1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,640 Speaker 1: Let's talk about Volkswagen. We've had a conversation with the CFO. 2 00:00:04,000 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: What is interesting here is basically what happens with electrification, 3 00:00:07,280 --> 00:00:09,520 Speaker 1: and I think that is the kind of the key theme. 4 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:12,960 Speaker 1: The electrication story has fallen flat to a certain extent, 5 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: but Volkswagen is still continuing to push really hard, thirty 6 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:18,600 Speaker 1: new products this year. Planning for thirty products, I mean 7 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:21,480 Speaker 1: that sounds like a lot. I think if you take 8 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: the tops off, there are similarities between many of those products. 9 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 2: And we shot about the share price share sounds seven 10 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 2: tenths of one percent to fight the proper the profits 11 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 2: actually coming in higher than expected. If we're talking about 12 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 2: these new models, how much demand actually is there for 13 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 2: the EV story. I think that's going to drive not 14 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:40,880 Speaker 2: only with the Volkswagen story, but the global EV story 15 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 2: as well. 16 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:43,559 Speaker 1: And how much of this is in Volkswagen's at all? 17 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 1: How do you reignite this story? This is what the 18 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: CFO has to say. 19 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 3: We didn't get a breakdown of how they're broken down 20 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 3: in terms of combustion engines, hybrids and electric vehicles. I'd 21 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 3: like to get an understanding of how that how it 22 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 3: breaks down in those categories. 23 00:00:57,000 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, birth thanks for coming to Berlin. Yeah, you talked 24 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 4: about the new models. The new models play a really 25 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 4: important role in going into the year twenty twenty four. 26 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 4: Twenty twenty four will be a challenging year. We have 27 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 4: macronomic environment is uncertain, we have interest rates still high 28 00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:19,479 Speaker 4: on inflation on the cost side, and there's a lot 29 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 4: of competition in the BB markets. But they're also positives. 30 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 4: The market will grow slightly and we bring some great 31 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 4: new models specifically on the BB side. Ima Khan will 32 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 4: be a great one. Accus x Eteron will be a 33 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 4: great one eighty seven tour of very important models for 34 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 4: the respective brains, and these models as an example for 35 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 4: twenty twenty four will bring us a significant positive tailwind 36 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 4: for twenty twenty three. They are also on new commuscially 37 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 4: engine models hitting the showroom specifically from brand Group Volume 38 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 4: and Brent Volksbag a Pazade, very famous one, Tigo and 39 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 4: a very important one. And that shows that we are 40 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 4: in the transition phase to electrification and digitalization and we 41 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 4: are convinced the future will be electric. We have a 42 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:09,359 Speaker 4: certain flexibility and the customer can choose and. 43 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:10,959 Speaker 3: I think that everyone agrees. I think you would agree 44 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 3: that the destination has not changed in terms of electrification, 45 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 3: but the rate at which they're traveling there. I think 46 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 3: everyone has been surprised by how much slower it is 47 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 3: than had been anticipated. What do you think needs to 48 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:24,480 Speaker 3: happen to reinvigorate electric vehicle demand and what is under 49 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:28,359 Speaker 3: Volkswagen's control to get people into better electric vehicles? 50 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 4: No, you're absolutely right. We are convinced the future will 51 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 4: be electric and we are preparing accordingly, but different markets 52 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:40,240 Speaker 4: a little bit different pace. China is developing rather fast 53 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:46,519 Speaker 4: towards electrification in Europe and US slightly slower, But we 54 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 4: are convinced with more models available, both in the premium 55 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 4: segment and also in the volume segment, and as you know, 56 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 4: we bring also a twenty five thousand euro car in 57 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 4: twenty twenty six. With more affordability of electric cars and 58 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 4: also with the increase of charging infrastructure, we will gradually 59 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 4: see an increase of the BB share in the overall market. 60 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 3: And do you think that? Do you think that? So 61 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 3: it seems like regulators and consumers maybe want different things. 62 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 3: Do you think twenty thirty five is a realistic target 63 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:23,360 Speaker 3: in Europe to get rid of all combustion engines, I. 64 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 4: Said before, we have really an ambitious transformation plan towards 65 00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 4: electrification and we are planning accordingly up from here to 66 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:38,200 Speaker 4: twenty twenty five. It's up to the customers to choose. 67 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 4: But from a legal lator side, we need stability and 68 00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 4: we have that stability in Europe. We have a decision 69 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 4: and we are planning accordingly to twenty thirty five a 70 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 4: runout of combustion engine cars and this is how we 71 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 4: set up our investments. 72 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 3: And then in terms of the cost cuts going forwar 73 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 3: because if it's not going to be a very strong 74 00:03:57,800 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 3: growth here and maybe pricing power isn't where it has 75 00:03:59,880 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 3: been in the last couple of years, you're gonna have 76 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 3: to focus on cost. Where the cost cut's going to 77 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 3: come and can you get VW to where it needs 78 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 3: to be on margins? 79 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 4: Know quite right, I said, twenty twenty four will be 80 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 4: a challenging year, but we launch really ambitious efficiency programs, 81 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 4: not only in Brand Folksvarn, also in Brand Group, Core 82 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 4: and the whole group, and they will be very important 83 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 4: to support our profitability. Look, we are in an industry 84 00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 4: and transformation. We have great products, but in order to 85 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 4: be able to powerfully invest into the future. We need 86 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 4: sufficient profitability and the cost improvement has to come from 87 00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:39,840 Speaker 4: at least the major part has to come from the 88 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:45,080 Speaker 4: fixed cost site overhead costs, other fixed costs, also improvement 89 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 4: in productivity. These are the things we are looking at. 90 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:50,599 Speaker 3: And thinking a little bit about. Also your growth and 91 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 3: your future. Obviously, China has been an absolutely crucial and 92 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 3: immense market for Volkswagen. However it's basically flatlined last year 93 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:59,359 Speaker 3: two percent growth only when you did twenty percent in 94 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 3: the US and in North America. What is your is 95 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 3: what is your assumption for the Chinese market over the 96 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 3: next twelve eighteen months. Is it that it will not 97 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:09,359 Speaker 3: really contribute that much to growth? 98 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 4: So this is a very rareic question. To understand it, 99 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:18,359 Speaker 4: that must be a little bit broader of you. We 100 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 4: launch a catch up landach. We realize we brought great borogs, 101 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:23,720 Speaker 4: but we had to catch up. We have to catch 102 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:27,680 Speaker 4: up specifically in driving as system function, in INCA entertainment, 103 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 4: also in we need cheaper batteries. We need elf pay batteries. 104 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:33,920 Speaker 4: All the competitors have lf pay batteries. We have more 105 00:05:33,960 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 4: expensive on nmcs. And we launched this catch up program 106 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 4: and in addition to that we bring two to new 107 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:45,039 Speaker 4: cars on a platform from a partner. But these measures 108 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 4: will take until twenty twenty six, and along with our 109 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:52,599 Speaker 4: value over volume strategy, we are deliberately prepared to give 110 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 4: up market chair in the next I would say one 111 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 4: to two years twenty twenty four twenty twenty five, in 112 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:02,599 Speaker 4: order to find a sound compromise between margins and volume. 113 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:05,360 Speaker 4: But from twenty twenty six onwards we want to regain 114 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 4: share also in the BB segment. 115 00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 3: And so by twenty twenty seven, let's say, where would 116 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 3: you like to see market share for battery electric vehicles 117 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:12,320 Speaker 3: in China? 118 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 4: The battery electric vehicle market share and twenty twenty seven 119 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 4: should should abroad like from twenty twenty seven onwents a 120 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:23,080 Speaker 4: share we have currently in the market in average okay, 121 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:26,800 Speaker 4: but not from twenty twenty four to twenty twenty six, 122 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,039 Speaker 4: but rather twenty twenty seven on wards. 123 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:31,800 Speaker 3: And in terms of obviously we have this EV probe 124 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,000 Speaker 3: going on from the Europeans into China. Are you concerned 125 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:36,520 Speaker 3: that that is going to come back as retaliatory tariffs 126 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 3: with some of your models that you produce in Europe 127 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:39,599 Speaker 3: going over to China. 128 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:44,359 Speaker 4: We are a global company, and we stand for free trade, 129 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 4: we stand for open markets, and this is where we 130 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:48,680 Speaker 4: stand for and this is what we what we advocate for. 131 00:06:50,320 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 3: And in terms of are you excited about having an 132 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 3: F one team and the audio portfolio? Have you enough 133 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 3: F one team? 134 00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:00,719 Speaker 4: I'm excited. I am I excited. They have two hearts 135 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:04,839 Speaker 4: in my clift. Yes, it's a great opportunity Fauty, but 136 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 4: they're also costing curt and we have to compensate for 137 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:10,679 Speaker 4: that on the cost site in terms of the efficiency programs. 138 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:11,600 Speaker 4: This is what I can say. 139 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 3: And then about these sort of one sort of topic 140 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 3: that's not the most glamorous in the car industry, but 141 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 3: it's the residual value of evs, which is obviously we've 142 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 3: seen fall off of a cliff and has huge implications 143 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 3: for everybody. It's a massive market. How do you put 144 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:25,720 Speaker 3: a floor under the residual values and how do you 145 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:29,760 Speaker 3: diagnose what's happening in the secondary market for battery electric vehicles? 146 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 4: Now the sideral values have come down slightly, but they 147 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 4: are still rather healthy. If you compare the recidial values 148 00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 4: with like if the past, you have to take into 149 00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 4: account that we come from a period where we had 150 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 4: not enough chips and not enough new costs, so the 151 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 4: recidial values were driven by extraordinary high use car prices, 152 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 4: and these prices have come down significantly both for the combustion, ergy, 153 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 4: cast and electrical costs, so it's more like a normalization. 154 00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 4: And second, if you calculate the residual values, they are 155 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 4: often calculated or they're genetically calculated from the list price 156 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:13,240 Speaker 4: to what you get for the for the use card. 157 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:17,240 Speaker 4: But in a lot of European markets there are subsidies 158 00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 4: schemes with thousands of euros in place, so most of 159 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 4: the customers don't really pay the list price. So if 160 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 4: you adjust for these factors, the recidial values in a 161 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 4: BVS are on a rather healthy basis. 162 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:32,680 Speaker 3: And just very quickly this despite a challenging year. What 163 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 3: is going to be the biggest growth market for you 164 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:35,080 Speaker 3: guys this year? 165 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 4: The breggst growth market should be North America, should be US. 166 00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 4: We have unique chances to grow profitable in the US 167 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 4: this year twenty twenty four and the years to come, 168 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 4: and we really want to seize this chance. 169 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 3: And that is even before the introduction of the SCOUT, 170 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 3: which is very much looking forward. 171 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,360 Speaker 4: To you're quite right. This will then boost twenty twenty six, 172 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:56,240 Speaker 4: twenty twenty seven, I must say, we'll give another boost 173 00:08:56,440 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 4: in the our us. 174 00:08:57,840 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 3: All right, ma Arno, And let's thank you so much 175 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 3: for your time today. 176 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:00,960 Speaker 4: Thank you very much. 177 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 2: Arnold Antletz there, the CFO of Volkswagen, speaking to our 178 00:09:04,280 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 2: very own Oliver Krook