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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Sunday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into a new episode of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 2: MI name is Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 2: across all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt. And

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Speaker 2: we are back after a losing Saturday. We won on Friday.

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Speaker 2: We are still having a winning week. We are still

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Speaker 2: up two units for the week as we head towards Sunday.

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Speaker 2: But we get the Penn State bet right Florida got

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Speaker 2: killed BYU and Cincinnati did not come close to the over.

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Speaker 2: I leaned toward b YU minus two and a half.

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Speaker 2: That was the better bet to jump on BYU. So

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Speaker 2: one in two night down one point one Actually that

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Speaker 2: should be one point. That should be one point two units. Sorry,

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Speaker 2: one point two units down on the night for last

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Speaker 2: night doesn't change it. We're still a Maybes one point

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Speaker 2: nine units.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: We're up for the week for us, So we head

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Speaker 2: to Sunday. As I said last night, I like this

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Speaker 2: card a lot. I've got two straight plays, I've got

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Speaker 2: two or two side plays, i have two teasers, and

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Speaker 2: I have one total bet for us coming up here

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Speaker 2: for today, including the hard rock bet, which we've gone

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Speaker 2: for and one so far taking the hard rock bet

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Speaker 2: of the day. So we're gonna go ahead and jump

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Speaker 2: in on that. But before we do the hard rock.

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Speaker 1: Bet of the day.

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Speaker 2: If you guys have not downloaded the Betting pros app yet,

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Speaker 2: I highly recommend you do so. Why you can track

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Speaker 2: all your bets with this, which is obviously something I

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Speaker 2: recommend you doing to keep track of how you make plays,

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Speaker 2: what you're profitable with, and what you're not. But also

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Speaker 2: for the prop bit cheat sheet, if you guys, that

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Speaker 2: offer is still available. If you make a deposit at

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Speaker 2: a sports book that we're partnered with, and you go

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Speaker 2: ahead and make a play after depositing, you will get

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Speaker 2: six months for free of betting pro su premium. That's

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Speaker 2: a seventy five dollars value. It includes the prop bet

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Speaker 2: cheat sheet and the sharp Ai tools. The prop bet

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Speaker 2: cheat sheet can help you a lot if you'd like

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Speaker 2: to bet prop bets today. For the NFL, All right,

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Speaker 2: I've already given you one bet with case minus three. Okay,

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Speaker 2: already played it. It's now three and a half kansasity

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Speaker 2: minus three. If you're curious to reiterate the trend for

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs, it's too good to overlook in my opinion

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Speaker 2: for Kansas City, the Chiefs are the fifteenth team since

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Speaker 2: nineteen ninety to be five and five straight up or

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Speaker 2: worse and favored against a team that has an eighty

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Speaker 2: percent or better win percentage during week eleven or later.

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Speaker 2: That would be the Cults. The Colts are off of.

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Speaker 2: Buy it doesn't matter because this trend is fourteen and

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Speaker 2: oh straight up and twelve oh to two against the number.

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Speaker 1: Equally.

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Speaker 2: How about this trend? This stat Andy Reid when his

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Speaker 2: team has been five hundred or worse. Andy Reid as

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Speaker 2: a head coach with the Philadelphia and Kansas City is

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Speaker 2: eighty forty seven and one against the number. The Chiefs

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Speaker 2: are five and five eighty forty seven and one for

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Speaker 2: an Andy Reid coach team. So already given it to

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Speaker 2: Chiefs minus three. Now let's talk Cowboys. Okay, and the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys are up against the Eagles in a game in

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Speaker 2: which the Cowboys absolutely have to win, like they just

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Speaker 2: have no choice.

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Speaker 1: And with this new look defense.

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Speaker 2: It's Dak Prescott at home against the NFC East. He

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Speaker 2: has absolutely dominated the NFC East. He is thirty one

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Speaker 2: and thirteen against the spread against his home division. He

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Speaker 2: is the most profitable quarterback since twenty three for a

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Speaker 2: QB against his own division. Dak has been an underdog

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Speaker 2: versus the NFC East two times since twenty nineteen, both

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Speaker 2: on the road, and they both were outright losses. This

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Speaker 2: is at home for Dak Prescott. In his career as

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Speaker 2: a starter, he's only been a home dog against a

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Speaker 2: divisional foe twice in twenty three games, and none since

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Speaker 2: twenty seventeen, one in one straight up, in one in

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Speaker 2: one against the number. However, at home, Dak Prescott is

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Speaker 2: twenty one and two straight up and seventeen and six

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Speaker 2: against the number. At home against the division, Dak has

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Speaker 2: won eighteen consecutive home games outright against the NFC East,

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Speaker 2: dating back to twenty seventeen. For me, all the trends,

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Speaker 2: the way the defense played on Monday Night, the fact

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Speaker 2: that the Eagles don't really need this game, but boy,

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Speaker 2: oh boy, do the Cowboys need this game desperately. They

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Speaker 2: play the Chiefs on Thanksgiving on a short week on Thursday,

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Speaker 2: I'm coming in and taking the Dallas Cowboys plus three

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Speaker 2: and a half four Dallas. Now I actually have to load.

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Speaker 2: That's not actually the right slide. Hold on one second,

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Speaker 2: let's get the right slide in there, because I don't

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Speaker 2: know what that didn't That didn't take the way it

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Speaker 2: was supposed to. Hold on, we need to go ahead

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Speaker 2: and change that. So that's that's the right Make sure

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Speaker 2: that's the right one. Okay, Yes we're gonna replace that.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so that should have replaced it. There we go.

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Speaker 2: That's the right slide. Cowboys plus three and a half.

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Speaker 2: Now two teasers. The first teaser is the Patriots against

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Speaker 2: the Bengals. This is similar to what I did last week.

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Speaker 2: I think we did a Patriots Lions teaser last week.

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Speaker 2: But I mean the Lions off of a loss are

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Speaker 2: just an automatic bet. Right, you should bet the Lions

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Speaker 2: straight up anyway, laying the points. Rather, you should bet

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Speaker 2: the Lions. I mean off of a loss. The Lions

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Speaker 2: are an automatic, an automatic bet you'd be. I think

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Speaker 2: I don't care about it. The number doesn't matter. I mean,

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Speaker 2: it's climbing and climbing and climbing. What we got thirteen

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Speaker 2: fourteen for this off of a loss for Jared Goff

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Speaker 2: and Dan Campbell, I mean they have won and covered

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Speaker 2: thirteen games in a row off of a loss. With

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Speaker 2: Dan Campbell and Jared Goff together. That's ridiculous. Okay, so

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Speaker 2: the number now is up to thirteen. It doesn't really matter.

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Speaker 2: Twelve and a half doesn't really matter. You've met the Lions.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna tease them down six point t'ser. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna pull it down to under a touchdown, to six

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Speaker 2: and a half. And I'm gonna pair it up with

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Speaker 2: the Patriots, who have won eight straight games, and the

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Speaker 2: Patriots a whore against Joe Flacco. Not Joe Burrow, It's

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Speaker 2: Joe Flacco starting tonight, and we have an opportunity to

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Speaker 2: see the Patriots go up against this really poor Bengals

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Speaker 2: defense and really poor Bengals offensive line, plus no Jamar Chase.

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Speaker 2: Maybe the Patriots don't win the game, or don't cover rather,

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Speaker 2: but I can't see the Patriots not winning this game,

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Speaker 2: given how much is at stake for them here on

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Speaker 2: the road against Cincinnati, then at home against the Giants,

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Speaker 2: and then they go to a bye week. The loss

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Speaker 2: for the Bills opened up a gigantic door for the

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Speaker 2: Patriots here to improve to ten and two on the year,

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Speaker 2: and it puts them in the driver's seat for the

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Speaker 2: AFC East. The Bengals really have struggled without Joe Burrow.

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Speaker 2: I mean Zach Taylor. I do not like Zach Taylor

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Speaker 2: as the head coach. I've been pretty adamant about this year.

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Speaker 2: And when Zach Taylor does not have Joe Burrow at quarterback,

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Speaker 2: things go really, really poorly for the Bengals. He'll have

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Speaker 2: him back next week against the Ravens. He won't have

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Speaker 2: him here in this game here against the Patriots. The

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Speaker 2: pat to play on Monday Night against the Giants next week.

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Speaker 2: Teams since twenty twenty who have a Monday night football

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Speaker 2: game on deck are covering at about a fifty eight

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Speaker 2: percent clip, and this season, teams with a Monday night

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Speaker 2: football game on deck are sixteen to seven and one

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Speaker 2: against the spread. Patriots are seven and a half point favorites.

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Speaker 2: I don't need to go ahead and bet the Patriots

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Speaker 2: lay the seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Just tease it down.

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Speaker 2: So to a first teaser Patriots minus one and a

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Speaker 2: half and the Lions minus six and a half and

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Speaker 2: minus one twenty five. Don't pay more than minus one

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Speaker 2: thirty at your book, whatever it might be. But tease

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Speaker 2: the Patriots down and tease the Lions down. We hit

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Speaker 2: this with the Lions. The Lions should be good. The

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Speaker 2: question is going to be the Patriots as to whether

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Speaker 2: the Patriots can cover that number.

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Speaker 1: I think that they can.

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Speaker 2: I think they should win the game by at least

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Speaker 2: three points up against the Bengals on the road.

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Speaker 1: So Patriots Lions teaser. Second teaser. We're going to go to.

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Speaker 2: The Cardinals who are at home, catching two and a

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Speaker 2: half points. And the Cardinals have been feisty at home

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Speaker 2: and the Cardinals, look, it's a backup quarterback situation obviously

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Speaker 2: with maybe the better quarterback for the team and Jacoby

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Speaker 2: Brissett up against the Jaguars, and I just don't like

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Speaker 2: the Jags. I haven't liked the Jags this year. The

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Speaker 2: Cardinals have lost six consecutive games outright in their game

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Speaker 2: directly following the forty nine Ers four and nineteen straight

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Speaker 2: up since twenty twelve, and they've been dominated by the

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Speaker 2: forty nine Ers. Now worry here, because we're gonna tease

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Speaker 2: up to eight and a half. Go from two and

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Speaker 2: a half to eight and a half. The Chargers are

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Speaker 2: on a complete and crazy wild run here. They had

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Speaker 2: a bye week, they had an overtime win against Vegas,

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Speaker 2: then they blew that nineteen point lead in the fourth

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Speaker 2: quarter against the Texans. Then they blew out the Chargers

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Speaker 2: thirty five to six. That's just a complete roller coaster ride.

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Speaker 2: But how about this. Since nineteen ninety, teams that blow

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Speaker 2: a fourteen point lead in the fourth quarter and lose

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Speaker 2: the game and then win their next game outright, which

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Speaker 2: is the bounce back spot against the Chargers that following game,

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Speaker 2: they're nine to twenty and two against the spread. Since

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Speaker 2: twenty sixteen, they're seven and one ats. So look, fading

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Speaker 2: the Jags not a bad idea. But I'm just gonna

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Speaker 2: tease it up to point to to get a plus

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Speaker 2: eight and a half for the Arizona Cardinals, and then

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna do a Baker Mayfield teaser again, just like

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Speaker 2: we did it last week with the Bills. We pushed

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Speaker 2: on it because we at twelve and it pushed. But

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Speaker 2: this same thing here, it's Baker Mayfield in primetime as

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Speaker 2: a dog, and Baker now gets thirteen points, it's now

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Speaker 2: plus seven, it goes to plus thirteen on the road

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Speaker 2: against the Rams.

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Speaker 1: It's just beton.

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Speaker 2: Baker, bettan on Baker to do Baker things This defense

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Speaker 2: by Todd Poles and needs to figure out what's going

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Speaker 2: on here.

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Speaker 1: They have not been good.

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Speaker 2: They give up forty four points last week to the Bills,

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Speaker 2: give up twenty eight points to the Patriots the week before.

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Speaker 2: The Bucks have now lost too in a row against

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Speaker 2: the spread and straight up as underdogs, losing by double

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Speaker 2: digits in both those games. In twenty six starts as

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Speaker 2: a dog for Tampa, Baker is twenty three and three

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Speaker 2: in a six point teaser. This is a six point teaser,

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Speaker 2: so we're jumping in here with that for cac minus three,

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Speaker 2: Cowboys plus three and a half, Patriots laying one and

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Speaker 2: a half, teas with the Lions laying six and a half,

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Speaker 2: Cardinals plus eight and a half, and the Bucks plus thirteen.

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Speaker 2: So a favorite teaser and a dog teaser, you get

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Speaker 2: one of each coming up here for today. That takes

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Speaker 2: us to the hard Rock Bet of the Day, being

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Speaker 2: time of the year because there's so much to bet on. Heck,

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Speaker 2: we got an F one race last night here in

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Speaker 2: Las Vegas. They still have the offer where if you

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Speaker 2: make a five dollar wager and it wins, you will

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Speaker 2: you make your plays sportsbook. The hard Rock Sportsbook app

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Speaker 2: So download the hard Rock Bet app and make your

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Speaker 2: first deposit today. The hard Rock Bet play of the

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Speaker 2: day We're gonna hold our nose and we're gonna bet

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Speaker 2: the under on the Browns and Shador Sanders' first start

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Speaker 2: against the Raiders.

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Speaker 1: Now, this number was thirty seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: It's been bet down to thirty six or even thirty

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Speaker 2: five and a half at certain books, certain books.

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Speaker 1: I got thirty six and a half.

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Speaker 2: And the theory really comes down to Shador Sanders not

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Speaker 2: being able to move the football consistently on the Raiders,

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Speaker 2: and in fact that the Raiders' offense is a mess

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Speaker 2: now I know, and this is I read a tweet

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Speaker 2: from our guy Debro and it really I'm not gonna lie.

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Speaker 2: It caused me to have a little bit of a

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Speaker 2: fear factor on this bet from the under because since

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Speaker 2: Week seven, Cleveland has allowed the six most rushing yards

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Speaker 2: per game, the fifth highest explosive run rate, and the

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Speaker 2: twelfth highest yards before contact per attempt, and they rank

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Speaker 2: fifteenth in misstackle rate. This is supposed to be one

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Speaker 2: of the best defenses in particularly one of the best

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Speaker 2: run defenses in the NFL. But I think the offensive

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Speaker 2: line for the Raiders is such a mess that this

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Speaker 2: defensive pass rush and the fact that Chip Kelly well

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Speaker 2: just refuses to run the football. He only ran only

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Speaker 2: called four runs in the first half last week against

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys, that.

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Speaker 1: They don't think they can run.

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Speaker 2: They have injuries on the offensive line, and I think

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Speaker 2: blocking this pass rush is going to be a huge problem.

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Speaker 1: But equally, I don't think the Raiders run.

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Speaker 2: The football that effectively, and on the flip side, as

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Speaker 2: should or Sanders finally gets to work with the ones

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Speaker 2: and they build a entire offense around what he can do.

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Speaker 2: I assume he's going to look a lot better than

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Speaker 2: he did last week when he came in after Dylan

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Speaker 2: Gabriel went out with a concussion, but I'm not positive

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Speaker 2: that's going to happen. The Browns have been an over team.

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Speaker 2: If you want to talk trends, the Browns have been.

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Speaker 1: An over team. That is a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: worry here.

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Speaker 2: The Browns last four games have all gone over, and

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Speaker 2: two of those four games were on the road at

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Speaker 2: New England and at the Jets, both those games going over.

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Speaker 2: Now nine and a half and four and a half

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Speaker 2: doesn't really fly over, but it did go over. Last

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Speaker 2: game out for Cleveland against Baltimore twenty three sixteen, the

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Speaker 2: total was thirty eight and it went over only by

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Speaker 2: a point, but it went over. Now we're at thirty

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Speaker 2: six and a half here, it's pretty low. Vegas thirty

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Speaker 2: three sixteen losers to Dallas last week. That was more

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Speaker 2: in the Dallas side, but it did go over by

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Speaker 2: half a point. The safety is what put that over,

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Speaker 2: and they're at home. Game before that was Jacksonville. It

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Speaker 2: was a thirty to twenty nine overtime game, so it

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Speaker 2: went over by fifteen points because of overtime. They had

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Speaker 2: a game against Tennessee twenty to ten to win. Forty

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Speaker 2: one and a half was the total. It went under

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Speaker 2: by eleven and a half. I just don't think shud

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Speaker 2: Or Sanders is going to move the football. All that

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Speaker 2: consistently in front of that offensive line for the Cleveland

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Speaker 2: Browns is awful, and I think you're gonna see Max

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Speaker 2: Crosby get after it. I think both fronts for the

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Speaker 2: Raiders and the Browns both make life really difficult for

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Speaker 2: either offenses. It's low, but I'm gonna lay it for

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Speaker 2: the hard rock bet of the day. We're four and

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Speaker 2: one on these so far, Cleveland and the Raiders under

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Speaker 2: thirty six and a half for one point one units. Guys,

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Speaker 2: join us coming up at noon Eastern time nine am Pacific.

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Speaker 2: Seth Willcock and myself have got you for an hour

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Speaker 2: leading up to kickoff from twelve to one Eastern on

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Speaker 2: the Betting Pros YouTube channel, will break down every game.

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Speaker 2: I will give you more prop bets than what I

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Speaker 2: just gave you. From a betting perspective, I don't think

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Speaker 2: there's gonna be a long teaser out there, but if

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Speaker 2: there is something there to create a long teaser. I

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Speaker 2: will talk about that as well, but player props from

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Speaker 2: Seth and his plays as well.

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Speaker 1: Coming up here.

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Speaker 2: At noon eastern nine am Pacific time on the Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros YouTube channel for our live stream. Hope to see

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Speaker 2: you all in the chat coming up here later on today.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt. Wherever you guys get your podcast us.

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Speaker 2: It is The Daily Juice