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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast. It is Oh my god,

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Speaker 1: We've got such a big show coming up. Massive. It's

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Speaker 1: a massive first week of the NFL. That's what we're

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Speaker 1: all here for. This is what we care about. Later

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Speaker 1: on in the show, uh, a professional better named Simon Hunter.

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Speaker 1: He's an actual professional better He's been doing this for

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Speaker 1: a while. It's how he makes his living. He's gonna

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Speaker 1: join me on the podcast. We're gonna talk a little

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Speaker 1: little bit about his system. He's gonna take me through

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Speaker 1: some games, but he's gonna do it in the context

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Speaker 1: of Darren Ravel and I having to make picks for

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Speaker 1: the super Contest, So that should be exciting. But first

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Speaker 1: to break down every week one game with me and

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Speaker 1: play some Scooch Roulette too. By the way, from New Orleans,

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Speaker 1: representing all the BOYD gaming book throughout the world, the

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Speaker 1: bookmaker of the world, Bob Scucci, you're ready to roll

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Speaker 1: my friend music to my ears? Literally, I'm ready. Oh

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Speaker 1: my god, I feel like um it would be great

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Speaker 1: if we could find a way for the Scootles You

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Speaker 1: Were Banned, also known as the greatest Beatles cover band ever,

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Speaker 1: created by members of the Scucci family. Um one day,

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Speaker 1: you guys are gonna have to do like you like

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Speaker 1: be the opening act or if you do a live

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Speaker 1: podcast somewhere one day. Yeah. I don't want to waste

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Speaker 1: any time, scooch. I just want to get to it,

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Speaker 1: as everybody know. Here's the premise. I'm going to run

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Speaker 1: down the games. You're gonna tell me which side the

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Speaker 1: wise guys are on, and then I will tell you

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Speaker 1: if you've made mistakes and how you set your point

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Speaker 1: spreads for your sports betting empire, which is constantly expanding.

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Speaker 1: And you're pretty good at it. I am really good.

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Speaker 1: I am amazing at it. I am almost as sharp.

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Speaker 1: Let's start off the bat Thursday night football. A little

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Speaker 1: bit of full disclosure. The Packers are playing the Bears.

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Speaker 1: The line is about three. Generally everywhere I bet the

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Speaker 1: Packers at plus three. You and every other wise guy

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Speaker 1: this is one. Yeah, this is one of the uh,

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Speaker 1: this is one of the wise guy games. We actually

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Speaker 1: opened this game at three and a half. Initially I

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Speaker 1: thought they were just taking a good number of the

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Speaker 1: three and a half, but they've been coming in on it.

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Speaker 1: Even at plus three. We're starting to move the money

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Speaker 1: a little bit. Um. I expect the wise guys to

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Speaker 1: continue coming in on this one. The public is kind

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Speaker 1: of divided fifty where you have slightly more tickets bet

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Speaker 1: on the Bears and we do the Packers. Great action

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Speaker 1: on this game, obviously for more than just being the

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Speaker 1: first game. It's the Bears Packers and just so much interest,

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Speaker 1: I mean, just aside from uh, you know, seeing how

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Speaker 1: the Bears rebound from the way they ended their season

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Speaker 1: last year. Uh, there's just there's so much intrigue surrounding

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Speaker 1: this game with Aaron Rodgers in a kind of a

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Speaker 1: new offense and new head coach. Uh uh, the whole

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Speaker 1: dynamic between the best defensive player going against one of

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Speaker 1: the best offensive players. See if Khalil Mackins shut down

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers who doesn't throw any picks, And I mean,

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Speaker 1: there's just so much intrigue surrounding this game. Probably why

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Speaker 1: the numbers just kind of solid at that at three now.

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Speaker 1: But uh, the the sharp guys are definitely on the

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Speaker 1: Packers in this one, and the public slightly heavier on

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Speaker 1: the Bears. Why do you think the wise guys have

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Speaker 1: come in on the Packers. You're you're mentioning some some

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Speaker 1: narratives but what's the metrics. Well, well, I mean the

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Speaker 1: Packers really had a much better team last year than

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Speaker 1: their than their record indicated. There was a lot of

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Speaker 1: internal strife. I mean there's a lot going on with

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Speaker 1: the coaching staff and Aaron Rodgers. And you look at

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Speaker 1: just Aaron Rodgers performance last year. He was as good

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Speaker 1: as efficient as he ever was. So they just expect

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Speaker 1: that to continue and just kind of a uh, maybe

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Speaker 1: two things happen and maybe a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: regression with the Bears as well as kind of a

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Speaker 1: resurgent Packer team under new leadership that they figured to

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Speaker 1: be uh playing up to the potential of what the

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Speaker 1: talent on this squad really is. Alright, this next game

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Speaker 1: I am so excited about I'm not gonna allow to you.

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at the Action Network app right now and

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Speaker 1: there's a tab that is my Action and it tells

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Speaker 1: you everything you've got a bet on so for are

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Speaker 1: um including player props. What what is that? What is that?

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Speaker 1: There's a lot going on here. We're opening up casinos here,

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Speaker 1: opening up sports books and new casinos. There's just a

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Speaker 1: lot of traffic. Well Scooch, let me tell you something.

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Speaker 1: I've got one, two, three, four or five, six, seven, eight,

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Speaker 1: eleven twelve bets already set between Thursday and Sunday for

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Speaker 1: NFL and college football. I've got a lot going on.

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Speaker 1: One of the games I bet on is Jacksonville. I

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Speaker 1: got it at plus four against Kansas City. Um some wow,

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Speaker 1: these guys I know, And this might come up later

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Speaker 1: in the show. I think that maybe this game should

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Speaker 1: be picked and they would take Jacksonville out right. What

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Speaker 1: are you seeing? I'm seeing the same thing. We actually

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Speaker 1: have more tickets on the Chief than any other game

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Speaker 1: on the board. It's the most heavily bet team of

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Speaker 1: any game on the or for us. So if you're

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Speaker 1: looking for one of those games where the public is

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Speaker 1: overwhelmingly on one side, where the sharp guys are on

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Speaker 1: the other side, uh, this is the game. So we

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Speaker 1: we were, I mean we we moved around a little bit.

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Speaker 1: We actually, I mean you have to consider week one.

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Speaker 1: We've had these lines up for months and months. So

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Speaker 1: we went as low as three and a half on

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Speaker 1: this game and as high as four and a half

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Speaker 1: on the game. But all the big money came in

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Speaker 1: at plus four on the Jag on the Jaguars. UM

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Speaker 1: and like I said, the public just overwhelmingly on the

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Speaker 1: chief almost had a nine to one ratio. That's just

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Speaker 1: you know, you rarely see you rarely see the uh

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Speaker 1: the ratio that high. Uh. And some big money on

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs too. I'm not going to say that all

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Speaker 1: the big moneys on the Jaguars. There's some big money

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Speaker 1: on the Chiefs. It's just kind of more of our

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Speaker 1: big casino players, more of the recreational gamblers that like

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Speaker 1: to bet big on the game, the people that we

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Speaker 1: know to be sharp and to be expert handicappers. They're

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Speaker 1: definitely on the Jaguars. And this one, well, I got

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Speaker 1: another game for you, Carolina hosting the Rams Short Home Dog.

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Speaker 1: You might as call the podcast the short Home Dog Podcast,

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Speaker 1: because you know, if I get a short home Dog,

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Speaker 1: I'm taking it. So Carolina is another team plus three

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Speaker 1: that I am on, and uh, like the Chiefs, the

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Speaker 1: Rams getting three quarters of the action from the public. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: the second second most heavily bad team on the board

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Speaker 1: next to the Chiefs. Definitely the Rams. This is the

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Speaker 1: kind of game where the public walks into the sports book,

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Speaker 1: they see a great team like the Rams, and they

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Speaker 1: see them as a short favorite and they just, you know,

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Speaker 1: they don't really take in we talked about it so

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Speaker 1: many times before, where they don't really take in that

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Speaker 1: what that home field advantage means. They just see a

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Speaker 1: short road favorite and they figure the Rams, as good

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Speaker 1: as they are, should at least cover three. So the

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Speaker 1: average casual better is gonna is probably gonna put the

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Speaker 1: Rams in a parlay. Uh, and the Sharp guys ro

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Speaker 1: all over the Panthers. The betting slowed down a little

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Speaker 1: bit in one of the preseason games when Cam Newton

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Speaker 1: left in a walking boot, but he he figures could

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Speaker 1: be probable for for game one. There's no indication that

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Speaker 1: he's gonna miss this game, so uh, the action started

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Speaker 1: picking up from a lot of the Sharp guys again

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Speaker 1: on the Panthers. Recently, we've gone to plus three minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty. Uh might even see I might even see

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Speaker 1: a dip down to two and a half by game time,

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Speaker 1: but just all that public money on the ranch just

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Speaker 1: kind of keeping it keeping it at three. All right.

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Speaker 1: I apologize to the listeners because the games are going

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Speaker 1: to seem out of order in terms of the schedule,

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Speaker 1: but that's just because I'm using the Action Network gap

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Speaker 1: to follout talk about the games, and that's the order

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Speaker 1: I'm going in. And because I've made bets on some games,

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Speaker 1: it puts those games at the top, and I don't

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Speaker 1: want to skip games by like going back to the

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Speaker 1: one o'clock game. So I'm just going in the order

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Speaker 1: that I'm seeing him in the app. Apologize, uh, because

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Speaker 1: I say that because the other game that I've bet

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Speaker 1: so far, I have to two of the games that

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Speaker 1: I bet, uh, the Chargers and the Colts. I got

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Speaker 1: the Colts at plus seven SCO and I know the

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Speaker 1: wise guys have been coming in on the Colts. Yeah, well,

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Speaker 1: you know, the reality is the Colts have a really

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Speaker 1: good team, and they had a good team with or

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Speaker 1: without Andrew Luck. And the whole thing was how much

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Speaker 1: how much does he mean for this line? So we

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Speaker 1: opened up the Charges three points favorite, and obviously when

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Speaker 1: Luck went out, we moved it up. We went as

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Speaker 1: high as minus seven, and you, along with some other

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Speaker 1: sharp guys that we know, have took that plus seven

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Speaker 1: and made us go down to six and a half. So,

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Speaker 1: without a doubt, this game is going to fall between

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Speaker 1: four and six. That just had the way the way

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Speaker 1: it works for us, got that huge middle where everybody

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Speaker 1: laid the Chargers at minus three and took the Colts

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Speaker 1: at plus seven. So we're not in a great spot here,

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Speaker 1: but there are still a lot of sharp guys that

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Speaker 1: feel like the Colts have a decent shot of even

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Speaker 1: winning the division. So even without even without Andrew Luck,

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Speaker 1: So I think there definitely is some value there at

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Speaker 1: the plus seven if you were able to get it,

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Speaker 1: and even at six and a half, there's probably some

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Speaker 1: value on the Colts. You've got uh possibly no, no,

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Speaker 1: Melvin Gordon's he's uh doubtful for this game. They've they've

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Speaker 1: got some other key injuries. Uh, So I do think

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Speaker 1: that there's value on the Colts. We're gonna come into

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Speaker 1: uh what I liked. You know, August has got Amen corner,

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Speaker 1: uh Scooch, You've got the corner of TV corner. And

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Speaker 1: what I mean by that is you've got Baltimore is

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Speaker 1: a seven point favorite over Miami and the game following that,

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Speaker 1: uh has another potential despite how popular their team is.

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Speaker 1: But first Baltimore as seven point favorites on the road

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Speaker 1: against the Dolphins. Oh my god, this has Jesus, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna have to bet the Dolphins in this game. Just

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Speaker 1: on principle, well, well, I mean, obviously we saw the

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Speaker 1: big move. We were as low as Baltimore minus three

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Speaker 1: and a half minus four. We went up to seven

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Speaker 1: when Miami started unloading guys Laramie Tunsel and Kenny Stills

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Speaker 1: and and you know, aside from the talent that they're

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Speaker 1: losing for this game, it's also just you know, the

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Speaker 1: mental aspect of having your team approaching game one as

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Speaker 1: you're unloading some of your you know, all pro players. So, uh,

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Speaker 1: just another angle to consider in this game. Baltimore trying

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Speaker 1: to get that defense back up to where it was

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Speaker 1: a few years ago, to relying on Lamar Jackson at

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Speaker 1: at quarterback. Um, I think this is a little bit

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Speaker 1: more interesting than just the corner game. I think there's

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Speaker 1: a lot going on this one. There's a lot of

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Speaker 1: people paying attention to this one, especially with the big

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Speaker 1: the big line swings. Yeah, I agree. I think I

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Speaker 1: actually might have to take a little bit of a flyer,

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Speaker 1: not like a full unit, like half a unit on Miami.

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Speaker 1: The unit on he plays pretty well against against the Ravens,

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Speaker 1: and and I think you gotta look look at that

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Speaker 1: factor too. He feels comfortable playing against this his defense.

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Speaker 1: I am not betting against fits Magic in the first

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Speaker 1: game of the year in South Florida when there's seven

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Speaker 1: point underdogs. I have just convinced myself to go to

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Speaker 1: four units on this game. Wow, that's pretty strong. I'm kidding.

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Speaker 1: What do I do about the Browns? The Browns is

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Speaker 1: five point favorites at home against Tennessee. Have we reached

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Speaker 1: Pete Browns? Are the Browns overvalued? Is this the right number?

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Speaker 1: What do you think? Oh? I think they're a little overvalued.

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Speaker 1: I don't think it's the right number in terms of

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Speaker 1: us the bookmakers trying to inflate it to compensate for

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Speaker 1: all the public hype on the team. I mean, we

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Speaker 1: take that into consideration. But one thing is we haven't

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Speaker 1: really seen too much wise guy action coming back on

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Speaker 1: the Titans. They they've either just laid off of it

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Speaker 1: there or just wait and wait and to see if

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Speaker 1: they can maybe get a better number. But, uh, five

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Speaker 1: and a half is about as high as as we're

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Speaker 1: willing to go in this one. Uh. The ticket account

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Speaker 1: is definitely high on on on the Browns. Everybody's hyped

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Speaker 1: up on the Browns. Not a lot of reason to

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Speaker 1: get excited on about the Titans. So it's either browns

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Speaker 1: or passed on the game. I'm gonna pass. I don't

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Speaker 1: blame it is. They're gonna be fun to watch, but

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Speaker 1: I also think it's gonna be fun to watch. Kind

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Speaker 1: of that. Um, those expectations fall week by week. Do

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Speaker 1: you know what. I don't think I'm going to pass on,

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Speaker 1: or at least I'm still heavily considering Minnesota as a

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Speaker 1: four point favorite at home against Atlanta sixty percent of

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Speaker 1: the action coming in and the Falcons. You know, I

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Speaker 1: I like I call him the Atlanta fraud kins. Uh.

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Speaker 1: You know, I'm not a fan. I think the Vikings

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Speaker 1: are tremendously undervalued. Right now. This feels like a spot

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Speaker 1: to the Scooch. This really does. I opened the Minnesota

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Speaker 1: high I took when everyone in town was at four.

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Speaker 1: I shot at four and a half. I took a

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Speaker 1: lot of money on Falcons. I was trying to put

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Speaker 1: myself in a position where we actually needed the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: But that's not gonna that's not gonna happen. There's six

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Speaker 1: of our tickets are on the on the Vikings. Uh.

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Speaker 1: We went back to four and a half and now

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Speaker 1: I'm not getting any falcon money. I could definitely see

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Speaker 1: this line moving up by game time. I'm not seeing

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Speaker 1: the sharp guys taking the falcons here. So being that

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Speaker 1: the public is all over Minnesota, will be really quick

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Speaker 1: to move this one. Yeah, I think I think that

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Speaker 1: is one forget about Miami. Like which I talked myself

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Speaker 1: into Minnesota. I didn't need much talking. That's kind of

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Speaker 1: not with you on that one. New York Jets man,

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Speaker 1: Why does anyone have that on the New York Jets?

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Speaker 1: Are you disgusted at? This is the corner TV game

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Speaker 1: the Jets in the bill. This is totally the corner

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Speaker 1: TV game. There's let there's less tickets on this game

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Speaker 1: than there is on any other game on the board,

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Speaker 1: both sides. Uh, we made the Jets of three point favorite.

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Speaker 1: It's a solid three everywhere. Uh, tickets is about fifty fifty.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's kind of split on it, but there's not there's

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Speaker 1: not too much interest in this game at all. Yeah. Like,

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Speaker 1: the only other game, and we'll get to it, is

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Speaker 1: Arizona Detroit. That might be the only other game that

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Speaker 1: has fewer bets than this game. I'm looking in the

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Speaker 1: action right now, But there's interest in that one, and

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Speaker 1: at least from our in our books. I mean, people

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Speaker 1: want to see Arizona are excited about this offense. They're not.

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Speaker 1: They don't they don't have a whole lot of expectations

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Speaker 1: on them. They think they'll win more than five games.

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Speaker 1: But but I think people just like to see a

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Speaker 1: rookie quarterback coming in and seeing what he could do,

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Speaker 1: kind of like what Baker Mayfield did, and so so

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Speaker 1: I think there's a little excitement around Arizona and then

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Speaker 1: going up against uh, you know, uh, a guy like Stafford.

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Speaker 1: They just want to they want to see that dynamic.

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Speaker 1: There's definitely more interest in this game than there is

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Speaker 1: on the Hills Jets. Yes, you're right, and the stats

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Speaker 1: bear that out right now in the Action Network gap. Uh,

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Speaker 1: the games with the least volume are Jets, Bills, Niners, Bucks,

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Speaker 1: and then Arizona Detroit. But let's before we get to

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Speaker 1: those games. Let's talk about the Redskins and the Eagles.

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Speaker 1: The Eagles are nine and a half point favorites. This

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Speaker 1: game has jumped from seven and a half. You've got

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Speaker 1: of the money coming in on Philly. Uh, what are

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Speaker 1: you gonna do about this scooch. You're gonna leave it there? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: what's gonna happen? No, we're gonna, well, I'm gonna we're

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Speaker 1: probably gonna head to tend real quickly here. This is

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Speaker 1: one of the few games where the wise guys in

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Speaker 1: the public the public are on the same side. Uh.

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Speaker 1: Just overwhelmingly everybody's on Philly on this one. Uh. This

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Speaker 1: might be might be the biggest game on the board

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Speaker 1: for us, next to, uh, next to that Chiefs game

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Speaker 1: in terms of, you know, trying to kill the parlays.

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Speaker 1: But you know the fact that the sharp guys are

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Speaker 1: on the same side as the public. That's never really

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Speaker 1: a position we we want to put ourselves in. But uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, at nine and a half, it's it's a

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Speaker 1: lot of points. But uh, just Redskins have no quarterback,

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Speaker 1: and nobody wants to bet on a team without a quarterback.

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Speaker 1: But the wise guys weren't on this when it was

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Speaker 1: at nine and a half. I mean, they bet this

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Speaker 1: much at a much lower number. Yeah, no, they're not

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Speaker 1: laying the nine and a half. Now. The public's lay

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Speaker 1: in the nine and a half, but sharp guys laid seven,

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Speaker 1: seven and a half and eight and a half. So

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Speaker 1: we're buried on the game. We're big Redskins fans. You

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Speaker 1: know what, you know what, Scooch, You're gonna need this

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Speaker 1: game for your lungs or my lungs. Scooch is um

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Speaker 1: uh back, So we're back. We're back, baby, Seattle. Is it?

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Speaker 1: It's another nine and a half, number nine and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorite over the Bengals. Uh, it's a tough one.

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Speaker 1: This is a this is a stay away from me.

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Speaker 1: It is this is you know, I feel a little

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Speaker 1: bit better about Need and Cincinnati than I do Need,

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Speaker 1: uh than Washington against Philly. But here's another game that

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Speaker 1: we opened up seven and a half and uh at

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Speaker 1: both the sharp guys laid the seven and a half,

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Speaker 1: we went to eight and a half pretty quickly. Uh,

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Speaker 1: we're sitting at nine right now, but I could see

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Speaker 1: us going to nine and a half very shortly. So

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Speaker 1: this is another game with the sharp guys and the

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Speaker 1: public are both on the same time, same side. Just

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Speaker 1: not as big as the Philly game. But uh, being

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Speaker 1: that this is the later afternoon game, this one can

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Speaker 1: get ugly really really quickly, especially if some of those

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Speaker 1: favorites win in the morning games. Also, you know the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks have jadeveon Clowney and he's good. Yea, So we

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Speaker 1: did see a little jump in that when they when

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Speaker 1: they made that move. Wow, So people like that's a

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Speaker 1: that's a public play there is, yeah, yeah, not the

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Speaker 1: sharp The sharp guys laid this, Like I said, the

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Speaker 1: sharp guys laid the in an a half very early on,

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Speaker 1: way before the move. But now we're just seeing all

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Speaker 1: the public parlays now feeling that that's just kind of

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Speaker 1: puts them over that little hump. And uh, it's just

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Speaker 1: the difference of going from nine to nine and a half. Alright,

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Speaker 1: So Arizona is a three point dog against Actually I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go hang on, hang on, I'm gonna go to

347
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Speaker 1: nine and a half right now, Line move, line move,

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Speaker 1: I forgot, Like I gotta give Patrick, our new producer, like,

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Speaker 1: all the cues for all this music we have because

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Speaker 1: we have scooches in music, we have line move music.

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Speaker 1: We got all this stuff. Yep, yep, all right, we'll

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Speaker 1: get to that. We'll add that in. I'm looking at Patrick,

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Speaker 1: he's excited, he's shaking his head. He's a nice person. Um,

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Speaker 1: all right, Detroit three point favorite on the road again.

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Speaker 1: To me, this is an automatic take. Yeah. I mean

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Speaker 1: even like even with a rookie quarterback. Yeah, like a

357
00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:02,640
Speaker 1: there's still some excitement around this team to to get

358
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Speaker 1: three points at home against Detroit. Yeah why not? Yeah?

359
00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:08,840
Speaker 1: You almost you have to take this home dog. Um,

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00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,920
Speaker 1: we're actually trying to entice a little Detroit money. We're

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Speaker 1: at two and a half minus twenty. I know some

362
00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:17,080
Speaker 1: other places in town or at three three even money,

363
00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:20,040
Speaker 1: but uh, we're trying to draw a little Detroit money.

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Speaker 1: And I think that says something when they're not quite

365
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Speaker 1: the you know, three point favorite, that we're trying to

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Speaker 1: tell the public, Uh, who they should fade in this one? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think you're giving a pretty big signal. Yep, yep.

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Speaker 1: All right, here's another one that interests me and it

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Speaker 1: didn't interest me, just a little bit of pulling the

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Speaker 1: curtain back. We've already recorded the second half of this podcast.

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Speaker 1: I mentioned the second half of the podcast, me, Darren

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00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 1: Revel and a professional better are going over like games

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Speaker 1: that we might want to put into the super Contest,

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Speaker 1: and uh, we had a long conversation about Dallas as

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Speaker 1: a seven point favorite over the Giants, and I kind

376
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:09,480
Speaker 1: of started to phone in love with it. Yeah, well

377
00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 1: especially literally about ten fifteen minutes before we started the podcast,

378
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Speaker 1: We've got just a little bit of an update with

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Speaker 1: Zekiel Elliot. It looks like he's closer to making a deal.

380
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Speaker 1: It looks like he's been upgraded to probable for this one,

381
00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 1: which originally we had him as as doubtful. So although

382
00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:33,440
Speaker 1: we're still at seven, we we moved it from seven

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00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,840
Speaker 1: to seven minus twenty. So and keep in mind we

384
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,399
Speaker 1: opened this game at seven and a half. The initial

385
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 1: money came in on the Giants, um, I want to

386
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:46,000
Speaker 1: say well over a month ago, and a lot of

387
00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:49,920
Speaker 1: that was due to some guys, you know, Elliott among them,

388
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 1: that just were holdouts and just simply didn't know who

389
00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:56,199
Speaker 1: was going to be playing in game one. But but

390
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,439
Speaker 1: now we're starting to see the Dallas money creeping in again.

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00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:02,200
Speaker 1: I could see it going right back up to seven

392
00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:06,639
Speaker 1: and a half and again between this one and and

393
00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:10,960
Speaker 1: Philly and Seattle, some of these big home favorites, Uh,

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00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:13,479
Speaker 1: you kind of have to favor they're just playing a

395
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:16,199
Speaker 1: team that just has and you hate to say, they

396
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:19,000
Speaker 1: have no life in them. But start to season, you

397
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 1: know it's game one but you just don't have anything

398
00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 1: to get excited about. Yeah, I mean it's really become

399
00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:29,720
Speaker 1: very interesting, right it is. I Mean, normally you can

400
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:32,560
Speaker 1: make a case for an eight point underdog in almost

401
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:36,639
Speaker 1: any game, but there's certain teams that just seemed like

402
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 1: they're kind of thrown in the towel before the season

403
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:42,119
Speaker 1: even begins. Um. Now, I mean that's come back to

404
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:45,719
Speaker 1: you know, bite a lot of people, including me, So

405
00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:49,720
Speaker 1: you never know what happens and uh in these game ones.

406
00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:52,400
Speaker 1: But h this is just a team that it's hard

407
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:54,439
Speaker 1: to it's hard to get excited about. They've been on

408
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:56,920
Speaker 1: a kind of a downward spiral the last two three

409
00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:00,240
Speaker 1: seasons the Giants have and uh, I mean even last

410
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:03,359
Speaker 1: year after they've got Sequon Barkley, and you really thought

411
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:05,440
Speaker 1: that last year they were going to show some major

412
00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:08,760
Speaker 1: sides of improvements, new coaching staff, the whole thing, and

413
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,679
Speaker 1: now they're and still they're worse than the year before.

414
00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:14,399
Speaker 1: So um, it's going to take quite a bit to

415
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,440
Speaker 1: get the public around this Giant's team. All right, let's

416
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:22,359
Speaker 1: talk about San Francisco and Tampa. That one's a pick.

417
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:28,920
Speaker 1: I am very convinced about Tampa in this game. I

418
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:31,760
Speaker 1: think that's the right side in this one. And and

419
00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 1: I don't think the people are giving them enough credit. Um,

420
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:40,160
Speaker 1: but they are looking at the San Francisco team where

421
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:42,679
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago they got real excited about

422
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:46,439
Speaker 1: uh Jimmy g and they were saying, this team is

423
00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 1: kind of a team that that's going to be on

424
00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:51,160
Speaker 1: the rise. And then they kind of let everybody down.

425
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Speaker 1: And there's another team that I think everyone kind of

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00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:56,119
Speaker 1: just has to wait and see approach on them. They

427
00:23:56,119 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 1: want to see maybe two three games into the season

428
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 1: before they get a eat on this team. So it's

429
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:05,080
Speaker 1: probably why that's the third least that game on the board.

430
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:07,919
Speaker 1: There's the sharp guys that are going to be playing Tampa.

431
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:09,480
Speaker 1: I think we got a little bit of a little

432
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:14,119
Speaker 1: taste on that early on went from we're at one

433
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,640
Speaker 1: on San Francisco, we're now at one minus one on Tampa.

434
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:19,600
Speaker 1: So a little bit of sharp money on it. Not

435
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:25,639
Speaker 1: too much public money on either side, but again not

436
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:29,199
Speaker 1: not one of the major games on the board. I

437
00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:33,520
Speaker 1: like Tampa. I like Tampa a lot. In fact, I

438
00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:38,520
Speaker 1: love them. Isn't it scary how this happens? You like

439
00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:42,119
Speaker 1: those short, short home favorites. I do. I always have.

440
00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:44,479
Speaker 1: You know that I have. You know, those are one

441
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:48,920
Speaker 1: of my favorite things. Um, Jesus, I've already forgotten where

442
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,520
Speaker 1: we almost you you don't. You almost don't even have

443
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:53,480
Speaker 1: to handicap the teams. You can just look at the

444
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 1: points bread and handicap the points Bread. You're right, You're

445
00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 1: totally right. That's what I do. That's because I'm a professional.

446
00:24:59,800 --> 00:25:04,880
Speaker 1: I you know what I'm saying. I do all right.

447
00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:09,080
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and New England. New England is a six point favorite.

448
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 1: This is a Sunday night game. Knowing that there's a

449
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:17,360
Speaker 1: six point favorite over the Pittsburgh Steelers, yep, Um, that's

450
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 1: a lot of points for the Pittsburgh Steers. Let me

451
00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 1: say that right right off. This is this is a

452
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 1: great game, great action on the game. Uh, we're not

453
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,359
Speaker 1: really heavy one way or the other. Um, got a

454
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:30,240
Speaker 1: ton of a ton of money on both sides. The

455
00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 1: sharp guys favorite Pittsburgh and this one, although not to

456
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:38,160
Speaker 1: the point where we're actually moving the line yet. Uh

457
00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:40,520
Speaker 1: may I think some of the places kind of dipped

458
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:43,240
Speaker 1: down to five and a half, So just a little indication.

459
00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:45,200
Speaker 1: I think the sharp guys will come in on Pittsburgh

460
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 1: as we get later. We've had tremendous success in some

461
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:52,200
Speaker 1: of these marquee games where Super Bowl uh team was

462
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,480
Speaker 1: playing their first game, and that the Dogs covered in

463
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 1: these games. So I feel pretty good about beating Pittsburgh

464
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 1: and this one. It's listen, I am just not going

465
00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 1: to start the year betting against Bill Belichick. Yeah, you know,

466
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:12,640
Speaker 1: we've talked about that for many years. Just even when

467
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,600
Speaker 1: it's the right spot, even when it just looks great,

468
00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:18,160
Speaker 1: you just you just don't do it. He's the exception.

469
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:22,840
Speaker 1: He's the exception to every rule. Yeah. Yeah, And there's

470
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:24,960
Speaker 1: too many other games on the board. But you know

471
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:26,639
Speaker 1: why I take a chance on that one. Yeah, I

472
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:30,000
Speaker 1: just don't. I don't need to. But it's a marquee game,

473
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 1: and there's a lot of people that just, you know,

474
00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 1: they want to have action on that marquee games. I

475
00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 1: want to have action on games I think I can win.

476
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,200
Speaker 1: It's all about winning for you. There's no fun involved.

477
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:44,919
Speaker 1: That's for fun. You bet to win. I don't want.

478
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:46,080
Speaker 1: I don't at the end of the day. I want

479
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:52,639
Speaker 1: to be like, boy, that was fun, losing so much money. Yeah, alright,

480
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 1: we got two Monday night games. I think We're down

481
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 1: to the Monday night games, right alright. One, uh one

482
00:26:57,320 --> 00:27:00,719
Speaker 1: I've already been on. It's Texas. It's the Texans plus

483
00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:05,480
Speaker 1: seven against the Saints. Yeah. Yeah, this is a big

484
00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:07,280
Speaker 1: one where the yeah, the public is all over the

485
00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 1: Saints in this one. The sharp guys, sharp guys were

486
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:13,400
Speaker 1: on Houston even before they got the players from from Miami.

487
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:17,000
Speaker 1: But that just kind of cemented it for for some

488
00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:19,600
Speaker 1: of the some of the sharp guys, so they're gonna

489
00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:21,240
Speaker 1: be all over this one. I could see this line

490
00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:24,840
Speaker 1: coming down. Uh. I guess it would depend on how

491
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:27,440
Speaker 1: many favorites cover Sunday. If the favorites get beat up

492
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:30,359
Speaker 1: in a lot of the public games on Sunday, then

493
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:32,880
Speaker 1: you'll see this line stay at seven just to try

494
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,800
Speaker 1: and mitigate some of the Monday Night loss. But uh,

495
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 1: if it was a pretty even split on Sunday, then

496
00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:40,879
Speaker 1: I think you'll see just the sharp guys taking the

497
00:27:40,920 --> 00:27:44,680
Speaker 1: plus seven. You'll see this line coming down right right now.

498
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: It's uh, you know, public on New Orleans and sharp

499
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:50,760
Speaker 1: guys on Houston, but not not enough to move the

500
00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:53,719
Speaker 1: line yet. I'm a sharp guy. You want to think

501
00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 1: about it? You are, I know, Uh, last game the

502
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:02,360
Speaker 1: the overinflated Oakland Raiders because they've been on hard knocks

503
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:06,600
Speaker 1: all summer. Our pick at home against the Denver Broncos.

504
00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:09,680
Speaker 1: The Raiders should be an underdog in this game, There's

505
00:28:09,680 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 1: no doubt about it. You're giving them more credit they

506
00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:15,360
Speaker 1: deserve because they are in Nevada, they're moving to Nevada,

507
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,960
Speaker 1: and they've been on TV for a month. Yeah, I

508
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:20,920
Speaker 1: think I think we made a mistake on this one.

509
00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,439
Speaker 1: We've been overvaluing them far too long. I mean, a

510
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 1: lot of it is, you know, and we have to

511
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 1: get away from the kind of the Vegas mentality now

512
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,360
Speaker 1: that we're opening up legal, legalized sports books all over

513
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:34,560
Speaker 1: the country, but in Vegas they had that that appealed

514
00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:37,399
Speaker 1: even before they announced they were coming to Vegas. There

515
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 1: is still a lot of support for the Raiders in

516
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 1: Vegas that would kind of drive that line up a

517
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,760
Speaker 1: little bit. But but this one, we opened up the

518
00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:47,760
Speaker 1: Raiders two and a half and we're down to pick

519
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 1: on this one. Just early on this line, this line moved.

520
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 1: We got Denver money right from Jump Street on this one,

521
00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 1: and it's been now now we have do have a

522
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,600
Speaker 1: lot of tickets on Oakland. So again there's a lot

523
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:01,560
Speaker 1: of twenty dollar fifty dollar AT's coming in on Open,

524
00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:04,960
Speaker 1: but the sharp money is on Denver and this one. Then,

525
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:09,160
Speaker 1: like you said, we we kind of over inflated them.

526
00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:13,560
Speaker 1: Guess what time it is? Scooch. Oh, I don't even

527
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,360
Speaker 1: know if Patrick. I don't even know if Patrick knows

528
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:21,200
Speaker 1: about this. There is there a musical interlude tagged there

529
00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 1: called scooch Roulette. Let's play a brother. Hold On? I

530
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 1: just I threw him for a loop. He was like,

531
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:36,240
Speaker 1: what what I gotta play this? Hold on? He's gonna

532
00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 1: call it up right now. I'm giving you. I'm giving

533
00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:40,880
Speaker 1: you a couple more seconds to think about it. But

534
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 1: I got so many games I'm flying on here? Are

535
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 1: you ready to roll? Do you know what you want?

536
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:49,040
Speaker 1: I got two that I want. It depends on who

537
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 1: goes first. Well, I'm gonna let you go first. Okay,

538
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:55,240
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna I'm gonna go with the Minnesota

539
00:29:55,320 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 1: Vikings minus before dude, we gotta let Patrick play the music. Well,

540
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:02,640
Speaker 1: I thought he was looking for you said he didn't

541
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 1: know if he had it all right, hold on, we

542
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 1: don't know if he's gonna he'll pull put it in

543
00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 1: after he'll put it in. After he'll find a smart

544
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:11,880
Speaker 1: place to put it. You know, with all our jibber jabber, gosh,

545
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 1: I really wanted the Minnesota Vikings minus four. That was

546
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:18,800
Speaker 1: like one of my that was a Marquis pick for me.

547
00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 1: But it was it possible that during this podcast, I've

548
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:29,040
Speaker 1: talked into myself into thinking that the Cardinals plus three

549
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 1: might be the best bet on the board right now.

550
00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 1: That's insane, that's insane. That's the best thie to come

551
00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:40,959
Speaker 1: up with. Or is it Miami plus seven? I just

552
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:48,440
Speaker 1: don't know. I'm going with the Indianapolis Colts. Indianapolis Colts

553
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:51,320
Speaker 1: plus six and a half? What okay? No, No, I'm

554
00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 1: not No, I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars plus three

555
00:30:55,800 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 1: and a half. You just gave me. We're different games.

556
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the Cowboys seven five different games,

557
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 1: well every one of them, I really, I say, you

558
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:13,960
Speaker 1: give me. Uh this guy's crazy, you know what, screw you.

559
00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:16,840
Speaker 1: You gotta start ranking. I'm going with Jacksonville plus three

560
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:19,640
Speaker 1: and a half. Jacksonville plus three and a half. That

561
00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 1: is my pick. I like that one. That's a good one,

562
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 1: thank you. That's the five star play. That's the star

563
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:28,560
Speaker 1: more more than you. We're gonna be rooting for them.

564
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 1: You're gonna need it for your lungs. Yeah, we need

565
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 1: that one for one long and we need the Philly

566
00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:36,960
Speaker 1: for the other. We need Washington against Philly for the

567
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:40,000
Speaker 1: other long. Scooch, it's great to be back talking about

568
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:43,600
Speaker 1: football with you. Nice to be back. Everyone stick around

569
00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:45,479
Speaker 1: because after the break, we're gonna have Darren Rivel, we're

570
00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:47,600
Speaker 1: gonna have Simon Hunter professional better, and we're gonna be

571
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:50,680
Speaker 1: talking about our super contest picks to win one point

572
00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:55,000
Speaker 1: five million dollars. Scooch to buddy, all right, take care.

573
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:57,480
Speaker 1: All right, let's take a quick break because as Scooch

574
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 1: and I were saying, it's so good that football is back.

575
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 1: It's finally back. It's time to celebrate and draft Kings

576
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:08,920
Speaker 1: the leader in one day. Fantasy Football has huge, huge

577
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:12,440
Speaker 1: Week one contest. The first one starts this Thursday, when

578
00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:15,560
Speaker 1: Chicago and Green Bay kick off the season in a

579
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:20,680
Speaker 1: single game showdown with two point five million dollars in

580
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:24,240
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581
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:27,600
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582
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 1: Just draft six players from the season opener, stay under

583
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:34,040
Speaker 1: the salary cap and see how your team stacks up

584
00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 1: against the competition. Plus, new users who sign up today

585
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586
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588
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589
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590
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591
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592
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593
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594
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595
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596
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Speaker 1: That's Code Favorites only at DraftKings. Make it rain alright,

597
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:34,840
Speaker 1: as promised, we are back. It's time to do Super Contest.

598
00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 1: This year. As we did last year, the Action Network

599
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:43,240
Speaker 1: has entered the Super Contest that is the Massive World

600
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 1: Series of Poker type Sports Betting NFL Betting Contest at

601
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:52,640
Speaker 1: the Westgate Hotel in Las Vegas. You make five, You

602
00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 1: make five picks against the spread every single week. And

603
00:33:57,160 --> 00:34:00,560
Speaker 1: if you win the contest, if you have the best record,

604
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 1: the best record at the end of the year, you

605
00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 1: and one point five million dollars. That is nothing to

606
00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:08,920
Speaker 1: sneeze at. One point five million dollars for being the

607
00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 1: best NFL picker in the world who week by week

608
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,560
Speaker 1: we're gonna do this. Dann Ravel is sitting right next

609
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:20,400
Speaker 1: to me, and uh, he's nothing of not a lightning

610
00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:24,920
Speaker 1: rout of controversy. So it's one point for for a

611
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:27,560
Speaker 1: win and a half point for a tie. And then

612
00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:32,279
Speaker 1: that's how the points work. People who are listening, they're

613
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:35,040
Speaker 1: going to care about two things, who we picked and

614
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:36,960
Speaker 1: how we're doing. They're not going to care about how

615
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:42,279
Speaker 1: many points the winner usually is, like sixty five to seventy's.

616
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 1: It's ridiculous. It's it's absolutely insane. This contest. Jake Corner

617
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:47,040
Speaker 1: getting the guys of the west Gate, they're doing a

618
00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:50,320
Speaker 1: great job. Chad will tell you that he popularized it,

619
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:53,960
Speaker 1: which unfortunately, when I was researching, kind of found out

620
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:58,120
Speaker 1: that it was true and it hurt me I because

621
00:34:58,160 --> 00:35:00,840
Speaker 1: I don't like when Chad gets right it first. You know,

622
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 1: it's weird. There's a lot of people that I work

623
00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:06,360
Speaker 1: with have that feeling because once you get credit for

624
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:08,640
Speaker 1: stuff you never stopped talking about. Like, I know, you've

625
00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:11,440
Speaker 1: written seven books and four of them are best sellers, right,

626
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:15,040
Speaker 1: so like you and listen, that's a good that's good branding.

627
00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:17,040
Speaker 1: I do the same thing. I brag about myself all

628
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:20,400
Speaker 1: day long, but it just bothers me. Sometimes. I get it.

629
00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,000
Speaker 1: I get it. Uh. Darren and I are gonna enter

630
00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,840
Speaker 1: the contest together and we're gonna make our choices based

631
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:29,000
Speaker 1: on input from our friends at the Action Network. But

632
00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:31,160
Speaker 1: right now, we're also going to get some input later on,

633
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:33,920
Speaker 1: not right now, but in a few minutes. A professional

634
00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 1: better who I've been having uh conversations with. His name

635
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:40,800
Speaker 1: is Simon Hunters. It's not really his real name. Uh.

636
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:44,719
Speaker 1: He's based in New Jersey. He's a long time professional better. Um,

637
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:47,719
Speaker 1: he reached out. We've been having conversations. He is going

638
00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:49,400
Speaker 1: to come in and he's gonna weigh and judgment and

639
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:52,319
Speaker 1: help us decide, help us tiebreak. But first, Darren and

640
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:54,400
Speaker 1: I need to each come up with our five bets.

641
00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:57,759
Speaker 1: So Darren, I want your community, gim me let me

642
00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:01,400
Speaker 1: have his pen. Darren, give me a bet, Give me

643
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:04,360
Speaker 1: a bet. What are you thinking? Let me let me

644
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:08,080
Speaker 1: say one thing. The Westgate puts out our official lines

645
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 1: for the contest on Wednesday nights. That's too late in

646
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:13,040
Speaker 1: the week for us to record the podcast. So we

647
00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:16,719
Speaker 1: are basing these guesses, these these bets on what the

648
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:20,800
Speaker 1: lines are right now. Darren throughout the week on Twitter,

649
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:23,560
Speaker 1: on video and stories on Action Network dot Com will

650
00:36:23,640 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 1: update with ultimately where we land, like, this is what

651
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:28,040
Speaker 1: these are the These are the picks we will make

652
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 1: based on the numbers now, and I expect we will

653
00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 1: generally be in this range. Yes, Okay, so I'm gonna

654
00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:38,839
Speaker 1: throw out I'm gonna take the forty Niners at pick

655
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 1: them over the Buccaneers. Okay, We're never gonna do that. Bet,

656
00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 1: give me another one. It's a horrible idea. Uh, the

657
00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 1: forty Niners are where they are, but they don't know

658
00:36:49,040 --> 00:36:51,799
Speaker 1: what they are with Jimmy Garoppolo. Whereas Jamis Winston, if

659
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:53,840
Speaker 1: you've been reading stuff on the Action Network, he is

660
00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:56,840
Speaker 1: primed to have a breakout year. He's a guy that

661
00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:59,400
Speaker 1: a lot of fantasy experts, a lot of NFL experts

662
00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:02,440
Speaker 1: look at, say with Bruce Arians in this offense, this

663
00:37:02,520 --> 00:37:04,280
Speaker 1: is the year that you want to get Jameis Winston.

664
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:06,800
Speaker 1: I don't think it's every year. I have the Titans

665
00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:10,440
Speaker 1: covering as as five and a half point dogs over

666
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:14,640
Speaker 1: the Browns. Don't hate it. I think the Browns are

667
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:18,520
Speaker 1: Everyone is just overrating the Browns. They do not have

668
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:21,239
Speaker 1: from there, They're not going to be ready to go

669
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 1: right away, and people just again, I don't I don't

670
00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:28,280
Speaker 1: love the Browns. Were at Pete Brown's Pete Brown's right now, Yeah, agreed.

671
00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 1: I also like, uh, the Chargers as six and a

672
00:37:33,040 --> 00:37:35,520
Speaker 1: half point favorites to cover over the Colts. I think

673
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:38,600
Speaker 1: the Colts are Maybe this is too psychological, but I

674
00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:41,080
Speaker 1: think they're a mess from the sudden Andrew Luck. I

675
00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:44,360
Speaker 1: know that Jacoby Rosette got his his contract now and

676
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 1: they've tried to say stability. But I think the Chargers

677
00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:52,840
Speaker 1: cover even without Melvin Gordon. And maybe maybe it's because

678
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:56,080
Speaker 1: my boy Justin Jackson, former Western running back, I think

679
00:37:56,080 --> 00:37:58,880
Speaker 1: he's pretty good. I am going to enjoy this because

680
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:00,600
Speaker 1: this is going to be the kind a thing where

681
00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 1: you are making every you don't want to make every

682
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:07,160
Speaker 1: square play, and I want to make every sharp play.

683
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 1: So continue. I am then going to say that from

684
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:14,839
Speaker 1: game one, clicking on all cylinders. They're a little bit

685
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:17,160
Speaker 1: different of a team. They don't have Rob Gronkowski. But

686
00:38:17,239 --> 00:38:23,000
Speaker 1: I will take the Patriots to cover six over the Steelers. Uh.

687
00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:26,400
Speaker 1: And my last pick will be UM. And this is

688
00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:30,080
Speaker 1: maybe where my fandom comes in. UM. And you're not

689
00:38:30,120 --> 00:38:32,399
Speaker 1: supposed to inject your fandom if you really want to win.

690
00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:35,000
Speaker 1: But I am a Jets fan, and I think that

691
00:38:35,040 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 1: it's an important game from week one, and I think

692
00:38:37,200 --> 00:38:40,920
Speaker 1: they cover three over the Bills. These are some of

693
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:48,240
Speaker 1: the worst picks I've ever heard. UM. I can't imagine

694
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,760
Speaker 1: we're going to land on any of these except maybe

695
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:55,080
Speaker 1: the Titans. Okay, okay, UH, that's why we'll get some

696
00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:58,320
Speaker 1: help out. I like the Jags plus three and a half.

697
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:00,400
Speaker 1: I like him to plus four. For the record, you

698
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:02,640
Speaker 1: can check in the Action Network gap because I've already

699
00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:07,720
Speaker 1: bet the Jags plus four. UM. I like Carolina plus

700
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:11,560
Speaker 1: three against the Rams. Again, I think this is a

701
00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 1: team that UM is pretty dynamic offensively. You do, okay,

702
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 1: we'll go with that. We'll go with that. I actually

703
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:22,040
Speaker 1: like Indianapolis. I know they're down to plus six and

704
00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:25,640
Speaker 1: a half, I think UM, but I like Indianapolis UH

705
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:29,520
Speaker 1: plus seven against the Chargers. I think there's way too

706
00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:31,120
Speaker 1: much hype in the Chargers And you've got to think

707
00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:35,680
Speaker 1: about this. Noah Melvin Gordon fine, no Derwin James, like

708
00:39:36,200 --> 00:39:39,719
Speaker 1: that was the most dynamic player in football last year

709
00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:42,080
Speaker 1: in the defensive Bachelor for the Chargers, and he's not

710
00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:46,200
Speaker 1: planned So UM and you're right the public the public

711
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:49,719
Speaker 1: is again. I gave you the public reason. You gave

712
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:52,480
Speaker 1: me the reason why why the cults are where they're at.

713
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:56,440
Speaker 1: I also like the Texans plus seven against the Saints,

714
00:39:56,680 --> 00:40:00,520
Speaker 1: way way too many points for the Tech since team

715
00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:04,160
Speaker 1: that I'm not too worried about Jadeveon Clowne being traded. UH.

716
00:40:04,360 --> 00:40:07,399
Speaker 1: To me, this is all about Deshaun Watson. I think

717
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:10,640
Speaker 1: it's a healthy Deshaun Watson uh playing against the Saints

718
00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:16,360
Speaker 1: defense that was intermittently okay last year UH and certainly

719
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:20,000
Speaker 1: has historically struggled a lot earlier in the season. Remember

720
00:40:20,040 --> 00:40:21,960
Speaker 1: what they did against the Bucks last year. So you

721
00:40:22,000 --> 00:40:25,800
Speaker 1: give me Deshaun Watson um to be seven and a half,

722
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:28,239
Speaker 1: but that's not happening. UH. And I also like Minnesota

723
00:40:28,280 --> 00:40:31,360
Speaker 1: minus four. Um. I'm just never gonna be a believer

724
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:33,640
Speaker 1: in the Falcons and actually think this is a big

725
00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:36,480
Speaker 1: bounce back year for the Vikings, and I think they

726
00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:42,240
Speaker 1: might actually have the best odds to win the NFC North. Okay,

727
00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:44,440
Speaker 1: I definitely like can I tell you? I definitely like,

728
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:49,840
Speaker 1: uh the Panthers covering three or as dogs three point dogs?

729
00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:52,080
Speaker 1: I like that one. And I do like the Texans

730
00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:57,200
Speaker 1: Saints played too at seven. Alright, so right now we're

731
00:40:57,200 --> 00:41:00,359
Speaker 1: gonna call Simon and we're gonna get him on the phone. Wait,

732
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:02,879
Speaker 1: hold on, you're you're taking my Titans pick? Right? Are

733
00:41:02,880 --> 00:41:05,440
Speaker 1: you taking my Titans pick? You take one of mine?

734
00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:08,080
Speaker 1: Is that Titans five? And no, you don't have to

735
00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:10,520
Speaker 1: take anything? You said it was square and it was

736
00:41:10,640 --> 00:41:13,640
Speaker 1: the worst picks you've ever seen. But I didn't say

737
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,400
Speaker 1: the Titans pick. I just said I don't mind the Titans.

738
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:18,799
Speaker 1: Oh so you're taking zero of five. I just want

739
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:22,000
Speaker 1: to make sure that's right. So far we're taking zero five.

740
00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:24,399
Speaker 1: This is going to be a great relationship this year.

741
00:41:24,560 --> 00:41:29,319
Speaker 1: I am gonna ask I'm going to ask Simon what

742
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:32,960
Speaker 1: he thinks. And Simon, Simon, are you on the phone?

743
00:41:34,440 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 1: Can you hear me? Are you there? Simon? You there?

744
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:44,760
Speaker 1: Buddy's chat Simon is on the phone, Simon Hunter. Sean

745
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:47,760
Speaker 1: Connery hit with Simon Hunter. He hunts the Picks. Simon,

746
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:52,320
Speaker 1: You're joining Chad Mollman and Darren Revel on the Favorites podcast. Um,

747
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:56,000
Speaker 1: before we jump into the picks, let's give a little

748
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:59,040
Speaker 1: bit of your bona fives. You and I have caught

749
00:41:59,120 --> 00:42:02,880
Speaker 1: up and we've had some chats and talked about philosophies,

750
00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:07,080
Speaker 1: and we've talked about sports betting and UM as much

751
00:42:07,120 --> 00:42:11,040
Speaker 1: as you were willing and able, given that, uh, this

752
00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:15,960
Speaker 1: is something that you're kindly doing for us. UM, give

753
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:19,759
Speaker 1: people a little bit of your background. So I am

754
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:23,719
Speaker 1: a professional football better. It's the only thing I do

755
00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:25,839
Speaker 1: bet on. I might bet an other things, but very

756
00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:30,160
Speaker 1: small amounts. And uh yeah, we we talked and you

757
00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:33,000
Speaker 1: liked what I was telling you about my personal life system.

758
00:42:33,080 --> 00:42:35,680
Speaker 1: I using things that have worked out for me is

759
00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:39,400
Speaker 1: through life. So I'm trying to help you and uh,

760
00:42:39,680 --> 00:42:43,799
Speaker 1: dar in here finished Tough and the super Contest that's

761
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:45,319
Speaker 1: the goal. How realy up to I think up to

762
00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 1: two thousand Andrea. So I'm gonna help you guys a

763
00:42:51,160 --> 00:42:52,920
Speaker 1: little bit. I'm not gonna give away all the secrets

764
00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:55,760
Speaker 1: of life. I'm not always gonna be right, but definitely

765
00:42:55,760 --> 00:42:57,759
Speaker 1: we'll do my best to help you. Guys. Are you

766
00:42:57,800 --> 00:43:00,879
Speaker 1: in the super contest? Yeah, I have two different ones.

767
00:43:00,880 --> 00:43:02,799
Speaker 1: So I have one with my group that I'm with,

768
00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:05,000
Speaker 1: and then I have one with a bunch of friends, Okay,

769
00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:08,600
Speaker 1: and that's the fift one or the gold one. We

770
00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:10,840
Speaker 1: do the gold one for the group and then just

771
00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,000
Speaker 1: for their friends we do more. So the gold ones

772
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:15,719
Speaker 1: five thousand bucks and it only awards the winner, right,

773
00:43:17,120 --> 00:43:19,880
Speaker 1: Only the winner gets paid out and the regular one. Right,

774
00:43:19,920 --> 00:43:21,960
Speaker 1: the regular one is going to be about they'll be

775
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:25,680
Speaker 1: like three thousand people or more. It's the top one

776
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:29,839
Speaker 1: hundred gets one million. Yeah, okay, which we've been people

777
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:31,799
Speaker 1: have been complaining for years. They need to update that

778
00:43:31,960 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 1: now that more people are in it. But yeah, the

779
00:43:34,600 --> 00:43:37,560
Speaker 1: number hasn't moved that much. It has not moved. I

780
00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:39,400
Speaker 1: mean has definitely hasn't been the last three and I

781
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:41,279
Speaker 1: think it's up over a thousand and the the last three

782
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:45,319
Speaker 1: years from what it was. So, right, I think a

783
00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:47,759
Speaker 1: farmer one two years ago, right, then a farmer win

784
00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:50,840
Speaker 1: two years ago. Yes, a farmer did win, and a

785
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 1: and a Starbucks barista. So that's a lot of you

786
00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:55,239
Speaker 1: don't need to be a pro to winner. You just

787
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,719
Speaker 1: gotta be lucky and be hot. Well, I don't know

788
00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:01,160
Speaker 1: is that good or bad for us? I think it's

789
00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:04,400
Speaker 1: good for us. Listen, if you get us into the

790
00:44:04,440 --> 00:44:08,880
Speaker 1: top twenty and to and you get us in the money,

791
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:11,440
Speaker 1: I am totally going to write you a thank you,

792
00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:18,120
Speaker 1: not and I will include a crisp two dollar bill.

793
00:44:19,080 --> 00:44:21,120
Speaker 1: As long as that's off the bucks, I'll take it.

794
00:44:21,120 --> 00:44:23,080
Speaker 1: It'll be cash, my friend. All right. So here's what

795
00:44:23,120 --> 00:44:26,000
Speaker 1: we got so far, Simon, here's what we got. Darren

796
00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:29,000
Speaker 1: gave me and and we're not really going to do these,

797
00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:33,319
Speaker 1: but Darren gave me his ideas where forty Niners pick

798
00:44:33,760 --> 00:44:37,080
Speaker 1: against the Broncos. No, no, no Buccaneers. Not a Buccaneers

799
00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:40,600
Speaker 1: we got I. I took him off that one right away. Uh.

800
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:44,760
Speaker 1: Titans plus five against Cleveland, don't hate it. Chargers minus

801
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:46,759
Speaker 1: six and a half against the Colts. That makes me

802
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:50,280
Speaker 1: want to throw up. Um. He has the Pats minus

803
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:54,600
Speaker 1: six against Pittsburgh. Also not interested. He has the Jets

804
00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:59,400
Speaker 1: mom minus three against the Bills. Also not interested in reminder. Reminder,

805
00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:02,759
Speaker 1: As you know, the west Gate doesn't put out the

806
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:05,239
Speaker 1: lines for the Super Contest until tomorrow night. We take

807
00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:08,239
Speaker 1: this on Tuesday, So we're basing these based on the

808
00:45:08,280 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 1: current Westgate lines and then we will send out updates

809
00:45:11,640 --> 00:45:14,000
Speaker 1: like with what the real lines are. But these will

810
00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:17,160
Speaker 1: be the games that we choose, barring any massive injuries

811
00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:20,120
Speaker 1: or any huge sort of point differentials. And Darren is

812
00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:22,080
Speaker 1: gonna update, but this is what we're planning on doing.

813
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:26,319
Speaker 1: Um I actually am I like? I like Darren's head

814
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:30,520
Speaker 1: with the Tampa Bay Bucks one you do? Yeah? The numbers,

815
00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:32,839
Speaker 1: the numbers like that too. I mean Jimmy Kep coming

816
00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:34,959
Speaker 1: off an a c L first game on the road

817
00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:38,839
Speaker 1: and hot, humid Tampa Bay. Yeah, And I also think

818
00:45:38,880 --> 00:45:43,600
Speaker 1: that there's a because of his horrendous preseason game. What

819
00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:45,399
Speaker 1: did he have like five an t s or something

820
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:49,759
Speaker 1: like that. I feel like practice practice, I feel but

821
00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:52,440
Speaker 1: I feel like that's being played in here. I feel like,

822
00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:54,680
Speaker 1: you know, as far as the public goes wait wait, wait, wait,

823
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:58,439
Speaker 1: the public is actually betting on San France. I believe right, Okay,

824
00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:01,760
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure. Okay, Simon, you're saying you like Tampa

825
00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:04,080
Speaker 1: Bay and this, you like the Tampa Bay I know,

826
00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:09,200
Speaker 1: I mean, I I was half decent. You have to like. Um,

827
00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:12,640
Speaker 1: Florida teams at home in September. We agree, Oh, I

828
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:16,840
Speaker 1: I got the forty nine. I move you. I like

829
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:19,120
Speaker 1: Tampa and I was about to hang up on you

830
00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:20,719
Speaker 1: and never have you on the show again if you

831
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:22,279
Speaker 1: were going to tell me that you were like you

832
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:24,799
Speaker 1: were like no, no, no. I like the home team.

833
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:26,399
Speaker 1: I like Tampa. I mean, if sad frame was really

834
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:28,719
Speaker 1: good at the bookmakers would have might move this game

835
00:46:28,760 --> 00:46:31,120
Speaker 1: to minus three by now? Right? What what? What? What

836
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:34,200
Speaker 1: about the Titans? Uh five? I had five and a half,

837
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:38,520
Speaker 1: but the Titans umi and half dogs. I like that

838
00:46:38,800 --> 00:46:41,160
Speaker 1: because it's all the hype on Cleveland. Yes, so I

839
00:46:41,200 --> 00:46:44,560
Speaker 1: think it's a little too early um for that, Like

840
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:46,759
Speaker 1: that's not going to reflect until later in this season.

841
00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 1: I feel like on the line, so this one year,

842
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:52,239
Speaker 1: I would actually roll in Cleveland, tennessee their offensive lines.

843
00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:53,880
Speaker 1: I think they have a guy. I think I have

844
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:56,439
Speaker 1: two guys to spend it to start the year. Um,

845
00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 1: we're one guy might have got hurt, but I don't

846
00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:01,680
Speaker 1: see any away Tennis. You can cover that number. I

847
00:47:01,719 --> 00:47:03,600
Speaker 1: think on my system, I got done that they should

848
00:47:03,600 --> 00:47:08,000
Speaker 1: be a minus eight. Who so yeah, I think Cleveland,

849
00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:10,000
Speaker 1: you're getting good value there like that. I'm surprised that

850
00:47:10,040 --> 00:47:13,200
Speaker 1: never Reson jumped up like Baltimore's number dead. Yet the

851
00:47:13,600 --> 00:47:16,359
Speaker 1: Cult Chargers is the most intriguing pick of week one.

852
00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:21,800
Speaker 1: I feel, uh yeah, definitely Joe's US prose on that one. Yes, exactly,

853
00:47:21,800 --> 00:47:23,560
Speaker 1: So let's talk about that for a second, because that

854
00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 1: I think is a good one for us to include

855
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:31,080
Speaker 1: in our list. It's definitely one of those games where, um,

856
00:47:31,120 --> 00:47:32,640
Speaker 1: it depends on what kind of system you used it.

857
00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:34,720
Speaker 1: But my system really only gave Andrew Luck a point

858
00:47:35,200 --> 00:47:38,640
Speaker 1: and spread their friends last year. That's how not like

859
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:41,400
Speaker 1: he was good, but he wasn't so incredibly above the

860
00:47:41,440 --> 00:47:43,440
Speaker 1: average like everyone thought he was. There was no more

861
00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:46,520
Speaker 1: about the pieces around him. So the fact of this game,

862
00:47:46,840 --> 00:47:48,880
Speaker 1: I think it moved four and a half. It reopened

863
00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:50,640
Speaker 1: at seven and a half. All the sharps bought it

864
00:47:50,680 --> 00:47:53,040
Speaker 1: down to seven, and they hit it again this week,

865
00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:55,120
Speaker 1: and now it's down to six and a half. I

866
00:47:55,120 --> 00:47:57,160
Speaker 1: still think it's too high. I thought that this should

867
00:47:57,520 --> 00:48:00,239
Speaker 1: this should be like Coult minus. I mean, I'll plus

868
00:48:00,280 --> 00:48:03,279
Speaker 1: three and a half, not like I think that you're

869
00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:06,040
Speaker 1: getting three free points. I definitely like the Colts on

870
00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:08,960
Speaker 1: this one. I do too, alright. So for me, I

871
00:48:09,000 --> 00:48:12,040
Speaker 1: feel like we've got two bets in right now. We've

872
00:48:12,080 --> 00:48:15,399
Speaker 1: got Tampa pick and we've got the Colts plus six

873
00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 1: and a half. Um, here's another one that intrigues me,

874
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:25,920
Speaker 1: Simon the Texans plus seven. It's it's intriguing in the

875
00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:28,000
Speaker 1: sense that, I mean, how many times have we've seen

876
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:35,200
Speaker 1: the Saints lay opening a lot? That seems it's a

877
00:48:35,200 --> 00:48:37,759
Speaker 1: good number, but it's definitely a weird number. Vegas that

878
00:48:37,840 --> 00:48:39,799
Speaker 1: they don't want pushes either, So it's funny it's been

879
00:48:39,840 --> 00:48:43,440
Speaker 1: sitting at seven. They say, I said I wanted it

880
00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:45,359
Speaker 1: to be at seven and a half, and I'd take it.

881
00:48:45,400 --> 00:48:48,360
Speaker 1: I need be more comfortable. Yeah, I agree with that,

882
00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:51,759
Speaker 1: but I mean, I don't hate it at seven. I

883
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:54,680
Speaker 1: could see I thought New Orleans one of the game

884
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:56,600
Speaker 1: like a three, see it being by three or four points,

885
00:48:56,640 --> 00:48:59,640
Speaker 1: like a late touchdown, late field goal. Because I don't

886
00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:02,400
Speaker 1: think that offenses are showing up in this game. I

887
00:49:02,400 --> 00:49:04,880
Speaker 1: don't think so either. I'll tell you who's not showing up.

888
00:49:04,920 --> 00:49:10,360
Speaker 1: Jadeveon Clowney. I think he only got a sack and

889
00:49:10,880 --> 00:49:12,560
Speaker 1: every other game, so I don't know how much he'll

890
00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:14,680
Speaker 1: be Messing. He never he never had more than nine

891
00:49:14,680 --> 00:49:18,440
Speaker 1: sacks in the season. Yeah. People, he's a good old

892
00:49:18,520 --> 00:49:21,319
Speaker 1: hype man. He's a good workout guy on a hard knock. Look,

893
00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:25,720
Speaker 1: the book on jadeveon Clowney was that he only played

894
00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:27,960
Speaker 1: fifty percent of the time, right Like, coming out of college,

895
00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:31,160
Speaker 1: everyone worried about his effort, and his stats have sort

896
00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:35,080
Speaker 1: of played that out. What about um, what about the

897
00:49:35,200 --> 00:49:39,640
Speaker 1: Jags plus three and a half? This is another Joe

898
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:42,279
Speaker 1: is the first prose game obviously, why wouldn't you wanted

899
00:49:42,320 --> 00:49:45,400
Speaker 1: that on Kansas City going against what people view is

900
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:47,520
Speaker 1: one of the worst teams on football in the Jaguars.

901
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:50,399
Speaker 1: So this is definitely one of those games. Right, all

902
00:49:50,480 --> 00:49:52,280
Speaker 1: of us are gonna be all over that jack Columbia.

903
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:55,000
Speaker 1: What number do you like the Jackson til I don't

904
00:49:55,040 --> 00:49:59,480
Speaker 1: like it? Uh honestly, I got I see the jagsline

905
00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:01,640
Speaker 1: out right, So oh if it went down to two

906
00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:03,680
Speaker 1: and a half, I'd still take it because you're getting

907
00:50:03,719 --> 00:50:05,920
Speaker 1: some value there. But three and a half they're just

908
00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:08,319
Speaker 1: keeping that hook up. So I still I still like

909
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:11,440
Speaker 1: that number. I can see why Revel doesn't like it.

910
00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:13,680
Speaker 1: I mean, it's not it's it's a true game where

911
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:16,760
Speaker 1: it's like he wouldn't understand why people like correct correct

912
00:50:16,840 --> 00:50:19,520
Speaker 1: that that's that's my job here. I I am, actually,

913
00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:22,520
Speaker 1: I do play the public. I am the square. That's

914
00:50:22,560 --> 00:50:24,920
Speaker 1: that's my role. That's my role here, right, I mean,

915
00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:28,120
Speaker 1: if there's two sharps here, it doesn't. But honestly, I'm

916
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:31,080
Speaker 1: shaking my head right now being like they win out right.

917
00:50:31,160 --> 00:50:33,759
Speaker 1: Come on, I can't even wrap my mind around that.

918
00:50:33,880 --> 00:50:36,439
Speaker 1: But please don't, please don't refer to the sharp pepper again.

919
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:39,240
Speaker 1: You're with one sharp. He's sharper than me. Oh my god,

920
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:42,040
Speaker 1: I like, you can't. You can't in the first five

921
00:50:42,080 --> 00:50:44,160
Speaker 1: minutes start insulting me. You need to wait at least

922
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:48,279
Speaker 1: twelve minutes for that. I'll wait till week too. Can

923
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:50,440
Speaker 1: you explain to Revel why you like the Jacks went

924
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:54,240
Speaker 1: out right? Basically, when you look at all the numbers,

925
00:50:54,800 --> 00:50:57,960
Speaker 1: Kansas City the incredible year last year, but it's always

926
00:50:58,000 --> 00:51:02,040
Speaker 1: different when you start a new season. So Kansas City,

927
00:51:02,040 --> 00:51:04,480
Speaker 1: they're they're coming into this obviously one of the most

928
00:51:04,560 --> 00:51:07,239
Speaker 1: hype teams. I mean them then making then f C

929
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:09,840
Speaker 1: Championship for winning them in the Patriots, I mean, who

930
00:51:09,920 --> 00:51:12,240
Speaker 1: who doesn't think it's gonna be a repeat. There's two teams.

931
00:51:13,200 --> 00:51:16,080
Speaker 1: But this Jaguars team, honestly, they I think they added

932
00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:17,920
Speaker 1: Josh Allen in the draft. He was great out was

933
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:21,120
Speaker 1: one of the best players in college all of last

934
00:51:21,160 --> 00:51:24,960
Speaker 1: year to a defense that's already top three in the defense,

935
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:28,200
Speaker 1: and I just don't see it. Like Kansas City, they

936
00:51:28,200 --> 00:51:29,719
Speaker 1: could win this game, but I see if by being

937
00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:31,960
Speaker 1: a late field, I think they're gonna come out sloppy.

938
00:51:32,280 --> 00:51:35,520
Speaker 1: Jacksonville is gonna control the clock, and you know it's

939
00:51:35,560 --> 00:51:36,920
Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's one of the things where I

940
00:51:36,920 --> 00:51:39,880
Speaker 1: can see why you do not like Jaguars. You're just

941
00:51:39,920 --> 00:51:42,479
Speaker 1: not You don't do them as an even equal kicking

942
00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:44,279
Speaker 1: as a city. I just don't know why this line

943
00:51:44,320 --> 00:51:47,279
Speaker 1: should be a pick. I just don't know why out

944
00:51:47,280 --> 00:51:50,360
Speaker 1: of all these other child I get the Colts Chargers.

945
00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:53,000
Speaker 1: I think you guys have flipped me, and especially when

946
00:51:53,000 --> 00:51:57,400
Speaker 1: you said luck one point. Um, I'm good with that.

947
00:51:57,480 --> 00:52:01,040
Speaker 1: I'm good with with with taking tell us that favorite.

948
00:52:01,080 --> 00:52:04,680
Speaker 1: There's plenty of good favorite, right we have to choose five.

949
00:52:04,920 --> 00:52:09,040
Speaker 1: I am I am in general uncomfortable with the Chiefs

950
00:52:09,120 --> 00:52:12,839
Speaker 1: Jaguars game and taking that completely agree. I mean if

951
00:52:12,880 --> 00:52:14,680
Speaker 1: you want to, if you want to get favorite, though

952
00:52:14,719 --> 00:52:16,840
Speaker 1: a lot of people really like the Cowboys minus seven

953
00:52:18,120 --> 00:52:21,160
Speaker 1: will hold on a second. Chad wants to take that

954
00:52:21,280 --> 00:52:24,120
Speaker 1: because he's I want the jack so badly. But I

955
00:52:24,120 --> 00:52:27,480
Speaker 1: I'll put a question. I know I can see why. Uh,

956
00:52:27,560 --> 00:52:31,239
Speaker 1: let's talk about Let's talk about Minnesota minus four. I

957
00:52:31,280 --> 00:52:34,719
Speaker 1: feel like Minnesota is so devalued because of last year.

958
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:38,799
Speaker 1: But in truth, this defense struggled a little bit and

959
00:52:39,160 --> 00:52:43,360
Speaker 1: was coming off and historic year the year before. So

960
00:52:43,400 --> 00:52:45,520
Speaker 1: I'm looking at a Minnesota team that actually, to me,

961
00:52:46,560 --> 00:52:49,080
Speaker 1: I think the Bears are overvalued in this spot. I

962
00:52:49,160 --> 00:52:51,040
Speaker 1: actually am going to be on the Packers already at

963
00:52:51,080 --> 00:52:53,800
Speaker 1: plus three on Thursday Night football. Um so everyone you

964
00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:55,480
Speaker 1: just heard that, right, Everyone put all your money on

965
00:52:55,480 --> 00:52:59,320
Speaker 1: the Bears. See there you go, and and Ben against

966
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:01,480
Speaker 1: my own teams. So I'm going I'm going with the Packers.

967
00:53:01,800 --> 00:53:07,400
Speaker 1: But Minnesota to me as a team that is incredibly undervalued.

968
00:53:07,480 --> 00:53:09,719
Speaker 1: Right now, talk me off of Minnesota as a four

969
00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:14,640
Speaker 1: point favorite. I honestly I do like Minnesota in the spot,

970
00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:16,960
Speaker 1: being that it's a one o'clock game, and Kirk Cousins

971
00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:18,879
Speaker 1: is good when it's one o'clock and no one cares

972
00:53:18,880 --> 00:53:22,359
Speaker 1: about the game. But it's hard to back up. I mean,

973
00:53:22,400 --> 00:53:25,439
Speaker 1: what have you seen from Kirk, I mean even last year,

974
00:53:25,480 --> 00:53:26,880
Speaker 1: the way he finished in this year, how he's like

975
00:53:26,960 --> 00:53:30,759
Speaker 1: an increasing I couldn't back him, especially Matt Ryan. He's

976
00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:34,200
Speaker 1: got a new offensive line. I wouldn't go against Atlanta

977
00:53:34,239 --> 00:53:38,080
Speaker 1: there alright, So simon, you like Minnesota there, I'm saying,

978
00:53:38,080 --> 00:53:39,600
Speaker 1: that's a good that's a good play by you. I

979
00:53:39,640 --> 00:53:42,040
Speaker 1: like that spot. All right, Well then we're taking it.

980
00:53:42,520 --> 00:53:45,640
Speaker 1: We're taking all right. Right now we have Tampa Bay

981
00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:50,520
Speaker 1: pick Minnesota minus four Colts plus six and a half. Uh.

982
00:53:51,400 --> 00:53:53,799
Speaker 1: Darren is desperate for a favorite, and he would like

983
00:53:54,400 --> 00:53:56,400
Speaker 1: I think he likes the idea of taking the Cowboys.

984
00:53:56,520 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 1: He likes taking the Cowboys over the Giants. I would

985
00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:02,719
Speaker 1: do that. I like that one too. Why do you

986
00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:06,960
Speaker 1: like it? I just I get like what the Giants

987
00:54:07,000 --> 00:54:09,680
Speaker 1: are doing in their building for the future. But I

988
00:54:09,680 --> 00:54:12,480
Speaker 1: I just with the weapons they have an offense, no odell.

989
00:54:12,719 --> 00:54:14,520
Speaker 1: I mean, I know people really like having Ingram and

990
00:54:14,520 --> 00:54:18,920
Speaker 1: everything like that, and say Quan obviously golden, but no golden.

991
00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:21,520
Speaker 1: I mean they're the Cowboys defense people forget last year

992
00:54:21,560 --> 00:54:23,799
Speaker 1: is I mean they're arguably top five. They just have

993
00:54:24,080 --> 00:54:28,600
Speaker 1: Vendors shand Jalen Smith at linebacker. They're just incredible defensively.

994
00:54:28,760 --> 00:54:31,040
Speaker 1: I think that it's like bad matchup for the Giant style.

995
00:54:32,680 --> 00:54:34,839
Speaker 1: All right, well listen, I'm checking the a sistants. They

996
00:54:34,880 --> 00:54:38,520
Speaker 1: think this should be uh, Cowboys minus tent so you're

997
00:54:38,560 --> 00:54:43,160
Speaker 1: getting three three points. All right, listen, you've been judging

998
00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:46,560
Speaker 1: this whole time and and quite quite frankly a little

999
00:54:46,560 --> 00:54:50,719
Speaker 1: bit insulting. And um so give us, give us, give

1000
00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:53,239
Speaker 1: us the pick you would put us on. That's gonna

1001
00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:59,359
Speaker 1: get us into that she wants she want one more

1002
00:54:59,440 --> 00:55:02,680
Speaker 1: besides the now Boys one. Yeah, well no, see see

1003
00:55:02,760 --> 00:55:05,360
Speaker 1: Darren also wanted the Cowboy. I'm not giving you that credit.

1004
00:55:05,400 --> 00:55:07,879
Speaker 1: I'm not giving you credit for that. We get Tampa Bay,

1005
00:55:08,040 --> 00:55:11,360
Speaker 1: we get the Colts, we get Minnesota minus four, Cowboys

1006
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:14,359
Speaker 1: minus seven. You can either you can either say you

1007
00:55:14,440 --> 00:55:16,799
Speaker 1: must take the Jacks plus three and a half or

1008
00:55:16,920 --> 00:55:22,719
Speaker 1: give us a different can I mean the Redskins as no, no, no,

1009
00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:24,440
Speaker 1: I feel like the Eagles nine and a half. I

1010
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:26,359
Speaker 1: like the Eagles nine and a half. The Redskins are

1011
00:55:26,360 --> 00:55:29,560
Speaker 1: so bad they are I'm not playing, but I just

1012
00:55:29,600 --> 00:55:32,360
Speaker 1: don't like that with we haven't seen Wentz since his

1013
00:55:32,400 --> 00:55:35,000
Speaker 1: injury last weeks. Not think they could come out slow,

1014
00:55:35,400 --> 00:55:37,960
Speaker 1: Like I think that line should be seven. I mean,

1015
00:55:37,960 --> 00:55:39,560
Speaker 1: if you were the biggest number of the week. But

1016
00:55:39,640 --> 00:55:41,279
Speaker 1: and it's like I I can't, I can't talk into taking

1017
00:55:41,320 --> 00:55:44,799
Speaker 1: the Redskins. So I'm not either gonna offer about okay,

1018
00:55:44,880 --> 00:55:47,480
Speaker 1: but now you stay away from that one. That one

1019
00:55:47,560 --> 00:55:50,000
Speaker 1: kind of looks like the New Orleans Tampa Bay Bucks

1020
00:55:50,080 --> 00:55:52,279
Speaker 1: last year. And don't believe him staying with nine and

1021
00:55:52,320 --> 00:55:54,160
Speaker 1: a half because we can I convince you to take

1022
00:55:54,200 --> 00:55:56,960
Speaker 1: the Seahawks to cover nine and a half over Bengals.

1023
00:55:58,760 --> 00:56:01,040
Speaker 1: I wouldn't, I think think I saw a stat the

1024
00:56:01,040 --> 00:56:03,919
Speaker 1: other day about Andy Dalton in Week one. He's four

1025
00:56:04,040 --> 00:56:09,920
Speaker 1: now ats or maybe it's three now. Not a great

1026
00:56:10,680 --> 00:56:13,040
Speaker 1: but I'm not I'm done with Andy Dutton number. I'm

1027
00:56:13,080 --> 00:56:15,600
Speaker 1: done with Andy Dutton. I think we should go with

1028
00:56:15,600 --> 00:56:18,239
Speaker 1: the Jags plus three and a half. I do too, Dan,

1029
00:56:18,320 --> 00:56:20,319
Speaker 1: don't be so scared. It's week one, do it. This

1030
00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:22,400
Speaker 1: is what This is what makes you comfortable. This is

1031
00:56:22,400 --> 00:56:24,640
Speaker 1: what takes you to the next level of betting. This

1032
00:56:24,719 --> 00:56:27,080
Speaker 1: takes you from sort of being a guy who's a

1033
00:56:27,160 --> 00:56:30,640
Speaker 1: square and loves the markets and is understanding all of

1034
00:56:30,680 --> 00:56:32,719
Speaker 1: it to a guy who truly takes it to the

1035
00:56:32,760 --> 00:56:35,360
Speaker 1: next level and like you can put in picks with confidence.

1036
00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:38,080
Speaker 1: All Right, I'm gonna, I'm gonna FaceTime this. I'm gonna.

1037
00:56:38,080 --> 00:56:40,439
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'll be face timing chat all up in that,

1038
00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:44,440
Speaker 1: I'm telling you, And that's final for you to get that.

1039
00:56:44,600 --> 00:56:47,560
Speaker 1: But I do love that spot for the Jaguars. Fine,

1040
00:56:47,600 --> 00:56:51,319
Speaker 1: I'll do it because you guys say so, But I'm

1041
00:56:51,320 --> 00:56:53,880
Speaker 1: not happy. All right. So here's what we got, Simon,

1042
00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:56,080
Speaker 1: here's what we got. We got Tampa Bay pick. We

1043
00:56:56,160 --> 00:56:58,280
Speaker 1: got the Colts plus six and a half, the Jags

1044
00:56:58,280 --> 00:57:00,279
Speaker 1: plus three and a half, Minnesota minus or in the

1045
00:57:00,280 --> 00:57:02,680
Speaker 1: Cowboys minus seven. This feels like a good line up

1046
00:57:02,719 --> 00:57:04,759
Speaker 1: to me. I love it. Good little good lamp, a

1047
00:57:04,800 --> 00:57:10,279
Speaker 1: little bit of chalk, a little bit of sharp Yeah exactly, Simon. Yeah,

1048
00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:12,759
Speaker 1: I'm gonna. I'm gonna be happy. It's like it's like

1049
00:57:12,960 --> 00:57:14,640
Speaker 1: if you get in a fight with your wife, you

1050
00:57:14,719 --> 00:57:17,040
Speaker 1: gotta kiss her before you go to sleep. I'm happy.

1051
00:57:17,160 --> 00:57:20,840
Speaker 1: Let's go whoa, whoa, whoa. Seriously, you never know what

1052
00:57:20,880 --> 00:57:24,280
Speaker 1: you're gonna get, Simon, welcome to the podcast. All right,

1053
00:57:24,320 --> 00:57:26,880
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, thank you so much for coming on the podcast. Brother,

1054
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Speaker 1: that was great. I appreciate you keeping us in line,

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00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:32,560
Speaker 1: giving us the information, sharing your knowledge, telling us about

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00:57:32,560 --> 00:57:35,040
Speaker 1: your system, and trying to teach Darren what it takes

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00:57:35,080 --> 00:57:38,360
Speaker 1: to become a sharp boys. Hopefully have a five in

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00:57:38,400 --> 00:57:41,080
Speaker 1: our week. We'll talk to you next week. Man, you

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00:57:41,120 --> 00:57:46,360
Speaker 1: earned another week. Yeah, there we go. All right. That

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Speaker 1: is the end of the Favorites from the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: Download the podcast at Apple, podcast at radio dot com,

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Speaker 1: Slash the Action Network. You know what else? You should

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00:57:56,960 --> 00:58:00,240
Speaker 1: listen to me and Scooch this Sunday on radio dot com. Um,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna be doing a call in show from twelve

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Speaker 1: to one. You should check out. We're gonna update everybody

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00:58:06,920 --> 00:58:09,960
Speaker 1: on the lines as they are changing in the final

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Speaker 1: moments before the game. It's gonna be like this podcast,

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00:58:13,080 --> 00:58:15,520
Speaker 1: only it's gonna be live and you get to call in.

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00:58:15,560 --> 00:58:17,720
Speaker 1: It's gonna be awesome on radio dot com, which is

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00:58:17,760 --> 00:58:20,640
Speaker 1: also where you can find the podcast Radio dot com.

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Speaker 1: Slash the Favorites, Go rape, go review, go subscribe, love us,

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Speaker 1: don't leave us until next time. I love you.