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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Tuesday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Dealer Juice Podcast with me Matt Peralt.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk,

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Speaker 1: bat Fall Fantasy or yeah, well Fantasy Pros on Twitter,

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Speaker 1: but betting Pros on Twitter too at Betting Pros. We're

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Speaker 1: here thanks to bet MGM and the offer ten dollars

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Speaker 1: to win one hundred and fifty dollars is always above

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Speaker 1: me on YouTube for the video. It's a promo Codejuice

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Speaker 1: one fifty at betmgm dot com or bet MGM on

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Speaker 1: the app for you guys to get involved with those

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Speaker 1: great folks. And a two and oh night last night,

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Speaker 1: not bad, not going to scoff at it. Ben Roethlisberger

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Speaker 1: goes off in really amazing fashion. We get the pick

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Speaker 1: right at minus one ten that closed at minus three

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Speaker 1: for the Steelers.

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Speaker 2: It was kind of a crazy night.

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Speaker 1: So that game was initially a Brown game, being favored

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Speaker 1: at plus three and a half.

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Speaker 2: I had bet that on Friday.

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Speaker 1: I then then teased it on Sunday teased it up

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Speaker 1: to nine and a half from three and a half

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Speaker 1: after taking it at three and a half, so I

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Speaker 1: had three and a half, I had nine and a half,

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Speaker 1: and I had money lined all going, So all three

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Speaker 1: of those hit for me, and then the under comes

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Speaker 1: in officially, so it's a two and oh day. Officially,

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Speaker 1: it's a four and oh day for me. Not going

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Speaker 1: to be angry at that by any means. As the

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Speaker 1: hot streak continues, after kind of a dip down on Sunday,

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Speaker 1: we come back with a nice four and oh day,

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Speaker 1: two and oh day officially for me on that So

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Speaker 1: that was fun, really cool to see see Ben go

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Speaker 1: out like that, and everyone's asking, is that it for

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Speaker 1: Big Ben? Antonio Brown says, no, I don't know. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I still think that when somebody goes ahead and calls

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Speaker 1: next year, when a big injury happens for some team,

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Speaker 1: you know, a championship caliber team gets their quarterback hurt,

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Speaker 1: I still think that Ben's gonna answer the phone, and

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Speaker 1: I think he'll play.

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Speaker 2: I do.

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Speaker 1: I think Ben will seriously contempe playing. And I think

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Speaker 1: there's a good shot that Roethlisberger winds up playing one

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Speaker 1: more game somewhere in some uniform, but you know, maybe

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Speaker 1: maybe not. All right, so we are really counting down

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Speaker 1: the number of football games left.

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Speaker 2: It's super depressing.

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Speaker 1: That stinks. Right, We're getting down to the nitty gritty

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Speaker 1: here of when will the football year be over? We're

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Speaker 1: getting close and here's where I'm going today. We had

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Speaker 1: one Bowl game. I'm not betting, although I should have

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Speaker 1: bet the Magic Magic plus fourteen. They lose by four

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Speaker 1: to the Bulls. That was the right read the right side.

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Speaker 1: The Warriors game is currently going on right now. I'm

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Speaker 1: not sure who the Warriors. What the score is for

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Speaker 1: the Warriors game, but I had thought about But in

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Speaker 1: the heat it was plus eleven.

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Speaker 2: It was eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: Last night it was eleven at at one point, came

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Speaker 1: down ten and a half before tip off, but it

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Speaker 1: was eleven. I was like, man, I mean Miami plus eleven,

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Speaker 1: you could have gotten that. Currently it's Golden State by

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Speaker 1: ten with six to play in the fourth quarter, so

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Speaker 1: that was right there. But we had them could be

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Speaker 1: a two and oh if the heat closed strong, it

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Speaker 1: will be a two and oh day in the NBA,

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Speaker 1: which I did not bet, so that would be I'll

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Speaker 1: be angry because it could have been a six and

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Speaker 1: oh day if I had bet what I wanted to bet,

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Speaker 1: but I didn't do it, so I just had talked

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Speaker 1: about it on the pod last night, and talked about

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Speaker 1: it on the Internet show, and talked about it in

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel, but didn't take advantage of it, didn't

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Speaker 1: bet it. So I'm not betting the NBA. College basketball

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Speaker 1: is getting just destroyed by COVID. I don't know how

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Speaker 1: anyone's betting college basketball right now. Games are getting canceled

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Speaker 1: like crazy. So we have one final bowl game left

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Speaker 1: LSU in Kansas State. Number opened up around three, it's

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Speaker 1: now seven. Totals now forty seven, down from forty eighth. Boy,

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Speaker 1: this game's crazy. Here is where I am. Have you

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Speaker 1: guys seen what's going on with LSU? So Edwardron's gone.

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Speaker 1: They have an introm head coach. They do not have

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Speaker 1: a scholarship quarterback tonight. They have thirty nine scholarship players

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Speaker 1: for the game. They've got their entire back seven's been decimated.

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Speaker 1: Their two best run stoppers are not there, their best

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Speaker 1: running back is not there. They do have two decent

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Speaker 1: wide receivers, but that's about it. In the quarterback is

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Speaker 1: a walk on against a k State team was getting

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Speaker 1: their quarterback back and Scaller Thompson, who was seven and

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Speaker 1: three before we got hurt in KSE State with one

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Speaker 1: of the better running offenses for the country. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if you can put a number up high enough

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Speaker 1: here for me. When it comes to Kansas State, I

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Speaker 1: thought about it. I looked deep into betting LSU plus seven.

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Speaker 1: I was like, man, can LSU play? Can they just

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Speaker 1: keep it close?

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Speaker 2: Can they fight? Can they keep How are they scoring?

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Speaker 2: How is LSU going to score? You don't have.

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Speaker 1: I mean I knew you could say, like Matt, a

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Speaker 1: walk on in LSU is better than some schools.

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Speaker 2: Maybe, But KSE State's going to be motivated.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is a big twelve school up against

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Speaker 1: an SEC school, and whenever you play an SE school,

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Speaker 1: don't tell me they're not going to be motivated. They're

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Speaker 1: going to be motivated. Also, Case Did hasn't won a

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Speaker 1: bowl game in four years, so there's that angle. Case

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Speaker 1: State wants to win this thing. Will there be many

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Speaker 1: fans there?

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Speaker 2: I don't know. It's the Texas Bowl.

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Speaker 1: I'm guessing LSU fans who always like to go to

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Speaker 1: games and party, they'll be there a little bit. Case

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Speaker 1: State fans do travel fairly well, so maybe they'll be

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Speaker 1: Case State fans in Houston for this game. But my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 1: I don't know how LSU does it. I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: just I could be dead wrong. I might be walking

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Speaker 1: into one here, but I don't know how in the

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Speaker 1: world you put hard earned money down to back LSU.

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Speaker 1: I read the article in the Athletic where basically the

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Speaker 1: beat writer, I think Brody Miller is his name, he

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Speaker 1: goes through the entire roster of players who are not

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Speaker 1: available for for LSU.

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Speaker 2: It's striking.

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Speaker 1: I mean it's it's absolutely stunning when you read the

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Speaker 1: number of players who are not going to be available.

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Speaker 1: Thirty nine players are going to be available for this

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Speaker 1: They've got an interim head coach, Brad Davis is your offense.

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Speaker 1: Is your interim head coach. They're two best defensive players,

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Speaker 1: and Neil Ferrell and Damon Damon Clark are both opting

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Speaker 1: out for the NFL Draft. Max Johnson, Miles Brennan, Garrett Newsmeier.

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Speaker 2: They're all not playing. They're all not playing.

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Speaker 1: So you have a walk on in Tavon Falk and

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Speaker 1: Matt O'Dowd plus a receiver that might be the quarterback

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Speaker 1: for this team coming up. And yeah, it's funny because

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Speaker 1: people been joking around the LSU jon Trey Kirkland was

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Speaker 1: a LSU high school leader legend, playing the three A

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Speaker 1: state title game. You throw him for seven five hundred

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Speaker 1: passing yards and three thousand rushing yards in his career,

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Speaker 1: and he might be playing quarterback tonight, but he hasn't

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Speaker 1: played since high school and he's a receiver now, not

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Speaker 1: a quarterback.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, this is a K State team that's

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Speaker 1: not good defensively, but I don't think it really matters.

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Speaker 1: You don't have your number one rusher. You don't have

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Speaker 1: You've got a couple of freshmen who are going to

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Speaker 1: carry the rock here for LSU receivers are okay, but defensively.

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Speaker 2: They're a mess.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they're one of the best defensive teams in

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Speaker 1: the SEC, but they're going to have a real big

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Speaker 1: problem at cornerback, at safety, at linebacker, at defensive line.

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Speaker 1: It's just an absolute mess. And Skyler Thompson's coming back. So,

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is a motivated K State team, half

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Speaker 1: a unit. I'm laying the seven points K State minus

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Speaker 1: seven here. I don't want to over seven, but it's

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Speaker 1: been rising, rising rising. I'm getting a bad number Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm betting a bad number. I'm telling you I'm betting

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Speaker 1: a bad number. So if you want to fade this,

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Speaker 1: go ahead. I'm betting into a bad number. I don't

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Speaker 1: care because I don't think LSU is going to score.

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Speaker 1: The other half a unit is team total LSU twenty

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Speaker 1: and a half. We're betting under minus one ten team

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Speaker 1: total under twenty and a half for LSU.

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Speaker 2: I'm worried about the.

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Speaker 1: Fact that k State might score thirty five to forty

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Speaker 1: points themselves.

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Speaker 2: Like, I'm really concerned that you might say, Matt, why

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Speaker 2: don't that the under?

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Speaker 1: Well, if they score seventeen, If LSU score seventeen points

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Speaker 1: and we get thirty four, it's a thirty four to

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Speaker 1: seventeen final, the game's going over. Okay, So I'm I'm

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Speaker 1: concerned about the over hitting. I think the under is

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Speaker 1: the right side, but I'd rather look at it and

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Speaker 1: say LSU is not going to score. They don't have

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Speaker 1: the weapons, and so I'm going to go under twenty

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Speaker 1: and a half for LSU. Team total for a half

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Speaker 1: a unit, So I'm laying the seven and I'm going

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Speaker 1: to take the under twenty and a half on a

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Speaker 1: team total perspective for LSU. That's the only thing I'm

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Speaker 1: betting on Tuesday. And look, this is gonna be. This

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Speaker 1: is a funky week okay, because wild Card weekend is

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Speaker 1: one of the biggest weekends of gambling. And we have

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Speaker 1: a Saturday, Sunday, Monday. All right, So like that weekend

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Speaker 1: is so exciting, this weekend's gonna suck. All right, we

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Speaker 1: know what this weekend's going to be. This weekend's going

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Speaker 1: to be all player props.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 1: There's no Thursday Night football, there is no there's no

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Speaker 1: Monday Night except for the National Championship Game is Monday.

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Speaker 1: But there's no NFL on Monday. So we have Saturday

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Speaker 1: Sunday for games. By the way, I was going to

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Speaker 1: look at that. I didn't bring that up yesterday on

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Speaker 1: the podcast. I'll bring that up now. For how many

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Speaker 1: games are happening on Saturday for us here in week eighteen,

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Speaker 1: we have on we have two games on Saturday and

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Speaker 1: then the full slate on Sunday. Okay, So Casey at

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Speaker 1: Denver is Saturday, Dallas at Philly is on Saturday. It's

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Speaker 1: a one thirty Pacific, four thirty Eastern five poin fifteen

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Speaker 1: Pacific eight fifteen Eastern for those two games, and then

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Speaker 1: we get into the full slate of games. Tennessee at

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Speaker 1: Houston is a one o'clock eastern time kick. Pittsburgh at

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Speaker 1: Baltimore also a one o'clock eastern time kick. So those

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Speaker 1: two teams are figuring what's going to happen here, Who's

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Speaker 1: going to get in? It matters for Tennessee with the

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Speaker 1: one seed. If Case wins, Tennessee will know they will

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Speaker 1: have to win, So that could be a game you

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Speaker 1: want to bet there. New Orleans in Atlanta both are

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Speaker 1: playing for a chance.

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Speaker 2: If New Orleans.

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Speaker 1: Wins, they can get into the postseason. You've got the

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Speaker 1: Patriots trying to keep themselves in a good playoff spot.

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Speaker 1: Los Angeles in Vegas playing now, so the Steelers are

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Speaker 1: hoping that they can stay alive against Baltimore. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to win to get the So if Indianapolis loses Jacksonville,

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Speaker 1: INDI at Jacksonville, Pittsburgh wins at Baltimore, Jacksonville beats Indianapolis,

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is in the playoffs. Those two teams are playing

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Speaker 1: at the same time, so just FYI on that. It's

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Speaker 1: a big spread, but Indianapolis hasn't won at Jacksonville since

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Speaker 1: twenty fourteen, in case you don't know that, they've lost

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Speaker 1: like five games in a row to Jacksonville. So okay, Colts,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna do it again. You're gonna lose their way

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Speaker 1: out and fall out of the playoffs. So Pittsburgh could still,

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Speaker 1: magically some other won't play a home game, obviously, but

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Speaker 1: magically potentially get their way into the postseason.

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Speaker 2: So a lot of games happening to come a weekend.

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Speaker 1: But then as long as now, now that Pittsburgh won,

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Speaker 1: Cleveland's eliminated, Pittsburgh still alive. There was some fucky weird

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Speaker 1: scenario and there still is. The Patriots could still wind

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Speaker 1: up with the one seat if you can believe that

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Speaker 1: the Bills, Titans, and Chiefs all have to lose for

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Speaker 1: the Patriots to get to the one seat, which would

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Speaker 1: be the most ridiculous thing ever ever, Denver's not being

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Speaker 1: Kansas City. That would be a stunner of all stunners.

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Speaker 1: The Bills, if they were going to go ahead and

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Speaker 1: lose in their game to the Jets at home, would

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Speaker 1: be like, excuse me, but I mean Buffalo wasn't looking

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Speaker 1: great against the Falcons last week and the Jets almost

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Speaker 1: beat the Bucks. So I mean, I guess some crazy

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Speaker 1: things could happen there, but that's not happening.

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Speaker 2: But just there, awesome.

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Speaker 1: Are some weird scenarios still in play here that could

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Speaker 1: find could wind up being Waco. But as long as

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Speaker 1: everything goes according to form, Chargers at Vegas, that game

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Speaker 1: Sunday night here in Vegas is gonna be huge. It's

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Speaker 1: the biggest game in the history of Vegas for football

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Speaker 1: for a team based here. Raiders played basically meaningless games

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Speaker 1: last year. This is a playoff game. If they win,

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Speaker 1: they play an actual playoff game. But Raiders are at

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Speaker 1: home plus the three. We're gonna watch that game, okay,

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Speaker 1: and watch that line. If that line at all ticks

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Speaker 1: above three, I will jump on the Raiders. I will

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Speaker 1: be on the Raiders at home catching three points. If

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Speaker 1: I get three and a half, it's what I want.

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Speaker 1: So we're gonna watch that game for Sunday night. If

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Speaker 1: but I mean, the books open the number a little

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Speaker 1: higher than some people thought that the books were going to.

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Speaker 1: But if that game does go, Vegas plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half will take Vegas. If it goes down to

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Speaker 1: two and a half. I'll have to think about it,

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Speaker 1: but I think three Vegas over three is the right number.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a three point game one way or

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Speaker 1: the other for the Chargers and the Raiders. Raiders played

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Speaker 1: very well down the stretch. Rich Pisaci has done an

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Speaker 1: incredible job. It's an incredible job on a couple other markets.

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Speaker 1: The Belichick to win Coach of the Year is probably dead,

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Speaker 1: so we're probably gonna lose that. Unfortunately, that was a

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Speaker 1: free bet for me with bet MGM, so I'm not

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Speaker 1: too angry. I'm not losing any money on that. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lose it on the record, but it's basically gonna

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Speaker 1: come down to I think Zach Taylor or Matt Lafleur,

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Speaker 1: which is kind of crazy, and the Jamar Chase Steam.

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Speaker 1: If you haven't bet Mac Jones to win the Offensive

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Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year, I don't know. I mean, at

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Speaker 1: plus one seventy five, it's not a bad idea to

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Speaker 1: take the Mac Jones right now. If you haven't, I

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Speaker 1: haven't come around to it.

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Speaker 2: I might.

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Speaker 1: I might even make it official. I don't know yet,

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Speaker 1: because I mean, this is what have you done for

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Speaker 1: me lately? If you really look at the body of

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Speaker 1: work for Jamar Chase, Jamar Chase has had basically four

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Speaker 1: monster games, and two of them are against the Ravens. Yes,

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Speaker 1: he lit up the Chiefs last week. Okay, insane, I

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Speaker 1: give it. But like the body of work Mac Jones

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Speaker 1: is completion percentage, his touchdown interception ratio, his team's record.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's a quarterback league, man, It's a quarterback league,

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Speaker 1: not a receiver league.

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Speaker 2: It's a quarterback league.

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Speaker 1: So like, if Jamar Chase doesn't set things on fire

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Speaker 1: for Sincy against Cleveland, like if he goes back to

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Speaker 1: just his typical Jamar Chase type numbers, He's had two

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Speaker 1: incredible games. I'm not debating that point. He's been absolutely

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Speaker 1: outstanding for the last two games. But I'm talking about

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Speaker 1: just where he has been over all all season. His

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Speaker 1: numbers are really up and down. The thirteen touchdowns is incredible.

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Speaker 1: I'm not debating that point. But like, if you look

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Speaker 1: at the entire season for Jamar Chase, and people are

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Speaker 1: arguing me all the time on this, but like the

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Speaker 1: first game of the year where he was great one

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Speaker 1: hundred and one yards receiving in one touchdown, Okay, that's tremendous.

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Speaker 1: Then he had two catches for four yards one touchdown,

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Speaker 1: but two catches for four yards. Then he had four

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Speaker 1: catches for five sorry, excuse me, No, he had four

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Speaker 1: catches for four catches, sorry, two catches and four targets

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Speaker 1: for fifty four yards in one touchdown. Then he had

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Speaker 1: had four catches for sixty five yards in two touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: But as you go into the rest of the year,

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Speaker 1: he was great, great, great until he got till Halloween.

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Speaker 1: And after Halloween, Jamar Chase kind of disappeared. He had

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Speaker 1: six catches for forty nine yards, three catches for thirty

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Speaker 1: two yards in a touchdown, three catches for thirty nine

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Speaker 1: yards no touchdowns, five catches for fifty two yards no touchdowns,

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Speaker 1: five catches for seventy seven yards in two touchdowns, then

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Speaker 1: one catch for three yards and no touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: So he basically.

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Speaker 1: Disappeared for the entire month of November and most of December,

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Speaker 1: and then against the Ravens seven catches buck twenty five

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Speaker 1: and then against the Chiefs eleven catches, two sixty six

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Speaker 1: and three touchdowns. He erupted for that game, but against

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Speaker 1: Baltimore eight catches two hundred and one yards in one

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Speaker 1: touchdown against the Ravens, fifteen catches for two hundred and

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Speaker 1: twenty six yards in one touchdown. He crushed that team,

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Speaker 1: crushed the Chiefs as well, crushed the Niners as well.

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Speaker 1: But other than that, eh, I mean, impressive, absolutely impressive.

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Speaker 1: But again, I just I think everybody is so in

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Speaker 1: love right now with Jamar Chase after what he just

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Speaker 1: did that they aren't seeing the full body work.

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Speaker 2: I mean, on a strict.

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Speaker 1: Value, bet, I think mac Jones to win the Offensive

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Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year should be considered. I mean, Jamar

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Speaker 1: Chase should not be minus two twenty, Okay, he should not,

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Speaker 1: and he jumped over mac Jones, who was minus five

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Speaker 1: hundred last week in a week where mac Jones threw

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Speaker 1: for two hundred and twenty seven yards, completed seventy three

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Speaker 1: percent of his passes in three touchdowns. Now it's against Jacksonville,

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Speaker 1: but on the same game, same day that mac Jones

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Speaker 1: puts up those numbers as a quarterback, all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: we're talking about Jamar Chase is gonna run away with

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Speaker 1: the offensive Rookie of the Year. It's a really interesting debate,

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Speaker 1: really really is. It's wild to me, Mac Jones on

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Speaker 1: the year three thousand, five hundred yards passing sixty seven

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Speaker 1: point six percent completion, which is crazy, seven point two

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Speaker 1: yards per pass play completed, quarterback rating of ninety two

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Speaker 1: point five twenty one touchdowns to fifteen interceptions. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's just slow and steady. But he's on a team

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Speaker 1: right now that's got double digit wins and should win

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Speaker 1: at Miami to have eleven wins. Patriots are gonna have

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Speaker 1: eleven wins on the year. I know Jamar Chase is

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Speaker 1: on team that won the North. I'll give you that.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I understand that, but that that line move,

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Speaker 1: I don't. I don't get that line move. That's a

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Speaker 1: stunner to me in terms of where we are with

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Speaker 1: that offensive rookie of the year market.

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Speaker 2: It's crazy.

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Speaker 1: So all right, we're taking Kansas State minus seven against

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Speaker 1: LSU half a unit team total under twenty and a

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Speaker 1: half for LSU for a half units is Matt. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each or morning,

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Speaker 1: it's Dili Neuce podcast always being brought to you by Bed.

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Speaker 2: I'm GM