WEBVTT - Bloomberg Intelligence: Nvidia Surges, Reddit U.S IPO

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<v Speaker 2>The story again today is Nvidio stock trading up on

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<v Speaker 2>the back of that really good earnings we had earlier

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<v Speaker 2>in the week, and obviously had that big surge yesterday,

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<v Speaker 2>but it's up a few percent here today. I'm looking

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<v Speaker 2>at this stock again, trailing twelve months, up over two

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<v Speaker 2>hundred and forty up sixty percent, just a year to

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<v Speaker 2>date two point zero two trillion dollars. Let's check in

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<v Speaker 2>with man Deep Singh. He's a senior technology analyst for

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Intelligence and he knows all about this kind of stuff. So,

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<v Speaker 2>Man Deep, you know, I think we've broken down the quarter.

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<v Speaker 2>We know that business is good. We had gene Monster

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<v Speaker 2>on in the last hour for a couple segments there.

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<v Speaker 2>He remains uber uber bullish here and he says that

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<v Speaker 2>this AI is just below electricity in terms of how

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<v Speaker 2>it's going to impact our lives and well above the Internet. Man.

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<v Speaker 2>That's bullish. Do you have any sobering thoughts as it

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<v Speaker 2>relates to AI and in video Here I.

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<v Speaker 3>Concur with him. I think this is, you know, something

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<v Speaker 3>transformational multi year. The only thing that as an investor

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<v Speaker 3>you have to be cognizant of is clearly and video

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<v Speaker 3>is compounding, you know, at fifty percent, and because it's

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<v Speaker 3>a multi year trend, they can do that. What is

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<v Speaker 3>the price you pay for getting in this dock? And

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<v Speaker 3>what is a multiple that you know discounts for the

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<v Speaker 3>growth going far out beyond you know three to four quarters,

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<v Speaker 3>which I think they have great visibility on And so

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<v Speaker 3>that's where you know there there is always a price

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<v Speaker 3>for you know, even a high quality stock like in

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<v Speaker 3>VideA where the fundamentals are great, but it's not infinity.

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<v Speaker 3>And so that's the I think part where clearly you

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<v Speaker 3>know they're writing the momentum. It's it's great, I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>they had a blockbuster earning Siattra game, but it's we

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<v Speaker 3>know it's not forever.

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<v Speaker 4>And the price.

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<v Speaker 3>That's why we look at prices, multiples and you know, valuation,

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<v Speaker 3>and I think that's the part that market still is

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<v Speaker 3>figuring out what is the right multiple for stock like

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<v Speaker 3>in Video.

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<v Speaker 5>Mande, let's just come back for a second to what

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<v Speaker 5>in Video's technology actually is. It says here that they

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<v Speaker 5>dominate the market for graphics chips designed for complex computing

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<v Speaker 5>tasks needed to power AI applications. So in plain speak,

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<v Speaker 5>how does somebody like me make use of that?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, so think of you know, all the processing that

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<v Speaker 3>was done in the last thirty thirty five years. It

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<v Speaker 3>was used a CPU central processing unit, and CPU works

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<v Speaker 3>in a certain way in terms of the instructions you

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<v Speaker 3>pass through the processor, the way it does the processing,

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<v Speaker 3>and the way results are split out. That was the

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<v Speaker 3>same even with data centers, even though the CPU and

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<v Speaker 3>data centers is a lot more powerful within media because

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<v Speaker 3>they've focused on graphics and gaming related processing, that's a

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<v Speaker 3>different type of chip altogether. And now they've been able

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<v Speaker 3>to bring that to AI computation, which is all matrix space.

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<v Speaker 3>So we're talking about you know, vectors and matrix multiplication

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<v Speaker 3>and you know, billions of dimensions in terms of the

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<v Speaker 3>data that you're dealing with, and that's a very different

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<v Speaker 3>operation than what CPU is designed to handle. That's why

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<v Speaker 3>they've had such a great headstart because they've been doing

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<v Speaker 3>this for you know, twenty five plus years in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of that gaming processor that is being used for AI,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's why I think others are finding it hard

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<v Speaker 3>to catch up. But at the end of the day,

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<v Speaker 3>it's still a hardware company that makes chips, so it's

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<v Speaker 3>not a recurring revenue and that's something to be mindful

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<v Speaker 3>of that others are trying to build the capabilities that

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<v Speaker 3>they have.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, Mandy, let's switch gears a little bit. We've

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<v Speaker 2>i think beaten that one to death in Nvidia, but

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<v Speaker 2>certainly it's certainly worth talking about. But we've actually had

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<v Speaker 2>another piece of news that really caught my attention. Reddit

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<v Speaker 2>is looking to go public. They foiled their IPO. Can

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<v Speaker 2>you tell us, for those of us that don't use

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<v Speaker 2>Reddit exclusively, tell us kind of what Reddit is, kind

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<v Speaker 2>of what their business model is, and kind of how

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<v Speaker 2>you think this might be received by the market.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so it's an online network. I mean, I would

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<v Speaker 3>lump it with the social media network companies, even though

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<v Speaker 3>it's more community based and interest based. And look, they've

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<v Speaker 3>got seventy three million daily active users. Think of you know,

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<v Speaker 3>all the large angled models. What are they trained on?

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<v Speaker 3>They're trained on user generated content and in reddits case,

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<v Speaker 3>it's all text content. The parallel that I have on

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<v Speaker 3>the video side is YouTube has a lot of user

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<v Speaker 3>generated video content, TikTok has a lot of user generated

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<v Speaker 3>video content. Reddit is your text repository for user generated content,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's what large angreid models are using to train

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<v Speaker 3>these models so that they can generate you know, right

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<v Speaker 3>kind of text because they have so much context from

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<v Speaker 3>these Reddit posts. I mean, we're talking about one billion

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<v Speaker 3>posts you know that Reddit generates in a year. So

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<v Speaker 3>clearly Reddit has the scale. They have created a niche

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<v Speaker 3>within this large social network community where Meta dominates with

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<v Speaker 3>three billion daily active users, but Reddit has seventy three million,

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<v Speaker 3>and these are pretty engaged users. I mean, the business

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<v Speaker 3>model isn't fleshed out because even though it's ads driven,

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<v Speaker 3>we're talking about a billion dollar run rate. And now

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<v Speaker 3>they're opening another line data licensing that all these large

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<v Speaker 3>and A model companies are going to pay for. So

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<v Speaker 3>that's going to be probably a mid to high single

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<v Speaker 3>digit revenue contributors this year. I think that's the part

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<v Speaker 3>that's going to accelerate because you need to retrain these

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<v Speaker 3>models every few months, and Reddit is the best data

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<v Speaker 3>that you can train on.

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<v Speaker 5>So Reddit's really like a forum for a lot of

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<v Speaker 5>communities to gather. You know, they're like these different threads

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<v Speaker 5>on there, and people get like really hyped on different ideas. Obviously,

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<v Speaker 5>the meme stock rally really just originated so much from

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<v Speaker 5>these different Reddit communities. Can you just explain mandeep, like

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<v Speaker 5>where the value is going to come in generating you know,

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<v Speaker 5>investor you know value from some of these different threads.

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<v Speaker 5>I guess, like I'm just having a hard time imagining

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<v Speaker 5>where that value proposition comes from.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so these threads are all user interaction, and that's

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<v Speaker 3>quite powerful. How do you train the machines to behave

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<v Speaker 3>like users? You train it on actual user data and

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<v Speaker 3>this is you know, communities coming together who share similar interests,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's what you use to train the machines. The

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<v Speaker 3>one problem I have found with Reddit's business model is

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<v Speaker 3>advertisers are leary of putting their ads on a platform

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<v Speaker 3>where there is hate or you know, other kind of

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<v Speaker 3>stuff because they are brand conscious. You know, they don't

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<v Speaker 3>want to show their ads next to something that is

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<v Speaker 3>paid or something like that. And that's where they haven't

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<v Speaker 3>had a lot of traction. I mean it sounds to

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<v Speaker 3>be very similar to Twitter. Twitter is a great platform

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<v Speaker 3>for engagement, but they haven't been able to monetize it

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<v Speaker 3>because of all these aspects. So brand safety is huge

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<v Speaker 3>that Reddit needs to solve for if they want to

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<v Speaker 3>scale on the ad side. But as I said before,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, on the data licensing side, this is the

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<v Speaker 3>data set that every foundational, large angrege model company wants

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<v Speaker 3>to train their models on. Because this is all user generated.

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<v Speaker 2>Content, it sounds like, I mean, you know, from an

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<v Speaker 2>advertising perspective, it's you know, it's Meta, it's you know,

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<v Speaker 2>it's Google, it's Amazon now maybe even you know some others.

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<v Speaker 2>But I mean, this is too small to be a

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<v Speaker 2>player in the advertising space. So in order for me

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<v Speaker 2>to buy this IPO, I have to buy off that

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<v Speaker 2>it's also a I guess AI play as well, don't I?

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<v Speaker 3>It absolutely is, and look, ads can be fixed. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>I compare it to Pinterest. So Pinterest has got twenty

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<v Speaker 3>three million daily active users in the US. Reddit has

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<v Speaker 3>got thirty seven million daily active users in the US,

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<v Speaker 3>so it actually has higher daily active users question and

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<v Speaker 3>Pinterest is four times the size of Reddit in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of revenue run rate, So Pinterest is close to four billion,

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<v Speaker 3>Reddit is a billion. So in terms of runway, clearly,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, Reddit is under monetizing the engagement. But the

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<v Speaker 3>reason for that is advertisers still don't feel like spending

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<v Speaker 3>you know, five ten billion dollars on the platform because

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<v Speaker 3>of brand safety issues and all the type of post

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<v Speaker 3>or discussions they have on Reddit. So they need to

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<v Speaker 3>clean up that part. I'm sure the advertisers that you know,

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<v Speaker 3>they're advertising dollars of well spend, offer measurement, etc. But

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<v Speaker 3>this is fixable. I mean, we've seen Beta do so

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<v Speaker 3>much in terms of ad measurement and ad targeting and

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<v Speaker 3>look at what they have done this year. So clearly

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<v Speaker 3>there is a long runway for Reddit, and the data

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<v Speaker 3>licensing part has a lot of upside because of all

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<v Speaker 3>the generatord ai interests.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, Mandy, thanks so much for joining us. A

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<v Speaker 2>man deep seeing he's a senior technology analyst Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 2>joining us via zoom there. So again, Reddit, it's interesting,

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<v Speaker 2>it's it's an ipo. We like to see more of

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<v Speaker 2>those hitting the market. It's a good signed for the market,

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<v Speaker 2>so the IPO buyers will be happy, and it's another

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<v Speaker 2>kind of social media play. But as Mandeep was saying,

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<v Speaker 2>it's got this AI angle to it as well.

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<v Speaker 5>I feel like every time we have a topic here

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<v Speaker 5>on the radio where we're talking about AI, I have

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<v Speaker 5>to ask, like, how is this like somebody like me

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<v Speaker 5>going to use these tools? Because, like, you know, we

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<v Speaker 5>talk about the impact, and sometimes it's hard to imagine

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<v Speaker 5>something that's really going to impact your life more than

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<v Speaker 5>the Internet or a cell phone, and like, is this

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<v Speaker 5>really accessible to the mass market?

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<v Speaker 2>Exactly so, But I mean you'd listen to every company

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<v Speaker 2>in s and P five hundred saying AI is can

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<v Speaker 2>to impact our business. You're going to go up to

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<v Speaker 2>a drive through and it's going to be a different experience,

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<v Speaker 2>of better experience thanks to the technology. And so we'll see,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, but that's clearly what we're a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>the bulls are banking on.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecard Play and Android

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<v Speaker 2>You know, I don't know what to do with this market, Moley,

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<v Speaker 2>Maybe I just is it just all in Nvidia all the.

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<v Speaker 6>Time, all teams like all Ta AI or nothing.

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<v Speaker 2>Al Tech exactly AI or nothing. But let's talk about

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<v Speaker 2>this market a more broad sense. Lauren Gilbert can help

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<v Speaker 2>us do that. She's a seat of wealth Wise Financial,

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<v Speaker 2>joining us via zoom from I believe Houston, Texas on

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<v Speaker 2>behalf of Houston, Texas. I'll call out WTI cud oil

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<v Speaker 2>is off about two percent today, seventy seven dollars. I

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<v Speaker 2>think that people in Houston care about that stuff.

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<v Speaker 6>I think they do a little bit.

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<v Speaker 2>Lauren, thanks much for joining us here. What do you

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<v Speaker 2>make of what we've experienced over the past few days,

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<v Speaker 2>in a few weeks as it relates to AI and

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<v Speaker 2>in Vidia and what it means for the tech space

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<v Speaker 2>and the market overall. I haven't seen anything like this

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<v Speaker 2>in a long time.

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<v Speaker 7>Right, Well, we are in the age of AI, which

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<v Speaker 7>is similar to the age of the Internet when it

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<v Speaker 7>came to be. Although this is going to transform really

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<v Speaker 7>every sector in every business, and so it is a

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<v Speaker 7>huge story. It is the catalyst of the market and

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<v Speaker 7>will continue to be in The good news from Nvidia

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<v Speaker 7>yesterday really was that it spread across the semiconductor space

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<v Speaker 7>as all of these different companies are looking to get

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<v Speaker 7>some market share. And so while we still don't know

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<v Speaker 7>who the winner is right now, certainly in Vidia has been,

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<v Speaker 7>but we like the whole space, so semiconductors and also

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<v Speaker 7>what it's going to do to other sectors as well,

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<v Speaker 7>So that is the catalyst.

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<v Speaker 6>How are you feeling right now about earnings in general?

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<v Speaker 5>Loreen, And I mean, obviously there's a lot of positives

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<v Speaker 5>to take from these AI stocks, but what about elsewhere?

0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:18.040
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, So with over eighty percent of the SMP having reported,

0:12:18.080 --> 0:12:21.360
<v Speaker 7>we're having a good earning season. We've clearly come out

0:12:21.400 --> 0:12:24.880
<v Speaker 7>of an earnings recession with year over year growth over

0:12:25.080 --> 0:12:29.880
<v Speaker 7>five percent. So we're in pretty good space there with earnings,

0:12:29.960 --> 0:12:34.080
<v Speaker 7>and we do see opportunities in other areas of the market.

0:12:34.160 --> 0:12:37.840
<v Speaker 7>Communications services is one that we like quite a bit

0:12:38.520 --> 0:12:41.880
<v Speaker 7>as well as healthcare is another sector that we like.

0:12:42.080 --> 0:12:44.600
<v Speaker 7>Just with inflation continuing to come down, and so the

0:12:44.679 --> 0:12:48.160
<v Speaker 7>story is that the backdrop is there with inflation coming down,

0:12:48.440 --> 0:12:51.360
<v Speaker 7>with the FED that's going to make a move sometime

0:12:51.400 --> 0:12:53.320
<v Speaker 7>this year. We're still holding on to the idea of

0:12:53.400 --> 0:12:56.400
<v Speaker 7>May maybe the first rate cut, even though probability has

0:12:56.440 --> 0:12:58.480
<v Speaker 7>come down to twenty one percent now for a May

0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:00.400
<v Speaker 7>rate cut, we still think, you know, it's sooner than

0:13:00.480 --> 0:13:02.840
<v Speaker 7>later with a rate cut, which is going to help

0:13:02.880 --> 0:13:07.320
<v Speaker 7>the many items, especially even housing and home builders for

0:13:07.400 --> 0:13:10.120
<v Speaker 7>the second half of the year. So we do see

0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:12.560
<v Speaker 7>a lot of optimism in areas of the market.

0:13:13.000 --> 0:13:15.720
<v Speaker 2>Laurie and I to see that you like preferred stock,

0:13:15.760 --> 0:13:18.440
<v Speaker 2>and we don't talk about preferred stock preferred stock market

0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:22.040
<v Speaker 2>opportunities with preferred stock. Why in some markets it's a

0:13:22.080 --> 0:13:26.360
<v Speaker 2>real advantageous vehicle. How do you think about preferred stock.

0:13:27.280 --> 0:13:29.120
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, the way that we're thinking about right now is

0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:33.040
<v Speaker 7>the yield is good and it helps us mitigate duration

0:13:33.640 --> 0:13:36.720
<v Speaker 7>risk on fixed income, and so it's a nice play

0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:39.800
<v Speaker 7>between the stock and the bond and looking at preferred

0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:43.080
<v Speaker 7>stock as a way to capture some yield and mitigate

0:13:43.120 --> 0:13:43.560
<v Speaker 7>some risk.

0:13:44.160 --> 0:13:46.360
<v Speaker 5>Well, how are you thinking about the broader fixed income

0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:48.320
<v Speaker 5>space right now? You know you just said that your

0:13:48.640 --> 0:13:52.040
<v Speaker 5>that is sooner rather than later for a FED rate cut,

0:13:52.080 --> 0:13:54.679
<v Speaker 5>which seems like is not what a lot of FED

0:13:54.720 --> 0:13:57.000
<v Speaker 5>officials are saying these days.

0:13:57.360 --> 0:14:00.760
<v Speaker 7>Right, And there's always what is being said and what

0:14:00.800 --> 0:14:05.080
<v Speaker 7>will ultimately be done. But you know, so having some

0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:09.400
<v Speaker 7>duration is good, but not extending too far. We're you know,

0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:12.120
<v Speaker 7>just right pretty close to the benchmark as far as

0:14:12.200 --> 0:14:15.360
<v Speaker 7>duration is concerned. On fixed income, we do like fixed income,

0:14:15.400 --> 0:14:18.720
<v Speaker 7>and we do think that fixed income is going to

0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:22.360
<v Speaker 7>be a good part of a portfolio this year as

0:14:22.400 --> 0:14:26.480
<v Speaker 7>we don't see necessarily a straight line in the equity markets,

0:14:26.600 --> 0:14:29.600
<v Speaker 7>and so having some fixed income there will be good

0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:33.080
<v Speaker 7>to moderate risk on the equity side. We're also looking

0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 7>at the earning zeald on stocks right now is not

0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:39.400
<v Speaker 7>that attractive, you know, compared to ten year treasury, so

0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:43.040
<v Speaker 7>you know, looking at that idea. So once again, blended

0:14:43.080 --> 0:14:45.680
<v Speaker 7>portfolio we think is going to be a good story

0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:49.080
<v Speaker 7>this year. And of course, just depending on somebody's risk tolerance,

0:14:49.120 --> 0:14:52.880
<v Speaker 7>where will that blend be. But not being all equity

0:14:52.960 --> 0:14:55.160
<v Speaker 7>or not all fixed income, but having a blend, we

0:14:55.160 --> 0:14:58.600
<v Speaker 7>think it's going to be provide some some decent returns

0:14:58.600 --> 0:14:59.000
<v Speaker 7>this year.

0:14:59.360 --> 0:15:02.760
<v Speaker 2>Hitherin you hear from your clients about their interest in

0:15:03.120 --> 0:15:07.240
<v Speaker 2>I guess alternatives, whether it's private equity, private credit, maybe

0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:10.200
<v Speaker 2>hedge funds. What's the interest level there and kind of

0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:11.120
<v Speaker 2>how do you steer them?

0:15:12.360 --> 0:15:17.280
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, we like alternative investments. We hold alternative investment in

0:15:17.320 --> 0:15:20.240
<v Speaker 7>the spaces you know, you've mentioned a number of them,

0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:24.400
<v Speaker 7>and there's liquid alternatives and there's non liquid alternatives, and

0:15:24.440 --> 0:15:28.160
<v Speaker 7>that's really the conversation to have with investors is you know,

0:15:28.240 --> 0:15:31.800
<v Speaker 7>how much liquidity do you need? And certainly what the

0:15:31.840 --> 0:15:35.760
<v Speaker 7>public markets offer us is liquidity, and that's important. And

0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:39.800
<v Speaker 7>then there are ways to drive more alpha, more excess

0:15:39.840 --> 0:15:44.000
<v Speaker 7>returns versus what might be expected, and that those are

0:15:44.040 --> 0:15:47.240
<v Speaker 7>some of those non liquid alternatives. So I think a

0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:50.400
<v Speaker 7>combination of both is important, and once again looking at

0:15:50.400 --> 0:15:53.280
<v Speaker 7>investors to see what kind of liquidity they actually need.

0:15:53.840 --> 0:15:55.520
<v Speaker 6>So it sounds like tech's a good place to be

0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:56.120
<v Speaker 6>right now.

0:15:56.480 --> 0:16:01.040
<v Speaker 5>You've mentioned you also like some communications stocks. Where else

0:16:01.080 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 5>are you looking in terms of the industry breakdown?

0:16:04.240 --> 0:16:08.240
<v Speaker 7>Like I was mentioning in healthcare, we like biotech as well,

0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:12.120
<v Speaker 7>just because that is an area that as inflation wanes,

0:16:12.600 --> 0:16:15.880
<v Speaker 7>tends to be positive for that area of the market.

0:16:16.000 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 7>Those also tend to be oftentimes smaller companies, and while

0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:23.360
<v Speaker 7>we're still seeing a dominance of the large cap space,

0:16:23.640 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 7>we think there will be a reversal to that trend

0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:29.400
<v Speaker 7>this year and we'll see benefits from smaller cap companies

0:16:29.480 --> 0:16:32.200
<v Speaker 7>as rates start to come down. So that's another area

0:16:32.200 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 7>that we like.

0:16:32.920 --> 0:16:34.640
<v Speaker 2>All Right, Lurene, thank you so much for joining us.

0:16:34.680 --> 0:16:36.200
<v Speaker 2>Really appreciate getting a few minutes of your time with

0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:39.920
<v Speaker 2>Loreen Gilbert, CEO of wealth Wise Financial, joining us via

0:16:39.960 --> 0:16:41.280
<v Speaker 2>zoom from Houston, Texas.

0:16:43.240 --> 0:16:47.120
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:49.920
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple car Playing and

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:52.920
<v Speaker 1>Broud Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:57.280
<v Speaker 1>wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:16:57.760 --> 0:16:59.920
<v Speaker 2>Or news coming out of Washington as it relates to

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:03.720
<v Speaker 2>Ukraine in Russia, the US today unveils its biggest sankets

0:17:03.720 --> 0:17:07.480
<v Speaker 2>package on Russia since the war began. A drone maker

0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:11.440
<v Speaker 2>and a payment system company are among targets of penalties.

0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:16.080
<v Speaker 2>Secretary Yellens as Russia's economy is showing quote signs of weakness.

0:17:16.119 --> 0:17:18.880
<v Speaker 2>Let's break it down with Dan flat Lake, national security

0:17:18.880 --> 0:17:23.120
<v Speaker 2>reporter for Bloomberg News, joins is to via zoom from Washington, DC. Dan,

0:17:23.160 --> 0:17:26.520
<v Speaker 2>what's in this sanctions package?

0:17:27.480 --> 0:17:29.639
<v Speaker 4>Well, there's a lot of stuff in it.

0:17:30.040 --> 0:17:33.080
<v Speaker 8>We're talking about, you know, all told about six hundred

0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:35.880
<v Speaker 8>or so targets, but a lot of them aren't really

0:17:35.960 --> 0:17:39.720
<v Speaker 8>household names, so you're looking at primarily Russian companies with

0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:44.600
<v Speaker 8>or individuals no ties to the US financial system. But

0:17:44.800 --> 0:17:48.040
<v Speaker 8>they are getting shipments and they're getting some goods in

0:17:48.040 --> 0:17:51.520
<v Speaker 8>from third countries that are helping kind of keep the

0:17:51.520 --> 0:17:54.040
<v Speaker 8>war machine going. So the idea here is basically to

0:17:54.119 --> 0:17:56.840
<v Speaker 8>kind of ratchet up some pressure on the Russian economy,

0:17:56.960 --> 0:17:59.760
<v Speaker 8>kind of clamp down on some of the places where

0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:03.199
<v Speaker 8>things are still getting through, and then really kind of

0:18:03.720 --> 0:18:07.240
<v Speaker 8>you know, look forward to potentially some other measures that

0:18:07.320 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 8>may be taken, you know, in the next few months.

0:18:10.280 --> 0:18:13.280
<v Speaker 5>Dan tell us how effective, if at all, the sanctions

0:18:13.359 --> 0:18:16.080
<v Speaker 5>up to date have been, because you know, the IMF

0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:18.800
<v Speaker 5>and your story said that Russia's economy is actually on

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:21.840
<v Speaker 5>track to grow almost three percent this year and it's

0:18:21.880 --> 0:18:25.760
<v Speaker 5>really seems to be holding up pretty well by and large.

0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:28.280
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, there's no question that, you know, as far as

0:18:28.359 --> 0:18:29.560
<v Speaker 4>the strategic goal of.

0:18:29.520 --> 0:18:32.080
<v Speaker 8>Getting putin to you know, give up the invasion and

0:18:32.160 --> 0:18:35.440
<v Speaker 8>withdraw from Ukraine, that obviously hasn't happened, and we're now

0:18:35.440 --> 0:18:38.920
<v Speaker 8>two years into this conflict. There have been some effects,

0:18:39.400 --> 0:18:42.080
<v Speaker 8>you know, on the Russian economy. Growth is a little

0:18:42.080 --> 0:18:44.399
<v Speaker 8>bit slower, at least it was initially. Now, as you mentioned,

0:18:44.440 --> 0:18:47.160
<v Speaker 8>the IMF projects that it will be close to two

0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:49.080
<v Speaker 8>point six or three pert, you know, up to three

0:18:49.119 --> 0:18:54.560
<v Speaker 8>percent this year. So it's it's blowing the economy, uh,

0:18:55.000 --> 0:18:57.119
<v Speaker 8>you know, not as much as the US would have hoped,

0:18:57.440 --> 0:19:00.560
<v Speaker 8>but it has forced Putin to sort of turn economy

0:19:00.600 --> 0:19:05.119
<v Speaker 8>into a wartime economy, to basically kind of turn his

0:19:05.280 --> 0:19:08.680
<v Speaker 8>entire manufacturing sector over to producing stuff for the war,

0:19:09.200 --> 0:19:17.119
<v Speaker 8>and the hope is obviously over. Of course, that doesn't

0:19:17.160 --> 0:19:19.720
<v Speaker 8>really help Ukraine now, and that's where we get into

0:19:19.720 --> 0:19:22.200
<v Speaker 8>some of the funding battles that are happening here in Congress.

0:19:24.320 --> 0:19:26.199
<v Speaker 2>Oh, thank you very much, Hey Dan. We had Deputy

0:19:26.280 --> 0:19:30.480
<v Speaker 2>US Treasury Secretary Wally Adayamo on Bloomberg Surveillance television this morning,

0:19:30.480 --> 0:19:33.960
<v Speaker 2>and Jonathan Farrow asked him about India because Indian India

0:19:34.160 --> 0:19:35.960
<v Speaker 2>has been one of those countries that it's kind of

0:19:36.000 --> 0:19:39.679
<v Speaker 2>been a little bit loose with its relationship with Russia.

0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:43.080
<v Speaker 2>How does the administration think about India and its placed

0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:45.399
<v Speaker 2>kind of geopolitics and how it may be interacting with

0:19:45.520 --> 0:19:48.400
<v Speaker 2>Russia maybe against some of these sanctions.

0:19:49.040 --> 0:19:52.360
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, it's a huge, huge problem some of our colleagues

0:19:52.359 --> 0:19:55.280
<v Speaker 8>from Bloomberg Economics have done a great analysis on sort

0:19:55.280 --> 0:19:58.240
<v Speaker 8>of the ten Lessons from the Russia Ukraine War that

0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:01.480
<v Speaker 8>was out yesterday, and you know, they look at sort

0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:05.200
<v Speaker 8>of the rise of this block of countries that are

0:20:05.240 --> 0:20:08.760
<v Speaker 8>really rivaling the US and its allies, not necessarily in

0:20:08.840 --> 0:20:12.640
<v Speaker 8>terms of size of economic weight or power in terms

0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:16.760
<v Speaker 8>of global GDP, but certainly as an alternative to the

0:20:16.920 --> 0:20:18.919
<v Speaker 8>US led kind of financial system.

0:20:18.960 --> 0:20:21.400
<v Speaker 4>And that's India, and that's China, and when it.

0:20:21.320 --> 0:20:25.399
<v Speaker 8>Comes to Russia, those countries are really keeping Russia propped

0:20:25.440 --> 0:20:26.359
<v Speaker 8>up to a large extent.

0:20:26.440 --> 0:20:27.760
<v Speaker 4>India is buying Russian.

0:20:27.440 --> 0:20:32.600
<v Speaker 8>Oil, China is buying Russian oil, China is sending technology

0:20:32.640 --> 0:20:36.080
<v Speaker 8>and other goods onto Russia. Russia is also getting weapons

0:20:36.080 --> 0:20:39.280
<v Speaker 8>from Iran and North Korea and other places. So there's

0:20:39.359 --> 0:20:43.960
<v Speaker 8>kind of a whole rival faction that has cropped up

0:20:44.280 --> 0:20:46.760
<v Speaker 8>that is going to be very hard to counteract, especially

0:20:46.760 --> 0:20:49.439
<v Speaker 8>when you're talking about India, which is an ally the

0:20:49.520 --> 0:20:51.120
<v Speaker 8>US in so many other ways.

0:20:51.320 --> 0:20:53.040
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, Dan, you know, you and I had talked about

0:20:53.080 --> 0:20:56.480
<v Speaker 5>this a bit time ago last year. The idea of

0:20:56.760 --> 0:21:00.000
<v Speaker 5>export controls is that what we're alluding to here, Like basically,

0:21:00.119 --> 0:21:02.639
<v Speaker 5>when you know, some of these countries that you know,

0:21:02.720 --> 0:21:05.960
<v Speaker 5>like India maybe in this case that aren't being directly

0:21:06.000 --> 0:21:09.440
<v Speaker 5>sanctioned by the US, but can still you know, kind

0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:12.000
<v Speaker 5>of work with Russia behind the scenes and help get

0:21:12.040 --> 0:21:14.199
<v Speaker 5>around these sanctions and maybe a bit more of an

0:21:14.240 --> 0:21:15.040
<v Speaker 5>indirect way.

0:21:16.200 --> 0:21:18.280
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean, it's a really it's a huge issue

0:21:18.320 --> 0:21:20.719
<v Speaker 8>right now, just from a policy perspective. If you think

0:21:20.760 --> 0:21:23.520
<v Speaker 8>about sanctions and the history of sanctions, the way sanctions work,

0:21:23.560 --> 0:21:25.760
<v Speaker 8>they really leverage the financial system.

0:21:25.880 --> 0:21:29.800
<v Speaker 4>Which you know it works. It's technology, so you can

0:21:29.840 --> 0:21:31.520
<v Speaker 4>see payments moving through the system.

0:21:31.560 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 8>It's very easy for banks to know that they you know,

0:21:35.840 --> 0:21:37.679
<v Speaker 8>if they violate sanctions, they're going to get hit with

0:21:37.760 --> 0:21:41.240
<v Speaker 8>big fines. Export controls is a totally different game because

0:21:41.240 --> 0:21:45.920
<v Speaker 8>you're talking about boxes and microchips and things that are

0:21:45.960 --> 0:21:49.960
<v Speaker 8>moving through sometimes a more informal economy, and it's harder

0:21:50.000 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 8>to track that sort of thing. And I've talked to

0:21:52.320 --> 0:21:54.159
<v Speaker 8>folks in the last week or so that say, you know,

0:21:54.240 --> 0:21:57.800
<v Speaker 8>once that stuff hits Hong Kong, once it hits Turkey,

0:21:57.880 --> 0:21:59.600
<v Speaker 8>or once it hits some of these certain countries, we

0:21:59.680 --> 0:22:01.800
<v Speaker 8>lose all all visibility of them. We don't really know

0:22:02.160 --> 0:22:05.120
<v Speaker 8>where it's going, so how do you stop that from happening.

0:22:05.920 --> 0:22:07.800
<v Speaker 8>It's just not as well developed as sanctions.

0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:11.919
<v Speaker 2>So Dan, we had Admiral Sturritis on earlier today, the

0:22:11.920 --> 0:22:15.840
<v Speaker 2>former NATO Supreme Commander, four star admiral retired US Navy.

0:22:16.560 --> 0:22:19.240
<v Speaker 2>He was saying, boy, they need the weapons now, the

0:22:19.320 --> 0:22:23.879
<v Speaker 2>Ukrainians now, And you know, it's really at a critical

0:22:23.960 --> 0:22:27.600
<v Speaker 2>time here. You get a feeling within DC that there's

0:22:27.640 --> 0:22:29.800
<v Speaker 2>a belief that that this is a critical time or

0:22:29.920 --> 0:22:32.879
<v Speaker 2>is this simply a political game at this point?

0:22:34.160 --> 0:22:36.920
<v Speaker 4>You know, it's a good question. It's hard to say exactly.

0:22:37.040 --> 0:22:41.760
<v Speaker 8>I think that there are some folks on Capitol Hill who.

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:42.960
<v Speaker 4>Do feel the urgency.

0:22:43.440 --> 0:22:47.959
<v Speaker 8>Senator Schumer, the Senate majority leader, is in Kiev today

0:22:48.000 --> 0:22:51.040
<v Speaker 8>as we speak, visiting with Ukrainian leadership.

0:22:51.760 --> 0:22:53.640
<v Speaker 4>Republicans have gone as well. In the past.

0:22:53.680 --> 0:22:56.639
<v Speaker 8>Mitch McConnell has certainly been pushing for Ukraine a The

0:22:56.680 --> 0:23:00.520
<v Speaker 8>Senate did pass a package that will provide Ukraine with

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:02.879
<v Speaker 8>weapons and other financial support, but it's.

0:23:02.720 --> 0:23:03.639
<v Speaker 4>Stuck in the House.

0:23:03.760 --> 0:23:07.040
<v Speaker 8>And that's where it gets into a much stricier political

0:23:07.400 --> 0:23:10.960
<v Speaker 8>situation because you have the former President Donald Trump really

0:23:11.280 --> 0:23:16.119
<v Speaker 8>pushing against this kind of package. You have some isolationists

0:23:16.160 --> 0:23:17.959
<v Speaker 8>in the Republican Party who say, you know, why are

0:23:18.000 --> 0:23:20.320
<v Speaker 8>we spending all this money in Europe when we should

0:23:20.320 --> 0:23:22.880
<v Speaker 8>be spending it on the southern border. There's a lot

0:23:22.920 --> 0:23:25.520
<v Speaker 8>of things that are happening there in an election year

0:23:25.560 --> 0:23:28.879
<v Speaker 8>that makes it very hard for something that ordinarily would

0:23:28.920 --> 0:23:32.280
<v Speaker 8>get you know, a majority support and really probably would

0:23:32.400 --> 0:23:34.840
<v Speaker 8>and put it on the floor of the House, makes

0:23:34.840 --> 0:23:36.120
<v Speaker 8>it much harder to get done.

0:23:36.119 --> 0:23:38.560
<v Speaker 4>So that's that's a real sticking point right now.

0:23:39.000 --> 0:23:41.359
<v Speaker 5>When we're talking about sanctions, though, Dan, is that something

0:23:41.359 --> 0:23:43.920
<v Speaker 5>that would be subject to the same kind of approval

0:23:44.000 --> 0:23:47.480
<v Speaker 5>process as Ukraine aimed, would be as going through Congress

0:23:47.480 --> 0:23:48.440
<v Speaker 5>in that same kind of way.

0:23:49.280 --> 0:23:50.520
<v Speaker 4>Well, I think this is one of the things.

0:23:50.520 --> 0:23:52.880
<v Speaker 8>One of the reasons why sanctions, the use of sanctions

0:23:52.920 --> 0:23:54.960
<v Speaker 8>is up like one thousand percent over the last two

0:23:55.000 --> 0:23:57.919
<v Speaker 8>decades or two and a half decades, is because you

0:23:57.960 --> 0:24:01.160
<v Speaker 8>don't have to spend a ton of money to wield them,

0:24:01.440 --> 0:24:02.879
<v Speaker 8>don't necessarily need.

0:24:02.720 --> 0:24:03.679
<v Speaker 4>Approval from Congress.

0:24:03.720 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 8>Every time you want to levy su sanctions, you do

0:24:06.760 --> 0:24:10.159
<v Speaker 8>you want to spend you know, fifty sixty seventy billion

0:24:10.200 --> 0:24:13.560
<v Speaker 8>dollars if you want to reinvigorate the Defense Industrial Base.

0:24:13.600 --> 0:24:15.560
<v Speaker 8>If you want to do all these things that actually

0:24:16.000 --> 0:24:19.800
<v Speaker 8>matter on the battlefield, you need Congress, you need the

0:24:19.800 --> 0:24:23.200
<v Speaker 8>purse strings, and you know, so that's a much harder sell.

0:24:23.320 --> 0:24:26.840
<v Speaker 8>But sanctions, you know, I won't say they're easier to

0:24:26.920 --> 0:24:29.840
<v Speaker 8>wield necessarily, but they are more efficient in the sense

0:24:29.880 --> 0:24:32.320
<v Speaker 8>that the administration can do it on its own without

0:24:32.359 --> 0:24:33.960
<v Speaker 8>having to go to Congress for authorization.

0:24:34.680 --> 0:24:36.680
<v Speaker 2>All right, Dan, thanks so much for joining us. Really

0:24:36.680 --> 0:24:40.520
<v Speaker 2>appreciate getting your thoughts and analysis there. Dan Flatley, a

0:24:40.640 --> 0:24:43.679
<v Speaker 2>national security reporter for Bloomberg News, joining us via zoom

0:24:44.200 --> 0:24:45.800
<v Speaker 2>from Washington, DC.

0:24:47.480 --> 0:24:51.359
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

0:24:51.440 --> 0:24:54.960
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and Android

0:24:55.000 --> 0:24:57.760
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen

0:24:57.880 --> 0:25:00.960
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexa from our Flag New York station

0:25:01.359 --> 0:25:03.919
<v Speaker 1>just say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven th.

0:25:05.480 --> 0:25:07.960
<v Speaker 2>Our c SUEE conversation today. Kevin Butler Joints, and he's

0:25:07.960 --> 0:25:11.080
<v Speaker 2>the CEA of Excellent ex C is a ticker to

0:25:11.119 --> 0:25:14.240
<v Speaker 2>put into your Bloomberg terminal here at Utility Company. But

0:25:14.280 --> 0:25:15.680
<v Speaker 2>I want you to tell us just start off, Calvin,

0:25:15.680 --> 0:25:17.800
<v Speaker 2>thanks so much for joining us, but tell us about

0:25:17.800 --> 0:25:19.560
<v Speaker 2>your company, what you guys are doing, and don't get

0:25:19.560 --> 0:25:20.439
<v Speaker 2>into kind of the meat of it.

0:25:20.560 --> 0:25:23.240
<v Speaker 9>Absolutely, and good morning and thank you for having me so.

0:25:23.440 --> 0:25:27.840
<v Speaker 9>Excellent is the largest transmission and distribution utility in the country.

0:25:28.160 --> 0:25:31.960
<v Speaker 9>We have the privileged and responsibility to serve approximately ten

0:25:32.000 --> 0:25:35.760
<v Speaker 9>point five million customers across some of the most diverse

0:25:35.800 --> 0:25:38.720
<v Speaker 9>and largest cities in the United States through our utilities

0:25:38.800 --> 0:25:42.520
<v Speaker 9>Commonwealth Edison in Chicago, Baltimore Gas and Electric and of

0:25:42.560 --> 0:25:47.000
<v Speaker 9>course Baltimore Pico out of Philadelphia, Pepco Holdings, which is

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:50.960
<v Speaker 9>sitting in our nation's capital, VC del Marble Power and

0:25:51.000 --> 0:25:54.080
<v Speaker 9>Light in Wilmington, Delaware, and Atlantic City Electric. So when

0:25:54.080 --> 0:25:58.240
<v Speaker 9>you look at that scale and size, Excellent is positioned

0:25:58.280 --> 0:26:01.119
<v Speaker 9>well to lead this energy transfer and that's who we

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:02.720
<v Speaker 9>are and how we show up for our customers.

0:26:02.960 --> 0:26:06.560
<v Speaker 5>So you guys just had earnings a couple of days ago, right, Yeah,

0:26:06.600 --> 0:26:09.400
<v Speaker 5>So tell us about the latest quarters, some of the highlights,

0:26:09.400 --> 0:26:12.040
<v Speaker 5>and what you're looking forward to in the year or.

0:26:12.000 --> 0:26:12.520
<v Speaker 6>So to come.

0:26:12.760 --> 0:26:15.760
<v Speaker 9>No, thank you for asking, as Wednesday was a good day,

0:26:16.359 --> 0:26:19.840
<v Speaker 9>and I say that because we beat our fourth quarter

0:26:19.880 --> 0:26:24.280
<v Speaker 9>expectations and we exceeded expectations for the twenty twenty three,

0:26:24.720 --> 0:26:27.400
<v Speaker 9>and I was just so proud of the team that

0:26:27.760 --> 0:26:30.000
<v Speaker 9>we were able to deliver on our commitments that we

0:26:30.040 --> 0:26:33.159
<v Speaker 9>made in twenty twenty three despite all the challenges, and

0:26:33.200 --> 0:26:35.960
<v Speaker 9>when I say challenges, when you look at in Pennsylvania

0:26:36.160 --> 0:26:37.879
<v Speaker 9>had one of the warmest winters that had in the

0:26:38.000 --> 0:26:42.199
<v Speaker 9>last fifty years, and being a distribution company the gas

0:26:42.480 --> 0:26:45.280
<v Speaker 9>company that we do there, we continue we overcame those

0:26:45.320 --> 0:26:48.960
<v Speaker 9>headwinds and still met the number. And in addition to that,

0:26:49.560 --> 0:26:53.280
<v Speaker 9>despite the challenges in our regulatory environment, because of our skill,

0:26:53.720 --> 0:26:56.280
<v Speaker 9>we will continued to able to shift capital around our

0:26:56.320 --> 0:26:59.520
<v Speaker 9>platform to invest in the things that are most important

0:26:59.520 --> 0:27:00.400
<v Speaker 9>to our custos.

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:01.639
<v Speaker 4>So it was a good day, all right.

0:27:01.720 --> 0:27:04.240
<v Speaker 2>My analyst of Bloomberg Intelligence that covers your stocks, she writes,

0:27:04.280 --> 0:27:07.800
<v Speaker 2>since she says, ask them about Illinois, so talk about

0:27:07.800 --> 0:27:10.160
<v Speaker 2>some regulatory headwinds. It seems like Illinois in the news

0:27:10.240 --> 0:27:12.000
<v Speaker 2>and not always for the right reasons, but anyway, talks

0:27:12.000 --> 0:27:13.800
<v Speaker 2>about doing business in Illinois.

0:27:14.040 --> 0:27:16.880
<v Speaker 9>You know, KMET is the largest hutility in Illinois, having

0:27:16.920 --> 0:27:20.520
<v Speaker 9>the privilege of serving Chicago, and your analyst is right on,

0:27:20.600 --> 0:27:23.960
<v Speaker 9>Illinois is a difficult jurisdiction for us, right Now, we

0:27:24.080 --> 0:27:28.440
<v Speaker 9>had a ruling on December fourteenth, and that ruling set

0:27:28.600 --> 0:27:33.600
<v Speaker 9>I think their efforts to decarbonize and to move forward

0:27:33.600 --> 0:27:37.679
<v Speaker 9>on transportational electrification that they were on. But we are

0:27:37.720 --> 0:27:41.040
<v Speaker 9>committed to working with all of our stakeholders, including the Commission,

0:27:41.080 --> 0:27:44.040
<v Speaker 9>to get to where we have a shared vision to

0:27:44.080 --> 0:27:47.040
<v Speaker 9>move Illinois forward. But it was it was a December

0:27:47.119 --> 0:27:49.520
<v Speaker 9>fourteenth I remember it well. It was a tough day.

0:27:49.800 --> 0:27:53.160
<v Speaker 9>But what you've seen now is we've reduced about one

0:27:53.240 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 9>point four billion dollars in capital in Illinois.

0:27:56.280 --> 0:27:59.480
<v Speaker 2>But more importantly because of this, this.

0:27:59.560 --> 0:28:03.639
<v Speaker 9>Cost of decision, and what really hurts is that the

0:28:03.680 --> 0:28:07.640
<v Speaker 9>sitence of Illinois, their transition to a clean energy stacking

0:28:08.080 --> 0:28:10.360
<v Speaker 9>is going to slow down. And we had to lay

0:28:10.400 --> 0:28:15.120
<v Speaker 9>off nine hundred contractors that's direct contractors, and impacted by

0:28:15.200 --> 0:28:19.520
<v Speaker 9>that was roughly two thousand indirect jobs. Now that's just us,

0:28:19.560 --> 0:28:21.800
<v Speaker 9>so you could imagine the other utilities, the other electric

0:28:21.880 --> 0:28:24.680
<v Speaker 9>utilities and gas utilities had to do the exact same thing.

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:29.080
<v Speaker 9>But we have a path forward and we continue to

0:28:29.119 --> 0:28:32.080
<v Speaker 9>work with the Commission to right.

0:28:32.080 --> 0:28:35.439
<v Speaker 5>Size this and obviously you guys are looking to do

0:28:35.840 --> 0:28:38.440
<v Speaker 5>you know, switch over to clean energy and other markets

0:28:38.480 --> 0:28:41.440
<v Speaker 5>as well. So how does Illinois maybe give you a

0:28:41.440 --> 0:28:43.920
<v Speaker 5>bit of a blueprint for how to approach these other markets.

0:28:44.160 --> 0:28:47.600
<v Speaker 9>Well, I would tell you that the same day, although

0:28:47.600 --> 0:28:49.680
<v Speaker 9>there was a bad outcome in Illinois, we had a

0:28:49.720 --> 0:28:52.760
<v Speaker 9>solid outcome in Maryland exact same day. So it just

0:28:52.800 --> 0:28:54.600
<v Speaker 9>goes to show you when you have a shared vision

0:28:54.640 --> 0:28:57.440
<v Speaker 9>of how to get there. We don't expect the commissions

0:28:57.440 --> 0:28:59.800
<v Speaker 9>to give us everything we're asking for, but if we

0:28:59.840 --> 0:29:03.160
<v Speaker 9>have a shared vision and a mutual understand the mutual benefits,

0:29:03.320 --> 0:29:05.600
<v Speaker 9>you can do it. And I always say, in my

0:29:05.840 --> 0:29:08.800
<v Speaker 9>golf parlance, you know, Maryland, you know we hit it.

0:29:08.800 --> 0:29:12.200
<v Speaker 9>It was a part, it wasn't a party, and we're

0:29:12.200 --> 0:29:14.720
<v Speaker 9>working on that. So it is a shared vision across

0:29:14.720 --> 0:29:18.080
<v Speaker 9>and each jurisdiction is different because you can imagine in

0:29:18.160 --> 0:29:21.200
<v Speaker 9>Illinois they're saying we're going all electric sooner rather than later,

0:29:21.560 --> 0:29:25.480
<v Speaker 9>Maryland doing the exact same thing. Pennsylvania we like our gas,

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:28.080
<v Speaker 9>you know, we're saying gas is going to be part

0:29:28.080 --> 0:29:30.600
<v Speaker 9>of that portfolio in Pennsylvania, and it's up to us

0:29:30.640 --> 0:29:33.920
<v Speaker 9>to understand what those jurisdictions want and determine how to

0:29:33.960 --> 0:29:35.440
<v Speaker 9>get there with those mutual benefits.

0:29:35.480 --> 0:29:36.760
<v Speaker 2>So that's how I was going to ask you, how

0:29:36.760 --> 0:29:39.400
<v Speaker 2>do we to the extent that we move this economy

0:29:39.440 --> 0:29:43.240
<v Speaker 2>to a more greener fashion, including on any energy grid.

0:29:43.520 --> 0:29:45.880
<v Speaker 2>Who drives the bus? Is that you guys saying this

0:29:45.960 --> 0:29:48.240
<v Speaker 2>is how we're going to invest our capital in our plant.

0:29:48.320 --> 0:29:50.640
<v Speaker 2>Or is it more of the municipality saying we want

0:29:50.640 --> 0:29:52.200
<v Speaker 2>to go this way, we want to stay gas, we

0:29:52.240 --> 0:29:54.040
<v Speaker 2>want to go green, or is it kind of a

0:29:54.160 --> 0:29:55.040
<v Speaker 2>I guess partnership.

0:29:55.040 --> 0:29:58.120
<v Speaker 9>It has to be a partnership. So you know, by

0:29:58.200 --> 0:30:01.160
<v Speaker 9>us not owning generation, what I can tell you is

0:30:02.080 --> 0:30:04.040
<v Speaker 9>we are brought to the table more often than not

0:30:04.160 --> 0:30:07.320
<v Speaker 9>now because they don't few I have a vested interest.

0:30:07.360 --> 0:30:10.680
<v Speaker 9>By me not owning, no longer owning nuclear, wind or solar,

0:30:11.360 --> 0:30:14.280
<v Speaker 9>my job is delivered to you. So once they understand

0:30:14.360 --> 0:30:16.920
<v Speaker 9>that and really get it, I'm now a trusted partner.

0:30:17.160 --> 0:30:19.760
<v Speaker 9>Now having said that, what I can tell them is

0:30:19.760 --> 0:30:23.160
<v Speaker 9>that here's the cost to achieve what you're trying to achieve.

0:30:23.320 --> 0:30:26.440
<v Speaker 9>Give you an example. In Maryland, we had a jurisdiction

0:30:26.480 --> 0:30:29.840
<v Speaker 9>that wanted to go all electric, and we said, look,

0:30:30.040 --> 0:30:32.959
<v Speaker 9>I'm an electric and gas I'm going to benefit. I

0:30:33.000 --> 0:30:35.280
<v Speaker 9>can do that for you sooner rather than later. But

0:30:35.400 --> 0:30:37.960
<v Speaker 9>this is what it's going to cost the average customer

0:30:38.240 --> 0:30:40.479
<v Speaker 9>in your city if you do that. And when you

0:30:40.520 --> 0:30:42.600
<v Speaker 9>put those costs in front of them, they're like, Okay,

0:30:42.680 --> 0:30:44.640
<v Speaker 9>let's slow it down a little bit, let's be more

0:30:44.640 --> 0:30:47.520
<v Speaker 9>pragmatic about it, and let's do a balanced approach. And

0:30:47.520 --> 0:30:48.440
<v Speaker 9>that's what we're finding.

0:30:48.560 --> 0:30:50.000
<v Speaker 6>Well, that's what I was going to come to you

0:30:50.000 --> 0:30:51.000
<v Speaker 6>next about is that.

0:30:51.240 --> 0:30:52.880
<v Speaker 5>I'm sure a lot of people would you know, if

0:30:52.880 --> 0:30:55.960
<v Speaker 5>given the choice, would probably say, yeah, cleaner energy, let's

0:30:56.000 --> 0:30:56.200
<v Speaker 5>do it.

0:30:56.240 --> 0:30:57.480
<v Speaker 6>But then what does it cost?

0:30:57.640 --> 0:30:59.960
<v Speaker 5>And so are you saying then that this is like

0:31:00.200 --> 0:31:02.480
<v Speaker 5>is it markedly more expensive than gas? And is that

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:05.479
<v Speaker 5>just because it's a new technology it's going to take

0:31:05.520 --> 0:31:08.520
<v Speaker 5>some time or even once it's further developed, this is

0:31:08.560 --> 0:31:11.160
<v Speaker 5>still a more expensive energy alternative.

0:31:11.440 --> 0:31:13.320
<v Speaker 9>It will be more cast you know, it will be

0:31:13.360 --> 0:31:16.960
<v Speaker 9>more costly in the short run. Why because the infrastructure

0:31:17.040 --> 0:31:21.440
<v Speaker 9>to handle when solar and increased renewables, you have to

0:31:21.480 --> 0:31:25.000
<v Speaker 9>build this infrastructure to do that. So that substation that's

0:31:25.040 --> 0:31:27.840
<v Speaker 9>in your right around the corner from your home, it's

0:31:27.920 --> 0:31:30.480
<v Speaker 9>not equipped to handle that amount of load if you

0:31:30.520 --> 0:31:33.880
<v Speaker 9>were to convert directly to electricity sooner rather than later,

0:31:34.280 --> 0:31:36.479
<v Speaker 9>so you have to build up that infrastructure. But I

0:31:36.520 --> 0:31:39.920
<v Speaker 9>do believe technology is going to catch up and balance

0:31:39.960 --> 0:31:44.280
<v Speaker 9>out the costs. And my responsibility as the CEO is

0:31:44.320 --> 0:31:47.600
<v Speaker 9>to ensure that this transition is done equably. Those of

0:31:47.680 --> 0:31:49.880
<v Speaker 9>us who can afford it, you know, they're not going

0:31:49.880 --> 0:31:52.719
<v Speaker 9>to miss a beat. But what about those communities that

0:31:53.000 --> 0:31:56.440
<v Speaker 9>are struggling to pay their bill today? When you start

0:31:56.480 --> 0:31:59.360
<v Speaker 9>going down this path quicker, they're going to be the

0:31:59.400 --> 0:32:00.440
<v Speaker 9>ones most impacted.

0:32:01.280 --> 0:32:06.120
<v Speaker 2>How do you your company Excellent? Do you grow via acquisition?

0:32:06.160 --> 0:32:09.400
<v Speaker 2>And if so, how do you think about acquisition related growth?

0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:11.920
<v Speaker 9>Yes, so when you think of Excellent, Excellent was formed

0:32:11.960 --> 0:32:15.040
<v Speaker 9>in two thousand with the combination of Commonwealth Edison out

0:32:15.040 --> 0:32:18.840
<v Speaker 9>of Chicago and Pico out of Philadelphia. So Excellent formed

0:32:18.920 --> 0:32:23.720
<v Speaker 9>via acquisition. In twenty twelve, we bought Constellation Energy, which

0:32:23.760 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 9>was Baltimore Gas and Electric. In twenty sixteen we bought

0:32:27.000 --> 0:32:30.360
<v Speaker 9>Pepco Holdings, which was Pepco, d C, del Marva and

0:32:30.400 --> 0:32:34.760
<v Speaker 9>Atlantic City. So we're conglomeration. I think the industry will

0:32:34.760 --> 0:32:37.440
<v Speaker 9>continue to move that way because scale matters when you

0:32:37.560 --> 0:32:41.320
<v Speaker 9>go to costs and affordability. For us, at this point,

0:32:41.400 --> 0:32:44.800
<v Speaker 9>that is not a priority because we're investing over thirty

0:32:44.800 --> 0:32:47.440
<v Speaker 9>five billion dollars over the next few years. That has

0:32:47.480 --> 0:32:48.880
<v Speaker 9>to be our priority right now.

0:32:48.960 --> 0:32:50.520
<v Speaker 2>How do you think about it? I'm sorry, I'm just

0:32:50.560 --> 0:32:54.760
<v Speaker 2>looking at the FA function, my financial analysis function, free

0:32:54.800 --> 0:32:57.760
<v Speaker 2>cash flow. Is it all go to the dividend? And

0:32:57.880 --> 0:33:00.680
<v Speaker 2>or do you say, yeah, you have a four percent

0:33:00.680 --> 0:33:02.280
<v Speaker 2>dividend field a little bit high than a four percent

0:33:02.280 --> 0:33:04.840
<v Speaker 2>dividend yield. How do you balance the dividend versus maybe

0:33:04.920 --> 0:33:06.240
<v Speaker 2>using cash for acquisitions.

0:33:06.320 --> 0:33:08.760
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, we have a rule of thumb that we try

0:33:08.760 --> 0:33:12.800
<v Speaker 9>to target sixty percent dividend payout with earnings. So we

0:33:12.880 --> 0:33:16.440
<v Speaker 9>target that and we look at issuing equity as well

0:33:16.560 --> 0:33:19.920
<v Speaker 9>to our capital investment. Our equity plan is forty percent

0:33:20.520 --> 0:33:23.040
<v Speaker 9>of our capital investment. That's what we rolled out on

0:33:23.080 --> 0:33:25.480
<v Speaker 9>our earnings call. So we're going to issue about one

0:33:25.480 --> 0:33:28.520
<v Speaker 9>point two billion dollars of equity over our LRP to

0:33:28.680 --> 0:33:31.680
<v Speaker 9>fund that dually a long range plan. I'm sorry, Yes,

0:33:31.840 --> 0:33:34.680
<v Speaker 9>So twenty twenty four through twenty twenty seven, we're going

0:33:34.720 --> 0:33:37.720
<v Speaker 9>to invest thirty five billion, and that's about three point

0:33:37.760 --> 0:33:40.120
<v Speaker 9>seven million in new capital, and we're going to fund

0:33:40.160 --> 0:33:43.360
<v Speaker 9>that forty percent with new equity. So we balance that

0:33:43.960 --> 0:33:47.920
<v Speaker 9>and also the earnings. You know, our debt ratio is

0:33:47.640 --> 0:33:50.320
<v Speaker 9>on the lowest in the industry, our CFO to debts,

0:33:50.400 --> 0:33:52.520
<v Speaker 9>So those are all the things we look to to

0:33:52.680 --> 0:33:53.960
<v Speaker 9>fund opportunities.

0:33:54.120 --> 0:33:55.800
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it looks like you guys just had a bond

0:33:55.840 --> 0:34:00.000
<v Speaker 5>offering earlier this week almost two billion dollars, so that helps,

0:34:00.320 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 5>but that's mostly refinancing data.

0:34:02.280 --> 0:34:05.000
<v Speaker 9>Looks like it was and it was the best spreads

0:34:05.040 --> 0:34:08.680
<v Speaker 9>we've received in the past fifteen years. So people understand

0:34:08.680 --> 0:34:10.480
<v Speaker 9>the value proposition of Excellon.

0:34:10.760 --> 0:34:13.560
<v Speaker 2>Okay, real quick, thirty seconds. You're based in Chicago, right, Yes,

0:34:14.000 --> 0:34:14.719
<v Speaker 2>Chicago today?

0:34:15.080 --> 0:34:19.400
<v Speaker 9>How Chicago today? Chicago. It's a city that's struggling, like

0:34:19.440 --> 0:34:21.960
<v Speaker 9>many urban cities. But I always tell people it's one

0:34:22.000 --> 0:34:27.120
<v Speaker 9>of the greatest cities from June to October. But it is.

0:34:27.160 --> 0:34:29.920
<v Speaker 9>It's a wonderful city and it's vibrant and that's that.

0:34:30.040 --> 0:34:31.600
<v Speaker 9>And I tell you, you know, when we get to

0:34:31.640 --> 0:34:34.120
<v Speaker 9>serve some of the best cities in the nation and

0:34:34.520 --> 0:34:35.920
<v Speaker 9>we are community partner.

0:34:36.160 --> 0:34:38.120
<v Speaker 2>So all right, Calvin, thank you so much for Jordan's

0:34:38.120 --> 0:34:40.520
<v Speaker 2>really appreciate it. Calvin Butler, here's the CEO of Excellon.

0:34:41.200 --> 0:34:43.640
<v Speaker 2>E XCA is a ticcker to put into your Bloomberg

0:34:43.880 --> 0:34:46.760
<v Speaker 2>terminal there, joining us here in a Bloomberg Interactive broker studio.

0:34:46.800 --> 0:34:49.959
<v Speaker 2>They recently reported some earnings. They were in the market,

0:34:49.960 --> 0:34:52.080
<v Speaker 2>as Molly was saying, with a bond offering this week.

0:34:52.120 --> 0:34:55.120
<v Speaker 2>So busy times for the good folks at Excellent based

0:34:55.160 --> 0:34:57.520
<v Speaker 2>in Chicago, one of my all time favorite cities.

0:34:59.000 --> 0:35:02.920
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

0:35:03.000 --> 0:35:06.520
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and Android

0:35:06.520 --> 0:35:09.320
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also listen

0:35:09.440 --> 0:35:12.520
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0:35:12.880 --> 0:35:16.600
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:35:17.000 --> 0:35:19.440
<v Speaker 2>So let's get the ethera wrong, Aanathan, because she is

0:35:19.480 --> 0:35:21.400
<v Speaker 2>the media analyst and there's a lot going on in

0:35:21.680 --> 0:35:24.680
<v Speaker 2>the media space. Warner Brothers Discoveries is one of those

0:35:24.680 --> 0:35:27.680
<v Speaker 2>companies that was put together by Warner Brothers merger with

0:35:27.920 --> 0:35:32.200
<v Speaker 2>Discovery Communications. Everybody felt like, Okay, now this company's got

0:35:32.600 --> 0:35:35.360
<v Speaker 2>some scale, some size, and they could make that transition

0:35:35.440 --> 0:35:38.239
<v Speaker 2>into streaming. Well, their latest results came out and it's

0:35:38.239 --> 0:35:40.960
<v Speaker 2>just kind of confirming not so fast it stocks down

0:35:41.000 --> 0:35:44.399
<v Speaker 2>eleven percent today, down twenty five percent year to date,

0:35:44.440 --> 0:35:47.400
<v Speaker 2>down forty six percent on a trailing twelve month basis

0:35:47.440 --> 0:35:50.680
<v Speaker 2>really really tough out there for the traditional media companies. KEITHA.

0:35:50.760 --> 0:35:53.840
<v Speaker 2>Rong Anathan joins us. She's a media anols for Bloomberg Intelligence. ETHA.

0:35:53.840 --> 0:35:56.279
<v Speaker 2>What you take away or what does the market not

0:35:56.520 --> 0:35:59.960
<v Speaker 2>like about what they heard from their conference call?

0:36:00.160 --> 0:36:03.080
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, really really tough, Paul. I mean it's it's lower

0:36:03.200 --> 0:36:06.799
<v Speaker 10>earnings and you know, earnings pressure that's kind of dominating

0:36:06.840 --> 0:36:10.839
<v Speaker 10>the whole narrative for Warner Brothers Discovery. So you know,

0:36:10.920 --> 0:36:14.720
<v Speaker 10>their EBITDA for twenty twenty three came in way below guidance.

0:36:14.760 --> 0:36:16.719
<v Speaker 10>They had guided to somewhere between ten and a half

0:36:16.800 --> 0:36:18.880
<v Speaker 10>to eleven billion dollars in EBITDA. It actually came in

0:36:18.920 --> 0:36:21.560
<v Speaker 10>at ten point two billion. And I think what's worse

0:36:21.600 --> 0:36:24.120
<v Speaker 10>and what kind of really spooked investors was there was

0:36:24.200 --> 0:36:28.239
<v Speaker 10>absolutely no guidance whatsoever for twenty twenty four, a kind

0:36:28.280 --> 0:36:31.040
<v Speaker 10>of you know suggesting, I mean, consensus had twenty twenty

0:36:31.040 --> 0:36:32.799
<v Speaker 10>four estimates at about ten and a half billion. I

0:36:32.800 --> 0:36:35.239
<v Speaker 10>think it's going to be way below ten billion. And

0:36:35.280 --> 0:36:36.840
<v Speaker 10>if you just kind of look at the commentary for

0:36:37.000 --> 0:36:39.960
<v Speaker 10>the TV networks business, remember more than fifty percent of

0:36:40.000 --> 0:36:42.680
<v Speaker 10>their revenue comes from their TV networks business, you know,

0:36:42.719 --> 0:36:48.760
<v Speaker 10>networks like TNTTBS. Again, advertising is really in the doll drums,

0:36:48.840 --> 0:36:52.439
<v Speaker 10>So you know, nothing to really cheer about right now.

0:36:52.600 --> 0:36:55.160
<v Speaker 5>How much of this GITA is really just coming out

0:36:55.160 --> 0:36:57.839
<v Speaker 5>of those Hollywood strikes last year, just you know, it's

0:36:57.840 --> 0:36:59.560
<v Speaker 5>going to take a little bit of time or there's

0:36:59.560 --> 0:37:02.279
<v Speaker 5>really more of a longer term issue at play here.

0:37:03.360 --> 0:37:06.239
<v Speaker 10>The Hollywood strikes, Molly definitely had a huge impact and

0:37:06.320 --> 0:37:09.719
<v Speaker 10>they weighed that. Those strikes definitely weighed on ebitdah. So

0:37:09.719 --> 0:37:11.200
<v Speaker 10>so the numbers that we kind of talked about, the

0:37:11.200 --> 0:37:13.759
<v Speaker 10>ten point two billion versus eleven billion, a lot of

0:37:13.800 --> 0:37:16.480
<v Speaker 10>that was from the Hollywood strikes. The flip side was

0:37:16.600 --> 0:37:19.760
<v Speaker 10>the Hollywood strikes did have a positive effect on free

0:37:19.800 --> 0:37:22.800
<v Speaker 10>cash flow, so you know, the free casual numbers of

0:37:22.880 --> 0:37:25.879
<v Speaker 10>this company throughout were obviously huge. But again that's going

0:37:25.920 --> 0:37:29.000
<v Speaker 10>to reverse once content production restarts. But I think you know,

0:37:29.080 --> 0:37:31.960
<v Speaker 10>it's not just the content pipeline, right We're looking at

0:37:32.040 --> 0:37:35.719
<v Speaker 10>a business model that is very, very challenged right now

0:37:35.760 --> 0:37:38.279
<v Speaker 10>because of cord cutting. You know, you look at a

0:37:38.280 --> 0:37:41.319
<v Speaker 10>PATV ecosystem that has lost about thirty percent of its

0:37:41.440 --> 0:37:45.480
<v Speaker 10>base and that is really having some huge ramifications for

0:37:45.560 --> 0:37:48.200
<v Speaker 10>this company. So, you know, we spoke about fifty percent

0:37:48.200 --> 0:37:50.920
<v Speaker 10>of its revenue coming from the TV networks, ninety percent

0:37:50.960 --> 0:37:54.200
<v Speaker 10>of its EBITDAH comes from that TV network's business. So

0:37:54.480 --> 0:37:57.600
<v Speaker 10>we're seeing a steady ten to fifteen percent decline every

0:37:57.680 --> 0:38:01.040
<v Speaker 10>year because of cord cutting, because of pressures, and that's

0:38:01.080 --> 0:38:02.360
<v Speaker 10>not going to go away.

0:38:02.840 --> 0:38:05.719
<v Speaker 2>All right, Keitha. We're looking waiting for the President. Biden

0:38:05.800 --> 0:38:08.200
<v Speaker 2>is about to speak in Washington, DC, so we may

0:38:08.239 --> 0:38:12.040
<v Speaker 2>have to cut away from that. So Keitha, say, we

0:38:12.080 --> 0:38:15.000
<v Speaker 2>have President Bond walking up to the lectern, I believe,

0:38:15.120 --> 0:38:17.279
<v Speaker 2>So we'll have to see how this plays up down

0:38:17.280 --> 0:38:20.719
<v Speaker 2>in Washington, DC, some comments from the President, So we'll

0:38:20.760 --> 0:38:22.640
<v Speaker 2>have to wait and see how that plays out. KEITHA,

0:38:22.719 --> 0:38:25.400
<v Speaker 2>Real quick is a merger between Warner Brothers Discovery and

0:38:25.480 --> 0:38:28.680
<v Speaker 2>Paramount something that could happen, should happen. It seems like

0:38:28.719 --> 0:38:32.320
<v Speaker 2>two relatively weak companies, two relatively levered balance sheets.

0:38:33.080 --> 0:38:35.840
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, Paul, I mean there is a lot of strategic rationale,

0:38:36.239 --> 0:38:38.560
<v Speaker 10>you know, and Warner Brothers Discovery has been really good

0:38:38.560 --> 0:38:41.000
<v Speaker 10>at extracting synergies. They got out almost four and a

0:38:41.040 --> 0:38:43.360
<v Speaker 10>half five billion dollars from just that combination of Warner

0:38:43.400 --> 0:38:45.880
<v Speaker 10>and Discovery, so they obviously could do that again with Paramount.

0:38:46.200 --> 0:38:48.080
<v Speaker 10>The thing is, I just don't think the market has

0:38:48.200 --> 0:38:50.880
<v Speaker 10>any appetite for more debt. I mean, we have Warner

0:38:50.920 --> 0:38:53.120
<v Speaker 10>Brothers with forty five billion dollars in dead we have

0:38:53.160 --> 0:38:56.040
<v Speaker 10>Paramount with about sixteen billion. I don't think investors will

0:38:56.080 --> 0:38:56.359
<v Speaker 10>like it.

0:38:57.320 --> 0:38:58.120
<v Speaker 6>And let's look at it.

0:38:58.200 --> 0:39:01.520
<v Speaker 5>I mean, let the subscriber here looks like those actually

0:39:01.560 --> 0:39:05.040
<v Speaker 5>came in above analyst estimates. But I mean, is that

0:39:05.280 --> 0:39:07.200
<v Speaker 5>I feel like that's normally something that would drive a

0:39:07.200 --> 0:39:09.560
<v Speaker 5>bit more optimism here. But Lake, you said, everything else

0:39:09.600 --> 0:39:12.520
<v Speaker 5>across the board is just like really just so negative.

0:39:13.400 --> 0:39:16.360
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, I mean streaming subscribers. Yes, that used to be

0:39:16.440 --> 0:39:19.200
<v Speaker 10>a metric that investors used to kind of get excited about.

0:39:19.400 --> 0:39:22.719
<v Speaker 10>Not any more. We're really looking more for profitability. And

0:39:22.760 --> 0:39:24.239
<v Speaker 10>at the end of the day, yeah, they could add

0:39:24.239 --> 0:39:26.839
<v Speaker 10>you know, a million, two million, even three million subscribers,

0:39:26.880 --> 0:39:29.040
<v Speaker 10>but it's really not going to move the needle. I mean, yes,

0:39:29.120 --> 0:39:31.400
<v Speaker 10>you have them at about ninety seven million subscribers for

0:39:31.440 --> 0:39:34.040
<v Speaker 10>their max platform, but it's still a very far cry

0:39:34.120 --> 0:39:36.520
<v Speaker 10>from Netflix, which has two hundred and sixty million from

0:39:36.560 --> 0:39:39.040
<v Speaker 10>Amazon Prime, which again has maybe about two hundred million,

0:39:39.040 --> 0:39:40.719
<v Speaker 10>from Disney, which has one hundred and fifty million. So

0:39:40.719 --> 0:39:43.360
<v Speaker 10>they will always kind of be that tier two player.

0:39:44.560 --> 0:39:46.160
<v Speaker 10>And so then it's going to come down to, Okay,

0:39:46.200 --> 0:39:48.879
<v Speaker 10>what is their place going to be in this new

0:39:48.880 --> 0:39:51.279
<v Speaker 10>streaming world? And we're still kind of uncertain about that.

0:39:52.040 --> 0:39:54.320
<v Speaker 2>Hey, keith it Tom Keene asked me a good question

0:39:54.400 --> 0:39:57.719
<v Speaker 2>this morning. He noted, reminded me that John Malone is

0:39:57.760 --> 0:40:01.279
<v Speaker 2>a big, big owner of Warner Brothers Discovery, and he

0:40:01.320 --> 0:40:03.920
<v Speaker 2>doesn't have a whole lot of patients. What do you

0:40:03.920 --> 0:40:07.040
<v Speaker 2>think his intentions are with Warner Brothers Discovery? Is David

0:40:07.120 --> 0:40:09.880
<v Speaker 2>Zaslov the CEO? Is his job in jeopardy? Do you

0:40:09.880 --> 0:40:12.640
<v Speaker 2>expect John Malone to exert some pressure on this company

0:40:12.680 --> 0:40:15.360
<v Speaker 2>to enhance shareholder value? How do you think that dynamic

0:40:15.440 --> 0:40:16.000
<v Speaker 2>might play out?

0:40:17.040 --> 0:40:20.000
<v Speaker 10>I think twenty twenty four Paul is definitely going to

0:40:20.040 --> 0:40:22.719
<v Speaker 10>be a difficulty or for media all across the board.

0:40:22.760 --> 0:40:25.360
<v Speaker 10>That's it. They do have certain things in place. So

0:40:25.400 --> 0:40:28.560
<v Speaker 10>they do have this new Skinny sports app that they're

0:40:28.600 --> 0:40:31.239
<v Speaker 10>working with both Disney and Fox that's going to come

0:40:31.239 --> 0:40:33.840
<v Speaker 10>out in the fall. So you know, that's a positive.

0:40:34.000 --> 0:40:37.000
<v Speaker 10>I really don't know what kind of impact it's going

0:40:37.000 --> 0:40:38.960
<v Speaker 10>to have on earnings just yet, but they are definitely

0:40:38.960 --> 0:40:42.480
<v Speaker 10>trying to hedge their bets. But going into twenty twenty five,

0:40:42.480 --> 0:40:44.920
<v Speaker 10>I mean they're still talking about you know, streaming profitability

0:40:44.920 --> 0:40:48.040
<v Speaker 10>and things like that. Again, I'm not sure whether it's

0:40:48.200 --> 0:40:52.000
<v Speaker 10>enough to kind of offset the linear TV pressures. So

0:40:52.520 --> 0:40:55.279
<v Speaker 10>I'm not sure what kind of pressure John Malone is

0:40:55.320 --> 0:40:57.640
<v Speaker 10>going to be exerting on them. But I don't necessarily

0:40:57.640 --> 0:41:00.239
<v Speaker 10>see anything major happening at least in twenty two twenty

0:41:00.280 --> 0:41:02.239
<v Speaker 10>four from both an m and A perspective or from

0:41:02.239 --> 0:41:04.920
<v Speaker 10>a financial perspective. Right now, it's all about you know,

0:41:05.120 --> 0:41:09.200
<v Speaker 10>organic opportunities for WBT, So it's there's really no major

0:41:09.280 --> 0:41:11.120
<v Speaker 10>catalyst as far as I can see.

0:41:11.360 --> 0:41:13.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Well, my good friend Laura Martin, she's meeting anost

0:41:13.880 --> 0:41:15.560
<v Speaker 2>over and need him and company, and she's one of

0:41:15.600 --> 0:41:17.960
<v Speaker 2>the top adamsts out there, a lot of experience. She's

0:41:18.040 --> 0:41:20.840
<v Speaker 2>keeping her hold on this company. She says, you know,

0:41:20.840 --> 0:41:22.799
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty four is an investment year, not a free

0:41:22.800 --> 0:41:26.080
<v Speaker 2>cash flow growth year, so she's waiting for revenue growth

0:41:26.080 --> 0:41:28.480
<v Speaker 2>to come, which might be might be next year, So

0:41:28.640 --> 0:41:30.720
<v Speaker 2>she's staying on the sidelines at least.

0:41:31.640 --> 0:41:34.360
<v Speaker 5>You know, when I see an earnings report like this, Githa,

0:41:34.719 --> 0:41:37.400
<v Speaker 5>when you see like something that's like free cash flow

0:41:37.520 --> 0:41:40.960
<v Speaker 5>was like so overwhelmingly positive and everything else not so great,

0:41:41.040 --> 0:41:43.560
<v Speaker 5>I feel like this is like case in point of

0:41:43.600 --> 0:41:47.160
<v Speaker 5>like why bondholders and shareholders care about different things. So

0:41:47.320 --> 0:41:49.719
<v Speaker 5>is there gonna is this maybe something where if you're

0:41:50.239 --> 0:41:52.719
<v Speaker 5>a debt holder of Warner Bros. Discovery today, you're just like,

0:41:53.080 --> 0:41:55.799
<v Speaker 5>praise be, They're gonna pray down, They're gonna pay down debt.

0:41:56.040 --> 0:41:58.400
<v Speaker 5>This is a great deal leveraging story, or like you

0:41:58.440 --> 0:41:59.360
<v Speaker 5>can't even take.

0:41:59.200 --> 0:42:00.000
<v Speaker 6>That kind of an angle.

0:42:00.000 --> 0:42:02.680
<v Speaker 10>Well, it is a good deal leveraging story, and they've

0:42:02.719 --> 0:42:04.399
<v Speaker 10>done a great job. I mean, they paid down more

0:42:04.400 --> 0:42:07.879
<v Speaker 10>than five billion dollars in debt Molley through twenty twenty three.

0:42:07.880 --> 0:42:10.480
<v Speaker 10>But then you know, they had some pretty ambitious leverage targets.

0:42:10.520 --> 0:42:13.200
<v Speaker 10>So we ended twenty twenty three at three three point

0:42:13.280 --> 0:42:15.400
<v Speaker 10>nine x. You know, their goal was to get to

0:42:15.400 --> 0:42:17.800
<v Speaker 10>a two and a half to three times leverage ratio

0:42:17.800 --> 0:42:19.840
<v Speaker 10>by the end of twenty twenty four. They're obviously not

0:42:20.000 --> 0:42:22.200
<v Speaker 10>going to get there. I think, you know the way

0:42:22.200 --> 0:42:24.080
<v Speaker 10>that bondholders are going to look at. This is obviously

0:42:24.080 --> 0:42:26.640
<v Speaker 10>the EBITDA guidance or the lack of guidance kind of

0:42:26.640 --> 0:42:29.800
<v Speaker 10>speaks volumes at this point. You know, the earnings pressure

0:42:29.840 --> 0:42:32.359
<v Speaker 10>is just tremendous right now for this company. I think

0:42:32.400 --> 0:42:35.200
<v Speaker 10>once we get to below three times a leverage ratio,

0:42:35.320 --> 0:42:37.920
<v Speaker 10>I think that's when the stock will really kind of

0:42:37.920 --> 0:42:39.879
<v Speaker 10>start to work, both on the equity side as well

0:42:39.880 --> 0:42:41.160
<v Speaker 10>as on the credit side.

0:42:41.440 --> 0:42:43.040
<v Speaker 2>All Right, gith thanks so much for joining us. Well,

0:42:43.040 --> 0:42:45.480
<v Speaker 2>we appreciate it. Eithan wrong Andothan. She covers all the

0:42:45.480 --> 0:42:49.520
<v Speaker 2>media industry, all the companies there for Bloomberg Intelligence really

0:42:49.600 --> 0:42:51.359
<v Speaker 2>leads our effort there, and we appreciate getting a few

0:42:51.360 --> 0:42:54.200
<v Speaker 2>minutes over time, just a real time of transition in

0:42:54.239 --> 0:42:58.000
<v Speaker 2>the media space here as the industry tries to transition

0:42:58.080 --> 0:43:00.600
<v Speaker 2>from what was the traditional media model where you bundled

0:43:00.640 --> 0:43:02.680
<v Speaker 2>everything up in a cable package and you paid your

0:43:02.680 --> 0:43:04.560
<v Speaker 2>eighty year one hundred bucks a month and everybody made

0:43:04.560 --> 0:43:07.680
<v Speaker 2>money all throughout the ecosystem. That was a very very

0:43:07.719 --> 0:43:11.040
<v Speaker 2>good business for shareholders and for bondholders. Now let's transition

0:43:11.080 --> 0:43:15.120
<v Speaker 2>to streaming. The economics are uncertain at best, and investors

0:43:15.160 --> 0:43:16.560
<v Speaker 2>are just saying I'm going to wait on the sidelines

0:43:16.560 --> 0:43:17.239
<v Speaker 2>before we get back.

0:43:17.480 --> 0:43:19.680
<v Speaker 6>Well maybe you know, NASA shoot my own horn.

0:43:19.760 --> 0:43:21.480
<v Speaker 5>But I did just get cable for the first time

0:43:21.520 --> 0:43:24.040
<v Speaker 5>in my life really in my new apartment. It's part

0:43:24.040 --> 0:43:26.680
<v Speaker 5>of our maintenance fees that we get a deal with RCN.

0:43:26.840 --> 0:43:29.160
<v Speaker 6>So maybe I'll be helping them in why because you're

0:43:29.440 --> 0:43:34.280
<v Speaker 6>a what spectrum cable just like millennial? Yeah that's the label.

0:43:34.360 --> 0:43:37.520
<v Speaker 2>Yes, okay, so wow, I mean A'm millennial getting into

0:43:37.520 --> 0:43:40.480
<v Speaker 2>the pad ecosyst that that is a It's a story

0:43:40.480 --> 0:43:41.200
<v Speaker 2>in and of itself.

0:43:41.960 --> 0:43:46.480
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