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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt and we are back after a

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Speaker 1: losing night. Unfortunately just a little one oh to one.

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Speaker 1: We lose on the Pirates run line. It was a

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Speaker 1: loss in extra innings. Another loss for Paul Schemes as

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Speaker 1: the pot excuse me, as the Pirates simply cannot score

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Speaker 1: to one loss in ten innings. So oh and one

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Speaker 1: down one unit. Now the numbers on your screen should

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Speaker 1: be interesting to you because the Packers are down to

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Speaker 1: minus three for tonight. We like that. If you've not

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Speaker 1: bet it yet, Packers minus three NC State in wake Forest,

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Speaker 1: We're going with the over fifty one and a half.

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Speaker 1: The number is tick back up to fifty two and

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Speaker 1: a half. We like the over fifty one and a

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Speaker 1: half in the college football game and the Packers minus

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Speaker 1: three tonight on Thursday Night Football. I've got two player

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Speaker 1: props and a teaser to give you guys coming up

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Speaker 1: on the Thursday episode of the Daily Juice podcast. But

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Speaker 1: if you didn't play the plays from yesterday. Now you

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Speaker 1: can play them today here for a Thursday for us.

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Speaker 1: Before I give you the prop bets that I like

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Speaker 1: and the teaser played that we're going to make for tonight,

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Speaker 1: see site four. Details. All right, let's get into and Okay,

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Speaker 1: so if you haven't made the bet yet Packers minus three,

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Speaker 1: you might go, well, Matt, why we betting packers minus three?

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Speaker 1: Couple really big stats to tell you about with Matt Lafleur,

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Speaker 1: who is tremendous. He's sixteen and six against the spread

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Speaker 1: in September he's eight and one on the road, but

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Speaker 1: at home he is eight and three against the spread.

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Speaker 1: At home, he is very good in the month of

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Speaker 1: September at lambeau Field. However, though he's eight and oho

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Speaker 1: at home at lambeau Field, Packers since twenty nineteen, Matt

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Speaker 1: Lafloor has been tremendous against the number. Here comes the

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Speaker 1: Commanders in a short week they beat the Giants. Who cares?

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Speaker 1: They got to travel tough to a place that now

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Speaker 1: is going to be rocking on a Thursday night. With

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love taking on Jayden Daniels, should be an awesome

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Speaker 1: quarterback battle between these two teams defenses. I think the

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Speaker 1: Packers defense comes to play. I think the Packers with

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Speaker 1: now with Micah Parsons getting after the quarterback, real problem

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Speaker 1: for Jayden Daniels. No sacks taken by Jordan Love in

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Speaker 1: Week one against the Lions. That is an incredible number here.

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Speaker 1: Teams that take no sacks in week one are forty

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Speaker 1: six thirty two and one ats in week two since

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Speaker 1: two thousand and three, and fifteen and four ats since

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Speaker 1: twenty eighteen. According to Evan Abrams of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: That's a heck of a stat coming up here. Commanders. Look,

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Speaker 1: I'm not high on them. I'm just not. I'm not

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Speaker 1: high on them. Give me the Packers minus three. I

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Speaker 1: like Green Bay tonight. Also, as I mentioned before, like

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Speaker 1: the over in the college game. But let's talk about

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Speaker 1: one thing I do like for the Washington Commanders, and

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Speaker 1: this comes from the prop bet cheat sheet. Jacorey Krosky

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Speaker 1: Merritt scored last week against the Giants. According to the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet, this is a five star play

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Speaker 1: for any time touchdown and while the cover probability is

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Speaker 1: only thirty seven percent, the expected value is plus twenty

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Speaker 1: seven percent and it's plus two forty in the red zone.

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Speaker 1: This guy's gonna get the rock and you have to

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Speaker 1: expect the Washington Commanders to at least put up a

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Speaker 1: couple of touchdowns here up against the Packers. I like

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Speaker 1: it at plus two forty. Jacorey Crosskey Merit anytime touchdown

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Speaker 1: at plus two forty. Let's throw a half a unit

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Speaker 1: down on that to see if we can hit anytime

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Speaker 1: touchdown for the breakout star running back that everybody on

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Speaker 1: the fantasy side has been drooling about, and he did

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Speaker 1: nothing but live up to that hype in week one

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Speaker 1: against the Giants. Let's get another one here for Crosskey Merit.

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Speaker 1: Anytime touchdown at plus two forty for a half a unit,

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Speaker 1: and so what are we doing with the other half

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Speaker 1: a unit? I like Jordan Love. Jordan Love threw for

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Speaker 1: two touchdowns against the Lions. He's projected to throw two

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Speaker 1: touchdowns here by the prop bet cheat sheet up against

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Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders. I don't like the command there's defense

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Speaker 1: at all, whether it be the running attack, you know,

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Speaker 1: the run, stopping the run or stopping the pass. I

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Speaker 1: think they're going to try to gear up though, and

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Speaker 1: really try to take away the run game here for

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Speaker 1: the Packers on our short week. And you have a

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Speaker 1: good two good running backs for the Packers here. And

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Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs has been a machine. He scored a touchdown

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Speaker 1: by the way, in ten consecutive games, so I don't

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Speaker 1: mind that. But it's minus two hundred for him to

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Speaker 1: score a touchdown tonight. That's ridiculous. But so let's maybe

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Speaker 1: get some play action instead. Jordan Love to throw two

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Speaker 1: touchdowns is plus one oh five at hard Rock Bet.

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Speaker 1: More on them here in just one second. Let's go

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love over one and a half touchdown tosses tonight

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Speaker 1: at plus one oh five. Speaking of hard Rock Bet,

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Speaker 1: like I mentioned, you guys can go and get that

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Speaker 1: prop bet at hard Rock Bet if you would like.

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Speaker 1: Sorry in Indiana if you're someone or you have a

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Speaker 1: gambling problem. In want help call one eight hundred and

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Speaker 1: nine with it gambling problem called one hard gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois,

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Speaker 1: and New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee and Virginia. So let's talk

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Speaker 1: about that one teaser bet that we could make. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so two props anytime touchdowns are one for Crossky Merit

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Speaker 1: in time touchdown over one and a half touchdown tosses

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Speaker 1: for Jordan Love. The Cowboys are going to beat the Giants.

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Speaker 1: I don't get the move. You guys can bet the

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Speaker 1: Giants all you want. The Giants stink. Cowboys are a

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Speaker 1: win that game number six or five and a half.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna pull the Cowboys down to a pick. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Cowboys pull them down to a pick. And I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take the total of tonight's game and I'm gonna slide

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Speaker 1: it up to fifty four and a half, crossing the

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Speaker 1: key numbers of fifty two, fifty three, and fifty four

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Speaker 1: and play the under. I don't think Thursday Night Football

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Speaker 1: is going to be the game that we suddenly see

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Speaker 1: a bunch of scoring. Okay. Unders were extremely profitable in

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Speaker 1: Week one in the NFL. We saw so many games

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Speaker 1: go under. So many of them being low scoring. I

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Speaker 1: don't see any reason why we shouldn't see that continue

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Speaker 1: here on Thursday, where these teams will see low scoring game.

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Speaker 1: A low scoring game. I mean, we're talking historic in

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Speaker 1: a lot of ways. I mean, the public went three

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Speaker 1: and thirteen ats, with the five teams that were the

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Speaker 1: favorites going zero to five ATS, which is not good

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Speaker 1: at all. Teams that got sixty plus percentage of the

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Speaker 1: tickets that was reported went one in ten ats. Overs

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Speaker 1: and favorites did not do well at all. I mean

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Speaker 1: twelve and four unders ended Week one twelve and four,

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Speaker 1: tied for the lowest mark of any season since two thousand.

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Speaker 1: If you look at the last twenty years, the other

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Speaker 1: week ones in contingent for the best understarts were twenty three,

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Speaker 1: twenty ten in two thousand and six. In those years,

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Speaker 1: the unders went twenty nine, seventeen and two Week number two.

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Speaker 1: Let's start off here with an under game under fifty

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Speaker 1: four and a half and pull the Cowboys down to

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Speaker 1: a pick and take Dallas. So are plays for today

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Speaker 1: here on a Thursday. Jacorey krossky Merritt anytime touchdown at

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Speaker 1: plus two forty, Jordan Love over one and a half

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Speaker 1: touchdown passes at plus one oh five, the Packers at

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Speaker 1: minus three for tonight, and Green Bay under fifty four

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Speaker 1: and a half teased with the Dallas Cowboys at a

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Speaker 1: pick in over fifty one and a half for US

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Speaker 1: here for the game between Wake Forest and NC State.

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Speaker 1: So pretty big card for US here on a Thursday,

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Speaker 1: because yesterday was pretty much soft with just one play.

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Speaker 1: Got a bunch of bets going here on a Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Let's hopefully have a very good night tonight. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Peroalt. You guys can follow me across all

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Speaker 1: of my socials at sports Talk Matt every morning. Wherever

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Speaker 1: you guys get your podcasts is the Daily Juice