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Speaker 1: Good luck for the most beautiful game?

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Speaker 2: Do us proud red Hello, they're running a game so smooth,

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Speaker 2: so sweet, splendid sixteen just glorious textecution.

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Speaker 3: This, guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent efforts

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Speaker 3: four thousand percent.

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Speaker 1: Of the time. How shut with that?

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Speaker 2: Shop with mind, buddy, And that's why.

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Speaker 3: You see your beautiful tiers. Look at his movements, the

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Speaker 3: most dangerous a mount on the planet.

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Speaker 4: Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 3: Shut up.

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Speaker 4: A wall.

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Speaker 2: It's left to the wide eyed drill coiffeus.

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Speaker 3: How old earth that happens?

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Speaker 1: Hello, ey one, Welcome back to Wondergol, the soccer betting

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Speaker 1: podcast from the Action Network, presented to you by Bet

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Speaker 1: three sixty five. My name is Michael Leebuff and joining

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Speaker 1: me for this hour first group stage preview for the Euros.

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Speaker 1: So we'll go through the first match of the group

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Speaker 1: stages each team. I think what comes out to twelve matches,

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Speaker 1: match by match, give out our favorite bets. Joining me

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Speaker 1: for it are bj Cunningham and Sam Ingram, And that

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Speaker 1: means we got to start with the opener, which is Friday,

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Speaker 1: June fourteenth, three pm Eastern Time, eight pm British summertime,

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Speaker 1: which is where Sam is. It's Germany and Scotland. Germany

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Speaker 1: the host, as you can imagine, our prohibitive favorites their

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Speaker 1: minus three fifty on the three way line, Scotland coming

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Speaker 1: back at eight to one, and the draw here is

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Speaker 1: five to one. Sam. We're gonna start with you because

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Speaker 1: you are looking to perhaps find a way in on

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Speaker 1: the underdogs here.

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Speaker 5: Hello Michael, Yes I am, and I'll touch on it

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Speaker 5: in the other game in the group as well. But

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Speaker 5: usually opening games of the tournaments are quite tricky to navigate,

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Speaker 5: especially if you're a tournament hosts, all of the teams,

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Speaker 5: all these natures, all of these supporters in your own backyard,

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Speaker 5: something which has been planned and built up to for

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Speaker 5: a number of years, lots of pressure, and in the

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Speaker 5: first game when you're heavy minus three five seven favorites

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Speaker 5: as well, and you simply have to go out there

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Speaker 5: and put on the show.

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Speaker 4: That can't be nice.

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Speaker 5: I've not played a game at a major tournament, unfortunately,

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Speaker 5: but I'm sure there's going to be a few nervous

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Speaker 5: spaces in both dressing rooms. And obviously Scotland aren't at

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Speaker 5: Germany's level. Should lose this game, but will they lose

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Speaker 5: by the two goals required to make the current Asian

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Speaker 5: handicap line a loser, and you can get Scotland on

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Speaker 5: a plus one point five Asian handicap at plus one

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Speaker 5: or two.

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Speaker 4: I'm not too short.

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Speaker 5: If you think that these two teams arrive and try

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Speaker 5: and feel themselves into the tournament, turn up, make themselves

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Speaker 5: hard to beat over everything else, then there might not

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Speaker 5: be a two goal advantage to either side on Friday night.

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Speaker 5: And I've looked into the opening fixtures at the European

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Speaker 5: Championships all the way back to nineteen eighty, so I've

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Speaker 5: been working hard and only on swers there have been

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Speaker 5: an opening day win with a two go margin, and

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Speaker 5: that came in the previous Euros when Italy tranced the

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Speaker 5: not so dark horses Turkey, who got absolutely nowhere near

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Speaker 5: a gallop in a tournament that they performed miserably in

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Speaker 5: before that.

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Speaker 4: I'll go through them.

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Speaker 5: All but France two on Romania, Poland one one against Greece,

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Speaker 5: Swiss lost one. They were against Zech Republic in two

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Speaker 5: thousand and eight, greasebeak Portugal two to one on their

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Speaker 5: frantic run to silver round in two thousand and four.

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Speaker 5: And if you go all go back to ninety six

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Speaker 5: England drew one one against the Swiss, so there aren't

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Speaker 5: usually runaway statement winners in the opening game of this tournament,

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Speaker 5: and usually with most of the countries in the United Kingdom,

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Speaker 5: Scotland will give absolutely everything in every single minute of

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Speaker 5: each game. There is if they've got anything, it's fighting

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Speaker 5: desire in that Scotland side and they'll die for that

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Speaker 5: bad So that might be enough, along with it being

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Speaker 5: the opening game of the tournament to avoid a two

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Speaker 5: go margin loss in a ten in Munich. So yeah,

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Speaker 5: it's quite a tentative lean, but Scotland plus one point

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Speaker 5: five that there are definitely wise beats.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and that actually blends really nicely into what I'm

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Speaker 1: going to suggest here, A bet I really like I

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Speaker 1: like the first half to end scoreless, zero zero, because

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Speaker 1: like you said, I think Scotland's going to show up

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Speaker 1: here and just trying to make themselves robust and tough

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Speaker 1: to beat, hard to break down, and I think it

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Speaker 1: takes a little while for a team like Germany, as

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Speaker 1: you said, with all that pressure on their shoulders as

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Speaker 1: the host and one of the tournament favorites and a

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Speaker 1: huge favorite in this match, to find their way into

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Speaker 1: this game. I think that creates a pretty good atmosphere

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Speaker 1: for like a stodgy, pretty rock fighty first forty five minutes.

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Speaker 1: The odds tell you it's very likely Germany ends up

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Speaker 1: getting ahead here and getting the win, but I do

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Speaker 1: think it takes a little bit of time for them

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Speaker 1: to get there. So I think that the first half

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Speaker 1: to go under half a goal, so zero zero a

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Speaker 1: correct score first half depending on on your sports book

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Speaker 1: how they listed plus two four I think is a

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Speaker 1: good bet here. So that's where I'm going BJ. I

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Speaker 1: think that this thing starts off, the whole tournament starts

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Speaker 1: off pretty nervy from there, who knows where it goes.

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Speaker 1: But I like the price there on this year's zero

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Speaker 1: first half.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't hate that at all.

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Speaker 4: So here.

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Speaker 3: The thing with Scotland is I think this game is

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Speaker 3: incredibly game state dependent. As you know, a lot of

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Speaker 3: international matches, especially these tournaments are, because obviously we're not

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Speaker 3: playing a thirty eight match season, we're only playing three games.

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Speaker 3: The second teams fall behind, they tend to get a

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Speaker 3: lot more desperate than they would over a normal club season.

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Speaker 3: But Scotland, over their two meetings of Spain and qualifying

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Speaker 3: actually did a really really good good job defensively in

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Speaker 3: their defensive block and what they did, especially in the

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Speaker 3: first meeting that they won to nothing. They were obviously

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Speaker 3: playing up a goal for majority of the match, but

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Speaker 3: they closed off the central parts of the pitch. Spain

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Speaker 3: wasn't able to play through there, and eventually Spain just said, okay,

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Speaker 3: we have to get the ball wide and we have

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Speaker 3: to settle for crosses. Germany is a team that similarly

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Speaker 3: wants to dominate the middle of the pitch. They want

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Speaker 3: to try to create overloads there. Scotland's not going to

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Speaker 3: allow them to do that, and Germany is not really

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Speaker 3: set up if you look at the profile of their

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Speaker 3: team and their strikers and everything, they're not typically a

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Speaker 3: team that's set up to just swing in twenty crosses

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Speaker 3: and try to score goals off of that. You know,

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Speaker 3: Verts is a good aerial threat, but outside of him,

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Speaker 3: they're really a team that needs to build up through

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Speaker 3: the middle. So if Scotland's not going to allow them

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Speaker 3: to do that, which I think is a great shoutsham,

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Speaker 3: that it's going to be hard for Germany. But the

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Speaker 3: flip side of it also is for Scotland the second

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Speaker 3: that goal goes in for Germany, if it does, that

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Speaker 3: might be a little bit worried some if Scotland has

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Speaker 3: to be the one that comes out and presses them

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Speaker 3: and try to force the issue. So I think it's

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Speaker 3: just kind of really dependent on you know, the longer

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Speaker 3: this thing goes zero zero, the better chance Scotland has

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Speaker 3: nicking a goal and mctomeny can hopefully maybe hit one

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Speaker 3: from outside the box. But you know, again for me,

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Speaker 3: it's it's the first game of the tournament, like I

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Speaker 3: really want to have a bet on it. But Michael,

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Speaker 3: I went back and looked at my last two bets

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Speaker 3: from the last two international tournaments Euro twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 3: I was on Turkey plus one and a half. They

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Speaker 3: got absolutely smoked, and then I bought into the Katar

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Speaker 3: conspiracy for the World Cup and they were down to

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Speaker 3: nothing inside what ten minutes. So I think I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: sit this one out tournament tournament, right, Yeah, I don't

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Speaker 3: think I uh, I don't think I want to dip

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Speaker 3: my toe in, So yeah, I'm gonna pass.

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Speaker 1: All right. So that's that's the opener. That's the standalone

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Speaker 1: game on Friday afternoon here in the evening over across

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Speaker 1: the Atlantic, and then things really start to get going

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Speaker 1: with three matches a day starting on Saturday morning, June fifteenth,

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Speaker 1: nine a m. Eastern time, two pm over in England.

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Speaker 1: It's hungry and it's Switzerland, and it is the Swiss

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Speaker 1: as a plus one twenty five favorite on the three

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Speaker 1: way line, hungry coming back plus two thirty, and the

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Speaker 1: draw here is plus two thirty as well. This is

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Speaker 1: a pretty trendy, pretty trendy sleeper dark course. I wouldn't

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Speaker 1: say that a lot of people are back in Hungry

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Speaker 1: to go on a run, but people are circling the

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Speaker 1: wagon a little bit around this team BJ. But you

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Speaker 1: were pretty stout in your stance that you were against

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Speaker 1: that notion, and you're gonna kind of obviously lean in here,

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Speaker 1: and I'm along for the ride here on the switch.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I really like Switzerland plus one fifteen in this

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Speaker 3: first matchup. So Switzerland during qualifying, other than Portugal and France,

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Speaker 3: had the best expected goal differential per ninety minutes at two,

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Speaker 3: which is outstanding. And what's crazy is they actually pretty

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Speaker 3: drastically underformed evensively. They let eleven goals off of five

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Speaker 3: point five expected which you don't typically see from a

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Speaker 3: team that has two outstanding goalkeepers, you know, and Yon

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Speaker 3: Summer and Gigor Cabal. But they are very well prepared

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Speaker 3: to face this hungry team because the two matches against

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Speaker 3: Romania where they created over a combined five expected goals,

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Speaker 3: they were constantly dominating the half spaces with quick one

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Speaker 3: touch passing, getting triangle. They're forcing a back line of

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Speaker 3: five to come out and defend them, and the second

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Speaker 3: they did, they played right through them. Rated a bunch

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Speaker 3: of chances off of that, Hungary is gonna sit in

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Speaker 3: a five to three to two. They're gonna play very

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Speaker 3: very passive, and I think Switzerland, given the teams that

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Speaker 3: they face in their group, are really well set up

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Speaker 3: to do that because you know, like I mentioned our

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Speaker 3: preview pod, it is an old Swiss team, like it's

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Speaker 3: a team that it's just copy and paste the roster

191
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Speaker 3: from twenty twenty one to the twenty twenty two World

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Speaker 3: Cup to now. But this team has been playing together

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Speaker 3: with Murrett Yaikan for a really long time and they

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Speaker 3: know the system very very well. The problem with Hungary

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Speaker 3: is that they're gonna rely on a few counter attacking

196
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Speaker 3: opportunities mainly via crosses, which if you want a way

197
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Speaker 3: that they can win this match or you know, it's

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Speaker 3: probably gonna be against THEA crosses because the Swiss do

199
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Speaker 3: struggle with those, but they're not very good at counter pressing.

200
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Speaker 3: So if they decide to do that, like they did

201
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Speaker 3: against Serbia, Serbia was able to play right through them.

202
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Speaker 3: I generally think the Swiss are really set up here

203
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Speaker 3: to play in transition when they have the ball, and

204
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Speaker 3: for Hungary it's only Solba sly in build up for them.

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Speaker 3: If they cannot get him the ball, everything tends to

206
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Speaker 3: fall apart. So if Swiss decided to double him, or

207
00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:07,599
Speaker 3: if they decided to put Shaka or one of the

208
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Speaker 3: best defenders on him and just take him away, that

209
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Speaker 3: is going to make things very, very difficult for Hungary

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Speaker 3: to create chances. So I have the Swiss projected at

211
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Speaker 3: minus one forty one or you know, I'm going to

212
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Speaker 3: say out these percentages for projections because hopefully now that

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Speaker 3: we have Sam on here, we've brought a couple of

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Speaker 3: people from England to listen to this podcast, that's around

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Speaker 3: fifty eight percent. So at plus one fifteen, that's around

216
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Speaker 3: forty seven percent. So I have a pretty decent edge

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Speaker 3: here on this first game. So I like the Swiss

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Speaker 3: at plus one fifteen.

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Speaker 1: Same you're you're not going to be jumping on the

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Speaker 1: Swiss here, but something else a little bit further down

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Speaker 1: the board looking at a prop here.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it's quite similar to your first bet that you

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Speaker 5: mentioned that the under one goes in the opener.

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Speaker 4: It's not really a market I usually like or take.

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Speaker 5: I'll personally find it quite difficult to break down regular

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Speaker 5: season games into two halves in my mind from a

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Speaker 5: better perspective, when we say fifteen games into a season,

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Speaker 5: for example, I think that's difficult to do unless there

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Speaker 5: are clear trends and patterns to a side style of play,

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Speaker 5: or maybe a manager's approach against bigger teams, smaller teams,

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Speaker 5: whatever it may be. But at a major tournament, in

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Speaker 5: the opening game between two nations who I think are

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Speaker 5: quite evenly matched, and in a game where the two

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Speaker 5: sides are likely playing for second and third in the group,

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Speaker 5: for me, similarly to the Germany game, that screams of

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Speaker 5: quite a tentative start from both teams. In theory, Hungry

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Speaker 5: and Switzerland should begin the match feeling each other out.

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Speaker 5: There should be a period of spar and sizing the

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Speaker 5: opposition up. It's tougher. It's tough for us better as

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Speaker 5: coming into a major tournament and using previous friendlies and

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Speaker 5: qualifying campaigns to measure how teammate will get on against

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Speaker 5: Team B. And it's difficult for these teams and managers too.

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Speaker 5: So naturally, unless there's a big goalf in between nations,

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Speaker 5: the two sets of players and management teams will be

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Speaker 5: wary at the very least and somewhat concerned about just.

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Speaker 4: How good the other is with so much at stake

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Speaker 4: and so much on the line.

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Speaker 5: So with that thought process, I've asked myself, how do

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Speaker 5: we get that thinking into a selection now? Maybe an

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Speaker 5: odds against price and the most goals scored in the

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Speaker 5: second half option at Betfrey sixty five at plus one

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Speaker 5: one zero one term.

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Speaker 4: Gets that for us, and it takes a few boxes.

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Speaker 5: If you think similarly to me, if there's a goal

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Speaker 5: in the first half that opens up the second half massively,

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Speaker 5: a little like bj was saying in the opening game,

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Speaker 5: the next goal would be super important and then we

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Speaker 5: could see somewhat of a shootout as one side pushes

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Speaker 5: for the next If there are no goals in the

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Speaker 5: first half, then you can be sure either manager will

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Speaker 5: get their team in a halftime and pinpoint exactly where

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Speaker 5: he thinks is psyching capitalized in the second half. And

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Speaker 5: I don't have any stats or numbers for you in

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Speaker 5: terms of how many times this is happening qualifying in

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Speaker 5: recent friendlies. I'm not interested that this is all about

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Speaker 5: current situation and games state. We said it a couple

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Speaker 5: of times already. You might fancy Hungry, you may fancy Switzerland,

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Speaker 5: but for me is quite close on paper, and I'd

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Speaker 5: rather take second off Goes I think over maybe Switzerland

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Speaker 5: on the nose at a similar price, or Hungry at

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Speaker 5: a bigger price.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so that's Group A, the second match of Group A,

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Speaker 1: along with Germany and Scotland. Let's move on and we'll

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Speaker 1: talk Group of death stuff. Spain and Croatia at twelve

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern time. Spain is odds on minus one twelve

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Speaker 1: to win this on the three way line, Croatia plus

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Speaker 1: three fifty and the draw here is plus two forty. Sam,

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Speaker 1: you and I are on the same side here. I'm

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Speaker 1: kind of debating. I don't want to turn a winner

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Speaker 1: into a loser. But I do so the more and

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Speaker 1: more I think about this matchup and what Spain wants

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Speaker 1: to do. I don't think Croatia is going to have

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Speaker 1: the ball enough to really make an impact on this game.

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Speaker 1: I could see this being one way traffic, and Croatia

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Speaker 1: obviously get a ton of respect in the market because

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Speaker 1: they are Croatia. They're a really tough tournament team. They've

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Speaker 1: proven that, and they are good, They're technically sound and

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Speaker 1: their experience all that stuff. But I do think that

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Speaker 1: if this thing goes pair shape for Croatia could get ugly,

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Speaker 1: and I want to beat the market to that. So

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out if I just want to

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Speaker 1: lay the minus one one tennis price out there on

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Speaker 1: Spain just to win it, or if I want to

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Speaker 1: go look at Spain to win to nail Spain on

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Speaker 1: an alternate spread. But I think there's every reason to

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Speaker 1: believe in Spain getting off the mark here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I would agree with that. I'm also a little concerned.

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Speaker 5: I picked this out before they played Portugal the other

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Speaker 5: the other night, so when I saw Croatia did a

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Speaker 5: number on them. Yeah, this I don't know it cast

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Speaker 5: a few doubts, but it is a friendly, so I

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Speaker 5: don't know, I don't how much to buy into that,

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Speaker 5: but yeah, since since winning Euro twenty twelve, Spain of

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Speaker 5: won just seven matches at major international tournament, so yeah,

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Speaker 5: that's maybe got me questioning myself too, so probably daftly,

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Speaker 5: I'm going to go for Spain to win the opener

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Speaker 5: at minus one one one, so I.

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Speaker 4: See that a's quite an attractive prices.

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Speaker 5: Fifth favorites take on a Croatia side night from the

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Speaker 5: betting at forty to one to in the tournament, and

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Speaker 5: I don't like Spain to cause the biggest of splashes

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Speaker 5: the summer, but I do fancy them in this group,

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Speaker 5: and they've if you look at their possible lineup on

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Speaker 5: on the weekend, they've got a decent midfield, one of

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Speaker 5: the best in the world in Roder next to him

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Speaker 5: like Luke Pedrie and Fabrian Mauiz too. So we've been

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Speaker 5: forward Dannielmo, I mean your MoU who's threatening a breakout tournament,

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Speaker 5: and got Niko Williams, who's production and then product of

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Speaker 5: the season as I should him into the conversation for

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Speaker 5: a start, and we spoke about Marata and his deputy

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Speaker 5: Hustle on the Futures Pod too, So there's enough there

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Speaker 5: to get me semi excited about Spain but that but

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Speaker 5: maybe not to get past one of their heavy hitters.

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Speaker 5: And that's one thing I don't think Croatia will be.

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Speaker 5: I'm not sold on their age in midfield. I think

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Speaker 5: you mes said that to Michael in the Futures Pod.

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Speaker 5: Modrich is like a fine wine, but he's old thirty

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Speaker 5: seven now, you know, in football terms, and you've got

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Speaker 5: another one selling himself in in Saudi Arabia. So I'm

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Speaker 5: not too sure about their midfield, especially up against the

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Speaker 5: Spanish midfield They've They've done brilliantly Croatia for a number

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Speaker 5: of years, punching above their weight in terms of country

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Speaker 5: size and population.

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Speaker 4: And I could be wildly wrong because they did just

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Speaker 4: go and be Portugal.

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Speaker 5: But I also saw BJ tweet about him finding great

337
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Speaker 5: enjoyment watching everyone overreact at pre tournament friendlies, and if

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Speaker 5: I was on my phone over the weekend, there have

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Speaker 5: been a few tweets about the England game.

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Speaker 3: Too, so there's no overreaction in England.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, well, yeah, a little bit. It always is, but

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Speaker 5: I'm glad I didn't send them to me. I'm glad

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Speaker 5: I was busy because may give me some stick.

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Speaker 4: But I don't think.

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Speaker 5: I think maybe you should bear in mind, but that

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Speaker 5: there shouldn't be a mirror in performance in terms of

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Speaker 5: results or in the opener. For Croatia, I think this

348
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Speaker 5: is a different kettle of fish, and they're close to

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Speaker 5: even money. I don't mind taking Spain on here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, sam so I have over the weekend

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Speaker 3: to our great nation losing five to one to Columbia.

352
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Speaker 3: So generally with these friendlies, I don't take much from

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Speaker 3: them because the intensity level is not there. At the

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Speaker 3: end of the day, it's just practice. You know, if

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Speaker 3: England was playing Iceland in the group stage, I think

356
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Speaker 3: you were going to see a lot more intensity and

357
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Speaker 3: actually have them pushing harder to score the goal, and

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Speaker 3: I think they eventually probably would have. But in general,

359
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Speaker 3: you know, take these friendlies for what they are as friendlies.

360
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Speaker 3: In terms of this game, I do like under two

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Speaker 3: and a half goals at minus one thirty five. So

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Speaker 3: Spain Luis de Lafuente is now in. Not much is

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Speaker 3: going to change from Luis and Rique because de Lefuente

364
00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:41,160
Speaker 3: has been managing through the Spanish youth ranks for over

365
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Speaker 3: a decade now, so it's the exact same system as

366
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Speaker 3: Luis and Rique. In qualifying, they did not hold in

367
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Speaker 3: a single match, they did not hold under sixty seven

368
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Speaker 3: percent possession. They are the most possession dominant team in

369
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Speaker 3: this entire field. But what we've seen from Spain is

370
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Speaker 3: that possession can get stale, the ball circulation can get

371
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,359
Speaker 3: and when they become a little too obsessed with playing

372
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Speaker 3: through the middle, that's when the problems generally come in.

373
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Speaker 3: In that first match against Scotland, they kept trying to

374
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Speaker 3: play through the middle, they only had I ended up

375
00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:15,800
Speaker 3: creating one point three expected goals and only had nine shots.

376
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Speaker 3: And they're facing a Croatia team that Yes, we are

377
00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:21,600
Speaker 3: all very very down on them. I'm I mean, we're

378
00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:22,840
Speaker 3: all very down on their offense.

379
00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:23,239
Speaker 4: Right.

380
00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:26,840
Speaker 3: The defense is still a very difficult team to play through,

381
00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:29,560
Speaker 3: like the midfield is still there from a defensive standpoint,

382
00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:32,240
Speaker 3: they still have a solid center back pairing. They only

383
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Speaker 3: allowed point five to eight expected goals per ninety minutes

384
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:40,040
Speaker 3: in qualifying, So I think of all the matches in

385
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Speaker 3: this first round, this is going to be the slowest

386
00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:48,640
Speaker 3: and the one with the fewest counter attacks, because although

387
00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:51,720
Speaker 3: you know Spade has a pretty glaring weakness, is that

388
00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:54,440
Speaker 3: teams that can play quick balls over the top or

389
00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:56,560
Speaker 3: get at them, because they're generally going to because they

390
00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:58,680
Speaker 3: pushed so many guys forward, they're generally going to be

391
00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:00,520
Speaker 3: in a lot of three v three or two B

392
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Speaker 3: two situations in transition. Frotia just doesn't have the speed

393
00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:06,440
Speaker 3: and they just don't have the forwards that are really

394
00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:10,000
Speaker 3: good in transitions. So I only projected one point nine

395
00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:12,919
Speaker 3: goals for this first game, so I like under two

396
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:14,200
Speaker 3: and a half of minus one thirty five.

397
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Speaker 1: Okay, And the Saturday finale is Italy and Albania. This

398
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,680
Speaker 1: is three pm Eastern time, eight pm Eastern or excuse me,

399
00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:24,960
Speaker 1: eight pm British summertime, Spain. Excuse me. Italy is a

400
00:19:25,080 --> 00:19:28,040
Speaker 1: minus two to fifty favorite, Albania coming back at seven

401
00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:30,600
Speaker 1: to one to draw here plus three seventy five. I

402
00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:33,879
Speaker 1: don't really have much here, but I do think this

403
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:36,119
Speaker 1: one sneakily feels like a draw, Like I think this

404
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:37,760
Speaker 1: is actually a decent bet on a draw, or even

405
00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:39,160
Speaker 1: a nil nil if you want to chase a bigger

406
00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:42,960
Speaker 1: price BJ because it feels, you know, you don't want

407
00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:45,120
Speaker 1: to make direct correlations, but it kind of would remind

408
00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:48,040
Speaker 1: me of Italy New Zealand at two thy and ten

409
00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:51,960
Speaker 1: World Cup, where it's just one team trying to sit

410
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,120
Speaker 1: back and keep this thing as respectable as possible, because

411
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:59,840
Speaker 1: that third place position for Albania is the path to advancing,

412
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:02,639
Speaker 1: so they got to keep their goal difference intact. And

413
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:05,160
Speaker 1: with that in mind, I think Italy is a team

414
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:07,840
Speaker 1: that they can at least quiet down right, Like, I

415
00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,239
Speaker 1: don't think Italy is going to run rampant over them

416
00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:12,880
Speaker 1: and maybe that sets up for nil mil or one one.

417
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:14,800
Speaker 1: So I think plus three seventy five is okay and

418
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:16,640
Speaker 1: a dry I think that's what I'll end up being

419
00:20:16,760 --> 00:20:19,320
Speaker 1: on if anything. But you guys are on the same

420
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,240
Speaker 1: side beach, so you can get the conversation started.

421
00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:23,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like under two and a half goals at

422
00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 3: minus one ten, So Albania they are. I would put

423
00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,720
Speaker 3: them in the same group as a team like Georgia,

424
00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:35,960
Speaker 3: who is going to play one of the more extreme

425
00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:38,479
Speaker 3: low blocks in this tournament field. You know a lot

426
00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:40,480
Speaker 3: of teams will sit in defensive blocks, but you'll see

427
00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:43,520
Speaker 3: even teams like Slovakia and Romania will play mid to

428
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:45,280
Speaker 3: high blocks and they will actually try to apply a

429
00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,840
Speaker 3: little bit of ball pressure, but Albania will just let

430
00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:50,240
Speaker 3: you walk the ball in the final thirdals you get there.

431
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 3: They are very active and they do man mark and

432
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,000
Speaker 3: they do put pressure on the ball, so there's not

433
00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:57,960
Speaker 3: a lot of easy passes that actually go into the

434
00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:00,960
Speaker 3: penalty area. I mean during qualify they only allowed four

435
00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:03,879
Speaker 3: goals and they allowed under one expected goal for ninety minutes.

436
00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:07,560
Speaker 3: So generally, even though there isn't a lot of talent

437
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:11,200
Speaker 3: in this Albanian side, they have a pretty good defensive

438
00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:14,320
Speaker 3: structure that can keep Italy out here. And even though

439
00:21:14,320 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 3: Italy's offense has been improving under Spiletti, you know, twelve

440
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 3: expected goals in the in the six matches that he

441
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:24,040
Speaker 3: was in charge. A lot of those came from positive

442
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:26,480
Speaker 3: game states when they were leading and they decided to

443
00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:29,560
Speaker 3: just continually run up the score. You know, I don't

444
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:32,640
Speaker 3: think Albania is gonna have much of an attack here.

445
00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,160
Speaker 3: I mean, they averaged under one expected goal for ninety

446
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:40,320
Speaker 3: minutes in qualifying and a lot of their chances were

447
00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:43,560
Speaker 3: just transition breaks and they just hit bangers from outside

448
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:45,840
Speaker 3: the box like it just happened. It kept happening over

449
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,760
Speaker 3: and over again. Now, to be fair to Albania, you

450
00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:51,960
Speaker 3: know they didn't have Armando Brosia available during qualifying. But

451
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:54,639
Speaker 3: as is the case, even though a striker can be

452
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 3: really good, if he's left on an island, he's not

453
00:21:57,680 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 3: gonna have much service and he's not going to have

454
00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:01,800
Speaker 3: many opportunity create a big scoring chance. In Italy's a

455
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:05,080
Speaker 3: very good defense, especially defending and transition and ball stopping

456
00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:07,879
Speaker 3: in the middle of the pitch. So only projected a

457
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:10,119
Speaker 3: little over two goals for this match, So I like

458
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:11,640
Speaker 3: under two and a half at minus one ten.

459
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:16,639
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm exactly the same BJ for Italy. They enter

460
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 5: this tournament unfavored and very much an outsider, and that

461
00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:23,359
Speaker 5: rugg and nations that usually compete at the business end

462
00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:27,440
Speaker 5: European champions too, but you're not going to mention them here.

463
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:30,840
Speaker 5: Then mentioned in like the plfour of betting previews, making

464
00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:33,399
Speaker 5: the rounds in the minute, they're in a difficult group Spain.

465
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:35,879
Speaker 5: More like their chances of beating Italy Croatia will II.

466
00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,639
Speaker 5: That makes the Italy versus Albania tie, of which their

467
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 5: minus two to fifty favorites, a big one for Lucianos

468
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:46,520
Speaker 5: Ballet it least new manager. So he faces for me

469
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:49,360
Speaker 5: quitting uphill battle in terms of getting his nation set

470
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:51,400
Speaker 5: up at a major tournament and playing.

471
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 4: Exactly how we would like to.

472
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:56,080
Speaker 5: He's not had long there, He's got no international, major

473
00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:57,200
Speaker 5: tournament experience.

474
00:22:57,280 --> 00:22:59,000
Speaker 4: He's got a survey out of the back.

475
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:02,680
Speaker 5: Scalbini's out back they're starting back for won't be Italy's best,

476
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:05,119
Speaker 5: and I'm not too convinced house but he's going to

477
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:08,480
Speaker 5: go up top. I would start Scamacha. I think many

478
00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:11,639
Speaker 5: people would after a season he's had for Atlanta. But

479
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:14,359
Speaker 5: he's only got sixteen international cups for his country, and

480
00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:16,879
Speaker 5: that's spread out since twenty twenty one. He scored just

481
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:20,000
Speaker 5: one goal and he started just one game and six

482
00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:23,080
Speaker 5: appearances in the qualifiers. So you look through this Italy

483
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:25,800
Speaker 5: side and I'm not sure there are many you can

484
00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 5: say like a world class match, when is that gonna

485
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:33,120
Speaker 5: make something from nothing? Maybe Federico Kiezer at his absolute best,

486
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:35,560
Speaker 5: fits into that bracket and they'll need him at full

487
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:37,879
Speaker 5: foot or up top with Scamaka to get far at

488
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:41,000
Speaker 5: the Euros. But I still just think like Italy might

489
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,639
Speaker 5: struggle to edge in front here for large periods, and

490
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:46,879
Speaker 5: Albania will obviously be more than happy with draw, so

491
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:51,080
Speaker 5: that difference setup in itself might lead this selection home,

492
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:54,600
Speaker 5: especially like if you're not sold on Italy and forward

493
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:58,959
Speaker 5: areas a company in like an Albanian frontline or Albanian

494
00:23:59,040 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 5: forward areas which who currently stands as favorites to be

495
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,120
Speaker 5: the lowest score in nation at Euro twenty twenty four,

496
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,679
Speaker 5: And although they won their euroqualifying Group E, they did

497
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,280
Speaker 5: so by scoring twelve goals, which was less than every

498
00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 5: other nation who finished first and second in there in

499
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:16,879
Speaker 5: the other nine qualification groups.

500
00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:19,399
Speaker 4: So yeah, they're not blessed in for what areas.

501
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:23,800
Speaker 5: Brosier was out of qualifying, like BJ said, but just well,

502
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 5: it's I suppose it's natural to believe they'll probably struggle here,

503
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,359
Speaker 5: And like I said, yeah, if you're not sold a

504
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,640
Speaker 5: top on Italy's chances, then maybe you should probably lean

505
00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:34,119
Speaker 5: to an undersplay.

506
00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,960
Speaker 4: So under two point five minus one ten, Yeah, that's

507
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 4: I don't mind that.

508
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:41,280
Speaker 1: All right, that's Saturday done and dusted. We'll keep going

509
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:43,719
Speaker 1: through match by match. We'll also do our three leg

510
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 1: underdog parlay and then give out our favorite bet for

511
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:50,119
Speaker 1: the first leg of Group States matches. But before we

512
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,439
Speaker 1: get to all that, a reminder wonder goal is presented

513
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,520
Speaker 1: by Bet three six five, and Bet three six five

514
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:56,800
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515
00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:59,040
Speaker 1: them than anyone else. Every day they power up the

516
00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:00,680
Speaker 1: ads and hundreds of bets to give you a chance

517
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:04,119
Speaker 1: to win more. Bet three six five boost specific markets

518
00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:06,080
Speaker 1: your winnings and even parlays, and they don't stop there.

519
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,240
Speaker 1: Keep an eye out for their biggest and best odds

520
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:10,159
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521
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:12,480
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522
00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:16,920
Speaker 1: You must be twenty one or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

523
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:20,360
Speaker 1: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, or eighteen and older

524
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:22,080
Speaker 1: in Kentucky. And if you or anyone you know has

525
00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:24,959
Speaker 1: a gambling problem and wants help, please call one eight

526
00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:28,280
Speaker 1: hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms,

527
00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 1: conditions and restrictions apply. Okay Sunday morning, nine am Eastern

528
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:37,240
Speaker 1: Time two pm in England, we got Poland and the Netherlands.

529
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:41,720
Speaker 1: The Poles are plus four hundred underdogs the Netherlands minus

530
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:44,480
Speaker 1: one fifty four. The draw is three to one on

531
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 1: the three way line. I got nothing here. I am

532
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 1: rooting for the Netherlands. I have a future on them

533
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,920
Speaker 1: to win the whole tournament. But bj you think that

534
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 1: this could be a little trickier than maybe these odds imply.

535
00:25:57,359 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I'll just press this by saying I could

536
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:04,040
Speaker 3: be abs dead wrong, but I think Poland is getting

537
00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 3: a little undervalued in this tournament. So if we just

538
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:11,640
Speaker 3: go off of you know, even Poland at the World Cup,

539
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:15,399
Speaker 3: I mean, they got throttled by Argentina, but outside of

540
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:18,320
Speaker 3: that match, they really weren't that bad. They outplayed both

541
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 3: Mexico and Saudi Arabia. They get to the round of sixteen,

542
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:22,639
Speaker 3: and if you remember that round of sixteen match, they

543
00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 3: actually weren't that bad against France and they actually ended

544
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 3: up winning the expected goals battle despite losing. And you know,

545
00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:32,240
Speaker 3: Poland finished third in their qualifying group and they had

546
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 3: to go via the playoff. They beat Wales and penalties.

547
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:38,680
Speaker 3: But if you go back to what happened during qualifying,

548
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:42,040
Speaker 3: they hired Fernando Santo's former Portugal manager, at the beginning

549
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:45,920
Speaker 3: of qualifying and it was an absolute complete disaster and

550
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,959
Speaker 3: they had to fire him halfway through. They promoted their

551
00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:52,959
Speaker 3: U twenty one coach, Michael Probrace to the head head

552
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 3: spot and the performances just instantly got better. In five

553
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 3: qualifying matches in charge, he had a plus six point

554
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,400
Speaker 3: three expected goal to frenchal only allowed three point four

555
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:04,160
Speaker 3: expected goals. Poland will sit in a five to three

556
00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 3: to two. Nothing's really changed from the last World Cup,

557
00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:10,000
Speaker 3: but they're incredibly active in it and they're actually pretty good.

558
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:15,479
Speaker 3: During Euro qualifying they allowed the lowest cross completion rate,

559
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:17,960
Speaker 3: the lowest forward pass completion rate, and or even third

560
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 3: and pass per defensive action. So they don't just sit deep.

561
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:22,880
Speaker 3: They will sit in the mid block and they will

562
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:27,000
Speaker 3: give teams a lot of problems. The Netherlands, the concerns

563
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:28,960
Speaker 3: I have about them not really across the back line.

564
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 3: I think you can make an argument that the Netherlands

565
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:33,040
Speaker 3: as a as a group is one of the best

566
00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:36,159
Speaker 3: back lines in this entire tournament. But in terms of

567
00:27:36,320 --> 00:27:39,320
Speaker 3: build up, they drop way too many guys deep. It's

568
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:41,760
Speaker 3: sometimes seven eight guys trying to build through the first

569
00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:44,640
Speaker 3: two or three lines of pressure first or second lines

570
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:49,160
Speaker 3: of pressure, and then what happens with that is you're

571
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:52,400
Speaker 3: just leaving somebody like Wow, Waghorst or Memphis to pie

572
00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:54,560
Speaker 3: on an island up top, which I don't think at

573
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 3: this stage they're really capable of breaking a game. So

574
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:04,080
Speaker 3: I think this has the potential for being a very

575
00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:07,200
Speaker 3: slow type of match, very difficult one for the Netherlands

576
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:10,680
Speaker 3: to break through. So I generally think that the Dutch

577
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:13,639
Speaker 3: are just a tad over valued here. So I like

578
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 3: Polland plus one in the Asian market at minus one

579
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,639
Speaker 3: thirty five. I only projected the Dutch at minus one fifteen,

580
00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 3: or around fifty three fifty four percent. So I'm going

581
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,200
Speaker 3: to take a shot on Poland again. This could just

582
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,560
Speaker 3: you know, this is one of those cases where pulland

583
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:34,359
Speaker 3: falls behind. This could get really bad, really fast. But

584
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:36,639
Speaker 3: I just think the market's a little too high on

585
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:37,200
Speaker 3: the Netherlands.

586
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 1: Say, if you found a way to target Netherlands in

587
00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:43,480
Speaker 1: what do you think could be a good I guess

588
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:44,760
Speaker 1: a good way to get in on the favorite.

589
00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:47,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, I don't disagree with Beach. I do think the

590
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:52,080
Speaker 5: Netherlands are too small. I wouldn't take them on the

591
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 5: nose to win the game. Definitely not And if you've

592
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:57,680
Speaker 5: not listened to the Futures podcast that has come out

593
00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 5: earlier this week, then go and do that. In that podcast,

594
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,600
Speaker 5: Off put up the Polander's lowest scoring nation at plus

595
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 5: eight hundred and they're aside who started through the World

596
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 5: Cup and they needed playoffs to qualify for Germany. As

597
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 5: BJ said, I don't know if it's a selection that's

598
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:15,560
Speaker 5: going to get over the line. I don't think they're

599
00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:18,600
Speaker 5: going to take the unwanted crown, but I think it's

600
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:20,720
Speaker 5: a good enough price to get behind. And if you

601
00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:23,760
Speaker 5: think that Poland are probably going to struggle in front

602
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 5: of goal, then siding with unders in their group's a

603
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:30,840
Speaker 5: matches might be a way to enhance your prices, like

604
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 5: in a parlay for example.

605
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:35,680
Speaker 4: Like BJ said, one of the strongest defenses in the competition.

606
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 5: Ak van Dyke found event the bridge Botman's at home

607
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:39,640
Speaker 5: INJUREDY would have been involved too.

608
00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 4: It's unbelievable really in terms of our back line.

609
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:44,480
Speaker 5: And if they can formulate some kind of a plan

610
00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:47,800
Speaker 5: and performance level between them that locks down and isolates

611
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:52,200
Speaker 5: Robert Lewandowski and then they'll be left frustrated because there's

612
00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:55,600
Speaker 5: defensive nowts in abundance in that Dutch team. Do that

613
00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:59,640
Speaker 5: cut off Poland's main ghostcrewing threat and I think Netherlands

614
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,520
Speaker 5: should in the game at minus one fot four. Not

615
00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:06,840
Speaker 5: really interested in that, but yeah, coupling under five goals

616
00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:09,960
Speaker 5: with a Netherlands win on the bet builder parlay function

617
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:12,240
Speaker 5: on bet pre six five that gets us to near

618
00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 5: even money, which which could be a shout if you're

619
00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 5: rummaging around the markets trying to find something pro Dutch

620
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 5: to get behind for the opener. If you look at

621
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 5: and since the start of the World Cup as a

622
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 5: recent sample size the last sixteen games, which has had

623
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,840
Speaker 5: an average of two point five goal scored overall per

624
00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:34,280
Speaker 5: ninety in matches involved in Poland, they've only surpassed that

625
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:37,560
Speaker 5: over five goal line once. That was five on win

626
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 5: over Estonia and a three two win away in Moldova.

627
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:44,560
Speaker 5: Two nations, and I don't want to upset our Moldovan listeners,

628
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:48,520
Speaker 5: but two nations who would struggle to lace the Netherlands's boots.

629
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,880
Speaker 5: So will the Dutch run away with proceedings, I'm not

630
00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:55,120
Speaker 5: so sure. I don't think they will, but I certainly

631
00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 5: doubt that Poland's set up to encourage an end to

632
00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 5: end type of high score, an encounter if they can

633
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 5: help it. I think it'll be a low scoring game,

634
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 5: but I think Dutch how just about enough to edge it.

635
00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:09,800
Speaker 5: So the Netherlands and under five goes out minus one

636
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 5: of five.

637
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:14,120
Speaker 1: Speaking of rummaging around the market, I think that this

638
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,080
Speaker 1: next match, the twelve pm kickoff on Sunday between Slovenia

639
00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 1: and Denmark, which sees Slovenia as at plus four twenty five.

640
00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:22,840
Speaker 1: Underdog Denmark is odds on minus one thirty eight and

641
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 1: the draw plus two fifty. You'd really have to rummage

642
00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 1: to find something interesting here. I find this to be,

643
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,800
Speaker 1: in terms of betting from a betting perspective, the least

644
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 1: interesting of all the group stage matches. So I'm happy

645
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 1: to pass it. Looks like we all are bj but

646
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 1: I'll let you kind of just break it down if

647
00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:40,720
Speaker 1: you want, if you are a listener and trying to

648
00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:43,800
Speaker 1: find some way to sweat through this twelve pm kickoff.

649
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, so this is a rematch these two faced and

650
00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:50,840
Speaker 3: qualifying wwie. Denmark beat them at home and they drew

651
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:57,160
Speaker 3: one to one in Slovenia, but I expected goals. Denmark

652
00:31:57,280 --> 00:32:01,360
Speaker 3: kind of dominated them. It really you know, uh, Slovenia

653
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 3: wasn't even a cate be able to create over one

654
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 3: expected goal in either of the matchups. They were basically,

655
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:11,120
Speaker 3: you know, Michael, if you're if you're somebody who loves

656
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,920
Speaker 3: watching you know, Roy Hodgson ball, then the Slovenia team

657
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:16,680
Speaker 3: is for you, because it's like the most basic four

658
00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:19,440
Speaker 3: four two low block, Let's just play in transition, let's

659
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:22,280
Speaker 3: send long balls up there, let's rely on set pieces

660
00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 3: type of team in this entire tournament. And you know,

661
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 3: sometimes that can work, and they have a great striker

662
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:32,520
Speaker 3: in Cesco. But the Denmark did a really good job

663
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,480
Speaker 3: at both meetings that overloading the last line of defense.

664
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 3: They were coming out in a three one six build up.

665
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:41,719
Speaker 3: They were constantly pulling Slovenia out of position, beating them

666
00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 3: with crosses and everything like that. But I mean, the

667
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,480
Speaker 3: Denmark is sitting around minus one forty right now, which

668
00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 3: I think is generally just a little too high for

669
00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:54,000
Speaker 3: this Danish team that, you know, similar to other teams

670
00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 3: in this tournament, it's kind of just the same roster,

671
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:59,160
Speaker 3: except this roster is getting older and a lot of

672
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:01,840
Speaker 3: their best players aren't really playing at the top level anymore.

673
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:06,200
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm gonna pass on this one. Yeah, it

674
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 3: really does not look very interesting to me.

675
00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 1: Anything from you here, Sam, before we move on to

676
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:12,479
Speaker 1: a huge one on Sunday night.

677
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 5: Nothing at all. I had a good luck across all

678
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:17,720
Speaker 5: the markets. Don't like Denmark at that price. The go

679
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,840
Speaker 5: line is yeah, i'd ignore that too. So yeah, just

680
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:21,560
Speaker 5: just a pause.

681
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:26,440
Speaker 1: We're perfect, all right, three pm Eastern time, eight pm

682
00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 1: Eastern and Sunday. Look at that. They gave you guys

683
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:32,520
Speaker 1: a prime time kickoff for the tournament opener Serbia and England.

684
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 1: Serbia big underdog, and we all know England always takes

685
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:37,240
Speaker 1: care of business in these kinds of situations where they're

686
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:40,640
Speaker 1: a big favorite. There minus two twenty three. The draw

687
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:43,040
Speaker 1: is plus three seventy five. Sam. We'll turn it over

688
00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:46,800
Speaker 1: to you immediately, because, as we kind of alluded to

689
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:49,440
Speaker 1: earlier in the podcast, it was a friendly played. It

690
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:51,400
Speaker 1: was England's bogie team, so I think you could give

691
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 1: them an excuse when whenever Iceland and England meet, you don't.

692
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:56,640
Speaker 1: You don't want to get too hard and involve those

693
00:33:56,760 --> 00:34:00,360
Speaker 1: those those those Icelandic guys give you guys times problem.

694
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:01,880
Speaker 1: So I'm going to draw a line through it. But

695
00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:05,320
Speaker 1: I know that the country was eating itself alive after

696
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:05,640
Speaker 1: that one.

697
00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:08,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, Michael, the thing is like, I'm not too bothered

698
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:11,279
Speaker 5: about the result, but I actually didn't watch the game.

699
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:14,920
Speaker 5: I was at a wedding, thankfully, but I think of

700
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:18,600
Speaker 5: one shot on target in the ninety minutes, which well,

701
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 5: I think we were. I think we're trailing for seventy

702
00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:25,279
Speaker 5: five minutes or so, So that's it's unforgivable really in

703
00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:27,680
Speaker 5: a game before a major tournament. I know it's a friendly,

704
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:28,640
Speaker 5: but you want to see.

705
00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:32,360
Speaker 4: A little bit more. So that's a little off putting.

706
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:35,800
Speaker 5: I don't expect I expect you, you know, an upticking

707
00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:40,040
Speaker 5: performance of course in the opening game. However, in this

708
00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 5: betting game, we're governed by the prices, of course, and

709
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:47,680
Speaker 5: at that at that England price, I would side step that.

710
00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:48,759
Speaker 4: I'm not interested in it.

711
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:52,520
Speaker 5: And to overcome a minus one point two five Asian

712
00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:56,359
Speaker 5: handicap in the opening game of the tournament, I don't

713
00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:59,320
Speaker 5: know about that either, And I'm not sure in the

714
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,040
Speaker 5: goes Mark, I don't know if we're going to see

715
00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 5: a hot full of go so I don't know. I

716
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,040
Speaker 5: don't know what we're going to get from Serbia. They're

717
00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:08,120
Speaker 5: probably one of the trickiest teams to predict what we're

718
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 5: going to get from in this tournament as our England maybe,

719
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:14,239
Speaker 5: so I'm giving you a lot of I don't knows

720
00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:18,880
Speaker 5: and avoids and so that really maybe maybe maybe I

721
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:21,640
Speaker 5: should just pass. So I'll put pass down on our

722
00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:24,040
Speaker 5: little sheet here, and I'm just not confident at the

723
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 5: prices I'll probably I wouldn't be surprised of England run

724
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:30,920
Speaker 5: out winners and also big winners. And I also wouldn't

725
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:32,640
Speaker 5: be surprised if it was one new England or one

726
00:35:32,680 --> 00:35:35,239
Speaker 5: in Serbia. So just yeah, just let's us move on

727
00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:37,440
Speaker 5: to BJ Just forget about me, no idea.

728
00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:41,439
Speaker 3: It's uh, it's very difficult to predict, like you said

729
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:44,640
Speaker 3: saying what the Serbia team is going to do, because.

730
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:45,200
Speaker 1: That's why we love them.

731
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:49,920
Speaker 3: They're they're a big ball of chaos. You could see

732
00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:51,759
Speaker 3: them come out here and be like we're going to

733
00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:54,480
Speaker 3: press England, we're going to force the issue and we're

734
00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:55,840
Speaker 3: going to try to turn them over and we're just

735
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:57,920
Speaker 3: going to create this match to make it back and forth.

736
00:35:58,520 --> 00:35:59,880
Speaker 3: Or you can see kind of like what they did

737
00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:01,839
Speaker 3: against Brazil at the open to the World Cup where

738
00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:04,400
Speaker 3: they're just like, let's just sit back, let's try to defend,

739
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 3: and let's just try to see this one out. So

740
00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:09,040
Speaker 3: I don't really know what's going to happen. I was

741
00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:11,680
Speaker 3: potentially looking at playing England over one and a half

742
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:14,560
Speaker 3: goals just because of you know, the thing with Serbia

743
00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 3: is that they can get opened up so easily in

744
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 3: transition they're counterpressing. Really isn't that great. But again, I

745
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:23,360
Speaker 3: don't know if we're even going to try and do

746
00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:28,600
Speaker 3: that against England, so we'll see what happens. I'm wearing

747
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:31,080
Speaker 3: my England jersey for Sam here and Sam you don't

748
00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:33,200
Speaker 3: know this, but people have listened to this podcast long enough.

749
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:35,400
Speaker 3: I've been waving the red and white flag trying to

750
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:37,239
Speaker 3: tell everybody that England's the best team in the world

751
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 3: for three years now. So I'm I'm rooting for you guys.

752
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,080
Speaker 3: I truly am. I really want to see because they're

753
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:47,160
Speaker 3: finally pricing them I believe as they should be as

754
00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:49,880
Speaker 3: the favorites to win this tournament. So I think this

755
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,840
Speaker 3: thing can snowball on Serbia. So if you're somebody like

756
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:55,279
Speaker 3: I really want to play something in this match, I've

757
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:57,200
Speaker 3: chased in England minus two and a half or something

758
00:36:57,280 --> 00:36:58,759
Speaker 3: like that, because you know, you saw at the twenty

759
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,879
Speaker 3: twenty two World Cup England drew Iran in the first match.

760
00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:04,399
Speaker 3: Once the first goal went in, Iran couldn't just sit back,

761
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 3: they had to press, they had to force the issue

762
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:08,920
Speaker 3: and England just ran over them. And that can definitely

763
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:11,560
Speaker 3: happen here against Serbia. So if you want to chase something,

764
00:37:12,640 --> 00:37:15,440
Speaker 3: chase a big price on England I think is your

765
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:15,919
Speaker 3: best bet.

766
00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:18,719
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go the other way. I like Serbia here.

767
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:21,600
Speaker 1: I talked about them in the Futures episode at eighty

768
00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:23,600
Speaker 1: to one as a potential team that would at least

769
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:26,319
Speaker 1: outrun their odds and or give you a chance out

770
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:28,279
Speaker 1: run their odds. And it's like he just said this

771
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:33,279
Speaker 1: team and Sam too, like completely unpredictable. Look at their

772
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:37,280
Speaker 1: results from the World Cup in Qatar, right, really strong

773
00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:39,920
Speaker 1: effort against Brazil in a two nothing lost. That was

774
00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:42,960
Speaker 1: the game that it took the charliston that crazy goal

775
00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:46,600
Speaker 1: for Richarlison to get Brazil the lead and they were

776
00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:49,160
Speaker 1: able to see off Serbia from there. A three to

777
00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:52,120
Speaker 1: three draw against Cameroon, it would one of the craziest

778
00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:55,200
Speaker 1: games of the tournament and then a three to two

779
00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:59,560
Speaker 1: loss to Switzerland in a back and forth basketball style

780
00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:02,360
Speaker 1: match against a team that at least in a rivalry

781
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:07,680
Speaker 1: that has plenty of geopolitical tensions. So just an for

782
00:38:07,760 --> 00:38:10,000
Speaker 1: a team that only played three games and got eliminated

783
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:12,719
Speaker 1: in the group stage of the World Cup, Serbius still

784
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:15,600
Speaker 1: gave everybody their money's worth, and for my money, was

785
00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:17,319
Speaker 1: one of the teams of the tournament, just from an

786
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:19,840
Speaker 1: entertainment standpoint, and I don't think that that'll change. I

787
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:22,360
Speaker 1: think that this team is going to show up and

788
00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 1: if you're going to bet on them or you're going

789
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:25,200
Speaker 1: to bet against them, and you're going to be a

790
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:28,160
Speaker 1: completely different person than you were at the end of

791
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:30,279
Speaker 1: that bet than when you were at the start, because

792
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:32,320
Speaker 1: they will take you places. This team will take you places.

793
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:35,080
Speaker 1: And I think that's exactly what England don't want to

794
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:38,200
Speaker 1: run into in a first group stage match in a

795
00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 1: tournament where they have heaps and heaps of pressure on

796
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:43,359
Speaker 1: their shoulders as the favorite. I think if you could

797
00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:45,640
Speaker 1: have drew a team that would sit back and play

798
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:47,239
Speaker 1: a low block and England could kind of poke and

799
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:52,320
Speaker 1: prod and get that goal like Iran, right, that Iranian

800
00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:54,839
Speaker 1: team that's famously just was going to sit back under

801
00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:58,560
Speaker 1: Carlos Ciros and play that deep low block. I think

802
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 1: England would have much rather play against a team like that,

803
00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:03,279
Speaker 1: where they can at least know what to expect from

804
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 1: the other side. But this Serbia team, who knows one

805
00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:07,600
Speaker 1: thing you do know is that they're going to be physical.

806
00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:09,360
Speaker 1: They're going to try to bully you with their size,

807
00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:11,600
Speaker 1: and they're going to try to throw tons and tons

808
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:14,840
Speaker 1: of balls into the box for their strikers. So I

809
00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:17,160
Speaker 1: think Serbia is worth a shot here at five and

810
00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 1: a half to one plus five fifty, and we'll talk

811
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:24,239
Speaker 1: a little bit bit more about them later. But you know, Sam,

812
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:28,440
Speaker 1: for for year's sake, of course, Serbia win England. Still progress,

813
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:30,640
Speaker 1: That's what I'm rooming for here, because we want to

814
00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:33,239
Speaker 1: keep you, keep you as happy as can be for

815
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:37,000
Speaker 1: as long as we can on this podcast. That's Sunday

816
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:41,640
Speaker 1: wrapped up. Let's move to Monday and we'll talk about Romania.

817
00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:44,920
Speaker 1: If you've listened to the Futures episode, this is a

818
00:39:45,040 --> 00:39:48,239
Speaker 1: team that I'm going to look pretty foolish on, but

819
00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:50,680
Speaker 1: I love them. I'm going to keep back at them.

820
00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:54,440
Speaker 1: They're plus two seventy five against the Ukraine. Ukraine is

821
00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:56,480
Speaker 1: even money favorite on the three way line, and the

822
00:39:56,600 --> 00:39:59,840
Speaker 1: draw is plus two fifty. I guess I'm obligated to

823
00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:01,960
Speaker 1: to bet Romania after what I was talking about, and

824
00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:04,359
Speaker 1: I do think like that, Sam, you think the GAP's

825
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:06,640
Speaker 1: wide here, I think in a tournament setting in ninety minutes,

826
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:13,120
Speaker 1: that really shrinks the kind of true talent disparity, especially

827
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:14,759
Speaker 1: with if one team just wants to show up and

828
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:17,160
Speaker 1: make things as difficult as possible, which I do expect

829
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:19,920
Speaker 1: Romania to do here and try to just get anything

830
00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:22,520
Speaker 1: they can from this match and keep their hopes alive

831
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:25,920
Speaker 1: as best they can after match day one. So I

832
00:40:26,040 --> 00:40:29,000
Speaker 1: think Romania. I think a zero zero result here is

833
00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 1: also in the cards. I think that a bet at

834
00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:35,279
Speaker 1: a decent price on the game ten scoreless is fine,

835
00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:38,319
Speaker 1: But I want to say I love the prices. I'd

836
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:40,920
Speaker 1: rather just go down with Romania, the Romanian ship in

837
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:44,480
Speaker 1: the futures market. Sam, but you got anything for us here?

838
00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 4: Yeah?

839
00:40:45,080 --> 00:40:47,680
Speaker 5: I don't have a bet for you, and it's probably

840
00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:50,480
Speaker 5: not something that I should say on a betting podcast.

841
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:53,000
Speaker 4: For the Open and Round of Pictures that a major tournament.

842
00:40:53,080 --> 00:40:56,600
Speaker 5: But if I have any advice of people is if

843
00:40:56,640 --> 00:40:59,040
Speaker 5: you're not too sure about a matchup, if you're not

844
00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:02,799
Speaker 5: too sure about or two, then just don't take a bet.

845
00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:05,840
Speaker 4: So for the second and third round games.

846
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:09,600
Speaker 5: It's it's much easier to see where teams are out,

847
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:12,880
Speaker 5: where teams are at, how teams are going to approach things.

848
00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:16,200
Speaker 5: Let's say a team gets three points in the first

849
00:41:16,280 --> 00:41:18,120
Speaker 5: game and they can you know, they could maybe short

850
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:21,160
Speaker 5: set up to shorten their defense or something. In the

851
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:23,840
Speaker 5: next couple of games, It's much easier to predict and

852
00:41:24,239 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 5: much easier from a betting standpoint. So if you've got

853
00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:31,400
Speaker 5: something like Romania versus Ukraine, where even money, Ukraine interested

854
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:33,440
Speaker 5: me a little bit, but they're probably priced about right.

855
00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:38,759
Speaker 5: I'm not sure how Romania are gonna kind of enter

856
00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:40,760
Speaker 5: the tournament. I don't know how they're going to approach

857
00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:43,400
Speaker 5: this first game, and it's just it's just difficult for

858
00:41:43,520 --> 00:41:44,719
Speaker 5: me to pick something out.

859
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:45,879
Speaker 4: So I'm happy to pass.

860
00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 5: I'm happy to watch the game, see how both sides

861
00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:50,759
Speaker 5: set up, and see what we can do in the

862
00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:51,520
Speaker 5: match day two.

863
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:55,560
Speaker 3: Yeah. See, here's the thing about Ukraine that I forgot

864
00:41:55,640 --> 00:41:59,800
Speaker 3: to mention on the on the Future's episode. They obviously

865
00:41:59,880 --> 00:42:01,520
Speaker 3: have a lot of great talent on their team right there.

866
00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:04,000
Speaker 3: Front three, I think you can make the argument for

867
00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:06,640
Speaker 3: the teams that are fifty to one or longer, is

868
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 3: about as good as any of those teams. During Euro Qualifiers,

869
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:16,919
Speaker 3: they actually had a negative expectacle differential. They didn't create

870
00:42:16,960 --> 00:42:19,040
Speaker 3: over one expected goal against Bosny or Iceland, and the

871
00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 3: playoffs against Italy and England failed to create over one

872
00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:26,759
Speaker 3: expectable against them too. Again, they have a lot of talent,

873
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:30,240
Speaker 3: and there's no problem with betting on with betting on talent,

874
00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:35,360
Speaker 3: right But like Sam said, at even money given what

875
00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:37,680
Speaker 3: we've you know, for this Romania team, even though I'm

876
00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:39,360
Speaker 3: not a big fan of them, even money for a

877
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:42,920
Speaker 3: team that did not put up great metrics during qualifying

878
00:42:43,719 --> 00:42:46,279
Speaker 3: is generally a little concerning for anybody out there who

879
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:49,840
Speaker 3: wants to back Ukraine. Now, the talent might outweigh itself

880
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:51,719
Speaker 3: and they might, you know, be really really good and

881
00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:55,320
Speaker 3: find a way through, but when you have bad underlying numbers,

882
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:58,600
Speaker 3: that's always a red flag trying to bet a team

883
00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:00,600
Speaker 3: as a favorite. So it's a past for me as well,

884
00:43:00,880 --> 00:43:03,279
Speaker 3: and I think Sam is definitely right that at these

885
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:06,719
Speaker 3: international tournaments, especially after we get through these first round

886
00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 3: of patches, there's gonna be a lot of overreaction to

887
00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:13,400
Speaker 3: what happens in certain matches, So generally betting against that

888
00:43:13,480 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 3: type of voter overreaction because you know, some teams might

889
00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:19,959
Speaker 3: win and they you know, lose the expected goals battle

890
00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 3: pretty badly or whatever it might be. But betting against

891
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:26,000
Speaker 3: overreactions generally is pretty good at these international tournaments. So again,

892
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,120
Speaker 3: if you don't like something, like Sam said, just sit

893
00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:30,200
Speaker 3: it out, watch the team, get a good feel for them,

894
00:43:30,320 --> 00:43:32,480
Speaker 3: and then come back from the second and third round matches.

895
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:35,120
Speaker 1: That's a nine am kickoff, so we moved to noon

896
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:41,080
Speaker 1: on Monday, five pm in British summertime. It's Belgium and Slovakia.

897
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:43,880
Speaker 1: This is also a Group E along with Romania and

898
00:43:44,520 --> 00:43:48,080
Speaker 1: the Ukraine. As you can imagine, Belgium is a prohibitive

899
00:43:48,080 --> 00:43:50,359
Speaker 1: favorite here on the three way line minus two twenty five,

900
00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 1: Slovakia six to one if you fancy them for a win,

901
00:43:54,080 --> 00:43:57,279
Speaker 1: and the jaw is plus three point fifty. I got

902
00:43:57,360 --> 00:43:59,480
Speaker 1: nothing here, bjayear passing as well, Sam, though you do

903
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 1: think they're there is one bet to keep an eye out.

904
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:04,520
Speaker 5: For Yeah, just following on from what BJ was saying

905
00:44:04,560 --> 00:44:09,759
Speaker 5: about Ukraine at evens Belgium at the price there are

906
00:44:10,760 --> 00:44:13,920
Speaker 5: minus to to too on an opening game of a

907
00:44:14,000 --> 00:44:16,800
Speaker 5: major tournament, and I'm just I'm not sold on that.

908
00:44:16,880 --> 00:44:20,040
Speaker 5: I'd rather stay away from that. However, when the market's alive,

909
00:44:20,520 --> 00:44:23,240
Speaker 5: obviously there's been a lot of talk about Romolu Lukaku

910
00:44:23,320 --> 00:44:25,960
Speaker 5: and his his domestic futures up in the air in

911
00:44:25,960 --> 00:44:27,480
Speaker 5: the summer. He's got a lot to play for and

912
00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:29,200
Speaker 5: I think he's going to get a lot of chances.

913
00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:33,920
Speaker 5: So if he opens at anything around even money, then

914
00:44:34,120 --> 00:44:37,000
Speaker 5: I'd probably rather take maybe a player props angle on

915
00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:40,200
Speaker 5: him to find and that over a Belgium win or

916
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:42,520
Speaker 5: over any kind of parlay. That's probably how i'd look.

917
00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:44,840
Speaker 5: But in terms of the market's available now, it's a

918
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:45,440
Speaker 5: pass from me.

919
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:49,719
Speaker 1: Yep that brings us to the three pm kickoff eight

920
00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:53,480
Speaker 1: pm over in England. It's a doozy. This is a

921
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:55,880
Speaker 1: great matchup. I think it's I think this has potential

922
00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:59,160
Speaker 1: to be the tie of the round. Austria is five

923
00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:01,920
Speaker 1: to one on the three way line against France, who

924
00:45:01,920 --> 00:45:04,399
Speaker 1: are minus two hundred, and the draw here is plus

925
00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:08,360
Speaker 1: three fifty. You're talking about Belgium at being you know,

926
00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:10,680
Speaker 1: minus two twenty five and that price being a little

927
00:45:10,719 --> 00:45:14,200
Speaker 1: off putting. I think France against a dangerous Austrian side

928
00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:16,640
Speaker 1: at minus two hundred is there as well. We all

929
00:45:16,760 --> 00:45:18,480
Speaker 1: like this that this French team, we all know that

930
00:45:18,520 --> 00:45:21,440
Speaker 1: they're very good and should be one of the teams

931
00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:24,240
Speaker 1: still making noise as we get deeper into the tournament.

932
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:28,800
Speaker 1: But that's still considering. That still doesn't mean they're just

933
00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:30,840
Speaker 1: gonna walk over this Austrian team. Then you add in

934
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:34,960
Speaker 1: the volatility of it being the opening match of a

935
00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:39,040
Speaker 1: major tournament. I think that this the more and more

936
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:40,640
Speaker 1: I think about it, the more and more I think

937
00:45:40,680 --> 00:45:43,319
Speaker 1: this could be a French The French could be an

938
00:45:43,400 --> 00:45:48,040
Speaker 1: upset alert against these Austrians BJ. So I'm gonna see.

939
00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:49,560
Speaker 1: I think that I want to be shocked that this

940
00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:51,480
Speaker 1: line moves a little bit more towards France as we

941
00:45:51,520 --> 00:45:54,799
Speaker 1: get closer and the money piles in. But I think

942
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:57,360
Speaker 1: I'll end up being on the Austrian money line, and

943
00:45:57,480 --> 00:45:59,200
Speaker 1: you're gonna come with me in one way or another.

944
00:45:59,520 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, Like Austria on the Asian spread plus one, you

945
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:05,640
Speaker 3: cane get around plus one ten so I think there's

946
00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:09,879
Speaker 3: from watching France all these years, I think there's two

947
00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:12,920
Speaker 3: different ways that they are potentially beatable. You can go

948
00:46:13,160 --> 00:46:16,920
Speaker 3: the England Argentina route at the World Cup, try to

949
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:19,239
Speaker 3: control the match, try to pin them inside the final

950
00:46:19,320 --> 00:46:22,000
Speaker 3: third and do it that way, which you know, I

951
00:46:22,080 --> 00:46:24,279
Speaker 3: think England had success against France. Know they lost, but

952
00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:27,000
Speaker 3: you know they generally I think outplayed Sprance in that match.

953
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:29,320
Speaker 3: And then the same thing with Argentina. They were dominating

954
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:32,000
Speaker 3: that match the first seventy minutes. And then what tends

955
00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:33,759
Speaker 3: to happen with this French team because they have so

956
00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:36,160
Speaker 3: much firepower, is they can just blitz you in an

957
00:46:36,200 --> 00:46:38,560
Speaker 3: instant and then suddenly it's two two and three three.

958
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:43,239
Speaker 3: But the other route, which I don't think a team

959
00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:45,880
Speaker 3: has really been set up to do against France, because

960
00:46:46,120 --> 00:46:48,440
Speaker 3: France is a unique team where they they want to

961
00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:50,920
Speaker 3: get in transition, like they want to send Inmbape into

962
00:46:50,960 --> 00:46:53,360
Speaker 3: Bele and release them and try to get balls in

963
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:56,960
Speaker 3: over the top and utilize them in their best possible way.

964
00:46:58,800 --> 00:47:01,160
Speaker 3: For a team to actually play mid block and to

965
00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:03,680
Speaker 3: press France and to force those long balls up to

966
00:47:03,719 --> 00:47:07,680
Speaker 3: a Tim Bailey and Ambape because not only is Austria.

967
00:47:07,719 --> 00:47:09,120
Speaker 3: Like we said in the preview pod, they're one of

968
00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:12,680
Speaker 3: the best mid block teams in this entire tournament, number

969
00:47:12,680 --> 00:47:15,240
Speaker 3: one and do a win rate, But they also allowed

970
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:18,439
Speaker 3: the third lowest long ball completion rates. So if they're

971
00:47:18,440 --> 00:47:19,799
Speaker 3: going to press out of that mid block, and now

972
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:21,600
Speaker 3: I don't think they're going to press like crazy. Ragnik's

973
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:23,680
Speaker 3: are really good coach, so he's probably gonna have them

974
00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:25,799
Speaker 3: sitting back a little bit, but he's gonna want them

975
00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:28,320
Speaker 3: to force those long balls up there. And Austria is

976
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:31,040
Speaker 3: very well capable of winning those second balls and winning

977
00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:33,280
Speaker 3: those duels in the middle of a pitch and causing

978
00:47:33,400 --> 00:47:35,759
Speaker 3: France a lot of problems on the flip side of it.

979
00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:39,080
Speaker 3: So when Austria is hopefully able to create those transition opportunities,

980
00:47:39,520 --> 00:47:40,920
Speaker 3: they like to get the ball out wide and they

981
00:47:41,000 --> 00:47:44,800
Speaker 3: like to swing and crosses. France allowed the highest cross

982
00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:47,239
Speaker 3: completion rate of anybody in qualifying. If you know the

983
00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:49,560
Speaker 3: group that we're in, it really wasn't that difficult of

984
00:47:49,560 --> 00:47:51,560
Speaker 3: a group. I know they didn't face many crosses, but

985
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:53,879
Speaker 3: allowing a very high percentage for them to get into

986
00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:56,560
Speaker 3: the penalty area is a little concerning and Austria has

987
00:47:56,600 --> 00:47:59,919
Speaker 3: a couple of great aerial winners in the middle. France also,

988
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,520
Speaker 3: I had the second lowest defensive dual win rate, not

989
00:48:02,680 --> 00:48:05,239
Speaker 3: really good at winning the ball inside their own final third.

990
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:09,600
Speaker 3: So I think Austria from a physicality standpoint, can win

991
00:48:09,680 --> 00:48:11,160
Speaker 3: a lot of those balls in the middle of the pitch,

992
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:13,400
Speaker 3: win a lot of fifty fifty balls and give themselves

993
00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:17,000
Speaker 3: a better opportunity of winning this match. Now, as is

994
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:20,480
Speaker 3: the case of betting against France or you know, is

995
00:48:20,560 --> 00:48:22,600
Speaker 3: that there's this certain guy that can wreck the game

996
00:48:22,640 --> 00:48:26,000
Speaker 3: at any moment, right, That's that, and that usually tends

997
00:48:26,080 --> 00:48:27,880
Speaker 3: to lead them to be a little overvalued, which I

998
00:48:27,960 --> 00:48:30,800
Speaker 3: truly believe they are in this first match. So I

999
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:33,279
Speaker 3: only have France projected at minus one fifty one or

1000
00:48:33,280 --> 00:48:36,799
Speaker 3: around sixty percent, where like you said, Michael, they're going

1001
00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:39,840
Speaker 3: to to minus two twenty five, So I like Austria

1002
00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:42,680
Speaker 3: plus one at plus one ten. I generally think that

1003
00:48:42,719 --> 00:48:45,160
Speaker 3: they are set up to give France a lot of

1004
00:48:45,239 --> 00:48:47,719
Speaker 3: problems in this first match, similarly to how Switzerland gave

1005
00:48:47,800 --> 00:48:49,920
Speaker 3: France problems in the Round of sixteen the last years.

1006
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:51,279
Speaker 1: Anything from you here.

1007
00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:54,240
Speaker 5: Stan, nothing in terms of an ful I'm not putting

1008
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:58,759
Speaker 5: any bets up past. I think it was Sunday, but yeah, no,

1009
00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:03,399
Speaker 5: I'll completely agree. This feels to me like this could

1010
00:49:03,480 --> 00:49:08,360
Speaker 5: be trouble for France opening opening game at major tournament.

1011
00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:13,160
Speaker 5: Was it minus two hundred for a France win. I'd

1012
00:49:13,200 --> 00:49:15,279
Speaker 5: be staying away from that. And I'm not brave enough

1013
00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:19,200
Speaker 5: to back Austria at five to one against France and

1014
00:49:19,520 --> 00:49:23,000
Speaker 5: who they're going to turn up with, Like PJ said, Yeah,

1015
00:49:23,200 --> 00:49:24,279
Speaker 5: just it's a pass for me.

1016
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:26,960
Speaker 1: I think fair enough. That brings us to our last

1017
00:49:26,960 --> 00:49:31,080
Speaker 1: two matches twelve pm Eastern Time kickoff on Tuesday, Turkey

1018
00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:34,920
Speaker 1: and Georgia. Georgia is I think it'll be a darling

1019
00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:38,040
Speaker 1: just in terms of rooting interest. I'm not saying that

1020
00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:41,080
Speaker 1: people will be looking to bet them, but it's good

1021
00:49:41,080 --> 00:49:43,759
Speaker 1: to have them in an international, major international tournament, and

1022
00:49:43,840 --> 00:49:45,920
Speaker 1: they do you have to say, at least get a

1023
00:49:46,960 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 1: round or group stage, round one matchup against a beatable opponent,

1024
00:49:51,080 --> 00:49:55,680
Speaker 1: not a one of the tournament favorites. Turkey, who could

1025
00:49:55,800 --> 00:49:58,000
Speaker 1: I guess you could call him a post hype sleeper

1026
00:49:58,040 --> 00:50:00,919
Speaker 1: a bit they I got caught up in the dark

1027
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:04,800
Speaker 1: horse hype around this team for Yuro twenty twenty. That

1028
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:07,120
Speaker 1: was playing in twenty twenty one. I looked like an

1029
00:50:07,160 --> 00:50:09,360
Speaker 1: idiot on it. It was right as this podcast started.

1030
00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:12,440
Speaker 1: So luckily we were able to recover from that as

1031
00:50:12,480 --> 00:50:15,520
Speaker 1: a podcast and we were able to drag me out

1032
00:50:15,560 --> 00:50:18,520
Speaker 1: and keep it going and successful. But they are minus

1033
00:50:18,560 --> 00:50:22,600
Speaker 1: one thirty four, the Turks are against Georgia, plus three

1034
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:25,399
Speaker 1: seventy five for them, and the jaw here is plus

1035
00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:28,319
Speaker 1: two sixty. I don't have anything here, Bja. You are

1036
00:50:28,480 --> 00:50:31,399
Speaker 1: looking at Turkey. I would say that the price looks

1037
00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:34,600
Speaker 1: pretty appealing there because this Georgia team could end up

1038
00:50:34,640 --> 00:50:37,239
Speaker 1: being just way way out of their depths and even

1039
00:50:37,239 --> 00:50:39,759
Speaker 1: a team like Turkey could provide a step too far

1040
00:50:39,840 --> 00:50:40,080
Speaker 1: for them.

1041
00:50:41,080 --> 00:50:44,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this is a little too low on

1042
00:50:44,960 --> 00:50:49,480
Speaker 3: Turkey here. So as far as Georgia is concerned, you know,

1043
00:50:49,560 --> 00:50:53,920
Speaker 3: they got here via the playoff by beating Luxembourg and Greece.

1044
00:50:54,800 --> 00:50:57,560
Speaker 3: They were generally pretty bad in qualifying if you remember,

1045
00:50:57,600 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 3: they finished fourth in their group behind Scotland and Norway.

1046
00:51:01,640 --> 00:51:04,080
Speaker 3: They only won two matches and we're conceding over to

1047
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:07,200
Speaker 3: expected goals per ninety minutes. So even though they play

1048
00:51:07,520 --> 00:51:10,560
Speaker 3: a very compact five to three to two defensive block.

1049
00:51:11,080 --> 00:51:13,800
Speaker 3: There is no talent across their back line. They have

1050
00:51:13,880 --> 00:51:16,440
Speaker 3: a good goalkeeper, but outside of that, I mean, you

1051
00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:18,640
Speaker 3: can be a good goalkeeper, but if you're constantly facing

1052
00:51:18,719 --> 00:51:21,160
Speaker 3: just a barrage of shots because your defense sucks, it

1053
00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:24,839
Speaker 3: can turn you into a pretty bad goalkeeper. As far

1054
00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:28,359
Speaker 3: as Turkey is concerned, they made a switch halfway through

1055
00:51:28,440 --> 00:51:31,560
Speaker 3: qualifying Montela, who has been managing all throughout Italy and

1056
00:51:31,640 --> 00:51:33,400
Speaker 3: managed a couple of teams in or at least one

1057
00:51:33,440 --> 00:51:37,280
Speaker 3: team in Turkey, reformance has got really better. They beat Croatia.

1058
00:51:37,280 --> 00:51:40,640
Speaker 3: At Croatia and his three qualifying matches in charge, they

1059
00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:43,719
Speaker 3: created five they created a little over five expected goals.

1060
00:51:43,760 --> 00:51:47,600
Speaker 3: They beat Chermany in a friendly three to two. I

1061
00:51:47,800 --> 00:51:52,120
Speaker 3: love his in possession system. It's very fluid. It's generally

1062
00:51:52,200 --> 00:51:56,080
Speaker 3: looking for quick passes, trying to get transition moments going forward,

1063
00:51:56,760 --> 00:51:58,759
Speaker 3: which can be very good when you're playing a very

1064
00:51:59,040 --> 00:52:01,920
Speaker 3: passive low block or excuse me. Georgia is the most

1065
00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:04,279
Speaker 3: passive team this entire tournament had the highest pass per

1066
00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:08,520
Speaker 3: defensive action by a pretty wide margin. And Turkey, although

1067
00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:12,200
Speaker 3: they don't have an established striker, they're kind of going

1068
00:52:12,400 --> 00:52:15,520
Speaker 3: from this age of like you know, the guys we

1069
00:52:15,600 --> 00:52:17,480
Speaker 3: knew from Turkey from a long time, and now the

1070
00:52:17,600 --> 00:52:21,040
Speaker 3: young stars who are eighteen, nineteen, twenty years old are

1071
00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:23,080
Speaker 3: making the national team in a start to announce them,

1072
00:52:23,160 --> 00:52:26,480
Speaker 3: Guys like Arda Huler who plays for Real Madrid. Youdz

1073
00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:30,080
Speaker 3: who plays for Juventus, is an outstanding left winger who

1074
00:52:30,080 --> 00:52:32,880
Speaker 3: can beat guys in one v one situations, create his

1075
00:52:32,920 --> 00:52:35,120
Speaker 3: own shot, create cutbacks, so he's going to be a

1076
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:38,480
Speaker 3: big problem for George's defense. And then they obviously have

1077
00:52:39,719 --> 00:52:42,600
Speaker 3: great midfielders as well, good ball dressers in there. So

1078
00:52:43,640 --> 00:52:45,799
Speaker 3: I mean I projected Turkey at minus one ninety six,

1079
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:48,680
Speaker 3: which I you know, I was like, oh my gosh,

1080
00:52:48,680 --> 00:52:50,680
Speaker 3: I'm a little high on this comparatively the market. But

1081
00:52:51,080 --> 00:52:53,000
Speaker 3: I think the market is giving Georgia just a little

1082
00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:57,320
Speaker 3: bit too much credit. Kabar Scalia is obviously an amazing attacker,

1083
00:52:57,880 --> 00:53:00,239
Speaker 3: but he's a He's a much better attacker for team

1084
00:53:00,280 --> 00:53:03,680
Speaker 3: like Napoli that has players everywhere littered where he can

1085
00:53:03,719 --> 00:53:05,759
Speaker 3: actually be in one v ones. Now he's going to

1086
00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:08,000
Speaker 3: be playing as one of the two strikers and he's

1087
00:53:08,080 --> 00:53:10,160
Speaker 3: generally just gonna be having to deal with long balls

1088
00:53:10,160 --> 00:53:13,200
Speaker 3: over the top, which I'm not sure that he's that's

1089
00:53:13,400 --> 00:53:17,960
Speaker 3: optimal for his skill sets, so I think Turkey's just

1090
00:53:18,520 --> 00:53:19,919
Speaker 3: far too low. I think this is a really short

1091
00:53:19,960 --> 00:53:22,279
Speaker 3: price on a really good team, so I like them

1092
00:53:22,320 --> 00:53:23,279
Speaker 3: at minus one twenty five.

1093
00:53:23,640 --> 00:53:26,920
Speaker 1: Okay, that brings us to the Tuesday three pm Eastern

1094
00:53:27,000 --> 00:53:30,640
Speaker 1: time kickoff between Portugal and the Czech Republic or Chechia.

1095
00:53:31,160 --> 00:53:35,000
Speaker 1: Portugal minus two hundred the Czech Republic plus five to

1096
00:53:35,040 --> 00:53:36,759
Speaker 1: fifty at the draw here is plus three twenty BJA.

1097
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:38,520
Speaker 1: I'm with you one hundred percent here. I think that

1098
00:53:38,640 --> 00:53:42,239
Speaker 1: this price like there's a lot there. You can make

1099
00:53:42,280 --> 00:53:45,360
Speaker 1: a really good argument that Portugal is one of the

1100
00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:48,440
Speaker 1: two or three most talented teams in this tournament, and

1101
00:53:48,520 --> 00:53:51,080
Speaker 1: they have one of perhaps the highest ceiling in this tournament.

1102
00:53:52,000 --> 00:53:54,640
Speaker 1: They could just run rampant. But the other side of

1103
00:53:54,680 --> 00:53:58,040
Speaker 1: the equation here is that you could see this going

1104
00:53:58,239 --> 00:54:01,400
Speaker 1: in the exact opposite direction, especially because of of who

1105
00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:05,680
Speaker 1: their manager is. So I think the checks look a

1106
00:54:05,719 --> 00:54:07,880
Speaker 1: really good price to pull the upset here. Better than

1107
00:54:07,920 --> 00:54:10,800
Speaker 1: five to one plus five fifty go into it.

1108
00:54:11,239 --> 00:54:14,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love the checks here because the thing with

1109
00:54:15,160 --> 00:54:18,239
Speaker 3: and I mentioned this during the preview pod, But Portugal

1110
00:54:18,520 --> 00:54:20,799
Speaker 3: if you look at them. You know, on paper they're

1111
00:54:20,840 --> 00:54:23,279
Speaker 3: the best team ever. During qualifime, Ray thirty eight goals

1112
00:54:23,320 --> 00:54:26,760
Speaker 3: for two against, but they were largely untested and faced

1113
00:54:26,800 --> 00:54:29,160
Speaker 3: a lot of teams that applied no ball pressure. So

1114
00:54:29,200 --> 00:54:30,799
Speaker 3: if you're not good, if you're not gonna apply ball

1115
00:54:30,840 --> 00:54:33,920
Speaker 3: pressure to all of these amazing you know passers and

1116
00:54:33,920 --> 00:54:36,359
Speaker 3: ball progressors that they have, like yeah, of course they're

1117
00:54:36,360 --> 00:54:38,400
Speaker 3: gonna rip you apart. And often do we see that

1118
00:54:38,480 --> 00:54:41,560
Speaker 3: with Belgium too, Like with exact close tournaments, like I know,

1119
00:54:41,760 --> 00:54:46,000
Speaker 3: they just go crazy in the group's, the exact groups exactly.

1120
00:54:46,120 --> 00:54:48,200
Speaker 3: The checker public, I would say, is probably the most

1121
00:54:48,239 --> 00:54:50,880
Speaker 3: aggressive out a possession team in this entire tournament. They

1122
00:54:51,040 --> 00:54:55,200
Speaker 3: led Euro Qualifiers in high recoveries, they were second and

1123
00:54:55,360 --> 00:54:58,960
Speaker 3: forward pass completion rate allowed. They're gonna man mark, they

1124
00:54:59,000 --> 00:55:01,080
Speaker 3: are going to press, they're gonna use their physicality, and

1125
00:55:01,120 --> 00:55:03,440
Speaker 3: they're gonna cost Portragal a lot of problems because I

1126
00:55:03,520 --> 00:55:06,480
Speaker 3: think Portugal has a dilemma or Robert martinezys a dilemma

1127
00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:08,520
Speaker 3: of what he's actually gonna choose in terms of his

1128
00:55:08,600 --> 00:55:13,920
Speaker 3: midfield because they have Jio Polina, who is probably, for

1129
00:55:14,040 --> 00:55:15,759
Speaker 3: my money, one of the best ball stoppers in the

1130
00:55:15,800 --> 00:55:18,440
Speaker 3: Premier League, but he's not press resistant and he's not

1131
00:55:18,560 --> 00:55:21,400
Speaker 3: great in build up. They have Viatimya, who is a

1132
00:55:21,560 --> 00:55:24,759
Speaker 3: great deep lying playmaker, somebody who can control the ball

1133
00:55:24,800 --> 00:55:26,560
Speaker 3: in the back line and help you through a build up.

1134
00:55:27,400 --> 00:55:30,080
Speaker 3: Or they also have this young kid, Gile Nebs from Benfica.

1135
00:55:30,800 --> 00:55:33,760
Speaker 3: He's also a great ball progressor a great deep lying playmaker.

1136
00:55:33,840 --> 00:55:38,359
Speaker 3: But again, Patina and Neves aren't great ball winners. They

1137
00:55:38,400 --> 00:55:40,880
Speaker 3: aren't great at ball stopping. So you have a dilemma

1138
00:55:40,960 --> 00:55:43,000
Speaker 3: here of who do you play in the midfield. If

1139
00:55:43,040 --> 00:55:44,800
Speaker 3: you play Paulina and you face a team like the

1140
00:55:44,840 --> 00:55:47,799
Speaker 3: Czech Public that's gonna press you like relentlessly, you're gonna

1141
00:55:47,840 --> 00:55:51,200
Speaker 3: leave yourself vulnerable to turnovers. If you play Viatina and Neves,

1142
00:55:51,480 --> 00:55:53,279
Speaker 3: well then you lose ball stopping for a team that's

1143
00:55:53,280 --> 00:55:55,600
Speaker 3: gonna play in transition. So I think Robert Martinez this

1144
00:55:55,760 --> 00:55:59,279
Speaker 3: kind of stuck here of what he decides to choose,

1145
00:55:59,480 --> 00:56:01,520
Speaker 3: because again, and they didn't anybody that pressed them, so

1146
00:56:01,640 --> 00:56:05,000
Speaker 3: it never really was an issue during qualifying. The Czech Republic.

1147
00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:07,480
Speaker 3: Not only do they press a lot, they send in

1148
00:56:07,520 --> 00:56:09,560
Speaker 3: a lot of crosses and they are a really good

1149
00:56:09,640 --> 00:56:13,480
Speaker 3: set piece team. Portugal allowed the fifth most shots per

1150
00:56:13,560 --> 00:56:17,040
Speaker 3: set piece in qualifying, the Czech public average one point

1151
00:56:17,080 --> 00:56:19,400
Speaker 3: nine expected goals for ninety minutes. They're very good in transition,

1152
00:56:19,440 --> 00:56:21,560
Speaker 3: like I said, very good acrosses, and they did all

1153
00:56:21,600 --> 00:56:24,319
Speaker 3: of that without their star treker Patrick Shick, who did

1154
00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:27,160
Speaker 3: not play a single minute. So I think this match

1155
00:56:27,200 --> 00:56:29,520
Speaker 3: sets up really, really well for the Czech Republic. I

1156
00:56:29,560 --> 00:56:33,120
Speaker 3: think they're an incredibly live underdog here against Portugal team

1157
00:56:33,600 --> 00:56:36,440
Speaker 3: you mentioned Sam also just lost a friendly to Croatia,

1158
00:56:36,719 --> 00:56:39,120
Speaker 3: who's another very good defensive team that can apply a

1159
00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:42,560
Speaker 3: lot of ball pressure. So we'll see what this Portugal

1160
00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:45,640
Speaker 3: team looks like. Bernaldo is not in the form that

1161
00:56:45,680 --> 00:56:48,000
Speaker 3: he once was, you know, playing in the Saudi Pro

1162
00:56:48,080 --> 00:56:49,960
Speaker 3: League even through qualifying, you know, he was getting the

1163
00:56:50,000 --> 00:56:54,680
Speaker 3: most shots per ninety and still tended to struggle. So

1164
00:56:55,760 --> 00:56:58,360
Speaker 3: I don't think Portugal is ready for this. Quite frankly,

1165
00:56:58,400 --> 00:56:59,719
Speaker 3: I don't think they're ready for a team that's going

1166
00:56:59,760 --> 00:57:01,799
Speaker 3: to play the ball pressure that check public is going

1167
00:57:01,880 --> 00:57:04,799
Speaker 3: to So I love the checks on the Asian line

1168
00:57:04,840 --> 00:57:07,799
Speaker 3: plus one minus one two. I only projected Portugal at

1169
00:57:07,800 --> 00:57:10,120
Speaker 3: minus one thirty two around you know, fifty six percent

1170
00:57:10,480 --> 00:57:14,640
Speaker 3: or so, so love love, love the checks here Sam.

1171
00:57:15,239 --> 00:57:17,160
Speaker 4: For me, it's a boring one again.

1172
00:57:17,240 --> 00:57:19,720
Speaker 5: But this fits into the same mold as France to

1173
00:57:19,760 --> 00:57:22,920
Speaker 5: beat Austria, Belgian to beat Slovakia, England to beat Serbia,

1174
00:57:22,960 --> 00:57:25,560
Speaker 5: all around the same price minus two hundred, and there's

1175
00:57:25,640 --> 00:57:28,840
Speaker 5: no chance on taking that for Portugal here. Like everything

1176
00:57:28,960 --> 00:57:32,680
Speaker 5: that you guys have said makes Czech republica a pretty

1177
00:57:33,160 --> 00:57:36,120
Speaker 5: sticky opponent for Portugal, and at the prices, it's one

1178
00:57:36,160 --> 00:57:39,920
Speaker 5: on twelve and also again Check Republic at that price

1179
00:57:40,080 --> 00:57:42,280
Speaker 5: is one. I'm just not brave enough to take, to

1180
00:57:42,360 --> 00:57:44,919
Speaker 5: be honest, with what we have in this Portugal team,

1181
00:57:45,040 --> 00:57:47,200
Speaker 5: because we know if they all turn up and all

1182
00:57:47,280 --> 00:57:50,240
Speaker 5: clicks at this tournament, then they can go very very far,

1183
00:57:50,440 --> 00:57:52,520
Speaker 5: especially with the likely draw that they've got in front

1184
00:57:52,520 --> 00:57:55,880
Speaker 5: of them. So Portugal could click. But at the prices,

1185
00:57:56,160 --> 00:57:57,720
Speaker 5: I'm just not willing to take that risk.

1186
00:57:58,160 --> 00:58:01,160
Speaker 1: Okay, that wraps up the match, my match segment. We'll

1187
00:58:01,160 --> 00:58:03,760
Speaker 1: go on to our final two portions of the show.

1188
00:58:04,600 --> 00:58:06,880
Speaker 1: This is first up will be our underdog parlay, where

1189
00:58:06,880 --> 00:58:08,280
Speaker 1: each one of us will give out a pick that

1190
00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:11,280
Speaker 1: is at least two to one or longer, so plus

1191
00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:12,919
Speaker 1: two hundred or longer. If you're new to the show,

1192
00:58:13,360 --> 00:58:15,840
Speaker 1: what we do is we will give out these three legs.

1193
00:58:15,880 --> 00:58:18,240
Speaker 1: You can play them however you want. We usually just

1194
00:58:18,320 --> 00:58:20,120
Speaker 1: tend to sprinkle a little bit of money on the

1195
00:58:20,200 --> 00:58:23,360
Speaker 1: three leg parlay. We've hit one in our three years

1196
00:58:23,360 --> 00:58:26,760
Speaker 1: as a podcast. It came out as two hundred and

1197
00:58:27,120 --> 00:58:28,960
Speaker 1: one to one or two hundred ten to one. It

1198
00:58:29,120 --> 00:58:32,240
Speaker 1: was when Brentford Sam beat Man City I think it

1199
00:58:32,280 --> 00:58:35,680
Speaker 1: was City losing notting a Forest, then beat Crystal Palace

1200
00:58:36,280 --> 00:58:38,920
Speaker 1: and was at glod Bach the pod.

1201
00:58:39,000 --> 00:58:41,080
Speaker 3: I will say for everybody out there, maybe new listeners

1202
00:58:41,160 --> 00:58:44,240
Speaker 3: we did this is a very painful segment for us.

1203
00:58:44,800 --> 00:58:46,640
Speaker 3: I think we hit two of three, what eight or

1204
00:58:46,720 --> 00:58:47,720
Speaker 3: nine times last year.

1205
00:58:47,920 --> 00:58:49,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, one of them.

1206
00:58:49,400 --> 00:58:51,320
Speaker 3: We had a three goal lead with like fifteen minutes

1207
00:58:51,360 --> 00:58:52,800
Speaker 3: left to play and they I think it was a

1208
00:58:54,080 --> 00:58:57,200
Speaker 3: frozy nun Yeah again Italian here. So yeah, it's just

1209
00:58:57,320 --> 00:58:58,920
Speaker 3: it's a it's Sam. It's a very pay It's a

1210
00:58:58,960 --> 00:59:02,200
Speaker 3: painful segment for us the listeners, because we've always just

1211
00:59:02,280 --> 00:59:05,280
Speaker 3: come so excruciatingly close and just never closed the deals.

1212
00:59:05,400 --> 00:59:07,480
Speaker 3: So but it's a ton of fun and you know,

1213
00:59:07,640 --> 00:59:08,400
Speaker 3: we all love to do it.

1214
00:59:08,880 --> 00:59:12,040
Speaker 1: And that's why we'll continue doing it through the group

1215
00:59:12,120 --> 00:59:15,360
Speaker 1: stages of the Euros. At least in bj you can

1216
00:59:15,440 --> 00:59:19,439
Speaker 1: go first. Since we just talked about him. Your checks, yep,

1217
00:59:19,680 --> 00:59:21,000
Speaker 1: check public plus five fifty.

1218
00:59:21,080 --> 00:59:24,960
Speaker 3: Like I already mentioned, this is a very difficult matchup

1219
00:59:25,000 --> 00:59:27,600
Speaker 3: for Portugal, who was not really tested during qualifying in

1220
00:59:27,680 --> 00:59:29,120
Speaker 3: terms of teams that are actually going to apply a

1221
00:59:29,120 --> 00:59:31,040
Speaker 3: lot of ball pressure. The Checks are one of the

1222
00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:33,440
Speaker 3: most aggressive out of possession teams in this entire tournament

1223
00:59:33,800 --> 00:59:36,840
Speaker 3: led euro qualifying and high recovery second lowest forward pass

1224
00:59:36,880 --> 00:59:41,000
Speaker 3: completion rate. Portugal's vulnerabilities are generally defending crosses and on

1225
00:59:41,120 --> 00:59:45,000
Speaker 3: set pieces, which is where the Czech Republic Republic thrives.

1226
00:59:45,360 --> 00:59:48,520
Speaker 3: So at plus five point fifty, I think it's a

1227
00:59:48,560 --> 00:59:50,600
Speaker 3: fantastic price on the Czech Republic here.

1228
00:59:51,440 --> 00:59:53,160
Speaker 1: I like Serbia. I'm going to take a poke and

1229
00:59:53,280 --> 00:59:55,560
Speaker 1: try to beat England at plus five to fifty the

1230
00:59:55,640 --> 00:59:59,120
Speaker 1: tournament favorites. I think that the Serbia team is really

1231
00:59:59,160 --> 01:00:01,360
Speaker 1: really hard to predict, and they're just as hard to handle.

1232
01:00:01,600 --> 01:00:03,680
Speaker 1: They're gonna be physical, they're gonna look to bully you,

1233
01:00:03,680 --> 01:00:05,440
Speaker 1: They're gonna be good in the air. They've got a

1234
01:00:05,560 --> 01:00:08,160
Speaker 1: great shots stopper. This team could show up and anything

1235
01:00:08,200 --> 01:00:11,040
Speaker 1: can happen, and at plus five to fifty aleen into though.

1236
01:00:11,120 --> 01:00:12,480
Speaker 1: The thing to happen there is that they pull an

1237
01:00:12,560 --> 01:00:17,120
Speaker 1: upset here in a famous victory. Oh Sam's England, which

1238
01:00:17,200 --> 01:00:18,120
Speaker 1: means us to you, Sam.

1239
01:00:18,160 --> 01:00:19,840
Speaker 5: Yeah, I don't like the sound of lot, but off

1240
01:00:19,880 --> 01:00:23,400
Speaker 5: gone for Hungry plus two three zero, And I know

1241
01:00:23,560 --> 01:00:26,080
Speaker 5: you gents are hot on Switzerland, so you're probably thinking,

1242
01:00:26,120 --> 01:00:29,360
Speaker 5: for God's sake, he's ruined our opening underdog pump for

1243
01:00:29,440 --> 01:00:32,160
Speaker 5: the tournaments kicked off. But I just can't get away

1244
01:00:32,200 --> 01:00:35,560
Speaker 5: from this as like a standout underdog pick for me

1245
01:00:35,760 --> 01:00:39,240
Speaker 5: simply because I think Hungry at the Price is a

1246
01:00:39,320 --> 01:00:42,240
Speaker 5: live runner because of how even this game should be

1247
01:00:42,360 --> 01:00:45,480
Speaker 5: for spells, I can see a ninety minute period play

1248
01:00:45,520 --> 01:00:48,600
Speaker 5: out where I ready sides come out on top. To

1249
01:00:48,720 --> 01:00:52,320
Speaker 5: be getting a price that fits into this underdog category

1250
01:00:52,720 --> 01:00:54,200
Speaker 5: is I don't know. It kind of makes it as

1251
01:00:54,280 --> 01:00:56,040
Speaker 5: like a bit of a no brainer for me solely

1252
01:00:56,120 --> 01:00:58,439
Speaker 5: based on the difference in odds we're getting.

1253
01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:02,160
Speaker 4: And it's obviously not not easy picking an underdog, but if.

1254
01:01:02,080 --> 01:01:04,000
Speaker 5: You can side with a price, it's value and give

1255
01:01:04,000 --> 01:01:06,440
Speaker 5: yourself a chance and from what I've seen from either

1256
01:01:06,520 --> 01:01:08,560
Speaker 5: side in the last couple of years, this might be

1257
01:01:08,720 --> 01:01:11,840
Speaker 5: worth one worth taking and sticking into the parlat So

1258
01:01:11,960 --> 01:01:12,640
Speaker 5: fingers crossed.

1259
01:01:13,480 --> 01:01:15,480
Speaker 1: Yep, fingers crossed. One hundred and thirty eight to one.

1260
01:01:15,960 --> 01:01:17,640
Speaker 1: This one comes out to so it would get your

1261
01:01:18,160 --> 01:01:20,640
Speaker 1: EU ro of twenty twenty four adventure off to a

1262
01:01:20,720 --> 01:01:25,640
Speaker 1: good start if and when it gets to the window. Okay,

1263
01:01:25,720 --> 01:01:28,520
Speaker 1: on to our favorite bets for the first leg of

1264
01:01:28,640 --> 01:01:31,400
Speaker 1: the group stage, the first twelve matches, Sam, you can

1265
01:01:31,440 --> 01:01:31,960
Speaker 1: go first here.

1266
01:01:32,560 --> 01:01:35,600
Speaker 5: I've gone with the Netherlands and under five goes Parlay

1267
01:01:35,840 --> 01:01:36,800
Speaker 5: minus one of five.

1268
01:01:37,360 --> 01:01:38,440
Speaker 4: Just really like the sound of it.

1269
01:01:38,520 --> 01:01:40,680
Speaker 5: I think I think the Netherlands are like we said

1270
01:01:40,720 --> 01:01:42,760
Speaker 5: that they're going to be solid at the back. If

1271
01:01:42,800 --> 01:01:45,360
Speaker 5: they can keep a Poland side out one that I

1272
01:01:45,440 --> 01:01:47,760
Speaker 5: don't expect to be too efficient in front of goal,

1273
01:01:47,880 --> 01:01:51,040
Speaker 5: then I think they have enough up top Zavi Simmons

1274
01:01:51,120 --> 01:01:54,480
Speaker 5: et cetera to Memphis the party to really pack a

1275
01:01:54,520 --> 01:01:56,440
Speaker 5: punch and in course pulling a few problems. So I

1276
01:01:56,480 --> 01:01:58,320
Speaker 5: think they just edge it and I don't expect this

1277
01:01:58,440 --> 01:02:00,840
Speaker 5: to be a thriller, So yeah, benevolence and on the

1278
01:02:00,880 --> 01:02:01,320
Speaker 5: fore goes.

1279
01:02:01,840 --> 01:02:06,040
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the first match of the Euros between

1280
01:02:06,040 --> 01:02:08,640
Speaker 1: Scotland and Germany. I'm looking at it the first half

1281
01:02:08,760 --> 01:02:13,120
Speaker 1: to be a snoozer, to be nervy, cagy, whatever adjective

1282
01:02:13,160 --> 01:02:14,520
Speaker 1: you want to throw it. I like the first half

1283
01:02:14,600 --> 01:02:16,880
Speaker 1: to be scoreless as my favorite bet. I think anything

1284
01:02:16,920 --> 01:02:20,160
Speaker 1: better than plus two twenty is fine here BJ, What

1285
01:02:20,280 --> 01:02:20,560
Speaker 1: about you?

1286
01:02:21,040 --> 01:02:25,400
Speaker 3: Switzerland plus one fifteen against Hungary. This Switzerland team was

1287
01:02:25,480 --> 01:02:28,320
Speaker 3: incredibly impressive during qualifying, had a plus two expected goal

1288
01:02:28,360 --> 01:02:30,880
Speaker 3: differential per ninety minutes. It's a squad that's been playing

1289
01:02:30,880 --> 01:02:33,680
Speaker 3: together under mrat Yaikin for a really, really long time.

1290
01:02:33,960 --> 01:02:35,880
Speaker 3: They know the system very well. They're very good at

1291
01:02:35,920 --> 01:02:39,120
Speaker 3: dominating the half spaces with passing triangles. Are going to

1292
01:02:39,120 --> 01:02:41,360
Speaker 3: be able to pull Hungry out of position. A lot

1293
01:02:41,400 --> 01:02:43,440
Speaker 3: of concerns with this Hungary team out of possession when

1294
01:02:43,440 --> 01:02:45,800
Speaker 3: they're not able to just sit in their low defensive block.

1295
01:02:46,040 --> 01:02:48,280
Speaker 3: They're a bad team on set pieces, they're bad defending

1296
01:02:48,320 --> 01:02:51,440
Speaker 3: in transition, and they're very reliant on Dominique Solva Slide

1297
01:02:51,480 --> 01:02:53,720
Speaker 3: to be their main guy in build ups. So Switzerland

1298
01:02:53,800 --> 01:02:55,880
Speaker 3: sides to take them away. I'm not sure that they're

1299
01:02:55,880 --> 01:02:57,680
Speaker 3: going to be able to actually be able to build

1300
01:02:57,720 --> 01:02:59,840
Speaker 3: through the Switzerland side that is a very very good

1301
01:03:00,000 --> 01:03:03,520
Speaker 3: defensive team and very hard to play through. So projected

1302
01:03:03,760 --> 01:03:06,240
Speaker 3: Switzerland at my little over minus one forty, so I

1303
01:03:06,360 --> 01:03:07,480
Speaker 3: like them at plus one fifteen.

1304
01:03:07,760 --> 01:03:12,640
Speaker 1: Okay, that does it for the first episode of the

1305
01:03:12,720 --> 01:03:15,000
Speaker 1: group stage for us, we've gone through all twelve matches.

1306
01:03:15,280 --> 01:03:17,360
Speaker 1: Be sure to check out our futures preview if you

1307
01:03:17,440 --> 01:03:20,720
Speaker 1: haven't already. We gave out seemed like a million bets

1308
01:03:21,080 --> 01:03:22,600
Speaker 1: on that one, and of course we'll be back for

1309
01:03:22,800 --> 01:03:25,480
Speaker 1: ahead of the second legs of all the group stage

1310
01:03:25,520 --> 01:03:27,880
Speaker 1: and from that point on we will be there for

1311
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:29,920
Speaker 1: the third legs and then a round of sixteen will

1312
01:03:29,960 --> 01:03:32,720
Speaker 1: have every match of Euro twenty twenty four covered. BJ

1313
01:03:32,840 --> 01:03:35,160
Speaker 1: and I will talk a little Copa America as we

1314
01:03:35,240 --> 01:03:38,800
Speaker 1: get closer to that tournament, but until then, best of

1315
01:03:38,840 --> 01:03:41,200
Speaker 1: luck with all your bets. Hope everyone has a good

1316
01:03:41,240 --> 01:03:44,000
Speaker 1: time listening and watching, and be sure to rate, review

1317
01:03:44,200 --> 01:03:46,720
Speaker 1: and subscribe, And of course thank you to our producer

1318
01:03:46,800 --> 01:03:49,959
Speaker 1: Noah on the back end and our sponsors bet Pretty Sicks.

1319
01:03:50,000 --> 01:04:03,560
Speaker 5: Fast Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1320
01:04:04,000 --> 01:04:06,800
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1321
01:04:07,120 --> 01:04:10,120
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1322
01:04:10,160 --> 01:04:10,560
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