1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: Second hour of Play and Buck kicks off with our 2 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: friend Ryan Gerdusky does not have a pag'er on his 3 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: person as far as I know right now, does not 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:12,080 Speaker 1: have a paper, he joins us. 5 00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:15,160 Speaker 2: He is, of course the host of It's a Numbers Game. 6 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 3: Like Clay and Forever, you two are like bonded in 7 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 3: the special brotherhood of banned from CNN. So Clay is 8 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 3: banned from CNN, Ryan is banned from CNN. 9 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:28,320 Speaker 2: Quite honestly, I. 10 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:30,480 Speaker 3: Feel a little left out, but it's all worked out 11 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 3: because Ryan's podcast is fantastic. Highly recommend you go check 12 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 3: it out in the Clay and Buck podcast network. He 13 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:40,279 Speaker 3: is also now on YouTube. It's a Numbers Game. If 14 00:00:40,280 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 3: you just want to know more about politics and impress 15 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 3: all your friends who think they understand what's going on 16 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:47,360 Speaker 3: in the elections or just the polls month to month 17 00:00:47,440 --> 00:00:50,839 Speaker 3: or any data out there, listen to It's a Numbers 18 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 3: Game and just steal all of what Ryan says. He 19 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 3: gives you full permission if you watch and listen to 20 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 3: steal what he says and tell all of your annoying 21 00:00:57,080 --> 00:01:01,520 Speaker 3: lib friends. All right, Ryan, with all that, and we 22 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 3: appreciate you making the time for us. Let's dive and 23 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 3: we got three important races here. You know what will 24 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:09,959 Speaker 3: make it to a dealer's choice. Which one do you 25 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:10,760 Speaker 3: want to dive into? 26 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 2: First? We've got New Jersey, Virginia, New York City mayor's race. 27 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 2: What do you think? 28 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:18,119 Speaker 4: Let's talk about New York City first. It's the top 29 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:20,120 Speaker 4: of my sheet of my cheat sheet of numbers for 30 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:24,399 Speaker 4: you guys. So New York City the mayor's election obviously 31 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 4: on Tuesday, with a three way race between Cuomo Zaramondani 32 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 4: and Curtis Leewa. The polling has been fairly consistent right 33 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 4: it shows Mandani with an average up fifteen point lead 34 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 4: overall depending on which poll you look at, but it's 35 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:40,399 Speaker 4: about fifteen point lead early on. There was an art 36 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 4: by the Gothamist giving some glimmer of hope to Cuomo 37 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:46,680 Speaker 4: and his supporters, is that the electorate so far in 38 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 4: this election, in the early votes, has been very, very old. 39 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 4: There are more people between the ages of seventy to 40 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 4: seventy five voting than people between the ages of eighteen 41 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 4: to twenty four. That was not happening in the Denver 42 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 4: Creig primary when Mandanni won. The electric has been progressively 43 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 4: becoming younger as the days have gone up. Though when 44 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:11,639 Speaker 4: the voting began, voters under forty were just twenty eight 45 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 4: percent of people showing up in the early vote. Now 46 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 4: they're up to thirty five percent. And what's giving some 47 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,360 Speaker 4: anxiety to Cuomo supporters is this Sunday is the New 48 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 4: York City Marathon, which runs through the quote unquote Commi 49 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:26,079 Speaker 4: Corridor of the big socialist blocks of New York City 50 00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 4: where people votes and make good weather people might go 51 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:31,800 Speaker 4: and vote right afterwards. The electric has been slightly older, 52 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:35,360 Speaker 4: slightly blacker. Some of the outer boroughs have been showing 53 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 4: up in bigger numbers. Aside from Brooklyn and Manhattan, Staten 54 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 4: Island and Queens are showing up in big numbers. The Bronx, 55 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:45,240 Speaker 4: which is Quomo's best county, is having horrific turnout, though 56 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:48,080 Speaker 4: they're not showing up, you know, in the numbers that 57 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 4: they need to for Cuomo. So that's certainly going to 58 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 4: give his supporters a lot of anxiety. What Cuomo really 59 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 4: needs right now are two very big things Republicans to 60 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 4: start showing up. Republicans are only five percent of all 61 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:05,720 Speaker 4: registered Republicans in New York City have shown up to 62 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 4: go vote so far in the early election. That's compared 63 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:11,640 Speaker 4: to eight percent of all Democrats. Just three percent of 64 00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 4: registered independents have shown up. But this electorate is much 65 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 4: more democratic right now than the twenty twenty four election 66 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 4: when Trump got surge in New York City did much 67 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 4: better than people expected him to. So he's going to 68 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 4: need a lot more Republicans to show up and then 69 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:30,079 Speaker 4: to break against against Curtis in a big way, and 70 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:33,640 Speaker 4: Curtis to underperform, and for Republicans to show up, and 71 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 4: really for seniors in the far parts of the Ottle 72 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 4: Borrow of Southern Bronx, Western Queens, Northern Bronx, and southern 73 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 4: Brooklyn to really pick up momentum as this goes on. 74 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 4: This is going to be a gigantic turnout election, probably 75 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 4: the biggest elections of the nineteen ninety three mayor election 76 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 4: when Rudy Giuliani won against Mayor Dinkins. He was sorry, yeah, mens, 77 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 4: Mayor Dinkins, he was a It was a one point 78 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 4: four million person turnout. This could cut closer to two million, 79 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 4: is what I'm hearing from people analyzing on the ground. 80 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 4: A lot more people are showing up. We are at 81 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 4: thirty three percent of the twenty twenty one numbers with 82 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 4: in just five days of early voting, so immense turn 83 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 4: out of New York City Republicans just really got to 84 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 4: start picking up, and they got a break for Cuomo 85 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 4: for him to have a chance, and more seniors have 86 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 4: to show up. But seniors have been showing up, they 87 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 4: have to show up more. So that's the New York 88 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:28,840 Speaker 4: City thing right now. It still looks like I'm in 89 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 4: Donna victory. There is a small path for Cuomo. He 90 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 4: just has to really get on the ground to get 91 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 4: these older voters out to support him. 92 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 5: We had Curtis Sliwan yesterday, Ryan, and if Curtis Sleiwad 93 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 5: dropped out, let me just ask it to you this way. 94 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 5: What do you think the chances are we wake up 95 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 5: Wednesday and a majority of New York City voters will 96 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 5: have actually voted against Mom Donnie, but that is split 97 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 5: among Cuomo and Sliwa. Do you think that's likely? Do 98 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 5: you think that Mom Donnie will get an overall majority? 99 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 5: Do you think more people will vote against Mamdani? But 100 00:05:02,760 --> 00:05:04,680 Speaker 5: in a three way he's going to end up as 101 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:06,400 Speaker 5: the likely winner that direction. 102 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 4: So in all the polls, Mandani has only gotten a 103 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,279 Speaker 4: majority in one poll out of all the polls, saying 104 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,479 Speaker 4: in New York City, no one really expects him to 105 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 4: get a majority. Now things could change, especially with it's 106 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 4: going to be a real question of is there a 107 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:24,840 Speaker 4: ceiling for these socialist candidates? Are they so toxic that 108 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 4: they can't get passed? In New York City's case, or 109 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 4: Mandani seven eight nine hundred thousand votes, If he gets 110 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:34,479 Speaker 4: over a million votes, it really shows the ceiling isn't there. 111 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 4: And this is the conversation that Democrats used to have 112 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:38,479 Speaker 4: about Trump, is that he can't get more than forty 113 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 4: seven percent until he got close to fifty. If there 114 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 4: is a ceiling for Mandanni, if they say his policies 115 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 4: are too unpopular or he is too unlikable, and certainly 116 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:51,799 Speaker 4: his favorable ratings have dropped in all the poll I've seen. 117 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:55,479 Speaker 4: And then that shows that that that hurts people like 118 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 4: AOC who wants to run in the future, That hurts 119 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:00,719 Speaker 4: the far left who want to run nationwide in the future. 120 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 4: For the presidency to say, hey, listen, there's a cap 121 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:05,840 Speaker 4: on how many people really are willing to sit there 122 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:07,600 Speaker 4: and go to the far left. 123 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 3: Speaking of Ryan Gardusky, It's a Numbers Game is his 124 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:13,480 Speaker 3: podcast on the Clay Endbuck Network. Go check that one out. 125 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 3: Go make sure you have the iHeart app and you're 126 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 3: checking out what's in the feed. Ryan, talk to me 127 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 3: about Chitdarelly in New Jersey. I'm seeing some things that 128 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 3: make me feel kind of warm and fuzzy about it. 129 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:26,480 Speaker 3: But I'm getting a little ahead of myself. I'm sure 130 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 3: you're here to set me straight. What's really going on? 131 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 3: Is this the best chance for a Republican shock win? 132 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 4: Yes, this is one hundred percent aside from Jason, here 133 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 4: is the best chance for a Republicans. So here's here's 134 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 4: the here's the thing that get the good thing going 135 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 4: for Chitdarelli is that there's a lot more registered Republicans 136 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:48,720 Speaker 4: and there ever have been for Chittarelli in the last 137 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:51,800 Speaker 4: time that he ran, Like I think eighty thousand more 138 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:53,719 Speaker 4: Republicans and the more of the last time that he ran, 139 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:57,040 Speaker 4: and a lot of fewer Democrats. People have switched registrations 140 00:06:57,080 --> 00:06:59,600 Speaker 4: and people have just stopped voting, or they've passed away, 141 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 4: or they just you know, they're no longer keep up 142 00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 4: the registration, becoming independent here's the bathing for Chittarelly. In 143 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 4: twenty twenty four, at this point, Republicans had a lead 144 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 4: for Trump in the presidential election in in person voting. 145 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:17,440 Speaker 4: Right there were more Republicans showing up to vote in 146 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:20,280 Speaker 4: person in the early voting than Democrats. Even in a 147 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 4: state like New Jersey has such a big Democratic lead, 148 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 4: that is not the case for Chittarelli. Right now, Democrats 149 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 4: have a seventy three hundred person lead in the early vote. 150 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 4: Now that's not a ton, that's not unimaginable to sit 151 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 4: there and break, because in twenty twenty one, Chittarelli won 152 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 4: election day votes by over by about two hundred thousand votes. 153 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 4: What gives me anxiety is that the mail in vote 154 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:46,360 Speaker 4: lead for Democrats is substantially large. Two hundred and twenty 155 00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 4: one thousand more Democrats have submitted a mail in ballid 156 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:54,040 Speaker 4: than Republicans. But the craziest thing is, for this bok, 157 00:07:54,480 --> 00:07:58,160 Speaker 4: seventy two thousand Republicans in New Jersey have received a 158 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 4: mail in ballad and have not returned it. There are 159 00:08:01,360 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 4: seventy two thousand votes for Jack Chendarelli on people's kitchen tables, 160 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 4: and they haven't returned those ballots. Yet that's a lot 161 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 4: of catching up to do to chase those ballots and 162 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 4: make sure they were returned. Now once again, he's gonna 163 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 4: win election day. He may win it by a lot. 164 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 4: There are two different questions when it comes to how 165 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:22,720 Speaker 4: are these voters sitting there and breaking Jack guendarily has 166 00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 4: a support of all the Orthodox Jewish communities in New Jersey, 167 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 4: which is substantial, especially like in Ocean County where his 168 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 4: Lakewood in it. That's bringing a lot of votes. Many 169 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:34,120 Speaker 4: of them are registered Democrats. There's also the question of 170 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:37,200 Speaker 4: what is going on with these non white voters who 171 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 4: have been Democrats their whole life and broke for Trump. 172 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:43,560 Speaker 4: Remember in twenty twenty. In the twenty twenty election, Trump 173 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 4: won just twenty six percent of Hispanic majority place of 174 00:08:48,520 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 4: precincts in New Jersey. In twenty twenty four, Trump won 175 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:56,199 Speaker 4: thirty nine percent thirteen point bounds in New Jersey and 176 00:08:56,320 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 4: Hispanic majority precincts. How are they going to vote because 177 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,240 Speaker 4: they vote just they voted for Jack Chitarelli at the 178 00:09:02,280 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 4: same rate they voted for Trump in twenty twenty one. 179 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 4: So Trump received twenty six percent, Chittarelly received twenty six percent. 180 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 4: If Chittarelly gets thirty nine percent or anywhere close among 181 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 4: these Hispanic people who have mostly cied registered Democrat, that 182 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,439 Speaker 4: could be a big, big difference. The New York Times 183 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 4: is questioning where are these non white voters who broke 184 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 4: substantially in Trump's favor. Trump got forty three percent of 185 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:27,360 Speaker 4: all non white voters in New Jersey, up from sorry 186 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 4: he lost them by twenty seven points. He lost them 187 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:32,600 Speaker 4: by forty three points. Previously, there was a sixteen point 188 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 4: bump in non white communities in New Jersey in from 189 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 4: twenty twenty to twenty twenty four. Chittarelly needs to see 190 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 4: a similar bump. Because Chittarelly does better than Trump in 191 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 4: the white suburbs, he needs to get Trump like numbers 192 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:48,840 Speaker 4: among the Hispanic areas. Overall, in New Jersey, there have 193 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:52,440 Speaker 4: been four hundred and ninety thousand Democrats who have voted, 194 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,600 Speaker 4: and two hundred and sixty one thousand Republicans and one 195 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 4: hundred and sixty five thousand Indies. Breaking down percentage wise, 196 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:01,959 Speaker 4: fifty three percent the electric so far has been Democrat, 197 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 4: twenty nine percent of been Republican, and eighteen percent of independent. 198 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 4: Jack Shirelli needs they's Republicans to show up. He's probably 199 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 4: going to need about a quarter of a million to 200 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:15,280 Speaker 4: three hundred thousand on election day to show up advantage 201 00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 4: towards him in order to sit there and win this. 202 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 4: And he's going to need some of these Hispanics, especially 203 00:10:19,880 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 4: Hispanics in northern New Jersey who voted for Trump, to 204 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:24,160 Speaker 4: sit there and vote with him. 205 00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 5: So we think that he could win in New Jersey 206 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 5: challenging path. What about Virginia. It seems to me like 207 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:33,360 Speaker 5: Jason Mire is based on the polling that I'm seeing, 208 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 5: the attorney general candidate that we've had on this program, 209 00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:40,720 Speaker 5: the Republican running against Jay Jones is in very good position. 210 00:10:41,200 --> 00:10:45,439 Speaker 5: Seems like Abigail Spanberger is in a solid position on 211 00:10:45,480 --> 00:10:50,840 Speaker 5: the flip side going up against the win some seers, 212 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 5: Is that an accurate read? What would you say about 213 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:54,960 Speaker 5: the data right now in Virginia? 214 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 4: Right So, Virginia is one of these states that doesen 215 00:10:57,880 --> 00:11:00,440 Speaker 4: registered voters by party, which makes it fair hard to 216 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 4: kind of like parse through the information. In the last 217 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 4: twenty days, there have been thirteen poles in New Jersey. 218 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:09,400 Speaker 4: It's our in Virginia. Rather in the thirteen poles Miaras 219 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 4: has led in ten of them, it's been tied intwo 220 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 4: and Jones has led in just one. Overall, the average 221 00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 4: has Mirs with a four point polling advantage. Spamburger has 222 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:22,200 Speaker 4: somewhere around eight or nine point voting advantage. But the 223 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 4: interesting thing and the interesting question is is the lieutenant 224 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:28,960 Speaker 4: governor's race, which isn't really receiving much you know, a 225 00:11:29,040 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 4: spotlight the Republican read of the same as genre who's running. 226 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:36,559 Speaker 4: He's only down about four points in the polls. If 227 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 4: the if the it's the generic ballot, because no one knows, 228 00:11:40,200 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 4: they're just basically voting for who they like by party. 229 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,440 Speaker 4: If the generic ballot shows the lieutenant governor's race is 230 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 4: within four points, then really Spamburger shows that she's either 231 00:11:49,160 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 4: a very popular or Winston Seiers is very unpopular and 232 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:55,200 Speaker 4: people are voting one direction for governor and changing their 233 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:59,360 Speaker 4: vote down ballot. That may be the case. What Winston 234 00:11:59,440 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 4: Sears has to do is not necessarily win, but make 235 00:12:02,200 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 4: sure the gap doesn't get to double digits. Because if 236 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:07,920 Speaker 4: the gap gets a double digits, if she's leading by ten, sorry, 237 00:12:08,040 --> 00:12:11,440 Speaker 4: Winter is losing by ten eleven, twelve points, getting the 238 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:14,880 Speaker 4: ras over the finish line becomes very very difficult. We're 239 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 4: seeing this. We're seeing when we look at the counties 240 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 4: of who is showing up where deep Republican counties are 241 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 4: having some of the best turnout and some of the worst. 242 00:12:23,920 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 4: And it's really the area around Richmond, Virginia that is 243 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 4: having gang bus turnout, which is very heavily Democrat, very 244 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 4: college educated. What Southwest Virginia, which loves Donald Trump voted 245 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 4: eighty percent for Donald Trump, what they need to do 246 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 4: is start showing up because they are being the lagging 247 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:42,320 Speaker 4: indicator in this entire election. Fairfax doesn't have great turnouts 248 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 4: so far, neither does Virginia Beach, which is a swing 249 00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 4: part of Virginia. But if they want to counter Richmond, 250 00:12:47,559 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 4: they start need to start seeing Southwest Virginia, Coal Country 251 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,880 Speaker 4: Virginia really bring up good numbers, and so far it's 252 00:12:54,920 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 4: been definitely on the lower end of turnout. 253 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:00,680 Speaker 3: So you think New Jerry just to reac cap here 254 00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:05,320 Speaker 3: is Mom Donnie basically a shoe in? Is it pretty 255 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:09,720 Speaker 3: pretty realistic for New Jersey to be good to go realistic? 256 00:13:09,800 --> 00:13:09,839 Speaker 5: Is? 257 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:11,280 Speaker 2: I guess the best way to say, had to go red? 258 00:13:11,840 --> 00:13:14,440 Speaker 3: And then your span Burger is probably gonna pull this out, 259 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:16,600 Speaker 3: like how would you just if you're forced to? 260 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:20,040 Speaker 4: Burger is Spanburger's got probably a ninety something percent chance 261 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,960 Speaker 4: of winning, ninety five percent chance of winning uh over 262 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:25,800 Speaker 4: in New Over in New York, I would say Mandani 263 00:13:25,880 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 4: is probably around eighty five percent or eighty percent chances. 264 00:13:29,400 --> 00:13:32,880 Speaker 4: There's a small window for Cuomoll actually probably ninety percent 265 00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 4: chance Mondanni's going to sit there and win. Cuomo has 266 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:37,600 Speaker 4: a path and he's had some good things break in 267 00:13:37,600 --> 00:13:40,439 Speaker 4: his favor. He just needs that to continue over all 268 00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:42,840 Speaker 4: early voting, and we need to see if there is 269 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 4: a ceiling for socialist candidates in New York City. Over 270 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:48,679 Speaker 4: and over in Virginia, Miarez I would say probably is 271 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 4: a fifty five percent chance lead. A lot of it's 272 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:53,280 Speaker 4: going to depend on if wins and Sears keeps her 273 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:56,319 Speaker 4: loss margin tight and if Republicans sit there and pick 274 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 4: up down ballad and over in New Jersey, I would 275 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:03,079 Speaker 4: give you rally about a forty percent chance of winning. 276 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 4: Chittarelli has a lot of things looking good in his direction. 277 00:14:06,880 --> 00:14:09,120 Speaker 4: He just needs them all to break. And the narrative 278 00:14:09,200 --> 00:14:11,679 Speaker 4: right now across the country is this, I don't know 279 00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:14,000 Speaker 4: if Republicans are waiting for election day but they have 280 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 4: not shown up in the numbers, they need to in 281 00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:19,240 Speaker 4: these early votes to not give Democrats a giant lead. 282 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 4: I know Republicans are nervous or voting early, but on 283 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 4: election day over in over in New Jersey, Mickey Cheryl 284 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:29,080 Speaker 4: is going to start off the day with a quarter 285 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 4: of a million more bang to vote. And that's vote 286 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:34,240 Speaker 4: that Chitarelly needs to show up and needs to break 287 00:14:34,240 --> 00:14:35,800 Speaker 4: in his favor on election day. 288 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 5: Ryan your podcast up on YouTube. We also can you 289 00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 5: can find Ryan if you want more detail on the 290 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 5: numbers game inside of the Clay and Buck podcast network. 291 00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:48,920 Speaker 5: And occasionally he makes great beeper jokes that make people 292 00:14:48,960 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 5: at CNN very sad. Ryan, we appreciate you, my man. 293 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 4: I appreciate you both. Thank you. 294 00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:58,360 Speaker 5: That is Ryan Gardusky. We're all in on Cozy Earth products. 295 00:14:58,400 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 5: In fact, I'm up in Chicago and I got in 296 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:03,160 Speaker 5: my hotel room already dropped off the bags before I 297 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:05,760 Speaker 5: came over to the studio here, and I even looked 298 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 5: at the bed and thought, for a minute, you know, 299 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 5: these sheets are not going to be as nice as 300 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 5: the ones that I have at home. And I've never 301 00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:13,720 Speaker 5: even thought about sheets before. That's how nice Cozy Earth 302 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 5: sheets are. In fact, I was talking with my wife 303 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 5: last night. She was talking about how much she liked 304 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 5: everything on Cozy Earth, and we've talked about the fact 305 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:25,480 Speaker 5: that she took a lot of the Cozy Earth gear 306 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 5: and she said, you know a lot of my friends 307 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 5: starting to see stuff. And I said, well, I mean 308 00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:32,080 Speaker 5: this is legit. We're getting ready for bed. I said, 309 00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:34,920 Speaker 5: you know the code Clay. You get forty percent off 310 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:38,960 Speaker 5: everything right now. So you go to cozyearth dot com 311 00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:43,480 Speaker 5: coz y e r thh Cozy Earth and you check 312 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 5: it out. You can get forty percent off everything when 313 00:15:47,800 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 5: you use my name Clay on that site. Everything. I mean, 314 00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 5: you are going to be impressed. High quality products. We've 315 00:15:54,960 --> 00:15:57,520 Speaker 5: got them all in the Travis household. And I am impressed. 316 00:15:57,520 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 5: And I never even noticed stuff like this. Forty percent 317 00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:04,120 Speaker 5: off when you use my name Clay. That's cozyerarth dot com, 318 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 5: my name Clay. Your wife's gonna love it. And if 319 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:09,960 Speaker 5: you have decent taste, guess what you will too. Cozyearth 320 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 5: dot com code Clay for forty percent off. 321 00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 6: Stories of Freedom, Stories of America, Inspirational stories that you 322 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 6: unite us all each day, spend time with Clay and 323 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 6: find them on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you 324 00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 6: get your podcasts. 325 00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:31,360 Speaker 5: Welcome back in Clay Travis buck Sexton Show. We are 326 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 5: rolling through the Thursday edition of the program Halloween Eve Buck. 327 00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:44,720 Speaker 5: When's the last time you dressed up? Une nine? 328 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 2: My twenties? Maybe? 329 00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 4: Oh? 330 00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 5: Okay, so you weren't anti costume guy as an adult. 331 00:16:50,760 --> 00:16:54,280 Speaker 3: I mean I was single guy who liked seeing the 332 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 3: ladies in my general milieu of DC or New York 333 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:01,600 Speaker 3: dressed up as various nurses. 334 00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:02,640 Speaker 2: You know. 335 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 5: So I just didn't know because I could see you 336 00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:08,359 Speaker 5: being like, I don't do costumes. I don't go to 337 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 5: costume A lot of. 338 00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 3: Lara Croft, a lot of Lara Croft tomb later costumes 339 00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:14,080 Speaker 3: in tomb raador costumes in my world. 340 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 2: Things like that, you know a. 341 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 5: Lot more slutty nurses costumes than slutty nurses ever in 342 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 5: real life, just you know, tossing that out there, i'n't 343 00:17:23,760 --> 00:17:27,359 Speaker 5: never seen that many, you know, nurse sexy, also chambermaids. 344 00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:28,560 Speaker 5: I don't think I. 345 00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:31,720 Speaker 3: Play throws like a clay, throws like a wounded dug 346 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:34,280 Speaker 3: pass across the middle, just wondering if Buck's gonna catch 347 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 3: that one and just get laid out. 348 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:37,439 Speaker 2: But you know what, I'm just gonna leave your slutty 349 00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 2: nurse comments. 350 00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 5: First time I went to France, I was like, I 351 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:44,120 Speaker 5: can't wait to see the maids. I've never actually seen 352 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:46,320 Speaker 5: an attractive French maid either. And there is a little 353 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:49,360 Speaker 5: bit of falsehood, I think in the costume industry out there. 354 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:52,760 Speaker 5: But you know what, there's not falsehood in Saber. They'll 355 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 5: keep you safe, whether you're going to a Halloween costume 356 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:59,760 Speaker 5: party or you're just walking around in your parking garage. 357 00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:02,440 Speaker 5: Maybe you got a little bit of a late night job, 358 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 5: maybe you got an early morning start, maybe you are 359 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:09,240 Speaker 5: just not that comfortable in many different parts of your city. Heck, 360 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:12,240 Speaker 5: I'm in Chicago right now, and as soon as I 361 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 5: said I was in Chicago, everybody was like, better keep 362 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:17,439 Speaker 5: your head on a swivel. No telling what might happen 363 00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:21,520 Speaker 5: with Jesse Smallett's attackers downtown later tonight, Clay. But I've 364 00:18:21,560 --> 00:18:24,440 Speaker 5: got Saber help take care of me and my family. 365 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:29,240 Speaker 5: It's spelled sab r e the website saberradio dot com. 366 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,400 Speaker 5: They will hook you up no matter what you're looking for, 367 00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:36,240 Speaker 5: whether it's a home defense projectile pepper spray launcher, or 368 00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 5: how about if it's just pepper spray itself. We have 369 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:43,160 Speaker 5: every single one of these products in the Travis household. 370 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:47,520 Speaker 5: You're gonna want them to saberradio dot Com. Sab R 371 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:53,120 Speaker 5: radio dot com fifteen percent off saberradio dot Com. 372 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:54,960 Speaker 2: All right, welcome back in here to Clay and Buck. 373 00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:55,480 Speaker 7: You know what. 374 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:59,199 Speaker 3: The shutdown is still going on right now, which is 375 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:03,600 Speaker 3: pretty pretty rough. When you start to see you start 376 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:05,639 Speaker 3: to line up some of the challenges some of the 377 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:10,080 Speaker 3: problems here that we've got. And Senator thun who's the 378 00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:14,000 Speaker 3: Senate Majority leader. He's not a guy who you see 379 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:17,760 Speaker 3: getting a lot of headlines or viral clips for being 380 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 3: angry about anything and being demonstrative in his outrage, but. 381 00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:27,000 Speaker 2: He's pretty ticked off. 382 00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:29,520 Speaker 3: It seems this has cut twenty Senate Majority leader though, 383 00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:30,200 Speaker 3: and let's hear it. 384 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:34,760 Speaker 7: We are twenty nine days into a Democrat shutdown and 385 00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:37,920 Speaker 7: the senator from New Mexico is absolutely right. Snap recipient 386 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:41,159 Speaker 7: shouldn't go without food. People should be getting paid in 387 00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:43,960 Speaker 7: this country, and we've tried to do that thirteen times, 388 00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 7: and you voted no thirteen times. This is a political game. 389 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:49,959 Speaker 7: These are real people's lives that we're talking about, and 390 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:52,840 Speaker 7: you all just figured out twenty nine days in that. Oh, 391 00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:55,919 Speaker 7: there might be some consequences there are, people will run out. 392 00:19:55,760 --> 00:20:00,480 Speaker 3: Of money, Clay, Let's get into some of these concerts. Quince's, 393 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:05,160 Speaker 3: for example, really good piece from a friend of mine, 394 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 3: friend of ours, Kim Strassele over the Wall Street Journal, 395 00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:11,440 Speaker 3: laying out what's going on here. For one thing, air 396 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:15,000 Speaker 3: traffic controllers have as of Tuesday, missed their paycheck. Now 397 00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:17,600 Speaker 3: they have to show up, but in the past they 398 00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:20,680 Speaker 3: have started to call in sick. You know, because even 399 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:22,639 Speaker 3: if you're legally required to show up to work, well, 400 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:24,480 Speaker 3: if you say you have the flu, right, you're not 401 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:28,440 Speaker 3: legally required anymore. So that could be really rough for travelers. 402 00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:34,720 Speaker 3: The American Federation of Government Employees, they are four different 403 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:41,879 Speaker 3: unions for commercial pilots, teamsters, etc. They're very, very agitated 404 00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:46,760 Speaker 3: about the shutdown snap, which is food stamps that runs 405 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 3: out on the first of November. So that will leave 406 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:54,400 Speaker 3: forty two million people without food stamp benefits. 407 00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:56,600 Speaker 2: And you got some. 408 00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,639 Speaker 3: Real stuff coming together here that could be a challenge, 409 00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 3: you know, Democrats, Clay have started to break party lines 410 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:08,280 Speaker 3: a little bit. You've had ass Off and Warnock in 411 00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:12,679 Speaker 3: Georgia because they know those are competitive seats. That's a 412 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:17,840 Speaker 3: purple state. They have voted with Republicans. Democrats like Fetterman, 413 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:23,560 Speaker 3: Angus King, and Catherine Cortes Mastow have voted with Republicans 414 00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 3: all along to reopen the government. So they're getting pretty 415 00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:31,200 Speaker 3: close to the sixty threshold here, Clay. I don't think 416 00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:34,440 Speaker 3: Republicans can blink on this one, but this has turned 417 00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:35,600 Speaker 3: into a real game of chicken. 418 00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:38,280 Speaker 5: Yeah. Look, I mean you have to get to sixty. 419 00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:41,080 Speaker 5: We have fifty three Republicans. You just laid it out. 420 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 5: I think the number they've gotten the highest is fifty 421 00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:47,439 Speaker 5: six so far, depending on exactly what motion we're talking about. 422 00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,280 Speaker 5: I also got this email from a listener. I thought 423 00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 5: it was interesting. I'm not going to name them, but 424 00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:55,159 Speaker 5: listen to this this email that he sent. Hey, Clay, 425 00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:58,480 Speaker 5: we met in Omaha at the College World Series. Longtime 426 00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 5: follower and love the show. Here's something you may want 427 00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:07,480 Speaker 5: to include. Federal employees who opted to work during the 428 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:11,399 Speaker 5: shutdown will be paid in full when the government reopens. 429 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 5: I think everybody out there is nodding along and saying, yeah, 430 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,439 Speaker 5: that should happen. This is what he says, and I 431 00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,320 Speaker 5: would be curious to read more about this. I haven't 432 00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,240 Speaker 5: seen this reported very much. He says federal employees who 433 00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:25,879 Speaker 5: opted not to work will also be paid in full 434 00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:29,520 Speaker 5: when the government reopens, and he says, here, you read 435 00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:31,639 Speaker 5: that right. My wife. I'm not going to say what 436 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,679 Speaker 5: she does, but she's been working during the shutdown because 437 00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:38,280 Speaker 5: she's deemed essential and it's the right thing to do. However, 438 00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:41,359 Speaker 5: several of her peers opted not to work and to 439 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:45,320 Speaker 5: take a fully paid furlough. So while some federal employees 440 00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:48,800 Speaker 5: are working without pay, there are others who are traveling, 441 00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 5: going to festivals, relaxing, doing nothing who will be paid 442 00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:56,200 Speaker 5: exactly the same as those who worked during the shutdown. 443 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,920 Speaker 5: Most of those who aren't working are Trump hating bureaucrats 444 00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:03,000 Speaker 5: who just want to stick it to them. This is 445 00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:08,520 Speaker 5: something that should be looked into. Look I understand some 446 00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:11,280 Speaker 5: people have to go to work air traffic controllers, great example, 447 00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:15,399 Speaker 5: because we can't stop air traffic in the country TSA 448 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,560 Speaker 5: agents even I flew this morning. I mean that these 449 00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,159 Speaker 5: guys and gals are showing up because without them, we 450 00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:23,199 Speaker 5: can't have security clearance, all those things. I respect anybody 451 00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,120 Speaker 5: who goes to work and puts in a hard day's work, 452 00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:28,679 Speaker 5: but yeah, for some of these government employees, they just 453 00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:32,639 Speaker 5: are treating this as a one month paid vacation because 454 00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,199 Speaker 5: they know they're going to eventually get back pay, and 455 00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:36,920 Speaker 5: in the meantime, they just don't show up at work. 456 00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,880 Speaker 5: So I think that's one reason you're not seeing this 457 00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,920 Speaker 5: drum beat of anger in some of the same way 458 00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:46,639 Speaker 5: that you, because they know their salaries are good and 459 00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 5: if you don't have to show up. I wonder what 460 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:52,040 Speaker 5: percentage of federal employees are just not showing up at all, 461 00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:55,320 Speaker 5: not doing anything, and know they're basically going to get 462 00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:57,480 Speaker 5: paid for a month's vacation. How many of you would 463 00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:01,199 Speaker 5: like to have a fully paid month's vacation. I've bet 464 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,719 Speaker 5: almost everybody listening right now I would appreciate that. 465 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:08,399 Speaker 3: Well, there's very different versions of shut down pain for 466 00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 3: federal government employees. 467 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 2: Right. 468 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,399 Speaker 3: For example, you could be in the and I know 469 00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:17,040 Speaker 3: that there was that donor that now they've de anonymized, right, 470 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,000 Speaker 3: They've come forward to say that the donor is it's 471 00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:20,840 Speaker 3: a Trump. 472 00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 2: Trump supporter came forward. 473 00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 3: To pay one hundred and thirty million dollars for military salaries. 474 00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 3: So if you're a military family, I mean, for example, 475 00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:33,320 Speaker 3: my wife's family, military family, you're generally living paycheck to paycheck, right, 476 00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,920 Speaker 3: I mean, that's a very very common thing for people 477 00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:40,439 Speaker 3: who are active duty, and and that's very common thing 478 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:43,280 Speaker 3: for Americans in general, but it's certainly common for people 479 00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:45,320 Speaker 3: who are on the military side of things. So now 480 00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:47,800 Speaker 3: they've been covered for a period of time. If you're 481 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:53,440 Speaker 3: in one of these dual income DC bureaucrat households, probably 482 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:56,000 Speaker 3: you went to GW I live in DC. We know 483 00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:59,639 Speaker 3: some of these you're talking about households where now I 484 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,680 Speaker 3: know D she costs a livings pretty high. But households 485 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:05,520 Speaker 3: where the combined income is quarter of a million bucks 486 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:08,240 Speaker 3: pretty easily, two hundred and fifty k, maybe three hundred k. 487 00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 3: Maybe have somebody who works with the federal government, somebody 488 00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:14,600 Speaker 3: else who's at an overpaid NGO post. You're making three 489 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:16,800 Speaker 3: hundred k between the two of them, something like that. 490 00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:20,959 Speaker 3: So for some of those households, this is more of 491 00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:23,199 Speaker 3: a all right, put it on the credit card for a 492 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:24,919 Speaker 3: week or two, we'll pay it off when all the 493 00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:27,840 Speaker 3: when the funds all get turned on, I think Clay. 494 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,480 Speaker 3: The places where the real pressure starts to come together 495 00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:33,480 Speaker 3: is air traffic controllers. 496 00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:36,600 Speaker 5: They should be getting full pay. They should be getting 497 00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:37,800 Speaker 5: full pay. Let's just be honest. 498 00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:41,479 Speaker 3: And the idea that they're coming into not getting paid, 499 00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:42,879 Speaker 3: and that some of them are going to say, you 500 00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 3: know what, this is bull crap and I'm gonna stay home, 501 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:49,480 Speaker 3: and that means there's gonna be shortages, and that means 502 00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:55,639 Speaker 3: long difficult lines. My friends, how angry are people going 503 00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:58,399 Speaker 3: to get if at some of the major airports. I 504 00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 3: love Miami, but I cannot say bad things about m 505 00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:02,760 Speaker 3: I a airport. Miami Airport is. 506 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:05,240 Speaker 5: Just one not well designed for a post nine to 507 00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:06,040 Speaker 5: eleven world. 508 00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:07,040 Speaker 2: It's horrible. 509 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 3: It's like, well, it's it's they should, honestly, if they 510 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,679 Speaker 3: could just start from scratch, I wish they would. It's 511 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:15,119 Speaker 3: terrible airport. But when you have to wait three or 512 00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:19,240 Speaker 3: four hours because of air traffic control delays, or maybe 513 00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:21,399 Speaker 3: your flight even just gets canceled out right when you 514 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:22,439 Speaker 3: get to the airport, or. 515 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:23,360 Speaker 2: You can't those. 516 00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:28,840 Speaker 3: Because some of those people, that's right, they get ticked 517 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:32,679 Speaker 3: off and they start calling, calling congressional switchboards and you 518 00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:35,440 Speaker 3: know that there or you've got people that are really angry. 519 00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:39,040 Speaker 3: And it also hurts the airlines. Now the airlines have 520 00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:41,800 Speaker 3: to rebook people and they gotta pay people all this stuff. 521 00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:46,439 Speaker 3: So I think that's a real pressure point. And and 522 00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:48,440 Speaker 3: my sense right now is the Democrats are just waiting 523 00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:50,800 Speaker 3: till after the election, right, I think the postry. I 524 00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:53,040 Speaker 3: think Democrats are gonna are gonna cave, but they're gonna 525 00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:54,120 Speaker 3: cave after election day. 526 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:58,920 Speaker 5: I also think the increasingly, even the media. I saw 527 00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:02,159 Speaker 5: Jake Tapper calling out Democrats and saying, actually, you're the 528 00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:05,760 Speaker 5: ones that shut down the government. Increasingly, it's hard for 529 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 5: them to argue somebody else's to blame. Really more of 530 00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:11,000 Speaker 5: a gentle reminder from me, Yeah, right, But I mean 531 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 5: when even CNN is saying, hey, ultimately, this is your fault. 532 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:17,560 Speaker 5: Do we have the Harry Inton clip where also politically, 533 00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 5: I know we had it yesterday. I don't know if 534 00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:22,600 Speaker 5: we rolled it over today. But when CNN has got 535 00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:25,879 Speaker 5: their pulling and they're coming on and they're saying, actually, 536 00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:30,680 Speaker 5: now voters are starting to blame Democrats in a substantial way. 537 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:36,800 Speaker 5: And this overall shutdown is benefiting to a large extent 538 00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:40,320 Speaker 5: the Republican Party. When all that starts to stack up, 539 00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 5: then people are looking around and saying, I think we 540 00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:46,679 Speaker 5: talked about this a little bit yesterday. Buck. What's the 541 00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 5: off ramp? How do you get out of this mess 542 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:54,639 Speaker 5: that you're in right now? What is the what is 543 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:59,480 Speaker 5: the escape hatch for Democrats? Right now? There isn't a 544 00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:02,200 Speaker 5: good one, which is why I think they'll wait till after, 545 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:04,520 Speaker 5: you know, five days from now, when we have the 546 00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:08,480 Speaker 5: twenty twenty five elections, and then they'll find a way 547 00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:13,600 Speaker 5: to step off of the government shut down conveyor belt. 548 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:16,200 Speaker 2: I don't see a way around it. 549 00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:19,600 Speaker 3: And the Democrats really what they're hoping for is what 550 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:21,600 Speaker 3: they've been able to do in the past, where they 551 00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:25,240 Speaker 3: just have they have a bigger megaphone and they lie 552 00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:29,560 Speaker 3: more aggressively about what's going on, and so they can say, 553 00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:31,320 Speaker 3: you know, it's not our fault. No, this is the 554 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 3: Democrats have absolutely full responsibility for this government shutdown. 555 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:37,639 Speaker 2: They chose it, they've made it happen. 556 00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:41,040 Speaker 3: Republicans have been voting to open the government and the 557 00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:45,160 Speaker 3: Democrats now have just done this thing of well Republicans could, no, 558 00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:48,120 Speaker 3: you can't, you know, if you're holding up a deal. 559 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:50,720 Speaker 3: Be honest about how you're holding up a deal. That's 560 00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:53,400 Speaker 3: not what they're doing, Clay. You're trying to just change 561 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:57,640 Speaker 3: the narrative to this is somehow the Republicans that have 562 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:01,520 Speaker 3: brought this thing to a halt and it's just a lie. 563 00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:04,880 Speaker 3: And they don't have the kind of media power that 564 00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,680 Speaker 3: they're used to having where they can shout down the 565 00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:09,120 Speaker 3: truth as effectively. 566 00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, and ultimately if they lose again, I think that's 567 00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,960 Speaker 5: just raw political calculus. I think they've been nervous about 568 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:22,840 Speaker 5: Virginia and turn out in Northern Virginia, and they feel 569 00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 5: like if people are angry and they aren't working and 570 00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:29,040 Speaker 5: they're overwhelmingly federal employees as often is the case in 571 00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:32,320 Speaker 5: Northern Virginia, that they're likely to turn out and vote Democrat. 572 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:35,760 Speaker 5: They couldn't ben the knee before this stupid no king's protest. 573 00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:38,680 Speaker 5: I saw someone tweet this buck, but it is very funny. 574 00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:41,400 Speaker 5: How funny is it to go from we're not going 575 00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:46,240 Speaker 5: to allow kings to please give me food? It is 576 00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:49,040 Speaker 5: like a ultimately, please can't give me food. It is 577 00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:53,840 Speaker 5: the ultimate thing that you see historically kings please everybody's starving, 578 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 5: will you please give us food. That's like the snap angle. 579 00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,120 Speaker 5: Now we're not gonna allow a king, Oh, king, please 580 00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:03,040 Speaker 5: give us food. But I think they see it as 581 00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:05,680 Speaker 5: politically beneficial in Northern Virginia, they can't ben the knee 582 00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:08,680 Speaker 5: before no kings. Now, they see it as politically beneficial 583 00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,320 Speaker 5: before the midterm, as soon of the before the twenty 584 00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:15,040 Speaker 5: twenty five elections, as soon as that's over. They want 585 00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:18,440 Speaker 5: people to forget about this before the midterms because I 586 00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:23,600 Speaker 5: think politically it is turn toxic for them nationwide, and it's. 587 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:27,920 Speaker 3: Only going to become more toxic as these pain points 588 00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,720 Speaker 3: continue on. So well, I just wanted to update on 589 00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:33,160 Speaker 3: this one. I think that it is coming to an 590 00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:34,800 Speaker 3: end here, but it's not going to come to come 591 00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:35,400 Speaker 3: to an end for. 592 00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:37,840 Speaker 2: A few more days. 593 00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:40,840 Speaker 3: Everywhere your turn these days, you'll see some element of 594 00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:45,200 Speaker 3: artificial intelligence AI. Automated phone calls, social media advertising in 595 00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,400 Speaker 3: your feeds, driver assistance, and cars you know the way 596 00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:51,480 Speaker 3: Moses see driving around. AI technology is making our lives 597 00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 3: more elevated. Businesses with serious funding and big time staff 598 00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:57,640 Speaker 3: sizes are growing as a part of this economy every day, 599 00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:01,280 Speaker 3: and there's a real appetite for AI to make everyone's 600 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:05,040 Speaker 3: life easier and more productive. The White House, the Trump administration, 601 00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:07,160 Speaker 3: they see this, they see this as the most transform 602 00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 3: transformational technology, perhaps of our lives. And that's why I've 603 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:15,760 Speaker 3: been doing a lot of deep dive research into Trump's 604 00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:18,440 Speaker 3: AI plan. Now, this is something you can read in 605 00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 3: my e newsletter Money and Power, totally separate from this program. 606 00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:24,520 Speaker 3: By the way, I'm doing this in partnership with Paradigm 607 00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:28,400 Speaker 3: Press and some incredible, really smart researchers who know all 608 00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:32,000 Speaker 3: about the markets and stocks. They've pulled together a team 609 00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 3: and we are doing great work. So one of a 610 00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,840 Speaker 3: kind opportunity for any of you to learn what's going 611 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:39,840 Speaker 3: on and to figure out how you can profit from 612 00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:43,560 Speaker 3: it too. Designed to help ordinary people capitalize on the 613 00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:47,440 Speaker 3: huge wealth explosion being created by what I'm calling Manhattan 614 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,400 Speaker 3: Project Too. It's all about leveling the playing field so 615 00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:55,280 Speaker 3: everyday folks can participate in this huge Trump market upswing. 616 00:31:55,960 --> 00:32:00,360 Speaker 3: Get a subscription today at Insider twenty twenty five dot com. 617 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 3: You'll be so glad you did. Insider twenty twenty five 618 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:06,200 Speaker 3: dot com paid for by Paradigm Press. 619 00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:10,320 Speaker 6: You ain't imagining it. The world has gone insane. 620 00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:13,640 Speaker 5: We claim your Sanity with Clay and Fun. 621 00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:17,280 Speaker 6: Find them on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you 622 00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 6: get your podcasts. 623 00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:23,000 Speaker 5: Welcome back in Clay Travis bock Sexton Show. We've got 624 00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:25,040 Speaker 5: a couple of different things that I wanted to play 625 00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:27,360 Speaker 5: for you here. As we finish off second hour, I 626 00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:31,640 Speaker 5: had the team pull over the audio that we had 627 00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:37,480 Speaker 5: had of Harry Inton on CNN. I believe telling everybody, Hey, 628 00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:42,320 Speaker 5: the numbers are not ideal for Democrats on this shutdown. 629 00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,560 Speaker 5: Voters are blaming Democrats. That's cut thirty three. 630 00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:49,080 Speaker 8: The worry in terms of climate change, simply put, hasn't shifted. 631 00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:51,040 Speaker 8: It has not reached the majority of Americans. What are 632 00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,120 Speaker 8: we talking about greatly worried about climate change? You go 633 00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:54,960 Speaker 8: all the way back to nineteen hundred and eighty nine, 634 00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:59,560 Speaker 8: it was thirty five percent, twty six percent, and in 635 00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:01,960 Speaker 8: twenty two, twenty five, look at that, it's forty percent, 636 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:04,680 Speaker 8: the same number as we had twenty five years ago. 637 00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:06,520 Speaker 2: Is it the biggest thing they're worried about? 638 00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:08,960 Speaker 8: Yeah, it is not anywhere close to being the biggest 639 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,480 Speaker 8: thing that people are worried about. Top issue facing United 640 00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:13,920 Speaker 8: States climate change it was three percent and twenty twenty 641 00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:16,080 Speaker 8: one two percent on average of polls in twenty twenty 642 00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:17,840 Speaker 8: three and this year the average. 643 00:33:17,520 --> 00:33:19,320 Speaker 2: Polls two one two. 644 00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:23,000 Speaker 8: It is very very low on the list of priorities. 645 00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:23,960 Speaker 5: To the bottom. 646 00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:27,240 Speaker 8: Line is not only are we seeing that the number 647 00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:28,120 Speaker 8: has not really. 648 00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:29,840 Speaker 5: Moved over the last thirty six years, but. 649 00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:32,560 Speaker 8: In terms of being the top issue, it's simply put 650 00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:33,920 Speaker 8: has not broken through. 651 00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:37,840 Speaker 5: All Right, that was actually the climate change collapse, not 652 00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:42,000 Speaker 5: the government shutdown collapse in support. We'll see if we 653 00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:44,040 Speaker 5: can get that in the third hour for you, Keith 654 00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:48,120 Speaker 5: and Illinois. I was reading a email from a listener 655 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:52,400 Speaker 5: about federal furloughed workers and what exactly is going on? 656 00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:54,040 Speaker 5: What you got for us? 657 00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:58,000 Speaker 9: Yeah, I'm a furloughed worker, and because of my position 658 00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:01,400 Speaker 9: description in my job, I am not allowed to go 659 00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:04,000 Speaker 9: to work. In fact, if I even log on a 660 00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,320 Speaker 9: government computer to check my email, I risk getting fired. 661 00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:10,640 Speaker 5: Okay, but will you get paid for the full shutdown? 662 00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:15,319 Speaker 9: I will because of the law they passed, But it's 663 00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,879 Speaker 9: not a vacation. I don't have a choice, so I'm 664 00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:19,160 Speaker 9: not allowed to go in. 665 00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:22,359 Speaker 5: Correct, But I would love to be told I can't 666 00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:26,000 Speaker 5: check an email or I'll immediately get fired and I mean, again, 667 00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:28,680 Speaker 5: thank you for the call. I understand the Hey, they 668 00:34:28,719 --> 00:34:31,319 Speaker 5: won't let me work. I think there's a lot of 669 00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:33,480 Speaker 5: people out there who if you told them, hey, if 670 00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:36,920 Speaker 5: you check your email, you're going to get fired, and 671 00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:39,759 Speaker 5: you get a full month of pay without having to 672 00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 5: do anything, I would like to sign up for that. 673 00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:43,920 Speaker 2: This is this is a mindset thing. 674 00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:44,200 Speaker 6: Really. 675 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:47,640 Speaker 3: A lot of our listeners don't like who are affected 676 00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:49,680 Speaker 3: by the shutdown, and I get this. They don't like 677 00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:53,560 Speaker 3: the implication that you know, well, it's you know, I'm 678 00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:55,400 Speaker 3: being lazy and just getting paid to do nothing. They 679 00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:58,400 Speaker 3: do have no choice. But another way to see this is, 680 00:34:58,440 --> 00:34:59,680 Speaker 3: if you know you're going to get paid when the 681 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:02,239 Speaker 3: government opens, it's not that bad of it, not that 682 00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:04,600 Speaker 3: bad of a situation. I have a friend who is 683 00:35:04,640 --> 00:35:07,960 Speaker 3: on furlough who's working on a memoir. Yeah, so you 684 00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:09,160 Speaker 3: know it's not that bad. 685 00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:12,320 Speaker 5: I mean, if I knew I got full paid furlough, 686 00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:14,960 Speaker 5: I wouldn't mind being on full paid furlough. 687 00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:16,560 Speaker 3: And you can't be and you can't be punished, right that. 688 00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:18,480 Speaker 3: One of the things about vacation a lot of jobs 689 00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:20,719 Speaker 3: is you think you take too much time. Even if 690 00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:23,600 Speaker 3: people say it's Okay, you're like, but is it really okay? 691 00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:29,000 Speaker 3: In this situation, everybody's it's like being mandated to stay 692 00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:31,200 Speaker 3: home during COVID, Like it's not your fault and there's 693 00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:32,000 Speaker 3: no punishment for this. 694 00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:34,200 Speaker 5: I would also point out, and I've always thought this, 695 00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:38,400 Speaker 5: if you cannot work for a month and everything's fine, 696 00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,880 Speaker 5: your job's not that important. I'm just gonna say, like, 697 00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:44,400 Speaker 5: you can leave for a month and not do it, 698 00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:46,319 Speaker 5: and then you come back and you're just able to 699 00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:48,640 Speaker 5: do it. All right, We got the correct Harry Inton 700 00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:51,680 Speaker 5: in now Buck Cut thirty four, we heard Harry Inton 701 00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:54,799 Speaker 5: talk about climate James collapsing, which the support for you. 702 00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:56,319 Speaker 3: You know, we gotta play it we come back. We don't, 703 00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,279 Speaker 3: we don't have time. All right, we'll play it when 704 00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 3: we come back to stay with us through the break. 705 00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:04,080 Speaker 3: That's right, we call the teas. Also, by the way, 706 00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:06,239 Speaker 3: breaking news for people in Omaha. Since I was reading 707 00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:11,280 Speaker 3: in Omaha email book, your head coach is staying present, 708 00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:14,239 Speaker 3: Matt Ruhle is staying in Nebraska. Probably didn't expect to 709 00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:18,040 Speaker 3: hear that, but kve fab which should be called KFAB, 710 00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:21,200 Speaker 3: I guarantee you that is big news there. When we 711 00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:22,880 Speaker 3: come back We'll play you the Harry int and the 712 00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:26,560 Speaker 3: fact that that's collapsing. We will talk with you about 713 00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:29,920 Speaker 3: Gavin Newsom being caught and yet more lies about what 714 00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:33,719 Speaker 3: he said about Charlie Kirk and Jade Vance on some 715 00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:37,239 Speaker 3: UFOs plus will be joined by the Lieutenant Governor of 716 00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:40,520 Speaker 3: Indiana to talk redistricting in that state. 717 00:36:41,040 --> 00:36:43,520 Speaker 5: All that and more. You won't want to miss it, 718 00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:46,479 Speaker 5: and we will be hanging out with you. Coming up 719 00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:48,640 Speaker 5: with the third Hour Thursday edition ex