WEBVTT - Drive Time: Dolphins Patriots Week 8 Preview 0:00:00.680 --> 0:00:05.280 Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins. Now let me check 0:00:05.320 --> 0:00:08.719 your pulse if you're not. What is up? Dolphins? And 0:00:08.880 --> 0:00:11.960 welcome to the Drive Time Podcast, part of the Miami 0:00:11.960 --> 0:00:16.279 Dolphins podcast network covering your team, your Miami Dolphins. How's 0:00:16.320 --> 0:00:19.560 it going? Everybody? I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And 0:00:19.640 --> 0:00:22.000 on today's show we turn the page to week number 0:00:22.040 --> 0:00:24.759 eight and the New England Patriots. A chance to sweep 0:00:24.840 --> 0:00:28.120 a division rival in your building, a place where you've 0:00:28.160 --> 0:00:30.600 won three straight against that rival and five of the 0:00:30.680 --> 0:00:34.760 last six. Key matchups, key data points, key film study points, 0:00:34.760 --> 0:00:37.440 and keys to victory and much much more from the 0:00:37.479 --> 0:00:40.640 Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist healths Training Complex. This 0:00:40.880 --> 0:00:46.839 is the Drive Time Podcast. Maggie Gaffie, My apologies for 0:00:46.960 --> 0:00:49.400 the energy on the show. Your boy is sick as 0:00:49.440 --> 0:00:52.000 a dog and you'll hear that on tomorrow's podcast with 0:00:52.080 --> 0:00:54.360 Mike Reese as well. So we're trying to get through 0:00:54.360 --> 0:00:56.760 the week into the weekend with lots of fluids and 0:00:56.760 --> 0:00:59.880 hopefully feeling better in time for the game on Sunday. 0:01:00.480 --> 0:01:02.720 The weather for Sunday is supposed to be a little 0:01:02.720 --> 0:01:05.560 bit breezy, but hot as hell, eighty six degrees on 0:01:05.800 --> 0:01:09.319 Sunday with a very high humidity point that makes it 0:01:09.360 --> 0:01:12.200 feel like ninety degrees. So we've had some nice cold 0:01:12.240 --> 0:01:14.000 fronts here lately, but it's going to be hot once 0:01:14.000 --> 0:01:17.080 again for the Patriots, just like we like it against 0:01:17.120 --> 0:01:19.360 those guys. Speaking of the Patriots, let's get to know them, 0:01:19.680 --> 0:01:22.800 even though you already know them very well. Once a 0:01:22.880 --> 0:01:25.880 thorn in our collective side. The Dolphins have really flipped 0:01:25.880 --> 0:01:28.360 the script here in this series in recent years. The 0:01:28.400 --> 0:01:31.880 Patriots are in year three post Brady, and it's been 0:01:31.880 --> 0:01:34.880 an adjustment that first year. They qualified for the postseason, 0:01:34.920 --> 0:01:36.880 but had a rough go in the wild card round 0:01:37.000 --> 0:01:39.640 up in Buffalo, a place where they finally exercised that 0:01:39.800 --> 0:01:42.600 demon just last week. But I think that season that 0:01:42.640 --> 0:01:46.080 Mac Jones had as a rookie gets a little bit 0:01:46.120 --> 0:01:48.720 lost in the weeds after last year's rough experiment with 0:01:48.760 --> 0:01:51.320 a variety of coordinators and play callers that attempted to 0:01:51.800 --> 0:01:55.080 implement that wide zone system that never really took. Eventually 0:01:55.080 --> 0:01:57.320 they revert back to more man gap concepts in the 0:01:57.400 --> 0:02:00.160 running game, But though through some injuries and up and 0:02:00.200 --> 0:02:03.200 down play, it was a challenging sophomore season for Mac 0:02:03.280 --> 0:02:05.120 Jones and then a rocky start so far here in 0:02:05.200 --> 0:02:07.840 year three. The reason he was a first round pick 0:02:07.880 --> 0:02:10.280 was the same reason he found success in that rookie season. 0:02:10.320 --> 0:02:13.399 He sees the field pretty well, throws a very accurate football, 0:02:13.680 --> 0:02:15.960 and he's a good decision maker. I thought we saw 0:02:16.200 --> 0:02:18.480 some of that on Sunday against Buffalo than we have 0:02:18.600 --> 0:02:21.520 really all year with Mac Jones. And more on him 0:02:21.520 --> 0:02:24.160 in a moment, but he's obviously the marquis talking point 0:02:24.160 --> 0:02:27.239 here in discussing the post Brady era run of eight 0:02:27.360 --> 0:02:30.399 consecutive trips of the AFC Championship, with three rings over 0:02:30.440 --> 0:02:34.680 that span and obviously six total over two decades. There 0:02:34.840 --> 0:02:36.720 it's hard to fill the shoes of Brady. I mean, 0:02:36.720 --> 0:02:38.960 Belichick is doing what he's always done, though, and it's 0:02:39.000 --> 0:02:41.960 no secret to say their draft classes have not developed 0:02:42.240 --> 0:02:45.600 a lot of star power i e. Pro Bowls and 0:02:45.639 --> 0:02:48.240 second contracts. But you often need to look at the 0:02:48.400 --> 0:02:51.760 entire body of roster billing to get a feel for 0:02:51.800 --> 0:02:54.320 how a team is at constructing, and the bottom line 0:02:54.360 --> 0:02:56.600 is Belichick, year in a year out, develops a defense 0:02:56.639 --> 0:03:00.200 that performs well above what you expect them to us 0:03:00.240 --> 0:03:02.160 based on paper. They put the clamps on the Bills 0:03:02.200 --> 0:03:04.280 last week before the fourth quarter, when a couple of 0:03:04.680 --> 0:03:07.480 late drives for Buffalo with a short field put them 0:03:07.520 --> 0:03:10.480 in prime position to come back and almost steal that victory. 0:03:10.919 --> 0:03:12.680 And I think we might look back in that game 0:03:12.720 --> 0:03:14.120 as like kind of a turning point here in the 0:03:14.120 --> 0:03:19.000 AFC East. But from the Patriots perspective, Josh Allen carved 0:03:19.000 --> 0:03:21.400 them up going back to twenty twenty one, like several 0:03:21.440 --> 0:03:24.320 games in a row where he didn't even have any punts, 0:03:24.320 --> 0:03:26.120 So the Bill's offense didn't have any punts in those games. 0:03:26.120 --> 0:03:28.480 So it's nice for them to be able to get 0:03:29.040 --> 0:03:31.639 that win to slow Josh Allen down, who by the way, 0:03:31.680 --> 0:03:33.840 he is in pain. He's banged up. That whole Bills 0:03:33.880 --> 0:03:35.800 team is banged up. We're gonna talk about the Buffalo 0:03:35.840 --> 0:03:38.120 Bills on the Friday podcast and the landscape of the 0:03:38.120 --> 0:03:41.640 AFC East that I find very promising for your Miami Dolphins. 0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:44.440 But today's bout the Patriots. So last year for that defense, 0:03:44.480 --> 0:03:47.480 eleventh in points allowed the year prior second points allowed, 0:03:47.720 --> 0:03:49.360 and then back in twenty twenty they were seventh in 0:03:49.400 --> 0:03:51.320 points allowed, so they're always top ten or on the 0:03:51.360 --> 0:03:53.840 periphery of it well until this year, and that was 0:03:53.880 --> 0:03:56.360 after being ranked top in Tom Brady's last year in 0:03:56.400 --> 0:03:59.520 twenty nineteen, and this year even with the offense really 0:03:59.560 --> 0:04:02.760 struggled to sustain drives for long periods of time and 0:04:02.840 --> 0:04:05.880 now down Matthew Judon and Christian Gonzales, who I would 0:04:05.960 --> 0:04:08.520 argue are two of their top three players on defense, 0:04:08.560 --> 0:04:10.960 with Kyle Dugger in there as well. What do you 0:04:11.000 --> 0:04:13.400 know here? They are fourth in yards per play allowed 0:04:13.400 --> 0:04:17.240 at four point eight. Now that said, they are seventeenth 0:04:17.279 --> 0:04:19.880 in total defense and twenty fourth in scoring. But again 0:04:20.400 --> 0:04:22.920 that to me is a product of turnovers and three 0:04:22.960 --> 0:04:26.000 and outs on offense putting them in challenging spots. They 0:04:26.040 --> 0:04:29.040 average twenty five point seven yards per drive. That's twenty 0:04:29.080 --> 0:04:31.799 sixth in the NFL one point two toy six points 0:04:31.839 --> 0:04:34.720 per drive is thirtieth, and then five point six plays 0:04:34.760 --> 0:04:37.280 per drive is twenty six So maybe an opportunity here 0:04:37.279 --> 0:04:39.880 for the Dolphins defense to get quick stops, give the 0:04:39.920 --> 0:04:42.480 offense more possessions, and maybe boat race this team. Hopefully, 0:04:42.600 --> 0:04:45.000 that's what I'm looking forward to. Additional note here, what's 0:04:45.080 --> 0:04:47.640 crazy about that? As Miami averages five point five plays 0:04:47.680 --> 0:04:50.320 per drive, so They're worse than the Patriots in terms 0:04:50.360 --> 0:04:54.040 of sustaining drives, but that's a different result because Miami 0:04:54.240 --> 0:04:57.200 strikes quickly so often, evident by our league leading three 0:04:57.240 --> 0:05:00.000 point zero one points per drive, which leads the NFL 0:05:00.080 --> 0:05:01.960 by more than a half or almost a half a 0:05:02.000 --> 0:05:05.520 point San Francisco's two point sixty four. So Miami has 0:05:05.600 --> 0:05:08.559 less plays per drive but averages more than double points 0:05:08.560 --> 0:05:11.440 per drive than the Patriots do. So structurally, it's still 0:05:11.440 --> 0:05:14.640 a second Dary driven team that employs six seven eight 0:05:14.720 --> 0:05:17.760 dB packages on the rig. They get production from every 0:05:17.800 --> 0:05:21.039 avenue of roster acquisition, the same unheralded D line that 0:05:21.080 --> 0:05:24.080 deserves way more praise than they get between Dietrich Wise, 0:05:24.160 --> 0:05:27.479 Lawrence Guy. They've been there since, you know, George Bush 0:05:27.520 --> 0:05:30.159 was in office. They imported Von Godshaw from the Dolphins 0:05:30.200 --> 0:05:32.160 a few years ago, and then Christian Barmore I think 0:05:32.160 --> 0:05:36.600 would be their next best player that I mentioned with Judon, Gonzalez, 0:05:37.040 --> 0:05:39.680 Dugger and then Barmore probably he has been probably their 0:05:39.680 --> 0:05:42.320 best draft hit in recent years. And again they lost 0:05:42.400 --> 0:05:44.520 their best player in Matt Judon to injury and have 0:05:44.680 --> 0:05:48.160 really struggled to replace his pass rush production. More on 0:05:48.240 --> 0:05:50.440 that in the preview, they are twenty six and thirty 0:05:50.440 --> 0:05:53.160 two since twenty twenty that includes a playoff loss. They're 0:05:53.200 --> 0:05:55.160 off to a two to five start, but coming off 0:05:55.240 --> 0:05:58.200 their biggest win in quite some time, in fact, something 0:05:58.279 --> 0:06:01.359 of a demon's exercise game for them. They were owned 0:06:01.400 --> 0:06:04.200 fourteen when the opposition scored twenty five or more points 0:06:04.279 --> 0:06:07.839 and mac Jones starts, which is what you know, what's 0:06:07.839 --> 0:06:09.800 weird about that? Miami has not done that to the 0:06:09.839 --> 0:06:13.320 Patriots very often, even last year in the victory, you know, 0:06:13.360 --> 0:06:15.120 twenty points. So this year up in New England is 0:06:15.160 --> 0:06:17.239 twenty four points and of course the non tua game. 0:06:17.680 --> 0:06:19.480 But we have two of this week, so I feel 0:06:19.520 --> 0:06:21.599 very good about it. But Mac Jones is now one 0:06:21.640 --> 0:06:24.360 and fourteen when the opposition scores twenty four or twenty 0:06:24.360 --> 0:06:26.680 five or more points. He didn't have a game winning 0:06:26.760 --> 0:06:29.560 drive and had just one fourth quarter comeback in his career. 0:06:29.600 --> 0:06:33.440 He now has those both under his belt. And again, 0:06:33.440 --> 0:06:35.760 there's always fun storylines when these two teams link up. 0:06:35.800 --> 0:06:37.960 Let's go ahead and get into those here before our 0:06:38.000 --> 0:06:41.440 first break on the show, and again apologize for the energy. 0:06:41.600 --> 0:06:43.680 I tend to think my podcast is good for the 0:06:43.720 --> 0:06:46.120 research and notes, but I'd like to think that the 0:06:46.200 --> 0:06:48.520 energy and personality I bring to it is the other 0:06:49.000 --> 0:06:51.520 reason you come and stay for the podcast. So we're 0:06:51.520 --> 0:06:53.200 missing one of those two elements to day. But can 0:06:53.279 --> 0:06:55.320 we win a game and we don't have our best stuff? 0:06:55.320 --> 0:06:59.000 That's the idea. Here some key storylines. Now some of 0:06:59.000 --> 0:07:01.119 this will give us some cross over in the matchup section, 0:07:01.200 --> 0:07:03.960 so we'll avoid getting into the numbers and the teletape 0:07:04.120 --> 0:07:06.440 tail of the tape on some of these. Let's go 0:07:06.480 --> 0:07:09.200 ahead and start here. Miami is five and oh against 0:07:09.200 --> 0:07:11.880 the Patriots in games started by two a Tongua by lower. 0:07:11.920 --> 0:07:14.800 From a fundamentals and execution standpoint, I think you can 0:07:14.880 --> 0:07:17.120 make the case this was Tua's sharpest game of the year. 0:07:17.160 --> 0:07:19.960 Back in Week two. The Patriots rolled out a defense 0:07:19.960 --> 0:07:22.360 that we just simply don't see to try to slow 0:07:22.400 --> 0:07:24.239 Miami down, and I guess you could say it worked. 0:07:24.280 --> 0:07:26.480 I think twenty four points with two miss field goals, 0:07:26.520 --> 0:07:30.080 so potentially thirty points is an offensive win, especially on 0:07:30.120 --> 0:07:32.640 ten possessions, because that would be three points per possession, 0:07:32.960 --> 0:07:36.000 which is a little less than what Miami averages, which 0:07:36.120 --> 0:07:38.680 leads the league by a big chunk, by a big margin, 0:07:39.000 --> 0:07:41.920 and for posterity there, the league average is one point 0:07:42.000 --> 0:07:45.520 nine points per possession, so that's you know, greater than 0:07:45.600 --> 0:07:47.920 sixty six percent of the league if you can get that. 0:07:48.440 --> 0:07:50.600 What the Dolphins did score, even the twenty four points 0:07:50.640 --> 0:07:52.440 is a full half point per drive better than that 0:07:52.520 --> 0:07:55.040 league average of one point nine. So you know, four 0:07:55.080 --> 0:07:57.720 hundred yards is not being shut down. The Eagles at 0:07:57.760 --> 0:08:01.040 a much better job slowing Miami did than anybody else. 0:08:01.040 --> 0:08:03.720 But that's my soapbox. The Dolphins were not shut down 0:08:03.760 --> 0:08:07.720 by the Patriots in week number two. Our next storyline 0:08:07.720 --> 0:08:09.680 to track here. This is for the next segment. What 0:08:09.720 --> 0:08:12.360 the hell is the Patriots game plan going to look like? 0:08:12.800 --> 0:08:16.480 Will they employ that same look from week two? Will 0:08:16.520 --> 0:08:18.720 they try to borrow from the Eagles last week who 0:08:18.880 --> 0:08:22.040 shut Miami down? Will they take what the Vikings did 0:08:22.120 --> 0:08:25.240 on Monday Night Football against a similar Niners offense and 0:08:25.400 --> 0:08:28.080 use that. That simple question is going to make this 0:08:28.160 --> 0:08:30.400 game preview difficult to do, And I wonder how much 0:08:30.440 --> 0:08:32.440 more difficult it is a game plan for this Patriots 0:08:32.480 --> 0:08:35.160 team when you quite frankly don't really know what you're 0:08:35.160 --> 0:08:36.439 gonna get, so maybe you have to feel them out 0:08:36.440 --> 0:08:39.280 for the first couple of possessions or so. Next storyline 0:08:39.360 --> 0:08:41.360 is when we talk about every single time we play 0:08:41.360 --> 0:08:43.920 this team, is that minimal possessions are had by either 0:08:44.000 --> 0:08:47.200 side every time these two teams play. Does that change 0:08:47.240 --> 0:08:50.920 with new coordinators? And again, akin to the first storyline, 0:08:51.200 --> 0:08:54.960 this game script tends to follow the same well script 0:08:55.280 --> 0:08:59.199 every time these two teams meet. Both teams have methodical 0:08:59.320 --> 0:09:02.800 drives that shortened the number of possessions in a game, 0:09:02.840 --> 0:09:06.199 and both teams play really well on third down offensively, 0:09:06.280 --> 0:09:09.560 but even better in the red zone defensively, and you 0:09:09.640 --> 0:09:12.840 wind up with these seventeen to sixteen finals. You know, 0:09:12.840 --> 0:09:14.520 for the opener last year, I did a study and 0:09:14.520 --> 0:09:17.040 found the Dolphins and Patriots games average two point two 0:09:17.080 --> 0:09:20.840 possessions per team, fewer than league average going back to 0:09:20.880 --> 0:09:24.480 twenty twenty. Last year's opener was similar, two possessions fewer 0:09:24.480 --> 0:09:27.200 for each and the Week seventeen game didn't have the 0:09:27.240 --> 0:09:29.199 same track, But we were also down a couple of 0:09:29.280 --> 0:09:31.840 quarterbacks in that game after you know, an in game injury, 0:09:31.840 --> 0:09:34.280 throwing a wrench into the whole thing, So I kind 0:09:34.320 --> 0:09:37.080 of throw that one out. But then Week one was similar. 0:09:37.080 --> 0:09:42.000 Both teams had fewer than league average possessions but more 0:09:42.120 --> 0:09:44.040 than the series average. So I think that there was 0:09:44.080 --> 0:09:46.000 some return to the norm in that sense, with Miami 0:09:46.360 --> 0:09:49.280 no longer deploying an offshoot of the Belichick scheme and 0:09:49.360 --> 0:09:51.480 with them going a little more tempo aggressive with Bill 0:09:51.559 --> 0:09:55.040 Brian O'Brien's attack. But he's operated this you know, same 0:09:55.080 --> 0:09:57.120 thing on as defense where you don't know what you're 0:09:57.120 --> 0:10:00.520 gonna get here, because they have had in Houston a 0:10:00.640 --> 0:10:04.280 deep dropback, slow developing type of system for Deshaun Watson 0:10:04.320 --> 0:10:06.280 to go big play hunt like he did in Houston. 0:10:06.960 --> 0:10:09.520 He's run the quick rpo game at Bama with Tua, 0:10:09.559 --> 0:10:11.920 a little bit of everything. So maybe not the biggest 0:10:12.000 --> 0:10:14.240 challenge in terms of personnel, but in terms of having 0:10:14.280 --> 0:10:16.320 to kind of develop multiple game plans for what you 0:10:16.400 --> 0:10:19.160 might expect to see. Vick Fangio has the same challenge 0:10:19.240 --> 0:10:22.240 as Frank Smith and Mike McDaniel do. Next story line, 0:10:22.280 --> 0:10:26.280 Dolphins are dominant at home on defense against a struggling offense, 0:10:26.360 --> 0:10:29.120 especially when they come down here really the entire operation. 0:10:29.200 --> 0:10:31.160 I mean, Dolphins are three and ozero this season at home, 0:10:31.360 --> 0:10:34.280 fifteen to two. In their last seventeen games, they average 0:10:34.280 --> 0:10:36.760 forty four points six points per game at home, five 0:10:36.840 --> 0:10:39.440 hundred and fifty eight yards per game and eight point 0:10:39.520 --> 0:10:42.280 eight yards per play with a plus eighty six point 0:10:42.280 --> 0:10:44.960 differential in this building. The last couple of years, the 0:10:45.000 --> 0:10:48.920 defense at home has just been entirely a different beast. 0:10:49.000 --> 0:10:51.960 Over those seventeen games, two hundred and sixty seven points 0:10:52.000 --> 0:10:55.520 allowed is fifteen point seven points per game. That's why 0:10:55.600 --> 0:10:57.360 it's so key for Miami to try to find a 0:10:57.360 --> 0:11:00.880 way into home field advantage in this upcoming postseason. The 0:11:00.920 --> 0:11:05.200 Patriots point outputs in Miami last year seven, twenty twenty one, 0:11:05.400 --> 0:11:08.319 twenty four, and twenty twenty just twelve. So the three 0:11:08.400 --> 0:11:11.720 year average of Mac Jones games in Miami, they score 0:11:11.760 --> 0:11:14.280 just fourteen points per game. So the numbers tell you 0:11:14.320 --> 0:11:17.040 Miami can hold the Patriots under twenty in this one, 0:11:17.240 --> 0:11:19.440 and I think it's pretty rare. See the Dolphins offense 0:11:19.480 --> 0:11:22.160 go under twenty, so I like our chances there. And 0:11:22.200 --> 0:11:24.640 then finally, of course you have to mention, actually sorry, 0:11:24.640 --> 0:11:28.240 I have two more here former Fins and Patriots Parker 0:11:28.240 --> 0:11:32.600 Gasiki Godshaw, Barrios Bailey, and Bethel Isaiah Winn was in there, 0:11:32.640 --> 0:11:36.480 but he no longer is active. Some more recent than others. 0:11:36.480 --> 0:11:38.360 You know, Gasiki, Bailey and Win were on the other 0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:41.280 side for that Week seventeen game last year. Parker is 0:11:41.320 --> 0:11:43.600 in his second year with the Patriots. Godsha been there 0:11:43.640 --> 0:11:46.880 since twenty twenty. Similar timelines for Barrios and Bethel, but 0:11:46.960 --> 0:11:49.679 lots of familiar already here in division. Not as much 0:11:49.760 --> 0:11:52.720 coaching staff carryover as there once was, but it's always 0:11:52.760 --> 0:11:54.280 fun for me to watch who can have a good 0:11:54.360 --> 0:11:56.760 day against their former team. And then how about this 0:11:56.840 --> 0:11:59.320 for you guys for the last storyline double digit favorites 0:11:59.360 --> 0:12:01.800 for the Dolphins here. This is the third game in 0:12:01.840 --> 0:12:04.760 the last four that Miami's going to be double digit favorites. 0:12:04.840 --> 0:12:07.320 I've seen lines of ten, I've seen lines of twelve, 0:12:07.840 --> 0:12:09.880 but I'm going with a twelve point line here since 0:12:10.080 --> 0:12:13.600 Draft Kings the league's official website, right, they covered both 0:12:13.640 --> 0:12:15.960 times against the Giants, which was also twelve down here 0:12:15.960 --> 0:12:18.439 a couple weeks back. They covered that with a fifteen 0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:20.839 point win, and then covered a fourteen point spread against 0:12:20.840 --> 0:12:23.360 the Panthers with a twenty one point win. And here's 0:12:23.400 --> 0:12:26.440 the key storyline. We typically don't lose games as favorites 0:12:26.440 --> 0:12:29.600 with Tua under center. Eighteen point or eighteen and five, 0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:32.240 I should say, in games favored to win in his career. 0:12:32.360 --> 0:12:35.400 The Chargers and Packers last year were two losses Denver 0:12:35.480 --> 0:12:37.520 twenty twenty and then back in twenty twenty one that 0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:41.400 you know, atrocious two game stretch against Jacksonville and Atlanta 0:12:41.720 --> 0:12:44.680 that really basically cost Miami the playoffs that year. But 0:12:44.760 --> 0:12:48.560 teams that are double digit dogs rarely, rarely come out 0:12:48.679 --> 0:12:52.000 victorious in the final score. The twenty nineteen Dolphins won 0:12:52.040 --> 0:12:55.160 three such games as double digit dogs, and that's what 0:12:55.320 --> 0:12:58.120 sold us all on Brian Flores, right, But winning with 0:12:58.240 --> 0:13:01.760 those rosters and you know, five games versus winning with 0:13:01.880 --> 0:13:04.400 expectations and winning ten games to get to the playoffs. 0:13:04.920 --> 0:13:07.160 Different ballgame, as we came to find out a couple 0:13:07.200 --> 0:13:09.320 of years after that. But that was the first and 0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:12.400 only time that's ever happened, a team winning three games 0:13:12.360 --> 0:13:15.080 as double digit dogs in one season. The Patriots just 0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:18.720 scored a double digit dog win against Buffalo at home 0:13:19.080 --> 0:13:21.240 in Miami. I don't think it's gonna happen. Let's go 0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:23.040 ahead and take our first break right there and come 0:13:23.040 --> 0:13:25.160 back on the other side and break down the Dolphins 0:13:25.240 --> 0:13:28.839 offense first, Patriots defense, that's next Draft Time Podcast, your 0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:34.760 host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation. Feels 0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:36.800 good to be back on a Wednesday here talking about 0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:40.680 another football game. Man. I always tell myself, I'm not 0:13:40.679 --> 0:13:43.600 gonna get too beat up over the losses, but these 0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:45.280 two losses this year have kind of taken it out 0:13:45.280 --> 0:13:46.840 of me for a couple of days. So I'm excited 0:13:46.840 --> 0:13:49.600 to get back to hard Rock Stadium and hopefully beat 0:13:49.640 --> 0:13:51.559 the crap out of the New England Patriots. Go ahead 0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:55.000 and preview the Dolphins offense versus Patriots defense, and just 0:13:55.000 --> 0:13:57.280 looking at the matchups here, you guys kind of know 0:13:57.720 --> 0:14:00.559 what to expect. I mean, the safety, it's gonna be 0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:01.800 trying to the limit to a tongue of by Lowa. 0:14:01.880 --> 0:14:05.160 Kyle Duggars played ninety five percent of their snaps, Jabrill 0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:07.439 Peppers ninety two percent, and then a big fall off 0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:09.960 for Adrian Phillips the third safety to play twenty percent 0:14:10.000 --> 0:14:12.120 of the snaps. But I expect you might see more 0:14:12.160 --> 0:14:13.920 of that because I expect to see that three safety 0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:16.920 look again they ran in week number two. Uh, the 0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:19.720 frequency of it, we'll see, but I think they would 0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:21.680 be crazy to go away from that plan and just 0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:24.240 using Kyle Dugger and Jabrill Peppers in a variety of roles, 0:14:24.240 --> 0:14:26.520 as those two guys have had so much success this year, 0:14:26.920 --> 0:14:30.120 you know, fitting the run down in the box, playing 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:32.400 you know, off and coverage, covering tight ends like those 0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:34.560 guys are such good players. It's gonna be a key 0:14:34.560 --> 0:14:37.200 to account for both of those guys, the corners who 0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:39.320 are going to go up against Tyreek and Jalen and 0:14:39.360 --> 0:14:42.800 Cedric Wilson on the outside. Jonathan Jones is back. I 0:14:42.840 --> 0:14:46.040 expect you'll see him shadow Tyreek with some help a 0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:49.080 bracket where they literally clamp him. And then that means 0:14:49.200 --> 0:14:51.480 Jalen Wattle could get some one on one looks against 0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:54.120 the guy like j C. Jackson who's back and just 0:14:54.160 --> 0:14:56.240 back in time to get picked on by two once again. 0:14:56.880 --> 0:14:58.960 Never should have made those comments back in twenty twenty one. 0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:01.800 J C. Jackson, Jalen Mills plays twenty six percent of 0:15:01.840 --> 0:15:03.640 the snaps and then Jack Jones is back, and I 0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:05.240 want you to keep an eye on Jack Jones because 0:15:05.240 --> 0:15:07.560 he's only played seven percent of the snaps this year, 0:15:07.960 --> 0:15:10.480 But gosh, he's a good football player. He arrives with 0:15:10.600 --> 0:15:13.480 you know, ferocity, he's a good return guy. I just 0:15:13.560 --> 0:15:16.160 like his game a lot in the slot. Miles Bryant 0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:18.680 has played eighty percent of their snaps and Sean Waye 0:15:18.680 --> 0:15:20.760 has played thirty one percent of their reps as well. 0:15:20.800 --> 0:15:23.320 So Barrios and Smythe I don't think it's a good 0:15:23.360 --> 0:15:25.480 tight end game because I like their safeties in coverage 0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:28.120 and even julying to either linebacker quite a lot. But 0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:29.840 I think Barrios could get some one on one looks 0:15:29.880 --> 0:15:31.360 inside and really be kind of like a you know, 0:15:31.440 --> 0:15:33.880 a six catch for sixty yard type of game for Braxton. 0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:36.280 But I really expect Wadal to get off on the 0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:41.840 outside defensive line of Dietrich Wise sixty seven percent, Christian 0:15:41.880 --> 0:15:45.760 Barmore fifty nine percent, Lawrence Guy fifty three, Devon Godshaw 0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:48.440 fifty two. So there you go. That's four you know, 0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:52.400 Wilkins and Sealer type of players that play more than 0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:56.160 half the snaps. So you get really strange formations from 0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:58.160 this Patriots defense. I mean, we know what that looks like, right, 0:15:58.200 --> 0:16:00.160 We saw it with for years here with Flora some 0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:04.920 boyer running you know, heavy ends. You know, essentially three 0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:08.080 defensive tackles who run these odd fronts where you then 0:16:08.120 --> 0:16:10.080 bring down your linebackers off the edge and give you 0:16:10.160 --> 0:16:12.200 essentially a five to one or a five to two look. 0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:14.680 And nobody runs more base in this Patriots team. And 0:16:15.000 --> 0:16:18.400 it's really kind of intertwined there with those big bodies 0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:20.720 on the interior who also play that you know, five 0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:23.360 technique end as well, and they're gonna go up against 0:16:24.640 --> 0:16:27.480 Is it gonna be Lester Cotton, I don't know, We'll see. 0:16:27.720 --> 0:16:29.840 I would go with Rob Jones personally. Is it gonna 0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:32.480 be Connor or Liam That's a that's the biggest discrepancy 0:16:32.600 --> 0:16:34.960 on the entire football team besides the quarterback position in 0:16:35.040 --> 0:16:37.480 terms of starter and backup. And then Robert Hunt, who 0:16:37.560 --> 0:16:40.840 just is kicking everybody's ass this year off the outside. 0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:42.840 Lamb and Jackson, we know about those two guys and 0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:45.040 they've both had really good years. And this is where 0:16:45.080 --> 0:16:47.960 I think Miami can really you know, help in terms 0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:51.240 of scan protect inside, pull alec Ingold inside or drham 0:16:51.280 --> 0:16:54.280 smythe to block the interior, because without Matt Judon, I 0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:56.600 don't think any of these guys match up well one 0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:59.720 on one against Lamb or Jackson. And that's Anthony Jennings, 0:16:59.720 --> 0:17:02.400 who he's forty six percent of the snaps. He doesn't 0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:04.639 really have a great rush arsenal, but he's got super 0:17:04.680 --> 0:17:06.440 long arms, so he can kind of redirect and get 0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:08.919 that second effort sack if you, you know, pump and 0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:11.040 hold the ball for too long. I do like josh 0:17:11.160 --> 0:17:13.520 Ucha's explosiveness. Now he's coming off an injury, so we'll 0:17:13.520 --> 0:17:15.960 see how much he plays just thirty percent of the 0:17:16.000 --> 0:17:18.480 reps this year, and then Keon White, also coming back 0:17:18.480 --> 0:17:20.760 off an injury, twenty eight percent of the snaps, and 0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:23.840 we'll see how effective those guys can be coming back 0:17:23.880 --> 0:17:26.199 after a couple of weeks off with injuries. So I 0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:30.119 like Miami's front to handle their front, even with the 0:17:30.200 --> 0:17:32.479 potential backups that we have in place there. And then 0:17:32.520 --> 0:17:35.160 of course Rahem Moster and Savon Ahmed going up against 0:17:35.160 --> 0:17:37.160 the linebacker crew that seemed like it's been there for 0:17:38.000 --> 0:17:41.040 the last several years. Juwan Bentley plays ninety five percent 0:17:41.080 --> 0:17:43.480 of the snaps July Tevia sixty six, and then Marte 0:17:43.560 --> 0:17:45.280 mop who is a new name, twenty five percent of 0:17:45.320 --> 0:17:48.600 the snaps. He's kind of like a buck linebacker, like 0:17:48.640 --> 0:17:52.679 a safety linebacker convert. And you know, this third defense 0:17:52.720 --> 0:17:55.640 in general has faced so much attrition in the defensive 0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:59.080 backfield this year. Jack Jones is back again. He looks awesome. 0:17:59.119 --> 0:18:01.800 But Christian Gonzal being down is so huge. He was 0:18:01.840 --> 0:18:04.439 a pivotal piece to that team. And I think that 0:18:04.880 --> 0:18:06.320 he would have been the guy that would have matched 0:18:06.400 --> 0:18:09.560 up on Jalen. You know when you bracket Tyreek with 0:18:09.640 --> 0:18:12.280 Jonathan Jones and somebody else, But they don't have a 0:18:12.320 --> 0:18:14.720 good option for Jaylen Waddle in this game. Marcus Jones 0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:16.640 is still on IR as well, so they went out 0:18:16.640 --> 0:18:19.440 and got j C. Jackson. He's played a lot for him. 0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:22.720 If that's the case, then you know, good luck, good 0:18:22.760 --> 0:18:25.520 luck to you guys. Jonathan Jones has the smaller workload 0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:27.119 because of an injury, but again he's back and a 0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:30.040 really good player. And then Miles Bryant that primary slot guy. 0:18:30.160 --> 0:18:32.000 That's why I like Braxton a lot. I think Braxton 0:18:32.000 --> 0:18:34.760 matches up well against Miles Bryant. And even with that 0:18:34.760 --> 0:18:37.440 banged up edge, they still operate more base than anybody 0:18:37.480 --> 0:18:39.320 else in the NFL. And you're gonna see, you know, 0:18:39.320 --> 0:18:42.840 there's different variations of that that they can run, whether 0:18:42.880 --> 0:18:45.040