1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: The Armstrong and Jetty shows the net effect of went 2 00:00:08,039 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: and tweeted this morning and what we're talking about now 3 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: to cast doubt on the results of the It's had 4 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: an interesting impact. I didn't know it was going to 5 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: be the impact it had. What people are now looking 6 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: at is am I right but not me? Are all 7 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:26,759 Speaker 1: these stories right about the fact that these elections will 8 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 1: be fraudulent, they'll be fixed, they'll be rigged. And everyone's 9 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 1: looking at it, and a lot of people are saying, 10 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 1: you know, that probably will happen. That's hilarious. Um So 11 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: Trump tweeted yesterday that you know, maybe we should delay 12 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:43,440 Speaker 1: the election, and everybody went crazy, and he said, I 13 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:44,760 Speaker 1: didn't think it would have that sort of a lot 14 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 1: of reaction. I it surprises me. I love him jerking 15 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:51,479 Speaker 1: people around. I mean, I get a kick out of 16 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 1: that on on many different levels, but pretend outrage and 17 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 1: the rest of it. I often wonder what he's hoping 18 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 1: to accomplish. We're joined by Lani Chen David and Nyanne 19 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:06,560 Speaker 1: Stephie fellow in American Public Policy Studies of the Hoover Institution, 20 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 1: and Lani, much as I deal with my backyard, let's 21 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:13,120 Speaker 1: clean up the dong first, and then we'll get onto 22 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 1: the more edifying stuff. That's the worst transition I've ever heard, 23 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:23,399 Speaker 1: thank you so. Uh. The idea that Trump would delay 24 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 1: the election, how likely? Oh god? Uh looks zero likely, 25 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: zero likelihood that he can do it. Uh, you know, 26 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,839 Speaker 1: zero likelihood that he would ever uh you know, he'd 27 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:39,680 Speaker 1: ever be able to get away with it. You know, 28 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,119 Speaker 1: on this one, the constitution and US law are pretty clear. 29 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 1: Now one more and it's even more ridiculous, And I 30 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 1: think it's zero likely he would try so and he knew, 31 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 1: how so even more ridiculous if Trump were to declare 32 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: after the election, which in this scenario he lost, I 33 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 1: am not leaving, as has been suggested in the New 34 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 1: York Times, the Washington Morning. Joe talks about it all 35 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 1: the time, all the alphabet that in serious tones. As 36 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 1: a man of great experience and knowledge. If a president 37 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 1: were to declare that, what would happen on inauguration day? Well, 38 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, he would find himself locked out 39 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 1: of the White House. I mean, that's just not it's 40 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:26,639 Speaker 1: it's again. The Constitution here is very clear. US law 41 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 1: is very clear, the president's term ends on a certain date, 42 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 1: and if he has not been re elected, he is 43 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: no longer the president by noon on January. You're a 44 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 1: private citizen. You don't live here anymore. A trespasser need 45 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:42,000 Speaker 1: be removed, right, I mean it would be like, you know, 46 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,079 Speaker 1: it's it's like the guy who finds himself kicked out 47 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:47,079 Speaker 1: of his house. I mean, it's this is this is 48 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: kind of what would happen. So, you know, I mean, look, 49 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 1: there's a lot of conversation about stuff Trump says, and 50 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 1: and there's a lot of things I really wish he 51 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:57,120 Speaker 1: wouldn't say, and I don't I don't think are particularly helpful. 52 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:01,119 Speaker 1: But you know, he is sort of, as you guys 53 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 1: alluded to, he's sort of the ultimate troll in a 54 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 1: lot of ways, right, I mean, he sort of gets 55 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:08,359 Speaker 1: people to respond to things, uh, and then it gets 56 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: people spun up. And and that's exactly what he's hoping 57 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 1: to do. He's hoping to take you know, people take 58 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:14,799 Speaker 1: their eyes off the ball and take their eyes off 59 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:18,960 Speaker 1: of what really matters. Would it be a good idea 60 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:23,799 Speaker 1: for uh, you know, Barack Obama bringing it up yesterday 61 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 1: John Lewis's funeral, I thought was shocking the idea he 62 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:29,400 Speaker 1: actually suggested Democrats need to do away with the filibuster 63 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:31,639 Speaker 1: in the Senate. That is that an issue you could 64 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 1: get people worked up about, or is that too complicated 65 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 1: for most voters. I think it's an issue that activist 66 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:41,160 Speaker 1: bases get really worked up about, so on the right 67 00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 1: and on the left. This is actually one area where 68 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,440 Speaker 1: the activists based on the right agrees with the activists 69 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 1: based on the left, the idea that the filibuster is antiquated, 70 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 1: and if only we didn't have the filibuster, we'd be 71 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: able to get so much done. The problem with that, 72 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: of course, is that the way American politics works is 73 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 1: that you don't have one part in control for long 74 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 1: periods of time. Usually party you know, party control goes 75 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:08,000 Speaker 1: back and forth, which means, you know, if you want 76 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 1: the filibuster gone for Republicans, uh, then you ought to 77 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: be able to accept the fact that filibuster will be 78 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 1: gone for Democrats as well. And that's precisely why the 79 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 1: filibuster I think, remains in place, because people realize how 80 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:22,599 Speaker 1: damaging it would be if it were to be to 81 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 1: be eliminated. Well, just to put in plain terms, what 82 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 1: we'd see, among other things, is wild, jarring instant changes 83 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:34,479 Speaker 1: in the way the country is governed every four year, 84 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 1: every two years, conceivably, I mean, just wild swings in policy, 85 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 1: foreign policy, domestic policy. Oh yeah, I mean, look, you'd see, 86 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:46,719 Speaker 1: you know, you'd have Obamacare one year, you'd have no 87 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 1: Obamacare the next year, and then you'd have Medicare for 88 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:52,039 Speaker 1: all the fifth year. I mean, that's the that's the 89 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 1: kind of gyrating that you would see, and it would 90 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 1: be tremendously damaging and difficult for us to really uh 91 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 1: be able to operate as a country in a lot 92 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 1: of ways because you would have massive portions of the 93 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:08,599 Speaker 1: economy affected by big time policy and it would change 94 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:10,360 Speaker 1: all the time. Because what would happen is you would 95 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: only need a simple majority to make these huge policy 96 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: changes in the Senate. And that's really the only thing 97 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:18,280 Speaker 1: that keeps this I think that keeps the train from 98 00:05:18,279 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 1: going off the tracks completely. Oh yeah, we could go 99 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 1: back and forth between open borders and zero immigration in 100 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 1: one administration, and before you know it, cannibalism. Lani chen 101 00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 1: is on the line from the Hoover Institution. Do you 102 00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:34,479 Speaker 1: even care? Do you pay attention to Joe Biden's VP 103 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 1: choice or or is that just an overrated question, you know. 104 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 1: I mean it's something that the political class gets really 105 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:45,480 Speaker 1: excited about and interested in, you know, particularly because maybe 106 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 1: there's there's there's not a whole lot of other uh, 107 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 1: you know, other other stories to follow closely. Uh. Look, 108 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:55,159 Speaker 1: I think it matters in so far as Joe biden 109 00:05:55,560 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 1: situation is that he's really old, and you know, you 110 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 1: want to make sure that there is somebody there who 111 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:06,159 Speaker 1: credibly could be president, you know, at any given time. 112 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 1: So I think in this situation with Biden, the VP 113 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 1: pick matters a little bit more. But historically what we 114 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:15,000 Speaker 1: know is that the VP pick doesn't actually impact the 115 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:17,599 Speaker 1: course of the election that much. It's a new story 116 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 1: for a few days. But with Biden's case, maybe it 117 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:24,680 Speaker 1: matters a little bit more. Um. Former White House Press 118 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:27,040 Speaker 1: Secretary Joe Lockhart argued the other day, I think it 119 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:29,280 Speaker 1: was in Time magazine that Biden shouldn't debate at all. 120 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:33,040 Speaker 1: So Biden might do no press conferences and no debates 121 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 1: until the election. You think you can pull that off? No, 122 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 1: I don't. And I think that's a stupid idea, uh to, 123 00:06:39,320 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 1: to to have Biden avoid debates. I mean, that plays 124 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 1: right into the narrative that I think Trump is building 125 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:49,400 Speaker 1: around Biden, you know, the Biden and the Bunker narrative, 126 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:52,520 Speaker 1: and and I you know, look, I think Joe Biden 127 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 1: has showed that there are times when he can be 128 00:06:55,920 --> 00:07:00,760 Speaker 1: fine lucid. Uh. During the Democratic primary debates, he went 129 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 1: out there and he had a couple of debates that 130 00:07:02,480 --> 00:07:05,279 Speaker 1: were really bad and a few that were quite good. 131 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:08,719 Speaker 1: I think that in this situation, if you're on the 132 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: Biden team, you have to accept the possibility that Biden 133 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: could do okay, and that there might be more harm 134 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 1: than good in keeping him the question in the bunker 135 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 1: and not wanting to debate. That is absolutely the wrong 136 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:23,240 Speaker 1: look I think for him. Yeah, I just wonder if 137 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 1: it'll actually move votes. Yeah, I'm not saying you're wrong 138 00:07:26,960 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 1: one he I just which will he got to balance 139 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:31,800 Speaker 1: it against him coming out in a ninety minute debate 140 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: and you know, really showing his age, you know, the 141 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 1: the risk risk versus reward, which I think is why 142 00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 1: they're hanging a lantern on some of his faults. As 143 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 1: they say said, yeah, he's gaff prone the rest of it, 144 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:45,920 Speaker 1: but he's a nice fella. Now they're saying, look, he's 145 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 1: a transitional figure. He's only going to do one term. 146 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:51,360 Speaker 1: Then it's onto the new thing. It's no big deal 147 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 1: if he gets elected. I did hear somebody make the 148 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 1: argument that Trump had the reverse situation for debates last 149 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 1: time around. Hillary was the expert, she knew everything, was 150 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:03,120 Speaker 1: a political expert. I don't know anything about debating. Well, 151 00:08:03,120 --> 00:08:05,440 Speaker 1: Trump has set the bar so low for Biden now 152 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 1: by saying, you know, he can barely talk. I think 153 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: if Biden comes out and he's competent at all, yeah, oh, 154 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 1: hecor out of time. Sorry about that line. Yeah, that's terrible. 155 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:17,560 Speaker 1: It's a waste of your valuable time, your expertise, etcetera. 156 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 1: Alan he Chen, that was interesting. Uh, fellow in American 157 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: Public policy studies, Hoover Institution. Always enlightening. Thanks a million. 158 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 1: All right, um, yeah, I I don't know with the 159 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:32,760 Speaker 1: Biden thing. I could see it going either way. There's 160 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:34,719 Speaker 1: so much more than it's going to happen between now 161 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: and then and Getty