1 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:13,319 Speaker 1: Now welcome to lake AGAUS Live of this Thursday Night, 2 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:16,960 Speaker 1: October thirteenth. You're a Lord twenty twenty two propt you 3 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:21,439 Speaker 1: proudly by Academy Sports and Outdoors. The impossible starting to 4 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:24,480 Speaker 1: seem more and more possible every week is this sport 5 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: dies deeper and deeper into the twenty twenty two version 6 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 1: of itself. We are jampacked high top of rambunctious downtown Nashville, Tennessee. 7 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 2: Week seven Upset Alert. 8 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 1: It's become a Thursday staple and it makes us look 9 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: both genius and dumb every week around this time, So 10 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: why not continue that sterling tradition that we started around here. Also, 11 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 1: I'm gonna probably take part in another ill conceived plan 12 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:56,280 Speaker 1: tonight to reassess and repredict the conference championship races because 13 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: we have a mail bag tonight and one of you asked, Hey, 14 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 1: it's mid season, how would you predict the conferences if. 15 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 2: You hit three set button today? 16 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 1: And I'm going to cling to some of my predictions 17 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: way longer than I should and irresponsibly. 18 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:10,240 Speaker 2: So we're going to do that tonight. 19 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:12,759 Speaker 1: As I said, we got tons of Q and a 20 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 1: a ton of you want to know can Texas make 21 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:17,039 Speaker 1: the playoff. A whole bunch of you want to know. 22 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 1: Look out, Uneven, the mic is all right. 23 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 2: We fixed that. 24 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: Some of you want to know? Can a conference have 25 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 1: three teams in the playoffs? So we're going to address 26 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:26,680 Speaker 1: a lot of that because we had like fifty questions 27 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 1: about that stuff tonight. Also, we're adding best bets on 28 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:33,399 Speaker 1: the Ramannudle Express. Hopefully another hot week. And hey, I'm 29 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:35,840 Speaker 1: going to address a rumor in just a second, probably 30 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: like thirty seconds from now. They're watching us Atlanta, Georgia. Steven, 31 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 1: Happy birthday, sir. I did see your text this morning. 32 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 1: They're watching us in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. I have it on 33 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 1: good authority that at least one fine citizen in the 34 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 1: City of Brotherly Love named Wesley has a wedding scheduled 35 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: in the fall. Usually a no no around here, But 36 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: what did Wesley do? He had the good sense to 37 00:01:57,240 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: not hold it on a Saturday. Thank you, Wesley, all 38 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: all of us to you. Joppla Missouri, tuned in Grand Island, Nebraska, 39 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 1: tuned in need to hit a rumor right quick. Rumors 40 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 1: is my favorite album of all time. Bradley's Too Fleetwood 41 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:16,360 Speaker 1: Mac nineteen seventy seven. Rumors great album rumors when they 42 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: float around the Twitter sphere about you are not good. 43 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 2: So you know, there's a rumor. 44 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 1: That we hung out with management last night. In just 45 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 1: a second, I'm going to snap my fingers and direct 46 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 1: Colin is going to dispel part of the rumor. It 47 00:02:29,560 --> 00:02:33,399 Speaker 1: is true that producer Jesse and director Colin and myself 48 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 1: we were summoned to the home of management last night, 49 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:40,120 Speaker 1: so we went. You know, you gotta do what you 50 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: gotta do. But Colin, let's clear it up. This was 51 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 1: the dynamic there. Okay, we got the Atlanta Braves and 52 00:02:46,040 --> 00:02:49,079 Speaker 1: Philadelphia Phillies locked in Game two of the National League 53 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 1: Division Series. There's Management way over there and there's me 54 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 1: all the way over here. This was a classic we're 55 00:02:55,040 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 1: here so we don't get fined kind of vibe. And 56 00:02:57,840 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 1: director Colin somewhere Jesse's face and naturally is blocked out 57 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: because you may or may not think he's real. This 58 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 1: is what really happened last night south of the greater 59 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 1: Downtown Nashville area. So it is true that the three 60 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 1: of us were summoned to management's home, and it is 61 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 1: true that we took part in some of the festivities. 62 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 1: Meat was a little undercooked for my taste, but all 63 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: in all, a good time was had. It was just 64 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:24,600 Speaker 1: a good time on our terms. That was the real dynamic. 65 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 1: And if you're listening on podcast, I really can't explain 66 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 1: much to you. You just have to tune into the 67 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 1: YouTube feed and check it out. By the way, as 68 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: we dive into bold predictions and we dive into some 69 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: upset alerts, make sure you're following on Instagram and Twitter 70 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 1: this weekend at Lake Kick Josh, I don't want you 71 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 1: to miss Friday Night Lines Tomorrow night Live from Knoxville. 72 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: I don't want you to miss all the access we're 73 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 1: gonna have for you. We're gonna be on the field Saturday. 74 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 1: They're paying like two thousand dollars for seats. We're gonna 75 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 1: be on the field. And someone tells me we're gonna 76 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 1: make a few times to do that. So it's gonna 77 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: be fun, gonna get you a lot of looks at 78 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 1: things you otherwise wouldn't get to see. In that Instagram story, 79 00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:01,640 Speaker 1: all right, let's talk about the U word upset alerts. 80 00:04:01,640 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: Thank you for being tuned in. By the way, if 81 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: you're watching live Some games are on your radar. Some 82 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 1: games maybe not on your radar, but I'm about to 83 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 1: put them on your radar. So every Thursday night around 84 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 1: this time, we just go simple scale of one to ten. 85 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,479 Speaker 1: We name some of these games. How worried am I 86 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 1: for the favorite? How pegged should that upset alert meter be? 87 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 1: First game on the upset alert meter. I don't think 88 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:26,160 Speaker 1: anyone has talked about it all week. It is Iowa 89 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:31,039 Speaker 1: State at Texas. Texas most recently famous for winning some 90 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 1: big games. Texas most recently famous for getting quinn ewers back, 91 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:38,280 Speaker 1: and now they're favored by over two touchdowns. They are 92 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:43,840 Speaker 1: favored by sixteen points at home against Iowa State. This 93 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: one's off your radar, and it should be. Iowa State's 94 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 1: already gotten multiple losses, so for all intents and purposes, 95 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 1: they're out of the Big twelve championship race. You've got 96 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:55,680 Speaker 1: big praise rolling in for Texas this week. They're off 97 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 1: the Oklahoma win. They've got Oklahoma State coming up next week. 98 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 1: And for the first time, you can feel it, even 99 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 1: in the JP Pole, we can feel it. People are 100 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:08,159 Speaker 1: starting to take them serious on the national scene. And 101 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk later in the show about what they're 102 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 1: capable of this year. But listen, we're so we're so 103 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 1: into Texas. We changed the color of the mysterious drink 104 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 1: in the chalice. Some say it's Tennessee orange, some say 105 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 1: it's Texas orange. I just say it's what they had 106 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: left over at publics. But I digress Texas is red 107 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 1: hot right now. Iowa State, on the other hand, ice 108 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 1: cold Iowa State. I have it on good authority, doing 109 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 1: large part to a tweet put out earlier today by 110 00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:36,160 Speaker 1: our buddy. 111 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 2: Parker at Stats of War. 112 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 1: Iowa State's got nine losses since two thousand. Only two 113 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 1: of them have been by double digits, So they just 114 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 1: don't lose by double digits very often. And we're asking 115 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,360 Speaker 1: them to lose by seventeen here if Texas is gonna cover. 116 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 1: But this is about outright upsets. Okay. I think that 117 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 1: there are some scenarios out there where Iowa State hangs 118 00:05:54,080 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: around kind of a sleepy game and they compress it 119 00:05:58,400 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 1: and they hold the ball like it's theirs to own, 120 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 1: and Texas ends up winning, but they don't win comfortably, 121 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden people talk about quinn 122 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 1: Ewers coming back down to Earth. 123 00:06:08,200 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 2: I could see that. 124 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: What I don't think is gonna happen is the outright upset. 125 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna put a five on this, mainly because I 126 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: want Texas to be paying attention. But I don't foresee 127 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 1: myself checking the eye Josh and Niland Stadium Saturday and saying, 128 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 1: oh my goodness, look at this. 129 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:25,480 Speaker 2: Look there's five minutes to go in this game Iowa State. 130 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:28,720 Speaker 1: It's got a three point lead that I can't feel 131 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:31,839 Speaker 1: doesn't mean it wouldn't happen. I just can't feel it. 132 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:34,479 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna put that one at a five. You 133 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: know what, let's downgrade it. Let's put it at a 134 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 1: four four and a half. Let's split the difference. Let's 135 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 1: go to Bama, Tennessee. We already did the game prediction. 136 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 1: If you want the full game prediction, that's on the 137 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:45,599 Speaker 1: YouTube channel. This is where the every given Saturday tour 138 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 1: will be beyond ecstatically excited to be at this game 139 00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:53,840 Speaker 1: when it finally means what it used to mean. So 140 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 1: we are headed out here early in the morning and 141 00:06:57,040 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 1: we are going to beat the traffic as best we 142 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 1: can twenty four hours. This one's gonna be really, really fun. 143 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:06,479 Speaker 1: All right, we're talking about upsets. I picked Tennessee to 144 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 1: win this game out right, So obviously from the Alabama standpoint, yes, 145 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 1: this is like an eight or nine on the upset 146 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 1: Alert meter. 147 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:16,440 Speaker 2: It's certainly in play. 148 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: Bama's favored by seven, right now, what do you have 149 00:07:20,360 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: to deal with? You got an excellent passer in Hendon Hooker. 150 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 1: I was listening to Nick Saban talk earlier today. He 151 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 1: started to talk about the key for his team being 152 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: the same key We've spoken about all week on this show. 153 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 1: I've done like four hundred and thirty seven radio hits 154 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 1: all across the country, and I've mentioned that same word balance, 155 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 1: but not statistical balance. I simply mean what I think 156 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:45,520 Speaker 1: Nick Saban means. Maybe he watched the show. I don't 157 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 1: know what he does in it's free time. But what 158 00:07:47,520 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: I mean by balance, and what I think Saban means 159 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 1: is they've got to be convinced that we can throw 160 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 1: the ball on our terms, throw the ball whenever we 161 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: want to, be willing to throw the ball whenever we 162 00:07:57,040 --> 00:08:00,920 Speaker 1: want to. If Tennessee believes that, then Bama's going to 163 00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 1: put up a really big number on them. It does 164 00:08:02,760 --> 00:08:06,520 Speaker 1: not shock me if Alabama scores fifty points on Tennessee Saturday. 165 00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 1: If they can strike that kind of balance, it's a 166 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 1: huge if, obviously, because of the health status and really 167 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:15,800 Speaker 1: no one knowing, including your boy here. 168 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 2: Okay, let me be clear. 169 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:19,800 Speaker 1: If my friend's over on bol no one including me 170 00:08:19,960 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 1: knows the true status of Bryce Young, at least people 171 00:08:22,400 --> 00:08:24,679 Speaker 1: who are going to talk. So if we get healthy 172 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 1: Bryce Shung, that's a totally different story. If we don't 173 00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: get a fully healthy Bryce Shung and they can't fully 174 00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 1: open up that playbook, then all of a sudden, that 175 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 1: balance starts to come into question, because then Tennessee can 176 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:35,559 Speaker 1: keep on the run a little bit more. 177 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 2: We went over that. 178 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: You want to see it, watch the preview video. The 179 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:42,560 Speaker 1: environment I think will be incredible. It is semantics when 180 00:08:42,600 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 1: we start arguing whether Bama has or hasn't seen anything 181 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:49,599 Speaker 1: like this. It is my humble opinion that everybody on 182 00:08:49,640 --> 00:08:52,200 Speaker 1: that Bama roster, sure they've been in incredible environments. 183 00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 2: I think this will be the. 184 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:57,439 Speaker 1: Most incredible, not by ten miles, but the most incredible 185 00:08:57,520 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 1: they've experienced. So you got all that, and you got 186 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,560 Speaker 1: to quoest with Bryce, I'm simply saying yes, fifteen in 187 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 1: a row. I've watched every single one of them. I 188 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 1: think this is as close on the upset alert meter 189 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:08,480 Speaker 1: as we've ever been. 190 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 2: To a ten. I'm gonna put it at an eight. 191 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 1: That's the upset alert meter. There's a game in Norman, Oklahoma, 192 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 1: this Saturday, featuring obviously the Oklahoma Sooners. They are hosting Kansas. 193 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:21,560 Speaker 1: A lot of you are looking at this point spread saying, 194 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:23,400 Speaker 1: hold up, what who died? 195 00:09:24,120 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 2: How is this at nine? 196 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:28,360 Speaker 1: And it is true that Jaylen Daniels will not play 197 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 1: quarterback Saturday for Kansas. But even then, Jason Bean you 198 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 1: have seen play. It is the opinion of mine and 199 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 1: a lot of people who have actually watched Kansas football 200 00:09:39,240 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 1: this year that there's not this steep drop off at 201 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 1: the quarterback position. Sure you want your starter in there, 202 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:47,760 Speaker 1: but this is not a situation where a Lance Leipold 203 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:50,079 Speaker 1: all of a sudden breaks glass and hits a red 204 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:52,160 Speaker 1: button and they just have to start running triple option 205 00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 1: because they don't have a guy who can throw the 206 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: forward pass. They've got an adequate backup quarterback. Oklahoma is lifeless. 207 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,760 Speaker 1: They have been losing games. They have been lifeless. They 208 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 1: haven't even started to play the games. They got run 209 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 1: by TCU, they got run by Texas, and they're favored 210 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 1: by over a touchdown against a team that has shown 211 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: a ton of life. And I think since Kansas lost 212 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 1: last week, I think people just assume, Okay, all right now, 213 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 1: they'll go back to being Kansas, and I don't know that. 214 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:23,160 Speaker 1: I think this should be a nine and a half 215 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 1: on the upset Alert meter. If I get inspired play 216 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:29,360 Speaker 1: this week, or forget that, if I just even get 217 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:32,439 Speaker 1: play this week out of Oklahoma, sure, sure. 218 00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:33,199 Speaker 2: They should win the game. 219 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:38,400 Speaker 1: But there's a huge difference in talent roster discrepancy versus 220 00:10:38,440 --> 00:10:42,760 Speaker 1: team discrepancy. I mean, it doesn't really matter what your 221 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:45,679 Speaker 1: talent roster is if it doesn't come to play. I 222 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 1: mean that, in the most literal of terms, Oklahoma has 223 00:10:48,080 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: not come to play period. That's a pejorative that people 224 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 1: sometimes use when their teams lose. Ah, we just didn't 225 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:56,400 Speaker 1: show up. But normally it's just that you got beat. 226 00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 1: Oklahoma quite literally has not shown up the games. Does 227 00:10:59,800 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 1: that just fix itself? Because it's Kansas coming into town, 228 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:04,880 Speaker 1: that in and of itself doesn't mean what it once 229 00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:07,920 Speaker 1: meant Kansas coming into town. That's like when people in 230 00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: the South say well, we got Vandy this week, and 231 00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 1: then as if to say, oh, we can just look, 232 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:13,120 Speaker 1: we just look over Vandy. 233 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:14,840 Speaker 2: That's a win. Kansas is not. 234 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 1: Kansas is not we got Kansas, and no, you got 235 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:21,480 Speaker 1: Kansas this week. And for some reason, Oklahoma's favored by nine. 236 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 1: Now the model likes Kansas. We'll see tune into Friday 237 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:28,360 Speaker 1: Night lines. I'm not adding them tonight as a best bed, 238 00:11:28,400 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 1: but I'm saying this is a solid nine or a 239 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:32,400 Speaker 1: nine and a half on the upset alert meter. Like this, 240 00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 1: it would it would shock me to be blunt if 241 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 1: I were to see Oklahoma run away with this game. Now, actually, 242 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:44,040 Speaker 1: it wouldn't shock me to see Oklahoma lose outright, I'm 243 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 1: just saying I don't don't. I don't think that line 244 00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:47,959 Speaker 1: should be that fat. So we'll address that on Friday 245 00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 1: Night lines. But I'm putting this at a nine or 246 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:52,480 Speaker 1: nine and a half on the upside alert scale. Auburn 247 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:55,920 Speaker 1: at Ole, Miss. You may not be watching this game Saturday. 248 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 1: Don't worry. I'll watch it for you, or at least 249 00:11:57,880 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 1: i'll watch the replay. However, there may be some more 250 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:03,840 Speaker 1: going on here than you realize. 251 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 2: A couple of things. One. 252 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:07,320 Speaker 1: I think you do have a pretty good pulse on 253 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:10,319 Speaker 1: Brian Harson is unlikely to be retained as the Auburn 254 00:12:10,400 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 1: head coach. Now what no one knows emphasize no one, 255 00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:17,840 Speaker 1: even the person who's gonna make the decision, whopstever that 256 00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 1: is on the planes, knows whether this is the final week? 257 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:24,080 Speaker 1: Does he have to lose by an X number of points? 258 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:26,199 Speaker 1: Is it gonna be next week, is it gonna be 259 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:29,400 Speaker 1: the bye week? Which is just a dumb conversation, but 260 00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:33,320 Speaker 1: it's one that's being had, so regardless of when it happens, 261 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:36,480 Speaker 1: we don't think Brian Harson is gonna be retained. Now 262 00:12:36,800 --> 00:12:38,760 Speaker 1: the follow up to that is how does it impact 263 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 1: the teams play on the field, Because they got beat 264 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,680 Speaker 1: pretty soundly last week against Georgia, But that's Georgia, and 265 00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:47,440 Speaker 1: Georgia was in a strong bounce back spot because they 266 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:50,480 Speaker 1: got embarrassed even in a win the week before against Missouri. 267 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:54,960 Speaker 1: So it's understandable George's beaten many A team soundly in Athens, 268 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 1: many an Auburn team soundly in Athens. Second straight road 269 00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 1: game for Auburn. Can they go into Ole, miss as 270 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:05,360 Speaker 1: a little more than a two touchdown underdog about fifteen 271 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:07,960 Speaker 1: point underdog. Could they actually pull an up set here? 272 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:10,600 Speaker 1: It's one thing to cover, it's another thing to pull 273 00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:12,920 Speaker 1: the outright upset. And the reason I have such a 274 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 1: hard time believing it is because there's a chance this 275 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:18,280 Speaker 1: Auburn teams in free fall mode. I don't know, but 276 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:20,320 Speaker 1: it's a term we use around here because we don't 277 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:24,800 Speaker 1: like using really advanced statistical terminology, mainly because we don't 278 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:28,640 Speaker 1: understand it. But the freefall mode is when the bottom 279 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,000 Speaker 1: has totally fallen out for a team. At that point, 280 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 1: no set of statistical data and analysis matters because that 281 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 1: team is no longer that team, so there is no 282 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 1: bottom of their barrel. Conversely, sometimes a team can be 283 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:44,360 Speaker 1: an ascension mode and there's no ceiling on how good 284 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 1: they can be. And we like to shy away from 285 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:47,839 Speaker 1: both of those types of teams because it's very hard 286 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:50,760 Speaker 1: to get an accurate gauge on them from a predictability 287 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:54,319 Speaker 1: and modeling standpoint. Well, in this game, Auburn could be 288 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:56,079 Speaker 1: on the short end of that stick. Auburn could be 289 00:13:56,320 --> 00:13:59,120 Speaker 1: in free fall mode. If they are old miss could 290 00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 1: win thirty eight to three. But if they're not, and 291 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:03,719 Speaker 1: This is just played heads up. The Old Miss could 292 00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 1: win this thing thirty to twenty. There's a twenty seven 293 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:09,440 Speaker 1: to sixteen final somewhere in the cars. There are a 294 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: lot of different combinations of scores here. This sees ole 295 00:14:12,520 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 1: Miss win, maybe even comfortably because Auburn has a tough 296 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:18,400 Speaker 1: time scoring, but Auburn's still covering. The model for the 297 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 1: record has Ole Miss winning by eleven, but that's the 298 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 1: model telling you it expects Auburn to be Auburn without 299 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:26,960 Speaker 1: the whole risk of free fall mode. I'm gonna put 300 00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 1: the upset alert at a three and a half because 301 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 1: even if this is tight, I mean the opportunity or 302 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:36,640 Speaker 1: opportunities for ole Miss to just put one on the 303 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 1: board late and Auburn inability to run away from anyone 304 00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:43,600 Speaker 1: even if they grab a lead, it just doesn't make 305 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 1: sense for me to really expect an upset alert here. 306 00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 1: Now it is a noon Eastern time kickoff eleven am local. 307 00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 1: There there's not nearly as much hype behind this one 308 00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 1: as the Kentucky game. So I don't think crowd is 309 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 1: going to be what wins this for Old Miss. I 310 00:14:57,960 --> 00:15:00,160 Speaker 1: don't think Ole Miss needs crowd to win it. Here's 311 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 1: the other thing I'm talking about. There's a story I'll 312 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 1: be able to tell you probably after this season, if 313 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:11,520 Speaker 1: you'll remind me about the old Miss Kentucky game. I 314 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 1: got to save that for a cold day, not necessarily 315 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 1: a rainy day, but a cold day in January February. 316 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 1: In the meantime, there's some thinking out there that Lane 317 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:25,520 Speaker 1: Kiffin may be looking around. It doesn't help when he 318 00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:28,320 Speaker 1: tweets out pictures on his own Twitter account of him 319 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:32,080 Speaker 1: standing in a hallway minutes before he gave his farewell 320 00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:33,600 Speaker 1: press conference at Tennessee. 321 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 2: It doesn't help. 322 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:38,080 Speaker 1: I'm just saying, and so you know, since he put 323 00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 1: that kind of stuff out there, I'll tell you I 324 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:41,960 Speaker 1: think Lane Kiffin would take the. 325 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:44,120 Speaker 2: Auburn job tomorrow if he could get the Auburn job. 326 00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 1: I don't know if he's ever going to be offered 327 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 1: the Auburn job, but I'll tell you what greatly helps 328 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 1: when you get Auburn to come in your backyard and 329 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 1: you get the opportunity to embarrass him, and you know 330 00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 1: the other guy's probably on his way out. If you 331 00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:59,240 Speaker 1: get that opportunity and you are so inclined, if you're 332 00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 1: looking for any kind of situational, motivational edges and dynamics. 333 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 1: There's one for you. Let's move on Mississippi State at Kentucky. 334 00:16:08,400 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 1: Kentucky loses one game and all of a sudden boo, 335 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 1: they're off everyone's radar. 336 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:15,280 Speaker 2: Well not necessarily, because Will Levis is back this. 337 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 1: Week, and that line, in turn has come down from 338 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 1: Mississippi State favored by seven. 339 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:21,640 Speaker 2: You heard that right. 340 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 1: The Bulldogs were favored by seven in Lexington all the 341 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:28,480 Speaker 1: way down to four, and that's about how Vegas values 342 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:33,520 Speaker 1: Will Levis. The model loves this number. Our model has 343 00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 1: this dead on the money. It has Mississippi State winning 344 00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 1: by four. So obviously I don't have a lean on 345 00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 1: the point spread here, but I'm gonna put the upset 346 00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 1: alert at an eight because this is already supposed to 347 00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:43,680 Speaker 1: be a close game, so it wouldn't even really be 348 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:44,640 Speaker 1: that big an upset. 349 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:46,280 Speaker 2: But it's that. 350 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 1: Classic sort of meeting in the middle of one team 351 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 1: being due up and another team being due down. I mean, 352 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 1: Mississippi State is off back to back wins over A 353 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 1: and M and Arkansas. You had the backup quarterback situations there, 354 00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,640 Speaker 1: and they were at home for both of those games. 355 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:05,639 Speaker 1: Does anyone in the crowd out there. Remember the last 356 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 1: time we saw the Bulldogs go on the road, because 357 00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 1: I do, and they were at LSU and they woefully 358 00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:16,879 Speaker 1: underachieved relative to reasonable expectation, including mine. They lost thirty 359 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 1: one to sixteen. Not a great LSU team. They lost well. 360 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 1: Now first time since then we see them go back 361 00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:27,320 Speaker 1: out on the road and they're favored. They're favored in Lexington. Conversely, 362 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:31,600 Speaker 1: Kentucky's off back to back losses, really desperate times now 363 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:34,200 Speaker 1: for Mark Stoops and the Cats. They get their quarterback back, 364 00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:37,119 Speaker 1: they're at home, back against the wall. You got a 365 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 1: team due down off of two good wins at home, 366 00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:42,359 Speaker 1: but they're in an environment now on the road, and 367 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:44,359 Speaker 1: the last time we saw him there they lost to LSU. 368 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:46,440 Speaker 1: It sounds like I'm trying to taught myself into taking Kentucky, 369 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:48,199 Speaker 1: and I'm really close to doing it. But the model 370 00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:53,040 Speaker 1: is built to override my gut. So gut says Kentucky. 371 00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 1: But then again, I say, Mississippi State's the most underrated 372 00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:59,640 Speaker 1: team in the country, and the model says, walk away, friend, 373 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:01,359 Speaker 1: walk home, way, leave it alone. I'm just saying this 374 00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:04,840 Speaker 1: is an eight on the Upset Alert meter because the 375 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:07,040 Speaker 1: spread is four, so why wouldn't it be an eight. 376 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors is our exclusive partner. You're watching 377 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:17,400 Speaker 1: this show right now, maybe you're listening to this show 378 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:20,760 Speaker 1: right now, whatever you're doing, unless you have been scammed, 379 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:25,399 Speaker 1: you're watching or listening for free. 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The good news 393 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,400 Speaker 1: is there were a lot of products there, everything from 394 00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 1: the fold out chairs to the seasoning on the stakes. 395 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:05,119 Speaker 2: Et cetera. 396 00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:08,440 Speaker 1: The very grill that we cook that meat on could 397 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:10,480 Speaker 1: have very well been purchased at Academy I have it 398 00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:13,120 Speaker 1: on good authority that some of it was purchased at Academy, 399 00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 1: because I, being the good person I am, may have 400 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:19,920 Speaker 1: slipped an Academy gift card or two to somebody who 401 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:23,240 Speaker 1: was at that house. 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I talk directly to these folks. 410 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 1: They're huge fans of the show, They're huge fans of 411 00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:48,480 Speaker 1: college football. 412 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:50,959 Speaker 2: They are what Memehile would call real ones. 413 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 1: And so if you want to support the show, and 414 00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:54,760 Speaker 1: you want to support real ones, and you want to 415 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:57,480 Speaker 1: get some good stuff in your life, don't care if 416 00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,560 Speaker 1: it's a grill or a baseball bat, Academy Sports and 417 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:03,600 Speaker 1: Outdoors or Academy dot Com. Speaking of LSU, I mentioned 418 00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:06,160 Speaker 1: LSU a couple of minutes ago before we dive into 419 00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:09,159 Speaker 1: the mail bag, one of you asked me today, Hey, 420 00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:12,359 Speaker 1: where's the LSU Florida preview? So I'm not going to 421 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,560 Speaker 1: do a full ten minute preview on this, but I 422 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:16,040 Speaker 1: did want to touch on it cause these are two 423 00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 1: of our biggest viewer bases, so LSU is at Florida. 424 00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:22,000 Speaker 1: I look forward to the day, by the way, and 425 00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 1: I think it's coming when this game gets its luster back, 426 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 1: gets the national spotlight rightly shown on it again. This 427 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:32,840 Speaker 1: is a seven o'clock game, it's ESPN. And by the way, 428 00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 1: how about you Florida season ticket holders, this is what 429 00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:39,440 Speaker 1: you had the Utah game, primetime game? You had? 430 00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:41,680 Speaker 2: Who else went down their Kentucky primetime game. 431 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:45,359 Speaker 1: This is their third pretty high profile primetime game already, 432 00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:48,840 Speaker 1: and some folks don't get that all year, So hats off. 433 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:50,120 Speaker 1: I don't know what you guys are doing, but you're 434 00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:52,919 Speaker 1: doing it right. I'm hopeful that one day you know, 435 00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:55,200 Speaker 1: this is right back in the national spotlight. This is 436 00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 1: a critical game. I know it doesn't have playoff ramifications 437 00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 1: on it, but if the casuals can plug their ears 438 00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:04,760 Speaker 1: for a second, the remainder around here, I think we 439 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:07,320 Speaker 1: get that there's a big difference in heading into the 440 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:10,440 Speaker 1: back half of October five and two versus four and three. 441 00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 2: Both of these teams are four and two right now. 442 00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:17,240 Speaker 1: LSU For those keeping track, LSU seeking the first four 443 00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:21,280 Speaker 1: game win streak versus Florida since nineteen seventy seven through 444 00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:24,679 Speaker 1: nineteen eighty and who can forget that stretch for the 445 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:26,960 Speaker 1: BYU Bengals. I have no clue what to do with 446 00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 1: this Tennessee game. Last week LSU got drug at home 447 00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:33,639 Speaker 1: by Tennessee famously, and I don't really know what to 448 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:36,360 Speaker 1: do with it. Certainly, we want to use all the 449 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:39,120 Speaker 1: information available at our fingertips to make the most accurate 450 00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:42,679 Speaker 1: prediction possible, right Christopher Walken said, and wedding crashers, we 451 00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:44,439 Speaker 1: have no way of knowing what the future holds. We 452 00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:46,639 Speaker 1: just have to do the best we can with the 453 00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:51,640 Speaker 1: information at hand. Paraphrasing Christopher Walken. How do I process 454 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:55,600 Speaker 1: that Tennessee game? I saw the muffed kickoff, and then 455 00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:58,080 Speaker 1: I saw the big kick return a punt return and 456 00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 1: set up Tennessee and plus territory, and Tennessee is boom, 457 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,560 Speaker 1: grabs a two score lead right out of the gate, 458 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 1: and It's not like I didn't see that. It's not 459 00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,040 Speaker 1: like it doesn't count. But if I'm trying to look 460 00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:12,560 Speaker 1: ahead and ask myself how that stuff translates to this game, 461 00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:14,879 Speaker 1: I don't know that it matters. I just think that 462 00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:18,640 Speaker 1: was a very poor showing by LSU. LSU is still 463 00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,159 Speaker 1: capable of plenty more than that, and it is what 464 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:24,159 Speaker 1: it is. Maybe Tennessee's just a really good team, but 465 00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 1: it was such a unique set of circumstances. I tend 466 00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:30,040 Speaker 1: to kind of remove it, bake the numbers in, but 467 00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:32,119 Speaker 1: otherwise just kind of remove it. 468 00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:33,480 Speaker 2: The scheduling dynamic. 469 00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:36,040 Speaker 1: You know, Tennessee was off, LSU was coming off a 470 00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:36,520 Speaker 1: road game. 471 00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:38,520 Speaker 2: You know all that. You saw the game like I did. 472 00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:42,479 Speaker 1: So what I do care about here is LSU's been 473 00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:44,040 Speaker 1: decent on third down. 474 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,679 Speaker 2: They've been decent. They are thirty eighth in the country. 475 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:51,400 Speaker 1: Can they prey on the statistic and the fact that 476 00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:53,840 Speaker 1: Florida's defense on third down is the. 477 00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:55,359 Speaker 2: Worst in the SEC? 478 00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,080 Speaker 1: See last week what we were asking about LSU is 479 00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:02,560 Speaker 1: Tennessee secondary nothing to ride home about. Can Jade and 480 00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:05,439 Speaker 1: Daniels in the passing game take advantage and early on 481 00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:09,000 Speaker 1: they didn't The passing statistics ended up looking impressive, but 482 00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:12,320 Speaker 1: it was irrelevant because Tennessee had already pulled away. Well, 483 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,359 Speaker 1: can you avoid the other guy having a fast start 484 00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:14,920 Speaker 1: this week, and. 485 00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:17,160 Speaker 2: Can you convert on third down? 486 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,359 Speaker 1: Can we get an eight or nine of fourteen or 487 00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:22,199 Speaker 1: fifteen type of game? That'd be good enough maybe to 488 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:24,719 Speaker 1: win if some other things fall your way. But on 489 00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:27,639 Speaker 1: the other side, I think the Florida ground game is 490 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:31,360 Speaker 1: the most important factor here. Tennessee didn't win last week 491 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:33,320 Speaker 1: because they threw the ball all over LSU. They won 492 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:36,439 Speaker 1: because they ran the ball all over LSU. Now you 493 00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:38,320 Speaker 1: may be right if you say, well, we'll have an 494 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:41,879 Speaker 1: easier time defending Florida's ground game because we don't have 495 00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:45,520 Speaker 1: to respect Richardson's arm quite like we do against Hennon Hooker. 496 00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:50,840 Speaker 1: That sounds all well and good, but Anthony Richardson can 497 00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:55,040 Speaker 1: stretch the field with his arm. Now you can roll 498 00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:57,840 Speaker 1: the dice that there won't be accuracy behind those throws. 499 00:23:57,840 --> 00:23:59,119 Speaker 2: And you know what else he can do. We just 500 00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:00,200 Speaker 2: showed it on b roll. 501 00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:02,840 Speaker 1: He can improvise, he can make throws on the run, 502 00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:06,120 Speaker 1: he can scramble, and when everything else is broken down, 503 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:08,480 Speaker 1: make some of the biggest plays that he makes all afternoon. 504 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:11,160 Speaker 1: He did that against Tennessee, by the way, So if 505 00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 1: you want to sell yourself that you don't have to 506 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:16,480 Speaker 1: respect his arm. Just because the completion percentage is in 507 00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:20,320 Speaker 1: the mid fifties. You be my guest there, that's how 508 00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:22,680 Speaker 1: you lose football game. So I think Florida could have 509 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:25,159 Speaker 1: a fair amount of success on the ground because of that. 510 00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:26,680 Speaker 2: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. 511 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:31,080 Speaker 1: The Vegas number right now is Florida minus two and 512 00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 1: a half. Our number is a little bit north of there. 513 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,399 Speaker 1: It's Florida minus three and a half, the cause of 514 00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,440 Speaker 1: the reasons I just mentioned, and because I do think 515 00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:42,240 Speaker 1: that that ground game is a tick better than whatever. 516 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 1: The biggest advantage LSU has in this game is I'm 517 00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:48,760 Speaker 1: gonna take Florida to win and finally snap that streak 518 00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:50,720 Speaker 1: before it gets out of hand and matches something in 519 00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:53,879 Speaker 1: the late seventies. So LSU away from home, not a 520 00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:56,160 Speaker 1: fan here, I'm gonna take Florida to win. I'm gonna 521 00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:58,240 Speaker 1: take Florida to cover. There is not a strong lean. 522 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,280 Speaker 1: The model doesn't have a strong lean on this, as 523 00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:04,800 Speaker 1: you saw. I just think it's two fairly good teams 524 00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:08,280 Speaker 1: playing each other with hopes that one or two years 525 00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:09,960 Speaker 1: from now, this game means a lot more on the 526 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:14,080 Speaker 1: national scene. All right, let's move on, Let's open up 527 00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:18,399 Speaker 1: the mail bag. Let me take a sip from the chalice. 528 00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:22,159 Speaker 1: Very delicious. There was a conspiracy before we get in 529 00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:25,119 Speaker 1: the mail bag. I'm not playing around when I tell 530 00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:28,040 Speaker 1: you this. You know, I got the chalice of supremacy here, 531 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,119 Speaker 1: and I have a you know whatever. The drink of 532 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 1: choice is every evening on the show, and it's been 533 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,399 Speaker 1: orange the past. What would you say, Colin about the 534 00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 1: past week and a half. So because we picked Tennessee 535 00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:44,840 Speaker 1: to win the game, because we broadcast from Nashville, Tennessee, 536 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:47,840 Speaker 1: and because the mysterious liquid in the chalice has been 537 00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:52,840 Speaker 1: orange this week, we were accused of being Tennessee homers, 538 00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:57,480 Speaker 1: and I was accused of sort of red flagging you. 539 00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:59,240 Speaker 1: You know, this is supposed to be something like a 540 00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:01,840 Speaker 1: Where's Waldo where I wasn't gonna mention it, but the 541 00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:03,800 Speaker 1: viewer was just supposed to pick up on it. This 542 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:04,639 Speaker 1: is news to me. 543 00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:08,200 Speaker 2: I had no clue that stuff's orange, like I told. 544 00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:10,520 Speaker 1: You, because that's the last color that public's had when 545 00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:12,600 Speaker 1: I picked up the Meo Energy shots earlier this week. 546 00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 1: They don't sponsor us yet, so I'm not gonna mention 547 00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:18,320 Speaker 1: their name again. But yeah, there's no hidden agenda, at 548 00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 1: least not that I know of. Now. Whatever Jesse and 549 00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:22,800 Speaker 1: Colin and the production team do behind the scenes, that's 550 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:25,399 Speaker 1: their business. But that stuff's orange because it had to 551 00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:27,840 Speaker 1: be orange. Having said that, we're still taking Tennessee to 552 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:29,880 Speaker 1: win and looking forward to Knoxville this week. Okay, let's 553 00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:33,000 Speaker 1: dive into the mailbag. Some very interesting questions here. We 554 00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 1: have not done a mailbag in about a week and 555 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:37,480 Speaker 1: a half, so you guys were a little bit backlogged. 556 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:39,440 Speaker 2: First up from Doc. 557 00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:43,840 Speaker 1: Texas, which four current programs are your personal dreams scenario 558 00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:47,640 Speaker 1: or scenario for the college football playoff this season? Doc? 559 00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:50,359 Speaker 1: Normally I don't believe in playoff talk before Halloween or 560 00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:52,440 Speaker 1: Thanksgiving if I can have my way, but you asked 561 00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:56,600 Speaker 1: about it, and remember he said this year dream scenario 562 00:26:56,720 --> 00:27:00,800 Speaker 1: for this year, paper pop, because it's very serious stuff. 563 00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:05,600 Speaker 1: I want Alabama in there number one to balance the 564 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 1: accusations of homerism this week. So here's some Alabama homerism 565 00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:09,119 Speaker 1: for you. 566 00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:10,840 Speaker 2: Roll Tiede. We want Bama in there. 567 00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:14,679 Speaker 1: I don't want the playoff without Alabama because when we 568 00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:19,399 Speaker 1: get those, albeit rarely, people always ask the entire spring 569 00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,480 Speaker 1: and summer, hmm, would that team have won the title 570 00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:24,720 Speaker 1: if Bama had been in there. I'm not interested in 571 00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:26,879 Speaker 1: that conversation, as dumb as it is, and so I 572 00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:29,240 Speaker 1: want Bama in there. So if you're gonna win a title, 573 00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:31,440 Speaker 1: I want you to go through a playoff that has 574 00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:35,080 Speaker 1: Bama in it. Also, I have immense amounts of respect 575 00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,480 Speaker 1: for the program I love when they're there because I 576 00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:40,080 Speaker 1: like seeing the biggest programs and the most talented programs there. 577 00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:45,280 Speaker 1: Yes that does mean that I love the big time brands. 578 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:47,919 Speaker 1: Yes I do, But I'm about to counter that in 579 00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:50,840 Speaker 1: just a second. So Nick Saban's the best of all time. 580 00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:54,080 Speaker 1: I like to see him and Alabama in the playoffs 581 00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:57,119 Speaker 1: as often as possible. If that's homerism, it's homerism that 582 00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:58,800 Speaker 1: somehow we're Tennessee and Bama homers. 583 00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:04,119 Speaker 2: This week one is USC I'm not sure. 584 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,159 Speaker 1: Maybe you do have a grasp on this, but I 585 00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 1: don't know if you do. I don't know even people 586 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:12,639 Speaker 1: who have been around. I don't care if you're thirty 587 00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:15,520 Speaker 1: or fifty or seventy. It's been a while since USC's 588 00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:18,879 Speaker 1: been in that conversation, and so I'm not quite sure 589 00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:21,639 Speaker 1: the world is ready for what it's going to be like. 590 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:24,360 Speaker 1: If and when USC finally gets back in the playoff. 591 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 1: I'd just love to see it happen this season because 592 00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:30,600 Speaker 1: I think it would be the height of entertainment. And 593 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,760 Speaker 1: think about the other team I just mentioned, Bama and USC. 594 00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 1: I don't care if they face off in Round one 595 00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:39,640 Speaker 1: or the national title or whatever. Those are the two 596 00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:43,200 Speaker 1: Yankee esque programs in college football. 597 00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:44,800 Speaker 2: Those are two and US. 598 00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:48,720 Speaker 1: He's not back here yet, but please believe me, children, 599 00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:52,000 Speaker 1: In the mid two thousands, when USC was rolling and 600 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:54,080 Speaker 1: they were really on top of the sport, you could 601 00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,440 Speaker 1: not have found even the most casual of sports fans 602 00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,120 Speaker 1: in America if they knew anything about college football. You 603 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 1: could not have found a single fan who said USC eh, 604 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:08,000 Speaker 1: no opinion. People either loved him or they hated them. 605 00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,080 Speaker 1: I can assure you people had an opinion on USC, 606 00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:13,720 Speaker 1: just like people have an opinion on Bama. No one's 607 00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,520 Speaker 1: indifferent on Bama. They either love them or they hate them. 608 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,800 Speaker 1: That is great, it's great theater, it's great drama for 609 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,560 Speaker 1: a playoff, and remember, in the playoff, you're trying to 610 00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:24,960 Speaker 1: bring those agnostic fans to the table, or at least that's. 611 00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:25,400 Speaker 2: What I'm told. 612 00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:27,959 Speaker 1: I don't particularly care about this stuff, but I do 613 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:31,600 Speaker 1: know it's a business and we need eyeballs. So if 614 00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:34,640 Speaker 1: you had those precious storylines, I think that would make 615 00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:37,480 Speaker 1: for a really good playoff dynamic or two now the 616 00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:39,960 Speaker 1: third one I won and there's Penn State. Think you 617 00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:42,800 Speaker 1: would put a smile on Producer Jesse's face, and he 618 00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:44,800 Speaker 1: may have had one earlier on the show, but we 619 00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 1: can't show you his face. 620 00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:47,480 Speaker 2: Colin, do you have that graphic again? I know it 621 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:48,600 Speaker 2: takes a second to pull it up. 622 00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:50,920 Speaker 1: You know, Producer Jesse was already featured on the show 623 00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 1: tonight because he was at management's house last night along 624 00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:55,960 Speaker 1: with me and director Colin. Director Colin had the good 625 00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:58,280 Speaker 1: sense to stay away from cameras, as he always has. 626 00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 1: Jesse is lazily over there table playing Uno or Domino's 627 00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:04,560 Speaker 1: I don't know, so we had to block his face out. Well, 628 00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:07,120 Speaker 1: I would love to see the block removed from Jesse's 629 00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,080 Speaker 1: face off camera, and I would love to see a 630 00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:10,160 Speaker 1: big smile on his face. 631 00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:11,760 Speaker 2: Because if I put Penn State in. 632 00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:13,920 Speaker 1: The playoff, it would be ear to ear even if 633 00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:15,880 Speaker 1: he got nothing for Christmas, ear to ear smile for 634 00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:19,240 Speaker 1: Jesse and I Also I would love to see Penn 635 00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:22,520 Speaker 1: State folks rewarded for their passion. And I would love 636 00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:24,760 Speaker 1: to see James Franklin get a shot at playing for 637 00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:28,200 Speaker 1: a national championship. And I got an itchy nose tonight. 638 00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:30,520 Speaker 1: It has nothing to do with Penn State, and I 639 00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:33,720 Speaker 1: would love to see that fan base get the opportunity 640 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,720 Speaker 1: to travel to a semi final destination like Michigan did 641 00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:39,360 Speaker 1: last year. I was in Miami for the semi final 642 00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 1: game between Michigan and Georgia last year, and there were 643 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:45,480 Speaker 1: Michigan folks all over the place, some of the palest 644 00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 1: Tans on the beach you will ever see in December 645 00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:49,160 Speaker 1: or January. 646 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 2: It's not their fault, it's just where they live. But 647 00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 2: it was great. It was a great experience. 648 00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:56,200 Speaker 1: They got drug in that game, but I guarantee you 649 00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:58,720 Speaker 1: asked those folks about the week leading up to that game, 650 00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:01,080 Speaker 1: it was a great experience for him. I'd love to 651 00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:04,440 Speaker 1: see our friends from the Northeast, from Pennsylvania be able 652 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 1: to experience that. Here's my last one. I want Oklahoma 653 00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:10,800 Speaker 1: State in the playoff. I want the Big Twelve represented. 654 00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:13,520 Speaker 1: And you thought I may go Texas there, and I'd 655 00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:15,440 Speaker 1: be fine with Texas, Believe me, I'd be fine with 656 00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 1: Texas in the playoff. But we're a big Mike Gundy 657 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:23,000 Speaker 1: show here. I'm a big Mike Gundy fan. They're still undefeated. Personally, 658 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna have a tough time with TCU 659 00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:26,760 Speaker 1: this week. I think they'll have a tough time with 660 00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:29,680 Speaker 1: Texas next week. But who cares? Okay, that guy Mike 661 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,320 Speaker 1: Gundy there, He's made a living. He's made a career 662 00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:34,440 Speaker 1: out of pulling up sets when people doubt him. 663 00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:36,360 Speaker 2: So what if they just keep. 664 00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:38,720 Speaker 1: Winning and they make the playoff? They would be a 665 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:41,840 Speaker 1: first time team. They would represent in the Big Twelve, 666 00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:43,560 Speaker 1: I think is the most entertaining conference in America. I 667 00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:44,960 Speaker 1: would get to listen to a couple of weeks of 668 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:49,240 Speaker 1: Mike Gundy on a more national stage, a more national microphone. 669 00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 1: Mike Gundy has sung from the same hymnal as we 670 00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:54,560 Speaker 1: have on a lot of college football issues as of late, 671 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,480 Speaker 1: and so I would just love we'd probably be able 672 00:31:57,480 --> 00:31:59,120 Speaker 1: to get him on the show, and we'd have some 673 00:31:59,200 --> 00:32:02,600 Speaker 1: time to do it. You know my dream, as I 674 00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:04,360 Speaker 1: told you, I just want to host an hour long 675 00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:06,680 Speaker 1: show with Mike Gundy. We make it the opportunity if 676 00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 1: he made the playoff. Now, I said Bama, I said USC, 677 00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:12,080 Speaker 1: I said Penn State, and I said Oklahoma State. Notice 678 00:32:12,080 --> 00:32:15,479 Speaker 1: what we did there. We've got three first time teams. 679 00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:17,880 Speaker 1: So three teams there punched their playoff ticket for the 680 00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:22,680 Speaker 1: first time. That guarantees at least one team in the 681 00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:26,000 Speaker 1: national Championship that's never been to the playoff before. 682 00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:27,760 Speaker 2: I think that would be entertaining. 683 00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:30,640 Speaker 1: I'm sure everyone in the comments will agree with every 684 00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:31,760 Speaker 1: team I just predicted there. 685 00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:33,480 Speaker 2: We're not predicted. It's not a prediction. 686 00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:38,840 Speaker 1: Roanoke, Alabama tuned in tonight, Tallahassee, Florida, and Saint Paul, Minnesota. Okay, 687 00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,880 Speaker 1: now we get to the really really juicy Texas question. 688 00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:45,200 Speaker 2: Just follow along, please. 689 00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:50,600 Speaker 1: Texas Junkie asks, if Texas runs the table and wins 690 00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:56,720 Speaker 1: the Big Twelve Championship, do they make the College Football Playoff? 691 00:32:57,400 --> 00:32:59,360 Speaker 1: Look at the faces out there. I haven't even begun 692 00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:02,160 Speaker 1: to give my an. People are screaming already. So let 693 00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:04,520 Speaker 1: me read it. One more time they run the table. Okay, 694 00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:07,040 Speaker 1: so Texas is a two loss team, they win the 695 00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 1: Big Twelve Championship, do they make the playoff? 696 00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:13,640 Speaker 2: Let me first state the obvious. 697 00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:18,080 Speaker 1: With two losses, there is nothing Texas could do from 698 00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:21,360 Speaker 1: this point forward that puts their playoff fate in their 699 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:22,080 Speaker 1: own hands. 700 00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:24,520 Speaker 2: That doesn't mean they can't make. 701 00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:28,200 Speaker 1: The playoff, but if they do, several things have to 702 00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:31,320 Speaker 1: fall their way. Okay, and that's with them going undefeated 703 00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:34,080 Speaker 1: and win the Big Twelve Championship. No two loss team 704 00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:36,640 Speaker 1: has ever made it, Jesse was telling me earlier today. 705 00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:40,080 Speaker 1: We've had several two loss conference champs. Even so, we've 706 00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:43,760 Speaker 1: had some one loss teams that didn't make it much 707 00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:46,320 Speaker 1: less all the two loss teams. So for Texas to 708 00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:48,960 Speaker 1: do this, that have to be the first to ever 709 00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,560 Speaker 1: be able to pull this off. Now, if someone's gonna 710 00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:53,480 Speaker 1: pull it off, candidly, it would be a team in 711 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:54,200 Speaker 1: this situation. 712 00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:56,320 Speaker 2: Because here's what I think I could see. 713 00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:59,120 Speaker 1: I'm not predicting this, not a prediction, but I could 714 00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:03,040 Speaker 1: see if Texas were to end up running this schedule. 715 00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:04,960 Speaker 1: And I'll tell you what Colin, I told you to wait, 716 00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:07,600 Speaker 1: but go ahead and throw Texas's schedule up. So to 717 00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:10,080 Speaker 1: give you an idea of what they have left, they 718 00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:13,279 Speaker 1: got Iowa State this week. Okay, they got a lineup 719 00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:16,520 Speaker 1: of ranked teams coming up. In fact, after this week, 720 00:34:16,640 --> 00:34:20,480 Speaker 1: every remaining team I have power rated top twenty five. 721 00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:22,560 Speaker 1: The AP's got four of them in the top twenty. 722 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:27,960 Speaker 1: So they go at Oklahoma State, at Kansas State, TCU 723 00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:31,080 Speaker 1: at Kansas, and Baylor. So if they were to beat 724 00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:35,120 Speaker 1: all those teams, they've got an ultra impressive resume. They've 725 00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:38,520 Speaker 1: got two early losses. One of them is Tobama by 726 00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:41,839 Speaker 1: one point without Quinn Eewers most of the game. They 727 00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:44,319 Speaker 1: lost at Texas Tech without Quinn Eewers. So here's what 728 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:46,200 Speaker 1: that would sound like. Follow me here. I don't care 729 00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,319 Speaker 1: if you hate Texas. Follow me here. Let's say the 730 00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:53,759 Speaker 1: two things happen. The first is chaos, nationwide chaos, and 731 00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:57,960 Speaker 1: so we don't have that nice neat pack of undefeated 732 00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:00,680 Speaker 1: conference champs, because if that happens, this a moot point. 733 00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:04,440 Speaker 1: But if we get some chaos and we just got 734 00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:08,560 Speaker 1: maybe one or two locks and then there's just madness 735 00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:13,600 Speaker 1: behind them. Imagine someone on Selection Sunday saying Texas is 736 00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:15,120 Speaker 1: the hottest team in the country right now. 737 00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:17,000 Speaker 2: They do have two losses. 738 00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:19,640 Speaker 1: One of them is too presumably an Alabama team, maybe 739 00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:23,120 Speaker 1: that's in the playoff by one point. They were without 740 00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:26,839 Speaker 1: their backup, or they were without their quarterback. So what 741 00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:30,360 Speaker 1: we're asking ourselves is how much do we measure the 742 00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:33,960 Speaker 1: two losses versus the clear team that Texas is now 743 00:35:34,480 --> 00:35:37,320 Speaker 1: being a different product than they were without their quarterback. 744 00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:40,040 Speaker 1: Oh and by the way, in this scenario, there are 745 00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:42,319 Speaker 1: no clear threes and fours, or maybe there's not a 746 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:45,799 Speaker 1: clear four, and Texas has won a conference championship in 747 00:35:45,840 --> 00:35:48,440 Speaker 1: this scenario, Yes, it's possible. 748 00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:50,360 Speaker 2: It's an outside shot. 749 00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:52,840 Speaker 1: And as I said, other stuff has to happen. It 750 00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:54,920 Speaker 1: doesn't matter if they win every game by fifty. Other 751 00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:57,400 Speaker 1: stuff has to happen for them. But if all that 752 00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:00,239 Speaker 1: other stuff starts to happen, that's not out of the 753 00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:02,760 Speaker 1: realm of possibility. But you know what has to take place, 754 00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:04,840 Speaker 1: and it was baked into the question. 755 00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:07,440 Speaker 2: But what has to take place is just that they. 756 00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:09,640 Speaker 1: Have to win the remainder of their games, and that 757 00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,680 Speaker 1: is a tough stretch. Colin, show me that schedule one 758 00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:15,799 Speaker 1: more time. I know that everyone looks at these games 759 00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:18,480 Speaker 1: and in any individual game, Texas will be favored. I 760 00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:20,439 Speaker 1: think they may be favored the rest of the way, 761 00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:22,640 Speaker 1: but my goodness, I mean, they've. 762 00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:24,960 Speaker 2: Got to play at Oklahoma State next week. 763 00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:25,080 Speaker 3: Now. 764 00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:27,560 Speaker 1: I think it's going to freak some people out that 765 00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:31,120 Speaker 1: Texas with two losses is going to be favored in Stillwater. 766 00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:34,359 Speaker 1: Even if Oklahoma State's undefeated, you are what your record 767 00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:35,760 Speaker 1: says you are. A crowd is going to be freaked 768 00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 1: out by that. They go to Kansas State. They do 769 00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:40,719 Speaker 1: have a buy though between Oklahoma State and Kansas State. 770 00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:44,720 Speaker 1: But TCU playing red hot football right now at Kansas Baylor, 771 00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:48,640 Speaker 1: and I'm just that's a tough stretch, even if they're 772 00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:51,200 Speaker 1: playing it at maximum efficiency. That's a tough stretch. But 773 00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:54,320 Speaker 1: if they get through that, they'll have an ultra impressive resume. 774 00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:57,160 Speaker 1: They'll be red hot. Those losses will be in the past. 775 00:36:57,360 --> 00:36:59,759 Speaker 1: If I were a Texas representative, I would say, hey, 776 00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:02,920 Speaker 1: maybe we shouldn't have scheduled Bama. Maybe we should have 777 00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:05,880 Speaker 1: scheduled another SCS opponent if you just care about our record. 778 00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:09,160 Speaker 1: To me personally, I think a one loss or a 779 00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:10,799 Speaker 1: one point loss against one of the best teams in 780 00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:12,359 Speaker 1: the country is actually a feather in. 781 00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:13,680 Speaker 2: Our cap with our backup quarterback. 782 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,120 Speaker 1: But hey, if we are what our record says we 783 00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:17,880 Speaker 1: are whatever, I'd make that argument. 784 00:37:18,160 --> 00:37:20,719 Speaker 2: I would turn their logic against them. All right. 785 00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:23,680 Speaker 1: If that didn't get you fired up, I bet this 786 00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:26,680 Speaker 1: one will mind you. I did not create these questions. 787 00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:28,320 Speaker 1: What did I just put in the live chat? I 788 00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:29,520 Speaker 1: put the link in the live chat. 789 00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:29,879 Speaker 2: My bad. 790 00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:32,640 Speaker 1: What I was gonna do it was hopping the live 791 00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:35,399 Speaker 1: chat and ask you to like the video because four 792 00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:37,080 Speaker 1: hundred and thirteen of you have. But I think we 793 00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:39,960 Speaker 1: can do way better. So please like the video and subscribe. 794 00:37:40,800 --> 00:37:44,240 Speaker 1: Second paper pop of the evening. This one is sure 795 00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:48,759 Speaker 1: to raise eyebrows ecstatic. Vall asked what happens if you 796 00:37:48,800 --> 00:37:50,720 Speaker 1: know what? I'll give you the scenario in a second. Okay, 797 00:37:51,080 --> 00:37:54,680 Speaker 1: here's the question. Is there a chance three SEC teams 798 00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:59,760 Speaker 1: make the playoff? That's the question. My answer is Okay, 799 00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:03,799 Speaker 1: technically yes, there's a chance. I do not think there 800 00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:08,279 Speaker 1: is any path that they capital t ever allow this 801 00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:13,479 Speaker 1: to happen. Now, before we talk specifics, I just want 802 00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:17,319 Speaker 1: to ask you guys, everyone listening, everyone watching, do you 803 00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:21,120 Speaker 1: have a fixed opinion on this? I have found that 804 00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:24,360 Speaker 1: most everyone already does. And you're either in the camp 805 00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:28,200 Speaker 1: candidly like I am, which says they are never letting 806 00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:30,280 Speaker 1: three teams from the same conference in a fourteen playoff, 807 00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:33,520 Speaker 1: or you're in the other fixed camp they're looking for 808 00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:36,360 Speaker 1: every possible reason to let three SEC teams in that 809 00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:40,239 Speaker 1: four team playoff. I can promise you the latter is 810 00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:43,520 Speaker 1: not true. I can't promise you the former's true. I'm 811 00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:45,960 Speaker 1: just telling you I believe in the former. I believe 812 00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:49,640 Speaker 1: that that committee would find a way even if those 813 00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:52,240 Speaker 1: three SEC teams were deserving, they would find a way 814 00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:53,600 Speaker 1: to push someone else in there. 815 00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:55,840 Speaker 2: Now you know my approach. 816 00:38:56,719 --> 00:39:00,920 Speaker 1: My approach is I don't care about conference affiliation past 817 00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:04,279 Speaker 1: Conference Championship Saturday. Once we get to the end of 818 00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:07,919 Speaker 1: the season and the end of conference Championship Saturday, your 819 00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:11,399 Speaker 1: conference affiliation ceases to matter to me. And if I'm 820 00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:13,920 Speaker 1: filling out a playoff field, this is my own model. 821 00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:17,040 Speaker 1: If I'm filling out the JP playoff field, I'm just 822 00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:20,319 Speaker 1: taking the four most deserving teams based on my criteria, 823 00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:24,759 Speaker 1: and my criteria values a conference championship. It does not 824 00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:29,120 Speaker 1: require a conference championship. By that logic, I could take 825 00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:31,600 Speaker 1: the Chiefs and the Rams. Let's take the Bills. I 826 00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:33,799 Speaker 1: could take the Chiefs and the Bills and drop them 827 00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:36,799 Speaker 1: in the ACC, and before the season starts, you would 828 00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:39,720 Speaker 1: tell me a maximum of one of them is capable 829 00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:41,880 Speaker 1: of making the playoff, because well, they're both in the 830 00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:44,760 Speaker 1: same conference and you have to win a conference championship 831 00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:47,520 Speaker 1: the playoff stupid. Two best teams in the country could 832 00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:51,719 Speaker 1: reside in the same imaginal geographic boundary that we call 833 00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:54,120 Speaker 1: conferences in any given year. So I'm just about putting 834 00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:56,359 Speaker 1: the four best in. Sometimes we do it that way, 835 00:39:56,400 --> 00:40:00,200 Speaker 1: sometimes we don't. But anyway, how does this happen? Now 836 00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:02,560 Speaker 1: we go back to the scenario. If three SEC teams 837 00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:05,120 Speaker 1: were to make it into the playoff, as best I 838 00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:09,640 Speaker 1: can tell and as best the question was asked, Tennessee 839 00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:14,440 Speaker 1: would beat Alabama this weekend. Then Tennessee would go to 840 00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:19,719 Speaker 1: Georgia and lose, and then Bama would beat Georgia in 841 00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:23,080 Speaker 1: the SEC championship game. So all of them have one loss. 842 00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:25,720 Speaker 1: Of course, this requires them not losing any other games. 843 00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:30,640 Speaker 1: So Tennessee beats Bama, Georgia beats Tennessee, Bama beats Georgia, 844 00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:36,160 Speaker 1: so you got Bama one loss. SEC champ they're in, 845 00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:43,160 Speaker 1: no question asked. Tennessee did not play for the SEC 846 00:40:43,239 --> 00:40:49,040 Speaker 1: championship in this scenario, but their only loss is to Georgia, 847 00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:52,760 Speaker 1: who played for the SEC championship. So you could quickly 848 00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:55,719 Speaker 1: see how that resume test, if it's blind, if it 849 00:40:55,719 --> 00:40:58,560 Speaker 1: doesn't care what conference you're in, that resume test would 850 00:40:58,600 --> 00:41:02,040 Speaker 1: really quickly vault all those teams up into consideration. They 851 00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:04,600 Speaker 1: would probably all in the AP be ranked top five 852 00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:06,600 Speaker 1: or top six, I don't know where the committee would 853 00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:06,879 Speaker 1: have them. 854 00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:08,200 Speaker 2: That's what would have to happen. 855 00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:12,400 Speaker 1: Okay, now as that plays out, you would also need 856 00:41:13,080 --> 00:41:15,879 Speaker 1: some bumper car type stuff to happen in the PAC 857 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:19,200 Speaker 1: twelve to where there's no viable candidate, and ditto in 858 00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,360 Speaker 1: the Big twelve, no viable candidate, and probably in the 859 00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:25,040 Speaker 1: ACC no viable candidate, because I mean the Big Ten 860 00:41:25,120 --> 00:41:29,440 Speaker 1: spitting out a playoff team in all likelihood. So I 861 00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:32,520 Speaker 1: would just be fascinated. You know, if Clemson drops a 862 00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:34,719 Speaker 1: game somewhere, they don't willow to go into it right now, 863 00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:36,879 Speaker 1: but if they do drop a game and then they 864 00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:39,960 Speaker 1: end up winning the ACC, I mean, how would their 865 00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:44,399 Speaker 1: resume compare to that Tennessee team or that Georgia team, 866 00:41:45,080 --> 00:41:46,880 Speaker 1: independent of who the committee would put in. 867 00:41:47,280 --> 00:41:48,760 Speaker 2: I just wonder how the resume would compare. 868 00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:52,160 Speaker 1: But here's the other thing that could happen, not out 869 00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:54,760 Speaker 1: of the realm of possibility, for a team like North 870 00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,320 Speaker 1: Carolina to get in the ACC championship game and just 871 00:41:58,120 --> 00:42:01,040 Speaker 1: trip Clemson up and then all the sudden you're looking 872 00:42:01,080 --> 00:42:04,239 Speaker 1: around if you're like me and you've always claimed that 873 00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:06,080 Speaker 1: the committee's never going to put three teams from the 874 00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:09,560 Speaker 1: same conference in, and you're saying, uh, well, I never 875 00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:12,160 Speaker 1: banked on there being a lack of other options. 876 00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:13,880 Speaker 2: I guess they do have to put them in. 877 00:42:14,200 --> 00:42:16,480 Speaker 1: That's the only way that would occur to me, and 878 00:42:16,520 --> 00:42:20,040 Speaker 1: that is way outside the realm of probability. But of 879 00:42:20,040 --> 00:42:22,880 Speaker 1: course it's a non zero possibility, so we have to 880 00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:27,120 Speaker 1: mention it. Next question, These are entertaining if nothing else. 881 00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:30,759 Speaker 2: Again, appreciate you guys being tuned in. Let's talk some 882 00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:31,719 Speaker 2: dark horses here. 883 00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:37,480 Speaker 1: The daffiest duck boy Boi is. 884 00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:39,880 Speaker 2: The spelling on boy Colin. Here's your endpoint. 885 00:42:39,920 --> 00:42:43,520 Speaker 1: What three teams do you think are dark horses to 886 00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:46,040 Speaker 1: make the top ten, maybe make a late push for 887 00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:48,920 Speaker 1: a New Year's six Bowl from Hartsville, Tennessee. 888 00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:50,520 Speaker 2: So I've got three of them. 889 00:42:51,120 --> 00:42:53,879 Speaker 1: Mississippi State, as I've been on the record many times 890 00:42:53,880 --> 00:42:56,480 Speaker 1: saying I think, is the most underrated team in the country. 891 00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:59,160 Speaker 1: Right now, we've got them top ten. Now the ap 892 00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:01,120 Speaker 1: has slowly started come around. I think they got him 893 00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:03,040 Speaker 1: in the team somewhere, but they're still underrating. 894 00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:04,480 Speaker 2: So in Mississippi State. 895 00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:07,080 Speaker 1: Look, even if they drop a game here, they've got 896 00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:10,400 Speaker 1: a stretch coming up where I think they're the better 897 00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:15,520 Speaker 1: team at the moment. Then everyone but Bama left on 898 00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:20,399 Speaker 1: the schedule, I think. So let me take a look. Yes, no, yeah, okay, 899 00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:23,120 Speaker 1: they got Georgia. I forget about that Georgia game. Here's 900 00:43:23,160 --> 00:43:26,279 Speaker 1: the thing about the Georgia game. You see that game 901 00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:29,279 Speaker 1: against Georgia on on what is that November twelve. 902 00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:31,800 Speaker 2: And you think, well, there's a loss. Just be careful 903 00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:32,120 Speaker 2: with that. 904 00:43:32,400 --> 00:43:34,480 Speaker 1: Look, Georgia will be favored in the game, but be 905 00:43:34,560 --> 00:43:36,719 Speaker 1: careful with that because what you don't see on this 906 00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:41,440 Speaker 1: graphic is Georgia plays Florida and Tennessee for two weeks 907 00:43:41,719 --> 00:43:45,640 Speaker 1: before they go to Startville. See there there's the graphical 908 00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:48,880 Speaker 1: proof courtesy of the threat to Colin so Georgia's got Florida 909 00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:52,560 Speaker 1: right before Halloween, then they got Tennessee, then they go 910 00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:54,719 Speaker 1: to Mississippi State. There's no bye week in between there, 911 00:43:54,719 --> 00:43:56,879 Speaker 1: and oh for good measure, they got a second road 912 00:43:56,920 --> 00:44:00,600 Speaker 1: game in a row at Kentucky after that, So Mississippi 913 00:44:00,600 --> 00:44:02,319 Speaker 1: State could that could be the upset of the year 914 00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:04,080 Speaker 1: in the SEC. And of course if they do that, 915 00:44:04,080 --> 00:44:06,480 Speaker 1: they'd be top ten. But even if they dropped the 916 00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:10,480 Speaker 1: Bama in Georgia game, if that's it, say that LSU lost, man, 917 00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:14,360 Speaker 1: that's got to eat at them. Even then, though, I 918 00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:15,799 Speaker 1: think that's a top ten team, or at least they 919 00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,040 Speaker 1: got a chance to be there. The second one is 920 00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:21,719 Speaker 1: Texas and Texas I didn't want to talk about a 921 00:44:21,760 --> 00:44:23,640 Speaker 1: lot earlier because I was going to hit on them here. 922 00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:27,520 Speaker 1: Texas has absolutely got a chance because of the stretch 923 00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:30,040 Speaker 1: they're about to play, and because I think even if 924 00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:34,520 Speaker 1: the committee doesn't end up awarding them a playoff spot, 925 00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:39,439 Speaker 1: certainly an AP voter is going to look and understand, Wow, 926 00:44:39,520 --> 00:44:42,280 Speaker 1: that's kind of a different team with Quinn Yours at quarterback. Huh, 927 00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:45,600 Speaker 1: all right, well let's vault them up to number nine 928 00:44:45,640 --> 00:44:47,440 Speaker 1: or number eight or number seven, you know, that's not 929 00:44:47,520 --> 00:44:50,359 Speaker 1: all that year responsible and they've got, like we said, 930 00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:52,000 Speaker 1: I'm not going to reiterate it a whole lot. They've 931 00:44:52,000 --> 00:44:55,120 Speaker 1: got a really really healthy back half of their schedule. 932 00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:57,160 Speaker 1: But yet I think they can win those games. And 933 00:44:57,239 --> 00:45:00,279 Speaker 1: even if they drop one of those games, you can 934 00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:05,600 Speaker 1: have like dueling compartmentalized Texas profiles. One of them is 935 00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:07,960 Speaker 1: just they are what their record is, and the other 936 00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:10,799 Speaker 1: one is with Quinn viewers, without Quinn viewers, and as 937 00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:13,959 Speaker 1: long as Queen Eewers stays healthy, they drop a game, 938 00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:16,839 Speaker 1: maybe I'd still look at them, and maybe AP voters 939 00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:19,560 Speaker 1: will as the top ten team. The third one is Oregon, 940 00:45:20,160 --> 00:45:23,120 Speaker 1: and Oregon got left for dead for good reason because 941 00:45:23,200 --> 00:45:25,200 Speaker 1: they looked just like that in Week one when they 942 00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:28,720 Speaker 1: lost to Georgia about like half a hundred points, almost 943 00:45:28,760 --> 00:45:31,840 Speaker 1: literally half one hundred and ever since then they've done nothing. 944 00:45:31,840 --> 00:45:35,000 Speaker 1: But when look how consistent that is, forty one points, 945 00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:37,560 Speaker 1: forty four points, forty five points, forty nine points. They 946 00:45:37,640 --> 00:45:40,480 Speaker 1: got UCLA at home next week. Both of those teams 947 00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:44,000 Speaker 1: are on a buy this week, and after that, they've 948 00:45:44,040 --> 00:45:48,360 Speaker 1: got col they got Colorado, Washington and Utah have to 949 00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:51,200 Speaker 1: come to Eugene and then they head up the road 950 00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:54,960 Speaker 1: to Corvallis. I think Oregon's going to finish in the 951 00:45:54,960 --> 00:45:56,960 Speaker 1: top ten. I think it's a really, really good and 952 00:45:57,080 --> 00:46:00,879 Speaker 1: rapidly improving team. And bo Nick's finally found a home. 953 00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:04,239 Speaker 1: Who knew it was on the Pacific coast, but he 954 00:46:04,320 --> 00:46:06,839 Speaker 1: finally found a home. So those are my three dark courses. 955 00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:09,120 Speaker 1: I'd be very interested in reading the comments about what 956 00:46:09,160 --> 00:46:11,040 Speaker 1: you guys think and give me some dark horses. I mean, 957 00:46:11,080 --> 00:46:13,440 Speaker 1: we're talking teams not top ten right now that end 958 00:46:13,520 --> 00:46:17,279 Speaker 1: up finishing top ten. Let's go with I can't believe 959 00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:19,319 Speaker 1: we're gonna do this, but I got talked into it. 960 00:46:21,160 --> 00:46:25,080 Speaker 1: Let's let's go down this road. Jay asked as of 961 00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:28,280 Speaker 1: mid October, who do you think the Power Five Conference 962 00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:32,080 Speaker 1: winners will be? Now, obviously we did our preseason predictions 963 00:46:32,840 --> 00:46:36,400 Speaker 1: and we were going through them today and there really 964 00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:38,600 Speaker 1: aren't many predictions I feel terrible about. 965 00:46:38,600 --> 00:46:40,440 Speaker 2: Granted it's only been six weeks. 966 00:46:40,880 --> 00:46:43,560 Speaker 1: I'm gonna shift on a couple of them that I'm 967 00:46:43,560 --> 00:46:46,200 Speaker 1: going to cling on a couple more so in the SEC. 968 00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:50,040 Speaker 1: Alabama was my preseason prediction. I don't have any reason 969 00:46:50,080 --> 00:46:52,400 Speaker 1: to back off of that. I mean, it's going to 970 00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:56,120 Speaker 1: come down to number one, what happens this weekend, because 971 00:46:56,160 --> 00:46:58,680 Speaker 1: that will determine whether Bama's got margin for error the 972 00:46:58,719 --> 00:47:01,720 Speaker 1: rest of the way. So you got Bama Tennessee this weekend, 973 00:47:01,719 --> 00:47:04,800 Speaker 1: but independent of that, it'll come down to what happens 974 00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:08,400 Speaker 1: in Atlanta. And so that's the Alabama pick. That's not changing. 975 00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:11,080 Speaker 1: I mean, it's not like I feel terrible about Bama now. 976 00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:13,840 Speaker 1: In the Big Ten, I'm also going to stick with 977 00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:16,359 Speaker 1: Ohio State. There's certainly there's only reason to feel better 978 00:47:16,600 --> 00:47:19,200 Speaker 1: about that than there was in the preseason. And the 979 00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:22,359 Speaker 1: Big Ten is also I think going to come down 980 00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:27,040 Speaker 1: to the trio, if you will, of Ohio State, Michigan 981 00:47:27,080 --> 00:47:28,960 Speaker 1: Penn State, and now Michigan Penn State play each other 982 00:47:29,040 --> 00:47:32,640 Speaker 1: this weekend. That game prediction available on the channel, by 983 00:47:32,640 --> 00:47:35,720 Speaker 1: the way. So both of them are aways behind Ohio 984 00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:37,800 Speaker 1: State and the current odds to win the Big Ten championship. 985 00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:41,040 Speaker 1: But yeah, Ohio State until further notice, the definitive favorite 986 00:47:41,040 --> 00:47:43,040 Speaker 1: to win the conference. There, let's look at the acc 987 00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:47,160 Speaker 1: because this is the one where I was really hesitant 988 00:47:47,160 --> 00:47:50,839 Speaker 1: in the preseason before picking Clemson, and now you got 989 00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:51,880 Speaker 1: to feel great about that. 990 00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:53,040 Speaker 2: I don't know anyone out there. 991 00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:55,560 Speaker 1: If they were asked to reassess like I was just 992 00:47:55,640 --> 00:47:58,640 Speaker 1: asked to do, that would be off of Clemson, so 993 00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:00,320 Speaker 1: a lot of them would be on them. But I 994 00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:02,799 Speaker 1: don't think anyone's hopping off that Clemson train right now. 995 00:48:02,840 --> 00:48:05,480 Speaker 1: So I take the Tigers. They're a minus three hundred 996 00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,880 Speaker 1: favorite to win the ACC. The next closest North Carolina 997 00:48:09,280 --> 00:48:11,880 Speaker 1: at plus six hundred. Let's go to the Pac twelve. 998 00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:16,200 Speaker 1: This is where I have to alter course a little bit, 999 00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:19,440 Speaker 1: but it's not gonna make a lot of sense, so 1000 00:48:19,640 --> 00:48:23,440 Speaker 1: hear me out. Utah was my preseason favorite to win 1001 00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:27,399 Speaker 1: the conference. Out there, Utah's got one conference loss right now. 1002 00:48:27,440 --> 00:48:31,280 Speaker 1: They just got it. It was at UCLA. They host 1003 00:48:31,440 --> 00:48:36,319 Speaker 1: USC this weekend. I picked Utah to beat USC. I 1004 00:48:36,400 --> 00:48:39,280 Speaker 1: am changing my pick in the Pac twelve to USC, 1005 00:48:40,000 --> 00:48:43,640 Speaker 1: and the reason is because even if the Trojans lose 1006 00:48:43,680 --> 00:48:47,960 Speaker 1: this weekend, the path for Utah is still pretty treacherous. 1007 00:48:48,239 --> 00:48:50,920 Speaker 1: They still have to go to Oregon. USC does not, 1008 00:48:51,719 --> 00:48:54,319 Speaker 1: and so I think Southern Cal even if they incur 1009 00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:56,919 Speaker 1: a loss this week, I still like their path better. 1010 00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:59,560 Speaker 1: And also by the time they get to the Conference 1011 00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:03,200 Speaker 1: Championshi game, I think they'll be humming as best they 1012 00:49:03,200 --> 00:49:04,400 Speaker 1: can hum. I guess it is the best way I 1013 00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:07,279 Speaker 1: can put it, So USC, I will change the pic there. 1014 00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:10,080 Speaker 1: Of course, we can't do this in real life, So theoretically, 1015 00:49:10,320 --> 00:49:11,640 Speaker 1: if I were going to change my picke, it would 1016 00:49:11,640 --> 00:49:14,279 Speaker 1: be to USC. And lastly, in the Big Twelve. Now 1017 00:49:14,280 --> 00:49:17,279 Speaker 1: this is where it gets irresponsible and even dangerous. 1018 00:49:19,040 --> 00:49:20,560 Speaker 2: I could change the pick to TCU. 1019 00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:23,920 Speaker 1: I really could. I could go with Oklahoma State. Sure, 1020 00:49:24,600 --> 00:49:27,680 Speaker 1: I could even ride Texas Kansas State for that matter. 1021 00:49:28,360 --> 00:49:31,080 Speaker 1: But why do that when I can go with Baylor, 1022 00:49:31,719 --> 00:49:34,160 Speaker 1: the team that I chose in the preseason. And you 1023 00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:37,520 Speaker 1: know what would be a really fun exercise. Actually, I 1024 00:49:37,960 --> 00:49:41,959 Speaker 1: told Jesse what made this so dangerous is even as 1025 00:49:42,040 --> 00:49:46,560 Speaker 1: we're on air, Baylor in West Virginia are playing in 1026 00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:49,400 Speaker 1: a conference game. Baylor is currently up twenty four to 1027 00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:53,160 Speaker 1: seventeen at halftime. If they lose tonight, so help me, 1028 00:49:53,200 --> 00:49:56,000 Speaker 1: I will have Colin jettison this entire portion of this 1029 00:49:56,080 --> 00:49:58,280 Speaker 1: segment from the morning vod that we put on YouTube. 1030 00:49:58,880 --> 00:50:01,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna stick with Baylor. I still have confidence in 1031 00:50:01,680 --> 00:50:04,560 Speaker 1: Dave Miranda and company. They've got a tough stretch coming up, 1032 00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:05,920 Speaker 1: as does everyone. 1033 00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:06,359 Speaker 2: In the Big twelve. 1034 00:50:06,400 --> 00:50:09,800 Speaker 1: When I'm sticking with Baylor, so Bama, Ohio State, Clemson, 1035 00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:14,840 Speaker 1: USC Baylor, what could possibly go wrong? Next question, please, 1036 00:50:15,520 --> 00:50:19,640 Speaker 1: very important question here, Spencer Smith asks how do I 1037 00:50:19,719 --> 00:50:22,840 Speaker 1: cope with being at a wedding this weekend? Spencer, you 1038 00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:25,680 Speaker 1: got one person to blame. It's not the bride, it's 1039 00:50:25,680 --> 00:50:28,840 Speaker 1: not the groom. It is, as our friend Michael Jackson 1040 00:50:28,880 --> 00:50:30,960 Speaker 1: once famously said, the man. 1041 00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:31,440 Speaker 2: In the mirror. 1042 00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:36,240 Speaker 1: All of us have dealt with this much like chicken pox. 1043 00:50:36,760 --> 00:50:41,080 Speaker 1: Fall Saturday weddings have impacted us all It's up to us. 1044 00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:42,919 Speaker 2: To determine how we treat them. 1045 00:50:43,480 --> 00:50:47,600 Speaker 1: And I found the perfect solution, and that is to 1046 00:50:47,680 --> 00:50:50,080 Speaker 1: just work saturdays in the fall. I mean, one of 1047 00:50:50,080 --> 00:50:52,680 Speaker 1: the many blessings of this job is, Sure we get 1048 00:50:52,719 --> 00:50:54,920 Speaker 1: to hang out and talk football all day. Sure we 1049 00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:56,719 Speaker 1: get paid to go stand on the sideline at the 1050 00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:59,160 Speaker 1: biggest games in the country. Sure we get to eat 1051 00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:01,920 Speaker 1: really good food. But the real big blessing is when 1052 00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:04,880 Speaker 1: someone sends me that fall wedding invitation. I get to smile, 1053 00:51:05,360 --> 00:51:07,720 Speaker 1: look them in the eye and say I wish I could. 1054 00:51:07,880 --> 00:51:11,920 Speaker 1: I really wish I could. But gotta work, you know, 1055 00:51:12,480 --> 00:51:16,040 Speaker 1: gotta work. No bye a week here, gotta work. Hate 1056 00:51:16,080 --> 00:51:18,120 Speaker 1: it for you, hate it for you. I'll be there 1057 00:51:18,160 --> 00:51:21,680 Speaker 1: next time, and statistically, let's be real, for a lot 1058 00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:23,879 Speaker 1: of you, there will be a next time. I still 1059 00:51:23,880 --> 00:51:26,680 Speaker 1: won't be there, but there will be a next time. Spencer, 1060 00:51:27,080 --> 00:51:29,880 Speaker 1: I don't know what more to tell you. It is 1061 00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:31,960 Speaker 1: your fault, but it's not your fault, and I hope 1062 00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:33,000 Speaker 1: I haven't been unclear there. 1063 00:51:34,160 --> 00:51:36,759 Speaker 2: These people are not gonna stop. These people are not 1064 00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:37,480 Speaker 2: going to relent. 1065 00:51:37,920 --> 00:51:41,759 Speaker 1: Okay, we are vessels in a sea of casualty, and 1066 00:51:42,160 --> 00:51:45,040 Speaker 1: we are on an ocean of people that. 1067 00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:46,719 Speaker 2: Really think this is no big deal. 1068 00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:48,440 Speaker 1: These are the kinds of people who would look you 1069 00:51:48,520 --> 00:51:50,160 Speaker 1: in the eye and say, hold on, tell me a 1070 00:51:50,160 --> 00:51:52,120 Speaker 1: football game is more important than our friendship. Hold on, 1071 00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:54,000 Speaker 1: you tell me a football game is more important than 1072 00:51:54,040 --> 00:51:56,960 Speaker 1: our wedding. Hey, to the second question, let me give 1073 00:51:57,000 --> 00:51:58,200 Speaker 1: a wholehearted, definitive. 1074 00:51:58,320 --> 00:51:59,719 Speaker 2: Yes, football is more. 1075 00:51:59,680 --> 00:52:02,879 Speaker 1: Important than your wedding. Not your marriage, not your love, 1076 00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:06,480 Speaker 1: not your relationship. But your wedding is totally inconsequential to me, 1077 00:52:06,960 --> 00:52:09,680 Speaker 1: especially as it relates to you. Know, whether Kansas is 1078 00:52:09,680 --> 00:52:11,839 Speaker 1: going to pull off the upset against Oklahoma. I care 1079 00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:15,200 Speaker 1: about that stuff, Hey, that will impact me a lot 1080 00:52:15,239 --> 00:52:17,600 Speaker 1: more readily than what. 1081 00:52:17,560 --> 00:52:18,279 Speaker 2: You saying I do. 1082 00:52:18,440 --> 00:52:21,960 Speaker 1: There's no upset there, there's no entertainment there. It's gonna 1083 00:52:21,960 --> 00:52:25,000 Speaker 1: happen whether I'm there or not, and so too will football. 1084 00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:27,759 Speaker 1: But I'm a little more invested in football than I am. 1085 00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:31,160 Speaker 1: Your wedding, not your marriage, Your wedding. I think some 1086 00:52:31,200 --> 00:52:35,200 Speaker 1: of the biggest heroes are the Friday Wedding Warriors Wesley 1087 00:52:35,360 --> 00:52:39,840 Speaker 1: in Philadelphia for example, this weekend. You know the ladies 1088 00:52:39,880 --> 00:52:43,560 Speaker 1: amongst us, the ladies of Pate State that more than 1089 00:52:43,600 --> 00:52:46,400 Speaker 1: are willing to bite the bullet and go spring wedding. 1090 00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:49,920 Speaker 1: Like who looks at a spring wedding and says, ooh, 1091 00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:52,040 Speaker 1: birds chirping, flowers looming. 1092 00:52:52,160 --> 00:52:53,239 Speaker 2: Eh, who wants that? 1093 00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:58,120 Speaker 1: Give me cold, give me win, give me nasty looking grace, skies, 1094 00:52:58,280 --> 00:53:02,680 Speaker 1: give me fall. No, we need more of that and 1095 00:53:02,760 --> 00:53:05,680 Speaker 1: less of the former. So, Spencer, I don't know what 1096 00:53:05,680 --> 00:53:09,040 Speaker 1: you've gotten yourself into. I pity you. I pray for you, 1097 00:53:09,560 --> 00:53:12,719 Speaker 1: and really our nation because we're at a crossroads and 1098 00:53:13,680 --> 00:53:15,799 Speaker 1: I'm not running in twenty twenty four, and I don't 1099 00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:17,719 Speaker 1: know what I'm gonna do in twenty twenty eight. So look, 1100 00:53:17,719 --> 00:53:20,040 Speaker 1: there is going to be no executive order passed down 1101 00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:23,200 Speaker 1: against this foolishness. In the meantime, you just got to 1102 00:53:23,280 --> 00:53:26,040 Speaker 1: choose your friends more wisely, or you've got to lay 1103 00:53:26,040 --> 00:53:28,160 Speaker 1: it down on them, and you've got to let them know, 1104 00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:30,960 Speaker 1: much like I do about celebrating my birthday, it's a 1105 00:53:31,000 --> 00:53:33,440 Speaker 1: non starter. We don't do it. Don't invite me to 1106 00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:36,560 Speaker 1: this stuff. I will send you whatever I can afford 1107 00:53:36,600 --> 00:53:38,320 Speaker 1: to send you, but don't invite me to this stuff. 1108 00:53:39,360 --> 00:53:42,920 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, Bruce Hornsby. That's just the way it is. 1109 00:53:43,560 --> 00:53:47,279 Speaker 1: Third Paper pop Ramautl Express time. I'm adding another game here, 1110 00:53:48,440 --> 00:53:51,160 Speaker 1: fresh off the presses. So let me remind you the 1111 00:53:51,160 --> 00:53:53,239 Speaker 1: games were on so far Georgia Southern plus ten and 1112 00:53:53,239 --> 00:53:56,680 Speaker 1: a half, Western Kentucky minus six and a half, NC 1113 00:53:56,840 --> 00:53:59,560 Speaker 1: State plus three and a half, Fresno plus eight and 1114 00:53:59,600 --> 00:54:01,520 Speaker 1: a half, and we're going under fifty two and a 1115 00:54:01,600 --> 00:54:05,800 Speaker 1: half Penn State and Michigan. We are also happily adding 1116 00:54:06,239 --> 00:54:10,480 Speaker 1: South Florida plus twelve. There are the Bulls. They are 1117 00:54:10,520 --> 00:54:13,399 Speaker 1: hosting Tulane. For those of you who care about such things. 1118 00:54:13,880 --> 00:54:17,680 Speaker 1: There are like five more games where I'm waiting online movement, 1119 00:54:18,040 --> 00:54:20,640 Speaker 1: so I'm not giving them out right now. Friday night lines. 1120 00:54:20,719 --> 00:54:23,239 Speaker 1: It is imperative that you're watching at Late Kick Josh. 1121 00:54:23,320 --> 00:54:26,200 Speaker 1: That will be live on Instagram. Will be in Knoxville 1122 00:54:26,239 --> 00:54:30,839 Speaker 1: tomorrow night, doing that from somewhere, confirmed somewhere, so make 1123 00:54:30,840 --> 00:54:32,680 Speaker 1: sure you're tuned in for that, and we're gonna have 1124 00:54:32,719 --> 00:54:35,520 Speaker 1: a ton of great country on the Instagram and all 1125 00:54:35,520 --> 00:54:37,000 Speaker 1: the social fields at Late. 1126 00:54:36,880 --> 00:54:39,480 Speaker 2: Kick Josh all weekend. Appreciate you guys being tuned in. 1127 00:54:39,560 --> 00:54:42,360 Speaker 1: Make sure on your way out like the video and 1128 00:54:42,520 --> 00:54:43,399 Speaker 1: subscribe to the. 1129 00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:46,080 Speaker 2: Channel for the podcast. If you're listening on podcasts. 1130 00:54:46,080 --> 00:54:49,879 Speaker 1: Those subs luckily management loves them. We love them every well. 1131 00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:53,359 Speaker 1: Live for direct Collins to su Jesse, I'm Josh, babe. 1132 00:54:53,400 --> 00:54:55,319 Speaker 1: Have a great weekend, enjoy the games. We'll be back 1133 00:54:55,360 --> 00:54:58,120 Speaker 1: here same time Sunday night. Until then, take care of Outlass,