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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: We're sitting up for cash to We'll see most gamblers

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Speaker 3: when they go to gamble, they go to win.

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Speaker 1: God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 4: Big bank, small bank. I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate Kabaki.

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Speaker 4: Want to pull.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway. Welcome to another episode of the

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Speaker 2: Action Network Podcast. This is the week number eleven NFL

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Speaker 2: Betting Pod. I am Chris Raybond of the Action Network

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Speaker 2: and today I'll be joined by Stucky and we'll break

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Speaker 2: down our favorite spread bets and a Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: We'll go over our favorite over under, favorite teaser pick, moneyline, underdog, parlay, Survivor,

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Speaker 2: pool pick, and more. We will also break down the

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Speaker 2: Thursday Night game. But before we do that, just want

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Speaker 2: to remind you guys to be sure to download the

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Speaker 2: Action Network app. You can get real time odds bet

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Speaker 2: tracking and live in game win probabilities. You can follow

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Speaker 2: all of the Action Network experts on the app. Really

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Speaker 2: great app, so be sure to download that. The improvements

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Speaker 2: that it makes in terms of getting all these betting

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Speaker 2: systems in that we talk about and the percentages and

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Speaker 2: just a really strong app that's been getting better and

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Speaker 2: better and better. So go check it out. And now

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Speaker 2: we will check out the Thursday night football game.

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Speaker 1: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday night football.

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Speaker 2: We have the five and four Pittsburgh Steelers rebounded from

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Speaker 2: that oh and three start, going to take on the

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Speaker 2: three and six Cleveland Browns. Also a bit of a

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Speaker 2: rebound on hand for Cleveland. Cleveland that home favored by

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Speaker 2: three points, with looks like sixty of the bets but

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Speaker 2: only fifty five percent of the money coming in on

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Speaker 2: the Pittsburgh Steelers. The total currently sits as we record this.

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Speaker 2: Weit Wednesday night at forty and a half with fifty

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Speaker 2: seven percent of the bets on the over fifty three

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Speaker 2: percent of the money stuck. How's your week? And uh,

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Speaker 2: when you're ready to get us into what you think

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Speaker 2: of this game?

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Speaker 4: Yeah? What's going on? Brother? It was a good week

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Speaker 4: outside of my Ravens just rolling against me. I want

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Speaker 4: them to win and not cover, but they were just

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Speaker 4: way too good. Bengals linebackers and safety is way too bad.

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Speaker 4: Lamar Jackson dazzled again, but other than that, it was

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Speaker 4: a very good weekend. But we're on to the next

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Speaker 4: You're only as good as your next bet, and I

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Speaker 4: have one in this game, and I bet the Brown smaller.

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Speaker 4: I hate betting Thursday Night football. They came through for

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Speaker 4: me last week at minus two and a half, and

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Speaker 4: I bet them again this week at minus two and

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Speaker 4: a half. Ate a little juice at three gets a

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Speaker 4: little dice, So there should be low scoring, so every

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Speaker 4: point matters. These teams are very familiar with each other.

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Speaker 4: You know, you do have a home team on Thursday

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Speaker 4: Night Football, which I always do like. Teams on Thursday

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Speaker 4: Football are one hundred and two eighty six and six

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Speaker 4: against the spread about fifty four percent, so you have

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Speaker 4: an edge of about a half point. Historically in the

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Speaker 4: division it's not as great. You know, it's fifty three

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Speaker 4: to fifty one and two against the spread. And Freddie

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Speaker 4: Kitchen's the rookie head coach in a short week does

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Speaker 4: worry me a little bit. But for you trend players,

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Speaker 4: if a road opponent won outright as a dog the

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Speaker 4: week before, you know, going on the road for Thursday

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Speaker 4: Night football, which we have here is the Steelers beat

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Speaker 4: the Rams. The home team in that scenario, which would

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Speaker 4: be the Browns, is fourteen and five against the spread.

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Speaker 4: Small sample size about seventy four percent, covering by an

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Speaker 4: average of a touchdown a game. So if you guys

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Speaker 4: are looking for some trends out there, but let me

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Speaker 4: get into the matchup. Look, the Steelers have been rolling

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Speaker 4: of late, and you could argue that one of the

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Speaker 4: most important signings of the year has been Minka Fitzpatrick

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Speaker 4: on the defensive side, and their corners are playing really well,

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Speaker 4: although it should be knowed Joe Hayden is sick and

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Speaker 4: he didn't practice today. But Mike has played seven games.

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Speaker 4: You got five picks to force fumbles and two touchdowns.

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Speaker 4: It's crazy for a defender. But I will say that

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Speaker 4: the Steelers are benefiting from extreme turnover. Look extreme. I

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Speaker 4: mean in their last five games they have seventeen turnovers forced.

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Speaker 4: You know what the Browns have over that's meant two two,

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Speaker 4: So you know the Steelers are always going to force

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Speaker 4: turnovers because their defensive line gets a ton of pressure.

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Speaker 4: It begs you the question, can the Browns offensive line

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Speaker 4: hold up? You know, Ken Mayfield not turn it over

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Speaker 4: because those have been two major question marks here. But

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Speaker 4: basically what I'm betting on here is I have the

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Speaker 4: Browns rate slightly better than the Steelers, who are running well,

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Speaker 4: you know, and they've beat who have they beat? They

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Speaker 4: beat the Dolphins, they beat the Colts because Vinentitari missed

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Speaker 4: a field goal with Hoyer after Horier came, and they

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Speaker 4: beat the Chargers in the Rams and their defensive line

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Speaker 4: just dominated both of those games. What I'm fading here, though,

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Speaker 4: was Mason Rudolph. You always talk about the most important

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Speaker 4: position on the fields, a quarterback. He's not playing well.

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Speaker 4: I mean, by any stretch of the imagination. The Browns

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Speaker 4: can get pressure, and Baker Mayfield, we've talked about this

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Speaker 4: is bad under pressure. He's a quarterback rating a forty

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Speaker 4: two point three among thirty quarterbacks with at least two dropbacks,

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Speaker 4: that's twenty nine. You know, there's only worse Mason Rudolph.

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Speaker 4: He can't throw it downfield. There's no closing this in

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Speaker 4: this offense. He's running well, and he's just he fumbles

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Speaker 4: the ball too much. So I'm trusting Mayfield, the better

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Speaker 4: running back, and I think slightly the better overall team

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Speaker 4: at home against a team that is just running really well,

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Speaker 4: a little over valued because they've won four in a row,

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Speaker 4: but it's been a lot of turnovers and a lot

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Speaker 4: of bad teams. Yeah, so I'll take the Browns. But again,

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Speaker 4: Thursday night football, it should be low scoring and close.

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Speaker 4: But I think the Browns pulled out just like they

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Speaker 4: did last week, and hopefully they can score from outside

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Speaker 4: the ten instead of having to make me sweat inside

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Speaker 4: the ten where theyre inevitably won't score.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this game, it looks like a toss up to me.

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Speaker 2: I think last week I talked to you about, hey,

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Speaker 2: would you bet the Steelers now? And you know, after

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Speaker 2: watching them and they were impressive against the Rams on defense,

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Speaker 2: but you kind of mentioned it. If the Browns can

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Speaker 2: just be competent, they can beat a team with a

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Speaker 2: good defense, especially at home, and we saw that with

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Speaker 2: the Buffalo Bills. You know, the Buffalo Bill's kind of

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Speaker 2: saint story. You know they can. They're kind of hot

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Speaker 2: and cold. They have a couple of players on offense

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Speaker 2: that can that can pop a big play and in

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Speaker 2: single tear and Brown But if those guys aren't hitting,

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Speaker 2: and you know it's a low scoring game, the Browns

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Speaker 2: have enough talent to kind of went out. I like

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Speaker 2: what Kitchens did getting Kareem Hunt and Chubb on the

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Speaker 2: field together, because you know, Chubb, he still got his

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Speaker 2: twenty carries or whatever it was is, you know, his

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Speaker 2: high high single digit team carries, and Hunt still caught

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Speaker 2: a bunch of balls. And I think that's going to

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Speaker 2: help their offense. You mentioned it. For Pittsburgh, it's just

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Speaker 2: where is the explosiveness? You know, Juju Smith Schuster has

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Speaker 2: been quiet. We saw James Washington kind of play a

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Speaker 2: larger role, but throughout his career it's been kind of

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Speaker 2: you don't know what you're getting when you let go

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Speaker 2: of the ball and throw to James Washington. I mean,

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Speaker 2: the catch eight for his career is you know, around

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Speaker 2: that fifty percent mark. So it's a toss up for me.

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Speaker 2: I would kind of win with you on and it

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Speaker 2: will probably be a defensive game. I don't necessarily see

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Speaker 2: a ton of points being scored to division games. So

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Speaker 2: at this point, I think I feel a little bit

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Speaker 2: better about the under in the spot because usually it's

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Speaker 2: a Tomlins spot. But I do agree. I think this team,

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Speaker 2: both these teams are pretty evenly matched. In Pittsburgh's on

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Speaker 2: the on the Road.

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Speaker 4: The Browns, by the way, haven't beat the Steelers since

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Speaker 4: twenty fourteen.

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Speaker 2: As we do every week, let's conclude our Thursday night

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Speaker 2: football breakdown with the coaches pep Talk. This week's pep

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Speaker 2: Talk comes to us once again from coach Pete Bell

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Speaker 2: from the nineteen ninety four film Blue Chips, and we're

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Speaker 2: dedicating it to the Cleveland Browns because just mentioned they

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Speaker 2: should be the better team here. They should be able

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Speaker 2: to get this home win and stay in the playoff race.

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Speaker 2: But we know they have a way about them. So

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Speaker 2: this one's for the Cleveland Browns.

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Speaker 4: Every time we get ready to play, I just want

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Speaker 4: to throw up.

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Speaker 2: So the press, I don't even want to talk about it.

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Speaker 4: I'm sick. I'm watching you guys play. Just how bad

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Speaker 4: can it get?

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Speaker 2: All right, Stuck, let's get to the main event, the

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Speaker 2: Sunday six.

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Speaker 1: Pack Thursday for action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: All right, and of course, for anyone unfamiliar, the six

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Speaker 2: pack is when Stuck and I each draft our top

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Speaker 2: three spreadbats of the week. Our number one pick is

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Speaker 2: worth two points and the others are worth one. Stuck,

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Speaker 2: you took a decisive twenty nine twenty seven League. Last week,

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Speaker 2: you also have the first pick, which I almost stole

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Speaker 2: for or I tried to steal from you later not

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Speaker 2: even realizing you took it. But let's see where are

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Speaker 2: you going first for this week eleven, card.

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Speaker 4: I'm going to keep it simple here, and I'm rolling

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Speaker 4: with a team that i've been I faded last week

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Speaker 4: and I said that they were a fraud, and that

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Speaker 4: was the Bills. But I'm playing the Bills here minus

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Speaker 4: five and a half minus six against the Dolphins. I mean,

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Speaker 4: if you remember a couple of weeks ago, the Bills

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Speaker 4: were seventeen point home favorites against the Dolphins. Seventeen. Now,

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Speaker 4: they didn't cover that game, but that's what that game

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Speaker 4: closed at. And that game was played on October twentieth,

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Speaker 4: a few weeks ago. Now, all of a sudden, they're

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Speaker 4: only laying five and a half on the road, just

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Speaker 4: because this Dolphins team is starting to get love in

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Speaker 4: the market. But if you really look at it, the

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Speaker 4: Dolphins beat the Jets at home, and then they beat

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Speaker 4: the Colts with their third string quarterback and without a kicker.

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Speaker 4: The Colts don't have a kicker, by the way, which

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Speaker 4: I'm sure we'll touch on, but like, let's not go crazier.

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Speaker 4: This roster is still awful. They're offensive line, they're defense

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Speaker 4: on the most importantly, it's a great matchup for the

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Speaker 4: Bills the Dolphins, and they've been running well in the

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Speaker 4: turnoment department the Fitzpatrick turnovers are coming. But the Dolphins

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Speaker 4: can't run the ball. Not only did they trade Drake

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Speaker 4: Walton is out and overall for the season, they're dead

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Speaker 4: less than yards per carry. Their offensive line stinks, they

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Speaker 4: have no running game. It's basically on Fitzpatrick. Well, how

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Speaker 4: do you beat the Bills. You run against them. You

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Speaker 4: don't throw at them, they don't give up anything deep.

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Speaker 4: There's gonna be some turnovers here. And this is just

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Speaker 4: you're getting value in the Bills who lost the Browns

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Speaker 4: last week, and people are starting to believe in the Dolphins.

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Speaker 4: All of a sudden, you're starting to see them take

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Speaker 4: betting action. The differences in these rosters is so significant

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Speaker 4: to me. Up front on the offensive and defensive lines.

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Speaker 4: The Bills are also more talented overall. Just under a

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Speaker 4: touchdown here, I feel as a gift. I played the

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Speaker 4: first half Bills minus three. I played the Bills minus

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Speaker 4: five and a half. So I'm rolling with the Bills here.

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Speaker 4: I think there's value on Buffalo on the road here

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Speaker 4: against I can't believe I'm saying, but a Dolphins team

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Speaker 4: I think is overvalued this. I mean this line should

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Speaker 4: be over a touchdown. I mean the close seventeen, which

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Speaker 4: I thought was close to right when they played in Buffalo.

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Speaker 4: So obviously I'm taking the points here with the Bills,

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Speaker 4: who match up well because their past defense is great

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Speaker 4: and the Dolphins and their run defense is week We

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Speaker 4: told you about that last week. The Bills are very

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Speaker 4: vulnerable in the run day, but the Dolphins can't exploit that.

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Speaker 4: You know, Dolphins also banged up. To give me the

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Speaker 4: Bills here and the bounce back they win by a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: Plus it's really the market just looking at the Browns

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Speaker 2: and not having a lot of trust to them, and

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Speaker 2: then they beat the Bills, and then of course the

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Speaker 2: Dolphins get a couple of wins. Like I don't think

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins are tanking. That's one thing I'll give him.

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Speaker 2: I think with Fitzpatrick and those guys, a lot of

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Speaker 2: those guys are just happy to have a job. They're

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Speaker 2: playing hard, you got to have a credit to Frontest.

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Speaker 4: I mean, he's doing the hell of a job.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they're just not very good and you mentioned it, Bills.

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Speaker 2: They are one of the worst run des in the league.

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Speaker 2: And like last week, one of the funnest things to

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Speaker 2: try to figure out for fantasy was like who's going

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Speaker 2: to be the number two for the Dolphins? Like we know,

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Speaker 2: is it gonna be weird? The special teamers are going

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Speaker 2: to be skin who's been scratched all you like, and

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Speaker 2: that they both under the planet a couple of snaps.

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Speaker 2: But Blage, I believe, went twenty for forty three, which

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Speaker 2: has been pretty much the case all year. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: if you can't run the ball, if you're just throwing

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Speaker 2: it up with Fitzpatrick, and this is a defense that

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Speaker 2: you do not you do not want to do that against.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm with you on that one. For my

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Speaker 2: first pick, I am going with the New York Jets.

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Speaker 2: You know team we actually hit our money line partway

253
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Speaker 2: last week, I believe because the Steelers and Jets both won.

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Speaker 2: Now the Jets are going short trip away to Washington.

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Speaker 2: They're one and a half point dog against the quarterback

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Speaker 2: that hasn't won a game yet, So, you know, I

257
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Speaker 2: don't exactly know. You know, everyone's kind of just taken

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Speaker 2: for granted that Washington is kind of this, you know

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Speaker 2: what they are, and all these teams are in the

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Speaker 2: same boat. But this is another matchup where I think

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Speaker 2: the Jets have clear deficiencies. I think, you know, Sam

262
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Speaker 2: Darnold probably not what most people expected or had hope for.

263
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Speaker 2: But the one thing the Jets are good at, and

264
00:11:57,520 --> 00:11:59,360
Speaker 2: it's kind of the opposite of the Bills, they can

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Speaker 2: play run deep. They are number two in the league

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Speaker 2: in run defense DVA, twenty nine percent more efficient than

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Speaker 2: the league average, and we know that this is what

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Speaker 2: the Redskins want to do. Ever since they hired coach

269
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Speaker 2: Bill Callahan, the play volume has been down, the run

270
00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:15,640
Speaker 2: volume has been up. They've been, you know, a fifty

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Speaker 2: percent plus run team in most of these spots. They

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Speaker 2: after starting a rookie quarterback. You know, to me, they're

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Speaker 2: just kind of a poor man's version of the Jets.

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Speaker 2: Like the Jets have a number second year quarterback, they

275
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Speaker 2: stop the run instead of always wanting to run. They're

276
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Speaker 2: not using their start, their star running back things. They're

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Speaker 2: not using them enough. Direct the Bizarro Redskins. I think

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Speaker 2: they're the better team in this spot at this time

279
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Speaker 2: of the year. I mean, the Redskins are one and eight.

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Speaker 2: Jets showed a little bit of life anytime they play

281
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Speaker 2: a team, you know, like like a team that's kind

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Speaker 2: of in that same bucket, bad team giving, the team

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Speaker 2: taking the points, getting the points. You know, last week,

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Speaker 2: the Jets are getting points against the Giants. This week,

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Speaker 2: they're getting points against the Redskins. Again. That run defense,

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Speaker 2: I think is going to create problems for Washington. Who

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Speaker 2: wants to do that with their quarterback.

288
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Speaker 4: Yeah, I actually might be on the other side of

289
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Speaker 4: you make good points there. I mean, look, the Jets,

290
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Speaker 4: they lead the NFL with what they're allowing three point

291
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Speaker 4: two yards per carry. Their defensive line is getting a

292
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Speaker 4: great push every week, which, yes, it should cause problems

293
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Speaker 4: for the Redskins, but the Jets team is still a mass.

294
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Speaker 4: Darnold has been a train wreck all year except for

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Speaker 4: that Dallas game. And the buye I think will really

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Speaker 4: help Haskins and the reds I mean, if you're gonna

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Speaker 4: have a buy help any team, it's gonna be a

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Speaker 4: rookie quarterback, you know, in a team that's one. I

299
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Speaker 4: think these teams are about even, so I make it

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Speaker 4: closer to a field goal, mainly because the Jets are

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Speaker 4: also so banged up. I mean, it is crazy. There's

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Speaker 4: something wrong with their strength and conditioning coach. They've averaged

303
00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:46,200
Speaker 4: ten more players on the injury report than their opponents

304
00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:49,839
Speaker 4: this year, ten on average. You know, you saw Robbie

305
00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:53,440
Speaker 4: Anderson hit the injury report today. Lev Bell wasn't practicing.

306
00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:56,640
Speaker 4: I mean, they're out of linebackers, their secondaries banged up.

307
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Speaker 4: Their D line is gonna come to play. Their safeties

308
00:13:58,880 --> 00:14:01,440
Speaker 4: are great, but I mean and everywhere else. Herndon just

309
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Speaker 4: went on ir I mean, it is bad. The Jets

310
00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:05,679
Speaker 4: are still a train wreck. To me. I think it's

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Speaker 4: a good spot for the Skins. But from a matchup perspective,

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Speaker 4: you make some good points with that Jets run defense,

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Speaker 4: because that's the one constant that they've had all year.

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Speaker 2: And it's funny because they really are the bizarre versions

315
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Speaker 2: of each other. Because who's the team that's always injured

316
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Speaker 2: inexplicably every year? The Washington Redskins always lead the league

317
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Speaker 2: in that category, So it should be not a good game.

318
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Speaker 2: But yeah, I just like the Jets for that run defense.

319
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Speaker 2: I think in this situation, you bet on the one

320
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Speaker 2: unit on both of these teams. That's really top tier.

321
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Speaker 4: Yeah, all right. For my second pick, this is when

322
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Speaker 4: I stole from you and going with the Bucks plus

323
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Speaker 4: five and a half. It looks like he is out there.

324
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Speaker 4: I'm personally waiting to see if the six pops. But

325
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Speaker 4: look this line. I played the Bucks, and if you

326
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Speaker 4: think about it, the Bucks are what three and six?

327
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Speaker 4: They lost the game to the Titans, they should have won.

328
00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:52,280
Speaker 4: REF stole it from them. They choked against the Giants

329
00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:54,520
Speaker 4: and then they missed a twenty five yard field goal

330
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Speaker 4: and probably should have won that game. They lost in

331
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Speaker 4: overtime to the Seahawks. I mean, this team could easily

332
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Speaker 4: be six and three. The Saints last week was one

333
00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:06,640
Speaker 4: of the most shocking outcomes. And I was on the Falcons,

334
00:15:06,880 --> 00:15:09,680
Speaker 4: but their offensive line fell apart. And I know Pete

335
00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:11,320
Speaker 4: has been playing well, but he's going to be out

336
00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:13,920
Speaker 4: for a while. Latimore looks like he's going to be out.

337
00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:16,880
Speaker 4: That's big, you know, that is really big because they're

338
00:15:16,920 --> 00:15:21,280
Speaker 4: going against a dynamic wide receiver duo in Godwin and Evans,

339
00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:24,120
Speaker 4: and without Latimore, they don't have the best cornerback depth

340
00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:27,400
Speaker 4: in New Orleans. And so look this line and two

341
00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:29,720
Speaker 4: things that Tampa does really well. They defend the run

342
00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:32,480
Speaker 4: and they defend opposing backs. You know, I think they're

343
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Speaker 4: number one in the NFL in defending opposing backs out

344
00:15:35,520 --> 00:15:38,760
Speaker 4: of the backfield. So they contain backs really well. So

345
00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:41,120
Speaker 4: they're going to contain Camara. Now they cut Hargreaves and

346
00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:42,600
Speaker 4: people are like, oh, it's the number one corner, first

347
00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:44,400
Speaker 4: one drippick with the Texans picked up. That's how bad

348
00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:47,360
Speaker 4: the Texans secondary is. Harger's been a disaster. The first

349
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Speaker 4: time they played the Saints, he was targeted five times

350
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Speaker 4: to give five catches for one hundred yards. So that's

351
00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:53,320
Speaker 4: not a big loss in his effort. He wasn't he

352
00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:54,880
Speaker 4: was getting benched. They're still not going to be able

353
00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:57,440
Speaker 4: to cover Mike Thomas. Just throw that out there. No

354
00:15:57,440 --> 00:16:00,240
Speaker 4: one does, doesn't matter, It doesn't matter. So but the

355
00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:05,560
Speaker 4: Saints are still lacking other weapons outside of Kamara, who

356
00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,520
Speaker 4: the Bucks can contain and Thomas, who's going to go

357
00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:10,640
Speaker 4: off every week regardless. But their other receivers need to

358
00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:12,960
Speaker 4: step up, and you saw that last week. But I

359
00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:14,720
Speaker 4: think that the Bucks look and what this comes down

360
00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:16,960
Speaker 4: to to me is the Bucks. I think it creates

361
00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:19,200
Speaker 4: some pressure up the middle like the Falcons did, especially

362
00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:21,000
Speaker 4: without Pete. They're going to have who I don't know,

363
00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:24,080
Speaker 4: clap or Easton in there, and yeah he was bad

364
00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:27,200
Speaker 4: last week getting run over which led to all those sacks.

365
00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,280
Speaker 4: I think the Falcons at six sacks at seven sacks

366
00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:32,960
Speaker 4: in the year coming in. But I told you towards

367
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,520
Speaker 4: when brew Brees took over, I only had the difference

368
00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:38,000
Speaker 4: between Breeze and Bridgewater as like one or two points.

369
00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:40,520
Speaker 4: I had to keep adjusting it, and it didn't make

370
00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:42,240
Speaker 4: sense to me, but I had to keep doing it.

371
00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:45,000
Speaker 4: So if you look back, I played the Bucks plus

372
00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:48,000
Speaker 4: three at New Orleans. Now they're catching five and a

373
00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:49,720
Speaker 4: half at home. Yes, it's with Breeze, but it's only

374
00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:51,840
Speaker 4: a point or two differents. That's crazy to me. I mean,

375
00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:53,480
Speaker 4: that's a six point swing on What really has changed

376
00:16:53,520 --> 00:16:57,080
Speaker 4: Latimore is out, their offensive line is now missing its

377
00:16:57,160 --> 00:16:59,360
Speaker 4: starting guard, and the Bucks kind of looked the same

378
00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:00,760
Speaker 4: as they did that. I mean, I don't think that

379
00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:03,200
Speaker 4: much has changed between these two teams since then, So

380
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Speaker 4: I think there's a lot of value with the Bucks.

381
00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:08,240
Speaker 4: Here's a lot of perception on you know, the Saints

382
00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:11,840
Speaker 4: are going to bounce back, blah blah blah, And I

383
00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:13,399
Speaker 4: think that the Bucks can cover this game. They're going

384
00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:14,919
Speaker 4: to have a lot of success through the air, especially

385
00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,520
Speaker 4: without a Lottimore. This will be your typical Bucks game.

386
00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:19,920
Speaker 4: And look, we say it all the time. Backing jamis

387
00:17:19,920 --> 00:17:22,159
Speaker 4: as a dog one of our favorite things to do.

388
00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:25,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, and this is another classic spot where you know,

389
00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:28,399
Speaker 2: the everyday public might kind of have a different perception

390
00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:31,040
Speaker 2: of these teams because the Tampa Bay Buccaneers you kind

391
00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:32,760
Speaker 2: of mentioned some bad beats. You know, when a team

392
00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:35,520
Speaker 2: that's like the Bucks thirty percent or less cover right

393
00:17:35,560 --> 00:17:37,919
Speaker 2: against the spread in a given season goes against the

394
00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:40,080
Speaker 2: team that's been covering at a fifty percent clip or more.

395
00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:42,520
Speaker 2: And that was all pretty much all Teddy Bridgewater just

396
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:46,199
Speaker 2: undefeated against the spread. You know, from week six on,

397
00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:49,119
Speaker 2: the team that's not been covering, the team that's been

398
00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:51,280
Speaker 2: thirty percent of less has covered sixty two percent of

399
00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:53,240
Speaker 2: the time. So this is a spot where the books

400
00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:55,399
Speaker 2: make their money, you know, for for everyone out there

401
00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:56,919
Speaker 2: that kind of wants to be, you know, on the

402
00:17:56,920 --> 00:17:59,119
Speaker 2: side of the books. And if you look at the

403
00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:02,440
Speaker 2: betting percentage in the money percentages any Action network app,

404
00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:05,760
Speaker 2: it kind of tells a story of New Orleans potentially struggling.

405
00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:07,880
Speaker 2: And remember this is a road game for him, which

406
00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:10,240
Speaker 2: they tend to have letdowns. But you know, first of all,

407
00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:12,280
Speaker 2: with the spread, you have fifty seven percent of the

408
00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:15,480
Speaker 2: bets backing New Orleans, but only thirty six percent of

409
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:17,120
Speaker 2: the money. And then you look at the total, which

410
00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,440
Speaker 2: I think is indicative of Okay, well, something's not gonna

411
00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:22,360
Speaker 2: go as expected. What's gonna happen? You have sixty six

412
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:25,720
Speaker 2: percent of the bets on the over fifty, but only

413
00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:28,080
Speaker 2: twenty four percent of the money. So what that tells

414
00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:29,679
Speaker 2: me is that some people with some big money on

415
00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:32,679
Speaker 2: this game probably see the Saints struggling on offense, and

416
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:34,679
Speaker 2: I think, yeah, Andrews Pete and the fact that the

417
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:37,439
Speaker 2: Bucks are not only number one in run defense DVA,

418
00:18:37,520 --> 00:18:40,440
Speaker 2: but they're womening backs in the past game as well,

419
00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:43,879
Speaker 2: does spell trouble for the Saints. So yeah, that's I

420
00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:46,479
Speaker 2: totally like this pick. This is like, the Bucks can

421
00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:48,960
Speaker 2: win any game. They're good enough to win any game,

422
00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:51,680
Speaker 2: they're bad enough to lose any because of that defense.

423
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:53,199
Speaker 4: But that's why we love them as a dog and

424
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:54,399
Speaker 4: not so much as a favor.

425
00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:58,200
Speaker 2: Right, speaking of dougs. For my second pick, I'm gonna

426
00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:00,479
Speaker 2: go with a large dog. I just think it's too

427
00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:03,560
Speaker 2: many points in this spot, especially considering how banged up

428
00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:06,119
Speaker 2: their opponent is. And that's the Arizona Cardinals.

429
00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:10,400
Speaker 1: Shocker Rayven's betting hun Kyler Murray.

430
00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:14,760
Speaker 2: But listen, this is this Cardinal team, another one of

431
00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:17,679
Speaker 2: those teams that they can win most games they're in.

432
00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:20,640
Speaker 2: They could also lose anyone, but they're a Pusky team.

433
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 2: You know, they haven't really been getting blown out of

434
00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:25,800
Speaker 2: these last few spots. They've been pretty competitive. Even in

435
00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:27,919
Speaker 2: that San Francisco game where it looked like they were

436
00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 2: going to be out of source. They really got nothing

437
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:32,000
Speaker 2: going on offense for a half, and they've still managed

438
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:33,720
Speaker 2: to kind of stay in that game take advantage of

439
00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:36,120
Speaker 2: from San Francisco injuries. You know, Kwan Alexander went out

440
00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:38,879
Speaker 2: in that game, really hurt their defense, and Arizona was

441
00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 2: able to exploit that with backs in the in the

442
00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:43,080
Speaker 2: running game and get some crossers going. And now San

443
00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:46,760
Speaker 2: Francisco is just even more banged up. I mean Alexander's out,

444
00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:49,920
Speaker 2: you have the o line still banged up. Use check

445
00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:53,040
Speaker 2: is back, But you have Emmanuel Sanders game time decision,

446
00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:55,479
Speaker 2: George Kittle game time decision, which would be key because

447
00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,439
Speaker 2: we know how the Cardinals fair against tight ends. And

448
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:00,280
Speaker 2: Matt Brieda, of course, you know, seem to be on

449
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:02,119
Speaker 2: injury report every week. Looks like he's actually going to

450
00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:04,600
Speaker 2: miss this game. So you're getting a center forty nine

451
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:07,040
Speaker 2: er team short week just came off.

452
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:09,359
Speaker 4: Where are Kittle? What the last you've seen with Kittle

453
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:11,320
Speaker 4: and Sanders? Where are they trending? I was reading that

454
00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:14,800
Speaker 4: Sanders probably trending to out and Kittle, I mean he

455
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:15,399
Speaker 4: is in practice.

456
00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:19,199
Speaker 2: No, they're calling them game time decisions. But yeah, like

457
00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:21,480
Speaker 2: when I like, it looks like they're gonna miss, but

458
00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:23,280
Speaker 2: you never know, you know, it's way again. We record

459
00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:26,080
Speaker 2: this on Wednesday. Hate to get anything definitive or anything

460
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,119
Speaker 2: like that, but I just think, you know, the like

461
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,760
Speaker 2: the fact that they're banged up in general, and they

462
00:20:30,760 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 2: struggled with this team, you know, with those guys healthy,

463
00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:34,600
Speaker 2: with sand and with these guys playing a big role.

464
00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:37,800
Speaker 2: I mean, Sanders was winning consistently on Patrick Peterson was

465
00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:39,280
Speaker 2: able to get over one hundred yards in that game.

466
00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:42,359
Speaker 2: George Kittle scored a touchdown, broke a couple of tackles. So,

467
00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:44,919
Speaker 2: you know, without these players, I think this is a

468
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:48,000
Speaker 2: lot closer of a game, you know, for these Arizona Cardinals,

469
00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 2: who are getting better, getting a little healthier, though they

470
00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:52,360
Speaker 2: might have all three of their backs now with Chase

471
00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:55,439
Speaker 2: Edmonds looks looking like he's nearing a return, and you know,

472
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,280
Speaker 2: this is gonna be a competitive team. You know. Do

473
00:20:57,400 --> 00:21:00,240
Speaker 2: they win the game, probably not, but I think they

474
00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,320
Speaker 2: can keep it within the eleven and a half that

475
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:05,160
Speaker 2: they're catching. So like the Cardinals in the spot, expect

476
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 2: them to kind of approve improve as the year progresses.

477
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:11,080
Speaker 2: On the football field, Cliff Kingsbury has been willing to

478
00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,719
Speaker 2: kind of make some adjustments when necessary's gone with heavier

479
00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:17,120
Speaker 2: personnel things like that. On the other hand, the forty

480
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:18,679
Speaker 2: nine ers, I mean, they started about as well as

481
00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 2: anyone could imagine.

482
00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:21,600
Speaker 4: But against nobody. They weren't really playing.

483
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,520
Speaker 2: Anybody right exactly, So it's like you're gonna kind of

484
00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 2: see I think both of these teams regress to the

485
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:28,359
Speaker 2: mean a little bit. I just think there's too many

486
00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 2: for Arizona team that kept it close with a bunch

487
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,440
Speaker 2: of San Francisco's key players playing a big time role.

488
00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:37,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, I would tend to agree, especially if you know

489
00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 4: Kittle and Sanders are out. You mentioned that that first

490
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:45,160
Speaker 4: game when they played, Emmanuel Sanders and George Kittle were

491
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:49,040
Speaker 4: targeted seventeen times. They have thirteen catches for one hundred

492
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 4: and ninety one yards and two touchdowns. That's significant, and

493
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:55,439
Speaker 4: especially considering the Cardinals can't cover tight ends. It's one

494
00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:57,480
Speaker 4: of their weak points. So if you're missing Kittle, which

495
00:21:57,480 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 4: is one of the most important pieces of San Fran offense,

496
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:01,800
Speaker 4: and that's gonna be a huge missing piece. And then

497
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,320
Speaker 4: we've talked to this before. Why the addition of Sanders

498
00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:06,840
Speaker 4: is so big is the on the outside, it's San Fran.

499
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:09,080
Speaker 4: You have Kittle and they're running in and it's not much.

500
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 4: It's very young and raw. And you know, Deebo samuel

501
00:22:12,359 --> 00:22:15,400
Speaker 4: Is he shouldn't be a number one receiver yet Pettis stinks. Yeah,

502
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:16,960
Speaker 4: I mean, so they didn't have a number one and

503
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,200
Speaker 4: that's why Sanders, you know, him coming in is really

504
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,640
Speaker 4: going to help them. By the way, your boy Jimmy

505
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 4: g has more turners and touchdowns this year, just throwing

506
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 4: that out there. So yeah, I agree with you. If

507
00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 4: especially if Kittle and Sanders are out, I'm actually going

508
00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:30,800
Speaker 4: to look at this under But one thing to keep

509
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:33,760
Speaker 4: an eye on is Arizona is running the ball as

510
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 4: well as any team in the NFL. And one of

511
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:36,879
Speaker 4: the reasons for that if you look a lot of

512
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 4: advanced metrics and Kyle Murray's having a hell of a

513
00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 4: year him throwing down field, he's been one of the

514
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:43,480
Speaker 4: best quarterbacks throwing it deep. But they spread you out,

515
00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:45,480
Speaker 4: so then you know, it's when they do run it,

516
00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 4: you're spread out and they're having success doing that. And

517
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:50,359
Speaker 4: one of the weaknesses maybe of the San fran defense.

518
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:52,239
Speaker 4: It's hard to tell because they didn't play a lot

519
00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 4: of great teams, is their run D. Their past D

520
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,320
Speaker 4: they've shown and I'm I'm believing now it's a leap

521
00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 4: because not only is their secondary playing really well with

522
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:02,320
Speaker 4: their pasts rushes elite and those two things compliment each other,

523
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 4: but their run defense looks a little vulnerable. It's a

524
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:09,119
Speaker 4: you know, maybe a case of the Patriots. You know

525
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 4: how they were playing nobody, and you know, we knew

526
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:12,960
Speaker 4: that their run defense is a little vulnerable. So look

527
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,680
Speaker 4: out for the Cardinals potentially, you know, especially their full

528
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:17,800
Speaker 4: stable of backs back, you know, they might be able

529
00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,119
Speaker 4: to exploit that too. So yeah, especially if Kittle and

530
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,280
Speaker 4: Sanders banged up, I agree with you here for my

531
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:26,679
Speaker 4: third pick, I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons once again

532
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:31,800
Speaker 4: catching five and a half in Carolina. Look this Falcons team,

533
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:33,920
Speaker 4: something happened and I was reading all these good quotes

534
00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:36,399
Speaker 4: all week about but you always read them, but it

535
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:38,080
Speaker 4: seemed like something was different, which is one of the

536
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:42,720
Speaker 4: reasons why I bet them against the Saints. And their

537
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,239
Speaker 4: defensive line finally showed out, and they've been banged up

538
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,640
Speaker 4: in the secondary. Their secondary is still iffy, but it's

539
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:51,480
Speaker 4: going to obviously get better with experience. But their defensive

540
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:54,040
Speaker 4: line dominated and I think it can have a lot

541
00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:57,000
Speaker 4: of success here against Carolina. But mainly what this is

542
00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 4: and Atlanta's run defense has actually been good because they're

543
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 4: im is really good. They're middle linebacker, their front yeah,

544
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 4: with Davison McKinley, Grady Jarrett is just a monster in

545
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:08,879
Speaker 4: the middle. So they've actually been Dean Jones at middle linebacker.

546
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 4: They've been good against the run. I would look, I

547
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:14,919
Speaker 4: drove the bus on the Kyle Allan Bamway and we

548
00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 4: casht with it. But let's take a look back now

549
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,440
Speaker 4: and see what Kyle's It's not great, guys, Kyle Allen

550
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:24,840
Speaker 4: has been inaccurate. He has more turnovers and touchdowns that killing,

551
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:27,240
Speaker 4: you know, and you got unlucky in that because you

552
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 4: had the Panthers last week and even though Allan was bad,

553
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:32,679
Speaker 4: the rest were awful in that game and they almost

554
00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:35,080
Speaker 4: still covered. But look, Kyle Allen, there's a lot of

555
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 4: worrying statistics. He was going into last week. He was

556
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:40,399
Speaker 4: leading the NFL and turnover worthy throws. I mean, this

557
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:42,239
Speaker 4: is a league with Mitch Trubisky in it, so he's

558
00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:44,800
Speaker 4: been getting lucky as well. And he's not been accurate

559
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:46,160
Speaker 4: in his deep ball, which is one of the things

560
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:47,800
Speaker 4: that I would have liked from him when he's not

561
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:51,399
Speaker 4: throwing the Christian McCaffrey subpar So it's a fate of

562
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:55,000
Speaker 4: Kyle Allen as well. And look, we've talked about this

563
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:58,359
Speaker 4: all year. The Panthers run de stinks and I can't

564
00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:00,199
Speaker 4: figure out. I mean, I know, it's like a one

565
00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:02,480
Speaker 4: funnel d And the way that they play in their

566
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 4: secondary is why their secondary is so good, and they

567
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:06,719
Speaker 4: don't give up a ton, but the Falcons are going

568
00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 4: to get there is even without Hooper and with Matt Ryan.

569
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:12,320
Speaker 4: But the Panthers run d has been bad all year,

570
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:14,199
Speaker 4: arguably the worst in the NFL. So I think the

571
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:15,680
Speaker 4: Falcons are going to be able, and they committed to

572
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:17,000
Speaker 4: the run last week. I think they're gonna be able

573
00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,080
Speaker 4: to run it set up the pass with Ryan and

574
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:21,600
Speaker 4: their talented receivers. They'll miss Hooper a little bit, but

575
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:23,800
Speaker 4: I think the Falcons keep this close. Wouldn't be shocked

576
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:25,080
Speaker 4: if they win the game.

577
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:27,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, that's like one of the reasons I have.

578
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 2: I'm pretty high on Brian Hill this week in fantasy.

579
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:31,879
Speaker 4: Yeah, Freeman wasn't doing anything, by the way, he was

580
00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,680
Speaker 4: averaging with three and a half yards per attempt, right.

581
00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:36,840
Speaker 2: Like you're just looking for volume here, and it's kind

582
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:39,320
Speaker 2: of a situation similar to Miami in terms of the usage,

583
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 2: where we saw he'll get twenty carries last week when

584
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:43,959
Speaker 2: Freeman went down Barnard, they don't they think of him

585
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 2: as a special teamer, so he got one all of

586
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:47,480
Speaker 2: a sudden. The rookie's been an active all year, so

587
00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:49,360
Speaker 2: this will be his first action. I think they will

588
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:51,760
Speaker 2: commit to Hill, and he was. Let's not forget Hill

589
00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:54,720
Speaker 2: has had a great preseason to the point where there

590
00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 2: was some thought that he was going to win that

591
00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:58,760
Speaker 2: number two job from Eto Smith, who of course is

592
00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:02,119
Speaker 2: now on IRS. So I think the Falcons matchup decently well.

593
00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:05,440
Speaker 2: Panthers have been getting kind of some unlucky breaks too,

594
00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:08,520
Speaker 2: but yeah, I think the Falcons they look like they've

595
00:26:08,520 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 2: turned the corner. I mean, it was getting bad out

596
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:12,640
Speaker 2: there with Dan Quinn and Arthur Blank of course didn't

597
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 2: didn't fire him and kind of kept him through the

598
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,800
Speaker 2: buy and obviously something happened. So you know, I'm actually

599
00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:19,520
Speaker 2: looking forward to to watching this game. I think it'll

600
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 2: be a good one and the Falcons are probably the

601
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:22,200
Speaker 2: right side. Yeah.

602
00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:23,560
Speaker 4: I was actually gonna bring that up to you that

603
00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 4: I was guessing that you were gonna be high on

604
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:27,399
Speaker 4: Hill because I think he's gonna have a big day

605
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 4: and the Falcons are going to feed him and that

606
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,359
Speaker 4: was their success last week to keep the opposing offense

607
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 4: off the field. And by the way, they signed a

608
00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:36,480
Speaker 4: kicker who I liked. He was cut by the Chargers coup,

609
00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 4: so he's going to help too. But yeah, I mean

610
00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:40,479
Speaker 4: this Panthers team and the other thing is is that

611
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:42,840
Speaker 4: this Panthers team, there's a lot of there's more Kyle

612
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 4: Allen regression coming. I'm just telling you, with turnovers and interceptions.

613
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 4: And this game is like for the Panthers season, right,

614
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:54,119
Speaker 4: given the division that they're in. They're five and four,

615
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,119
Speaker 4: they're at home. All the pressure is on Kyle Allen.

616
00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,639
Speaker 4: The Falcons, Matt Ryan and company. They can come in

617
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 4: here and they're just playing easy and free and spoil

618
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 4: like they did last week. So I think with the

619
00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:09,600
Speaker 4: young quarterback, you're gonna see him break here. I think

620
00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:10,919
Speaker 4: the Falcons went out right. Where are you going with

621
00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 4: your thirde?

622
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 2: I mean, I just I'll just say this, like I

623
00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:15,400
Speaker 2: obviously ask somebody that you know does this fantasy thing

624
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:17,359
Speaker 2: and makes projections every week. I will tell you the

625
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:19,399
Speaker 2: one way you know you don't cover this bet, Like,

626
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 2: probably the most likely way you don't cover is if

627
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,960
Speaker 2: Christian McCaffrey goes for approximately five thousand yards.

628
00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:26,119
Speaker 4: Yeah, which is always possible.

629
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 2: That's really the only that's That's the thing. I think

630
00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:30,120
Speaker 2: that especially out.

631
00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:31,879
Speaker 4: Of the backfield, because I mean, the good thing is

632
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 4: the Falcons get a good push and they defend the

633
00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 4: run well their secondary has been decimated, but I don't

634
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:39,720
Speaker 4: know if they have anyone that can cover McCaffery, especially

635
00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:41,880
Speaker 4: out of the backfield, and that's who Allen loves throw

636
00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:45,040
Speaker 4: to more than anyone, and wouldn't anybody. But yeah, you're right,

637
00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:45,879
Speaker 4: that's that's always the.

638
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:48,920
Speaker 2: Fun fact for the first time, and I believe it's

639
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 2: since twenty fifteen when Dan Quinn took over as the

640
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 2: head coach. You know, obviously big impact on the defense.

641
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:57,840
Speaker 2: The Falcons do not lead the league in catches allowed

642
00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 2: by running backs. They're actually way down at number two

643
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:02,440
Speaker 2: twenty six. So, as you mentioned, some some kind of

644
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:03,960
Speaker 2: change with that scheme in that front. They're playing a

645
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:06,280
Speaker 2: little bit different way. Obviously the injuries teams are attacking

646
00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 2: the more.

647
00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:09,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're playing more man. They're playing a different scheme too,

648
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:13,280
Speaker 4: which will help against backs. So maybe that will help

649
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,200
Speaker 4: a little bit against mccafrey because they are playing much

650
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:16,800
Speaker 4: more man than they have in the past. With Squinn

651
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 4: comes from that Caral Tury.

652
00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:20,080
Speaker 2: For my third pick, I'm going with a team that

653
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:22,640
Speaker 2: let me down, went to London and laid a complete egg.

654
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:25,600
Speaker 2: That's the Jacksonville Jaguars. I still think this team is

655
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 2: a little bit undervalued. I think this is one of

656
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:30,880
Speaker 2: the you know, one of these teams in the AFC

657
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:34,000
Speaker 2: that's kind of middle of the pack and another one

658
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:35,840
Speaker 2: of those teams that's kind of capable of winning any

659
00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:38,200
Speaker 2: game they step foot in. They have a solid defense,

660
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:40,800
Speaker 2: they can get pressure, you know, even with you know,

661
00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:43,719
Speaker 2: losing Jay when Ramsey, they still have aj Bouyer, a

662
00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 2: really good running back that can pick up yards. You know.

663
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 2: I know he hasn't really gotten to the end zone

664
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:49,360
Speaker 2: and winner Fournette, but he can kind of carry up

665
00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:51,760
Speaker 2: and down the field. And it looks like they're getting

666
00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 2: d Ede Westbrook back, which is big because you look

667
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 2: at DJ Chark, who's having an outstanding season and even

668
00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 2: his numbers kind of dipped a little bit. Without Westbrook.

669
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:03,160
Speaker 2: You're also getting Nick Foles back, who obviously I think

670
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:06,680
Speaker 2: Gardner Minshew exceeded all expectations, but I think Nick Foles

671
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 2: is still you know, there is a reason that they

672
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:10,040
Speaker 2: kind of went out and got him and his brief

673
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 2: action this year, he played really well before going down,

674
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 2: and I think it's kind of like a lot of

675
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:17,280
Speaker 2: people don't really know how to approach this game. You know,

676
00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:19,640
Speaker 2: It's like Brissette probably will be back for Hoyer, So

677
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 2: there's a lot of uncertainty with both quarterbacks. But you know, healthy,

678
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:26,800
Speaker 2: I give Nick Foles an edge over Brissett. And this

679
00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 2: coach team, they're another team. You know, they're capable of

680
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:32,040
Speaker 2: winning games. They're well coached. They you know, we saw

681
00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:34,240
Speaker 2: that against the Kansas City Chiefs when they got a

682
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,760
Speaker 2: close victory against the hobb with Mahomes. But this team

683
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,120
Speaker 2: also has a lot of downside. We saw that against

684
00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 2: the Miami Dolphins, not being able to kind of pull

685
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,360
Speaker 2: out that game. They're banged up there without t Y Hilton,

686
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:44,480
Speaker 2: which I think is big because.

687
00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:45,600
Speaker 4: A bunch of other receivers too them.

688
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 2: They receiving course, Oh yeah, I mean they signed Marcus Johnson,

689
00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 2: who most people probably don't even know who that is.

690
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 2: But they signed Marcus Johnson who was on the team

691
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:55,280
Speaker 2: last year, played a few games, and he immediately spotted

692
00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:57,240
Speaker 2: in and played eighty six percent of the routes last week.

693
00:29:57,240 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 2: Because I look at this stuff for fantasy, so I'm

694
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:01,080
Speaker 2: always up on these like route numbers, like he played

695
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:02,720
Speaker 2: eighty six percent of the routes. But this is a

696
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:04,720
Speaker 2: guy who'siged off the street. T y Hilton's still out.

697
00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:07,000
Speaker 2: You have Paris Campbell out as you you know, as

698
00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:09,960
Speaker 2: you to when you have these coin flip games, you

699
00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 2: have kind of teams you look at, Okay, they're even

700
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 2: we matched. Then to me, it just comes down who

701
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:17,000
Speaker 2: can who's more likely to convert a third down? You know,

702
00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 2: in a key situation, is it Nick Foles throwing to

703
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,680
Speaker 2: to Chark in Westbrook, you know, with with Fournette potentially

704
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:25,360
Speaker 2: out of the backfield, or is it Yakobe Brissett throwing

705
00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 2: to Jack Doyle maybe Eric Ebron who got twelve targets

706
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:31,360
Speaker 2: and didn't do much like it's I think the Jabs

707
00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 2: have enough of an edge in the passing game, you know,

708
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:37,680
Speaker 2: coming off a bad loss a bye, I think they

709
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 2: should be a little bit. They should be. They should

710
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 2: they should come out of the gates firing in this one.

711
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 2: The coach a little bit out of sorts. I think

712
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:46,600
Speaker 2: people will overrate Brissette returning.

713
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 4: By the way, I lost all all, I said, I

714
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:51,640
Speaker 4: lost all my survivor entries on the Colts against Chiefs.

715
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:53,280
Speaker 4: I had one left and I lost it on the

716
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 4: Colts against the Dolphins.

717
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:54,920
Speaker 2: Oh my god.

718
00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:58,360
Speaker 4: By the way they've played every single game this year,

719
00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:01,400
Speaker 4: there's been one possession. Every single game has been decided

720
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 4: by one possession with the Colts, and it's the only

721
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 4: team in the NFL obviously that has done that. But

722
00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:08,400
Speaker 4: you know, they can beat or lose to anyone. But

723
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:09,960
Speaker 4: I think that they we were saying that they were

724
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 4: a good team, a shitty team, what was my word,

725
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,600
Speaker 4: A shitty team that's well coached. But then last week

726
00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 4: Frank Reich's you know, calling time out so he doesn't

727
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 4: get the ball back. I mean, just there was bad

728
00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:21,520
Speaker 4: even bad coaching, and then they don't commit penalties. They

729
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,480
Speaker 4: don't really hurt themselves when it's not Hoyer throwing picks.

730
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:27,360
Speaker 4: But this team's bad. Their offensive line is really good,

731
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:29,040
Speaker 4: and they can run the ball a little bit, but

732
00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:31,520
Speaker 4: you can run on them, you know, to see her.

733
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 4: And their secondary is still banged up, and it's just

734
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 4: not a great team, especially when their weapons on the

735
00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:39,600
Speaker 4: outside are banged up. They can't stretch the field. That

736
00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:41,840
Speaker 4: doesn't open up anything else with your tight ends and everything.

737
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 4: I mean, it's the same shit that's going on the Eagles.

738
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:46,600
Speaker 4: And also you got to remember the Colts don't have

739
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:50,040
Speaker 4: a fucking kicker. I've been screaming all year, how do

740
00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:51,840
Speaker 4: you not cut out of military because he used to

741
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 4: make kicks. I mean, there's going to become a time

742
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 4: when Justin Tucker is going to have to go do

743
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,640
Speaker 4: opera and that's gonna be fine, and the Ravens will

744
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:02,280
Speaker 4: cut him and you know, just like the Patriots would.

745
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:04,120
Speaker 4: I mean, this is crazy that you're just holding on

746
00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:06,080
Speaker 4: to him because he used to make kicks. So that's

747
00:32:06,120 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 4: another factor too, because that basically cost him the game

748
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 4: last week. So yeah, I agree with you. I think

749
00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:11,680
Speaker 4: the Jags win this game.

750
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:14,280
Speaker 2: Yeah it's Vinitari. I mean, think of it this way.

751
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 2: He's been one of them. He's been one of the

752
00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:18,880
Speaker 2: historically great Patriots kickers, and they got rid of him

753
00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:22,960
Speaker 2: years ago, years ago. So yeah, the Coats are kind

754
00:32:22,960 --> 00:32:25,840
Speaker 2: of they kind of they were kind of riding at

755
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:27,800
Speaker 2: high of you know, Brissette playing well over those first

756
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 2: few weeks, and I think he's a solid quarterback, but

757
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:33,360
Speaker 2: this team is not. It's a team that was largely

758
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:36,200
Speaker 2: carried by the brilliance of Andrew Luck and you're starting

759
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 2: to see some holes get exposed without Luck there, all right,

760
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:44,120
Speaker 2: So that does it for our Sunday six pack Stuck

761
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 2: has the Bucks plus five and a half, the Falcons

762
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:49,880
Speaker 2: plus five and a half, and the Buffalo Bills as

763
00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 2: a six point road favorite in Miami. I went with

764
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 2: the New York Jets at a point and a half,

765
00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:58,480
Speaker 2: the Jacksonville Jaguars plus two and a half, and the

766
00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 2: Arizona Cardinals plus eleven and a half. Now it's jump

767
00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:05,920
Speaker 2: into our favorite over under of the week. All right, Stuck,

768
00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:09,440
Speaker 2: since you started us off with the Sunday six pack,

769
00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:12,680
Speaker 2: I'll go first with my over underpick. I like the

770
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:15,560
Speaker 2: Bears Rams under this week. The Bears under in general

771
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 2: has been pretty profitable, but you just look at the

772
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:20,280
Speaker 2: Rams and first of all, I know Dick Fangio has gone,

773
00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:22,520
Speaker 2: but this the Bears defense is really the defense that

774
00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:25,400
Speaker 2: kind of gets credited for. I guess you could say

775
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:28,600
Speaker 2: down like the downfall of the Rams offense because you know,

776
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:30,720
Speaker 2: they started playing those six man fronts and kind of

777
00:33:30,760 --> 00:33:33,360
Speaker 2: limiting some of the outside zone stuff. Rams continue to

778
00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:35,240
Speaker 2: be banged up on the old line. You know, we

779
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,760
Speaker 2: saw that in a game against Pittsburgh where granted it's

780
00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:39,920
Speaker 2: a good defense, but to the Bears, a normal Rams

781
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:42,280
Speaker 2: team should be able to outscore that Pittsburgh team playing

782
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:45,240
Speaker 2: the way they were last week didn't happen for the

783
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:47,840
Speaker 2: Rams in this spot. And then on the other side,

784
00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 2: you have the Bears, who I don't think they got

785
00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 2: a first down and what was it the the third

786
00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 2: quarter or the fourth quarter last week or something like,

787
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 2: they're struggling. They played a massive stafford as Lions team

788
00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 2: and you know, kind of struggled to really gut out

789
00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:01,000
Speaker 2: of victory.

790
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 4: There.

791
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:03,440
Speaker 2: Scored only twenty points in that one against the Lions

792
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 2: defense that's been vulnerable. I think this Rams defense is

793
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:10,080
Speaker 2: stronger with Jalen Ramsey. I think, you know, Wade Phillips

794
00:34:10,120 --> 00:34:13,120
Speaker 2: obviously will be able to, you know, to draw up

795
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:15,439
Speaker 2: something kind of match Matt Naggy and his creativity because

796
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:17,520
Speaker 2: he's really, i mean, he's got less and less to

797
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:19,879
Speaker 2: work with. It seems like every time Mitch Trubisky throws

798
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:23,200
Speaker 2: an incompletion. So yeah, both of these teams struggling on offense.

799
00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:24,759
Speaker 2: I think it will be another one of these defensive

800
00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:29,200
Speaker 2: defensive showdowns, unfortunately in primetime for those people.

801
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:29,760
Speaker 4: That like points.

802
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:32,520
Speaker 2: But I'm going with the under forty and Bears Rams.

803
00:34:33,120 --> 00:34:35,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, I would to agree that this Bear the Rams

804
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:37,880
Speaker 4: defense is playing really well, and it's Mitch Trubisky and

805
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:39,879
Speaker 4: the Bears can't run the ball. These are two top

806
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:42,800
Speaker 4: five run defenses, by the way, and the Rams offensive

807
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 4: line is a disaster. I haven't seen his out. He

808
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:48,239
Speaker 4: wasn't any good. Blake moved to center. They have new guards.

809
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:50,919
Speaker 4: You know, you have Kid the Browns traded for nothing.

810
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:53,320
Speaker 4: Corbett is in there. You have a guard now a tackle.

811
00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,799
Speaker 4: Whitworth is getting older. I mean, it's a disaster. And

812
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:57,440
Speaker 4: anytime they play a team that can get pressure, and

813
00:34:57,480 --> 00:35:00,439
Speaker 4: the Bears can, their offense doesn't do anything. And golf

814
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 4: under pressure is horrible. He needs time to set his feet.

815
00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:05,879
Speaker 4: He's a mechanical throw. And look the last five games,

816
00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:07,480
Speaker 4: look at the Rams. They played three teams that don't

817
00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 4: get a lot of pressure, Cincinnati, Seattle, Atlanta. They averaged

818
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:12,799
Speaker 4: over twenty seven points per game. The two teams they

819
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:15,400
Speaker 4: played they get pressure, the forty nine Ers and the Steelers,

820
00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:18,759
Speaker 4: they averaged five offensive points per game. They scored one

821
00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:21,359
Speaker 4: touchdown and one field goal. So I think the Bears

822
00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:22,759
Speaker 4: will be able to get pressure. I don't think either

823
00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:24,719
Speaker 4: team's gonna have a ton of success running the ball.

824
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:26,880
Speaker 4: This is a rock fight. I think that the Rams

825
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,400
Speaker 4: eventually pull it out just because they have more talent

826
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:31,440
Speaker 4: on the outside and they're at home. I think it

827
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 4: could be a big day for your boy Cup and

828
00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 4: I think that might be the difference. And again it's

829
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:39,239
Speaker 4: Mitch Trubisky on the road, So I think the Rams

830
00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:40,600
Speaker 4: pull it out, but I should be auagly. I agree

831
00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:41,799
Speaker 4: with you on the under. I played the first half

832
00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 4: under twenty and a half. Will probably be adding the

833
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 4: full game under as well. All right, for my total,

834
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:49,920
Speaker 4: I'm also going with an under. I'm going Patriots Eagles

835
00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:52,919
Speaker 4: under forty four and a half. Also, like the first

836
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:54,719
Speaker 4: half under, I'll be splitting that seeing if he gets

837
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:57,640
Speaker 4: back up to forty five. Look would think Eagles have

838
00:35:57,719 --> 00:35:59,080
Speaker 4: to do and we talked about this with the Sean

839
00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:03,160
Speaker 4: Jackson being out, their offense just isn't explosive anymore and

840
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:06,040
Speaker 4: everything is clogged in the middle. You can focus on erths.

841
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:07,799
Speaker 4: They can't do much, so what they have to do

842
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:09,719
Speaker 4: and their defense has a lot of questions, especially in

843
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:13,160
Speaker 4: the secondary. So what they have to do is try

844
00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:16,399
Speaker 4: and be a ball control offense, lead the clock, keep

845
00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:18,960
Speaker 4: the keep their defense off the field. And that's what

846
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 4: they've been doing of late, and that's what I think

847
00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:23,040
Speaker 4: they have to do against the Patriots and their offensive line,

848
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,400
Speaker 4: and Eagles offense line is excellent, you know, by I

849
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,200
Speaker 4: think Pro Football Focus rates them number one in run

850
00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:31,920
Speaker 4: blocking in the NFL, and you know, so, I think

851
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,280
Speaker 4: that they can get pushed, they can keep drives going,

852
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 4: but they're not gonna have much success in the red zone.

853
00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 4: And this is the type of game that the Patriots

854
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:42,239
Speaker 4: defense thrives in. Right. It's not Lamar Jackson, it's not

855
00:36:42,280 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 4: a mobile quarterback, and there's not explosive receivers on the outside.

856
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:48,600
Speaker 4: You might even see Gilmour on Ertz. But they can

857
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:52,600
Speaker 4: just play blanket man cover zero and bring pressure. Their

858
00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:55,160
Speaker 4: run defense is still a little vulnerable, and the Eagles

859
00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:58,560
Speaker 4: can have some success on the ground, but ultimately the

860
00:36:58,600 --> 00:37:00,799
Speaker 4: Patriots can play how they want to play in this

861
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:03,960
Speaker 4: game and just smother the receivers on the outside and

862
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:06,839
Speaker 4: look evenside Jordan Matthew's back to receiving. I mean, matt

863
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:08,800
Speaker 4: Collins has played what one hundred and ninety eight thousand

864
00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:12,319
Speaker 4: straight snaps without a catch. It's bad, you know. I Mean,

865
00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:14,640
Speaker 4: Jeffery has been banged up, but he's a step slow

866
00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:17,319
Speaker 4: down his age, So it's a bad situation. It's a

867
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 4: perfect matchup for this New England secondary for them to

868
00:37:21,040 --> 00:37:22,359
Speaker 4: load the box and the other side of the ball.

869
00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 4: The New England offense just still isn't right. It's still

870
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,239
Speaker 4: off timing wise, and especially in that offensive line. I

871
00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:28,719
Speaker 4: think they'll get it together by the end of the year.

872
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:30,120
Speaker 4: They have one of the best offensive line coaches in the

873
00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:32,760
Speaker 4: NFL and will start to gel. I think the Eagles

874
00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:35,640
Speaker 4: defensive line, which is excellent, can get some pressure throw

875
00:37:35,680 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 4: Brady off of his game. He's gonna have some success

876
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 4: move in the ball against his secondary. But I think

877
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,560
Speaker 4: this is ugly lower scoring. Now. I want to throw

878
00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:45,200
Speaker 4: this out there. The Patriots are coming off of a

879
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 4: loss and a bye. The Eagles are coming off of

880
00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:49,960
Speaker 4: a bye as well. The Patriots went off of a

881
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:53,560
Speaker 4: loss with Tom Brady at the helm, and this is ridiculous.

882
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:58,920
Speaker 4: After a loss, are twenty eight and three against the

883
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:02,840
Speaker 4: spread one t eight and three, covering by margin of

884
00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:05,960
Speaker 4: almost a touchdown a game twenty eight three ninety percent.

885
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:07,960
Speaker 4: You know what, they are on the road twenty and

886
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 4: two against the spread after a straight up loss. I

887
00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:13,839
Speaker 4: actually faded them in one of these spots last year,

888
00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:15,560
Speaker 4: which was their last loss of one of their only

889
00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:18,360
Speaker 4: one again at the Steelers late in the year. I

890
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:20,840
Speaker 4: think they've won like seventeen spots in a row like this,

891
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:23,000
Speaker 4: so they're gonna be mad. Brady's been talking about the

892
00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:25,640
Speaker 4: Super Bowl. They're still pissed about. I'd be very afraid

893
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:27,560
Speaker 4: of the Patriots here. It doesn't matter how many people

894
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 4: are betting them. I mean, these are the types of

895
00:38:29,520 --> 00:38:32,399
Speaker 4: games they cover. But I like the under in this one.

896
00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:35,440
Speaker 2: Don't like don't love the favorites usually, but yeah, I

897
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:37,759
Speaker 2: might I might have to lay some money with the

898
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:39,960
Speaker 2: Patriots because really like the spot, and we always talk

899
00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:42,080
Speaker 2: about they're under, especially when they go on the road.

900
00:38:42,200 --> 00:38:45,560
Speaker 2: Since twenty sixteen, they're twenty one and six toward the

901
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:48,120
Speaker 2: under when they go on the road and you really

902
00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:50,160
Speaker 2: start you're really starting to see that take hold with

903
00:38:50,160 --> 00:38:52,040
Speaker 2: with how good this defense is and all the different

904
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:54,080
Speaker 2: things they can do. So yeah, I think that the

905
00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:56,560
Speaker 2: only real worry here is probably the Patriots, you know,

906
00:38:56,600 --> 00:39:00,000
Speaker 2: getting over on that that egos defense that should play better,

907
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:03,279
Speaker 2: but you know, being healthier. But if they if the

908
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 2: Patriots can kind of do some things on the back end,

909
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:08,719
Speaker 2: which doesn't appear as likely without Gordon, so you know

910
00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:10,600
Speaker 2: they'll probably be a dink and done team and the

911
00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:12,680
Speaker 2: under should hit. So I think it's the right I

912
00:39:12,680 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 2: think it's the right call.

913
00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:16,160
Speaker 3: Hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I want

914
00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:18,320
Speaker 3: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast

915
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:21,719
Speaker 3: network locked on as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

916
00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:23,640
Speaker 4: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

917
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 2: You are locked own of the Dallas matterage.

918
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:27,120
Speaker 4: Wekome everybody to the Locked On Lakers podcast.

919
00:39:27,320 --> 00:39:27,879
Speaker 2: Let's Go.

920
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:31,120
Speaker 3: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

921
00:39:31,160 --> 00:39:33,400
Speaker 3: know your team better than anyone and give you the

922
00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 3: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

923
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:41,319
Speaker 3: locked on your favorite team, Subscribe to your locked On podcast.

924
00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:47,560
Speaker 2: And let's now get into our weekly teaser segment.

925
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:52,000
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, six point teasers all.

926
00:39:52,040 --> 00:39:55,359
Speaker 2: Right, So here's where we each take our favorite six

927
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:57,600
Speaker 2: point two team teaser, which means you get six extra

928
00:39:57,600 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 2: points toward the spread and exchange for a lightly reduced

929
00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 2: payout if you go and attempt to make these bets

930
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:07,560
Speaker 2: at your sports book of choice. We we teas in this week.

931
00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:09,440
Speaker 4: I am going I already mentioned the Rams. I think

932
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:11,319
Speaker 4: they get it. Done in an ugly one. I'll take

933
00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:15,360
Speaker 4: the more talented offense and not Mitch Trubisky at home,

934
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 4: so teasing them down to a pick and then also

935
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:21,680
Speaker 4: teasing the Jags from a field goal over a touchdown.

936
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:23,600
Speaker 4: I think they're two and a half, three up to

937
00:40:23,840 --> 00:40:26,000
Speaker 4: eight and a half or nine. Like I said before,

938
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:28,040
Speaker 4: I think the Jags win, and the Colts have played

939
00:40:28,040 --> 00:40:30,680
Speaker 4: every single game this year has been decided by one possession.

940
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:32,400
Speaker 4: I don't think they have the ability to blow off

941
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:35,440
Speaker 4: the Jags. So I'm going with Rams Jags.

942
00:40:35,680 --> 00:40:37,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually like the Jags. Two, I'm going Jags

943
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:40,680
Speaker 2: Jets again, just another team. Like I don't see Washington

944
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:43,000
Speaker 2: blowing out anyone. I don't see. I don't know if

945
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:46,960
Speaker 2: I see Washington winning this game against the great run defense.

946
00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:50,040
Speaker 2: Dwayne Haskins hasn't yet. I think the key for Washington

947
00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:53,280
Speaker 2: would probably be to get their guy Terry McLaurin loof

948
00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:55,560
Speaker 2: against that Jets secondary, because the Jets have been really

949
00:40:55,600 --> 00:41:00,640
Speaker 2: good in the slot and that so really need to

950
00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 2: kind of throw the ball outside of the numbers down the field,

951
00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:04,040
Speaker 2: and I don't know if they're willing to do that. So,

952
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:06,600
Speaker 2: like the Jets, chances of not getting blown out, and

953
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:08,920
Speaker 2: you already hit on it with the Jags, all right,

954
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:10,760
Speaker 2: So there you have it. Stuck going with the Jags

955
00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:13,160
Speaker 2: and Rams. I am going with the Jags and the

956
00:41:13,200 --> 00:41:16,120
Speaker 2: New York Jets for our weekly teaser. And now let's

957
00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:18,160
Speaker 2: get into our underdog.

958
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:25,960
Speaker 1: Parlay turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

959
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:27,560
Speaker 1: the money line parlay.

960
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:30,960
Speaker 2: All right. Stuck, So we finally got back on the

961
00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:33,719
Speaker 2: on the board here, both hitting our money line picks

962
00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:36,160
Speaker 2: at the same time. You had the Pittsburgh Steelers, I

963
00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:39,040
Speaker 2: had the New York Jets. Both of them won their

964
00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:40,840
Speaker 2: football games. If you I bet that, you would have

965
00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:43,359
Speaker 2: gotten a four hundred and seventy eight dollars profit off

966
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:46,120
Speaker 2: a one hundred dollar bet. So we got to keep

967
00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:48,640
Speaker 2: it going. Where are you looking on the board. It's

968
00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:52,360
Speaker 2: pretty ugly card, but there's some pretty good underdogs on

969
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:53,000
Speaker 2: the slate.

970
00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:55,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I've said it before. I think this is a

971
00:41:55,640 --> 00:41:58,040
Speaker 4: bad Kyle Allen game. I think you're going to see

972
00:41:58,040 --> 00:42:01,359
Speaker 4: a resurgent Falcons team down the stretch. I'm taking the

973
00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:04,160
Speaker 4: Falcons here. I think they get another upset win.

974
00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 2: How to find a way to get the bucks in here,

975
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:10,440
Speaker 2: So they're going to be my money line picked this week.

976
00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:13,400
Speaker 2: So there you have it. We both have these NFC

977
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:18,560
Speaker 2: South underdogs bucks plus two five Falcons plus two hundred.

978
00:42:19,160 --> 00:42:23,520
Speaker 2: If you bet this money line parlay, you would get

979
00:42:23,520 --> 00:42:26,640
Speaker 2: a payout of eight hundred and fifteen dollars. On a

980
00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:29,200
Speaker 2: one hundred hour bet meeting, you'd win nine to fifteen

981
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:33,279
Speaker 2: in total. So hopefully we continue to hit in this

982
00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:36,120
Speaker 2: spot and these teams that one is underdogs come through

983
00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 2: for us again this week. Now, let's quickly cover the

984
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:41,239
Speaker 2: best of the rest, which are all the games that

985
00:42:41,280 --> 00:42:43,520
Speaker 2: didn't make it into any other segment. All right, So

986
00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:45,439
Speaker 2: first up, I'll just get this one out of the way.

987
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:48,480
Speaker 2: We have the Dallas Cowboys three point favorites at the

988
00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:50,719
Speaker 2: Detroit Lions total at fifty one, but this one is

989
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:53,279
Speaker 2: really off the board. As we record this, there's some

990
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:57,440
Speaker 2: uncertainty regarding whether Matthew Stafford will indeed make his return,

991
00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:00,160
Speaker 2: so any weans on this one, you know, either way.

992
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:02,799
Speaker 4: It's obviously gonna come down to whether or not Stafford plays,

993
00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:05,160
Speaker 4: which we're gonna have to wait for. But I do

994
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:07,520
Speaker 4: think that the Cowboys, as long as they're play calling,

995
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:12,160
Speaker 4: is not as asinine as it was last game. I

996
00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 4: do think that they can have some success moving the

997
00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:17,200
Speaker 4: ball with Dak and throwing it and oh Z doesn't

998
00:43:17,239 --> 00:43:19,200
Speaker 4: look right, But look, their offense line is really good.

999
00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:21,400
Speaker 4: The lines don't get any pressure, so Dak's gonna have

1000
00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:23,480
Speaker 4: all day to do what he wants. So I think

1001
00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:25,520
Speaker 4: that the Cowboys, as long as they're play calling doesn't

1002
00:43:25,520 --> 00:43:27,400
Speaker 4: go off the rails again like it did late in

1003
00:43:27,440 --> 00:43:31,040
Speaker 4: that game against Minnesota. I don't think that the either

1004
00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:34,280
Speaker 4: team will have any trouble moving the ball, but the

1005
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:36,799
Speaker 4: Cowboys offense is just much more dynamic. They do have

1006
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:39,319
Speaker 4: the running piece, which the lines have none of. So

1007
00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:41,960
Speaker 4: I would favor the Cowboys here getting it done. But

1008
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:44,239
Speaker 4: obviously it depends on Stafford. So keep an eye out

1009
00:43:44,239 --> 00:43:47,080
Speaker 4: for our betting guide, which we'll have tons of info

1010
00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:50,640
Speaker 4: on that game and updated injuries and analysis and any

1011
00:43:50,640 --> 00:43:51,360
Speaker 4: bets that we like.

1012
00:43:51,600 --> 00:43:53,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, just looking ahead to the playoffs. Like

1013
00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:57,520
Speaker 2: the Cowboys are a dangerous team because they can run

1014
00:43:57,560 --> 00:43:59,280
Speaker 2: the ball. They can, they have a good old line,

1015
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:02,359
Speaker 2: they can play defense. You know, still have letdowns here

1016
00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:04,160
Speaker 2: and there, but I think if they put the ball

1017
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:06,480
Speaker 2: in Dak Prescott's hands and maybe you couldn't say that

1018
00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:08,439
Speaker 2: in these previous couple of years. But if they put

1019
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:10,440
Speaker 2: the ball on Dak's hands and say this is who

1020
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:11,800
Speaker 2: we are. We're a team that's going to throw the

1021
00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:15,280
Speaker 2: ball forty times to Mamari Cooper, Michael Gallup, Cobb, you know, Elliott,

1022
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:18,239
Speaker 2: all those guys. This is a dangerous team come playoff time.

1023
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:20,719
Speaker 2: So we'll see what happens with the play caring because

1024
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:23,239
Speaker 2: I do like the upside of the of the Dallas Cowboys.

1025
00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:25,799
Speaker 2: The next game is one that should be a really

1026
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:30,040
Speaker 2: good one. Houston traveling to Baltimore. The Ravens four point favorites.

1027
00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:34,560
Speaker 2: The total is fifty stuck. The Houston Texans are usually

1028
00:44:34,560 --> 00:44:37,040
Speaker 2: a team you want to bet when they're a road underdog.

1029
00:44:37,239 --> 00:44:39,399
Speaker 2: Any interest in the Texans are You're back in your

1030
00:44:39,480 --> 00:44:41,840
Speaker 2: Ravens after they let you down by covering. So they

1031
00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:43,680
Speaker 2: didn't really let you down, but you know.

1032
00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:45,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, that was the first time of letbon down all

1033
00:44:45,080 --> 00:44:48,480
Speaker 4: year from a bet perspective. Look, I mean the Texans,

1034
00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:50,440
Speaker 4: you have a buy coming into this, which helps when

1035
00:44:50,440 --> 00:44:52,960
Speaker 4: you're preparing for a unique offense such as the Ravens.

1036
00:44:52,960 --> 00:44:54,640
Speaker 4: So their run defense has actually been really good. Now

1037
00:44:54,640 --> 00:44:56,439
Speaker 4: obviously they're going to miss Wat the rest of the year,

1038
00:44:56,840 --> 00:44:58,319
Speaker 4: but they've been really good against the run, and they've

1039
00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:00,640
Speaker 4: been really good against covering tight ends, which are two

1040
00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:02,480
Speaker 4: things you need to do against the Ravens. Now, I

1041
00:45:02,480 --> 00:45:04,279
Speaker 4: don't think they're going to be as good against the

1042
00:45:04,360 --> 00:45:07,520
Speaker 4: run going forward without Wat, who's worth a couple points

1043
00:45:07,560 --> 00:45:10,080
Speaker 4: to the spread and the you know, the Ravens of

1044
00:45:10,120 --> 00:45:12,120
Speaker 4: an excellent offensive line is when no one really talks about,

1045
00:45:12,200 --> 00:45:15,160
Speaker 4: especially from the pass blocking perspective. But on the other

1046
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:18,000
Speaker 4: side of the ball, you know, the Ravens secondary is

1047
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,760
Speaker 4: so good now. And then I told everyone about Marcus Peters.

1048
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:23,839
Speaker 4: He has two touchdowns now. With him, Jimmy smith Beck

1049
00:45:23,920 --> 00:45:26,360
Speaker 4: and Marlon Humphrey, they're one of the few teams that

1050
00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:28,440
Speaker 4: can match up with the Texans on the outside. But

1051
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:30,520
Speaker 4: one of the things that you worry about is the

1052
00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:33,560
Speaker 4: Ravens run defense, and it's been vulnerable, and especially when

1053
00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:36,160
Speaker 4: Michael Pierce and Brandon Williams have been out and it

1054
00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:37,759
Speaker 4: looks like Pierce is going to be out for maybe

1055
00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:40,840
Speaker 4: a couple of weeks now. The Ravens did credit Eric Tacosta.

1056
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:44,359
Speaker 4: He went out. He signed de Anthony Thomas last week

1057
00:45:44,400 --> 00:45:46,640
Speaker 4: to improve the return game because Cyrus Jones just wasn't

1058
00:45:46,640 --> 00:45:49,400
Speaker 4: getting it done. Emon Marshall also came off of ir

1059
00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:53,920
Speaker 4: The Texans have been really, really good, really good running

1060
00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:56,800
Speaker 4: the ball all year, very productive, and that's been the

1061
00:45:56,920 --> 00:46:00,120
Speaker 4: Ravens weak point. You can run on them especially, and

1062
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 4: Pierce Pearce went out last week and the Bengals had

1063
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:04,319
Speaker 4: some success running the ball, So it doesn't look like

1064
00:46:04,320 --> 00:46:06,480
Speaker 4: Pierce will play. Pecko's going to come in. I don't

1065
00:46:06,520 --> 00:46:08,040
Speaker 4: know how much he has left in the tank. He's

1066
00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:10,200
Speaker 4: going to be in a new scheme, insert them, you know,

1067
00:46:10,520 --> 00:46:12,840
Speaker 4: first week, So maybe the Texans can have some success

1068
00:46:12,920 --> 00:46:14,800
Speaker 4: running the ball. It's going to be up to Watson

1069
00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:17,120
Speaker 4: to make some plays. I think the bye week does

1070
00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:20,800
Speaker 4: help a lot here preparing for the Ravens. The Ravens

1071
00:46:20,840 --> 00:46:22,440
Speaker 4: are really good and it's hard to play him for

1072
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:23,960
Speaker 4: the first time. I think the Ravens find a way

1073
00:46:24,000 --> 00:46:25,480
Speaker 4: to win. The line looks about right. Should be the

1074
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:26,360
Speaker 4: best game of the weekend.

1075
00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:30,360
Speaker 2: Probably wean the Texans get in the points. Deshaun Watson

1076
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:33,680
Speaker 2: small sample, but eight and three against the spread as

1077
00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:37,280
Speaker 2: a road underdog, and Lamar Jackson just three and seven

1078
00:46:37,280 --> 00:46:40,439
Speaker 2: against the spread as a favorite. So the Ravens tend

1079
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:42,480
Speaker 2: to get more benefit of the doubt in these spots.

1080
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:44,880
Speaker 2: Could be a close game. And one thing the Texans

1081
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:47,440
Speaker 2: do have working for him too is they practice against

1082
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:50,920
Speaker 2: the Lamar Jackson like quarterback, you know, so even though

1083
00:46:50,960 --> 00:46:54,560
Speaker 2: they haven't faced him, they do practice against Watson, so

1084
00:46:54,600 --> 00:46:57,040
Speaker 2: that that could help a little. But Lamar is just

1085
00:46:57,040 --> 00:46:58,839
Speaker 2: so good that I think it's more of a good

1086
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 2: football game than one. You have a strong take that

1087
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:03,160
Speaker 2: one of these teams is going to cover or blow

1088
00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:06,640
Speaker 2: the other one out. Speaking of blowouts, the Cincinnati Bengals

1089
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:09,200
Speaker 2: got blown out last week by the Baltimore Ravens in

1090
00:47:09,520 --> 00:47:13,480
Speaker 2: quarterback Ryan Finley, the rookie his first start. Now, Cincinnati

1091
00:47:13,520 --> 00:47:16,200
Speaker 2: travels to Oakland. They're ten and a half point underdogs.

1092
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:20,400
Speaker 2: The total up at forty eight and a half and

1093
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:23,600
Speaker 2: seventy percent of the bets on Oakland, fifty eight percent

1094
00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:25,719
Speaker 2: of the money on Oakland. Seventy one percent of the

1095
00:47:25,719 --> 00:47:29,000
Speaker 2: public also on the under here, but fifty four percent

1096
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:31,440
Speaker 2: of the money is on the over. Not a very

1097
00:47:31,480 --> 00:47:34,920
Speaker 2: good defense for either team really, So any weans here

1098
00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:37,440
Speaker 2: and what do you think about all these points that

1099
00:47:38,120 --> 00:47:39,600
Speaker 2: Raiders are laying here?

1100
00:47:39,719 --> 00:47:42,080
Speaker 4: Look, Brian Finley looked okay at times, you know, for

1101
00:47:42,160 --> 00:47:44,920
Speaker 4: his first start against a good defense, and he'll now

1102
00:47:44,920 --> 00:47:46,800
Speaker 4: be facing the defense is not going to get pressure

1103
00:47:47,120 --> 00:47:49,720
Speaker 4: and doesn't have corners like the radio. Those are positives.

1104
00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:51,800
Speaker 4: These are the two worst defenses in the NFL in

1105
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:54,239
Speaker 4: terms of yards per play. The Bengals allowed six point

1106
00:47:54,239 --> 00:47:56,719
Speaker 4: eight yards per play. It's dead last. Oakland's at six

1107
00:47:56,800 --> 00:48:00,480
Speaker 4: point three, second to last. But let's give credit too.

1108
00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:02,239
Speaker 4: And there's some wearing things for the Bengals here. Their

1109
00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:04,839
Speaker 4: linebackers and their safety stink. And that's really what the

1110
00:48:05,120 --> 00:48:06,839
Speaker 4: you know, the Ravens took advantage of the Bengals rank

1111
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:10,040
Speaker 4: thirty first in the NFL, and covering tight ends and

1112
00:48:10,719 --> 00:48:13,439
Speaker 4: running backs, they're giving up five point two yards per rush.

1113
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:15,240
Speaker 4: That's tied with the Panthers for the worst the NFL.

1114
00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:18,400
Speaker 4: So you know, you look and you say, okay, Jacobs

1115
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 4: and Waller should have big days, you know. And let's

1116
00:48:20,719 --> 00:48:22,360
Speaker 4: give credit to Derek Carr, by the way, and that

1117
00:48:22,440 --> 00:48:24,839
Speaker 4: offensive line, because Derek Carr is playing really well. There

1118
00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:26,520
Speaker 4: have been thirty quarterbacks that have had at least two

1119
00:48:26,600 --> 00:48:29,480
Speaker 4: hundred dropbacks this year. Derek Carr has had the fewest

1120
00:48:29,640 --> 00:48:32,680
Speaker 4: under pressure about twenty six percent. So the offensive line

1121
00:48:32,680 --> 00:48:34,640
Speaker 4: playing well. He also gets the ball quick and they

1122
00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:36,800
Speaker 4: throw a lot of short passes. But when he's under pressure,

1123
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:40,000
Speaker 4: he leads all quarterbacks in completion percentage sixty two and

1124
00:48:40,040 --> 00:48:42,759
Speaker 4: a half percent, adjusted completion percentage eighty two and a

1125
00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:45,439
Speaker 4: half percent, and passer rating one hundred and nine point

1126
00:48:45,520 --> 00:48:48,240
Speaker 4: two under pressure. The only one in the same ballpark

1127
00:48:48,280 --> 00:48:51,319
Speaker 4: is Russell Wilson, who's like just below them, so he's

1128
00:48:51,360 --> 00:48:54,200
Speaker 4: playing really well. I actually lean the Bengals here and

1129
00:48:54,239 --> 00:48:55,719
Speaker 4: then the over. I say the over every week. And

1130
00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:57,920
Speaker 4: in the Raiders they don't play any defense, and they

1131
00:48:58,040 --> 00:49:00,200
Speaker 4: in their offense is good. Their offense is really good good,

1132
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:03,520
Speaker 4: and the Bengals don't match up well. But the Raiders

1133
00:49:03,520 --> 00:49:05,440
Speaker 4: just don't really defend. It's a lot of points in

1134
00:49:05,480 --> 00:49:09,080
Speaker 4: the NFL when your defense stinks and the Raiders defense stinks.

1135
00:49:09,120 --> 00:49:11,720
Speaker 4: They're okay against the run, but they can't cover anybody

1136
00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:14,640
Speaker 4: and they get no pressure whatsoever. The Bengals can have

1137
00:49:14,719 --> 00:49:16,520
Speaker 4: some success a lot of little depend I mean, aj

1138
00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:19,239
Speaker 4: John Ross came off of IR he can't play this week.

1139
00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:21,160
Speaker 4: If you see that on the bottom line, he's not

1140
00:49:21,200 --> 00:49:23,480
Speaker 4: eligible to return. He's just clear to practice. Aj Green

1141
00:49:23,640 --> 00:49:25,359
Speaker 4: will help a lot. I don't even know if he's

1142
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:28,200
Speaker 4: gonna play this year, but I think the Bengals can

1143
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:30,160
Speaker 4: have some success moving the ball because everyone really does

1144
00:49:30,160 --> 00:49:32,719
Speaker 4: against the Raiders. So as of right now, I'm leaning

1145
00:49:32,760 --> 00:49:34,440
Speaker 4: towards the Bengals and the over. I say it every week.

1146
00:49:34,440 --> 00:49:35,759
Speaker 4: I think the Raiders are six and one to the

1147
00:49:35,760 --> 00:49:37,200
Speaker 4: over in the last seven. The only one that didn't

1148
00:49:37,239 --> 00:49:39,680
Speaker 4: go over was the Texans game, which finished twenty seven

1149
00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:41,640
Speaker 4: to twenty four when under by a half point against

1150
00:49:41,640 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 4: the close, some of you hit the over. So really,

1151
00:49:44,040 --> 00:49:46,319
Speaker 4: depending on the line, the over could have hitten seven

1152
00:49:46,360 --> 00:49:47,480
Speaker 4: straight games for the Raiders.

1153
00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:50,320
Speaker 2: Yeah. And I think there's a good example of when

1154
00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:52,799
Speaker 2: you're looking at these lines and you know, starting to

1155
00:49:52,800 --> 00:49:55,600
Speaker 2: think about these the game you see, you can kind

1156
00:49:55,600 --> 00:49:57,359
Speaker 2: of see how the spread the total relate in some

1157
00:49:57,400 --> 00:50:00,719
Speaker 2: situations if you you ask yourself, Okayinnati, if I think

1158
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:03,040
Speaker 2: Cincinnati may be a little bit undervalued here, you know,

1159
00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:04,759
Speaker 2: if this spread is ten and a half, what would

1160
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:07,080
Speaker 2: make the spread closer? Would it be more defense in

1161
00:50:07,160 --> 00:50:10,560
Speaker 2: Cincinnati in Oakland not kind of being able to build

1162
00:50:10,600 --> 00:50:12,319
Speaker 2: that big of a leader. Would it be you know,

1163
00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:15,479
Speaker 2: Cincinnati playing better on offense because they're undervalue to the market,

1164
00:50:15,480 --> 00:50:17,439
Speaker 2: and I think unlike the Saints game, where I think,

1165
00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:19,920
Speaker 2: you know, they could struggle, you know, against that bus

1166
00:50:19,920 --> 00:50:22,280
Speaker 2: defense just because of howe they've been against running backs,

1167
00:50:22,480 --> 00:50:24,640
Speaker 2: this game is kind of the opposite where the Bengals

1168
00:50:24,680 --> 00:50:26,759
Speaker 2: are probably undervalued and if if the spread were to

1169
00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:28,719
Speaker 2: get closer, I think you would you would think the

1170
00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:31,439
Speaker 2: total would would go over because the Bengals would play better.

1171
00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:34,000
Speaker 2: So that's that's something that I've been asking in the past.

1172
00:50:34,000 --> 00:50:36,040
Speaker 2: So that's one way to look at it. Let's get

1173
00:50:36,080 --> 00:50:37,880
Speaker 2: to the last game. Speaking of total, this one is

1174
00:50:37,920 --> 00:50:41,760
Speaker 2: a pretty well scoring projected one Denver at Minnesota Vikings

1175
00:50:41,760 --> 00:50:44,440
Speaker 2: ten and a half point favorites, getting sixty three percent

1176
00:50:44,840 --> 00:50:47,520
Speaker 2: of the bets but only twenty eight percent of the money,

1177
00:50:47,760 --> 00:50:50,200
Speaker 2: and then the total at forty and a half with

1178
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:53,480
Speaker 2: the public on the over at a seventy four percent clip.

1179
00:50:53,520 --> 00:50:55,920
Speaker 2: But another one where the only thirty three percent of

1180
00:50:55,920 --> 00:50:57,640
Speaker 2: the money. So it looks like the sharps are on

1181
00:50:58,200 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 2: the Broncos and the under in this one.

1182
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:02,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I would lean towards the Broncos. I mean, look,

1183
00:51:02,600 --> 00:51:05,160
Speaker 4: I've said it before. Brandon Allen coming in. How many

1184
00:51:05,160 --> 00:51:07,480
Speaker 4: Allen's are there in the NFL. Brandon Allen coming in

1185
00:51:07,960 --> 00:51:10,960
Speaker 4: was maybe an upgrade over Flaco. Flacco's done and he

1186
00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:13,799
Speaker 4: can't move and he just has looked off all year,

1187
00:51:13,880 --> 00:51:15,440
Speaker 4: so I didn't even think it was that big of

1188
00:51:15,520 --> 00:51:18,360
Speaker 4: a downgrade. It's a lot of points to lay for

1189
00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:20,600
Speaker 4: the Vikings, who when they get a lead, they just

1190
00:51:20,600 --> 00:51:22,920
Speaker 4: want to sit on the ball and run it and

1191
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:26,040
Speaker 4: that's it. And they have a buy coming up. So

1192
00:51:26,680 --> 00:51:28,480
Speaker 4: a lot of it will depend on the feeling plays.

1193
00:51:28,760 --> 00:51:30,480
Speaker 4: And by the way, Kirk Cousins has been awesome this year,

1194
00:51:30,480 --> 00:51:31,920
Speaker 4: I have to throw that out there. You had some

1195
00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:34,200
Speaker 4: early struggles, but I'm leaning towards you know, it's the

1196
00:51:34,239 --> 00:51:37,360
Speaker 4: Broncos dealing with the buy on deck. They might just

1197
00:51:37,480 --> 00:51:39,520
Speaker 4: rest them and get them healthy.

1198
00:51:39,080 --> 00:51:40,759
Speaker 2: That seems to be expectation.

1199
00:51:41,040 --> 00:51:44,200
Speaker 4: That should be their main concern anyway, for their whole team.

1200
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:45,839
Speaker 4: And that's what the Vikings do. As soon as they

1201
00:51:45,840 --> 00:51:47,359
Speaker 4: get a lead and they know they're gonna win a game,

1202
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:49,920
Speaker 4: they're just gonna They're just gonna pound the ball and

1203
00:51:49,960 --> 00:51:51,480
Speaker 4: they're just gonna run it, run it, run it, and

1204
00:51:51,520 --> 00:51:53,560
Speaker 4: then rely on their defense. I think there's a little

1205
00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:56,359
Speaker 4: bit of a value on the Broncos here coming off

1206
00:51:56,400 --> 00:51:59,239
Speaker 4: of a bye in what should be a low scoring game.

1207
00:51:59,239 --> 00:52:00,960
Speaker 4: I mean, if you look at the total right now,

1208
00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:04,840
Speaker 4: the total is down to forty outside open thirty and

1209
00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:07,080
Speaker 4: a half took to forty ish and which makes ten

1210
00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:09,840
Speaker 4: and a half points pretty intriguing. And you know, the

1211
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:13,040
Speaker 4: Broncos didn't look like a complete dumpster fire against the

1212
00:52:13,080 --> 00:52:15,719
Speaker 4: Browns at home. With Brandon Allen's first start, they now

1213
00:52:15,760 --> 00:52:17,759
Speaker 4: have had a buy to get a more acclimated with

1214
00:52:17,800 --> 00:52:20,719
Speaker 4: the offense. And I'll say it again, the defense is

1215
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:22,880
Speaker 4: playing really well. I'm always going to look at the

1216
00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:24,160
Speaker 4: team catching ten and a half.

1217
00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:27,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, the only thing, you know, Mike Zimmer

1218
00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:30,319
Speaker 2: tends to to do well in these spots covering. But

1219
00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:33,440
Speaker 2: I think I like the Vikings more last week, you know,

1220
00:52:33,640 --> 00:52:36,040
Speaker 2: getting points going on the road against the Cowboys. Now

1221
00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:38,040
Speaker 2: is the game where I mean they could easily win it,

1222
00:52:38,080 --> 00:52:40,719
Speaker 2: like nine to three or something like that. So more

1223
00:52:40,760 --> 00:52:44,239
Speaker 2: of a stayway for me. Let's wrap things up with

1224
00:52:44,280 --> 00:52:46,200
Speaker 2: our Survivor Pool Pick of the week.

1225
00:52:46,680 --> 00:52:55,240
Speaker 1: One pick one chance to advance Survivor Stuck.

1226
00:52:55,400 --> 00:52:59,919
Speaker 2: I somehow, somehow survived last week because we talked about

1227
00:53:00,280 --> 00:53:02,279
Speaker 2: with the Colts and I said, I don't know.

1228
00:53:02,760 --> 00:53:05,040
Speaker 4: I don't know, Man, I in't done twice. And you're

1229
00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:05,600
Speaker 4: still alive.

1230
00:53:06,239 --> 00:53:07,800
Speaker 2: You know. If you went with the Coats last week,

1231
00:53:08,080 --> 00:53:10,160
Speaker 2: it was a tough week for you, but hopefully you

1232
00:53:10,239 --> 00:53:13,640
Speaker 2: are still alive. You know. I'll continue to give these

1233
00:53:13,680 --> 00:53:17,240
Speaker 2: picks each week until I bow out, But I already

1234
00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:23,800
Speaker 2: have used the Seahawks, Texans, the Cowboys, the Chargers, Eagles, Pats, Bills, Bikes, Niners,

1235
00:53:23,840 --> 00:53:28,399
Speaker 2: and the Baltimore Ravens. So now you know it's getting

1236
00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:31,279
Speaker 2: a little tighter out there, you know, this week with

1237
00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:34,840
Speaker 2: all of those teams being used already, I think you

1238
00:53:34,880 --> 00:53:36,719
Speaker 2: got to go with the Oakland Raiders here. If you

1239
00:53:36,760 --> 00:53:39,400
Speaker 2: look at their points spread, they're favored by ten and

1240
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:41,759
Speaker 2: a half, one of the biggest of the week. I

1241
00:53:41,800 --> 00:53:44,200
Speaker 2: think there's some uncertainty with the forty nine Ers. You know,

1242
00:53:44,360 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 2: George Kittle pretty sure he's probably going to miss the game.

1243
00:53:46,640 --> 00:53:51,360
Speaker 2: Emanuel Sanders status in doubt as well. So this Raider team,

1244
00:53:51,680 --> 00:53:53,839
Speaker 2: it's an average team going against a really bad team.

1245
00:53:54,440 --> 00:53:56,279
Speaker 2: If they get into trouble, they should be able to

1246
00:53:56,320 --> 00:53:59,279
Speaker 2: outscore the Bengals, even if their defense plays poorly, so

1247
00:54:00,040 --> 00:54:01,480
Speaker 2: with the Raiders. This is one of those ugly weeks

1248
00:54:01,520 --> 00:54:04,680
Speaker 2: in Survivor. But going with the open Raiders stuck. Any thoughts?

1249
00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:06,640
Speaker 2: Who would you pick if you couldn't get the Raiders,

1250
00:54:06,680 --> 00:54:07,479
Speaker 2: which sounds crazy.

1251
00:54:08,239 --> 00:54:11,879
Speaker 4: I think this week you probably have to go with

1252
00:54:12,360 --> 00:54:15,160
Speaker 4: the Vikings. Yeah, I think the Vikings, and you know,

1253
00:54:15,280 --> 00:54:16,759
Speaker 4: or if you haven't used the Rams, I think the

1254
00:54:16,840 --> 00:54:18,680
Speaker 4: Rams are a good option as well.

1255
00:54:19,440 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 2: Even the Rams scared me, to be honest, I mean

1256
00:54:21,320 --> 00:54:21,560
Speaker 2: they do.

1257
00:54:21,680 --> 00:54:24,240
Speaker 4: It's a tough week. It really depends on who you've used,

1258
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:28,120
Speaker 4: and you know, you want to project, you know, for

1259
00:54:28,280 --> 00:54:30,399
Speaker 4: like so for next week. If you look at next week,

1260
00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:33,440
Speaker 4: like the Rams, the RAMS schedule down the stretch. If

1261
00:54:33,440 --> 00:54:35,600
Speaker 4: you haven't used them, you know, because you're going to

1262
00:54:35,680 --> 00:54:37,000
Speaker 4: start running out of teams to use. They have the

1263
00:54:37,080 --> 00:54:39,799
Speaker 4: Ravens next week. Then they're at the Cardinals, and they're

1264
00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:42,200
Speaker 4: home against the Seahawks, and they're at Dallas and they're

1265
00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:45,839
Speaker 4: at Sant fran So you know, week seventeen, they're home

1266
00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:49,279
Speaker 4: against Arizona. But you don't want to worry about Week

1267
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:54,160
Speaker 4: seventeen yet, So did the Rams if you haven't used

1268
00:54:54,160 --> 00:54:55,919
Speaker 4: them yet, This is probably the only opportunity, you would

1269
00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:57,279
Speaker 4: want to use them all years. That's one of the

1270
00:54:57,280 --> 00:54:57,960
Speaker 4: cases for them.

1271
00:54:58,400 --> 00:55:00,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good point. I think Raiders kind of

1272
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:03,520
Speaker 2: a similar situation. You could probably make a case for

1273
00:55:03,600 --> 00:55:06,799
Speaker 2: them against the Jets, but that's in New York West coast,

1274
00:55:06,800 --> 00:55:09,000
Speaker 2: traveling on the East coast, frisky Jets team that kind

1275
00:55:09,000 --> 00:55:11,600
Speaker 2: of wins when you least expected. So yeah, going with

1276
00:55:11,640 --> 00:55:14,120
Speaker 2: the Raiders this week against the Bengals. And this does

1277
00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:17,960
Speaker 2: it for another episode of the Action Network podcast NFL

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Speaker 2: Betting Edition. Be sure to follow Stucky at Stucky two

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Speaker 2: on Twitter and myself at Chris Raybond, and you can

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Speaker 2: follow us at the same handles on the Action Network app,

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Speaker 2: where again you can get live odds, in game win probabilities,

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Speaker 2: and track every bet that should make good luck this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Let's get this money, Go back, Go