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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p Joe Pizzapia, and

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Speaker 1: this is VP NFL. It's time for the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: That's right. It's time to look ahead with the Undertaker,

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Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson and myself to the big Game. Not this Sunday,

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Speaker 1: but next Sunday. So we've got a lot of time.

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Speaker 1: So this is kind of like the first notions, the

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Speaker 1: first fields, the little bit of research here already digging

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Speaker 1: into the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles, a

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Speaker 1: rematch from a couple of years ago, and Andrew Erickson

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Speaker 1: one on paper that looks like, I think, a very

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Speaker 1: good game. I know a lot of Americans here and

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Speaker 1: even some international folks are very annoyed at this Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: I am not. This is good. This is two of

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Speaker 1: the best teams in the NFL going at it. There's

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Speaker 1: some heat there because they went at it a couple

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Speaker 1: of years ago. I like running it back. It's like

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Speaker 1: Ali and Fraser. You know, it's like those old school

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Speaker 1: boxing matches where you get the you know, the the contender.

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Speaker 1: Kenny finally beat the champs and the Chiefs are the

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Speaker 1: rigning defending champions. They've been in five. I have the

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Speaker 1: last six Super Bowl So I get it. I get

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Speaker 1: it football fans. There's Chiefs fatigue. I understand this. But

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Speaker 1: at the same time, there's also a great narrative of

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Speaker 1: can you slay the Beast going on with the Philadelphia Eagles.

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Speaker 1: So before we dive into the game, the numbers everything here,

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Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson, there's also a lot of history going on

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Speaker 1: here with this game. Andy Reid is now the sixth

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl appearance for him, tying Don Shuler for the

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Speaker 1: second most, behind only Bill Belichick, who has nine. Mahomes

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Speaker 1: ties Elway with the second most Super Bowl appearances five

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Speaker 1: as a starting quarterback for one team. There in a row,

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Speaker 1: and look, you've got I shouldn't say in a row

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Speaker 1: for five times is a starting quarterback the second most

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Speaker 1: with John Elway, the first obviously Tom Brady, and then

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Speaker 1: you've got Patrick Mahomes. You're also looking to do something

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Speaker 1: with this team that's never been done, a three peat

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. How much do you think that history

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Speaker 1: is really weighing on the Chiefs, Because if you go

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Speaker 1: back to last year, right after that game, that's all

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Speaker 1: they were talking about three p three peat. It seems

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Speaker 1: like they had it in their mind and now they've

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Speaker 1: gotten back there, which I think is incredibly impressive.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think that this you could make the

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Speaker 2: argument that this is one of the best Chiefs teams

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Speaker 2: that they've ever had, and I get it from when

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Speaker 2: you're looking at oh, well, they haven't really blown teams out.

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Speaker 2: All they do is win close games. But if they

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Speaker 2: beat the Eagles, they lost one game all year with

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Speaker 2: their starting offense one game. There really hasn't been that

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Speaker 2: many teams that have gone and run the table essentially

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Speaker 2: lost only one game. There's been a couple of teams

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Speaker 2: that have gone eighteen and one, like we've seen the

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Speaker 2: Carolina Panthers, or a team that won eighteen and one

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Speaker 2: lost the Super Bowl, the undefeated Patriots. They win eighteen

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Speaker 2: and one, lost the Super Bowl. But I mean, yes,

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Speaker 2: they add an extra game, but this team is going

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Speaker 2: to finish what nineteen and two Is that going to

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Speaker 2: be their their final record or eighteen and two? So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I mean, I am very much looking forward to this game.

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Speaker 2: I think that even on the Eagles side, I mean,

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Speaker 2: this team has been to three Super Bowls in the

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Speaker 2: last ten years. Yeah, so it's not like they're inexperienced.

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Speaker 2: You know, they've been in the big game before. And

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Speaker 2: one thing to point out about this Chiefs team, there

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Speaker 2: are still players on this Chiefs team that haven't won

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Speaker 2: Super Bowls. So, yes, a lot of them have been there,

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Speaker 2: done that. But Xavier Worthy, he's a rookie wide receiver.

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Speaker 2: He's never won a Super Bowl. Kareem Hunt, He's never

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Speaker 2: been part of these Chiefs teams, or at least I

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Speaker 2: I can't remember actually was he on any of the teams.

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Speaker 1: I want to remember if he was on the one

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Speaker 1: that lost Ray years too. I'm trying to go back

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Speaker 1: in my mind. I have to go back and track that. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: let's not forget Carson Wentz too. We got to put

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Speaker 1: him in the mix, right with Carson Wentz, right, Yes,

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Speaker 1: But DeAndre Hopkins another player too that you know we're

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Speaker 1: looking for, you know, getting that ring, which is not

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Speaker 1: out in his career and he's been a veteran, you know,

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Speaker 1: one of the great players in the league and this

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Speaker 1: is that last bit for him. So there's a lot

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Speaker 1: of stake here for a lot of the Kansasity Chiefs

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Speaker 1: as Andrews saying that haven't tasted the glory of the

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Speaker 1: Lombardi Trophy quite yet, and we're going to dive into

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Speaker 1: the spread, the total, the money line, everything here and

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Speaker 1: it is very close. Before we do, just a quick

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Speaker 1: shout out to this is the time of the year

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Speaker 1: where you can get your voice heard, so help share

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Speaker 1: and shape the Betting Pros podcast. Take a quick survey

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Speaker 1: right now at bettingpros dot com slash survey. I finally

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Speaker 1: said it right the first time all week I said

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Speaker 1: it right Bettingpros dot com slash survey. I ended up

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Speaker 1: sending like Sean Connery because I just shush everything together

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Speaker 1: and you can share your feedback to help us improve.

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Speaker 1: What do you want to hear more of? What do

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Speaker 1: you want to hear less of? I hope more Royal

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Speaker 1: Rumble takes and more WWE stuff because we did that

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Speaker 1: podcast yesterday. If you missed it, we went through the

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Speaker 1: whole Royal Rumble with all the betting stuff there, So

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Speaker 1: if you missed it, go back and watch it or

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Speaker 1: listen to it wherever you get your podcasts. But again,

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Speaker 1: all it takes is a minute wayby two Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: dot Com slash survey. Go have your voice heard. Okay,

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Speaker 1: here we go the tail of the tape for the

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Speaker 1: Kansaiti Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. Right now on bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com, the consensus best line, you're getting minus one

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Speaker 1: and a half at minus one o three for the

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Speaker 1: Kansaity Chiefs, plus one and a half at minus one

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Speaker 1: oh five at bet MGM for the Philadelphia Eagles. Forty nine.

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Speaker 1: Forty nine and a half is the total. It's varying

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Speaker 1: in some different spots there. Kansas City on the money

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Speaker 1: line minus one nineteen plus one ten over on DK

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Speaker 1: is where you're getting the Eagles best number currently. And

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Speaker 1: of course you can always set the custom line alerts

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Speaker 1: when you download the Betting Pros app. That way you

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Speaker 1: could stay on top of any line movement because a

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Speaker 1: little half a point here, a little section here, just

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Speaker 1: a little bit of movement here that does make a

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Speaker 1: big impact. Because this is a very i think, razor

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Speaker 1: thin margin. So I feel like the framing of this

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Speaker 1: game is very simple. Andrew, which is the more talented

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Speaker 1: team on paper in terms of athleticism, in terms of playmakers,

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Speaker 1: in terms of kind of what it looks like the

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles, the younger, faster, I think, stronger in some

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Speaker 1: rude regards, but also just looking at the talent up

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Speaker 1: and down that roster and what they've been able to

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Speaker 1: do with that talent. I don't think anybody would disagree

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Speaker 1: the Eagles them are talented team. The thing I always

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Speaker 1: say to my teams that I coach, the best team

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Speaker 1: doesn't always win. The team that plays the best wins,

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Speaker 1: and I feel like that's what we were always looking

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Speaker 1: at a Patrick Mahomes when it comes down to these

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Speaker 1: drives at the last minute of these games or too.

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Speaker 1: It's always Patrick Mahomes who seems to find a way

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Speaker 1: to make the drive to make this work. And you

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Speaker 1: probably went poor betting against the Chiefs over the last

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Speaker 1: six years. So where do you stand right now when

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Speaker 1: you're looking at these numbers here is very close only

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Speaker 1: a point. Really, it's basically a pick them. What side

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Speaker 1: are you on? At first glance?

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Speaker 2: I'm on the Chiefs. And I had to look back

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Speaker 2: at some of the futures bets I made, and I

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Speaker 2: don't think it was a coincidence or by mistake that

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Speaker 2: I bet specifically the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 2: as I was building our futures portfolio, and I bet

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Speaker 2: the Eagles to win the NFC. No, I kind of

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Speaker 2: stopped myself going one more step forward with the Eagles

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Speaker 2: because I knew, when push comes to shove, I'm going

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Speaker 2: to be taking the Chiefs in the final game. And

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Speaker 2: that's kind of where I settle here, because yes, they

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Speaker 2: may have the better team overall on paper, but I

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Speaker 2: think this was the exact conversation we had when they

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Speaker 2: quit the Eagles two years ago, and it was a

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Speaker 2: different Eagles team overall, but still top to bottom, I

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Speaker 2: think that Eagles team was I believe the Chiefs were

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Speaker 2: underdogs in that particular game. I believe the Eagles were favored.

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Speaker 2: So for me, it's just going back to I don't

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Speaker 2: want to bet against Patrick Mahomes. And as weird as

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Speaker 2: this sounds, are talking about how this might be one

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Speaker 2: of the best Chiefs teams that they've actually ever had,

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs offense has been cooking. Over the last month

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Speaker 2: or so, we're seeing Patrick Mahomes is putting up season

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Speaker 2: highs and e paper dropback, so it really seems like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: we did save the best for last, and we're finally

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Speaker 2: starting to see the ultimate what the Chiefs were just

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Speaker 2: trying to get to. Like you said, after the last

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Speaker 2: year Super Bowl, they were already thinking about how can

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Speaker 2: we repeat and kind of having this slow burn all

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Speaker 2: year long where they never really hit their stride during

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Speaker 2: the regular season, but then once the playoffs started to

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Speaker 2: come around, this is when they finally started to kick

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Speaker 2: it into gear and you're starting to see guys really

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Speaker 2: pop off here and there. So yeah, I think that

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Speaker 2: this is going to be a tough task for the Eagles.

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Speaker 2: I will say that the one wrinkle and storyline that

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Speaker 2: I really like is for the Eagles to win this game,

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Speaker 2: it's because of their running back. And I can only

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Speaker 2: imagine how every single running back that's been disrespected, underpaid,

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Speaker 2: underappreciated is let's go Saquon Barkley like they are going

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Speaker 2: to be rooting so hard for him to be a

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Speaker 2: month because what's the less time we had a running

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Speaker 2: back probably be if I haven't looked at the MVP odds,

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Speaker 2: but I have to imagine Barkley's probably up there right

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Speaker 2: with Hurts and mahomes As. I wouldn't even be surprised

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Speaker 2: if he's has better odds than Jalen Hurts to win

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Speaker 2: the MVP because I just think that there's no way

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Speaker 2: where he doesn't do US per game.

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes plus one ten, Saquon Barkley plus two eighty

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Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts plus three seventy uh and and I get that.

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Speaker 1: I I you know, going back two years ago, that

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Speaker 1: Eagles team terrific defense. That was a team that got

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Speaker 1: after the quarterback at an enormous rate, right, And I

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Speaker 1: think that what you're seeing now is the big difference

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Speaker 1: is obviously Saquon Barkley. You're also seeing a younger group

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Speaker 1: two some new corners too who have been really good,

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Speaker 1: to rookie corners in Cooper Ejen and Quiny Mitchell who

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Speaker 1: have been spectacular this year. Jalen Carter is not the

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Speaker 1: you know, the guy who was on that team a

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Speaker 1: couple of years ago. So this is an influx of players,

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Speaker 1: and a lot of defensive players, ironically enough, from those

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Speaker 1: Georgia Championship teams that have winning in their DNA. So

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Speaker 1: I do think that's important, and I have a lot

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Speaker 1: of respect for the Eagles. I'm not trying to disrespect

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Speaker 1: the Eagles here at all. And I don't think Andrew

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Speaker 1: is either, nor are we disrespecting Saguon Barkley. It's just

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Speaker 1: I think when you look at the end of the day,

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Speaker 1: do you think it's a close game, And if you

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Speaker 1: think it's a close game, am I gonna put the

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Speaker 1: ball in the hands of Patrick Mahomes and be confident

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Speaker 1: or the ball in Jalen Hurts hands and be confident.

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Speaker 1: And Jalen Hurts has played very well. But I've also

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Speaker 1: seen Eagles in this playoffs sputter a little bit against

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Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers. Let's be honest. At times. I

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Speaker 1: know the elements were a big factor against the Rams.

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Speaker 1: They didn't look all that sharp all the time, but yes,

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Speaker 1: okay it was snowing elements whatever. First half of that

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Speaker 1: game against the Commanders was tight until it wasn't and

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Speaker 1: then they blew the doors off the Commanders. So it's

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Speaker 1: great that they have this confidence going in, but I

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Speaker 1: think that that final half, in that final score is

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Speaker 1: giving people, maybe on the Philadelphia side, just a little

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Speaker 1: bit of an inflated version of confidence. Do you agree

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Speaker 1: with that notion?

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Speaker 2: I think so. I mean the Eagles again, we weren't

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Speaker 2: even sure that we're going to have host the NFC

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Speaker 2: Championship game because it took the Commanders being the Lions

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Speaker 2: for them to be able to host that game. So

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Speaker 2: it would have been interesting to see how they would

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Speaker 2: have stacked up against the Detroit Lions playing on the road,

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Speaker 2: you know, in a hypothetical and the NFC Championship game.

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Speaker 2: But I think something else to point out too is

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Speaker 2: the Vic Fangio thing, right his defense, And I know

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Speaker 2: that you sent me a post on social media earlier

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Speaker 2: today talking about how Patrick Mahomes has faced Vic Fangio

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Speaker 2: defenses eight times over the last five years. I believe

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Speaker 2: because Fangio was the head coach of the Broncos and

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Speaker 2: also was the defensive coordinator for the Miami Dolphins in

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty three, he's eight to no, it's mcmangio in

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Speaker 2: their defenses. One against the spread. It's only one time

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Speaker 2: a Fic Fangio defense is covered against against City Chiefs,

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Speaker 2: and six and two towards the under in those particular games.

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Speaker 2: So I don't even gotten to the toll yet, but

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Speaker 2: just kind of like a nugget to throw in there,

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Speaker 2: And interesting enough, when I was looking back at Fangio

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Speaker 2: after he was relieved of his Broncos head coaching duties.

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Speaker 2: He signed on with the Eagles as a consultant for

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Speaker 2: that Super Bowl against the Chiefs. It did not help

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Speaker 2: because they have him thirty eight points, so interesting to see.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you have to give the edge to Mahomes

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Speaker 2: and reed, they've seen Fangio's defense. Again, personnel is obviously different,

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Speaker 2: but schematically Fanjo's gonna have to throw some type of

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Speaker 2: curve ball at Mahomes and Andy Reid and so far

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Speaker 2: that usually doesn't work. Like they are usually ahead of

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Speaker 2: the game with extra time to prepare. So again, I

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Speaker 2: think this office is going to be effective, like we

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Speaker 2: talked about earlier, and yes they have the talent, but

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Speaker 2: when push comes a shove, you know, Mahomes finds a

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Speaker 2: way and if he gets the ball at the end

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Speaker 2: of the game, like I feel confident that there he's

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Speaker 2: gonna drive down and get the game winning field goal.

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Speaker 2: And I do think this game is gonna be close though,

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Speaker 2: And that's why I don't understand the perception and oh

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Speaker 2: I don't want this matchup. All the Chiefs do is

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Speaker 2: playing close games. That's fun to.

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Speaker 1: Water blow anybody out. Typically that's like where they've been

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Speaker 1: at all season.

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Speaker 2: Actly, so it would be a close game. I think

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Speaker 2: that makes it fun. But ultimately I think that Chiefs

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Speaker 2: they come out on top again.

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Speaker 1: The failure last year of Kyle Shanahan in that Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl was not continuing just pound the rock with Christian

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Speaker 1: McCaffrey and suck up clock, and instead he was, you know,

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Speaker 1: trying to be fancy. Kyle Shanahan. Look at all these

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Speaker 1: plays I'd designed, There's so much fun, and just play

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Speaker 1: boring football a little bit sometimes, and he had the

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Speaker 1: opportunity to do that. I get the feeling that if

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Speaker 1: Sirianni has the chance to play boring football with sake

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Speaker 1: one Barkley, He's going to take it. And that is

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Speaker 1: why I think the Eagles have an absolute shot here.

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Speaker 1: If you're looking for value on the betting side, the

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Speaker 1: value of the betting side is to take the Eagles

282
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Speaker 1: to win on the money line and take one Barkley

283
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Speaker 1: to be MVP, because I do think it would be

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Speaker 1: Saquon in that instance. It would be a transcendent moment

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Speaker 1: in time, and we've seen that in the Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: in the past. Like you go back to the Marcus

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Speaker 1: Allen days, you go back to John Riggins, you know,

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Speaker 1: unfortunately you got to go back to the eighties for

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Speaker 1: a lot of these moments. But even in the ninth

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Speaker 1: the Terrell Davis moments and things like that, like there's

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Speaker 1: been guys there that sometime it's that running back in

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Speaker 1: that moment in that season, and that's what Sequon has been.

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Speaker 1: And I think that if you're looking for a value

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Speaker 1: on the betting side, it's clearly on that. It's clearly

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Speaker 1: on taking the Eagles to just find a way Mahomes

296
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Speaker 1: finally after all these years, just coming up short. But

297
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Speaker 1: I don't think it's Hurts. I think it's Barkley in

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Speaker 1: that script where writing who ends up winning the MVP

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Speaker 1: of the Super Bowl? Would you agree with that notion

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Speaker 1: that if you're going to go counter here looking for value,

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Speaker 1: that that is the path.

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Speaker 2: I think so, because I think that the narrative about

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Speaker 2: Hurts just this year in general, where I think that

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Speaker 2: the public is he's been underwhelming. You know, he hasn't

305
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Speaker 2: been as good. You know, the offense is about Sequon Barkley.

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Speaker 2: I don't necessarily agree with that, but that's the market's

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Speaker 2: telling us. So I think that, yes, if you like

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Speaker 2: the Eagle side here betting Sekwoon market win MVP is

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Speaker 2: probably the best bang for your buck because I find

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Speaker 2: it very hard to believe that we'll see a game

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Speaker 2: where the Eagles come away with the upset and it's

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Speaker 2: a close spread. But if they win this game, I

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Speaker 2: think it's going to because Samon Barkley is ripping off

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Speaker 2: sixty yard touchdowns and the defense plays well, so that

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Speaker 2: doesn't necessarily lean into Hurts winning MVP.

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Speaker 1: And Mahomes to thirty six sacks that's the most of

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Speaker 1: his career this season, and what'sack five more times in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs. So if you are looking for the opportunity

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Speaker 1: there again, when you're looking at you know, can you

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Speaker 1: create turnovers? Can't you get to Patrick Mahomes? The answer

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Speaker 1: is yes, you know you can this year. So it's

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Speaker 1: something you got to be very careful of. I also

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Speaker 1: think it's very important then that last game against Buffalo too,

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Speaker 1: when you saw Mahomes running out in space and getting

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Speaker 1: out there making plays that he is confident doing that

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Speaker 1: and healthy enough to do that. That was something you

327
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Speaker 1: know in the past, some of those ankle injuries, he

328
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Speaker 1: wasn't quite one hundred percent there. We can roll our

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Speaker 1: eyes about it.

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Speaker 2: But look, you know, so no on once he has

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Speaker 2: the ankle injury, you know it's he's on, all right, That's.

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Speaker 1: When the switch flips. Is that what it is? All right?

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Speaker 1: So if right now both of us are looking at this,

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Speaker 1: if it's basically a pick them, We're just going to

335
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Speaker 1: go straight to the money line. That's what I'm doing.

336
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Speaker 1: And I I got to pay a little bit more

337
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Speaker 1: juice for the Chiefs, but I'm willing to do it.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the total, which is forty nine, forty

339
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Speaker 1: nine and a half in some other spots here. So

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Speaker 1: sometimes in these games you get that, you know, everybody's

341
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Speaker 1: just very nervy and jumpy. But for the most part,

342
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Speaker 1: you know, these are coaches that have been there before,

343
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Speaker 1: staffs that you know, some of them at least, that

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Speaker 1: have been here many times, especially on the Chief side,

345
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Speaker 1: players in terms that have been here before, a lot

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Speaker 1: of Eagles, not all the Eagles, but a lot of Chiefs.

347
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Speaker 1: Do you expect this to be a sluggish first quarter?

348
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Speaker 1: Because if it's not, then I think you have a

349
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Speaker 1: shot for this over potentially. But I feel like maybe

350
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Speaker 1: it's where experience comes in for these two teams, where

351
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Speaker 1: perhaps that over is achievable because we all know, you know,

352
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Speaker 1: it's just that pomp and circumstances. They're all standing on

353
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Speaker 1: the field forever, and they're nervy, they're jumpy. They come

354
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Speaker 1: out a little flat here. They haven't played football in

355
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Speaker 1: two weeks. I don't know if we're going to get

356
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Speaker 1: that from these two teams necessarily, do you.

357
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Speaker 2: I don't think that they come out flat. I like

358
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Speaker 2: the again, as we're into some of these more exotic

359
00:16:01,920 --> 00:16:04,720
Speaker 2: markets first quarter over. The totals at nine and a

360
00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:07,040
Speaker 2: half points in three and the four Super Bowls that

361
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Speaker 2: the Chiefs have played in, the over has gone in

362
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Speaker 2: three of one, right, so three times have gone over

363
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Speaker 2: at least ten points. So I do like the the

364
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Speaker 2: first quarter over because what do we see, you know,

365
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Speaker 2: second Barkley is ready to rip off a seven yard

366
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Speaker 2: touchdown at any point during the game, so the Chiefs

367
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Speaker 2: have to be ready for that. We've seen the Eagles

368
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Speaker 2: kind of turn things around in the second half of

369
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Speaker 2: the year, where at the beginning of the season the

370
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Speaker 2: offense was very sluggish. You know, we were betting a

371
00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:31,200
Speaker 2: lot of like first half unders for the philled out

372
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Speaker 2: the Eagles, or like bet the Eagles on the money

373
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Speaker 2: line after they fall behind because they never score in

374
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Speaker 2: the first quarter. That's kind of changed in the second half.

375
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Speaker 2: And then, as we've talked about before already with the

376
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Speaker 2: Chief's offense is really starting to cook over the last

377
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Speaker 2: month basically since you know, Mahomes hurt his ankle, we've

378
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Speaker 2: seen that the offense is much more So I think, yes,

379
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Speaker 2: I think that both of the offenses come out more aggressive.

380
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Speaker 2: So I do like the over in you know, the

381
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Speaker 2: first quarter, but the overall game total though, I am

382
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Speaker 2: leaning towards the under overall.

383
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Speaker 1: So you think it starts off hot and then gets tight.

384
00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:00,360
Speaker 2: Yes, and then I think it gets a little bit

385
00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:03,080
Speaker 2: tighter after as these teams kind of feel each other out.

386
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Speaker 2: Already mentioned it about Fangio when these games have played

387
00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:09,240
Speaker 2: out in the past, that's six and two towards the under.

388
00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:12,879
Speaker 2: So a lot of those games, even against the Fango defense,

389
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Speaker 2: when the Chiefs have won and covered, they haven't been

390
00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:17,119
Speaker 2: Oh the Chiefs put up thirty points like they have

391
00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:20,639
Speaker 2: been more lower scoring games. So again, personnel is always

392
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Speaker 2: going to take a consideration here. It's not the same teams,

393
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Speaker 2: but just based on the expectation heading into the game.

394
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Speaker 2: Those games underwhelmed, and I think that there's a really

395
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Speaker 2: fun example to point out here where we've actually seen

396
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Speaker 2: Mahomes face of vic fango defense in a neutral field

397
00:17:34,880 --> 00:17:37,320
Speaker 2: before last year when they played the Miami Dolphins. They

398
00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:40,560
Speaker 2: actually played in Germany. It was a neutral field, the

399
00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:43,080
Speaker 2: total was fifty one and a half points, and the

400
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:45,720
Speaker 2: spread was one and a half towards the Chiefs. So

401
00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:49,120
Speaker 2: pretty similar circumstances to this Super Bowl. Again a neutral fields,

402
00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:51,560
Speaker 2: some more spread, similar total, and that game went way

403
00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:55,359
Speaker 2: under like that game was very disappointing. Now again a

404
00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,040
Speaker 2: little bit different playing in Germany versus playing the Super Bowl.

405
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Speaker 2: But I think that ultimately, I think this game is

406
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:06,440
Speaker 2: more in the low twenties, mid twenties overall versus high twenties,

407
00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:08,679
Speaker 2: low thirties where you're getting over fifty points. I think

408
00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:10,840
Speaker 2: it's gonna be close. I don't like betting on the

409
00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:13,160
Speaker 2: total per se, but I think that we're gonna probably

410
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Speaker 2: finish more around forty eight forty seven and not get

411
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Speaker 2: to forty nine and a half.

412
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Speaker 1: Two players, one on each side. I want to talk

413
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Speaker 1: about too, because the Kansas Chiefs have struggled against tight

414
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Speaker 1: ends Dallas Goddard could be one of these guys potentially

415
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:28,240
Speaker 1: that you might pop off in this game if they

416
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Speaker 1: do get into situations where they're forced to throw the football.

417
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:33,280
Speaker 1: And then Xavier Worthy, who's been red hot here towards

418
00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:35,399
Speaker 1: the end, is starting to look like the favorite child

419
00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:39,800
Speaker 1: here and he is a problem. He has incredible speed.

420
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,520
Speaker 1: They use him in all those Jets sweeps in different

421
00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:44,680
Speaker 1: ways to get him the football. So of course there's

422
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Speaker 1: a lot of clever play design that's always going on

423
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Speaker 1: there for the Chiefs. Do you think there's another X

424
00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:51,720
Speaker 1: factor of a player or too. You know, we talked

425
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Speaker 1: about the Mahomes and the Barkleys and all those guys,

426
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Speaker 1: but you know, when you start digging into some of

427
00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:57,720
Speaker 1: the secondary players or somebody else that could be an

428
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Speaker 1: X factor in this game besides those two.

429
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Speaker 2: So I do want to hit on those guys first

430
00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:03,400
Speaker 2: because I think that they're important to highlight. I think

431
00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:06,600
Speaker 2: Xavier Worthy is set up for another monster game. He's

432
00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:08,760
Speaker 2: in the Rashie Rice role, and we saw this last year.

433
00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:11,399
Speaker 2: It just continued to build week after week after week,

434
00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:15,439
Speaker 2: and again going back to that Miami Dolphins Fangio matchup

435
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:17,760
Speaker 2: that we saw last year in the playoffs with Kansas City,

436
00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 2: who had the monster game was Roshie Rice, so they've

437
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,280
Speaker 2: already seen this role take apart this defense before, and

438
00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:26,080
Speaker 2: it's actually interesting. Xavier Worthy is twelve to one to

439
00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:28,399
Speaker 2: score the first touchdown. Who scored the first touchdown in

440
00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:31,000
Speaker 2: both of the Vangio matchups in twenty twenty three, Rashie

441
00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:33,680
Speaker 2: Rice did, So that's kind of the market I'm looking

442
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:34,879
Speaker 2: at when it comes to because again, you got a

443
00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:36,200
Speaker 2: bet the first touchdown. It's a lot of fun for

444
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,080
Speaker 2: the Super Bowl. So I like Xavier Worthy at twelve

445
00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:41,439
Speaker 2: to one. Dallas Goddard is interesting. I know that his

446
00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:44,520
Speaker 2: prop for receiving arts been the most bet prop since

447
00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:46,800
Speaker 2: the market's open, which is really fun. It's like, do

448
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:49,399
Speaker 2: you chase the steam? The value's probably all gone, but

449
00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:51,560
Speaker 2: does it doesn't matter if he hits it anyway, But

450
00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:56,320
Speaker 2: he hasn't had over five catches in five of the

451
00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:58,840
Speaker 2: last six games, and he's only done it against the Commanders.

452
00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,240
Speaker 2: So when DeVante Smith and aj Brown are healthy, Dallas

453
00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:04,840
Speaker 2: gar tends to not get over five receptions. So I

454
00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:07,439
Speaker 2: kind of like playing contrarian here with Goddard, where I

455
00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:09,640
Speaker 2: like the under on his receptions which you can get

456
00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:11,520
Speaker 2: at plus money at some books, and is kind of

457
00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:13,520
Speaker 2: staying away from the yardage because what he's been doing

458
00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:16,560
Speaker 2: is really taking advantage of yards after the catch. That's

459
00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:18,040
Speaker 2: how he's been putting up a lot of his yardage.

460
00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:20,440
Speaker 2: So I'm just looking at it from a volume perspective,

461
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:22,040
Speaker 2: where we know the Egles like to run the football.

462
00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:23,919
Speaker 2: I don't necessarily think that this is going to be

463
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,399
Speaker 2: a thirty five pass attempts game for Jalen Hurts. That's

464
00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:27,760
Speaker 2: taking them way out of their script.

465
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:30,920
Speaker 1: That's a bad script for the Eagles have it become.

466
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:34,200
Speaker 2: Yes, exactly. I think that that's advantage on the chief

467
00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:37,199
Speaker 2: side of things. So I like taking the under on

468
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:40,440
Speaker 2: Dallas Carter in the receptions. When it comes to another

469
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:44,719
Speaker 2: X factor, I think that I think we're probably going

470
00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:48,240
Speaker 2: to see one of these other Chiefs receivers pop off,

471
00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 2: whether it's a Hopkins or a Marquise Hollywood Brown who

472
00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:56,280
Speaker 2: they're using a lot downfield. Hopkins to me, seems like

473
00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:58,919
Speaker 2: this guy he's he's scoring a reds on touchdown like

474
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,320
Speaker 2: like like to me, because that's the only role he

475
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:03,840
Speaker 2: has left, right, They're not using him a lot. Juju's

476
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,199
Speaker 2: kind of playing more than snaps. But I mean, if

477
00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:08,479
Speaker 2: they see DeAndre Hopkins man and man coverage against one

478
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 2: of these rookies, like, how are they not going to

479
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:11,800
Speaker 2: just throw the mp A ball? And I just I'm

480
00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:14,400
Speaker 2: confident the dude's gonna come down with one because he's

481
00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:17,240
Speaker 2: an alpha. Yes, his role has been mineralized in this

482
00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:22,440
Speaker 2: particular offense, but he wants a ring and if.

483
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,640
Speaker 1: Too, plus six hundred for any time touch Yeah.

484
00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:26,080
Speaker 2: I thought that was pretty long shot for a guy

485
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:27,879
Speaker 2: that the only time he comes in is in the

486
00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:30,400
Speaker 2: red zone. Like, it's very clear at what his role

487
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 2: his new role is in this offense. So when we're

488
00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:35,600
Speaker 2: talking anytime touchdowns, I think Hopkins could probably come up

489
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,119
Speaker 2: big here. And yeah, he's probably my bet on, Like

490
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:41,080
Speaker 2: which random guy scores a touchdown? I think would probably

491
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:42,960
Speaker 2: be DeAndre Hopkins for me.

492
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 1: There's a lot of stake here on the Philly side too,

493
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,000
Speaker 1: because if you do win this and it is a

494
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:51,040
Speaker 1: Barkley narrative and let's say Barkley's MVP, this becomes one

495
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:52,399
Speaker 1: of the I mean, they're gonna be able statue to

496
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,600
Speaker 1: him in front of last stadium. And I'm not being

497
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,320
Speaker 1: hyperbolic here at all. I mean, I lived in Philly

498
00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:04,560
Speaker 1: for a while. It's my second I love Philadelphia. If

499
00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 1: he wins them a super Bowl is the MVP, they

500
00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:09,760
Speaker 1: will not only build a statue, but you will start

501
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:13,400
Speaker 1: to now see if there is another two to three

502
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:16,400
Speaker 1: years of Saquon Barkley having some great seasons there where

503
00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:18,720
Speaker 1: now all of a sudden, he goes from what could

504
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:20,760
Speaker 1: have been with Sekwon Barkley too. Sakwon Barkley's a Hall

505
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:23,680
Speaker 1: of Famer and he needs this moment in this game

506
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 1: to I think push that narrative. If he doesn't have

507
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:28,400
Speaker 1: a good game, if he falls short, he's just another

508
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:29,719
Speaker 1: one of these will it was a great running back,

509
00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:31,760
Speaker 1: was a great season, but you're not going to be

510
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 1: in that conversation when people start talking about some of

511
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:36,760
Speaker 1: the greats that ever played the position, and he's in

512
00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 1: terms of talent, I think one of those guys. But

513
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 1: it is so fascinating and I think that's what makes

514
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:43,520
Speaker 1: it such a really intriguing Super Bowl as you're getting

515
00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:46,840
Speaker 1: a moment where, if that happens, that is going to

516
00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 1: be one of these legendary NFL moments where Saquon Barkley

517
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 1: was the missing piece. He comes in there, he takes

518
00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 1: the Eagles over the top. They beat the evil Empire

519
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:58,480
Speaker 1: of the Chiefs and stop this legendary run no three peat.

520
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,320
Speaker 1: You know the history. He dies there with Saquon Barkley

521
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:05,320
Speaker 1: and the Eagles, and then they put a monument out

522
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:09,440
Speaker 1: there to him, and they're retiring jerseys, and that's going

523
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 1: to be the narrative and the story that's coming out

524
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,960
Speaker 1: of that game. If if they win, that's still an

525
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:16,560
Speaker 1: if for Andrew Erson to myself.

526
00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:19,679
Speaker 2: I can already see the newspaper headline in Philadelphia. What

527
00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 2: is it called, the Philadelphia Inquirer. Inquire Yeah, okay, acquire

528
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:27,399
Speaker 2: Eagles win running backs do matter?

529
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,560
Speaker 1: Do matter? You're gonna have people naming their kids Saquon

530
00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:35,520
Speaker 1: or even renaming them. That's gonna happen in Philadelphia. I'm

531
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:38,080
Speaker 1: telling you right now, it is absolutely going to happen there.

532
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:41,320
Speaker 1: So again, we're gonna have all the coverag here at

533
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:43,200
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. We're gonna break down the props. Next week,

534
00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,080
Speaker 1: Matt par Alton and I are gonna talk about Super Bowl.

535
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:46,760
Speaker 1: Andrew and I are gonna come back again see if

536
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,360
Speaker 1: anything is changed in some notions with any other news

537
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:51,919
Speaker 1: that might have dropped or things like that. Probably not,

538
00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 1: but you never know, and that's why you want to

539
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:57,000
Speaker 1: stay tuned in. We've got a lot of live events

540
00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:59,479
Speaker 1: happening next week regarding the Super Bowl, so make sure

541
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,880
Speaker 1: you subscribe to the YouTube channel, drop your comments below,

542
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,600
Speaker 1: and of course subscribe wherever you're your podcast, and don't

543
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 1: forget everybody to also make sure that you are downloading

544
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,040
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app so you can bet on the

545
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,920
Speaker 1: Super Bowl and get the best lines possible, because that's

546
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:17,199
Speaker 1: what it's all about. We want to make sure that

547
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,200
Speaker 1: you are making the best wager with the best investment,

548
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:21,800
Speaker 1: with the best knowledge. That's why we're here at Betting Pros.

549
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 1: That's our job to help you make good decisions and

550
00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:28,680
Speaker 1: hopefully we all enjoy a fun Super Bowl and all

551
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,600
Speaker 1: a profitable super Bowl as well. That'll do it for us,

552
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:33,879
Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for Andrew Ericson,

553
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids.

554
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

555
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

556
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Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on.

557
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:45,240
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558
00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:48,159
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559
00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:51,919
Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

560
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,520
Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros

561
00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:00,560
Speaker 1: S