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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Spreading the court ten seconds or manage it just goes

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Speaker 3: throw under the basket.

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Speaker 4: Under the basket is the true for the wind?

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Speaker 2: God go aberracle, I just stop the water.

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Speaker 1: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 2: Campus Podcast. This is the weekend college basketball betting preview.

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Speaker 2: I'm stucky in joining me. As they do each and

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Speaker 2: every Thursday, my fellow BBOC co hosts Mike Calabrese and

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Speaker 2: Greg Waddell. As always, we will get to a week

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Speaker 2: that was recap some good and some bad. We'll add

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Speaker 2: a futures bet to the portfolio. We'll throw it to

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Speaker 2: Tanner for his Am East Minute, and then will give

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Speaker 2: out some weekend looks for Friday, Saturday, and even possibly Sunday. So, gentlemen,

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Speaker 2: let's get right into it. Let's start with the positive. Greg,

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Speaker 2: We'll go to you first. What you got.

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Speaker 3: I'm so impressed with Texas Tech and it's a team

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Speaker 3: that I haven't spent much time talking about anywhere this year.

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Speaker 3: I've enjoyed watching them kind of quietly, but honestly, I

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Speaker 3: figured that they would sort of falter as Big twelve

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Speaker 3: play got here and they had to go up against

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Speaker 3: the best of the best. They have done the opposite.

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Speaker 3: They had the best week in the sport in the

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Speaker 3: last seven days in my opinion, stomping Baylor at home,

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Speaker 3: that overtime win against Houston where they had so much

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Speaker 3: adversity they had to overcome.

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Speaker 2: JT.

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Speaker 3: Toppin ejected four minutes in one of the most absurd

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Speaker 3: calls I've ever seen, throwing out a player of his

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Speaker 3: caliber four minutes into a game on a flagrant Darian

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Speaker 3: Williams fouled out as overtime started in that game. Nobody

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Speaker 3: would have looked twice if they lost that game, and

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Speaker 3: instead Chance McMillan was just spectacular, dudes. Elijah Hawkins is

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Speaker 3: a winner. I think Christian Anderson's emerging off the bench.

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Speaker 3: They really go I think six deep and extremely quality players.

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Speaker 3: They've got six guys that feel like Big twelve caliber starters.

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Speaker 3: And I think it's time to take mccaslan seriously because

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Speaker 3: one thing I love with emerging coaches is when they

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Speaker 3: can build different team builds and experience success. And at

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Speaker 3: North Texas he built a lot of great defenses at

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Speaker 3: Texas Tech. He's built two great offenses. They're two and

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Speaker 3: zero right now against the two teams at the top

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Speaker 3: of the Big twelve standings, Houston and Arizona, and I

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Speaker 3: feel like this is a legitimate contender, a team I

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Speaker 3: wouldn't be surprised at all if they go to the

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Speaker 3: final four. I was wowed by them this week.

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Speaker 2: I agree. And you have to remember that, you know,

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Speaker 2: Williams dealt with a little bit of an injury and

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Speaker 2: top and missed what four games earlier the season and

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Speaker 2: then was ejected against Houston. One of those was a

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Speaker 2: loss to Texas A and M on a neutral court. Toppins,

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Speaker 2: I think a first round draft pick. So they checked

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Speaker 2: that that box as well with like a pro talent

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Speaker 2: that can carry them. I love this Texas Tech team,

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Speaker 2: and if you look so historically, what you want from

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Speaker 2: a national title contender is, like my rule thumb has

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Speaker 2: always been, you got to be a top twenty five.

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Speaker 2: You have to be a top twenty five team in

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Speaker 2: overall adjusted efficiency, but your total of your offensive and

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Speaker 2: defensive can't be over fifty combined. I think the one

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Speaker 2: exception to that. You know, most offenses, most national championship

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Speaker 2: have an offense end of defense that are in the

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Speaker 2: top twenty five. The exception was Yukon in twenty fourteen.

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Speaker 2: And I'm talking and it just the end of the

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Speaker 2: season regular season efficiency metrics. So the teams that qualify

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Speaker 2: to win the national championship right now, Auburn, Duke, Houston, Tennessee, Florida.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna throw Alabama's at its closed, but they're for

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Speaker 2: I don't trust their defense, Purdue, Texas Tech, Kansas's offense,

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure. I mean, they're thirty sixth right now,

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Speaker 2: Iowa State, Arizona, Texas, A and M's offenses on the

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Speaker 2: fringe and believe it or not, Illinois and Maryland and

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Speaker 2: believe it or not, Marquette and then Michigan. So I

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Speaker 2: don't know if I see it with Marquette, but so yeah,

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Speaker 2: they're right in that list. I mean, they're eleventh in

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Speaker 2: adjusted offense officially twenty seventh defensive, but since December first,

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Speaker 2: they're in the top twenty in both. I think this

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Speaker 2: team is top seven, six seventeen in the country. And McCaslin.

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Speaker 2: The defense was a bit of a worry early on

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Speaker 2: in the season, but I think that they're improving that aspect,

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Speaker 2: and yeah they have shooters. They could be you in

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Speaker 2: multiple ways with and then with topping and Anderson's emergence,

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Speaker 2: this seems super dangerous Calvary, so I'll go to you.

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Speaker 1: Let's just go straight to the McHale Center on Saturday

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Speaker 1: for who's going to play Texas Tech? Because I'm super

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Speaker 1: impressed with what Arizona has done. I know that it

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Speaker 1: was it was easy to write them off. You know,

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Speaker 1: they start five and five, but when you look at

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Speaker 1: those losses, all those losses probably came to top eight seeds,

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Speaker 1: and since then, you know they've been an absolute heater.

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Speaker 1: They're sixteen and six straight up, five and one against

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Speaker 1: the spread in their last six and the Big twelve

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Speaker 1: in general is so deep there's probably gonna be five

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Speaker 1: teams that are gonna be top four seeds. So it's

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Speaker 1: easy for the Wildcats to get lost in the shuffle.

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Speaker 1: But when you look at some of these wins, it's

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Speaker 1: not just that they're stacking dubs. They convincingly in Morgantown,

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Speaker 1: they handle Baylor by double digits. That overtime thriller against

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Speaker 1: Iowa State, there was a ton of luck involved there,

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Speaker 1: but at least they go fifteen rounds with the Cyclones,

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Speaker 1: they get the win. And then when you look at

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Speaker 1: some of the roster movements and the lineup changes, that's

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Speaker 1: really been the story within the story for me. Anthony

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Speaker 1: del Orso is really the X factor because when he starts,

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Speaker 1: they're eleven and one straight up. When he plays north

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Speaker 1: to fifteen minutes, he gives them really good spacing. Evan

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Speaker 1: Miya points out that when he's on the floor, it's

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Speaker 1: the number one rated lineup for the Wildcats. He gives

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Speaker 1: them a lot of versatility from three point range as

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Speaker 1: a Campbell transfer, really playing his way up. And also

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Speaker 1: worth noting, Henry Vassar is the third most improved player

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Speaker 1: in the entire country from pre season player projections by

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Speaker 1: Evan mia to where he is today. At a position

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Speaker 1: of need because the post Crevs injury, they need someone

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Speaker 1: to step up to make sure they didn't fall off

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Speaker 1: a cliff in terms of interior defense or rebounding. They've

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Speaker 1: done that. So massive game at the McHale Center on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: I'm really looking forward to it. This is what February

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Speaker 1: going into March is all about. You want to see

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Speaker 1: the heavyweight fights. You want to see really how this

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Speaker 1: pecking order ends up shaking out in the Big twelve.

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Speaker 1: And if Texas Tech is what you guys claim that

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Speaker 1: they are, I think they should be able to go

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Speaker 1: in and win this game in Tucson. And I'm just

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Speaker 1: really excited to see it because I'm high on both

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Speaker 1: of these teams at this point.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, VSAR was incredible against b YU. I thought Arizona

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Speaker 2: had a I had b YU in that game. Go

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Speaker 2: stend my imaginary CLV that I had in that game

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Speaker 2: at the store later today. I thought I was on

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Speaker 2: a good defensive game plan too. Usually they they're very

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Speaker 2: conservative and let you shoot, and they got up into

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Speaker 2: BYU's face and didn't really let them get comfortable. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I do agree that they're not as at risk of

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Speaker 2: Caleb Love shooting them out of the game, but it

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Speaker 2: could still happen for sure. But when he's on and

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Speaker 2: he's I mean, he's very streaky, they become super dangerous.

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Speaker 2: Uh for my good I'll go. How about I gotta

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Speaker 2: give credit to Arkansas for backing up that win in

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Speaker 2: at Rupgo tough Spot, go down to Texas and really

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Speaker 2: dominate that game. We are like I don't know. Arkansas

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Speaker 2: win over Alabama on Saturday away from having all but

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Speaker 2: LSU in South Carolina favored to make the tournament from

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Speaker 2: the SEC, which is pretty insane. What there would be? Yeah,

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Speaker 2: twelve I think Auburn, Alabama, Florida, Texa and Missouri, Tennessee, Ole,

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Speaker 2: miss Kentucky, miss City State, Vanderbilt, Texas, Georgia, Oklahoma and Arkansas. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: we could have. By the end of the weekend, there

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Speaker 2: could be twelve teams and from the SEC that are

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Speaker 2: favored to get into the tournament. What if South Carolina

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Speaker 2: LSU wins the SEC tournament not happening, And then I

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Speaker 2: gotta give credit to Kadari Richmond if his you know,

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Speaker 2: he's his offensive game over the past two weeks has

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Speaker 2: really helped. I mean, he obviously hit the game winner

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Speaker 2: against Providence, and if he can find consistent offense like

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Speaker 2: that like he's been showing of late, that'll go a

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Speaker 2: long way for Saint John's who just their defense is

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Speaker 2: so good. They swarm you. It is just NonStop pressure

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Speaker 2: in your face for forty But the problem is they

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Speaker 2: go through too many scoring joints. They miss a million

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Speaker 2: free throws. But if he can give them more consistent offense.

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Speaker 2: That's going to go a long way for a Saint

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Speaker 2: John's team that obviously their defense is going to keep

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Speaker 2: them in the game against anybody in the country. But

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Speaker 2: was really impressed with Richmond and Arkansas for sure. Let's

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Speaker 2: move one to the bad.

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Speaker 5: Remember this is a safe space.

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Speaker 1: You know what pisses me off most of all. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you're randing now, baby.

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Speaker 3: I'm ran why not? You've got to let it out.

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Speaker 2: Somehow, gonna say Kentucky, I mean this team, I don't.

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Speaker 2: I don't they need Lot Butler first of all, because

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Speaker 2: you can just pressure them and he helps on their

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Speaker 2: on the defensive side of the ball. I'm not sure

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Speaker 2: when he's gonna be back. But I mean, they're basically

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Speaker 2: playing without a true point guard. But their defense is

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Speaker 2: not getting any better, and they're they're now outside the

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Speaker 2: top one hundred an overall adjusted defensive efficiency. They also

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Speaker 2: aren't great on the glass, and they give up a

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Speaker 2: ton of threes, like they can't really defend anyone. It's

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Speaker 2: basically so I wouldn't like there's a brand new Kentucky team,

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Speaker 2: But last year this is a team that was an

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Speaker 2: elite three point shooting team top ten and adjusted overall

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Speaker 2: efficiency offensive efficiency outside the top one hundred, so they

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Speaker 2: were seventh offensive efficiency, one hundred and ninth in defensive efficiency.

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Speaker 2: This year their second in offensive and one hundred and

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Speaker 2: eighth in defensive efficiency. So this is basically the same

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Speaker 2: team that's ripe for an upset against the mid major

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Speaker 2: that gets hot from three, and it's not like they're

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Speaker 2: going to crush them shot volume wise. The one difference

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Speaker 2: is Pope won't get like out coached and it'll make

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Speaker 2: better adjustments if they face like a wonky zone or something.

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Speaker 2: But this Kentucky team, they need Butler back. But even

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Speaker 2: when they do, this is I'm having flashbacks to the

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Speaker 2: last six five six years here in Lexington, where we

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Speaker 2: just will just lose in the first round to the

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Speaker 2: mid major stuck.

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Speaker 3: I add to the efficiency oddity that Kentucky's nearly identical

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Speaker 3: to last year. Mark Pope's old program is also nearly

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Speaker 3: identical to last year. In fact, before this Arizona game

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Speaker 3: with BYU, they had down to the decimal the same

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Speaker 3: adjusted offensive efficiency and the same adjusted defensive efficiency the

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Speaker 3: last year's BYU team finished with They played completely different style.

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Speaker 3: It's one of the all time analytical anomalies that I've

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Speaker 3: ever seen, and it's just kind of funny, like we

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Speaker 3: swapped Mark Pope. But Kentucky is awfully similar to last

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Speaker 3: year BYU was awfully similar to last year.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, right now, Well, last year they finished fourteenth offense,

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Speaker 2: sixteenth defense, and then this year their fifteenth offense, sixty

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Speaker 2: fourth defense. Pretty wild. And then my other rant will

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Speaker 2: just be I hate you Craton. And they had the

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Speaker 2: Villanova game, and then I had Providence last night. I

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Speaker 2: didn't know Abdoor Raheem was going to be out, which

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Speaker 2: was big because they needed his scoring. And then I

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Speaker 2: don't know what's going on with Cardett and then they

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Speaker 2: get in tons of foul trouble and meltdown late. I

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Speaker 2: hate that team. Greg, go to the bat of the rant.

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Speaker 2: What do you got?

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Speaker 3: I need to yell at Ed Cooley for a moment,

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Speaker 3: So I'm sick of Ed Cooley's antics. If you didn't

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Speaker 3: see this after their most recent loss, which is one

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Speaker 3: of many right now, but they lose by five to

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Speaker 3: Xavier at the Sintas Center Competitive game, Okay, whatever, let's

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Speaker 3: forget about it. Ed Cooley storms directly away from Sean

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Speaker 3: Miller in the handshake line and goes and gets in

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Speaker 3: the face of a fan and just screams and points

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Speaker 3: his finger. The broadcast cuts away before we see the

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Speaker 3: outcome of this. Ed Cooley released a statement and essentially

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Speaker 3: did not apologize. Now, I don't know what was said.

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Speaker 3: If something vulgar was said, I think we would have

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Speaker 3: heard about it by now a little more on record.

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Speaker 3: We didn't.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if that happened.

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Speaker 3: I'm sorry, But can he stop being the story for

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Speaker 3: one second? Can he put a good enough basketball team

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Speaker 3: together that his team becomes the story for once? Because

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Speaker 3: we're giving this guy an awful large amount of time

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Speaker 3: before we start to talk about the fact that the

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Speaker 3: Big East is awful. It's very easy to win games

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Speaker 3: against the bottom teams in that league, and at a

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Speaker 3: program like Georgetown, if you know what you're doing, if

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Speaker 3: you have some money behind you, you should be able

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Speaker 3: to put a team together. In fact, he has a

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Speaker 3: lottery pick in Thomas Sorbert. He has a guard that

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Speaker 3: everyone wanted in the transfer portal in the league Mac

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Speaker 3: and the results just haven't changed. I don't get it.

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Speaker 3: You can look around college basketball in much tougher conferences

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Speaker 3: and see coaches like Dusty May, Darien DeVries, Mark Pope

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Speaker 3: that have put together relevant basketball teams that are competitive.

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Speaker 3: Pat Kelsey is doing what Ed Cooley should be able

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Speaker 3: to do against the bottom of the Big East and

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Speaker 3: running through the bottom of the ACC. I don't get it.

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Speaker 3: All I've heard from Ed Cooley this year is random

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Speaker 3: press conference moments where he has to defend antics. He

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Speaker 3: took a shot at Illinois in the non conference, called

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Speaker 3: them a bullshit program for no reason. I'm just kind

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Speaker 3: of sick of the guy. I think we're seeing his

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Speaker 3: through colors and he's got the same record as the

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Speaker 3: program he abandoned a year after Providence was significantly better

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Speaker 3: when he abandoned them for Georgetown.

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Speaker 2: I'm over the guy. Love it.

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Speaker 1: Calbrey's what he got, Just real quick, Greg, how many

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Speaker 1: tournament wins does that Cooley have? Is it three? For

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Speaker 1: a guy making this much money. That's usually college football

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Speaker 1: territory where we overpay like a mel Tucker to make

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Speaker 1: him like the third highest paid coach in America for

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Speaker 1: no reason. But I think that's all he's ever done.

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Speaker 1: He had that one Sweet Sixteen run and then maybe

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Speaker 1: one other win at Providence. Like it's embarrassing that I

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Speaker 1: agree with you, Like he's acting as though he's earned

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Speaker 1: it and he's you know, beyond reproach. That's absurd. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna stick with kind of a Northeast team that it

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Speaker 1: pains me to say this, but college basketball is not

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Speaker 1: college basketball to me if Syracuse is totally irrelevant, And

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Speaker 1: after a year and a half, I think it's reset

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Speaker 1: button time for Autrey's thirty and twenty five trending towards

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Speaker 1: a bottom four finish in the ACC this year. They're

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Speaker 1: really struggling to have any kind of you know, identity

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Speaker 1: post Beheim the two three zone. They can't force any turnovers. Defensively,

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Speaker 1: they're unable to throw teams off of what they want

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Speaker 1: to run at all. And it's also baffling in terms

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Speaker 1: of what he's been able to bring in in Donnie

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Speaker 1: Coleman Davis from Udell Lampkin. You would think that they'd

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Speaker 1: be able to rebound a little bit with that those

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Speaker 1: you know bigs, but they've done nothing on the offensive glass.

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Speaker 1: And there's just a lot of good, you know, low major,

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Speaker 1: mid major coaches in the Northeast. I know that Syracuse

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Speaker 1: is such a premier prestige job that they probably want

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Speaker 1: to grab a coach that has significant experience at least

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Speaker 1: at a high mid major. But I think there's lots

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Speaker 1: of good options and maybe it's time to think outside

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Speaker 1: the box because it's clearly not working. And in the

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Speaker 1: ACC it's so wide open outside of you know, Duke

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Speaker 1: and maybe one other team that rises to the top

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Speaker 1: in a given year. It's not crazy to say, in

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Speaker 1: the portal, make the right higher, get two or three

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Speaker 1: guys in the portal that fit the system, and all

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Speaker 1: of a sudden you can find yourself, you know, a

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Speaker 1: top sixteen next year. I think it's time to pull

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Speaker 1: a plug. Do you think that's too aggressive stuck? Or

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Speaker 1: do you think you know that he shouldn't be buying

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Speaker 1: green bananas at this point in Western New York.

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Speaker 2: Now, if I was a Syracuse fan, I'd be rooting

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Speaker 2: for Syracuse to not make the ACC tournament. They're like

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Speaker 2: right on the cut, right, they're like and then I

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Speaker 2: think if they don't do that, that's such an embarrassing

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Speaker 2: that the a SEC is so down and you don't

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Speaker 2: make the ACC tournament. I think that there might be

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Speaker 2: a change, and I think that they need it for

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Speaker 2: sure before this program falls even further behind. All right,

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Speaker 2: let's get to our futures round table. So far we

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Speaker 2: have Texas A and M. That good value there to

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Speaker 2: make the final four. I was taking the final fl

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Speaker 2: I we can get a better number now how or

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Speaker 2: to win the national title? You can get a better

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Speaker 2: number now out there. I think fourteen to one. We

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Speaker 2: have twelve to one and still don't mind that Illinois

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Speaker 2: to make the final four. This is an interesting one

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Speaker 2: to talk about. Is so Illinois from an analytics standpoint,

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Speaker 2: from a met standpoint, is a national title contender. They

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Speaker 2: don't look like it. But they've also had injuries. They

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Speaker 2: dealt with illnesses. But if they have their freshmen like

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Speaker 2: just hit a wall and they're not gonna be able

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Speaker 2: to recover. Is this a temporary, temporary just hump that

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Speaker 2: they they've hit. I mean, they've just been unlucky with

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Speaker 2: a lot of other things, like you get you know,

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Speaker 2: you have to go to the rack and you play

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Speaker 2: Rutgers when they obviously when they have a healthy Bailey

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Speaker 2: and Parper, which never happens, just things like that. The

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Speaker 2: illness is to win around the injuries, it's still a

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Speaker 2: shot volume Kings. They're gonna get tons of rebounds they

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Speaker 2: limit to three. They have a ton of talent, but

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Speaker 2: is this is this cooke? Because it just doesn't look

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Speaker 2: great right now? Greg, I know you you're very in

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Speaker 2: tune with the Big Ten. Do you have any thoughts there?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Jaka Shonas is just broken right now. He's four

337
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Speaker 3: for twenty eight from three in their last six games,

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Speaker 3: and he doesn't look right. Ever since he returned from

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Speaker 3: that four arm injury and the foul trouble prone game

340
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Speaker 3: at Michigan State, he's just been a completely different player.

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Speaker 3: The turnovers are still there, the defensive lapses are still there,

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Speaker 3: but the offensive brilliance isn't. So they're kinda I think

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Speaker 3: they've taken the role of what we worried Alabama might

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Speaker 3: be at the beginning of the year, this team that

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Speaker 3: wants to win the shot volume game every game but

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Speaker 3: just can't shoot. I mean, every single guy on this

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Speaker 3: team is shooting like ten percent below their career average

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Speaker 3: from three. I don't think it's time to abandon all stock,

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Speaker 3: because if you believe in positive shooting regression, they're due

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Speaker 3: quite a bit of it before the season ends. But

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Speaker 3: it's hard to say trust him right now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, did kJ come back from his injuries too soon?

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Speaker 2: I don't know, it's possible, but he struggles with he

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Speaker 2: still struggles with like physicality which leads to turnovers. But yeah,

355
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Speaker 2: certainly a little bit worried about Illinois. But the upside

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Speaker 2: is still there. And then obviously, if you have a

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Speaker 2: team as talented as the line I, the draw could

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Speaker 2: also just break right for them to get to the

359
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Speaker 2: final four. That's the big wild card in this. Do

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Speaker 2: you have any thoughts Mike on Illinois?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I voiced my frustration in the last

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Speaker 1: episode where when the threes aren't falling. Do you even

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Speaker 1: have another plan against Nebraska? They did in the second

364
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Speaker 1: half against Ohio State they did the same script was

365
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Speaker 1: playing out against Rutgers. They finished I think six for

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Speaker 1: twenty eight from long range. It's just stopped shooting them.

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Speaker 1: The last eight minutes against Ohio State, he didn't shoot

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Speaker 1: any and he scored fifty one second half points. Like

369
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Speaker 1: it's inside of these players, and Brad Underwood is not

370
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Speaker 1: a dummy, Like he can pull the right strings and

371
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Speaker 1: move the right lineups. And even saw Will Riley gets

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Speaker 1: some significant minutes and his productivity. He's basically turning it

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Speaker 1: back to the beginning of the season with kJ being

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Speaker 1: banged up in a shell of himself. So there's ways

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Speaker 1: they can do it. And also the points that you

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Speaker 1: guys are both bringing up the draw during March madness,

377
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Speaker 1: I think that's when he can shine as a coach

378
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Speaker 1: and the staff can shine, because we saw it last

379
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Speaker 1: year they got hot down the stretch. I think it's

380
00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,720
Speaker 1: too easy to sell, But I just wonder if it's

381
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,479
Speaker 1: time to be doubling down. We already have, you know,

382
00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:09,040
Speaker 1: a Final four ticket. Are these numbers getting interesting or

383
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Speaker 1: is the bottom still not not there for the fighting lineup.

384
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Speaker 1: I don't know. I wish we had any insight for

385
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Speaker 1: what's going on with kJ, even you know, just a

386
00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:18,439
Speaker 1: leak coming out of the program, just to give him

387
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Speaker 1: a little cover, because he was just horrific and almost

388
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Speaker 1: fouled out of that game as well. So he's definitely

389
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Speaker 1: dealing with a lot. I think beyond just the injuries,

390
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:28,440
Speaker 1: it looks like a confidence issue as well in terms

391
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Speaker 1: of how he wants to play the game.

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Speaker 3: The one thing I would say in terms of their

393
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 3: value too, if we're like, what are we going to

394
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Speaker 3: monitor over the remaining mind. I want to buy this

395
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Speaker 3: team come March. I don't know that I would scoop

396
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Speaker 3: to buy low right now because I don't know that

397
00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:44,080
Speaker 3: we're at the bottoming.

398
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Speaker 2: Out point and their schedules really hard.

399
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Speaker 3: Their schedules really hard. There's six games, six losses in

400
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Speaker 3: the Big Ten. They're four games back, like they're not

401
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:55,200
Speaker 3: playing for anything in the regular season at this point.

402
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Speaker 3: So I almost envisioned a world. Maybe we get kJ

403
00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:01,880
Speaker 3: a couple weeks off. They're comfortably in the tournament. Still

404
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:05,280
Speaker 3: the analytics love them, so but yeah, just maybe, like,

405
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:07,920
Speaker 3: let's check on this team conference tournament week and see

406
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Speaker 3: where we can scoop them up.

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Speaker 2: Yeap, All right, let's get to our weekly Futures edition.

408
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Speaker 2: If you're new, we each give one make the case,

409
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Speaker 2: and then we all vote. If it's a tie, can't

410
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Speaker 2: vote for your own, I will break the tie. I'll

411
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Speaker 2: start off. I don't really love anything on the board,

412
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Speaker 2: but I still want more of Texas Tech. We already

413
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Speaker 2: talked about this earlier, So I'm gonna go to Texas

414
00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:40,359
Speaker 2: Tech Final four seven to one, and still out there.

415
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:44,240
Speaker 2: I make this like five. I think five and a

416
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:51,159
Speaker 2: half to one ish. So yeah, I think that there's

417
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Speaker 2: still a little bit about even though we're buying high

418
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,919
Speaker 2: is what it seems like. I'm still a believer in

419
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Speaker 2: this team. I don't They're not going to take a

420
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:04,720
Speaker 2: hit for a losing at Arizona. But if they win

421
00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 2: that game, then your home against Arizona State, at Oklahoma

422
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Speaker 2: State at TCU home against West Virginia, and then you know,

423
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Speaker 2: you have Houston at home at Kansas before an easy finish.

424
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Speaker 2: But if they win that game in Arizona and then

425
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Speaker 2: you know they could rattle off five more easily, well,

426
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Speaker 2: they'll be favored by I don't know, six seven double

427
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 2: digits the most of the next five games. I think

428
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:35,600
Speaker 2: these odds are only going to shrink. So I want

429
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Speaker 2: a piece of Texas Tech. I love this team. I

430
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:41,600
Speaker 2: think their defense is trending up enough where this is

431
00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:45,679
Speaker 2: a real national title contender. So let's go Red Raiders

432
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 2: Final four? Greg? Where you going?

433
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:49,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I have no notes on the Red Raiders, by

434
00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 3: the way, I like the pick. Like you said, by

435
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:56,359
Speaker 3: high is my only concern, but yeah, by High Maryland

436
00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:59,160
Speaker 3: is my pick. I'm also going to make a final four.

437
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,439
Speaker 3: I see the number at seventeen to one. Right now, Stuck,

438
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 3: you laid out what we're looking for in title contenders.

439
00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 3: We're looking for add up offense and defense, and it's

440
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:11,320
Speaker 3: under fifty. Maryland has a top twenty offense, they have

441
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:14,720
Speaker 3: a top twenty five defense. I think they are continuing

442
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:17,480
Speaker 3: to get better and better. This team looks a lot

443
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:19,680
Speaker 3: better to me than they did in the non conference.

444
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:22,440
Speaker 3: The balance, they can beat you a variety of ways,

445
00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 3: I think in the front court. Honestly, given how many

446
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:28,280
Speaker 3: teams in the Big Ten play two bigs, it's kind

447
00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 3: of gone under the radar how unique their front court

448
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:33,600
Speaker 3: combination is of Julian Reese and Derek Queen. When they

449
00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:35,440
Speaker 3: get out of Big Ten play, there's not going to

450
00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:38,680
Speaker 3: be many teams they see that are formidable enough upfront

451
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 3: to handle both of those guys. Respeats up on teams

452
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,159
Speaker 3: if you don't play two bigs against them, and if

453
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 3: you do play two bigs, Queen is versatile enough to

454
00:24:46,359 --> 00:24:48,640
Speaker 3: take you off the dribble and kind of space you out.

455
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:49,040
Speaker 2: A little bit.

456
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:51,480
Speaker 3: But the big thing that's been special with this team

457
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,520
Speaker 3: over the last three weeks, Jakobe Gillespie has hit a

458
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:57,680
Speaker 3: new level. Eighteen points a game, six assists a game,

459
00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:01,600
Speaker 3: fourteen field goal attempts. He's hunt shots in the six

460
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:04,520
Speaker 3: to one stretch that Maryland's had, shooting forty one percent

461
00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 3: from three. That has allowed Rodney Rice and Selton Miguel

462
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:10,720
Speaker 3: to essentially run corner to corner and just hunt three

463
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 3: point shots. They're both making them at an extremely high level,

464
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,159
Speaker 3: and I think now is the right time to scoop

465
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:19,639
Speaker 3: up some Maryland because you look at this schedule the

466
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:22,399
Speaker 3: rest of the season, seven of their final nine games

467
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:25,159
Speaker 3: against Big Ten are against teams projected outside of the

468
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:28,280
Speaker 3: NCAA tournament field. They're two big games are at Michigan

469
00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:30,600
Speaker 3: and against Michigan State. I think they can win both

470
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 3: of those games. They have no games remaining against Perdue,

471
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 3: Wisconsin UCLA, three teams that are peaking and rolling through

472
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 3: the Big Ten conference right now. I think they're very

473
00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:43,359
Speaker 3: likely to win seven, maybe eight of these final nine games.

474
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:44,840
Speaker 3: We're going to look at this team as a top

475
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:46,679
Speaker 3: ten team in the country by the end of the season,

476
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 3: and at seventeen to one, that's double the value we're

477
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:52,600
Speaker 3: getting of teams like Michigan State, Arizona, Kansas right now.

478
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:55,080
Speaker 3: To me, I put Maryland right in that type of

479
00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:56,960
Speaker 3: group as teams that can make a final four run.

480
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you have what queen probably at the first

481
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 2: round draft.

482
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:06,240
Speaker 1: Pick easy, oh for sure. Yeah, his.

483
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:09,879
Speaker 2: Second maybe late second.

484
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:11,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, maybe he could. He could work his way in

485
00:26:11,840 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 1: as a glue guy go through the G league. You know,

486
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:16,719
Speaker 1: but I think he certainly has, you know, talent, and

487
00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:19,160
Speaker 1: also he's benefiting so much from not being the center

488
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 1: of attention and having shooters around him for the first time.

489
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:23,960
Speaker 1: Like last year was a disaster in that regard with

490
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:25,360
Speaker 1: everyone collapsing to Reese.

491
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:29,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, but but yeah, you know that just back to

492
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 2: the point of having like a first round NBA guy,

493
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 2: m mea talent and queen that always helps to make

494
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:39,439
Speaker 2: a deep run. And yeah, I still think Maryland is

495
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 2: flying a bit under the radar. By the way, I

496
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 2: was looking at a mock draft the other day and

497
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:50,679
Speaker 2: I think I saw like four Kentucky players in the

498
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:53,320
Speaker 2: top fifty. I was like, this is nothing has changed.

499
00:26:53,320 --> 00:27:00,280
Speaker 2: Everything's the same, So all right, good stuff there. That

500
00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 2: one Calvary's when you got I'm.

501
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,119
Speaker 1: Going with a big swing. You know, last week I

502
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,800
Speaker 1: came with you know, Saint Mary's at minus one sixty

503
00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 1: five to win the WCC, which, by the way, it's

504
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 1: looking pretty solid, but we're gonna come with something a

505
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 1: lot spicy here this time. How about New Mexico to

506
00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 1: make the final four seventy five to one.

507
00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:16,439
Speaker 3: It's simple.

508
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,200
Speaker 1: It starts with their inside out talent. Donovan Dent running

509
00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:22,040
Speaker 1: the point second among true mid major point guards in

510
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:25,359
Speaker 1: terms of game efficiency rating. So he's someone that impacts

511
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:27,800
Speaker 1: the game both as a volume scorer, shooter, someone who

512
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:30,159
Speaker 1: can facilitate. He can also rebound a little bit. For

513
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 1: Richard Patino, you'll get h some of these performances thirty

514
00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:36,160
Speaker 1: four against Fresno. He'll give you seven or eight assists

515
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:37,880
Speaker 1: on a given night. He gets the line a lot,

516
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:39,879
Speaker 1: which I think really gives him stability in terms of

517
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,720
Speaker 1: his scoring. And then you go inside, you get Nelly

518
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:45,000
Speaker 1: Junior Joseph who can take over the game in three

519
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 1: separate ways. He has six games with five or more

520
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,480
Speaker 1: stocks this year, coming off an eight stock game against

521
00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:53,560
Speaker 1: Colorado State. He's recorded a double double and sixty percent

522
00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 1: of his starts this season, including a fifteen and thirteen

523
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:59,199
Speaker 1: gym against Utah State on a perfect shooting night. So

524
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,040
Speaker 1: in terms of his efficiency against the best of the best,

525
00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 1: or at least the second best in the Mountain West Conference.

526
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:07,120
Speaker 1: The Lobos have looked incredible and when you think about

527
00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:09,439
Speaker 1: the seed line right now, you could argue they're at

528
00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:11,760
Speaker 1: eight or nine right now. A strong finish and a

529
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,600
Speaker 1: Mountain West Conference tournament title, maybe they get to a seven.

530
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:18,399
Speaker 1: But really it's just about the projection in terms of

531
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:20,639
Speaker 1: which region they're in. You want to avoid Duke, if

532
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,840
Speaker 1: you want to avoid Auburn. Bark Torvik puts them at

533
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 1: a fifteen percent chance to make the second weekend, but

534
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,400
Speaker 1: I think I care more about the random draw of

535
00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 1: not being in the Tigers or Blue Devil's region, and

536
00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:34,199
Speaker 1: if they're not, I think seventy five to one is

537
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:37,200
Speaker 1: super generous. This is a team that continues to play well,

538
00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,960
Speaker 1: continues to impress. And I know in the Mountain West

539
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:42,000
Speaker 1: you have a lot of fluky home court advantages, you

540
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:44,280
Speaker 1: have altitude and things of that nature, but I think

541
00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 1: they've proven it throughout the course of the season, neutral

542
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 1: floor on the road. And a final nugget from Evan

543
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:52,480
Speaker 1: Mia of likely tournament teams to make the field as

544
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:54,600
Speaker 1: of right now, teams that are over eighty five percent

545
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,120
Speaker 1: to make the field in terms of playing up against

546
00:28:57,160 --> 00:29:00,520
Speaker 1: quality opponents. The number one team New Mexico. So they

547
00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 1: got to beat some quality opponents to get to the

548
00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:04,520
Speaker 1: final four. I think they can do it. Seventy five

549
00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:06,080
Speaker 1: to one is a phenomenal price.

550
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:10,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, don't hate the price. My only pushback.

551
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 1: Would be to tournament time.

552
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:14,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna do this again. We're gonna fall over

553
00:29:14,760 --> 00:29:19,200
Speaker 2: the mountain and they'll all be gone by Saturday at breakfast.

554
00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 2: All right, let's vote one for Texas Tech, two for Maryland,

555
00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:34,600
Speaker 2: three for New Mexico, three two one, All right, we

556
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 2: are going with Maryland to make the final four. Van

557
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:44,480
Speaker 2: Pelt will be happy to hear. Let's go Turps. So

558
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:45,840
Speaker 2: seventeen to one.

559
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 1: I do want to point out with Texas Tech, what's

560
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:51,480
Speaker 1: interesting is, like you could there's an absolute world in

561
00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:53,479
Speaker 1: which they play all They play themselves all the way

562
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 1: up to the two line, two, three or four. It

563
00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 1: doesn't matter as long as they avoid Duke and Alburn.

564
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 1: Like if they're in any other region, I don't care

565
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 1: what their seed number is. Like if they're there and

566
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:07,160
Speaker 1: Florida's the one, like, you're probably gonna come in as

567
00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:09,480
Speaker 1: a co favorite to win the region or at least,

568
00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:11,840
Speaker 1: you know, pretty close in terms of the pricing. So

569
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 1: the fact is, like there's not all that much they

570
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:17,120
Speaker 1: can do outside of I don't think that they can

571
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:19,000
Speaker 1: work their way up to a one seed. Maybe if

572
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:21,040
Speaker 1: they're on the table and win the Big twelve tournament

573
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:23,560
Speaker 1: as well, But assuming that they don't get a one seed,

574
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 1: it's just kind of the luck of the draw. So

575
00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 1: the number is, it's a phenomenal number as long as

576
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 1: we avoid Auburn and Duke. So I think that's kind

577
00:30:33,520 --> 00:30:37,040
Speaker 1: of like the same factor in a lot of these

578
00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 1: futures moving forward to look at winning separate regions. But

579
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,239
Speaker 1: certainly there's going to be a huge drop off if

580
00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 1: they're not in one of those regions, you know, come

581
00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:47,600
Speaker 1: tournament time. I'm telling you, it could be like plus

582
00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:49,640
Speaker 1: one fifty right there with like a Florida or a

583
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 1: Tennessee or an Alabama.

584
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:58,520
Speaker 2: Yeah greet, Yeah, let's throw it to Tanamograph for his

585
00:30:58,800 --> 00:30:59,800
Speaker 2: Anne East men.

586
00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 5: I am a real change fight for what's right.

587
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 4: Welcome back to the Amy's Minute, hosted by yours truly

588
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:17,840
Speaker 4: the world's biggest fan of this stupid low major league standings.

589
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:21,360
Speaker 4: As we enter Week five, of Americas conference play. Brian

590
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:23,600
Speaker 4: is a perfect eight to zero MANUS six and two,

591
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,840
Speaker 4: Vermont's five and three, Lowells four and four, UNBC, Albany

592
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:28,840
Speaker 4: and Binghamton are all three and five, and JT and

593
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,800
Speaker 4: New Hampshire are both two and six. A big story

594
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 4: this week. We're halfway through conference season exactly. Almost everyone

595
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:37,560
Speaker 4: has played each other once now, so we're firmly in

596
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 4: rematch territory except for Vermont and Albany. And the Catamounts

597
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:45,320
Speaker 4: go to Albany at seven pm Eastern on Saturday, and

598
00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:47,960
Speaker 4: I do think Vermont gets it done here. The Catamounts

599
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 4: have really cleaned up their rebounding and turnover issues and

600
00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:52,760
Speaker 4: that'll be a huge problem for the shot volume reliant

601
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:55,720
Speaker 4: Great Danes. It'll help keep them out of transition and

602
00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:58,920
Speaker 4: away from second chance buckets. The bigger problem is that

603
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 4: Albany can't hit a jump, which has made the Danes

604
00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:03,600
Speaker 4: super rim reliant, which is a problem against a Vermont

605
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:05,600
Speaker 4: team that packs it in and as a leary aofla

606
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 4: patrolling the paint. Of course, the big question is can

607
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:12,640
Speaker 4: the cat amount score. The Danes do play drop coverage

608
00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:15,040
Speaker 4: and they're a pretty decent three point denial defense which

609
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:18,280
Speaker 4: can stifle Vermont's five out attack. Not to mention, the

610
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:21,920
Speaker 4: Cats offense is just totally and completely broken. That said,

611
00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:25,680
Speaker 4: Albany's interior defense is equally broken, and I think Vermont

612
00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 4: can just backdoor cut the Danes to death, which they've

613
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,240
Speaker 4: been much more willing to do in recent weeks. The

614
00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:33,800
Speaker 4: most interesting game the Saturday slate, and my best bet

615
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,480
Speaker 4: for the Saturday slate will be the UNBC at Maine

616
00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:39,680
Speaker 4: under This will be two pm Eastern on Saturday. The

617
00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:42,200
Speaker 4: Black Bears whooped the Retrievers in Baltimore in the first

618
00:32:42,280 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 4: head to head meeting, mainly because UNBC couldn't handle Maine's

619
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:48,200
Speaker 4: press and through the ball away nineteen times, while Maine

620
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:51,360
Speaker 4: shot forty eight percent from three on the turnovers. But

621
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 4: the most interesting schematic difference here is how Maine responds

622
00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:58,280
Speaker 4: to unbc's new zone defense. UNBC has gone entirely zoned

623
00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:02,479
Speaker 4: since the disaster against and it worked against Albany, Vermont

624
00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 4: and Bryant, although Lowell shredded it last Saturday by beating

625
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 4: it over the top and with their versatile high posts forwards.

626
00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:13,080
Speaker 4: But Maine is a guard friendly, ballscreen centric offense with

627
00:33:13,400 --> 00:33:16,959
Speaker 4: very limited frontcore playmaking options, and I'm still banking a

628
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:19,360
Speaker 4: more negative shooting regression for the Bears, so I don't

629
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 4: love how they match up with the zone. The last

630
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:23,880
Speaker 4: time they face zone on volume was against Stonybrook and

631
00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:26,960
Speaker 4: they score point seventy two points per possession. The key

632
00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:28,840
Speaker 4: on the other end of the court is that Maine

633
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:31,320
Speaker 4: has always been able to keep unbc's offense at bay

634
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 4: with their elite transition defense. I think this one stays

635
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 4: lower paced, lower scoring. Bryant visits Binghamton two pm Eastern

636
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:42,880
Speaker 4: on Saturday. I do lean Bryant here, although Barry Evans

637
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:44,440
Speaker 4: would have to play he's been out with the flu

638
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:45,240
Speaker 4: for the past week.

639
00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:46,840
Speaker 2: Binghamton is still.

640
00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:49,560
Speaker 4: A pretty effective downhill, rim running, cutting offense, but you

641
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 4: can't do that against Bryant, which rim funnels and then

642
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 4: swats everything. Bryant blocked eight shots in the first head

643
00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:58,520
Speaker 4: to meeting, and Binghamton doesn't have a point guard right now.

644
00:33:58,520 --> 00:34:02,040
Speaker 4: With Jayden Lemon's sidelines running into a huge turnover issue,

645
00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:04,760
Speaker 4: which has adversely affected their transition defense, which is now

646
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 4: the worst in the league. And you can't let Briant

647
00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 4: push the ball on blocks or turnovers against you. I

648
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:14,600
Speaker 4: think that's a death sentence. Finally, NJAT visits New Hampshire

649
00:34:14,640 --> 00:34:17,360
Speaker 4: one pm Eastern on Saturday in the Cellar Dweller Battle,

650
00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:19,560
Speaker 4: and I think New Hampshire can flip the script here

651
00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:21,799
Speaker 4: and pull out a home win. NJIT snuck past the

652
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,120
Speaker 4: Wildcats with a five point home win in the first meeting,

653
00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 4: mostly thanks to the typical Tarik Francis Rooks. He dropped

654
00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:29,760
Speaker 4: nineteen points and eight assists in that one with three steals.

655
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 4: But Sammy Pieces can go off at any time, and

656
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 4: he had a rough first game. These two teams are

657
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:38,520
Speaker 4: overly relying on their star point guards and if Sammy

658
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:40,480
Speaker 4: has a good game, well Treike has a bad one.

659
00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:42,440
Speaker 4: I think the Wildcats can sneak away with a win.

660
00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:44,520
Speaker 4: I also think New Hamphrey can get a slightly better

661
00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:47,400
Speaker 4: whistle in the rematch at home. NJT got up eleven

662
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:49,880
Speaker 4: more free throws in the first matchup, but the Highlanders

663
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:54,000
Speaker 4: typically foul a lot more so quickly. To recap, I

664
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,799
Speaker 4: will likely be on Vermont heading to Binghamton. I'm going

665
00:34:56,880 --> 00:35:00,359
Speaker 4: to bet that UNBC at Maine under I like New

666
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:03,480
Speaker 4: Hampshire in the Cellar Dweller Battle against Njit and I

667
00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 4: do Lean Bryant when they head to Binghamton on Saturday. Otherwise,

668
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:08,960
Speaker 4: thank you guys, hope to see you next week.

669
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:11,200
Speaker 2: All right, Thanks Tanner. By the way, the stage is

670
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 2: set for Super Bowl fifty nine on Sunday and the

671
00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 2: many prop bets still to come. That means now is

672
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,600
Speaker 2: the perfect time to upgrade to an Action Pro subscription

673
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:23,640
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674
00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:26,680
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675
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676
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679
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680
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:44,320
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681
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:48,400
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682
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683
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684
00:35:57,000 --> 00:36:04,359
Speaker 2: Let's get to some weekend looks. Greg. I'll start with

685
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:09,839
Speaker 2: you because you have something on Friday, and I will

686
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 2: say it's scary for Yukon potentially going up against Saint

687
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:17,680
Speaker 2: John's with I mean, who's DR's game time decision, and

688
00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:19,839
Speaker 2: he's a game time decision. What do we know when

689
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 2: McNeil's coming back. I think he's close.

690
00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:24,959
Speaker 3: I think he's going to play in this game.

691
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:27,520
Speaker 2: But you like the Johnnysy, I.

692
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:30,600
Speaker 3: Am on the Johnnys and I hope McNeely plays. I

693
00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 3: mean it would I guess it would be a boost

694
00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:34,319
Speaker 3: for the Johnnys if he doesn't. But I'm really not

695
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:37,480
Speaker 3: worried about his resurgence. I feel like there's been some

696
00:36:37,680 --> 00:36:41,920
Speaker 3: false optimism with him. He's obviously an important player. They

697
00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:44,720
Speaker 3: need depth anywhere they can get it. He's more important

698
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:47,799
Speaker 3: to the offense than the defense. To me, people seem

699
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:50,880
Speaker 3: to think that this Yukon team was like really driving

700
00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 3: with him. I just didn't see that. I mean, they

701
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:57,640
Speaker 3: had one hundred and twenty seventh national adjusted defensive efficiency

702
00:36:57,640 --> 00:37:01,160
Speaker 3: in the country with him, and that were still twenty

703
00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:05,040
Speaker 3: fourth overall in that span. Like, they're not that different

704
00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:07,600
Speaker 3: with him in the fold. It doesn't fix their issues

705
00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 3: as far as guarding the perimeter, and that's what they're

706
00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:12,280
Speaker 3: gonna have to do in this game against Saint John's.

707
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:15,319
Speaker 3: The athleticism, the way that Kadari Richmond is playing like.

708
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 3: You have to have elite perimeter defenders that can stick

709
00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 3: one on one in order to really shut him down.

710
00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:26,120
Speaker 3: Yukon does not. It's a perfect matchup. A lot's been

711
00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:29,200
Speaker 3: made out of Kadari as a Yukon killer. He averages

712
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:31,359
Speaker 3: eighteen points a game. I mean, he got a win

713
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:33,919
Speaker 3: against the two national title teams each of the last

714
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:36,360
Speaker 3: two seasons. He's beaten Dan Hurley. It's it's gonna be

715
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:39,000
Speaker 3: a lot easier to do it this year. But to me,

716
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:41,719
Speaker 3: you just look at how both these teams beat Marquette

717
00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:45,000
Speaker 3: in the last week. Everything Saint John's did in that

718
00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:48,000
Speaker 3: win is sustainable. That game was played on their terms.

719
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:52,399
Speaker 3: Yukon was wildly impressive. They shot sixty three percent from

720
00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:55,200
Speaker 3: three in a game they turned it over twenty five

721
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:57,400
Speaker 3: times in and just where.

722
00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 2: I'd you're going up against Saint john haveter you turn

723
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:03,480
Speaker 2: it over twenty five times against the Marquette Marquette pressure.

724
00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:06,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's over if that happens again, and I mean

725
00:38:06,560 --> 00:38:08,719
Speaker 3: solo ball. If he goes seven for nine from three,

726
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:10,759
Speaker 3: you tip your cap if that's how they win a game.

727
00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:13,759
Speaker 3: To me, Saint John's has been demonstratively the better team.

728
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:16,880
Speaker 3: They have no answer for Kantari. And if there's a

729
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 3: chance here that we get Saint John's at plus money,

730
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 3: which I think we may, man, I have to.

731
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:24,680
Speaker 2: Bet that, yeah, and can I it's been vulnerable to

732
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:29,400
Speaker 2: the on the defensive glass, so Saint John's could is

733
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:33,279
Speaker 2: in conference play, Saint John's should be able to get

734
00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:35,359
Speaker 2: to the line a bunch, get offensive rebounds. Now, can

735
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:37,759
Speaker 2: they make any free throws? We'll see then if you

736
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:39,880
Speaker 2: get any threes from Saint John's, it's just a bonus.

737
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:44,279
Speaker 2: But yeah, that pressure on Yukon, especially with a potentially

738
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:50,759
Speaker 2: shorthanded backcourt, because I mean, if you are in the

739
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:54,920
Speaker 2: Hanari are both out, hey, it's it's bad. You probably

740
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:57,319
Speaker 2: got to play ball more at the point, which takes

741
00:38:57,320 --> 00:39:00,040
Speaker 2: away his scoring. A bill I could get ugly. So

742
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:03,120
Speaker 2: we'll see you plays any agree. McNeely helps their offense

743
00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 2: much more than their defense, which is I think just

744
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:08,800
Speaker 2: going to be a problem this year for you. Con

745
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:10,480
Speaker 2: Cabrey's what you got.

746
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:13,760
Speaker 1: Finego Oregon State as a home dog against Saint Mary's.

747
00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 1: You know, Wayne Tinkle. We all know he's a crafty

748
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,560
Speaker 1: defensive coach. He loves to fold in zone to what

749
00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:21,440
Speaker 1: he's doing. He was interviewed recently and he basically said

750
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 1: what we're all kind of begging college coaches to do

751
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:27,319
Speaker 1: when their teams are struggling a little defensively, just just

752
00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:29,640
Speaker 1: to throw out something different, a one three one zone,

753
00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:32,200
Speaker 1: just to force other teams to prove that they are

754
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:34,880
Speaker 1: prepared they can beat it. But also sometimes you can

755
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:37,240
Speaker 1: hide a guy who's in foul trouble. It really helps

756
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:39,920
Speaker 1: with their you know, ball screen coverage, the dribble handoffs,

757
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:42,279
Speaker 1: and it's put them in a position I think to

758
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:44,480
Speaker 1: kind of throw a wrench into this run for the

759
00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:47,160
Speaker 1: Gaels because they don't do great against zone. Just you know,

760
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:50,240
Speaker 1: straight out that point nine to four points per possession,

761
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 1: that's the forty fifth percentile for the Gaels. They played

762
00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:55,520
Speaker 1: Merrimack early in the year, team that we've talked a

763
00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:58,200
Speaker 1: lot about. In mid December, they were a twenty plus

764
00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 1: point favorite. They eat that one out as a five

765
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:03,840
Speaker 1: point win, seventy three to sixty eight, despite grabbing seventeen

766
00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:06,319
Speaker 1: offensive rebounds. So it kind of showed how difficult it

767
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:08,920
Speaker 1: was for them to dissect it, and in the WCC

768
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:11,520
Speaker 1: they don't face a ton of zone other than Pepperdine,

769
00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:14,920
Speaker 1: and Pepperdine stinks. They have absolutely nothing on the offensive end,

770
00:40:15,080 --> 00:40:18,960
Speaker 1: whereas Oregon State's significantly better in that regard. Michael Ritaje

771
00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: has bossomed in his third year on American soil. The

772
00:40:21,600 --> 00:40:24,080
Speaker 1: German BIG's up to eighteen and eight per game. He's

773
00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 1: been spectacular in recent wins over Santa Clara and the

774
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:30,040
Speaker 1: Zags and overtime, and Marco Minor I think is the

775
00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:32,160
Speaker 1: stabilizer for the Beaves in this one. If he cuts

776
00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 1: down on his turnovers, he can be a great floor general.

777
00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:37,759
Speaker 1: And the Gales, for all of the things that they

778
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:39,719
Speaker 1: excel at, they don't put a ton of pressure on you.

779
00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:41,680
Speaker 1: They don't force a ton of turnovers. So I'm going

780
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:43,479
Speaker 1: to go with the Beavers here. They're four no straight

781
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:45,680
Speaker 1: up and against the spread at home in their last four,

782
00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:49,000
Speaker 1: including that overtime upset of the Zags. I think they

783
00:40:49,040 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 1: keep this one close. I would play this down to

784
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:53,640
Speaker 1: three and a half. I'm hoping it's north of four

785
00:40:53,960 --> 00:40:54,800
Speaker 1: and get the hook.

786
00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:59,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, Oregon State's been so much better at home too

787
00:41:00,680 --> 00:41:06,600
Speaker 2: all year Hopefully the results tonight go a certain way

788
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:11,319
Speaker 2: to help potentially with non value there. Maybe Oregon State

789
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:14,920
Speaker 2: losing outright would be nice. But ye eye that circle

790
00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:17,719
Speaker 2: to Saint Mary's zone offense. That's even if you look

791
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:20,439
Speaker 2: at like some of the advanced metrics, it's it's ugly.

792
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:22,400
Speaker 2: And you saw when Gonzaga went to the zone, they

793
00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:24,719
Speaker 2: couldn't do anything. By the way, copies, I want to

794
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:28,360
Speaker 2: ask you about Friday night, a couple a ten matchups

795
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:31,080
Speaker 2: VCU Dayton. I don't know the status of Malachi Smith.

796
00:41:31,160 --> 00:41:33,800
Speaker 2: Can use it as many guards as you can possibly

797
00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 2: use against vs used insane defensive pressure. Dayton's always intriguing

798
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:42,239
Speaker 2: as a home dog. But I mean because they just

799
00:41:42,320 --> 00:41:44,359
Speaker 2: are so dominant at home over the years. But it's

800
00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:47,239
Speaker 2: not like they've been as good this year. I mean,

801
00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:50,279
Speaker 2: they did beat Marquette at home, but you know they

802
00:41:50,400 --> 00:41:54,400
Speaker 2: lost to George Mason. By the way, George Mason's defense,

803
00:41:54,440 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 2: George Mason's like Saint John's light. They're like the in

804
00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 2: the mid majors. Their their defense is so good, but

805
00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:02,840
Speaker 2: they'll go through like scoring droughts and then miss a

806
00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:07,120
Speaker 2: bunch of free throws. Yeah, so that's that's intriguing to

807
00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:11,080
Speaker 2: meet Dayton PCU and then Saint Joe's. They'll probably be

808
00:42:11,080 --> 00:42:13,239
Speaker 2: I don't know, four or five point favorite at home

809
00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:17,560
Speaker 2: against Saint Louis. And I mean, by the way Saint

810
00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:20,920
Speaker 2: Louis teams are shooting twenty three point eight percent from

811
00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:24,400
Speaker 2: three against Saint Louis in conference play, you would normally

812
00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:26,759
Speaker 2: think Saint Joe's would be a team that can capitalize

813
00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:29,959
Speaker 2: on that high variance team. They think you don't slow starts.

814
00:42:29,960 --> 00:42:31,400
Speaker 2: I'm definitely gonna look to bet them live if they

815
00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:35,520
Speaker 2: get down. But Saint Jo's should be better than they are.

816
00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:40,879
Speaker 2: I mean, they've lost five of eight. They profile much

817
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:44,040
Speaker 2: better than that. But what is going on with I mean,

818
00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 2: Fleming's been great, But what is going on with Reynolds

819
00:42:46,200 --> 00:42:49,280
Speaker 2: and Brown? I mean Reynolds is shooting twenty eight percent

820
00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:51,239
Speaker 2: from three. This is a guy we have a good

821
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:53,800
Speaker 2: sample size. He's thirty eight percent every year. He's shooting

822
00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:57,680
Speaker 2: twenty six percent from three in conference play. His mid

823
00:42:57,800 --> 00:43:01,640
Speaker 2: range is still elite. He's I think he's shooting like

824
00:43:01,640 --> 00:43:04,840
Speaker 2: forty eight percent mid range. I don't know, twelve thirteen

825
00:43:05,080 --> 00:43:07,480
Speaker 2: percent over the national average. I don't I don't know

826
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:09,600
Speaker 2: why he can't make a three, had bus he lost

827
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:14,000
Speaker 2: his confidence. And then Brown too is he's shooting thirty

828
00:43:14,040 --> 00:43:16,279
Speaker 2: one percent from three, thirty one percent in conference play

829
00:43:16,320 --> 00:43:18,680
Speaker 2: last year's forty percent on the year, forty one percent

830
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:21,760
Speaker 2: in conference play. So and this is a team that's

831
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:23,800
Speaker 2: they're not as bad as they were a couple of

832
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 2: years ago under Lang, but they still shoot a ton

833
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:29,319
Speaker 2: of threes. Do you have any thoughts on either one

834
00:43:29,320 --> 00:43:30,280
Speaker 2: of those eight ten games?

835
00:43:30,520 --> 00:43:32,920
Speaker 1: The second one I was shot when I saw Torvik

836
00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:36,480
Speaker 1: projected at Saint Joe's minus seven, I'm not comfortable with

837
00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:38,040
Speaker 1: that whatsoever, based on.

838
00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:39,640
Speaker 2: Now you want you want them to get down, get

839
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:41,560
Speaker 2: down like as well and then met them.

840
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:43,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, you want to grab that good number. And also

841
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 1: Saint Louis steals that win at UMass and that was

842
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:50,120
Speaker 1: a game that Kareem Abdul Jabbar aka Larry Blurd, he

843
00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:52,560
Speaker 1: fouled out of that game. He was a non factor.

844
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:54,719
Speaker 1: So the fact is, I think if he stays on

845
00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:58,600
Speaker 1: the floor, Fleming has played tremendously this entire year, but

846
00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:01,120
Speaker 1: I think there's an opportunity to potentially get him into

847
00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:02,920
Speaker 1: foul trouble or to bring the fight to him a

848
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,960
Speaker 1: little bit, and Fleming has really kind of covered up

849
00:44:06,160 --> 00:44:08,160
Speaker 1: the fact that the Saint Jose backcourt has been so

850
00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:10,840
Speaker 1: up and down. If he gets in foul trouble early,

851
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:13,560
Speaker 1: I think that's a real bad omen for Saint Jose

852
00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 1: to potentially lose this game out right. Having watched so

853
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:18,120
Speaker 1: many of their games this year, even the VCU game

854
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,200
Speaker 1: three or four weeks ago that I was at in person,

855
00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:23,600
Speaker 1: like they just they I think it is a confidence issue,

856
00:44:23,840 --> 00:44:26,400
Speaker 1: to be totally clear, in terms of their backcourt, because

857
00:44:26,760 --> 00:44:28,960
Speaker 1: they surged at the end of last year. It looked

858
00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:31,200
Speaker 1: in the A ten tournament like they found a bit

859
00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:33,080
Speaker 1: of confidence and they were going to and to get

860
00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:35,280
Speaker 1: all those guys back, and then to have this glow

861
00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:37,920
Speaker 1: up that Fleming's had this season, you would think that

862
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:39,799
Speaker 1: this was the time to punch through into the top

863
00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:42,600
Speaker 1: four of the A ten. But it's not materializing. And

864
00:44:42,640 --> 00:44:44,719
Speaker 1: for that reason, I just think seven is way too much.

865
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:46,840
Speaker 1: At five, it's probably a pass, But I think you

866
00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:50,200
Speaker 1: have the right perspective, stuck. This is a live number,

867
00:44:50,440 --> 00:44:52,080
Speaker 1: and really it's only a live number you want to play.

868
00:44:52,080 --> 00:44:54,040
Speaker 1: If Saint Jose goes down ten, which I feel like

869
00:44:54,040 --> 00:44:55,240
Speaker 1: they do in every single game.

870
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:57,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they've come back to win a lot of them.

871
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:00,760
Speaker 2: Very high variance team. But yeah, I mean yeah, Reynolds

872
00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:04,239
Speaker 2: is he's shooting twenty five point seven percent on non

873
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:07,040
Speaker 2: corner threes this year, which is crazy, and mid range

874
00:45:07,080 --> 00:45:09,200
Speaker 2: twodays forty seven and a half percent. National average is

875
00:45:09,200 --> 00:45:15,160
Speaker 2: like thirty three. So it's very bizarre. But if he

876
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:17,560
Speaker 2: can get hot, then because their defense has been good,

877
00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:20,880
Speaker 2: their defense has been better than I thought it would be.

878
00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:28,719
Speaker 2: Uh one, I'll throw out for this. Uh you got

879
00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:32,080
Speaker 2: to get this one early. It's funny because college basketball

880
00:45:32,120 --> 00:45:34,960
Speaker 2: the last I think I've I've talked about this before,

881
00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:37,960
Speaker 2: but I used to be able to. I would put

882
00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 2: in a ton of work in the summer in college basketball,

883
00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:42,480
Speaker 2: and then you'd be able to roll out of bed

884
00:45:42,560 --> 00:45:47,080
Speaker 2: every day during the season and find two to three

885
00:45:47,080 --> 00:45:50,960
Speaker 2: winners based on spots, the spot tax, the premium efficiency,

886
00:45:51,000 --> 00:45:56,319
Speaker 2: their market, how fast it moves is insane. So and

887
00:45:56,360 --> 00:46:00,160
Speaker 2: now with college football and then the transfer portal, I've

888
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:05,640
Speaker 2: been able to really do much advanced work on all

889
00:46:05,680 --> 00:46:08,680
Speaker 2: of the behind the scenes stuff that I do. So

890
00:46:08,800 --> 00:46:12,520
Speaker 2: I've been doing that over the past month, just trying

891
00:46:12,520 --> 00:46:16,040
Speaker 2: to there's so many more resources now too that are available,

892
00:46:16,120 --> 00:46:22,600
Speaker 2: so hopefully have a more effective model looking at more

893
00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:27,759
Speaker 2: matchup based stuff. And because some of these spots are

894
00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:30,279
Speaker 2: just crazy, they're just the market is so much more

895
00:46:30,280 --> 00:46:35,399
Speaker 2: efficient now and than it was, so it's definitely much

896
00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:38,879
Speaker 2: harder to beat overall, I will say. And the reason

897
00:46:38,920 --> 00:46:41,560
Speaker 2: I bring that up is some of these spots, the

898
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 2: market's going to know you got to get them early

899
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:46,320
Speaker 2: and otherwise someone's going to beat you to the punch.

900
00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:53,320
Speaker 2: Here's one, let's see Lehigh, I'm going to stick in

901
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:56,279
Speaker 2: your neighborhood. Calbaryes Lee has been playing a bit better

902
00:46:56,320 --> 00:46:59,479
Speaker 2: after losing Higgins. They've started to figure some things out.

903
00:47:00,040 --> 00:47:04,040
Speaker 2: Going to get American at home on Saturday, I don't know, Well,

904
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:07,520
Speaker 2: hopefully it opens it like a pick. Hopefully they open

905
00:47:07,560 --> 00:47:12,080
Speaker 2: as a dog, but I don't think that'll happen. They

906
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:16,400
Speaker 2: they're off since Monday. They beat Colgate on Monday and

907
00:47:17,560 --> 00:47:22,880
Speaker 2: American on Wednesday got blown out by buck Now and

908
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:24,879
Speaker 2: they were going to hit the road for a second

909
00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:28,080
Speaker 2: straight game. The rest prep advantage here, and the prep

910
00:47:28,120 --> 00:47:32,280
Speaker 2: advantage is important against American run a pretty complex offense.

911
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:38,000
Speaker 2: But American is decimated. There were also was decimated at

912
00:47:38,040 --> 00:47:41,520
Speaker 2: buck Now they had two starters out, their best player,

913
00:47:41,640 --> 00:47:43,760
Speaker 2: Rogers was dealing with the flu. The whole team was sick.

914
00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:46,600
Speaker 2: Are they all going to be better by Saturday? I

915
00:47:46,680 --> 00:47:50,279
Speaker 2: doubt it. That's a tough spot, and I think it's

916
00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:54,880
Speaker 2: a good matchup for Lehigh as well, Like American's not

917
00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:57,600
Speaker 2: going to crush them at the rim. And you want

918
00:47:57,640 --> 00:48:06,160
Speaker 2: to talk about a revenge spot. Lee High against American

919
00:48:07,120 --> 00:48:11,720
Speaker 2: earlier this year lost one of the most improbable games

920
00:48:11,760 --> 00:48:14,200
Speaker 2: you will ever see. If you didn't see this, I

921
00:48:14,200 --> 00:48:18,400
Speaker 2: gotta walk you through the play by play. Lehi led

922
00:48:20,040 --> 00:48:25,720
Speaker 2: sixty six fifty nine with twenty eight seconds to go. Foul,

923
00:48:26,040 --> 00:48:30,360
Speaker 2: American makes both, sixty six to sixty one. American foul.

924
00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:35,959
Speaker 2: Leai misses both free throws. Lehigh fouls again. American makes

925
00:48:36,000 --> 00:48:40,240
Speaker 2: both at sixty six sixty three. American fouls again fifteen

926
00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:44,080
Speaker 2: seconds left. Lei missus first makes the second, so they're

927
00:48:44,120 --> 00:48:46,960
Speaker 2: up sixty seven to sixty three with ten seconds left.

928
00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:52,120
Speaker 2: American makes the three, cuts it to one with six

929
00:48:52,160 --> 00:48:59,400
Speaker 2: seconds to go. Lehigh inbound turnover American jumper at the

930
00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:05,680
Speaker 2: bell to win by one. Incredible up seven with thirty

931
00:49:05,680 --> 00:49:09,000
Speaker 2: seconds left, losing regulation at the buzzer, and I'm sure

932
00:49:09,000 --> 00:49:11,040
Speaker 2: they'd have this game circle and talk about.

933
00:49:10,800 --> 00:49:12,520
Speaker 1: The impact to the line if they win that game

934
00:49:12,560 --> 00:49:15,520
Speaker 1: by eight in DC. And then you look at the

935
00:49:15,560 --> 00:49:17,640
Speaker 1: game against Navy, they got it was just a game.

936
00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:19,640
Speaker 1: They were totally off in that lost by twenty five

937
00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:22,920
Speaker 1: points or something ridiculous. So you look at this and

938
00:49:22,960 --> 00:49:26,600
Speaker 1: now here comes Lehigh. I think it'll probably close under

939
00:49:26,680 --> 00:49:29,239
Speaker 1: possession Lee High minus two, two and a half, something

940
00:49:29,320 --> 00:49:33,239
Speaker 1: like that. I think in terms of their overall, these

941
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:36,600
Speaker 1: are like the middle class in the Patriot League is

942
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:39,640
Speaker 1: up for grabs, and Leehike certainly could play their way

943
00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:42,040
Speaker 1: into that conversation. I think this is a game that

944
00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:44,279
Speaker 1: they are they I agree with you stuck in terms

945
00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:46,759
Speaker 1: of the assessment. They figured things out, but that game

946
00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:49,400
Speaker 1: was totally improbable. We just talked about that Kansas melt

947
00:49:49,440 --> 00:49:52,799
Speaker 1: against Houston at fog Allen you two saturdays ago. That

948
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:56,320
Speaker 1: was right on par for just the most absurd loss.

949
00:49:57,040 --> 00:49:59,799
Speaker 1: And it's we've all done yelling at the TV. Why

950
00:49:59,840 --> 00:50:03,280
Speaker 1: if why are you giving up any opportunity for buckets

951
00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:05,280
Speaker 1: with the car or for points with the clock stopped,

952
00:50:05,880 --> 00:50:09,759
Speaker 1: but still to lose that way is just insane yep.

953
00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:14,080
Speaker 2: By the way, uh, any interest in buying hh, I

954
00:50:14,080 --> 00:50:18,560
Speaker 2: mean I'm doing this episode is buying high? Any interest

955
00:50:18,640 --> 00:50:22,560
Speaker 2: in continuing the ride the wave with Kansas State at

956
00:50:22,560 --> 00:50:26,239
Speaker 2: home against Kansas I mean this team, I don't. I mean,

957
00:50:26,239 --> 00:50:28,040
Speaker 2: this team's played at like a top twenty five level

958
00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:32,480
Speaker 2: since January first, and they had a bunch of new pieces.

959
00:50:32,520 --> 00:50:34,280
Speaker 2: I think in this new day and age of college basketball,

960
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:36,839
Speaker 2: there's gonna be some teams that look so bad that

961
00:50:36,920 --> 00:50:38,399
Speaker 2: do start to figure it out, and then the market

962
00:50:38,440 --> 00:50:40,160
Speaker 2: won't be able to catch up to him for a while.

963
00:50:40,560 --> 00:50:45,520
Speaker 2: Could Kansas State be that team? They got down eighteen

964
00:50:45,560 --> 00:50:48,200
Speaker 2: to two in Laurens and then pretty much played that.

965
00:50:48,280 --> 00:50:50,719
Speaker 2: I thought they'd responded well, and by the way I

966
00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:52,440
Speaker 2: think was it were they down eighteen too? They were

967
00:50:52,440 --> 00:50:54,319
Speaker 2: definitely down eighteen two at Arizona State and came back

968
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:56,680
Speaker 2: to win in a tough situational spot, which was impressive

969
00:50:56,680 --> 00:50:59,960
Speaker 2: to me. I still think teams are gonna have been

970
00:51:00,239 --> 00:51:03,200
Speaker 2: we make threes against Kansas. I don't think that their

971
00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:07,240
Speaker 2: perminter defense is this good, and Kansas State is definitely

972
00:51:07,239 --> 00:51:11,120
Speaker 2: going to get them up. Rebounding could be an issue.

973
00:51:11,280 --> 00:51:14,760
Speaker 2: Dickenson's going to get his in this matchup. But wow,

974
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:18,080
Speaker 2: this is this seems like a I might just continue

975
00:51:18,080 --> 00:51:19,800
Speaker 2: to ride the way to Kansas State. You kind of

976
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:20,640
Speaker 2: look hesident, Greg.

977
00:51:21,640 --> 00:51:27,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I so I like Kansas State against the middle

978
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 3: of the pack big twelve teams, And I guess this

979
00:51:29,239 --> 00:51:32,040
Speaker 3: comes down to where you put Kansas right now, because

980
00:51:32,239 --> 00:51:35,000
Speaker 3: I would listen to arguments that this team's wildly overvalued,

981
00:51:35,160 --> 00:51:38,120
Speaker 3: but at the same time that they do have top

982
00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:40,919
Speaker 3: end talent. It's just the weird lineup stuff that Bill

983
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:43,799
Speaker 3: self's been pulling and the hard part for me, Like

984
00:51:44,080 --> 00:51:48,160
Speaker 3: you heard Kansas fans audibly booing kJ Adams at home

985
00:51:48,280 --> 00:51:51,880
Speaker 3: this week. He started Ryland Griffin. He's put him in

986
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:54,240
Speaker 3: the starting lineup. I've been begging for that all season.

987
00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:57,600
Speaker 3: So it feels like Kansas is dangerously close to just

988
00:51:58,200 --> 00:52:01,560
Speaker 3: clicking if they just go with Griffin for thirty two

989
00:52:01,600 --> 00:52:04,320
Speaker 3: minutes each and Griffin make shots like he did against Houston.

990
00:52:05,560 --> 00:52:06,400
Speaker 2: So I don't know.

991
00:52:06,440 --> 00:52:08,160
Speaker 3: At the end of the day, this Kansas State team,

992
00:52:08,640 --> 00:52:11,200
Speaker 3: I'm very impressed with what they've done. I totally agree

993
00:52:11,239 --> 00:52:14,880
Speaker 3: it's a legitimate turnaround here. At the same time, I

994
00:52:14,880 --> 00:52:18,040
Speaker 3: think it was a schedule based turnaround where The impressive

995
00:52:18,080 --> 00:52:21,759
Speaker 3: win was at Iowa State, but man Iowa State has

996
00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:26,759
Speaker 3: looked seriously broken since that weird Arizona game. So you know,

997
00:52:26,880 --> 00:52:29,440
Speaker 3: outside of that, they beat three teams that are not

998
00:52:29,480 --> 00:52:32,200
Speaker 3: going to be in the NCAA tournament. I kind of

999
00:52:32,200 --> 00:52:34,880
Speaker 3: want to wait and see this one first because Coleman

1000
00:52:34,920 --> 00:52:38,080
Speaker 3: Hawkins and Doug McDaniel, they're playing such big roles in

1001
00:52:38,160 --> 00:52:41,000
Speaker 3: this turnaround, and those guys have been so erratic throughout

1002
00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:41,520
Speaker 3: their careers.

1003
00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:43,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I don't know. I think I'm gonna

1004
00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:45,720
Speaker 2: ride the way Greg, what else you got, I'm.

1005
00:52:45,560 --> 00:52:49,120
Speaker 3: Gonna go in the Big twelve And I made this

1006
00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:51,839
Speaker 3: may be a sucker bet, I'll be honest, but BYU

1007
00:52:52,239 --> 00:52:55,640
Speaker 3: destroyed Cincinnati, and I watched that game from start to finish.

1008
00:52:55,680 --> 00:52:57,600
Speaker 3: This was about two weeks ago. They won by twenty

1009
00:52:57,600 --> 00:53:01,480
Speaker 3: eight points. They made every three they took. Cincinnati missed

1010
00:53:01,480 --> 00:53:04,200
Speaker 3: every three they took. I understand that that's a good

1011
00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:07,279
Speaker 3: candidate to flip at some point. I don't know that

1012
00:53:07,360 --> 00:53:10,160
Speaker 3: it will. I don't think the Cincinnati team can shoot.

1013
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:13,520
Speaker 3: I think this is one of those matchups where a

1014
00:53:13,600 --> 00:53:15,799
Speaker 3: team just has the number of the other team. They're

1015
00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:19,440
Speaker 3: bigger at every position, the Cincinnati season has really been

1016
00:53:19,480 --> 00:53:22,600
Speaker 3: a disaster. I mean, they started the season a consensus

1017
00:53:22,640 --> 00:53:25,560
Speaker 3: top twenty team in the sport. That was a miss

1018
00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:28,799
Speaker 3: from everybody here. I don't think this team has all

1019
00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:32,480
Speaker 3: that much to play for, and spot wise, we get

1020
00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:36,000
Speaker 3: them coming off a win at UCF, while we get

1021
00:53:36,080 --> 00:53:39,920
Speaker 3: BYU off a somewhat heartbreaking loss at home to Arizona,

1022
00:53:39,960 --> 00:53:42,439
Speaker 3: where I thought they played well enough in that game

1023
00:53:42,520 --> 00:53:44,880
Speaker 3: to win. Arizona just made some big time shots in

1024
00:53:44,920 --> 00:53:48,000
Speaker 3: the second half. But I buy that this BYU team

1025
00:53:48,000 --> 00:53:49,719
Speaker 3: has been playing at a high level. They won four

1026
00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:53,440
Speaker 3: straight before Arizona. I think they feel a little bubble pressure.

1027
00:53:53,560 --> 00:53:55,840
Speaker 3: They've been in the last four in from all the

1028
00:53:55,880 --> 00:53:58,960
Speaker 3: bracketology guys right now, and I think they're going to

1029
00:53:59,040 --> 00:54:01,440
Speaker 3: ultimately get there. This is a good team that's played

1030
00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:05,040
Speaker 3: really well for the last month. Cincinnati. Zero wins versus

1031
00:54:05,080 --> 00:54:08,080
Speaker 3: top forty opponents this year BYUS one, two straight on

1032
00:54:08,120 --> 00:54:10,360
Speaker 3: the road. And back to the point that since he

1033
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:15,000
Speaker 3: can't shoot nineteen consecutive games, they have not hit forty

1034
00:54:15,360 --> 00:54:17,960
Speaker 3: from three as a team. I mean, even bad shooting

1035
00:54:18,000 --> 00:54:22,360
Speaker 3: teams have one night every other month. Here they haven't.

1036
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:24,879
Speaker 3: It's been horrendous I just think that's who they are,

1037
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:27,399
Speaker 3: and you've got to make threes to beat BYU. When

1038
00:54:27,440 --> 00:54:29,000
Speaker 3: they didn't in the first game, it was a twenty

1039
00:54:29,000 --> 00:54:31,279
Speaker 3: eight point loss. I don't think flipping the venue is

1040
00:54:31,280 --> 00:54:31,520
Speaker 3: going to.

1041
00:54:31,520 --> 00:54:34,879
Speaker 2: Make that up. I can't figure out you Yu, but yeah,

1042
00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:37,320
Speaker 2: you certainly trust their offense much more than since E's.

1043
00:54:37,600 --> 00:54:39,200
Speaker 2: It did look like Mitchell went down with I thought

1044
00:54:39,200 --> 00:54:40,799
Speaker 2: he was done for the season for since he when

1045
00:54:40,800 --> 00:54:42,160
Speaker 2: he went down with his knee, but he came back.

1046
00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:44,560
Speaker 2: That was pretty crazy. Greg. I'll go to you before

1047
00:54:44,600 --> 00:54:45,719
Speaker 2: we get back to Mike.

1048
00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:48,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, back to the Big East from my final one here,

1049
00:54:48,760 --> 00:54:51,040
Speaker 3: and this is a revenge spot.

1050
00:54:51,280 --> 00:54:51,640
Speaker 1: I like.

1051
00:54:51,800 --> 00:54:55,200
Speaker 3: Creighton minus one is the line that I've seen. It's

1052
00:54:55,239 --> 00:54:57,320
Speaker 3: a Ken Palm Lions now a sports book line. So

1053
00:54:57,360 --> 00:55:00,920
Speaker 3: we'll see what it actually opens at revenge game. As

1054
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:03,880
Speaker 3: I mentioned, Marquette got them by eight at home earlier

1055
00:55:03,920 --> 00:55:06,040
Speaker 3: this season. If you look at what happened in that game,

1056
00:55:06,360 --> 00:55:08,880
Speaker 3: Creighton couldn't buy a shot. They shot twenty two percent

1057
00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:11,799
Speaker 3: from three, seven for thirty one. If they shoot well,

1058
00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:15,000
Speaker 3: I mean Ashworth himself was one for thirteen in that game.

1059
00:55:15,480 --> 00:55:17,640
Speaker 3: I think they could have won that game. It wasn't

1060
00:55:17,640 --> 00:55:19,719
Speaker 3: like they were overwhelmed. They didn't turn the ball over

1061
00:55:19,760 --> 00:55:23,200
Speaker 3: against the Marquette perimeter defense. Ashworth had ten assists to

1062
00:55:23,280 --> 00:55:25,600
Speaker 3: one turnover. I mean, if you can solve that on

1063
00:55:25,640 --> 00:55:27,439
Speaker 3: the road, I think you can solve that at home.

1064
00:55:27,920 --> 00:55:30,920
Speaker 3: This Creighton team has been very good, particularly at home

1065
00:55:30,960 --> 00:55:33,279
Speaker 3: in the Big East. Play eight straight wins. I think

1066
00:55:33,320 --> 00:55:37,040
Speaker 3: they're a legitimate contender. I do understand Marquette's gonna flip

1067
00:55:37,080 --> 00:55:39,400
Speaker 3: back at some point here off this two game skid,

1068
00:55:39,440 --> 00:55:42,320
Speaker 3: But man, the reality is this Markette team's been losing

1069
00:55:42,320 --> 00:55:44,120
Speaker 3: to the good teams in the Big East. I think

1070
00:55:44,160 --> 00:55:46,440
Speaker 3: Creighton qualifies as a good team in the Big East.

1071
00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:48,920
Speaker 3: I think maybe we misjudged a Marquette team that's a

1072
00:55:48,920 --> 00:55:52,200
Speaker 3: little bit one dimensional. Cam Jones has not gotten out

1073
00:55:52,200 --> 00:55:54,080
Speaker 3: of his slump yet. I don't know that it's coming.

1074
00:55:54,120 --> 00:55:57,200
Speaker 3: They ask him to do so much. It's just a tough,

1075
00:55:57,440 --> 00:56:00,640
Speaker 3: tough workload for him every single night. And ultimately I

1076
00:56:00,719 --> 00:56:03,320
Speaker 3: expect Ryan Kolkbrenner to get the best of Ben Gold

1077
00:56:03,360 --> 00:56:05,799
Speaker 3: in a way that you know, he outperformed him in

1078
00:56:05,840 --> 00:56:08,720
Speaker 3: the first matchup. But this should be a dominant statement

1079
00:56:08,800 --> 00:56:11,680
Speaker 3: performance one on one down low here Kalk had thirty

1080
00:56:11,719 --> 00:56:14,200
Speaker 3: five and twelve in his last game. If you add

1081
00:56:14,239 --> 00:56:17,800
Speaker 3: Ben Gold's last three games together, he has two points

1082
00:56:17,880 --> 00:56:22,400
Speaker 3: and seven rebounds in seventy three minutes. He is unplayably

1083
00:56:22,480 --> 00:56:25,840
Speaker 3: awful and that guy can't come off the floor. For Marquette,

1084
00:56:26,719 --> 00:56:28,799
Speaker 3: I like Creyton big here at home. I think it's

1085
00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:30,640
Speaker 3: a good number, good spot all of that.

1086
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:37,279
Speaker 2: Since January first, per Torvik in the Big East. If

1087
00:56:37,320 --> 00:56:43,680
Speaker 2: you look at overall ranks, Saint John's sixteenth, Craton twentieth,

1088
00:56:43,760 --> 00:56:49,200
Speaker 2: Yukon thirty seventh, Villanova thirty eighth, Xavier forty second, Marquette

1089
00:56:49,280 --> 00:56:55,520
Speaker 2: fifty fifth, outside the top fifty, their offense is just

1090
00:56:56,080 --> 00:56:59,720
Speaker 2: not there. Theoretically there should be a good matchup for Jones,

1091
00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:05,000
Speaker 2: but against the Calk drop. But who's stopping Cockbrunner inside? Yeah,

1092
00:57:05,800 --> 00:57:09,239
Speaker 2: not really sure. Calbury's Clemson duke looks like that line.

1093
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:11,160
Speaker 2: Early line is seven and a half, which seems to

1094
00:57:11,200 --> 00:57:14,279
Speaker 2: tad high to me. You do have the re there's

1095
00:57:14,760 --> 00:57:18,360
Speaker 2: throw in therench that Clemson played a triple overtime game.

1096
00:57:19,680 --> 00:57:22,160
Speaker 2: But they do get an extra day of rest and

1097
00:57:22,240 --> 00:57:26,640
Speaker 2: get to stay home. But that might get you a

1098
00:57:26,640 --> 00:57:28,960
Speaker 2: little bit of value after they lost. Maybe that's you know,

1099
00:57:28,960 --> 00:57:30,960
Speaker 2: maybe this would have been six if they won that game,

1100
00:57:30,960 --> 00:57:33,760
Speaker 2: because they had been on quite a role. I'll tell

1101
00:57:33,760 --> 00:57:36,280
Speaker 2: you from my perspective, the first thing that jumps out

1102
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:38,920
Speaker 2: in that game is an under, and I don't know

1103
00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:40,680
Speaker 2: one if it looks like one thirty four and a

1104
00:57:40,720 --> 00:57:44,120
Speaker 2: half and oh geez, I thought it already was down

1105
00:57:44,200 --> 00:57:46,120
Speaker 2: to one twenty nine and a half. That's the there's

1106
00:57:46,160 --> 00:57:50,160
Speaker 2: a women's Clemson Duke tonight. I just searched for it.

1107
00:57:51,960 --> 00:57:56,200
Speaker 2: So when I look at these two teams average possession

1108
00:57:56,280 --> 00:57:59,320
Speaker 2: length on defense three hundred and sixtieth and three hundred

1109
00:57:59,360 --> 00:58:02,440
Speaker 2: and sixty fourth, I think the Duke three point defense

1110
00:58:02,480 --> 00:58:05,320
Speaker 2: has actually been a bit unlucky. This game, there will

1111
00:58:05,360 --> 00:58:08,600
Speaker 2: be no transition. Clemson allow has nothing in transition. Dude

1112
00:58:08,800 --> 00:58:11,440
Speaker 2: doesn't either. Clemson wants to slow it down. This game

1113
00:58:11,480 --> 00:58:15,040
Speaker 2: will be played entirely in the half court, and I

1114
00:58:15,040 --> 00:58:18,320
Speaker 2: don't I always struggle with what does it does it?

1115
00:58:18,320 --> 00:58:22,400
Speaker 2: It just does the legs for the offense or defense

1116
00:58:22,400 --> 00:58:24,320
Speaker 2: get hurt more after a three overtime game. But I

1117
00:58:24,360 --> 00:58:26,280
Speaker 2: think there's been enough break. These are college kids that

1118
00:58:26,280 --> 00:58:28,400
Speaker 2: they'll be fine. I just think this sets up for

1119
00:58:28,560 --> 00:58:34,560
Speaker 2: an absolute grinder of a game, and I think Clemson's

1120
00:58:34,560 --> 00:58:40,400
Speaker 2: defensive structure can give Duke some issues and their offense

1121
00:58:40,400 --> 00:58:46,840
Speaker 2: hasn't been as elite against top fifty opponents. So yeah,

1122
00:58:46,880 --> 00:58:50,800
Speaker 2: I h I think that this game is like fifty

1123
00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:57,080
Speaker 2: eight fifty four type game, Like I can see it

1124
00:58:57,120 --> 00:59:00,400
Speaker 2: playing out that way, but I think I'm at like

1125
00:59:00,440 --> 00:59:05,320
Speaker 2: one thirty one, so one thirty four and a half

1126
00:59:06,040 --> 00:59:08,200
Speaker 2: would definitely be a play. The other thing worth mentioning

1127
00:59:08,240 --> 00:59:12,960
Speaker 2: is that Malik Brown is back and the I think

1128
00:59:12,960 --> 00:59:15,480
Speaker 2: you talked about this last episode Dreg that the Duke

1129
00:59:15,560 --> 00:59:20,280
Speaker 2: defense with Brown is at another level and he's back

1130
00:59:20,360 --> 00:59:23,880
Speaker 2: after he missed I think five or six games. But

1131
00:59:24,080 --> 00:59:25,960
Speaker 2: you like a side here, Callberies.

1132
00:59:26,440 --> 00:59:28,800
Speaker 1: I like Clemson all of what you laid out In

1133
00:59:28,880 --> 00:59:32,040
Speaker 1: terms of this potentially being a slog being a half

1134
00:59:32,080 --> 00:59:33,840
Speaker 1: court game, that's where I think it's going to go.

1135
00:59:33,880 --> 00:59:36,800
Speaker 1: Clemson's borderline top forty on both ends of the floor

1136
00:59:36,840 --> 00:59:40,560
Speaker 1: and ken palm. They're the third most consistent team according

1137
00:59:40,600 --> 00:59:43,240
Speaker 1: to Haslo Metrics, eighth in EV and mea for the

1138
00:59:43,240 --> 00:59:46,080
Speaker 1: same metric. I like that in terms of this is

1139
00:59:46,240 --> 00:59:47,920
Speaker 1: clearly the game that you get up for. You put

1140
00:59:47,960 --> 00:59:50,160
Speaker 1: all your energy into whereas Duke has been cruising for

1141
00:59:50,320 --> 00:59:52,840
Speaker 1: their last five wins have been by double digits. And

1142
00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:55,560
Speaker 1: then there's still the factor in the acc Before Duke

1143
00:59:55,600 --> 00:59:58,600
Speaker 1: get this breakout season, there's still the Blue Devils. Everybody's

1144
00:59:58,640 --> 01:00:01,000
Speaker 1: looking up to them and some coach I feel like

1145
01:00:01,040 --> 01:00:02,840
Speaker 1: they do not do a good job preparing for the

1146
01:00:02,880 --> 01:00:05,920
Speaker 1: atmosphere that's around it. Brunell has coached against them so

1147
01:00:06,000 --> 01:00:08,440
Speaker 1: many times in the last fourteen games. He's eight and

1148
01:00:08,520 --> 01:00:10,800
Speaker 1: six against the spread when facing the Blue Devils. Five

1149
01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:13,280
Speaker 1: of those fourteen games, by the way, decided by five

1150
01:00:13,280 --> 01:00:15,280
Speaker 1: points or fewer. I don't think this is a situation

1151
01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:17,240
Speaker 1: where they just roll out the balls for the layup

1152
01:00:17,280 --> 01:00:19,000
Speaker 1: line to start the game and all of a sudden

1153
01:00:19,080 --> 01:00:20,960
Speaker 1: they're going to throw their hands up and say that

1154
01:00:20,960 --> 01:00:22,680
Speaker 1: they're going to lose it. They're going to put in

1155
01:00:22,680 --> 01:00:24,120
Speaker 1: the effort. I think they're going to slow it down.

1156
01:00:24,200 --> 01:00:26,480
Speaker 1: I think all the pressure clearly slides to Duke. No

1157
01:00:26,520 --> 01:00:29,840
Speaker 1: one's expecting Clemson to win this on their home floor. Also,

1158
01:00:29,880 --> 01:00:34,040
Speaker 1: in terms of personnel, note Ian Shefflin is the key

1159
01:00:34,480 --> 01:00:37,040
Speaker 1: because Duke is so good both on the defensive end.

1160
01:00:37,080 --> 01:00:39,800
Speaker 1: Their second and two point percentage defense and top fifteen

1161
01:00:39,800 --> 01:00:42,480
Speaker 1: to two point percentage offense. He cannot get in foul

1162
01:00:42,520 --> 01:00:44,440
Speaker 1: trouble and be pulled off the floor. That's kind of

1163
01:00:44,440 --> 01:00:46,440
Speaker 1: his calling card. He has stayed out of foul trouble

1164
01:00:46,480 --> 01:00:48,600
Speaker 1: really for two months, and the only game in that

1165
01:00:48,640 --> 01:00:51,160
Speaker 1: stretch in which he got to four fouls was against Miami.

1166
01:00:51,320 --> 01:00:53,640
Speaker 1: He's still log thirty nine minutes. He's someone that has

1167
01:00:53,680 --> 01:00:55,840
Speaker 1: to stay in there and be impactful and then give

1168
01:00:55,880 --> 01:00:57,800
Speaker 1: them a chance for those three pointers to fall. Chase

1169
01:00:57,840 --> 01:01:00,520
Speaker 1: Hunter is making forty four percent of his triple as

1170
01:01:00,560 --> 01:01:03,640
Speaker 1: a team, their top fifteen and three point percentage accuracy.

1171
01:01:03,680 --> 01:01:05,680
Speaker 1: I know that Duke closes out. You're not gonna hear

1172
01:01:05,680 --> 01:01:07,720
Speaker 1: me say this a whole lot during this show, but

1173
01:01:07,880 --> 01:01:10,240
Speaker 1: just bomb way from three. Just throw up as many

1174
01:01:10,280 --> 01:01:13,120
Speaker 1: as he can. As an underdog in a low possession game,

1175
01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:15,720
Speaker 1: it can really swing it. So I think they hang

1176
01:01:15,760 --> 01:01:18,280
Speaker 1: around At seven and a half is in my target

1177
01:01:18,320 --> 01:01:20,960
Speaker 1: projection for what I need to play the Tigers.

1178
01:01:21,680 --> 01:01:23,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would look that way as well. At seven

1179
01:01:23,240 --> 01:01:25,400
Speaker 2: and a half, Greg, let me do a quick Big

1180
01:01:25,440 --> 01:01:28,520
Speaker 2: Ten check in with you ahead of this weekend. There's

1181
01:01:28,520 --> 01:01:30,600
Speaker 2: also a lot of injuries in the Big Ten that

1182
01:01:30,680 --> 01:01:35,360
Speaker 2: are worth noting. I think Northwestern is cooked that Washington

1183
01:01:35,400 --> 01:01:38,520
Speaker 2: if leeches out. I know Washington is terrible, but I

1184
01:01:38,520 --> 01:01:45,960
Speaker 2: mean you already lost Barnheizer and then like they survived

1185
01:01:45,960 --> 01:01:48,480
Speaker 2: that USC game, but Desmond Claude was out. They were

1186
01:01:48,560 --> 01:01:51,520
Speaker 2: up like I think nine or ten, and they almost

1187
01:01:51,520 --> 01:01:54,080
Speaker 2: blew it. USC doesn't really have a point guard without Claude,

1188
01:01:54,080 --> 01:01:56,120
Speaker 2: and they almost won that game in Northwestern. So that's

1189
01:01:56,160 --> 01:01:59,760
Speaker 2: worth mentioning USC. How they're gonna get crushed if Claude

1190
01:01:59,760 --> 01:02:04,760
Speaker 2: can't play at Purdue Penn State, you are already down

1191
01:02:04,760 --> 01:02:09,200
Speaker 2: puff Johnson. Now Niederhauser is done. That kills them defensively

1192
01:02:09,240 --> 01:02:14,360
Speaker 2: inside as far as rim protection and pop, Johnson gave

1193
01:02:14,360 --> 01:02:19,520
Speaker 2: them a lot of other things. Iowa is now down

1194
01:02:19,760 --> 01:02:24,000
Speaker 2: Freeman and you're playing they're going with like Molby and

1195
01:02:24,840 --> 01:02:29,240
Speaker 2: dumballe at down the who can't score if I'm Iowa.

1196
01:02:29,400 --> 01:02:34,120
Speaker 2: By the way, who hosts Wisconsin. Wisconsin put up one

1197
01:02:34,200 --> 01:02:38,600
Speaker 2: hundred and sixteen on them. Earlier this season, they were

1198
01:02:38,640 --> 01:02:41,880
Speaker 2: twenty one to thirty one from three. Now Wisconsin has

1199
01:02:41,920 --> 01:02:45,640
Speaker 2: a really good offense and it's much more innovative now

1200
01:02:45,640 --> 01:02:48,720
Speaker 2: than it was. I do think that they're probably there's

1201
01:02:48,760 --> 01:02:50,840
Speaker 2: probably some three point regression coming. They shooting forty one

1202
01:02:50,880 --> 01:02:52,920
Speaker 2: point six percent from three over the past ten games

1203
01:02:52,920 --> 01:02:56,080
Speaker 2: on super high volume, like over fifty percent rate, and

1204
01:02:56,200 --> 01:02:59,240
Speaker 2: Iowa was allowing forty one percent for three since January first.

1205
01:02:59,280 --> 01:03:03,560
Speaker 2: There d's bad, but that's also a bit unlucky. I

1206
01:03:03,560 --> 01:03:05,120
Speaker 2: don't know how they get stopped so like they're not

1207
01:03:05,160 --> 01:03:10,360
Speaker 2: stopping any of they're not stopping tan Jay or Blackwell.

1208
01:03:10,480 --> 01:03:14,640
Speaker 2: Like they're also gonna get killed inside. But can they

1209
01:03:14,720 --> 01:03:16,960
Speaker 2: score enough? I don't know. If I'm Iowa here, I

1210
01:03:17,040 --> 01:03:26,720
Speaker 2: just go I play the Sandfords, Harding Dix and fell

1211
01:03:26,760 --> 01:03:29,600
Speaker 2: Well and then just mix. I mean, you'll just get

1212
01:03:30,040 --> 01:03:33,400
Speaker 2: killed defensively, but you're doing that anyway. Uh, just have

1213
01:03:33,560 --> 01:03:37,760
Speaker 2: nobody protecting the rim, don't even try it. And then

1214
01:03:37,840 --> 01:03:42,000
Speaker 2: you just spread spread other teams out and fire away

1215
01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:46,760
Speaker 2: from three. Why not, You're not gonna get stops anyway.

1216
01:03:47,520 --> 01:03:49,640
Speaker 2: Try to get even more efficient offensively. I mean just

1217
01:03:49,800 --> 01:03:53,920
Speaker 2: to play zone and and press. But and then the

1218
01:03:53,960 --> 01:03:57,520
Speaker 2: other game is uh you can pick and choose where

1219
01:03:57,520 --> 01:03:58,640
Speaker 2: you want to go with this. But in the Big

1220
01:03:58,680 --> 01:04:05,320
Speaker 2: ten Indiana, can they play up here at home? Maybe

1221
01:04:05,320 --> 01:04:07,640
Speaker 2: a last gas game that they I mean they lose

1222
01:04:07,640 --> 01:04:11,360
Speaker 2: this that probably attorney chances are done. They've lost four straight.

1223
01:04:11,560 --> 01:04:14,600
Speaker 2: We seem like that their potential, Like they can play

1224
01:04:14,680 --> 01:04:17,120
Speaker 2: up the teams, like they won at Ohio State. They

1225
01:04:17,120 --> 01:04:23,200
Speaker 2: almost won at Purdue Michigan. Meanwhile, I don't love them

1226
01:04:23,200 --> 01:04:27,080
Speaker 2: as a favorite. So they play so many close games,

1227
01:04:27,080 --> 01:04:30,919
Speaker 2: like you, Michigan went out on that West Coast trip

1228
01:04:30,960 --> 01:04:32,200
Speaker 2: and bludgeoned everyone.

1229
01:04:32,760 --> 01:04:32,960
Speaker 1: Yep.

1230
01:04:33,240 --> 01:04:36,080
Speaker 2: But outside of that they won. They beat Wisconsin by three.

1231
01:04:36,520 --> 01:04:40,280
Speaker 2: I will buy two. You know, they lost a Wake

1232
01:04:40,320 --> 01:04:43,440
Speaker 2: by two. But let's stick it in conference play. I mean,

1233
01:04:43,440 --> 01:04:45,720
Speaker 2: even in if we go non conference. Arkansas is a

1234
01:04:45,720 --> 01:04:48,600
Speaker 2: two point game. Oklahoma was a one point game. You know,

1235
01:04:48,680 --> 01:04:50,880
Speaker 2: Minnesota that lose by three in overtime, north Western you

1236
01:04:50,920 --> 01:04:53,919
Speaker 2: went by four in overtime, Penn State one by four,

1237
01:04:54,040 --> 01:04:56,720
Speaker 2: Rutgers one by three, Oregon one by four. Like all

1238
01:04:56,720 --> 01:04:58,560
Speaker 2: their games are close, and part of that is they

1239
01:04:58,640 --> 01:05:00,920
Speaker 2: just give away too many possess and so it's hard

1240
01:05:01,520 --> 01:05:05,640
Speaker 2: to extend and maintain that lead. We saw that against Oregon.

1241
01:05:05,680 --> 01:05:08,880
Speaker 2: That's how they got back in the game. Indiana Theoretically

1242
01:05:09,520 --> 01:05:12,560
Speaker 2: it's not a really overly efficient offense. They shoot too

1243
01:05:12,560 --> 01:05:14,520
Speaker 2: many mid range jumpers. But that's what you kind of

1244
01:05:15,400 --> 01:05:20,200
Speaker 2: can do against Michigan as any any thoughts on your

1245
01:05:20,200 --> 01:05:21,040
Speaker 2: Wolverines here.

1246
01:05:21,440 --> 01:05:24,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, that game is made extra interesting by the breaking

1247
01:05:24,720 --> 01:05:27,960
Speaker 3: news that Mike Woodson is expected to retire at the

1248
01:05:28,000 --> 01:05:30,920
Speaker 3: end of the season. So that's with they going back

1249
01:05:30,920 --> 01:05:33,680
Speaker 3: to his alma manor, right May back to the alma mater.

1250
01:05:33,960 --> 01:05:37,800
Speaker 3: Indiana's very loud about they are going to make phone calls,

1251
01:05:37,840 --> 01:05:40,320
Speaker 3: probably to Dusty May at the top of the list,

1252
01:05:40,520 --> 01:05:43,880
Speaker 3: and that's going to be a conversation. Michigan's owned six

1253
01:05:43,880 --> 01:05:47,480
Speaker 3: against the thread in their last six. It matches what

1254
01:05:47,520 --> 01:05:49,760
Speaker 3: you said with your eye test. They just even if

1255
01:05:49,760 --> 01:05:52,080
Speaker 3: they outplay somebody, they were better than Oregon for thirty

1256
01:05:52,120 --> 01:05:54,400
Speaker 3: minutes decisively, and all of a sudden, you look out,

1257
01:05:54,400 --> 01:05:56,320
Speaker 3: it's a two point game with four minutes left because

1258
01:05:56,720 --> 01:05:59,720
Speaker 3: Roddy Gale traveled on three consecutive possessions. That's a real

1259
01:05:59,800 --> 01:06:02,880
Speaker 3: thing that happened in a basketball game at home. I

1260
01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:05,240
Speaker 3: think you hit on the big thing. Indiana likes to

1261
01:06:05,280 --> 01:06:08,120
Speaker 3: shoot from the mid range. I mean Ibaco can catch fire.

1262
01:06:08,160 --> 01:06:11,080
Speaker 3: He was on fire against Perdue and Mackie enough to

1263
01:06:11,200 --> 01:06:14,400
Speaker 3: make that close to the final possession and Miles Rice,

1264
01:06:14,440 --> 01:06:17,640
Speaker 3: I expect the bounce back performance. Michigan's defense really doesn't

1265
01:06:17,680 --> 01:06:20,600
Speaker 3: do anything to make opposing offense is uncomfortable. I mean,

1266
01:06:20,800 --> 01:06:25,040
Speaker 3: they play a very passive brand of drop coverage that says, hey,

1267
01:06:25,040 --> 01:06:27,320
Speaker 3: over forty minutes will just be bigger and more talented

1268
01:06:27,360 --> 01:06:30,600
Speaker 3: than you. They're arguably not bigger and more talented than Indiana,

1269
01:06:30,760 --> 01:06:33,000
Speaker 3: So I'm going to like the Hoosiers at whatever.

1270
01:06:32,800 --> 01:06:33,480
Speaker 2: Number that is.

1271
01:06:33,560 --> 01:06:35,880
Speaker 3: I won't be stunned if they pull the upset, honestly,

1272
01:06:35,960 --> 01:06:39,919
Speaker 3: with a little tactical motivational boost that Mike Woodson's free

1273
01:06:39,960 --> 01:06:43,160
Speaker 3: at the end of this season and everybody you mentioned

1274
01:06:43,280 --> 01:06:45,120
Speaker 3: is a fade for me right now. It doesn't matter

1275
01:06:45,120 --> 01:06:48,200
Speaker 3: who they're playing, Iowa, Penn State, Northwestern. You know, there's

1276
01:06:48,200 --> 01:06:49,720
Speaker 3: three teams in this league that aren't going to be

1277
01:06:49,760 --> 01:06:52,240
Speaker 3: in the Big Ten tournament, and it won't stun me

1278
01:06:52,280 --> 01:06:54,880
Speaker 3: if all three of those three continue to flounder and

1279
01:06:54,920 --> 01:06:55,840
Speaker 3: find their way out of it.

1280
01:06:56,280 --> 01:06:56,480
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1281
01:06:56,480 --> 01:06:58,640
Speaker 2: I think Indiana could dominate the offensive last year too,

1282
01:06:58,680 --> 01:07:02,040
Speaker 2: and they're one of their biggest issues is turnovers as well.

1283
01:07:02,800 --> 01:07:05,800
Speaker 2: But Michigan doesn't really turn you over because, as you said,

1284
01:07:05,840 --> 01:07:09,880
Speaker 2: they don't really apply pressure Now, Indiana doesn't force turnovers,

1285
01:07:09,880 --> 01:07:16,080
Speaker 2: which should help Michigan. But Michigan creates turnovers by themselves.

1286
01:07:16,600 --> 01:07:19,240
Speaker 2: I mean, they're three hundred and forty eighth and non

1287
01:07:19,280 --> 01:07:23,280
Speaker 2: steel turnover percentage. It's like they're gonna they just they

1288
01:07:23,320 --> 01:07:25,880
Speaker 2: are careless with the ball like that. Not all of

1289
01:07:25,880 --> 01:07:29,320
Speaker 2: their the majority of their turnovers. It's not like they're

1290
01:07:29,960 --> 01:07:33,040
Speaker 2: because of pressure or teams that are up in their face.

1291
01:07:33,080 --> 01:07:36,000
Speaker 2: It's just they give away the ball too often. But

1292
01:07:36,040 --> 01:07:39,480
Speaker 2: definitely an intriguing game. Did you have anything else, Mike, Yes.

1293
01:07:39,520 --> 01:07:42,120
Speaker 1: I got one more. I got a little fun belt

1294
01:07:42,200 --> 01:07:46,280
Speaker 1: Maction challenge. App State. Hopefully they're catching five at Ohio.

1295
01:07:46,560 --> 01:07:48,919
Speaker 1: This is the second year of this scheduling alliance. Takes

1296
01:07:48,960 --> 01:07:52,000
Speaker 1: me back to bracketbuster Saturday, which they still need to

1297
01:07:52,000 --> 01:07:55,160
Speaker 1: bring back. Wonderful contrast to styles here. Ohio thirty eighth

1298
01:07:55,160 --> 01:07:57,640
Speaker 1: and tempo tenth and fast break points per game at

1299
01:07:57,680 --> 01:08:00,280
Speaker 1: nearly sixteen, and they just got their best big back,

1300
01:08:00,320 --> 01:08:03,120
Speaker 1: AJ Clayton from an injury. App State three hundred and

1301
01:08:03,120 --> 01:08:05,640
Speaker 1: twenty fifth in tempo, one of the best mid major defenses,

1302
01:08:05,720 --> 01:08:08,440
Speaker 1: particularly closing out on three point shooters. Their six and

1303
01:08:08,440 --> 01:08:11,400
Speaker 1: three point percentage allowed in the country. Dustin Kerns, with

1304
01:08:11,520 --> 01:08:14,160
Speaker 1: limited offensive upside, has this team playing really well. They're

1305
01:08:14,160 --> 01:08:16,040
Speaker 1: eight and two straight up in their last ten. Their

1306
01:08:16,040 --> 01:08:18,240
Speaker 1: only loss well one of the two losses by a

1307
01:08:18,240 --> 01:08:21,240
Speaker 1: single point to Old Dominion in that stretch. Miles Tate

1308
01:08:21,360 --> 01:08:23,760
Speaker 1: at the point for the Kneers is a great facilitator.

1309
01:08:23,760 --> 01:08:26,880
Speaker 1: The Butler transfer is averaging sixteen to five and five.

1310
01:08:27,160 --> 01:08:28,920
Speaker 1: And if that seems like pretty good numbers for a

1311
01:08:28,920 --> 01:08:30,719
Speaker 1: point guard, there's only one other in the whole country

1312
01:08:30,880 --> 01:08:34,360
Speaker 1: that has hit all three of those. That's Princeton Xavian Lee.

1313
01:08:34,600 --> 01:08:36,280
Speaker 1: So when I look at what he's able to do,

1314
01:08:36,360 --> 01:08:39,320
Speaker 1: it comes down to kannapp State hold up against the

1315
01:08:39,320 --> 01:08:42,639
Speaker 1: Ohio front court. CJ. Huntley is kind of a unicorn

1316
01:08:42,720 --> 01:08:45,800
Speaker 1: in the nil transfer portal era. He's stuck around. He's

1317
01:08:45,800 --> 01:08:48,320
Speaker 1: a super senior five years in the same program. He

1318
01:08:48,400 --> 01:08:51,880
Speaker 1: finally blossoms here after starting eighty games. He's averaged in

1319
01:08:51,880 --> 01:08:54,679
Speaker 1: fifteen and seven for the Mountaineers and he's been dominant

1320
01:08:54,720 --> 01:08:56,760
Speaker 1: on the glass in the past month. I think it

1321
01:08:56,840 --> 01:09:00,160
Speaker 1: is enough with their defense, with their pace, and hopefully

1322
01:09:00,200 --> 01:09:02,439
Speaker 1: with some inside out game with their point guard and

1323
01:09:02,520 --> 01:09:04,760
Speaker 1: hunting down in the low block that they can hang around.

1324
01:09:04,880 --> 01:09:06,680
Speaker 1: I think they cover this number against the Bobcats.

1325
01:09:07,040 --> 01:09:09,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't Currents has this defense figured out. You

1326
01:09:09,600 --> 01:09:12,040
Speaker 2: can always trust him. I'm surprised. I think he's eventually

1327
01:09:12,040 --> 01:09:15,240
Speaker 2: going to get a high major job. But the offense

1328
01:09:15,720 --> 01:09:18,719
Speaker 2: is still a major work in progress. But the defense

1329
01:09:18,800 --> 01:09:21,880
Speaker 2: is trending up and only getting better with each passing game.

1330
01:09:21,960 --> 01:09:24,880
Speaker 2: But Clayton back for Ohio is definitely big. I think

1331
01:09:24,880 --> 01:09:29,040
Speaker 2: he had eighteen in his return. I yeah, I wonder

1332
01:09:29,120 --> 01:09:31,920
Speaker 2: if he's going to be on a minutes restriction. I mean,

1333
01:09:31,920 --> 01:09:34,400
Speaker 2: obviously it's his first game back. He was still really productive.

1334
01:09:34,400 --> 01:09:36,760
Speaker 2: I think he only played twenty minutes or something like that.

1335
01:09:36,760 --> 01:09:38,760
Speaker 2: That's just something to monitor see if maybe you can

1336
01:09:38,800 --> 01:09:40,760
Speaker 2: find a quote from the coach leading up to it,

1337
01:09:40,880 --> 01:09:43,400
Speaker 2: or someone from the staff a beat writer, because if

1338
01:09:43,400 --> 01:09:45,519
Speaker 2: he plays like he did at the beginning of the season,

1339
01:09:45,600 --> 01:09:48,639
Speaker 2: he's the best player on the court in this matchup. Yeah. Yeah,

1340
01:09:48,680 --> 01:09:51,080
Speaker 2: maybe they don't work them as hard too, since this

1341
01:09:51,160 --> 01:09:54,759
Speaker 2: is a non conference game too, so you could potentially

1342
01:09:54,800 --> 01:09:58,360
Speaker 2: see that a quick I'll give you a quick rundown

1343
01:09:58,360 --> 01:10:03,360
Speaker 2: of some others ecu at Utsa man Utsa below like

1344
01:10:03,360 --> 01:10:04,759
Speaker 2: an eight point lead with a minute to go against

1345
01:10:04,760 --> 01:10:07,240
Speaker 2: two lane, somehow they're dead. But if if Primo Spears

1346
01:10:07,280 --> 01:10:10,320
Speaker 2: is out, I think it's a good spot for ECU.

1347
01:10:10,720 --> 01:10:13,360
Speaker 2: Eventually someone's gonna miss a three against them. I think

1348
01:10:13,720 --> 01:10:15,479
Speaker 2: like they have a good two point defense. Teams are

1349
01:10:15,479 --> 01:10:18,799
Speaker 2: shooting like forty two from three since the calendar changed.

1350
01:10:19,000 --> 01:10:21,280
Speaker 2: They don't turn it over, which is important. Against UTSA,

1351
01:10:21,280 --> 01:10:25,320
Speaker 2: they should dominate the offensive glass. Both teams want to

1352
01:10:25,320 --> 01:10:31,200
Speaker 2: get out in transition. Utsa horrendous, horrendous transition defense. Uh so,

1353
01:10:31,360 --> 01:10:36,439
Speaker 2: especially if Spears is out, if I might, I might

1354
01:10:36,600 --> 01:10:38,880
Speaker 2: bite the boat with UCF and take a big number.

1355
01:10:39,240 --> 01:10:42,320
Speaker 2: They can get buckets in transition. Against Baylor, they've been

1356
01:10:42,400 --> 01:10:45,160
Speaker 2: unlucky their three point defense, and they've actually been okay

1357
01:10:45,200 --> 01:10:47,320
Speaker 2: on the road, like they've played some really good teams tough.

1358
01:10:48,600 --> 01:10:51,400
Speaker 2: I do worry about the offensive glass for Baylor. But

1359
01:10:52,080 --> 01:10:54,320
Speaker 2: my potential flat spot for Bailor here. They just had

1360
01:10:54,360 --> 01:10:57,720
Speaker 2: two huge games, got Houston up up next, so I

1361
01:10:57,720 --> 01:11:00,439
Speaker 2: could see UCF hanging around, especially if Edgecombe is out.

1362
01:11:00,760 --> 01:11:02,960
Speaker 2: I mean, he's dential top five pick. Now he's playing,

1363
01:11:03,160 --> 01:11:07,320
Speaker 2: He's Edgecombe is like at another level. I mean the

1364
01:11:07,360 --> 01:11:09,839
Speaker 2: first twelve games of the year, he was averaging eleven

1365
01:11:10,120 --> 01:11:13,080
Speaker 2: eleven point seven points per game twenty eight percent from three.

1366
01:11:13,280 --> 01:11:17,000
Speaker 2: The last eight twenty points per game fifty one percent

1367
01:11:17,040 --> 01:11:21,200
Speaker 2: from three. I mean, this guy's incredible. I think so,

1368
01:11:21,560 --> 01:11:24,760
Speaker 2: but I don't know. I haven't seen his status. But

1369
01:11:24,760 --> 01:11:28,080
Speaker 2: the bailerg if they're not getting turnovers is very gettable.

1370
01:11:28,080 --> 01:11:29,519
Speaker 2: And you see if can score and they don't turn

1371
01:11:29,560 --> 01:11:32,800
Speaker 2: it over, So Mike get a good number there, Big

1372
01:11:32,840 --> 01:11:35,519
Speaker 2: Sky Idaho State revenge. They went six to twenty seven

1373
01:11:35,520 --> 01:11:40,080
Speaker 2: from three against Weaver when they lost Weaver State is bad.

1374
01:11:40,720 --> 01:11:42,640
Speaker 2: I don't know how has to put it in, and

1375
01:11:42,680 --> 01:11:47,519
Speaker 2: they're not healthy. They're basically down two starters, one as

1376
01:11:47,560 --> 01:11:50,600
Speaker 2: temporary left the program. Not sure what's going on with

1377
01:11:50,640 --> 01:11:50,960
Speaker 2: the other.

1378
01:11:52,640 --> 01:11:57,160
Speaker 1: Dylan Barling appointment television for the Bambals Dylan.

1379
01:11:56,960 --> 01:11:58,679
Speaker 2: Do oh yeah, two good point guards in this game.

1380
01:11:58,720 --> 01:12:03,880
Speaker 2: But I love love Darling, and I think this is

1381
01:12:03,920 --> 01:12:07,400
Speaker 2: a good matchup as well. They should dominate the glass

1382
01:12:07,400 --> 01:12:10,759
Speaker 2: shot volume battle battle here. So I will take Darling.

1383
01:12:11,920 --> 01:12:15,360
Speaker 2: And how about UCSD the Trents. It's not a great

1384
01:12:15,400 --> 01:12:18,640
Speaker 2: scheduling spot because they got to play tonight. U C

1385
01:12:18,760 --> 01:12:22,679
Speaker 2: Irvine has had a week off, but they actually match

1386
01:12:22,760 --> 01:12:24,840
Speaker 2: up well with the uc r Vine, and I still

1387
01:12:24,840 --> 01:12:29,679
Speaker 2: don't trust this uc Irvine offense. The UCRVIN defense is elite.

1388
01:12:29,760 --> 01:12:32,600
Speaker 2: You got to shoot threes on them. You can't go inside.

1389
01:12:34,120 --> 01:12:35,439
Speaker 2: I know that they do such a good job on

1390
01:12:35,479 --> 01:12:37,760
Speaker 2: three point defense, but UCSD couldn't throw it in the

1391
01:12:37,760 --> 01:12:41,599
Speaker 2: ocean in the first game. I think they get their revenge.

1392
01:12:41,640 --> 01:12:43,479
Speaker 2: They gotta they gotta change the defense. It looks a

1393
01:12:43,479 --> 01:12:45,200
Speaker 2: little bit to stop the big german this time around,

1394
01:12:45,240 --> 01:12:47,800
Speaker 2: but I'll be looking at the at UCSD on the

1395
01:12:47,880 --> 01:12:54,160
Speaker 2: road ugly ones. I might look at maybe Canecious catch

1396
01:12:54,240 --> 01:12:57,360
Speaker 2: the big number. I'm not sure if I'll get myself

1397
01:12:57,400 --> 01:12:59,680
Speaker 2: to go there. Maybe Colorado stayed at home against San

1398
01:12:59,720 --> 01:13:04,719
Speaker 2: Diego State, although Dot your extended prep here scheduling wise,

1399
01:13:05,120 --> 01:13:07,920
Speaker 2: last one, I'll throw out Little Rock. I don't think

1400
01:13:07,920 --> 01:13:10,840
Speaker 2: Morehead gets to fifty. Little Rocks defense is so elite

1401
01:13:11,280 --> 01:13:13,519
Speaker 2: and their best rind Productor didn't play in the first

1402
01:13:13,520 --> 01:13:17,559
Speaker 2: meeting when they lost. Little Rock has they're both These

1403
01:13:17,560 --> 01:13:20,960
Speaker 2: offenses are terrible, but Little Rock has major, major turner issues,

1404
01:13:20,960 --> 01:13:25,599
Speaker 2: but Morehead won't exploit those. I think I think Little

1405
01:13:25,640 --> 01:13:29,280
Speaker 2: Rock completely suffocates Morehead and gets revenge here, So those

1406
01:13:29,320 --> 01:13:35,439
Speaker 2: are some of the ones I am looking at. Is

1407
01:13:35,439 --> 01:13:40,800
Speaker 2: there anything else I wanted to mention? Oh, Florida at Auburn, Well,

1408
01:13:40,840 --> 01:13:44,719
Speaker 2: Clayton play is obviously what you have to watch for there,

1409
01:13:46,680 --> 01:13:50,400
Speaker 2: so I'll be monitoring that. He's obviously critical and they

1410
01:13:50,439 --> 01:13:53,479
Speaker 2: need all hands on deck at Auburn in the jungle.

1411
01:13:53,560 --> 01:13:55,120
Speaker 2: But that should be a really good one as well.

1412
01:13:55,439 --> 01:13:57,439
Speaker 2: All right, that'll do it for us. Thanks for tuning in.

1413
01:13:57,840 --> 01:13:59,519
Speaker 2: Thanks to Mike great for joining me. Thanks start puss

1414
01:13:59,560 --> 01:14:00,360
Speaker 2: my back end sportantly.

1415
01:14:00,400 --> 01:14:00,679
Speaker 5: Thanks.

1416
01:14:00,920 --> 01:14:04,360
Speaker 2: I also thanks to Tanner, so most importantly, thanks to

1417
01:14:04,360 --> 01:14:07,960
Speaker 2: all of you for tuning in. Thanks you subscribe on subscribe, subscrive,

1418
01:14:08,040 --> 01:14:10,320
Speaker 2: Tell friend, telling enemy, be a five star of you.

1419
01:14:10,439 --> 01:14:12,400
Speaker 2: That's really helped us out. Good luck on all of

1420
01:14:12,400 --> 01:14:15,160
Speaker 2: your wages this weekend, three man. We will be back

1421
01:14:15,200 --> 01:14:18,519
Speaker 2: early next week and we'll be back with two more

1422
01:14:18,560 --> 01:14:21,400
Speaker 2: episodes after that. We'll catch you all later.

1423
01:14:21,479 --> 01:14:32,479
Speaker 5: Cheers.

1424
01:14:34,320 --> 01:14:38,880
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

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01:14:38,880 --> 01:14:41,680
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