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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Monday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perolt.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt, and welcome to vacation week here

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Speaker 1: in the blistery, very wet and kind of dangerous Northeast

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Speaker 1: as we're dealing with an ice storm here in New England.

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Speaker 1: Not really something that I see all that often in

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Speaker 1: Las Vegas. But this is where we're going to be

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Speaker 1: for the week. If you guys are wondering about my

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Speaker 1: other show, The Bostonian Versus the Book or BVB as

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Speaker 1: the hat says, we are off for the week, so

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Speaker 1: there is no BVB. This is where you get the

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Speaker 1: picks in the place here for the Daily Juice as

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Speaker 1: to what you're going to see me from my content

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Speaker 1: perspective for here up until the week right for this

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Speaker 1: week up until January second and third, So I will

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Speaker 1: be taking a couple off from the Daily Jews after

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Speaker 1: the first of the year, so you'll get a December

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Speaker 1: thirty first podcast tape January first. Essentially, we'll tape it

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Speaker 1: on the morning and then we're going to be off

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Speaker 1: for January second and January third, and then back on

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Speaker 1: January the fourth for Sunday for week number eighteen of

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Speaker 1: the NFL. Yes, there will be a Saturday night game

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Speaker 1: that will be taking place, So I'm going to try

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Speaker 1: to have to figure out how I navigate that a

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Speaker 1: little bit here, but the Juice will probably wind up

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Speaker 1: giving you that bet at some point during the week,

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Speaker 1: probably Thursday. On Thursday's podcast on January the first, I'll

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Speaker 1: give you the place for Saturday, and then we'll tape

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Speaker 1: Sunday morning, and then we'll do a live stream on

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Speaker 1: Sunday here and in New Hampshire, and then I'll head

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Speaker 1: back to Las Vegas on Sunday night. So that's kind

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Speaker 1: of how the week is going to go for us here.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of weeks, a four point one unit week last week,

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Speaker 1: a very nice way to end the first or the

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Speaker 1: last official week of twenty twenty five.

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Speaker 2: It has been a really good year.

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Speaker 1: This has been after what happened last year in twenty

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Speaker 1: four in which we lost twenty units on the year.

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Speaker 1: We have made that up and some here for us,

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Speaker 1: and that's a really good week. No, we got a

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Speaker 1: couple of days left here of twenty twenty five. Before

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Speaker 1: we wrap the year completely, I will give you a

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Speaker 1: full year recap at some point next week so you

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Speaker 1: guys can see what we did and you know what

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Speaker 1: we wound up doing. You know, there are some categories

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Speaker 1: we've done very well, the NFL, Major League Baseball, we've

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Speaker 1: done very well. There's some categories we did really poorly.

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Speaker 1: College football, college basketball, two sports that generally speaking, I

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Speaker 1: have done very well in my career. Betting not not

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Speaker 1: a good year, not a good year at all. So

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Speaker 1: you know, some ups and some downs, but prop betting

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Speaker 1: have been I mean, the NBA prop betting market was

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Speaker 1: tremendous in twenty twenty five. We look to do even

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Speaker 1: more with that coming up in twenty twenty six as

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Speaker 1: we continue to look to build and keep rolling. So

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Speaker 1: very good year for twenty five, for a profitable year

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Speaker 1: for twenty five and making up for last year and

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Speaker 1: some for twenty four. So we head on into twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty six in a couple of days. So what happened yesterday, Well,

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Speaker 1: that was a really good day.

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Speaker 2: Yesterday.

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Speaker 1: We woant up three and one. Christian McCaffrey was awesome

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Speaker 1: in that game. If you guys were watching the live stream.

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Speaker 1: I had that prop bet of over his rushing and receiving.

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Speaker 1: That was I went one in two on my prop

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Speaker 1: bets yesterday, but those weren't official plays. Seahawks win, Seahawks cover,

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Speaker 1: Bengals win, Bengals cover, Niners win, Niners cover. Our hard

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Speaker 1: rock bet of the day goes to nine and five

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Speaker 1: after the win there. But then the stupid Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Man,

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Speaker 1: if they win their game, we wind up sweeping and

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Speaker 1: have a huge Sunday. Instead, Jaguars win, Tampa Bay loses

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Speaker 1: to the Miami Dolphins, and it sets up a monster

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Speaker 1: day for us on Sunday with the Bucks and the

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Speaker 1: Panthers playing for the NFC South.

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Speaker 2: Now, if you remember, we have a bet. I went

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Speaker 2: pretty heavy on this bet.

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Speaker 1: It's only one unit officially, but I went pretty heavy

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Speaker 1: on the Bucks at plus one ten to win the

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Speaker 1: NFC South. We will one hundred percent be looking to

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Speaker 1: hedge coming up here, because I'm not so sure the

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Speaker 1: Buccaneers are going to win that game. Dougs on the road.

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Speaker 1: For the Panthers, they've been just this team that you

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Speaker 1: don't want to bet against. In the Bucks, Baker Mayfield

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Speaker 1: is so banged up like the offense is so banged

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Speaker 1: up for Tampa Bay and so I do not trust them.

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Speaker 1: So we will be doing some hedging. I'm not you know,

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Speaker 1: hedgings for gardeners, except when you think you're in the

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Speaker 1: wrong of it, and I'm not so sure. Would definitely

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Speaker 1: be taking the Panthers at plus three and a half

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Speaker 1: coming up at some point in this week, So stay

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Speaker 1: tuned for that.

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Speaker 2: As to hedging off of what's going to happen.

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Speaker 1: For us with that play for the one unit bet

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Speaker 1: a plus one ten for the Bucks to win the division.

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Speaker 1: The forty nine ers, we have them at plus one

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Speaker 1: sixty to win the division. They have a championship game

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Speaker 1: for the NFC West coming up against Seattle, so we

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Speaker 1: got to watch that. That game gets impacted by the

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Speaker 1: game tonight with the Seahawks and the foul with the

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Speaker 1: Rams and the Falcons. As long as the Rams win

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Speaker 1: the game, which I think they're going to Rams win

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Speaker 1: the game, that sets up that championship game for the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks and the for the six.

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Speaker 2: And the Rams.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the fort nine is rather coming up here

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Speaker 1: on this weekend. I think it's Sunday they're playing that game,

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Speaker 1: so just a lot of Really, we're in a good position.

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Speaker 1: We got a lot of bets rolling to the last week,

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Speaker 1: a lot of things we got to look at. You know,

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Speaker 1: we've already cashed on the Colts to miss the division.

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Speaker 1: If you had that bet that cashed, I didn't put

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Speaker 1: that on a chart. I should have that cash yesterday, Colts,

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Speaker 1: because all my bets are going to pay out at

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Speaker 1: the end of the year, so I can do a

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Speaker 1: full after the regular season, after next week, so I

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Speaker 1: can do a full counting of this. It will go

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Speaker 1: on to the record for twenty five Okay. I count

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Speaker 1: the bet, not when the bet cash is when the

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Speaker 1: bet was made.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: That's how I do the accounting on those things. So

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Speaker 1: we That's why I'm gonna wait for everything to kind

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Speaker 1: of populate after this weekend and then we can roll

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Speaker 1: over and add it on to next year or last

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Speaker 1: year rather for that. So Colts missed the division, came in,

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Speaker 1: Giants under five and a half wins came in, over

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Speaker 1: nine and a half wins for the Broncos came in. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we could very well get the Niners to win the division,

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Speaker 1: the Bucks to win the division. We have the championship bets. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: we are four of them with the Patriots and the Jags.

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Speaker 1: We've got the other two in the NFC, We've got

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks, and I forget the third bet, the fourth

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Speaker 1: the fourth bet that we've got from another team to

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Speaker 1: win the championship in the NFC. But we have those

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Speaker 1: four futures heading into the playoffs, so you know, we

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Speaker 1: may add to that before the bracket gets underway. So

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Speaker 1: a lot of good stuff happening for us, a lot

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Speaker 1: of good coming at you, So we'll do that. Coming

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Speaker 1: up today, I've got Monday Night Football, two bets on

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Speaker 1: that game and one bet in the NBA for us.

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Speaker 1: From a prop bet cheat sheet perspective, if you guys

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Speaker 1: are interested in the NBA for prop bet, cheat shitting

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Speaker 1: or betting, you guys can check out the prop bet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet.

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Speaker 2: It's available.

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Speaker 1: NFL and NBA prop bet cheat sheets are up to

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Speaker 1: get the best value plays every day. Get daily prop

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Speaker 1: value betting based on rankings and projection. You can find

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Speaker 1: the best props for all major categories. For the NFL,

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Speaker 1: it's rushing, passing, receiving, scoring. For the NBA, points, rebounds, assists,

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Speaker 1: the five Star NFL plays have hit at a fifty

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Speaker 1: seven percent rate this year. That's up ninety four units.

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Speaker 1: The NBA has got off to a very good start

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Speaker 1: as well. You guys can use to use it right

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Speaker 1: now by going to bettingpros dot com slash props or

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Speaker 1: go to the Betting Pros app to check out what

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Speaker 1: you can find on the Betting Pros prop bet Chi sheet. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's start tonight with the Rams and the Falcons. So

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Speaker 1: you've got a game here for the Rams after losing

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Speaker 1: to the Seahawks on Thursday Night football and after a loss,

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Speaker 1: Sean McVay is somebody that we absolutely want to back.

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Speaker 1: He's thirty nine, sorry, thirty two to nineteen and one

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Speaker 1: off of a loss, off of a game in which

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Speaker 1: he lost at night he's eight four and one.

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Speaker 2: Ats.

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Speaker 1: The Rams were kicking themselves after losing a big lead

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Speaker 1: under McVeigh. The team bounces back big time after blowing

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Speaker 1: a game that has a double digit lead four to

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Speaker 1: oh straight up and four to oh against the spread

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Speaker 1: in these spots. For the Rams, they need this to

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Speaker 1: keep pace in the conference in terms of where they're

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Speaker 1: going to be from a wild card perspective, they're not

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Speaker 1: going to catch the Seahawks or the forty nine ers,

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Speaker 1: but it's still a very big game, and we get

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Speaker 1: to fade Kirk Cousins, who has not been good. Kirk

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Speaker 1: Cousins since twenty twenty playing indoors, he is eighteen and

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Speaker 1: thirty four against the spread, five and thirteen ats over

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Speaker 1: the last three seasons, and on Monday Night football. Kirk

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Speaker 1: Cousins was really really bad to start his career, one

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Speaker 1: of the worst. He's better recently. He's won straight up

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Speaker 1: the last two starts for the Falcons, but he started

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Speaker 1: his career oh to nine straight up and and nine

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Speaker 1: against the spread. I don't like this matchup for the

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Speaker 1: Falcons here. They've been eliminated. They're not making the postseason.

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Speaker 1: The Rams need this game. The Rams have been very

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Speaker 1: good in the month of December under Sean McVay as

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Speaker 1: a head coach. McVay is twenty eight and twelve straight

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Speaker 1: up in twenty eight, eleven and one against the spread

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Speaker 1: in the month of December, three and zero against the

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Speaker 1: spread during twenty twenty five. In December here and since

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Speaker 1: it started twenty one, Sean McVay is eighteen and three

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Speaker 1: ats in December. The Falcons have been better of late,

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Speaker 1: but I just don't think they get it done here.

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Speaker 1: I like the Rams to go in there and get

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Speaker 1: a pretty easy victory and get a W. I'm going

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Speaker 1: with the Rams here to get the W. Rams minus

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Speaker 1: seven at minus one twenty for one point two units. Now,

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Speaker 1: on the prop bet cheat sheet side of things, we're

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Speaker 1: going to jump in with Blake Korum. Prop bet cheat

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Speaker 1: sheet likes him to go over forty nine and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing and receiving. This has been a prop that

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Speaker 1: I've looked at a lot with running backs here in

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Speaker 1: the later part of the year. Quarterbacks aren't looking to

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Speaker 1: make big mistakes and throw interceptions that you can run

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Speaker 1: and you can receive. Both these guys in the screen game.

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Speaker 1: You know, I took three running backs yesterday. I'm coming

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Speaker 1: back with Blake Korm here today. Gone over this number.

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Speaker 1: Four straight games for him with the Rams over forty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half at minus one fifteen. He said

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Speaker 1: sixty one, seventy one, one, thirty one and eighty one

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Speaker 1: over the last four games, three of those four games

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Speaker 1: being on the road against Seattle, Arizona and Carolina. I

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Speaker 1: keep it rolling here with Blake Korum the projection is

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Speaker 1: to go over fifty three point two rushing and receiving yards.

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Speaker 1: It's a sixty nine percent cover probability and a plus

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Speaker 1: thirty two expected value to five star play for the

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Speaker 1: prop at cheat sheet, we're going with Blake Korum to

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Speaker 1: go over forty nine and a half rushing and receiving

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Speaker 1: yards tonight for the Rams on Monday Night football. Now,

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Speaker 1: if you guys are looking for a place to jump

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Speaker 1: week seventeen here in the NFL on Monday Night. But

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Speaker 1: the hard Rock Bet app to day and get after it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So I'm going to go with one NBA prop here

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Speaker 1: for tonight, and we're gonna look at the Bucks and

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Speaker 1: Ryan Rollins, who's been on a role here for points,

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Speaker 1: rebounds and assists. He's gone over this number five times.

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Speaker 1: His projected number is set at twenty two and a

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Speaker 1: half at hard Rock Bet. The prop bet chi Chi

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Speaker 1: is projecting twenty nine point rebounds and assists. This is

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Speaker 1: a seventy seven percent cover probability and a plus thirty

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Speaker 1: nine percent expected value. And remember forty percent is the

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Speaker 1: highest it gets five star play as well as the

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Speaker 1: Bucks are on the road against Charlotte. He's had a

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Speaker 1: really good run of it and been a very big

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Speaker 1: active member of this offense. Here gone over this number

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Speaker 1: three the last four games for his points, rebounds and assists,

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Speaker 1: but over twenty two and a half in four straight games.

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Speaker 1: He had thirty two, twenty four, thirty four and twenty

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Speaker 1: five over the last four games. So we're gonna roll

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Speaker 1: with this with the prope at Chichie and we're going

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Speaker 1: to take the bucks. Ryan Rollins to go over points,

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Speaker 1: rebounds and assists twenty two and a half tonight up

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Speaker 1: against Charlotte. So plays for US here today for the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice rams minus seven at a MISUS one twenty

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Speaker 1: for one point two units, Blake over forty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half rushing and receiving yards at mine's one point fifteen,

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Speaker 1: and Ryan Rollins over twenty two and a half points,

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Speaker 1: rebounds and assists. As we start the last week of

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, it will gets interrupted by New Year's

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Speaker 1: Eve halfway into it last couple of days of twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five.

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Speaker 2: Mine is Mat Parolti.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 2: It is the Daily Juice