WEBVTT - Bloomberg Daybreak: May 4, 2022 - Hour 1 (Radio)

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<v Speaker 1>Live from the Bloomberg Interactive Burger Studios. This is Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Daybreak for Wednesday, May fourth, two. Coming up this hour,

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<v Speaker 1>Investors brace for the biggest FED decision in decades. Vice

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<v Speaker 1>President Kamala Harris says women's rights are under attack by Republicans.

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<v Speaker 1>A Trump backed candidate wins in Ohio, and Elon Musk

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<v Speaker 1>reportedly planned to take Twitter public again in a few years.

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<v Speaker 1>North Korea has launched another missile. Plus, comedian Dave Chappelle

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<v Speaker 1>was attacked on stage. I'm Michael blar More Ahead, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>John stash Our Sports Double Letters sweep for the max

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<v Speaker 1>eleventh straight win for the Yankees. The Rangers lost Game

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<v Speaker 1>one of the Penguins in triple overtime. That's all training

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<v Speaker 1>ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak on Bloomberg eleven, Free on New York,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg one, Washington, d C, Bloomberg one oh six one, Boston,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg nine sixties and Francisco, Syrias x AM one nine

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<v Speaker 1>team and around the world on Bloomberg Radio dot Com

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<v Speaker 1>and via The Bloomberg Business That Good morning, I'm Nathan

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<v Speaker 1>Hager and I'm Karen Moscow and US Dock Index futures

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<v Speaker 1>are higher this morning. We are coming up to find

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<v Speaker 1>out what on Wall Street, and we check the markets

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<v Speaker 1>every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day on Bloomberg and

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<v Speaker 1>right now, SNP futures are up eleven points down Future

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<v Speaker 1>is up seventy three and nasdack future is up twenty three.

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<v Speaker 1>The ten year treasury up to thirty seconds, he L

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<v Speaker 1>two point nine six percent, and the yield on the

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<v Speaker 1>two year two point seven eight percent, and nine X

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<v Speaker 1>screwed oil is up three and a third percent. It's

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<v Speaker 1>at a hundred five dollars eighty five cents of barrel. Nathan, Karen,

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<v Speaker 1>we begin this busy morning with the most widely anticipated

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<v Speaker 1>Fed decision in years. Today's rate hike is just the beginning.

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<v Speaker 1>That's according to former I m F Chief economist Kenneth Rogoff.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the idea that just to three percent would

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<v Speaker 1>be enough really unlikely. I think they're going to have

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<v Speaker 1>to raise interest rates to four or five percent to

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<v Speaker 1>bring inflation down to two and a half for three

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<v Speaker 1>Former I m F Chief economist Kenneth Rogoff says inflation

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<v Speaker 1>is now running it more than three times the central

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<v Speaker 1>banks two percent target. We get more on this afternoon's

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<v Speaker 1>FED decision from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. There may be more

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<v Speaker 1>questions about how the markets will react to the FED

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<v Speaker 1>than about what the Fed will do. A half percentage

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<v Speaker 1>point rate hike is all but certain. The Fed will

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<v Speaker 1>also outline how and when it will begin reducing the

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<v Speaker 1>size of its balance sheet, but it already put most

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<v Speaker 1>of those details into the minutes of their March meeting.

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<v Speaker 1>Investors have already priced in both outcomes, so any market

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<v Speaker 1>move likely depends on the Fed, particularly Chairman j Powell

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<v Speaker 1>offering specific future guidance saying perhaps the Central Bank will

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<v Speaker 1>raise rates by the same amount several times in a row,

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<v Speaker 1>or Powell delivering a surprise, say, suggesting seventy five bases

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<v Speaker 1>point hikes could be on the horizon. Michael McKee, Bloomberg Debris. Alright, Mike, thanks, So,

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<v Speaker 1>of course we will have full coverage and analysis of

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<v Speaker 1>the FED decision beginning at one pm Wall Street Time

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<v Speaker 1>on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance. Well, the other

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<v Speaker 1>big issue in Washington right now, Nathan, is abortion rights,

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<v Speaker 1>following news that the Supreme Court may strike down Roe v. Wade.

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<v Speaker 1>Vice President Kamala Harris is warning that women's rights are

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<v Speaker 1>under attack. How dare they tell a woman what she

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<v Speaker 1>can do and cannot do with her own body? How

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<v Speaker 1>dare they? How dare they try to stop her from

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<v Speaker 1>determining her own future. Vice President Harris spoke at the

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<v Speaker 1>annual Emily's List conference in Washington. John del Volpe as

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<v Speaker 1>director of polling at the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics,

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<v Speaker 1>and he says the leaked opinion could reshape the midterm elections.

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<v Speaker 1>This is likely to be highly motivational for specifically young

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<v Speaker 1>people who are unsure whether or not they're going to participate, because, um,

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<v Speaker 1>they can now see in very tangible ways the difference

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<v Speaker 1>than engagements mix and John de la Volpi of Harvard

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<v Speaker 1>spoke at our Washington correspondent Joe Matthew on Bloomberg's Sound

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<v Speaker 1>on Cash, the show weekdays at five pm Eastern Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>And we should note the Supreme Court has confirmed the

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<v Speaker 1>leaked opinion is authentic, but says it's not the Justice's

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<v Speaker 1>final decision. We have another major political story this morning. Karen,

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<v Speaker 1>a candidate backed by former President Donald Trump, has won

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<v Speaker 1>the Ohio Senate Republican primary. Amy Morris has details from

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<v Speaker 1>our Bloomberg newsroom in Washington. Venture capitalist J. D. Vance

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<v Speaker 1>won the GOP primary in Ohio after trailing in the

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<v Speaker 1>polls just three weeks ago, and he knew who to thank.

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<v Speaker 1>I have absolutely got to thank the President United States

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<v Speaker 1>Donal J. Trump. Ladies and gentlemen. Vance had called Trump

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<v Speaker 1>unfit and noxious. In now he fully embraces him and

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<v Speaker 1>his views. Analysts gosh and against reading too much into

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<v Speaker 1>the outcome of just one race. Trump's endorsements will be

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<v Speaker 1>tested in coming weeks with GOP primaries and states including Pennsylvania,

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<v Speaker 1>North Carolina, and Georgia. In Washington on Maybe Morris Bloomberg daybreak,

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Amy, thank you Now. The latest on the

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<v Speaker 1>war in Europe. Russia is ship doing direction and its

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<v Speaker 1>approach to the invasion of Ukraine, and Bloomberg's at Baxter

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<v Speaker 1>reports this is nearly ten weeks into the war. On

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's military installed in many areas, including just marginal

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<v Speaker 1>gains in the East, Russia is now focused on annexation

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<v Speaker 1>of the areas it is occupied. The Kremlin is installing

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<v Speaker 1>occupation governments, ordering locals to use rubles for transactions. And

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<v Speaker 1>in some cases organizing referendums to open the way for

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<v Speaker 1>full annexation in public. The Kremlin says their advance will

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<v Speaker 1>pick up, but for now this action is necessary. In

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<v Speaker 1>San Francisco, I'm at Baxter Bloomberg Daybreak, alright, ed, Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>On Wall Street Today, earnings continue to roll in For

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<v Speaker 1>a look at some stocks on the move following yesterday's reports,

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<v Speaker 1>were joined live by Bloomberg's John Tucker. Good morning, John,

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Nathan. Lift is poised to wipe out more

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<v Speaker 1>than a quarter of its market valuation after the right

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<v Speaker 1>heiling company's second quarter outlook disappointed. Lift down twenty of

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<v Speaker 1>the pre market. A plant increase in driver incentives could

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<v Speaker 1>weigh on profits. In advanced micro devices gave US strong

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<v Speaker 1>sales for a cast for the current quarter. The chip

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<v Speaker 1>maker continues to make gains in computer data centers a

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<v Speaker 1>m D A five percent in early trading at Starbucks

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<v Speaker 1>reported US results that topped estimates those shares of four percent.

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<v Speaker 1>Live in New York, I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Daybreak, All right, John,

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you. All more news this morning on Elon Musk

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<v Speaker 1>and Twitter. Musk reportedly wants to eventually take Twitter public again,

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<v Speaker 1>and we get the latest live from Bloomberg's Randy too Young.

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Ready Town, Good morning Karen Elon. Musk says

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<v Speaker 1>he's planning to take an I p O of Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>as little as three years after buying it. That's according

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<v Speaker 1>to Dow Jones, which reports Musk is taking talking with investors,

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<v Speaker 1>including private equity firms, to help lower his twenty one

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollar contribution to the deal. Private equity firms typically

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<v Speaker 1>take publicly traded companies private to fix them out of

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<v Speaker 1>the limelight, then within five years they take them public again.

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<v Speaker 1>Live in New York, I'm ranit a Young Bloomberg Daybreak.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, we need to thank you in a programming note.

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<v Speaker 1>Join us this morning when we speak live with JP

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<v Speaker 1>Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Diamond. It's coming up in a

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<v Speaker 1>little more than our six thirty a m. Wall Street

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<v Speaker 1>time on both Bloomberg Radio and television. Future is moving

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit higher on this FED Decision Day, straight ahead,

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<v Speaker 1>your latest local headlines, and the check of sports. This

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg South, five oh seven on Wall Street. We

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<v Speaker 1>got rained this morning fifty degrees in Central Park and

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<v Speaker 1>an accident on the west side Highway northbound headed Deer One.

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<v Speaker 1>Details coming up in traffic. First Michael bar with more

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<v Speaker 1>on what's going on in New York and around the world,

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<v Speaker 1>came Morning Michael, Good Morning Nathan. Protests were held at

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<v Speaker 1>the Tri State area over the League Supreme Court draft

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<v Speaker 1>decision that would be final would overturn Roe v. Wade.

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<v Speaker 1>Sonia Osorio, president of the New York chapter of the

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<v Speaker 1>National Organization for Women, says state lawmakers they're legalized abortion

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<v Speaker 1>several years ago, knowing this day would come, reproductive rights

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<v Speaker 1>activists in Governor Pummo, we worked very hard on that.

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<v Speaker 1>In we finally passed that after several years of hard work,

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<v Speaker 1>and we did that in anticipation of this week document

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<v Speaker 1>and what is ahead of us. Sonya Surio with now

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<v Speaker 1>says men need to do their part to support abortion rights.

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<v Speaker 1>Women do not get pregnant on their own. New York

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<v Speaker 1>Attorney General Letitia James has long been outspoken about defending

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<v Speaker 1>abortion rights. Now she has publicly disclosed that she had

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<v Speaker 1>an abortion herself almost two decades ago. The Democrat told

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<v Speaker 1>an abortion rights rally that she chose to do so

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<v Speaker 1>when she was a newly elected New York City Council member.

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<v Speaker 1>New York Governor Kathy Hkill reacted to the lead opinion,

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<v Speaker 1>this is something that we have fought against for my

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<v Speaker 1>entire life. In fact, this is a battle my mother's generation.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a battle from my generation, my daughter's generation, and

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<v Speaker 1>it seems like even my three day old grandchild, Sophia's generation,

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<v Speaker 1>will have to be fighting this same fight. Something that

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<v Speaker 1>we had thought we had put to bed a long

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<v Speaker 1>time ago, and I refused to go backwards. Governor Local

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<v Speaker 1>spoke while announcing Representative Antonio Delgado will serve as New

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<v Speaker 1>York's next Lieutenant governor. North Korea has fired a ballistic

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<v Speaker 1>missile towards the East Sea from pyong Yang. South Korea

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<v Speaker 1>will inaugurate a new president next week, who is known

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<v Speaker 1>to be hard line against the North. Analysts say North

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<v Speaker 1>Korea's military provocations are likely to grow in the near future.

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<v Speaker 1>Comedian Dave Chappelle was tackled on stage at the Hollywood

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<v Speaker 1>Bowl in Los Angeles. It happened as Chappelle was just

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<v Speaker 1>wrapping up his performance. The man was grabbed and punched

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<v Speaker 1>by security guards. Global News twenty four hours a day

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<v Speaker 1>on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake powered by more than

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<v Speaker 1>twenty hundred journalists and analysts more than a hundred, twenty countries.

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<v Speaker 1>Michael bar this is Bloomberg. Nathan all right, Michael, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you five oh nine on Wall Street. Time for the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Sports up Davire's stunts to showering Hey. Then the

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<v Speaker 1>Rangers first playoff game of the Guard in five years.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a long one. Blue Shirts played a strong

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<v Speaker 1>first period, not something in the second. They let Pittsburgh

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<v Speaker 1>take twenty five shots on gold and score three times

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<v Speaker 1>some Ranger penalties late in the period. Chris Pryder actually

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<v Speaker 1>scored shorthanded, but then the Penguins tied the game, scoring

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<v Speaker 1>with a two man advantage. It was three to three,

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<v Speaker 1>and it stayed that way for the next sixty seven

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<v Speaker 1>minutes of hockey until six minutes into the third overtime

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<v Speaker 1>capping it drifts to the far corner with it up

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<v Speaker 1>the wall. Now back to the point from Melito where

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<v Speaker 1>shot scos get eva Ki plays hero, the Flexi pasties

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<v Speaker 1>circuit and you can slap it on the Broadway marquee.

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<v Speaker 1>The Penguins take Game one and lead this series one.

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<v Speaker 1>Gamed it up xt X in Pittsburgh four three of

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<v Speaker 1>the final. That goal came on the penguins eighty third

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<v Speaker 1>shot of the night. Rangers and their fans thinking about

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<v Speaker 1>what happened with three minutes left in regulation, a Ranger

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<v Speaker 1>goals taken away. After the Penguins challenge, the official ones

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<v Speaker 1>agreed there was goalie interference. Seemed like some evidence that

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<v Speaker 1>it may have been caused by the Pittsburgh defenseman. They're

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<v Speaker 1>back of the Garden for game to tomorrow. Yankees back

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<v Speaker 1>in Toronto tonight, going for another series sweep and a

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<v Speaker 1>twelve win in a row. They pulled away last night

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<v Speaker 1>one nine to one, story in all, nine runs over

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<v Speaker 1>the last quarter and names Aaron Judge got him going

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<v Speaker 1>his eighth home run in the last ten games. Ganks

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<v Speaker 1>put it away with six runs in the seventh. An

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<v Speaker 1>he double header sweep for the Mets over Atlanta, first five,

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<v Speaker 1>four and then three nothing behind Carlos Carrasco NBA Playoffs

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<v Speaker 1>Boston blew out in Milwaukee, Memphis Speed Golden State. John

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<v Speaker 1>Brandt scored forty seven. Both those series tied at one.

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<v Speaker 1>John Stashi Award, Bloomberg Sports, Nathan all Right, John, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you right now. S and p futures are higher by

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<v Speaker 1>seven point. Staff futures up forty seven, NANSAC futures up ten,

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<v Speaker 1>and the tenure treasury is up to thirty seconds. The

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<v Speaker 1>yield two point nine six per cent as we await

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<v Speaker 1>the May decision and expected fifty basis point hike from

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<v Speaker 1>the Fed just ahead the abortion factor and the Trump

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<v Speaker 1>factor in this year's mid term elections. Will speak live

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<v Speaker 1>with Bloomberg Washington correspondent Anne Marie Or during This is

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Bloomberg Day Break, brought to you by the New

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<v Speaker 1>at the Bloomberg Business Outland at Bloomberg Quick Tape is

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<v Speaker 1>a Bloomberg Business Lash and I'm Karen Moscow. US dot

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<v Speaker 1>Index futures are on the rise. This morning, Investors are

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:45.200
<v Speaker 1>bracing for the biggest Federal Reserve interest rate heights since

0:12:45.200 --> 0:12:48.160
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and awaiting more clues on how aggressively the

0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:51.480
<v Speaker 1>federal tackle inflation. We check the markets every fifteen minutes

0:12:51.520 --> 0:12:54.439
<v Speaker 1>throughout the trading day on Bloomberg. Right now, SNP futures

0:12:54.440 --> 0:12:57.640
<v Speaker 1>are up nine points, DW Future is up sixty, nastack

0:12:57.720 --> 0:13:00.520
<v Speaker 1>future is up fourteen. The decks inured many is down

0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:02.839
<v Speaker 1>a third of a percent. The ten your Treasury is

0:13:02.880 --> 0:13:05.400
<v Speaker 1>of one thirty second you two point nine six percent.

0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:08.080
<v Speaker 1>The yield on the two year two point seven nine percent.

0:13:08.480 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 1>NIMEX screwed oil is up three and a third percent

0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:13.040
<v Speaker 1>of three dollars forty four cents at a hundred five

0:13:13.080 --> 0:13:15.719
<v Speaker 1>dollars eighty five cents in barrel. Comex s Gold is

0:13:15.760 --> 0:13:18.360
<v Speaker 1>down to ten percent or three dollars at eighteen sixty

0:13:18.400 --> 0:13:21.360
<v Speaker 1>seven sixty an ounce. The Euro one point oh five

0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:24.680
<v Speaker 1>to four against the dollar, British pound one point to zero,

0:13:25.120 --> 0:13:27.160
<v Speaker 1>and the end is at one thirty point oh seven

0:13:27.160 --> 0:13:30.120
<v Speaker 1>and Bitcoin is up more than three percent at thirty

0:13:30.200 --> 0:13:33.360
<v Speaker 1>eight thousand, nine hundred fifty dollars. And as a Bloomberg

0:13:33.360 --> 0:13:36.240
<v Speaker 1>Business flashow, here's Michael Barrow with more on what's going

0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:38.719
<v Speaker 1>on around the world. Muncle Good morning, Good morning here

0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:41.760
<v Speaker 1>in a Los Angeles protest over to the laked u

0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:44.920
<v Speaker 1>S Supreme Court draft opinion and would throw out Roe v.

0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:48.800
<v Speaker 1>Wade briefly turned into a skirmish with police, who they

0:13:48.840 --> 0:13:52.360
<v Speaker 1>say one officer was injured. Authorities say about two fifty

0:13:52.400 --> 0:13:55.679
<v Speaker 1>people had been marching peacefully four abortion rights before the clash.

0:13:56.080 --> 0:13:59.319
<v Speaker 1>It was the only violence reported among protesters held around

0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:02.320
<v Speaker 1>the country. The largest in Washington, d C. Drew about

0:14:02.320 --> 0:14:04.920
<v Speaker 1>the thousand people to a rally in front of the

0:14:04.960 --> 0:14:08.440
<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court. In a couple of game ones in the

0:14:08.559 --> 0:14:11.920
<v Speaker 1>NHL playoffs, the Rangers lost in triple over time to

0:14:12.000 --> 0:14:14.720
<v Speaker 1>the Penguins for three. The Capitols beat the Panthers four

0:14:14.760 --> 0:14:18.160
<v Speaker 1>to In the NBA playoffs, the Celtics are tied at

0:14:18.200 --> 0:14:21.040
<v Speaker 1>a game each after beating the Bucks one oh nine six.

0:14:21.440 --> 0:14:24.480
<v Speaker 1>The Warriors lost to the Grizzlies in Game two one

0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:27.080
<v Speaker 1>oh six, one oh one. That series is even at

0:14:27.080 --> 0:14:29.600
<v Speaker 1>a game of peace. Global News twenty four hours a

0:14:29.720 --> 0:14:32.560
<v Speaker 1>day on air and on Bloomberg Quickdake, powered by more

0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 1>than twenty seven hundred journalists analysts more than dwenty countries.

0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:39.360
<v Speaker 1>I'm Michael bar This is Bloomberg. Nathan. Hi, Michael, thank you.

0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:42.119
<v Speaker 1>It's five nineteen on Wall Street Live from the Bloomberg

0:14:42.120 --> 0:14:45.800
<v Speaker 1>Interactive Broker Studios. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Let's get more

0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:48.320
<v Speaker 1>now on that late Supreme Court decision on Roe v.

0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:51.040
<v Speaker 1>Wade and its potential impact on the mid term elections.

0:14:51.080 --> 0:14:54.000
<v Speaker 1>For that, we're joined by Bloomberg Washington correspondent Emory hord

0:14:54.040 --> 0:14:58.280
<v Speaker 1>Durn from our Bloomberg Studios in Washington, d C. And Marie,

0:14:58.320 --> 0:15:01.320
<v Speaker 1>good morning. I know you've seen firsthand just how much

0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:06.040
<v Speaker 1>this leak decision has galvanized advocates on both sides on

0:15:06.080 --> 0:15:08.840
<v Speaker 1>the steps of the Supreme Court, and we heard very

0:15:08.920 --> 0:15:12.680
<v Speaker 1>strong words last night from Vice President Harris. It seems

0:15:12.680 --> 0:15:17.320
<v Speaker 1>like Democrats have really seized on this issue. Now, yes, absolutely,

0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:20.760
<v Speaker 1>and as you say, last night's Vice President Harris, she

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:24.560
<v Speaker 1>was scheduled to make this speech, but obviously the tone

0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:28.240
<v Speaker 1>and the content of it completely changed after this league.

0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:30.960
<v Speaker 1>It was the most impassioned, robust speech we've heard so

0:15:31.000 --> 0:15:33.720
<v Speaker 1>far from the administration. She's talking about the fact that

0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:37.080
<v Speaker 1>this would be a direct assault on freedom, on and

0:15:37.120 --> 0:15:39.760
<v Speaker 1>on the fundamental rights of self determination to which all

0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:42.920
<v Speaker 1>Americans are entitled and said how dare they do this

0:15:43.000 --> 0:15:47.600
<v Speaker 1>to women? Um, So this is completely galvanized the Democratic Party.

0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:50.360
<v Speaker 1>At the same time, this is a very partisan issues,

0:15:50.400 --> 0:15:52.600
<v Speaker 1>so you're also seeing a lot of similar rhetoric on

0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:54.720
<v Speaker 1>the right as well. And Nathan, as you said, this

0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:59.080
<v Speaker 1>will now become a hot button election issue and can

0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:02.280
<v Speaker 1>even potentially a clips issues that we thought voters were

0:16:02.280 --> 0:16:04.560
<v Speaker 1>going to go to the polls for things like inflation

0:16:04.640 --> 0:16:08.200
<v Speaker 1>because of higher grocery bills and gas bills. Now potentially

0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:11.400
<v Speaker 1>this is going to be a number one issue for

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:14.920
<v Speaker 1>some Americans going out to vote. Yes, some, but who

0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:18.160
<v Speaker 1>knows at this point whether it'll be all Americans who

0:16:18.200 --> 0:16:21.880
<v Speaker 1>are galvanized by this. Where do you swing voters, where

0:16:21.920 --> 0:16:25.520
<v Speaker 1>do you suburban voters stand on this issue, and whether

0:16:25.680 --> 0:16:28.640
<v Speaker 1>it drives them to the polls in November. Well, when

0:16:28.680 --> 0:16:30.760
<v Speaker 1>you look at the polls over years, over the decades,

0:16:30.840 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 1>they pretty much maintained the fact that most Americans agree

0:16:35.240 --> 0:16:38.040
<v Speaker 1>um that women should have a right to choose. And

0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:41.160
<v Speaker 1>this goes back to Gallup data pure researched. Yesterday, there

0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:45.120
<v Speaker 1>was a Washington Post ABC poll which overwhelmingly showed that

0:16:45.160 --> 0:16:47.600
<v Speaker 1>majority as well. So you're going to see a lot

0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:53.000
<v Speaker 1>of campaign dollars being spent on suburban women. So the

0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:55.800
<v Speaker 1>Democrats have control of the city's Republicans have control of

0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:59.560
<v Speaker 1>the rural areas, and it's potentially suburban women who can

0:16:59.600 --> 0:17:04.440
<v Speaker 1>turn tied for the Democrats, which were potentially and are

0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:08.040
<v Speaker 1>expected um to not do so well in these midterm elections.

0:17:08.440 --> 0:17:11.440
<v Speaker 1>This was the case in two thousand eighteen when suburban

0:17:11.440 --> 0:17:13.800
<v Speaker 1>women came out and they handed a lot of House

0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:16.960
<v Speaker 1>seats to Democrats, and it was a pivotal vote as well,

0:17:17.080 --> 0:17:20.920
<v Speaker 1>suburban women for President Biden versus President Trump. And now

0:17:20.960 --> 0:17:24.200
<v Speaker 1>we're hearing a lot more rhetoric as well about codifying

0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:28.040
<v Speaker 1>Row into law. If this Supreme Court decision does turn

0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:29.800
<v Speaker 1>out to be final, what you should not The Supreme

0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:32.879
<v Speaker 1>Court says it is not final certainly at this point,

0:17:32.960 --> 0:17:35.800
<v Speaker 1>but there is a steep hill to climb when it

0:17:35.840 --> 0:17:40.679
<v Speaker 1>comes to codifying anything regarding abortion rights with a Senate.

0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:44.600
<v Speaker 1>That's exactly right. So the President made his case yesterday

0:17:44.600 --> 0:17:46.320
<v Speaker 1>and this was one of the points he said, if

0:17:46.359 --> 0:17:49.000
<v Speaker 1>this was to be struck down the nineteen seventy three law,

0:17:49.359 --> 0:17:52.920
<v Speaker 1>then it is up to legislatures as well as voters

0:17:53.000 --> 0:17:56.040
<v Speaker 1>to make sure that they put those legislators in power

0:17:56.440 --> 0:17:59.080
<v Speaker 1>to codify this into law. But of course, you know,

0:17:59.640 --> 0:18:02.720
<v Speaker 1>fifty fifty very slim majority the Democrats have with the

0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:06.720
<v Speaker 1>VP making a tiebreaking vote, and the issue they have

0:18:07.040 --> 0:18:09.880
<v Speaker 1>is that there are Democratic senators who do not want

0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:12.840
<v Speaker 1>to get away with the filipbuster for this issue, and

0:18:12.880 --> 0:18:16.399
<v Speaker 1>that has really been a contentious issue on Capitol Hall.

0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:20.680
<v Speaker 1>Yesterday we saw a number of We saw lawmakers Alexandro

0:18:20.760 --> 0:18:25.000
<v Speaker 1>Casio Cortez as well as Sander Sander Sanders go after

0:18:25.280 --> 0:18:30.480
<v Speaker 1>Democrats like Kirsten Cinema who are for codifying abortion rights

0:18:30.480 --> 0:18:33.119
<v Speaker 1>into law but are not for getting rid of the filibuster.

0:18:33.480 --> 0:18:35.320
<v Speaker 1>We have about a minute left here in Marie. We've

0:18:35.359 --> 0:18:39.679
<v Speaker 1>already seen a mid term election last night, in the

0:18:39.760 --> 0:18:43.840
<v Speaker 1>primary election in Ohio. J d Vance is the winner.

0:18:44.000 --> 0:18:49.640
<v Speaker 1>Does this setal former President Trump's hold on GOP voters?

0:18:49.680 --> 0:18:52.160
<v Speaker 1>So analysts are saying, don't read too much into this

0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:56.000
<v Speaker 1>one case, but it is a good point. The fact

0:18:56.000 --> 0:18:59.160
<v Speaker 1>that J. D Vance one, he was trailing a little

0:18:59.160 --> 0:19:01.000
<v Speaker 1>bit in the polls when Trump came in gave him

0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:04.680
<v Speaker 1>that endorsement. Six other individuals he beat out right, He

0:19:04.760 --> 0:19:08.119
<v Speaker 1>defeat defeated six other people. Um So certainly it wasn't

0:19:08.160 --> 0:19:10.240
<v Speaker 1>just a win for J. D Vance. This was a

0:19:10.240 --> 0:19:12.639
<v Speaker 1>win for President Trump, who wants to make sure that

0:19:12.720 --> 0:19:15.280
<v Speaker 1>his name is still out there that candidates he backs

0:19:15.320 --> 0:19:18.679
<v Speaker 1>are getting play all of this as he tries to

0:19:18.760 --> 0:19:21.960
<v Speaker 1>really maintain his hold on the party and also flirt,

0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:24.640
<v Speaker 1>of course, Nathan with that idea that he himself will

0:19:24.680 --> 0:19:27.440
<v Speaker 1>also run for re election. I'm just gonna make it

0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:30.760
<v Speaker 1>all more interesting as we continue with these mid term

0:19:31.000 --> 0:19:33.600
<v Speaker 1>races in some key swing states coming up in just

0:19:33.680 --> 0:19:37.560
<v Speaker 1>a few weeks. Here Ambree Hordern, Washington correspondent for Bloomberg

0:19:37.640 --> 0:19:40.119
<v Speaker 1>Radio and Television. Great having gone with us this morning

0:19:40.400 --> 0:19:42.879
<v Speaker 1>to take a look at all that's happening politically in

0:19:42.880 --> 0:19:45.800
<v Speaker 1>the nation's capital, looking ahead to the market open and

0:19:45.840 --> 0:19:50.120
<v Speaker 1>the FED decision in Washington. Future is moving a touch higher,

0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 1>with SMP futures up nine, Doubt futures up sixty five points,

0:19:53.280 --> 0:19:56.280
<v Speaker 1>NASTACK futures up nineteen. We look ahead to the Fed

0:19:56.920 --> 0:19:59.679
<v Speaker 1>in the minutes ahead, and Elon Musk could take Twitter

0:20:00.040 --> 0:20:03.359
<v Speaker 1>blick again eventually. Top stories of the morning coming up

0:20:03.400 --> 0:20:09.080
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg day Break Bloomberg eleven three oh Weather rain

0:20:09.160 --> 0:20:11.520
<v Speaker 1>ends are on midday. It'll turn partly Sunday this afternoon

0:20:11.560 --> 0:20:14.360
<v Speaker 1>with a high in the mid sixties low seventies. Tomorrow,

0:20:14.680 --> 0:20:17.240
<v Speaker 1>we'll be back in the low sixties, with showers developing

0:20:17.240 --> 0:20:22.920
<v Speaker 1>by Friday. Right now fifty degrees in Central Park, broadcasting

0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:26.720
<v Speaker 1>live from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio in New York.

0:20:26.840 --> 0:20:31.520
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg E Living Free to Washington, d C. Bloomberg to Boston,

0:20:31.600 --> 0:20:35.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg one oh six one to San Francisco, Bloomberg non

0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:38.160
<v Speaker 1>sixteen to the country, Sirius XM to the one nineteen

0:20:38.280 --> 0:20:41.800
<v Speaker 1>and around the globe the Bloomberg Business and Bloomberg Radio

0:20:41.920 --> 0:20:51.359
<v Speaker 1>dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. It's five thirty on

0:20:51.400 --> 0:20:53.920
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm fair

0:20:53.960 --> 0:20:56.480
<v Speaker 1>in Moscower, just about four hours away from the open

0:20:56.480 --> 0:20:58.200
<v Speaker 1>of US trading. Let's catch you up to date on

0:20:58.240 --> 0:20:59.879
<v Speaker 1>the news you need to know at this hour. We

0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:02.320
<v Speaker 1>begin with the Federal Reserve, which is expected to raise

0:21:02.359 --> 0:21:06.600
<v Speaker 1>interest rates fifty basis points today. Baronburg Chief Economists Holder

0:21:06.800 --> 0:21:09.480
<v Speaker 1>Older sch Meeting says, the markets already looking for what's

0:21:09.520 --> 0:21:13.040
<v Speaker 1>coming next. The market will listen very closely to anything

0:21:13.359 --> 0:21:16.560
<v Speaker 1>that could give a point to to what the Fed

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:19.520
<v Speaker 1>does in June and what it may be doing there

0:21:19.560 --> 0:21:22.800
<v Speaker 1>raft which, of course, in these uncertain times, you may

0:21:22.840 --> 0:21:25.200
<v Speaker 1>not get all that much to your guidance, but that's

0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:28.240
<v Speaker 1>what the market will look out for, any guidance on

0:21:28.320 --> 0:21:31.879
<v Speaker 1>what happens next. Barrenburg Chief economist Holger sch Meeting speaking

0:21:31.920 --> 0:21:34.440
<v Speaker 1>with Bloomberg yesterday. We'll have full coverage to the Fence

0:21:34.520 --> 0:21:37.240
<v Speaker 1>decision beginning at one pm All Street Time on a

0:21:37.280 --> 0:21:40.200
<v Speaker 1>special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance. Let's turn out of the

0:21:40.240 --> 0:21:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court care and it has confirmed the authenticity of

0:21:43.040 --> 0:21:46.600
<v Speaker 1>elite documents suggesting it could strike down Roe v. Wade.

0:21:46.920 --> 0:21:50.280
<v Speaker 1>Vice President Kamala Harris addressed the issue last night. When

0:21:50.359 --> 0:21:56.600
<v Speaker 1>the right to privacy is attacked, anyone in our country

0:21:57.040 --> 0:22:01.879
<v Speaker 1>may face a future where the government can interfere with

0:22:02.000 --> 0:22:05.760
<v Speaker 1>their personal decisions. Vice President Kamala Harris spoke at the

0:22:05.760 --> 0:22:09.720
<v Speaker 1>annual Emily's List conference in Washington. Overseas, in Ukraine, Nathan

0:22:09.800 --> 0:22:13.520
<v Speaker 1>Russia is now focusing on fully annexing territory it's taken

0:22:13.560 --> 0:22:15.840
<v Speaker 1>in the war. It comes as the EU announces it'll

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:18.680
<v Speaker 1>ban Russian oil imports by the end of the year.

0:22:18.920 --> 0:22:21.399
<v Speaker 1>Back in the US, Karen, more than forty companies report

0:22:21.440 --> 0:22:23.879
<v Speaker 1>earnings today. For a look at some stocks on the

0:22:23.920 --> 0:22:27.399
<v Speaker 1>move following yesterday's reports, we turn live to Bloomberg's John Tucker,

0:22:27.520 --> 0:22:30.480
<v Speaker 1>John and Nathan Lift. Shares are down over twenty six

0:22:30.560 --> 0:22:32.639
<v Speaker 1>percent of the pre markets of the company plans to

0:22:32.720 --> 0:22:36.560
<v Speaker 1>spend more on its drivers. Advanced micro devices shares up

0:22:36.600 --> 0:22:39.919
<v Speaker 1>six percent, with analysts positive on the demand the chipmakers

0:22:39.920 --> 0:22:43.520
<v Speaker 1>seeing and Starbucks report at the US results that topped estimates.

0:22:43.760 --> 0:22:45.840
<v Speaker 1>Right now, the share is up six percent at pre

0:22:45.920 --> 0:22:48.960
<v Speaker 1>market trading, Live in New York. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg

0:22:49.000 --> 0:22:51.080
<v Speaker 1>Tape break all right, John, thank you for Elon Musk

0:22:51.080 --> 0:22:53.600
<v Speaker 1>could take Twitter public again. I'm Bloomberg's We need a

0:22:53.640 --> 0:22:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Young joins us live at the latest. We need a

0:22:55.520 --> 0:22:58.480
<v Speaker 1>good morning, Good morning, Karen. Elon Musk says he's planning

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:01.000
<v Speaker 1>to stage in I po a Twitter as little as

0:23:01.040 --> 0:23:04.320
<v Speaker 1>three years after buying it. That's according to Dow Jones,

0:23:04.480 --> 0:23:08.240
<v Speaker 1>which reports Musk is take talking with investors, including private

0:23:08.240 --> 0:23:11.440
<v Speaker 1>equity firms, to help lower his twenty one billion dollar

0:23:11.480 --> 0:23:15.360
<v Speaker 1>contribution to the deal. Private equity firms typically take companies

0:23:15.440 --> 0:23:18.560
<v Speaker 1>private to fix them out of the limelight, then take

0:23:18.600 --> 0:23:21.600
<v Speaker 1>them public again. Live in New York. I'm Rernita Young

0:23:21.640 --> 0:23:24.160
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Daybreak all right, rened to thank you and futures

0:23:24.160 --> 0:23:27.320
<v Speaker 1>are higher this morning. SMP futures up eleven points down.

0:23:27.359 --> 0:23:30.280
<v Speaker 1>Future is up seventy three. NASDAG features up twenty five

0:23:30.359 --> 0:23:33.600
<v Speaker 1>straight ahead, your latest local headlines, plus a check of sports. Sam,

0:23:33.680 --> 0:23:40.040
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg. Thanks hearing five thirty three on Wall Street,

0:23:40.040 --> 0:23:42.959
<v Speaker 1>fifty degrees in Central Park. Quiet starts so far on

0:23:43.000 --> 0:23:45.200
<v Speaker 1>the roads. Well, check in with Peter Vancy if that's

0:23:45.200 --> 0:23:47.760
<v Speaker 1>holding up shortly. First, Michael bars here Now with Lauren.

0:23:47.800 --> 0:23:49.960
<v Speaker 1>What's going on in New York and around the world. Michael,

0:23:50.000 --> 0:23:52.840
<v Speaker 1>thank you very much. Nathan. There has been a local

0:23:52.920 --> 0:23:56.640
<v Speaker 1>reaction to the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court

0:23:56.760 --> 0:24:00.240
<v Speaker 1>on overturning Roe v. Wade. New York Governor Kathy Oakle's says,

0:24:00.280 --> 0:24:03.119
<v Speaker 1>as a woman, overturning Row is something she has fought

0:24:03.119 --> 0:24:08.399
<v Speaker 1>against her entire life. Absolutely horrified by what the majority

0:24:08.480 --> 0:24:10.879
<v Speaker 1>of the Supreme Corps United States of America plans to

0:24:10.920 --> 0:24:15.040
<v Speaker 1>do to women's rights in this country. Governor Hocal spoke

0:24:15.040 --> 0:24:19.320
<v Speaker 1>while announcing Representative Antonio Delgado will serve as New York's

0:24:19.400 --> 0:24:23.280
<v Speaker 1>next Lieutenant Governor. Sonia A. Sario, President of the New

0:24:23.359 --> 0:24:26.680
<v Speaker 1>York chapter of the National Organization for Women says abortion

0:24:26.840 --> 0:24:29.560
<v Speaker 1>is legal in the state, but she says other states

0:24:29.600 --> 0:24:34.440
<v Speaker 1>already have taken steps to roll back abortion rights. States

0:24:35.040 --> 0:24:40.000
<v Speaker 1>well automatically van or restrict the right to abortion because

0:24:40.000 --> 0:24:46.240
<v Speaker 1>they already passed laws that would twigger automatic vans as

0:24:46.240 --> 0:24:51.240
<v Speaker 1>soon as federal protections fell. Sonya Srio, but now says

0:24:51.320 --> 0:24:53.920
<v Speaker 1>men need to do their part to support abortion rights.

0:24:54.320 --> 0:24:57.440
<v Speaker 1>North Korea fire the possible mid to long range ballistic

0:24:57.440 --> 0:25:00.920
<v Speaker 1>missile into the sea off its eastern coast. It comes

0:25:00.960 --> 0:25:04.359
<v Speaker 1>after King John un pledged to accelerate the development of

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:09.200
<v Speaker 1>his nuclear program. The nation's active wildfire season continues to

0:25:09.280 --> 0:25:12.399
<v Speaker 1>disrupt and threatened communities across the west. In New Mexico,

0:25:12.560 --> 0:25:15.320
<v Speaker 1>fire officials say more than a hundred sixty homes have

0:25:15.400 --> 0:25:18.640
<v Speaker 1>been destroyed by combined wildfires burning east of Santa Fe.

0:25:19.119 --> 0:25:22.280
<v Speaker 1>About six thousand homes have been evacuated. Governor Michel Luan

0:25:22.359 --> 0:25:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Grisham given the current situation with this fire containment that

0:25:26.600 --> 0:25:28.520
<v Speaker 1>we should expect the more people are going to have

0:25:28.600 --> 0:25:32.800
<v Speaker 1>to move further away from their hometowns and communities, and

0:25:32.840 --> 0:25:36.000
<v Speaker 1>it's really a hardship for them. Governor Grisham says. The

0:25:36.000 --> 0:25:39.640
<v Speaker 1>flames have scorched more than a hundred forty acres. Comedian

0:25:39.720 --> 0:25:43.080
<v Speaker 1>Dave Chappelle was attacked while performing on stage. It happened

0:25:43.080 --> 0:25:46.320
<v Speaker 1>while Chappelle was at a Los Angeles comedy festival late

0:25:46.400 --> 0:25:49.040
<v Speaker 1>last night. The man police say was armed with a

0:25:49.080 --> 0:25:52.959
<v Speaker 1>replica gun. He was apprehended and detained by security. Global

0:25:53.000 --> 0:25:55.000
<v Speaker 1>News twenty four hours a day on air and on

0:25:55.040 --> 0:25:57.440
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Take, powered by more than twenty seven hundred

0:25:57.480 --> 0:25:59.960
<v Speaker 1>journalists and analysts in more than a hundred twenty countries.

0:26:00.080 --> 0:26:08.240
<v Speaker 1>Michael bar this is Bloomberg Natin. Thanks Michael on Wall Street.

0:26:08.240 --> 0:26:11.160
<v Speaker 1>Time for the Bloomberg Sports update. Here's John stanshowner, Thanks Davan.

0:26:11.280 --> 0:26:13.520
<v Speaker 1>Rangers and Penguins Game one at the Gardener. Two teams

0:26:13.560 --> 0:26:16.520
<v Speaker 1>combined to score five goals in the second period, and

0:26:16.520 --> 0:26:19.080
<v Speaker 1>then neither team scored another goal for the next sixty

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:23.240
<v Speaker 1>seven minutes, a scoreless third period, first and second overtime.

0:26:23.320 --> 0:26:26.840
<v Speaker 1>Six minutes into the third oh T John Marinos shot

0:26:26.960 --> 0:26:29.480
<v Speaker 1>deflected in by the Penguins of Jenny Malkin the first

0:26:29.480 --> 0:26:31.680
<v Speaker 1>time in a game that had a hundred and six

0:26:31.720 --> 0:26:34.440
<v Speaker 1>minutes of hockey where the Penguins had the lead. They

0:26:34.440 --> 0:26:36.959
<v Speaker 1>won the game for the three. Ranger coach Gerard Galant

0:26:36.960 --> 0:26:39.480
<v Speaker 1>then looked back to the second period. You know the

0:26:39.480 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 1>families we got it slowed the momentum down a little bit,

0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:44.280
<v Speaker 1>and then they scored that five months three goals. So

0:26:44.880 --> 0:26:47.800
<v Speaker 1>but just I thought we played real well. But again

0:26:48.160 --> 0:26:51.040
<v Speaker 1>that when we started doing these little played internal in

0:26:51.119 --> 0:26:53.040
<v Speaker 1>the nuclesones said, was driving a team like we did

0:26:53.040 --> 0:26:54.840
<v Speaker 1>in the first that was a different than the game.

0:26:54.880 --> 0:26:56.800
<v Speaker 1>Galant said he did not have a problem with a

0:26:56.880 --> 0:26:59.480
<v Speaker 1>Ranger goal with three minutes left in regulation, taken away

0:26:59.560 --> 0:27:02.200
<v Speaker 1>after a video review ruling that there was goalie interference.

0:27:02.240 --> 0:27:05.399
<v Speaker 1>Speaking of goalies, the Penguins used to Casey de Smith

0:27:05.440 --> 0:27:07.760
<v Speaker 1>at Allege with an injured the Ranger goalie Igors just

0:27:07.840 --> 0:27:11.400
<v Speaker 1>thirt and made seventy nine saints. That's the second most

0:27:11.400 --> 0:27:14.520
<v Speaker 1>in NHL history. Games to tomorrow and the other series

0:27:14.520 --> 0:27:17.960
<v Speaker 1>openers Washington one at Florida, Colorado won seven to two.

0:27:18.000 --> 0:27:22.040
<v Speaker 1>Calgary one wanted nothings NBA playoffs, Boston and Memphis both

0:27:22.040 --> 0:27:24.679
<v Speaker 1>want at home to tie their series with Milwaukee and

0:27:24.800 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 1>Golden staping Yankee one his great continues. It reached eleven

0:27:28.080 --> 0:27:30.760
<v Speaker 1>in Toronto. They were shut out until Laron Judge home

0:27:30.840 --> 0:27:33.480
<v Speaker 1>on sixth innings. Yanks went on to win nine to one.

0:27:33.560 --> 0:27:36.240
<v Speaker 1>John Carlo Stanton Homer to the ninth at City Field,

0:27:36.240 --> 0:27:38.640
<v Speaker 1>a double letter sweep for the Mets over Atlanta five

0:27:38.720 --> 0:27:40.760
<v Speaker 1>to four and then three nothing. On the picting of

0:27:40.760 --> 0:27:45.000
<v Speaker 1>Carlos Carrasco, John Stashwar Bloomberg Sports Naked. Thank you John.

0:27:45.040 --> 0:27:47.080
<v Speaker 1>It's five thirty seven on Wall Street time for the

0:27:47.080 --> 0:27:51.359
<v Speaker 1>Tri State Business Report. Here's Bloomberg's at Corey American Dream.

0:27:51.440 --> 0:27:54.720
<v Speaker 1>The struggling mega mall near the Jersey Turnpike lost about

0:27:54.800 --> 0:27:57.920
<v Speaker 1>sixty million dollars in two thousand twenty one and was

0:27:58.000 --> 0:28:02.000
<v Speaker 1>hit by the pandemic as waves of coronavirus discouraged shoppers

0:28:02.040 --> 0:28:04.760
<v Speaker 1>and tourists. The mall's ski hill was hit by a

0:28:04.840 --> 0:28:08.959
<v Speaker 1>fire in September that also disrupted dozens of shops and eateries.

0:28:09.119 --> 0:28:12.320
<v Speaker 1>Luxury real estate firm the agency has acquired New York

0:28:12.359 --> 0:28:15.720
<v Speaker 1>brokerage Triple Mint, giving it a foothold in Manhattan. The

0:28:15.800 --> 0:28:18.840
<v Speaker 1>agency is based in Los Angeles and also completed its

0:28:18.840 --> 0:28:22.800
<v Speaker 1>first outside fundraising effort. I'm asking thirty five billion dollars

0:28:22.840 --> 0:28:25.040
<v Speaker 1>to spend on growth to give it a valuation of

0:28:25.320 --> 0:28:28.359
<v Speaker 1>about three hundred and fifty million dollars. New Jersey Governor

0:28:28.400 --> 0:28:32.000
<v Speaker 1>Phil Murphy has signed an executive order establishing a certification

0:28:32.080 --> 0:28:36.520
<v Speaker 1>program for lgbt Q plus owned businesses. The free certification

0:28:36.600 --> 0:28:40.320
<v Speaker 1>could expand access to public and private contracting opportunities and

0:28:40.520 --> 0:28:44.120
<v Speaker 1>enabled businesses to identify as lgbt Q plus owned in

0:28:44.160 --> 0:28:47.280
<v Speaker 1>their advertising. That you Bloomberg trying State Business Report, I

0:28:47.400 --> 0:28:51.080
<v Speaker 1>mid Corey, Thanks on Wall Street. Bloomberg Radio is on

0:28:51.120 --> 0:28:53.440
<v Speaker 1>the air from San Francisco to New York, London to

0:28:53.560 --> 0:28:55.960
<v Speaker 1>Hong Kong. Let's check in with our global news team

0:28:56.200 --> 0:28:58.320
<v Speaker 1>for some of the top stories heard on our three

0:28:58.400 --> 0:29:04.600
<v Speaker 1>hundred affiliate radio stags around the world. I'm Steve pottas

0:29:04.680 --> 0:29:07.560
<v Speaker 1>Content and Wins in New York. We're talking about a

0:29:07.640 --> 0:29:10.520
<v Speaker 1>top name and fashion putting its money behind the maker

0:29:10.680 --> 0:29:14.400
<v Speaker 1>of lag grown leather. I'm calling it Commodit Baby Digital

0:29:14.520 --> 0:29:17.640
<v Speaker 1>doing long. The Whippoys were widely expected fed rate height.

0:29:17.840 --> 0:29:20.320
<v Speaker 1>The Bank of eng is expected to follow aspects of

0:29:20.400 --> 0:29:24.760
<v Speaker 1>the ECB earlier action to m Corney. Donahoe on Kfebe

0:29:24.840 --> 0:29:27.280
<v Speaker 1>and Omaha, one of the biggest meat packers in the country,

0:29:27.320 --> 0:29:30.480
<v Speaker 1>says crisis will continue to sore. I'm at Cory on

0:29:30.760 --> 0:29:33.880
<v Speaker 1>w w J and Detroit. I'm reporting of Roby wait

0:29:34.000 --> 0:29:37.640
<v Speaker 1>until return for Michigan companies might adapted to allow out

0:29:37.640 --> 0:29:40.800
<v Speaker 1>of state coverage for aborting server. And those are some

0:29:40.840 --> 0:29:43.680
<v Speaker 1>of the stories our twenty seven hundred Bloomberg journalists and

0:29:43.680 --> 0:29:46.520
<v Speaker 1>analysts are working on this morning around the world. It's

0:29:46.600 --> 0:29:49.280
<v Speaker 1>five thirty nine on Wall Street. The following is an

0:29:49.400 --> 0:29:53.240
<v Speaker 1>editorial from Bloomberg Opinion. For the past two years, more

0:29:53.280 --> 0:29:55.880
<v Speaker 1>than forty million U S student loan borrowers have been

0:29:55.880 --> 0:29:59.200
<v Speaker 1>excused from making their monthly payments. The so called pause,

0:29:59.440 --> 0:30:02.440
<v Speaker 1>which was instituted in the early days of the pandemic

0:30:02.640 --> 0:30:06.680
<v Speaker 1>and extended multiple times by both the Trump and Biden administrations,

0:30:07.040 --> 0:30:10.280
<v Speaker 1>has cost more than a hundred billion dollars in lost revenue.

0:30:10.440 --> 0:30:13.600
<v Speaker 1>Now President Biden is considering a larger plan to cancel

0:30:13.720 --> 0:30:17.000
<v Speaker 1>some federal student debt altogether. That would be a big

0:30:17.080 --> 0:30:22.160
<v Speaker 1>regressive mistake. Rod's student loan forgiveness would disproportionately benefit high

0:30:22.160 --> 0:30:25.120
<v Speaker 1>earners and those with graduate degrees. It would be far

0:30:25.200 --> 0:30:29.080
<v Speaker 1>better to simplify the existing patchwork of student loan programs

0:30:29.480 --> 0:30:33.840
<v Speaker 1>and enroll all borrowers in the single income driven repayment plan.

0:30:34.280 --> 0:30:37.600
<v Speaker 1>The current student loan system has its share of problems,

0:30:37.800 --> 0:30:41.240
<v Speaker 1>but subsidizing the well educated with debt cancelation is no

0:30:41.320 --> 0:30:43.720
<v Speaker 1>way to fix them. This editorial was written by the

0:30:43.720 --> 0:30:48.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Opinion Editorial Board. I'm David Shipley. For more Bloomberg opinion,

0:30:48.080 --> 0:30:51.080
<v Speaker 1>please go to Bloomberg dot com, Slash Opinion or opian.

0:30:51.200 --> 0:30:55.000
<v Speaker 1>Go on the Bloomberg terminal. These has been Bloomberg Opinion.

0:30:55.160 --> 0:30:57.920
<v Speaker 1>Listen for Bloomberg opinion editorials every weekday. At this time,

0:30:58.040 --> 0:31:02.160
<v Speaker 1>terminal customers can read more at O P I, n GO, SMP.

0:31:02.320 --> 0:31:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Futures are up by eleven point, staff features up seventy eight,

0:31:05.120 --> 0:31:08.400
<v Speaker 1>NASTAC features up nineteen points. The tenure treasury up to

0:31:08.600 --> 0:31:12.200
<v Speaker 1>thirty seconds, yield two point nine six percent. As we

0:31:12.280 --> 0:31:17.080
<v Speaker 1>await a FED rate hike a decision for May. Tom Porcelli,

0:31:17.200 --> 0:31:23.440
<v Speaker 1>Chief US Economists at RBC, joins us next Bloomberg eleven

0:31:23.520 --> 0:31:25.920
<v Speaker 1>three oh weather rain ends in midday today. It'll turn

0:31:25.960 --> 0:31:27.960
<v Speaker 1>partly sunny this afternoon with a hig in your sixty

0:31:28.080 --> 0:31:32.000
<v Speaker 1>five low seventies. Tomorrow. Showers return Friday, with highs back

0:31:32.000 --> 0:31:37.760
<v Speaker 1>in the low sixties. Right now fifty in Central Park markets,

0:31:37.840 --> 0:31:40.920
<v Speaker 1>headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day at

0:31:40.960 --> 0:31:44.880
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot Com, The Bloomberg Business at and at Bloomberg Quicktake,

0:31:45.480 --> 0:31:54.320
<v Speaker 1>He's a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm Cameron Moscow. When

0:31:54.360 --> 0:31:57.080
<v Speaker 1>US dot index futures are on the rise this morning,

0:31:57.080 --> 0:31:59.960
<v Speaker 1>investors racing for the biggest federal reserve interest rate high

0:32:00.040 --> 0:32:02.800
<v Speaker 1>since two thousand and awaiting more clues and have aggressively

0:32:02.880 --> 0:32:06.080
<v Speaker 1>the federal tackle inflation. We checked the markets every fifteen

0:32:06.080 --> 0:32:09.480
<v Speaker 1>minutes throughout the trading day. On Bloomberg, SNP Future is

0:32:09.520 --> 0:32:11.840
<v Speaker 1>up twelve points this morning. Down Future is up eighties

0:32:11.840 --> 0:32:14.600
<v Speaker 1>seven and nastack Future is up twenty six. The decks

0:32:14.600 --> 0:32:16.920
<v Speaker 1>in Germany's down three tenths of a percent. The ten

0:32:16.960 --> 0:32:19.440
<v Speaker 1>year treasury of three thirty seconds yield two point nine

0:32:19.440 --> 0:32:22.160
<v Speaker 1>five percent, yield on the two year two point seven

0:32:22.160 --> 0:32:25.360
<v Speaker 1>eight percent. Nimex screwed oil is up three point three

0:32:25.360 --> 0:32:27.560
<v Speaker 1>percent of three dollars thirty eight cents and a hundred

0:32:27.560 --> 0:32:30.480
<v Speaker 1>five dollars seventy nine cents of barrel comex school little

0:32:30.560 --> 0:32:33.880
<v Speaker 1>change in eighteen seventy fifty announced the euro one point

0:32:33.920 --> 0:32:36.239
<v Speaker 1>oh five to three against the dollar. British found one

0:32:36.280 --> 0:32:38.160
<v Speaker 1>point to five oh five and the end at one

0:32:38.240 --> 0:32:41.520
<v Speaker 1>thirty point oh six and Bitcoin this morning moving higher

0:32:41.600 --> 0:32:44.240
<v Speaker 1>up almost three percent at thirty eight thousand, eight hundred

0:32:44.240 --> 0:32:47.360
<v Speaker 1>eighty dollars. That's a Bloomberg business flash. Now here's Michael

0:32:47.360 --> 0:32:49.480
<v Speaker 1>Barr with more on what's going on around the world.

0:32:49.600 --> 0:32:52.520
<v Speaker 1>Michael Karen, thank you very much. Following the leak of

0:32:52.560 --> 0:32:56.800
<v Speaker 1>a Supreme Court document alluding to an overturning of Roe v. Wade,

0:32:57.080 --> 0:33:00.520
<v Speaker 1>protests took place across the country. In downtown Loss Angeles,

0:33:00.520 --> 0:33:03.280
<v Speaker 1>things got a bit out of hand and an officer

0:33:03.400 --> 0:33:06.560
<v Speaker 1>was injured. The head of the European Union has proposed

0:33:06.560 --> 0:33:08.959
<v Speaker 1>a full band on Russian oil. It's part of sanctions

0:33:08.960 --> 0:33:12.440
<v Speaker 1>against Moscow for its invasion into Ukraine. And a couple

0:33:12.520 --> 0:33:16.959
<v Speaker 1>of game one NHL Playoffs, the Rangers lost in triple

0:33:17.080 --> 0:33:19.920
<v Speaker 1>over time to the Penguins for three. Rangers goaliegu Or

0:33:19.960 --> 0:33:24.320
<v Speaker 1>Schestergan finished with seventy nine saves, second to the NHL

0:33:24.440 --> 0:33:27.000
<v Speaker 1>record of eighty five. The Capitals, they beat the Panthers

0:33:27.000 --> 0:33:29.960
<v Speaker 1>four two. In the NBA playoffs, the Celtics are tied

0:33:30.000 --> 0:33:31.960
<v Speaker 1>at a game each after beating the Bucks one on

0:33:32.080 --> 0:33:34.960
<v Speaker 1>nine eighties six. The Warriors lost to the Grizzlies and

0:33:35.040 --> 0:33:37.720
<v Speaker 1>Game two that series is even at a game of

0:33:37.800 --> 0:33:40.840
<v Speaker 1>piece as well. In baseball, the Yankees one for where

0:33:40.840 --> 0:33:43.680
<v Speaker 1>their eleventh straight victory. The Mets swept the double header

0:33:43.760 --> 0:33:46.960
<v Speaker 1>against the Braves, the Red Sox, Nationals won the Orioles

0:33:47.000 --> 0:33:50.000
<v Speaker 1>A's and Giants lost. Global News twenty four hours a

0:33:50.080 --> 0:33:52.920
<v Speaker 1>day on here and on Bloomberg Quick Take, powered by

0:33:52.960 --> 0:33:56.520
<v Speaker 1>more than twenty seven hundred journalists analysts more than twenty countries. Him,

0:33:56.560 --> 0:33:59.360
<v Speaker 1>Michael bar This is Bloomberg. Nathan all right, Michael. Thanks,

0:33:59.400 --> 0:34:01.360
<v Speaker 1>It's five four nine on Wall Street. Live from the

0:34:01.400 --> 0:34:05.280
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Interactive Brokers Studios. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, and as

0:34:05.320 --> 0:34:08.520
<v Speaker 1>we await one of the most consequential Federal Reserve decisions

0:34:08.600 --> 0:34:12.759
<v Speaker 1>in perhaps decades, we are joined this morning by Tom Porcelli,

0:34:12.840 --> 0:34:16.319
<v Speaker 1>chief US economist at RBC Capital Markets. Tom, good morning,

0:34:16.360 --> 0:34:19.680
<v Speaker 1>I'll put it right to you. Is fifty basis points guaranteed?

0:34:19.760 --> 0:34:24.280
<v Speaker 1>And will the Fed signal more? Good morning, always always

0:34:24.280 --> 0:34:27.200
<v Speaker 1>good to be with you. Yes, Um, fifty I think

0:34:27.280 --> 0:34:32.560
<v Speaker 1>is basically locked, and I think um additional fifties are

0:34:32.640 --> 0:34:35.560
<v Speaker 1>likely to be UM at a minimum hinted at. And

0:34:36.000 --> 0:34:40.279
<v Speaker 1>I think that's an important idea. How POW has to

0:34:40.320 --> 0:34:44.920
<v Speaker 1>be his tone has to be at least as hawkish

0:34:45.040 --> 0:34:48.480
<v Speaker 1>as market pricing um and and the reason for that

0:34:48.680 --> 0:34:53.760
<v Speaker 1>is anything less and it would actually the market would

0:34:53.920 --> 0:34:56.879
<v Speaker 1>believe that that meant there could be less um than

0:34:56.960 --> 0:34:59.960
<v Speaker 1>than what it's pricing. And as a results, dude, actually

0:35:00.040 --> 0:35:03.320
<v Speaker 1>you see in easing in financial conditions, which is exact

0:35:03.480 --> 0:35:05.960
<v Speaker 1>opposite seeing that the Fed wants to have happened. So

0:35:06.520 --> 0:35:08.360
<v Speaker 1>I think he really has to lend credence to the

0:35:08.400 --> 0:35:11.799
<v Speaker 1>idea that, you know, sort of multiple fifties are are

0:35:11.840 --> 0:35:15.360
<v Speaker 1>on deck. Whether they're realized is a different, different story

0:35:15.400 --> 0:35:17.680
<v Speaker 1>for a different day, But for right now, I think

0:35:17.719 --> 0:35:20.440
<v Speaker 1>he he has to um, he has to sell the

0:35:20.520 --> 0:35:23.680
<v Speaker 1>idea that that multiple fifties are are are upon us.

0:35:24.320 --> 0:35:26.320
<v Speaker 1>Is there a possibility on the table Tom that we

0:35:26.440 --> 0:35:30.560
<v Speaker 1>see seventy five basis points today? You know, I'm I'm

0:35:30.640 --> 0:35:35.200
<v Speaker 1>sure that the press will you'll get at least one

0:35:35.280 --> 0:35:37.080
<v Speaker 1>question on this. I can wait to see how he

0:35:37.200 --> 0:35:40.720
<v Speaker 1>dances dances around that. I think I think they're too

0:35:40.800 --> 0:35:43.000
<v Speaker 1>It's again, if he has to be at least as

0:35:43.040 --> 0:35:46.799
<v Speaker 1>hawkish as market pricing UM, then you know it would

0:35:46.800 --> 0:35:49.799
<v Speaker 1>seem pretty reasonable. Then that that could be a path

0:35:50.480 --> 0:35:52.759
<v Speaker 1>um for him to sort of, you know, press the

0:35:52.880 --> 0:35:57.319
<v Speaker 1>idea of of being hawkish. UM. So I can't discount it.

0:35:57.360 --> 0:35:59.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying I necessarily place high odds on on

0:35:59.800 --> 0:36:02.600
<v Speaker 1>some thing like that happening. Um. But but I think

0:36:02.600 --> 0:36:05.239
<v Speaker 1>that it's a it's a real possibility that um he

0:36:05.520 --> 0:36:09.560
<v Speaker 1>he adds uh some some credence to the idea. My

0:36:09.680 --> 0:36:13.760
<v Speaker 1>sense though is that he wants to stick with fifties. Um.

0:36:13.800 --> 0:36:17.040
<v Speaker 1>But again I will find out in a few hours. Yeah, certainly, Well,

0:36:17.040 --> 0:36:19.000
<v Speaker 1>what are you expecting to hear when it comes to

0:36:19.040 --> 0:36:21.480
<v Speaker 1>the balance sheet. We've got some hints from the last

0:36:22.280 --> 0:36:24.239
<v Speaker 1>the last meetings minutes that there was going to be

0:36:24.320 --> 0:36:26.839
<v Speaker 1>discussion about that. Do you do you think we get

0:36:26.840 --> 0:36:29.440
<v Speaker 1>more clarity on the balance sheet? Yeah? I do. I

0:36:29.800 --> 0:36:31.960
<v Speaker 1>think that you'll get a bit more clarity. But the

0:36:31.960 --> 0:36:33.759
<v Speaker 1>truth is, I think all the sort of the sort

0:36:33.760 --> 0:36:36.839
<v Speaker 1>of the key um, the key elements of balance sheet

0:36:36.880 --> 0:36:40.239
<v Speaker 1>reduction I've already been outlined. So I'm not sure that

0:36:40.239 --> 0:36:43.000
<v Speaker 1>that's going to be the thing that um sort of

0:36:43.000 --> 0:36:46.720
<v Speaker 1>really drives um, sort of the discussion drives the market

0:36:46.880 --> 0:36:50.359
<v Speaker 1>over over the sort of the balance of the afternoon, Um,

0:36:50.400 --> 0:36:53.239
<v Speaker 1>but yeah, more more information will be forthcoming. But I

0:36:53.239 --> 0:36:55.400
<v Speaker 1>think it's really all about what is going to happen

0:36:55.880 --> 0:36:58.000
<v Speaker 1>with hikes and the degree to which those hikes happened.

0:36:58.040 --> 0:37:00.000
<v Speaker 1>I think that's probably gonna be more of the focus.

0:37:00.000 --> 0:37:01.520
<v Speaker 1>But what do you think that what do you I'm

0:37:01.560 --> 0:37:02.840
<v Speaker 1>sorry about that. What do you think the FETE is

0:37:02.840 --> 0:37:06.080
<v Speaker 1>going to be watching when it comes to how aggressive

0:37:06.160 --> 0:37:08.560
<v Speaker 1>they are for the for the balance of this year?

0:37:08.600 --> 0:37:10.000
<v Speaker 1>What are the what are the key data points of

0:37:10.040 --> 0:37:12.520
<v Speaker 1>the FETE needs to be keeping an eye on. So

0:37:12.600 --> 0:37:15.160
<v Speaker 1>I love this question because I really think it gets

0:37:15.160 --> 0:37:18.480
<v Speaker 1>to to the heart of a challenge for Powell. Um,

0:37:19.000 --> 0:37:21.919
<v Speaker 1>it's unclear at this point what he wants to see

0:37:21.960 --> 0:37:24.600
<v Speaker 1>from an inflation perspective, right, I mean, don't you find

0:37:24.600 --> 0:37:26.560
<v Speaker 1>that interesting? All the focus on inflation. We don't really

0:37:26.600 --> 0:37:28.760
<v Speaker 1>know what they want. And so here's a really interesting

0:37:28.800 --> 0:37:31.600
<v Speaker 1>way of thinking about this. UM. Last year, it was

0:37:31.640 --> 0:37:34.200
<v Speaker 1>all about getting to max employment, right, That's all he

0:37:34.320 --> 0:37:36.160
<v Speaker 1>wanted that. It didn't matter what was happening from an

0:37:36.160 --> 0:37:38.480
<v Speaker 1>inflation perspective. All he wanted to do was get to

0:37:38.520 --> 0:37:42.560
<v Speaker 1>max employment. This year, UM, it's all about inflation now

0:37:42.960 --> 0:37:45.480
<v Speaker 1>if he just if this is just the March toward

0:37:45.560 --> 0:37:50.040
<v Speaker 1>getting to target. The two percent target, FENN funds will

0:37:50.080 --> 0:37:53.200
<v Speaker 1>be meaningfully higher than what anyone is thinking. So I

0:37:53.239 --> 0:37:56.160
<v Speaker 1>think he needs to outline what exactly does he want

0:37:56.239 --> 0:37:59.560
<v Speaker 1>to see from an inflation perspective, because if it's a

0:37:59.560 --> 0:38:01.640
<v Speaker 1>target and lation, look you're speaking to someone who actually

0:38:01.680 --> 0:38:05.200
<v Speaker 1>has lower inflation and probably most other people are forecasting.

0:38:05.880 --> 0:38:07.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't even have a number that's close to target

0:38:07.960 --> 0:38:10.600
<v Speaker 1>by the end of the year. Um. So, so if

0:38:10.880 --> 0:38:13.120
<v Speaker 1>I think that's a really important idea that that he's

0:38:13.120 --> 0:38:15.560
<v Speaker 1>going to need to sort of, you know, spell out

0:38:15.600 --> 0:38:18.560
<v Speaker 1>a bit a bit more, I would argue that you know,

0:38:18.960 --> 0:38:21.120
<v Speaker 1>if you're if you're holding a three handle, um, so

0:38:21.280 --> 0:38:23.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, say high three handle on on core inflation

0:38:23.960 --> 0:38:25.640
<v Speaker 1>by the end of the year, I would say that

0:38:25.640 --> 0:38:28.560
<v Speaker 1>that is a victory and that's something that they should

0:38:28.719 --> 0:38:32.439
<v Speaker 1>um sort of you know, embrace slash cheer um. But

0:38:32.440 --> 0:38:35.240
<v Speaker 1>but I would love some some color on on exactly

0:38:35.280 --> 0:38:37.759
<v Speaker 1>what they're looking for on the inflation front. I think

0:38:37.800 --> 0:38:41.120
<v Speaker 1>that's the key. Yeah, it's gonna be a very interesting

0:38:41.600 --> 0:38:46.359
<v Speaker 1>news conference, certainly when Federal Reserve Chairman J Powell hits

0:38:46.360 --> 0:38:48.920
<v Speaker 1>the podium at two thirty pm. Wall Street time after

0:38:49.000 --> 0:38:53.560
<v Speaker 1>that decision at two pm. Uh Tom Porcelli, chief US

0:38:53.600 --> 0:38:57.040
<v Speaker 1>economist RBC Capital Markets. Great to get your insights ahead

0:38:57.040 --> 0:38:58.719
<v Speaker 1>of all that, and we want to invite you to

0:38:58.760 --> 0:39:01.560
<v Speaker 1>stay with us for full coverage and analysis of this

0:39:01.680 --> 0:39:05.000
<v Speaker 1>FED decision on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance. It's

0:39:05.040 --> 0:39:08.600
<v Speaker 1>coming up at one pm Wall Street Time on Bloomberg

0:39:08.719 --> 0:39:12.480
<v Speaker 1>Radio and Television. Karen Pathan, it is five fifty four

0:39:12.520 --> 0:39:15.120
<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street. It's time for a legal story. We're

0:39:15.160 --> 0:39:17.800
<v Speaker 1>watching this morning, and for the first time in modern

0:39:17.800 --> 0:39:21.279
<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court history, a draft opinion of the Court was

0:39:21.360 --> 0:39:24.560
<v Speaker 1>made public months before it was likely to be released.

0:39:24.920 --> 0:39:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Just as shocking as the leak itself was the draft

0:39:27.400 --> 0:39:31.680
<v Speaker 1>opinion by Justice Samuel Alito reversing the landmark decision of

0:39:31.719 --> 0:39:35.400
<v Speaker 1>a Roe v. Wade and overturning the constitutional right to abortion,

0:39:35.719 --> 0:39:38.400
<v Speaker 1>which has been guaranteed for nearly half a century. For

0:39:38.480 --> 0:39:41.560
<v Speaker 1>more Bloomberg during Grosso speaks to Adam Winkler, a professor

0:39:41.600 --> 0:39:44.399
<v Speaker 1>at U c l A Law School. I've heard two

0:39:44.480 --> 0:39:48.520
<v Speaker 1>different viewpoints, one being that the revelation of this draft

0:39:48.520 --> 0:39:51.800
<v Speaker 1>opinion could lead the majority to dig in and stick

0:39:51.920 --> 0:39:55.360
<v Speaker 1>to the opinion. The other side is that well, it

0:39:55.400 --> 0:39:58.840
<v Speaker 1>could lead some of the justices to rethink the opinion

0:39:59.040 --> 0:40:01.600
<v Speaker 1>and perhaps go to the middle ground that the Chief

0:40:01.680 --> 0:40:05.360
<v Speaker 1>Justice reportedly has been interested in. What do you think

0:40:05.440 --> 0:40:07.600
<v Speaker 1>it's so hard to know, June. You know, we just

0:40:07.680 --> 0:40:10.080
<v Speaker 1>don't have any information on the leaked it and what

0:40:10.200 --> 0:40:13.200
<v Speaker 1>the possible reasons are for leaking it. One could imagine

0:40:13.200 --> 0:40:16.520
<v Speaker 1>an argument that this was leaked by conservatives who are

0:40:16.600 --> 0:40:21.040
<v Speaker 1>looking to shore up Aldo's opinion and stop someone like

0:40:21.200 --> 0:40:25.760
<v Speaker 1>a Kavanaugh from wavering and signing onto a more moderate decision.

0:40:25.840 --> 0:40:29.080
<v Speaker 1>Others have speculated that it is probably someone on the left,

0:40:29.239 --> 0:40:32.759
<v Speaker 1>left leaning clerk who's so outraged and shocked that that

0:40:33.080 --> 0:40:35.520
<v Speaker 1>someone wants to let the world know what's coming in

0:40:35.560 --> 0:40:38.279
<v Speaker 1>the Supreme Court and how outrageous this opinion really is

0:40:38.360 --> 0:40:40.959
<v Speaker 1>in light of constitutional law. I think those are really

0:40:41.040 --> 0:40:43.880
<v Speaker 1>the key things, and among lawyers, I think that Alito's

0:40:43.960 --> 0:40:46.920
<v Speaker 1>draft opinion, if it becomes the majority opinion, will not

0:40:47.040 --> 0:40:50.240
<v Speaker 1>gain the respect of the legal community. At critical points

0:40:50.239 --> 0:40:54.000
<v Speaker 1>in the argument, Aledo abandoned legal analysis for really pure

0:40:54.080 --> 0:40:57.440
<v Speaker 1>policy preference, and I don't think that the argument that

0:40:57.440 --> 0:41:01.399
<v Speaker 1>Alito makes will be received with any are compliments than

0:41:01.880 --> 0:41:05.680
<v Speaker 1>Justice Blackman's original decision in Row versus Way. So it

0:41:05.880 --> 0:41:09.319
<v Speaker 1>is possible, not probable, perhaps, but it is possible that

0:41:09.560 --> 0:41:13.640
<v Speaker 1>one of the justices could change their vote absolutely, And

0:41:13.760 --> 0:41:16.960
<v Speaker 1>justices can and have changed their votes after a conference

0:41:17.000 --> 0:41:21.200
<v Speaker 1>and after majority opinions have been circulated. It happens, you know,

0:41:21.280 --> 0:41:24.760
<v Speaker 1>with some regularity. Without saying it's frequent, it does happen,

0:41:24.800 --> 0:41:27.480
<v Speaker 1>and it happens many times over the years. One prominent

0:41:27.520 --> 0:41:30.400
<v Speaker 1>example is Planned Parenthood Recasey, one of the cases that

0:41:30.480 --> 0:41:33.320
<v Speaker 1>the Supreme Court reports to overturn in this draft opinion.

0:41:33.680 --> 0:41:37.000
<v Speaker 1>In that case, Justice Kennedy originally voted to overturn ro

0:41:37.120 --> 0:41:40.560
<v Speaker 1>versus Way and to uphold broad regulations of abortion, and

0:41:40.560 --> 0:41:44.799
<v Speaker 1>then he changed his mind after the majority opinion started circulating.

0:41:45.000 --> 0:41:48.480
<v Speaker 1>And it's happened in other much less controversial areas as well.

0:41:48.800 --> 0:41:51.840
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes justice is fine that they think an outcome is

0:41:51.960 --> 0:41:54.640
<v Speaker 1>right until they see an opinion explaining the outcome, and

0:41:54.680 --> 0:41:57.520
<v Speaker 1>then they say, wait, that reasoning an argument just doesn't

0:41:57.520 --> 0:42:00.000
<v Speaker 1>work for me. I think I'm going to change my vote.

0:42:00.440 --> 0:42:02.880
<v Speaker 1>I would be very surprised if that happened in this

0:42:02.960 --> 0:42:06.360
<v Speaker 1>particular case. I think these justices have been thinking about

0:42:06.440 --> 0:42:10.359
<v Speaker 1>Roe versus Wade for many decades. I think that their

0:42:10.440 --> 0:42:14.200
<v Speaker 1>views on this issue are not really in play. And

0:42:14.200 --> 0:42:17.040
<v Speaker 1>that's Adam Winkler, professor at u c l A Law School,

0:42:17.040 --> 0:42:19.560
<v Speaker 1>speaking at the Bloomberg Student Grosso. Catch more at that

0:42:19.600 --> 0:42:23.040
<v Speaker 1>interview plus analysis of the latest legal news by subscribing

0:42:23.040 --> 0:42:25.560
<v Speaker 1>to the Bloomberg Law Podcast or downloading this show at

0:42:25.560 --> 0:42:29.560
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0:42:29.560 --> 0:42:32.960
<v Speaker 1>research and business development tools at Bloomberg Law dot com

0:42:33.000 --> 0:42:36.840
<v Speaker 1>and on the Bloomberg terminal at blow go. And futures

0:42:36.840 --> 0:42:40.800
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0:42:41.080 --> 0:42:43.439
<v Speaker 1>I check on the business headlines and all the news

0:42:43.520 --> 0:42:46.880
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