1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:04,760
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

2
00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:05,800
Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

3
00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:12,200
Speaker 3: Reading the corn.

4
00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,760
Speaker 2: Ten seconds remaining, so you just go show up to

5
00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:18,400
Speaker 2: the basket under the basket. It's the true for the

6
00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:19,639
Speaker 2: wind god.

7
00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:21,720
Speaker 3: A miracle.

8
00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:27,920
Speaker 2: It's water hit that one from the parking lot.

9
00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:32,360
Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

10
00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:35,440
Speaker 4: Draft Kings. I am your host, Matthew Cox, joined by

11
00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:38,160
Speaker 4: my esteen colleagues, Kai mcke and Jim Root.

12
00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,159
Speaker 5: We are the three men who weave every.

13
00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:46,040
Speaker 4: Monday, dropping another BBOC pod on your head, in your eyehole,

14
00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:49,120
Speaker 4: talking all things betting the world college hoops. College sorry

15
00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:52,760
Speaker 4: conference plays uh fast approaching, so a lot of meat

16
00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:56,880
Speaker 4: on the bone. Our usual six pack of sections remain,

17
00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:59,960
Speaker 4: discussing key games of the week, Power conference, mid major,

18
00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:02,880
Speaker 4: everything in between. Before we get to all the goods,

19
00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:04,920
Speaker 4: let's gick it to our guys Stucky for a quick

20
00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:06,240
Speaker 4: message from our sponsor.

21
00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:08,720
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast is teamed up with

22
00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:12,959
Speaker 1: DraftKings Sportsbook, where new customers can bet five dollars and

23
00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:15,400
Speaker 1: get two hundred dollars back in bonus bets if your

24
00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:18,240
Speaker 1: bet wins, stay in on the action and use your

25
00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:21,240
Speaker 1: bonus bets on DraftKings same game parlays for a shot

26
00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:24,600
Speaker 1: at an even bigger payout. To get started, use promo

27
00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:29,240
Speaker 1: code BBOC when signing up with DraftKings again, that's promo

28
00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:32,959
Speaker 1: code BBOC when signing up, and bet five bucks to

29
00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,679
Speaker 1: get two hundred back in bonus bets. If your bet wins,

30
00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:37,400
Speaker 1: the crown is yours.

31
00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:41,520
Speaker 4: All right, boys, let's begin first off our big game section.

32
00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:44,840
Speaker 4: There's a lot of big conference games looming, but a

33
00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:46,479
Speaker 4: couple of non conference games you want to highlight.

34
00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:47,080
Speaker 5: Again, we're going to.

35
00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:50,440
Speaker 4: Focus mostly on the Monday and Tuesday portion of the

36
00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:54,360
Speaker 4: week's slate recording here on Sunday. Really only one key

37
00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:57,960
Speaker 4: non con game on Monday, a couple on Tuesday, but

38
00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:01,800
Speaker 4: the Yale Alabama one sticks out on Monday he should

39
00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:04,160
Speaker 4: be a super high scoring game. And then Tuesday we

40
00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:07,760
Speaker 4: got Louisville like Cal little acc kickoff, Butler at Creton,

41
00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:10,919
Speaker 4: little big East action, and then New Mexico at Boise

42
00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:14,960
Speaker 4: to ri Ira. Sort of the four games on those

43
00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:20,880
Speaker 4: two days. Any take Jimbo on the Monday Tuesday spread

44
00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:24,960
Speaker 4: total team total derivative of your choice that sticks out

45
00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:25,720
Speaker 4: with these matchups.

46
00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,400
Speaker 2: Well, I'm very intrigued by the Ale game, Matthew, because

47
00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:30,960
Speaker 2: this is our bid for the two bid Ivy. This

48
00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:33,040
Speaker 2: is what we got, the one we need for our

49
00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:36,120
Speaker 2: Bulldogs going on the road to the Tide. Nat Oates

50
00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:40,000
Speaker 2: always schedules like a madman. Should be a super high

51
00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:42,400
Speaker 2: scoring game. I'm very curious to see how Yale does

52
00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:46,040
Speaker 2: on the offensive boards. Is not a super strength. They're

53
00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:48,240
Speaker 2: fifty seventh in the country in offensive rebound rate. But

54
00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:52,079
Speaker 2: Samson Alaton is a complete monster there. You can make

55
00:02:52,120 --> 00:02:54,400
Speaker 2: a case that he's the best big man in this game,

56
00:02:54,680 --> 00:03:00,000
Speaker 2: which is shocking against an SEC caliber team. Townsend All

57
00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,360
Speaker 2: also a beast Kai, a guy that just you know,

58
00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:05,240
Speaker 2: kind of plays the point for them a little bit

59
00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:08,920
Speaker 2: point foward. Despite despite being six seven two forty. Yale's

60
00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:11,919
Speaker 2: just a really fun watch and as awesome as Alabama's

61
00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:13,680
Speaker 2: backcourt is. Is the kind of game where if they

62
00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:17,200
Speaker 2: get into a shootout, Yale gets confident. I could see

63
00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:19,280
Speaker 2: them really hanging around, and I know there's a lot

64
00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:22,320
Speaker 2: of possessions and that certainly helps the favorite. We tookly

65
00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:25,120
Speaker 2: talk about that high possession game definitely plays better to

66
00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,760
Speaker 2: the favorite. I think Yale's going to stick around, though,

67
00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:31,200
Speaker 2: despite some potential looming shooting regression for them because they're

68
00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,760
Speaker 2: top five and both three point percentage and free throw percentage.

69
00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:35,720
Speaker 2: I just think they're really good, and I think they

70
00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:37,560
Speaker 2: end up hanging around in Tuscaloosa on Monday.

71
00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:39,040
Speaker 3: Man to b at IVY would be cool.

72
00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:40,920
Speaker 6: I do think it'd be possible because I think they

73
00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:43,440
Speaker 6: can run the table in conference playing. They're that much

74
00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:46,400
Speaker 6: better than the other ivs, and heck, that would probably

75
00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:48,560
Speaker 6: be good enough for the Anstiaby Tournament, although we'll see

76
00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:51,080
Speaker 6: what the committee does. Yeah, it's gonna be a great game.

77
00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:54,040
Speaker 6: Yale top twenty offense. The question is their defense. But

78
00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,400
Speaker 6: you know, you go back in these in Sanaby tournament

79
00:03:57,400 --> 00:03:59,040
Speaker 6: games and I think if the one tiers ago and

80
00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:00,120
Speaker 6: it'st Auburn.

81
00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:01,360
Speaker 3: That was a game I thought.

82
00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:04,120
Speaker 6: Yale might get blown out a bit against a superior

83
00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:07,440
Speaker 6: athletic team. They played fast, Yale hung They actually won

84
00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:09,240
Speaker 6: that game by two points. I'm not saying they're gonna

85
00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:11,600
Speaker 6: win against Alabama here, Matthew, but I do think they

86
00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,000
Speaker 6: can hang around. I think Alabama probably scores one hundred,

87
00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:17,120
Speaker 6: but heck, I think Yale can put up ninety or so.

88
00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:20,080
Speaker 6: And Ken Mom has this at what a thirteen point spread,

89
00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:22,880
Speaker 6: I would lean towards the Yale Bulldogs here on a

90
00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:23,479
Speaker 6: Monday night.

91
00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:25,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, I just don't touch these.

92
00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:27,479
Speaker 4: Like we've talked about the high possession games with high

93
00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:30,159
Speaker 4: totals numbers are going to play to a smaller number.

94
00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:33,920
Speaker 4: And I know that the Yale offense and defense splits

95
00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:34,799
Speaker 4: have been pretty stark.

96
00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:35,160
Speaker 5: It's odd.

97
00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:37,760
Speaker 4: Do you think Yale's better defensive team. It's not really

98
00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:39,800
Speaker 4: skewed by their opponents. I've actually played a lot of

99
00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:42,560
Speaker 4: like mediocre offense. Is the only real prolific offense. They

100
00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:46,239
Speaker 4: played is Akron game they won shockingly in my opinion,

101
00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:48,800
Speaker 4: and Monday the other games we didn't talk about just

102
00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:50,799
Speaker 4: to bring them up. I didn't have any profound takes

103
00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,200
Speaker 4: that we're trying to highlight games in more depth where

104
00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:58,360
Speaker 4: we have profound opinions. But McNeese Michigan, Utah at Washington

105
00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:01,680
Speaker 4: kind of a throwback pack twelve match up there and

106
00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:04,919
Speaker 4: then Lipscomb going to Cincinnati. I'm not sure we can

107
00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:07,120
Speaker 4: even call that an upset if Lipscomb wins, but that's

108
00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:09,359
Speaker 4: Sprent's probably gonna be about eight to nine.

109
00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:12,560
Speaker 3: I guess, well, I think that well, wow, yeah, no,

110
00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:14,919
Speaker 3: I really don't either. I think we'll bring up a couple.

111
00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:19,279
Speaker 6: Of those power games in the the uh FA Fave section, Matthew,

112
00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:21,480
Speaker 6: but I got nothing in those other ones.

113
00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:25,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, how about Tuesday where we have a few more

114
00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:27,839
Speaker 4: of the Bigger Conference again at Big East a CC.

115
00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:31,560
Speaker 4: We thought we mentioned Louisville at Cal, Butler at Creighton

116
00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,240
Speaker 4: in New Mexico at Boise. I think the Cal spot's

117
00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:37,640
Speaker 4: a really good one for Mark Matts and they've not

118
00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:40,719
Speaker 4: been the healthiest so far, but I think they're deep enough.

119
00:05:41,800 --> 00:05:43,960
Speaker 4: And then you know the way they played who is

120
00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:46,280
Speaker 4: it Ucla at home earlier this year. I just think

121
00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:47,800
Speaker 4: this is a team that's going to rise and Mark

122
00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:49,159
Speaker 4: mattson this is kind of the year. I think he

123
00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:51,520
Speaker 4: breaks through with some big wins, especially at a home

124
00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:54,760
Speaker 4: in conference play, we've seen how much home means in

125
00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,919
Speaker 4: these you know, spread out, disjointed conferences.

126
00:05:57,960 --> 00:05:59,080
Speaker 5: Maybe that changes this year.

127
00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:01,040
Speaker 4: But of the ones that stuck out to me as

128
00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:03,599
Speaker 4: like kind of a vintage home dog spot, I like

129
00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:05,200
Speaker 4: Cal in this one.

130
00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:08,279
Speaker 2: You got to mention the possibility that MIKEL. Brown Junior

131
00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:11,159
Speaker 2: is out or limited for Louisville. I imagine he'll be

132
00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,880
Speaker 2: back after Christmas start a conference play, but that is

133
00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:19,360
Speaker 2: a long way to go for Louisville. After Christmas, looking ahead,

134
00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:22,920
Speaker 2: they go Cal Stanford and then on January sixth, they

135
00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:26,080
Speaker 2: come back to host Duke, a rather important game for

136
00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:30,040
Speaker 2: the ACC. I could see this team. It's not super

137
00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:33,239
Speaker 2: young with Brown and you know Frew coming over from Germany,

138
00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:35,599
Speaker 2: like he's young to d one, but not young in general.

139
00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:38,720
Speaker 2: I could see this being a little lackadaisical for them

140
00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:42,040
Speaker 2: kai with the long travel and just a little bit

141
00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:43,560
Speaker 2: of Duke on the mind. When they get back to

142
00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:47,520
Speaker 2: the East Coast, maybe Kelsey, the raw ra cheerleader pomp

143
00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:49,840
Speaker 2: pom guy will have them fired up and locked in.

144
00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:52,080
Speaker 2: But they haven't been very good away from home. There

145
00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:55,880
Speaker 2: are two road games Tennessee Arkansas were bad, so I

146
00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:57,760
Speaker 2: kind of like the Cal angle there, and I think

147
00:06:57,760 --> 00:06:59,039
Speaker 2: there's a lot of points in that game too.

148
00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:03,440
Speaker 6: Yeah, doing tru road games, love pointing that out. And

149
00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:06,040
Speaker 6: Cal's not terrible. In fact, we've been at least I

150
00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:08,080
Speaker 6: had been on the Cali bandwagon last couple of years,

151
00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:10,360
Speaker 6: and I guess I hopped off at this season. Heck,

152
00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:12,520
Speaker 6: this is their best team under Matts, and I think

153
00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:14,800
Speaker 6: they have a shot of the tournament right now, lots

154
00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:17,040
Speaker 6: of length up and down the roster. I think that

155
00:07:17,080 --> 00:07:19,880
Speaker 6: helps to combat Louisville. Justin Pippen came back last game

156
00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:23,800
Speaker 6: that mentioned Cal injuries a bit. Pippen's been incredible for

157
00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:26,440
Speaker 6: them this season, coming over from Michigan running the offense.

158
00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:29,000
Speaker 6: It's just kind of scary tofa Louisville. Matt I don't

159
00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:32,400
Speaker 6: like doing it because of how much firepower they have offensively,

160
00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:34,400
Speaker 6: even without Brown, how hot they can get from three,

161
00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:37,880
Speaker 6: how they run and transition their pace. But I do

162
00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:40,680
Speaker 6: lean towards Cal at plus six is what Campon would

163
00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:41,160
Speaker 6: have it at.

164
00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:43,040
Speaker 3: Would assume the market would bet.

165
00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:44,720
Speaker 6: That down a little bit if I had to guess,

166
00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:47,480
Speaker 6: especially if Brown is out, but would lean towards Cal's way.

167
00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:49,920
Speaker 5: Uh yeah, I'm trying to pull up My screen just

168
00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:51,520
Speaker 5: crashed and I had Mark Mattson as.

169
00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:55,240
Speaker 4: A dog ats splits. I think they're pretty good, So

170
00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:57,640
Speaker 4: just take that for what's worth. I'll confirm here to SEC.

171
00:07:57,720 --> 00:08:00,840
Speaker 4: But that's also kind of playing into my my my

172
00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:03,880
Speaker 4: cap there for the Home Bears. Anything else that's it

173
00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:05,400
Speaker 4: got to you guys on Tuesday. There's I mean, frankly,

174
00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:08,080
Speaker 4: there's a lot of games between I would call middling

175
00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:11,800
Speaker 4: bubble isious acc big Eiast teams like Seen.

176
00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:12,320
Speaker 5: Hall at Marquette.

177
00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:14,200
Speaker 4: We'll talk about that as sort of a spot play later.

178
00:08:15,040 --> 00:08:18,000
Speaker 4: And I had nothing profound on the Boise New Mexico game,

179
00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:19,920
Speaker 4: although it feels like maybe a game where New Mexico

180
00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:23,440
Speaker 4: could start to creep into bubble contention with the win

181
00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:26,360
Speaker 4: there at Boise and kind of keep the Mountain West

182
00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:30,600
Speaker 4: multi three to forbid Hope live at this point.

183
00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:33,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I kind of leaned towards the Lobos sticking.

184
00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:35,880
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's starting to play really well.

185
00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:39,439
Speaker 3: They're rolling one seventh straight. Boise has been very inconsistent.

186
00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:41,800
Speaker 6: They you know, they beat Saint Mary's and they lose

187
00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:44,839
Speaker 6: by fifteen to Nevada and it's a good home court.

188
00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:47,800
Speaker 6: But if Hawaii Pacific can beat Boise Gym at home,

189
00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:50,560
Speaker 6: then I think anyone can. And I would lean towards

190
00:08:50,559 --> 00:08:53,079
Speaker 6: sticking with the hot Lobos. I would kind of assume boys,

191
00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:56,240
Speaker 6: you would take a bit of money just because home

192
00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:58,040
Speaker 6: teams in Mountain West I think get a little bit

193
00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:01,040
Speaker 6: overplayed a bit. And I've been very impressed by New

194
00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:01,720
Speaker 6: Mexico lately.

195
00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:05,160
Speaker 4: I just like that they make boys shoot like the

196
00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:08,320
Speaker 4: reason Boys he lost to the Hawaii Pacific because they

197
00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:10,720
Speaker 4: they settled for two many threes shot like if they

198
00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:13,760
Speaker 4: shot twenty percent. But you can kind of take Boise

199
00:09:13,840 --> 00:09:15,920
Speaker 4: out of what they really do well offensively and kill

200
00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:19,440
Speaker 4: their mojo by just making them shoot from the cheap seats.

201
00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:21,640
Speaker 4: I think Eric Olin and that kind of packed an offense,

202
00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:23,920
Speaker 4: super heavy drop, I believe, and they'll mix in some

203
00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:24,480
Speaker 4: zone too.

204
00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:26,240
Speaker 5: We'll make them make shots.

205
00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:29,640
Speaker 2: The spot makes me nervous. With New Mexico one to

206
00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:32,440
Speaker 2: zero in league play, Boise State ohen to one usually

207
00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:34,319
Speaker 2: typically get the home run effort from the Owen one

208
00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:37,960
Speaker 2: team in that scenario back home home opener and league play,

209
00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:40,440
Speaker 2: so I'm not gonna back New Mexico here, but I

210
00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:44,040
Speaker 2: do like that matchup angle Matthew. New Mexico's got to

211
00:09:44,040 --> 00:09:47,600
Speaker 2: get healthy. Two though, Bouyon and Howell both missed their

212
00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:50,840
Speaker 2: Mountain West opener those ten days ago, so I kind

213
00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:53,600
Speaker 2: of expect both of them back, But those are two

214
00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:55,320
Speaker 2: starters that matter a lot. Howel is a guy that

215
00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:57,480
Speaker 2: came with Owen from UC San Diego, and that continuity

216
00:09:57,480 --> 00:09:59,679
Speaker 2: has mattered a lot in the back court. So I

217
00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:01,360
Speaker 2: would just check on that if you're gonna hop on

218
00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:03,400
Speaker 2: the Lobos, but be careful of the spot.

219
00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:05,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, and their backcours banged up early. I think the

220
00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:08,080
Speaker 4: Allberry has been back and healthy. So it's been a

221
00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:11,280
Speaker 4: tough kind of disjointed rotation for OLIM, but they've I

222
00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:13,640
Speaker 4: mean to be ten and two with a win at

223
00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:18,600
Speaker 4: VCU and against Santa Clara. No nothing to stuff at

224
00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:21,080
Speaker 4: for sure. All Right, we're going to mid major games

225
00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:24,280
Speaker 4: our second section. There's a ton to choose from just

226
00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:26,600
Speaker 4: for contact. We got five Valley games tipping off Monday.

227
00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:29,320
Speaker 4: We've got five m double AC games, five Horizon games,

228
00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:32,240
Speaker 4: five Mac games coming up on Tuesday.

229
00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:34,640
Speaker 5: In a shortt board of other games.

230
00:10:35,280 --> 00:10:37,600
Speaker 4: I love the highlight here, Jim that picked out my

231
00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:39,800
Speaker 4: probably my favorite bet of the week, and I think

232
00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,440
Speaker 4: I'm gonna double down with the money line sprinkle and

233
00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:44,760
Speaker 4: a spread beat here, so we'll maybe double dose on

234
00:10:44,800 --> 00:10:49,280
Speaker 4: this game. Cow Baptists at Utah Valley get ready for

235
00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:52,960
Speaker 4: the unprecedented triple round robins schedule the first of I

236
00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:55,160
Speaker 4: presume I think it's three meetings between these three teams

237
00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:58,640
Speaker 4: and the now skeleton whack. I just like it because

238
00:10:58,679 --> 00:11:02,280
Speaker 4: Cowbap's matchup this year is just the way they're built

239
00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:04,800
Speaker 4: with some real size up front. It's funny because kemp

240
00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:06,679
Speaker 4: Pom's hype metric sort of is misleading because they have

241
00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:09,120
Speaker 4: small guards, but they have big bigs, and that's what

242
00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:11,800
Speaker 4: you need upfront to keep Utah Valley off the glass.

243
00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:14,360
Speaker 4: As long as Don Baneles is healthy, which is always

244
00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:17,040
Speaker 4: a mystery. I think they're absolutely in this game all

245
00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:19,280
Speaker 4: the way through against a Utah Valley team who's been good,

246
00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:21,080
Speaker 4: but you're kind of catch them I think at the

247
00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:24,080
Speaker 4: peak of their value in the market. And then another thing,

248
00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:27,600
Speaker 4: they were both hyper competitive games last year Rocroi and

249
00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:30,079
Speaker 4: against Phillips, and I thought they had a worse roster

250
00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:32,680
Speaker 4: frankly last year. So yeah, a lot sets up here

251
00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:33,680
Speaker 4: for our lancers.

252
00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:34,240
Speaker 5: I like them.

253
00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:37,680
Speaker 4: Hopefully plus market will go six or seven, that's my

254
00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:39,199
Speaker 4: guess at what the opener is going to be.

255
00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:40,520
Speaker 5: I only it'll be nine. I think it'll be six

256
00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:41,880
Speaker 5: or seven. But that's gonna be enough for me.

257
00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:44,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Utah Valley is overvalued right now. This

258
00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:47,960
Speaker 2: is a good team, but they jumped like twenty five

259
00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:51,360
Speaker 2: spots when they beat Samford by forty, and that game

260
00:11:51,440 --> 00:11:53,599
Speaker 2: is doing a lot of work for them analytically. So

261
00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:55,360
Speaker 2: if you're gonna give me nine points with teams that

262
00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:59,160
Speaker 2: I think are really close to even, and you can

263
00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:01,120
Speaker 2: make a very strong argument that cal Baptist has the

264
00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:03,920
Speaker 2: best player on the floor with Daniels. I love the

265
00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:06,319
Speaker 2: point you make about the size, Matthew, because they're playing

266
00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:08,680
Speaker 2: six ten or seven foot at center. Every time they've

267
00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:11,319
Speaker 2: got three guys rotating there. They're often playing six nine

268
00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:13,880
Speaker 2: or six eleven at power forward. They're huge up front,

269
00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:17,800
Speaker 2: an incredible rebounding team both ends of the court, and

270
00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:19,840
Speaker 2: that's really carried them through the non con They were

271
00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:23,160
Speaker 2: fantastic for a while until they went through this insane

272
00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:26,960
Speaker 2: elevation gauntlet playing at Colorado BYU and Salt Lake and

273
00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:30,120
Speaker 2: then at Utah in three straight games. But that means

274
00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:32,840
Speaker 2: they're accustomed to elevation, like they have gone through the

275
00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:34,880
Speaker 2: Ringers with this, the spot is not going to scare

276
00:12:34,920 --> 00:12:37,440
Speaker 2: them going to Utah Valley and playing at elevation. I

277
00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:39,360
Speaker 2: love cal Baptist here. I'm with Matt. I will be

278
00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:41,600
Speaker 2: taking plus nine as an official bet down to like seven.

279
00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,240
Speaker 2: I would take it to.

280
00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,680
Speaker 6: Me too, my fellows, that that makes it a three

281
00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:48,959
Speaker 6: way three man, weave a bet here. Yeah, I'd be

282
00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:50,680
Speaker 6: shocked it was nine. I would love to get nine.

283
00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:53,400
Speaker 6: And I have a ton of respect for Utah Valley's

284
00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:56,120
Speaker 6: home court. But I watched Idaho's Daego tot too with

285
00:12:56,160 --> 00:12:58,400
Speaker 6: them at Utah Valley and they should have won that game.

286
00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:01,600
Speaker 6: I think BAF can hang here. And Jim mentioned the

287
00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:04,800
Speaker 6: road Warriors that they've been already this season. They beat

288
00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:07,000
Speaker 6: UCI on the road, they beat Organ State on the road.

289
00:13:07,040 --> 00:13:09,559
Speaker 6: They hung with Utah and Colorado in that mountain stretch.

290
00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:12,160
Speaker 6: They did not hang with BYU, but it's BYU. There

291
00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:15,080
Speaker 6: are much much, much better than Utah Valley. You saw

292
00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:18,000
Speaker 6: Colorado and they rebound the crap out of the ball.

293
00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:20,760
Speaker 6: You guys already mentioned the Big Guys tenth best rebounding

294
00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:23,240
Speaker 6: team on the offensive end in the country. I think

295
00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:25,920
Speaker 6: they scrapped their way to a cover here. I would

296
00:13:25,920 --> 00:13:28,520
Speaker 6: also take it down to like seven. Yeah, yeah, it's

297
00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:30,160
Speaker 6: going to be six or seven. That's let's just be

298
00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:33,680
Speaker 6: realistic about it. But I think I think six or

299
00:13:33,679 --> 00:13:34,720
Speaker 6: seven is still worth it for me.

300
00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:37,000
Speaker 4: Four to five is I think you're paying a big

301
00:13:37,000 --> 00:13:39,040
Speaker 4: old premium at that point. It's probably a better money

302
00:13:39,040 --> 00:13:42,800
Speaker 4: line play for me, frankly than spread play. I'll highlight

303
00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:44,679
Speaker 4: two of the NBC games you guys can pepper in.

304
00:13:44,720 --> 00:13:46,680
Speaker 4: I know, Jim you had to a mac in a

305
00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:50,360
Speaker 4: Horizon game, but I like two of the valley tilts.

306
00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:50,559
Speaker 2: Here.

307
00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:53,960
Speaker 4: Illinois State goes to Drake and that's how U Carbonal

308
00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:57,440
Speaker 4: goes to Murray. I like both road teams Drake because

309
00:13:57,440 --> 00:13:59,600
Speaker 4: you know, Jim mentioned what Utaw Valleys orderted and likely

310
00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:01,120
Speaker 4: I think Drake the same way. I just don't think

311
00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:03,800
Speaker 4: that the teams very good. I don't Owen Larson's back,

312
00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:07,400
Speaker 4: and maybe the market's sort of trying and anticipate his impact,

313
00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:12,280
Speaker 4: but he's not looked like himself. His stats reflect that Defensively.

314
00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:16,440
Speaker 4: Henderson is basically not called him out but talked about

315
00:14:16,440 --> 00:14:19,320
Speaker 4: how he's been a struggle defensively. He's not being great

316
00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:22,320
Speaker 4: offensively either, and all my stage just looks really good

317
00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:24,120
Speaker 4: right now. I think they've kind of people kind of

318
00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:25,840
Speaker 4: thought they were sort of overrated to start the year,

319
00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:28,520
Speaker 4: but I think they're the way they're starting to defend

320
00:14:29,280 --> 00:14:32,280
Speaker 4: that they're getting some key like ty Pence has really emerged.

321
00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:33,480
Speaker 4: I think they go on the road here to win

322
00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:37,160
Speaker 4: this game and then similar script p SIU Carbondale against Murray.

323
00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:39,960
Speaker 4: I know, my fighting Salukis have kind of got off

324
00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:42,000
Speaker 4: to a tough start, but it's a better matchup against Murray.

325
00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:44,360
Speaker 4: It's like more of an open floor game. I think

326
00:14:44,360 --> 00:14:47,720
Speaker 4: that favors Q House and just those more athletic wings

327
00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:50,080
Speaker 4: that Carbondale has. I think they've run into some tough matchups,

328
00:14:50,080 --> 00:14:53,400
Speaker 4: some matchup Kryptonites in their opening Valley game, So I

329
00:14:53,400 --> 00:14:57,000
Speaker 4: think Carbondale sneaks up on Murray, who's good, but again,

330
00:14:57,160 --> 00:14:58,800
Speaker 4: like Utah Valley, I think Murray sort of at the

331
00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:01,000
Speaker 4: peak of their value in the marketplace right now.

332
00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:03,440
Speaker 2: Yeah. I did a lot of downe in the spot

333
00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:06,640
Speaker 2: section that we'll get too later, highlighting the matchups with

334
00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:09,160
Speaker 2: the teams that are winless and conference play against teams

335
00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:11,840
Speaker 2: that are undefeated, and the NBC's got a bunch of those,

336
00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:13,920
Speaker 2: and Murray is one of those teams. It's in that

337
00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:16,560
Speaker 2: spot too, and oh, taking on a team that's own too,

338
00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:19,160
Speaker 2: you get a little bit desperate from the Selukis. I

339
00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,480
Speaker 2: think that's a good spot and I love Illinois State Matt.

340
00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:23,800
Speaker 2: I think this kind of is one of those revert

341
00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:25,840
Speaker 2: to preseason priors a little bit. With the startup the

342
00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:28,400
Speaker 2: league play we expected Illinois State to be one of

343
00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:30,400
Speaker 2: the top three teams in this league. They have started

344
00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:34,120
Speaker 2: to play a lot better lately. They're getting like stud

345
00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:37,120
Speaker 2: Chase Walker, which they were not getting to start the season,

346
00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:39,080
Speaker 2: and that matters. He's he's probably the best player in

347
00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:42,000
Speaker 2: that league when he's really right, especially on the offensive end.

348
00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:46,040
Speaker 2: And Drake, Yes, they've got Larson back. That helps a lot.

349
00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:47,920
Speaker 2: He's kind of got the tie to the coach, the

350
00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,280
Speaker 2: extension of the coach on the floor transferred with him

351
00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:52,280
Speaker 2: from South Dakota State. But I am not very high

352
00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:54,920
Speaker 2: in the talent level of that roster. I don't really

353
00:15:54,960 --> 00:15:57,320
Speaker 2: know what happened with Jalen Quinn last game, coming off

354
00:15:57,320 --> 00:15:59,600
Speaker 2: the bench and only playing sixteen minutes. He's been one

355
00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:01,920
Speaker 2: of their best players all year, so that kind of

356
00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:03,680
Speaker 2: set off an alarm bell for me too. I think

357
00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:06,480
Speaker 2: it's a really good spot for Illinois State and not

358
00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:09,280
Speaker 2: a bad travel in the NVC and just the more

359
00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:10,560
Speaker 2: talented team that's trending up.

360
00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:12,960
Speaker 6: Yeah, I think Drake play would just be Hey, they're

361
00:16:12,960 --> 00:16:15,280
Speaker 6: at home right in this game, because I think Chase

362
00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:19,360
Speaker 6: Walker has a field day. I don't think Drake's inability

363
00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:21,760
Speaker 6: to put any pressure on Illinois State is bad news

364
00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:24,640
Speaker 6: for a team that can really score in the Red Birds.

365
00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:28,280
Speaker 6: Madam with you on excuse me SIU. I think they've

366
00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:31,600
Speaker 6: been pretty solid this year actually, despite their ross their

367
00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,520
Speaker 6: record says they wanted high point. They took Nevadage over time,

368
00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:37,200
Speaker 6: they took Richmond on two overtime, all on the road.

369
00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:40,240
Speaker 6: None of those games or bad results at all. And

370
00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:44,360
Speaker 6: they've started their first two games of Valley play tough schedule. Man,

371
00:16:44,400 --> 00:16:46,560
Speaker 6: you go home, lost to Illinois State, who might be

372
00:16:46,560 --> 00:16:48,840
Speaker 6: the best team in the league, and at Bradley, which

373
00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,800
Speaker 6: nobody wins at Bradley. And even though Murray State is

374
00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:54,440
Speaker 6: the best home court in the Valley, I think SAU

375
00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:57,600
Speaker 6: can hang the key stat here. SIU number one in

376
00:16:57,640 --> 00:17:01,000
Speaker 6: the country in percentage of points scored via two, Murray

377
00:17:01,280 --> 00:17:03,720
Speaker 6: number one in the country. And allowing that they sell out,

378
00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:07,399
Speaker 6: they protect the arc. SIU wants the mid range, the paint,

379
00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:09,760
Speaker 6: the rim shots. That's exactly what Murray State is going

380
00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:11,720
Speaker 6: to give them. Plays right into their hands. So I

381
00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:14,399
Speaker 6: do have a strong lean towards SIU in that game.

382
00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, I've got Prince of Ligbay's status is pretty key.

383
00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:21,840
Speaker 4: He's been an important athletic kind of Swiss army knife,

384
00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:25,399
Speaker 4: and they don't because they can't shoot his His you know,

385
00:17:25,480 --> 00:17:27,880
Speaker 4: activity on the glass has been has been missed, I think.

386
00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:30,119
Speaker 4: But so I think that Mariray matchups a good one.

387
00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:33,080
Speaker 4: Good spotted shim I think talked about later too. Anything

388
00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:34,960
Speaker 4: on Tuesday, Pert you guys, I had nothing out of

389
00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:36,760
Speaker 4: Jim you. We talked about boys in New Mexican a

390
00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:40,080
Speaker 4: little bit. I thought the Miami Bullying Green game is

391
00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:43,080
Speaker 4: intriguing in the MAC Bullying Green is probably gonna be

392
00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:47,679
Speaker 4: favored against the presumed better team and the RedHawks, who

393
00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:50,160
Speaker 4: have played a really soft schedule, not to their own

394
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,359
Speaker 4: fault because no one would play him. Pretty easy to

395
00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,120
Speaker 4: not schedule a team that you know is bringing everybody

396
00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:56,320
Speaker 4: back at that level. I think this might be a

397
00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:59,200
Speaker 4: good Miami bet. Maybe you get a chance to bet

398
00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:00,560
Speaker 4: the team that can shoot the crap out of it.

399
00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:02,120
Speaker 4: AGA's a team that's going to play some zone.

400
00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:02,800
Speaker 2: I don't know.

401
00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:03,960
Speaker 4: That was the one that stuck out to me just

402
00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:07,119
Speaker 4: as an intriguing game. But again, nothing official for you know,

403
00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:09,040
Speaker 4: the Mini MAC tip offs this.

404
00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:12,920
Speaker 2: Week, well, that's here your undefeated RedHawks, Matthew going around

405
00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:15,520
Speaker 2: the road bowling Green's been fantastic, like one of the

406
00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:17,720
Speaker 2: big risers, up almost one hundred spots and Ken pomp

407
00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:20,080
Speaker 2: since the start of the season. Kind of a darling

408
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:23,440
Speaker 2: for a lot of people. Miami, meanwhile, is undefeated and

409
00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:26,280
Speaker 2: it's only up fourteen spots. Tells you that they've been,

410
00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:28,280
Speaker 2: you know, pretty much playing two expectations. They played a

411
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,200
Speaker 2: terrible schedule. I don't have anything on that game, unfortunately,

412
00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:33,320
Speaker 2: and I did you know, I highlighted in the outline

413
00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:37,160
Speaker 2: the Horizon game with Oakland and Wright State, and then

414
00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:43,520
Speaker 2: in the Mac Marist and Quinn Piak the two top

415
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:46,040
Speaker 2: teams in both those leagues at least projection wise at

416
00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:47,720
Speaker 2: this point per Ken pom So, I wanted to at

417
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,200
Speaker 2: least touch on them, because, hey, we respect them in majors,

418
00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:53,800
Speaker 2: we respect big games here Kai, I would lean towards

419
00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:57,040
Speaker 2: Oakland in that game, but I don't bet the Mac.

420
00:18:57,280 --> 00:19:00,520
Speaker 2: The NAAC. That is a conference that has been for

421
00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,160
Speaker 2: me for years and years. I'm not going to try

422
00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:06,119
Speaker 2: to go and find John Dunn on the road as

423
00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:08,159
Speaker 2: a as a dog. That would be my lean, but

424
00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:09,800
Speaker 2: I am not going to recommend betting it, and I'm

425
00:19:09,840 --> 00:19:12,080
Speaker 2: not going to bet it myself, So I can't in

426
00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:14,159
Speaker 2: good conscience or good faith tell the people to go

427
00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:15,480
Speaker 2: do it if I'm not going to do it myself.

428
00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:17,560
Speaker 5: I link you pack. I'm just gonna say it. I

429
00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:20,359
Speaker 5: hate betting. It's John Dunn, but I link you pack that.

430
00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:21,000
Speaker 3: Yeah.

431
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:24,120
Speaker 6: I finally had a good year betting the Metro Atlantic

432
00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:26,320
Speaker 6: last year, but this year I've been over betting them

433
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:28,440
Speaker 6: in non con So well, we'll see how that continues.

434
00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:31,440
Speaker 6: Matt Melly problem with Bowling Green, it's no bargain. They're

435
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:37,080
Speaker 6: a four point favorite for kempom before you even considerrow.

436
00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,080
Speaker 5: Who is my opening projection Just to.

437
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,960
Speaker 6: Go Evan Ipsorrow's out for the year for Miami Ohio.

438
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,720
Speaker 6: Like people know this, it's going to be like Bowling

439
00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:45,720
Speaker 6: Green six. I think it's not going to be a

440
00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:47,720
Speaker 6: bargain if you want Bowling Green in this game. And

441
00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:50,320
Speaker 6: in fact that rightly in towards my Ohio frankly, even

442
00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:53,520
Speaker 6: without Ipsorrow, their starting point guard, who is out.

443
00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:53,800
Speaker 2: For the year.

444
00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:55,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, Sorrow's good.

445
00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:57,080
Speaker 4: You know, I'm probably underselling him. I guess they had

446
00:19:57,080 --> 00:19:59,879
Speaker 4: two point guards last year. So with Cooper but now

447
00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:03,440
Speaker 4: he is kind of the key handler there. Yeah, maybe

448
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,119
Speaker 4: you're right. Actually, maybe the injury gives you better value there.

449
00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:07,320
Speaker 5: To back the road team.

450
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:19,919
Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to section three. Live dogs

451
00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:24,280
Speaker 4: we took. We mentioned Portland last week. That was that

452
00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:28,640
Speaker 4: was bad? Uh they got that was Yeah, that was bad.

453
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:32,800
Speaker 4: Then Princeton should have won a Temple again. Temple is

454
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:35,520
Speaker 4: like the number one team. I've lost more money betting

455
00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:39,440
Speaker 4: on against over under any direction of wager involving that team,

456
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 4: I can't win. But there's a ton of, like I think,

457
00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:47,960
Speaker 4: more legitimate options this week. Conference play motivation, you don't

458
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:51,720
Speaker 4: get like any just weirdly dead spots. Also, probably some variants.

459
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:53,640
Speaker 4: I get some teams coming out of the break. Maybe

460
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:55,920
Speaker 4: some flu bug catches some of these favorites at the

461
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:59,560
Speaker 4: wrong time. I'm gonna underscore the cow Baptist take I

462
00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:01,359
Speaker 4: had early. This will be a money line play for

463
00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:02,560
Speaker 4: me and a spread play.

464
00:21:03,520 --> 00:21:03,760
Speaker 5: Jim.

465
00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:05,720
Speaker 4: I like that you highlighted a couple here. So Monday

466
00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:09,720
Speaker 4: you had taws at William and Mary h. That is

467
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,960
Speaker 4: what is Colonial coastal whatever it's called now, the coastal

468
00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:17,000
Speaker 4: art as the coastal the c c A A I'll

469
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:21,480
Speaker 4: call it. And then Tarleton at UT Arlington any Texas

470
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:26,600
Speaker 4: related whack matchup betting the road team sounds smart and

471
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:29,240
Speaker 4: what is always generally a pretty chaotic game, so occurs

472
00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:30,160
Speaker 4: with the prices.

473
00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:30,200
Speaker 5: On that one.

474
00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:33,560
Speaker 4: And then Tuesday you called out Wazoo Washington State at

475
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:37,840
Speaker 4: Seattle probably gonna be around a touchdown. And then n

476
00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:41,640
Speaker 4: I U against Buffalo, Yeah, this is a quintessential to Buffalo.

477
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:43,879
Speaker 4: Just play over their skis in non conference? Can they

478
00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:47,040
Speaker 4: keep up their momentum now that there's somewhat of the

479
00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:49,840
Speaker 4: books out on them that you got to defend Daniel

480
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 4: fry Tagg and ball screens and you got to keep

481
00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:54,320
Speaker 4: oball off the glass. You do that, you have a chance.

482
00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:57,359
Speaker 4: And n I you went healthy, certainly has more talent

483
00:21:57,400 --> 00:22:01,200
Speaker 4: than they've had, and I mean probably since the Eugene

484
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:02,080
Speaker 4: German era.

485
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 5: None of these stuck out.

486
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:06,760
Speaker 4: Of special plays to me, Jim, which one are these

487
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 4: all plays for you or just a couple stuck out?

488
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,840
Speaker 2: No, they're not all plays, Matthew, these are just discussion points.

489
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 2: The one I really do like those, Tausan. I think

490
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:19,000
Speaker 2: their physicality in CIA is a differentiator. Last year they

491
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 2: were solid in the non con and then winning the

492
00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:26,680
Speaker 2: regular season title. Scary just plays a very specific style there,

493
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 2: Pat Scary the coach. They're always great on the offensive boards.

494
00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 2: They're not real good at getting to the free throw

495
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,840
Speaker 2: line this year and they can't shoot it, but they've

496
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 2: still been competitive. Nonetheless, they've not scaled up very well

497
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:42,399
Speaker 2: against Houston or UCF or Kansas, but they don't have

498
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:44,359
Speaker 2: to against William and Mary, who is a team that

499
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 2: I still think is benefiting quite a bit from beneficial

500
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:51,359
Speaker 2: three point shooting defense. They're top five in the country

501
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:53,720
Speaker 2: and three point percentage allowed, and I do not think

502
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 2: their style or personnel is overly conducive to that. I

503
00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:00,720
Speaker 2: think it's just luck, and in league play perhaps that

504
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:02,960
Speaker 2: starts to trend against them. Towson obviously not a good

505
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:07,040
Speaker 2: shooting team, so maybe that's not worthy the regression comes.

506
00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:09,280
Speaker 2: But I still think the physicality inside is going to

507
00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:12,560
Speaker 2: be a little bit much for Killian Brockoff, the big man,

508
00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:15,160
Speaker 2: that kind of man's the paint for women Mary, they're

509
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 2: up and down style. I think it's easier to solow

510
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:20,680
Speaker 2: somebody down. In league play. Towson a very comfortable team

511
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:22,679
Speaker 2: in the half court, So give me the tigers Ky

512
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,000
Speaker 2: plus four in the CIA opener for them.

513
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:27,399
Speaker 6: I'm with you all over the Tigers, and my favorite

514
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 6: bets are ones that I am against a team that

515
00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:31,919
Speaker 6: I have bet on several times.

516
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:32,200
Speaker 2: Right.

517
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:35,119
Speaker 6: I have been on Williman Mary quite a bit this season,

518
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,359
Speaker 6: so I'm comfortable in my number with them, and if

519
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 6: it's a game I'm fading them in, then I think

520
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:40,959
Speaker 6: I have the right side, and I think that's Towson.

521
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,840
Speaker 6: They've matched up one time in Brian Earl's career. Willim

522
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 6: and Mary Tawson be to my fifteen. It was a

523
00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 6: different year. Of course, William Mary's better this season, but

524
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:52,399
Speaker 6: I do thinkands physicality really bothers them. I agree with

525
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 6: Jim that, Hey, last year, William Mary was two hundred

526
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:56,439
Speaker 6: and thirty, seventh and the three point centers defense.

527
00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 3: This year they're fifth. That's coming down again.

528
00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:01,680
Speaker 6: Tousand's not a great shooting team, but their physicality, their

529
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:03,840
Speaker 6: ability to play without fouling, their ability to win the

530
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 6: glass battle, I think sets up really nicely for this game.

531
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 3: Would definitely take them plus four.

532
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:13,520
Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to favorite Favorites, presented by

533
00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:16,159
Speaker 4: again our fine sponsor at DraftKings. This has been a

534
00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:18,600
Speaker 4: little easier this year because the non conference just a

535
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 4: better section to target these. Now this section gets harder.

536
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,440
Speaker 4: I think will be probably trimmed out as the year

537
00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 4: goes on. Last week talked about Illinois, Thousand, Georgia, and BYU,

538
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,080
Speaker 4: all of which won easily. But I think two and

539
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:35,800
Speaker 4: two is the official ATS record depending on close maybe

540
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:36,879
Speaker 4: three to one depending on closing.

541
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:39,680
Speaker 2: The spreads are so different from Ken Palm right, it's

542
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:42,359
Speaker 2: just like six or seven points off what we're talking about.

543
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 4: So for these games you really have to really project

544
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:46,680
Speaker 4: what the actual number is going to be, especially like

545
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:48,800
Speaker 4: at a reasonable part of the you know, mid morning

546
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 4: of the of the day, unless you've been overnights, which

547
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:54,359
Speaker 4: you know, congrats to you. But this week we actually

548
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:57,560
Speaker 4: have we have some kind of the last remnants of

549
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:00,600
Speaker 4: buy games, and I had a note to myself to

550
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,280
Speaker 4: try and bet against these dogs in their last by

551
00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:05,600
Speaker 4: game before conference play coming out of the break. But

552
00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,679
Speaker 4: I think this could also work against the favorite. I

553
00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:10,680
Speaker 4: tried to look at some beta on this, like the

554
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 4: games basically the dates of November or December twenty sixth

555
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,159
Speaker 4: through December thirty first, excluding Diamondhead and stuff like that.

556
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 4: It wasn't really anything profound that stuck out to me,

557
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:22,440
Speaker 4: So just kind of handicap it as you wouldn't normally,

558
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:25,119
Speaker 4: but know that there's probably gonna be some weirdness. The

559
00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 4: one that stuck out to me, Jim, you mentioned this Monday.

560
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:29,960
Speaker 4: There's a lot of options Michigan versus McNee I just

561
00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 4: think mcniee's style is just going to be completely ransacked

562
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 4: by Michigan. They tend to play bigger than their size,

563
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,679
Speaker 4: but if you can handle their pressure, I think they

564
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,080
Speaker 4: can be a runaway very quickly. And because of how

565
00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,359
Speaker 4: well they played, just how good they are, you're gonna

566
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:47,600
Speaker 4: get probably a cheap ish price to lay it with Michigan,

567
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:51,200
Speaker 4: you know, a price you might see them laying in

568
00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:52,880
Speaker 4: a couple games, honestly, in Big ten play.

569
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:54,199
Speaker 5: That's the one that stuck out to me.

570
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:57,439
Speaker 4: The other ones you wrote down Gym are intriguing but

571
00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:00,760
Speaker 4: not great and Michigan State Cornell certainly could be a

572
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:02,640
Speaker 4: blood bath with how Cornell plays.

573
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 5: Vandy Newhaven.

574
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:09,680
Speaker 4: No, Frankie Collins doesn't matter in Oklahoma VERSUV Valley State,

575
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:11,720
Speaker 4: any team VERSUV Valley State.

576
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:14,520
Speaker 5: Good luck if you're back in the Delta Devils.

577
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 4: Anything on Monday. That's got to you guys for your

578
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:18,680
Speaker 4: official choices here. I don't think I actually have anything

579
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:19,639
Speaker 4: official from this slate.

580
00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:22,840
Speaker 2: For what it's worth, It's tough here, kay, because you've

581
00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 2: got basically every team playing this one last patty Cake

582
00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:31,760
Speaker 2: before the league play, and teams like Michigan, Houston, Michigan State,

583
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:35,600
Speaker 2: the ones Matt mentioned, but also Arizona, Illinois, Iowa State,

584
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:39,600
Speaker 2: Iowa teams that have been awesome in these home by

585
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 2: game spots with large spreads. It's just really hard to

586
00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:45,400
Speaker 2: endorse them without knowing the real price. Like I'm looking

587
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:48,520
Speaker 2: at Illinois minus twenty eight for Southern, is that number

588
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 2: actually going to be thirty three? While I'm not taking

589
00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 2: thirty three Iowa State minus thirty three versus Houston Christian

590
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:55,520
Speaker 2: that's probably gonna be close to forty. I'm not gonna

591
00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:59,359
Speaker 2: like stretch beyond my limits here and try to dig

592
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,000
Speaker 2: up winners. I would say if I had to go

593
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:04,919
Speaker 2: with a favorite of this batch, it's probably Iowa to

594
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:08,200
Speaker 2: be quite honest, they have been so so good as

595
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:10,240
Speaker 2: a home favorite, which isn't really what I came into

596
00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:12,919
Speaker 2: the season expecting out of Ben McCollum team, Like the patience.

597
00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 2: I thought it'd be a really good underdog style, but

598
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 2: they have a viscerated small competition and UMass loll is

599
00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:21,280
Speaker 2: not a good team like they are bad. They turned

600
00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:24,200
Speaker 2: over almost the entire roster from last year. They've gotten

601
00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,200
Speaker 2: a little bit better in recent games, like the first

602
00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:29,680
Speaker 2: early portion of the year, they were horrific. They lost

603
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,439
Speaker 2: to Yukon by sixty three. For anybody looking for a

604
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:36,840
Speaker 2: potential outcome here, so Iowa it's twenty eight per ken

605
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:39,280
Speaker 2: pom Kai. I think I'd take it to like thirty two.

606
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:42,119
Speaker 2: I don't know exactly what it'll be, but if it's

607
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:43,200
Speaker 2: thirty four, I will sit out.

608
00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:45,320
Speaker 3: I'm taking it to thirty five Gym.

609
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:48,160
Speaker 6: I fully expect Iowa to win by forty or fifty

610
00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:51,440
Speaker 6: either force twenty turnovers. I'm not sure they're going to

611
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,879
Speaker 6: be stopped a single possession, and even though Lowe will

612
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:56,199
Speaker 6: try to keep it a little possession, I don't think

613
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:57,880
Speaker 6: it's going to matter. I was going to score every

614
00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 6: single time down the floor, and I don't expect Little

615
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,000
Speaker 6: to get a ton of shots up because of how

616
00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:04,920
Speaker 6: good Iowas defense has been, entering teams over and how

617
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:07,280
Speaker 6: sloppy the river Hawks are with the ball, so yeah,

618
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:09,960
Speaker 6: skim me Iowa in a massive beatdown.

619
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:15,320
Speaker 4: Feel bad for Pat Ducat. I feel like didlewas year.

620
00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 4: He blew it last year.

621
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, last year.

622
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 4: I feel like this the stink is rolled into this

623
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,800
Speaker 4: year and now we've forgotten how good his teams were.

624
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:22,760
Speaker 5: Like three years before that.

625
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:27,120
Speaker 4: Uh, Tuesday, we got some WCC action. I think we'll

626
00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:29,439
Speaker 4: have a lot of favorite favorite options to discuss in

627
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:33,199
Speaker 4: WCC anytime good Zaga takes the floor in Saint Mary's.

628
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 4: In some spots as well, Zag's gonna probably laying, you know,

629
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 4: close to four touchdowns at San Diego Saint Mary's at Pepperdine.

630
00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:42,640
Speaker 4: I think there will be some spots to fade both

631
00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:45,040
Speaker 4: these teams on their own WCC play. I don't know

632
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:46,760
Speaker 4: what the matchups are quite yet, but I do think

633
00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:50,920
Speaker 4: there is some lurking undervalued talent in the meddling part

634
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:54,280
Speaker 4: of WCC this season. I don't think Pepperdine's in that class,

635
00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:56,800
Speaker 4: but I do think San Diego qualifies, and I do

636
00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 4: think Wiola Marymount who's on the car tonight Sunday as

637
00:28:59,840 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 4: were record, Who's actually given Saint Mary's some problems historically

638
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 4: qualifies as well. But I have nothing here, and you

639
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 4: guys have plays on these two against the home dogs,

640
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 4: the big, big home dogs.

641
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 3: No.

642
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 6: I actually played Pepperdine Small matt today plus thirty against Gonzaga.

643
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:17,800
Speaker 6: Fun fact about that one. I know it doesn't matter

644
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 6: for this podcast. Last five years, Gonzaga has won by

645
00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 6: an average of sixteen points per game at Pepper nine

646
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:26,640
Speaker 6: and an average of thirty four points per game at

647
00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 6: home against Pepperdine. So it's a big difference home and away.

648
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 6: They're not saying they're going to cover, but I like

649
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:34,959
Speaker 6: them there. I'm not sure about San Diego. You know,

650
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 6: they have the talent, I guess, but it's going to

651
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 6: take a lot for me to step in front of

652
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 6: Gonzaga in wcc's play in general this season because they

653
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:43,800
Speaker 6: are that dominant this season.

654
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:49,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they have typically helped or at least studied

655
00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:52,240
Speaker 2: the analytics by smashing those bad teams in league play.

656
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 3: That's why they shortened the.

657
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 2: League schedule so they could play more games than non

658
00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:59,680
Speaker 2: con Gonzaga is a total juggernaut. Those teams can't stand

659
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 2: up to them. But yeah, Kai, maybe they're they're getting

660
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,479
Speaker 2: pedicures in Malibu and that's why they're not quite as

661
00:30:05,520 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 2: effective on the road of Pepperdine. I'm very tempted by

662
00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 2: Gonzaga at San Diego. I just San Diego just lost

663
00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 2: by thirty to Washington. We kind of hit that one

664
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 2: on the head last week on this very show. They

665
00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 2: can play up, but I also think they're sloppy and

666
00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 2: could get absolutely gashed at the rim. They're two hundred

667
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 2: ninety seven to two point percentage defense despite not playing

668
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,280
Speaker 2: that good of a schedule, and Gonzaga is going to

669
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,840
Speaker 2: beat them up inside with Ek and Huff. So I

670
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:31,720
Speaker 2: am tempted by Gonzaga. Matt. I don't know what the

671
00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:33,040
Speaker 2: number is going to be, though, so I'm just going

672
00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 2: to leave it alone for now.

673
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,280
Speaker 5: Yeah, I can't quite figure out Lavin's team this year.

674
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:41,240
Speaker 5: Just a roster scheme.

675
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 4: It's it's always in flux, so you just don't know

676
00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:44,560
Speaker 4: what you're getting there.

677
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:45,400
Speaker 5: All right.

678
00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:47,720
Speaker 4: That was our favorite Favorites, again presented by our Refined

679
00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:51,360
Speaker 4: sponsor at DraftKings. Let's move on to spots, which we

680
00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 4: sort of alluded to a little bit above, but a

681
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 4: lot of good conference angles, just again some anecdotal spots

682
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:00,959
Speaker 4: we try and at least circle to dig into deeper.

683
00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:05,520
Speaker 4: So last week we talked about the Washington San Diego disaster,

684
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:08,200
Speaker 4: Washington drilling that'srero was by thirty. We also talked about

685
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:13,080
Speaker 4: ucf fau FAU got this the narrow cover back to

686
00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 4: back narrow covers by the Owls after going to Saint

687
00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:18,880
Speaker 4: Marya's covering by a hook there as well. Bellerman continues

688
00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 4: to be a cover machine, losing only by fourteen to

689
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:25,200
Speaker 4: the bye game bully Kentucky Wildcats. Pretty impressive, maybe a

690
00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 4: good spot though, as we talked about, and then Saint

691
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 4: John's in Ohio State covered the kem Pound fairbrid Again,

692
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 4: you lay in lumbers, big numbers as a favorite, You're

693
00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 4: paying a big tax, So it's why it's kind of

694
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 4: tricky to talk about that with with so far in advance,

695
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:45,440
Speaker 4: So Bunday Missouri Valley Conference GYM oh and two two

696
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:49,479
Speaker 4: and oh SIU at Murray, Evansville at Bradley minus six

697
00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:52,480
Speaker 4: minus thirteen respectfully per ken Pom, I think those feel

698
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:55,280
Speaker 4: actually reasonable in terms of projections. And then oh into

699
00:31:55,360 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 4: Indiana State hosting Belmont. Velmont probably gonna be a close

700
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,720
Speaker 4: to a ten point road favorite, maybe eight, I guess

701
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:05,160
Speaker 4: eight's the opener there and then oh one Valpo at

702
00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 4: one and oh Northern Iowa twelve point spray per Kempom.

703
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 4: This is the one I like the most with the

704
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:14,120
Speaker 4: road beacons. I like valpost size. I think they're feisty

705
00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:17,040
Speaker 4: as a dog. And while you and I is good,

706
00:32:17,080 --> 00:32:19,080
Speaker 4: they've had some injury issues. Their roster's been a little

707
00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:21,960
Speaker 4: bit depleted. I think this plays like a true gritty

708
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 4: road NVC Conference game that plays in Valpos's favors. So

709
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:28,440
Speaker 4: I think Val Paul loses by like seventy is sixty two,

710
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 4: and I hate that.

711
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,760
Speaker 2: The one I respect that Matthew. The one I like

712
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:36,400
Speaker 2: is Evansville at Bradley. That feels gross o Kai's nodding.

713
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,920
Speaker 2: I like to see that. Okay, Evansville is a much

714
00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 2: better team when Turnbull's on the floor. I mean, he

715
00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 2: is like a total monster. He's one of the best

716
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:47,080
Speaker 2: shot blockers in the entire country. They've gotten a little

717
00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:50,200
Speaker 2: bit better guard play than I expected. Quinnette's not been

718
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 2: very good as a freshman, but like I like keishaan Porter,

719
00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 2: they're best in the paint. They need to turn this

720
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:57,120
Speaker 2: into a half court game.

721
00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 3: And Kai.

722
00:32:57,840 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 2: One thing I do like about Evansville's profile is the

723
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,200
Speaker 2: three point shooting numbers are terrible on both ends of

724
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 2: the floor. Like their sub thirty, their opponents are almost

725
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:09,120
Speaker 2: forty percent. I'm thinking league plays starts to give that

726
00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:11,280
Speaker 2: back a little more to the mean, a little bit

727
00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 2: of regression positively on both ends. And as scary as

728
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:17,960
Speaker 2: the Bradley home court is, this isn't quite the same

729
00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:20,600
Speaker 2: Bradley team this year. Jawan Johnson's been as good as

730
00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:22,560
Speaker 2: expected with his sophomore breakout, but the rest of the

731
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:26,920
Speaker 2: roster isn't overflowing with athleticism or size. There's a lot

732
00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 2: of youth on that team. I think Evansville can hang

733
00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 2: around there, keep it within that thirteen. I take it

734
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:31,680
Speaker 2: down to twelve.

735
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,080
Speaker 6: I totally agree Jim, and they hung with two of

736
00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:37,920
Speaker 6: the better teams. Bellmot's been incredible this season. Evansville is

737
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 6: right there at home, albeit but still impressive effort. They

738
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 6: almost be draking home as well now they're going on

739
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 6: the road.

740
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 2: But I agree with.

741
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:47,400
Speaker 6: You, Bradley's not quite Bradley of years past, and I

742
00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:51,080
Speaker 6: think Evansville is a pretty tough dog. Raglan teams really

743
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 6: scrap very gritty defense. They definitely slow it down offensively,

744
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:56,960
Speaker 6: so I think you could get a pretty low possession

745
00:33:57,000 --> 00:33:58,840
Speaker 6: game in this one. So I do like Evansville. We

746
00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:01,400
Speaker 6: talked about Sau Murray, how I leaned towards the Slookies.

747
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:01,840
Speaker 3: Already.

748
00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:04,880
Speaker 6: I'm not getting in front of Belmont anytime soon. Frankly,

749
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 6: I was on Evansville against them, and I don't even

750
00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:10,680
Speaker 6: think they had turnable in that game. But I think

751
00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:14,400
Speaker 6: this Belmont team rocks. After the Irvine game, I was like, Oh, Okay,

752
00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,640
Speaker 6: Casey Alexander, pretty good coach. And then the valpum one

753
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:19,120
Speaker 6: I have no opinion on, but man, I love the

754
00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 6: Valley Matthew. I just this is the best conference in

755
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:22,640
Speaker 6: mid major of them.

756
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:23,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm glad.

757
00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:26,200
Speaker 4: It's kind of not it's bounced back this year, but

758
00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:29,080
Speaker 4: it's just good. I mean, Murray is totally flipped in

759
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:32,840
Speaker 4: and what you're seeing from even the bottom is better.

760
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:39,200
Speaker 4: So Tuesday, Mountain West has allowed second leg or second

761
00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:42,800
Speaker 4: conference game. They all played one before the break, Cairo

762
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:46,440
Speaker 4: State versus Nevada. The Rams are owned one there, Boise

763
00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:48,920
Speaker 4: against New Mexico. Top of that, earlier, Boise owned one

764
00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:53,919
Speaker 4: actually in league play, Fresno against Utah State, San Jose

765
00:34:54,040 --> 00:34:57,479
Speaker 4: State against San Diego States. I like San Jose State

766
00:34:57,520 --> 00:34:59,799
Speaker 4: first half because every year ten Miles is tied with

767
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:01,879
Speaker 4: and Dutcher at the half, and then Brian Dutcher goes

768
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:03,719
Speaker 4: blisk at halftime, and then San Dieo State goes on

769
00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:05,560
Speaker 4: a thirty to two run in the first four minutes.

770
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:07,759
Speaker 4: So that I'm just telling you that's exactly how I

771
00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:10,480
Speaker 4: game It's gonna play out right there. Freso Utah State

772
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 4: kai is interesting because Fresno has been sneaky competitive. They're long,

773
00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 4: they're not very a flic, but they can shoot, and

774
00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:20,360
Speaker 4: I wonder against Utah State's zone and just general makeup,

775
00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:23,759
Speaker 4: maybe that's actually an effective type of feisty dog profile.

776
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:25,880
Speaker 4: I didn't pull a trigger in any of these here

777
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:27,640
Speaker 4: full game, but what sticks out to you.

778
00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:32,880
Speaker 6: Yeah, I can't back Fresno. I think Utah State's ridiculous

779
00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:35,279
Speaker 6: this season, but I'd prefer to fade them on the

780
00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:37,759
Speaker 6: road if you're gonna give me a choice. I'm not

781
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 6: fathed them at home anytime soon. I do like your

782
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:42,120
Speaker 6: angle of San Jose State first half. We know San

783
00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:44,800
Speaker 6: Diego State's offense has not been good at all this season,

784
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 6: and for a half I think Timmy Miles can drum

785
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:49,680
Speaker 6: up something to hang with them, And yeah, as you said,

786
00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:51,839
Speaker 6: they're going to get forked in the second half per

787
00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 6: usual Colorado State bounce back, Jim intreats me a little bit.

788
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:59,439
Speaker 6: They got absolutely destroyed by Utah State. Nevada not quite

789
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 6: as good as of an opponent, definitely vulnerable.

790
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:04,919
Speaker 2: Good chance for the Rams, I think to bounce back there. Yeah,

791
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:07,399
Speaker 2: I don't know what's up with Jorgensen for Colorado State.

792
00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:09,600
Speaker 2: That's kind of the big thing I'm looking at. He

793
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:12,239
Speaker 2: came back for that game after missing a non d one,

794
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 2: but only played four minutes exited after that. He was

795
00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:18,239
Speaker 2: so good for them for the early stretch of the

796
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:20,400
Speaker 2: year when they couldn't miss a three and he was

797
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:23,240
Speaker 2: giving them like stretch five while also being super helpful

798
00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:26,480
Speaker 2: in the glass and dominating the interior, shooting over seventy

799
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:29,120
Speaker 2: percent from the field. I don't know what to do

800
00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:32,600
Speaker 2: with them without him. I think he's really crucial. Booth

801
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:35,240
Speaker 2: has been good after being at Notre Dame in Illinois,

802
00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:37,120
Speaker 2: but he is not the same kind of player. He's

803
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:40,400
Speaker 2: a little more perimeter e and doesn't want to be

804
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 2: banging on the boards quite as much, especially in the

805
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:45,840
Speaker 2: offensive end. So I'm kind of keeping an eye on Jorgenson.

806
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 2: I don't have a lot of takes here in the

807
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:50,719
Speaker 2: Mountain West, Matthew. It's another conference I've sort of struggled

808
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:53,399
Speaker 2: with over the years, as long as if I back

809
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:55,759
Speaker 2: home teams at elevation, that's kind of where I've found

810
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,600
Speaker 2: some success. But none of these spots are like ones.

811
00:36:58,760 --> 00:37:01,279
Speaker 2: I'm itching, chomping at the bit to jump on board.

812
00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:03,399
Speaker 4: And then, Jimmy, I know, as you mentioned, I wanted

813
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:05,640
Speaker 4: to skim past this because I didn't. I'm tired of

814
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:09,319
Speaker 4: putting Marquette on my consideration card. But the Eagles are

815
00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 4: playing Seton Hall. Does this intrigue at all? I like,

816
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:15,280
Speaker 4: probably laying.

817
00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:16,520
Speaker 5: I don't know how much.

818
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:19,120
Speaker 2: That's I guess that's kind of the ultimate question, But

819
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 2: I like Seton Hall. I've kind of stopped trying to

820
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:26,520
Speaker 2: find the bottom for Marquette because nothing about their analytical

821
00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:28,960
Speaker 2: profile says like, oh, they're just getting unlucky, Like this

822
00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:31,319
Speaker 2: team's just bad. They're just not very good. They don't

823
00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:33,200
Speaker 2: know how to score if they don't have offensive weapons,

824
00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:35,600
Speaker 2: they don't have a pecking order. They're still trying to

825
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:38,160
Speaker 2: figure it out with Sean Jones versus Nigel James at

826
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:42,120
Speaker 2: point guard. They're inexperienced. They don't have any transfer help.

827
00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:45,560
Speaker 2: That's been like the big well documented thing here. Lowry

828
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:47,800
Speaker 2: miss last game. I think he's a rather important shooter

829
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 2: wing piece for them, and Seton Hall off a loss.

830
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:55,000
Speaker 2: I think this defense just suffocates a terrible offensive team.

831
00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:57,960
Speaker 2: Marquete can really only score when they are able to

832
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:00,600
Speaker 2: get out and run, and Seton Hall is just way

833
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 2: too disciplined defensively to allow that. I don't know if

834
00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:06,400
Speaker 2: Baby Shack's coming back the Jai Hines. He's been like

835
00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:07,960
Speaker 2: out with an illness.

836
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:08,239
Speaker 6: Kay.

837
00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:10,360
Speaker 2: I'm saying that with air quotes for our audio listeners

838
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:13,400
Speaker 2: because Holloway has been really vague in the press conferences

839
00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:16,520
Speaker 2: talking about what actual what the real issue is. But

840
00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:20,440
Speaker 2: with pain there, they've got enough in the paint the

841
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,719
Speaker 2: ball pressure I think will turn Marquette over. I like

842
00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:25,560
Speaker 2: Seaton Hall there on the road. I just think we

843
00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:29,040
Speaker 2: got to stop pretending Marquette has a floor and realize

844
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:29,640
Speaker 2: they're terrible.

845
00:38:30,120 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, stop trying to catch the falling knife tomorrow.

846
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:36,680
Speaker 6: Sucky's term since that Oklahoma game from Marquette where they

847
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:38,680
Speaker 6: almost one pretty pivotal moment.

848
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 3: They won overtime against Valpo.

849
00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:43,480
Speaker 6: They got smoked by wiscons to smoke by Purdue, almost

850
00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 6: elvisions against Georgetown, and then smoked by Creighton. It has

851
00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:48,759
Speaker 6: not been good. They're two intent against the spread. That's

852
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:51,120
Speaker 6: one of the worst marks in the entire country. They're

853
00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:53,960
Speaker 6: not covering games by over seven points right now. That's

854
00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 6: not something you want to step in front of. And

855
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:58,439
Speaker 6: Seaton Hall is great defensively, Matt, they truly are lead

856
00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:01,279
Speaker 6: on that end and the better team right now.

857
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:04,160
Speaker 5: Let's take out the trash quickly.

858
00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:08,000
Speaker 3: What's that smell? It's dings.

859
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:11,640
Speaker 2: What I mean this trash, the sweet sweet trash.

860
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 1: The trash is a gold.

861
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:18,000
Speaker 5: One good one this week though, one good pile of trash.

862
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:23,080
Speaker 4: Talked about Binghamton Army last week went to overtime Army

863
00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:26,680
Speaker 4: one by ten. Terrific game to not bet. Sorry for

864
00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:28,839
Speaker 4: those who were involved on the wrong side there, Hi,

865
00:39:29,440 --> 00:39:32,279
Speaker 4: I was Hi mc kean, Sorry about your loss. Uh six,

866
00:39:33,040 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 4: Let's discuss this. It's a new fresh pile of rubbish

867
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:36,319
Speaker 4: for you.

868
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:36,719
Speaker 5: This week.

869
00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 4: Delaware State playing Rutgers Man. Talk about one of these

870
00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:42,080
Speaker 4: Power Conference teams where it's just like how bad can

871
00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:46,239
Speaker 4: they possibly be. Rutgers certainly has mid major if that

872
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:50,680
Speaker 4: talent Ken Pom has been playing Deli State laying seventeen,

873
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 4: I mean god, I don't know how you can lay

874
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:55,600
Speaker 4: more than ten to any team Rutgers plays at this point,

875
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:59,120
Speaker 4: and they typically aren't a great favorite. So I actually

876
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:01,920
Speaker 4: like Deli State this game if it's like anything twelve

877
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:03,799
Speaker 4: or higher, but I doubt it will be.

878
00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:05,120
Speaker 5: That's just my two cents there.

879
00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:08,120
Speaker 6: My only thing is Della State has not played well

880
00:40:08,160 --> 00:40:10,919
Speaker 6: against power teams if you count Rutgers as a power team.

881
00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:14,520
Speaker 6: They lost by forty to Syracuse and forty six to Miami. Now,

882
00:40:14,600 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 6: Rutgers not quite as good as as either of those teams,

883
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:20,560
Speaker 6: but that would tend to scare me off, Jim. They

884
00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:23,600
Speaker 6: just might not be able to step up whatsoever in competition,

885
00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:26,719
Speaker 6: and Rutgers, for all their shortcomings, it is a step

886
00:40:26,800 --> 00:40:27,480
Speaker 6: up in competition.

887
00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:30,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, Hey, Rutgers might be the worst P five team,

888
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:33,239
Speaker 2: but they are still P five. As you mentioned Delaware State.

889
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:36,760
Speaker 2: I've tried to play them a few times this season

890
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:40,040
Speaker 2: that on them, and it's gone terribly. And they're shooting

891
00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:44,040
Speaker 2: under forty percent from two. That is terrible, and it's

892
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 2: not like they've played one of these incredible swax schedules

893
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:48,640
Speaker 2: two hundred and forty eighth in strength of schedule right now,

894
00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:51,680
Speaker 2: and they just can't score. There's no offensive talent on

895
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:54,239
Speaker 2: this team. I would be sort of inclined to back

896
00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 2: the under here. Rutgers has not been getting out in

897
00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 2: transition the way I thought Pichel which to do with

898
00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:03,320
Speaker 2: this team, because they don't have a ton of paint machines.

899
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:05,720
Speaker 2: They've got a lot more wingy roster, more guard heavy.

900
00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:08,520
Speaker 2: I think it'll be slow. Delaware State wants to play

901
00:41:08,560 --> 00:41:11,600
Speaker 2: slow for sure. The one concern is that Delaware State

902
00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:15,240
Speaker 2: is so bad defensively, Rutgers could luck into eighty five points.

903
00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:18,319
Speaker 2: So I like the under. I'm not going to add

904
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 2: it as an official bet. I'll see what the number

905
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:22,440
Speaker 2: is and maybe look into a little closer on the

906
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:26,520
Speaker 2: data game on Monday. But that's my inclination with that one. Matthew,

907
00:41:26,560 --> 00:41:29,120
Speaker 2: that is the disgusting trash that Rutgers is.

908
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:32,480
Speaker 4: All right, let's do a quick spotlight section here. And

909
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:34,760
Speaker 4: as I came up with the idea for this section,

910
00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 4: I realized there's just not a lot of meat on

911
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:40,799
Speaker 4: the bone here, but it's worth bringing up, I think

912
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:45,000
Speaker 4: more because all the hoopla that came with the James

913
00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:50,480
Speaker 4: Najie signing going to Baylor, coming from FC Barcelona just farther,

914
00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:53,200
Speaker 4: stretching the rules of who can play and who can't

915
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:57,640
Speaker 4: and when, and inciting just a pitchfork mob of people

916
00:41:57,680 --> 00:42:00,239
Speaker 4: pissed off at Baylor. So Baylor has become like the

917
00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:02,640
Speaker 4: public enemy number one team this year because of this

918
00:42:02,680 --> 00:42:05,160
Speaker 4: timing alone. But the point of the section is be

919
00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:08,040
Speaker 4: aware of the newly eligible second semester guys and the

920
00:42:08,120 --> 00:42:12,000
Speaker 4: random late international pickups, of which there are not that

921
00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:14,360
Speaker 4: many that there are a few, and there might be

922
00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:16,799
Speaker 4: more that sneak up on you. Naji is the one though,

923
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:18,840
Speaker 4: that's at least worth bringing up because he is probably

924
00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:21,800
Speaker 4: a difference maker for a team that needs s depth

925
00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:24,879
Speaker 4: at that five position, the former Arizona Recurve for those

926
00:42:24,880 --> 00:42:28,400
Speaker 4: you remember him way back when. I think, Jimmy, you

927
00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:30,359
Speaker 4: know these guys a better an idea There anyone else

928
00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:32,080
Speaker 4: in this list that we have here that really moves

929
00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:34,480
Speaker 4: the needle for any of these teams.

930
00:42:35,080 --> 00:42:37,640
Speaker 2: I would keep an eye on Zubpoena, nicole A Zuppoena

931
00:42:37,640 --> 00:42:39,920
Speaker 2: for Washington. He played twenty one minutes in that win

932
00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:42,760
Speaker 2: over San Diego that we talked about. He had seven points,

933
00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:46,359
Speaker 2: eight rebounds to assist. He's a real stretch big they

934
00:42:46,560 --> 00:42:48,359
Speaker 2: never got and I don't know if they're ever going

935
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:51,719
Speaker 2: to get Ignasovich healthy the Ellipscomb transfer that has been

936
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:54,239
Speaker 2: out the entire season, so they got a little thin

937
00:42:54,360 --> 00:42:58,040
Speaker 2: up front, and they played him a real role against

938
00:42:58,080 --> 00:43:00,040
Speaker 2: San Diego. And I know it was a blowout, but

939
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:01,680
Speaker 2: they were trying to get him run, they were trying

940
00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:03,920
Speaker 2: to get him shots. He took seven shots in twenty minutes.

941
00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:05,759
Speaker 2: I would just keep an eye on him. He's not

942
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,640
Speaker 2: a needle mover yet, but as he maybe gets more

943
00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:12,799
Speaker 2: ingratiated into the lineup, if Yates is still out they

944
00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:15,560
Speaker 2: need shooting. He could end up being the type of

945
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:18,600
Speaker 2: guy that spaces the floor for Steinbach and kept gnying

946
00:43:18,640 --> 00:43:20,920
Speaker 2: in the paint. So I just keep an eye on him.

947
00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:22,480
Speaker 2: That's my take there.

948
00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:26,520
Speaker 6: I think maybe I would issue some caution about over

949
00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:29,560
Speaker 6: indexing on some of these guys, like I think the

950
00:43:29,640 --> 00:43:33,560
Speaker 6: hype is more than the impact agnology. For instance, I

951
00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:36,120
Speaker 6: think Baylor could really use him. I'm not sure he's

952
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 6: worth three or four points, for instance, or what the

953
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:41,680
Speaker 6: market might overreact to once he's eligible. He's getting a

954
00:43:41,680 --> 00:43:45,280
Speaker 6: lot of hype. Clearly, there's a reason he's not playing

955
00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:46,120
Speaker 6: in the NBA right now.

956
00:43:46,160 --> 00:43:46,359
Speaker 2: Right.

957
00:43:47,520 --> 00:43:48,880
Speaker 3: I don't think it could.

958
00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:52,239
Speaker 6: Be as massive a swing as people quite think. So

959
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:54,440
Speaker 6: some of these guys will certainly help. He will certainly help.

960
00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:57,960
Speaker 6: Just be careful on the extreme market moves if you're

961
00:43:58,200 --> 00:43:59,120
Speaker 6: going towards that way.

962
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:02,879
Speaker 4: I mean that that Theerra Darln stuff with Santa Clair

963
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:06,880
Speaker 4: I think has really kind of soured some people's perception.

964
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:08,680
Speaker 3: Sure, yeah, he has not been great.

965
00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:10,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, that great?

966
00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:14,040
Speaker 4: All right, let's recap our picks from last week, which

967
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:17,200
Speaker 4: I have. I'm blanking on my last two picks. I

968
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:19,359
Speaker 4: need to find that out real quick and then at

969
00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:23,040
Speaker 4: tally my your today record here. But more importantly, what

970
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:28,120
Speaker 4: are we picking this week? I have six maybe seven

971
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:28,879
Speaker 4: on the doc.

972
00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:31,359
Speaker 5: Jim, I'll go to you first. What's your think?

973
00:44:31,360 --> 00:44:34,560
Speaker 2: We're all very aligned on cal Baptist. Yeah, taking him

974
00:44:34,560 --> 00:44:37,400
Speaker 2: on seven section. I think it's going to be a

975
00:44:37,480 --> 00:44:40,480
Speaker 2: very competitive game to start whack play there to evenly

976
00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:42,960
Speaker 2: match teams. I'm on board with Illinois State Mett. It's

977
00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:44,880
Speaker 2: minus one at ken Palm, I take it, you know

978
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:47,759
Speaker 2: to I would not lay anything over three. I don't

979
00:44:47,760 --> 00:44:50,040
Speaker 2: think it'll get there at Drake, especially with Larsen back.

980
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:52,000
Speaker 2: But I'm going to ride the Redbirds with the way

981
00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:56,360
Speaker 2: they're playing now. Towson plus four, down to three in

982
00:44:56,440 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 2: their CAA opener at William and Mary Evansville plus thirteen.

983
00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:02,920
Speaker 2: Take it down to twelve and seat in the hall.

984
00:45:02,960 --> 00:45:04,840
Speaker 2: At Marquette, I'm going to take up to five. It

985
00:45:04,880 --> 00:45:07,760
Speaker 2: does feel a little gross road favorite with that team

986
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:11,719
Speaker 2: that's way more defense heavy, but I just think Marquet's

987
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:12,080
Speaker 2: that bad.

988
00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:12,480
Speaker 3: So kaile.

989
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:14,399
Speaker 2: That is what I've got this week. It is one, two, three,

990
00:45:14,440 --> 00:45:16,160
Speaker 2: four five my five pack.

991
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:18,759
Speaker 6: Love it. I got a three pack. I got cal

992
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:21,360
Speaker 6: Baptist on the spread. Also take it down to seven.

993
00:45:21,520 --> 00:45:24,440
Speaker 6: Yep a thousand plus three or plus four against William

994
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:26,880
Speaker 6: and Mary, and I'm going to Iowa and it absolutely

995
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:29,719
Speaker 6: blow out against UMass. Loll up to thirty five. Call

996
00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:32,080
Speaker 6: it camp Palm's got a twenty eight. It'll be closer

997
00:45:32,120 --> 00:45:32,719
Speaker 6: to thirty five.

998
00:45:33,040 --> 00:45:36,400
Speaker 4: Matthew cal Baptists spread cal Baptists money line. My first

999
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:41,040
Speaker 4: two I mentioned my two Missouri Valley Road Special two

1000
00:45:41,120 --> 00:45:44,880
Speaker 4: for Illinois State, as Jim mentioned, and I also like

1001
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:50,080
Speaker 4: SIUC Carbondale, who should be a five ish point dog.

1002
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:51,880
Speaker 4: Maybe I get an extra point there. Market seemed to

1003
00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:55,120
Speaker 4: like Murray and certainly understand why. I also like cal

1004
00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:57,719
Speaker 4: I talked probably against Louisville there, and then I think

1005
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 4: Michigan is gonna be a team. I'm gonna just trust

1006
00:46:00,160 --> 00:46:03,960
Speaker 4: my instinct there that that spread opens around like twenty five,

1007
00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:07,800
Speaker 4: I think, like close to thirty, we're just getting outrageous.

1008
00:46:07,840 --> 00:46:11,480
Speaker 4: But I think if it's in mid twenties, that'll be

1009
00:46:11,560 --> 00:46:16,320
Speaker 4: my official sixth play of the week. So that concludes

1010
00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:20,520
Speaker 4: our BBOC podcast conference play is finally upon us, the

1011
00:46:20,520 --> 00:46:22,719
Speaker 4: best chapter of the college basketball You're thanking you our

1012
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,840
Speaker 4: fine sponsor once again at DraftKings, my colleague Jim and

1013
00:46:26,040 --> 00:46:29,000
Speaker 4: Kai enjoy your New Year's We'll see you next week.

1014
00:46:46,280 --> 00:46:49,759
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1015
00:46:50,160 --> 00:46:53,000
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1016
00:46:53,280 --> 00:46:55,920
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1017
00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:56,800
Speaker 2: hundred Gambler