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<v Speaker 3>I have to say, I'll produce a made the Tiger Parents.

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<v Speaker 2>An a changer yesterday. I'm having a love it. We

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<v Speaker 2>all expect more and more and more.

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<v Speaker 3>But what's interesting is whether or not we're starting to

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<v Speaker 3>expect more of software now. I spoke to the Intuit

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<v Speaker 3>CEO yesterday after their numbers came out, and Sasan has

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<v Speaker 3>been talking about the disappointment he's had in the sell

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<v Speaker 3>off of his stock, the worries that they've had about

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<v Speaker 3>really their growth rates not supporting some of the decimation

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<v Speaker 3>in the market capitalization of this business. And they feel

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<v Speaker 3>that people are adopting into it, and they are striking

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<v Speaker 3>these partnerships with Anthropic and Open Air, and they're like

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<v Speaker 3>the software concerns, And there we have him saying, it's

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<v Speaker 3>very hard to disprove a negative. How are you thinking

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<v Speaker 3>about the market worrying about software and its ability to

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<v Speaker 3>weather this AI disruption?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think it's rational to price in a greater

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<v Speaker 5>degree of uncertainty around the sustainability of earnings growth. But

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<v Speaker 5>I think markets maybe getting a little ahead of themselves.

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<v Speaker 5>And there is almost some misunderstanding I think around how

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<v Speaker 5>transformed or how disruptive these tools are.

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<v Speaker 2>Isn't the market meant to get ahead of itself?

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<v Speaker 6>Though that's true.

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<v Speaker 5>That's true, and it makes sense to self first and

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<v Speaker 5>ask questions later.

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<v Speaker 6>But now it's time for nuanced discussion.

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<v Speaker 5>Around what these tools are going to do. Because these

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<v Speaker 5>plugins themselves don't distruct businesses. It's about what you use

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<v Speaker 5>those plugins to do. Who is leaning into AI to

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<v Speaker 5>provide AI empowered services, to bolster competitive motes, to do more.

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<v Speaker 5>And the other thing you know crossing headlines today is

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<v Speaker 5>around labor disruption, and I'll say, you know, companies that

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<v Speaker 5>are thinking about how they use AI to substitute their workers,

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<v Speaker 5>they're missing the forest of the trees here. The real

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<v Speaker 5>transformative impact from AI is what you can do to

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<v Speaker 5>do more, to do faster, to build better, to do

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<v Speaker 5>things that you wouldn't have done before, and ultimately outrun

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<v Speaker 5>your competition in doing so.

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<v Speaker 3>We are going to be discussing BLOCK at length in

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<v Speaker 3>a moment, but I'm assuming that's exactly where you're pointing

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<v Speaker 3>the fact that Jack Dorsey has admitted he over hired

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<v Speaker 3>and in some ways has been rectifying and rebalancing BLOCK

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<v Speaker 3>from a personnel perspective, But he is saying I am late,

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<v Speaker 3>and we are going all in an AI and other

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<v Speaker 3>companies are going to follow all that, other companies to

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<v Speaker 3>follow who are bloated, who do need to RECTI five

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<v Speaker 3>and are going to use AI as a good excuse.

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<v Speaker 5>I think the reality is AI is going to create

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<v Speaker 5>a lot of transformation in work, and that transformation could

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<v Speaker 5>at times look like layoffs in some areas. But I

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<v Speaker 5>think over the medium term, we're going to see all

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<v Speaker 5>sorts of job creation too.

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<v Speaker 3>Maybe they want because we'll keep talking about promot engineering.

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<v Speaker 2>Well that's sort of thing.

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<v Speaker 6>It is a thing of the past.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, one of the things is, look, these agents can

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<v Speaker 5>create a whole bunch of work. They can automate processes,

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<v Speaker 5>but the amount of work that they can reliably automate

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<v Speaker 5>relative to what a human worker does in a services

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<v Speaker 5>oriented economy is still a fraction I should add. And

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<v Speaker 5>all of these you, our listeners should know. Hallucination rates

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<v Speaker 5>for the current frontier models still range between twenty.

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<v Speaker 6>Six percent and eighty percent.

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<v Speaker 5>Whatever frontier model you're using, Claude Gemini, chatchbt. They're still

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<v Speaker 5>getting things wrong. There is still a real layer here

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<v Speaker 5>and oversight. And the thing is, the need for human

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<v Speaker 5>oversight only compounds when now we're talking about a lot

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<v Speaker 5>more product, a lot more output because AI is helping

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<v Speaker 5>us achieve that.

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<v Speaker 3>It's interesting because of late, I think there's been pushed

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<v Speaker 3>back on the hallucinations that are happening at the very

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<v Speaker 3>cutting edge models.

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<v Speaker 2>And yes, that might be a thing of the past.

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<v Speaker 3>So I'd love to dig into that deity that you're

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<v Speaker 3>still seeing maybe up to eighty percent. More broadly, how

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<v Speaker 3>you thinking about the macro impact and whether or not

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<v Speaker 3>we will see a FED that's able to tackle this

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<v Speaker 3>in any way or not.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it's a challenge, and that's an artificial analysis for

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<v Speaker 5>the FED. It's a challenge right now. You see there's

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<v Speaker 5>a little bit warmer inflation. Right now, we kind of

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<v Speaker 5>know what's contributing to that.

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<v Speaker 6>It's tariffs. Maybe we can see through that.

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<v Speaker 5>And I was just in DC earlier this week hearing

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<v Speaker 5>from a bunch of these FED governors, and.

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<v Speaker 6>There is a range of opinions here.

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<v Speaker 5>But I think the reality is the FED is very

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<v Speaker 5>data dependent, and right now, in the hard data, you

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<v Speaker 5>still see very very early impacts of AI labor disruption

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<v Speaker 5>over the medium to long term. There are I think

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<v Speaker 5>some big questions I think we have to rely on

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<v Speaker 5>I guess what his history has told us, and then

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<v Speaker 5>ultimately the fact that yes, we're all amazed at the

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<v Speaker 5>exponential growth of the technology of the frontier, but the

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<v Speaker 5>diffusion the real economy isn't exponential.

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<v Speaker 6>It's linear.

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<v Speaker 5>It's going to be jagged. That's going to give us time.

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<v Speaker 5>It's going to give policy makers time to adjust. Stephanie,

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<v Speaker 5>thank you for helping push us forward. Sevani Aniaga of

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<v Speaker 5>JP Morgan Acid Management. Now coming up, Anthropic rejects the

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<v Speaker 5>pentigons the latest offer in a dispute over AI safeguards.

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<v Speaker 5>All the details coming next is a bretting back tech.

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<v Speaker 7>I offered more talks if so long as they're in

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<v Speaker 7>good faith. We're always open to talks. And we set

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<v Speaker 7>a deadline, and we meant the deadline, and up until

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<v Speaker 7>that deadline, I'm open to more talks. And I told

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<v Speaker 7>them so.

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<v Speaker 3>Emil Michael nan, under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering.

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<v Speaker 3>After Anthropic rejected the Pentagon's latest off in a dispute

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<v Speaker 3>over safeguards around the use of its AI technology by

0:11:03.920 --> 0:11:07.560
<v Speaker 3>the US military. Now and Thropic CEO said, quote, we

0:11:07.720 --> 0:11:11.960
<v Speaker 3>cannot in good conscience accede to these their request. And

0:11:12.040 --> 0:11:15.360
<v Speaker 3>now well, the deadline for any further talks is fast approaching.

0:11:15.480 --> 0:11:18.240
<v Speaker 3>Lumos Tech in Industrial Policy reporter Maggie Island joins us

0:11:18.240 --> 0:11:18.679
<v Speaker 3>for more.

0:11:19.000 --> 0:11:19.920
<v Speaker 2>It's fast approaching.

0:11:20.080 --> 0:11:23.800
<v Speaker 3>It's five pm New York time, Washington time.

0:11:23.960 --> 0:11:28.680
<v Speaker 2>Maggie. What can be done until then? Exactly?

0:11:28.760 --> 0:11:31.880
<v Speaker 8>So? Look, the rhetoric here has been rather intense.

0:11:32.040 --> 0:11:32.480
<v Speaker 6>You see.

0:11:32.520 --> 0:11:36.960
<v Speaker 8>Emil Michael the Pentagon under secretary accusing Dario.

0:11:36.679 --> 0:11:40.520
<v Speaker 6>Amidae of having a God complex. Last night, you see.

0:11:40.400 --> 0:11:44.920
<v Speaker 8>Dario continuing to say that we need these two safety guardrails,

0:11:44.920 --> 0:11:48.560
<v Speaker 8>and those guardrails are no autonomous strikes without a human

0:11:48.600 --> 0:11:52.040
<v Speaker 8>in the loop and no surveillance of US citizens, and

0:11:52.120 --> 0:11:54.640
<v Speaker 8>without that he doesn't seem willing to budge. So definitely,

0:11:54.679 --> 0:11:57.600
<v Speaker 8>these two sides are staring each other down, and we're

0:11:57.600 --> 0:11:59.400
<v Speaker 8>going to find out at five pm.

0:11:59.480 --> 0:12:00.520
<v Speaker 6>Who's will to blink.

0:12:01.200 --> 0:12:05.000
<v Speaker 3>We're also seeing coalitions of workers who are employees at Amazon,

0:12:05.040 --> 0:12:07.679
<v Speaker 3>at Google and Microsoft and open Ai also asking their

0:12:07.679 --> 0:12:11.120
<v Speaker 3>companies to join Anthropic in refusing to comply with the

0:12:11.200 --> 0:12:15.200
<v Speaker 3>Defense Department demands. Maggie, what is the argument coming not

0:12:15.240 --> 0:12:17.559
<v Speaker 3>only from amor Michael saying he's got a gold complex

0:12:17.559 --> 0:12:19.880
<v Speaker 3>and actually calling him a liar, but what are the

0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:22.080
<v Speaker 3>legal protections already in place?

0:12:24.280 --> 0:12:24.480
<v Speaker 7>Right?

0:12:24.640 --> 0:12:27.560
<v Speaker 8>So the Pentagon has said, look, according to the Constitution,

0:12:27.559 --> 0:12:30.840
<v Speaker 8>according to US law, the US is not allowed to

0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:34.320
<v Speaker 8>have domestic surveillance over its own citizens now. And Thropic's

0:12:34.360 --> 0:12:37.240
<v Speaker 8>take on that is actually that AI might propose some

0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:40.600
<v Speaker 8>new legal ground where there are situations where just due

0:12:40.640 --> 0:12:44.960
<v Speaker 8>to the sheer power of artificial intelligence to aggregate public data.

0:12:45.080 --> 0:12:48.240
<v Speaker 8>It could lead to new surveillance use cases under which

0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:52.040
<v Speaker 8>the law isn't clear. So there's definitely some semantics going

0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:54.839
<v Speaker 8>on here. At the same time, these are real sort

0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:58.280
<v Speaker 8>of life and death questions about how the US wants

0:12:58.280 --> 0:13:01.160
<v Speaker 8>the AI tools to be used for warfare.

0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:05.240
<v Speaker 3>Mag Eastland, You're reporting throughout has been stella. Thank you

0:13:05.320 --> 0:13:08.000
<v Speaker 3>very much for joining us on it. Let's continue the conversation.

0:13:08.080 --> 0:13:10.200
<v Speaker 3>Sarah creps is with US, director of the Tech Policy

0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:13.720
<v Speaker 3>Institute at rot Cornell University, and you're at the intersection

0:13:13.760 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 3>of how national security, geopolitics, and tech policy intertwine. This

0:13:19.000 --> 0:13:21.440
<v Speaker 3>is anthropic having to lead the charge here in many

0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:23.080
<v Speaker 3>ways and the only one have got this sort of

0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:26.520
<v Speaker 3>relationship with the Pentagon thus far. Would you make of

0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:27.560
<v Speaker 3>Dario's pushback?

0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:31.120
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, and I think we should take a step back

0:13:31.200 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 9>and acknowledge why they're at the tip the no pun

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:36.160
<v Speaker 9>intended the tip of the spear here with the Pentagon,

0:13:36.600 --> 0:13:39.680
<v Speaker 9>which is that a year or so ago, you know,

0:13:39.720 --> 0:13:41.880
<v Speaker 9>they seem to go in the direction of focusing on

0:13:42.000 --> 0:13:44.680
<v Speaker 9>enterprise and what that more than a year ago because

0:13:44.720 --> 0:13:47.240
<v Speaker 9>their first contract with pell Andeer was in twenty twenty four,

0:13:47.880 --> 0:13:50.240
<v Speaker 9>and so that's the market they're going for, and so

0:13:50.280 --> 0:13:53.280
<v Speaker 9>they engaged. They were part of, you know, one two

0:13:53.400 --> 0:13:59.080
<v Speaker 9>hundred million dollar contracts with Pellenteer and the Pentagon in

0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:02.760
<v Speaker 9>part of that enterprise kind of business that they're focusing on,

0:14:03.160 --> 0:14:05.720
<v Speaker 9>and so as part of that, that enters them into

0:14:07.120 --> 0:14:10.560
<v Speaker 9>a you know, this arrangement that I think has then

0:14:10.760 --> 0:14:14.240
<v Speaker 9>led to where we are now, which is this standoff

0:14:14.600 --> 0:14:17.760
<v Speaker 9>in terms of how they balance their kind of ethical

0:14:17.800 --> 0:14:22.800
<v Speaker 9>constitution with the need to be doing enterprise work that

0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:24.480
<v Speaker 9>will bring in the revenue.

0:14:26.000 --> 0:14:29.600
<v Speaker 3>There is a lot at stake because what is It's

0:14:29.640 --> 0:14:32.080
<v Speaker 3>not only just a two hundred million dollar contract of

0:14:32.120 --> 0:14:35.440
<v Speaker 3>work that Anthropic has, but there's almost a threat coming

0:14:35.520 --> 0:14:39.760
<v Speaker 3>from the Pentagon that if you don't abide by our rules,

0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:42.280
<v Speaker 3>we're going to say that you're a supply chain issue

0:14:42.360 --> 0:14:45.720
<v Speaker 3>and lots of other military related companies are not going

0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:47.600
<v Speaker 3>to be able to use your models in the future.

0:14:48.120 --> 0:14:50.000
<v Speaker 3>How much of a problem would that be for Anthropic?

0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:54.080
<v Speaker 3>How much you surprise by the Pentagon's focus there?

0:14:55.080 --> 0:14:58.640
<v Speaker 9>Well, I think they are definitely two sides of this story.

0:14:58.800 --> 0:15:03.080
<v Speaker 9>So we're is what I think makes this generative AI

0:15:03.320 --> 0:15:06.920
<v Speaker 9>so different from bombs and bullets and nuclear weapons is

0:15:06.960 --> 0:15:10.200
<v Speaker 9>that nuclear weapons and missile silo only has one purpose

0:15:10.360 --> 0:15:14.520
<v Speaker 9>and it was built by defense contractors. The cutting edge

0:15:14.640 --> 0:15:18.240
<v Speaker 9>AI is coming out of the civilian world, and it's

0:15:18.280 --> 0:15:21.360
<v Speaker 9>a classic dual use technology problem, which is it's starting

0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:23.760
<v Speaker 9>in a civilian space and now it's getting appropriate and

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:28.680
<v Speaker 9>used by the Pentagon, and so it really it's a

0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:34.200
<v Speaker 9>civilian technology that now has this critical national security, you know, value.

0:15:34.400 --> 0:15:37.360
<v Speaker 9>And so that's where this tension is. That both sides

0:15:37.360 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 9>are correct, but the Pentagon does have a lot of

0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:43.280
<v Speaker 9>leverage because it's it's the federal government.

0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:47.160
<v Speaker 3>It's the federal government, and we've been hearing from the

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:49.640
<v Speaker 3>federal government. I just want to hear a little bit

0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:52.520
<v Speaker 3>more from under Sexuary Michael. That's what he told Blomberg

0:15:52.520 --> 0:15:53.680
<v Speaker 3>earlier today. Just take a listen.

0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:57.800
<v Speaker 7>We've been negotiating in good faith on the Department of

0:15:57.880 --> 0:16:02.280
<v Speaker 7>Warside for about three months and we're working pretty diligently,

0:16:02.600 --> 0:16:05.960
<v Speaker 7>and we sent over a proposal that we thought made

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:10.600
<v Speaker 7>a lot of concessions to the language that Anthropic wanted,

0:16:10.680 --> 0:16:15.280
<v Speaker 7>and then without any notice, they published an article where

0:16:15.280 --> 0:16:18.000
<v Speaker 7>we thought we were getting close, saying that they were

0:16:18.040 --> 0:16:21.240
<v Speaker 7>breaking off talks well before the deadline, which is generally

0:16:21.280 --> 0:16:24.440
<v Speaker 7>not good partner oriented practice, if you.

0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:27.880
<v Speaker 3>Will and look Panthropic in return, has said that while

0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:31.440
<v Speaker 3>the Pentagonservator's proposal fell short, the company continues to negotiate

0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:35.480
<v Speaker 3>with defense officials and remains committed to working with the military.

0:16:35.560 --> 0:16:38.240
<v Speaker 2>Sarah, So, when you think more broadly.

0:16:37.960 --> 0:16:40.320
<v Speaker 3>And this is an echo of what happened with Google

0:16:40.560 --> 0:16:44.560
<v Speaker 3>years ago, how do you think tech policy can be

0:16:44.640 --> 0:16:49.359
<v Speaker 3>written by the Pentagon, by the government to fit current purposes.

0:16:50.400 --> 0:16:54.400
<v Speaker 9>It is surprising that we're seeing this repeat of twenty eighteen,

0:16:54.440 --> 0:16:58.600
<v Speaker 9>where Google and the CEO seem to have been blindsided

0:16:58.680 --> 0:17:01.960
<v Speaker 9>by the employees reluctance to work with a Pentagon, And

0:17:01.960 --> 0:17:04.560
<v Speaker 9>here we are eight years later, and it seems like

0:17:04.600 --> 0:17:08.159
<v Speaker 9>a repeat of this that could have been avoided. But

0:17:08.240 --> 0:17:11.200
<v Speaker 9>I think if we put ourselves in the position of

0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:13.880
<v Speaker 9>how quickly AI has been moving in the last couple

0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:18.040
<v Speaker 9>of years, you can see how this just becomes kind

0:17:18.040 --> 0:17:20.919
<v Speaker 9>of a somehow new territory, even though it feels like

0:17:20.920 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 9>we've been here before. And so I think, what was

0:17:23.280 --> 0:17:26.200
<v Speaker 9>happening last you know, the last year or two, AI

0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:29.200
<v Speaker 9>was moving so quickly. The Pentagon is moving quickly, trying

0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:32.159
<v Speaker 9>to do things differently, and you can see then why

0:17:32.760 --> 0:17:34.600
<v Speaker 9>you know? And I worked in the acquisition business in

0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:36.640
<v Speaker 9>the Air Force, and there was always this question, why

0:17:36.680 --> 0:17:38.720
<v Speaker 9>can't we move faster? This is why you can't move

0:17:38.760 --> 0:17:42.719
<v Speaker 9>faster is because things with the federal government and national

0:17:42.720 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 9>security and classified work and removing leaders from Venezuela are

0:17:47.520 --> 0:17:50.320
<v Speaker 9>just not the same as coming up with a grocery

0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:53.560
<v Speaker 9>list for yourself at home with chatch Ebt or in

0:17:53.600 --> 0:17:56.320
<v Speaker 9>this case, Claude Daria.

0:17:56.400 --> 0:17:59.120
<v Speaker 3>Armide has been very clear that he thinks more about

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:02.040
<v Speaker 3>the implications of grocery list, and he's written about the

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:05.440
<v Speaker 3>adolescence of technology, written large at the beginning of this year,

0:18:05.520 --> 0:18:09.200
<v Speaker 3>thinking about the geopolitical implications, the implications for ethics for

0:18:09.720 --> 0:18:13.239
<v Speaker 3>our world of work going forward. Sarah, just tell us

0:18:13.240 --> 0:18:16.120
<v Speaker 3>a little bit about where you think there might be

0:18:17.119 --> 0:18:18.400
<v Speaker 3>any room for agreement.

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:20.600
<v Speaker 2>Can the Pentagon go as.

0:18:20.480 --> 0:18:24.359
<v Speaker 3>Far as to agree, as with Dariamide's desire to not

0:18:24.640 --> 0:18:27.960
<v Speaker 3>have surveillance of US citizens or not use models for

0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:30.639
<v Speaker 3>autonomous lethal strikes without human in the loop. Is that

0:18:30.760 --> 0:18:33.639
<v Speaker 3>ever something that they could be specific enough about.

0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:36.760
<v Speaker 9>I think it's a great question, and I think that's

0:18:36.760 --> 0:18:40.320
<v Speaker 9>the reluctance of anthropic which is that the US has

0:18:40.320 --> 0:18:43.680
<v Speaker 9>been saying, we are we one is to use AI,

0:18:43.840 --> 0:18:47.280
<v Speaker 9>use cloud for any lawful use, and it's not lawful

0:18:47.560 --> 0:18:50.399
<v Speaker 9>to use autonomous weapons, and it's not lawful to do

0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:53.919
<v Speaker 9>mass surveillance. So what's the problem here. I think the worry,

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:58.080
<v Speaker 9>probably from the perspective of Anthropic is that slippery slope.

0:18:58.119 --> 0:19:00.280
<v Speaker 9>What does it mean to be fully autonomous? What does

0:19:00.320 --> 0:19:02.400
<v Speaker 9>it mean to do mass surveillance? And so I think

0:19:02.440 --> 0:19:05.399
<v Speaker 9>that's that great. What they think is gray area that

0:19:05.440 --> 0:19:07.640
<v Speaker 9>they want to be very careful about. And I think

0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:11.240
<v Speaker 9>the view has been that they would rather be trying

0:19:11.280 --> 0:19:15.040
<v Speaker 9>to influence safe use of AI from the inside rather

0:19:15.240 --> 0:19:19.560
<v Speaker 9>than take a sanctimonious perspective and be on the outside

0:19:19.600 --> 0:19:23.560
<v Speaker 9>and not be able to influence the implementation and deployment

0:19:23.600 --> 0:19:26.080
<v Speaker 9>of AI. And so I think that's what they're trying

0:19:26.119 --> 0:19:29.040
<v Speaker 9>to do. And so for the Anthropics leverage, I think

0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:31.159
<v Speaker 9>is that their model is really good and that the

0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:34.840
<v Speaker 9>Pentagon wants to use it. So my expectation would be

0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:40.600
<v Speaker 9>that they probably will find some middle ground here. Before

0:19:40.680 --> 0:19:41.400
<v Speaker 9>five pm.

0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:45.920
<v Speaker 3>Today, Sarah Craps of the Tech Policy Institute at Cornell University,

0:19:46.280 --> 0:19:48.879
<v Speaker 3>we thank you very much. Indeed, now we just want

0:19:48.960 --> 0:19:52.359
<v Speaker 3>to bring you some breaking news from a Trump post

0:19:52.920 --> 0:19:56.480
<v Speaker 3>on truth social So President Trump posting about an FTC

0:19:57.000 --> 0:20:00.879
<v Speaker 3>letter to Apple. Now Trump is posting FTC letter to

0:20:00.920 --> 0:20:04.840
<v Speaker 3>Apple on Apple News's political actions. The FTC wrote to

0:20:04.840 --> 0:20:08.200
<v Speaker 3>Apple on Februy the twelfth, regarding Apple News, we're off

0:20:08.200 --> 0:20:10.119
<v Speaker 3>by one point six percent. Will bring you any further

0:20:10.800 --> 0:20:14.679
<v Speaker 3>details regarding that post, It is just simply a post

0:20:14.760 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 3>of what the FTC has written to the CEO, Tim

0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:21.840
<v Speaker 3>Cook and the fact that it's nation's consumer protection agency

0:20:21.880 --> 0:20:24.800
<v Speaker 3>responsible for protecting the American consumer and they're looking to

0:20:25.480 --> 0:20:28.600
<v Speaker 3>look Apple News as one of Apple's many products and

0:20:28.640 --> 0:20:32.040
<v Speaker 3>services coming up, the Hollywood drama to buy Warner Brothers

0:20:32.040 --> 0:20:35.359
<v Speaker 3>reaches it too climax, but as Netflix bows out, story

0:20:35.400 --> 0:20:35.800
<v Speaker 3>isn't over.

0:20:36.000 --> 0:20:37.560
<v Speaker 2>We're on that next to suplomleg Tech.

0:20:42.920 --> 0:20:46.160
<v Speaker 3>Netflix has dropped its bid for Warner Brothers Discovery, clearing

0:20:46.200 --> 0:20:48.879
<v Speaker 3>the way for Paramount Skynounce to clinch its deal for

0:20:48.960 --> 0:20:51.760
<v Speaker 3>the home of Bugs, Parney and Superman Now. In a statement,

0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:54.639
<v Speaker 3>Netflix's co CEOs said the price to match Paramount had

0:20:54.640 --> 0:20:57.920
<v Speaker 3>gotten too high and investors rewarding that move. Just check

0:20:57.920 --> 0:21:00.720
<v Speaker 3>out the shares and let's get the details. Bruemugs Luka

0:21:00.760 --> 0:21:03.040
<v Speaker 3>sure who leads our entertainment coverage? Did it come as

0:21:03.040 --> 0:21:03.480
<v Speaker 3>a surprise?

0:21:05.000 --> 0:21:08.080
<v Speaker 10>The speed with which Netflix pulled out came as a surprise.

0:21:08.160 --> 0:21:11.359
<v Speaker 10>You know, there'd been a growing suspicion over the last

0:21:11.400 --> 0:21:14.399
<v Speaker 10>week that this was tilting right. Warner Brothers had selected

0:21:14.440 --> 0:21:17.920
<v Speaker 10>the Netflix bid in December. Over the last couple of months,

0:21:17.960 --> 0:21:20.240
<v Speaker 10>Paramount had waged this campaign to change it. For most

0:21:20.280 --> 0:21:22.600
<v Speaker 10>of that time, it still seemed like Netflix was the

0:21:22.640 --> 0:21:25.520
<v Speaker 10>clear front runner. But over the last week, you know,

0:21:25.560 --> 0:21:28.760
<v Speaker 10>Paramount made a bid that Warner Brothers thought was better,

0:21:28.960 --> 0:21:31.639
<v Speaker 10>and people started to get the feeling that, you know,

0:21:31.680 --> 0:21:33.520
<v Speaker 10>that Netflix was having second thoughts. But I think the

0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:35.399
<v Speaker 10>speed with which it all came together on Thursday was

0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 10>a real.

0:21:35.640 --> 0:21:37.919
<v Speaker 3>Surprise, and it came straight after the meeting at the

0:21:37.920 --> 0:21:41.840
<v Speaker 3>White House with Ted surroundos. Can we interpret anything from

0:21:41.840 --> 0:21:44.440
<v Speaker 3>a political perspective, look.

0:21:44.200 --> 0:21:47.560
<v Speaker 10>I think the political pressure that Paramount brought to Bayar

0:21:47.640 --> 0:21:49.840
<v Speaker 10>definitely had an influence. It made a lot of Warner

0:21:49.840 --> 0:21:52.919
<v Speaker 10>Brothers shareholders believe that the Netflix deal was going to

0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 10>take a long time and be more complicated, and maybe

0:21:55.040 --> 0:21:57.959
<v Speaker 10>be more interested in the Paramount deal. But I wouldn't

0:21:58.000 --> 0:22:01.200
<v Speaker 10>read too much into the meeting yesterday. I don't think

0:22:01.200 --> 0:22:03.160
<v Speaker 10>it's like Ted Sarando's walk into the White House, came

0:22:03.160 --> 0:22:05.280
<v Speaker 10>away saying, oh, we can't do it, and then pulled out.

0:22:05.320 --> 0:22:07.840
<v Speaker 10>I think Netflix had been sort of ga building to

0:22:07.880 --> 0:22:09.240
<v Speaker 10>this point for a little while.

0:22:09.440 --> 0:22:12.520
<v Speaker 3>And now all eyes on the Ellisons and what's next.

0:22:12.600 --> 0:22:16.000
<v Speaker 3>Luca Shaw, thank you so much for jumping on that news. Meanwhile,

0:22:16.040 --> 0:22:20.000
<v Speaker 3>coming up, Jack Dorsey and as is huge jub plots

0:22:20.040 --> 0:22:22.760
<v Speaker 3>over at Block as a fintech makes a big bet

0:22:22.800 --> 0:22:25.320
<v Speaker 3>on AI, but is AI really the only catalyst for

0:22:25.359 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 3>these job cuts at Block We're on that Next. This

0:22:28.119 --> 0:22:38.520
<v Speaker 3>is bluembg Tech. Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech, checking in

0:22:38.560 --> 0:22:41.320
<v Speaker 3>on these markets, checking in on individual names. To the

0:22:41.359 --> 0:22:44.120
<v Speaker 3>downside after earnings. This time it's core weave off by

0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:46.439
<v Speaker 3>nineteen percent. We haven't seen this sort of fall in

0:22:46.520 --> 0:22:48.800
<v Speaker 3>six months for the Neo cloud. And this is as

0:22:48.840 --> 0:22:52.080
<v Speaker 3>their couple expenditure continues to balloon to thirty to thirty

0:22:52.080 --> 0:22:53.920
<v Speaker 3>five billion dollars for the year that was more than the.

0:22:53.840 --> 0:22:55.000
<v Speaker 2>Market had anticipated.

0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:57.280
<v Speaker 3>They're also posting a bigger loss than had been thought,

0:22:57.480 --> 0:23:00.520
<v Speaker 3>even though revenue did climb. Look again and trade to

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:03.359
<v Speaker 3>the CEO saying, this is our business model. We build

0:23:03.560 --> 0:23:05.960
<v Speaker 3>because we've already got the orders from the likes of Microsoft,

0:23:05.960 --> 0:23:10.359
<v Speaker 3>from the likes of other key cloud demand and GPU demanders.

0:23:10.440 --> 0:23:13.320
<v Speaker 3>But for now the market still wants more proof point

0:23:13.320 --> 0:23:15.480
<v Speaker 3>and we're lower. As move on to some individual names

0:23:15.520 --> 0:23:17.120
<v Speaker 3>also on the move on the back of that big

0:23:17.160 --> 0:23:18.200
<v Speaker 3>private market deal.

0:23:18.400 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm looking what's happening to this points of nim video.

0:23:20.880 --> 0:23:23.119
<v Speaker 3>We're off by three points, We're down by two percent

0:23:23.480 --> 0:23:25.720
<v Speaker 3>for the giant, Yes, second day running that we're on

0:23:25.720 --> 0:23:28.560
<v Speaker 3>the downside after its earnings. But crucially it's putting thirty

0:23:28.560 --> 0:23:31.160
<v Speaker 3>billion dollars of its own money into open Ai. Now

0:23:31.200 --> 0:23:32.880
<v Speaker 3>does that come in the form of GPUs we get

0:23:32.880 --> 0:23:35.240
<v Speaker 3>to understand. But really this is as we understand that

0:23:35.280 --> 0:23:37.800
<v Speaker 3>we are gu see Amazon lent on more by open ais.

0:23:37.840 --> 0:23:40.159
<v Speaker 3>They put fifty billion dollars into this one hundred and

0:23:40.160 --> 0:23:42.840
<v Speaker 3>ten billion dollar funding round for open Ai. Does that

0:23:42.880 --> 0:23:44.800
<v Speaker 3>mean that we're dependent less on a video more on

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:47.800
<v Speaker 3>Amazon's own chips and cloud. Certainly Microsoft to the downside

0:23:47.840 --> 0:23:50.440
<v Speaker 3>as people start to interpret that that relationship between open

0:23:50.480 --> 0:23:53.240
<v Speaker 3>air and Microsoft is continuing to untangle.

0:23:53.359 --> 0:23:55.520
<v Speaker 2>We get all more about Capex.

0:23:55.080 --> 0:23:57.840
<v Speaker 3>And the likes with bluemeg Equity's reporter around Verstelica, who

0:23:57.880 --> 0:24:02.080
<v Speaker 3>you've been singling out how cheap and video has become.

0:24:02.400 --> 0:24:04.600
<v Speaker 3>But after its earnings, we are still trying to find

0:24:04.640 --> 0:24:06.680
<v Speaker 3>the proof point then it still is going to dominate

0:24:06.720 --> 0:24:08.040
<v Speaker 3>market share like it always has.

0:24:08.119 --> 0:24:09.000
<v Speaker 6>Maybe this deal with.

0:24:08.960 --> 0:24:12.000
<v Speaker 3>Open Ai on Amazon showing that perhaps we can't depend

0:24:12.000 --> 0:24:12.640
<v Speaker 3>on that so much.

0:24:13.720 --> 0:24:15.840
<v Speaker 11>Hey, good morning, thanks for having me. Yeah, I say

0:24:15.840 --> 0:24:18.600
<v Speaker 11>that's become a growing concern. So even though in Vidia

0:24:18.680 --> 0:24:22.119
<v Speaker 11>continues to grow pretty rapidly, it's multiple is getting pretty cheap.

0:24:22.400 --> 0:24:26.600
<v Speaker 11>We are seeing a number of competitors, including its own customers,

0:24:26.880 --> 0:24:30.360
<v Speaker 11>showing pretty good success with their own internal chip offerings.

0:24:30.359 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 11>Obviously we have Alphabet with its TPU chips. You mentioned

0:24:33.840 --> 0:24:36.159
<v Speaker 11>Amazon this morning and the deal that they have with

0:24:36.240 --> 0:24:38.960
<v Speaker 11>open Ai. This just shows that even though in Vidia

0:24:39.240 --> 0:24:41.959
<v Speaker 11>looks like the results in their just overall trends are

0:24:42.000 --> 0:24:44.800
<v Speaker 11>pretty positive, there you still have a lot of concern

0:24:44.800 --> 0:24:47.800
<v Speaker 11>about how sustainable is this, what is competition going to

0:24:47.880 --> 0:24:49.679
<v Speaker 11>look like, and what does all that mean for how

0:24:49.680 --> 0:24:52.280
<v Speaker 11>we should be interpreting the stocks prospects, especially as we

0:24:52.359 --> 0:24:53.760
<v Speaker 11>look out over the longer term.

0:24:53.920 --> 0:24:57.679
<v Speaker 3>I mean extraordinary because in video posted the seventy percent

0:24:57.760 --> 0:25:00.000
<v Speaker 3>growth in revenue said that it's going to be accelerated

0:25:00.280 --> 0:25:01.439
<v Speaker 3>into fiscal quarter that.

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:03.000
<v Speaker 2>Were currently in RYAN at the moment.

0:25:03.400 --> 0:25:09.240
<v Speaker 3>But this ongoing AI capex uncertainty is also running at

0:25:09.280 --> 0:25:11.640
<v Speaker 3>the same time, you've got the software uncertainty as well.

0:25:11.680 --> 0:25:13.600
<v Speaker 3>Are we what is it that the market needs to

0:25:13.680 --> 0:25:15.320
<v Speaker 3>hear to galvanize some support.

0:25:16.720 --> 0:25:18.920
<v Speaker 11>That is a great question, because it really does seem

0:25:18.960 --> 0:25:20.680
<v Speaker 11>like no matter what part of the market you're looking

0:25:20.680 --> 0:25:22.480
<v Speaker 11>at when it comes to AI, seems like there's just

0:25:22.520 --> 0:25:25.320
<v Speaker 11>sort of growing concerns everywhere. I mean, you mentioned Corewave

0:25:25.400 --> 0:25:28.480
<v Speaker 11>not too long ago, another company that's spending very aggressively,

0:25:28.560 --> 0:25:31.879
<v Speaker 11>and while they're also showing pretty good growth, people are skeptical.

0:25:32.200 --> 0:25:34.119
<v Speaker 11>How much is this spending going to pay off? When

0:25:34.160 --> 0:25:36.360
<v Speaker 11>an't we going to start to see more pronounced returns

0:25:36.359 --> 0:25:38.639
<v Speaker 11>from it? What does the impact all this is having

0:25:38.680 --> 0:25:42.280
<v Speaker 11>on earnings and cash flow and so forth. Major concerns

0:25:42.280 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 11>out there, and then software is a little bit of

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:46.240
<v Speaker 11>a separate issue. But at the same time you have

0:25:46.320 --> 0:25:48.960
<v Speaker 11>this sort of growing adoption of AI, you have sort

0:25:49.000 --> 0:25:53.399
<v Speaker 11>of improved efficiency of these models and more capabilities. What

0:25:53.400 --> 0:25:55.600
<v Speaker 11>does this mean for sort of traditional vendors, and we

0:25:55.640 --> 0:25:58.320
<v Speaker 11>did get some mixed results out of the software group

0:25:58.400 --> 0:26:01.919
<v Speaker 11>this week, companies like Salesforce, into It, Autodesk, all these

0:26:01.920 --> 0:26:04.760
<v Speaker 11>companies coming out painting sort of a mixed picture. I

0:26:04.760 --> 0:26:07.240
<v Speaker 11>think I'll just flag a duo Lingo, So maybe a

0:26:07.240 --> 0:26:08.919
<v Speaker 11>little bit of a separate thing here, but the language

0:26:08.960 --> 0:26:12.120
<v Speaker 11>learning software company that desk stock is plummeting today because

0:26:12.160 --> 0:26:14.960
<v Speaker 11>they give a weaker than expected outlook, and that looks

0:26:15.000 --> 0:26:17.040
<v Speaker 11>like one where people are just sort of looking and saying, like,

0:26:17.240 --> 0:26:19.200
<v Speaker 11>what is the demand for this kind of service going

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:21.640
<v Speaker 11>to be in a world where we have AI providing

0:26:21.720 --> 0:26:24.240
<v Speaker 11>auto translation sort of services out there. So that is

0:26:24.280 --> 0:26:26.639
<v Speaker 11>just sort of I think indicative of just the growing

0:26:26.680 --> 0:26:28.120
<v Speaker 11>concern and fear out there.

0:26:28.840 --> 0:26:32.240
<v Speaker 3>Joe Lingo off by fifteen percent and the moment ran Vasilika,

0:26:32.280 --> 0:26:35.320
<v Speaker 3>thanks for bringing us that one. As we think about

0:26:35.320 --> 0:26:37.800
<v Speaker 3>how powerful these models have become. Just take a look

0:26:37.840 --> 0:26:40.440
<v Speaker 3>at the two day chart of block shares. We've got

0:26:40.440 --> 0:26:43.080
<v Speaker 3>that huge spike coming after the company which owns Square

0:26:43.119 --> 0:26:46.600
<v Speaker 3>and cash app to a shareholders it plans to cut almost.

0:26:46.240 --> 0:26:49.800
<v Speaker 2>Half of its workforce. Why AI.

0:26:50.200 --> 0:26:52.639
<v Speaker 3>Let's talk about it with Bluebot Fintech report Emily Mason,

0:26:53.119 --> 0:26:54.680
<v Speaker 3>and there is a lot of hand ringing as to

0:26:54.680 --> 0:26:58.320
<v Speaker 3>whether this is AI washing or actual AI productivity Emily,

0:26:58.359 --> 0:27:00.640
<v Speaker 3>but first of all gives us the fact, what did

0:27:00.680 --> 0:27:01.640
<v Speaker 3>Jack Dawsey announce.

0:27:03.000 --> 0:27:04.200
<v Speaker 12>I mean, he is.

0:27:04.119 --> 0:27:06.200
<v Speaker 13>Really saying that this is driven by AI. They've made

0:27:06.200 --> 0:27:08.439
<v Speaker 13>a lot of investments in their internal tools like Goose,

0:27:08.640 --> 0:27:11.320
<v Speaker 13>which are meant to help employees across the board operate

0:27:11.359 --> 0:27:14.159
<v Speaker 13>more efficiently. So they were really trying to communicate that

0:27:14.200 --> 0:27:16.240
<v Speaker 13>this is coming from a position of strength and that

0:27:16.480 --> 0:27:18.600
<v Speaker 13>you know, it's a bet on AI making them more efficient.

0:27:19.000 --> 0:27:22.040
<v Speaker 13>I think they're getting a lot of skepticism that you know,

0:27:22.040 --> 0:27:25.000
<v Speaker 13>they hired really aggressively over Covid and similar to a

0:27:25.000 --> 0:27:26.960
<v Speaker 13>lot of their peers, and you know, maybe they needed

0:27:26.960 --> 0:27:27.480
<v Speaker 13>to reduce some.

0:27:27.440 --> 0:27:30.520
<v Speaker 3>Blow when they say a position of strength. I think

0:27:30.560 --> 0:27:34.399
<v Speaker 3>the CFO was talking about how they've seen more than

0:27:34.440 --> 0:27:36.880
<v Speaker 3>twenty percent growth in their gross profit for the core

0:27:36.920 --> 0:27:39.960
<v Speaker 3>to they just talked about his Jack Dorsey discussing how they, yeah.

0:27:39.760 --> 0:27:41.040
<v Speaker 2>They did over hire in COVID.

0:27:41.080 --> 0:27:43.960
<v Speaker 3>He admitted that, but they also feel that they've been

0:27:44.080 --> 0:27:46.639
<v Speaker 3>pretty well run. That's something that I've been hearing echoed

0:27:46.680 --> 0:27:50.960
<v Speaker 3>by Annus as well, that compared to other payment companies. Actually,

0:27:51.000 --> 0:27:54.000
<v Speaker 3>they're pretty profitable on a per employee basis, on a

0:27:54.000 --> 0:27:56.399
<v Speaker 3>one year basis, it's been more volatile for the stock,

0:27:56.480 --> 0:27:59.119
<v Speaker 3>so Emii painter as as to what the reaction is

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:02.240
<v Speaker 3>going to be like and how you actually let go

0:28:02.359 --> 0:28:05.720
<v Speaker 3>of that many people, four thousand all in one shop.

0:28:06.640 --> 0:28:09.400
<v Speaker 13>I mean, that's part of what made it so surprising, right,

0:28:09.520 --> 0:28:12.199
<v Speaker 13>is like it's not totally clear what pushed them to

0:28:12.200 --> 0:28:14.879
<v Speaker 13>make such a dramatic change. If they are performing so well,

0:28:15.840 --> 0:28:18.560
<v Speaker 13>they're really trying to increase their product velocity to keep

0:28:18.640 --> 0:28:20.800
<v Speaker 13>up with competitors. I think people feel like they've done

0:28:20.800 --> 0:28:22.919
<v Speaker 13>a good job of that, catching up with Toast as

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:25.679
<v Speaker 13>far as future parity for serving restaurants, which has been

0:28:25.680 --> 0:28:28.879
<v Speaker 13>a focus area for them on the square side. So

0:28:28.960 --> 0:28:30.600
<v Speaker 13>I think that's kind of where they are, and they're

0:28:30.680 --> 0:28:33.240
<v Speaker 13>hoping to just continue on that trajectory. They've made a

0:28:33.280 --> 0:28:36.000
<v Speaker 13>lot of restructuring changes to kind of operate more efficiently.

0:28:36.000 --> 0:28:38.240
<v Speaker 13>They've gotten a rid of a lot of middle management people,

0:28:39.520 --> 0:28:41.680
<v Speaker 13>and I think part of a question I have is

0:28:41.720 --> 0:28:43.560
<v Speaker 13>like is this the culmination of that? Like are they

0:28:43.560 --> 0:28:45.840
<v Speaker 13>now happy with their organizational structure and are they going

0:28:45.920 --> 0:28:48.760
<v Speaker 13>to be able to just execute without restructuring anymore.

0:28:49.120 --> 0:28:50.160
<v Speaker 2>And that was the argument.

0:28:50.600 --> 0:28:53.600
<v Speaker 3>Don't have wave off the wave, just do it once

0:28:54.120 --> 0:28:57.040
<v Speaker 3>and do it efficiently, shall we say? But still, this

0:28:57.160 --> 0:28:59.760
<v Speaker 3>is a human story, Emily Mason, thanks for bringing it

0:28:59.800 --> 0:29:02.000
<v Speaker 3>to us from Bloc, and therefore let's get you the

0:29:02.040 --> 0:29:05.080
<v Speaker 3>wider human picture here as it intertwined with AI. JP

0:29:05.240 --> 0:29:08.160
<v Speaker 3>Gownder's with us, his vice president and principal analyst, a

0:29:08.280 --> 0:29:11.240
<v Speaker 3>Future of Work team and the research for Forester.

0:29:11.440 --> 0:29:12.760
<v Speaker 2>You've been writing a lot.

0:29:12.560 --> 0:29:15.760
<v Speaker 3>About the potential for AI washing, for companies to blame

0:29:15.800 --> 0:29:17.600
<v Speaker 3>AI and technology for job cuts.

0:29:17.640 --> 0:29:19.600
<v Speaker 2>But what do you interpret Block as.

0:29:20.960 --> 0:29:24.600
<v Speaker 12>I think it's a story in part potentially of AI washing.

0:29:25.160 --> 0:29:28.760
<v Speaker 12>AI washing is incredibly pervasive right now. After all, if

0:29:28.800 --> 0:29:31.160
<v Speaker 12>you lay people off and you say, well, we've just

0:29:31.240 --> 0:29:34.280
<v Speaker 12>become so much more productive because of AI, it makes

0:29:34.320 --> 0:29:37.480
<v Speaker 12>you sound innovative, it makes you sound in control. But

0:29:37.520 --> 0:29:40.080
<v Speaker 12>the truth of the matter is that Block does, as

0:29:40.120 --> 0:29:43.800
<v Speaker 12>you've pointed out, have some other problems. They're down seventy

0:29:43.880 --> 0:29:47.479
<v Speaker 12>five percent from their record high, all time high of stock,

0:29:48.440 --> 0:29:50.920
<v Speaker 12>but they also did over hire during COVID and that

0:29:50.960 --> 0:29:53.800
<v Speaker 12>can't be overlooked. I will say this in the tech

0:29:53.840 --> 0:29:57.640
<v Speaker 12>sector when you have a software developer centric kind of organization,

0:29:58.240 --> 0:30:01.840
<v Speaker 12>there is more potential using AI to fill in for

0:30:01.880 --> 0:30:06.280
<v Speaker 12>productivity because coding is moving in the direction of becoming

0:30:06.960 --> 0:30:08.440
<v Speaker 12>very much generated by AI.

0:30:09.360 --> 0:30:11.959
<v Speaker 3>What caught my attention when I first read the post

0:30:12.080 --> 0:30:16.120
<v Speaker 3>yesterday from Jack Dorsey was he was saying, I'm late,

0:30:16.840 --> 0:30:17.360
<v Speaker 3>I'm not early.

0:30:17.920 --> 0:30:18.920
<v Speaker 2>Others are going to copy me.

0:30:19.000 --> 0:30:21.200
<v Speaker 3>Now do you think there's going to be a copycat

0:30:21.200 --> 0:30:25.240
<v Speaker 3>effect here, particularly from software from tech companies that are

0:30:25.280 --> 0:30:27.320
<v Speaker 3>at the cutting edge of using the latest, greatest front

0:30:27.360 --> 0:30:27.880
<v Speaker 3>end models.

0:30:29.200 --> 0:30:33.040
<v Speaker 12>Probably. I mean there have been quite a few tech layoffs,

0:30:33.200 --> 0:30:36.000
<v Speaker 12>including of developers from some of the biggest firms in

0:30:36.000 --> 0:30:39.200
<v Speaker 12>the world. We've seen Amazon layoff thirty thousand employees over

0:30:39.200 --> 0:30:42.800
<v Speaker 12>the last few months, and it will be happening everywhere.

0:30:42.880 --> 0:30:45.600
<v Speaker 12>But again, all of these companies were in a war

0:30:45.680 --> 0:30:48.640
<v Speaker 12>for talent during COVID, and they were kind of hiring

0:30:48.720 --> 0:30:52.080
<v Speaker 12>everyone they could get their hands on who had talent. Now,

0:30:52.240 --> 0:30:55.880
<v Speaker 12>these newer tools that allow software developers to generate code

0:30:56.160 --> 0:31:00.640
<v Speaker 12>at a much faster pace, well, it does change the economics.

0:31:00.080 --> 0:31:03.360
<v Speaker 3>A bit, but there's still a war for talent, just

0:31:03.400 --> 0:31:04.960
<v Speaker 3>a different kind of war for talent.

0:31:05.400 --> 0:31:06.040
<v Speaker 2>And so I'm.

0:31:05.880 --> 0:31:08.800
<v Speaker 3>Interested as to who there for these companies are fighting

0:31:09.080 --> 0:31:13.600
<v Speaker 3>to hire and who gets let's go in this scenario.

0:31:14.120 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 12>Right, Well, look, I think what we saw that was

0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:20.800
<v Speaker 12>different during COVID is even relatively junior developers were being

0:31:20.840 --> 0:31:23.720
<v Speaker 12>snapped up people straight out of college. And right now

0:31:24.080 --> 0:31:26.840
<v Speaker 12>we know that junior talent is suffering in the job market.

0:31:26.960 --> 0:31:29.680
<v Speaker 12>Very qualified people find it hard to get on that

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:32.920
<v Speaker 12>first rung of the career ladder. Who they're fighting over

0:31:33.040 --> 0:31:36.400
<v Speaker 12>are really the leading edge AI experts and people with

0:31:36.560 --> 0:31:40.840
<v Speaker 12>a lot of hardcore AI experience who are really adept

0:31:40.840 --> 0:31:43.600
<v Speaker 12>at using these tools in a variety of ways and

0:31:43.640 --> 0:31:46.240
<v Speaker 12>who have proven that they could drive some business value.

0:31:46.240 --> 0:31:51.560
<v Speaker 12>Because we know that ROI remains relatively elusive with AI

0:31:52.040 --> 0:31:53.720
<v Speaker 12>rit large at.

0:31:53.600 --> 0:31:56.920
<v Speaker 3>The end of the day, skategoating or not, job cuts

0:31:57.080 --> 0:31:59.800
<v Speaker 3>are still occurring, JP push us forward as to what

0:31:59.840 --> 0:32:02.040
<v Speaker 3>the future of work in your mind's I actually does

0:32:02.080 --> 0:32:05.520
<v Speaker 3>look like. The reason this block announcement had such an

0:32:05.560 --> 0:32:07.760
<v Speaker 3>impact is because it comes on the back of a

0:32:07.800 --> 0:32:10.080
<v Speaker 3>week where we had the Sutrini research to kick it off,

0:32:10.080 --> 0:32:12.200
<v Speaker 3>when we all had this angst about what a dystopian

0:32:12.280 --> 0:32:15.480
<v Speaker 3>two years time looks like. With ten percent unemployment is

0:32:15.480 --> 0:32:17.400
<v Speaker 3>that what you're thinking is a reality.

0:32:19.040 --> 0:32:21.920
<v Speaker 12>So at Forrester we have a forecast. We believe that

0:32:21.960 --> 0:32:26.120
<v Speaker 12>by twenty thirty that AI and automation will take about

0:32:26.160 --> 0:32:28.680
<v Speaker 12>ten million jobs out of the US economy, which is

0:32:28.680 --> 0:32:31.600
<v Speaker 12>about one hundred and sixty million jobs, so that's about

0:32:31.640 --> 0:32:34.920
<v Speaker 12>six point one percent. That is nothing to sneeze at.

0:32:34.960 --> 0:32:38.080
<v Speaker 12>There's real human pain involved there, but it's not the

0:32:38.080 --> 0:32:41.680
<v Speaker 12>apocalypse that some people are talking about. We believe that

0:32:42.120 --> 0:32:46.880
<v Speaker 12>usually AI is augmenting rather than effectively replacing people. And

0:32:46.920 --> 0:32:49.320
<v Speaker 12>if you look beneath the covers and mi T did

0:32:49.320 --> 0:32:52.520
<v Speaker 12>to study, ninety five percent of companies have yet to

0:32:52.560 --> 0:32:55.920
<v Speaker 12>see any tangible return on an investment in a financial

0:32:55.960 --> 0:32:59.160
<v Speaker 12>sense from all the AI investments they've been making over

0:32:59.200 --> 0:33:02.040
<v Speaker 12>the last few years. So we have a sober look.

0:33:02.080 --> 0:33:04.920
<v Speaker 12>It will have an impact. Ten million jobs is not nothing,

0:33:05.320 --> 0:33:07.360
<v Speaker 12>but it is hardly the apocalypse.

0:33:07.520 --> 0:33:08.960
<v Speaker 2>Will it create jobs JP?

0:33:10.440 --> 0:33:13.440
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, there are definitely some new categories, at least of

0:33:13.880 --> 0:33:16.720
<v Speaker 12>skills that are necessary. I mean, did you ever hear

0:33:16.760 --> 0:33:18.720
<v Speaker 12>of a prompt engineer three years ago?

0:33:19.120 --> 0:33:20.640
<v Speaker 2>I know? But are they still needed?

0:33:21.240 --> 0:33:23.920
<v Speaker 3>I thought that was I thought that was last year's issue.

0:33:24.600 --> 0:33:27.080
<v Speaker 12>It certainly was, and now we're moving to who's good

0:33:27.120 --> 0:33:31.600
<v Speaker 12>at agentic AI, but those agents still base their actions

0:33:31.640 --> 0:33:34.600
<v Speaker 12>on a lot of prompting. So prompting hasn't quite gone

0:33:34.600 --> 0:33:37.560
<v Speaker 12>away to the degree that people would lead you to believe.

0:33:37.920 --> 0:33:40.360
<v Speaker 12>But we are indeed moving toward a more agentic world.

0:33:40.960 --> 0:33:44.200
<v Speaker 3>JP Gander, it's great to connect with you today, a forester,

0:33:44.600 --> 0:33:45.840
<v Speaker 3>thank you for the thought leadership.

0:33:46.160 --> 0:33:48.719
<v Speaker 2>Coming up. Thirteen percent.

0:33:49.320 --> 0:33:52.120
<v Speaker 3>That's the amount of the global smartphone market could shrink

0:33:52.640 --> 0:33:56.040
<v Speaker 3>this year. More on that IDC number next Disciplue mag Tech.

0:34:04.760 --> 0:34:07.480
<v Speaker 3>A new report from my DC says the global memory

0:34:07.480 --> 0:34:10.760
<v Speaker 3>crunch will lead to a historic contraction in the smartphone market.

0:34:11.560 --> 0:34:15.040
<v Speaker 3>Nobila popol Scene, a research director at IDC, joins us

0:34:15.040 --> 0:34:15.880
<v Speaker 3>to discuss.

0:34:15.840 --> 0:34:18.520
<v Speaker 2>This next thing. You call it a crisis like no other.

0:34:19.440 --> 0:34:22.040
<v Speaker 3>What's driving it purely the fact that we all need

0:34:22.440 --> 0:34:23.760
<v Speaker 3>memory for data centers.

0:34:25.280 --> 0:34:28.439
<v Speaker 14>Absolutely, I mean it is like no other be because

0:34:28.480 --> 0:34:30.560
<v Speaker 14>we've been through the pandemic, We've been through a really

0:34:30.920 --> 0:34:34.160
<v Speaker 14>volatile year just now, like with a terrorists, and we

0:34:34.239 --> 0:34:36.399
<v Speaker 14>still didn't see a drop like this, right, so this

0:34:36.480 --> 0:34:40.920
<v Speaker 14>is completely different situation. And essentially there is just not

0:34:41.120 --> 0:34:44.120
<v Speaker 14>enough memory for the players that needed. And given that,

0:34:44.239 --> 0:34:47.000
<v Speaker 14>how many different products we need memory in right, So

0:34:47.800 --> 0:34:51.680
<v Speaker 14>that's what's essentially creating the crunch. But more importantly, it's

0:34:51.680 --> 0:34:53.760
<v Speaker 14>not just about the drop now and then the market

0:34:53.760 --> 0:34:56.520
<v Speaker 14>will recover. It's about what makes us really different and

0:34:56.600 --> 0:34:59.759
<v Speaker 14>much more dire for the industry. It's how this is

0:35:00.080 --> 0:35:03.200
<v Speaker 14>going to create a permanent change, a structural reset of

0:35:03.239 --> 0:35:06.160
<v Speaker 14>the entire industry, both in terms of ten So just

0:35:06.239 --> 0:35:08.280
<v Speaker 14>this year, we're looking at about one hundred and sixty

0:35:08.440 --> 0:35:11.440
<v Speaker 14>million units wiped off the market. But even when it

0:35:11.480 --> 0:35:14.640
<v Speaker 14>starts to recover, which as of our assumptions, the situation

0:35:14.800 --> 0:35:17.640
<v Speaker 14>was stabilized somewhat mid twenty seven and we're starting to

0:35:17.680 --> 0:35:21.399
<v Speaker 14>go in positive growth territory, but you're still looking at,

0:35:21.400 --> 0:35:23.480
<v Speaker 14>you know, close to one hundred and sixty million off

0:35:23.480 --> 0:35:26.680
<v Speaker 14>the TEMP. So throughout our forecast we're not expecting the

0:35:26.800 --> 0:35:29.040
<v Speaker 14>TAM to get back to prior you know, twenty twenty

0:35:29.080 --> 0:35:31.680
<v Speaker 14>five levels right within that Again.

0:35:31.560 --> 0:35:34.960
<v Speaker 3>Can I join pan on that TAM Why will it

0:35:35.000 --> 0:35:37.160
<v Speaker 3>be so long term diminished?

0:35:38.920 --> 0:35:42.720
<v Speaker 14>So essentially the U and the reason for the drop

0:35:42.800 --> 0:35:45.600
<v Speaker 14>is how the change in the competitive landscape is going

0:35:45.680 --> 0:35:47.799
<v Speaker 14>to is gonna you know, the impact that it's going

0:35:47.880 --> 0:35:50.120
<v Speaker 14>to take. So where the you know, where is that

0:35:50.120 --> 0:35:52.680
<v Speaker 14>one hundred and sixty million coming from. It's the prices

0:35:52.680 --> 0:35:55.200
<v Speaker 14>of the memory, right, And why we keep saying, I

0:35:55.200 --> 0:35:57.040
<v Speaker 14>mean that have the prices of the memory that are

0:35:57.040 --> 0:35:59.080
<v Speaker 14>shot up up to have been three hundred percent from

0:35:59.120 --> 0:36:02.640
<v Speaker 14>what they were last year, and they're continuing to go higher.

0:36:03.320 --> 0:36:05.680
<v Speaker 14>Memory that used to contribute to about twenty percent of

0:36:05.719 --> 0:36:09.880
<v Speaker 14>a smartphone bomb cost is now anywhere, you know, tripling that.

0:36:09.960 --> 0:36:13.480
<v Speaker 14>So imagine a smartphone that is at below one hundred dollars.

0:36:13.560 --> 0:36:16.040
<v Speaker 14>If the memory costs used to be fifteen twenty dollars

0:36:16.080 --> 0:36:20.200
<v Speaker 14>and that's tripled, it's essentially making below hundred and fifty

0:36:20.200 --> 0:36:24.759
<v Speaker 14>dollars smartphones uneconomical to make anymore. So those OEMs, and

0:36:24.880 --> 0:36:27.600
<v Speaker 14>there are a lot of you know, Android OEMs operating

0:36:27.640 --> 0:36:31.239
<v Speaker 14>in that space with majority of their portfolio, some with

0:36:31.440 --> 0:36:34.560
<v Speaker 14>ninety percent of the portfolio below that, those are the

0:36:34.560 --> 0:36:36.600
<v Speaker 14>ones that are at extreme risk. You know, not to

0:36:36.640 --> 0:36:39.239
<v Speaker 14>say that anyone is immune. Even the larger players like

0:36:39.280 --> 0:36:44.000
<v Speaker 14>Apple and Samsung are going to face higher memory prices,

0:36:44.000 --> 0:36:46.640
<v Speaker 14>but at least they are able to secure the supply,

0:36:46.840 --> 0:36:49.480
<v Speaker 14>and when they get the supply, or at least majority

0:36:49.520 --> 0:36:52.800
<v Speaker 14>of it, they can afford those higher prices, right, because

0:36:52.800 --> 0:36:55.960
<v Speaker 14>their devices have larger margins. It's really those lower end

0:36:55.960 --> 0:36:59.240
<v Speaker 14>Android players that are already operating on you know, racer

0:36:59.280 --> 0:37:01.880
<v Speaker 14>thin margins that's simply not going to be able to

0:37:01.880 --> 0:37:04.360
<v Speaker 14>make those phones, those below one hundred and fifty dollars phones.

0:37:04.440 --> 0:37:06.320
<v Speaker 3>So it feels a bit like it's the emerging markets

0:37:06.360 --> 0:37:07.799
<v Speaker 3>that are going to be hit the most in terms

0:37:07.800 --> 0:37:10.360
<v Speaker 3>of en demand in terms of low cost phones.

0:37:10.400 --> 0:37:11.880
<v Speaker 2>Can we not innovate our way out of this?

0:37:13.400 --> 0:37:15.160
<v Speaker 14>You know I would, and I think I said that

0:37:15.239 --> 0:37:18.759
<v Speaker 14>earlier to someone that we are. You know, this is

0:37:18.800 --> 0:37:21.280
<v Speaker 14>going to be a time of like survival of the fittest,

0:37:21.320 --> 0:37:23.759
<v Speaker 14>where the of course, the larger players are going to

0:37:23.800 --> 0:37:26.200
<v Speaker 14>be able to secure their supply and leverage their you know,

0:37:26.320 --> 0:37:30.160
<v Speaker 14>their margins to be able to absorb some of the costs.

0:37:30.360 --> 0:37:33.760
<v Speaker 14>But we're you know, we always see, right at times

0:37:33.760 --> 0:37:36.359
<v Speaker 14>of crisis is when the biggest innovations come out, right,

0:37:36.480 --> 0:37:39.120
<v Speaker 14>So you know, we're curious to see and we're already

0:37:39.120 --> 0:37:42.640
<v Speaker 14>hearing of some of the lower OEMs either resorting to

0:37:43.080 --> 0:37:46.440
<v Speaker 14>use devices to get the RAM from that or you know,

0:37:46.560 --> 0:37:50.560
<v Speaker 14>and memory from older phones. But you know, we still

0:37:50.560 --> 0:37:53.960
<v Speaker 14>don't think it'll be enough to overt the drop that

0:37:54.000 --> 0:37:56.960
<v Speaker 14>we're seeing. The other strategy and mitigation strategy that they're

0:37:57.960 --> 0:38:00.279
<v Speaker 14>thinking about or going to leverage is that they're going

0:38:00.320 --> 0:38:02.160
<v Speaker 14>to try to move up in price segments, right, so

0:38:02.520 --> 0:38:06.760
<v Speaker 14>target above two hundred dollars phones. But again the challenge

0:38:06.760 --> 0:38:08.759
<v Speaker 14>there is that demand there is going to be very

0:38:08.800 --> 0:38:11.320
<v Speaker 14>sensitive because one, there's going to be so much increased

0:38:11.320 --> 0:38:14.759
<v Speaker 14>competition from more established players in those price segments that

0:38:14.800 --> 0:38:17.080
<v Speaker 14>it's going to be really harder part for the low

0:38:17.200 --> 0:38:20.319
<v Speaker 14>end below one hundred dollars brands to be able to

0:38:20.360 --> 0:38:23.280
<v Speaker 14>get demand or consumers to buy their devices above two hundreds.

0:38:23.239 --> 0:38:25.640
<v Speaker 14>So even though they're being ambitious, I think it's going

0:38:25.680 --> 0:38:29.040
<v Speaker 14>to be a big challenge to operate at the same

0:38:29.160 --> 0:38:32.320
<v Speaker 14>volume at higher price segments. So, you know, that brings

0:38:32.320 --> 0:38:34.200
<v Speaker 14>me to my other point. We're not only looking at

0:38:34.239 --> 0:38:38.640
<v Speaker 14>a full competitive landscape change where many players exit and

0:38:38.719 --> 0:38:41.920
<v Speaker 14>you know, share change between the larger players that are remaining,

0:38:42.239 --> 0:38:45.000
<v Speaker 14>but also a complete product mixshift of the industry that

0:38:45.040 --> 0:38:47.200
<v Speaker 14>it's going to last for a long time because even

0:38:47.200 --> 0:38:50.880
<v Speaker 14>when the crisis stabilizes and memory prices go down slightly,

0:38:50.880 --> 0:38:52.719
<v Speaker 14>they're not going to go back to prior levels. So

0:38:52.760 --> 0:38:56.319
<v Speaker 14>it's almost never, you know, permanently uneconomical to make those

0:38:56.320 --> 0:38:58.720
<v Speaker 14>subundred hundred and fifty dollars devices.

0:38:58.320 --> 0:39:00.279
<v Speaker 3>So we can beat a lot of changes. Are we

0:39:00.400 --> 0:39:02.200
<v Speaker 3>going to be keeping our phones for longer? Nibella that

0:39:02.239 --> 0:39:05.920
<v Speaker 3>was already a trend, and yes, exactly.

0:39:05.960 --> 0:39:08.399
<v Speaker 14>So the consumers that are not going to be able

0:39:08.400 --> 0:39:11.560
<v Speaker 14>to afford those higher price segments or higher prices which

0:39:11.600 --> 0:39:13.959
<v Speaker 14>are across the board, not just on law and we're

0:39:14.040 --> 0:39:16.360
<v Speaker 14>you know, some are going to end up resorting to

0:39:16.600 --> 0:39:19.600
<v Speaker 14>you know, keeping their devices longer, or resorting to the

0:39:19.719 --> 0:39:22.520
<v Speaker 14>use market. So there's just so many dynamics at play,

0:39:22.560 --> 0:39:25.760
<v Speaker 14>and we're eager to see how OEMs and consumers adapt.

0:39:25.840 --> 0:39:29.480
<v Speaker 14>But it's going to be a very challenging couple of years.

0:39:30.280 --> 0:39:33.239
<v Speaker 3>Pope, it was fascinating research Senior research director at I

0:39:33.320 --> 0:39:37.120
<v Speaker 3>d C. Thank you coming up a new way to

0:39:37.120 --> 0:39:40.640
<v Speaker 3>start your weekend. Bloomberg TV is launching Bloomberg this weekend.

0:39:41.000 --> 0:39:42.560
<v Speaker 3>Co host David Gurr is going to be joining us

0:39:42.600 --> 0:39:43.200
<v Speaker 3>for a preview.

0:39:43.840 --> 0:39:44.919
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech.

0:39:52.520 --> 0:39:55.680
<v Speaker 3>NASA shaking up its Ultimism mission to the Moon. The

0:39:55.719 --> 0:39:58.799
<v Speaker 3>Space agency decided to cancel a multi billion dollar Boeing

0:39:58.880 --> 0:40:01.200
<v Speaker 3>upgrade to the centerpiece launch system.

0:40:00.960 --> 0:40:03.600
<v Speaker 2>Rocket and is slotting in a test.

0:40:03.320 --> 0:40:07.320
<v Speaker 3>Fighter fight closer to Earth as the program remains beset

0:40:07.400 --> 0:40:10.080
<v Speaker 3>by delays and coast over ons. Now, even with this

0:40:10.200 --> 0:40:13.200
<v Speaker 3>latest turn of events, NASA insists the twenty twenty eight

0:40:13.200 --> 0:40:18.319
<v Speaker 3>deadline for a lunar touchdown remains unchanged. Meanwhile, there is

0:40:18.360 --> 0:40:21.440
<v Speaker 3>something changing of Bloomberg TV, unveiling a brand new show

0:40:21.440 --> 0:40:22.000
<v Speaker 3>to start.

0:40:21.760 --> 0:40:23.200
<v Speaker 2>Your weekend, Bloomberg this Weekend.

0:40:23.400 --> 0:40:26.400
<v Speaker 3>Joining us is the program's co host, David Gourret, one

0:40:26.440 --> 0:40:30.160
<v Speaker 3>of three and a whole team behind it. David, I

0:40:30.200 --> 0:40:31.480
<v Speaker 3>have a feeling you might be talking for some tech

0:40:31.520 --> 0:40:32.280
<v Speaker 3>stuff this weekend.

0:40:32.360 --> 0:40:34.960
<v Speaker 15>Indeed we will, so there'll be plenty of tech stuff,

0:40:35.440 --> 0:40:37.640
<v Speaker 15>certainly watching what's been happening with the Pentagon and Anthropic,

0:40:37.640 --> 0:40:39.840
<v Speaker 15>and also the private credit story continues to be royaling

0:40:39.840 --> 0:40:42.799
<v Speaker 15>as well. So I think it highlights why we're doing

0:40:42.800 --> 0:40:45.719
<v Speaker 15>this program. That is, it doesn't seem like everything is

0:40:45.719 --> 0:40:47.799
<v Speaker 15>contained in a Monday through Friday week anymore. It seems

0:40:47.800 --> 0:40:49.640
<v Speaker 15>like it starts to build even more at the tail

0:40:49.719 --> 0:40:52.200
<v Speaker 15>end of Friday going into the weekend. So between that,

0:40:52.239 --> 0:40:54.319
<v Speaker 15>what's happening in tech, private credit, and then of course

0:40:54.320 --> 0:40:55.480
<v Speaker 15>what's happening in geopolitics.

0:40:55.480 --> 0:40:57.239
<v Speaker 16>I think it has the makings for very busy launch

0:40:57.280 --> 0:40:57.839
<v Speaker 16>weekend for US.

0:40:57.880 --> 0:41:02.720
<v Speaker 3>I blame Crypto, Yes, they started throughout the week and vibes,

0:41:03.080 --> 0:41:05.040
<v Speaker 3>but what we like to do on a weekend is

0:41:05.080 --> 0:41:07.040
<v Speaker 3>maybe digest in a different way as kind of a

0:41:07.080 --> 0:41:09.040
<v Speaker 3>sit back approach rather than a lean in. Is that

0:41:09.120 --> 0:41:10.160
<v Speaker 3>kind of the style of the program.

0:41:10.280 --> 0:41:12.520
<v Speaker 15>That is definitely the plan, and of course if something

0:41:12.680 --> 0:41:15.520
<v Speaker 15>major happens, we will change course and accommodate that and

0:41:15.560 --> 0:41:17.960
<v Speaker 15>cover the live news very capably with all of our

0:41:18.000 --> 0:41:19.040
<v Speaker 15>colleagues around the world.

0:41:19.400 --> 0:41:20.560
<v Speaker 16>But having done this.

0:41:20.520 --> 0:41:22.279
<v Speaker 15>Once before hosted a weekend show, I know that the

0:41:22.520 --> 0:41:24.279
<v Speaker 15>importance of it center is largely on being able to

0:41:24.280 --> 0:41:26.480
<v Speaker 15>exhale at the end of the week, think about what's

0:41:26.480 --> 0:41:29.920
<v Speaker 15>happened on Saturday, maybe have some longer conversations about themes

0:41:29.920 --> 0:41:31.840
<v Speaker 15>that have developed over the course of the week, and

0:41:31.880 --> 0:41:33.759
<v Speaker 15>then on Sunday position everyone.

0:41:33.480 --> 0:41:35.200
<v Speaker 16>For the week ahead, set the table for that.

0:41:35.400 --> 0:41:38.640
<v Speaker 15>So it'll be three hours a significant amount of time,

0:41:38.640 --> 0:41:40.360
<v Speaker 15>but we're on TV radio and streaming as well, so

0:41:40.360 --> 0:41:41.960
<v Speaker 15>folks can kind of listen to the show as they

0:41:41.960 --> 0:41:42.759
<v Speaker 15>move about their day.

0:41:43.080 --> 0:41:44.320
<v Speaker 16>They don't have to be stationary in front of the

0:41:44.320 --> 0:41:45.719
<v Speaker 16>television or the radio to do it.

0:41:45.800 --> 0:41:47.960
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I really feel like the themes that have

0:41:48.440 --> 0:41:50.560
<v Speaker 3>engulfed this week in many ways are the themes that

0:41:50.600 --> 0:41:53.719
<v Speaker 3>continue from our tech audience perspective day in day out.

0:41:54.040 --> 0:41:56.239
<v Speaker 3>What does AI mean for the future of work? What

0:41:56.360 --> 0:41:58.279
<v Speaker 3>does it mean in terms of a dystopian future in

0:41:58.320 --> 0:42:01.520
<v Speaker 3>twenty to thirty that is articulated a substack by Satrini

0:42:01.600 --> 0:42:06.000
<v Speaker 3>research We've never heard of before. Sorry Satrinia, But is

0:42:06.040 --> 0:42:09.000
<v Speaker 3>that something you're thinking about? Is that what the audience asking.

0:42:08.680 --> 0:42:09.200
<v Speaker 2>For as well?

0:42:09.280 --> 0:42:09.719
<v Speaker 16>I think so.

0:42:09.760 --> 0:42:11.160
<v Speaker 15>And there's some plus to see that this were at

0:42:11.160 --> 0:42:14.040
<v Speaker 15>the beginning of the evolution of a lot of these things.

0:42:14.040 --> 0:42:16.319
<v Speaker 15>And I think that people are very hungry for all

0:42:16.440 --> 0:42:19.600
<v Speaker 15>kinds of analysis. Yes, the most alarmist and thought provoking,

0:42:20.280 --> 0:42:21.920
<v Speaker 15>but I think there are many opportunities when it comes

0:42:21.960 --> 0:42:23.400
<v Speaker 15>to AI, when it comes to productivity, it comes to

0:42:23.400 --> 0:42:26.120
<v Speaker 15>the economy broadly, kind of sit back and really hear

0:42:26.160 --> 0:42:29.160
<v Speaker 15>interesting conversation about what people are thinking about, where it's headed,

0:42:29.160 --> 0:42:31.359
<v Speaker 15>where it might be headed, where it could be headed,

0:42:31.360 --> 0:42:32.400
<v Speaker 15>and we'll be having those conversations.

0:42:32.520 --> 0:42:33.799
<v Speaker 2>Yes, who can we live?

0:42:34.360 --> 0:42:35.759
<v Speaker 15>Let me fly that We'll have the minority leader of

0:42:35.760 --> 0:42:37.880
<v Speaker 15>the House representatives of King Jeffreys on the show tomorrow,

0:42:38.000 --> 0:42:40.680
<v Speaker 15>and the Democrats have just had a big meeting outside

0:42:40.680 --> 0:42:41.400
<v Speaker 15>of Washington, d C.

0:42:41.520 --> 0:42:43.080
<v Speaker 16>Obviously on the heels of the state of the Union.

0:42:43.480 --> 0:42:45.680
<v Speaker 15>We'll be having a conversation with him about that, the

0:42:45.719 --> 0:42:48.840
<v Speaker 15>Democratic agenda. Certainly we'll get into tech, talk about Iran

0:42:49.040 --> 0:42:51.120
<v Speaker 15>as well as we continue to watch what's happening there

0:42:51.520 --> 0:42:53.160
<v Speaker 15>and the House prepares to vote on a war Powers

0:42:53.200 --> 0:42:57.000
<v Speaker 15>resolution next week. Light stuff, light stuff, There'll be light

0:42:57.040 --> 0:42:57.560
<v Speaker 15>fair as well.

0:42:57.600 --> 0:43:01.880
<v Speaker 2>I don't mean to David Gore. There'll be some laughs.

0:43:02.080 --> 0:43:02.480
<v Speaker 2>I know that.

0:43:02.600 --> 0:43:05.000
<v Speaker 3>With your team, we thank you to be sure tune

0:43:05.040 --> 0:43:08.240
<v Speaker 3>into the premiere of Bloomberg this weekend. That's tomorrow's studying

0:43:08.239 --> 0:43:10.359
<v Speaker 3>at seven A at Easton that does have this edition

0:43:10.400 --> 0:43:12.000
<v Speaker 3>of Bloomberg Tech. But keep an eye on some of

0:43:12.040 --> 0:43:14.160
<v Speaker 3>these stocks. Then now's like one hundred having its worst

0:43:14.200 --> 0:43:18.560
<v Speaker 3>week since March was month in fact of March of

0:43:18.640 --> 0:43:20.759
<v Speaker 3>last year. It's down on the week, it's down on

0:43:20.800 --> 0:43:22.760
<v Speaker 3>the day. In video off by two point two percent.

0:43:22.840 --> 0:43:26.200
<v Speaker 3>Amazon without open Ai, fifty billion dollar funding of one

0:43:26.320 --> 0:43:26.960
<v Speaker 3>hundred and ten.

0:43:27.400 --> 0:43:28.439
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech