1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,520 Speaker 1: Are you ready to witness football? 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 2: Fans? 3 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 3: Welcome to the biggest tailgate party in the nation, Fox 4 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:14,400 Speaker 3: Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff. 5 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 2: Presented by. 6 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: The gig of Sportsbook. 7 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 3: We're setting you up with the information you need to 8 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 3: watch your team win. 9 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:25,439 Speaker 2: Let's go. 10 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 3: We're here to break it all down. 11 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:28,320 Speaker 2: Yeah. 12 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 3: Look, this is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented 13 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 3: by bett emg Appter. No, we're lying from your tailgate. 14 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 3: Here's Brian Nook, former Penn State All American, Rich Hornberger 15 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 3: and FSR betting analyst Jared Smith. 16 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:49,559 Speaker 1: Oh, good morning, welcome in. Get y'all set for a 17 00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 1: full day of college football. And uh, you know on 18 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: the text thread last night saw a little bit of 19 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 1: the road dog, Rich Hornberger and Jared Smith breaking bread 20 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 1: making bets. What was that on the Tyson fight last night? 21 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 1: What was going on? 22 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 4: That was here live in Las Vegas where I'm broadcasting 23 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 4: from this morning ahead of San Diego State UNLVL on 24 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 4: the call for that game later on tonight here in Vegas. 25 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 4: But you always come a day or only when you 26 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:26,280 Speaker 4: go to Vegas, especially when there's a Mike Tyson fight. 27 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 4: And I got in the Uber car and I said, 28 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:31,759 Speaker 4: to the driver, I go, hey, bring me to the 29 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:35,480 Speaker 4: Circus sports Book. And also I said, bring me to 30 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 4: the Circus sports book. We're gonna watch the Tyson fight, 31 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 4: I said. And also it's nineteen ninety seven. I don't 32 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 4: know what I'm doing with myself. And that's where me 33 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:46,559 Speaker 4: and Jared Smith linked up. And that was a good environment. Jared, 34 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 4: what a time to be alive. 35 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 5: I mean we we honestly, and I know the fight 36 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 5: was a dud. It was a total dud. And even 37 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:56,840 Speaker 5: Paul admitted afterwards he had to carry Tyson to the 38 00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 5: middle rounds. 39 00:01:57,440 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: And then let's just give Mike the benefit of the doubt. 40 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: Fifty eight years old. 41 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 5: But the build up to that fight and the actual 42 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 5: fanfare of the fight itself before it started and before 43 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 5: you can kind of realize that, I don't think, really 44 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:15,360 Speaker 5: Mike's got the legs tonight. But the buzz I had 45 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 5: never I'm I'm in the sports book all the time. 46 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 5: I don't think I've seen the buzz like that for 47 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:24,079 Speaker 5: an NFL playoff game. I've never to be fair, I've 48 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 5: never been there for a Super Bowl, but I've been 49 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 5: there for Championship weekend. AFC Anti championship weekend. I've been 50 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 5: there for a college football championship. The buzz outdid it 51 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:35,639 Speaker 5: for those two events. How crazy is that? 52 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 1: I'll tell you what, man, it's a flashback because I 53 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: love that word, Jared. And you think about athletes that 54 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 1: generated the most buzz throughout the years, Tyson has got 55 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:49,960 Speaker 1: to be on the short list there. I will never forget, 56 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 1: you know, scraping together like five bucks per person to 57 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:57,959 Speaker 1: watch a Tyson fight on the most horrible TV ever imaginable. 58 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:02,200 Speaker 1: There was just an election tricity to his fights. And 59 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 1: you got a little bit of that last night. Yeah, 60 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 1: leading up and then it was like around and two 61 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 1: rounds and three rounds and you're like, yeah, by the 62 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 1: third round, you knew he had no shot. Yeah, you knew. 63 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 1: You was just like, I don't know, he's got the legs. 64 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 1: I'll tell you what. It was a great reminder to 65 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 1: not buy in to ten second highlight clips. You're right, like, 66 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 1: remember seeing there was a Tyson highlight clip months and 67 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:32,799 Speaker 1: months ago where he's just sort of like shadow boxing someone. Yeah, 68 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 1: and he looked fast and violent and you're like, holy cow. 69 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: And then you saw him last night and you were 70 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 1: like that was not the same guy. Like I've seen 71 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 1: Ben Simmons drain three after three after three in an 72 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 1: NBA off season open gym run or something like that. 73 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:53,240 Speaker 1: Don't believe the highlight videos at all, man, They lie 74 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 1: to you. 75 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 2: You know. And and here's the thing. 76 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 4: And I think maybe all four of us who were 77 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 4: down there on the or at the sports book, I 78 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 4: had my broadcast team with me. Jared met up with us, 79 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 4: and we're all standing there in in aus you know, 80 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:11,480 Speaker 4: like I would say, disbelief is the right word. I mean, 81 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 4: in awe of the spectacle of the thing. Obviously disappointed 82 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 4: with the way the fight went. But Father Time is undefeated. 83 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:23,279 Speaker 4: That is the reality of all sports. So whether we're 84 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:27,719 Speaker 4: talking about you know, Brett Farv or Aaron Rodgers or 85 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 4: you know, shoot Aaron Donald. 86 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 2: He was feeling to catch up to him. 87 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 4: You know, football players, basketball players, Lebron James. 88 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 2: He seems ageless until one day he won't anymore. 89 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 4: You know, Michael Jordan happened to him. You know, there 90 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 4: comes a time where where Father Time comes for us all. 91 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 4: And look, I don't know what I was expecting at 92 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:51,160 Speaker 4: fifty eight years old. 93 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 2: I know that based on some of the bets. 94 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 4: That I placed the street bets on Tyson in the 95 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:01,040 Speaker 4: second Tyson in the sixth sit in they like I 96 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 4: was thinking, like, maybe there's the one punch left in 97 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:08,120 Speaker 4: the fifty eight year old monster in the ring. 98 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 2: And I may have been deluded. I may have been 99 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 2: buying the hype. 100 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 4: I will say this though, Christmas afternoon is never as 101 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 4: good as Christmas morning, right, the anticipation of the super Bowl, 102 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:27,839 Speaker 4: the anticipation of Christmas morning, the anticipation of the Tyson fight. 103 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 4: In my brain, that is what you're selling. And credit 104 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 4: to Jake Paul and Mike Tyson. They promoted the heck 105 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 4: out of this fight and it worked. Everybody tuned in, 106 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 4: they crashed Netflix. It was a spectacle. 107 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 5: And the women's boxing match that was that was the 108 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:53,200 Speaker 5: real Taylor Serrano. That match was unbelievable. So I think 109 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:57,600 Speaker 5: this fight won't bring back boxing to what it was, 110 00:05:58,200 --> 00:06:02,839 Speaker 5: But for a moment in time, you had both generations, right, 111 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:07,600 Speaker 5: the Paul generation, the young YouTube generation, the millennials, and 112 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 5: the older generation with Tyson. Guys that are you know 113 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:13,200 Speaker 5: my age around late thirties, early forties. I used to 114 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,160 Speaker 5: watch them grow up. Fifties, you had both of those 115 00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:20,480 Speaker 5: generations come together and like enjoy this moment. 116 00:06:20,600 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 1: It was like it was. 117 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:23,320 Speaker 5: Literally I tweeted it out, I don't want to get political, 118 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:26,720 Speaker 5: make boxing great again, Like honestly, it felt like that 119 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 5: kind of moment. 120 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 2: But then. 121 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:33,159 Speaker 5: Then the fight started and you reality set in that 122 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:34,480 Speaker 5: you're like, yeah, this is. 123 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 1: A fifty eight year old man trying to fight someone 124 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:36,600 Speaker 1: in his prime. 125 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 5: Like he's just he doesn't have a physical chance to 126 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 5: hold up over time. And I think that's where you're like, yeah, 127 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:46,279 Speaker 5: if anyone who bet Tyson probably early on was like 128 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 5: I don't know if this. 129 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 1: Is the right side. It's such a bad feeling, whether 130 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 1: it's football, back whatever, whatever, and you see right away 131 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 1: you're like, I'm on the run. 132 00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 5: I mean there were many times in many different sports 133 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 5: last night I kind of abstained from this one. 134 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 1: I had a buddy that was kind of getting on 135 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:03,159 Speaker 1: both sides of it. 136 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:04,040 Speaker 2: But it was fun. 137 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 1: It was fun. It was a fun night real quick. 138 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 1: The last thing I'll mention we'll get to college football 139 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 1: is I don't know what happened. You mentioned it rich 140 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 1: with crashing Netflix. I don't know if it was just 141 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: backed up and it wasn't quite live, but right before 142 00:07:20,360 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 1: the fight, I glanced at my phone for something totally unrelated. 143 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 1: There's an update. Jake Paul defeats Mike Tyson right before 144 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 1: I'm watching them. Why, I'm like, what just happened? So 145 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 1: I just tried to be quiet and didn't ruin it 146 00:07:37,040 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 1: for anybody else, you know, But that was crazy. 147 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 5: I'll tell you. It's freaking out right now. How about 148 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 5: the NFL? They got a game on Netflix soon. 149 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:46,360 Speaker 1: Uh? Yeah, that's right, they have two of them. I think. 150 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 5: Oh man, can you imagine if that happens during an NFL. 151 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, and we're not talking quite the same. What 152 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 1: was like one hundred and twenty million last night, We're 153 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,880 Speaker 1: gonna get around twenty twenty five something like that for 154 00:07:59,880 --> 00:08:03,040 Speaker 1: the NFL. Their numbers are really healthy. But uh, they 155 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:07,840 Speaker 1: they should be okay. Hopefully they'll be okay. But during 156 00:08:07,840 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 1: an NFL playoff game. Let me throw some I've got 157 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 1: some hard hitting college football questions for you today. Okay, 158 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 1: just get prepared. Next hour, we just ramp it up. 159 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:18,640 Speaker 1: But let's start with this one. If you look at 160 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: the college football playoff rankings, you see Indiana at ten 161 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:25,680 Speaker 1: and oh and their number five you see by you 162 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 1: at nine and nine, and O they're number six. So 163 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:34,679 Speaker 1: will either neither or both? I you and B why 164 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 1: you make the playoffs? Huh? If you gays inside the 165 00:08:38,120 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 1: crystal ball? What do you see there? Guys? 166 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:43,520 Speaker 4: I would say both. I would say both, but I 167 00:08:43,559 --> 00:08:46,080 Speaker 4: would say in order for that to be true, the 168 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 4: safest path is both remain undefeated. 169 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 2: I don't know if. 170 00:08:49,400 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 4: That's possible, but as it stands right now, if the 171 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 4: records clean, there is no argument that could keep two 172 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 4: FBS football teams who are undefeated out of the playoff. 173 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:07,199 Speaker 4: I just I don't know if it's possible to come 174 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 4: up with a good enough argument that makes enough sense 175 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 4: to enough people. Because remember the CFP, as much as 176 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:19,319 Speaker 4: it is a ranking, it's also a barometer of the 177 00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 4: emotions of the college football fan because you want to 178 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:26,440 Speaker 4: make sure that you have the matchups that the people 179 00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:30,080 Speaker 4: want to see. And so if there's enough support behind 180 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:32,679 Speaker 4: the Koogs and the Hoosiers, you got to make sure 181 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 4: they're in because if you don't, you can have a 182 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 4: big old mess in your hands in terms of you know, 183 00:09:37,920 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 4: bad press heading into the opening round of the postseason. 184 00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:43,960 Speaker 4: And nobody wants that. They want this thing to work 185 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 4: this is a made for TV bracket. Let's remember that. 186 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:50,959 Speaker 4: You know, there's still better ways to find out who's 187 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:54,560 Speaker 4: your national championship. This is just the best way in 188 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:57,440 Speaker 4: the short term to make the most amount of money 189 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:01,920 Speaker 4: on television. So to be respectful of what this is 190 00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 4: all about in the first point, which is to make 191 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:08,120 Speaker 4: all of these networks as much money as possible by 192 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 4: giving the matchups that the public wants to see. Now, 193 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 4: I don't know if the Hoosiers have an enormous population 194 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:18,440 Speaker 4: of fans across the nation, I would say I would 195 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:21,079 Speaker 4: call that unlikely at best, or the Cougars for that matter. 196 00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 2: But I will say this, it'll rub. 197 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 4: A lot of college football fan purest traditionalists and also 198 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 4: even kind of passer buyers really the wrong way. 199 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:35,400 Speaker 2: If you don't have undefeated teams in the postseason. 200 00:10:35,280 --> 00:10:36,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, we can't have that. 201 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:40,200 Speaker 5: If BYU and Indiana are both undefeated, they have to be in, 202 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:41,240 Speaker 5: and they will be. 203 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 1: I think the key is right. 204 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 5: We talked about this last week, and I think this 205 00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 5: is going to be the major talking point of the 206 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 5: next two to three weeks. 207 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 1: Quality losses over quality wins. 208 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 5: The problem is BYU doesn't play anybody, so every loss 209 00:10:56,320 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 5: they sustain will be a non quality loss, especially if 210 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 5: they get beat handily in one of these games against 211 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:04,839 Speaker 5: Kansas or Arizona State or Houston. If they lose one 212 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:08,080 Speaker 5: of those games, that counts as like two losses. Same 213 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 5: thing for Indiana because they haven't played anybody. Now they 214 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 5: will play Ohio State. But if they lose by thirty 215 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 5: and Penn State loses by what was it for that 216 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 5: or seven? Whatever the score line was, it was tit 217 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 5: was one score game, that will be the difference between 218 00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 5: the two teams. Like right now, Penn State is ahead 219 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 5: of Indiana solely off of a name recognition, and b 220 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:38,240 Speaker 5: the expectation that Ohio States win over Indiana will be 221 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:40,960 Speaker 5: by a wider margin than what they beat Penn State by. 222 00:11:41,320 --> 00:11:43,240 Speaker 5: And I know that's weird because the Penn State or 223 00:11:43,480 --> 00:11:47,160 Speaker 5: the committee shouldn't be projecting that, But that's I think 224 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 5: the reason why you're seeing Indiana with no losses behind 225 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:54,840 Speaker 5: Penn State and BYU with no losses behind Penn State, 226 00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 5: and the rankings. I know they're ahead in the bracket, 227 00:11:57,160 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 5: but the actual rankings themselves they're lower. So I think 228 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:03,120 Speaker 5: it's all about focusing on the losses. I know that's weird. 229 00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:05,680 Speaker 5: Usually we're looking for wins, but I think because of 230 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 5: the format this year, it's kind of been reversed. 231 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:13,680 Speaker 1: Well, yeah, listen, IU and BYU, they've played nobody. It's 232 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:20,440 Speaker 1: like the Jim harbought who's got it better than us? Nobody? Nobody, 233 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 1: they've played no One. But you're right, Jared and Rich 234 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 1: you alluded to this. 235 00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:25,240 Speaker 2: IU. 236 00:12:25,440 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 1: They are at Ohio State next week. And that's the 237 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 1: interesting thing to me is how do they play? Is 238 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 1: it a respectable loss? If it is a loss, and 239 00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 1: most people are expecting at least a loss, but how 240 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:41,199 Speaker 1: bad is it? Because what was it the old Bob 241 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 1: Seeger song for the truck commercial, lack a rock? Are 242 00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:49,120 Speaker 1: they gonna sink like a rock if they lose by 243 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 1: twenty one? Or you know what I'm saying. And I 244 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 1: also think recency bias matters because I'm looking at these rankings. 245 00:12:56,440 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: It's a great example Notre Dame and Miami. Think about 246 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 1: this as it applies to Indiana. If Indiana suffers a 247 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 1: bad loss lately, how much does that affect them in 248 00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 1: the rankings. If you look at Notre Dame, their second game, 249 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 1: they lost to Northern Illinois. Okay, they're ranked number eight 250 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:19,960 Speaker 1: right now, Miami lost last week to Georgia Tech, they're 251 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:24,280 Speaker 1: ranked number nine. If you flip that, do you really 252 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:29,520 Speaker 1: think if Miami lost in game two and Notre Dame 253 00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:33,800 Speaker 1: just lost last week, do you think that you know, 254 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 1: Notre Dame is still ranked higher after losing last week 255 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:43,400 Speaker 1: to Northern Illinois right compared to Miami. Yeah, in game two, 256 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 1: there's no chance whatsoever. So the recency bias does matter. 257 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: And that's why I wonder if IU gets trucked, how 258 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:54,720 Speaker 1: bad does that hurt them? Also with BYU, look man 259 00:13:55,280 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 1: against Kansas and at Arizona State, that is not you 260 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 1: don't just write and w w No, I don't know 261 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:06,240 Speaker 1: if they're gonna make I'm gonna go either. I'm gonna 262 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 1: say one of them makes it. I'm not convinced that. 263 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:11,920 Speaker 4: And you know what, I was leaning more towards that 264 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 4: mine was qualified with a big if you know, and 265 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:18,319 Speaker 4: the if is they stay undefeated, because I think that 266 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:19,240 Speaker 4: guarantees it. 267 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:22,080 Speaker 2: Now the butt. 268 00:14:21,840 --> 00:14:23,400 Speaker 4: You know, if I'm going to switch it to the 269 00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:27,360 Speaker 4: other side, but if Indiana has a close loss to 270 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:31,520 Speaker 4: Ohio State, if BYU falls into the trap of believing 271 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 4: in themselves too much and they lose to Kansas or ASU, 272 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:37,320 Speaker 4: all of a sudden, we're having a completely different conversation 273 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 4: because one loss will be far more detrimental to those 274 00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 4: two teams based on strength of schedule and when those 275 00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 4: losses occurred. Because remember, timing is everything in life. It's 276 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 4: as true and college football, when you lose is almost 277 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 4: as important as who you lose too. 278 00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 2: And so I completely agree with what you just said, Brian. 279 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 5: Yep, I think when you look at this field too. 280 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 5: First of all, please please committee members, if we do 281 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 5: get Indiana and please send Alabama to Bloomington for a 282 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:12,200 Speaker 5: December game. That would be so freaking awesome. That would 283 00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:15,960 Speaker 5: be the best playoff game ever. I'd love to see 284 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:18,800 Speaker 5: Alabama go to State College too, but if they're not 285 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:20,840 Speaker 5: going to go to State College, please send them to Bloomington. 286 00:15:22,120 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 1: Just the dynamics of this. 287 00:15:23,920 --> 00:15:25,840 Speaker 5: And I've had a lot of people ask me, oh, 288 00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 5: who's like who's got the inside track? 289 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:31,480 Speaker 1: Like which you bet even the top teams. I need 290 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 1: to see the bracket. 291 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 5: I need to see who you play, when you play them, 292 00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 5: where you play them. I think the matchups in this 293 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 5: college fotball playoff are going to be fascinating, and I 294 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 5: think my opinion on who will win might change dramatically, 295 00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:48,920 Speaker 5: not based off of who you beat in the conference 296 00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:52,240 Speaker 5: championship games, not based off of anything else except for 297 00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 5: where you're seated, who you play, and when you play them. 298 00:15:56,400 --> 00:16:00,320 Speaker 5: Like to me, that is paramount here. Like you might 299 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:05,000 Speaker 5: have Alabama have to go to Indiana or State College 300 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 5: Pennsylvania in the middle of December and play a college 301 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 5: football game. You're telling me that won't change your opinion 302 00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:15,280 Speaker 5: on that game regardless of how Penn State or Indiana 303 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:18,360 Speaker 5: finished the season. Just the location and the time that 304 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 5: you play that game changes your opinion on everything. So 305 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 5: I think that I mean the next two weeks and 306 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:28,240 Speaker 5: then also we talked about it the conference championship games 307 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:32,120 Speaker 5: and teams that might be penalized for just playing in 308 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:35,760 Speaker 5: the conference championship game, like and losing big in that game, 309 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:39,080 Speaker 5: whereas it might benefit some teams, especially in the SEC, 310 00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 5: to not even play in their conference championship game. That is, 311 00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:45,680 Speaker 5: there are some crazy stipulations that might kind of permetate 312 00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:47,720 Speaker 5: themselves over the next two weeks. But again, we just 313 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 5: have to kind of let the process play out. 314 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 1: Well, yeah, it's gonna be a lot of fun as 315 00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:54,280 Speaker 1: we get down to it, and some of the arguments 316 00:16:54,320 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: at the end. What if you have a one loss 317 00:16:56,560 --> 00:17:00,160 Speaker 1: IU team that got blasted by Ohio State and you 318 00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:04,359 Speaker 1: Georgia team that's lost two games, close really strongly. You 319 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:05,720 Speaker 1: know there's gonna be So. 320 00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:08,800 Speaker 5: Georgia loses three games and their three losses are Bama. 321 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:13,280 Speaker 1: Who do they play today? Omes and Tennessee. 322 00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 5: Imagine that number one drink to schedule. Georgia with three 323 00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:18,440 Speaker 5: losses doesn't get in, an Indiana with one lost Ohio 324 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 5: State no quality wins gets in. 325 00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 2: That's crazy to me. 326 00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 1: It could be exactly what we're looking at. We'll see 327 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:25,600 Speaker 1: what they might not have three losses. Huh, I don't 328 00:17:25,600 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 1: think they. The plot thickens right there. Hey, it's a 329 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:30,760 Speaker 1: football time at bet mgm. Used code countdown and receive 330 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:33,400 Speaker 1: up to fifteen hundred dollars back in bonus bets if 331 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:35,480 Speaker 1: you don't win your first bet. When you register with 332 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:38,480 Speaker 1: bet mgm, you'll get instant access to a variety of 333 00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 1: parlay selection features, live betting options, signature bets, and the 334 00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:46,280 Speaker 1: best daily promotions in the business. Download the betmgm app 335 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:49,639 Speaker 1: today or visit betmgm dot com use code countdown to 336 00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 1: receive up to fifteen hundred dollars back in bonus bets 337 00:17:52,720 --> 00:17:56,000 Speaker 1: if that bet loses. We've got Rich Ornberger, Penn State 338 00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:59,919 Speaker 1: All American, Jared Smith FSR betting analyst. I'm Brian now 339 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:02,480 Speaker 1: coming up next. We got a lot of top ten 340 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:07,920 Speaker 1: teams on the road today. How many home dogs will 341 00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:11,040 Speaker 1: be barking? We'll look into that. That was very successful 342 00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:14,480 Speaker 1: for Rich last week. Huh betting these home dogs. We'll 343 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:15,919 Speaker 1: see if he's got his eye on a couple of 344 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:18,760 Speaker 1: home dogs here today. It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown 345 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:21,119 Speaker 1: to Kickoff presented by BETMGM. 346 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:24,240 Speaker 3: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in 347 00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:27,639 Speaker 3: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Foxsports Radio 348 00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:31,879 Speaker 3: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to 349 00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:32,639 Speaker 3: listen live. 350 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:37,160 Speaker 1: It is Fox Sports Radios count Down to Kickoff presented 351 00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:40,800 Speaker 1: by BETMGM. All season long. Betmgm's offering you a second 352 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,760 Speaker 1: chance on your first touchdown bet in the NFL. When 353 00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:46,680 Speaker 1: a customer places an NFL wager on a first touchdown 354 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:50,399 Speaker 1: score bet and he doesn't score first, but score second, 355 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:53,959 Speaker 1: BETMGM will return one hundred percent of their stakeback in 356 00:18:54,119 --> 00:19:00,119 Speaker 1: cash it's funny you can tell them getting old two reasons. Okay, 357 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:02,040 Speaker 1: the song we just heard where, I'm like, you know, 358 00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 1: that'd be a pretty good karaoke choice right there, you know, 359 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:08,479 Speaker 1: with that and the other thing watching Tyson last night, 360 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:11,880 Speaker 1: I'm like, I'm not that far away from fifty eight, 361 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:12,240 Speaker 1: you know. 362 00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:16,160 Speaker 5: Oh stop, Brian, come on, no, you got a long 363 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:16,640 Speaker 5: way to go. 364 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:18,480 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, of course, not. 365 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 1: That not that long. 366 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,760 Speaker 5: Many years of sparring with us in the verbal ring 367 00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:34,040 Speaker 5: before you. 368 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:34,480 Speaker 1: You might not look as old verbally sparring, physically sparring, 369 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: right like we mix it up in the ring here. Yeah, 370 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 1: that is true. Okay, So we got a lot of 371 00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:43,440 Speaker 1: top ten teams on the road here. So there are 372 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,960 Speaker 1: five teams in the top ten that are on the road. 373 00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 1: So I'm curious how many home teams you think will cover? Okay, 374 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,760 Speaker 1: if we go through these real quickly. Number one Oregon 375 00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:59,480 Speaker 1: is at Wisconsin. Wisconsin is a thirteen and a half 376 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:03,119 Speaker 1: point on underdog. Okay. Number two Ohio State they're at 377 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:07,119 Speaker 1: Northwestern the Wildcats. They are twenty eight and a half 378 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:11,639 Speaker 1: point home dogs. Number three Texas is at Arkansas the 379 00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: Razorbacks plus twelve and a half your number four Nitney 380 00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 1: Lyons guys at Purdue Perdue pe U plus twenty nine 381 00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,240 Speaker 1: and a half. And then the last top ten team 382 00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:27,040 Speaker 1: on the road is number seven Tennessee. They are at 383 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:30,720 Speaker 1: number twelve. Georgia. Georgia is favored by eight and a half. 384 00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:32,960 Speaker 1: I tell a lot of teams, a lot of numbers, 385 00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 1: but five top ten teams on the road. How many 386 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:39,280 Speaker 1: of those home teams do you think cover here? 387 00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:44,600 Speaker 4: Rich Arkansaw feels like a pick. Telon Green was out 388 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:47,200 Speaker 4: in the first half. When he was on the field, 389 00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 4: they were scoring points. Texas, even though they're coming off 390 00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:55,080 Speaker 4: of a home throttling of Florida, I feel like they're 391 00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:58,000 Speaker 4: going through. Actually are the numbers probably back it up. 392 00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:01,200 Speaker 4: This is probably the worst defensive wretch of their season, 393 00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:03,920 Speaker 4: so I could see that being a closer game. I'm 394 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:07,640 Speaker 4: counting on a Texas win, but obviously an Arkansas cover 395 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:09,920 Speaker 4: is what we're looking for here at home, and then 396 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 4: Georgia Georgia covering the spread. Always difficult, uh to face 397 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 4: Uh to face the Bulldogs in their home turf. Kirby 398 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:22,479 Speaker 4: Smart is really sort of the center piece and everything 399 00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:25,600 Speaker 4: else orbits around him. I think he's a really good 400 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:28,480 Speaker 4: football coach, and I think anytime you're playing the Dogs 401 00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,760 Speaker 4: at home, you're in for an absolute war. So give 402 00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:34,800 Speaker 4: me Georgia covering, give me Arkansas covering. Of those two, 403 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:36,639 Speaker 4: I agree, I'm mom both. 404 00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:40,760 Speaker 5: I gave out Georgia yesterday for our Friday bet MGM video, 405 00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:42,399 Speaker 5: which by the way, that pick is one three in 406 00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:45,280 Speaker 5: a row. Not to toot the horn here, but I 407 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:46,480 Speaker 5: am gonna be on Georgia later. 408 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 1: Not too I thought I heard a little. 409 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:52,760 Speaker 5: Yeah, that was a little too to actually actually be fair, now, 410 00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 5: I actually that was that was jackbody was barking. 411 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,280 Speaker 1: It was we wanted some breakfast. You should though, you 412 00:21:57,320 --> 00:21:59,359 Speaker 1: should pat yourself on the back very nicely. 413 00:21:59,359 --> 00:21:59,879 Speaker 2: It's it. 414 00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:01,920 Speaker 5: It's been a good run the last so like, yeah, 415 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:03,359 Speaker 5: you know, I mean, you've been doing the picks for 416 00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:05,800 Speaker 5: a couple of years now. You just have to weather 417 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:09,200 Speaker 5: the storm of the bad times because if you're good 418 00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:10,600 Speaker 5: at this, and if you put in the work like 419 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,840 Speaker 5: we do every week, it's gonna turn Arkansas. 420 00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 1: I love that spot. I love Arkansas off the bye. 421 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:18,919 Speaker 5: I know we'll touch on that game a little bit 422 00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:22,280 Speaker 5: later in the show, but that is a good spot. 423 00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:25,800 Speaker 5: Right when we handicap the situational spots. Texas is kind 424 00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:27,840 Speaker 5: of you go look at Texas resume, I said. One 425 00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:29,800 Speaker 5: of my Penn State buddy sent me a tweet yesterday 426 00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:32,399 Speaker 5: comparing Texas's resume to Penn State's resume. 427 00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:34,080 Speaker 1: I be honest, there ain't a whole lot difference between 428 00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:34,720 Speaker 1: those two resumes. 429 00:22:34,760 --> 00:22:37,560 Speaker 5: In fact, pet State's resume might be slightly better, even 430 00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,760 Speaker 5: though they do have the loss to Ohio State. 431 00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: So I think Arkansas is in a good spot. 432 00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:45,080 Speaker 5: Man, Oregon, I've been and rich you called it last week, 433 00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:46,840 Speaker 5: fade and Oregon. They weren't gonna lose that game, but 434 00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:50,440 Speaker 5: they don't have that extra gear to cover right now 435 00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:54,320 Speaker 5: because just like Oregon, just like Ohio State, they don't need. 436 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:55,000 Speaker 1: The style points. 437 00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 5: And that's where it scares me, whereas a team like 438 00:22:57,600 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 5: Penn State maybe kind of needs them. 439 00:22:59,280 --> 00:22:59,600 Speaker 1: A little bit. 440 00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:03,280 Speaker 5: But I'll tell what if Penn State loses to Purdue, 441 00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:08,040 Speaker 5: Oh God, smother me in in the creamery ice cream 442 00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:09,919 Speaker 5: and just bury me underneath the knitting the line in. 443 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 1: I don't even want to be alive past this week. 444 00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 5: If Penn State can't beat Purdue and ruin I mean, 445 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:18,880 Speaker 5: that would ruin their playoff hopes, And I don't love 446 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:21,200 Speaker 5: that they've already started selling tickets for the playoffs either. 447 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:24,399 Speaker 1: Don't get me started on that. But man that I 448 00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 1: hear you on the Arkansas spot. But man, Arkansas's O 449 00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:33,159 Speaker 1: line is rough and their secondary is very rough right now. 450 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:37,879 Speaker 1: And styles make fights, you know, and against texasts like 451 00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:40,639 Speaker 1: man Quinn, yours could be throwing it around like crazy. 452 00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:43,480 Speaker 1: You need Taylin Green to be running around and escaping 453 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,040 Speaker 1: a bad offensive line, which he can do when healthy. 454 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,119 Speaker 1: But that's the question is is he going to be 455 00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:52,360 Speaker 1: healthy enough. The other top ten team, number one Oregon. 456 00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:56,320 Speaker 1: We've seen Oregon. They just sort of coast in. They're 457 00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:59,840 Speaker 1: not looking at dump truck you would win by six touchdowns. 458 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:04,440 Speaker 1: They're trying to get to the finish line ahead. And yeah, 459 00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 1: they've bitten some betters at times this season. They've helped 460 00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:11,680 Speaker 1: them when they score late touchdowns against Michigan, so it's 461 00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:14,359 Speaker 1: gone both ways. But I don't know about you guys. 462 00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:17,679 Speaker 1: This line feels a little bit light, which makes me 463 00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:21,440 Speaker 1: like cautious of backing Oregon, where I'm like, whoa, WHOA 464 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:23,960 Speaker 1: what thirteen and a half that seems a little bit 465 00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,760 Speaker 1: light over here, And Just when I'm thinking about betting 466 00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:30,080 Speaker 1: the dog, I'm like, oh, but wait, it's Wisconsin. 467 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:35,200 Speaker 4: Yeh's that's what scared me off of Oregon, or I 468 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:39,960 Speaker 4: should say, Wisconsin hosting Oregon, Northwestern hosting Ohio State, and 469 00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 4: Purdue hosting Penn State. It you know, you can make 470 00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:46,840 Speaker 4: all the arguments we want about what those teams who 471 00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:49,480 Speaker 4: are in the cat Birds he really need heading into 472 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:53,959 Speaker 4: those visiting locations, But what it comes down to, is Wisconsin, 473 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 4: Northwestern or Purdue really good enough to hang with that 474 00:24:56,960 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 4: level of competition? And my brain tells me no, Arkansas, 475 00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 4: who are inconsistent but tricky to prepare for. 476 00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:05,919 Speaker 2: They give me pause. 477 00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:08,840 Speaker 4: And the only other team that as I'm reading the list, 478 00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:12,160 Speaker 4: I go, oh, that's another little bugaboo. There is Georgia, 479 00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:15,760 Speaker 4: so so the like I Purdue. Let's put it this 480 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:18,720 Speaker 4: way to back up what Jared said, if Purdue even 481 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:21,240 Speaker 4: covers this spread, I will be amazed. 482 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:22,080 Speaker 2: They have been. 483 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:27,840 Speaker 4: They have been getting smashed, smashed throughout the course of 484 00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:28,440 Speaker 4: this season. 485 00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:30,560 Speaker 2: It ain't Purdue, it's per Domet this year. 486 00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:31,159 Speaker 1: Per don't. 487 00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:33,320 Speaker 5: I don't want to be on the show next week. 488 00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:35,440 Speaker 5: If Purdue wins, I'm. 489 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:38,520 Speaker 1: Calling out sick prematurely. That's better than not wanting to 490 00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:44,160 Speaker 1: be alive. Okay, I agree, we cup so close. We've 491 00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:46,000 Speaker 1: come so far, and we were talking about it last 492 00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:46,920 Speaker 1: night on the ride back. 493 00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,440 Speaker 5: Like the last time Penn States had a top five, 494 00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:50,720 Speaker 5: like usually their top. 495 00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,840 Speaker 1: Ten, and that's kind of like the barrier. 496 00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:56,919 Speaker 5: The last time they were top five was was my 497 00:25:57,040 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 5: sophomore year, Rich's first year playing, you know, after his 498 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 5: retro and they they had they game so close. We're 499 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 5: so close to getting into the playoff. Don't ruin it 500 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,919 Speaker 5: to Purdue now. They're gonna beat Purdue handily because they 501 00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:12,800 Speaker 5: usually beat what does James Franklin do, They beat the 502 00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:15,720 Speaker 5: teams they're supposed to beat. They're gonna win this game today, 503 00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:20,240 Speaker 5: the Texas Arkansas game. I like your point about the 504 00:26:20,320 --> 00:26:22,880 Speaker 5: Arkansas defense. I actually think that is where this game 505 00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,440 Speaker 5: will be won. If you go back and watch Arkansas's 506 00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:28,560 Speaker 5: biggest win of the year against Tennessee, Travis Williams did 507 00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:31,040 Speaker 5: a really good job holding that Tennessee offense down. 508 00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 1: Travis Williams the defensive coordinator for Arkansas. 509 00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 5: That scares me a lot because Texas has this ability. 510 00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:40,400 Speaker 5: We've talked about their offense it's like a torture chamber. 511 00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 5: With Isaiah Bond back healthy, they will stretch the field. 512 00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:45,680 Speaker 5: Arkansas what they're gonna do, and this is what they've 513 00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:47,439 Speaker 5: done in prior games. This is how they kept Tennessee 514 00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:50,639 Speaker 5: at bay. They made they frustrated Tennessee. They backed off 515 00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:53,439 Speaker 5: and they said, you are going to go ten to 516 00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:55,399 Speaker 5: twelve plays. That is the only way you are going 517 00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:56,959 Speaker 5: to score touchdown. We are not gonna let you hit 518 00:26:56,960 --> 00:27:00,280 Speaker 5: the explosive. So if they do that, you give you 519 00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:02,680 Speaker 5: was a chance to get into a rhythm. But also 520 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,840 Speaker 5: you make Quinn Yewers and that offense methodically march down 521 00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,480 Speaker 5: the field and on the road with a week of 522 00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:12,560 Speaker 5: extra prep, that opens up the mistake to turnover the penalty. 523 00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:14,920 Speaker 5: I think that's the path for Arkansas today. 524 00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:15,560 Speaker 1: We know tailor. 525 00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,880 Speaker 5: I think Arkansas's offense will have success against this Texas defense. 526 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,960 Speaker 5: I think the key is can Arkansas get one stop right? 527 00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:24,960 Speaker 5: Can you get the one crazy play turnover to flip 528 00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:26,600 Speaker 5: the field and get the momentum and get the home 529 00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:27,520 Speaker 5: crowd on your side. 530 00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,760 Speaker 1: That's where Arkansas I think is live today. 531 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:30,240 Speaker 2: Man. 532 00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:32,800 Speaker 1: That's the thing is you just go back a couple 533 00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:36,400 Speaker 1: of weeks ago, and you look at Arkansas against Old Miss, 534 00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:40,600 Speaker 1: if you look at the box score, it's gonna make 535 00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:43,520 Speaker 1: you pause if you're thinking about going Arkansas plus twelve 536 00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:45,720 Speaker 1: and a half. I'm not saying it makes you back 537 00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:48,880 Speaker 1: off completely, but it's gonna make you pause because Jackson 538 00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:53,200 Speaker 1: Dart get this twenty five for thirty one for five 539 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty five hundred and fifteen passing game. They 540 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,680 Speaker 1: didn't play off coverage in that game. Yeah, how about 541 00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 1: Jordan Watkins? How many bombs? Did Jordan Watkins catch? Eight 542 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:08,000 Speaker 1: catches for two fifty four and five touchdowns? That's what 543 00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:10,840 Speaker 1: he did happen And you're thinking, okay, well, man, if 544 00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,560 Speaker 1: you have a receiver go off for that much, you're 545 00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,840 Speaker 1: gonna see a couple of guys, all right, two catches 546 00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:18,840 Speaker 1: for thirty three yards. No, not that's the case. Kayden 547 00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:23,440 Speaker 1: Lee five catches for a buck twenty seven and Dakwan 548 00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:26,800 Speaker 1: Wright nine catches for ninety nine yards and two touchdowns. 549 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:31,760 Speaker 1: They had three dudes put up huge numbers. So that's 550 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:34,680 Speaker 1: my question is can Arkansas, like you said, Jared, can 551 00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:38,040 Speaker 1: they at least make their opponent be methodical and not 552 00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:41,040 Speaker 1: go bomb city left and right in these chunk plays. 553 00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:43,120 Speaker 1: That's all. It was a couple of weeks ago against 554 00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 1: Old Miss. 555 00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:44,320 Speaker 2: Yeah. 556 00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:47,320 Speaker 4: And here's the problem for uh, here's the problem for 557 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,760 Speaker 4: Texas is since they are going through a little bit 558 00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 4: of a rough stretch defensively, you know, to give Arkansas 559 00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:58,640 Speaker 4: a little love here, they're going against a unbelievably successful 560 00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:01,600 Speaker 4: rushing attack from our Arkansas. So if Arkansas finds a 561 00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:04,360 Speaker 4: way they get a little tricky, a little dynamic to 562 00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,360 Speaker 4: start the game. Special teams helps out field position wise, 563 00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:10,200 Speaker 4: and they get an early lead and Texas can't stop 564 00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:12,720 Speaker 4: their run game. They have Jackson and Green out of 565 00:29:12,760 --> 00:29:16,320 Speaker 4: that backfield. Jackson obviously the belcow out of the backfield 566 00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:19,840 Speaker 4: at the running back position. Green the mobile quarterback. He's 567 00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 4: the second leading rusher. Jackson is just about to crest 568 00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,360 Speaker 4: the top ten in the nation for touchdowns scored from 569 00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 4: that position. He's been really good this year. He carries 570 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 4: the ball for close to six yards per Carrie. They 571 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,920 Speaker 4: just get it done on the ground. They find a 572 00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:40,880 Speaker 4: way to wear you down. And so if they can 573 00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 4: get a lead and they can start playing the hey, 574 00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:46,719 Speaker 4: we're going to shorten this game on you, Texas. So 575 00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:50,400 Speaker 4: you're gonna have a hard time scoring a lot of points. 576 00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:52,520 Speaker 4: You just have to make sure you score when you 577 00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:54,719 Speaker 4: get the ball back. All of a sudden, we got 578 00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:58,320 Speaker 4: a ballgame on our hand. So, man, the more we 579 00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:00,640 Speaker 4: talk about it, the more of a battle it feels 580 00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:03,120 Speaker 4: like it's gonna be. I would say I would I 581 00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:06,160 Speaker 4: would settle on the side. I would side with Arkansas 582 00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:09,200 Speaker 4: with the spread. But I mean, you could you could 583 00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:13,680 Speaker 4: talk me into, you know, the danger zone here for Texas, 584 00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:15,920 Speaker 4: but I don't think we're gonna see that. But I 585 00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:18,920 Speaker 4: do like Arkansas with the uh with the points, getting 586 00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:19,360 Speaker 4: the points. 587 00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:21,640 Speaker 5: I think we've reached that point in the season where 588 00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:25,640 Speaker 5: the schedule, Like you can really tell how tough teams 589 00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:28,880 Speaker 5: are based on their schedule, because we're pretty much, you know, all, 590 00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:31,680 Speaker 5: like eighty percent of the way through Arkansas. 591 00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:35,560 Speaker 1: This is their fifth ranked opponent in six games. Yeah 592 00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:35,960 Speaker 1: like it. 593 00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:39,360 Speaker 5: And and so when you talk about managing up in class, 594 00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 5: what is Arkansas gonna be afraid? 595 00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:41,520 Speaker 4: Like? 596 00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:45,360 Speaker 5: There's no juggernaut factor here for Texas. First of all, 597 00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:48,400 Speaker 5: Texas is a newcomer to the SEC. They're coming into 598 00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:50,480 Speaker 5: a new building. They've never I don't know when the 599 00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 5: last time they played there. I know they used to 600 00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:54,360 Speaker 5: be Southwest Conference rivals, but they haven't played there, and 601 00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 5: really no one on this roster. 602 00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:57,400 Speaker 1: Has ever played in that building. 603 00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:01,880 Speaker 5: And you get this just just beleaguered Arkansas team coming off, 604 00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:06,400 Speaker 5: as you said, Brian, an absolute butt whooping, and they've 605 00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,080 Speaker 5: had two weeks to sit and stew. 606 00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:10,160 Speaker 1: Over what Ole Miss did. 607 00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:11,920 Speaker 5: I've had two weeks to sit and stew over it 608 00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:13,800 Speaker 5: because I was on Arkansas in that game and I 609 00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 5: got my butt handed. 610 00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:15,720 Speaker 1: To me just like they did. 611 00:31:16,280 --> 00:31:18,600 Speaker 5: And it feels like one of those spots where if 612 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:22,040 Speaker 5: Arkansas can catch a lead and get a play early 613 00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:25,960 Speaker 5: and just bleed the life out of what Texas does. 614 00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:27,920 Speaker 1: Kind of like Vandy. Like go watch the Vandy game. 615 00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:31,160 Speaker 5: Vandy did not play that well, and they were in 616 00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 5: that game at home, and I know Vandy's home field 617 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:35,880 Speaker 5: advantage ain't nothing like Arkansas. 618 00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:40,240 Speaker 1: Very different vibe there in Fayetteville. So again, can they. 619 00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:43,040 Speaker 5: Make one of those plays to tilt the momentum early, 620 00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:46,520 Speaker 5: get the crowd into it, and make Texas doubt their 621 00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:48,719 Speaker 5: belief And I think that's gonna be the key if 622 00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:50,960 Speaker 5: Ole Miss. If they do the same thing Ole Miss does, 623 00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:53,880 Speaker 5: they just throw it deep and Arkansas can't defend it. Yeah, 624 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,200 Speaker 5: Texas gonna run this game, but can you get an 625 00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,920 Speaker 5: early momentum play to kind of tilt it and get 626 00:31:58,920 --> 00:31:59,959 Speaker 5: that crowd on your side. 627 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,560 Speaker 1: That's what I wonder too. Is last point for me 628 00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 1: is I love the point you made Jared about being 629 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 1: battle tested. This has been a gauntlet that Arkansas has 630 00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:12,000 Speaker 1: faced schedule wise, and it could go one of two ways. 631 00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 1: You could either see it where they're unfazed, they're battle tested. 632 00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:19,040 Speaker 1: They're like grizzly at this point of the season. They're 633 00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:21,800 Speaker 1: not scared of Texas or all that might be true, 634 00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:24,600 Speaker 1: and they're just dead tired, like they've been bumbled for 635 00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:25,480 Speaker 1: a number of weeks. 636 00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:25,680 Speaker 2: Here. 637 00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:28,440 Speaker 1: It's like the fight last night. If you look at 638 00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:32,800 Speaker 1: Amanda Serrano and Katie Taylor in the first round, that 639 00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:35,200 Speaker 1: fight looks a lot more crisp. It looks a lot 640 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:38,440 Speaker 1: different than the eighth round when it's been a slugfest. 641 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:41,960 Speaker 1: So that's what I wonder with Arkansas here today as well. 642 00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:45,360 Speaker 1: Like they're battle tested, no doubt, but how much attrition 643 00:32:46,040 --> 00:32:50,480 Speaker 1: playing that schedule in the sec have they they faced 644 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:53,200 Speaker 1: and how much will it affect them today against the 645 00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:55,520 Speaker 1: number three team in the country. It can go that way. 646 00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:59,640 Speaker 4: Also, I look at teams down the stretch of the 647 00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,240 Speaker 4: season in two different ways. There are certain teams who 648 00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:04,760 Speaker 4: know how to finish the season and there are certain 649 00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:07,440 Speaker 4: teams who don't. And you really don't know what you 650 00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 4: have until you get to that point in the season. 651 00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:12,320 Speaker 4: So we're gonna see some tests here on the field 652 00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:15,920 Speaker 4: for some of these teams Penn State or Ohio State, 653 00:33:16,080 --> 00:33:19,880 Speaker 4: or Tennessee like you know, some Oregon, some of the 654 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:23,400 Speaker 4: top teams in the country. We're gonna find out who's 655 00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:27,480 Speaker 4: finishers and playing on the road in conference for Texas 656 00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:30,280 Speaker 4: in a building like you pointed out, Jared, that none 657 00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:32,520 Speaker 4: of these players have been to maybe some of the 658 00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:35,760 Speaker 4: staff has ever been to in an environment that is 659 00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:38,360 Speaker 4: unique to them that they're gonna have to find a 660 00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:42,160 Speaker 4: way to, you know, dip their toes into and get 661 00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:45,600 Speaker 4: used to really quick in that first quarter. That's the trouble. 662 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:47,520 Speaker 4: That's the part of the game. I'm gonna be keing 663 00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:50,080 Speaker 4: on the most if you want to, I don't know, 664 00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,360 Speaker 4: if you're afraid to pick a side here early on 665 00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:55,280 Speaker 4: and you want an in game bet, see if Arkansas 666 00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:58,440 Speaker 4: rushes out to an early lead, because then then all 667 00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:00,560 Speaker 4: of a sudden, it's going to feel like oil boy, 668 00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:02,880 Speaker 4: this is gonna be a long, hard day for Texas 669 00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:05,760 Speaker 4: because it's gonna be tough to fight back through all 670 00:34:05,840 --> 00:34:09,399 Speaker 4: of those things that we just discussed. But they can 671 00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:13,000 Speaker 4: they probably will. But arkansaw the Hogs they could keep 672 00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:13,480 Speaker 4: it close. 673 00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:16,160 Speaker 5: Shout out to our producer, Vote Bents, and he corrected me. 674 00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:18,719 Speaker 5: They actually were there in twenty twenty one, although none 675 00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:20,600 Speaker 5: of the players on this team were probably there, but 676 00:34:20,680 --> 00:34:22,960 Speaker 5: Sark was there and the staff was there. But man, 677 00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:25,399 Speaker 5: oh man, I'm pulling up the box score from that game. 678 00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:29,920 Speaker 5: Arkansas absolutely boat raised Texas. They were up twenty ninhing 679 00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:32,680 Speaker 5: at half, Texas made a little late push. That was 680 00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:38,040 Speaker 5: the Hudson card oh Dijon Robinson Texas team from twenty one. 681 00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 5: So yeah, that I'll be honest that I don't want 682 00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:45,239 Speaker 5: to say that data point has any impact on today's game, 683 00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:48,879 Speaker 5: but the fact that Sark's gone in there and they 684 00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:52,440 Speaker 5: got their butts kicked, I think that at least allows 685 00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:54,960 Speaker 5: Texas to have a little bit of Okay, we've been 686 00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:57,120 Speaker 5: here before, we can handle this. Even though again none 687 00:34:57,120 --> 00:34:59,239 Speaker 5: of the players but the coach and I'm sure some 688 00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,000 Speaker 5: of the coaching staff and some of the other staff 689 00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:04,439 Speaker 5: members certainly have been to fail before. But this used 690 00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:06,640 Speaker 5: to be This used to be a big time robbery 691 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:08,160 Speaker 5: in the Southwest Conference. 692 00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:10,239 Speaker 1: Man and now Hudson card is having a hard time 693 00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:12,400 Speaker 1: throwing for one hundred and thirty yards at Purdue. We 694 00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:15,080 Speaker 1: got it, We got it for another PDU reference of 695 00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:18,800 Speaker 1: the show. Yeah, accomplished, Yeah, no doubt. We've got Jared 696 00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:22,800 Speaker 1: Smith FSR, betting analyst, Rich Ornberger Penn State All American. 697 00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:26,120 Speaker 1: I'm Brian no coming up next to Parlay Platter. 698 00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:27,040 Speaker 5: Huh. 699 00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:32,719 Speaker 1: We'll have three most likely outright underdogs winning, maybe just 700 00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:36,360 Speaker 1: but underdogs. Nevertheless, we'll see if they're all outright money 701 00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:39,279 Speaker 1: line picks or not, and we'll pull everything together for 702 00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:41,640 Speaker 1: a bigger payout. We'll get you some picks right around 703 00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:44,720 Speaker 1: the corner. It's Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented 704 00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:47,759 Speaker 1: by bet MGM. It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to 705 00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:51,400 Speaker 1: Kickoff presented by BETMGM. Every time you make a wager 706 00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:55,560 Speaker 1: at bet MGM, you earn BETMGM rewards points that could 707 00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:58,400 Speaker 1: be redeemed for things like bonus bets or converted to 708 00:35:58,560 --> 00:36:01,800 Speaker 1: MGM rewards. Points that could be used towards dining shows 709 00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:05,799 Speaker 1: and hotel rooms at over twenty MGM resorts. All right, 710 00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:06,400 Speaker 1: let's do this. 711 00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:10,000 Speaker 6: Check this out, Arlay letter. 712 00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:14,160 Speaker 1: Okay, welcome into the platter. We each have one selection 713 00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:17,160 Speaker 1: for you. We pull it together for a greater payout. Jared, 714 00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:18,520 Speaker 1: We'll start with you. What do you like? 715 00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:20,680 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'll be honest, both of us are on the 716 00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:21,560 Speaker 5: same page today. 717 00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:24,520 Speaker 1: The bet you're gonna give out is I think the 718 00:36:24,520 --> 00:36:26,320 Speaker 1: one that I'm most excited about. 719 00:36:26,360 --> 00:36:28,560 Speaker 5: This is the one that I'm second most excited about, 720 00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:31,560 Speaker 5: and it is the Florida Gators, a home dog today 721 00:36:31,600 --> 00:36:35,000 Speaker 5: against LSU. Both of these teams are coming off. Actually, 722 00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:37,680 Speaker 5: both teams have lost two consecutive games. Florida's had a 723 00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:41,200 Speaker 5: really tough schedule with Georgia Texas. They played Tennessee recently 724 00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:44,520 Speaker 5: lost them in overtime. Now you get LSU coming off. 725 00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:47,239 Speaker 5: They're just Halaysia's loss to Alabama. They also lost to 726 00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:50,200 Speaker 5: A and M. I am not sold on the Garrett 727 00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:53,239 Speaker 5: nus Meyer train. I think he is kind of the 728 00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:56,680 Speaker 5: game like the prototypical game manager, and I think this 729 00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:58,440 Speaker 5: is a really tough spot on the road. We've seen 730 00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:02,040 Speaker 5: DJ Lagway upgraded available to play. I think he's going 731 00:37:02,080 --> 00:37:04,239 Speaker 5: to play. That's why this line dropped. And I think 732 00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:07,360 Speaker 5: Florida at home a very live dog. LSU doesn't have 733 00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,560 Speaker 5: much to play for anymore. The conference championship is really 734 00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:13,880 Speaker 5: slipping away. They're already Bowl eligible. I just it feels 735 00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:15,600 Speaker 5: like a good spot for the Gators at home tonight. 736 00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:19,719 Speaker 4: Okay, I got Nebraska as touchdown dogs on the road 737 00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:22,560 Speaker 4: at USC who've lost their last three. 738 00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:25,720 Speaker 2: Nebraska has lost their last three by an. 739 00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:29,600 Speaker 4: Average total points of under fifteen points per loss in 740 00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:32,719 Speaker 4: those games. So they made a switch to have Holgerson 741 00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:36,960 Speaker 4: as their new offensive coordinator, famous for the air raid offense. 742 00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:37,680 Speaker 1: Now you look at. 743 00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:41,440 Speaker 4: Dylan Rayola, He's having a nice true freshman season, not great, 744 00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:45,120 Speaker 4: and considering is a five star recruit and a legacy 745 00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:48,160 Speaker 4: for the corn Huskers, the expectations were higher. 746 00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:49,480 Speaker 2: This switch is to. 747 00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:52,680 Speaker 4: Highlight what Rayola did so well in high school and 748 00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:55,080 Speaker 4: what they're trying to see as a Husker. So I 749 00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:57,520 Speaker 4: think that puts a little bit of a wrinkle into 750 00:37:57,560 --> 00:38:00,680 Speaker 4: the game plan defensively for USC. There's a lot more 751 00:38:00,680 --> 00:38:03,960 Speaker 4: to think about considering the switch at offensive coordinator. We'll 752 00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:06,919 Speaker 4: see how much the Huskers can switch up in one 753 00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:10,600 Speaker 4: week's time preparing for the Trojans. But give me the 754 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,279 Speaker 4: Huskers on the road on the money line. 755 00:38:13,840 --> 00:38:17,920 Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna go with a little KU action 756 00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:22,040 Speaker 1: over here. Okay, give me KU Kansas on the road 757 00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:25,240 Speaker 1: against BYU. This BYU team is just hanging by a threat. 758 00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,600 Speaker 1: They should have lost last week against Utah. It was 759 00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:32,120 Speaker 1: so bad. Well who's the guy you got fined after 760 00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:35,320 Speaker 1: last Utah? Ad was like, I hate the Big twelve. 761 00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:40,400 Speaker 1: He's like, we got ripped do that after a game before. 762 00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:44,000 Speaker 1: I've never seen that one. Ad gets fined like forty 763 00:38:44,080 --> 00:38:48,640 Speaker 1: g's because the comments he made the official screw twelve 764 00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:53,280 Speaker 1: in the Holy War. That was rough, but Holy War. Listen, Kansas. 765 00:38:53,320 --> 00:38:56,960 Speaker 1: They present a lot of problems. It's interesting because BYU 766 00:38:57,040 --> 00:39:00,839 Speaker 1: has survived some of these close games that eat Oklahoma 767 00:39:00,960 --> 00:39:05,439 Speaker 1: State in like minor miracle fashion. They won last week 768 00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:10,200 Speaker 1: in minor miracle fashion as well. They're surviving KU. They've 769 00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:13,480 Speaker 1: had a bunch of one possession losses. Yep. So you 770 00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:15,399 Speaker 1: could look at it and say, hey, they're right there, 771 00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:17,840 Speaker 1: they're knocking on the door, or you could say okay, 772 00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:21,400 Speaker 1: so BYU wins close games and Kansas loses close games. 773 00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:23,799 Speaker 1: I don't know why you're back in Kansas. I just 774 00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:26,200 Speaker 1: think Jalen Daniels is going to present a lot of 775 00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:33,640 Speaker 1: problems for BYU, and again BYU is just aching to lose. 776 00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:36,080 Speaker 1: And I think when you get closer and closer and 777 00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:39,600 Speaker 1: closer to the finish line and you've got a zero 778 00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:42,640 Speaker 1: in the lost column, I mean, if you look at Kansas, 779 00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:46,160 Speaker 1: they could let everything hang out. If you look at BYU, 780 00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:49,040 Speaker 1: I think you get a little bit tighter. The closer 781 00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:51,520 Speaker 1: you get where you can see that playoff berth just 782 00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:54,640 Speaker 1: right there, you can almost reach it. I think you 783 00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:57,240 Speaker 1: get tighter in a spot like this. So I got KU. 784 00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:01,560 Speaker 1: I like it. Kansas, Florida, Nebraska on them only all 785 00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:03,960 Speaker 1: on the money line, fifteen to one. 786 00:40:04,160 --> 00:40:07,000 Speaker 5: And here's the nugget on Kansas three wins, five and 787 00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:10,120 Speaker 5: a half expected wins lost by two. Tight game against 788 00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:12,440 Speaker 5: Kansas State lost Arizona State tight BYU. 789 00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:16,719 Speaker 1: Nine wins six and a half expected. Wow, like these 790 00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:20,279 Speaker 1: are evenly match teams. It's telling. It's telling right there. 791 00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:22,319 Speaker 1: They just know it. Up next. If you love hard 792 00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:26,640 Speaker 1: hitting questions, be prepared because there's a double shot coming 793 00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:30,719 Speaker 1: right at you. Oh, good morning, less than two hours 794 00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:35,240 Speaker 1: away from kickoff here on a college football Saturday, getting 795 00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:39,520 Speaker 1: you all set. So it's funny. These are two hard 796 00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:43,959 Speaker 1: hitting questions, and my answer just took all the fun 797 00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:47,239 Speaker 1: out of the questions. Like I like my answer to 798 00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:49,920 Speaker 1: these questions, but it literally takes all the fun out. 799 00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:54,640 Speaker 1: So here's the first question. Which team on the outside 800 00:40:54,680 --> 00:40:58,279 Speaker 1: of the playoff right now would you bet on to 801 00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:03,319 Speaker 1: make the college football play right? That is pretty good, 802 00:41:03,400 --> 00:41:05,920 Speaker 1: spicy here, edit Rich, We'll start with you. Who's on 803 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,160 Speaker 1: the outside looking in that you would bet on? You 804 00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:10,239 Speaker 1: would make a bet that they're going to be there. 805 00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:11,799 Speaker 1: They're going to be one of the twelve teams when 806 00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:12,920 Speaker 1: it's all said and done. 807 00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:15,960 Speaker 4: On a Friday night. A couple of weeks back, I 808 00:41:16,040 --> 00:41:19,320 Speaker 4: was in Boise, Idaho. Some people might say, in this country, 809 00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:21,960 Speaker 4: what the hell were you doing in Boise, Idaho. I'll 810 00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:24,480 Speaker 4: tell you what I was doing. I was watching the 811 00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:28,960 Speaker 4: candidate I favor to win the Heisman, Ashton Genty. There 812 00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:32,640 Speaker 4: is no singular player in the country who has had 813 00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:34,960 Speaker 4: more of an impact on his football team this season 814 00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:37,759 Speaker 4: than Ashtion Genty. He's a running back. If you haven't 815 00:41:37,800 --> 00:41:40,880 Speaker 4: heard of him, I'm sure you have. He is a monster. 816 00:41:41,080 --> 00:41:44,640 Speaker 4: He is a rolling ball of Butcher knives heading downhill 817 00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:47,759 Speaker 4: out of defense. Nobody wants to touch him. Nobody can 818 00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:50,600 Speaker 4: touch him. The Boise State Broncos are my pick for 819 00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:52,160 Speaker 4: a team on the outside looking in. 820 00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:53,040 Speaker 1: But they're in already. 821 00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:55,880 Speaker 2: There is no way now on the CFP rankings. I 822 00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:57,600 Speaker 2: guess I'm looking at the AP polling. 823 00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:00,200 Speaker 4: I'll give you a different team in terms of the 824 00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:04,040 Speaker 4: CFP in a second, but that that I I guess 825 00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:07,759 Speaker 4: I'm I'm getting I'm getting a little despondent with the 826 00:42:07,800 --> 00:42:10,600 Speaker 4: fact that we still even have an AP ranking set. 827 00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:13,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, we like, why are we even doing this anymore? 828 00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:16,279 Speaker 5: I don't know the A People and I've and we've 829 00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:18,880 Speaker 5: talked about this on the show. I think the A 830 00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:22,279 Speaker 5: People is the most meaningless thing that we've ever done 831 00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:25,080 Speaker 5: in college football. Maybe that's maybe that's an exaggeration. I'm 832 00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:28,160 Speaker 5: I apologize that's an exaggeration. But I've been convinced that 833 00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:31,760 Speaker 5: until we get the first iteration of the College Football 834 00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:35,120 Speaker 5: Playoff rankings, we should rank these teams. We should get 835 00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:38,600 Speaker 5: the best, the brightest odds makers into a room, YEP, 836 00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:43,120 Speaker 5: and let them rank the teams because the A people 837 00:42:43,200 --> 00:42:45,920 Speaker 5: is just a complete mess of nonsense. I think A 838 00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:49,399 Speaker 5: and M is intriguing. They're about three four to one 839 00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:51,759 Speaker 5: right now to make the playoff. And the reason why 840 00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:53,600 Speaker 5: A and M is intriguing is because they still have 841 00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:56,399 Speaker 5: everything to play for in front of them. If they 842 00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,759 Speaker 5: beat Texas in that, they're gonna beat to Mexico State 843 00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:01,320 Speaker 5: today and then I think they're gonna go on the 844 00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:04,440 Speaker 5: road and beat Alburn. And if they beat Texas in 845 00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:09,200 Speaker 5: that last game and Georgia beats Tennessee today, A and 846 00:43:09,360 --> 00:43:11,880 Speaker 5: M is in the SEC championship game, and I'll be 847 00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:13,400 Speaker 5: honest if. 848 00:43:13,239 --> 00:43:15,600 Speaker 1: They unless they lose by a gajillion points. 849 00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:20,680 Speaker 5: If you can't put a two loss team that plays 850 00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:23,160 Speaker 5: in the SEC championship game in the. 851 00:43:23,160 --> 00:43:25,120 Speaker 1: Collegeable Playoff, I don't know what we're doing here. 852 00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:28,960 Speaker 5: I honestly don't know how we exist as a universe. 853 00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:32,200 Speaker 5: If a two loss team that's playing in the toughest 854 00:43:32,200 --> 00:43:35,800 Speaker 5: conferences championship game, unless they lose by thirty in that game, 855 00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:36,880 Speaker 5: they've got to be in. 856 00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:39,520 Speaker 1: They've got to be in. I want to give you 857 00:43:39,560 --> 00:43:42,719 Speaker 1: some crazy answer. You know where it's like Louisville and 858 00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,640 Speaker 1: you're like what they've got three lots. Here's the path 859 00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:49,239 Speaker 1: that you know? I think it's Georgia. They're the first 860 00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:52,520 Speaker 1: team on the outside looking in, but their path is obvious. 861 00:43:52,600 --> 00:43:57,439 Speaker 1: It's like they win today and yeah, their resume holds up. 862 00:43:57,800 --> 00:44:01,160 Speaker 1: Which leads to the other question, which team currently in 863 00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:04,759 Speaker 1: the playoff would you bet on to not make it? 864 00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:08,920 Speaker 1: And that to me is Tennessee. I think Georgia beats Tennessee. 865 00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:11,680 Speaker 1: Boom Georgia in boom Tennessee out. 866 00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:15,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, I would say that's my knee jerk after after 867 00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:19,279 Speaker 4: thinking of thinking about it. Having a second here, can 868 00:44:19,360 --> 00:44:22,080 Speaker 4: I ask a question though? Because I do like chaos, 869 00:44:22,160 --> 00:44:24,680 Speaker 4: so that would have been my easy reach after the 870 00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:25,839 Speaker 4: Boise commentary. 871 00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:31,040 Speaker 2: But how about this? Is there any path for Colorado? 872 00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:31,560 Speaker 4: Oh? 873 00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:32,040 Speaker 1: Yes? 874 00:44:32,239 --> 00:44:35,880 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, so I like I like the thought process. 875 00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:39,680 Speaker 4: Again, if you follow the money in sports, you're probably 876 00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:41,200 Speaker 4: on the right path. 877 00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:44,799 Speaker 2: Colorado is box office. Hate him or love him? 878 00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:49,160 Speaker 4: Deon Sanders coach Prime has made a spectacle of this 879 00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:50,280 Speaker 4: team out of Boulder. 880 00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:52,480 Speaker 2: If if you can find. 881 00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:55,400 Speaker 4: A way to sneak Colorado in as a low seed, 882 00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:58,120 Speaker 4: do you think that the CFP isn't gonna do it? 883 00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:01,000 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win the Big Twelve. I honestly 884 00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:03,919 Speaker 1: have it. I think why losing today, we already called 885 00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:04,200 Speaker 1: it in the. 886 00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:08,200 Speaker 5: Parlay plotter and Iowa States lost already. I think Colorado 887 00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:09,680 Speaker 5: is going to be in the Big twelve title game 888 00:45:09,680 --> 00:45:11,279 Speaker 5: and then all bets are off once you get there, 889 00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:12,399 Speaker 5: you just gotta win that game. 890 00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:16,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, they might be legitimately in there, Yeah, where you 891 00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:17,600 Speaker 1: don't have to sneak him in. 892 00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:20,959 Speaker 2: Yeah that's right. Yeah, not as uh yeah, exactly right. 893 00:45:21,120 --> 00:45:23,000 Speaker 1: But you're right though, Rich, I hear you. It's like 894 00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:26,840 Speaker 1: if it's you know, we're raiser thin, we're splitting hairs 895 00:45:26,840 --> 00:45:30,359 Speaker 1: between Colorado and this other team. Yeah, it's they'll give 896 00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:31,640 Speaker 1: you the chaos approach. 897 00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:32,600 Speaker 2: Go ahead. 898 00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:36,759 Speaker 5: Washington State is the chaos team because Washington State does 899 00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:40,360 Speaker 5: not play in a conference and they have one loss. 900 00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:42,760 Speaker 1: And that is if. 901 00:45:42,640 --> 00:45:46,279 Speaker 5: Every like it would need massive chaos. But if you 902 00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:49,239 Speaker 5: want to talk about a chaos team that is in 903 00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:53,440 Speaker 5: the top twenty one loss, doesn't play in a conference, 904 00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:55,759 Speaker 5: doesn't have to worry about a conference championship game, and 905 00:45:55,800 --> 00:45:58,799 Speaker 5: now they haven't, I'm really beating anybody. But you want 906 00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:02,640 Speaker 5: to talk about like the scenario where like everybody loses, 907 00:46:03,120 --> 00:46:08,600 Speaker 5: that's the chaos scenario. Washington State, like they haven't played, 908 00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:11,799 Speaker 5: but they had. They don't have any bad losses, right, 909 00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:13,520 Speaker 5: Like I think their one losses. 910 00:46:13,239 --> 00:46:15,200 Speaker 1: The I forget who was I thought it was a 911 00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:19,239 Speaker 1: DC poise. That's right. Yeah, they go eleven and. 912 00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:21,240 Speaker 5: One and they they love their one losses. The boise 913 00:46:21,719 --> 00:46:23,319 Speaker 5: and chaos ensues everywhere else. 914 00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:25,200 Speaker 1: I think they've got a fighters chance. But I think 915 00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:28,400 Speaker 1: that's the richest point that that's a good team. Like 916 00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:32,600 Speaker 1: if it was down to Colorado and Washington State, see 917 00:46:32,640 --> 00:46:34,879 Speaker 1: that Colorado's exactly and. 918 00:46:35,040 --> 00:46:38,439 Speaker 2: This is where chaos reigns. So say Colorado. 919 00:46:38,080 --> 00:46:41,640 Speaker 4: Ends up in the championship game and loss, I mean 920 00:46:42,640 --> 00:46:43,480 Speaker 4: Washington State. 921 00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:45,960 Speaker 2: No, I don't know, but I. 922 00:46:46,040 --> 00:46:47,600 Speaker 5: Don't think the Big twelve gets two win or the 923 00:46:47,600 --> 00:46:50,000 Speaker 5: a SEC. I think the A one and done. 924 00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:51,239 Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with that. 925 00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:52,800 Speaker 1: Especially if BYU loses today. 926 00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:55,000 Speaker 5: The only case you can make for that is if 927 00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:57,719 Speaker 5: BYU and Colorado play in the Big twelve title game, 928 00:46:58,320 --> 00:47:00,880 Speaker 5: Colorado wins by a field goal and you're like, b 929 00:47:01,080 --> 00:47:03,560 Speaker 5: YU one loss, they've lost one game to Colorado all year. 930 00:47:03,560 --> 00:47:05,200 Speaker 1: In an extra game, we put them areica. 931 00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:08,520 Speaker 5: That's like the only scenario I see BYU and another 932 00:47:08,520 --> 00:47:09,520 Speaker 5: Big twelve team getting in. 933 00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:11,600 Speaker 1: Is there any ACC scenario? 934 00:47:12,080 --> 00:47:12,279 Speaker 6: Yeah? 935 00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:15,239 Speaker 5: If SMU wins, we actually no, because Miami lost. I 936 00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:18,399 Speaker 5: don't now because everyone has one loss. Yeah, I don't 937 00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:20,400 Speaker 5: think you can put a two loss a CC team in. 938 00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:23,560 Speaker 1: You can't. You can't, you can't. Okay, So we're looking 939 00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:28,600 Speaker 1: at three max between the ACC and Big twelve max, right. 940 00:47:28,520 --> 00:47:31,360 Speaker 5: And I'll be honest, I I don't b Yu's one. 941 00:47:31,360 --> 00:47:33,040 Speaker 5: Are they ninth eighth in the rankings? 942 00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:33,120 Speaker 2: Like? 943 00:47:33,160 --> 00:47:35,400 Speaker 1: I think? If they lose, they're they're out. They're gonna 944 00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:38,080 Speaker 1: lose today. Man, They're favored by two and a half 945 00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:41,560 Speaker 1: at home Kansas. Come on. The committee is like, gosh, 946 00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:44,520 Speaker 1: we gotta put IU at number five, and goodness, we 947 00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:47,360 Speaker 1: gotta put b YU at six. They are gonna drop 948 00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:48,520 Speaker 1: like rocks. 949 00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:50,839 Speaker 5: If they lose by out if they lose today. 950 00:47:50,880 --> 00:47:54,120 Speaker 1: Oh, this committee can't wait to drop them if they lose. 951 00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:56,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, they got to avoid the trap. 952 00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:59,920 Speaker 4: The Coop's gotta avoid the trap because again, that is 953 00:48:00,960 --> 00:48:03,520 Speaker 4: as much as Colorado would be chaos, it's almost like 954 00:48:03,520 --> 00:48:06,680 Speaker 4: the chaos you'd expect if BYU wins out. 955 00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:10,440 Speaker 5: Oh my god, Yeah, if DYU wins out, so I 956 00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:14,120 Speaker 5: did the spreads today, Ohio State would be about a 957 00:48:14,239 --> 00:48:17,160 Speaker 5: sixteen seventeen point favorite ap Boys in the first round today. 958 00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:20,720 Speaker 5: How about this line, Brian, This one's for you, because 959 00:48:20,760 --> 00:48:22,919 Speaker 5: my buddy thinks Tennessee is a fraud. If Tennessee played 960 00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:25,040 Speaker 5: Notre Dame at home today, my buddy's like, hey, just 961 00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:27,440 Speaker 5: set the line at three. Make people bet Tennessee in 962 00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:29,439 Speaker 5: that game because Notre Dame is very live. Ole Miss 963 00:48:29,440 --> 00:48:30,799 Speaker 5: and Penn State would be a pick them in Happy 964 00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:33,680 Speaker 5: Valley and bam up minus seven and a half in Bloomington. 965 00:48:34,080 --> 00:48:35,400 Speaker 1: Wow, interesting stuff. 966 00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:35,640 Speaker 2: You know. 967 00:48:35,680 --> 00:48:38,439 Speaker 1: I'm just thinking of the Big twelve if it comes 968 00:48:38,480 --> 00:48:42,360 Speaker 1: down to BYU and Colorado. We know that the College 969 00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:45,600 Speaker 1: Football Playoff Committee and you know the NC Double eight, 970 00:48:45,600 --> 00:48:48,680 Speaker 1: they're gonna be like, come on, Colorado, come on Colorado. 971 00:48:49,120 --> 00:48:50,239 Speaker 2: Yeah, but I. 972 00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:52,840 Speaker 1: Really wonder if the Big twelve would feel the same way. 973 00:48:53,320 --> 00:48:54,920 Speaker 1: I don't know if they would care one way or 974 00:48:54,920 --> 00:48:57,959 Speaker 1: the other. But I'll tell you what. The TV executives 975 00:48:58,280 --> 00:49:00,960 Speaker 1: they're like, come on, buffs, come on, see you listen. 976 00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:01,480 Speaker 2: Come on to you. 977 00:49:02,040 --> 00:49:04,759 Speaker 1: They don't want Retz laugh and BYU in there at 978 00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:08,000 Speaker 1: all when you could have Shador and Travis Hunter and 979 00:49:08,040 --> 00:49:11,120 Speaker 1: coach Prime and all that comes with it that's made 980 00:49:11,200 --> 00:49:15,760 Speaker 1: for television BYU is not. And listen any BYU fans 981 00:49:15,760 --> 00:49:18,160 Speaker 1: that are out there, they're rolling their eyes. They might 982 00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:20,480 Speaker 1: be yelling at their radios. And I get it, I 983 00:49:20,560 --> 00:49:24,840 Speaker 1: understand it. Where I'm much more resume than TV ratings. 984 00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:27,520 Speaker 1: It should be about who you played, who you beat. 985 00:49:27,920 --> 00:49:29,920 Speaker 1: But that's not the reality of how some of this 986 00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:31,080 Speaker 1: stuff gets sorted out. 987 00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:32,080 Speaker 2: No, it's not. 988 00:49:32,400 --> 00:49:35,040 Speaker 4: Look, this is as much a beauty pageant as it 989 00:49:35,120 --> 00:49:37,920 Speaker 4: is a college football ranking. 990 00:49:38,600 --> 00:49:42,000 Speaker 2: You have to win, but you also have to promote. 991 00:49:42,280 --> 00:49:44,919 Speaker 4: I mean, going back to the Tyson fight last night, 992 00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:47,680 Speaker 4: why did so many people watch that fight? Did they 993 00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:51,360 Speaker 4: really think that Mike Tyson had a chance or was 994 00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:56,399 Speaker 4: their nostalgia and hype and hatred towards Jake Paul And Hey, 995 00:49:56,400 --> 00:49:59,880 Speaker 4: you know a million different things thrown into the cauldron. 996 00:50:00,200 --> 00:50:04,080 Speaker 4: Set the temperature to eight hundred thousand degrees and let's 997 00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,480 Speaker 4: go have a spectacle. The teams that do the best 998 00:50:07,520 --> 00:50:10,640 Speaker 4: with that, that throw all the ingredients into the cauldron, 999 00:50:10,800 --> 00:50:12,759 Speaker 4: You turn up the heat and they still have a 1000 00:50:12,800 --> 00:50:15,959 Speaker 4: serviceable season like Colorado did this year. 1001 00:50:16,719 --> 00:50:17,880 Speaker 2: You're gonna be rewarded. 1002 00:50:17,960 --> 00:50:20,960 Speaker 4: That's how this works these days. This is sports media. 1003 00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:22,480 Speaker 4: It's not just sports anymore. 1004 00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:25,040 Speaker 5: I'll give you the prediction right now. Colorado's going to 1005 00:50:25,040 --> 00:50:27,919 Speaker 5: the playoff. BYU loses today, and I'll be honest, looking 1006 00:50:27,920 --> 00:50:31,400 Speaker 5: at BYU's resume, though, the win at SMU is looking better. 1007 00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:32,400 Speaker 1: That's aging well. 1008 00:50:32,520 --> 00:50:35,640 Speaker 5: The win against Kansas State it's aging, okay, granted that 1009 00:50:35,760 --> 00:50:36,880 Speaker 5: was a weird game. 1010 00:50:37,719 --> 00:50:39,760 Speaker 1: The win at Baylor is aging. Okay. 1011 00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:42,480 Speaker 5: We'll see how Baylor fares today at West Virginia, Like, 1012 00:50:42,520 --> 00:50:44,160 Speaker 5: that's probably gonna be a bowl team. 1013 00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:46,839 Speaker 1: Like, they've beaten some teams. 1014 00:50:46,520 --> 00:50:48,799 Speaker 5: That you can at least say, okay, They've at least 1015 00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:51,919 Speaker 5: put themselves in a position to where if they do 1016 00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:55,799 Speaker 5: make it to the Big Twelve title game, lose by 1017 00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:59,080 Speaker 5: a field goal late to Colorado, they can at. 1018 00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:01,759 Speaker 1: Least make the case that they deserve to be in. 1019 00:51:01,840 --> 00:51:05,200 Speaker 5: Because I think that's gonna be the most interesting handicap 1020 00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:08,680 Speaker 5: the committee has a team that loses a tight game 1021 00:51:09,200 --> 00:51:12,480 Speaker 5: in the thirteenth game of the year. How much do 1022 00:51:12,560 --> 00:51:15,440 Speaker 5: you downgrade them for that? Do you only downgrade them 1023 00:51:15,520 --> 00:51:18,000 Speaker 5: a half of what a normal loss would be? Is 1024 00:51:18,080 --> 00:51:21,080 Speaker 5: it extra if they lose by more like to me 1025 00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:25,839 Speaker 5: that the conference championship dynamic this year because of the 1026 00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:29,720 Speaker 5: expanded field is I think the most the hardest wrinkle 1027 00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:32,000 Speaker 5: to iron as I kind of project this forward. 1028 00:51:33,040 --> 00:51:37,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, what's interesting to me is with BYU, they're undefeated, 1029 00:51:37,800 --> 00:51:41,440 Speaker 1: but what stands out most? You know, if you're thinking 1030 00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:45,160 Speaker 1: how a voter might think of them, I would argue 1031 00:51:45,200 --> 00:51:49,280 Speaker 1: what stands out most? Are there close wins that probably 1032 00:51:49,280 --> 00:51:52,279 Speaker 1: shouldn't have happened. The Utah game Utah ad That's what 1033 00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:55,600 Speaker 1: stands out the most for that. Yeah, the Utah win 1034 00:51:55,760 --> 00:51:59,000 Speaker 1: last week and then beating Oklahoma State. The final drive 1035 00:51:59,040 --> 00:52:01,600 Speaker 1: they had I think a fourth the nine they converted, 1036 00:52:01,640 --> 00:52:04,280 Speaker 1: they scored a touchdown at the very end. What's funny 1037 00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:06,720 Speaker 1: to me though, is if you look at BYU compared 1038 00:52:06,719 --> 00:52:09,960 Speaker 1: to Colorado a good example too. What stands out most 1039 00:52:09,960 --> 00:52:14,640 Speaker 1: about Colorado season was it losing by three points at 1040 00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:17,480 Speaker 1: home to Kansas State. By the way, BYU beat Kansas 1041 00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:21,000 Speaker 1: State by twenty nine points. They beat them by twenty 1042 00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:25,759 Speaker 1: nine at home, and Colorado lost to them at Colorado 1043 00:52:26,320 --> 00:52:28,200 Speaker 1: And it's like, I don't know what it is with 1044 00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:31,800 Speaker 1: Colorado where it's just the sizzle, it's the interest factor 1045 00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:35,479 Speaker 1: it's the oh, it's like watching fireworks where you see 1046 00:52:35,480 --> 00:52:37,880 Speaker 1: Colorado and it's like, oh wow, that looks like a 1047 00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:40,279 Speaker 1: green fire where get turned to pink or purple. That 1048 00:52:40,400 --> 00:52:42,879 Speaker 1: was crazy And BYU is just the dud where it's 1049 00:52:42,880 --> 00:52:46,680 Speaker 1: like boom and you're like, what the hell was that? 1050 00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:49,600 Speaker 2: Well? BYU, I mean, let's let's predict. 1051 00:52:49,920 --> 00:52:54,320 Speaker 4: So BYU wins out, they they're the third highest conference champion, 1052 00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:57,640 Speaker 4: they'll be the three seed. I have that right right, 1053 00:52:57,680 --> 00:53:00,239 Speaker 4: They'll be waiting for the winner of like what ever 1054 00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:02,440 Speaker 4: it may be, Penn State, don't miss or whoever? 1055 00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:04,719 Speaker 2: Is that? Is that what we're talking about right now? 1056 00:53:04,760 --> 00:53:07,600 Speaker 2: I mean that is here's my question. 1057 00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:11,000 Speaker 4: Is that a matchup you really want to see if 1058 00:53:11,040 --> 00:53:13,800 Speaker 4: there's any variance that you could make an argument for 1059 00:53:15,120 --> 00:53:17,920 Speaker 4: another team out of that conference. 1060 00:53:17,560 --> 00:53:18,160 Speaker 2: If you can. 1061 00:53:18,360 --> 00:53:20,840 Speaker 4: Now, granted, if they're a champion, it's an autobid, but 1062 00:53:20,960 --> 00:53:23,680 Speaker 4: still if there's a way to argue them out of 1063 00:53:23,719 --> 00:53:26,080 Speaker 4: the playoff picture, I think people would rather do that. 1064 00:53:26,440 --> 00:53:28,640 Speaker 1: I think b White, I think they just have to win. 1065 00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:30,400 Speaker 2: I just have to keep winning. 1066 00:53:30,640 --> 00:53:33,400 Speaker 1: If they keep winning, then than no one Like it's. 1067 00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:35,279 Speaker 5: Not like last year with Florida State where there's any 1068 00:53:35,360 --> 00:53:36,719 Speaker 5: kind of argument to keep them out. 1069 00:53:37,560 --> 00:53:38,680 Speaker 1: If they keep winning, they're in. 1070 00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:41,440 Speaker 5: The biggest question mark is if they don't win and 1071 00:53:41,600 --> 00:53:43,200 Speaker 5: if they if they don't win in the if they 1072 00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:45,600 Speaker 5: don't win in the regular season, it's an easy discussion. 1073 00:53:46,040 --> 00:53:50,120 Speaker 5: It's that thirteenth game, right, Lucky thirteen. That's the game 1074 00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:53,160 Speaker 5: where they've made it through the whole gauntlet of the 1075 00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:56,279 Speaker 5: regular season and then they have to go to It's 1076 00:53:56,320 --> 00:53:58,319 Speaker 5: almost like in Mike Tyson's Punch Out back in the day. 1077 00:53:58,400 --> 00:53:59,799 Speaker 1: That was my favorite Nintendo game growing up. 1078 00:54:00,160 --> 00:54:02,560 Speaker 5: You beat bald Bull and King Hippo and then you 1079 00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:05,960 Speaker 5: get and then you get to the last round with Tyson, 1080 00:54:06,200 --> 00:54:09,160 Speaker 5: and I remember getting to that round and I had 1081 00:54:09,200 --> 00:54:12,200 Speaker 5: no shot. I probably had to restart that game one 1082 00:54:12,280 --> 00:54:15,160 Speaker 5: hundred freaking times to try to beat Tyson. I even 1083 00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:17,239 Speaker 5: made it to the like the second time you play 1084 00:54:17,280 --> 00:54:19,040 Speaker 5: balld Bull, you gotta hit him with the left instead 1085 00:54:19,040 --> 00:54:20,640 Speaker 5: of the right when he does the bull charge. I 1086 00:54:20,719 --> 00:54:23,359 Speaker 5: made it so far I couldn't beat Tyson. So that's 1087 00:54:23,400 --> 00:54:26,719 Speaker 5: the question for BYU. Can you beat Mike Tyson or 1088 00:54:26,719 --> 00:54:30,000 Speaker 5: in this case Colorado, Yeah, and Prime in the Big 1089 00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:30,560 Speaker 5: twelve times? No. 1090 00:54:30,680 --> 00:54:33,000 Speaker 1: I love that man oh Man I'll never forget the 1091 00:54:33,040 --> 00:54:36,160 Speaker 1: code to reach Tyson. We'll never forget that that'll be 1092 00:54:36,200 --> 00:54:39,680 Speaker 1: the one there. Yeah yeah, but oh yeah Tyson. 1093 00:54:39,760 --> 00:54:40,360 Speaker 2: Third round. 1094 00:54:40,400 --> 00:54:42,680 Speaker 1: It's like I know he does the true jab thing. 1095 00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:45,360 Speaker 1: He waits for like five seconds. I know it's coming, 1096 00:54:45,600 --> 00:54:48,880 Speaker 1: but two jab thing, I can't get out of the way. Yeah, 1097 00:54:49,200 --> 00:54:52,880 Speaker 1: right shot. We got Rich Hornberger, Penn State, All American. 1098 00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:56,320 Speaker 1: We've got Jared Smith FSR betting analyst. I'm Brian No. 1099 00:54:56,719 --> 00:54:58,880 Speaker 1: Be sure to check out the new looking features in 1100 00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:01,680 Speaker 1: the bed MGM at It's fast and easy access to 1101 00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:05,560 Speaker 1: the sports you love, whether it's the easy parlay builder teasers, 1102 00:55:06,000 --> 00:55:09,480 Speaker 1: live betting, the daily National Lions Boost, or the new 1103 00:55:09,520 --> 00:55:12,440 Speaker 1: bet slip layout. Use code countdown and receive up to 1104 00:55:12,600 --> 00:55:15,120 Speaker 1: fifteen hundred dollars back in bonus bets if you don't 1105 00:55:15,120 --> 00:55:18,000 Speaker 1: win your first bet. Download the bet mgm app today 1106 00:55:18,080 --> 00:55:21,080 Speaker 1: or visit betmgm dot com and use code countdown to 1107 00:55:21,200 --> 00:55:24,480 Speaker 1: receive up to fifteen hundred dollars back in bonus bets 1108 00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:29,160 Speaker 1: if that bet loses. All right, We've got Seamus McGee 1109 00:55:29,160 --> 00:55:32,440 Speaker 1: coming up, team Lead of Sports Trading at BETMGM. He 1110 00:55:32,480 --> 00:55:34,839 Speaker 1: does a magnificent job. I want to know how much 1111 00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:37,480 Speaker 1: he thinks my Irish are going to smack around his 1112 00:55:37,600 --> 00:55:40,880 Speaker 1: Virginia Cavaliers. Oh yeah, it's right, it's big Virginia guy. Guy. 1113 00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:45,040 Speaker 1: Should I ask him that? Should? Okay? Well, you probably 1114 00:55:45,080 --> 00:55:46,840 Speaker 1: got to play on it for you and we'll have 1115 00:55:46,880 --> 00:55:48,920 Speaker 1: a shame a special. You know, we'll get that as 1116 00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:50,920 Speaker 1: well as Pick of the Day. It is Fox Sports 1117 00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:54,960 Speaker 1: Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM. It is Fox 1118 00:55:55,000 --> 00:55:59,279 Speaker 1: Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM. Throughout the 1119 00:55:59,400 --> 00:56:02,160 Speaker 1: entire football all season, bet MGM will offer all different 1120 00:56:02,200 --> 00:56:04,880 Speaker 1: types of no Sweat tokens. Be on the lookout for 1121 00:56:04,920 --> 00:56:09,000 Speaker 1: no Sweat same game parlay tokens and parlay boost tokens, 1122 00:56:09,080 --> 00:56:10,919 Speaker 1: just to name a couple. And be sure to follow 1123 00:56:10,920 --> 00:56:15,719 Speaker 1: bet MGM across all socials at BETMGM. All right, let's 1124 00:56:15,760 --> 00:56:16,000 Speaker 1: do this. 1125 00:56:17,440 --> 00:56:19,120 Speaker 3: Follow the money, real good money. 1126 00:56:19,560 --> 00:56:19,719 Speaker 2: Ah. 1127 00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:23,240 Speaker 1: Yes, our good friend Seamus McGee, team lead of Sports 1128 00:56:23,280 --> 00:56:26,680 Speaker 1: Trading at bet MGM, he joins us right now, Seamus. 1129 00:56:26,960 --> 00:56:29,239 Speaker 1: The guys talked me into it. You know, I am 1130 00:56:29,320 --> 00:56:32,239 Speaker 1: very respectful. I would never talk trash. Yeah, but they 1131 00:56:32,440 --> 00:56:34,520 Speaker 1: they said, come on, what are you are you scared over? 1132 00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:38,080 Speaker 1: So Seamus. I'm from South Bend, Indiana. You know, I 1133 00:56:38,480 --> 00:56:43,319 Speaker 1: bleed Irish blood over here. And you're a Virginia guy. 1134 00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:46,440 Speaker 1: You're you're back to Virginia Cavaliers. So I'm curious which 1135 00:56:46,480 --> 00:56:48,719 Speaker 1: side of the fence you're on. Are you laying the 1136 00:56:48,760 --> 00:56:52,560 Speaker 1: points with Notre Dame or are you taking them with Virginia. 1137 00:56:52,640 --> 00:56:55,000 Speaker 6: So good to be back, guys, thanks for having me again. 1138 00:56:55,640 --> 00:56:59,400 Speaker 6: So the McGee family, we are diehard Uva, but we 1139 00:56:59,520 --> 00:57:02,600 Speaker 6: have some Notre Dame affiliation as well with you know, 1140 00:57:02,640 --> 00:57:05,280 Speaker 6: my older brother went to law school there. My sister 1141 00:57:05,320 --> 00:57:08,120 Speaker 6: went to Saint Mary's, so it's a it's a big 1142 00:57:08,160 --> 00:57:11,520 Speaker 6: one for us. I love Virginia plus twenty two and 1143 00:57:11,560 --> 00:57:13,400 Speaker 6: a half plus twenty one and a half depending on 1144 00:57:13,400 --> 00:57:16,200 Speaker 6: the number you got. It would make all the sense 1145 00:57:16,240 --> 00:57:18,400 Speaker 6: in the world for the McGee family for Virginia to 1146 00:57:18,440 --> 00:57:22,080 Speaker 6: and Notre Dame's playoff local. Oh yeah, that would be 1147 00:57:22,120 --> 00:57:23,840 Speaker 6: It's the opposite of the luck of the Irish in 1148 00:57:23,880 --> 00:57:24,320 Speaker 6: our house. 1149 00:57:24,920 --> 00:57:27,320 Speaker 5: That would be a really bad result for the Irish 1150 00:57:27,360 --> 00:57:28,320 Speaker 5: if they lost. 1151 00:57:28,080 --> 00:57:30,800 Speaker 1: This game today to Virginia. That would be and I'll 1152 00:57:30,840 --> 00:57:32,960 Speaker 1: be honest, the committee wouldn't like it. They want Notre 1153 00:57:33,040 --> 00:57:33,280 Speaker 1: dame in. 1154 00:57:33,440 --> 00:57:36,520 Speaker 5: They want, they want the Irish touchdown Jesus in the playoffs. 1155 00:57:36,520 --> 00:57:37,960 Speaker 1: I'll tell you what I don't like it. Well, we 1156 00:57:38,320 --> 00:57:40,760 Speaker 1: might have to bar Seamous from the show. 1157 00:57:43,320 --> 00:57:43,959 Speaker 3: I don't know how. 1158 00:57:43,960 --> 00:57:47,600 Speaker 6: UVA scores on this nour name defense this week. It's 1159 00:57:47,640 --> 00:57:49,080 Speaker 6: going to be a real tall task. 1160 00:57:49,800 --> 00:57:52,280 Speaker 5: Seamus usually asked you about games, but I want to 1161 00:57:52,320 --> 00:57:54,880 Speaker 5: ask you about it. You know, the playoff rankings and 1162 00:57:55,040 --> 00:57:58,480 Speaker 5: just how the dynamic of this is playing out and 1163 00:57:58,520 --> 00:58:01,240 Speaker 5: how it impacts how you book the games every week, 1164 00:58:01,280 --> 00:58:04,560 Speaker 5: like knowing especially byu being kind of in the crosshairs 1165 00:58:04,600 --> 00:58:06,600 Speaker 5: this week, but every week there's like that one game 1166 00:58:06,600 --> 00:58:09,040 Speaker 5: where it's like, man, if this team loses, they are out. 1167 00:58:09,680 --> 00:58:13,240 Speaker 5: Does it change at all how you approach making lines 1168 00:58:13,280 --> 00:58:17,080 Speaker 5: for these games? Adding in that pressure factor, that CFP factor, 1169 00:58:17,360 --> 00:58:20,520 Speaker 5: is that baked into the number at all? 1170 00:58:20,560 --> 00:58:23,320 Speaker 6: It could be. I mean, we still have ratings that 1171 00:58:23,360 --> 00:58:27,440 Speaker 6: we use and really just comes down to, you know, 1172 00:58:27,480 --> 00:58:29,760 Speaker 6: where the sharp money is going. If there is a 1173 00:58:29,760 --> 00:58:31,720 Speaker 6: pressure fact that it's going to be in there, you know, 1174 00:58:31,760 --> 00:58:33,439 Speaker 6: sharp Money's gonna let us know pretty quick. 1175 00:58:33,600 --> 00:58:36,640 Speaker 4: Yeah, well, look, we were just talking about the Tyson 1176 00:58:36,720 --> 00:58:39,400 Speaker 4: fight earlier today. It's kind of been a theme that's 1177 00:58:39,480 --> 00:58:41,800 Speaker 4: woven itself throughout the course of this show. 1178 00:58:42,200 --> 00:58:43,120 Speaker 2: One of the most. 1179 00:58:42,880 --> 00:58:45,400 Speaker 4: Bet fights in the history of the fight game, certainly 1180 00:58:45,400 --> 00:58:48,680 Speaker 4: in recent memory. I look there there were a lot 1181 00:58:48,680 --> 00:58:50,720 Speaker 4: of people after the fighter who said, hey, the fix 1182 00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:53,479 Speaker 4: was in. There was definitely a contract between Jake Paul 1183 00:58:53,520 --> 00:58:57,959 Speaker 4: and Tyson. Jake was carrying him, or maybe there wasn't 1184 00:58:57,960 --> 00:59:01,440 Speaker 4: a contract, but maybe there was like handshake agreement between 1185 00:59:01,480 --> 00:59:03,640 Speaker 4: the two fighters. We're not going to embarrass each other, 1186 00:59:03,680 --> 00:59:06,560 Speaker 4: We're not gonna go for the kill shot. Whatever it was, 1187 00:59:07,160 --> 00:59:10,080 Speaker 4: it definitely felt like there was something else happening. 1188 00:59:10,160 --> 00:59:12,000 Speaker 2: It just wasn't a pure competition. 1189 00:59:12,600 --> 00:59:16,720 Speaker 4: Now these college football games, Shamus, it's pure competition. Everybody's 1190 00:59:16,760 --> 00:59:20,520 Speaker 4: trying to win, everybody's trying to advance. But the CFP rankings, 1191 00:59:20,920 --> 00:59:24,800 Speaker 4: the playoffs slotting, that's where it gets weird because that's 1192 00:59:24,840 --> 00:59:29,120 Speaker 4: where opinions start entering the room. Are you seeing any 1193 00:59:29,320 --> 00:59:34,640 Speaker 4: shakiness with betters not not putting their money on futures 1194 00:59:34,680 --> 00:59:37,800 Speaker 4: for the college football playoff because they don't trust it 1195 00:59:37,840 --> 00:59:40,520 Speaker 4: as much? You know, because because after all, we are 1196 00:59:40,560 --> 00:59:44,360 Speaker 4: talking about board members sitting down in a hotel conference 1197 00:59:44,400 --> 00:59:47,520 Speaker 4: room coming up with the decisions to decide the futures 1198 00:59:47,520 --> 00:59:50,520 Speaker 4: of these these uh these college football programs. 1199 00:59:51,600 --> 00:59:54,560 Speaker 6: I would say the opposite. We have taken more money 1200 00:59:54,600 --> 00:59:57,760 Speaker 6: on futures this year than I can remember, especially like 1201 00:59:58,120 --> 01:00:01,840 Speaker 6: on to make the playoff market, even on the national 1202 01:00:01,920 --> 01:00:05,840 Speaker 6: championship market, and it's really been awesome to see just 1203 01:00:05,880 --> 01:00:07,680 Speaker 6: how much money's coming on features this year. 1204 01:00:08,400 --> 01:00:11,440 Speaker 1: Here's Seamous McGee joining us here on Countdown to Kickoff, 1205 01:00:11,480 --> 01:00:15,720 Speaker 1: presented by BETTMGM. We always joke you need the team 1206 01:00:15,960 --> 01:00:20,480 Speaker 1: facing Colorado, right, there's probably the case today any money 1207 01:00:20,520 --> 01:00:23,440 Speaker 1: coming in on Utah where it's like, all right, plus fourteen, 1208 01:00:23,480 --> 01:00:24,720 Speaker 1: I just have to do this? 1209 01:00:26,160 --> 01:00:26,720 Speaker 2: How about that? 1210 01:00:26,920 --> 01:00:29,440 Speaker 1: And who else do you need today? If you do 1211 01:00:29,560 --> 01:00:31,320 Speaker 1: need the utes and I'm assuming you do. 1212 01:00:32,840 --> 01:00:36,560 Speaker 6: We do, but yeah, it's less need than it usually 1213 01:00:36,640 --> 01:00:39,920 Speaker 6: is this week, which is kind of surprising. This week 1214 01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:44,400 Speaker 6: it's all down to Georgia. We need Georgia outright in 1215 01:00:44,400 --> 01:00:47,960 Speaker 6: and a route like they We need Georgia big over Tennessee. 1216 01:00:48,480 --> 01:00:51,520 Speaker 6: And we're gonna need Arkansas looks like here on the 1217 01:00:51,520 --> 01:00:53,200 Speaker 6: spread at home against Texas. 1218 01:00:53,440 --> 01:00:55,920 Speaker 1: Man, I'll tell you what, that's music to my ear shamus. 1219 01:00:55,920 --> 01:00:58,320 Speaker 5: Because the two things you need are the two things 1220 01:00:58,320 --> 01:00:59,000 Speaker 5: that we were. 1221 01:00:58,920 --> 01:01:00,360 Speaker 1: Betting all morning long. 1222 01:01:00,480 --> 01:01:04,080 Speaker 5: Maybe everybody, all right, let's get to Kansas BYU because 1223 01:01:04,080 --> 01:01:06,720 Speaker 5: I'm calling this another Vegas nose game. 1224 01:01:06,800 --> 01:01:08,480 Speaker 1: I get these texts from my friends all the time. 1225 01:01:08,480 --> 01:01:09,320 Speaker 1: I see these tweets. 1226 01:01:09,640 --> 01:01:13,600 Speaker 5: Wait a minute, undefeated BYU is laying less than a 1227 01:01:13,640 --> 01:01:17,880 Speaker 5: field goal against three win Kansas. Vegas must know something. 1228 01:01:17,960 --> 01:01:19,640 Speaker 5: What does Vegas know about this game? 1229 01:01:19,680 --> 01:01:20,160 Speaker 1: Seamus? 1230 01:01:20,920 --> 01:01:25,000 Speaker 6: Damn? This line just stinks out loud. Money on Star, 1231 01:01:25,120 --> 01:01:27,640 Speaker 6: Money's on the Jayhawks too. This was opening three and 1232 01:01:27,680 --> 01:01:29,680 Speaker 6: a half. It's been bet down to two and a half. 1233 01:01:30,200 --> 01:01:32,400 Speaker 6: Money has been kind of going both ways here for 1234 01:01:32,520 --> 01:01:34,960 Speaker 6: a lot of the week. People were coming on Kansas, 1235 01:01:35,080 --> 01:01:38,200 Speaker 6: and now looks like some buyback is coming on from 1236 01:01:38,200 --> 01:01:41,080 Speaker 6: the public. So yeah, we're in a pretty good spot 1237 01:01:41,080 --> 01:01:44,360 Speaker 6: as a book. But yeah, that's definitely a weird one. 1238 01:01:44,760 --> 01:01:47,520 Speaker 6: The sharps have been hating this BYU team, and they've 1239 01:01:47,560 --> 01:01:49,320 Speaker 6: bet Kansas most weeks as well. 1240 01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:51,440 Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna give you three teams. 1241 01:01:51,480 --> 01:01:53,800 Speaker 4: You mentioned two of them, Arkansas and Georgia are in 1242 01:01:53,840 --> 01:01:54,680 Speaker 4: this conversation. 1243 01:01:54,800 --> 01:01:57,040 Speaker 2: I'm going to add Nebraska. 1244 01:01:57,080 --> 01:01:59,360 Speaker 4: Who of the three of those would you say is 1245 01:01:59,640 --> 01:02:02,000 Speaker 4: the most live money line? 1246 01:02:02,120 --> 01:02:12,600 Speaker 6: Dog hmmm, I would probably say I can't stand Nebraska anymore. 1247 01:02:12,640 --> 01:02:19,960 Speaker 6: I'm gonna say Arkansas because I really think Georgia is 1248 01:02:19,960 --> 01:02:22,800 Speaker 6: gonna come home and really put on a show today, 1249 01:02:23,160 --> 01:02:25,480 Speaker 6: I'll say Arkansas, Texas hasn't shaky too. 1250 01:02:26,520 --> 01:02:29,520 Speaker 1: How about the same as special over here. I'm very 1251 01:02:29,520 --> 01:02:31,640 Speaker 1: curious now this one. 1252 01:02:31,720 --> 01:02:36,640 Speaker 6: Yeah, you know, I looking at this pretty big c 1253 01:02:36,880 --> 01:02:41,200 Speaker 6: AA game between Nova and Monmouth. I'll take Nova minus 1254 01:02:41,240 --> 01:02:44,480 Speaker 6: three on the road here in New Jersey at Monmouth. 1255 01:02:44,520 --> 01:02:48,440 Speaker 6: It's apologies to my my any anyone listening in the 1256 01:02:48,440 --> 01:02:50,200 Speaker 6: state of New Jersey won't be able to bet this, 1257 01:02:50,360 --> 01:02:51,400 Speaker 6: but you know you. 1258 01:02:51,320 --> 01:02:56,520 Speaker 5: Can find it out wown anytime. You can bet Villanova football. Yeah, please, 1259 01:02:56,640 --> 01:02:59,280 Speaker 5: not basketball, you have to Yeah. 1260 01:02:59,440 --> 01:03:03,440 Speaker 6: Yeah, I think who looked pretty good against Nova hoops yesterday, 1261 01:03:03,480 --> 01:03:06,360 Speaker 6: But again that's not very hard these days against Stova basketball. 1262 01:03:06,680 --> 01:03:08,200 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm shot. You didn't want to LA forty 1263 01:03:08,240 --> 01:03:09,880 Speaker 1: two with Alabama against Mercer today. 1264 01:03:09,920 --> 01:03:11,560 Speaker 5: You know that was another I'm sure that was that 1265 01:03:11,560 --> 01:03:14,520 Speaker 5: one popped on your radar today. 1266 01:03:17,120 --> 01:03:19,640 Speaker 6: Still not a lot of not a lot of odds up. 1267 01:03:19,560 --> 01:03:21,959 Speaker 5: For that game, yet not a lot of Mercer money 1268 01:03:22,000 --> 01:03:22,680 Speaker 5: coming into the book. 1269 01:03:22,720 --> 01:03:27,240 Speaker 1: I bet today that's for sure. Yeah, probably not. Yeah, well, hey, Seamous, 1270 01:03:27,280 --> 01:03:30,480 Speaker 1: always appreciate your time. Man, good luck, have a good day. 1271 01:03:30,480 --> 01:03:31,800 Speaker 1: We'll catch you soon, Bud. 1272 01:03:32,280 --> 01:03:34,040 Speaker 6: Thanks, guys, have a good one to join the games. 1273 01:03:34,320 --> 01:03:34,680 Speaker 1: You two. 1274 01:03:34,720 --> 01:03:34,919 Speaker 6: There. 1275 01:03:34,920 --> 01:03:38,240 Speaker 1: He is Seamus McGee, team lead of sports trading at 1276 01:03:38,280 --> 01:03:42,880 Speaker 1: bet MGM. You know, I was just searching Monmouth NFL 1277 01:03:42,920 --> 01:03:45,960 Speaker 1: players because of course that's what I do. And Miles 1278 01:03:46,040 --> 01:03:49,160 Speaker 1: Austin remembers that I was first receiver. Yeah. And you 1279 01:03:49,160 --> 01:03:53,320 Speaker 1: remember this guy Chris Hogan Bills. Remember he played with 1280 01:03:53,560 --> 01:03:57,760 Speaker 1: Doph Yeah, didn't not Edelman. Didn't someone play at Mommouth 1281 01:03:57,760 --> 01:04:01,760 Speaker 1: to lacross at momad that was? That was? That was? 1282 01:04:02,160 --> 01:04:04,320 Speaker 5: It wasn't Adam, it was it was Hogan played lacrosse Hogan. 1283 01:04:04,400 --> 01:04:07,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, Hogan did. Yeah. Were you teammates with 1284 01:04:07,400 --> 01:04:07,960 Speaker 1: Hogan ever? 1285 01:04:08,240 --> 01:04:08,560 Speaker 2: Rich Or? 1286 01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:14,120 Speaker 4: He was our careers overlap. But I was, I believe, 1287 01:04:14,240 --> 01:04:18,160 Speaker 4: playing for the Chargers his early years with the Patriots, 1288 01:04:18,200 --> 01:04:19,760 Speaker 4: and I thought it was so cool because I grew 1289 01:04:19,840 --> 01:04:22,800 Speaker 4: up playing lacrosse. Also, like I thought I was going 1290 01:04:22,880 --> 01:04:26,280 Speaker 4: to play college lacrosse and then football took off for me. 1291 01:04:26,600 --> 01:04:30,000 Speaker 4: So seeing a guy who played college lacrosse make it 1292 01:04:30,040 --> 01:04:32,240 Speaker 4: into the league, I was like, whoa that is That's 1293 01:04:32,280 --> 01:04:33,400 Speaker 4: an awesome story. 1294 01:04:33,200 --> 01:04:36,720 Speaker 1: Right there, man, you on lacrosse field would be a 1295 01:04:36,720 --> 01:04:38,560 Speaker 1: little bit scary, right Yeah. 1296 01:04:38,600 --> 01:04:38,800 Speaker 6: Yeah. 1297 01:04:38,800 --> 01:04:40,360 Speaker 1: I was standing next to Rich last night. 1298 01:04:40,400 --> 01:04:44,720 Speaker 5: He is, he's formidable human Being's. 1299 01:04:43,440 --> 01:04:45,560 Speaker 1: The reason why he played offensive line and pretty big 1300 01:04:45,640 --> 01:04:49,520 Speaker 1: fell all right, dam big not five six over there? 1301 01:04:50,280 --> 01:04:52,480 Speaker 4: I don't know, but then Jared shoved me into his 1302 01:04:52,560 --> 01:04:56,040 Speaker 4: Space Shuttle car and I mean, I at least. 1303 01:04:55,840 --> 01:04:59,320 Speaker 2: I stayed at the front seat. Five yeah, shout out 1304 01:04:59,360 --> 01:05:01,680 Speaker 2: to possible movie. 1305 01:05:01,760 --> 01:05:03,600 Speaker 1: I mean, wow, really, it's kind of like the the 1306 01:05:03,760 --> 01:05:07,320 Speaker 1: w NBA commercial with Ava Wilton with with Asia Wilson 1307 01:05:07,640 --> 01:05:10,000 Speaker 1: right hitting in that tight car. Yeah. 1308 01:05:10,320 --> 01:05:12,680 Speaker 5: I had to move the back seat because Jackpots got 1309 01:05:12,680 --> 01:05:14,439 Speaker 5: his little car seat back there. I had to move 1310 01:05:14,480 --> 01:05:17,080 Speaker 5: that so Rich's broadcast partner could fit in the back seat. 1311 01:05:17,120 --> 01:05:17,640 Speaker 2: It was, it was. 1312 01:05:17,800 --> 01:05:19,400 Speaker 1: It was a fun little carpool we had last night 1313 01:05:19,440 --> 01:05:22,400 Speaker 1: down the streets Vegas. Very nice. One of the games 1314 01:05:22,400 --> 01:05:27,960 Speaker 1: that Seamus mentioned Nebraska and USC and uh so USC, 1315 01:05:28,640 --> 01:05:31,720 Speaker 1: You've got Jaden Mayava. He's gonna be starting at quarterback 1316 01:05:31,760 --> 01:05:36,720 Speaker 1: previously played at UNLV. Miller Moss Audios muchachos. He's on 1317 01:05:36,760 --> 01:05:39,479 Speaker 1: the bench. We got my ava been a weird week. 1318 01:05:39,600 --> 01:05:41,800 Speaker 1: I know you wanted to speak to this Jared for 1319 01:05:41,880 --> 01:05:45,760 Speaker 1: the for the corn Huskers, just explain what's been going 1320 01:05:45,800 --> 01:05:47,680 Speaker 1: on and how you think it might affect him today. 1321 01:05:47,800 --> 01:05:52,439 Speaker 5: Yeah, so, I mean Marcus Sadderfield and I know it's 1322 01:05:52,480 --> 01:05:55,240 Speaker 5: not it hasn't been pretty for Nebraska's offense this year, 1323 01:05:55,360 --> 01:05:59,000 Speaker 5: but you saw them bring in Matt Role basically brought 1324 01:05:59,000 --> 01:06:02,320 Speaker 5: in Dana Holgerson as an analyst like last week. He 1325 01:06:02,480 --> 01:06:04,640 Speaker 5: was not part of the program to start the season. 1326 01:06:05,200 --> 01:06:09,080 Speaker 5: And the rumors are I guess it's more I would say, 1327 01:06:09,280 --> 01:06:11,120 Speaker 5: not really rumors at this point. It kind of feels 1328 01:06:11,160 --> 01:06:14,960 Speaker 5: like what's happening is Dylan Roola was, you know, probably 1329 01:06:15,040 --> 01:06:17,680 Speaker 5: getting asked to leave. And I think that's the biggest 1330 01:06:17,840 --> 01:06:21,680 Speaker 5: problem we have in today's sport with college football. You 1331 01:06:21,840 --> 01:06:26,680 Speaker 5: can't have teams poaching quarterbacks mid season. Like I think 1332 01:06:26,720 --> 01:06:29,840 Speaker 5: that's a problem. And it seems like that was kind 1333 01:06:29,840 --> 01:06:32,800 Speaker 5: of what was going on with Nebraska behind the scenes, 1334 01:06:33,040 --> 01:06:36,160 Speaker 5: Like if something didn't change, Royola was going to be 1335 01:06:36,160 --> 01:06:38,280 Speaker 5: gone in the offseason, he was gonna hit the transfer portal. 1336 01:06:38,480 --> 01:06:40,600 Speaker 5: And I think the move by Matt Ruhle to you 1337 01:06:40,640 --> 01:06:44,160 Speaker 5: don't see this very often you do not see an analyst. 1338 01:06:44,320 --> 01:06:46,040 Speaker 5: And you know, and to be fair, Dan Holgerson was 1339 01:06:46,080 --> 01:06:48,440 Speaker 5: a great head coach in his time, great offensive mind. 1340 01:06:49,440 --> 01:06:50,440 Speaker 1: You don't see a. 1341 01:06:50,440 --> 01:06:53,880 Speaker 5: Team bring in a guy from off the street mid 1342 01:06:53,960 --> 01:06:58,680 Speaker 5: season and then within a week promote him to the essentially. 1343 01:06:58,280 --> 01:06:59,920 Speaker 1: The offensive coordinator calling plays. 1344 01:07:00,320 --> 01:07:02,960 Speaker 5: And it seems like, from what I can glean behind 1345 01:07:02,960 --> 01:07:06,680 Speaker 5: the scenes, Matt Rule a little panic move, like we 1346 01:07:06,760 --> 01:07:08,840 Speaker 5: need to figure out a way to keep Delan Royola 1347 01:07:09,000 --> 01:07:12,560 Speaker 5: in Lincoln. And I think giving Holgerson the reins of 1348 01:07:12,600 --> 01:07:15,200 Speaker 5: the offense is kind of like, Hey, Dylan, we're bringing 1349 01:07:15,280 --> 01:07:17,120 Speaker 5: in an offensive guy to work with you, a guy 1350 01:07:17,160 --> 01:07:21,960 Speaker 5: that's had success with quarterbacks before. Please stay in Lincoln 1351 01:07:22,000 --> 01:07:24,360 Speaker 5: because I know it hasn't been this high flying season. 1352 01:07:24,400 --> 01:07:27,320 Speaker 5: We're comparing him to Mahomes. He's not Mahomes. But I 1353 01:07:27,360 --> 01:07:29,880 Speaker 5: think you have this situation now in college football where 1354 01:07:30,200 --> 01:07:33,440 Speaker 5: teams are literally bringing guys in off the street midseason 1355 01:07:33,800 --> 01:07:36,280 Speaker 5: just to keep their high level players. It is a 1356 01:07:36,320 --> 01:07:39,400 Speaker 5: really weird situation brewing, and I think a lot of 1357 01:07:39,440 --> 01:07:41,600 Speaker 5: tampering is going on behind the scenes with Royola and 1358 01:07:41,640 --> 01:07:44,560 Speaker 5: I'm sure many other high level players, especially at the 1359 01:07:44,600 --> 01:07:45,360 Speaker 5: quarterback position. 1360 01:07:45,720 --> 01:07:48,240 Speaker 4: No doubt about it. There's no doubt about it. That move, 1361 01:07:48,480 --> 01:07:51,480 Speaker 4: I agree with you. The subtext of that move is, 1362 01:07:51,520 --> 01:07:53,920 Speaker 4: how do we keep this guy on campus? How do 1363 01:07:54,000 --> 01:07:56,840 Speaker 4: we build a better offense that features what he did 1364 01:07:56,880 --> 01:08:00,600 Speaker 4: in high school football as well as we possibly And 1365 01:08:00,640 --> 01:08:02,880 Speaker 4: that is the pressure that has been applied to the 1366 01:08:02,920 --> 01:08:06,480 Speaker 4: head coaching position that was not there five years ago, 1367 01:08:06,880 --> 01:08:08,800 Speaker 4: that really wasn't there three years ago. 1368 01:08:09,040 --> 01:08:10,440 Speaker 2: As the transfer portal. 1369 01:08:10,280 --> 01:08:14,320 Speaker 4: Name, image and likeness continues to evolve, what we're seeing 1370 01:08:14,400 --> 01:08:18,120 Speaker 4: is pressures like for example, you may see certain teams 1371 01:08:18,160 --> 01:08:20,920 Speaker 4: go to running back by midi where they don't need 1372 01:08:20,960 --> 01:08:23,040 Speaker 4: to and they shouldn't because they have a hot hand. 1373 01:08:23,040 --> 01:08:24,840 Speaker 2: They got a guy they should ride for the rest 1374 01:08:24,840 --> 01:08:25,040 Speaker 2: of a. 1375 01:08:25,080 --> 01:08:28,000 Speaker 4: Game, but they don't want to lose their second running 1376 01:08:28,040 --> 01:08:30,719 Speaker 4: back to the transfer portal, so they're keeping them happy 1377 01:08:30,760 --> 01:08:31,360 Speaker 4: with carries. 1378 01:08:31,680 --> 01:08:33,439 Speaker 2: Well, when you have a guy who's got. 1379 01:08:33,280 --> 01:08:35,280 Speaker 4: Great momentum and you pull them out of a game 1380 01:08:35,439 --> 01:08:39,280 Speaker 4: just to appease the playing time requests of another player, 1381 01:08:39,760 --> 01:08:43,479 Speaker 4: you're not setting yourself up for success. You're setting yourself 1382 01:08:43,560 --> 01:08:47,120 Speaker 4: up for a future. So it's like you know, you're 1383 01:08:47,160 --> 01:08:50,479 Speaker 4: robbing Peter to pay Paul either pouring it all into 1384 01:08:50,520 --> 01:08:53,240 Speaker 4: the present and being the best football team you can 1385 01:08:53,280 --> 01:08:56,559 Speaker 4: be here in twenty twenty four, or you're going to, 1386 01:08:57,120 --> 01:08:59,000 Speaker 4: I don't know, try to pour a little in this cup, 1387 01:08:59,040 --> 01:09:00,639 Speaker 4: a little in this cup, a little in this cup, 1388 01:09:00,840 --> 01:09:03,759 Speaker 4: and try to serve all these masters, and you really 1389 01:09:03,800 --> 01:09:04,559 Speaker 4: can't do that. 1390 01:09:04,760 --> 01:09:07,479 Speaker 2: So I completely agree with what Jared said. 1391 01:09:07,760 --> 01:09:12,880 Speaker 4: It is rare, if not unprecedented, to see an analyst 1392 01:09:13,000 --> 01:09:16,960 Speaker 4: be promoted this quickly, especially when he's coming from outside 1393 01:09:17,040 --> 01:09:20,120 Speaker 4: the program. But we're living at different times. Man, this 1394 01:09:20,200 --> 01:09:22,760 Speaker 4: is this is a strange new world we're in. 1395 01:09:23,000 --> 01:09:26,760 Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, I just think of the NFL. That's where 1396 01:09:26,880 --> 01:09:30,240 Speaker 1: my mind went. But think about the quote unquote legal 1397 01:09:30,439 --> 01:09:34,000 Speaker 1: tampering period right before free agency, and every now and 1398 01:09:34,040 --> 01:09:38,000 Speaker 1: then there's something where like the Kirk Cousin sweepstakes or 1399 01:09:38,040 --> 01:09:42,840 Speaker 1: something like that Barkley wheah too, and teams are like whoa, whoa, whoa. 1400 01:09:42,880 --> 01:09:46,200 Speaker 1: What compare that to in season? 1401 01:09:47,640 --> 01:09:51,080 Speaker 5: Right, Like, yeah, it just doesn't Jerry Jones I went 1402 01:09:51,120 --> 01:09:52,320 Speaker 5: across to Kansas City. 1403 01:09:52,320 --> 01:09:55,760 Speaker 1: He was like, Hey, Patrick Bohe, Hey, come on, come 1404 01:09:55,800 --> 01:10:00,000 Speaker 1: on down to Dallas. We know you're a Texas guy. Well, right, 1405 01:10:00,560 --> 01:10:03,679 Speaker 1: or if this was I think that Kirk Cousins around 1406 01:10:03,760 --> 01:10:07,640 Speaker 1: this time last year, during this season, you know, and 1407 01:10:07,800 --> 01:10:11,280 Speaker 1: Atlanta's like, hey, you know when this twenty twenty three 1408 01:10:11,320 --> 01:10:14,200 Speaker 1: season comes and goes, you know, how about little hashtag 1409 01:10:14,320 --> 01:10:15,080 Speaker 1: rise up action? 1410 01:10:15,320 --> 01:10:17,400 Speaker 5: And it could have happened because he was hurt and 1411 01:10:17,479 --> 01:10:22,200 Speaker 5: was probably sitting on the sidelines watching like that reality 1412 01:10:23,160 --> 01:10:27,360 Speaker 5: that might have happened with Atlanta, and that was why 1413 01:10:27,400 --> 01:10:29,719 Speaker 5: the tampering happened. Like, I don't remember the exact timing 1414 01:10:29,800 --> 01:10:34,240 Speaker 5: of when they contacted him, but this is happening in 1415 01:10:34,280 --> 01:10:37,120 Speaker 5: college football. Think about how many players they're in the 1416 01:10:37,240 --> 01:10:39,640 Speaker 5: NFL and then multiply that by like fifty, that's how 1417 01:10:39,640 --> 01:10:42,719 Speaker 5: many colleg football players there are. It's happening at such 1418 01:10:43,320 --> 01:10:46,400 Speaker 5: an advanced level because of the volume of players you 1419 01:10:46,560 --> 01:10:50,160 Speaker 5: need in a program. I think we're getting to the 1420 01:10:50,200 --> 01:10:53,559 Speaker 5: point where there is a big problem and I don't 1421 01:10:53,600 --> 01:10:57,000 Speaker 5: know how it's fixed, but this is an example of why, like, 1422 01:10:57,080 --> 01:10:58,960 Speaker 5: and to be fair, Dan Holgerson might do great things 1423 01:10:59,000 --> 01:11:01,519 Speaker 5: with Nebraska, might be the missing link to get that 1424 01:11:01,600 --> 01:11:04,559 Speaker 5: offense going, but the fact that it happened in week 1425 01:11:04,600 --> 01:11:09,639 Speaker 5: eleven or week twelve is like crazy crazy, Yeah. 1426 01:11:09,680 --> 01:11:11,840 Speaker 2: I will say this about usc mai Eva. 1427 01:11:12,280 --> 01:11:17,600 Speaker 4: He gives a different, a spark or angle or dynamic 1428 01:11:17,680 --> 01:11:21,479 Speaker 4: to this USC offense that Moss did not. He's mobile, 1429 01:11:21,720 --> 01:11:23,760 Speaker 4: he's a dual threat guy. I've watched a lot of 1430 01:11:23,800 --> 01:11:26,240 Speaker 4: film on him. I've broadcasted many of his games from 1431 01:11:26,320 --> 01:11:29,720 Speaker 4: the booth around college football. He's he's talented, he can 1432 01:11:29,760 --> 01:11:31,639 Speaker 4: throw it, he could spend it a little bit, spend 1433 01:11:31,680 --> 01:11:33,519 Speaker 4: a lot of time at UNLV. So I got to 1434 01:11:33,560 --> 01:11:37,519 Speaker 4: see him. And then you look at the defense, which 1435 01:11:37,640 --> 01:11:41,000 Speaker 4: I would say under Danton Lynn, by the way Penn 1436 01:11:41,000 --> 01:11:44,800 Speaker 4: State or we are, Yeah, he's been pretty god I 1437 01:11:44,840 --> 01:11:47,559 Speaker 4: would say. I would say the USC Trojans defense has 1438 01:11:47,600 --> 01:11:51,080 Speaker 4: made strides under Lynn. They're still giving up an absurd 1439 01:11:51,120 --> 01:11:54,520 Speaker 4: amount of points to pen or to Big ten rivals. 1440 01:11:55,040 --> 01:11:58,400 Speaker 4: So we'll see what happens in this one. There's a 1441 01:11:58,400 --> 01:12:01,599 Speaker 4: lot of new here, new quarterback on one side, new 1442 01:12:01,640 --> 01:12:05,160 Speaker 4: offensive coordinator on the other side, that level of volatility, 1443 01:12:05,520 --> 01:12:08,519 Speaker 4: plus the stretch that we've seen USC, and I think 1444 01:12:08,560 --> 01:12:10,160 Speaker 4: we got a live dog in Nebraska. 1445 01:12:10,200 --> 01:12:13,400 Speaker 5: Absolutely high volatility games. Especially I know this in them 1446 01:12:13,439 --> 01:12:16,360 Speaker 5: Big twelve too, the Big Twelve. Take the dog. These 1447 01:12:16,400 --> 01:12:19,160 Speaker 5: games are wacko wacko kracko in the Big twelve. Just 1448 01:12:19,200 --> 01:12:21,639 Speaker 5: take the dogs like and I know that the Nebraska 1449 01:12:21,640 --> 01:12:24,280 Speaker 5: games has a lot of that volatility too. I think 1450 01:12:24,280 --> 01:12:26,599 Speaker 5: this is gonna be I think we're gonna have two 1451 01:12:26,640 --> 01:12:31,479 Speaker 5: weeks of insane, insane results. It's kind of like a sneaky, 1452 01:12:31,880 --> 01:12:35,120 Speaker 5: sneaky Saturday. We don't see a lot of rank versus rank. 1453 01:12:35,439 --> 01:12:37,760 Speaker 5: I think one or two big time games are gonna 1454 01:12:37,880 --> 01:12:39,519 Speaker 5: gonna go down a couple upsets today. 1455 01:12:39,600 --> 01:12:42,000 Speaker 1: As always, you know, it just popped into my head, 1456 01:12:42,280 --> 01:12:44,000 Speaker 1: and Rich, I don't want to put you in a 1457 01:12:44,040 --> 01:12:46,439 Speaker 1: bad position, so feel free to smack me around if 1458 01:12:46,439 --> 01:12:49,639 Speaker 1: this does. But you watch You just mentioned you watched 1459 01:12:49,880 --> 01:12:53,360 Speaker 1: you know, UNLV closely in my ava and all that stuff, 1460 01:12:53,360 --> 01:12:55,240 Speaker 1: and it it just makes me think of the game today. 1461 01:12:55,280 --> 01:12:57,880 Speaker 1: So you're on the broadcast for San Diego State on 1462 01:12:57,920 --> 01:13:01,879 Speaker 1: the radio side against UNLV. There have to be times, 1463 01:13:02,240 --> 01:13:05,479 Speaker 1: have to be times during rapid fire of this show, 1464 01:13:05,520 --> 01:13:07,640 Speaker 1: at the very end, we're making our picks, and you're like, 1465 01:13:08,600 --> 01:13:11,160 Speaker 1: I would lay the twenty one and a half. We 1466 01:13:11,160 --> 01:13:15,360 Speaker 1: were talking about this last night season for the acts. 1467 01:13:16,120 --> 01:13:16,920 Speaker 1: You just can't. 1468 01:13:17,000 --> 01:13:18,759 Speaker 2: You're like, no, no, no, no, we haven't. 1469 01:13:18,600 --> 01:13:20,800 Speaker 1: Talked about San Diego State on the show much this year. 1470 01:13:21,120 --> 01:13:22,840 Speaker 2: No, we haven't and they've been. 1471 01:13:23,400 --> 01:13:26,960 Speaker 4: They've been a sneaky good team out of the Group 1472 01:13:27,000 --> 01:13:31,280 Speaker 4: of five for a decade. And look, there's a lot 1473 01:13:31,360 --> 01:13:34,800 Speaker 4: that happens in well, I should say for any team. 1474 01:13:34,800 --> 01:13:36,840 Speaker 4: It doesn't matter if you're talking college football. It doesn't 1475 01:13:36,840 --> 01:13:39,520 Speaker 4: matter if you're talking football, you could be talking NBA baseball. 1476 01:13:39,760 --> 01:13:43,320 Speaker 4: When there's a new face at the top of a program, 1477 01:13:43,680 --> 01:13:46,839 Speaker 4: it takes time for the foundation to be built. Sean Lewis, 1478 01:13:46,920 --> 01:13:49,720 Speaker 4: to his credit, new head coach with the Aztecs. He's 1479 01:13:49,760 --> 01:13:52,719 Speaker 4: doing some really special teams. He's literally one of only 1480 01:13:52,800 --> 01:13:55,480 Speaker 4: two human beings on the planet Earth who's. 1481 01:13:55,280 --> 01:13:56,920 Speaker 2: Ever won at Kent State. 1482 01:13:57,320 --> 01:13:59,519 Speaker 4: If you go back and look at the Golden Flashes 1483 01:13:59,600 --> 01:14:02,160 Speaker 4: history as a head coach, he's one of only two 1484 01:14:02,360 --> 01:14:05,240 Speaker 4: human beings who've been able to do it. He's got talent, 1485 01:14:05,640 --> 01:14:10,439 Speaker 4: but that talent it has to it has to create 1486 01:14:10,439 --> 01:14:13,880 Speaker 4: a culture, and cultures take a little time. So this 1487 01:14:14,000 --> 01:14:17,160 Speaker 4: year they played a lot of good teams really close. 1488 01:14:17,479 --> 01:14:21,360 Speaker 4: They've had a couple of blowout losses, but the goal 1489 01:14:21,439 --> 01:14:22,080 Speaker 4: is to build. 1490 01:14:22,120 --> 01:14:24,559 Speaker 2: And yeah, I try to stay off of. 1491 01:14:24,680 --> 01:14:28,320 Speaker 4: Actually I have always stayed off of San Diego State 1492 01:14:28,680 --> 01:14:30,880 Speaker 4: in any of my picks because I never want that 1493 01:14:30,920 --> 01:14:34,439 Speaker 4: to influence my broadcast. But it's been a it's been 1494 01:14:34,479 --> 01:14:36,960 Speaker 4: a season, man, It's it's been a season. 1495 01:14:37,240 --> 01:14:40,200 Speaker 1: No, no doubt about that. Hey, our thanks to Rapid Radio, 1496 01:14:40,320 --> 01:14:43,839 Speaker 1: is the official communication device of Fox Sports Radio. Rapid 1497 01:14:43,920 --> 01:14:48,000 Speaker 1: Radios are instant pushed to talk walkie talkies, offering national 1498 01:14:48,200 --> 01:14:52,559 Speaker 1: LTE coverage and no subscription or monthly fee. Business owners 1499 01:14:52,600 --> 01:14:54,519 Speaker 1: can keep in touch with up to two hundred staff 1500 01:14:54,560 --> 01:14:57,360 Speaker 1: at one time, and it's a great alternative to a 1501 01:14:57,400 --> 01:15:00,280 Speaker 1: mobile phone for your kids. Go to Rapid radio dot 1502 01:15:00,360 --> 01:15:03,200 Speaker 1: com now for sixty percent off and free shipping. Add 1503 01:15:03,280 --> 01:15:06,760 Speaker 1: Code Radio and get an extra five percent off. We've 1504 01:15:06,760 --> 01:15:10,479 Speaker 1: got Rich Hornberger, Penn State All American, Jared Smith, FSR 1505 01:15:10,520 --> 01:15:15,040 Speaker 1: Betting Analyst. I'm Brian Nell. Coming up next. Yes, prop 1506 01:15:15,120 --> 01:15:19,240 Speaker 1: it up the prop betting market. Lot of choices, lot 1507 01:15:20,080 --> 01:15:22,240 Speaker 1: of angles, We'll share them with you. Coming up next, 1508 01:15:22,280 --> 01:15:26,200 Speaker 1: it's Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM. 1509 01:15:26,479 --> 01:15:30,920 Speaker 1: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM. 1510 01:15:31,000 --> 01:15:33,280 Speaker 1: Once a day, Monday through Friday. Play the free to 1511 01:15:33,320 --> 01:15:36,920 Speaker 1: play BETMGM Ultimate Teams to receive an Ultimate Team's card 1512 01:15:36,960 --> 01:15:39,840 Speaker 1: with the pro football team and spread. If that team 1513 01:15:39,920 --> 01:15:42,519 Speaker 1: covers the spread that NFL week, you can win prizes. 1514 01:15:43,000 --> 01:15:45,720 Speaker 1: Play every day Monday through Friday. Have all five of 1515 01:15:45,760 --> 01:15:50,200 Speaker 1: your team's cover, and you're eligible to win betmgm's weekly jackpot. 1516 01:15:50,760 --> 01:15:53,720 Speaker 1: All right, let's do this. 1517 01:15:54,080 --> 01:15:57,439 Speaker 3: Prop it up player plays. 1518 01:15:57,280 --> 01:16:01,920 Speaker 1: Ah, yes, the prop betting market. Jared, We'll start with you. 1519 01:16:02,080 --> 01:16:05,640 Speaker 1: What's something you like? Love it? This is a fantastic 1520 01:16:05,720 --> 01:16:06,320 Speaker 1: day for prop. 1521 01:16:06,400 --> 01:16:08,519 Speaker 5: That's because again we're starting to get more data on 1522 01:16:08,560 --> 01:16:10,320 Speaker 5: these teams. We kind of know where the scripts are 1523 01:16:10,320 --> 01:16:12,120 Speaker 5: going to go, and I think the props I'm gonna 1524 01:16:12,120 --> 01:16:14,280 Speaker 5: be that a lot more prop, especially in the ball season. 1525 01:16:14,320 --> 01:16:14,880 Speaker 1: You just wait. 1526 01:16:15,760 --> 01:16:18,160 Speaker 5: We'll go to this Tennessee Georgia game, and again, this 1527 01:16:18,240 --> 01:16:18,840 Speaker 5: one kind. 1528 01:16:18,680 --> 01:16:20,760 Speaker 1: Of aligns with how the game script will play out. 1529 01:16:21,000 --> 01:16:25,360 Speaker 5: Dylan Samson under ninety five and a half rushing Gome, Dude. 1530 01:16:25,120 --> 01:16:26,200 Speaker 1: That's the one I have it. 1531 01:16:26,320 --> 01:16:27,519 Speaker 2: That's play. 1532 01:16:27,600 --> 01:16:30,479 Speaker 1: It's beautiful. That's all right. You stole Kansas for me. 1533 01:16:30,760 --> 01:16:33,120 Speaker 1: I'm stealing Samson from you. Samson. 1534 01:16:33,240 --> 01:16:35,960 Speaker 5: Hey went to Samson, They listen. The game script here 1535 01:16:36,000 --> 01:16:38,200 Speaker 5: just fits purposely. First of all, George just expected to 1536 01:16:38,240 --> 01:16:40,200 Speaker 5: win this game by double digits. The numbers telling you 1537 01:16:40,240 --> 01:16:44,479 Speaker 5: Georgia's plus a touchdown favorite and the total is super 1538 01:16:44,520 --> 01:16:47,320 Speaker 5: low forty six and a half. Tennessee's team total is 1539 01:16:47,400 --> 01:16:49,320 Speaker 5: nineteen and a half. They are not going to score 1540 01:16:49,680 --> 01:16:52,640 Speaker 5: a lot of points in this game. And if you're Georgia, 1541 01:16:52,720 --> 01:16:54,880 Speaker 5: take the hand, take the ball out of Nico's hands, 1542 01:16:55,240 --> 01:16:57,920 Speaker 5: make them throw it, defeat you. You know Dylan Samson 1543 01:16:57,920 --> 01:17:01,559 Speaker 5: can run it. Make Dylan a one dimensional runner today. 1544 01:17:01,600 --> 01:17:03,240 Speaker 5: I think under ninety five and a half rush yard, 1545 01:17:03,240 --> 01:17:04,680 Speaker 5: you get that, Okay. 1546 01:17:04,400 --> 01:17:08,360 Speaker 4: We got Utah at CU Travis Hunter ninety six and 1547 01:17:08,400 --> 01:17:11,320 Speaker 4: a half receiving yards. Give me the over there. Here's 1548 01:17:11,360 --> 01:17:14,760 Speaker 4: the reason why. When your season's on the line, what 1549 01:17:14,880 --> 01:17:17,680 Speaker 4: do you do well. I don't want to oversimplify it, 1550 01:17:17,680 --> 01:17:20,439 Speaker 4: but you highlight the most talented players on your field, 1551 01:17:20,439 --> 01:17:23,719 Speaker 4: and Travis Hunter, no question is so give me Hunter 1552 01:17:23,960 --> 01:17:26,800 Speaker 4: going over the ninety six and a half receiving mark 1553 01:17:26,920 --> 01:17:31,120 Speaker 4: on the day against the Utes, who they're good defense always, 1554 01:17:31,200 --> 01:17:33,760 Speaker 4: that's just kind of built into the culture there. But 1555 01:17:33,800 --> 01:17:35,839 Speaker 4: they're gonna want to stop you at the line of scrimmage. 1556 01:17:35,840 --> 01:17:38,400 Speaker 4: If you're gonna beat the uts it's usually through the air. 1557 01:17:38,800 --> 01:17:41,519 Speaker 4: Colorado will do that today. Give me Hunter and the 1558 01:17:41,560 --> 01:17:43,280 Speaker 4: over Okay. 1559 01:17:43,840 --> 01:17:46,639 Speaker 1: Yeah, i'd like your uh your play there. Tennessee running 1560 01:17:46,640 --> 01:17:49,240 Speaker 1: back Dylan Samson under ninety five and a half. I 1561 01:17:49,280 --> 01:17:52,720 Speaker 1: will co sign that one for sure. I'm gonna go 1562 01:17:52,800 --> 01:17:55,639 Speaker 1: with I'm gonna go with Texas over here. A lot 1563 01:17:55,680 --> 01:17:58,400 Speaker 1: of directions you could go. I'm gonna play Quinn Ewers 1564 01:17:58,479 --> 01:18:01,920 Speaker 1: over two ninety four and a half passing yards. This 1565 01:18:02,120 --> 01:18:06,200 Speaker 1: Arkansas secondary is a wreck. I think you could go 1566 01:18:06,280 --> 01:18:10,120 Speaker 1: with a receiver tight end, you know, like Quinn you Weres. 1567 01:18:10,160 --> 01:18:13,880 Speaker 1: Passing yards have ticked up, but the receiving yards haven't 1568 01:18:14,200 --> 01:18:16,320 Speaker 1: for most of the weapons. So it's like the receiving 1569 01:18:16,400 --> 01:18:19,200 Speaker 1: yards have to go somewhere, you know. I think Isaiah 1570 01:18:19,280 --> 01:18:22,360 Speaker 1: Bond over fifty six and a half receiving yards against 1571 01:18:22,439 --> 01:18:25,600 Speaker 1: Arkansas secondary is a nice place to look. So I 1572 01:18:25,640 --> 01:18:28,879 Speaker 1: think there are a lot of options with Texas's passing 1573 01:18:28,960 --> 01:18:32,760 Speaker 1: game against Arkansas today. That is just it's a secondary 1574 01:18:32,760 --> 01:18:36,800 Speaker 1: that's right for the picking. They've had injuries, they've been blackluster. 1575 01:18:37,560 --> 01:18:39,720 Speaker 1: I think Texas has a lot of success through the 1576 01:18:39,760 --> 01:18:42,160 Speaker 1: air today. So give me Quinn you Weres over two 1577 01:18:42,280 --> 01:18:45,200 Speaker 1: ninety four and a half passing Yeah, that's an interesting matchup. 1578 01:18:45,200 --> 01:18:49,040 Speaker 5: I'll give you another a player that I think is 1579 01:18:49,520 --> 01:18:52,439 Speaker 5: going to play today and it's going to impact the number. 1580 01:18:52,520 --> 01:18:54,439 Speaker 5: And we've been talking about this on another show I 1581 01:18:54,479 --> 01:18:57,280 Speaker 5: had earlier this week. Brady Cook. I think he is 1582 01:18:57,320 --> 01:19:00,400 Speaker 5: going to at least try to suit up the Misseri today. 1583 01:19:01,479 --> 01:19:04,160 Speaker 5: And this is this is a season kind of game, 1584 01:19:04,240 --> 01:19:06,679 Speaker 5: right Like Missouri still thinks they can make the playoff. 1585 01:19:07,000 --> 01:19:09,719 Speaker 5: South Carolina has been kind of upstart lately. This game 1586 01:19:09,800 --> 01:19:12,840 Speaker 5: has a super low total two. But I'll be honest, 1587 01:19:12,960 --> 01:19:16,920 Speaker 5: Luther Burden. If let's say Brady Cook plays, If Luther 1588 01:19:17,040 --> 01:19:20,320 Speaker 5: Burden doesn't have one hundred touches in this game for Missouri, 1589 01:19:20,640 --> 01:19:23,120 Speaker 5: what are you saving him for? He's two to one 1590 01:19:23,200 --> 01:19:25,040 Speaker 5: to score a touchdown. And again I don't love Benny 1591 01:19:25,080 --> 01:19:27,120 Speaker 5: touchdown props with a total of forty two and a half, 1592 01:19:27,360 --> 01:19:30,919 Speaker 5: but this is arguably the best receiver in college football, 1593 01:19:31,080 --> 01:19:33,080 Speaker 5: and you're getting him at two to one to score 1594 01:19:33,080 --> 01:19:36,639 Speaker 5: a touchdown. They've got to feed him the ball today, 1595 01:19:36,680 --> 01:19:39,679 Speaker 5: whether it's screens, drawing, whatever, get this guy the ball. 1596 01:19:40,040 --> 01:19:41,200 Speaker 1: I would say that. 1597 01:19:41,200 --> 01:19:43,080 Speaker 5: Is a player on Missouri's team to watch today with 1598 01:19:43,080 --> 01:19:44,400 Speaker 5: Brady Cook hopefully suiting up. 1599 01:19:44,880 --> 01:19:49,519 Speaker 1: Interesting that South Carolina pass rush man is crazy. It's 1600 01:19:49,720 --> 01:19:50,720 Speaker 1: a little rough, really good. 1601 01:19:50,760 --> 01:19:52,920 Speaker 5: That's why, right, get the little wide receiver screen, get 1602 01:19:53,000 --> 01:19:54,320 Speaker 5: ball in his hands out and just let him. 1603 01:19:54,240 --> 01:19:57,760 Speaker 1: Do his thing, all right, No time for teesus ah 1604 01:19:57,840 --> 01:20:02,160 Speaker 1: welcome in less than an hour until kickoff, getting you 1605 01:20:02,200 --> 01:20:07,439 Speaker 1: all set for a full helping of college football here today, 1606 01:20:08,120 --> 01:20:11,160 Speaker 1: very much looking forward to this next matchup, Number seven 1607 01:20:11,280 --> 01:20:15,280 Speaker 1: Tennessee against number twelve Georgia. I haven't given you many 1608 01:20:15,400 --> 01:20:19,559 Speaker 1: NASCAR comparisons on this show here, but I think one 1609 01:20:19,920 --> 01:20:23,800 Speaker 1: applies to this matchup. This is what I'm thinking. Tennessee 1610 01:20:24,479 --> 01:20:27,840 Speaker 1: is like a car that has the lead on the 1611 01:20:27,880 --> 01:20:32,840 Speaker 1: final lap at like Talladega, and Georgia is behind them, 1612 01:20:33,160 --> 01:20:36,120 Speaker 1: and you're like, Georgie is in a better position to 1613 01:20:36,160 --> 01:20:39,960 Speaker 1: winness race than Tennessee is, right, Like, that's exactly what 1614 01:20:40,080 --> 01:20:42,960 Speaker 1: it seems like. Tennessee the higher ranked team, but Georgia 1615 01:20:43,040 --> 01:20:45,400 Speaker 1: at home, they're favored by eight and a half. 1616 01:20:45,680 --> 01:20:50,720 Speaker 5: This is Georgia's season on the line, and it's a 1617 01:20:50,760 --> 01:20:52,080 Speaker 5: tough spot for Tennessee. 1618 01:20:52,400 --> 01:20:56,000 Speaker 1: It just is. And Tennessee knows it's their season on 1619 01:20:56,080 --> 01:20:59,160 Speaker 1: the line too, and they lose this game. Audios, man, 1620 01:20:59,160 --> 01:21:00,840 Speaker 1: you're not making the play off if you lose on 1621 01:21:00,880 --> 01:21:03,200 Speaker 1: the road to Georgia. And I think that's what's gonna happen. 1622 01:21:03,439 --> 01:21:07,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, Hype Bowls, fast paced eight one team. Just 1623 01:21:07,880 --> 01:21:10,960 Speaker 4: I mean, it feels like they're they're wandering right into 1624 01:21:11,000 --> 01:21:13,639 Speaker 4: the spider web. We're all seeing it in the movie theater, 1625 01:21:13,760 --> 01:21:16,680 Speaker 4: but the lead actor doesn't see it yet, and it's 1626 01:21:16,720 --> 01:21:20,559 Speaker 4: gonna happen. And they're playing the scary Oregon music behind 1627 01:21:20,600 --> 01:21:21,440 Speaker 4: the scene. 1628 01:21:21,400 --> 01:21:24,559 Speaker 2: And it's the high pitch and it's right there. You 1629 01:21:24,600 --> 01:21:25,280 Speaker 2: see it coming. 1630 01:21:25,400 --> 01:21:28,599 Speaker 4: But they can't help themselves because this is the schedule, 1631 01:21:28,720 --> 01:21:31,400 Speaker 4: this is sec play this is what it comes down to. 1632 01:21:31,560 --> 01:21:34,599 Speaker 4: Every year, there's gonna be a team or teams usually 1633 01:21:34,680 --> 01:21:37,680 Speaker 4: teams plural, who are going to have their season on 1634 01:21:37,720 --> 01:21:40,040 Speaker 4: the line down the stretch. And like you said, just 1635 01:21:40,120 --> 01:21:43,800 Speaker 4: as much as Georgia's seasons on the line, so is Tennessee's. 1636 01:21:44,479 --> 01:21:48,800 Speaker 4: But Kirby Smart back up against the wall hosting Tennessee 1637 01:21:48,880 --> 01:21:53,160 Speaker 4: in this spot, it's just, man, it's a tough time 1638 01:21:53,200 --> 01:21:56,000 Speaker 4: for the Balls to be heading to face the dogs. 1639 01:21:56,000 --> 01:21:59,360 Speaker 2: Man. That's a tough that's a tough that's a tough 1640 01:21:59,400 --> 01:22:00,960 Speaker 2: position in this season. 1641 01:22:01,000 --> 01:22:05,800 Speaker 5: The way it's gone how about this, so Tennessee can 1642 01:22:05,840 --> 01:22:09,479 Speaker 5: be the first team to beat Georgia and Bama in 1643 01:22:09,560 --> 01:22:14,719 Speaker 5: the same season since those Joe Burrow the Joe Burrow 1644 01:22:14,840 --> 01:22:19,080 Speaker 5: LSU team in twenty nineteen hasn't happened. And now, granted, 1645 01:22:19,080 --> 01:22:22,040 Speaker 5: I know five years isn't that long, but that just 1646 01:22:22,080 --> 01:22:25,519 Speaker 5: shows you how hard it is to beat those two 1647 01:22:25,560 --> 01:22:28,280 Speaker 5: teams in the same season. And George is coming off 1648 01:22:28,320 --> 01:22:31,400 Speaker 5: the loss to Ole Miss. It snapped a streak of 1649 01:22:31,560 --> 01:22:36,920 Speaker 5: fifty two straight wins against teams not named Alabama, their 1650 01:22:37,000 --> 01:22:40,719 Speaker 5: first loss to a non Bama team since twenty twenty. 1651 01:22:41,600 --> 01:22:44,280 Speaker 5: That's how good this Georgia team has been. It is 1652 01:22:44,720 --> 01:22:50,160 Speaker 5: not your prototypical Georgia team of recent history. But a 1653 01:22:50,240 --> 01:22:52,120 Speaker 5: point was made to me on another podcast this week, 1654 01:22:52,120 --> 01:22:53,839 Speaker 5: and I'll echo it here. 1655 01:22:55,400 --> 01:22:56,439 Speaker 1: College football is so. 1656 01:22:56,960 --> 01:22:59,280 Speaker 5: Down this year in terms of the greatness right, Like 1657 01:22:59,320 --> 01:23:02,200 Speaker 5: it's a very much good, not great season for a 1658 01:23:02,200 --> 01:23:06,040 Speaker 5: lot of these teams. There's no amazing star kind of team. 1659 01:23:06,720 --> 01:23:09,680 Speaker 5: Georgia is down relative to what we expect them to be. 1660 01:23:10,080 --> 01:23:15,680 Speaker 5: But they still went into Texas and absolutely whipped the Longhorns. 1661 01:23:15,960 --> 01:23:17,679 Speaker 1: Like this is not a great Georgia team. 1662 01:23:17,760 --> 01:23:20,320 Speaker 5: Everyone, all the sharps all the market is all telling 1663 01:23:20,360 --> 01:23:22,360 Speaker 5: us it's not a great Georgia, But at their peak, 1664 01:23:23,120 --> 01:23:25,719 Speaker 5: I think they still can give you those performances. There's 1665 01:23:25,760 --> 01:23:28,400 Speaker 5: two question marks I have in this game. It's both quarterbacks. 1666 01:23:28,400 --> 01:23:31,360 Speaker 5: Like Carson Becks a walking turnover. He had six turnover 1667 01:23:31,400 --> 01:23:34,000 Speaker 5: worthy plays all of last season. He has seventeen in 1668 01:23:34,120 --> 01:23:34,880 Speaker 5: nine games this year. 1669 01:23:34,920 --> 01:23:35,160 Speaker 2: Wow. 1670 01:23:35,880 --> 01:23:37,880 Speaker 1: It just he has to limit the turnovers. 1671 01:23:37,960 --> 01:23:40,680 Speaker 5: And for Nico, this is a really tough spot right 1672 01:23:41,120 --> 01:23:45,759 Speaker 5: quarterback off a concussion night game season on the line. 1673 01:23:45,800 --> 01:23:49,040 Speaker 5: For Georgia's defense after they got whipped last week, and 1674 01:23:49,080 --> 01:23:51,800 Speaker 5: when you remove that element of play action. This is 1675 01:23:51,840 --> 01:23:55,000 Speaker 5: why I like the under in Dylan Sampson today because 1676 01:23:55,280 --> 01:23:58,960 Speaker 5: if Georgia can take away the run, it also limits 1677 01:23:59,479 --> 01:24:02,680 Speaker 5: Tennessee's ability to go with play action. And they use 1678 01:24:02,760 --> 01:24:06,200 Speaker 5: play action on sixty percent of their dropbacks. And that's 1679 01:24:06,320 --> 01:24:08,800 Speaker 5: like Nico's a different quarterback without play action. We talk 1680 01:24:08,840 --> 01:24:10,840 Speaker 5: about this with Mike McDaniel and Miami and all these 1681 01:24:10,880 --> 01:24:13,400 Speaker 5: teams that are putting play action in their offenses. It's 1682 01:24:13,439 --> 01:24:16,880 Speaker 5: like a it's a crutch for the quarterback if they 1683 01:24:16,960 --> 01:24:19,000 Speaker 5: can't run it and you can't set up play action. 1684 01:24:19,240 --> 01:24:21,080 Speaker 5: I don't know how much Tennessee's offense is going to 1685 01:24:21,120 --> 01:24:21,960 Speaker 5: be able to move it today. 1686 01:24:22,280 --> 01:24:25,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the thing, man, is all of a sudden, 1687 01:24:25,720 --> 01:24:28,960 Speaker 1: Tennessee can't run the ball in SEC play and it's 1688 01:24:29,000 --> 01:24:32,720 Speaker 1: a power running game, right, And that's what Georgia defends 1689 01:24:32,800 --> 01:24:36,080 Speaker 1: really really well. And so yeah, you're right, it's a 1690 01:24:36,120 --> 01:24:39,240 Speaker 1: ripple effect. You would want to most likely take pressure 1691 01:24:39,320 --> 01:24:42,720 Speaker 1: off of Iamalaiava coming off the concussion. And if the 1692 01:24:42,800 --> 01:24:46,360 Speaker 1: running game isn't working and the play action passing game 1693 01:24:46,439 --> 01:24:50,000 Speaker 1: isn't working as well, that puts much more pressure on 1694 01:24:50,120 --> 01:24:53,880 Speaker 1: the guys. That is not a good ripple effect for Tennessee, 1695 01:24:54,320 --> 01:24:57,360 Speaker 1: and you pointed it out, Jared. The question is Carson Beck. 1696 01:24:57,479 --> 01:25:01,240 Speaker 1: We thought that was an exclamation point in Georgia's favor 1697 01:25:01,280 --> 01:25:04,200 Speaker 1: heading into this season. He was really good last year 1698 01:25:04,800 --> 01:25:08,200 Speaker 1: and the offensive line has been banged up at times 1699 01:25:08,400 --> 01:25:11,479 Speaker 1: not as good. You look at the weapons lost and 1700 01:25:11,560 --> 01:25:15,000 Speaker 1: Brock Bauers and Lad McConkey to the NFL. That's made 1701 01:25:15,040 --> 01:25:20,960 Speaker 1: a huge difference, and Carson Beck looks completely different. It's 1702 01:25:21,000 --> 01:25:24,840 Speaker 1: like it shows you imagine if Carson Beck was eligible 1703 01:25:24,880 --> 01:25:28,479 Speaker 1: to go out or left Georgia last year and entered 1704 01:25:28,479 --> 01:25:31,160 Speaker 1: the NFL draft how he would look compared to how 1705 01:25:31,200 --> 01:25:33,960 Speaker 1: he looks right now. And so it's so hard to 1706 01:25:34,000 --> 01:25:37,519 Speaker 1: evaluate these college quarterbacks. A lot of their production is 1707 01:25:37,560 --> 01:25:40,439 Speaker 1: tied to who they have around them, and with Carson 1708 01:25:40,479 --> 01:25:43,240 Speaker 1: Beck not having the same weapons around him as he 1709 01:25:43,280 --> 01:25:46,400 Speaker 1: did last season, man, he looks like it and some 1710 01:25:46,439 --> 01:25:49,599 Speaker 1: of these decisions that he's made and these turnover worthy plays, 1711 01:25:50,120 --> 01:25:52,559 Speaker 1: it just hadn't been good enough. And that's one thing. 1712 01:25:52,640 --> 01:25:52,800 Speaker 2: Man. 1713 01:25:52,840 --> 01:25:55,439 Speaker 1: If Tennessee has a good chance, it's their d line. 1714 01:25:55,520 --> 01:25:58,400 Speaker 1: They can put pressure on you. And if Carson Beck 1715 01:25:58,439 --> 01:26:01,480 Speaker 1: does not handled that well and there's a big turnover 1716 01:26:01,760 --> 01:26:04,880 Speaker 1: it leads to good field position or a defensive score, 1717 01:26:05,120 --> 01:26:08,160 Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, Tennessee's got a chance. But 1718 01:26:08,400 --> 01:26:10,840 Speaker 1: I don't like pinning my hopes on something like that 1719 01:26:10,920 --> 01:26:13,599 Speaker 1: happening for them to have a real shot to win 1720 01:26:13,640 --> 01:26:15,200 Speaker 1: this game. I think it's going to take that for 1721 01:26:15,240 --> 01:26:16,000 Speaker 1: Tennessee to win. 1722 01:26:16,360 --> 01:26:20,559 Speaker 4: Yeah, the Balls have a very very active defensive front 1723 01:26:20,720 --> 01:26:25,360 Speaker 4: and defensive coordinator Tim Banks. Tim Banks, you can tip 1724 01:26:25,360 --> 01:26:27,479 Speaker 4: a cap to him because he's done a really nice 1725 01:26:27,560 --> 01:26:31,599 Speaker 4: job with that wrecking crew up front. They've doubled every 1726 01:26:31,640 --> 01:26:35,000 Speaker 4: other or excuse me there, Pierce Junior has doubled every 1727 01:26:35,000 --> 01:26:39,040 Speaker 4: other Tennessee player in pressures. He's generated the third highest 1728 01:26:39,080 --> 01:26:42,599 Speaker 4: total nationally off the edge for the balls forty three 1729 01:26:42,720 --> 01:26:45,479 Speaker 4: pressures on the QBS. So you talk about Beck what 1730 01:26:45,600 --> 01:26:48,559 Speaker 4: he's done. When a quarterback doesn't feel like he has time, 1731 01:26:49,000 --> 01:26:52,360 Speaker 4: that's when they make mistakes. That's when they throw interceptions. Also, 1732 01:26:52,800 --> 01:26:55,720 Speaker 4: a huge question mark for Tennessee answering the season was 1733 01:26:55,760 --> 01:27:00,080 Speaker 4: their secondary. Well, they've answered that question. They're one one 1734 01:27:00,160 --> 01:27:03,960 Speaker 4: of the better coverage units in the FBS. 1735 01:27:04,000 --> 01:27:06,080 Speaker 2: I would probably put them in the top third. 1736 01:27:06,479 --> 01:27:09,160 Speaker 4: I don't think we're talking top twenty five territory, but 1737 01:27:09,200 --> 01:27:12,720 Speaker 4: they're a very solid group, a top two ranking on 1738 01:27:12,840 --> 01:27:14,000 Speaker 4: third down defense. 1739 01:27:14,280 --> 01:27:18,800 Speaker 2: I mean, this is a very talented Tennessee team. 1740 01:27:18,920 --> 01:27:22,800 Speaker 4: So even though it's a spot, there's no question it's 1741 01:27:22,960 --> 01:27:26,720 Speaker 4: it's probably not opportune time to play the Bulldogs at 1742 01:27:26,720 --> 01:27:31,120 Speaker 4: home in Athens, But when is there really ever? They 1743 01:27:31,160 --> 01:27:35,040 Speaker 4: still have They still have the guys up front, especially defensively, 1744 01:27:35,160 --> 01:27:37,920 Speaker 4: to get the job done. And depending on Nico's health, 1745 01:27:38,479 --> 01:27:41,120 Speaker 4: we'll see how he looks, how he plays. If that's 1746 01:27:41,160 --> 01:27:44,920 Speaker 4: going to be the situation at all, that kid out 1747 01:27:44,920 --> 01:27:47,760 Speaker 4: of the backfield Sampson. He can tote the rock and 1748 01:27:47,800 --> 01:27:50,519 Speaker 4: so I love the prop pick for both you and Jard. 1749 01:27:50,560 --> 01:27:52,400 Speaker 4: You were both on it and I was doing the 1750 01:27:52,760 --> 01:27:55,120 Speaker 4: deep dive afterward. I was like, Yeah, I mean, when 1751 01:27:55,160 --> 01:27:59,320 Speaker 4: you have an injury to a quarterback and you have 1752 01:27:59,400 --> 01:28:02,240 Speaker 4: a running back like Samson, he'll be a feature piece 1753 01:28:02,280 --> 01:28:03,479 Speaker 4: and he's a capable one. 1754 01:28:03,880 --> 01:28:04,080 Speaker 2: Yeah. 1755 01:28:04,120 --> 01:28:06,720 Speaker 5: The question for me I have is how much these 1756 01:28:06,720 --> 01:28:10,760 Speaker 5: Georgia defenders play. I'm glad Michael Williams so three he's 1757 01:28:10,800 --> 01:28:12,840 Speaker 5: been right, Like, when we think about Georgia, we think 1758 01:28:12,880 --> 01:28:14,680 Speaker 5: of Jaalen Carter, we think of Nolan Smith. I think 1759 01:28:14,720 --> 01:28:17,679 Speaker 5: he's great defenders and that twenty two team. They haven't 1760 01:28:18,000 --> 01:28:21,120 Speaker 5: you haven't seen it yet with this Georgia defense because 1761 01:28:21,120 --> 01:28:23,799 Speaker 5: they've been kind of banged up, but they have guys 1762 01:28:23,880 --> 01:28:26,760 Speaker 5: maybe not on that level like Jalen Carter, but like 1763 01:28:26,960 --> 01:28:30,639 Speaker 5: right below it. And I think we're kind of seeing 1764 01:28:30,680 --> 01:28:33,519 Speaker 5: the snap count thing become more of a factor where 1765 01:28:33,520 --> 01:28:35,639 Speaker 5: a guy like Michael Williams, who's probably pound for pounding 1766 01:28:35,640 --> 01:28:38,519 Speaker 5: the best player on Georgia's defense, injured to start the year, 1767 01:28:38,880 --> 01:28:41,160 Speaker 5: and I'm sure Kirby's thinking, all right, how can we 1768 01:28:41,520 --> 01:28:46,920 Speaker 5: nurse and get this kid to November healthy, because when 1769 01:28:47,040 --> 01:28:49,519 Speaker 5: ever you're dealing with those soft tissue injuries, it's tough 1770 01:28:49,560 --> 01:28:52,759 Speaker 5: with these defenders, especially the edge rushers. Three straight games 1771 01:28:52,760 --> 01:28:55,240 Speaker 5: for Mikeah Williams of thirty five or more snaps is 1772 01:28:55,280 --> 01:28:58,320 Speaker 5: a very positive thing. Even Jordan Hall came back and 1773 01:28:58,360 --> 01:29:00,280 Speaker 5: played five snaps against Ole Miss and they're just kind 1774 01:29:00,280 --> 01:29:02,280 Speaker 5: of getting his feet wet a little bit. We know 1775 01:29:02,360 --> 01:29:04,280 Speaker 5: Smile London, We've talked about him before. One of the 1776 01:29:04,280 --> 01:29:07,360 Speaker 5: best tacklers in the country. He is looking like back 1777 01:29:07,400 --> 01:29:10,519 Speaker 5: into peak form. So while we look, well we close 1778 01:29:10,560 --> 01:29:13,040 Speaker 5: our eyes, we don't see the twenty two Georgia Bulldogs 1779 01:29:13,040 --> 01:29:15,840 Speaker 5: when we look at this Georgia twenty four version. I 1780 01:29:15,880 --> 01:29:19,759 Speaker 5: think their defense is closer to that level than we've 1781 01:29:19,840 --> 01:29:22,880 Speaker 5: seen this year, but we just haven't seen it on 1782 01:29:22,920 --> 01:29:25,080 Speaker 5: the field yet because the injuries and kind of the 1783 01:29:25,120 --> 01:29:28,559 Speaker 5: schedule has pushed them aside. I'll be honest, though, if 1784 01:29:28,600 --> 01:29:30,920 Speaker 5: Tennessee puts up a big number in this game, like 1785 01:29:30,960 --> 01:29:32,639 Speaker 5: if they can get to twenty four point like their 1786 01:29:32,640 --> 01:29:34,400 Speaker 5: team totals nineteen and a half, if they can go 1787 01:29:34,439 --> 01:29:37,160 Speaker 5: over their team total, they will have a chance to 1788 01:29:37,200 --> 01:29:39,519 Speaker 5: win this game. But I'm betting under the team total. 1789 01:29:39,520 --> 01:29:43,720 Speaker 5: I'm betting Georgia. I think this is a suffocating performance 1790 01:29:43,760 --> 01:29:46,640 Speaker 5: by the Georgia defense. I think they make Nico in 1791 01:29:46,680 --> 01:29:49,360 Speaker 5: this offense look small tonight. And I don't think it's 1792 01:29:49,400 --> 01:29:51,840 Speaker 5: gonna matter as much how much Carson Beck produces, as 1793 01:29:51,880 --> 01:29:54,719 Speaker 5: long as he doesn't turn it over. 1794 01:29:55,080 --> 01:29:58,200 Speaker 1: Make Tennessee go the full length of the field. Yeah, 1795 01:29:58,400 --> 01:30:01,880 Speaker 1: I that's the hit is we always hear this, and 1796 01:30:01,920 --> 01:30:06,000 Speaker 1: we always you know, if someone says a, uh, what's 1797 01:30:06,040 --> 01:30:11,400 Speaker 1: the like a system quarterback or game manager, That's what 1798 01:30:11,439 --> 01:30:15,160 Speaker 1: I'm looking for, Like, uh, you know, oh game manager? Yuck? 1799 01:30:15,280 --> 01:30:19,080 Speaker 1: That we always talk about that, Carson. That's right. If 1800 01:30:19,120 --> 01:30:22,840 Speaker 1: you just play complimentary football and you manage the game. 1801 01:30:22,920 --> 01:30:25,760 Speaker 1: If you're Carson Beck, George is gonna win this game, 1802 01:30:25,960 --> 01:30:28,960 Speaker 1: you like, and uh, I know we look at it 1803 01:30:29,040 --> 01:30:31,639 Speaker 1: like that's the the worst thing you can say about 1804 01:30:31,680 --> 01:30:34,400 Speaker 1: a quarterback is game manager, because the way we apply 1805 01:30:34,520 --> 01:30:38,400 Speaker 1: it is he's limited, he's not special, he's not very talented. 1806 01:30:38,479 --> 01:30:42,120 Speaker 1: But this is a perfect example where being a game 1807 01:30:42,160 --> 01:30:46,200 Speaker 1: manager is sometimes a fantastic thing. If Carson Beck can 1808 01:30:46,280 --> 01:30:50,080 Speaker 1: just be a good game manager tonight against Tennessee, I 1809 01:30:50,120 --> 01:30:54,839 Speaker 1: love George's chances because they're gonna rely on their defense 1810 01:30:55,240 --> 01:30:58,720 Speaker 1: and Tennessee's offense it hasn't been close to what we 1811 01:30:58,880 --> 01:31:02,200 Speaker 1: expected and what it's been lately. They're a shell of 1812 01:31:02,240 --> 01:31:03,520 Speaker 1: themselves offensively. 1813 01:31:04,040 --> 01:31:09,160 Speaker 4: So two stat points or data points that analytics departments 1814 01:31:09,160 --> 01:31:11,519 Speaker 4: around the NFL are starting to focus on a lot 1815 01:31:11,760 --> 01:31:14,920 Speaker 4: more as predictive measures to see whether or not a 1816 01:31:14,920 --> 01:31:16,160 Speaker 4: team is going to win or lose. 1817 01:31:16,760 --> 01:31:19,360 Speaker 2: You don't even have to look at the scoreboard. 1818 01:31:19,600 --> 01:31:23,560 Speaker 4: If you look at the turnovers and take takeaways and giveaways, 1819 01:31:23,840 --> 01:31:27,920 Speaker 4: and you look at explosive plays against and four, you 1820 01:31:27,960 --> 01:31:29,920 Speaker 4: can pretty much tell who wins every game. 1821 01:31:30,120 --> 01:31:32,840 Speaker 2: It's something up over a ninety three percent tile. 1822 01:31:33,560 --> 01:31:37,240 Speaker 4: So when you look at what's happened to Georgia in 1823 01:31:37,280 --> 01:31:41,519 Speaker 4: its losses, they've committed seven turnovers and they only had 1824 01:31:41,520 --> 01:31:44,920 Speaker 4: two takeaways. That is such a glaring stat and it 1825 01:31:45,000 --> 01:31:47,120 Speaker 4: goes a long way to prove what both of you 1826 01:31:47,200 --> 01:31:51,280 Speaker 4: are saying. If Carson Beck settles down and doesn't give 1827 01:31:51,320 --> 01:31:54,400 Speaker 4: this game away, if this Georgia defense, who's as healthy 1828 01:31:54,400 --> 01:31:57,519 Speaker 4: as it's been at any point this season, they get 1829 01:31:57,520 --> 01:31:59,400 Speaker 4: out there and they try to tear at that football 1830 01:31:59,439 --> 01:32:02,439 Speaker 4: like Kirby's was talking about this week in his press 1831 01:32:02,479 --> 01:32:06,760 Speaker 4: conferences and his and his media spots. This could be 1832 01:32:06,920 --> 01:32:09,160 Speaker 4: I'm not gonna call it an easy win. There's nothing easy, 1833 01:32:09,160 --> 01:32:12,799 Speaker 4: there's nothing guaranteed in college football. But you're at home. 1834 01:32:13,200 --> 01:32:15,599 Speaker 4: It is the perfect time to face this team. So 1835 01:32:15,680 --> 01:32:19,799 Speaker 4: go out there and play careful well, I shouldn't say careful, 1836 01:32:19,960 --> 01:32:23,920 Speaker 4: but don't play careless football offensively, and. 1837 01:32:23,840 --> 01:32:24,680 Speaker 2: This could be a w. 1838 01:32:25,200 --> 01:32:30,320 Speaker 4: And whether you want to, you know, back Tennessee for 1839 01:32:30,360 --> 01:32:32,439 Speaker 4: all the reasons we just discussed. They have a high 1840 01:32:32,520 --> 01:32:34,960 Speaker 4: powered offense, they're very efficient. There's a lot of things, 1841 01:32:35,000 --> 01:32:36,800 Speaker 4: a lot of nice things you could say about the 1842 01:32:36,920 --> 01:32:42,040 Speaker 4: balls defense. This is Georgia. Their reputation precedes itself. What 1843 01:32:42,160 --> 01:32:44,840 Speaker 4: do they have. They're on like a twenty eight game 1844 01:32:45,040 --> 01:32:48,639 Speaker 4: home winning streak that they can sustain here if they 1845 01:32:48,680 --> 01:32:53,080 Speaker 4: get this victory. Game manager is not a dirty word 1846 01:32:53,120 --> 01:32:55,400 Speaker 4: in football. That's what Carson Beck needs to be today. 1847 01:32:56,040 --> 01:33:00,519 Speaker 5: I've seen some stats. It's like Kirby's never loved back 1848 01:33:00,560 --> 01:33:03,759 Speaker 5: to back games before. There's like so many like stats 1849 01:33:03,760 --> 01:33:06,120 Speaker 5: where if like Georgia loses this game, it'll be like 1850 01:33:06,200 --> 01:33:09,639 Speaker 5: a first in so many ways. But I will close 1851 01:33:09,720 --> 01:33:13,479 Speaker 5: with this, I guess I'll call it somewhat tongue in cheek. 1852 01:33:15,160 --> 01:33:19,519 Speaker 5: Since Hannah Cavender on October twelfth tweeted out, QB is 1853 01:33:19,560 --> 01:33:21,439 Speaker 5: a cutie. For those who don't know Hannah Cavender the 1854 01:33:21,640 --> 01:33:24,880 Speaker 5: social media, I call her like the cheerleader of the Internet. 1855 01:33:24,920 --> 01:33:28,559 Speaker 5: So to say, five touchdowns, nine picks for Carson Beck. 1856 01:33:28,640 --> 01:33:31,880 Speaker 5: Since she tweeted out that post on October twelfth. 1857 01:33:31,840 --> 01:33:32,960 Speaker 1: QB is a cutie. 1858 01:33:33,080 --> 01:33:36,080 Speaker 5: And I don't want to quote actually no, I will 1859 01:33:36,160 --> 01:33:42,600 Speaker 5: quote it. Mickey gold Mill in Rocky Women Weekend legs 1860 01:33:42,640 --> 01:33:45,000 Speaker 5: one of my favorite quotes from that movie. 1861 01:33:45,120 --> 01:33:47,080 Speaker 1: And I know there's some women out there that might 1862 01:33:47,120 --> 01:33:49,200 Speaker 1: get offended. Please don't. It's just a movie quote. 1863 01:33:49,439 --> 01:33:53,680 Speaker 5: But it's more of a distraction thing. Carson Beck is 1864 01:33:53,800 --> 01:33:57,719 Speaker 5: now the star. He's many getting paid millions of dollars. 1865 01:33:57,800 --> 01:34:00,519 Speaker 5: He's a college He's a college student getting paid millions 1866 01:34:00,560 --> 01:34:04,439 Speaker 5: of dollars to play college football. The distractions come with that. 1867 01:34:04,840 --> 01:34:07,000 Speaker 5: Can you block he remember we had the video of 1868 01:34:07,080 --> 01:34:09,639 Speaker 5: him on the sideline smiling against Ole Miss last week 1869 01:34:09,640 --> 01:34:10,360 Speaker 5: when they were losing. 1870 01:34:10,400 --> 01:34:14,080 Speaker 1: That was blown up. Can you silence the critics? 1871 01:34:14,240 --> 01:34:19,040 Speaker 5: Can you silence the mechanism and focus on one football game? 1872 01:34:19,280 --> 01:34:21,280 Speaker 5: Because it's all there in front of you for Georgia. 1873 01:34:21,600 --> 01:34:22,599 Speaker 5: But man, if they lose this. 1874 01:34:22,560 --> 01:34:26,600 Speaker 1: Game, I'll tell you real fast. In closing, I like 1875 01:34:26,640 --> 01:34:30,280 Speaker 1: how you said that, Georgia, Jared in closing, like you're 1876 01:34:30,320 --> 01:34:32,360 Speaker 1: taking your hat off a little bit in closing and 1877 01:34:32,560 --> 01:34:37,719 Speaker 1: bowing no. Last week, it was just so surprising how 1878 01:34:37,760 --> 01:34:41,960 Speaker 1: the game started for Ole Miss and Georgia and how 1879 01:34:42,000 --> 01:34:44,559 Speaker 1: it turned. I was on Old Miss, that was one 1880 01:34:44,600 --> 01:34:47,920 Speaker 1: of my picks in rapid Fire, and Jackson Dart was 1881 01:34:47,960 --> 01:34:51,240 Speaker 1: banged up. He couldn't put any pressure on his left ankle. 1882 01:34:51,640 --> 01:34:55,040 Speaker 1: He threw a terrible interception, he hobbles off the field, 1883 01:34:55,120 --> 01:34:57,920 Speaker 1: he slams his helmet, and I'm like, oh gosh, I 1884 01:34:58,000 --> 01:35:00,599 Speaker 1: might be on the wrong side. And ever since then, 1885 01:35:00,760 --> 01:35:04,519 Speaker 1: Old Miss pretty much dominated the game. Georgia had nothing 1886 01:35:05,160 --> 01:35:09,080 Speaker 1: for their that Old Miss defense, and it's just it's 1887 01:35:09,120 --> 01:35:13,599 Speaker 1: surprising to see George's struggle to that degree. But man, 1888 01:35:13,960 --> 01:35:16,400 Speaker 1: this is again back against the wall. This is their 1889 01:35:16,439 --> 01:35:19,280 Speaker 1: season on the line, and I believe they're facing an 1890 01:35:19,320 --> 01:35:23,600 Speaker 1: inferioror Tennessee opponent here. That's why I'm I'm dogs in 1891 01:35:23,640 --> 01:35:25,799 Speaker 1: this one man, in this spine, I think it's Jams 1892 01:35:25,840 --> 01:35:28,920 Speaker 1: dogs Hey. Throughout the entire football season, bet MGM will 1893 01:35:28,920 --> 01:35:31,479 Speaker 1: offer all different types of boost tokens. Be on the 1894 01:35:31,520 --> 01:35:35,160 Speaker 1: lookout for same game parlay boost tokens, parlay boost tokens 1895 01:35:35,240 --> 01:35:40,680 Speaker 1: and odds boost tokens each NFL weekend. We've got Rich Ornberger, 1896 01:35:40,840 --> 01:35:45,080 Speaker 1: Penn State All American, Jared Smith FSR betting analyst. I'm 1897 01:35:45,120 --> 01:35:48,080 Speaker 1: Brian No coming up next. 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When you're registered with betmgm, you'll 1905 01:36:11,400 --> 01:36:14,759 Speaker 1: get instant access to a variety of parlay selection features, 1906 01:36:14,920 --> 01:36:19,080 Speaker 1: live betting options, signature bets, the best daily promotions in 1907 01:36:19,120 --> 01:36:23,200 Speaker 1: the business. Download the betmgm app today or visit betmgm 1908 01:36:23,240 --> 01:36:25,920 Speaker 1: dot com and use code countdown to receive up to 1909 01:36:26,000 --> 01:36:30,519 Speaker 1: fifteen hundred dollars back in bonus bets. If that bet loses. Okay, 1910 01:36:30,640 --> 01:36:36,040 Speaker 1: Number one Oregon in action against those Badgers. Huh, taken 1911 01:36:36,120 --> 01:36:40,799 Speaker 1: on Wisconsin here. Now here's the thing. I don't quite 1912 01:36:40,920 --> 01:36:44,799 Speaker 1: get Perdue vibes, but hear me out on this one. Okay. 1913 01:36:45,520 --> 01:36:49,200 Speaker 1: Remember when Notre Dame was at Perdue earlier in the 1914 01:36:49,320 --> 01:36:52,639 Speaker 1: year and it was just the trendy pick to fade 1915 01:36:52,640 --> 01:36:55,600 Speaker 1: Notre Dame. They had just lost to Northern Illinois, and 1916 01:36:55,640 --> 01:36:59,400 Speaker 1: it's like, oh gosh, let's fade Notre Dame. Let's fade them. 1917 01:36:59,439 --> 01:37:02,400 Speaker 1: And it's like, you do realize if you're fading Notre Dame, 1918 01:37:02,600 --> 01:37:06,760 Speaker 1: you're betting on Perdue. Right, Just make sure you realize that. 1919 01:37:06,960 --> 01:37:09,479 Speaker 1: So I get it. If you want to fade Oregon, 1920 01:37:10,160 --> 01:37:13,320 Speaker 1: they haven't been pummeling opponents. They just kind of coast 1921 01:37:13,320 --> 01:37:15,479 Speaker 1: to the finish line and win in a lot of 1922 01:37:15,520 --> 01:37:18,240 Speaker 1: these games. If you want to fade Oregon, I get it. 1923 01:37:19,000 --> 01:37:23,360 Speaker 1: But just understand you are backing Wisconsin. So you need 1924 01:37:23,400 --> 01:37:26,800 Speaker 1: to ask yourself, is this what I want to do? Like, 1925 01:37:26,880 --> 01:37:29,960 Speaker 1: that's the question, do I want to back Wisconsin. If 1926 01:37:30,000 --> 01:37:32,320 Speaker 1: the answer is yes, go for it. But if the 1927 01:37:32,320 --> 01:37:35,439 Speaker 1: answer is no, take that into the put that into 1928 01:37:35,479 --> 01:37:38,280 Speaker 1: the equation. When you're figuring out which side to be 1929 01:37:38,400 --> 01:37:38,800 Speaker 1: on here. 1930 01:37:39,640 --> 01:37:42,679 Speaker 2: I really like the Oregon offense also. 1931 01:37:42,920 --> 01:37:45,679 Speaker 4: I think it travels well because it's not just Dylan 1932 01:37:45,720 --> 01:37:49,560 Speaker 4: Gabriel their heisman candidate. It's James out of the backfield, 1933 01:37:49,600 --> 01:37:54,320 Speaker 4: Jordan James, who's an explosive rusher, and they really they're 1934 01:37:54,439 --> 01:37:58,439 Speaker 4: good play sequencers. And what I mean by that is 1935 01:37:59,600 --> 01:38:02,080 Speaker 4: it's as important to have good plays in your playbook 1936 01:38:02,120 --> 01:38:04,280 Speaker 4: as it is to call good plays when you need 1937 01:38:04,320 --> 01:38:06,920 Speaker 4: to call them. I think they have a great plan 1938 01:38:07,080 --> 01:38:09,720 Speaker 4: at all parts of the field, whether they're backed up, 1939 01:38:10,120 --> 01:38:13,960 Speaker 4: or they're reaching midfield, or they're taking shots outside the fringe, 1940 01:38:14,000 --> 01:38:17,240 Speaker 4: heading into that fringe area where you can seal the 1941 01:38:17,320 --> 01:38:20,000 Speaker 4: deal for three points, or continue down into the red 1942 01:38:20,080 --> 01:38:22,040 Speaker 4: zone where they have a good plan in the low 1943 01:38:22,120 --> 01:38:24,880 Speaker 4: red zone or goal line area. I think Oregon's a 1944 01:38:24,920 --> 01:38:28,880 Speaker 4: complete offense and they do a nice job controlling the clock. 1945 01:38:29,280 --> 01:38:31,400 Speaker 4: So I'm gonna expect more of the same today. I 1946 01:38:31,439 --> 01:38:35,920 Speaker 4: think Oregon rolls. I think with Wisconsin folds and would. 1947 01:38:36,200 --> 01:38:38,679 Speaker 4: I would never put my money on the Badgers this season. 1948 01:38:38,680 --> 01:38:40,040 Speaker 4: I just I can't do it. 1949 01:38:40,439 --> 01:38:42,720 Speaker 5: You got bars today, Rich, I like it. 1950 01:38:42,880 --> 01:38:48,639 Speaker 1: Oregon rolls Wisconsin Folds. I love DJ Jazzy rich over here. 1951 01:38:49,600 --> 01:38:52,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, this number is honestly, it's been stuck in the 1952 01:38:52,320 --> 01:38:53,840 Speaker 5: mud all week, Like it opened fifteen. 1953 01:38:53,920 --> 01:38:54,479 Speaker 1: We did see the. 1954 01:38:54,439 --> 01:38:58,160 Speaker 5: Initial buy on Wisconsin and that got us to under 1955 01:38:58,240 --> 01:39:01,320 Speaker 5: the two touchdown mark. But since we got there, I 1956 01:39:01,320 --> 01:39:06,000 Speaker 5: would say mid week there has been literally no opinion 1957 01:39:06,080 --> 01:39:09,200 Speaker 5: on this game from the you know, the market setters 1958 01:39:09,240 --> 01:39:12,080 Speaker 5: here in Vegas and abroad. I will say this, the 1959 01:39:12,160 --> 01:39:17,000 Speaker 5: spot favors Wisconsin. They're off the buy, they're at home. 1960 01:39:17,400 --> 01:39:20,439 Speaker 5: They're facing a team that, unless Bo's got another trick 1961 01:39:20,520 --> 01:39:22,920 Speaker 5: up asleep, I don't think Oregon's been to Madison any 1962 01:39:22,920 --> 01:39:28,120 Speaker 5: time recently, so I would imagine that that is the 1963 01:39:28,200 --> 01:39:31,320 Speaker 5: feeling out process to this game. And then you throw 1964 01:39:31,400 --> 01:39:34,400 Speaker 5: in the fact that Oregon doesn't need style points. 1965 01:39:35,400 --> 01:39:37,320 Speaker 1: You see that zero in the OH. 1966 01:39:37,360 --> 01:39:41,040 Speaker 5: The Oregon OH is also the number of losses they 1967 01:39:41,120 --> 01:39:45,040 Speaker 5: have this year, and it starts to you know, add 1968 01:39:45,080 --> 01:39:47,679 Speaker 5: the pressure. You see these kids, they're kids, they're twenty 1969 01:39:47,680 --> 01:39:50,400 Speaker 5: two year old kids, eighteen nineteen, twenty year old kids. 1970 01:39:50,720 --> 01:39:54,400 Speaker 5: You see that pressure add up, and I think Oregons, 1971 01:39:54,439 --> 01:39:56,720 Speaker 5: even if Oregon lost this game today, I think they 1972 01:39:56,720 --> 01:39:58,600 Speaker 5: would still be in the college for ball playoffs, but 1973 01:39:58,640 --> 01:40:01,880 Speaker 5: it would obviously change the way we feel about them dramatically. 1974 01:40:02,240 --> 01:40:05,519 Speaker 5: I think the only way Oregon covers this is if 1975 01:40:05,800 --> 01:40:09,439 Speaker 5: Dan Lanning looks Dylan Gabriel in the eyes and says, Dylan, 1976 01:40:10,000 --> 01:40:13,360 Speaker 5: do you want to win the Heisman? If that's the 1977 01:40:13,439 --> 01:40:16,559 Speaker 5: answer is yes, then maybe they drop a fifty burger 1978 01:40:16,600 --> 01:40:19,720 Speaker 5: on Wisconsin today because they can. But unless, like they 1979 01:40:19,880 --> 01:40:23,400 Speaker 5: want to create that margin and really expose themselves to. 1980 01:40:23,680 --> 01:40:26,080 Speaker 1: Injury or risk or so. I don't think they need 1981 01:40:26,120 --> 01:40:29,840 Speaker 1: to win this game by more than a score. M yeah, 1982 01:40:29,880 --> 01:40:33,360 Speaker 1: I hear you. But are they capable of winning by 1983 01:40:33,720 --> 01:40:37,200 Speaker 1: over two scores? Absolutely, the answer is absolutely yes against 1984 01:40:37,200 --> 01:40:41,120 Speaker 1: this Wisconsin team. But hey man, night game, maybe they 1985 01:40:41,160 --> 01:40:43,760 Speaker 1: come out hair on fire. Crazier things have happened. It's 1986 01:40:43,800 --> 01:40:48,280 Speaker 1: college football. You do wonder when the letdown is gonna happen, right, 1987 01:40:48,439 --> 01:40:53,800 Speaker 1: Like we've seen Oregon with sort of letdown halves right 1988 01:40:53,960 --> 01:40:57,240 Speaker 1: just coasting the finish line. Is there gonna be a letdown? 1989 01:40:57,720 --> 01:41:02,639 Speaker 1: Just collective game from the And I don't know, really, 1990 01:41:02,720 --> 01:41:07,160 Speaker 1: I'm like you rich where it's like you could, but it's. 1991 01:41:07,000 --> 01:41:09,240 Speaker 2: Wiscontson w Scottson. 1992 01:41:09,520 --> 01:41:13,600 Speaker 4: Yes, it's like I love I loved the statement you 1993 01:41:13,680 --> 01:41:17,799 Speaker 4: made Brian about that, because you're you're you're really smart 1994 01:41:18,120 --> 01:41:21,479 Speaker 4: in not just saying, hey, yeah, fade Oregon. 1995 01:41:22,080 --> 01:41:23,559 Speaker 2: Tough spot for Oregon. 1996 01:41:23,800 --> 01:41:27,240 Speaker 4: That feels good to say, but understand, you're putting your 1997 01:41:27,240 --> 01:41:31,160 Speaker 4: money on the Badgers who look offensively. 1998 01:41:31,320 --> 01:41:34,920 Speaker 2: They just can't hang. So if I'm Dan Lanning, what 1999 01:41:35,000 --> 01:41:35,680 Speaker 2: am I gonna do? 2000 01:41:36,160 --> 01:41:39,240 Speaker 4: Okay, this is a what Wisco team that has a 2001 01:41:39,240 --> 01:41:42,760 Speaker 4: pretty good rushing attack. They cannot throw the football to 2002 01:41:42,800 --> 01:41:45,400 Speaker 4: save their lives, So I'm going to stack the box. 2003 01:41:45,840 --> 01:41:48,599 Speaker 4: They're going to have a hard time driving on us. 2004 01:41:48,760 --> 01:41:52,240 Speaker 4: If they do, it's gonna have to be methodical because Jared, 2005 01:41:52,280 --> 01:41:54,599 Speaker 4: you can back me up here in a second. If 2006 01:41:54,640 --> 01:41:57,720 Speaker 4: you look at Wisconsin, I every time I turn them on, 2007 01:41:57,960 --> 01:42:00,799 Speaker 4: it feels like it's three yards and a clouded dust, 2008 01:42:01,120 --> 01:42:04,240 Speaker 4: and if they score, it's because they've gone on a 2009 01:42:04,280 --> 01:42:05,320 Speaker 4: sixteen play drive. 2010 01:42:05,439 --> 01:42:07,120 Speaker 2: This team is not explosive. 2011 01:42:07,920 --> 01:42:10,439 Speaker 4: I don't know where they rank in college football, but 2012 01:42:10,520 --> 01:42:13,120 Speaker 4: if they're not the bottom of the list, they're close. 2013 01:42:13,280 --> 01:42:18,000 Speaker 4: Because I haven't seen a single Badger like like rack 2014 01:42:18,040 --> 01:42:21,559 Speaker 4: Off a fifty yard rush the entire season, or an 2015 01:42:21,600 --> 01:42:25,280 Speaker 4: eighty yard passing reception for a touchdown, Like, it just 2016 01:42:25,320 --> 01:42:28,800 Speaker 4: doesn't happen with Wisconsin. So how are they going to 2017 01:42:28,840 --> 01:42:31,320 Speaker 4: slow down this Oregon offense? I don't think they can. 2018 01:42:31,840 --> 01:42:34,840 Speaker 4: How are they going to pile up points quickly if 2019 01:42:34,880 --> 01:42:35,679 Speaker 4: Oregon's scoring? 2020 01:42:35,760 --> 01:42:36,719 Speaker 2: I don't think they can. 2021 01:42:37,120 --> 01:42:40,559 Speaker 4: So again, going back to the original point, you're not 2022 01:42:40,720 --> 01:42:43,800 Speaker 4: just fading Oregon. You're betting Wisconsin. So it's just not 2023 01:42:44,360 --> 01:42:46,320 Speaker 4: even though it feels like a good spot, it's just 2024 01:42:46,360 --> 01:42:47,160 Speaker 4: not a good spot. 2025 01:42:47,560 --> 01:42:50,519 Speaker 5: Yeah, the explosive pass plays have not been positive for 2026 01:42:50,560 --> 01:42:52,160 Speaker 5: Wisconsin this year. I don't have the direct number in 2027 01:42:52,200 --> 01:42:54,719 Speaker 5: front of me, but they're outside the top let's say 2028 01:42:55,240 --> 01:42:59,960 Speaker 5: ninety in drop back efficiency. Yeah, outside the top ninety 2029 01:43:00,360 --> 01:43:03,240 Speaker 5: in success rate with their dropbacks. 2030 01:43:03,720 --> 01:43:06,160 Speaker 1: They've been better in the run game. 2031 01:43:06,240 --> 01:43:10,880 Speaker 5: They're like a top fifty rushing team. The efficiency numbers 2032 01:43:10,920 --> 01:43:13,839 Speaker 5: basically have this game right on the number thirty to sixteen. 2033 01:43:14,320 --> 01:43:16,960 Speaker 5: So you tell me what you want to do with like, 2034 01:43:17,200 --> 01:43:20,000 Speaker 5: I feel like the way I view Oregon and Ohio 2035 01:43:20,080 --> 01:43:22,479 Speaker 5: State and Penn State and all these teams that just 2036 01:43:22,680 --> 01:43:26,400 Speaker 5: have to win, I think you're doing yourself a disservice 2037 01:43:26,400 --> 01:43:30,000 Speaker 5: if you're laying two three touchdowns with these teams because 2038 01:43:30,160 --> 01:43:32,559 Speaker 5: the mindset you have to put yourself and rich you 2039 01:43:32,560 --> 01:43:33,439 Speaker 5: can do this way better than me. 2040 01:43:33,479 --> 01:43:36,880 Speaker 1: I was never on the field. If you're oregan today. 2041 01:43:36,960 --> 01:43:39,600 Speaker 5: And you know that the only thing you need is 2042 01:43:39,640 --> 01:43:42,599 Speaker 5: a w and you take a fourteen to nothing lead 2043 01:43:42,640 --> 01:43:45,800 Speaker 5: and that's the score at halftime, is your second half 2044 01:43:45,880 --> 01:43:49,479 Speaker 5: mentality let's score another fourteen or is it let's not 2045 01:43:49,640 --> 01:43:53,719 Speaker 5: give up another fourteen because we're already ahead. We already 2046 01:43:53,720 --> 01:43:57,840 Speaker 5: have enough points in our bank to win. And that's 2047 01:43:57,920 --> 01:44:00,400 Speaker 5: always the question I have with these teams, do you 2048 01:44:00,680 --> 01:44:02,960 Speaker 5: change your approach? And we see this all the time 2049 01:44:03,280 --> 01:44:05,519 Speaker 5: with teams that take their foot and it's taking your 2050 01:44:05,520 --> 01:44:07,639 Speaker 5: foot off the gas. And we see that a lot 2051 01:44:07,680 --> 01:44:10,000 Speaker 5: with really good teams that know that they can turn 2052 01:44:10,040 --> 01:44:12,560 Speaker 5: it on at any moment. And I think the mindset 2053 01:44:12,640 --> 01:44:15,439 Speaker 5: of just getting a lead and keeping the lead is 2054 01:44:15,520 --> 01:44:17,599 Speaker 5: the hardest thing in college football. And once you have 2055 01:44:17,720 --> 01:44:19,800 Speaker 5: that lead, you just don't want to give it up. 2056 01:44:19,840 --> 01:44:21,880 Speaker 5: You're not as worried about extending it. You just don't 2057 01:44:21,920 --> 01:44:24,880 Speaker 5: want to make the boneheaded play to give up the lead, 2058 01:44:25,200 --> 01:44:27,680 Speaker 5: and so you get conservative on offense, and it just 2059 01:44:28,280 --> 01:44:30,160 Speaker 5: you go from a team like that wants to throw 2060 01:44:30,200 --> 01:44:32,000 Speaker 5: the ball, run the ball, you know, tempo, and all 2061 01:44:32,000 --> 01:44:33,320 Speaker 5: of a sudden, you see these tempo. 2062 01:44:33,080 --> 01:44:35,000 Speaker 1: Teams slow it down. You're like, well, that's not going 2063 01:44:35,040 --> 01:44:35,360 Speaker 1: to work. 2064 01:44:35,520 --> 01:44:37,720 Speaker 5: And I think that's just the mentality these teams have 2065 01:44:37,760 --> 01:44:39,160 Speaker 5: when they have a lead in the second half. And 2066 01:44:39,160 --> 01:44:41,640 Speaker 5: that's why it's tough to lay big numbers, especially with 2067 01:44:41,720 --> 01:44:44,080 Speaker 5: a team like Oregon that knows they only need to win. 2068 01:44:44,600 --> 01:44:46,559 Speaker 1: I'll just say one more thing and I'll throw another 2069 01:44:46,640 --> 01:44:50,680 Speaker 1: game at you. But I think it's it's fascinating how 2070 01:44:50,800 --> 01:44:54,720 Speaker 1: sometimes a whole home field advantage can change where think 2071 01:44:54,760 --> 01:44:59,920 Speaker 1: about Camp Randall, great home field advantage, great atmosphere, but man, 2072 01:45:00,520 --> 01:45:03,960 Speaker 1: how the stadium might feel tonight. If Oregon puts together 2073 01:45:04,040 --> 01:45:07,080 Speaker 1: a couple of scoring drives, maybe a quick scoring drive, 2074 01:45:07,520 --> 01:45:09,599 Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, the stadium starts to feel 2075 01:45:09,640 --> 01:45:12,960 Speaker 1: like it's slipping away. It's slipping away. It's you know 2076 01:45:13,000 --> 01:45:15,640 Speaker 1: who feels that, the players. So if you've got this 2077 01:45:15,800 --> 01:45:18,600 Speaker 1: methodical offense and all of a sudden, you glance at 2078 01:45:18,640 --> 01:45:21,200 Speaker 1: the scoreboard and you're down by two touchdowns, you're down 2079 01:45:21,240 --> 01:45:24,879 Speaker 1: by two touchdowns plus maybe it's a seventeen point deficit, 2080 01:45:25,160 --> 01:45:27,479 Speaker 1: and it's like, okay, guys, you know what Let's just 2081 01:45:27,520 --> 01:45:30,960 Speaker 1: stay within ourselves. We're not gonna go chunk plays right 2082 01:45:31,040 --> 01:45:33,400 Speaker 1: down the field and score in fifty five seconds. Let's 2083 01:45:33,439 --> 01:45:36,960 Speaker 1: be methodical. You know, gain a six here, gain a 2084 01:45:37,040 --> 01:45:41,639 Speaker 1: five there. Good good, But we're losing by seventeen. It's 2085 01:45:41,680 --> 01:45:46,200 Speaker 1: so hard to stay focused and not try to do 2086 01:45:46,360 --> 01:45:51,080 Speaker 1: too much when you're that type of limited offense and 2087 01:45:51,120 --> 01:45:53,080 Speaker 1: that's what you have to do to make a living 2088 01:45:53,240 --> 01:45:57,120 Speaker 1: and you're trailing, and the whole stadium feels like, guys, 2089 01:45:57,520 --> 01:46:01,000 Speaker 1: we're losing, we're losing here, times taking away. It's just 2090 01:46:01,120 --> 01:46:04,559 Speaker 1: really hard to execute when all that is being thrown 2091 01:46:04,600 --> 01:46:06,639 Speaker 1: at you. And that could be the case tonight. 2092 01:46:07,040 --> 01:46:10,760 Speaker 4: Fourteen points is not fourteen points because I've been on 2093 01:46:10,840 --> 01:46:13,559 Speaker 4: teams where fourteen points felt like we could make that 2094 01:46:13,760 --> 01:46:18,680 Speaker 4: deficit disappear in literally seconds. Or there are teams that 2095 01:46:18,720 --> 01:46:21,320 Speaker 4: I've been on where you're down fourteen points and you're like, wow, 2096 01:46:21,680 --> 01:46:24,880 Speaker 4: we lost this one, and you're looking at the clock 2097 01:46:25,320 --> 01:46:28,280 Speaker 4: and you have four minutes left in the second quarter 2098 01:46:28,760 --> 01:46:33,919 Speaker 4: because you just you know that with fourteen point cushion, they're. 2099 01:46:33,720 --> 01:46:35,000 Speaker 2: Going to outpace you. 2100 01:46:35,360 --> 01:46:37,760 Speaker 4: So that's it, that's all they needed to get you, 2101 01:46:37,920 --> 01:46:40,280 Speaker 4: and you know you don't have what it takes to 2102 01:46:40,320 --> 01:46:44,760 Speaker 4: catch them. So if fourteen points isn't fourteen points, so Wisconsin, 2103 01:46:44,800 --> 01:46:47,879 Speaker 4: they get down by two scores early, even ten points 2104 01:46:47,920 --> 01:46:50,760 Speaker 4: may be insurmountable. It's that kind of game. To your 2105 01:46:50,800 --> 01:46:54,240 Speaker 4: point Jared earlier about you know, the conservative play. The 2106 01:46:54,280 --> 01:46:56,920 Speaker 4: best coaches on the best teams who know that they 2107 01:46:57,280 --> 01:47:00,160 Speaker 4: not only can score points fast, but they also have 2108 01:47:00,200 --> 01:47:04,920 Speaker 4: a strong run game, are going to walk down the sideline, 2109 01:47:05,080 --> 01:47:07,280 Speaker 4: get in front of their offensive line at some point 2110 01:47:07,360 --> 01:47:11,040 Speaker 4: and say, all right, fellas, it's up to you. Go 2111 01:47:11,120 --> 01:47:13,760 Speaker 4: out there and bully this defense for the rest of 2112 01:47:13,800 --> 01:47:15,760 Speaker 4: the game. You won't have to pass protect for the 2113 01:47:15,760 --> 01:47:18,040 Speaker 4: rest of the day. Just go out there and give 2114 01:47:18,120 --> 01:47:21,120 Speaker 4: me five yards to carry and I we will run 2115 01:47:21,160 --> 01:47:23,479 Speaker 4: it down their throats and then, you know what, It 2116 01:47:23,560 --> 01:47:26,920 Speaker 4: may look conservative to the rest of the fans watching 2117 01:47:26,960 --> 01:47:29,280 Speaker 4: at home or the people at Camp Randall, but for 2118 01:47:29,360 --> 01:47:32,320 Speaker 4: the Oregon Ducks offensive line, it's a badge of honor 2119 01:47:32,360 --> 01:47:34,080 Speaker 4: you get to wear. It's like, we're gonna get into 2120 01:47:34,120 --> 01:47:36,599 Speaker 4: our four minute offense starting in the you know, the 2121 01:47:36,680 --> 01:47:40,360 Speaker 4: third quarter, let's roll. You know it's then it's time 2122 01:47:40,400 --> 01:47:42,759 Speaker 4: to just go out there and get your meat. Mits 2123 01:47:42,800 --> 01:47:45,000 Speaker 4: on people and throw them around a little bit and 2124 01:47:46,479 --> 01:47:47,559 Speaker 4: leave Wisconsin with the. 2125 01:47:47,760 --> 01:47:51,920 Speaker 5: W I don't have any faith in Wisconsin being able 2126 01:47:51,920 --> 01:47:53,360 Speaker 5: to move it on this Oregon defense. 2127 01:47:53,840 --> 01:47:56,240 Speaker 1: I mean they couldn't move it on Penn State's defense. 2128 01:47:56,280 --> 01:47:58,000 Speaker 5: And I listen, you're not going to find a bigger 2129 01:47:58,040 --> 01:47:59,960 Speaker 5: Penn State fan than me and Rich here on the show. 2130 01:48:00,400 --> 01:48:05,000 Speaker 5: But this is not an elite, elite, elite Penn State defense. 2131 01:48:05,080 --> 01:48:08,080 Speaker 5: This is a very i would say limited Penn State 2132 01:48:08,120 --> 01:48:10,559 Speaker 5: team in terms of their athleticism compared to years pass, 2133 01:48:10,640 --> 01:48:13,160 Speaker 5: especially on defense, like they have Abdual Carter and there 2134 01:48:13,160 --> 01:48:16,080 Speaker 5: ain't a whole lot else there. I think Oregon's got 2135 01:48:16,160 --> 01:48:18,680 Speaker 5: multiple guys like Abdual Carter that can get after you. 2136 01:48:18,760 --> 01:48:20,479 Speaker 5: And I look at the rushing numbers, I look at 2137 01:48:20,479 --> 01:48:23,320 Speaker 5: the receiving numbers for Wisconsin. I don't know how you 2138 01:48:23,360 --> 01:48:26,439 Speaker 5: stay balanced. And again that doesn't matter when it comes 2139 01:48:26,479 --> 01:48:28,080 Speaker 5: to covering a spread. You could figure out a way 2140 01:48:28,120 --> 01:48:30,160 Speaker 5: to get through the back door. But Penn State with 2141 01:48:30,240 --> 01:48:33,040 Speaker 5: a backup quarterback went into Wisconsin and won by fifteen. 2142 01:48:33,600 --> 01:48:34,280 Speaker 2: Yeah. 2143 01:48:34,439 --> 01:48:37,920 Speaker 5: I just it's going to have to take a monumental 2144 01:48:38,000 --> 01:48:41,120 Speaker 5: effort or Oregon just completely calling off the Ducks not 2145 01:48:41,200 --> 01:48:44,759 Speaker 5: the Dogs. The Ducks to this to get this across 2146 01:48:44,800 --> 01:48:48,200 Speaker 5: the finish line. I'm not overly enthused about laying it today. 2147 01:48:48,280 --> 01:48:50,839 Speaker 5: But of all the games with the big point spreads, 2148 01:48:51,479 --> 01:48:54,760 Speaker 5: I think Oregon has a decent chance. I would say 2149 01:48:54,760 --> 01:48:57,160 Speaker 5: it's a coin flip. It really is a coin flip. 2150 01:48:57,320 --> 01:48:59,000 Speaker 5: The numbers right on at fourteen. I think if you 2151 01:48:59,040 --> 01:49:00,800 Speaker 5: get thirteen and a half, you leg with Oregon. If 2152 01:49:00,840 --> 01:49:02,439 Speaker 5: it goes back to fourteen, I think you take it 2153 01:49:02,479 --> 01:49:03,120 Speaker 5: with Wisconsin. 2154 01:49:03,320 --> 01:49:05,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, it has ticked down to thirteen and a half. 2155 01:49:05,880 --> 01:49:09,200 Speaker 1: You could get Oregon right now on bet MGM at 2156 01:49:09,200 --> 01:49:11,599 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half if you'd like, let me throw 2157 01:49:11,640 --> 01:49:14,360 Speaker 1: another thirteen and a half game at you, another home 2158 01:49:14,439 --> 01:49:18,360 Speaker 1: dog Arkansas plus thirteen and a half at home and 2159 01:49:18,479 --> 01:49:22,679 Speaker 1: what just twenty two minutes from now against number three Texas. 2160 01:49:23,720 --> 01:49:28,080 Speaker 1: I just Texas's they have such an advantage throwing the football. 2161 01:49:28,200 --> 01:49:32,679 Speaker 1: Arkansas's secondary is a mess, and I think they're gonna 2162 01:49:32,680 --> 01:49:35,320 Speaker 1: put up a lot of airy yards today. With Quinn Eewers, 2163 01:49:35,600 --> 01:49:37,640 Speaker 1: you seem to be leaning Arkansas. Are you not in 2164 01:49:37,680 --> 01:49:38,000 Speaker 1: this one? 2165 01:49:38,080 --> 01:49:38,360 Speaker 2: Jared? 2166 01:49:38,680 --> 01:49:40,960 Speaker 1: I love Arkansas in this year. Well, I take it back. 2167 01:49:41,000 --> 01:49:44,200 Speaker 5: I don't love Arkansas I like Arkansas. I think again, 2168 01:49:44,280 --> 01:49:48,439 Speaker 5: the spot really helps me get there when you have 2169 01:49:48,520 --> 01:49:50,960 Speaker 5: a coach, and I think Pittman's a really good coach. 2170 01:49:51,200 --> 01:49:53,240 Speaker 5: I think he's a raw rock on a coach. They've 2171 01:49:53,280 --> 01:49:55,599 Speaker 5: had two weeks to sit and stew over getting their 2172 01:49:55,600 --> 01:49:58,240 Speaker 5: Tukas's whooped like that was belt to ass what Ole 2173 01:49:58,280 --> 01:49:59,320 Speaker 5: Miss did to Arkansas. 2174 01:49:59,439 --> 01:50:02,599 Speaker 1: Yea, and I think that is where at home. If 2175 01:50:02,640 --> 01:50:04,200 Speaker 1: you can get a lead, and you can get. 2176 01:50:04,080 --> 01:50:06,519 Speaker 5: A couple of plays defensively, you could figure out a 2177 01:50:06,560 --> 01:50:08,559 Speaker 5: way to get some pressure on yours. It's gonna be tough. 2178 01:50:08,600 --> 01:50:11,439 Speaker 5: Their all line's good. But I like the Arkansas offense. 2179 01:50:12,000 --> 01:50:14,479 Speaker 5: I do think Dalen Green is consistent when he which 2180 01:50:14,520 --> 01:50:16,519 Speaker 5: is me he's inconsistent, but when he does make those 2181 01:50:16,600 --> 01:50:18,880 Speaker 5: highlight plays, they're impressive. And jack Quinn Jackson's off the 2182 01:50:18,880 --> 01:50:20,679 Speaker 5: injury report, Armstrong's a stud receiver. 2183 01:50:20,760 --> 01:50:22,439 Speaker 1: Like they have guys on offense that can move the ball. 2184 01:50:22,479 --> 01:50:24,080 Speaker 1: It's just can their defense get enough stops? 2185 01:50:24,400 --> 01:50:25,479 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, exactly. 2186 01:50:26,120 --> 01:50:31,639 Speaker 4: We'll see how the Texas rushing defense can handle this attack, because, 2187 01:50:31,680 --> 01:50:35,680 Speaker 4: like you said, when Green is consistent with Jackson out 2188 01:50:35,680 --> 01:50:38,400 Speaker 4: of the backfield, this is a tandem that can scare 2189 01:50:38,439 --> 01:50:41,639 Speaker 4: you real bad, real real bad, and so I'm very 2190 01:50:41,680 --> 01:50:44,240 Speaker 4: curious to see how that holds up. Now look at 2191 01:50:44,240 --> 01:50:46,439 Speaker 4: the other side of the fence, because I do like 2192 01:50:46,680 --> 01:50:51,759 Speaker 4: Arkansas with the points. However, yours has been a stud 2193 01:50:51,840 --> 01:50:55,120 Speaker 4: all season long. When healthy. He is a favorite to 2194 01:50:55,120 --> 01:50:59,880 Speaker 4: win the Heisman now for good reason. Their success rate 2195 01:51:00,360 --> 01:51:05,400 Speaker 4: offensively in the passing game is pretty astronomical this season, 2196 01:51:05,439 --> 01:51:09,439 Speaker 4: and it really rests on his very capable shoulders. I 2197 01:51:09,840 --> 01:51:16,080 Speaker 4: love watching a confident quarterback operate like a like almost 2198 01:51:16,120 --> 01:51:19,000 Speaker 4: like a surgeon, and that's the feeling you get when 2199 01:51:19,040 --> 01:51:22,960 Speaker 4: you watch the Longhorns offense when they're really rolling. It's surgical. 2200 01:51:23,360 --> 01:51:26,080 Speaker 4: There's no emotion in it. You talk to a surgeon 2201 01:51:26,080 --> 01:51:29,200 Speaker 4: about operating on your knee, he's gonna talk about, yeah, 2202 01:51:29,320 --> 01:51:31,720 Speaker 4: you got the torn ligament. We're gonna do this. We're 2203 01:51:31,720 --> 01:51:34,400 Speaker 4: gonna pull this off the bone, we're gonna anchor it down. 2204 01:51:34,680 --> 01:51:36,320 Speaker 4: So you up in about an hour and a half 2205 01:51:36,360 --> 01:51:38,920 Speaker 4: and we'll get you home and you're just gonna wanna 2206 01:51:38,960 --> 01:51:42,240 Speaker 4: ice that sucker down. Meanwhile, in your mind, you're going 2207 01:51:42,240 --> 01:51:44,719 Speaker 4: through this trauma. It's like, oh my gosh, my knee, 2208 01:51:44,800 --> 01:51:48,200 Speaker 4: my season, Oh where am I gonna train this offseason. 2209 01:51:48,560 --> 01:51:51,559 Speaker 4: This surgeon is just like eating an apple while he's 2210 01:51:51,560 --> 01:51:53,920 Speaker 4: telling you what he's gonna do to you. But that's 2211 01:51:54,000 --> 01:51:57,960 Speaker 4: what good operators do, and that's what quinn Ewers is. 2212 01:51:58,280 --> 01:52:01,080 Speaker 4: He's going to open up this defense, he's gonna see 2213 01:52:01,080 --> 01:52:03,640 Speaker 4: where all the broken parts are, and he's going to 2214 01:52:03,680 --> 01:52:06,200 Speaker 4: go and fix him with this football right down your face. 2215 01:52:06,520 --> 01:52:09,960 Speaker 2: It's it's really it's fun to watch when they're rolling. 2216 01:52:10,040 --> 01:52:13,479 Speaker 4: So if Arkansas can get to them, rattle his cage 2217 01:52:13,520 --> 01:52:16,439 Speaker 4: a little bit, slow down the passing attack, they've got 2218 01:52:16,479 --> 01:52:19,920 Speaker 4: a shot. Because again, when when Green and Jackson when 2219 01:52:19,920 --> 01:52:22,920 Speaker 4: they're together in the backfield, which you know hasn't been that, 2220 01:52:23,240 --> 01:52:24,920 Speaker 4: you know, there's a little bit of an injury history 2221 01:52:24,920 --> 01:52:28,439 Speaker 4: with Jackson this season. You you really have something special 2222 01:52:28,479 --> 01:52:29,439 Speaker 4: cooking with the Hawks. 2223 01:52:29,920 --> 01:52:33,400 Speaker 1: You know what, when you mentioned ACL stuff rich real fast, 2224 01:52:33,720 --> 01:52:37,080 Speaker 1: it makes me think of Rod Woodson. Remember the great 2225 01:52:37,120 --> 01:52:41,280 Speaker 1: defensive back right with notably Steelers Ravens. He said one 2226 01:52:41,360 --> 01:52:46,320 Speaker 1: time he had ACL surgery and they just numbed his knee. 2227 01:52:46,520 --> 01:52:49,599 Speaker 1: He was wide awake for the whole surgery. They took 2228 01:52:49,640 --> 01:52:52,920 Speaker 1: out the ligament, he touched the ligament, they did all 2229 01:52:52,960 --> 01:52:54,759 Speaker 1: stop it he well, he's wide awake. 2230 01:52:55,479 --> 01:53:01,280 Speaker 5: That's crazy, crazy, I would think it freaking out. There 2231 01:53:01,320 --> 01:53:04,160 Speaker 5: are certain people who, like, for one reason or another, 2232 01:53:04,560 --> 01:53:07,800 Speaker 5: either don't want to or can't go under general anesthesia. 2233 01:53:08,280 --> 01:53:10,400 Speaker 2: So that's not the first time I've heard of that. 2234 01:53:10,760 --> 01:53:11,240 Speaker 1: Wow. 2235 01:53:11,600 --> 01:53:15,760 Speaker 4: I one time had a finger tendon operated on and 2236 01:53:15,800 --> 01:53:19,000 Speaker 4: they sewed flaps of my skin open, and after they 2237 01:53:19,080 --> 01:53:21,640 Speaker 4: sewed the tendon back together, they're like, hey, wiggle your 2238 01:53:21,640 --> 01:53:22,400 Speaker 4: finger back and forth. 2239 01:53:22,439 --> 01:53:24,040 Speaker 2: Make sure you can open and close your fist. 2240 01:53:24,040 --> 01:53:26,040 Speaker 4: And when I was doing that, I could see the 2241 01:53:26,080 --> 01:53:28,679 Speaker 4: part of the send the tendon they sewed back together 2242 01:53:29,000 --> 01:53:31,599 Speaker 4: shooting up and down inside of my hand. 2243 01:53:31,800 --> 01:53:33,560 Speaker 2: It was like watching the terminator. 2244 01:53:33,840 --> 01:53:35,759 Speaker 1: I would never make it as a football player. 2245 01:53:35,800 --> 01:53:38,920 Speaker 5: I have no chance to ever make it as a 2246 01:53:38,960 --> 01:53:39,879 Speaker 5: football player. 2247 01:53:40,080 --> 01:53:42,559 Speaker 1: You would need to put me in like a padded room. 2248 01:53:43,160 --> 01:53:46,880 Speaker 1: Oh man, super fast, only take ten seconds something to 2249 01:53:46,960 --> 01:53:50,839 Speaker 1: keep an eye on Tayling Green, Arkansas quarterback, his rushing 2250 01:53:50,880 --> 01:53:54,559 Speaker 1: prop bet twenty three and a half, and immediately I think, 2251 01:53:54,600 --> 01:53:57,840 Speaker 1: oh man, if he's healthy. That's a big if. Is 2252 01:53:57,840 --> 01:54:02,760 Speaker 1: he healthy enough? And yes, Jared the sack against Scary, 2253 01:54:03,560 --> 01:54:05,680 Speaker 1: real scary twenty three and a half. All of a 2254 01:54:05,720 --> 01:54:08,920 Speaker 1: sudden sounds like a lot more than just twenty three 2255 01:54:08,960 --> 01:54:11,599 Speaker 1: and a half when the sack yardages accounted for. Hey. 2256 01:54:11,640 --> 01:54:14,000 Speaker 1: Shortly after the show, our podcast will be going up. 2257 01:54:14,040 --> 01:54:15,880 Speaker 1: If you missed anything on today's show, be sure to 2258 01:54:15,960 --> 01:54:18,479 Speaker 1: check it out. Just search Fox Sports Radio wherever you 2259 01:54:18,520 --> 01:54:21,280 Speaker 1: get your podcasts. Be sure to also follow rate and 2260 01:54:21,320 --> 01:54:23,960 Speaker 1: review it again. Just search Fox Sports Radio wherever you 2261 01:54:24,000 --> 01:54:26,599 Speaker 1: get your podcasts, and you'll see the show posted right 2262 01:54:26,600 --> 01:54:29,440 Speaker 1: after we get off the air. We've got the terminator, 2263 01:54:29,600 --> 01:54:33,840 Speaker 1: Rich Herenberger over there. We've got Shared Smith FSR betting 2264 01:54:33,880 --> 01:54:38,160 Speaker 1: analyst does not have a future as an NFL player yet. 2265 01:54:38,480 --> 01:54:41,320 Speaker 1: I'm Brian No. Coming up next, Rapid Fire. We each 2266 01:54:41,360 --> 01:54:45,240 Speaker 1: have three picks of peace and rumor has it two 2267 01:54:45,320 --> 01:54:47,560 Speaker 1: of the three people on the show not named me 2268 01:54:47,920 --> 01:54:51,440 Speaker 1: went three and oh last week. Let's see if they 2269 01:54:51,480 --> 01:54:54,520 Speaker 1: can continue the hot streak. It is Fox Sports Radios 2270 01:54:54,640 --> 01:54:58,920 Speaker 1: Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM. It is Fox Sports 2271 01:54:59,000 --> 01:55:03,240 Speaker 1: Radios Camptown to kick Off presented by BETMGM. All season long, 2272 01:55:03,280 --> 01:55:06,839 Speaker 1: betmgm's offering you a second chance on your first touchdown 2273 01:55:06,920 --> 01:55:10,080 Speaker 1: bet in the NFL when a customer places an NFL 2274 01:55:10,120 --> 01:55:12,920 Speaker 1: wager on a first touchdown score bet, and he doesn't 2275 01:55:12,920 --> 01:55:16,720 Speaker 1: score first, but score second BETMGM will return one hundred 2276 01:55:16,720 --> 01:55:20,680 Speaker 1: percent of their stake back in cash. Hey, props to 2277 01:55:20,800 --> 01:55:25,200 Speaker 1: the crew, our trusted producer Bo Benson, The Dodger Zone Podcast, 2278 01:55:25,680 --> 01:55:29,200 Speaker 1: Chris Purfett, technical producer extraordinary. Check him out Pride a 2279 01:55:29,240 --> 01:55:34,040 Speaker 1: Detroit podcast on digital Shout out Sager, our guy putting 2280 01:55:34,080 --> 01:55:37,800 Speaker 1: up great content, can check it out on Twitter slash x. However, 2281 01:55:37,840 --> 01:55:40,000 Speaker 1: you get down saying that I don't I still don't know. 2282 01:55:40,280 --> 01:55:42,960 Speaker 1: I'm more Twitter myself. But hey, Top of the hour, 2283 01:55:43,760 --> 01:55:46,920 Speaker 1: up on game less than ten minutes away, LaVar Arrington, TJ. 2284 01:55:47,040 --> 01:55:50,960 Speaker 1: Hushman's Out of Plexico Burist. They have got you covered. 2285 01:55:51,040 --> 01:55:53,680 Speaker 1: Keep it locked here on FSR. All right, we got 2286 01:55:53,720 --> 01:55:55,040 Speaker 1: some picks to make. Let's do it. 2287 01:55:58,240 --> 01:55:59,120 Speaker 2: Rapid fire. 2288 01:56:00,200 --> 01:56:03,400 Speaker 1: Okay, Jared mister three and zero. Who last weeks you 2289 01:56:03,440 --> 01:56:05,840 Speaker 1: called your shot, you came through. What do you like today? 2290 01:56:06,080 --> 01:56:06,400 Speaker 2: I did? 2291 01:56:06,400 --> 01:56:07,560 Speaker 1: We got a long way to go to get back 2292 01:56:07,560 --> 01:56:08,360 Speaker 1: to five hundred, though. 2293 01:56:08,640 --> 01:56:11,320 Speaker 5: We will take Arkansas plus thirteen and a half at 2294 01:56:11,360 --> 01:56:12,280 Speaker 5: home against Texas. 2295 01:56:12,320 --> 01:56:13,360 Speaker 1: Woo big suey. 2296 01:56:14,000 --> 01:56:17,240 Speaker 5: We need an inspired effort from the Arkansas defense today. 2297 01:56:17,240 --> 01:56:20,240 Speaker 1: They're off the by after getting their porches handed to 2298 01:56:20,280 --> 01:56:22,440 Speaker 1: them by Ole Miss a couple of weeks ago. 2299 01:56:22,880 --> 01:56:25,160 Speaker 5: Sam Pittman, fire up the troops. We need the defensive 2300 01:56:25,200 --> 01:56:26,800 Speaker 5: coordinator Travis Williams that have a big day. 2301 01:56:26,840 --> 01:56:29,360 Speaker 1: Taylor Green no turnovers. Arkansas covers the number. 2302 01:56:29,440 --> 01:56:32,200 Speaker 5: Florida plus three and a half home dog against LSU. 2303 01:56:32,280 --> 01:56:35,760 Speaker 5: Both teams all blowout losses. LSU probably out of the 2304 01:56:35,800 --> 01:56:38,120 Speaker 5: SEC title race. Florida needs to win two out of 2305 01:56:38,120 --> 01:56:38,840 Speaker 5: their last three to. 2306 01:56:38,840 --> 01:56:39,720 Speaker 1: Get Bowl eligible. 2307 01:56:39,840 --> 01:56:42,560 Speaker 5: They play LSU this week, eh, Ole Miss next week, 2308 01:56:42,600 --> 01:56:45,200 Speaker 5: eh and then they close against Florida State. They gotta 2309 01:56:45,200 --> 01:56:47,280 Speaker 5: beat either LSU or ole Miss or else they ain't 2310 01:56:47,360 --> 01:56:49,760 Speaker 5: going bowling. And I'll be honest, they have some dudes 2311 01:56:49,840 --> 01:56:51,839 Speaker 5: up the front. You look at that Florida d line, 2312 01:56:52,320 --> 01:56:54,440 Speaker 5: Banks Jackson in the middle, north of three hundred and 2313 01:56:54,440 --> 01:56:56,640 Speaker 5: twenty pounds. I think they shut down the LSU run game. 2314 01:56:56,680 --> 01:56:58,680 Speaker 5: They turned Garrett neus Meyer into a thrower and that's 2315 01:56:58,680 --> 01:57:01,720 Speaker 5: bad news for ness Meyer on the And finally, Georgia 2316 01:57:01,840 --> 01:57:03,560 Speaker 5: best bet of the week minus nine and a half 2317 01:57:03,600 --> 01:57:04,280 Speaker 5: against Tennessee. 2318 01:57:04,320 --> 01:57:06,760 Speaker 1: Gave this out for the MGM video yesterday. 2319 01:57:06,960 --> 01:57:10,840 Speaker 5: Kirby scheme up a defensive masterpiece for me Nico on 2320 01:57:10,960 --> 01:57:13,680 Speaker 5: the road off the concussion, tough environment night game at 2321 01:57:13,720 --> 01:57:16,480 Speaker 5: Sanford Stadium. I think Georgia, hey, if the playoffs started today, 2322 01:57:16,560 --> 01:57:19,200 Speaker 5: ab out they need style points they get back in 2323 01:57:19,280 --> 01:57:21,200 Speaker 5: today as they beat Tennessee with marchin. 2324 01:57:21,480 --> 01:57:24,160 Speaker 4: Okay, I love that Georgia pick, so I'm going to 2325 01:57:24,240 --> 01:57:27,040 Speaker 4: back that up too. Give me Georgia minus the nine 2326 01:57:27,080 --> 01:57:30,080 Speaker 4: and a half hosting the Balls Kirby Smart in a 2327 01:57:30,200 --> 01:57:30,680 Speaker 4: must win. 2328 01:57:31,120 --> 01:57:32,040 Speaker 2: I like the dogs. 2329 01:57:32,280 --> 01:57:35,480 Speaker 4: Nebraska heads to the Coliseum to face the Trojans. The 2330 01:57:35,560 --> 01:57:37,840 Speaker 4: Huskers are on a three game slide, but they made 2331 01:57:37,920 --> 01:57:42,600 Speaker 4: that change at OC. I think the volatility favors Nebraska. 2332 01:57:42,760 --> 01:57:45,000 Speaker 4: I like the Huskers on the money line, so I 2333 01:57:45,040 --> 01:57:49,080 Speaker 4: love them getting some points on the road. Penn State 2334 01:57:49,200 --> 01:57:52,480 Speaker 4: favored by twenty nine and a half at Perdue. I'm 2335 01:57:52,520 --> 01:57:55,360 Speaker 4: holding my nose placing this bet because you have to 2336 01:57:55,360 --> 01:57:58,600 Speaker 4: pack your own energy when you play Perdue. Perdue doesn't 2337 01:57:58,640 --> 01:58:01,000 Speaker 4: even want to play at Perdue. But give me the 2338 01:58:01,120 --> 01:58:02,920 Speaker 4: Dnies minus twenty nine and a half. 2339 01:58:03,120 --> 01:58:07,520 Speaker 1: Oh boy, Okay, all right, that sounded like some slight 2340 01:58:07,560 --> 01:58:11,240 Speaker 1: disagreement or what do you think they're Jared Ish? Hold 2341 01:58:11,240 --> 01:58:11,800 Speaker 1: your noses. 2342 01:58:11,960 --> 01:58:14,080 Speaker 5: Definitely would not bet produce. 2343 01:58:14,440 --> 01:58:18,160 Speaker 1: Okay, here we go, Jared, You and I same fox 2344 01:58:18,240 --> 01:58:21,640 Speaker 1: fall over here, let's go, Dylan Samson. Tennessee running backs 2345 01:58:21,640 --> 01:58:24,840 Speaker 1: had a strong season under ninety five and a half 2346 01:58:24,920 --> 01:58:29,320 Speaker 1: rushing yards. Not against the Dogs in this spot ain't happening. 2347 01:58:29,920 --> 01:58:32,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go parlay on you. I owe my picks, 2348 01:58:32,640 --> 01:58:36,880 Speaker 1: by the way. Okay, give me two lane money line 2349 01:58:36,920 --> 01:58:41,960 Speaker 1: against Navy. Give me Georgia money line against Tennessee. I 2350 01:58:42,000 --> 01:58:44,320 Speaker 1: just don't see that losing. It's minus one thirty three. 2351 01:58:44,720 --> 01:58:46,920 Speaker 1: I like it. It's a fair game. That's within the 2352 01:58:46,960 --> 01:58:51,080 Speaker 1: limits of what we fair game. Yeah, I if that 2353 01:58:51,200 --> 01:58:54,680 Speaker 1: bet loses, I I just shake my shoulders and just go. 2354 01:58:55,160 --> 01:58:57,760 Speaker 1: I shrugged my shoulders. I shake them too. I shrug 2355 01:58:57,800 --> 01:59:00,400 Speaker 1: them and I shake him. That's how much. And then 2356 01:59:00,880 --> 01:59:04,520 Speaker 1: Rich Ornberger on the radio call tonight San Diego State 2357 01:59:04,560 --> 01:59:07,400 Speaker 1: at UNL vote, I'll do it, Oh boy, give me 2358 01:59:07,720 --> 01:59:13,800 Speaker 1: UNLV's quarterback hajaj Malik Williams to run wild over seventy 2359 01:59:13,880 --> 01:59:17,360 Speaker 1: two and a half rush yards in this contest. He 2360 01:59:17,520 --> 01:59:20,120 Speaker 1: runs it at least twelve times per game since he 2361 01:59:20,200 --> 01:59:23,480 Speaker 1: became the starter. I think Rich just don't say it 2362 01:59:23,520 --> 01:59:26,360 Speaker 1: on the call, but you'll think in your head, gosh 2363 01:59:26,600 --> 01:59:29,640 Speaker 1: freaking no, nailed this one. D rat