WEBVTT - Nation-State FOMO Is Here | And It Changes Everything for Bitcoin!

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<v Speaker 1>What if I told you that no matter what you

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<v Speaker 1>think about bitcoin, whether you love it, you hate it,

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<v Speaker 1>or you don't even understand it, well, either way, you're

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<v Speaker 1>going to be completely underprepared for what's about to happen next.

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<v Speaker 1>Because there's a new bill S. Four nine one two,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's about to ignite a chain reaction that sends

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin further and faster than most anyone can imagine. M

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<v Speaker 1>This isn't just a theory. As a matter of fact,

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<v Speaker 1>this is already in motion. So in this video, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to show you what this new bill is, how

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<v Speaker 1>is going to change the global financial system forever, how

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<v Speaker 1>a small nation's experiment gives us a glimpse of what's

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<v Speaker 1>about to come, and why nation state FOMO is going

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<v Speaker 1>to put us on a path to prices that make

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<v Speaker 1>today's numbers look maybe laughable. Now real quick, my name

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<v Speaker 1>is Mark Moss. I've been a tech focused VC investor

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<v Speaker 1>for over a decade. I've been creating bitcoin educational content

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<v Speaker 1>since it was only three hundred dollars. Today, I'm a

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<v Speaker 1>partner at a leading bitcoin VC hedge fund, and I

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<v Speaker 1>coach business owners on investing, and I'm sharing some of

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<v Speaker 1>the data that we use to make long term decisions.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's go all right, let's break this down. Why,

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<v Speaker 1>no matter how bollish you are, you're not bullish enough.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you think this is some big joke in

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<v Speaker 1>a scam, well you're also underprepared. So let's break this down.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking about S four nine one two. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a real thing. Now, let's rewind the clock. Just a

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<v Speaker 1>few months ago, not too far back, before the presidential

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<v Speaker 1>campaign ended and we still had a race going on.

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<v Speaker 1>I was speaking at maybe the biggest conference in the

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<v Speaker 1>world right now, at least probably the most culturally relevant

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<v Speaker 1>event in the world. Over twenty five thousand people were there.

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<v Speaker 1>Two presidential candidates, so at the highest level, Wall Street people, investors, coders, builders,

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<v Speaker 1>entertainers were all there. I'm talking about the Bitcoin Conference.

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<v Speaker 1>I got to speak on the main stage about two

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<v Speaker 1>hours before Trump was there, and at the time RFK

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<v Speaker 1>Junior was still running for president. We had Trump was

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<v Speaker 1>still running for president, and they both came there and

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<v Speaker 1>basically laid out their plan to have a presidency for

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<v Speaker 1>the US, a direction for the US that would be

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<v Speaker 1>very bitcoin now. RFK Junior laid it out in very

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<v Speaker 1>great detail. Trump gave a little bit more of a

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<v Speaker 1>vague overview of it. But now, of course they're together,

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<v Speaker 1>working together, and basically what they said is they wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to have a very pro bitcoin stands and part of

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<v Speaker 1>that would be to have the United States establish a

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin reserve. Now since that's happened obviously, as I said,

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<v Speaker 1>they both joined together the Trump administration one, and now

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<v Speaker 1>they're working together to do this. But it's not a

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<v Speaker 1>theoretical maybe we'll see it in a month or two

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<v Speaker 1>when it takes office. No no, no, no, we're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>something that's already in place right now. I'm talking about

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<v Speaker 1>again four nine to one two. As you can see,

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<v Speaker 1>this is already in Congress. To understand this a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>At the same event at the Bitcoin conference, we heard

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<v Speaker 1>Senator Senator Lemmas from Wyoming, Cynthia Lemmas. She actually laid

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<v Speaker 1>this out. Let's hear from her real quick, to.

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<v Speaker 2>Establish a bitcoin strategic reserve to ensure the transparent management

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<v Speaker 2>a bitcoin holdings of the federal government. Over five years,

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<v Speaker 2>the United States will assemble one million bitcoin, five percent

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<v Speaker 2>of the world's supply.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, So you heard it directly from her of

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<v Speaker 1>what she wanted to do. And again this is not theory.

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<v Speaker 1>This is in place right now. So let's pull this up.

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<v Speaker 1>This is a bill that has been submitted already S.

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<v Speaker 1>Four nine one two, and I want to show you

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<v Speaker 1>just a little bit of what's in here so you

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<v Speaker 1>can understand the mechanism and how this works. So it's

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<v Speaker 1>a bitcoin purchase program. And basically the way they're breaking

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<v Speaker 1>this down is that the Secretary of the US shall

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<v Speaker 1>purchase two hundred thousand bitcoins per year over a five

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<v Speaker 1>year period. Two hundred thousand times five years is a

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<v Speaker 1>million bitcoins. So they want to buy, they have the

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<v Speaker 1>US buy a million and then hold that hold the bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 1>buy it, not try to sell it. Keep that there

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<v Speaker 1>minimum holding period to ensure the long term stability and

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<v Speaker 1>security of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve SBR, the Secretary shall

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<v Speaker 1>hold all bitcoin acquired through the bitcoin purchase program for

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<v Speaker 1>not less than twenty years twenty years stronghand Hoddler. Now

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<v Speaker 1>there's precedence for this. Obviously. The US has strategic reserves

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<v Speaker 1>of oil. For example, we talked about how Biden dumped

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<v Speaker 1>the oil reserves to bring the price of oil down.

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<v Speaker 1>We have gold reserves obviously, So this is not unnatural

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<v Speaker 1>at all. And what the President wants to do and

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<v Speaker 1>Senator Limmis wants to do is basically bring bitcoin as

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<v Speaker 1>a strategic reserve to match the gold reserve that we

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<v Speaker 1>have and by doing this, put the US on a

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<v Speaker 1>strong financial footing and potentially maybe even pay off the debt.

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<v Speaker 1>Now that may sound crazy, but again maybe you're not

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<v Speaker 1>thinking big enough. Let's talk about this for a second.

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<v Speaker 1>Now does that seem possible. Well, let's just take a

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<v Speaker 1>look at a case study, shall we. Let's use some

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<v Speaker 1>real factual stuff. As a matter of fact, I'm going

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<v Speaker 1>to go back into history to show you some stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>So hang on. You may think you know what we're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about, but let me show you how big this is.

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<v Speaker 1>So first off, let's start with a case study. Okay, Now,

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<v Speaker 1>El salvad Or is a case today I want to

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<v Speaker 1>break down. We'll look at a more historical examples. But

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<v Speaker 1>El Salvador in twenty twenty one decided to make bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>legal tender, accept bitcoin as legal tender, and not just

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<v Speaker 1>to accept bitcoin as legal tender, but actually have the

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<v Speaker 1>government buy bitcoin and put it on its books. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>when El Salvador did this, most of the world ridiculed them,

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<v Speaker 1>told them it was stupid, it was ridiculous in all

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<v Speaker 1>these things. But let me just tell you something about

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<v Speaker 1>technology and people that think it's ridiculous. Now we can

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<v Speaker 1>go back as far as you want to go, the

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<v Speaker 1>term the Luedites. The Luedites were afraid of the power

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<v Speaker 1>loom right, and every type of time there's new technology,

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<v Speaker 1>people are afraid of it. In two thousand and one,

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<v Speaker 1>after the dot com bubble had burst in two thousand,

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<v Speaker 1>the next year, I decided to be a great Ida

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<v Speaker 1>to start an e commerce business. Now wasn't easy, No Shopify,

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<v Speaker 1>no Amazon. I had to hire a code or to

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<v Speaker 1>custom build this e commerce website, super clunky. And I

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<v Speaker 1>went to these brands and I said, hey, I want

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<v Speaker 1>to sell your products on my website. And they laughed

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<v Speaker 1>at me. They told me no one would ever buy

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<v Speaker 1>anything online. I said, well, I beg to differ. I'll

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<v Speaker 1>give you the money. No big deal, and we don't

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<v Speaker 1>even want our products being sold on the internet. Because

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<v Speaker 1>it was sort of a joke after the dot com boom,

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<v Speaker 1>and so the Ludites also said that El Salvador was

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<v Speaker 1>crazy for doing this. Well, jokes on them, because now

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen the full benefit of this billionaire of venture capital.

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<v Speaker 1>Investor Tim Draper recently said that earlier this week, Kim

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<v Speaker 1>Draper claimed at a rally that on this Bitcoin rally,

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<v Speaker 1>if bitcoin gets to one hundred thousand dollars, which it's

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<v Speaker 1>almost there time this recording more a few thousand dollars away,

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<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin would allow the country El Salvador to repay its

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<v Speaker 1>IMF loans and never have to talk to the IMF again. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>the IMF gives money to countries to basically in debt

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<v Speaker 1>them forever. There's a book written titled The Confessions of

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<v Speaker 1>an Economic Hitman that sort of breaks all this down

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<v Speaker 1>in great detail, and instead of allowing nations to get

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<v Speaker 1>out of debt, they just give them more debt. But

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<v Speaker 1>what Tim Draper's saying here is this move that El

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<v Speaker 1>Salvador made could now allow them to pay off the

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<v Speaker 1>IMF debt and never need debt again. Let's break down

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<v Speaker 1>the math. Claim sparked the discuss about how much debt

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<v Speaker 1>El Salvador owns and how much Bitcoin can contribute to

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<v Speaker 1>easy and it's burden. Now. Specifically, El Salvador owes one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and seven point seven million SDRs to the IMF,

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<v Speaker 1>which are worth about one point three five usd apiece.

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<v Speaker 1>So if we break that down, basically the country owes

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<v Speaker 1>approximately eighty million dollars to the IMF. Now here's where

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<v Speaker 1>the math gets interesting. So Al Salvador bought a bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of bitcoin and it's now going up in value. El

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<v Speaker 1>Salvador claims to own five thousand, one, five thousand, nine

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and thirteen almost six thousand bitcoin. Now currently this

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<v Speaker 1>was written in when it was sixty seven thousand. Now we'

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<v Speaker 1>over ninety thousand. But if bitcoin were to rally and

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<v Speaker 1>hit Draper's one hundred thousand threshold, El Salvador would gain

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<v Speaker 1>one hundred and eighty nine million from its holdings. So

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<v Speaker 1>it gains one hundred and eighty nine but it only

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<v Speaker 1>owes eighty through the math. Okay, so now that sounds amazing, right,

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<v Speaker 1>But here's the thing. In the world of game theory,

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<v Speaker 1>you have to understand. The world is very competitive. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>if you're a business, or you're a Wall Street fund,

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<v Speaker 1>or you're a nation, you're competing against others. Now, on

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<v Speaker 1>Wall Street, if I were to do something different like

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<v Speaker 1>bring gold into my portfolio or do high frequency trading

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<v Speaker 1>or use bitcoin, and I would get ahead of other funds,

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<v Speaker 1>and other funds would sort of be forced to copy

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of what we're doing. And the same is

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<v Speaker 1>true with nations. Now. The thing is with El Salvador

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<v Speaker 1>is they are one of the poorest nations in the world,

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<v Speaker 1>so they're not like a big influential nation. They're not

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<v Speaker 1>influencing the top countries, the G seven countries. If you will,

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<v Speaker 1>you can see here on this chart right here that

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<v Speaker 1>Al Salvador out of the North American countries, not the

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<v Speaker 1>whole world, but the North American countries, it's about what

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<v Speaker 1>is the fourth poorest country in the North American hemisphere,

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<v Speaker 1>So it's not really influenced a lot of countries. However,

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<v Speaker 1>given the pace study that El Salvare's have, other small

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<v Speaker 1>nations are starting to pay attention, and not just a

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<v Speaker 1>couple as a matter of fact, it's a lot. So

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<v Speaker 1>what we can see right here is that President Bouquetley

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<v Speaker 1>of El Salvador with forty four countries. In May of

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty two, Elsavadoro hosted a meeting with financial institution

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<v Speaker 1>representatives from forty four countries. I'm not going to read

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<v Speaker 1>them all to you. We'll link this in the show

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<v Speaker 1>notes down below. Argentina visited in October of twenty twenty four,

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<v Speaker 1>so just recently expressed interest in El Salvador's experience with bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>Other nations. Bhutan has put in over one billion dollars

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<v Speaker 1>into bitcoin, so forty four nations, Argentina, Bhuton has already

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<v Speaker 1>got a billion dollars. So El Salvador is influencing countries.

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<v Speaker 1>This is happening that they've paid off the debt trap

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<v Speaker 1>and now this gamble's paid off. Now. Of course, in

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<v Speaker 1>the competitive world that we have in the world of

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<v Speaker 1>game theory, like I said, competition's real. Other people are

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<v Speaker 1>starting to pay attention. But again, El Savador's not very influential.

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<v Speaker 1>What if the most influential country in the entire world

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<v Speaker 1>were to do this, of course we're talking about the

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<v Speaker 1>United States. Now we'd see something very different if the

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<v Speaker 1>US moves the US having the US dollar right reserve

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<v Speaker 1>currency of the world, the global financial system of the world.

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<v Speaker 1>If the US were to do this, which as I said,

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<v Speaker 1>it's already submitted, the bill's already there. We have a

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<v Speaker 1>red Now, a Republican led Senate and House and presidency

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<v Speaker 1>and there's a very strong chance this bill will go through.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to show you why I think that in

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<v Speaker 1>a minute. But if this happens, if the US moves,

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<v Speaker 1>then the entire G seven, the top seven country of

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<v Speaker 1>the world, the G twenty, the top twenty country of

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<v Speaker 1>the world, would basically be pressured into this. Now this

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<v Speaker 1>is not my speculative guess this, don't rely on me.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me show you the receipts. Let's look back in history.

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<v Speaker 1>So there's a couple of times this has happened. Now

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<v Speaker 1>for your history, buffs, you might know this, but there's

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<v Speaker 1>been lots of money throughout the world, and at one

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<v Speaker 1>point the world was on a silver standard, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>but then the world started to transition from a silver

0:10:47.520 --> 0:10:51.360
<v Speaker 1>standard to a gold standard. A small business owner, are

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<v Speaker 1>you buried in all types of work keeping you from

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<v Speaker 1>can reach out to their expert staff from sole proprietor

0:11:20.679 --> 0:11:24.080
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0:11:28.120 --> 0:11:31.520
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0:11:41.160 --> 0:11:43.280
<v Speaker 1>All right, So the money suppli has changed many times,

0:11:43.320 --> 0:11:45.360
<v Speaker 1>the reserve currency of the world has changed many times.

0:11:45.480 --> 0:11:47.440
<v Speaker 1>And here we have when the world started going to

0:11:47.480 --> 0:11:50.439
<v Speaker 1>a gold standard. This was in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries,

0:11:50.640 --> 0:11:52.560
<v Speaker 1>and it was a goold rush and a gold rush,

0:11:52.559 --> 0:11:54.520
<v Speaker 1>and then each nation started to do this, and we

0:11:54.559 --> 0:11:58.000
<v Speaker 1>can see here that Portugal quickly implemented the gold standard

0:11:58.000 --> 0:12:01.520
<v Speaker 1>in eighteen fifty four. Germany had already started doing the

0:12:01.559 --> 0:12:04.640
<v Speaker 1>gold standard as well. By eighteen seventy one, the US

0:12:04.679 --> 0:12:08.240
<v Speaker 1>adopted the coinageac of eighteen seventy three. So by nineteen

0:12:08.320 --> 0:12:13.240
<v Speaker 1>hundred most countries had begun using the gold standard except China.

0:12:13.760 --> 0:12:15.760
<v Speaker 1>This is a very key piece to understand here in

0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:17.960
<v Speaker 1>the world of game theory. It's very important so the

0:12:18.000 --> 0:12:20.280
<v Speaker 1>whole world started leaving silver to go to gold, as

0:12:20.280 --> 0:12:23.320
<v Speaker 1>I said, but China decided not may doing that. We

0:12:23.360 --> 0:12:25.120
<v Speaker 1>have a lot of silver, We're not going to trade

0:12:25.120 --> 0:12:26.760
<v Speaker 1>it for gold. We're going to stick with what we have.

0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:29.800
<v Speaker 1>The problem with game theory is they were left out.

0:12:30.160 --> 0:12:32.320
<v Speaker 1>So there's a whole global financial system moved to gold.

0:12:32.679 --> 0:12:35.560
<v Speaker 1>China was out, and they lost their position as a

0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:37.640
<v Speaker 1>global leader. Now I made a video a long time

0:12:37.679 --> 0:12:40.120
<v Speaker 1>ago talking about how now China has been trying to

0:12:40.160 --> 0:12:43.120
<v Speaker 1>get back to that position for about one hundred years

0:12:43.120 --> 0:12:46.240
<v Speaker 1>and now maybe have cornered the gold market. But just

0:12:46.320 --> 0:12:49.440
<v Speaker 1>as they've cornered the gold market, now the whole world

0:12:49.559 --> 0:12:52.400
<v Speaker 1>is starting to shift again, or it could if this happens,

0:12:52.400 --> 0:12:54.360
<v Speaker 1>then I'm going to show you that. Now again, it's

0:12:54.360 --> 0:12:56.560
<v Speaker 1>not just gold. Game theory is real. Let me give

0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:58.920
<v Speaker 1>you a couple other historical examples. So here we have

0:12:59.440 --> 0:13:02.880
<v Speaker 1>the space So when the US and Russia were in

0:13:02.880 --> 0:13:05.480
<v Speaker 1>this Cold War, they were both rushing to get to space,

0:13:05.760 --> 0:13:07.720
<v Speaker 1>to who could get up satellites and things like that,

0:13:07.760 --> 0:13:10.880
<v Speaker 1>who could control space. Now we see the space race

0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:13.440
<v Speaker 1>was a competitive competition between the United States and the

0:13:13.480 --> 0:13:17.000
<v Speaker 1>Soviet Union. It began in nineteen fifty five when the

0:13:17.080 --> 0:13:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Soviet Union responded to the US's announcement to launch artificial satellites.

0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:23.320
<v Speaker 1>So it was a race who's gonna win this, and

0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:26.480
<v Speaker 1>the first mover, of course, always has the advantage. There

0:13:26.480 --> 0:13:29.120
<v Speaker 1>was no set rules at first, but President Kennedy, and

0:13:29.240 --> 0:13:31.040
<v Speaker 1>this is a key piece here, there are no set

0:13:31.120 --> 0:13:34.520
<v Speaker 1>rules for this at first, but somebody threw down the gauntlet.

0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:37.680
<v Speaker 1>That was President Kennedy. He set a clear goal for

0:13:37.760 --> 0:13:40.640
<v Speaker 1>the US, which was land demand on the Moon before

0:13:40.679 --> 0:13:43.679
<v Speaker 1>the Soviets, sort of like the President now is also

0:13:44.280 --> 0:13:46.400
<v Speaker 1>thrown down the gauntlet and said, we have a clear

0:13:46.440 --> 0:13:50.240
<v Speaker 1>plan to establish a reserve of one million bitcoin. Once

0:13:50.280 --> 0:13:53.720
<v Speaker 1>it's down, it's laid out on paper. Now it gives

0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:56.720
<v Speaker 1>people a target. So once that happened, then the race

0:13:56.880 --> 0:13:58.680
<v Speaker 1>was on and we can go back. I'll give you

0:13:58.720 --> 0:14:00.480
<v Speaker 1>one more example. We can go all day on this.

0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:03.840
<v Speaker 1>We can also see the same thing happened with nuclear

0:14:04.120 --> 0:14:06.480
<v Speaker 1>So there was the United States versus the Soviet Union,

0:14:06.679 --> 0:14:09.320
<v Speaker 1>which is called the prisoner's dilemma, which is basically this

0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:12.200
<v Speaker 1>nuclear arms race. So we're trying to build up our

0:14:12.280 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 1>armies as fast as we can. But basically it caused

0:14:14.960 --> 0:14:17.720
<v Speaker 1>both nations to pour trillions of dollars and resources into

0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:21.120
<v Speaker 1>manufacturing nuclear weapons. And the reason why this is the

0:14:21.120 --> 0:14:24.920
<v Speaker 1>prisoner's dilemma. It's basically a situation showcasing why two players

0:14:24.920 --> 0:14:28.960
<v Speaker 1>may act selfishly, even if acting selflessly appears to be

0:14:29.000 --> 0:14:32.960
<v Speaker 1>in their best interest for the two options. And so

0:14:33.360 --> 0:14:35.760
<v Speaker 1>that's exactly what's happening. We've seen this happen over and

0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:39.560
<v Speaker 1>over and through history. We understand incentive mechanisms, we understand

0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:42.640
<v Speaker 1>game theory. So that's why this is not speculation. The

0:14:42.680 --> 0:14:46.120
<v Speaker 1>gauntlet has been thrown down, the bill is put forward,

0:14:46.160 --> 0:14:48.880
<v Speaker 1>and the chance of it going through is extremely high.

0:14:49.280 --> 0:14:52.160
<v Speaker 1>And now every nation is trying to figure out, well,

0:14:52.600 --> 0:14:55.520
<v Speaker 1>who's gonna move first and how fast are they going

0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:58.240
<v Speaker 1>to move? Now, the interesting thing to understand about this

0:14:58.400 --> 0:15:01.080
<v Speaker 1>is that this is all I'm all creating what I'm

0:15:01.080 --> 0:15:05.120
<v Speaker 1>calling sovereign fomo. Right, each sovereignation has fear of missing out,

0:15:05.320 --> 0:15:09.680
<v Speaker 1>And we have sovereign fomo where demand is going parabolic,

0:15:10.040 --> 0:15:12.720
<v Speaker 1>but it's going into an immovable object or basically a

0:15:12.760 --> 0:15:17.880
<v Speaker 1>fixed supply. So the thing with commodities so oil, uranium, copper, silver,

0:15:18.000 --> 0:15:20.200
<v Speaker 1>et cetera. The thing with commodities and bitcoin as a

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:24.080
<v Speaker 1>commodity is that it's unlike an equity. We set the

0:15:24.080 --> 0:15:26.960
<v Speaker 1>price of a commodity based off of supply and demand. Now,

0:15:27.040 --> 0:15:30.600
<v Speaker 1>the supply of oil is it's very hard to dictate, right,

0:15:30.640 --> 0:15:32.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, we have all these different nations pumping in

0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:35.080
<v Speaker 1>different schedules and different timeframes. But with bitcoin, we have

0:15:35.160 --> 0:15:37.680
<v Speaker 1>a fixed supply twenty one million, so it takes the

0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:40.000
<v Speaker 1>supply side out of the equation. So all we have

0:15:40.040 --> 0:15:43.120
<v Speaker 1>to really pay attention to is the demand side. So

0:15:43.400 --> 0:15:45.640
<v Speaker 1>we know that, like I said, bitcoin has twenty one million.

0:15:45.920 --> 0:15:48.240
<v Speaker 1>Now here's where things get interesting. Let me break down

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:50.240
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of math for you. So here's just

0:15:50.560 --> 0:15:53.960
<v Speaker 1>two buyers. Now, I've done videos talking about Michael Sailor

0:15:54.000 --> 0:15:57.200
<v Speaker 1>and micro Strategy. I talked to about the infinite money glitch.

0:15:57.360 --> 0:15:58.840
<v Speaker 1>Maybe we can link that video in the show note

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:01.240
<v Speaker 1>down below you should understand what Michael Sailor micro Strategy

0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:04.560
<v Speaker 1>is doing. But here we have some math. So there,

0:16:04.640 --> 0:16:06.960
<v Speaker 1>right now, we have about one hundred and sixty four

0:16:07.200 --> 0:16:10.200
<v Speaker 1>thousand bitcoin being produced per year through mining. One hundred

0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:13.880
<v Speaker 1>and sixty four thousand per year. Now, per Michael Sailor,

0:16:14.240 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 1>they plan micro Strategy plans to buy one hundred and

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:20.880
<v Speaker 1>seventy five thousand bitcoin per year for the next three years.

0:16:21.000 --> 0:16:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Just one company, just one then, Senator Lumus is built

0:16:24.480 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 1>in the United States government says they want to buy two

0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:30.640
<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand bitcoin per year. So just two people, just

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:34.840
<v Speaker 1>the US and micro Strategy planned to buy three hundred

0:16:34.840 --> 0:16:38.840
<v Speaker 1>and seventy five thousand bitcoin per year. The problem is

0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:42.240
<v Speaker 1>there's only one hundred and sixty four thousand being created

0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:45.240
<v Speaker 1>per year, which means there's way more demand there supply. Now,

0:16:45.320 --> 0:16:48.120
<v Speaker 1>this is just two buyers. This is not accounting for

0:16:48.160 --> 0:16:51.440
<v Speaker 1>the sovereign FOMO that's about to happen. And now you

0:16:51.440 --> 0:16:54.040
<v Speaker 1>can start to see how quickly this can run away. Now,

0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:56.160
<v Speaker 1>let me show you a couple other things. Now we

0:16:56.160 --> 0:16:58.920
<v Speaker 1>can see right here, this is bitcoin on the exchanges.

0:16:59.200 --> 0:17:01.480
<v Speaker 1>So this gold line is the bitcoin price, and this

0:17:01.600 --> 0:17:04.280
<v Speaker 1>green line is the amount of bitcoin that's available to

0:17:04.320 --> 0:17:07.359
<v Speaker 1>buy currently on exchanges. And you can see as the

0:17:07.400 --> 0:17:11.280
<v Speaker 1>price goes up, the available bitcoin in the ecosystem to

0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:13.800
<v Speaker 1>buy right now is going down. Now, there's always going

0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:15.560
<v Speaker 1>to be bitcoin to buy, So for everybody that's gonna

0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:17.280
<v Speaker 1>go yeah, then everyone's going to hoard it and all

0:17:17.280 --> 0:17:19.320
<v Speaker 1>these people that get a first move advantage, lucky for them. No,

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:22.680
<v Speaker 1>there's always going to be bitcoin available at the right

0:17:22.840 --> 0:17:25.600
<v Speaker 1>price supply and demand. That's how this works. But we

0:17:25.600 --> 0:17:27.600
<v Speaker 1>can see how this is already set in the stage

0:17:27.600 --> 0:17:29.800
<v Speaker 1>for fomo. Now we can look at this charge, which

0:17:29.800 --> 0:17:33.600
<v Speaker 1>I think is pretty interesting, and this shows the amount

0:17:33.760 --> 0:17:38.320
<v Speaker 1>of bitcoin addresses that have at least one bitcoin in them.

0:17:38.560 --> 0:17:42.040
<v Speaker 1>And what we can see is there's about one million

0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:45.800
<v Speaker 1>addresses wallets that have one bitcoin in them. Now, let's

0:17:45.840 --> 0:17:48.040
<v Speaker 1>think about this for a second. In the United States,

0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:53.280
<v Speaker 1>there's about twenty two million millionaires. Twenty two million people

0:17:53.320 --> 0:17:55.880
<v Speaker 1>have at least a million dollars, okay, but there's only

0:17:55.880 --> 0:17:59.160
<v Speaker 1>twenty one million bitcoin, and only one million so far

0:17:59.280 --> 0:18:03.320
<v Speaker 1>have even one bitcoin. In the world, there's about sixty

0:18:03.520 --> 0:18:08.520
<v Speaker 1>million millionaires and there's only twenty one million bitcoin. Do

0:18:08.720 --> 0:18:10.639
<v Speaker 1>the math. You can see. And now this is not

0:18:10.680 --> 0:18:12.800
<v Speaker 1>accounting for the micro strategies and all the other corporations

0:18:12.800 --> 0:18:14.680
<v Speaker 1>coming on board. It's not accounting for the sovereign phone.

0:18:14.720 --> 0:18:17.080
<v Speaker 1>Well that's about to happen. And what this does is

0:18:17.119 --> 0:18:19.080
<v Speaker 1>it sets a floor on the price. Okay, so this

0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:22.359
<v Speaker 1>is very interesting. So when you think about buyers, whether

0:18:22.359 --> 0:18:24.719
<v Speaker 1>it's me or you or maybe a hedge fund. Right,

0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:26.760
<v Speaker 1>you're like a price conscious buyer. I want to buy

0:18:26.800 --> 0:18:28.960
<v Speaker 1>on dips. The price goes up, maybe I'll sell a

0:18:29.000 --> 0:18:30.880
<v Speaker 1>little bit. I won't sell a little bit, but I'll

0:18:30.880 --> 0:18:33.200
<v Speaker 1>certainly buy on dips. I'm trying to sort of trade

0:18:33.240 --> 0:18:36.360
<v Speaker 1>around and find the right price floor. But some buyers,

0:18:36.600 --> 0:18:39.800
<v Speaker 1>like nations, for example, are not price sensitive. So Michael

0:18:39.800 --> 0:18:42.399
<v Speaker 1>Sailor with micro Strategy, for example, is not price sensitive.

0:18:43.040 --> 0:18:46.400
<v Speaker 1>They just bought. Micro Strategy just acquired another two billion

0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:49.320
<v Speaker 1>dollars worth of bitcoin just a week ago at eighty thousand,

0:18:49.560 --> 0:18:51.240
<v Speaker 1>and he says he's going to continue to buy every

0:18:51.240 --> 0:18:53.520
<v Speaker 1>top along the way, So no matter what the price is,

0:18:53.680 --> 0:18:56.600
<v Speaker 1>they just buy on a regular basis that allar cost

0:18:56.680 --> 0:18:59.800
<v Speaker 1>averaging in nation states are very similar. They will just

0:19:00.000 --> 0:19:02.440
<v Speaker 1>continue to buy. They're not trying to trade around the price.

0:19:02.600 --> 0:19:04.439
<v Speaker 1>So what that does is it sets a floor. So

0:19:04.480 --> 0:19:07.399
<v Speaker 1>we have nations who are not pro sensitive. Corporations like

0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:10.240
<v Speaker 1>micro Strategy are not pro sensitive, and they're buying more

0:19:10.280 --> 0:19:13.440
<v Speaker 1>than is being produced, So that means there's more demand

0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:16.680
<v Speaker 1>a floor of more demand than there is available supply,

0:19:16.920 --> 0:19:19.320
<v Speaker 1>which is pretty interesting and as I said, we know

0:19:19.440 --> 0:19:22.439
<v Speaker 1>there is certainly not enough to go around. So what

0:19:22.480 --> 0:19:25.560
<v Speaker 1>does all that mean? What does that mean for us?

0:19:25.760 --> 0:19:27.760
<v Speaker 1>What does that mean for us whether we think we're

0:19:27.760 --> 0:19:30.520
<v Speaker 1>bullish on bitcoin or using bitcoin is stupid and ridiculous.

0:19:30.680 --> 0:19:33.240
<v Speaker 1>Either way, let's show you what this means. So what

0:19:33.359 --> 0:19:37.040
<v Speaker 1>happens is Bitcoin sort of moves in these cycles. Right,

0:19:37.440 --> 0:19:39.480
<v Speaker 1>Nothing's ever gone up in a straight line. There's never

0:19:39.480 --> 0:19:41.159
<v Speaker 1>been an asset that's gone up in a straight line.

0:19:41.280 --> 0:19:43.280
<v Speaker 1>And so we have peaks, and we have valleys, and

0:19:43.359 --> 0:19:44.760
<v Speaker 1>a new peak in a valley, and it sort of

0:19:44.800 --> 0:19:48.120
<v Speaker 1>works like that. Now, as this goes up, it sort

0:19:48.160 --> 0:19:51.160
<v Speaker 1>of moves in this line. But we have a high

0:19:51.240 --> 0:19:53.679
<v Speaker 1>point and a low point where this could be. So

0:19:54.400 --> 0:19:57.320
<v Speaker 1>if this goes through, I believe we'll be on the

0:19:57.400 --> 0:19:58.879
<v Speaker 1>high side. I'll show you what the high site is

0:19:58.880 --> 0:20:01.119
<v Speaker 1>in a second, but let's just talk if if this

0:20:01.240 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 1>goes through. So what we can see is we already

0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:06.760
<v Speaker 1>know the bill has already submitted, We know that we

0:20:06.800 --> 0:20:10.760
<v Speaker 1>have a Republican bill by with a Republican president and

0:20:10.760 --> 0:20:13.159
<v Speaker 1>a Republican Senate and a House, the chance of this

0:20:13.240 --> 0:20:17.199
<v Speaker 1>going through is extremely high in my view, And we

0:20:17.240 --> 0:20:20.119
<v Speaker 1>can see that Senator Lumpus is already saying that this

0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:24.240
<v Speaker 1>bill could maybe should pass in the first one hundred

0:20:24.359 --> 0:20:27.240
<v Speaker 1>days of being president. So this puts us into the

0:20:27.359 --> 0:20:29.959
<v Speaker 1>end of Q one next year. All right, get ready

0:20:30.160 --> 0:20:32.160
<v Speaker 1>the end of Q one. Now she's already talking about

0:20:32.200 --> 0:20:33.960
<v Speaker 1>maybe we need to get this done in sixty days

0:20:34.040 --> 0:20:36.280
<v Speaker 1>or even thirty days of the presidency. We don't know

0:20:36.320 --> 0:20:38.199
<v Speaker 1>how fast it is gonna happen, but probably within one

0:20:38.240 --> 0:20:42.119
<v Speaker 1>hundred days is what they're looking for. Now, is that realistic? Well,

0:20:42.160 --> 0:20:44.119
<v Speaker 1>we know that it's not just the US. Remember, the

0:20:44.200 --> 0:20:47.000
<v Speaker 1>US will influence everybody else. So now we have independent

0:20:47.080 --> 0:20:50.040
<v Speaker 1>states in the United States who are already doing the

0:20:50.080 --> 0:20:53.600
<v Speaker 1>same thing. For example, just this week we saw Pennsylvania

0:20:53.680 --> 0:20:57.600
<v Speaker 1>introduces the same bill where Pennsylvania as a state wants

0:20:57.600 --> 0:21:00.280
<v Speaker 1>to move a bunch of their money their treasury indo bitcoin.

0:21:00.320 --> 0:21:02.159
<v Speaker 1>As a matter of fact, they want to move seven

0:21:02.320 --> 0:21:06.560
<v Speaker 1>hundred million into bitcoin. And this is through bipartisan support.

0:21:06.640 --> 0:21:09.639
<v Speaker 1>Is not a Republican thing. This is Republicans and Democrats

0:21:09.840 --> 0:21:12.960
<v Speaker 1>both want to do this. And so even if even

0:21:13.000 --> 0:21:16.119
<v Speaker 1>if it doesn't go through the House or through the government,

0:21:16.119 --> 0:21:18.240
<v Speaker 1>through the United States government on the first try, even

0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:20.880
<v Speaker 1>if it doesn't. It's not my base case. We still

0:21:20.920 --> 0:21:24.520
<v Speaker 1>have states moving to do this on a bipartisan level,

0:21:24.560 --> 0:21:26.760
<v Speaker 1>and we know that it'll come back through. Now, even

0:21:26.800 --> 0:21:29.439
<v Speaker 1>if this bill were to fail, it looks like Trump

0:21:29.480 --> 0:21:32.480
<v Speaker 1>could still do it even without this bill. Another way,

0:21:32.720 --> 0:21:35.560
<v Speaker 1>Trump could put billions into the US Bitcoin reserve without

0:21:35.920 --> 0:21:39.359
<v Speaker 1>Congress's approval. David Bailey talks about how ten billion we

0:21:39.359 --> 0:21:42.320
<v Speaker 1>put into a reserve before needing to get Congress's approval

0:21:42.320 --> 0:21:46.040
<v Speaker 1>for funding. So President Trump could potentially already move this

0:21:46.160 --> 0:21:49.040
<v Speaker 1>way even if it fails, because there's lots of ways

0:21:49.040 --> 0:21:50.680
<v Speaker 1>you can do it, and we have this controlled House.

0:21:50.720 --> 0:21:55.119
<v Speaker 1>So again, my probability is there is an extremely high

0:21:55.240 --> 0:21:58.320
<v Speaker 1>probability this goes through again within the first hundred days

0:21:58.560 --> 0:22:01.639
<v Speaker 1>of the presidency. And again I'm not the only one

0:22:01.680 --> 0:22:05.200
<v Speaker 1>seeing this. Other nation states are watching this, and other

0:22:05.280 --> 0:22:08.800
<v Speaker 1>nation states are already trying to FOMO in and that's

0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:10.720
<v Speaker 1>why you're starting to see the price go up, but

0:22:10.840 --> 0:22:13.280
<v Speaker 1>you're not ready yet. Now let's think about this again.

0:22:13.320 --> 0:22:14.960
<v Speaker 1>So you can see the price goes up and down

0:22:15.000 --> 0:22:16.840
<v Speaker 1>and up and down and up and down and up

0:22:16.880 --> 0:22:19.919
<v Speaker 1>and down, but it moves in this range. And so

0:22:19.960 --> 0:22:21.199
<v Speaker 1>we have a high part of the range, and we

0:22:21.240 --> 0:22:23.000
<v Speaker 1>have a low part of the range, and so we

0:22:23.000 --> 0:22:26.080
<v Speaker 1>can look at if we follow this same trend, what

0:22:26.160 --> 0:22:27.920
<v Speaker 1>would be the high end the low that we could

0:22:27.920 --> 0:22:30.880
<v Speaker 1>expect in the future. Let's just look one year out,

0:22:30.920 --> 0:22:34.000
<v Speaker 1>So by the end of twenty twenty five, potentially we

0:22:34.080 --> 0:22:37.240
<v Speaker 1>can be as low as ninety six thousand. So right

0:22:37.280 --> 0:22:39.760
<v Speaker 1>now we're about ninety so we'd be a little bit higher,

0:22:39.800 --> 0:22:42.000
<v Speaker 1>about ninety six. That'd be the low end. The high

0:22:42.119 --> 0:22:44.880
<v Speaker 1>end would be five hundred and eighty four thousand per

0:22:44.920 --> 0:22:47.160
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin that'd be at the end of next year. Depending

0:22:47.200 --> 0:22:49.800
<v Speaker 1>on this range, this channel that we've been in now,

0:22:49.800 --> 0:22:53.959
<v Speaker 1>given the institutional fomo and now the sovereign fomo that's happening,

0:22:54.160 --> 0:22:55.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm betting that we're going to be much more on

0:22:55.880 --> 0:22:58.879
<v Speaker 1>the high end of that now. If we look out

0:22:58.920 --> 0:23:02.320
<v Speaker 1>to twenty thirty, which us through another having cycle, another

0:23:02.320 --> 0:23:05.080
<v Speaker 1>liquidity cycle, the high and the low. The low is

0:23:05.160 --> 0:23:08.359
<v Speaker 1>three hundred and sixty five thousand by twenty thirty, and

0:23:08.440 --> 0:23:11.879
<v Speaker 1>the high would be five million. I don't think it's

0:23:11.920 --> 0:23:13.520
<v Speaker 1>going to be anywhere in near that high. My numbers

0:23:13.520 --> 0:23:16.240
<v Speaker 1>are much lower than that, but even still, it's going

0:23:16.280 --> 0:23:19.440
<v Speaker 1>to be enormous but we really can't say. Because when

0:23:19.480 --> 0:23:22.399
<v Speaker 1>we have this sovereign fomal coming in who are not

0:23:22.480 --> 0:23:26.000
<v Speaker 1>price countess buyers, and they all want to get their

0:23:26.040 --> 0:23:30.719
<v Speaker 1>bags full into an asset that has very very limited supply,

0:23:31.920 --> 0:23:34.040
<v Speaker 1>the price can move really fast, as we've seen. We

0:23:34.040 --> 0:23:36.280
<v Speaker 1>saw almost a ten thousand dollars move just the other day.

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:39.000
<v Speaker 1>So what do we do about this? Even if you

0:23:39.119 --> 0:23:43.120
<v Speaker 1>think this is ridiculous, as Satoshi told us, you might

0:23:43.200 --> 0:23:45.679
<v Speaker 1>want to get some just in case it catches on.

0:23:45.800 --> 0:23:48.560
<v Speaker 1>So how do we do that? We can either DCA

0:23:48.720 --> 0:23:50.920
<v Speaker 1>dollar cost average in this is sort of what MicroStrategy

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:54.240
<v Speaker 1>is doing. They just buy on a regular basis, regardless

0:23:54.240 --> 0:23:56.080
<v Speaker 1>of what the price is, so you get paid every

0:23:56.119 --> 0:23:57.439
<v Speaker 1>two weeks. You can put a little bit of your

0:23:57.440 --> 0:24:00.320
<v Speaker 1>paycheck in every single two weeks, maybe every month, every

0:24:00.359 --> 0:24:02.360
<v Speaker 1>quarter or whatever that is. Or you could just lump

0:24:02.440 --> 0:24:04.679
<v Speaker 1>some like, hey, I'd like to move five percent of

0:24:04.720 --> 0:24:07.439
<v Speaker 1>my portfolio in. I think five percent is sort of

0:24:07.440 --> 0:24:10.000
<v Speaker 1>the minimum that you should have. Paul Tudor Jones legend

0:24:10.000 --> 0:24:13.040
<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street says five percent, and so maybe I say, hey,

0:24:13.040 --> 0:24:14.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna move five percent over and let's just move

0:24:15.000 --> 0:24:16.680
<v Speaker 1>that right now. So that'd be like a lump sum

0:24:16.840 --> 0:24:19.199
<v Speaker 1>or I could just move in regularly. Now, I'm not

0:24:19.240 --> 0:24:21.120
<v Speaker 1>going to spend time going into this. If you want

0:24:21.119 --> 0:24:24.520
<v Speaker 1>a video on this, I can. Once we started buying it,

0:24:25.040 --> 0:24:27.600
<v Speaker 1>then where do we buy and how do I take custody?

0:24:27.880 --> 0:24:30.480
<v Speaker 1>Do I want to take personal ownership and secure this

0:24:30.560 --> 0:24:32.240
<v Speaker 1>on my own or do I want to leave it

0:24:32.280 --> 0:24:34.440
<v Speaker 1>an ETF or leave it on an exchange like coinbas

0:24:34.520 --> 0:24:37.000
<v Speaker 1>or Gemini. That's a whole another topic. If you'll make

0:24:37.040 --> 0:24:38.840
<v Speaker 1>a video on that, leave me some comments down below.

0:24:38.920 --> 0:24:41.480
<v Speaker 1>We can do that if you want. But as I said,

0:24:41.800 --> 0:24:44.480
<v Speaker 1>you are not prepared for where this is going. And

0:24:44.520 --> 0:24:46.760
<v Speaker 1>if you want to know what else is fueling this, again,

0:24:46.880 --> 0:24:49.600
<v Speaker 1>not just sovereign fomo, but we also have to understand

0:24:49.640 --> 0:24:52.240
<v Speaker 1>the debt cycles, liquidy cycles, then you might want to

0:24:52.280 --> 0:24:55.760
<v Speaker 1>watch this investing black hole video right here. And that's

0:24:55.800 --> 0:24:58.120
<v Speaker 1>what I got, all right, to your success, I'm out,