WEBVTT - NCAA March Madness Tournament Preview (Ep. 158) 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:14.560 It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros. 0:00:16.200 --> 0:00:17.800 Welcome in everybody to betting pros. 0:00:17.800 --> 0:00:20.760 It is b Joey p Joe Pisapia and it's March, 0:00:21.079 --> 0:00:22.040 and you know what that means. 0:00:22.079 --> 0:00:23.840 It's time for some madness. That's right. 0:00:24.160 --> 0:00:27.440 The tournament is back and we are excited to have 0:00:27.560 --> 0:00:30.920 Mike Randall, our betting pros host, to help me, help 0:00:31.000 --> 0:00:33.800 you break it all down. Mike knows what he's talking 0:00:33.800 --> 0:00:36.480 about when it comes to the NCAA World and he's 0:00:36.479 --> 0:00:38.120 gonna give you some of his takes on the early 0:00:38.240 --> 0:00:40.040 look at some of these regions. We just a few 0:00:40.040 --> 0:00:43.279 hours ago got all the brackets released and we are 0:00:43.400 --> 0:00:46.440 very excited to talk basketball with you at Mike Randall. 0:00:46.960 --> 0:00:49.440 This is the better paradise, isn't it. This is what 0:00:49.479 --> 0:00:52.400 people wait for. They wait for March, They wait for 0:00:52.440 --> 0:00:55.080 Saint Patrick's Day, have a few drinks and then go 0:00:55.160 --> 0:00:59.160 out there and put some money on some fantastic wagers 0:00:59.160 --> 0:01:01.080 going out there for the tournament. 0:01:01.520 --> 0:01:04.959 There is nothing better than this week, Joe. We have 0:01:05.080 --> 0:01:09.039 the brackets tonight, Saint Patrick's Day kicks off the tourney 0:01:09.160 --> 0:01:12.319 on Thursday. There is nothing better. I can't wait to 0:01:12.400 --> 0:01:15.240 dive in best time of the year. 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So please go over and get involved 0:03:08.280 --> 0:03:10.760 and sign up today for free at bettingpros dot com 0:03:11.000 --> 0:03:12.720 where we've got so much going on. 0:03:12.800 --> 0:03:13.520 I told you right now. 0:03:13.600 --> 0:03:16.040 Let me tell you man, it is impressive, the amount 0:03:16.080 --> 0:03:19.000 of data, the amount of tools that we have available 0:03:19.000 --> 0:03:19.480 for everybody. 0:03:19.480 --> 0:03:20.399 So go check that out. 0:03:20.440 --> 0:03:22.560 Mike Randall, I know this is what you live for, 0:03:22.840 --> 0:03:25.359 so I want to get your your take first. 0:03:25.440 --> 0:03:27.880 Overall, before we start to dive into the regions. 0:03:28.320 --> 0:03:30.760 I want to know what your overall bracket reaction was 0:03:30.960 --> 0:03:32.600 when you saw how it all shook out. 0:03:33.240 --> 0:03:36.080 Overall reaction was, they did a pretty good job the committee. 0:03:36.120 --> 0:03:38.920 Sometimes there's been some teams that are way oversea and understated. 0:03:39.200 --> 0:03:40.920 Only a couple I have an issue with this year. 0:03:40.960 --> 0:03:43.400 The big one for me that I was disappointed. My 0:03:43.600 --> 0:03:46.160 heart wanted them in, but my head said no was 0:03:46.280 --> 0:03:49.160 Dayton Love when Anthony Grint has done Joe with Dayton, 0:03:49.240 --> 0:03:53.720 the absolute youngest team in Division one college basketball, did 0:03:53.800 --> 0:03:57.080 a great job this year in conference. However, three count 0:03:57.080 --> 0:04:00.520 in three Quad four losses to UMass Low, Austin p 0:04:00.720 --> 0:04:03.760 and Limpscum at home to start the year. They were 0:04:03.800 --> 0:04:06.640 beating Richmond by fifteen points in the second half of 0:04:06.680 --> 0:04:10.520 the tournament in the semi finals yesterday until freshman starting 0:04:10.560 --> 0:04:14.040 point guard Malachai Smith turned his ankle. After that, Richmond 0:04:14.040 --> 0:04:16.719 goes on a run. They closed the fifteen point gap 0:04:16.760 --> 0:04:19.760 and they actually won today, beating Davidson to steal one 0:04:19.800 --> 0:04:22.159 of those bids there could have likely been from Dayton, 0:04:22.160 --> 0:04:23.960 to be honest, because Dayton was really high there, but 0:04:24.400 --> 0:04:27.719 can't have the bad losses. Joe youngest team in college hoops. 0:04:27.720 --> 0:04:29.839 They were fourteen and four in the A ten, tied 0:04:29.960 --> 0:04:32.720 there with Davidson, so they will be back now. Dayton 0:04:32.760 --> 0:04:34.960 fans are going to complain that Rutgers got in here 0:04:35.000 --> 0:04:37.680 in New Jersey. But the difference is Joe Dayton three 0:04:37.720 --> 0:04:40.280 and two verse quad one, Rutgers six and six in 0:04:40.400 --> 0:04:43.880 quad one only one quad four loss. Rutgers Scarlet and 0:04:43.920 --> 0:04:47.240 Knites are dancing and Dayton is not. No. 0:04:47.360 --> 0:04:49.040 There you have it, and obviously you know when it 0:04:49.080 --> 0:04:50.520 comes to the betting world, we always want to look 0:04:50.520 --> 0:04:53.440 at trends. Mike and typically speaking you know, sometimes they 0:04:53.440 --> 0:04:55.520 can be overrated, but I think it's important at least 0:04:55.520 --> 0:04:57.560 to acknowledge them. And maybe there's a few trends that 0:04:57.600 --> 0:05:00.440 you know of or think irrelevant. Here is we kind 0:05:00.480 --> 0:05:02.560 of head into the tournament opening week here. 0:05:02.880 --> 0:05:04.599 Yeah, they're just some things, Joe, that you have to 0:05:04.600 --> 0:05:06.680 think about when you fill out your brackets. And we'll 0:05:06.680 --> 0:05:09.920 have great articles here at Betting Pros Podcast live streams 0:05:09.960 --> 0:05:12.080 to help you pick your winners, but things you have 0:05:12.160 --> 0:05:15.000 to think about. First off, the play in game winner 0:05:15.120 --> 0:05:17.919 usually gets hot, with the exception of twenty nineteen, remember 0:05:17.960 --> 0:05:20.479 no tournament last year because of COVID, One of those 0:05:20.560 --> 0:05:23.560 play in games, those early games on Tuesday, one of 0:05:23.560 --> 0:05:27.000 those teams have always gotten hot and advanced well beyond 0:05:27.360 --> 0:05:30.760 the first round. VCU made the final four in twenty eleven. 0:05:30.880 --> 0:05:33.479 UCLA made the final four last year coming from the 0:05:33.520 --> 0:05:37.039 first first four teams. And last year UCLA was losing 0:05:37.120 --> 0:05:39.480 the Michigan State in that first game by ten and 0:05:39.520 --> 0:05:42.320 a halftime, and then they just went off South Florida 0:05:42.400 --> 0:05:45.000 round to thirty two and twenty twelve, Wichita State round 0:05:45.040 --> 0:05:47.880 of thirty two and twenty sixteen. USC same thing in 0:05:47.880 --> 0:05:51.919 twenty seventeen, and we've had three Sweet sixteen teams LaSalle 0:05:52.120 --> 0:05:56.320 twenty thirteen, Tennessee twenty fourteen, and Syracuse in twenty eighteen. 0:05:56.400 --> 0:05:59.200 So when you look at those games that are playing 0:05:59.320 --> 0:06:02.120 early against each other to set up for Thursday and Friday, 0:06:02.320 --> 0:06:05.920 I'm talking about Rutgers versus Notre Dame. I'm talking about 0:06:05.960 --> 0:06:10.000 Wyoming versus Indiana, pick one and have them advanced more 0:06:10.000 --> 0:06:12.760 than one round. That's my recommendation. People like to pick 0:06:12.839 --> 0:06:16.760 upsets two number five verse number twelve. Number twelve's win 0:06:16.800 --> 0:06:19.120 about thirty six percent of the time, and we've had 0:06:19.200 --> 0:06:24.080 Joe three times since twenty thirteen. Three twelve seeds has advance, 0:06:24.160 --> 0:06:26.480 so you can't just put one throw, you can put 0:06:26.520 --> 0:06:29.840 two through same number four verse number thirteen Seeds win 0:06:29.880 --> 0:06:32.400 twenty one percent of the time they get upset fourteen 0:06:32.440 --> 0:06:35.839 seeds fifteen percent, and seven verse ten is a very 0:06:35.880 --> 0:06:39.560 important one because it's happened partner every year since twenty ten, 0:06:39.839 --> 0:06:43.160 every darn year five in the last two years. So 0:06:43.200 --> 0:06:46.120 people like that seven to ten game because then that 0:06:46.160 --> 0:06:48.960 team can often beat the number two seeds. So things 0:06:49.040 --> 0:06:51.200 you want to think about in my last one number 0:06:51.279 --> 0:06:55.920 elevens have beaten a number six sixteen straight years in 0:06:55.960 --> 0:06:56.320 a row. 0:06:56.760 --> 0:06:59.720 Wow, that is stunning. Look at Mike Randall bringing the 0:06:59.760 --> 0:07:02.480 heat the percentages today. I love this the seven to 0:07:02.520 --> 0:07:04.360 ten split though, that's the one. 0:07:04.640 --> 0:07:07.400 I love that one always in bowling and otherwise. Yep, 0:07:08.680 --> 0:07:09.720 bowling and otherwise. 0:07:09.800 --> 0:07:12.480 But clearly you have a much better chance of hitting 0:07:12.480 --> 0:07:14.119 this than you do the seven ten split and bowling 0:07:14.840 --> 0:07:17.880 thirty nine percent. That is a that's an incredible number 0:07:17.880 --> 0:07:19.920 of their. Great job by Mike Ranill. See that's why 0:07:19.920 --> 0:07:21.480 we have Mike here to give you all this kind 0:07:21.480 --> 0:07:24.440 of information. So that's a little overview in terms of 0:07:24.440 --> 0:07:26.560 some of the seeding where there might be some opportunities 0:07:26.600 --> 0:07:29.120 with those percentages and those trends. But I know what 0:07:29.120 --> 0:07:31.280 you only want to talk about. Everybody really wants to 0:07:31.280 --> 0:07:34.040 talk about the teams. So let's get at it, and 0:07:34.120 --> 0:07:36.160 let's start with the Western region here. So in the 0:07:36.160 --> 0:07:38.640 West we have Gonzaga is the one seed, no surprise there. 0:07:39.040 --> 0:07:42.320 Duke pulls away with the two seed, so you know, 0:07:42.400 --> 0:07:44.800 it's kind of what we thought it would be. And 0:07:44.920 --> 0:07:46.960 as far as the West, clearly, you know every one 0:07:46.960 --> 0:07:48.240 of these brackets can have a lot of talent. 0:07:48.280 --> 0:07:50.760 But what do you think about Gonzaga's first draw here. 0:07:51.280 --> 0:07:54.640 I think Gonzaga has a hard draw as opposed to 0:07:54.760 --> 0:07:57.960 last year, Mark few and the Bulldogs no longer the 0:07:58.000 --> 0:08:01.040 mid major folks. They are one of the powerhouses college basketball. 0:08:01.240 --> 0:08:04.320 They've made two final games, one with North Carolina. If 0:08:04.360 --> 0:08:07.160 Kennedy Meeks is correctly called out of bounds with two 0:08:07.240 --> 0:08:09.600 minutes left, they may have won that game. And last year, 0:08:09.640 --> 0:08:12.040 of course they ran into the juggernaut that is Baylor, 0:08:12.080 --> 0:08:14.360 but they had an easy draw last year. This year, 0:08:14.360 --> 0:08:16.760 I think it's very difficult that they played Boise State 0:08:16.760 --> 0:08:20.239 in the second round. Boise State is a lockdown, hard 0:08:20.320 --> 0:08:23.640 nosed defensive team that could give Gonzaga a lot of trouble, 0:08:23.640 --> 0:08:26.120 who again has played in the West Coast Conference, so 0:08:26.280 --> 0:08:29.200 not the same level of talent and Joe. Their non 0:08:29.240 --> 0:08:32.280 conference schedule not nearly as tough as last year, so 0:08:32.360 --> 0:08:34.560 I think that's a disadvantage for them. I'm not a 0:08:34.600 --> 0:08:37.680 Connecticut guy, but they certainly could beat Gonzaga, and please, 0:08:38.000 --> 0:08:40.440 Gonzaga does not want to see Arkansas, So right off 0:08:40.520 --> 0:08:43.600 the bat, my first reaction that is a very very 0:08:43.600 --> 0:08:46.920 tough region and the bottom part of this bracket was 0:08:47.160 --> 0:08:50.560 so difficult for me, partner. I'm excited. I can't wait 0:08:50.600 --> 0:08:52.600 to figure it out. I couldn't plug anything in right 0:08:52.600 --> 0:08:54.600 away because I really have to mull it over. The 0:08:54.640 --> 0:08:57.080 one thing I will say to you, Duke is not 0:08:57.640 --> 0:09:01.040 making the final four. They couldn't beat Ta tar Heels 0:09:01.080 --> 0:09:04.240 on Coach K's last home game, blew that game. They 0:09:04.280 --> 0:09:06.720 couldn't beat Virginia Tech and give the guy an ACC 0:09:06.840 --> 0:09:09.840 Tournament championship. I believe would have been at seventeenth. So 0:09:10.040 --> 0:09:13.160 why would they all of a sudden rally in a 0:09:13.200 --> 0:09:16.840 bracket with Arkansas, Gonzaga and some really tough teams. 0:09:16.880 --> 0:09:19.480 I just don't see it. So is it Arkansas for you? 0:09:19.559 --> 0:09:20.360 Coming out of the West. 0:09:21.440 --> 0:09:23.600 You know Arkansas is gonna have a lot of trouble 0:09:23.640 --> 0:09:26.920 with Vermont. That line is dropping right now. I think 0:09:26.920 --> 0:09:28.760 it opened Joe at six and a half. Now it's 0:09:28.800 --> 0:09:31.520 down to five and a half quickly. Vermont head coach 0:09:31.600 --> 0:09:35.120 John Becker has been such a tough team. They've dominated 0:09:35.120 --> 0:09:38.360 the America East. They almost beat Purdue. They are a 0:09:38.400 --> 0:09:41.640 tremendous team in years past that no one wants to see. 0:09:41.800 --> 0:09:44.480 That is a contrast in styles. So if I had 0:09:44.520 --> 0:09:46.560 to pick right now, in the bottom of that bracket, 0:09:46.840 --> 0:09:49.760 Duke is not getting by Davidson, who I think will 0:09:49.760 --> 0:09:52.719 beat Michigan State, and then Texas Tech, which is a 0:09:52.760 --> 0:09:57.040 blue collar, tough team, and then potentially Arkansas and Gonzaga. 0:09:57.080 --> 0:09:59.000 So if I had to pick one right now, it 0:09:59.040 --> 0:10:01.560 would probably be t Tech to move on because they 0:10:01.559 --> 0:10:04.280 are so good defensively. I think they can dominate that 0:10:04.360 --> 0:10:06.720 part of the bracket and then pull an upset over 0:10:06.800 --> 0:10:09.240 either Gonzaga or wherever comes out of the top. 0:10:09.280 --> 0:10:10.400 That would be my lean right now. 0:10:10.960 --> 0:10:13.160 All right in, Texas Tech is ranked third here in 0:10:13.200 --> 0:10:15.600 the Western bracket, So let's move over to the next 0:10:15.600 --> 0:10:17.960 one here and take a look at the Southern region. 0:10:18.200 --> 0:10:21.760 So I know, on paper it looks a little chalky. 0:10:22.160 --> 0:10:24.160 Is that true? Is that a good thing? Is that 0:10:24.240 --> 0:10:24.719 a bad thing? 0:10:24.840 --> 0:10:27.480 Is this like the biggest trap? Potentially? Obviously we have 0:10:27.520 --> 0:10:29.400 Villanova in this when they are the two seed. They 0:10:29.440 --> 0:10:31.040 have that going for them. 0:10:31.120 --> 0:10:33.840 Arizona up there at the one not surprising that they 0:10:33.840 --> 0:10:36.080 came away with the one seed. But looking overall in 0:10:36.080 --> 0:10:37.920 this South bracket, do you think it is going to 0:10:37.960 --> 0:10:39.280 be those two teams at the end or is there 0:10:39.320 --> 0:10:40.600 something else is gonna surprise us. 0:10:40.880 --> 0:10:42.680 Yeah, as we talked about in the West, that to 0:10:42.720 --> 0:10:45.000 me is the blow up bracket. There's always one that 0:10:45.040 --> 0:10:47.840 goes crazy. This one is going to be, in my opinion, 0:10:47.880 --> 0:10:51.080 the chalkiest one. Arizona could be the best team in 0:10:51.120 --> 0:10:54.120 the country right now. They have great bigs inside in there. 0:10:54.160 --> 0:10:57.360 Win over UCLA last night, three blocks in the last 0:10:57.400 --> 0:11:00.679 thirty seconds, and they have Bendic Mathrin twelve Player of 0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:03.080 the Year, a fantastic guard who can light it up 0:11:03.080 --> 0:11:05.800 from three. Tommy Lloyd came over from Gonzaga. He was 0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:09.160 a Mark Few assistant for twenty years two decades. Has 0:11:09.200 --> 0:11:11.840 come over and Sean Miller is an afterthought. So the 0:11:11.880 --> 0:11:14.360 Wildcats are not getting tripped up here in the bottom 0:11:14.400 --> 0:11:16.080 of the bracket. It's the only one where I have 0:11:16.160 --> 0:11:20.400 two versus three. In the Sweet sixteen, Joe Villanova is 0:11:20.480 --> 0:11:23.679 following the schematic of their last two titles under Jay Wright. 0:11:24.200 --> 0:11:27.880 Veteran team doesn't turn the ball over, makes two pointers 0:11:27.920 --> 0:11:32.280 at a ridiculous rate, tremendous on defense and rebounding. That's 0:11:32.280 --> 0:11:34.760 what you have here with a veteran team in Villanova 0:11:34.800 --> 0:11:37.480 that had no recruits coming in this year because everyone 0:11:37.559 --> 0:11:41.040 came back and they wanted a championship, so Nova Tennessee 0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:44.599 in the bottom Tennessee is very underrated. They beat Arizona. 0:11:44.720 --> 0:11:47.400 I have no idea how Duke is a two seed 0:11:47.679 --> 0:11:50.120 and Tennessee is a three seed. Look at every single 0:11:50.160 --> 0:11:52.720 metric that you want. Tennessee is better and they also 0:11:52.720 --> 0:11:55.920 beat Arizona, so they wouldn't be intimidated in this bracket. 0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:59.240 I'm going with the Wildcats. I think Tennessee could give 0:11:59.280 --> 0:12:01.720 them every thing they could possibly handle. But the one 0:12:01.720 --> 0:12:05.200 time Arizona lost it was at Tennessee. A fuel for 0:12:05.280 --> 0:12:08.920 thought here. Illinois is in a tough spot. They play 0:12:08.960 --> 0:12:13.440 a good Chattanooga team and then potentially UAB with one 0:12:13.480 --> 0:12:17.480 of my favorite players in the entire tournament, five eleven 0:12:17.520 --> 0:12:21.960 guard Jordan Jelly Walker Peanut Butter and Jelly twenty points 0:12:21.960 --> 0:12:25.120 per game, forty pointsingg into middle Tennessee in the Tennessee 0:12:25.160 --> 0:12:28.559 State in the semifinals in a three overtime game. Absolutely 0:12:28.600 --> 0:12:31.320 think they could be up to the challenge against Illinois. 0:12:31.320 --> 0:12:32.480 So to me, this is chalk. 0:12:32.840 --> 0:12:35.319 I like Arizona, and I like Villanova and Tennessee in 0:12:35.360 --> 0:12:36.280 the bottom part of the bracket. 0:12:37.200 --> 0:12:38.959 See my good nicknames aren't dead. 0:12:38.960 --> 0:12:42.640 After all in sports, Helly Walker, Jelly, that's it because 0:12:42.800 --> 0:12:43.839 just jam don't shake. 0:12:44.040 --> 0:12:44.400 All right. 0:12:46.120 --> 0:12:48.840 Let's move on to the next region here, and it 0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:52.520 is the Midwest resion. So we have Kansas in the Midwest. 0:12:53.280 --> 0:12:56.959 And look, they are the one seed here Kansas University. 0:12:57.080 --> 0:13:00.520 Number two is Auburn, three is Wisconsin's so those are 0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:03.280 the big dogs here. But we all know that there's 0:13:03.400 --> 0:13:06.080 opportunities here for some upsets too in the Midwest. So 0:13:06.360 --> 0:13:08.240 walk me through this bracket. What's your take on this? 0:13:08.320 --> 0:13:12.160 Who emerges from this bracket in your opinion, and maybe 0:13:12.200 --> 0:13:14.760 who might be targeted for an upset or two. 0:13:15.080 --> 0:13:18.600 In some ways, Joe Kansas is a sleeper. That's crazy 0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:21.719 to think. But Bill self has had some interesting tournaments. 0:13:21.760 --> 0:13:24.560 The ghost of Ali Farrukmanesh when they were a nine 0:13:24.559 --> 0:13:28.440 seed knocking off Kansas in Kansas City, which Sharon Collins 0:13:28.480 --> 0:13:29.800 still looms large for them. 0:13:29.800 --> 0:13:31.520 When he was with Northern Iowa and I. 0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:34.679 Remember when Kansas won their one title under self, they 0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:36.960 beat Memphis in overtime, and I talk about this all 0:13:37.000 --> 0:13:39.240 the time. What did Bill self do? As soon as 0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:42.480 they wanted He wiped his brow because he could feel 0:13:42.520 --> 0:13:45.160 the pressure that he had to win. He may get 0:13:45.240 --> 0:13:49.120 another one here because this is an easy bracket for Kansas, Iowa, 0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:53.320 South Dakota State, going against Providence. These are all teams 0:13:53.400 --> 0:13:55.880 that they can handle and they can get things together. 0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:58.280 Oh Chaia Bogy one of the best players in the country. 0:13:58.440 --> 0:14:00.640 I think it's an easy draft for Kansas in the 0:14:00.679 --> 0:14:03.840 bottom part of the bracket. How about the Wisconsin Badgers 0:14:04.120 --> 0:14:07.440 playing in five Serve Forum in Milwaukee for the first 0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:11.120 two games. Huge advantage for a Wisconsin team that most 0:14:11.120 --> 0:14:13.520 thought would take a year to develop with the lot 0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:16.080 of young players. But I think they're easily through to 0:14:16.080 --> 0:14:19.080 the sweet sixteen because of the location. One of the 0:14:19.080 --> 0:14:21.680 teams I think the committee got wrong is Miami. Miami 0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:22.600 is a ten seed. 0:14:22.640 --> 0:14:23.640 What does that even mean? 0:14:23.960 --> 0:14:27.040 They won at Duke, at Wake Forest, and at Virginia Tech. 0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:30.520 So at Duke, at the ACC champion and at wake Forest, 0:14:30.560 --> 0:14:33.520 which was not easy this year. Head coach Jim Larnega 0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:36.120 had the magic from Mason years ago. They are number 0:14:36.160 --> 0:14:39.600 one the Hurricanes in fewest offensive turnovers in the ACC 0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:43.480 and most defensive turnovers. That's a nice combination for the tournament. 0:14:43.840 --> 0:14:47.120 I think Kansas versus Auburn would be amazing I'd love 0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:49.920 to see that as a final here. The Jayhawks here, though, 0:14:49.960 --> 0:14:52.960 I think get through. I think they're not being thought 0:14:53.000 --> 0:14:56.480 of as their normal self. But no one is consistent 0:14:56.560 --> 0:14:59.200 this year. And wouldn't it be amazing for Bill self 0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:02.640 to sneak back into yet another Final four and potentially 0:15:02.680 --> 0:15:06.360 a second national championship with Kansas when people thought they 0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:08.120 weren't playing their best. 0:15:09.000 --> 0:15:11.720 All right, let's move on to the final bracket here 0:15:12.120 --> 0:15:15.400 and let's go over to the East. Now, obviously, in 0:15:15.440 --> 0:15:19.000 the Eastern bracket here you've got, you know, use your 0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:21.640 ules suspects here that you know, unc is here. You 0:15:21.640 --> 0:15:24.360 know some big name teams Texas in this one too, 0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:25.720 Kentucky's in this one. 0:15:25.840 --> 0:15:28.360 So how do you see the East breaking down? Here? 0:15:28.800 --> 0:15:30.680 First thing I'll mention to you is you have one 0:15:30.680 --> 0:15:34.720 of these playing games right here, the twelve seed Wyoming first, Indiana, 0:15:34.760 --> 0:15:37.560 whoever you like, Joe winning that game is going to 0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:40.240 beat Saint Mary's. I don't know how Saint Mary's got 0:15:40.280 --> 0:15:42.920 a five seed. I know they beat Gonzaga, but what 0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:45.360 else have they done that's been impressive this year? I 0:15:45.440 --> 0:15:48.720 just can't think of anything. So to me, the winner 0:15:48.760 --> 0:15:50.720 of that game is going to go very very far 0:15:50.800 --> 0:15:53.720 and win a couple of games, possibly knock off Baylor 0:15:53.800 --> 0:15:57.760 as well. The one thing that broke my heart is 0:15:57.800 --> 0:16:01.400 that Murray State, the thirty and two Murray State Racers 0:16:01.640 --> 0:16:04.800 are in the same section as Kentucky. You know that 0:16:04.920 --> 0:16:07.800 Cala Parry gets this team going. They're shooting threes at 0:16:07.840 --> 0:16:12.520 a better rate, rebounding, inside defense. Kentucky looks every bit 0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:16.080 of a national champion. They could lose to the Racers. 0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:18.960 I just wish Murray State was in another bracket against 0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:21.800 anyone else. I would like them, Gonzaga, you name it. 0:16:22.000 --> 0:16:24.640 But against Kentucky, I think that's a bad matchup. So 0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:27.520 in this bracket, I don't think Baylor is going back 0:16:27.520 --> 0:16:29.800 to the Final four back to back years. They lost 0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:32.360 a lot last year. Good job for Scott Drew, really 0:16:32.400 --> 0:16:34.760 impressed with what he's done. I don't think they're going back. 0:16:34.840 --> 0:16:36.760 I think it's Kentucky's to lose, and I would not 0:16:36.840 --> 0:16:40.280 be surprised if you saw a huge upset with someone 0:16:40.360 --> 0:16:43.600 like in Indiana or Wyoming getting hot and actually getting 0:16:43.600 --> 0:16:46.480 through all the way to the Elite eight against the Wildcats. 0:16:47.440 --> 0:16:49.720 All right, let's talk big picture here, Mike, So we 0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:53.000 already broke down the regions. Right now, we've gone through everything, 0:16:53.000 --> 0:16:54.560 the things that you like, the things that you don't. 0:16:54.960 --> 0:16:57.480 So let's talk a little long term here. When we're 0:16:57.520 --> 0:16:59.520 starting to look at the big picture. Now's the time 0:16:59.560 --> 0:17:02.120 to kind of put some money down on some bigger wagers, 0:17:02.160 --> 0:17:04.800 whether it be Final four, whether it be someone to 0:17:04.840 --> 0:17:07.280 win it all. Do you have any instincts right now 0:17:07.320 --> 0:17:08.879 for some of those bets that you want to put on. 0:17:09.240 --> 0:17:11.160 If you're going to take a future bet to win 0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:14.280 the national title, why would you take Kansas at plus 0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:17.040 eighteen hundred. You look at our betting pros consensus. When 0:17:17.080 --> 0:17:19.919 you can get Auburn at plus sixteen hundred in the 0:17:20.000 --> 0:17:23.400 same region if they meet, I'm getting double the value there. 0:17:23.800 --> 0:17:26.920 Other bets I like Arizona plus six hundred. You're getting 0:17:26.960 --> 0:17:29.399 six to one on a Wildcats team that may be 0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:32.159 number one right now in the country, that has a 0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:34.800 pretty decent draw and probably will not, like I said, 0:17:34.800 --> 0:17:37.159 play Illinois in that top half to get to the 0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:40.440 elite eight. Other long shots that I'm looking at, I'm 0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:42.080 usually Joe for some reason on. 0:17:42.080 --> 0:17:43.439 Futures A year early. 0:17:43.720 --> 0:17:46.960 I loved Tennessee. Last year Tennessee was picked to be 0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:50.080 the SEC champ last year in the preseason polls and 0:17:50.119 --> 0:17:52.960 they finished fourth. They were terrible this year. They have 0:17:53.160 --> 0:17:56.919 everything going for them and I like styles. Tennessee plays, 0:17:56.960 --> 0:18:01.360 lockdown defense, they have athletes Interchile. You can get them 0:18:01.359 --> 0:18:05.480 on our Betting Pros consensus plus twenty five hundred, definitely 0:18:05.520 --> 0:18:08.040 worth a look. And some long shots if you really 0:18:08.119 --> 0:18:10.199 want to get nuts and go crazy, some of the 0:18:10.200 --> 0:18:13.640 ones that I'm looking at here. How about Wisconsin at 0:18:13.680 --> 0:18:17.159 plus sixty six hundred. That's sixty six to one for 0:18:17.240 --> 0:18:19.680 a team that's going to be playing in the Confines 0:18:19.960 --> 0:18:24.000 under the nice, warm Afghan blanket of Milwaukee, Wisconsin for 0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:26.919 the first two rounds. So I like that Midwest region. 0:18:26.920 --> 0:18:28.720 I think you're going to be battle tested coming out 0:18:28.720 --> 0:18:30.880 of that. And there are some great future odds there 0:18:30.880 --> 0:18:32.560 if you want to grab any one of them. 0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:35.480 And you can view the consensus bracket over at Bettingpros 0:18:35.520 --> 0:18:38.919 dot com. And again, I just all you gotta do, folks, 0:18:38.960 --> 0:18:41.920 is just click on that NCAA Basketball tab. You'll see 0:18:41.960 --> 0:18:45.359 all the props, you'll see all the bracket optimizer, you'll 0:18:45.400 --> 0:18:49.000 see the leader boards, you'll see contests you can enter 0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:51.640 or we just mentioned one before, so everything is laid 0:18:51.680 --> 0:18:53.560 out here for you. So if you are getting involved 0:18:53.560 --> 0:18:54.960 in March Madness. 0:18:54.680 --> 0:18:55.800 This is your one stop shop. 0:18:55.840 --> 0:18:57.399