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Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey p Joe Pi Zapia and

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Speaker 1: it's week eighteen, and you know what that means. It's

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Speaker 1: time to look ahead at the final regular season week

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Speaker 1: of the NFL. Can you believe it? We're here already,

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Speaker 1: and there's some major playoff implications. Some teams are in,

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Speaker 1: some teams can get in, some teams need a lot

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Speaker 1: of help, and some teams, well they can't be helped

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Speaker 1: at all. But this team is here to help you.

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Speaker 1: It's Sam Hoppin, It's Pat fitz Morris, and it's me

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Speaker 1: and we're going to go through the sleigh talk about

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Speaker 1: the early value on some of the lines in week

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Speaker 1: eighteen where we see these games going. And last week,

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Speaker 1: Pat fitz Morris, it was another wild and wacky week

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Speaker 1: in the NFL, Arizona Cardinals getting the w against the Eagles.

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Speaker 1: But luckily your packers have found themselves in a winning

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Speaker 1: get in scenario. But you, my friends, seem to be

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Speaker 1: of little faithfull, he told me before the show.

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Speaker 2: Oh man, yeah, I just have a little bit of

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Speaker 2: trepidation about that matchup against the Bears. Show just because

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Speaker 2: the Bears have been playing so well. And we'll talk

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Speaker 2: about it a little later. But like, the Packers are

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Speaker 2: gonna have to truly earn their way into the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: The Bears are not gonna lay down for them. So

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Speaker 2: you know, if they win, they will have truly deserved it.

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Speaker 1: All right, So Pat is hedging, but Sam is not.

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Speaker 1: Sam is wrapping his Green Bay stuff right now. I

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Speaker 1: don't think you can see it in the pox. You

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Speaker 1: might have to pull that up a little bit, but

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Speaker 1: there you go. There it is. The Green Bay Packers

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Speaker 1: sweater is on this morning. So Sam, uh, this is

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Speaker 1: I think the unexpected, maybe the most unexpected potential playoff

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Speaker 1: appearance for the Packers. And what twenty five years for you?

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Speaker 3: I mean, but yeah, it's been a long time. I mean,

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Speaker 3: I don't know what expectations I really had for the

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Speaker 3: Packers going into the season. I mean, I think the

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Speaker 3: biggest thing was figuring out what Jordan Love is and

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Speaker 3: I think we sort of have at least they're going

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Speaker 3: to keep them around for another season or two, it

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Speaker 3: seems like. But I'm excited about their potential to make

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Speaker 3: the playoffs and and much more confident than my fellow.

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Speaker 1: She's had Pat's.

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Speaker 2: By the way, Joe thirty five years, I think was

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Speaker 2: the last. Oh and actually I take that back. They

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Speaker 2: didn't make it. It was nineteen eighty nine with Don Makowski.

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Speaker 2: Imagine ten and six and they didn't make it in

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Speaker 2: that year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Wow, you guys have had a good run. My

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Speaker 1: Patriots had a good run too. But all good things

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Speaker 1: come to an end. At least they lost this past weekend.

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Speaker 1: So thank goodness for that. I thank goodness for all

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Speaker 1: the coverage we have here. Don't forget if you were

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Speaker 1: having fun at Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros, subscribe to

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Speaker 1: our channels. But subscribe over a Betting Pros right now

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Speaker 1: because you will win a one year free premium upgrade

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Speaker 1: when you do. Just ring that bell for notifications, drop

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Speaker 1: a comment below on any video and that's it. That's

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Speaker 1: all you gotta do. And it's not just NFL. We've

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Speaker 1: also got the NBA Action Fast Break bets Matt Mody

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Speaker 1: taking you through the NBA slate every single Wednesday, every

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Speaker 1: single Friday, eleven am Eastern live right here on the channel.

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Speaker 1: So don't miss that because that had NBA Betton's getting

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Speaker 1: Hot woo wee. Good times. All right, let's start with

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Speaker 1: some good times, and all the games are on Sunday

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Speaker 1: because it's the last week of the season. Let's start

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Speaker 1: with Pittsburgh and Baltimore. Baltimore asserted itself with dominant, so

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Speaker 1: any any concerns I had about the Mottimore raven have

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Speaker 1: been put to bed. So I apologize on half of

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Speaker 1: myself that I did not believe enough of the Ravens,

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Speaker 1: and I had Miami on the money line because I

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Speaker 1: thought they were going to challenge them. They did not.

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Speaker 1: They did not. But here we are, so a lot

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Speaker 1: of teams again a week eighteen, Sam, this is the

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Speaker 1: tough thing. You get teams that are sitting players. Seems that,

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Speaker 1: you know, I can't do anything else. So when we're

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Speaker 1: talking about this line right here, right now, you have

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Speaker 1: Baltimore at four point underdogs, because the anticipation is they're

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Speaker 1: not going to be, you know, putting anybody out there.

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Speaker 1: They're going to take some weeks off and maybe they'll

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Speaker 1: play half a game. We'll see thirty six and a

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Speaker 1: half is the number plus one sixty five. And Sam

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Speaker 1: like this is the perfect example of a week eighteen

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Speaker 1: game already that is really difficult to gauge because of

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Speaker 1: the variables and implications of teams that are in and

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Speaker 1: have things to play for, teams that are in have

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Speaker 1: nothing to play for in teams that you know are

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Speaker 1: still fighting for their life. So what do you think

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Speaker 1: about this line? This is a game you stay away

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Speaker 1: from because of the implications of it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so Ravens already had the one seed in the

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Speaker 3: AFC line. I am wondering if they are going to

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Speaker 3: play some of the starters, given how twenty nineteen went

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Speaker 3: a couple of years ago when they had the ones

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Speaker 3: he'd locked up going in the final week, they sat

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Speaker 3: Lamar Jackson and some of their other starters and then

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Speaker 3: got the doors blown off them in the divisional round

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Speaker 3: against Tennessee. But I still think taking the double buy

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Speaker 3: for them is the optimal move. Mason Rudolph is going

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Speaker 3: to be starting again in this game for the Steelers.

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Speaker 3: It sounds like can you pick it will be the backup,

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Speaker 3: But I actually took the under thirty seven in this

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Speaker 3: game earlier this morning. Neither team is particularly fast paced.

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Speaker 3: The Ravens offense will obviously take a massive step back

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Speaker 3: without Lamar Jackson, and this Pittsburgh defense has still played

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Speaker 3: some decent games, the pass rush is still a force

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Speaker 3: to be reckoned with, and Pittsburgh has been on offense

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Speaker 3: a very run heavy team, especially over the last month.

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Speaker 3: So I think all of this leads me to again

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Speaker 3: the under in this game and a divisional matchup with

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Speaker 3: one team really needing the win.

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Speaker 1: Here, they need a win in some help, Pittsburgh needs

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Speaker 1: a win and a Buffalo loss, a win and a

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville loss or tie, a win at Houston, Indye tie,

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh tie, Jacksonville loss Houston, Indy doesn't end at a tie,

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Speaker 1: and then Jacksonville loss plus a Denver win plus a

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Speaker 1: Houston Indianapolis not ending at a tie. So there's a

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Speaker 1: lot of complicated things here, So Pat, let's make it simple.

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Speaker 1: Your thoughts on this Pittsburgh Baltimore game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I can't remember if it was like

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Speaker 2: twenty nine percent or thirty two percent, right in that range.

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Speaker 4: Basically a one third.

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Speaker 2: Chance for the Steelers to get into the playoffs per

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Speaker 2: NFL dot Com. So yeah, no incentive for the Ravens.

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Speaker 2: But Sam Rais is a really interesting point about their

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Speaker 2: last go round. Maybe John Harbaugh wants to take a

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Speaker 2: different approach after that and not totally lay down in

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Speaker 2: Week eighteen. But they're probably gonna rest starters early if

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Speaker 2: nothing else, So I don't trust the Steelers to take

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Speaker 2: care of business in one of the most hostile road

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Speaker 2: venues for any team in the league. And I really

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Speaker 2: don't want to bet on the team that's probably gonna

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Speaker 2: be resting players. But I do want to bet the under,

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Speaker 2: as Sam mentioned, and I got it at thirty seven

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Speaker 2: and a half. It feels like the totals should be

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Speaker 2: like thirty four and a half thirty five for this one,

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Speaker 2: so I think there is a lot of value on

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Speaker 2: the under.

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Speaker 1: Next one, here is a pick of Indianapolis hosting Houston.

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Speaker 1: Both teams are nine and seven Indie minus one right

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Speaker 1: now at home. Forty seven and a half is the number.

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Speaker 1: Pat you can get minus one to five or Houston

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Speaker 1: on the money line. You get minus one fifteen on

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Speaker 1: the money line for Indianapolis. Just scenario wise, to kind

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Speaker 1: of run through this real quick, Houston can clinch AFC

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Speaker 1: South Division title with a win a Jacksonville loss or tie.

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Speaker 1: They can clinch a playoff berth with a win a

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville or loss Anna Pittsburgh loss or tie, and then

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Speaker 1: Indy needs to win, and then he got a Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: loss or tie or a Indie win a Jacksonville loss,

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Speaker 1: so either one that is a good situation. So they

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Speaker 1: can even tie and still make the playoffs. So wacky

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Speaker 1: stuff here, But look, these teams have gotten this far.

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Speaker 1: She's do coaches on a great job pat all year

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Speaker 1: to get these two teams nine and seven, considering the

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Speaker 1: obstacles they've overcome. That being said, do you have a

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Speaker 1: lean here on one of the sides of this game?

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Speaker 5: Oh?

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Speaker 4: You know, I really don't show it.

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Speaker 2: I find it interesting though that this opened with the

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Speaker 2: Colts favored by two and a half and was quickly

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Speaker 2: beat down. And isn't it interesting, gentlemen, how the Texans

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Speaker 2: have become such a public team this year, And like

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Speaker 2: we've seen that a lot, Like there was a while

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Speaker 2: I was kind of consistently going against the Texans because

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Speaker 2: I didn't think we were getting any sort of value

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Speaker 2: on them. Like I feel like they have become a

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Speaker 2: public team. Everyone loves CJ. Stroud, everyone loves Damiko Ryans,

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Speaker 2: everyone loves the Texans. So yeah, I mean, the Colts

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Speaker 2: beat the Texans back in Week two. I don't know

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Speaker 2: if there are many takeaways. I mean, Anthony Richardson was

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Speaker 2: still playing at the time, and the Indie jumped out

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Speaker 2: to a big lead, but they were actually outgained in

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Speaker 2: that game. I believe the Colts are just so hard

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Speaker 2: to figure out. I mean, they've won six of their

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Speaker 2: last eight games, but they lost by twenty to the

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Speaker 2: Jake Browning led Bengals, and they lost to the Falcons

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Speaker 2: by nineteen, So like, you don't know when they're gonna

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Speaker 2: come out and lay an egg. I think the opening

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Speaker 2: line of Colts minus two and a half was probably

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Speaker 2: closer to what it should be than where the line

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Speaker 2: is sitting right now. But I'm just not sure I

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Speaker 2: want to bet the Colts this week. Yeah, I'm probably

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Speaker 2: just staying away.

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Speaker 1: I'm leading to the Colts on this one, Sam, just myself.

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Speaker 1: They're at home. You know, you're asking a new head

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Speaker 1: coach and a rookie QB to go on the road

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Speaker 1: to win the game. And I'm not saying CJ. Straus

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Speaker 1: not up for that task. I think he is. But

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Speaker 1: at the same time, if you look back at that

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Speaker 1: game earlier this year, you know, no, the Houston Texas

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Speaker 1: haven't allowed one hundred yard rusher all season. The guy

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Speaker 1: who came closest was actually Zach Moss with eighty eight,

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Speaker 1: which is a credit to the offensive line. I think

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Speaker 1: of the Indianapolis Colts and now they have Jonathan taylorrun

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Speaker 1: the football coming off a good game. I think Taylor

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Speaker 1: is the key to this game. His health and I

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Speaker 1: think they put the ball in Jonathan Taylor's hands in

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Speaker 1: this one. I think that's how they win. What do

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Speaker 1: you think.

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Speaker 3: I don't know that they'll be able to run the ball.

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Speaker 3: I mean, like you said, Houston's rushing defense has been great.

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Speaker 1: There.

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Speaker 3: They rank second in success rate allowed over the last

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Speaker 3: four seasons. Excuse me, over the last four weeks this season,

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Speaker 3: their rush defense is first and success rate and second

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Speaker 3: in rushing DVOA. So I think the way that Indy

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Speaker 3: is going to need to attack Houston is through the air.

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Speaker 3: But give me CJ. Stroud and the point or give

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Speaker 3: me give me the Texans on the money line. I mean,

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Speaker 3: he's he continues to play extremely well. They or the

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Speaker 3: Texans could have had a better day this past week

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Speaker 3: against Tennessee if not for their offense. Sort of sputtering

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Speaker 3: out in the red zone a couple of times, which

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Speaker 3: again makes me optimistic that they'll be able to move

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Speaker 3: the ball, especially against this Colts defense that doesn't really

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Speaker 3: have anything particularly special about them. So I love the

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Speaker 3: Texans in this spot. I think CJ. Stroud steps up

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Speaker 3: to the moment and delivers.

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Speaker 1: All Right, two teams I want nothing to do with

220
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Speaker 1: New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons. They're gonna be

221
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Speaker 1: in New Orleans. The New Orleans Saints are three and

222
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Speaker 1: a half point favorites in this one forty one and

223
00:10:12,160 --> 00:10:14,400
Speaker 1: a half is the number, and then plus one fifty

224
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Speaker 1: for the Atlanta Falcons, who have not played well on

225
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Speaker 1: the road all year. Sam, this is another you know,

226
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Speaker 1: kind of we'll evaluate Arthur Smith's situation. So I'm sure

227
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Speaker 1: theoretically the effort level here for Atlanta is going to

228
00:10:25,640 --> 00:10:29,320
Speaker 1: be high in terms of playoff implications. Obviously, you know,

229
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Speaker 1: it's a little bit different for them, so they're trying

230
00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:35,360
Speaker 1: to stay alive and see if they can somehow, you know,

231
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Speaker 1: figure it all out. But in your opinion here, the

232
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Speaker 1: way this line is set, I mean, it's a tough

233
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Speaker 1: sell for me to have any sort of faith in

234
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Speaker 1: either of these teams. New Orleans can clinch NFC South

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Speaker 1: with a win and a Tampa loss or tie if

236
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Speaker 1: they tie or Tampa loses, and then also they can

237
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Speaker 1: win and clinch a playoff berth with a Seattle loss

238
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Speaker 1: or tie, a green Bay loss or tie or no tie,

239
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Speaker 1: Seattle loss and green Bay life. So again complicated. But

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Speaker 1: for Atlanta, they gotta win and Tampa's gotta lose, and

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Speaker 1: then they're still alive in this thing. Your thoughts on

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Speaker 1: this contest.

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Speaker 3: I agree it's tough to really want to rely on

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Speaker 3: either side here, which is why I'm on the under

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Speaker 3: for this game as well. I expect we get Desmond

246
00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:19,280
Speaker 3: Ritter in this game. It sounds like they're going to

247
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Speaker 3: try to get Taylor Heinike ready to play for Atlanta,

248
00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:28,040
Speaker 3: but seems like it's not a given. Both defenses are

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Speaker 3: top six in early down success rates, so they're putting

250
00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:36,160
Speaker 3: teams behind the sticks early in the drive, and I

251
00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:40,000
Speaker 3: just think these offenses, especially if you're gonna make Atlanta

252
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Speaker 3: have to pass the ball, are not going to be

253
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Speaker 3: able to move it very well against the Saints defense,

254
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Speaker 3: which has had some good good games in the past,

255
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Speaker 3: obviously had a great game this past week against Tampa Bay.

256
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Speaker 3: So I like the under forty one and a half.

257
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Speaker 1: All right, the under for you? Sam? What about you? Pat?

258
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Speaker 1: What do you think about this one? Just stick with

259
00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:00,440
Speaker 1: the under two and avoiding the sides. I think that's

260
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Speaker 1: probably a good practice.

261
00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:07,319
Speaker 2: I'm not sure I like the under, and in fact,

262
00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:10,280
Speaker 2: I'm actually like a little inclined to bet the over.

263
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Speaker 5: Here.

264
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Speaker 2: The last time these two teams played, it was twenty

265
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Speaker 2: four to fifteen, so only thirty nine points. But yeah,

266
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Speaker 2: so last time they played twenty four to fifteen, but

267
00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:23,680
Speaker 2: we saw these teams go up and down the field.

268
00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:26,679
Speaker 2: There were over eight hundred yards of offense in that game,

269
00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:30,640
Speaker 2: only two offensive touchdowns, both of them by Bijon Robinson.

270
00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:33,720
Speaker 2: It's mainly because the Saints kept petering out near the

271
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Speaker 2: goal line. They had to settle for five Blake Groupie

272
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Speaker 2: field goals. So, boy, I don't know, Like, I think

273
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Speaker 2: this number is just low enough where I think there's

274
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Speaker 2: a smidge of value on the over, But I'm not

275
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Speaker 2: interested in either side. Joe, you said it two really

276
00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:55,240
Speaker 2: unpredictable teams, and you know, I just I don't know.

277
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Speaker 2: I'm not betting Arthur Smith and I don't want to

278
00:12:57,200 --> 00:12:58,840
Speaker 2: lay three and a half with the Saints either.

279
00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:03,600
Speaker 1: All right, Now, Jacksonville can clench a playoff birth with

280
00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:06,880
Speaker 1: a tie or a Pittsburgh lost or tie. If Pittsburgh

281
00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:10,040
Speaker 1: loses and Denver loses and Houston Indianapolis doesn't end to

282
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Speaker 1: the tie, Jacksonville's in now. Jacksonville can clinch the AFC

283
00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:16,160
Speaker 1: South if they just win. Just handle your business against

284
00:13:16,280 --> 00:13:18,839
Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans. That's all you gotta do here. So

285
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Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans are at home, Jacksonville's going on the road.

286
00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:24,800
Speaker 1: Tennessee is five point underdogs at home. It's a Mike

287
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Speaker 1: Rabel team. So my guess is they are going to

288
00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:30,040
Speaker 1: show up despite the five wins, and they are going

289
00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:32,600
Speaker 1: to play hard and try and ruin someone's day. Forty

290
00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:34,880
Speaker 1: is the number for this one plus one eighty on

291
00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:36,960
Speaker 1: the money line for Tennessee, which is a little tempting

292
00:13:37,000 --> 00:13:38,960
Speaker 1: to me. Pat, I don't know about you, because you

293
00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:41,280
Speaker 1: know nothing. I'm sure Mike Rabel would love more than

294
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Speaker 1: to stick it to somebody on the way out. Do

295
00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:46,040
Speaker 1: you think Tennessee has that ability to do that against Jacksonville,

296
00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:47,640
Speaker 1: or does Jacksonville go on the road and get a

297
00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:48,800
Speaker 1: w and get themselves in.

298
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Speaker 2: I think Tennessee absolutely has the ability to play spoiler

299
00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:54,959
Speaker 2: here at Joe and I didn't take them on the

300
00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:57,400
Speaker 2: money line, but I've already bet them with the points.

301
00:13:57,600 --> 00:14:01,840
Speaker 2: And look, yeah, first of all, the Jaguars had lost

302
00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:05,360
Speaker 2: four straight games before shutting out the Panthers twenty six nothing,

303
00:14:05,360 --> 00:14:07,400
Speaker 2: and I'm not ready to say that their ship has

304
00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:11,040
Speaker 2: been entirely righted just by virtue of shutting out the Panthers.

305
00:14:12,040 --> 00:14:12,880
Speaker 4: The other point I.

306
00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:15,319
Speaker 2: Want to make about this game, like, and this does

307
00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:18,160
Speaker 2: apply to some of the other Week eighteen games as well,

308
00:14:18,800 --> 00:14:21,480
Speaker 2: don't be so quick to dismiss the teams that have

309
00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:25,000
Speaker 2: been eliminated from the playoffs and seemingly have nothing to

310
00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:28,200
Speaker 2: play for. They want to go into the offseason on

311
00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:31,880
Speaker 2: an upbeat note, feeling good about themselves, and a win

312
00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:34,520
Speaker 2: gets a lot of the bad taste from a failed

313
00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:37,600
Speaker 2: season out of your mouth. So maybe the season didn't

314
00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:39,800
Speaker 2: go the way the Titans wanted to, But rather than

315
00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:43,960
Speaker 2: end the season with yet the taste of another loss,

316
00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:48,960
Speaker 2: they can spoil the Jaguars playoff hopes here and you know,

317
00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:51,560
Speaker 2: go out on a triumphant note. So Mike Vrabel seems

318
00:14:51,560 --> 00:14:54,520
Speaker 2: like a players coach. I think it's good players are

319
00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:56,920
Speaker 2: going to be up for this one. And yeah, I

320
00:14:58,080 --> 00:15:01,520
Speaker 2: think the Titans are a very good bat here say,

321
00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:02,160
Speaker 2: you know, I.

322
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Speaker 1: Think that's true of some teams and some coaches, But

323
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Speaker 1: I think other teams and other coaches, you know, don't

324
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Speaker 1: have their teams prepared. And that's why they're teams that

325
00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:11,160
Speaker 1: are out and those guys are thinking about their playing reservations.

326
00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:13,880
Speaker 1: They're not thinking about trying to get hurt. In Week eighteen,

327
00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:16,360
Speaker 1: the Titans feel a little bit more like what Pat's

328
00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:18,000
Speaker 1: talking about, like a team is going to be prepared.

329
00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:20,600
Speaker 1: That being said, do you think that you want the

330
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Speaker 1: Tennessee side of this game with the points because five

331
00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:23,920
Speaker 1: is a pretty decent number.

332
00:15:24,520 --> 00:15:27,440
Speaker 3: I do like Tennessee with the points here. The Jaguars

333
00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:31,640
Speaker 3: are just on a downward trajectory right now. They continue

334
00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:35,720
Speaker 3: to struggle on defense, their offenses losing pieces. They just

335
00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:40,680
Speaker 3: lost Jamal Agnew so they are down to Parker Washington

336
00:15:40,880 --> 00:15:45,200
Speaker 3: as their wide receiver too now. And this past week

337
00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:49,240
Speaker 3: was their first positive EPA day on offense since they

338
00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:51,960
Speaker 3: faced the Bengals in Week thirteen, and that obviously had

339
00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:55,240
Speaker 3: to come against a Panthers defense that has not played

340
00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:58,680
Speaker 3: well at all this season. So I really like Tennessee

341
00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:01,240
Speaker 3: with the points here, all right.

342
00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:03,320
Speaker 1: The next one here, the Detroit Lions are eleven to

343
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:06,760
Speaker 1: five hosting the Minnesota Vikings at seven to seven. The

344
00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:08,880
Speaker 1: Lions are five and a half point favorites, and the

345
00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:10,920
Speaker 1: consensus betting pros line forty six and a half is

346
00:16:10,960 --> 00:16:13,880
Speaker 1: the number Minnesota on the upset plus two zero five. Now, look,

347
00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:17,240
Speaker 1: Detroit doesn't have much to play. Four. They try their best,

348
00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:21,480
Speaker 1: but the referees they're not having it over the weekend

349
00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:24,080
Speaker 1: and now they're probably they're not in a position where

350
00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:26,120
Speaker 1: they've really changed too much in terms of their stars.

351
00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:29,200
Speaker 1: So they've won the division, They've locked that up. Do

352
00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:32,400
Speaker 1: you think you see Dan Campbell pushes guys further or

353
00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:34,800
Speaker 1: give him a little bit of a breather here, Sam,

354
00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:37,560
Speaker 1: as this game goes on and looking forward to the

355
00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:40,000
Speaker 1: ultimate success of the playoffs, Yeah.

356
00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:42,880
Speaker 3: I really can't tell, because that at worst they're going

357
00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:47,040
Speaker 3: to be the number three seed in the conference. They

358
00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:49,440
Speaker 3: only get to the number two seed if they win,

359
00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:53,480
Speaker 3: Aunt Dallas loses and Dallas plays in the late afternoon slot.

360
00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:58,440
Speaker 3: I don't think we know who's starting from Minnesota. I

361
00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:03,360
Speaker 3: expect it will be Nick Mullins. But this Detroit offense

362
00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:07,639
Speaker 3: has gotten back on track after a brief stint underperforming

363
00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:10,679
Speaker 3: they've had. They had three straight games without a success

364
00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:13,000
Speaker 3: rate over forty percent, and they've been above forty two

365
00:17:13,040 --> 00:17:15,560
Speaker 3: percent in each of the last three weeks. So if

366
00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:19,520
Speaker 3: the Lions are going to play their starters the full game,

367
00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:23,480
Speaker 3: which I think is what Dan Campbell will want to do,

368
00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:26,879
Speaker 3: given that's the only way that they can move up

369
00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:29,080
Speaker 3: to the number two seat, then I really like Detroit

370
00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:33,720
Speaker 3: with the points here because Minnesota's defense has has shown

371
00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:35,960
Speaker 3: some holes over the last couple of weeks, and again

372
00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:39,439
Speaker 3: I expect that the Lions to continue to click on offense.

373
00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:42,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, it seems like the season's taking its toll. Every

374
00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:44,159
Speaker 1: bounce that went their way last year has gone the

375
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:46,439
Speaker 1: opposite way, and all the injuries finally I think mounted

376
00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:49,600
Speaker 1: against Minnesota. I'm where Sam is. I'm on the signs

377
00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:51,320
Speaker 1: of the Lions of this game. And you know, Dan

378
00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:53,760
Speaker 1: Campbell is that kind of coach who wants to play

379
00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:56,439
Speaker 1: every second of every game and bind every kneecap. I

380
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,080
Speaker 1: mean it feels about right, doesn't.

381
00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:01,600
Speaker 2: It that it does show, and I feel like he's

382
00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:05,040
Speaker 2: gonna want to get momentum back after not winning that

383
00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:07,240
Speaker 2: game in Dallas, even though they should have won that

384
00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:10,280
Speaker 2: game in Dallas, and even though that was disappointing to

385
00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:12,240
Speaker 2: those of us who were greedy and took the Lions

386
00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,960
Speaker 2: on the money line rather than taking the points in

387
00:18:15,040 --> 00:18:19,080
Speaker 2: that game. Yeah, what a disappointing result that was. So yeah,

388
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,240
Speaker 2: I do feel like the Lions are going to play

389
00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:24,240
Speaker 2: it out. And I mean the Vikings are a hot

390
00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:26,320
Speaker 2: mess right now. Like, not only do they have this

391
00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,000
Speaker 2: quarterback situation where we don't know whether it's gonna be

392
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:31,760
Speaker 2: Nick Mullins, maybe the return of Josh Dobbs. I don't

393
00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,960
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be Jaron Hall again. But no matter

394
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:39,480
Speaker 2: who they put in, it's like resulting in turnovers galore.

395
00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:41,280
Speaker 4: And the Vikings.

396
00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,760
Speaker 2: Defense was a hot mess against the Packers. There were

397
00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:47,119
Speaker 2: guys running wide open, like no one within twenty yards

398
00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:49,480
Speaker 2: of them. So I think the Lions are going to

399
00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:50,640
Speaker 2: take care of business here.

400
00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:51,800
Speaker 4: You know.

401
00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:54,800
Speaker 2: The lack of motivation is maybe holding this number down

402
00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:55,320
Speaker 2: a little bit.

403
00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:57,960
Speaker 4: I like him. If I can get him at minus five.

404
00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:00,280
Speaker 1: This next game, I gotta be honest, boys, I want

405
00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:02,480
Speaker 1: nothing to do with. The Patriots are at home four

406
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:04,879
Speaker 1: and twelve minus two and a half against the New

407
00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:06,680
Speaker 1: York Jets. The number for this game is thirty and

408
00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:08,480
Speaker 1: a half plus one twenty for the Jets of the

409
00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:11,000
Speaker 1: money line. My temptation, Pat is to look for the

410
00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:14,000
Speaker 1: Jets here because there's something profound about the circle of

411
00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:18,080
Speaker 1: life where Bill Belichick dominates the Jets his entire career

412
00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:20,000
Speaker 1: and all these things and wins all these Super Bowls

413
00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:21,440
Speaker 1: and all this stuff, and then maybe the last game

414
00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:22,919
Speaker 1: he coaches could be a loss to the New York

415
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,399
Speaker 1: Jets in New England. I like the symmetry of that.

416
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:26,720
Speaker 1: It's a good story, but I don't know if I

417
00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:28,680
Speaker 1: can invest in it. At the end of the day,

418
00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:31,320
Speaker 1: look tough day at the office, probably for Breeze Hall,

419
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:33,920
Speaker 1: because they're really good against the run. You take that away,

420
00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:35,680
Speaker 1: then you're making the Jets quarterbacks beat you, and I

421
00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:37,760
Speaker 1: don't know if they're capable of that. I hate this game, Pat,

422
00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:39,040
Speaker 1: I'm running away your thoughts.

423
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:40,240
Speaker 4: I hate it too, Joe.

424
00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:43,400
Speaker 2: I initially thought I was going to betting the under

425
00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:45,400
Speaker 2: figure and we'd get a number at like thirty three

426
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:46,120
Speaker 2: or thirty four.

427
00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:47,440
Speaker 1: Nope, No, thirty.

428
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, they set this bar really low, so I don't

429
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:52,520
Speaker 2: even have any interest in betting that.

430
00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:54,200
Speaker 4: I'm walking away like you.

431
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:57,120
Speaker 1: All right, So pat and I have left for the evening, Sam,

432
00:19:57,119 --> 00:19:58,399
Speaker 1: would you like to join us out at the bar.

433
00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:02,920
Speaker 3: No, give me the Patriots and Bill Belichick and potentially

434
00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:08,199
Speaker 3: his final game as the Patriots head coach. That is

435
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:10,520
Speaker 3: my hard hitting analysis right there.

436
00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:13,280
Speaker 1: That makes me sad because the last thing I want

437
00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:15,160
Speaker 1: to do is the Patriots fans win another game and

438
00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,080
Speaker 1: ruin any more draft position already that we've ruined, So

439
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:20,960
Speaker 1: that makes me even more angry. But let's move on.

440
00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:24,439
Speaker 1: Carolina is gonna host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Boy, Tampa

441
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:27,360
Speaker 1: needs Carolina Panthers in the worst weight here. They had

442
00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:30,920
Speaker 1: it right there for themselves last week. Now they've put

443
00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:32,520
Speaker 1: themselves in this scenario where they got to win this

444
00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 1: week and keep that train going. Unfortunately, so they are

445
00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:36,760
Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites on the road, which

446
00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:38,560
Speaker 1: makes sense. That feels about right to me. Thirty seven

447
00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:40,280
Speaker 1: and a half is the number plus two hundred for

448
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,840
Speaker 1: the Carolina money line. Now, Carolina has nothing to play

449
00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:46,719
Speaker 1: for here, Sam. They are misery. They are terrible. Do

450
00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:49,200
Speaker 1: you think they can play spoiler here to Tampa Bay

451
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,560
Speaker 1: or do you think Tampa just goes out there and

452
00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:54,600
Speaker 1: from a personnel perspective, just handles them. And considering you

453
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,400
Speaker 1: know what we've seen sometimes from Mike Evans against Carolina,

454
00:20:57,440 --> 00:20:59,119
Speaker 1: this could be a lots of props on the overs

455
00:20:59,119 --> 00:20:59,800
Speaker 1: on Mike Evans.

456
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:03,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, this one. I think there's a couple of ways

457
00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:06,639
Speaker 3: to attack this one. I think that the Bucks, I

458
00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:10,480
Speaker 3: think take care of business. But if Tampa Bay leans

459
00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:13,560
Speaker 3: too heavily into the run, then I think Carolina has

460
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:17,120
Speaker 3: a chance to cover. Because Rashad White has been one

461
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:20,359
Speaker 3: of the worst rushers in the league this year. He's

462
00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 3: near the bottom and rushing yards over expectation. The Carolina

463
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:27,240
Speaker 3: rushing defense has actually been pretty solid in their pass

464
00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:32,119
Speaker 3: defense is what teams are having success doing. So with

465
00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:34,640
Speaker 3: Baker banged up a little bit, it sounds like he's

466
00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:38,399
Speaker 3: going to play, but and he has been playing really well.

467
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:42,600
Speaker 3: I do think that, you know, two drives into the game,

468
00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:46,440
Speaker 3: if Tampa Bay is leaning on the run, I think

469
00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:49,040
Speaker 3: there's a potential live betting opportunity with the carol with

470
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,840
Speaker 3: Carolina and the points. But I don't see a way

471
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,480
Speaker 3: that I want to attack it early on, before the

472
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:56,280
Speaker 3: game starts.

473
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 1: It makes sense to me here. I mean I don't

474
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:02,000
Speaker 1: have faith in Carolina to cover any number or really necessarily,

475
00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:04,439
Speaker 1: but Tampa, I just think is the better personnel. This is,

476
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,280
Speaker 1: this is this is a win in your in situation.

477
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,960
Speaker 1: I think Tampa handles their business. What do you think here, Pat.

478
00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 4: I think they probably handle their business, Joe.

479
00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,480
Speaker 1: But like with the five and a half, they're good

480
00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:15,920
Speaker 1: enough to give you pause. If this was three and

481
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:17,879
Speaker 1: a half, I think we feel much better about it.

482
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:20,120
Speaker 2: It is, and it's another one of those instances where

483
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,680
Speaker 2: maybe we see the Panthers rally just because like it's

484
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 2: been a nightmarish season. Maybe you don't feel as bad

485
00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:28,920
Speaker 2: about yourself if you go into the off season with

486
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:32,880
Speaker 2: like an upset win and really play the spoiler for

487
00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:37,400
Speaker 2: a divisional rival that needs this win badly. But yeah,

488
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:40,440
Speaker 2: for that reason, the bet here that I would want

489
00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:42,439
Speaker 2: to make if I were playing it, I mean, forced

490
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 2: to make about it, I'd probably want to bet Tampa,

491
00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 2: But I just I don't see enough value to do it.

492
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:47,639
Speaker 4: Joe.

493
00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,040
Speaker 2: What sort of total are we getting on a number

494
00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:51,560
Speaker 2: of drinks? Thrown by David Tepper.

495
00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:55,479
Speaker 1: This game, I'm gonna send it. I'm gonna set it

496
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 1: at one and a half because you know, you gotta

497
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,560
Speaker 1: imagine these double fit after last week for sure. By

498
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:03,239
Speaker 1: the way, the same Panther team that got shut out

499
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 1: by the Jaguars on Sunday. So I don't have too

500
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:08,879
Speaker 1: much trade. I'll take Tampa in the points here. I

501
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,800
Speaker 1: might close my eyes, but hopefully I get that one

502
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 1: big Mike Evans touchdown and that'll start to make me

503
00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 1: feel better as this game goes on, Cleveland Cincinnati. The

504
00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:20,200
Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns are going to the playoffs, folks with elite

505
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:23,280
Speaker 1: Joe Flacco, I love it. The Bengals are eight and eight.

506
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,119
Speaker 1: They're five point favorites, though at home, because Cleveland is

507
00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:27,840
Speaker 1: going to take their feet off the gas because there's

508
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,360
Speaker 1: nothing they can dearly do to better their situation. Thirty

509
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:31,920
Speaker 1: nine and a half is a number plus one point

510
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 1: eighty here on the Cleveland money line, which is kind

511
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:38,000
Speaker 1: of interesting here because, like I get it, Cincinnati pat

512
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:40,280
Speaker 1: is another team. Maybe they're playing for pride, but is

513
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:43,720
Speaker 1: that enough here against the backups of Cleveland to cover five?

514
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:46,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the thing, Joe, I mean, the Browns have

515
00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:50,320
Speaker 2: no incentive whatsoever being locked into that five seed. But

516
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:52,680
Speaker 2: maybe they play their starters for a quarter and a

517
00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:55,639
Speaker 2: half just to keep a little bit of momentum going

518
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:59,320
Speaker 2: into the first round. And as you said, really there's

519
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:03,280
Speaker 2: no momentum, no incentive for the Bengals either, having been

520
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 2: eliminated from the playoffs.

521
00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 4: So I'm just gonna walk away from this.

522
00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 1: One, all right. So Pat's walking away another game where

523
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 1: you don't know exactly who's going to be on the

524
00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 1: field for. How long do you see this one in

525
00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:14,320
Speaker 1: the same Sam.

526
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 3: No, I don't think Cleveland plays any of their major starters.

527
00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 3: There's really no incentive for them to. I understand that

528
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 3: the rest versus RUSS debate here, but I think some

529
00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:27,399
Speaker 3: of the injuries that Cleveland has suffered on defense is

530
00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:29,760
Speaker 3: enough for them to say, Okay, we don't want any

531
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,959
Speaker 3: more of those to happen, especially with guys like Miles

532
00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:37,400
Speaker 3: Garrett and Joe Flacco. But I do think one bigger trend,

533
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:39,439
Speaker 3: and I know I've mentioned this a number of times

534
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:42,639
Speaker 3: on the show this year, is in these games with

535
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:47,160
Speaker 3: very uncertain situations, just to bet the plus money odds

536
00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:51,400
Speaker 3: on these things to hopefully strike gold with the variants,

537
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:55,600
Speaker 3: So I think again, Cincinnati or excuse me, Cleveland has

538
00:24:55,680 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 3: a slight coaching advantage over Cincinnati as well, And I

539
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,080
Speaker 3: don't know. I I think taking the Browns on the

540
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 3: money line is the better way to play it than

541
00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 3: taking them with the points. So it's a weird situation

542
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:12,800
Speaker 3: because we have, again, one team with no way to

543
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 3: improve their playoff seating and one team that's eliminated as well,

544
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:21,120
Speaker 3: so there's really no incentive for either of them to win,

545
00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:25,359
Speaker 3: though a confidence boost might help a little. So uh,

546
00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:27,160
Speaker 3: that's the way I'd be leaning for this game.

547
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:29,800
Speaker 1: If Nick Chubb was healthy, would the Cleveland Browns be

548
00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 1: the most dangerous team in the AFC?

549
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:34,479
Speaker 3: SAM, I honestly don't know that Nick Chubb changes things

550
00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 3: that much, and I know that I know that's a

551
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:42,000
Speaker 3: little spicy to say, but they're they're passing the ball

552
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:46,200
Speaker 3: so well. Like the the Amari Cooper connection, the Elijah

553
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,960
Speaker 3: Moore connection has been working well. David and Joku is

554
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:51,800
Speaker 3: having a great you know, last month.

555
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:55,440
Speaker 1: After all these years to unlock David Joku. Who'd have

556
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 1: thought that was coming? Not not me, not me?

557
00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:00,200
Speaker 3: But I think I don't know, I don't I don't

558
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:03,560
Speaker 3: think it changes that much. I think the health on

559
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 3: defense is what worries me the most for my Browns

560
00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:09,280
Speaker 3: AFC championship future.

561
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:11,399
Speaker 1: What do you think, Patt, do you think of Nick

562
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,160
Speaker 1: Chubb was still kicking around here? I mean, it's great

563
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:14,880
Speaker 1: to be throwing the football, but imagine having Nick Chub

564
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:17,000
Speaker 1: running it too, with that passing attack and running the

565
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 1: play action off him. I mean, geez, what could have been?

566
00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 1: I guess that's kind of the question.

567
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, and make the Browns offense a little

568
00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:27,960
Speaker 2: more dangerous. But you know, there's the whole how much

569
00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 2: do running backs matter?

570
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 4: Debates?

571
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 2: And Jerome Ford is actually yeah, Jerome Ford's good though,

572
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:36,399
Speaker 2: Like I like Jerome Ford, So I mean, no question,

573
00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 2: nick healthy Nick Chobb is the better running back. But

574
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:41,680
Speaker 2: it's not like they don't have a running game with

575
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:45,439
Speaker 2: Ford and a little bit of Kareem Hunt sprinkled in.

576
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:47,840
Speaker 2: So like, the Browns are going to be one of

577
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,920
Speaker 2: the I can't wait to watch their first round playoff game,

578
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 2: Like this is one of the teams I'm most excited

579
00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:56,240
Speaker 2: about watching. In the first weekend of the playoffs.

580
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,399
Speaker 1: Seattle can clinch a playoff berth with a win or

581
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,679
Speaker 1: a and a Green Bay loss or tie, or a

582
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:06,080
Speaker 1: green Bay loss and a Tampa Bay loss or with

583
00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:08,120
Speaker 1: a tie of their own and a green Bay loss,

584
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:09,600
Speaker 1: and in New Orleans ties. So I hope you're all

585
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:12,280
Speaker 1: keeping track at home of all these scenarios here. Basically,

586
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 1: if you're Seattle, you gotta win a football game here.

587
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:16,360
Speaker 1: That's what you got to do and hope for the best. Now,

588
00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,520
Speaker 1: the problem is they're in that later window, so I

589
00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:20,520
Speaker 1: don't know how much it's going to change effort level wise,

590
00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 1: but they are eight and eight going to Arizona. This

591
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:23,960
Speaker 1: is the first of the four o'clock games we're going

592
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:26,879
Speaker 1: to talk about here. Three point favorites. They are on

593
00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:28,960
Speaker 1: the road against Arizona. Forty seven and a half is

594
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:31,720
Speaker 1: the total plus one thirty five for Arizona on the

595
00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:34,040
Speaker 1: money line. Sam will start with you on this one here,

596
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:37,480
Speaker 1: Seattle on the road with the three or do you

597
00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:38,719
Speaker 1: like Arizona for the upset?

598
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:44,120
Speaker 3: My one note is no idea. I think I take

599
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 3: the Cardinals here. I mean they've they've played well against

600
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 3: the Eagles, who I know are struggling quite a bit,

601
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 3: but Seattle's defense has taken a big step back here.

602
00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:58,920
Speaker 3: Kyler Murray is playing Okay, I don't know. Yeah, I'm

603
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:00,400
Speaker 3: staying away from this game right.

604
00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:03,560
Speaker 1: Now, understandably. So, Pat, are you also somebody who's letting

605
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:06,640
Speaker 1: this one go in week eighteen, because well, it's complicated.

606
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:09,560
Speaker 2: I am letting this one go, Joe. It is complicated.

607
00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 2: It's a really interesting line. And man, the Cardinals are

608
00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:15,320
Speaker 2: plucky and kind of have been all year for the

609
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:17,480
Speaker 2: most part, Like even when they didn't have Kyler Murray,

610
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:21,200
Speaker 2: they were scrappy with Josh Dobbs and you know, taking

611
00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:25,119
Speaker 2: down the Eagles. What a feather in Jonathan Gannon's cap,

612
00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,760
Speaker 2: pardon the pun with the Eagles. But so now they

613
00:28:28,760 --> 00:28:30,840
Speaker 2: get another Bird team that they could knock off.

614
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:32,359
Speaker 4: The Seahawks.

615
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:34,640
Speaker 2: Yes, still have a chance to squeeze into the playoffs.

616
00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:38,239
Speaker 2: They're highly motivated. But I can't bet the Seahawks here

617
00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 2: with the way their defense is completely fallen apart. I mean,

618
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:45,040
Speaker 2: they are having some major issues, Like this was a

619
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 2: pretty good defense earlier in the season, and right now, man,

620
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:52,120
Speaker 2: they are just they have gone to seed. So no,

621
00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 2: thank you, I'm just I'm not going to bet this one, all.

622
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:57,280
Speaker 1: Right, Pat. Here we go Green Bay Packers at home

623
00:28:57,280 --> 00:29:01,000
Speaker 1: against Chicago. They aren't home though they are three point

624
00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 1: favorites understandably, so the number for this game is forty

625
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:06,040
Speaker 1: four plus one. Forty on the Chicago side. And that's

626
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:08,960
Speaker 1: where you seem to be living these days. So let's

627
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:10,720
Speaker 1: expand a little bit more on your take on this game.

628
00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:15,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, literally living on the Chicago side here in enemy territory.

629
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:19,160
Speaker 2: So the Bears have won for their last five show

630
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,640
Speaker 2: and they slapped around the Falcons last week in a

631
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:26,960
Speaker 2: big way. Their nice little month long run also includes

632
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,720
Speaker 2: victories over the other two teams in the NFC North,

633
00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:33,000
Speaker 2: the Lions and the Vikings, and as well as the

634
00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:36,280
Speaker 2: Packers played against the Vikings on New Year's Eve, and

635
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 2: you know, the Vikings quarterback problems finally gave the Packers

636
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 2: an offense that could make them look good because the

637
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 2: Packers have really struggled on DEFENSI of late, you know,

638
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:50,760
Speaker 2: allowing almost four hundred passing yards to Baker Mayfield, then

639
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 2: over three hundred passing yards to Bryce Young. I am

640
00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:58,560
Speaker 2: worried about what might Justin Fields might be able to

641
00:29:58,600 --> 00:30:01,840
Speaker 2: do to the Packers, and the Chicago defense has been

642
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:04,720
Speaker 2: terrific lately. So I hate to say it, but I

643
00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 2: do see value in the Bears at plus three, and

644
00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:12,400
Speaker 2: you know, for personal reasons, rather than take the field goal,

645
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:14,480
Speaker 2: I've got it on the money line. I've got the

646
00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 2: Bears at plus one forty eight. That way, I'm either

647
00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 2: happy about the Packers winning and making the playoffs or

648
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:20,600
Speaker 2: I win some money.

649
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:23,520
Speaker 1: Okay, I think that's a very healthy thing to do here,

650
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,560
Speaker 1: Pat Sam, your confidence is now going to be tested.

651
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:29,480
Speaker 1: Both these teams coming off wins in Week seventeen, pretty

652
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:32,239
Speaker 1: decisive ones too. So where do you stand with the

653
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:34,840
Speaker 1: lines when it comes to Packers and Bears?

654
00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:38,920
Speaker 3: Give me the Packers and the points. I know Jordan

655
00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:42,240
Speaker 3: Love had a bad game against the Giants a couple

656
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:45,920
Speaker 3: of weeks ago, but he's played phenomenally over the last

657
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 3: half of the season. He has five games with a

658
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 3: PFF grade in the seventy fifth percentile in his last

659
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 3: nine games. He's really clicking with these receivers. Obviously, Jordan

660
00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 3: Reid potentially being out would be a huge hit because

661
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 3: he seems like they're most dynamic player on offense right now.

662
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 3: But the depth, while again the level of receiver that

663
00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 3: the Packers have is not necessarily at the top tier,

664
00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,800
Speaker 3: but I think the depth that they have and that

665
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:17,960
Speaker 3: all of these guys can step up has been a

666
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:21,000
Speaker 3: true testament to how they've grown over the second half

667
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 3: of the season. So, you know, imagine thinking that the

668
00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:27,320
Speaker 3: Chicago Bears are going to come into Lambeau in Week

669
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:31,800
Speaker 3: eighteen with a future Hall of Fame quarterback and are

670
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,040
Speaker 3: going to win the game, Like, come on, give me

671
00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:36,719
Speaker 3: the Packers go pack up.

672
00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:38,280
Speaker 4: There's no hedging for Sam.

673
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 2: So you know, Sam, if the Packers lose this, I'm

674
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:42,960
Speaker 2: gonna have to drive down to the city to buy

675
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:45,480
Speaker 2: you a beer with my winnings apparently, so you can drive.

676
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 1: Your Well that's a very nice thing of you to

677
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 1: do there, Pat. I'll say this, My favorite thing is

678
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:52,479
Speaker 1: to take the Packers on the money line and combine

679
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:56,000
Speaker 1: that with anytime touchdown for Jaden Reed just a tough guy.

680
00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:59,000
Speaker 1: He scores every single week. I know he's got another injury.

681
00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 1: I think he'll play through because this is a very

682
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 1: important game here. You win, you get in So Reed

683
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,400
Speaker 1: has been money seven touchdowns and seven games. I mean

684
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:08,880
Speaker 1: put those two things together, you're probably getting the plus money.

685
00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 1: That's the way I attached this one right here and

686
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 1: gonna attack it all right. Next one here, the Philadelphia Eagles.

687
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:18,400
Speaker 1: Rough times for the Philadelphia Eagles lately, gentlemen, They're gonna

688
00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:20,760
Speaker 1: go to New York to take on the New York Giants.

689
00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 1: The Giants are five point underdogs at home, as they

690
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:26,840
Speaker 1: theoretically should be. Forty one is the number plus one

691
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 1: ninety five on the money line for the Giants. Now, Sam,

692
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:32,920
Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but Taylor putting up twenty

693
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:36,000
Speaker 1: fantasy points last week, Taylor throwing the football, Taylor rushing

694
00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:39,480
Speaker 1: a little bit. Giants would have a great wide receiver corp.

695
00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 1: But I don't if it matters right now. This Eagles

696
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:42,960
Speaker 1: defense just seems to be falling apart of the seams.

697
00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 1: I like the Giants and the points on this side.

698
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 1: I'm not saying the Giants went outright, but I'm taking

699
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:48,680
Speaker 1: the points. What are you doing with this one?

700
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't have a leaning on the side to

701
00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:56,160
Speaker 3: your point, like, the Eagles secondary is still a mess

702
00:32:56,320 --> 00:32:59,000
Speaker 3: in then they just got gashed on the ground by

703
00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:02,040
Speaker 3: the Cardinals and racked up over two hundred rushing yards

704
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:07,000
Speaker 3: against them. Again, the Eagles have been playing extremely well

705
00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 3: in terms of rushing defense this year, but I think

706
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 3: the way I want to attack this is some of

707
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,360
Speaker 3: the player props with the Giants wide receivers. I know

708
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:19,600
Speaker 3: we don't talk about player props much on this show,

709
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:22,959
Speaker 3: but just looking at again the way to attack the Eagles,

710
00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:26,400
Speaker 3: I think wide receivers are targeted at the highest rate

711
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:30,440
Speaker 3: against the Eagles, So that's the way I'm looking. You know,

712
00:33:30,520 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 3: the Giants got a little bit lucky with the punt

713
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:38,920
Speaker 3: turn touchdown against the Rams this past week, So if

714
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:44,120
Speaker 3: it's Tyrod Taylor, I'm certainly more bullish on the Giants

715
00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 3: than if it's Tommy DeVito or someone else.

716
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,480
Speaker 1: All Right, your thoughts, Pat Fitzmorris on this contest here,

717
00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 1: I tell you I'm on the Giant side of this

718
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:54,120
Speaker 1: when the Eagles are not making me feel real good.

719
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:57,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, maybe I'm walking into a snare trap, Joe, but

720
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:01,720
Speaker 2: I've already bet the Eagles here, okay, and they I mean,

721
00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 2: no question, they are staggering. They have lost for their

722
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 2: last five and their only win during that stretch was

723
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:10,200
Speaker 2: against these Giants, but they only won by eight and

724
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:13,799
Speaker 2: didn't cover in that game. So I just feel like

725
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 2: this Eagles team still has a great deal of talent,

726
00:34:17,160 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 2: even though the recent results have not reflected that. There's

727
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:22,080
Speaker 2: no way they should have lost to a team like

728
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:24,600
Speaker 2: the Cardinals at this late date in the season with

729
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:27,880
Speaker 2: so much on the line. Hopefully that loss fires up

730
00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:30,320
Speaker 2: this team, and I think Nick Siriani is going to

731
00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:33,319
Speaker 2: want to build some momentum going into the playoffs. So

732
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,359
Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the points and take the Eagles.

733
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, if you look back here, not that long ago too.

734
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:40,520
Speaker 1: I mean, you've got a scenario where you know, they

735
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 1: played the Eagles a couple of weeks ago and the

736
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:44,840
Speaker 1: Eagles won thirty three to twenty five. You know, I

737
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:46,640
Speaker 1: always hate when teams play each other twice in a

738
00:34:46,680 --> 00:34:50,080
Speaker 1: short period of time too. That's never typically a good thing.

739
00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:52,439
Speaker 1: Usually it's very close there, all right, Next one here

740
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,719
Speaker 1: on the Slaves, we continue to roll through the Rams

741
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:57,839
Speaker 1: and forty nine ers. The forty nine ers have put

742
00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:00,400
Speaker 1: themselves on a good spot here, but the Rams, Mike goodness,

743
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:02,319
Speaker 1: if they come on hot of late. The number for

744
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:04,480
Speaker 1: this game is forty two and a half if you

745
00:35:04,520 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 1: like the Rams and the money lines plus one fifty

746
00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:08,640
Speaker 1: minus three and a half here for the San Francisco

747
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 1: forty nine Ers. Pat your thoughts on this one. Obviously,

748
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 1: yesterday last week, I should say they handled their business,

749
00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:18,920
Speaker 1: but the Christian McCaffrey injury certainly something to keep a

750
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 1: close eye on.

751
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, the forty nine Ers are locked into the number

752
00:35:22,520 --> 00:35:25,600
Speaker 2: one seed. The Rams are locked into a playoff spot,

753
00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:27,839
Speaker 2: and the only motivation for them is trying to get

754
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:30,359
Speaker 2: the sixth seed rather than the seventh seed. I don't

755
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:34,120
Speaker 2: know that that is that much motivation. I'm sitting this

756
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:35,880
Speaker 2: one out, Sam.

757
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:39,000
Speaker 1: Do you think that this is a measuring stick game

758
00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:40,799
Speaker 1: for the Rams? Even if the forty nine ers are

759
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:43,160
Speaker 1: sitting people where, you know, they start to say, hey, look,

760
00:35:43,160 --> 00:35:44,920
Speaker 1: we are good enough to compete here, let's go in there.

761
00:35:44,920 --> 00:35:46,920
Speaker 1: It kind of, you know, harken back to you know,

762
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:48,719
Speaker 1: back in the day where the New York Giants took

763
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:53,600
Speaker 1: on and lost that perfect season against the New England Patriots,

764
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 1: but they realized that they could hang with the big boys,

765
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:57,200
Speaker 1: and it was a big confidence builder for them. Is

766
00:35:57,239 --> 00:35:58,879
Speaker 1: that the kind of game we could be looking at

767
00:35:58,880 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 1: here for the Rams?

768
00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:03,480
Speaker 3: I don't necessarily think so. I mean, they took the

769
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:07,319
Speaker 3: Ravens toe to toe and lost in overtime just a

770
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:10,360
Speaker 3: couple of weeks ago, and the Ravens, some might consider

771
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 3: are are the best team in the NFL. And I

772
00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 3: think again, especially if San Francisco's players, I would expect

773
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 3: they they do in this game because when they all

774
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:24,359
Speaker 3: of their key starters have been healthy this year, they

775
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:27,759
Speaker 3: have been an absolute wagon. And so I don't think

776
00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:30,960
Speaker 3: they want to risk players like Trent Williams, like Rock Purty,

777
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:35,840
Speaker 3: Debo and all those other guys getting hurt because health

778
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:39,120
Speaker 3: is the number one thing for them. So I like

779
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,919
Speaker 3: the Rams on the money line here. Again, the one

780
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:45,719
Speaker 3: point went over the Giants is not all that inspiring.

781
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:49,720
Speaker 3: It was probably Matthew Stafford's worst game in quite some time.

782
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:54,360
Speaker 3: But I think again the sixteed versus seven seed probably

783
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:59,600
Speaker 3: doesn't sound huge, but it could be the difference in

784
00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:03,640
Speaker 3: them to play San Francisco in the divisional round if

785
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:06,760
Speaker 3: whoever ends up being the seven seed wins their game.

786
00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:11,440
Speaker 3: So I think they they have all the more motivation

787
00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:17,759
Speaker 3: than San Francisco does. And again, Matthew Stafford could be again,

788
00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:20,000
Speaker 3: if not for Lamar Jackson, could be in the MVP

789
00:37:20,200 --> 00:37:22,080
Speaker 3: consideration as well.

790
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:24,520
Speaker 1: All Right, Denver at eight and eight to Las Vegas

791
00:37:24,560 --> 00:37:26,759
Speaker 1: at seven and nine. How Denver is eight and eight,

792
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,560
Speaker 1: I'll never know. I don't understand how that's possible. In fact,

793
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:31,080
Speaker 1: I sometimes they have to rub my eyes just to

794
00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:34,360
Speaker 1: make sure that I'm actually seeing that correctly. But Vegas

795
00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 1: is at home. They're two and a half point favorites.

796
00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:38,560
Speaker 1: Thirty eight is the number plus one twenty on the

797
00:37:38,560 --> 00:37:41,160
Speaker 1: Denver money line. Now, look, Vegas, you know, can't really

798
00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:43,000
Speaker 1: do anything here. But at the same time, I think

799
00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 1: this is Antonio Pierce trying to continue to make statements

800
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:47,680
Speaker 1: that he deserves to have this job. So I think

801
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:50,200
Speaker 1: they're going to get full effort out of this team.

802
00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 1: That's why I like the Raiders side of this game.

803
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:53,680
Speaker 1: I don't have a lot of faith in the Denver Broncos.

804
00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:55,040
Speaker 1: I know they eked out a win last week. I

805
00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:56,839
Speaker 1: don't care. I think this is the perfect trap where

806
00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:58,640
Speaker 1: people are gonna say, oh, look, Denver eked out or win,

807
00:37:59,080 --> 00:38:02,719
Speaker 1: they have something to potentially No, I'm gonna go with

808
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:05,279
Speaker 1: the Raiders here, just putting an end to the Denver

809
00:38:05,320 --> 00:38:07,800
Speaker 1: Bronco season. Your thoughts, Sam, do you agree or disagree

810
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:08,400
Speaker 1: with that notion?

811
00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:13,080
Speaker 3: I agree. I this is probably my strongest conviction play

812
00:38:13,080 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 3: of the week is the Las Vegas Raiders minus two

813
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 3: and a half. The Las Vegas defense continues to play

814
00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:21,040
Speaker 3: really well under Antonio.

815
00:38:21,120 --> 00:38:21,359
Speaker 1: Peers.

816
00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:24,840
Speaker 3: The now third in early down EPA per play this season.

817
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,240
Speaker 3: Their rush defense is first in EPA per play allowed

818
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 3: over the last four weeks, despite Las Vegas using the

819
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:36,960
Speaker 3: second highest rate of light boxes on defense. I used

820
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 3: to think that, you know, having a defensive guy at

821
00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:43,160
Speaker 3: coach is not the right way to go about building

822
00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:46,920
Speaker 3: a team, But in my opinion, Antonio Pierce has earned

823
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:51,120
Speaker 3: that job. Again, if you're going to have a defensive

824
00:38:51,600 --> 00:38:54,839
Speaker 3: coach as your head coach, at least have someone who

825
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:57,000
Speaker 3: can be a culture builder. And I think he's done

826
00:38:57,040 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 3: that in Las Vegas. I think he's earned the job.

827
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:02,680
Speaker 3: I think trying to find someone outside of the organization

828
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:06,839
Speaker 3: is going to be a tough task, especially, you know,

829
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:09,480
Speaker 3: with some of their best players on defense right now,

830
00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:12,399
Speaker 3: especially Max Crosby. So I love the Raiders. I love

831
00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:15,080
Speaker 3: what Antonio Pierce is doing. I think a huge credit

832
00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:18,000
Speaker 3: to him getting this team to where they are right now.

833
00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 1: Pat, we're both on the Raiders. Are you coming with us? Man?

834
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:26,120
Speaker 2: I think I might have to piggyback you guys. As

835
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,839
Speaker 2: convinced as you are. I had a slight leaning toward

836
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 2: the Raiders, but have not bet this one early, and

837
00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:35,360
Speaker 2: you guys are selling me like I do. Think the

838
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:40,120
Speaker 2: Raiders defense is vastly underrated, and that's actually part of

839
00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:42,200
Speaker 2: the reason why the play I like more in this

840
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:44,719
Speaker 2: game is the under. I think this is going under

841
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:47,520
Speaker 2: thirty eight. I mean, we've got Jared Stidham against Aidan

842
00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:51,719
Speaker 2: O'Connell in this game and that underrated Raiders defense, So

843
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:55,000
Speaker 2: you know, you can absolutely interest me in the under here.

844
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:57,960
Speaker 2: And by the way, Joe, the Broncos season, what an

845
00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:01,720
Speaker 2: interesting Bell Curve season. They've just terrible out of the gates,

846
00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:04,880
Speaker 2: then actually pretty good for a while at mid season,

847
00:40:05,400 --> 00:40:07,279
Speaker 2: and then terrible again to end things.

848
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:09,960
Speaker 4: So it's been an early usual season.

849
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 1: It's so funny they're eliminated from the playoffs at eight

850
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:14,200
Speaker 1: and eight, and this does is a matter of pride,

851
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:16,400
Speaker 1: like you get that, you know, that winning season with

852
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:18,560
Speaker 1: that last w and then Sean Payton can say, hey,

853
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:21,160
Speaker 1: I went in there, I won, I cleaned up the mess.

854
00:40:21,200 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 1: Here we're gonna move on from Russell Wilson. This was

855
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 1: my year of evaluating and like the end of season

856
00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:27,839
Speaker 1: nine to eight, taking over a team that was such

857
00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:30,239
Speaker 1: a huge mess last year, I think is an accomplishment.

858
00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:32,239
Speaker 1: I just don't think he's gonna get there. I think

859
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:34,759
Speaker 1: Vegas at the end of the day is gonna you know,

860
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:37,160
Speaker 1: they're both gonna be eight to nine teams when the

861
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:38,840
Speaker 1: dust settles on a week eighteen. That's just kind of

862
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,240
Speaker 1: where I see them. The Kansaity Chiefs, Boy boy, the Chiefs.

863
00:40:42,880 --> 00:40:46,319
Speaker 1: They finally got a victory there. They're gonna take on

864
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:50,040
Speaker 1: the Chargers this week. Now. The Chargers are two point

865
00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:53,359
Speaker 1: favorites at home because there's really not too much here

866
00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:55,799
Speaker 1: to play for for the Kansady Chiefs. Thirty six is

867
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 1: the number for this one plus one ten, So Pat,

868
00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:02,319
Speaker 1: you know, I guess there's two arguments here. You know.

869
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 1: Is it smart for the Chiefs to kind of just

870
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:08,440
Speaker 1: sit back and regroup and rest their weary heads a

871
00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:10,799
Speaker 1: little bit, or should they be going out there and

872
00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:13,200
Speaker 1: trying to figure out what's going on and go beat

873
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:15,719
Speaker 1: up on a bad Chargers team and have some confidence

874
00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:16,719
Speaker 1: going into the playoffs.

875
00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:19,480
Speaker 2: You could make a case for that, Joe, But I

876
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:22,680
Speaker 2: actually think, like against the Bengals, we saw that offense

877
00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:25,560
Speaker 2: function probably better than it has at any other point

878
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 2: last month and a half. So maybe they just rest

879
00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:31,040
Speaker 2: on their laurels, and I think you got to rest

880
00:41:31,080 --> 00:41:33,399
Speaker 2: the franchise at this point and not take any risks,

881
00:41:33,400 --> 00:41:36,280
Speaker 2: because if you lose Patrick Mahomes, that's it. Your season

882
00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:40,640
Speaker 2: is over. So I really doubt we see him there.

883
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:43,120
Speaker 4: But you know, just no real.

884
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:45,680
Speaker 2: Incentive for the Chiefs being locked into that third seed.

885
00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:49,040
Speaker 2: But do I trust the East and stick led Chargers

886
00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 2: to beat that you? I do not, especially with I mean,

887
00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:56,319
Speaker 2: they could not generate anything in the passing game last

888
00:41:56,360 --> 00:42:00,719
Speaker 2: week with no Keenan Allen, no Josh Palmer. I don't

889
00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:03,279
Speaker 2: see what the incentive is to bring Keenan Allen back.

890
00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:08,480
Speaker 4: No the veteran. Yeah, so I just I'm not interested

891
00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:09,520
Speaker 4: in playing this game at all.

892
00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:12,360
Speaker 1: That's fair enough. Sam. Are you out on this one too? No?

893
00:42:12,560 --> 00:42:15,040
Speaker 3: I like the Chiefs money line here again for some

894
00:42:15,080 --> 00:42:19,480
Speaker 3: of the reasons Pat mentioned, Just that the Charters offense

895
00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 3: has been abysmal. I think the Chiefs, with even some

896
00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:27,560
Speaker 3: of their backups on defense, will be able to lock

897
00:42:27,640 --> 00:42:30,680
Speaker 3: this one up again. And Andy Reid is still a

898
00:42:30,680 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 3: good play caller. I think whoever backs up I don't

899
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:36,200
Speaker 3: even know who backs up Patrick Mahomes at this point,

900
00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:39,520
Speaker 3: but there's no reason to start Patrick Mahomes in this game.

901
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:42,319
Speaker 3: As long as he's healthy, he gives the Chiefs a

902
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 3: chance to win, and winning a meaningless Week eighteen game

903
00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:49,239
Speaker 3: is not nearly as important as winning in the wild

904
00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:49,799
Speaker 3: card round.

905
00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:55,960
Speaker 2: I think we're getting blame Gabbart, aren't web.

906
00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:59,440
Speaker 1: That seems to be the case. Dallas at Washington, Dallas

907
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:01,400
Speaker 1: is thirteen point favorites of this one. Forty four and

908
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:03,720
Speaker 1: a half is the number plus five point fifty Sam.

909
00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:06,160
Speaker 1: It's a big number on the road. We talked about

910
00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:07,840
Speaker 1: the big number on the road last week in Washington.

911
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:09,440
Speaker 1: So it feels like we're right back where we started

912
00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:12,680
Speaker 1: from in Week seventeen. Your thoughts on this one here?

913
00:43:13,000 --> 00:43:16,000
Speaker 1: That was seventeen points where they were behind, and of

914
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:17,560
Speaker 1: course the last minute we thought we were going to

915
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:19,480
Speaker 1: get Jacoby Brissett all the way up until Sunday and

916
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:20,200
Speaker 1: that was not the case.

917
00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:23,880
Speaker 3: Give me the Cowboys and the points. I mean that

918
00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:27,960
Speaker 3: the Commanders kept it close against the forty nine ers

919
00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:30,719
Speaker 3: this past week up until halftime, and then it was

920
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 3: just the forty nine Ers are like, Okay, we need

921
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 3: to put this out of reach, and they did so

922
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:40,279
Speaker 3: with ease. Again, I think with this game and potentially

923
00:43:40,600 --> 00:43:42,720
Speaker 3: you know some of the other games too, with these

924
00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:45,440
Speaker 3: you know games of how much again are they going

925
00:43:45,520 --> 00:43:47,759
Speaker 3: to start their starter or play their starters? All that

926
00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:49,960
Speaker 3: sort of stuff is to keep an eye, you know,

927
00:43:50,080 --> 00:43:53,320
Speaker 3: do some scoreboard watching yourself, and look, if the Eagles

928
00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:59,319
Speaker 3: are trailing, I mean, look, you know, possibly place a

929
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:03,520
Speaker 3: bet on the Commanders to cover because the Cowboys might

930
00:44:03,600 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 3: sit they're starters for you know, the last quarter or

931
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:10,759
Speaker 3: something like that. So that's it. Give me the Cowboys at.

932
00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:14,680
Speaker 1: The points, all right, Pat too many points for you

933
00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 1: or you like the Cowboys as well?

934
00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:17,359
Speaker 4: Oh man?

935
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:19,719
Speaker 2: I mean the Cowboys need this one. They're the far

936
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:23,960
Speaker 2: superior team. The Commanders have lost seven straight. Sam Howell

937
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:26,000
Speaker 2: has been kind of a train wreck over the last

938
00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:28,680
Speaker 2: month after playing pretty well for much of the season.

939
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:32,440
Speaker 2: I'm leaning Cowboys, but I haven't bet it yet. This

940
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:35,640
Speaker 2: is it's just in that zone where I do not

941
00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:39,239
Speaker 2: like laying this many points in NFL games. It's just,

942
00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:43,399
Speaker 2: you know, and maybe the Commanders do have that thing

943
00:44:43,440 --> 00:44:45,440
Speaker 2: where they want to go out on a good note

944
00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:48,480
Speaker 2: and play really hard one last time and try to

945
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:53,160
Speaker 2: mess with a division rival. So I may yet bet

946
00:44:53,160 --> 00:44:55,520
Speaker 2: the Cowboys, but I haven't done it yet, and I'm

947
00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:57,320
Speaker 2: not sure whether I'll be able to pull the trigger

948
00:44:57,400 --> 00:44:57,600
Speaker 2: or not.

949
00:44:58,200 --> 00:45:00,640
Speaker 1: All right, last one here is a fun one. The

950
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:03,839
Speaker 1: Night Game A twenty. You get Miami eleven to five

951
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:08,640
Speaker 1: hosting Buffalo ten to six, winning the AFC East. That's

952
00:45:08,680 --> 00:45:10,799
Speaker 1: what's on the line here between these two teams. Now

953
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:13,160
Speaker 1: you do have Buffalo getting another way to get into

954
00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:16,480
Speaker 1: They can clinch a playoff berth if they tie, if

955
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:20,800
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh loses, if Jacksonville loses, or if Houston and Indianapolis

956
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,239
Speaker 1: ends in a tie. So this is kind of like

957
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:25,440
Speaker 1: you know that last ditch here. Can you win the division?

958
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:27,640
Speaker 1: Can you lock it all up? Pat? Who do you

959
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:29,520
Speaker 1: like in this contest? Because we're looking at the lines

960
00:45:29,560 --> 00:45:32,440
Speaker 1: here right now, it's three on the side of Buffalo.

961
00:45:32,520 --> 00:45:34,520
Speaker 1: They are the favorites in this one? Is they I

962
00:45:34,600 --> 00:45:37,880
Speaker 1: think should be? I actually think this is right. Miami

963
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 1: get their doors blowing off by Baltimore last week. That

964
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:41,960
Speaker 1: sets them rilliing a little bit. They've had some injuries

965
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:44,640
Speaker 1: on defense too lately. That's hurt. Fifty is the number

966
00:45:44,680 --> 00:45:46,319
Speaker 1: for this one. It's a very high total plus one

967
00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:48,479
Speaker 1: forty for Miami at home and the money line, Pat

968
00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 1: your thoughts.

969
00:45:49,520 --> 00:45:51,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think at first blush people are going to

970
00:45:51,640 --> 00:45:54,160
Speaker 2: see this and want to maybe take Miami as a

971
00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:58,000
Speaker 2: home dog. And it does sound as if Mike McDaniel

972
00:45:58,040 --> 00:46:00,560
Speaker 2: expects too a tongue of I looa to lay through

973
00:46:00,600 --> 00:46:05,520
Speaker 2: the shoulder injury he sustained against the Ravens, but Bradley

974
00:46:05,560 --> 00:46:09,400
Speaker 2: Chubb towards ACL in that game, Xavin Howard is going

975
00:46:09,440 --> 00:46:11,600
Speaker 2: to be out with a foot injury. That's a lot

976
00:46:11,600 --> 00:46:14,600
Speaker 2: of defensive firepower the Dolphins are going to be missing here,

977
00:46:14,680 --> 00:46:17,600
Speaker 2: even though that defense has been playing really well, or

978
00:46:17,600 --> 00:46:19,840
Speaker 2: at least it was until it ran up against the Ravens.

979
00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:23,960
Speaker 2: So also, we have seen the Bills consistently get up

980
00:46:23,960 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 2: for games against top notch opponents this season, like they

981
00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:30,719
Speaker 2: have done it all year, and they've thrown their best

982
00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:33,600
Speaker 2: punch in most of those games, whereas the Dolphins.

983
00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:34,560
Speaker 4: Not so much.

984
00:46:34,840 --> 00:46:38,640
Speaker 2: We have seen them consistently shrink from the challenge of

985
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:41,439
Speaker 2: playing the best teams in the league. So I think

986
00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:44,200
Speaker 2: this line is right. Like you, Joe, it does feel

987
00:46:44,200 --> 00:46:47,359
Speaker 2: like it's probably set where it should be. I'm not

988
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:50,720
Speaker 2: gonna bet this game. I just would warn people against

989
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:53,520
Speaker 2: like seeing the Dolphins getting points at home and being

990
00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:55,000
Speaker 2: quick to jump on that one.

991
00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:57,080
Speaker 4: I'm not anxious to do that.

992
00:46:57,520 --> 00:46:59,799
Speaker 1: All right, Sam, are you anxious to bet at other

993
00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:00,560
Speaker 1: side of this game?

994
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:04,560
Speaker 3: I don't know that I am, uh, you know kind

995
00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:07,720
Speaker 3: of with with Pat here that having to lay three

996
00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:12,680
Speaker 3: points in an away game is again. I know the

997
00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:15,520
Speaker 3: Dolphins have struggled a little bit the last couple of weeks,

998
00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:19,960
Speaker 3: but they still have some firepower on offense, and obviously

999
00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:22,479
Speaker 3: Jalen Wattle being banged up as well, who will see

1000
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:25,360
Speaker 3: if he goes. It's it's just such a funny scenario

1001
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:28,320
Speaker 3: because the Bills, I believe, had the second best odds

1002
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:31,319
Speaker 3: in the AFC to win the Super Bowl, and if

1003
00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:33,279
Speaker 3: they lose this game, they could be out of the

1004
00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:37,600
Speaker 3: playoffs completely. Like there there's well that's.

1005
00:47:37,400 --> 00:47:41,680
Speaker 1: The thing, right standone game, so you're gonna know if

1006
00:47:41,680 --> 00:47:45,160
Speaker 1: you're Buffalo kind of if Tampa loses this, it's not Tampa.

1007
00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:47,360
Speaker 1: Excuse me. If if you had Jacksonville lose, you have

1008
00:47:47,400 --> 00:47:49,320
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh lose, you haveah a couple of things happen already,

1009
00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:51,120
Speaker 1: you kind of know your your fate. So then it

1010
00:47:51,160 --> 00:47:53,280
Speaker 1: becomes the pride of the division. How much that matters?

1011
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:55,840
Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, but the two seed versus the sixth

1012
00:47:55,840 --> 00:47:58,879
Speaker 3: seed is also a massive sure too. Like you, you're

1013
00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:02,719
Speaker 3: getting one, possibly two home games if if you win,

1014
00:48:03,400 --> 00:48:06,640
Speaker 3: instead of having to go on the road to point again.

1015
00:48:07,040 --> 00:48:08,400
Speaker 3: I mean, they might have to go on on the

1016
00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:12,719
Speaker 3: road to the Dolphins then again and again coming off

1017
00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 3: of a loss, or or going up on the road

1018
00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:18,880
Speaker 3: to the Chiefs. So I knew they just beat recently,

1019
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:22,200
Speaker 3: but that game could have gone either way too. So

1020
00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:27,200
Speaker 3: I think Buffalo, regardless of the outcome of those the

1021
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:30,880
Speaker 3: Steelers and the Jacksonville games, they're gonna be up for

1022
00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 3: it and are gonna want to win. There's I mean,

1023
00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:35,360
Speaker 3: they're not gonna rest any starters by any means. But

1024
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:39,560
Speaker 3: I think the key here is how much the Bills

1025
00:48:39,800 --> 00:48:43,399
Speaker 3: passed the ball, because since Joe Brady took over, they

1026
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:46,520
Speaker 3: have gone one game with a positive pass right over expectation,

1027
00:48:46,600 --> 00:48:48,960
Speaker 3: and that was against the Chiefs. And the way to

1028
00:48:49,040 --> 00:48:51,920
Speaker 3: attack this Bill's defense, or excuse me, this Dolphins defense,

1029
00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:55,439
Speaker 3: especially with the injuries that you guys mentioned, is through

1030
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:58,040
Speaker 3: the air. I mean, we saw what Lamar Jackson just

1031
00:48:58,080 --> 00:49:02,000
Speaker 3: did to the Dolphins this pass last week. So I

1032
00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:05,680
Speaker 3: don't really know understand why they're not passing the ball

1033
00:49:05,760 --> 00:49:08,120
Speaker 3: so much. I mean they haven't really had to a ton,

1034
00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:11,680
Speaker 3: but they've dropped back on just over fifty percent of

1035
00:49:11,719 --> 00:49:14,400
Speaker 3: their plays the last four weeks, which is dead last

1036
00:49:14,480 --> 00:49:18,160
Speaker 3: in the league over that span. So if they let

1037
00:49:18,239 --> 00:49:21,200
Speaker 3: Josh Allen loose, then I feel more confident about the

1038
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:22,840
Speaker 3: Bills taking in this one.

1039
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:25,400
Speaker 1: All right, Stay on top of all the lines with

1040
00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:27,800
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app. Download it now if you haven't already,

1041
00:49:27,920 --> 00:49:31,840
Speaker 1: sync up your sports book and start betting smarter, not harder.

1042
00:49:31,840 --> 00:49:33,919
Speaker 1: Don't forget too. If you have iOS, you get three

1043
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Speaker 1: free days of premium to check that out. Perfect time again.

1044
00:49:37,560 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 1: This is that time of year. We got so many

1045
00:49:39,160 --> 00:49:43,480
Speaker 1: sports going on. It's an incredible group of systems here

1046
00:49:43,480 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 1: that we have over at Betting Pros. The app is

1047
00:49:45,080 --> 00:49:46,560
Speaker 1: just tremendous and it's a great way to stay on

1048
00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:48,560
Speaker 1: top of all these lines as they move to with

1049
00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:50,719
Speaker 1: the line alerts so you can set the game notifications

1050
00:49:50,760 --> 00:49:53,160
Speaker 1: so you know, because you know, we all know there's

1051
00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:54,719
Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of line movement this week with

1052
00:49:54,760 --> 00:49:56,839
Speaker 1: all the news of who's in, who's out, who's gonna play,

1053
00:49:56,840 --> 00:49:58,720
Speaker 1: who's not, So it's gonna be one of the trickier

1054
00:49:58,719 --> 00:50:01,080
Speaker 1: weeks in the NFL, but that's what we're here for.

1055
00:50:01,200 --> 00:50:02,799
Speaker 1: That's what we're here to support you. They'll be more

1056
00:50:02,840 --> 00:50:04,880
Speaker 1: coverage later in the week, of course, on Thursday and

1057
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:07,319
Speaker 1: Friday for the NFL side, But in the meantime that'll

1058
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:08,520
Speaker 1: do it for us, but the story of the game

1059
00:50:08,560 --> 00:50:11,560
Speaker 1: goes on for Sam and Pat. I'm Joey P. We'll

1060
00:50:11,600 --> 00:50:12,880
Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids.

1061
00:50:13,280 --> 00:50:16,040
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

1062
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:18,480
Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

1063
00:50:18,480 --> 00:50:21,880
Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

1064
00:50:22,200 --> 00:50:24,840
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1065
00:50:24,920 --> 00:50:28,600
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1066
00:50:28,680 --> 00:50:31,160
Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros