1 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: Expertise is so easily gained these days. Have you noticed 2 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: that something happens in the world of politics, something happens 3 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: halfway around the world, all of a sudden, everyone's a 4 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:25,479 Speaker 1: geopolitical expert, and in our world everyone's an expert on 5 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 1: sign stealing. Now you see this cup in front of me. 6 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:30,640 Speaker 1: By the way, if you're listening on podcasts, does that 7 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:33,239 Speaker 1: sound like a chalice? It does not. The chalice is 8 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: dutifully parked off to my left. But this is just 9 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:38,879 Speaker 1: a pure black coffee kind of show that we have 10 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: in front of us, you know, the kind that detectives drink. 11 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: We are jam packed high type a very suspicious downtown Nashville, Tennessee. 12 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:48,840 Speaker 1: It's Tuesday, October twenty fourth, the year of Our Lord, 13 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:53,560 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. What is happening at Michigan? How much 14 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 1: trouble is Michigan in? Could this be a big nothing 15 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:01,320 Speaker 1: Burger buzz phrase of the decade? Nothing? Well, we will 16 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 1: dissect this tonight. I will give you several thoughts because 17 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: I have some I think, maybe some that haven't been 18 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:09,960 Speaker 1: packaged up and presented at least the way that I'm 19 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: seeing it elsewhere. So I'm going to talk about that. You, 20 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:14,399 Speaker 1: of course know it's Tuesday night. That means it is 21 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 1: full on Week nine prediction time. We've got several big 22 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: games to break down. I got countum one, two, three, 23 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:24,639 Speaker 1: four Chaos teams to talk to you about. And also, 24 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 1: there's this big story, not the Michigan story. No, there's 25 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,120 Speaker 1: this big story bubbling right now, and I've talked to 26 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 1: you about it in different shapes and forms for the 27 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 1: entirety of the time I've been here, and it's happening 28 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 1: right before our eyes. And because so much is happening 29 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 1: and everyone's distracted, no one's talking about it. It couldn't be 30 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 1: us like Paper Pop City later in the show, because 31 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 1: we've got some things happening that are shaping the sport. 32 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: And I don't want you to be unaware they're watching 33 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: us in Shippensburg, PA, Parish, Florida, Addison, Alabama, Queenstown, New Zealand. 34 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 1: Thank you so much. Make sure, because I didn't remind 35 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 1: you last show, make sure you're following on the socials 36 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 1: at late Kick, Josh. We got some great stuff coming 37 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:10,080 Speaker 1: up this weekend, especially over on Instagram. Friday Night Lines, 38 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: of course, brought to you by FanDuel exclusively presented by 39 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 1: FanDuel Now. Friday Night lines will emanate from a hotel 40 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: room somewhere down in Jacksonville. But also, guys, if you 41 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:24,440 Speaker 1: want behind the scenes access, I'm on the sideline every Saturday. 42 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 1: I'm outside the locker rooms. I'm there when teams get 43 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 1: off the bus. I'm on the field before they go 44 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:31,200 Speaker 1: live with the broadcast. I get you stuff you don't 45 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 1: see anywhere else. I have nothing else to do, why not? 46 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 1: And it's in the Instagram story literally every Saturday. It's 47 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: just loaded up with stuff and vantage points that you 48 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 1: wouldn't get anywhere else Because I used to always want that. 49 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 1: I used to watch pro wrestling and all I wanted 50 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:46,799 Speaker 1: to do was see behind the curtain. And in college football, 51 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 1: I know you get to see what's on the broadcast, 52 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:50,519 Speaker 1: but you want to see a little bit more. Well, 53 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 1: that Instagram story is where to find it at late 54 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 1: kick Josh. Okay, here we go. Let's dive in. Take 55 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:59,079 Speaker 1: the sip of black coffee. Nope, not from the chalice, 56 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:01,919 Speaker 1: just from a garden variety cup we had in the kitchen. 57 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 1: So what you think, of course, by that, I mean 58 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 1: what you think about this Michigan thing, Colin, don't include that. 59 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 1: Here's your endpoint. Michigan is at the center of the 60 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 1: college football world for all the wrong reasons right now, Well, 61 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:21,360 Speaker 1: I guess not all wrong reasons. They happen to be 62 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 1: number one in the country in the JP poll coming 63 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: later tonight. But also, what's gonna happen with Michigan. I 64 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:29,680 Speaker 1: know some of you have gathered bits and pieces of 65 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:32,639 Speaker 1: this story. Here's like a little twenty second version. Michigan 66 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: is being accused of illegally stealing other teams signs. Now, 67 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 1: everyone does it. You're gonna hear people say that every 68 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 1: day the rest of this investigation. Well, everybody does this. 69 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:46,640 Speaker 1: Everybody doesn't buy tickets to go scout teams and record 70 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 1: the opposing sideline via iPhone in the stands. No, everyone 71 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 1: doesn't do that. So that's what they're accused of. That 72 00:03:52,920 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 1: is illegal. You cannot do that. Well, it's against the 73 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: NCAA by law at least, you can't do that. And 74 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 1: we've had a lot of reporting on it. Dellinger and 75 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 1: company have had stuff. Pete Famil just put something new 76 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 1: out on ESPN dot com a little while ago. So 77 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: my current stance on this has been a really funny 78 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 1: thing because my current stance has both sides thinking I've 79 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 1: got their back. I got Michigan folks when they hear 80 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,039 Speaker 1: what I have to say saying thank you so much, 81 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 1: and I'm like, what do you think I just absolved you? 82 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:23,719 Speaker 1: And then the other side, we got basically every other 83 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 1: Big Ten fan base with a torch in one hand 84 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: and a pitchfork in the other thinking, I'm also agreeing 85 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 1: with them that death is on the doorstep of Michigan athletics. 86 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 1: And so let me just tell you what I think 87 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 1: and I will go over several details here. Okay, So 88 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 1: ESPN's Pete Family just the latest reporting on this as 89 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:47,240 Speaker 1: of the last hour, the NCAA is being presented evidence 90 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 1: by several Big Ten schools that Connor Stallions, who is 91 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:57,480 Speaker 1: the somewhat shady character at the center of this investigation 92 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 1: from Michigan, Connor Stallions bought tickets for thirty five or 93 00:05:02,200 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 1: more games at seventeen different schools. Now, the big news 94 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: later this afternoon that was reported was this is not 95 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 1: just within the Big Ten anymore. There are schools outside 96 00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: the Big Ten that Michigan perhaps was going to play. 97 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 1: Think Clemson for example, think you know other teams that 98 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 1: they may have faced in the College Football Playoff that 99 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 1: this dude was also buying tickets to games of and 100 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: the entire premises. You buy tickets, you put whoever you're 101 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:30,159 Speaker 1: gonna put in those seats. They take their fancy phone 102 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:32,480 Speaker 1: and they zoom in on the other side and they 103 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 1: just record the sideline. All right, Now, what does that 104 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 1: lead to? It leads to an unfair advantage, and therefore 105 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: it's banned. You can't do it. You can't use electronics 106 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:44,720 Speaker 1: to be gathering signals, and you especially can't be planting 107 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 1: people in the stadiums that feature teams you're gonna play 108 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:51,359 Speaker 1: in the future. Like if you are not caught up already, 109 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:57,360 Speaker 1: that's what's going on. So oh nose itches. So anytime 110 00:05:57,400 --> 00:06:00,200 Speaker 1: there's a scandal in major college athletics these days, you 111 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:02,920 Speaker 1: get hot Twitter evidence. I don't call it x yet, 112 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 1: so you get hot Twitter evidence. Jesse, do we have 113 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:08,799 Speaker 1: the latest hot Twitter evidence that's making its rounds today. 114 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 1: So this is footage from field level of Ohio State 115 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:15,239 Speaker 1: playing Michigan last year, and you see Ohio States checking 116 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:17,839 Speaker 1: out of a play and Michigan's look into the sidelines 117 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 1: and what you have over there is you have Connor 118 00:06:19,760 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 1: Stallions parked right in the ear of Jesse mentor the 119 00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:29,400 Speaker 1: defensive coordinator, and the insinuation is they know pass is coming. Now. 120 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:31,920 Speaker 1: For the record, this next play resulted in an Ohio 121 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 1: State touchdown, So if that was the case, it turned 122 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 1: out that it didn't go Michigan's way. The game went 123 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:42,360 Speaker 1: Michigan's way. But this is hot Twitter evidence today. I'm 124 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: being told this is evidence, this proves something that doesn't 125 00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 1: prove anything, nor does this picture prove anything. This is 126 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:52,920 Speaker 1: where the Michigan folks start to think I have their back. 127 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 1: I'm just telling you the truth. What you see here 128 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 1: if you're listening on podcast, is Connor Stallion's hand holding 129 00:06:59,839 --> 00:07:03,360 Speaker 1: a laminated sheet and it quite literally has cartoon figures 130 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 1: that represent different hand signals that could be being given. 131 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 1: I have very little doubt what that is is a 132 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 1: guide for opposing team's signals and an easily decipherable guide. 133 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 1: They're on the sideline so they can know what's coming. 134 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 1: I have no doubt about that, just like I have 135 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: no doubt the video we just saw shows the dude 136 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 1: reading the opposing team signals and helping the coordinator get 137 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:29,040 Speaker 1: the right play in or at least trying to. I 138 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:32,000 Speaker 1: have no doubt about that. That is not the smoking 139 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 1: gun you're looking for here. You're looking for the fact 140 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: that that information was obtained through illegal channels. That's what 141 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 1: you're looking for. That video doesn't show you any of that. 142 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 1: That video doesn't show you anything more than any other 143 00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: staff does. A pretty much every major staff has got 144 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: a guy parked on their sideline. You don't know their 145 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 1: names right now, but pretty much every staff has someone 146 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 1: over there. George's got one, Bama's got one, Ohio State's 147 00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:00,240 Speaker 1: got one. They all got them, and their job is 148 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 1: to pick up signals and their job is to gain 149 00:08:03,600 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 1: a competitive advantage. I mean, this is not even the 150 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 1: first time you guys have heard about this. I don't 151 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 1: know if it made its way into the mainstream because frankly, 152 00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 1: I can't remember which stories have and have it broke. 153 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: Clemson was notorious for this when brent Venables was at Clemson, 154 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:20,160 Speaker 1: everybody was paranoid about it. Now, what we didn't ever 155 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: hear was Brenton Venables bought tickets for thirty five different 156 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:27,640 Speaker 1: games and seventeen venues and obtain that information illegally. So 157 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 1: my point is you got to bring me that. Now. 158 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:35,439 Speaker 1: It may sound like I'm very cautious on this, I 159 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 1: am very cautious on it because I've seen this happen before. 160 00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 1: I have seen there be an axe to grind against 161 00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 1: a person or a university. I have seen a lot 162 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 1: of hatred towards a person or a university. And you 163 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 1: just kind of hear what you want to hear, and 164 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:54,320 Speaker 1: then your mind puts the rest of the puzzle pieces 165 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:58,960 Speaker 1: together and you crystallize worst case scenario for that hated 166 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 1: entity in your mind. And so there are a lot 167 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 1: of folks out there who have no doubt that Michigan 168 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 1: is going to crater into the ground in the not 169 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:11,839 Speaker 1: too distant future. So I'm not there yet in terms 170 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:15,680 Speaker 1: of being sure. And I take this microphone, you know, 171 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 1: I take a fair amount of responsibility as to what 172 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 1: I utter into it, believe it or not, because I 173 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:25,320 Speaker 1: know it resonates a little bit. And so I'm not 174 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:28,320 Speaker 1: going to be that guy tonight. Well that's the part 175 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 1: that I want to point out to you, because that 176 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 1: part where I'm saying, I personally like me sitting here personally, 177 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:37,439 Speaker 1: I haven't seen enough to determine that, Hey, Michigan screwed. 178 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: That is taken to me, well, at least carrying water 179 00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 1: for Michigan, I'm not at all. Here's the follow up. 180 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 1: Having said everything I just said, there is no way 181 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:52,040 Speaker 1: details are done emerging on this. No way. I've got 182 00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 1: several thoughts on it. First thing I think is I 183 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 1: think they did it. That's the first thing I think. 184 00:09:57,600 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: I don't have proof of it, though I think they 185 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:03,599 Speaker 1: did it. Second thing is, you guys can hate on 186 00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 1: the Pete famils of the world all you want to. 187 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 1: You can go back to like the Mantai Tao days 188 00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:09,920 Speaker 1: and point out where he got a story wrong. I 189 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 1: can point to five hundred examples where he nailed one 190 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 1: as well. So Pete Thamil's not the dude who's reputation 191 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 1: or veracity of reporting you probably want to be going 192 00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:24,560 Speaker 1: up against. And when I'm reading his work today and 193 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:27,080 Speaker 1: he's saying the NCAA is being sent over an hour 194 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 1: of film specific surveillance footage of people in the seats 195 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:36,040 Speaker 1: that were purchased by Connor Stallion's recording the opposing sidelines. 196 00:10:36,960 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 1: When I hear that there are double digit big ten 197 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 1: member institutions cooperating and sending in evidence. I don't doubt that, 198 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:46,920 Speaker 1: and I think it's true. I think they did it. 199 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:49,320 Speaker 1: I think Michigan's going to be in a lot of trouble. 200 00:10:49,840 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 1: I'm just telling you on my desk right now as 201 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:54,520 Speaker 1: we sit here on Tuesday night, and at seven ten, 202 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:57,560 Speaker 1: I hadn't seen that. So you know, I'm not stamping 203 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:59,760 Speaker 1: it because I'm not the one reporting it. I'm all 204 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:04,840 Speaker 1: most certain though what is being reported will be corroborated 205 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 1: and backed up officially as part of the evidence they 206 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 1: gather in this investigation. Sounds like that's gonna ramp up 207 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:13,360 Speaker 1: a lot more next week, so I'm gonna take away 208 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 1: and see approach on that. But the crux of all this, 209 00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:19,440 Speaker 1: you know, if I'm a Michigan fan, I feel like 210 00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:22,880 Speaker 1: the whole world's out to get me. They are. I 211 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 1: feel like a lot of people have an axe to 212 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:27,960 Speaker 1: grind against me and my head coach. They do. You're 213 00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:32,080 Speaker 1: not wrong about that, but that's not how you dismiss 214 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 1: the claims. You dismiss the claims by proving they're false. 215 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 1: I don't really care how many people hate you. I 216 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:40,560 Speaker 1: don't really care how many people have axes to grind 217 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:44,120 Speaker 1: is what they're saying true. That's all that matters. The 218 00:11:44,160 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 1: government uses horrifically flawed people to turn state's evidence all 219 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 1: the time. It doesn't matter if they're terrible, it doesn't 220 00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:54,440 Speaker 1: matter if they themselves are criminals. It matters if what's 221 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,800 Speaker 1: coming out of their mouth is true. Oftentimes those with 222 00:11:58,000 --> 00:12:01,800 Speaker 1: axes to grind are the most motivated truth tellers. Not 223 00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:04,640 Speaker 1: all the time, but sometimes that's the way it works. 224 00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:09,720 Speaker 1: Another thing I think is it's it's become pretty popular 225 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:11,960 Speaker 1: on message boards the last few days to just assume 226 00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 1: that you know the source or the sourcing maybe multiple 227 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:20,440 Speaker 1: sources that for lack of a better term, rated you out. 228 00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:23,800 Speaker 1: I wouldn't be so sure about that. I wouldn't be 229 00:12:23,840 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 1: I've just watched this play out too many times in 230 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 1: the past and then gotten privy on the back end 231 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 1: to some information. Not in this case yet, but going 232 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 1: off past history, you know, I've been part on the 233 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:38,720 Speaker 1: front end of that widely held narrative of just assuming 234 00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:42,080 Speaker 1: you know who's responsible for diming someone out, and then 235 00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:45,560 Speaker 1: you get the curtain peeled back couple of years later 236 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:48,280 Speaker 1: after it's died down, and you find out, Wow, I 237 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:51,040 Speaker 1: wasn't even close. The public wasn't even close on this, 238 00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:55,320 Speaker 1: and this detail will never come out. I strongly suspect 239 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:57,480 Speaker 1: these details will never come out, and so it'll just 240 00:12:57,640 --> 00:12:59,959 Speaker 1: widely be assumed that Ryan Day has been texting back 241 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:02,640 Speaker 1: and forth with reporters all day, and you'll just widely 242 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 1: be assumed that Ohio State's at the center of this. 243 00:13:05,440 --> 00:13:07,640 Speaker 1: I get why people think that I can't prove you wrong. 244 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:10,000 Speaker 1: You can't prove your right, though I don't think you 245 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:12,960 Speaker 1: can prove you right either. Plausible deniability is a concept 246 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:15,440 Speaker 1: I think pretty much everyone gets. This is me turning 247 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:18,800 Speaker 1: the page for a second. Plausible deniability is that thing 248 00:13:19,200 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 1: where if you're at the top of something and you 249 00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:24,199 Speaker 1: want to make sure that you can reasonably and truthfully 250 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 1: one day say I didn't know you. Make sure you 251 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:30,320 Speaker 1: have people underneath you who are handling the dirty work 252 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 1: and who don't need to be in your ear every 253 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 1: five minutes asking you for permission. Should I do this? 254 00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:37,520 Speaker 1: Should I not do that? You got to have soldiers 255 00:13:37,520 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 1: who carry out the game plan side unseen questions, unasked. Well, 256 00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 1: that is a concept as old as time. That's not 257 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:50,160 Speaker 1: something new that all of a sudden, if you're practicing 258 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 1: and CAA investigators run into and say, oh, man, they 259 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 1: had plausible deniability figured out I guess harbought it, and no, 260 00:13:57,080 --> 00:14:00,800 Speaker 1: they got you nailed either way. If the report is true, 261 00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 1: They've got you nailed either way because either you did 262 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:07,440 Speaker 1: know and you lied, or you didn't know and you're 263 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 1: doing a terrible job of leading a program. Because if 264 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:12,079 Speaker 1: you didn't know, that means you didn't know what your 265 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:15,040 Speaker 1: own staff was doing. They invented that whole lack of 266 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 1: institutional control thing to kind of circumvent you thinking you 267 00:14:19,280 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 1: had them gamed with plausible deniability. So, thus far, all 268 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 1: of this is still behind closed doors. Evidence is being presented. 269 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:33,800 Speaker 1: I as of this moment, have not personally seen anything 270 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:37,720 Speaker 1: that makes me think Hammer's dropping on Michigan tomorrow. I have, 271 00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 1: right along with you, read a lot of things that 272 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:44,760 Speaker 1: indicate it could drop on them. My advice to a 273 00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 1: Michigan fan, as hard as this may be, is just 274 00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:52,600 Speaker 1: shift into last dance mode. Just shift into enjoying the 275 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:54,800 Speaker 1: heck out of this season. You probably got the best 276 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 1: team in the country right now, You're the odds on 277 00:14:56,720 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 1: favorite to win the national championship. You got the Heisman favorite. 278 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 1: I would let twenty twenty four be a cliff that 279 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:06,000 Speaker 1: I can't even see over right now. I'm twenty twenty three, 280 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:09,080 Speaker 1: just like Bulls fans were in ninety seven or ninety eight, 281 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:11,440 Speaker 1: and then we'll worry about the future when it comes. 282 00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:15,960 Speaker 1: But everyone's talking about the NCAA with Michigan right now, 283 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 1: and I'm telling you that's in the distance. That's twenty 284 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:21,000 Speaker 1: twenty four at the earliest, before you ever get any 285 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 1: punishment from them. If you do, I'd be way more 286 00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 1: concerned with what two other entities do to me my 287 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:31,400 Speaker 1: own conference, because there are mechanisms that they can use 288 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 1: to act on swiftly if need be. And number two, 289 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 1: what's the College Football Playoff Committee going to have to 290 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,440 Speaker 1: say about this? That's an angle I thought of as 291 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 1: soon as I started reading this story. Nc DOUBLEA moves 292 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 1: like molasses in December. I'm not worried about them. There'll 293 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 1: be a long way down the road. But the College 294 00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 1: FOOTBA Playoff Commitee is about to unveil their initial rankings 295 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 1: next week. I think are they going to use this 296 00:15:56,840 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 1: as part of their criteria? Are they going to bait 297 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 1: that in? They've got language loose enough to where if 298 00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 1: they really wanted to, they could hold this against Michigan, 299 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:07,920 Speaker 1: because these people are like trying to nail jello to 300 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:11,600 Speaker 1: a wall to begin with. So there will be methodology 301 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 1: at their disposal. Should they choose to punish Michigan for 302 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 1: this or I think they could, will they It'd be unprecedented, obviously, 303 00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 1: But what is that committee? That committee is just a 304 00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:26,440 Speaker 1: bunch of folks from different colleges all around the country. 305 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 1: You think there may be some anti Michigan bias there. 306 00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 1: You think there may be some some motivated axe grinders 307 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 1: in that room. That would concern me if I lived 308 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:39,000 Speaker 1: up there in Lansing, Michigan right now. That would concern 309 00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 1: me a lot more than the NCAA. So I say 310 00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 1: all that to say, Thursday night, we could have a 311 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:49,200 Speaker 1: new plate full of information. But as for now, let's 312 00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: just be a little patient on it. Just because everyone's 313 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:54,480 Speaker 1: saying the same thing at the moment doesn't make that 314 00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:57,280 Speaker 1: thing true. Or everyone could be saying the same thing 315 00:16:57,320 --> 00:16:58,880 Speaker 1: because they've all zeroed in on it and they got 316 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 1: the same reliable sources. Don't know because it's played out 317 00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:04,040 Speaker 1: both ways in the past, So we don't know. We'll see. 318 00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:08,239 Speaker 1: I'm sorry if anyone wanted to tune in tonight and 319 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:11,879 Speaker 1: just see me burn a wolverine mascot in fig No, 320 00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:16,800 Speaker 1: maybe Thursday maybe, permits pending, but we were not gonna 321 00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:19,720 Speaker 1: do that tonight because we don't have sufficient grounds with 322 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 1: which to do that. I'm only halfway through this coffee 323 00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:26,919 Speaker 1: too long show still to go, all right now, Tuesday 324 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:31,399 Speaker 1: night is prediction night here, and so we're gonna do 325 00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:36,080 Speaker 1: just that Georgia, Florida. This Saturday, three point thirty eastern 326 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:39,640 Speaker 1: kickoff CBS Game of the Week in Jacksonville. We will 327 00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:41,399 Speaker 1: be on hand the once upon a Saturday tour is 328 00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:45,640 Speaker 1: rolling down to Jacksonville. There are well. First off, there's 329 00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:48,560 Speaker 1: a beautiful T shirt available in the Pate State store 330 00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 1: right now peatestatematerial dot com and it features this game. 331 00:17:52,720 --> 00:17:56,399 Speaker 1: We make one shirt available per week and then it's done. 332 00:17:56,560 --> 00:17:59,440 Speaker 1: It's gone. So after this Saturday, you will not find 333 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:02,000 Speaker 1: that bad boy anymore. So I peytstatematerial dot COM's where 334 00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:05,120 Speaker 1: you want to be, Colin. Let's make an executive decision, 335 00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 1: all right, Let's start the individual video right here, and 336 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:12,640 Speaker 1: then I'll mention the T shirt again on the back 337 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:15,160 Speaker 1: end so that it's it's double dipped on the YouTube channel. 338 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:18,000 Speaker 1: If you're watching live, ignore all this. I just had 339 00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:20,679 Speaker 1: a twenty second meeting with Colin. All right, here we 340 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 1: go three two one sounds good. Georgia Florida this Saturday, 341 00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:28,120 Speaker 1: three thirty Eastern kickoff down there in Jacksonville. Once upon 342 00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:30,320 Speaker 1: a Saturday tour will be on hand. We'll be on 343 00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:33,240 Speaker 1: the sideline for this one. I get the sense that 344 00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:38,800 Speaker 1: there are some simplistic views forming on this game. Now. 345 00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:40,480 Speaker 1: You know, I don't take the once upon a Saturday 346 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:42,640 Speaker 1: tour to games that I expect to be a blowout. 347 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:44,720 Speaker 1: How do we get a close game here? Well, the 348 00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:49,280 Speaker 1: simplistic view would lead you to believe that, since Georgia 349 00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:54,800 Speaker 1: barely beat Auburn with brock Bowers, maybe, just maybe they 350 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:58,400 Speaker 1: fall outright to Florida without brock Bowers. That's the entire 351 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:02,640 Speaker 1: story around this game. What is Georgia like without big 352 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,320 Speaker 1: tight end? There number nineteen? What do they like without him? 353 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 1: Who replaces brock Bowers? Is it Oscar delp Is it 354 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 1: lost and Lucky? Hey, that's not where you look. I 355 00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 1: know those are the tight ends. That's not the answer 356 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:17,199 Speaker 1: to the question who replaces brock Bowers? The answer is 357 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:22,000 Speaker 1: team wide. A linebacker could step up, a strong safety 358 00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:25,000 Speaker 1: could step up, a slot receiver could step up. The 359 00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:28,800 Speaker 1: point is, collectively, that team has to elevate its game, 360 00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:32,119 Speaker 1: and there are some position units on that team that 361 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,479 Speaker 1: if needed to elevate their game, even if brock Bawers 362 00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 1: is still there, to win a championship and to maximize 363 00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:40,399 Speaker 1: this team's potential, which I think is championship caliber. So 364 00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:43,119 Speaker 1: it isn't limited to the tight end room. That's the 365 00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 1: first thing. A simplistic view. Number two on this game 366 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 1: is it's all about Graham Mertz. If Florida is gonna win, 367 00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:53,440 Speaker 1: it's all about Graham Mertz. Well, I'm not so sure 368 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:56,080 Speaker 1: that's true either. I think about Graham Mertz being the 369 00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:58,480 Speaker 1: starting quarterback there. I know he's the most important player 370 00:19:58,520 --> 00:20:01,399 Speaker 1: on Florida's team. What's the rest of the offense around 371 00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:05,120 Speaker 1: him going to allow him to do? Everyone's all high 372 00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:08,200 Speaker 1: off that win over South Carolina on the road, which 373 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:11,199 Speaker 1: has to be calibrated, and you need to understand any 374 00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:13,760 Speaker 1: Florida win on the road lately has been a big deal. 375 00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:15,760 Speaker 1: So you may look at it and say, big deal. 376 00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:18,920 Speaker 1: You beat South Carolina by too it is a big 377 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:21,240 Speaker 1: deal because it was in October and it was on 378 00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 1: the road, so it is a big deal. But paper 379 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:31,080 Speaker 1: pop time. Graham Mertz twenty seven quarterback hurries in that game, 380 00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 1: albeit in a win, four sacks. Jacob Rudner over at 381 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,800 Speaker 1: Swamp twenty four to seven has some good literature on 382 00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:40,040 Speaker 1: that game today to put it in the proper perspective. 383 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:45,680 Speaker 1: George's ninety fourth in sacrate nationally defensively, so they haven't 384 00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 1: gotten after the quarterback and gotten him to the ground 385 00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:51,440 Speaker 1: as much as they may like. But they are going 386 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:54,960 Speaker 1: to be able to affect him all afternoon Saturday, or 387 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 1: at least I think they'll be able to now over 388 00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:01,159 Speaker 1: on the Georgia side, I gotta think Kirby and his 389 00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:05,840 Speaker 1: offensive staff went and watched that Kentucky Florida game and 390 00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:08,919 Speaker 1: have to be thinking to themselves, if Kentucky ran it 391 00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 1: for nine point one yards per carry, surely our ground 392 00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:16,200 Speaker 1: game can come alive here. I mean, Kentucky sliced Florida 393 00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 1: nine ways from Saturday. Georgia five point one yards per 394 00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:23,040 Speaker 1: carry this year, that's top twenty five, that's twenty fourth nationally. 395 00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:26,160 Speaker 1: They got to be thinking to themselves, well, if Bowers 396 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 1: is out. No need to take massive risk here, We'll 397 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 1: just run the ball to whin. I think a blind 398 00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:36,399 Speaker 1: man can see that approach coming. If it works, it works, 399 00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:39,000 Speaker 1: and that's the end of the preview. If it doesn't work, 400 00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,760 Speaker 1: or if they have moderate success on the ground, well, 401 00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:43,679 Speaker 1: then what you have to have is you have to 402 00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:46,199 Speaker 1: have Carson Beck make good decisions. I mean, where does 403 00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:47,480 Speaker 1: that get him? By the way, even if they run 404 00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:51,239 Speaker 1: the ball fairly well, what does Georgia set itself up 405 00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 1: like on third down? Consistently Saturday afternoon, Florida's defense is 406 00:21:56,240 --> 00:22:01,240 Speaker 1: tenth in the country on third down. Defense is one 407 00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:06,479 Speaker 1: hundred and fourteenth in the country in sacks. So it 408 00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:09,840 Speaker 1: doesn't sound like those two stats really mesh together very well. 409 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 1: What that says to me is, when I get to 410 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:17,119 Speaker 1: third down, if I'm Mike Bobo, I'm not hesitating to 411 00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:19,920 Speaker 1: let Carson Beck make some decisions back. I'm not hesitating 412 00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:23,200 Speaker 1: to throw the ball. They haven't gotten home enough. Florida 413 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,879 Speaker 1: hasn't gotten home enough. There is no reason for me 414 00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:27,800 Speaker 1: to think all of a sudden, their defense and pass 415 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:31,119 Speaker 1: rush will find itself against me. I'm Georgia. I got 416 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:34,439 Speaker 1: a good offensive line, I've recruited very well and I 417 00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:36,960 Speaker 1: trust my guys and my quarterback, although he's a first 418 00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:39,840 Speaker 1: year starter, is more than halfway through the season coming 419 00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:41,720 Speaker 1: out of the bye week. Now this is the Florida game. 420 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:45,360 Speaker 1: We can't hide our quarterback yet again. It comes down 421 00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:47,400 Speaker 1: to a quarterback having to make plays to win a game. 422 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:50,199 Speaker 1: Biggest area that has to flip here if we're going 423 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 1: to see an upset, biggest area that has to flip. 424 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,920 Speaker 1: Florida's offense is one hundred and ninth in the country 425 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:59,000 Speaker 1: on third down conversion rate. Georgia is the best defense 426 00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:03,200 Speaker 1: in America on third down. So that's what has happened? 427 00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,719 Speaker 1: Is it what will happen? Let's take a look at 428 00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:09,879 Speaker 1: what Vegas thinks. Fan duel currently Georgia minus fourteen and 429 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,760 Speaker 1: a half. Fan duel currently over under forty seven and 430 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,959 Speaker 1: a half on this game. But the Pate State model 431 00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:20,480 Speaker 1: has Georgia minus fifteen, so we kind of agree pretty much. 432 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:24,399 Speaker 1: Think the number is spot on. I'm going to split 433 00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:27,720 Speaker 1: the difference. I'm gonna take Georgia to win. I think 434 00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:31,040 Speaker 1: Florida will have a very inspired effort here, and I'm 435 00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,000 Speaker 1: you know, I was at the Auburn game, and I 436 00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:36,119 Speaker 1: saw Georgia struggle to win much less pull away. And 437 00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,920 Speaker 1: that's away from home. This is technically away from home. 438 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:41,240 Speaker 1: It's a fifty to fifty crowd split down there. I 439 00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 1: think Florida is gonna put up enough of a fight 440 00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:46,200 Speaker 1: where they're in this game, and so I'm gonna take 441 00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:48,480 Speaker 1: Florida to cover. I will take Georgia to win Florida 442 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:50,600 Speaker 1: plus fourteen and a half over there at FanDuel. It's 443 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 1: what I will take, though, and we will be on 444 00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:56,440 Speaker 1: hand to witness all the festivities. We've got a big 445 00:23:56,480 --> 00:24:01,720 Speaker 1: production down there. This week. We're taking Uncle Dennis. Emily 446 00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,239 Speaker 1: Proud is joining the Once upon a Saturday to our 447 00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:08,040 Speaker 1: whomestead of thunk it to Apostrophes in whomstead of and 448 00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:12,520 Speaker 1: a crew and cast of thousands. And remember now, some 449 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,760 Speaker 1: of you hit me up Sunday night when we announced 450 00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:17,840 Speaker 1: this destination. Hey where's the T shirt? Where's the T shirt? Well, 451 00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 1: we put it in the store Monday morning, so peatestatematerial 452 00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 1: dot com it has the shirt there now, in all 453 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,560 Speaker 1: of its glory. And I'm telling you this twice because 454 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:33,760 Speaker 1: it's gone after Saturday. Also, upon popular demand, we have 455 00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:37,399 Speaker 1: added hats and the first ever Peate State hoodie in 456 00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:39,919 Speaker 1: the Peate State store too, And those things feel like 457 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:43,160 Speaker 1: a furnace when you put them on. I've never had 458 00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,680 Speaker 1: heat retained like I've had when I put one of 459 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,000 Speaker 1: those things on. I'm not typically a hoodie guy. But 460 00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:50,359 Speaker 1: number one since it had my own branding on it, 461 00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:51,879 Speaker 1: and number two since it was a little chili in 462 00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:53,720 Speaker 1: my apartment the other day because the heat stopped working. 463 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:57,440 Speaker 1: Poverty vibes I put it on kept me warm, can 464 00:24:57,520 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 1: keep you warm as well. Peatestatematerial dot com we had 465 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 1: someone concerned the other day. We here at Peyt State 466 00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:13,480 Speaker 1: have a very familial vibe. And you know, as one 467 00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:16,480 Speaker 1: of us hurt, we all hurt. As one of us celebrate, 468 00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:18,439 Speaker 1: we all celebrate. And as one of us shop at 469 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,440 Speaker 1: Academy in Sports and Outdoors, we all shop there. And 470 00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:23,760 Speaker 1: so one of you saw a FanDuel come on board 471 00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:25,200 Speaker 1: the other day and you said, wait a second, is 472 00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:28,960 Speaker 1: this it for Academy. No, No, it's not it for 473 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 1: Academy totally not only totally different lanes, those are totally 474 00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:36,760 Speaker 1: different interstates. Academy is our ride or die. Look at us, 475 00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:39,440 Speaker 1: we're just linked arm in arm with them. And they 476 00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 1: pretty much have everything you need. I don't even care 477 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:44,360 Speaker 1: what your tailgate scene looks like. I know they've got 478 00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 1: you covered. I know they got your grill if you 479 00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:47,680 Speaker 1: need that. I know they got your canopy if you 480 00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:50,359 Speaker 1: need that. I know they have a ten thousand dollars 481 00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:52,640 Speaker 1: gift card they're ready to give one of you and 482 00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,600 Speaker 1: SEC Championship Game tickets. Please pay attention, listen to how 483 00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:59,119 Speaker 1: serious that paper pop is. Enter for your chance to 484 00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:02,760 Speaker 1: win a ten thousand Academy gift card. The ones I 485 00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 1: give away are twenty. I think ten thousand dollars is wild? 486 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 1: What does that card look like? By the way, plus 487 00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:12,119 Speaker 1: SEC Championship Game tickets. Just sign into the Academy app. 488 00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:14,320 Speaker 1: That's all you have to do is Sweepstakes runs through 489 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:18,360 Speaker 1: November eighteenth. NOE purchase necessary, Jesse, I didn't write it down, 490 00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,199 Speaker 1: so let's try and remember this is not available in 491 00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 1: New York, Hawaii, Alaska, or California. Is that right? Nailed it? 492 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:30,040 Speaker 1: You can find the full rules at Academy dot com 493 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 1: backslash official rules. Look at that nothing but good news. 494 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:36,639 Speaker 1: Nothing but good news, and you still don't have to 495 00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:38,720 Speaker 1: pay a dime for the show. Let's move on. We 496 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,639 Speaker 1: got more games to predict. I told you earlier tonight. 497 00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:44,439 Speaker 1: There's a story that that has nothing to do with 498 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:49,080 Speaker 1: Michigan just bubbling beneath the surfaces, like right under our noses, 499 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:51,200 Speaker 1: and I don't think enough people who are taking notice. 500 00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:53,119 Speaker 1: So we're going to talk about it later tonight, But 501 00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 1: in the meantime, I'll go ahead and finish this coffee. Yep, 502 00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:05,800 Speaker 1: she's done, and Ohio State plays Wisconsin Saturday. This game 503 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 1: looked a lot bigger preseason than it does now, but 504 00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:11,919 Speaker 1: the model in Vegas way detached on this one, so 505 00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:15,639 Speaker 1: it bears breaking down. This is a Saturday seven thirty 506 00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:20,280 Speaker 1: Eastern kickoff on NBC. There is an age old internet 507 00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:24,480 Speaker 1: philosophy when it comes to college football. This philosophy was 508 00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:30,000 Speaker 1: born on message boards, and the philosophy is if fan 509 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:33,280 Speaker 1: bases aren't focused, there's a concern that the team may 510 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:36,800 Speaker 1: not be focused. Now, the general public has always been 511 00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:40,679 Speaker 1: sharply divided on this. Some people think, if your local 512 00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,960 Speaker 1: message board isn't focused on your upcoming opponent, that's just 513 00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:46,719 Speaker 1: a reflection of how the entire program feels. And then 514 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:49,520 Speaker 1: there are other people who think, no, No, a football 515 00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 1: player thinks totally different than fans do well. I don't 516 00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:55,439 Speaker 1: really have a strong feel on this either way, but 517 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,399 Speaker 1: I hope the latter is right when it comes to 518 00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:00,280 Speaker 1: Ohio State, because I took it upon myself have to 519 00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:03,199 Speaker 1: go over to bucknuts dot com earlier today and I 520 00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:09,840 Speaker 1: counted thirteen threads about the Michigan investigation and one about Wisconsin. 521 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:16,600 Speaker 1: You people better get your minds right, or conversely, what 522 00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,040 Speaker 1: you think has no bearing on the game whatsoever, and 523 00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,320 Speaker 1: you can talk amongst yourselves about whatever you want. I 524 00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:25,800 Speaker 1: got some trivia, paper popping trivia. It's very simple. Who's 525 00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:32,320 Speaker 1: the starting quarterback for Wisconsin? Jeopardy music? Jeopardy music exactly? 526 00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:36,720 Speaker 1: It's Braiden Locke. What that's not Tanner Mordecai, No friend. 527 00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:39,400 Speaker 1: I hate to be the bearer of bad news. Tanner 528 00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,520 Speaker 1: Mordecai is out with a hand injury, I believe injury 529 00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 1: of some kind. And Braiden Locke is in b R 530 00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:50,480 Speaker 1: E y D y N And I don't know country 531 00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:52,440 Speaker 1: of origin. Can I use it in a sentence? I 532 00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:55,040 Speaker 1: don't know. There is an E on the end of 533 00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:58,440 Speaker 1: his last name, Jesse. Okay, so we had this wrong 534 00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:01,760 Speaker 1: in our pre show meeting. This is the attention to 535 00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 1: detail that you have come to expect from the kind 536 00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:08,200 Speaker 1: of show that told you. For example, Alabama already has 537 00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 1: a conference loss the other day even though they don't. Yes, 538 00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:14,160 Speaker 1: I got corrected on that, so my apologies. Anyway, This 539 00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:17,320 Speaker 1: is a red shirt freshman, Brandon Locke. He is a 540 00:29:17,360 --> 00:29:20,440 Speaker 1: former three star number twenty five quarterback in the twenty 541 00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:24,120 Speaker 1: twenty two cycle. Right on brand. He's already transferred once 542 00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:28,320 Speaker 1: from Mississippi State to Wisconsin. Now. He started against Illinois. 543 00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:30,840 Speaker 1: That's the last game they played. Twenty one forty one, 544 00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:34,040 Speaker 1: two touchdowns, two hundred and forty yards passing, and they 545 00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:36,200 Speaker 1: came from behind. I think they were down twenty one 546 00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:37,720 Speaker 1: to seven, so they came back. They were on the 547 00:29:37,800 --> 00:29:40,960 Speaker 1: Raminudle Express because all we do is bet backup quarterbacks. 548 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:46,640 Speaker 1: Having said all that, this is a Braylen Allen game 549 00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:50,000 Speaker 1: running back there for Wisconsin. He needs to shine. He's 550 00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:52,600 Speaker 1: averaged five point nine yards per cauror this year. He's 551 00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:54,640 Speaker 1: second in the Big Ten in rush yards per game. 552 00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,920 Speaker 1: He's got to get it done Saturday. Everybody knows that 553 00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 1: Ohio State can't be loose. That's what they can't be. 554 00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:04,440 Speaker 1: They can be tight. I don't really even care if 555 00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:08,080 Speaker 1: Ohio State plays tight. They can't be loose. Those turnovers, 556 00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,200 Speaker 1: shaved possessions on one end, added possessions on the other end, 557 00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:17,040 Speaker 1: hidden yardage, special teams, nonsense. That's how Wisconsin wins this thing. 558 00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:19,960 Speaker 1: You know how else they win it? Luke Fickle, that's 559 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,360 Speaker 1: how else they win it. He knows a thing or 560 00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:25,280 Speaker 1: ten about Ohio State. So you the looser you are, 561 00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:31,840 Speaker 1: the longer you let them hang around. It's their home stadium. 562 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:33,560 Speaker 1: We'll see. I'll show you what the model thinks in 563 00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,400 Speaker 1: the second I was gonna spoil it there. Ohio State 564 00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:38,880 Speaker 1: needs to find its ground game though. Speaking of which 565 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,600 Speaker 1: units need to take over, what if I told you 566 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:44,360 Speaker 1: Ohio State's one hundred and first in the country in 567 00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:46,480 Speaker 1: rush yards per game, you'd probably tell me rush yards 568 00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:49,280 Speaker 1: per game doesn't matter when it's one oh one in 569 00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:52,200 Speaker 1: the country, it does a little bit now, Ryan Day 570 00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:55,800 Speaker 1: says traveon Henderson. Among several players they expect back this week, 571 00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:59,040 Speaker 1: I think Burke they expect back, Agbuka they expect back. 572 00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:01,400 Speaker 1: So it looks like they're going and closer to being 573 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,400 Speaker 1: full speed here. Wisconsin defensively is a team you can 574 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,080 Speaker 1: run on sixty fourth in the country in run yards 575 00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 1: per game given up. But Ohio State man two point 576 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,840 Speaker 1: nine yards per carry. That's what they've averaged the last 577 00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:16,040 Speaker 1: four games. But they're still undefeated. Got to pick it up. 578 00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:20,680 Speaker 1: Still undefeated up Wisconsin's defense twentieth in points per game allowed. 579 00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:24,200 Speaker 1: The pull away potential here I think is low. Ohio 580 00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:29,160 Speaker 1: State famously has already played Notre Dame and didn't score twenty. 581 00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:32,840 Speaker 1: They played Penn State last week they scored twenty. They 582 00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:36,480 Speaker 1: in those two games have combined for thirty seven points. 583 00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:38,400 Speaker 1: I think it was so. I mean they're averaging like 584 00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,800 Speaker 1: they're averaging in the teams in those two games. Is 585 00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:44,000 Speaker 1: this the kind where they're gonna hang forty? I don't 586 00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:48,080 Speaker 1: necessarily think so. And the Luke Fickle factor matters here. 587 00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:51,120 Speaker 1: I can't quantify how much it matters. In fact, Colin, 588 00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:53,080 Speaker 1: let's go ahead and show them what the model says. 589 00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:56,280 Speaker 1: So the current FanDuel numbers on this game, you can 590 00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:58,640 Speaker 1: get Ohio State minus fourteen and a half right now, 591 00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,400 Speaker 1: and FanDuel also has the total at forty three and 592 00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:04,800 Speaker 1: a half. Again, the implied message there is we don't 593 00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 1: expect a lot of scoring So when the spread's Ohio 594 00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:10,640 Speaker 1: State and minus fourteen and a half, what do we 595 00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:12,800 Speaker 1: need here? What do we need if that total is 596 00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:17,120 Speaker 1: roughly accurate? Man if I get thirteen, if I get 597 00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:19,480 Speaker 1: seventeen out of Wisconsin, I got a real shot here. 598 00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:23,520 Speaker 1: And the model thinks it's gonna happen. In fact, the 599 00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:28,200 Speaker 1: model has Ohio State winning by just nine. And so 600 00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:30,920 Speaker 1: I'm looking at this, and I also know how distracted 601 00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:33,160 Speaker 1: things have potentially been up there this week, and I 602 00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,920 Speaker 1: know it's a letdown spot. Ohio State just played Penn State. 603 00:32:36,840 --> 00:32:40,280 Speaker 1: Wisconsin is looking to salvage a season. At this point, 604 00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:42,520 Speaker 1: I think Wisconsin's gonna find a way to hang around 605 00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:44,840 Speaker 1: as well. And so I'm going to take Ohio State 606 00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:47,920 Speaker 1: to win. I'm going to take Wisconsin to cover, and 607 00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:50,720 Speaker 1: people will probably speak ill of Ohio State and I'll 608 00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,760 Speaker 1: probably be sitting here Sunday saying, Nope, survive in advance. 609 00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:58,240 Speaker 1: That's all you need to do. And that'll be that. Hi, 610 00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:00,280 Speaker 1: there's that post that I was looking for the A 611 00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:03,560 Speaker 1: block man. Oh well, so many good things on here. 612 00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:06,760 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, there's one thing I forgot to ask about 613 00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:10,440 Speaker 1: the Michigan segment. Where did the money to purchase those 614 00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:13,000 Speaker 1: tickets come from, because that is making fifty five grand 615 00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:15,400 Speaker 1: a year. And while I'll grant you that's more than 616 00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:17,280 Speaker 1: I made in the fabric warehouse back in the day, 617 00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,000 Speaker 1: that ain't enough to be buying tickets at thirty five 618 00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:22,640 Speaker 1: different games of seventeen different venues on the forty yard line. 619 00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:30,280 Speaker 1: So inquiring minds would like to know they're watching us 620 00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:35,040 Speaker 1: in Shady Valley, Tennessee, Hughesville, Maryland. And I believe in 621 00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:38,760 Speaker 1: my own handwriting this says Lethbridge, Alberta, Canada. Thank you 622 00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:41,480 Speaker 1: guys so much. Not sure who you guys play Saturday, 623 00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:45,720 Speaker 1: Maybe an LSU transplant, but thank you so much. Oh. 624 00:33:45,760 --> 00:33:50,640 Speaker 1: The jpopole kind of snuck up on us here. Wow, huh. 625 00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:55,520 Speaker 1: The Michigan investigation has even overshadowed the jpeople once thought 626 00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:58,840 Speaker 1: impossible on Tuesday nights in the fall. But that that's 627 00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:02,880 Speaker 1: where we are in this country. Got some new arrivals 628 00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:04,760 Speaker 1: in the poll this week. All right, here we go, Colin. 629 00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:08,880 Speaker 1: The JP pole is here not a ranking, of course, 630 00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:12,319 Speaker 1: just a power rating. I would like to position these 631 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:14,719 Speaker 1: teams in the order that the model would predict them 632 00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:17,759 Speaker 1: to be favored on a neutral field. Nothing more, nothing less. 633 00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 1: If you don't get it at this point, it's not 634 00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:25,359 Speaker 1: worth explaining. Let's start at number twenty five through twenty one. 635 00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:28,919 Speaker 1: Florida is still where they were last week. Arizona it's 636 00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:32,840 Speaker 1: a streak now Jedfish and Company. They are rated number 637 00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:35,279 Speaker 1: twenty four. But you know what I'm happy about. I 638 00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:38,640 Speaker 1: almost want to golf clap it a little bit. The 639 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:41,840 Speaker 1: model was very slow to come around on Missouri, but 640 00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:45,840 Speaker 1: finally Missouri is power rated number twenty three. No less 641 00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:48,759 Speaker 1: hoops amongst us would have thought this late in the year. 642 00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:53,719 Speaker 1: Missouri and USC would be right next to each other, 643 00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:56,160 Speaker 1: and both of them would be behind Miami. I don't know. 644 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:59,120 Speaker 1: So that's where we are twenty three through twenty one. 645 00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 1: Now I have some explaining to do. But first you 646 00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:08,480 Speaker 1: noticed conspicuous in their absence. There no TCU. No TCU. Yes, 647 00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:11,160 Speaker 1: the number twenty three team in the country last week 648 00:35:11,200 --> 00:35:15,520 Speaker 1: got predictably boat raced by Kansas State. So TCU was 649 00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:19,680 Speaker 1: the wart. It was the fly in the model's ointment. 650 00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:22,719 Speaker 1: This year, TCU's gone. We'll see all in twenty twenty four. 651 00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:28,719 Speaker 1: Let's keep it moving. North Carolina dropped to twenty. Candidly, 652 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:31,879 Speaker 1: now I don't like to air the dirty laundry out 653 00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:34,080 Speaker 1: here between me and the model. I think North Carolina 654 00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:37,480 Speaker 1: dropped too far. North Carolina dropped three point seventy five 655 00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:41,120 Speaker 1: raw points and that was good to drop them from 656 00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:45,480 Speaker 1: eleven to twenty. I think it's a little harsh, so 657 00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:48,960 Speaker 1: I would have North Carolina up there around fourteen or fifteen. 658 00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:52,120 Speaker 1: That's just me personally. I'm not a computer. Kansas State 659 00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:57,200 Speaker 1: continues to surge. Kansas State has added six points of 660 00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:00,319 Speaker 1: value on their power rating over the last two weeks. 661 00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:03,399 Speaker 1: They were not rated last week, which they should have been. 662 00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:08,000 Speaker 1: The whole TCU Kansas State conundrum was well chronicled on 663 00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:12,120 Speaker 1: this show, and Kansas State is number seventeen now UCLA 664 00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:13,920 Speaker 1: is sixteen. I guess I should have read these so 665 00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:20,120 Speaker 1: twenty to sixteen North Carolina utah ole miss Kansas State UCLA. 666 00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:22,839 Speaker 1: I got a quick note from the model. It would 667 00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:28,200 Speaker 1: favor UCLA by two point one points on a neutral 668 00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:32,879 Speaker 1: field against usc Right now, there are five point eight 669 00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:36,719 Speaker 1: five points that separate number ten to number twenty one. 670 00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:39,040 Speaker 1: So before you talk about how wide the gap is, 671 00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:42,680 Speaker 1: number eleven should be number fourteen, number sixteen should be twelve. 672 00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:47,320 Speaker 1: It's a minuscule difference. Let's keep it rolling. Column oh, 673 00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:52,120 Speaker 1: fifteen to eleven A and M, Oregon State, Tennessee, Notre Dame, 674 00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:55,640 Speaker 1: Penn State. Didn't think Penn State would drop much. They didn't. 675 00:36:56,760 --> 00:36:58,799 Speaker 1: In fact, I think they remained unchanged. I think there 676 00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,080 Speaker 1: was some movement up ahead of them. The model is 677 00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:03,759 Speaker 1: still really high. Well, the model is higher on A 678 00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,920 Speaker 1: and M and Tennessee, for that matter, than maybe the 679 00:37:07,000 --> 00:37:08,600 Speaker 1: AP is. I don't know. I haven't looked at the 680 00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:10,360 Speaker 1: AP all week. Like I swear to you, I have 681 00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:12,640 Speaker 1: not seen it once. I would imagine A and M 682 00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:15,920 Speaker 1: is not ranked, but could be wrong. You will go 683 00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:18,520 Speaker 1: look at Bill Connolly's numbers. I haven't seen those today. 684 00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:20,600 Speaker 1: I guarantee he's got A and M a lot higher. 685 00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:24,799 Speaker 1: It's just the way that neutral field favorability would work. 686 00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:26,640 Speaker 1: It's not a ranking. I wouldn't have A and M 687 00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:29,839 Speaker 1: ranked fifteen. They don't deserve to be ranked fifteen. Move 688 00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:34,080 Speaker 1: it right along. We've got some serious movement here, serious movement. 689 00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:38,919 Speaker 1: So let me read ten to six. Oklahoma didn't move 690 00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:40,959 Speaker 1: a whole lot. We didn't need to move them because 691 00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:42,520 Speaker 1: we didn't have him as high as everyone else did 692 00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:46,160 Speaker 1: to begin with Washington number nine. Didn't move them hardly 693 00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:48,319 Speaker 1: at all. We didn't need to. We already had them 694 00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:49,960 Speaker 1: a little bit lower than folks did to begin with. 695 00:37:50,640 --> 00:37:53,080 Speaker 1: LSU has surged. I'll get back to them in a second. 696 00:37:53,080 --> 00:37:55,920 Speaker 1: They're at eight. Texas is at seven. That is with 697 00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:58,600 Speaker 1: quinn Ewers. We have not removed Ers because it's not 698 00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:01,640 Speaker 1: a season ending injury. So it's a case by case, 699 00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:04,400 Speaker 1: week by week thing with how we will grade a game. 700 00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:07,160 Speaker 1: But we got still got Texas at seven. But how 701 00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:10,040 Speaker 1: about Florida State. You guys said the model was a 702 00:38:10,080 --> 00:38:13,279 Speaker 1: little bit off on Florida State. The model listened and 703 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:15,640 Speaker 1: it heard you. It said, you know what, you're right, 704 00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:18,600 Speaker 1: I'm wrong, That's what it said. It's got Florida State six. 705 00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:22,360 Speaker 1: Now back to LSU at number eight for a second. 706 00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:25,359 Speaker 1: I don't know what to say. It's been higher on 707 00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:28,920 Speaker 1: LSU for a while than the AP has. But LSU 708 00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:32,120 Speaker 1: at eight right now. Now, to be very very clear, 709 00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:36,480 Speaker 1: what the model is telling you is it would favor 710 00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:41,800 Speaker 1: LSU on a neutral field against Oklahoma tomorrow, which doesn't compute. 711 00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:44,120 Speaker 1: One of them's got two losses, one of them's undefeated. 712 00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:46,400 Speaker 1: I know, I know, you don't have to tell me. 713 00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:51,399 Speaker 1: I know, but I also think it's onto something there now. 714 00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:54,879 Speaker 1: Rankings wise, LSU should never be ahead of Oklahoma right now, 715 00:38:55,360 --> 00:39:00,560 Speaker 1: but power rating wise, that's interesting. LSU defie latively, they 716 00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:03,000 Speaker 1: are what they are, but offensively they also are what 717 00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:05,120 Speaker 1: they are. All right, let's move it on. I'm very 718 00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:08,440 Speaker 1: interested to see because LSU's playing Bama in two weeks 719 00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:12,719 Speaker 1: and sneaking suspicion will have a good vantage point for 720 00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:16,840 Speaker 1: that game. Number five through number one is Bama five, 721 00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:21,160 Speaker 1: Oregon for Georgia three, Ohio State two, Michigan one. So 722 00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:25,960 Speaker 1: we've got Michigan, Ohio State one two, we have got 723 00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:30,240 Speaker 1: Bama number five. I ran the numbers. We would favor 724 00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:33,960 Speaker 1: Michigan by five against Alabama on a neutral field right now. 725 00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:37,880 Speaker 1: That's the gap between one and five. I think we'd 726 00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:40,080 Speaker 1: take a fair amount of Bama action on that if 727 00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:44,000 Speaker 1: we put that point spread out. That's my inclination, And 728 00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:48,400 Speaker 1: so what are our thoughts here? My thoughts are I 729 00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:52,799 Speaker 1: think North Carolina's too low. I am just I'm fascinated 730 00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:56,480 Speaker 1: by LSU because here's what could happen. What could happen 731 00:39:57,280 --> 00:40:01,720 Speaker 1: is LSU goes Tobama. Let me power rating world to you. Okay, 732 00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:05,600 Speaker 1: let's just say this is right. For the sake of argument. 733 00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:09,239 Speaker 1: Let's say universal truth is known and this is right. 734 00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:14,279 Speaker 1: LSU at eight Bama five. Okay. Let's say LSU goes 735 00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:16,879 Speaker 1: to Bama and they lose twenty seven to twenty four. 736 00:40:18,000 --> 00:40:21,160 Speaker 1: They could end up climbing one or two spots more 737 00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:25,320 Speaker 1: being a three loss team because the implication there, according 738 00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:27,880 Speaker 1: to these numbers is they should lose to Alabama. You 739 00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:30,239 Speaker 1: don't punish teams when they do what the model says 740 00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:32,960 Speaker 1: they should do. The model won't at least, and that'll 741 00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:35,160 Speaker 1: really throw folks for a loop. Like if if we 742 00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:41,080 Speaker 1: have three loss LSU above undefeated Oklahoma, that would throw 743 00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:44,440 Speaker 1: people for a loop. But I think also if you 744 00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:46,759 Speaker 1: were to get Odds makers on the record right now 745 00:40:47,120 --> 00:40:50,200 Speaker 1: and they gave you all kinds of hypothetical lines, I 746 00:40:50,200 --> 00:40:52,080 Speaker 1: think some of those would throw you for a loop. 747 00:40:52,160 --> 00:40:54,680 Speaker 1: You know, you would think to yourself, there's no way, 748 00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:56,960 Speaker 1: and then Vegas is like, no, this is what this 749 00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:58,839 Speaker 1: line would be. Actually, if we put it out right now, 750 00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:01,239 Speaker 1: it was shocked people. I don't know why, but it 751 00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:04,080 Speaker 1: would shock people. So there you go. Michigan number one 752 00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:07,120 Speaker 1: still in the Jpple FSU Big Climber up to number 753 00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:12,000 Speaker 1: six in Washington and Oklahoma there at nine and ten. 754 00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:18,520 Speaker 1: It's important to note the model itself has nothing to 755 00:41:18,560 --> 00:41:21,640 Speaker 1: do with FanDuel. Now, all the numbers we're showing on 756 00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:23,720 Speaker 1: the show now do have something to do with FanDuel. 757 00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:27,440 Speaker 1: I mentioned the other day we have clasped hands with FanDuel, 758 00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,080 Speaker 1: talked to him for like half a year, and we 759 00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:33,239 Speaker 1: came to an agreement on some working conditions, and now 760 00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:35,319 Speaker 1: we've got a great partnership with them. All of our 761 00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:39,960 Speaker 1: odds are provided by FanDuel, and therefore I'm proud to 762 00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:44,040 Speaker 1: partner with them. But right now, just for those of 763 00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,759 Speaker 1: you who always DM me, hey, where should I do this? 764 00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:50,239 Speaker 1: How should I do that? The answer is responsibly or 765 00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:53,800 Speaker 1: don't do it at all, that's the answer. With money, 766 00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:56,360 Speaker 1: you can afford to lose, that's the other part of 767 00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:59,040 Speaker 1: that answer. But you can get two hundred dollars in 768 00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:01,040 Speaker 1: bonus bets right now. I guarantee when you place a 769 00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:04,000 Speaker 1: five dollar bet, we call that free money. So I'm 770 00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:05,960 Speaker 1: always a big fan of that. That's why I'm presenting 771 00:42:05,960 --> 00:42:09,120 Speaker 1: it to you. You can bet. You can do many 772 00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:11,480 Speaker 1: different things. I do the straight bets. You know that 773 00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:13,239 Speaker 1: I give them away on the Romnuel Express. We do 774 00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:15,520 Speaker 1: it on Friday night Lines. But go to FanDuel dot 775 00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:20,040 Speaker 1: com backslash CFB promotion if you don't feel like typing that. 776 00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:22,840 Speaker 1: I got a link right here in the YouTube description. 777 00:42:23,120 --> 00:42:26,160 Speaker 1: It's right there, and you can go over there and 778 00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:29,520 Speaker 1: you can just wager at your leisure or just look 779 00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:31,239 Speaker 1: around for a little while. That's what I tell you 780 00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:33,080 Speaker 1: to do at Academy. You just want to walk in 781 00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:35,760 Speaker 1: academy and look around. It's cool in there as well. 782 00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:38,200 Speaker 1: If you don't ever intend on betting a dime in 783 00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:41,080 Speaker 1: your life, it's very fascinating to look at odds and 784 00:42:41,120 --> 00:42:44,759 Speaker 1: how they work, especially live odds in real time. If 785 00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:46,600 Speaker 1: you don't wager, I would assume you don't know about 786 00:42:46,640 --> 00:42:50,839 Speaker 1: live betting. Look at it. It's it's crazy, it's wild. 787 00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:53,479 Speaker 1: It may intimidate you a little bit. But good people 788 00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:56,680 Speaker 1: at fandel really happy to be partnering with them. They 789 00:42:56,840 --> 00:42:59,319 Speaker 1: watch the show. That's what stood out when we met 790 00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:02,480 Speaker 1: with them. They watched the show, even Friday night lines. 791 00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:05,640 Speaker 1: They watch, So we are excited for that. I'm excited 792 00:43:05,640 --> 00:43:08,719 Speaker 1: for Oregon, Utah must be twenty one or over and 793 00:43:08,840 --> 00:43:12,200 Speaker 1: present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering 794 00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:15,480 Speaker 1: in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC. 795 00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:19,560 Speaker 1: First online real money wager only ten dollars first deposit required. 796 00:43:19,880 --> 00:43:23,040 Speaker 1: Bonus issued is non withdrawable. Bonus bets that expire seven 797 00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:26,520 Speaker 1: days after receipt. 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Visit MD gambling heelp dot org in Maryland. 808 00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:10,040 Speaker 1: Visit one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia, 809 00:44:10,520 --> 00:44:13,239 Speaker 1: or call one eight hundred five two two forty seven 810 00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:17,720 Speaker 1: hundred in Wyoming. Hope is here. Visit gambling Heelpline MA 811 00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:21,240 Speaker 1: dot org. Or call eight hundred three two seven fifty 812 00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:24,319 Speaker 1: to fifty for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts, or 813 00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:27,359 Speaker 1: call one eight seven seven eight Hope dash n Why 814 00:44:27,880 --> 00:44:30,879 Speaker 1: or text Hope and Why in New York. I may 815 00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:34,800 Speaker 1: end up best betting this game. Oregon at Utah Saturday, 816 00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:39,920 Speaker 1: three thirty Eastern time on Fox College Football Playoff elimination game. 817 00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:43,439 Speaker 1: I think so, although I don't like speaking of such things. 818 00:44:43,440 --> 00:44:46,560 Speaker 1: In October, Utah has got an eighteen game home winning 819 00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:50,120 Speaker 1: street eighteen. I was there for one of them when 820 00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:52,360 Speaker 1: they played Florida this year, so I know all about 821 00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:55,879 Speaker 1: this place now. Also, I was at the Washington Oregon game, 822 00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:58,920 Speaker 1: so I've seen Oregon go on the road to hostile conditions, 823 00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:02,239 Speaker 1: and while they lost, I thought they handled the environment 824 00:45:02,520 --> 00:45:05,440 Speaker 1: about as well as they could. That Washington game. Let 825 00:45:05,520 --> 00:45:07,600 Speaker 1: me say this quietly, so as not to upset my 826 00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:10,800 Speaker 1: friends in the South. That Washington Oregon game was the 827 00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:15,359 Speaker 1: loudest game I've been to all year. Look at my phone. Okay, 828 00:45:15,360 --> 00:45:17,760 Speaker 1: I guess no one heard that good. It was crazy, 829 00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:21,520 Speaker 1: and so Oregon's not gonna be shaken by the environment 830 00:45:21,520 --> 00:45:24,120 Speaker 1: at Utah. They could be shaken by the team Utah 831 00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:26,600 Speaker 1: puts on the field. So here's what Utah needs the 832 00:45:26,680 --> 00:45:28,520 Speaker 1: line on the game right now, six and a half. 833 00:45:28,560 --> 00:45:30,839 Speaker 1: That's the fan dual number, Oregon minus six and a half. 834 00:45:31,440 --> 00:45:38,319 Speaker 1: Oregon's defense is top fifteen statistically against the run. So 835 00:45:38,480 --> 00:45:41,120 Speaker 1: you may think, what do you mean Utah needs that? 836 00:45:41,440 --> 00:45:46,040 Speaker 1: Utah needs that not to be true. Aha, Yes, that's correct. 837 00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:48,600 Speaker 1: They need it not to be true. So I told 838 00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:53,759 Speaker 1: producer Jesse poke holes In this just completely illegitimize this 839 00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:57,360 Speaker 1: stat and I think he may have somewhat done it. 840 00:45:57,400 --> 00:45:59,640 Speaker 1: So Oregon yet is true enough they got a top 841 00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:03,920 Speaker 1: fifteen run defense. Utah needs that to be inflated. Utah 842 00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:05,799 Speaker 1: needs to be able to run the ball here, and 843 00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:09,440 Speaker 1: it may help to know that five of the six 844 00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:13,200 Speaker 1: FBS teams Oregon has faced en route to posting that 845 00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:16,720 Speaker 1: stat have been one hundredth or worse in rush yards 846 00:46:16,760 --> 00:46:20,400 Speaker 1: per game. So translation, because we probably churched that up 847 00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:22,879 Speaker 1: a little bit too much, Oregon hadn't faced many teams 848 00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:25,280 Speaker 1: that can run the ball worth a crap, and therefore 849 00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:27,520 Speaker 1: their defense looks really good. Now it may just be 850 00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:30,200 Speaker 1: really good or maybe it be a little over inflated. 851 00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:33,160 Speaker 1: Utah will find out for us one way or the other, 852 00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:36,759 Speaker 1: and they better hope that's reality, because otherwise this game 853 00:46:36,840 --> 00:46:41,160 Speaker 1: sets up really well for Oregon. You got the possibility 854 00:46:41,160 --> 00:46:43,720 Speaker 1: of running the ball on them, you got home field, 855 00:46:44,120 --> 00:46:47,120 Speaker 1: and most of the other critical metrics lean Oregon. Oregan's 856 00:46:47,160 --> 00:46:49,959 Speaker 1: offense is really good, and it may be slowed down, 857 00:46:50,040 --> 00:46:53,800 Speaker 1: it won't be stopped. Utah just scored thirty four against USC, 858 00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:57,279 Speaker 1: so everybody remembers the last thing they saw. And my 859 00:46:57,440 --> 00:47:01,560 Speaker 1: concern is, folks think Utah's offense has itself. I know 860 00:47:01,640 --> 00:47:05,520 Speaker 1: it found USC. Everyone gets right against the USC's just 861 00:47:05,560 --> 00:47:10,000 Speaker 1: like clockwork. Otherwise, point totals for Utah this year, and 862 00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:16,000 Speaker 1: some of this wasn't even offensive points twenty four, twenty fourteen, seven, 863 00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:20,120 Speaker 1: and thirty four against CAL. The fourteen and seven was 864 00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:24,640 Speaker 1: UCLA and Oregon State. Seven of the fourteen against UCLA 865 00:47:24,680 --> 00:47:28,480 Speaker 1: were defensive. So they have scored a combined fourteen offensive 866 00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:32,160 Speaker 1: points against the two teams that profile most like Oregon. 867 00:47:32,560 --> 00:47:34,960 Speaker 1: You're gonna have score way more than that. Saturday home 868 00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:36,839 Speaker 1: or away played on Mars, You're gonna have score way 869 00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:39,320 Speaker 1: more than that, and you got the fifty seventh rated 870 00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:43,760 Speaker 1: pass defense in the country. So bo Nicks, bodacious bo Nicks, 871 00:47:44,000 --> 00:47:45,840 Speaker 1: probably gonna be able to do some work against you. 872 00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:49,280 Speaker 1: They don't turn the ball over, at least they haven't. 873 00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:52,879 Speaker 1: Oregon's lost one turnover all year, so they're not gonna 874 00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:55,000 Speaker 1: gift rapid for you. Let's take a look at what 875 00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:58,320 Speaker 1: the model thinks. Fan duel I said currently has Oregon 876 00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:00,839 Speaker 1: minus six and a half the over unders forty eight 877 00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:04,359 Speaker 1: and a half. We think Oregon's gonna win by more 878 00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:08,000 Speaker 1: than one possession, and I can't disagree with the model. Now, 879 00:48:08,000 --> 00:48:10,279 Speaker 1: we took Utah and went out right last week, so 880 00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:13,120 Speaker 1: I've gotten off the proverbial schneid when it comes to 881 00:48:13,480 --> 00:48:16,640 Speaker 1: being cursed picking Utah games. So I'm just gonna assume 882 00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:18,719 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be right about every Utah game from here 883 00:48:18,800 --> 00:48:22,000 Speaker 1: until eternity, and I'm gonna go against them this week. 884 00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:24,960 Speaker 1: It's not a spot that's been kind to me, but 885 00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:26,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go against them, and I am going to 886 00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:29,520 Speaker 1: go Oregon to win. I'm gonna go Orgon to cover, 887 00:48:31,120 --> 00:48:34,560 Speaker 1: and we're gonna look very very strongly at that as 888 00:48:34,600 --> 00:48:37,279 Speaker 1: a best bet. Waiting to hear one thing about that 889 00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:40,239 Speaker 1: game later in the week, and then we will probably 890 00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:43,000 Speaker 1: move on that. We'll have probably several best bets Thursday 891 00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:46,080 Speaker 1: and of course Friday night lines at Lake kick Josh 892 00:48:46,160 --> 00:48:48,000 Speaker 1: on Instagram is where you want to be for the 893 00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:53,560 Speaker 1: final word? Do I dare Colin and Jesse, do I dare? 894 00:48:53,760 --> 00:48:56,719 Speaker 1: Take this empty cup of coffee? Put it down here 895 00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:01,200 Speaker 1: not a lot of room, and then do I mix 896 00:49:02,160 --> 00:49:04,480 Speaker 1: the choice liquid in the chalice with coffee? I think 897 00:49:04,520 --> 00:49:09,520 Speaker 1: the answer is yes, yes, clearly, and we just apologize 898 00:49:09,520 --> 00:49:14,000 Speaker 1: to our tummy later. We had a really good pair 899 00:49:14,080 --> 00:49:17,320 Speaker 1: of Twitter questions today and I want to get to 900 00:49:17,360 --> 00:49:22,520 Speaker 1: both of them right now. Seth from alex City, Alabama 901 00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:25,120 Speaker 1: hit us up and said, which teams do you think 902 00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:29,360 Speaker 1: could create chaos at the end of the year. Chaos teams? 903 00:49:29,719 --> 00:49:34,840 Speaker 1: Seth wants to know about Kansas State's one look at that. 904 00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:37,520 Speaker 1: It wasn't planned that I took a sip of purple 905 00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:40,680 Speaker 1: liquid right before mentioning the Wildcats, but I did take 906 00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:42,960 Speaker 1: a sip of purple liquid right before mentioning the Wildcats. 907 00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:46,359 Speaker 1: That's an Ignition team. We need to trademark that. Write 908 00:49:46,400 --> 00:49:50,000 Speaker 1: that down, Jesse. Ignition teams. We talk about it every year. 909 00:49:50,520 --> 00:49:53,880 Speaker 1: A little bit before Halloween, some team or teams that 910 00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:57,320 Speaker 1: have been left for dead just find some magic combination 911 00:49:57,480 --> 00:50:01,080 Speaker 1: of some sort of ingredients, as you would call it 912 00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:06,120 Speaker 1: in Manhattan, Kansas Avery Johnson and boom, just boom, all 913 00:50:06,120 --> 00:50:08,439 Speaker 1: of a sudden, different looking team. It's like you tried 914 00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:10,120 Speaker 1: to crank the car three times in the morning and 915 00:50:10,160 --> 00:50:13,160 Speaker 1: the engine didn't turn over. And the fourth try, after 916 00:50:13,200 --> 00:50:15,799 Speaker 1: your car has lost to Missouri, after your car has 917 00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:20,360 Speaker 1: inexplicably lost to Oklahoma State, it just cranks and you 918 00:50:20,640 --> 00:50:23,919 Speaker 1: smoke TCU after you beat Texas Tech on the road. 919 00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:26,160 Speaker 1: And now what do we have? Why is this a 920 00:50:26,239 --> 00:50:31,000 Speaker 1: chaos team? Well, they play at Texas in two weeks 921 00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:36,040 Speaker 1: and Texas is not gonna have Quinn youewers, so they 922 00:50:36,080 --> 00:50:39,880 Speaker 1: could deal Texas their second conference loss. Texas would be 923 00:50:39,960 --> 00:50:42,440 Speaker 1: for all intents and purposes out of the playoff picture. 924 00:50:43,480 --> 00:50:45,719 Speaker 1: Kansas State would be very much alive in the Big 925 00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:50,320 Speaker 1: twelve championship racing. What if Kansas State is the one 926 00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:54,319 Speaker 1: who meets Oklahoma in Dallas, and what if they beat 927 00:50:54,400 --> 00:50:59,640 Speaker 1: ou as, Well, that's what we call chaos. Kansas State 928 00:51:00,120 --> 00:51:03,000 Speaker 1: chaos agent out there in the Big Twelve next up 929 00:51:03,480 --> 00:51:05,480 Speaker 1: hop on the jet. I don't know if there's going 930 00:51:05,560 --> 00:51:07,960 Speaker 1: to be a direct but we're looking to go from Manhattan, 931 00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:12,359 Speaker 1: Kansas to Coral Gables, Florida. Probably gonna need some car 932 00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:16,120 Speaker 1: service somewhere in between. Two conference losses, what are we 933 00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:19,240 Speaker 1: talking about Miami for? Well, Number one, we're talking about 934 00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:23,080 Speaker 1: them because they could be a resurgent team. They're not resurgent. 935 00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:25,200 Speaker 1: People just got a little two down on them for 936 00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:27,560 Speaker 1: our taste. That's when we picked them to beat Clemson outright. 937 00:51:28,520 --> 00:51:33,640 Speaker 1: The other thing to keep in mind is the two 938 00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:35,120 Speaker 1: losses is not the end of the world in the 939 00:51:35,120 --> 00:51:38,520 Speaker 1: ACC right now, especially after North Carolina got beat the 940 00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:41,440 Speaker 1: other night. You got one undefeated left. That's Florida State. 941 00:51:41,719 --> 00:51:45,160 Speaker 1: Miami still plays them. Miami plays Louisville. That's one of 942 00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:49,000 Speaker 1: the one loss teams Miami could actually still beat in 943 00:51:49,080 --> 00:51:52,160 Speaker 1: the conference title picture. But also they could be in 944 00:51:52,239 --> 00:51:55,120 Speaker 1: the kind of picture to where when they go to 945 00:51:55,320 --> 00:52:00,160 Speaker 1: Tallahassee in about three weeks, maybe they're the ones who 946 00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:03,560 Speaker 1: knocked the Noles from the ranks of the unbeaten. I 947 00:52:03,600 --> 00:52:08,319 Speaker 1: know that sounds crazy, it's not so crazy as to 948 00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:11,120 Speaker 1: just write it off. And if they keep winning like 949 00:52:11,160 --> 00:52:13,400 Speaker 1: I said, they could creep into that conference title picture. 950 00:52:13,880 --> 00:52:19,440 Speaker 1: What about Missouri, freshly minted in the JP pole. Missouri 951 00:52:19,600 --> 00:52:22,160 Speaker 1: is off this week, so no one's talking about them, 952 00:52:22,560 --> 00:52:24,640 Speaker 1: but most people hadn't been talking about them all year. 953 00:52:25,480 --> 00:52:27,799 Speaker 1: You know who they play next? They play Georgia. What's 954 00:52:27,840 --> 00:52:30,399 Speaker 1: Georgia doing this week? Oh? They play Florida, don't they? 955 00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:35,919 Speaker 1: Rivalry game? Rivalry games actually aren't as unpredictable as people 956 00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:38,160 Speaker 1: make them out to be. But the week after a 957 00:52:38,280 --> 00:52:41,400 Speaker 1: rivalry game, especially when your opponent sat there and watched 958 00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:45,160 Speaker 1: the rivalry game at home, that can be unpredictable. And 959 00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:48,080 Speaker 1: so Missouri gets to co test to test their metal 960 00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:50,799 Speaker 1: against Georgia. But then they play Tennessee the next week. 961 00:52:51,080 --> 00:52:55,520 Speaker 1: So I'll give you a little chaos theory. Chaos would 962 00:52:55,600 --> 00:52:59,480 Speaker 1: be if they beat Georgia, if they're the ones who 963 00:52:59,600 --> 00:53:02,799 Speaker 1: take an nip out of Georgia, but then they lose 964 00:53:02,800 --> 00:53:07,080 Speaker 1: to Tennessee. What has just happened? Well, Number one, Missouri 965 00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:10,320 Speaker 1: put Georgia on the hobble. They just took the crowbar 966 00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:13,640 Speaker 1: to the shen and in Georgia's ah And then Tennessee 967 00:53:13,719 --> 00:53:16,080 Speaker 1: takes down Missouri, and all of a sudden what are 968 00:53:16,080 --> 00:53:18,560 Speaker 1: we looking at. We're looking at Georgia going to Kneeland 969 00:53:18,640 --> 00:53:22,440 Speaker 1: later in the year. I don't want to say crippled 970 00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:27,520 Speaker 1: because it has connotations, but they are severely hobbled, and 971 00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:30,440 Speaker 1: Tennessee's right back in. It is the point. Tennessee needs 972 00:53:30,480 --> 00:53:32,160 Speaker 1: Georgia to lose or else it doesn't matter if they 973 00:53:32,160 --> 00:53:35,839 Speaker 1: beat them by five hundred into a coma, Georgia still 974 00:53:35,840 --> 00:53:38,200 Speaker 1: got a game on you. But if Georgia is already 975 00:53:38,200 --> 00:53:41,160 Speaker 1: a one lost team and you don't lose again by 976 00:53:41,200 --> 00:53:43,359 Speaker 1: the time they come up there, you could end up 977 00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:47,600 Speaker 1: backing your way into Atlanta. Missouri could have a lot 978 00:53:47,640 --> 00:53:51,120 Speaker 1: to say about that. And lastly, what about Oregon State. 979 00:53:51,800 --> 00:53:55,640 Speaker 1: Oregon State's a good team first off, and the last 980 00:53:55,719 --> 00:53:59,719 Speaker 1: two weeks of the regular season they play at Oregon. 981 00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:03,320 Speaker 1: Oh no, no, no, they play versus Washington and then at Oregon. 982 00:54:03,840 --> 00:54:09,040 Speaker 1: I think that's the order. So you start doing your 983 00:54:09,040 --> 00:54:12,040 Speaker 1: breathing exercises out there in the West Coast and you 984 00:54:12,080 --> 00:54:15,560 Speaker 1: start thinking about the curtain dropping on the Pac twelve 985 00:54:15,600 --> 00:54:17,759 Speaker 1: as you know it. What if we have chaos on 986 00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:20,480 Speaker 1: the way out the door. What if Oregon State either 987 00:54:20,719 --> 00:54:24,560 Speaker 1: beats Washington or goes to Oregon and wins or both. 988 00:54:25,960 --> 00:54:28,360 Speaker 1: Either way, they're gonna have a lot to say about 989 00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:31,400 Speaker 1: how that PAC twelve Championship picture pans out. Here's the 990 00:54:31,440 --> 00:54:34,839 Speaker 1: disrespect and I admit it's disrespectful. I'm sitting here talking 991 00:54:34,880 --> 00:54:38,359 Speaker 1: about Oregon State like they're out of it and they're 992 00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:41,720 Speaker 1: just playing the role of spoiler. They got one conference loss, 993 00:54:41,920 --> 00:54:44,960 Speaker 1: they're in it. If they won those games, it may 994 00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:48,200 Speaker 1: be them that's going to Las Vegas. So and I 995 00:54:48,280 --> 00:54:50,759 Speaker 1: by Las Vegas, I mean for the PAC twelve Championship game. 996 00:54:51,560 --> 00:54:55,279 Speaker 1: So there is a lot left to be decided. There 997 00:54:55,280 --> 00:54:57,960 Speaker 1: are chaos teams all over the country. I just named 998 00:54:57,960 --> 00:55:00,480 Speaker 1: four of them. Chances are one one of them that 999 00:55:00,560 --> 00:55:02,360 Speaker 1: I gave no second thought too, is going to be 1000 00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:04,680 Speaker 1: the one who actually blows the entire thing up. All right, 1001 00:55:04,719 --> 00:55:08,520 Speaker 1: I told you about fifty some odd minutes ago there 1002 00:55:08,560 --> 00:55:11,720 Speaker 1: was a big story that was happening and it wasn't 1003 00:55:11,719 --> 00:55:15,360 Speaker 1: the Michigan story. And I am a man of my word, 1004 00:55:15,600 --> 00:55:17,279 Speaker 1: so I'm going to deliver right after a sip of 1005 00:55:17,360 --> 00:55:24,279 Speaker 1: the purple liquid here. I appreciate you guys watching live. 1006 00:55:24,360 --> 00:55:28,799 Speaker 1: Also make sure you hit the light button because less 1007 00:55:28,840 --> 00:55:32,239 Speaker 1: than a fifth of you have and I cannot keep 1008 00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:35,520 Speaker 1: feeding Jesse and Colin and Bradley with those kinds of numbers. 1009 00:55:35,880 --> 00:55:38,879 Speaker 1: I can't. That's a lie. Our numbers are really good 1010 00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:42,759 Speaker 1: and I appreciate it. Keep them good. Subscribe to the 1011 00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:45,520 Speaker 1: podcast out there also, if you haven't, we got to 1012 00:55:45,560 --> 00:55:48,560 Speaker 1: like ten thousand new listeners a month, So make sure 1013 00:55:48,600 --> 00:55:51,839 Speaker 1: you're subscribing as you walk in, especially since it's free. 1014 00:55:52,200 --> 00:55:56,160 Speaker 1: That's the way you keep it free, you subscribe. Let's 1015 00:55:56,200 --> 00:55:58,919 Speaker 1: see Sam hit us up from Boulder, Colorado. He said, 1016 00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:01,640 Speaker 1: what do you think maybe is the story of this 1017 00:56:01,719 --> 00:56:04,200 Speaker 1: year's college football season that no one is talking about? 1018 00:56:04,320 --> 00:56:08,280 Speaker 1: Brilliant question, And although it comes from Boulder, the answer 1019 00:56:08,320 --> 00:56:11,600 Speaker 1: is not Deon Sanders. It's not Colorado. There is a 1020 00:56:11,800 --> 00:56:16,759 Speaker 1: knock down, drag out recruiting war underway in the Sunshine State. 1021 00:56:17,680 --> 00:56:20,360 Speaker 1: But it's not between Ohio State and Alabama and Clemson. 1022 00:56:20,960 --> 00:56:27,959 Speaker 1: It's not Georgia. No, it's Florida versus Miami versus Florida State. 1023 00:56:28,320 --> 00:56:31,440 Speaker 1: And if you're new to college football, you may say, duh, No, 1024 00:56:31,520 --> 00:56:36,000 Speaker 1: it's not duh anything. They have leaked talent out of 1025 00:56:36,000 --> 00:56:39,920 Speaker 1: that state forever. It's been the key story in this 1026 00:56:40,000 --> 00:56:44,200 Speaker 1: sport and I have beat the drum to death. We've 1027 00:56:44,200 --> 00:56:46,000 Speaker 1: had to replace the heads on the drum. I beat 1028 00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:48,920 Speaker 1: it so much that this is how you recalibrate the 1029 00:56:49,040 --> 00:56:52,000 Speaker 1: entire talent landscape. You keep in state talent home in Florida. 1030 00:56:52,040 --> 00:56:54,160 Speaker 1: So anyway, you heard me say that a long time ago. 1031 00:56:54,400 --> 00:56:58,240 Speaker 1: Well here we go, paper pop time. The twenty twenty 1032 00:56:58,239 --> 00:57:04,320 Speaker 1: four recruiting cycle, current class rankings Florida number three, Florida 1033 00:57:04,360 --> 00:57:09,360 Speaker 1: State number four, Miami number ten. They are rolling down there. 1034 00:57:09,600 --> 00:57:13,640 Speaker 1: Rewind two years ago. Take the top thirty kids in 1035 00:57:13,680 --> 00:57:17,360 Speaker 1: that state. Eight of them stayed home. Eight of them 1036 00:57:17,840 --> 00:57:20,840 Speaker 1: stayed in state, And I ran the numbers, and that 1037 00:57:20,920 --> 00:57:24,000 Speaker 1: means twenty two did not. As of right now in 1038 00:57:24,040 --> 00:57:26,000 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty four cycle, granted, we still got a 1039 00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:30,560 Speaker 1: wayte to go. As of right now, fifteen of the 1040 00:57:30,600 --> 00:57:33,200 Speaker 1: top thirty in state kids are committed to an in 1041 00:57:33,240 --> 00:57:37,480 Speaker 1: state school and four are uncommitted, and two of those 1042 00:57:37,520 --> 00:57:40,280 Speaker 1: are crystal bald into the state of Florida somewhere. So 1043 00:57:40,640 --> 00:57:43,000 Speaker 1: we'll have well over fifty percent of those kids stay 1044 00:57:43,040 --> 00:57:46,840 Speaker 1: at home. Two years ago was eight of the top thirty. 1045 00:57:47,000 --> 00:57:49,360 Speaker 1: All three of these programs are trending up over the 1046 00:57:49,440 --> 00:57:51,920 Speaker 1: last three years in recruiting. Not just it's not just 1047 00:57:51,920 --> 00:57:55,640 Speaker 1: a one year aberration. This is a really big story. 1048 00:57:55,840 --> 00:57:58,240 Speaker 1: I don't care if you have nothing to do with 1049 00:57:58,320 --> 00:58:01,320 Speaker 1: the state of Florida or the SEC or the ACC. 1050 00:58:01,880 --> 00:58:04,400 Speaker 1: This is a big story if you're a Minnesota fan. 1051 00:58:04,600 --> 00:58:07,520 Speaker 1: It's a big story if you're a cow fan. And 1052 00:58:07,600 --> 00:58:14,200 Speaker 1: here's why. The single biggest contributor that's been overlooked that 1053 00:58:14,400 --> 00:58:17,680 Speaker 1: created the super roster and the super team was not 1054 00:58:17,840 --> 00:58:20,160 Speaker 1: the playoff. That was a lie they told you to 1055 00:58:20,160 --> 00:58:22,680 Speaker 1: get you to support playoff expansion. It was never that. 1056 00:58:23,440 --> 00:58:27,240 Speaker 1: It was that the in state schools in Florida and 1057 00:58:27,280 --> 00:58:30,920 Speaker 1: to a certain degree, Texas and California were bad and 1058 00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:34,960 Speaker 1: their talent left home. But it didn't disperse itself evenly 1059 00:58:35,000 --> 00:58:39,280 Speaker 1: all over the country. Alabama loaded up, Ohio State loaded up, 1060 00:58:39,280 --> 00:58:42,280 Speaker 1: Clemson loaded up, Georgia loaded up, and lo and behold, 1061 00:58:42,400 --> 00:58:45,440 Speaker 1: they're dominating college football playoff. And I got simpletons out 1062 00:58:45,480 --> 00:58:48,520 Speaker 1: there telling me, well, we've got to change the structure. No, 1063 00:58:48,680 --> 00:58:51,400 Speaker 1: you don't. You don't have to change anything. Hey, we 1064 00:58:51,480 --> 00:58:54,560 Speaker 1: still got a four team playoff this year. My how 1065 00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:59,040 Speaker 1: the tables have turned, or my how the turntables? What's changed? Well, 1066 00:58:59,240 --> 00:59:01,760 Speaker 1: I'll tell you what star started to change, well started 1067 00:59:01,760 --> 00:59:04,200 Speaker 1: to change is a few of those elite players per 1068 00:59:04,240 --> 00:59:07,000 Speaker 1: cycle that would have gone to Columbus or Clemson or 1069 00:59:07,040 --> 00:59:11,880 Speaker 1: Tuscaloosa have gone to Tallahassee or Gainesville or Coral Gables. 1070 00:59:11,880 --> 00:59:14,680 Speaker 1: Now that's in its infancy with these current staffs, that's 1071 00:59:14,760 --> 00:59:17,600 Speaker 1: going to continue trending that way. And what does it do? 1072 00:59:18,080 --> 00:59:21,000 Speaker 1: It does it not Georgia or Alabama from the ranks 1073 00:59:21,040 --> 00:59:24,240 Speaker 1: of being elite. Just shaves the top of the roster 1074 00:59:24,320 --> 00:59:27,360 Speaker 1: a little bit. That's all you need. You didn't need 1075 00:59:27,400 --> 00:59:29,720 Speaker 1: to take the knees out of Ohio State or Clemson, 1076 00:59:29,920 --> 00:59:33,000 Speaker 1: just needed to shave the tops of those rosters one 1077 00:59:33,080 --> 00:59:38,320 Speaker 1: or two five stars per team per cycle from Bell 1078 00:59:38,440 --> 00:59:40,880 Speaker 1: Glade or from Okalla who were leaving the state. They 1079 00:59:40,920 --> 00:59:44,720 Speaker 1: need to stay home. And you would be stunned at 1080 00:59:44,720 --> 00:59:47,080 Speaker 1: how much difference that made. I have told you that 1081 00:59:47,160 --> 00:59:50,800 Speaker 1: a million times. Well it's happening. Now it's happening. You 1082 00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:53,560 Speaker 1: never needed playoff expansion, you got it anyway. You didn't 1083 00:59:53,560 --> 00:59:56,720 Speaker 1: need it. What you needed is you needed Mario doing 1084 00:59:56,760 --> 00:59:59,520 Speaker 1: what he's doing down there. You need Mike Norvel and 1085 00:59:59,560 --> 01:00:01,680 Speaker 1: billion if you're doing what they're doing. Ultimately, they have 1086 01:00:01,760 --> 01:00:05,600 Speaker 1: to win, win, and that's what will turn the wave 1087 01:00:05,680 --> 01:00:09,240 Speaker 1: into a tidal wave into a tsunami. And we're all 1088 01:00:09,280 --> 01:00:13,200 Speaker 1: ocean experts, we understand what happens there. But it's not 1089 01:00:13,240 --> 01:00:17,400 Speaker 1: happening in a vacuum. It's also happening in Texas. A 1090 01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:19,520 Speaker 1: and M's recruiting at a really high level. Texas is 1091 01:00:19,560 --> 01:00:21,720 Speaker 1: recruiting at a really high level. So two of those 1092 01:00:21,760 --> 01:00:24,880 Speaker 1: three states now are playing their part and keeping enough 1093 01:00:24,880 --> 01:00:27,200 Speaker 1: of their talent home to where if you're a Penn 1094 01:00:27,280 --> 01:00:29,680 Speaker 1: State fan, you're saying, well, big deal, I wasn't getting 1095 01:00:29,680 --> 01:00:33,760 Speaker 1: those players anyway. That's true maybe, But what if Ohio 1096 01:00:33,880 --> 01:00:37,360 Speaker 1: State doesn't get them as much, or if you're an 1097 01:00:37,520 --> 01:00:40,120 Speaker 1: Arkansas fan, well we weren't getting those elite kids anyway. 1098 01:00:40,280 --> 01:00:43,880 Speaker 1: What if Alabama doesn't get them as frequently or as easily. 1099 01:00:44,920 --> 01:00:47,760 Speaker 1: It's a really big story. This is how you even out. 1100 01:00:47,960 --> 01:00:51,560 Speaker 1: This is how you inject parody into college football. That's 1101 01:00:51,600 --> 01:00:53,640 Speaker 1: how you do it. You're never going to inject the 1102 01:00:53,680 --> 01:00:55,680 Speaker 1: kind of parody that you think you're going to inject 1103 01:00:55,920 --> 01:00:59,760 Speaker 1: by expanding your playoff. It's a fool's errand to think otherwise, 1104 01:01:00,120 --> 01:01:02,600 Speaker 1: that's not the key. It never has been. The key 1105 01:01:03,360 --> 01:01:07,160 Speaker 1: is has and always will be in this sport talent distribution, 1106 01:01:07,880 --> 01:01:10,880 Speaker 1: and the portal is addressing this because you can't just 1107 01:01:11,320 --> 01:01:14,120 Speaker 1: freeze your roster for a four year stretch. But also 1108 01:01:14,720 --> 01:01:17,520 Speaker 1: in state schools doing their job in state. That's another 1109 01:01:17,600 --> 01:01:20,480 Speaker 1: really big factor to monitor here. Now here's what sucks 1110 01:01:20,520 --> 01:01:24,040 Speaker 1: for me. What sucks for me is I know this 1111 01:01:24,240 --> 01:01:26,600 Speaker 1: was the key all along, and now that these in 1112 01:01:26,720 --> 01:01:29,320 Speaker 1: state schools in Texas are keeping a larger chunk of 1113 01:01:29,320 --> 01:01:33,600 Speaker 1: their talent home and the schools in Florida diddo. At 1114 01:01:33,600 --> 01:01:37,720 Speaker 1: the same time as the playoff expanding, the expanded Playoff, 1115 01:01:37,920 --> 01:01:40,080 Speaker 1: mark my words, is going to end up getting credit 1116 01:01:40,120 --> 01:01:42,720 Speaker 1: for a lot of the competitive balance and it has 1117 01:01:43,080 --> 01:01:47,720 Speaker 1: little if nothing to do with what's actually happening. Or 1118 01:01:47,720 --> 01:01:50,439 Speaker 1: put another way, you could keep this thing at four 1119 01:01:50,480 --> 01:01:53,560 Speaker 1: teams for the next decade and you would still see 1120 01:01:53,560 --> 01:01:56,080 Speaker 1: an inversion at the top, like we're getting ready to see, 1121 01:01:56,120 --> 01:01:59,040 Speaker 1: and in some cases we're already seeing it. The natural 1122 01:01:59,240 --> 01:02:02,320 Speaker 1: order of things wasn't going to let those schools dominate 1123 01:02:02,360 --> 01:02:07,280 Speaker 1: for the next decade. But the natural order, combined with 1124 01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:11,400 Speaker 1: added recruiting prowess, some of these big Florida institutions just 1125 01:02:11,480 --> 01:02:14,120 Speaker 1: kind of exclamates it. So I say all that to say, 1126 01:02:15,320 --> 01:02:17,600 Speaker 1: enjoy it even if you think it has nothing to 1127 01:02:17,600 --> 01:02:19,640 Speaker 1: do with you, because it's a really big story. I 1128 01:02:19,680 --> 01:02:22,360 Speaker 1: got no added best bets tonight. We'll have several Thursday 1129 01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:26,480 Speaker 1: watching some injury concerns for some teams. Not huge news, 1130 01:02:26,480 --> 01:02:29,360 Speaker 1: but it would impact some games. We want to move on, 1131 01:02:29,960 --> 01:02:32,880 Speaker 1: so make sure you're following Twitter and Instagram at late kick, Josh, 1132 01:02:33,000 --> 01:02:35,920 Speaker 1: that's it for tonight. Nice little compact hour long show. 1133 01:02:36,520 --> 01:02:39,760 Speaker 1: Who knows what breaks between now and Thursday. For director 1134 01:02:39,800 --> 01:02:42,400 Speaker 1: Colin producer Jesse, I'm Josh Bate, Take care rest of 1135 01:02:42,440 --> 01:02:57,240 Speaker 1: your evening, and God bless. Must be twenty one or 1136 01:02:57,280 --> 01:03:00,400 Speaker 1: over and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online 1137 01:03:00,400 --> 01:03:03,240 Speaker 1: sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star 1138 01:03:03,360 --> 01:03:07,320 Speaker 1: Casino LLC. First online real money wager only ten dollars 1139 01:03:07,360 --> 01:03:11,200 Speaker 1: first deposit required. Bonus issued as non withdrawable bonus bets 1140 01:03:11,200 --> 01:03:14,600 Speaker 1: that expire seven days after receipt. Gambling problem, call one 1141 01:03:14,640 --> 01:03:21,320 Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com. 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