Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.
Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros, and it is me,
Speaker 1: Joey p Joe Pizipo. We got a great show for
Speaker 1: you today, if you can believe it.
Speaker 2: Already a quarter of.
Speaker 1: The way through the Major League Baseball season and it's
Speaker 1: time to take some temperatures. So we're gonna take a
Speaker 1: look at some MLB bets thanks to betting pros consensus numbers,
Speaker 1: We're gonna take a look at the World Series. We're
Speaker 1: gonna take a look at division winners, or we're even
Speaker 1: gonna take a look at some MLB awards with a
Speaker 1: very very special guest and good friend of mine. You
Speaker 1: can see him every single Sunday on Sportscried with Me
Speaker 1: joeyp for the last year. How he put up with
Speaker 1: me for an entire year plus every single Sunday of
Speaker 1: his life, nobody knows. You could also check him out
Speaker 1: on The Better's Eye, which is a new show on
Speaker 1: MLB dot Com. It's also made appearances on MLB Network
Speaker 1: and some other cool MLB advanced media where they go
Speaker 1: through the best bets of the day. And you may
Speaker 1: also remember him and see him currently in the wrestling
Speaker 1: world calling matches on Impact Wrestling, and of course he
Speaker 1: was a WWE superstar, but he's always a superstar in
Speaker 1: my heart. He's the one, the only Matt Striker. Matti
Speaker 1: bonus time with me. What kind of bet did you lose?
Speaker 1: That's the question.
Speaker 3: And then the glowing accolades you forgot to include, friend,
Speaker 3: But fair enough, man, that of all the things I've
Speaker 3: achieved in my life, I think I'm having the most
Speaker 3: fun right now. Baseball betting is the thing. Everyone is
Speaker 3: accepting it, States are understanding it, and I think just
Speaker 3: as a society collectively, we're looking at it differently. This
Speaker 3: is fun and this can be done well if you
Speaker 3: have some inside information.
Speaker 1: So I'm down, man, absolutely, And you know what I
Speaker 1: should have led with friend, But and I usually like
Speaker 1: embarrassing you in public too. Yet yet I missed this opportunity.
Speaker 1: I'll be sure on Sunday to do it again. But
Speaker 1: Matt and I do a show every Sunday together. If
Speaker 1: you this kind of banter on sports grew from eight
Speaker 1: to ten am every single weekend, recapping the week that
Speaker 1: was a Major League baseball and looking ahead. And I
Speaker 1: think that new show you've got right now, The Better's
Speaker 1: Eye is terrific.
Speaker 2: You and Keith do a phenomenal job on it. I
Speaker 2: have seen it. You guys are crushing it.
Speaker 1: And like Matt said, I mean, betting on baseball now
Speaker 1: is such an acceptable thing, which is such a culture shock.
Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but coming from this world
Speaker 1: where all betting on baseball was such taboo to now
Speaker 1: on the bottom of MLB network, when you get the
Speaker 1: starting pitchers, you get the lines for the games, isn't
Speaker 1: that a little culture shock for you?
Speaker 4: Two? Yes and no.
Speaker 3: Again, As a society, we're moving to systemically remove things
Speaker 3: or remove things that we interpret to be systemic part
Speaker 3: of me. So with that said, there's good and bad
Speaker 3: in everything. But when you look at the joy of
Speaker 3: wagering on baseball, using math, using knowledge, using fandom, there
Speaker 3: is nothing back room about it. There is nothing wrong
Speaker 3: with it. So I think, with that regard, if that's
Speaker 3: the culture shocked, then good, let that shock dissipate. It's
Speaker 3: about knowing that Clay Ray really hits that slider seventy
Speaker 3: three percent of the time, and picture A really throws
Speaker 3: that slider.
Speaker 4: Here's some money on math.
Speaker 1: Ah, money on math from the teacher, from the former professor.
Speaker 1: I love that money on math. That's gonna be his
Speaker 1: new hashtag and all right, stuff like, so write it down.
Speaker 2: Get it in there.
Speaker 1: All right, let's start with some player futures here for MVP,
Speaker 1: and we'll start in the American League. The consensus betting
Speaker 1: pros number is plus one sixty for Mike Trout. He
Speaker 1: is still the favorite and still a wide favorite at that.
Speaker 1: It varies in place to place, but typically one sixties
Speaker 1: about that number you're getting, You're getting Shoyotani now creeping
Speaker 1: in is the number two consensus at plus seven hundred,
Speaker 1: Vladgermero at ten to one, and then young Carlos Stanton
Speaker 1: after this incredible hot two weeks that he's put together
Speaker 1: at plus eighteen. Now, Stan would be a great story
Speaker 1: for MVP, but we all know all the injuries are
Speaker 1: concerned Byron Buxton just a week ago before his injury
Speaker 1: was actually the number two or three guy, and my
Speaker 1: guy show Hao Tom. He's still sticking around now. I
Speaker 1: know he's got to start tonight. We'll see how that goes.
Speaker 1: But is it still Trout or the field for you?
Speaker 1: And is there somebody in the field that you think
Speaker 1: right now is set up as a good wager, is
Speaker 1: it Otani because he's so unique at seven to one.
Speaker 3: So I was really excited when you text me to
Speaker 3: tell me the content of this discussion, because when you
Speaker 3: make futures, especially on divisional winners, and we're going to
Speaker 3: talk about that. I have a particular system that I've used.
Speaker 3: It seems to work as far as individual awards. Yes
Speaker 3: you have your chalk guys, and yes you can throw
Speaker 3: down on them at the beginning of the season, a
Speaker 3: quarterway through the season, halfway through the season, so on
Speaker 3: and so forth, barring injury. But this is such a
Speaker 3: thickle category you mentioned Otani. No one really had a
Speaker 3: grasp on what this was going to look like, and
Speaker 3: we still don't because the pitching is still in question,
Speaker 3: and that definitely lends itself to this conversation. I got like,
Speaker 3: Vlade Guerrero is a guy that I think people would
Speaker 3: be looking at before a first pitch was even thrown,
Speaker 3: and you're.
Speaker 4: Continue to look at him.
Speaker 3: Is there anyone else that's creeping up that you can say, hmm,
Speaker 3: maybe maybe be careful with the maybies you're giving your money.
Speaker 3: Snake shock in these MVP and cy Young type of
Speaker 3: plays until someone really emerges that you didn't see coming.
Speaker 3: Because again, if you're watching shows like this, chances are
Speaker 3: you know who these players are. The guy waiting for
Speaker 3: the bus might not, and that's whose money we're taking.
Speaker 2: Mm hmm, yeah, it's a look to me.
Speaker 1: When Otani was it I think twenty to one or
Speaker 1: fifteen to one in most places before the year, that
Speaker 1: was the time to take a shot on it.
Speaker 4: For sure.
Speaker 1: You know you lay one hundred on that. That's a
Speaker 1: lovely return because he has something that nobody else can offer,
Speaker 1: which is that two way player thing. It's just a
Speaker 1: matter of whether or not he can be good enough
Speaker 1: at both to really make that sort of headway. And
Speaker 1: it's so ironic that the favorite is the guy on
Speaker 1: his own team, which we often say, oh, it's so
Speaker 1: hard to separate when you have two guys on the
Speaker 1: same team. But right now, Jared Walsh might be the
Speaker 1: best angel swing in a bat currently, So who knows
Speaker 1: what's going on. Let's go to the National League side.
Speaker 1: A little bit of a wrinkle here lately because de Gram,
Speaker 1: who you and I have been talking about as a
Speaker 1: possible MVP candidate. He goes to the IL, but Ron
Speaker 1: Lacuney is still the favorite plus two seventy five. De
Speaker 1: Grom still can census around eight hundred. Some places might
Speaker 1: even take that down depending on the injury. Right now
Speaker 1: and wait and see what goes on. Tatis is at
Speaker 1: plus eight to fifty and then my boy Juan Soto
Speaker 1: has floated all the way at ten to one.
Speaker 2: So here's my question.
Speaker 1: We know this is a narrative award, a media award.
Speaker 1: Matt Striker, do you think that this whole to Fernando
Speaker 1: Tatis playing through this shoulder injury, this very intense injury.
Speaker 1: If the Padres do continue to play well and the
Speaker 1: Dodgers continue to play under expectations, and let's say something
Speaker 1: magical happens where the Padres are right there even last
Speaker 1: week or two of the season with them, is Tatus
Speaker 1: at plus eight fifty. The way to get in right
Speaker 1: now on that, because that is a narrative that certainly plays.
Speaker 4: It does, but again, please use logic and not emotion.
Speaker 4: I grew up with four sisters.
Speaker 2: Yes, how did you ever get out? Where was any
Speaker 2: of the logic?
Speaker 4: So it's all aside.
Speaker 3: Actually, there are times where where rule with your heart
Speaker 3: is the right thing to do, but in this regard
Speaker 3: it's not.
Speaker 4: Let's not get philosophical. I think you make up a
Speaker 4: great point here, though.
Speaker 3: If it continues to be the way it is and
Speaker 3: the padres are there at the end of the conversation,
Speaker 3: in a perfect world both soda and akunya are at
Speaker 3: least somewhere on a portion of someone's tongue in this conversation,
Speaker 3: then yes, I can certainly see people saying, wow, I
Speaker 3: got in on tatoos at that number right in the
Speaker 3: middle of May. I'm the smartest person in the world.
Speaker 3: The thing about the nl MVP race is that there
Speaker 3: was always going to be three or four places where
Speaker 3: you could put a chip.
Speaker 4: Now you're trying to narrow it down.
Speaker 3: There's still three, maybe four places you can put a chip.
Speaker 4: Let's have this conversation again.
Speaker 3: Hopefully I'll come back on maybe June first, because right
Speaker 3: now I'm walking past this table and I want to
Speaker 3: put a chip down. I just don't know where to
Speaker 3: put that chip. So I've learned in my years on
Speaker 3: this planet. I put that chip back in my pocket.
Speaker 3: I wait, let these players show me something I can't
Speaker 3: show them anything.
Speaker 1: I don't know if Acunya has done that much to
Speaker 1: separate himself that much from the herd, which is kind
Speaker 1: of interesting to me. That's actually the chalk is the
Speaker 1: one I like the least amount here, Whereas that's why
Speaker 1: I kind of go towards Tatis, because you know, the
Speaker 1: first week back, everybody was questioning, oh, my goodness, is
Speaker 1: gonna work? And then he's been hitting home runs. He
Speaker 1: looks like tattis maybe two hands on the bat is.
Speaker 2: Actually a good thing. Who would have thought that?
Speaker 1: And you know what a Juan Soto? Yeah, and fundamentally
Speaker 1: it is. And then there's one soda at the ten
Speaker 1: to one. Who I mean right there, he was at
Speaker 1: the beginning of the season, right neck and neck with
Speaker 1: all these guys.
Speaker 2: So this is an interesting time and Matt's kind of
Speaker 2: right here.
Speaker 1: National League really hasn't shown itself enough yet where there
Speaker 1: hasn't been even a clear separator, and the guy that
Speaker 1: they got at the top, I don't know how much
Speaker 1: of a separator he is. Speaking of tight races too,
Speaker 1: you've got al Cy Young's pretty tight right now. Plus
Speaker 1: one fifty for Garrett Cole, plus three twenty five for
Speaker 1: Shane Bieber, and then plus four fifty for Tyler Glass,
Speaker 1: now with a ten to one Carlos Rodon, who's got
Speaker 1: a better er than anybody, and may and d be
Speaker 1: the leader for comeback player of the Year. But in
Speaker 1: your opinion, does he have a shot here at cy Young?
Speaker 1: I mean, statistically speaking, he's right there with these guys,
Speaker 1: if not better in some categories. But Bieber, Cole, Glass
Speaker 1: and I will certainly get a lot more pub I
Speaker 1: feel like.
Speaker 3: One thousand percent. Now your feelings are correct. It goes back.
Speaker 3: Sometimes ruling with emotion is a good thing. So but again,
Speaker 3: look at the calendar man middle of May. If Rodn
Speaker 3: gives me sixteen and eight and an era under four
Speaker 3: and the no hitter and no one else is really
Speaker 3: lights out, Oh my goodness, gracious, Like for some reason,
Speaker 3: if Cole or Bieber falter in their last six starts
Speaker 3: I'm making it up, then maybe, But do you see
Speaker 3: how far fetched even the it is, the illogical pontification
Speaker 3: is but interesting on numbers. And this is what I've learned,
Speaker 3: especially now that betting is becoming more and more public,
Speaker 3: and more and more people are putting their eyes and
Speaker 3: their talents on it. Look at Cole's number and look
Speaker 3: at Bieber's number. It's pretty much double, isn't it. You
Speaker 3: mentioned it's.
Speaker 2: Fifty plus three twenty five. It varies in some spots.
Speaker 4: But you're right. So think of what the book is saying.
Speaker 3: Now, is that so much on the picture or is
Speaker 3: it about the win equity and the team that they're on.
Speaker 3: And if that's the case, was Cleveland is Cleveland? Who
Speaker 3: you thought they were in April or March? You have
Speaker 3: to ask yourself that question. The Yankees are exactly where
Speaker 3: they're supposed to be in May, so I get why
Speaker 3: that numbers there.
Speaker 4: But the Bieber thing, it feels too good.
Speaker 2: It feels too good.
Speaker 4: I don't know.
Speaker 2: I didn't realize that was a problem. I always thought,
Speaker 2: we want to think.
Speaker 1: So it's a problem, my friend, Oh it's a problem. Okay,
Speaker 1: there's always something. It's always a catch every single time,
Speaker 1: all right. So when we're looking at the AlSi young
Speaker 1: and again, this is why you go to betting pros,
Speaker 1: because if you like Bieber, there's some spots, like, for instance,
Speaker 1: on Fandle, you can get them at plus three eighty.
Speaker 2: Right now, that's that's great, And.
Speaker 1: That's why Betting Pros is so good because you get
Speaker 1: that opportunity to say, well, I kind of like this,
Speaker 1: where can I find the best odds? And again I
Speaker 1: encourage everybody to go to bettingpros dot com to do that,
Speaker 1: because that's how you kind of find the best book
Speaker 1: for the best bet that you want to put out there.
Speaker 1: Let's move and switch gears here to the Nash for
Speaker 1: a second, if we may. And obviously the National League
Speaker 1: de Grom has been so dominant, but now we have
Speaker 1: a little bit of a question that's creeped in here
Speaker 1: with this injury. Now Mri was clean, they say they're
Speaker 1: gonna give him a real Iyel stint instead of trying
Speaker 1: to short term it. We'll see if that rectifies the problem.
Speaker 1: Minus won thirty six is the consensus betting Pro's number
Speaker 1: for him. Corbyn Burns is at five to one. He
Speaker 1: is just now coming back from his COVID stint, and
Speaker 1: then you got basically Trevor Bauer thirteen to one and
Speaker 1: Aaron Nola thirteen to one. Now, Aaron Nola has pitched
Speaker 1: incredibly well this year, and I feel like nobody's really
Speaker 1: talking about it. It's kind of why the Phillies have
Speaker 1: hung around where they have in the standings, and Corbyn burns.
Speaker 1: We all know how good he's been, so right now
Speaker 1: is it a matter of wait and see on this
Speaker 1: de gram health or do you want to take action
Speaker 1: now and maybe go with somebody not name Jacob de
Speaker 1: Gram before possibly this number starts to shrink if de
Speaker 1: Gram misses any significant time or struggles on his return.
Speaker 3: So this is what the sharks or the smart people
Speaker 3: in the betting world are talking about. I think it
Speaker 3: was just yesterday Keith, myself and Colin Wilson were talking
Speaker 3: about it on the Better's Eye and yes, now is
Speaker 3: the time to see where you can get some value.
Speaker 3: I believe was Colin brought up look at Brandon Woodriff,
Speaker 3: maybe for a hot session. See if everything's starting to
Speaker 3: melt away. Who remains standing? I posited Jack Flaherty. His
Speaker 3: whip is just.
Speaker 4: To tick over one. I think like one point two.
Speaker 4: Maybe that's the last start.
Speaker 3: But these are some guys that when everyone else falls away,
Speaker 3: should de Gram be injured and miss.
Speaker 4: Some time, and I don't want to say it's like,
Speaker 4: don't say no hitter.
Speaker 3: These are the names you gotta start to look at
Speaker 3: and they're gonna have some nice plus numbers right next
Speaker 3: to their names.
Speaker 1: So now's the time to start shopping. I like it shopping,
Speaker 1: But you put stuff in the cart. Maybe you're not
Speaker 1: the check out yet?
Speaker 2: Is that what you mean?
Speaker 4: Sure? How many times have you done that? I mean, listen,
Speaker 4: in college, I used to go shopping under the influence.
Speaker 4: I don't you get that?
Speaker 3: And you realize how much mine do I have? Do
Speaker 3: I need seven box of the fudge covered Oreos? Yes,
Speaker 3: let's put back the milk and break you know what
Speaker 3: I mean?
Speaker 1: You choose important choices. Actually, I'm going food shopping right
Speaker 1: after this show is oil yea. I will pick you
Speaker 1: up a box for sure. All right, let's switch gears
Speaker 1: here and talk about some teams. Let's do a little
Speaker 1: al East. The Yankees still the favorites at minus one twelve,
Speaker 1: the Red Sox plus three point fifty, wh've had a
Speaker 1: really good start that I think surprised a lot of people.
Speaker 4: And then you've got the.
Speaker 1: Blue Jays of four to twenty five and the Rays
Speaker 1: who are in the World Series last year plus five hundred.
Speaker 2: Now, the thing with.
Speaker 1: The Rays is you're gonna see Louis Patino start to
Speaker 1: make some more starts here. He's starting actually today, and
Speaker 1: we'll see how he continues to ramp up. If he
Speaker 1: becomes a guy in that rotation consistently, they can add
Speaker 1: a Wander Franco. The Blue Jays right now still waiting
Speaker 1: for their big time investment, George Springer to pay dividends.
Speaker 1: So what do you make of the Al East here?
Speaker 1: Because the Yankees have gotten back on track, but their
Speaker 1: pitching is still suspect. I don't think any of these
Speaker 1: teams has the depth of rotation right now that you
Speaker 1: really feel good about. So what is the difference maker
Speaker 1: in this division for you? If you're trying to make
Speaker 1: a wager.
Speaker 4: So here's full transparency.
Speaker 3: This is how I bet division winners, and this is
Speaker 3: how I've done it ever since I really learned how
Speaker 3: to do this.
Speaker 4: So at the start of the season, let's just call
Speaker 4: a dollar a chip.
Speaker 3: Just for easy, I put a chip down on each
Speaker 3: team I think within a division has a chance, and
Speaker 3: then I revisit it four times a year. So at
Speaker 3: forty games, I then make another play. But during the
Speaker 3: time every ten games, I go back and I look
Speaker 3: at the team. So as of for instance, the Yankees.
Speaker 3: I had a chip down on them on April first.
Speaker 3: After ten games, I went back and look, I put
Speaker 3: an X next to them because they weren't performing the
Speaker 3: way I wanted them to going After another ten games,
Speaker 3: maybe they are.
Speaker 4: You put a check next to them. Come forty games.
Speaker 3: The team that I originally had intended upon has as
Speaker 3: many checks upon it as it should. I double down
Speaker 3: on that team, and that's a good way to look
Speaker 3: at it. So with the Yankees, they weren't doing it
Speaker 3: in April, but I knew that here's may check check check.
Speaker 3: Continue to double down on them as far as depth
Speaker 3: and things like that, they'll find a way. They're the
Speaker 3: The Blue Jays are the team I had so many
Speaker 3: x's next to them. I was disheartened. Here come those
Speaker 3: check marks. Nate Pearson did not have a good start.
Speaker 3: That troubles and worries me. But on the other side,
Speaker 3: a lot of these guys are stead Look at Marcus
Speaker 3: Simi and he has an amazing on base streak that
Speaker 3: no one is talking about. La Guerrero is coming alive,
Speaker 3: Boba Sheet's doing what he should do, and Kevin Bigio's
Speaker 3: bad hasn't even woken up.
Speaker 4: Yet I'm sure it will.
Speaker 3: So I'm looking at these odds and seeing there's ways
Speaker 3: I can make some money here. The cream will always
Speaker 3: rise to the top show you know that.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And you know what.
Speaker 1: I like what you're saying too, of making small incremental
Speaker 1: investments over time, because that does kind of allow you
Speaker 1: to have exposure. But at the same time, like you're saying,
Speaker 1: if you really like one thing it's going well, you
Speaker 1: continue to double up on it. And I think that
Speaker 1: is a great way over the long period of time.
Speaker 1: Let's see how that affects the central and how you
Speaker 1: want to do this one, because this one chuck me.
Speaker 1: I was White Sox from the beginning of the year
Speaker 1: and they were not the favorites, and I said, this
Speaker 1: is insane. The White Sox should be the favorites. They've
Speaker 1: lost Louise Robert, they have lost Elia Menez, yet they
Speaker 1: still continue to win games and they are still the
Speaker 1: consensus favorite minus two hundred. Cleveland's at plus three fifty,
Speaker 1: Cleveland has a hard time I feel like generating runs
Speaker 1: outside of home runs. Ramirez and Franmil are hitting outside
Speaker 1: of that, it's kind of tough for them. If they're
Speaker 1: not hitting Dingers and then the Twins who you know,
Speaker 1: Kent tamai Ada struggle.
Speaker 2: You know, kier Lof came.
Speaker 1: Up for a hot minute and got hot and then
Speaker 1: he went on the il. The Twins number has dropped
Speaker 1: all the way to plus eight hundred. Now that is
Speaker 1: very tempting because the Twins historically are always around. But
Speaker 1: I'm still kind of just sticking with the White Sox.
Speaker 1: I think the time to bet the White Sox has passed. Personally,
Speaker 1: I think it was before the season. What do you
Speaker 1: think right now? Is there some case you want to
Speaker 1: make for Cleveland or Minnesota or is it just already
Speaker 1: a White Sox division to lose?
Speaker 4: How do you know? I'm not all in on the Tigers?
Speaker 4: How do you know?
Speaker 1: I don't think I've been hitting ahead with a lot
Speaker 1: of chairs. That's the only thing I know that is
Speaker 1: that is that is what.
Speaker 3: I got, because I'm gonna lose my thought because of that,
Speaker 3: as well as all those happened in college. Okay, Chicago,
Speaker 3: you talked about losing a player and so on and
Speaker 3: so forth. Yeah, but gaining Michael Kopek and Dylan Seese
Speaker 3: have been wonderful. The public is just learning about them again,
Speaker 3: people like you and I we knew about them. So yes,
Speaker 3: that money remains what I call true. The true event
Speaker 3: is there. The team you're seeing that is the team. Okay, Cleveland,
Speaker 3: Find me anyone that could tell you before our first
Speaker 3: pitch was thrown to start the season that this is
Speaker 3: going to be a team that was going to come
Speaker 3: back and have an astronomical plus run differential in the
Speaker 3: final six innings of every game. These they have been
Speaker 3: the comeback kids along with the Red Sox. All right,
Speaker 3: the bullpen had problems and then Class A stepped up
Speaker 3: and now everyone is starting to step in line here. Yes,
Speaker 3: I hear you as far as the offense goes, but
Speaker 3: nobody saw this team. And if Bieber can continue to
Speaker 3: do what he does, and Soavali please sack something that
Speaker 3: Tristan McKenzie's a bright spot, they could be there.
Speaker 4: Man, the Al Central is fickle. Look at the Royals.
Speaker 3: Did you think they were gonna do what they've done
Speaker 3: in the first half of the season. I know they're
Speaker 3: riding an eight game losing streak right now, but still
Speaker 3: there's no way you can handicap this division like that.
Speaker 3: And that's the beauty of baseball his name, right, that
Speaker 3: thing I think you did.
Speaker 2: It's it's class A. You said it in a very
Speaker 2: class A way. That's all they need.
Speaker 1: But the Cleveland Indians have the pitching, as you're pointing out, too,
Speaker 1: and over time that's what wins out, whereas Minnesota's back
Speaker 1: of that rotation can be spotty at times. In ma
Speaker 1: Ada hasn't been the same guy who was last year.
Speaker 1: Well hopefully last start. Is that back on track and
Speaker 1: things are gonna go better for him. Let's move to
Speaker 1: the west for a second and talk about the Athletics,
Speaker 1: who are even.
Speaker 2: Right now in betting pros.
Speaker 1: So that's interesting because they went on that incredible tear.
Speaker 1: And then, of course, like everything in baseball, it's a
Speaker 1: game of streaks.
Speaker 2: You hat the highs and the lows.
Speaker 1: Right, the Astros are plus one ten and the Angels
Speaker 1: that are at plus six point fifty as the betting
Speaker 1: pros consensus number. Now I ask you this match striker
Speaker 1: six point fifty right now. You know the Angels did
Speaker 1: kind of jettison pool holes and you know Dylan Bundy
Speaker 1: hasn't been great, but Walsh has been terrific. I know
Speaker 1: Rend has the knee issue, but Otani and Trout, You know,
Speaker 1: it's funny. It's like these two giant stars, along with Walsh,
Speaker 1: have really kind of carried this team. Is this an
Speaker 1: intriguing number to you at six point fifty? Because the
Speaker 1: Astros have been a lot of up and down. They
Speaker 1: can't seem to get everything right at the right time.
Speaker 1: They get this going, and then that falls apart starting
Speaker 1: catching good, the offense goes away. You know, any guys
Speaker 1: on COVID lists and all this stuff's going back.
Speaker 2: And forth with them. Are the Angels the sneaky wager
Speaker 2: in this division? Right now? At six point fifty?
Speaker 4: This is gonna sound like a terrible answer. It's a
Speaker 4: great way to start an answer.
Speaker 3: But putting the Angels in a vacuum, You've got to
Speaker 3: come back to me after the six game stretch that
Speaker 3: they are on right now. So it's encouraging to see
Speaker 3: what they did against the Dodgers. Now they go on
Speaker 3: a six game stretch against teams that are either first
Speaker 3: or second in their respective divisions. I believe a Boston
Speaker 3: All Glenn Cleve. But watch these games, folks, if you're
Speaker 3: on the East coast. So I'm in New York, Queens
Speaker 3: New York. So some of these games you can really
Speaker 3: see a lot about a team. Look at their bullpens,
Speaker 3: look at how they play matchups. Then come back if
Speaker 3: this number is still there after the six game stretch,
Speaker 3: which is not going to be, but if you can
Speaker 3: find it in a nice, favorable, desirable place with.
Speaker 4: Some pitching, I'm not doing it, but I could see
Speaker 4: how a lot of people are gonna get on this team.
Speaker 1: I think it might be if you like him at all,
Speaker 1: this is the time because before after the stretch, if
Speaker 1: things go well for them in the next let's say
Speaker 1: six to ten games, that number is probably gonna get
Speaker 1: cut in half. I think there's a real good chance
Speaker 1: that's going to happen. And here's the thing, you know,
Speaker 1: we mentioned all these American League teams. The Yankees, of
Speaker 1: all these teams, is actually in the best position because
Speaker 1: not only can they afford to pay anybody they want
Speaker 1: because they're the Yankees, but they can also they have
Speaker 1: enough depth in that organization to make a move for somebody.
Speaker 1: And that's where I kind of worry about teams like
Speaker 1: the Angels. I don't know if Joe Adele plus plus
Speaker 1: is enough to get a deal done.
Speaker 2: Maybe it is.
Speaker 1: There's a couple guys in that system I'm looking at,
Speaker 1: you know, the Indian system. They're not gonna deal some
Speaker 1: of these young guys because they're a smaller market team.
Speaker 1: So the Yankees are kind of in the driver's seat.
Speaker 1: And obviously they're still the favorite for the American League.
Speaker 1: And I can understand why, because again, you control their
Speaker 1: own destiny if you're the Yankees, because you have the
Speaker 1: best of both worlds, and it's not a sixty game
Speaker 1: season anymore. Now from the National League standpoint, we're in
Speaker 1: the East here with the Mets are still favorites at.
Speaker 2: Plus one fifteen. I don't know how this is true,
Speaker 2: but it is.
Speaker 1: Then you got the plus one eighty with the Braves
Speaker 1: and the plus four hundred with the Phillies.
Speaker 2: The Nats have clearly struggled here.
Speaker 1: They haven't been able to get on track in Strasbourg
Speaker 1: being hurt and Corbyn being bad. I just think the
Speaker 1: Nats have now gone by the wayside. We know it
Speaker 1: was boom er bust for the Nats. So now there
Speaker 1: are three as great as the Marlins pitching is, we're realistic.
Speaker 1: Now there are three Phillies, Braves, Mets. The four to
Speaker 1: one Phillies are an interesting wager here because Wheelers pitch
Speaker 1: pretty well. Nolah's been lights out. But I don't understand
Speaker 1: how the Braves are not the favorite here. Plus one eighty,
Speaker 1: I think this is a great simple investment. You can
Speaker 1: put a large number on that. Do you feel confident
Speaker 1: in the Atlanta Braves at what you've seen because guys
Speaker 1: like Yonoah and Anderson have stepped up when guys like
Speaker 1: Freed and Morton have struggled.
Speaker 4: Braves in the team. I've been saying it since April.
Speaker 4: They're just built for it.
Speaker 3: And again in April as a better as a gambler.
Speaker 3: You know, the dogs barked, they ate. It's April, like
Speaker 3: it's the first time you're doing this. Totally cool, come
Speaker 3: along and you know, be our friend because we love that.
Speaker 3: But there are people that have been doing this for
Speaker 3: all that understand it's April. Joe, you and I talked
Speaker 3: about Everyone was all about Francisco and or Francisco and Door.
Speaker 4: It's April. He's historically bad in April. The Yankees are
Speaker 4: an older team. It's April. Give it. It's like an
Speaker 4: older car. Give it a chance. To warm up.
Speaker 3: The Braves are my team here and I've always said that,
Speaker 3: you know, has been a great, great revelation for them,
Speaker 3: both with the bat and with the arm. And yeah,
Speaker 3: to your point, like like Morton hasn't been doing what
Speaker 3: they thought he would be able to do, at least
Speaker 3: in the last two starts. Give this whole team time.
Speaker 3: They're going to be there, and don't count out Washington
Speaker 3: just yet.
Speaker 1: Man, well, I gotta eat some crow here in the
Speaker 1: Central because you know me, I was very pro Milwaukee
Speaker 1: going into the year. But now that Christianelwich came back
Speaker 1: for one day and went back on.
Speaker 2: The il, I'm out. It's over. I'm out. This lineup
Speaker 2: is not enough.
Speaker 1: They didn't do enough outside And the problem is now,
Speaker 1: if you don't have Yellich and you're not playing good
Speaker 1: baseball and you're not scoring runs, it doesn't matter how
Speaker 1: good the pitching is, because what happens is now you're
Speaker 1: at a deficit because you can't justify moving more young
Speaker 1: pieces to bring you more pieces.
Speaker 2: And it's almost like chicken in the egg.
Speaker 1: It's like, if you don't have Yelick playing well and
Speaker 1: you're not things are going well, how does the organization
Speaker 1: justify going out there making a trade for a trade
Speaker 1: man seat you're bringing in somebody like that. So right now,
Speaker 1: the Cardinals are at plus one ten, the Brewers minus
Speaker 1: one twenty, the Reds are at eight to one, and
Speaker 1: I know it's the Reds, and I know they've got
Speaker 1: a whole host of problems, but they've also got an
Speaker 1: incredible young pipeline of pitching. Molly's been great, Sonny Gray's
Speaker 1: been really good, Wade Miley just threw a freaking no hitter,
Speaker 1: and Luis Castillo we all know eventually is going to
Speaker 1: write the ship. At least I feel pretty confident in that.
Speaker 1: Then you've got an offense here where Suarez hasn't hit
Speaker 1: it all, Cassianos has been good, Mustakus. I mean, this
Speaker 1: is a really good team. I know it's a long shot.
Speaker 1: It feels like the Cardinals division to lose at plus
Speaker 1: one ten, and I think this is gonna be a
Speaker 1: minus number by the time we hit June.
Speaker 2: Like the Cardinals, I think this is your last shot.
Speaker 2: Do you agree.
Speaker 3: Here's the thing about divisional winners. You have to trust
Speaker 3: your baseball knowledge. And again, if you're just out there
Speaker 3: listening to there's A thousand and one shows like this,
Speaker 3: Let's just be honest.
Speaker 2: As what you and I are doing.
Speaker 4: But here's the thing. Exactly who's telling you? Where have
Speaker 4: they been? One have they done? So you have to
Speaker 4: look when things are backed up by math.
Speaker 3: You can't beat that, Okay, I'm sorry you can't.
Speaker 4: The Cardinals are built for this division. Everyone knows it.
Speaker 3: So yes, at some point that number is going to
Speaker 3: get even and it might even drop into the minus.
Speaker 4: So there you go.
Speaker 2: Sorry, love and math always win. There you go. That's
Speaker 2: what it is, all right.
Speaker 1: Let's let's hit the West two horse race. Here, the
Speaker 1: Dodgers met minus four hundred. Now that number has.
Speaker 2: Been adjusted a little bit after this bad stretch for
Speaker 2: the Dodgers.
Speaker 4: It's the weird bit.
Speaker 1: And then you got the Padres of plus two point
Speaker 1: fifty here. Now, the Padres are a fascinating team because
Speaker 1: Snell's pitched poorly, but Joe Musgrove has kind of given
Speaker 1: you what you thought Snell was going to. I don't
Speaker 1: know what the heck's gonna happen with Lamette and Paddock.
Speaker 1: I hope that Paddick comes back healthy, is good. I'm
Speaker 1: terrified Lamette's of Tommy John waiting to happen. The good
Speaker 1: news is they've got some other guys like Weathers, and
Speaker 1: they've got some other guys like Mackenzie Gore who might.
Speaker 4: Be able to step up.
Speaker 1: But the Padres are all in the question is can
Speaker 1: they catch the Dodgers. I know Bellinger is on his
Speaker 1: way back. Is this just to stay away here in
Speaker 1: this division? Or do you like the Padres? Chances of
Speaker 1: catching the Dodgers.
Speaker 4: Depends on what kind of better you are. Are you
Speaker 4: conservative then yeah? Sure? Ooh, I don't know what likes?
Speaker 3: Are you aggressing off looking in on everybody? Are you
Speaker 3: the contrarian? The San Francisco Giants have disrupted everything in
Speaker 3: that division. The San Francisco Giants have disrupted everything for
Speaker 3: the last forty five days in baseball.
Speaker 4: Just go look at their.
Speaker 3: Numbers and tell me that anyone thought they were going
Speaker 3: to do that. I'm still waiting for the market correction.
Speaker 3: I personally, I think it's coming right. I mean, it's
Speaker 3: just baseball again. Guys are always gonna do with the back
Speaker 3: of their baseball car tells you they're gonna do at
Speaker 3: least nine and a half times out of ten. But
Speaker 3: the Giants have disrupted everything here now, so look for
Speaker 3: them to pull and tug on those Padre and Dodger numbers.
Speaker 3: And if you can catch them where they're being pulled on,
Speaker 3: and it puts you in a good spot. Like Joe
Speaker 3: was talking about, there's ways to get the best line.
Speaker 3: Take advantage of it. Man, Please, being ignorant during the
Speaker 3: time of information is a choice.
Speaker 2: I love that.
Speaker 1: That is good stuff right there. And you're right man,
Speaker 1: that giant's pitching. Where'd that come from? Alex Wood, Kevin Gossman.
Speaker 1: I mean, it's just it's crazy. And every night somebody
Speaker 1: goes out there and they're just, you know, spinning good
Speaker 1: baseball games despite all the injuries they've had at different times.
Speaker 2: It's crazy.
Speaker 4: All right.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about the big one here. Right now, the
Speaker 1: consensus favorite for the World Series is still the reigning, defending,
Speaker 1: undisputed Los Angeles Dodgers at plus three twenty five. The
Speaker 1: Yankees are at seven to one, which I think is
Speaker 1: a fascinating number. That's a pretty big number right now.
Speaker 1: Consensus wise, it's still early. The Padres at plus eight
Speaker 1: to fifty, who have the pitching in a short series
Speaker 1: and they could get very hot. The Mets are at
Speaker 1: plus nine, and then before we get to the long shots,
Speaker 1: the other plus US nine is the White Sox. So
Speaker 1: these are kind of the favorites under ten to one.
Speaker 1: Where would you put a chip and how would you
Speaker 1: do it?
Speaker 2: At this point?
Speaker 1: Have you seen enough out of any team to feel
Speaker 1: like I'm confident this team is going to be there
Speaker 1: through the regular season and is built for the postseason.
Speaker 2: Who stands out to you?
Speaker 3: So when I did my World Series futures, I put
Speaker 3: two chips, one on an AL team, one on ANL team.
Speaker 3: I didn't have any secondary teams. And it remains the
Speaker 3: same to this day, and I'm actually getting ready to
Speaker 3: double back on it. Yankees, Atlanta Braves, Okay, built to
Speaker 3: do it. They've been there, they understand it. When everything
Speaker 3: else falls away, I think that's going to be the
Speaker 3: World Series.
Speaker 1: Well if you do like that, because right now, the
Speaker 1: consensus number on the Atlanta Braves. Who was the first
Speaker 1: one in the quote long shots fifteen to one. Now,
Speaker 1: the Braves historically they've been that great regular season team,
Speaker 1: but they fail all the time in the short series.
Speaker 1: What is about this team that you think is different
Speaker 1: this year?
Speaker 4: You and I have talked about this a lot.
Speaker 3: The games completely changed now it's about having three stud
Speaker 3: starters and then a bullpen and playing matchups. Atlanta had
Speaker 3: that at least on paper in April, and I do
Speaker 3: believe they still have it and never rule out that
Speaker 3: late season acquisition. With that said, when it comes down
Speaker 3: just the minutia to the micro, just think the organization
Speaker 3: and the team is better suit than anyone else. And yes,
Speaker 3: I understand the Dodgers are the chalk, but I'm in
Speaker 3: this to make money.
Speaker 2: Absolutely, baby, that's what we're in.
Speaker 1: And speaking of making money, where can everybody check out
Speaker 1: The Batter's Eye? I know it's on every single day now, right,
Speaker 1: they've actually got you working like five days a week.
Speaker 1: I didn't know you were a guy to do that
Speaker 1: kind of Thing's not work all right?
Speaker 2: So what's going on? When is the show every day
Speaker 2: that people can catch it?
Speaker 3: Oh, it's awesome, So it's BETTER'SI It's on MLB dot Com.
Speaker 3: It's also on at MLB Picks six pm Eastern time.
Speaker 4: We're alive.
Speaker 3: Never know what any of us are gonna say or do,
Speaker 3: and we do something called walk off winners at the
Speaker 3: end of every segment we give our best bets for
Speaker 3: the day. I'm happy to say, Man, as of right now,
Speaker 3: I'm like ten games over five hundred four or five
Speaker 3: games over five hundred. We have guests coming in all
Speaker 3: the time, the guys coming over from Vegas vs. In City,
Speaker 3: Matt Veskurcheon's been on the show. It's just it's great
Speaker 3: to have all those resources there because you have information
Speaker 3: and as Newman said, you control the man.
Speaker 4: You control in misshow.
Speaker 1: There's no way we're getting out of the show together
Speaker 1: with at least one Seinfeld reference and all these guests.
Speaker 2: Yet, Hey, I don't remember being asked to be on
Speaker 2: the show. I don't know.
Speaker 4: I just sit in the chair.
Speaker 1: And when you sit at the top of the show,
Speaker 1: you said your words were my friend.
Speaker 2: I don't know, no invitations for your friend. But again,
Speaker 2: I see what this was.
Speaker 4: I see what this was. This is all just showed me.
Speaker 4: Now I got a shat.
Speaker 2: Oh Lord.
Speaker 1: On that note, let's remind everybody you can follow Matt
Speaker 1: on Twitter, even though he doesn't care at a sleep
Speaker 1: on the beach, and you can also again check him
Speaker 1: out on the Better's Eye every day on MLB dot com.
Speaker 1: And you should also check out Impact Wrestling where he's
Speaker 1: calling some fantastic matches with.
Speaker 2: D Lo Brown.
Speaker 1: Some really cool stuff going on to Impact right now,
Speaker 1: and of course Mattie Striker Joey p Sunday mornings, get
Speaker 1: a cup of coffee, you know, and watch a little
Speaker 1: Diamond Bets with Matt Striker myself on Sports Grid eight
Speaker 1: a m. Eastern to ten, two hours of baseball talk. Maddie,
Speaker 1: I want to thank you so much for taking the
Speaker 1: time out today to join us on betting Pros to
Speaker 1: talk a little baseball and we'll check in with you
Speaker 1: again soon. That'll do it for us, but the story
Speaker 1: of the game goes on for Matt Striker.
Speaker 2: I'm joe Piezopia. We'll see you next time, gibbz