1 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 1: What the guys? 2 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning edition of 3 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 2: the Daly Juice Podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports Doc. 4 00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 2: Matt is my Twitter handle at Betting Pros their Twitter handle. 5 00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:26,080 Speaker 2: The offer is from betmgm every morning. It's a ten 6 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 2: dollars bet to win one hundred and fifty dollars. I 7 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 2: have a bet MGM offer for you, a bet that's 8 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 2: only at BETMGM that you can bet if you would 9 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:37,280 Speaker 2: like with that ten buck offer one hundred and fifty 10 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:41,160 Speaker 2: dollars promo code Juice one fifty. Get you that ten 11 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 2: dollars bet, you make the ten dollars bet, then you 12 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 2: get one hundred and fifty dollars in free bets from 13 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:49,960 Speaker 2: BETMGM with a new account. Not valid in Nevada, butt 14 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 2: valid anywhere else. Bet mgm operates in this great country. Okay, 15 00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 2: So two and one night last night, bounce back. So 16 00:00:56,640 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 2: we went winning day, losing day, winning day, not compared 17 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 2: to where we were to start the week. So I'll 18 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 2: take it. Two and one. We get the NBA wrong, 19 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 2: but we bounce back with hockey zero and two two 20 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:13,120 Speaker 2: nights ago. Two and zero last night under easy over 21 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 2: easy Calgary and Edmonton. I'm not betting an under in 22 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 2: that series ever. And then the under and the Rangers. 23 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 2: I don't think I'm betting and over in the Carolina 24 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 2: Ranger series either, So they'll probably have to put up 25 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 2: a five at some point. And then if it's a five, 26 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 2: you know the rule when a pre flop five pops, 27 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:34,199 Speaker 2: we bet over just because it's too low. But they'll 28 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:35,840 Speaker 2: be afraid of that, so they put up five and 29 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:38,679 Speaker 2: a half. So well've betten under in those games. 30 00:01:39,240 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 1: Okay. 31 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 2: So here's where we're going is a busy sports Saturday, Preakness, UFC, PGA, basketball, 32 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 2: and hockey. All right, So I have an NBA bet, 33 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 2: i have an NHL bet, I have a UFC bet, 34 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 2: and I've got a golf bet at bet MGM. I'm 35 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 2: not betting the Preakness nine horses. I'm pulling for the 36 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 2: Philly Secret Oath. Would be awesome to see her go 37 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 2: and run and win. Not a horse guy. I watched 38 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 2: the race. I don't have any inside information. It's not 39 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 2: going to be heavily bet race. Only nine horses, no 40 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 2: triple Crown. You know we're not going to see Rich 41 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 2: Strike is not out there, so it's you know, a 42 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 2: lot less of an interest in this race for the 43 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 2: Preakness at Pimlico. But I'll watch it, but I'm just 44 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 2: not going to bet it. So big sports day, fun, 45 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:30,959 Speaker 2: sports Day, fun race, but I'm not going to bet it. 46 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 2: All right, let's start with Boston hosting the Miami Heat. Man, 47 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 2: I don't know what to do with this. Part of 48 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 2: me says, take Miami plus two points. Okay, part of 49 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 2: me says six and a half is really heavy, But 50 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 2: the other part of me says that Boston matches up 51 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 2: really well when healthy, and what happened in Game two 52 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 2: was not an anomaly. It should happen in Game three. 53 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,079 Speaker 2: Boston plays better at home, like most most teams do. 54 00:02:57,320 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 2: They play better defensively at home, they hit more shots 55 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 2: at home, and I think they just know that they're 56 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:05,679 Speaker 2: better than the Miami Heat. People say I dismissed the 57 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:08,239 Speaker 2: Heat too fast. Maybe I am Okay, maybe I was 58 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:11,080 Speaker 2: dead wrong about this series that Boston's going to win 59 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 2: this series. But I do think Boston's going to win 60 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 2: this series, and I do think Boston wins Game three. 61 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 2: So the question is going to be does Boston cover 62 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 2: six and a half It is really heavy. I'm not 63 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:25,359 Speaker 2: gonna lie, but Boston at home this year twenty one, 64 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 2: twenty four and two not great, but against the Eastern 65 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:32,799 Speaker 2: Conference thirty five, twenty eight and two, opposite against their 66 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 2: division eleven eight and one. Now, Miami's really good on 67 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 2: the road twenty seven, eighteen and one. ATS not going 68 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:43,120 Speaker 2: to deny that. But Boston has covered three of the 69 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 2: last four games here in the playoffs, five at the 70 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 2: last seven, and they just looked really comfortable. And I 71 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 2: don't know what Miami does other than hitting more shots, 72 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 2: which granted it's make or miss league. Just think Boston's 73 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 2: more talented. I think Boston's got more weapons. And when 74 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 2: they have Al Horford and they have Marcus Smart, which 75 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 2: they did not have in Game one, and they will 76 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 2: have here in Game three, Boston wins and covers, I'll 77 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 2: lay the six and a half. 78 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 1: I lean over two seven and a half, I lean over. 79 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:16,920 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna bet it, though, because it could have 80 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 2: a blowout, it could turn into an undergame, so I 81 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 2: don't really want to pay attention to that. The only 82 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:24,560 Speaker 2: thing we got wrong yesterday was that Luca blew a 83 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 2: nineteen point lead to the Warriors Warriors win the game 84 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 2: and they cover win by nine. 85 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 1: That's stunk. 86 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:33,279 Speaker 2: I mean to be up by nineteen holding a ticket 87 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 2: on plus six and we lose. That sucks, but over 88 00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 2: by twenty two points, over by twenty three points. I 89 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:44,359 Speaker 2: would bet this streak and bet the over. I'll personally 90 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 2: bet the over Celtics and the over. Official play though 91 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 2: Boston minus six and a half against the Miami Heats 92 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:57,160 Speaker 2: for half a unit. I cannot figure out the Colorado series. 93 00:04:57,560 --> 00:05:00,839 Speaker 2: I just can't figure out what to do here. Avalanche 94 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:04,359 Speaker 2: or minus one sixty five on the road. Blues are 95 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:07,280 Speaker 2: plus one forty five plus one fifty. I lean Blues, 96 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:09,919 Speaker 2: I really do. Six and a half is juice to 97 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 2: the over. I lean towards the over, but I could 98 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 2: easily see a four to one win for the Blues. Defensively, 99 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 2: they played so well in Game two. I'm gonna pass. 100 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:22,360 Speaker 2: I'll in game bet this game. Not gonna bet Colorado. 101 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 1: St. Louis. 102 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 2: Don't know what to do with it. I will bet under, however, 103 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 2: under Florida Tampa. Shop around for the best price. Okay, 104 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 2: you can look at a variety of different options in 105 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 2: terms of what to do with the under minus one 106 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 2: twenty is kind of the consensus number out there DraftKings, Bet, MGM, FanDuel. 107 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:45,920 Speaker 2: They're all minas one twenty. That's number I'm gonna play here. 108 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 2: I'm going under six and a half. First two games 109 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 2: were under. I think this game is going to go under. 110 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 2: I think defensively, Tampa is really good at home. I 111 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:57,920 Speaker 2: lean Tampa to win the game, but it's a coin flip. 112 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 2: I mean Tampa is up to two two games to none. 113 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:04,280 Speaker 2: Florida is playing for their lives. That's why it's gonna 114 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 2: play like a game seven. So in game seven, I 115 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 2: lean towards the under. Florida's got to win. I think 116 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 2: they'll play tight. I think Tampa will will play defensively. 117 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 2: I think they'll be in a shell. I think Tampa. 118 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:18,039 Speaker 2: I lean Tampa to win the game, but I'll play 119 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:20,760 Speaker 2: the under instead. Under six and a half goals at 120 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:22,920 Speaker 2: minus one twenty. 121 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 1: Okay one UFC bet. 122 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 2: It's the headline fight between Holly Holme and kitlyn Vera. 123 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:31,679 Speaker 2: Last time we saw kitlyn Vera, she was or kaitlyn Vera. 124 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 2: She was defeating Misa Tate by decision on a five 125 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 2: round main event fight. We've not seen Misia Tate fights. 126 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 2: Since that loss, Holly Holme has won her last two fights. 127 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:45,840 Speaker 2: She lost to Amanda Nunez, but she beat Aldanna and 128 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 2: she beat Pennington. You know, she's getting up there in age, 129 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 2: but in the bandamweight division, she's still a very, very 130 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:57,359 Speaker 2: difficult fighter to face one hundred and thirty five pounder 131 00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 2: averaging seventeen minutes per fight time or her fourteen point 132 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 2: fourteen to sixteen for Vera. This is a five round 133 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:08,679 Speaker 2: main event fight. I think this fight goes all five 134 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 2: rounds and the books agree. I mean, right now, if 135 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 2: you want to bet the under in this fight, it's 136 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 2: kind of startling you want to look at it. The 137 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:20,200 Speaker 2: under in this fight is big time plus money. It 138 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 2: is a let's see, it's minus two to thirty five 139 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 2: favorite for Home right now. The over is minus two 140 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 2: thirty five for this So the books are dramatically telegraphing 141 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:33,240 Speaker 2: this fight will go the distance. Holly Holm to win 142 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:36,720 Speaker 2: by decision is minus one twenty. We just played Mius 143 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 2: one twenty on the Tampa Bay under half a unit 144 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 2: minus one twenty. I think Holly Home wins by decision. Here. 145 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 2: Holmes Ovieira gonna be a good fight. I think this 146 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 2: is to be a good fight. I think in terms 147 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:52,040 Speaker 2: of you know, it would be on the it will 148 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 2: be on I'm probably on the feet most likely. 149 00:07:55,760 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 1: I mean striking accuracy. 150 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 2: Both fighters are thirty eight percent strike absorbed two point 151 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 2: eight to four point zero seven. Vieira gets touched defensive 152 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 2: why fifty seven percent defensive wise? Holmes is not going 153 00:08:08,520 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 2: to try to submit you and Verea really isn't either, 154 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 2: So take down defense ninety percent for Vieira, seventy six 155 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 2: percent for Holly Holm. This fight will be on the feat. 156 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 2: Most likely Home will win this fight by decision. Home 157 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 2: half a unit win this fight minus one twenty Holly 158 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 2: Holm to win the fight main event at UFC Fight 159 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:32,679 Speaker 2: Night Holmes versus Vieira. Home wins by decision at minus 160 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:37,000 Speaker 2: one twenty and one more bet here for the PGA. 161 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 1: Did you guys see. 162 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 2: What happened with Justin Thomas yesterday to see how well 163 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 2: he played? Now, I very well might bet on Wills 164 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:47,320 Speaker 2: e Latorres and I very well bet on Justin Thomas, 165 00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 2: Roy McElroy there as well. 166 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 1: Mitol Pierra was unbelievable. 167 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 2: Show sixty four had a plot for Birdie to go 168 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 2: sixty three to be the third golfer ever to cart 169 00:08:56,400 --> 00:09:00,600 Speaker 2: a sixty three at a golf tournament at this at Hills. 170 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 1: Betemgm's got this. 171 00:09:02,880 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 2: Bet though, now the weather is going to be chilly 172 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:09,000 Speaker 2: and not that windy but wet. 173 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 1: It's not gonna be that nice. It's gonna be kind 174 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 1: of crap weather here. 175 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:14,559 Speaker 2: That's how And that was the temperature, and that was 176 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 2: the conditions that Justin Thomas played in yesterday where he 177 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:22,320 Speaker 2: went out was out breaking standing. So bedem jm's got 178 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 2: this Justin Thomas prop. Bet Justin Thomas to go and 179 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:34,280 Speaker 2: shoot sixty eight or better. Justin Thomas, sixty eight or better. 180 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 2: It's plus money, it's plus one forty. It's a little 181 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:44,160 Speaker 2: bit of a shocking prop, to be quite honest. And 182 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 2: I'm like, hmm, you can shop around, you can try 183 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 2: to find this, But this is where I would jump 184 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 2: in here and say, I like Justin Thomas in head 185 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 2: to heads, I like Justin Thomas to go ahead and 186 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:05,119 Speaker 2: get a plus one forty victory. Here Justin Thomas, props 187 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 2: search around and find it. Bet MGM's got it for 188 00:10:08,679 --> 00:10:10,760 Speaker 2: him to shoot sixty eight or better. 189 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: So I bet them GYM last night jump on it. 190 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:18,200 Speaker 2: Justin Thomas sixty eight are better at plus one forty 191 00:10:18,280 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 2: bet MGM's got the bet for you right now to 192 00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 2: jump in on that. Go on to half a unit 193 00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 2: riding Justin Thomas here to pop in. Don't mind him 194 00:10:24,920 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 2: at plus three fifty to win the tournament either. You 195 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 2: want to take a riot fly er on that half 196 00:10:28,480 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 2: a unit Justin Thomas to go ahead and jump on that. 197 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:34,439 Speaker 1: So bets for today on a Saturday. 198 00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 2: By the way, no live chat, no Discord bet chat 199 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:39,400 Speaker 2: tonight today crazy Saturday morning. 200 00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:40,280 Speaker 1: I'm really busy. 201 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 2: I got a bunch, I got my kids solo for 202 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:43,720 Speaker 2: the weekend, so it's going to be kind of nuts. 203 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:45,400 Speaker 1: So I'm not going to be able to. 204 00:10:45,480 --> 00:10:48,680 Speaker 2: Do the live chat today, but bring it back hopefully 205 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,240 Speaker 2: next week or the week after. We'll have him well 206 00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:53,080 Speaker 2: you know, it's it's the dead time of sports. But 207 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 2: we'll do something most like the NBA Finals or whatnot. 208 00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 2: We'll do that for the live chat off the Discord channels. 209 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 2: None of that today. Boston my six and a half, 210 00:11:01,720 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 2: half a unit under six and a half, Tampa and 211 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 2: Florida Mius one twenty Holly Holm by decision half a 212 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:11,080 Speaker 2: unit Mius one twenty and Justin Thomas to go sixty 213 00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 2: eight or lower at plus one forty for a half 214 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:16,959 Speaker 2: a unit at BETMGM minus Matt Paroltz. Follow me on 215 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 2: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, It's 216 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 2: still just podcast. I was being brought to you by 217 00:11:21,960 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 2: BETHAMGM