1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: Mets just signed Devin Williams to a three year, fifty 2 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 1: million dollar contract. The first thing that comes to everybody's 3 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:10,319 Speaker 1: mind is what does this mean? Freedwin Diaz, we will 4 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:13,160 Speaker 1: tell you everything along with our opinions thoughts about the. 5 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 2: Devin Williams signing. Before we do, make sure you are. 6 00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:18,080 Speaker 1: Subscribed to the Mets Up podcast. Also shout out all 7 00:00:18,079 --> 00:00:20,000 Speaker 1: the members. We got a live streaming coming to you 8 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: guys soon. Don't worry, we got a live stream coming. 9 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 1: I promise you it's coming soon. Subscribe, Subscribe, subscribe and 10 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: also check out the merch Lincoln description if you want 11 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 1: to get something for Christmas. Devin Williams James signed with 12 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 1: the Mets three years fifty What are you thinking. 13 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 2: Instant reaction in terms of the player. I think I 14 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 2: definitely like the player more than maybe what his public 15 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 2: perception is right now. The era was high as a Yankee, 16 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 2: it was kind of a disaster season. He allowed to 17 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 2: earn run I have it here, I wrote it down here, 18 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 2: allowed her to run in five u is for his 19 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 2: fourteen appearances of the Yankees last year. I think that 20 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:51,000 Speaker 2: put them kind of on a downward slope from the beginning. 21 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:53,480 Speaker 2: But still a really good pitcher, still striking guys out. 22 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:55,959 Speaker 2: Then the years and the money caught me very off 23 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 2: guard here. Yeah, the years were shocking. 24 00:00:58,320 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 1: I was truly surprised that Devian Williams one took a 25 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 1: three year deal. But then when you see the money, 26 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 1: you're like, oh, okay, I mean, I guess he kind 27 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 1: of had to, Like Devin Williams coming off of the 28 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 1: season that he had. While I think under the hood 29 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:11,320 Speaker 1: looked a lot better than what the r numbers, like 30 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 1: you said, were three years fifty million, you can't say 31 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:16,559 Speaker 1: no to that if you're Devin Williams, no matter who's 32 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 1: coming for you. 33 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:18,600 Speaker 2: He would have played for the Colorado Rockies at three 34 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 2: for fifty definitely not And that's what does make me 35 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,040 Speaker 2: feel weirried about this trade, despite again liking the signing. 36 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:26,160 Speaker 2: What yeah, well, I'll talk more about the players we 37 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,440 Speaker 2: get through here, but the contract seems like a big 38 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:33,760 Speaker 2: commitment to a guy that at at worst is not 39 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:35,959 Speaker 2: a good closer, and at best you know there's going 40 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 2: to be some erraticness in production just based on the 41 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 2: player archy type here. I mean. 42 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: Shout out Diana the Queen of Mets Twitter. She put 43 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 1: out a funny tweet that I book marked already. She 44 00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 1: was like Devin Williams and the David Stearns Run Organization 45 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 1: one point eight nine era David Stearns and non David 46 00:01:50,960 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 1: Devin Williams and non David Sterns Run Organization three point 47 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 1: four to eight. The list address real quick to Edwin 48 00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 1: das stuff. Everyone around the league, all the reporters, all 49 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 1: the people that are in the know, are saying this 50 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:04,600 Speaker 1: has no impact, does not change anything, with the Mets 51 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 1: still being very interested in Edwin Diaz. And I think 52 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 1: we have to say that quickly because I think the 53 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: immediate reaction that anybody and I will say it makes sense, 54 00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:15,200 Speaker 1: would have is what does this mean for Edwin Diaz? 55 00:02:15,240 --> 00:02:17,919 Speaker 2: But I like the idea that if we. 56 00:02:17,919 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 1: Don't get Edwin, which of course is a possibility, I 57 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 1: still don't think we will miss out on him. We 58 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 1: do still have what was a dynamite closer his entire career, 59 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 1: except for when he was with the Yankees. 60 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 2: Yes, exactly, but I do feel better about Devin Williams 61 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 2: as the two with Edmund as the one. Oh yeah, no, 62 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 2: I can't tell you. 63 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: I'll be happy going Edwin DS to Devin Williams like that, 64 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: it's very much of what's been seems like all the 65 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: David Surtins moves so far this offseason, where it's like, well, 66 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 1: if this is the only move, I don't feel great. 67 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 1: I want to see what happens next, because if Devin 68 00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 1: Williams is our closer going into opening Day, I'm not 69 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:53,799 Speaker 1: gonna lie to you guys and say I feel good 70 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:55,639 Speaker 1: about it. Like, while I think the under the hood 71 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:57,120 Speaker 1: stuff is great, and he still strikes out a ton 72 00:02:57,160 --> 00:02:58,959 Speaker 1: of guys, and it seems like last year was just 73 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 1: a weird season with the Yankee And I'm gonna try 74 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: and find the Petriello stat about how when Devin Williams 75 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 1: left the game, basically the Yankees relievers couldn't stop anybody 76 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:08,959 Speaker 1: from scoring. Yeah, and he killed all the inherited runners 77 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 1: when he came into the game. But I won't feel 78 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 1: good about it if Devin Williams' closer on April first. No, 79 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:17,840 Speaker 1: there's also last year Devin Williams went from the Brewers 80 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:19,840 Speaker 1: to the Yankees. The Blue was always the best infield 81 00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:22,080 Speaker 1: defense in baseball, one of the best. The Yankees usually 82 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: either in the middle or closer to the bottom, but 83 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 1: you also hope that we have the infield defense to 84 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:28,680 Speaker 1: help him next year. It's just it was such a 85 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:30,919 Speaker 1: weird season for him the way it started. That did 86 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 1: make it look so ugly at the end. But I 87 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 1: think he's he's good. Like the strike up rate was 88 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 1: thirty five percent, that's good. Like the wift rate was 89 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: still up the league best, that's good. The ground ball 90 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 1: rate was still good. The quality of contact against him 91 00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 1: was still pretty good. Not as good, was still quite good. 92 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: Like it seems like. 93 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 2: No matter what there is, there's a better floor and 94 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:50,080 Speaker 2: Devin Williams than the guy that we saw last year. 95 00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 2: I got the numbers. 96 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 1: So Williams inherited six runners when he entered the game 97 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 1: this season, he allowed zero to score. 98 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:58,320 Speaker 2: I like hearing that. I think that's a good stat. 99 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:01,400 Speaker 1: Williams left ten runners on when departing the next relievers 100 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 1: are allowed seven of them to score, So seventy percent 101 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 1: of the time when he left the game, the Yankees 102 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 1: relievers allowed them to score. One hundred percent of the 103 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: time when he came into the game with inherited runners, 104 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 1: none of them scored. 105 00:04:11,440 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 2: Okay, that's great, So again was a big deal. But 106 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,360 Speaker 2: I just this is weird. This is now only one 107 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 2: of like twelve three year reliever contracts in baseball, and 108 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:22,240 Speaker 2: a handful of those were signed to guys who were 109 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:24,839 Speaker 2: pre arbitration like in terms of aav I know that 110 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:27,400 Speaker 2: deferrals will kick in to bring this down from fifteen million, 111 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 2: probably a little bit lower. But Josh Adam's nineteen year 112 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,120 Speaker 2: Tanner Scott eighteen, I saw Glacier sixteen. It'd be Devin 113 00:04:33,120 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 2: Williams right after that. Yeah, the deferrals, it's empty to 114 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 2: add the idd As contract on top of this. What 115 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 2: I'm saying is that it would still I know it's 116 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,599 Speaker 2: being reported like that, but I would still be surprised 117 00:04:43,640 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 2: if you put this much money into the back of 118 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 2: a bullpen. Yes and no. 119 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 1: And the reason I say this is because we know 120 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:51,200 Speaker 1: that one of the issues right now was for the Mets. 121 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: And I'm not going to bring up the twenty fourteen 122 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 1: to fifteen Kansas City Royals because I. 123 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 2: Love doing it. 124 00:04:55,600 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: That's like that's modern baseball, like love it Chef's Kiss, 125 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 1: where it's like, our starters are gonna be at their 126 00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 1: best if we can get them to go six innings, 127 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: and then if we can lock down seven to eight 128 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 1: to nine, which is a lot to say, a lot 129 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:10,600 Speaker 1: to say. That's a lot to say, but it works. 130 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 1: It has worked in the past, and I think with 131 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,679 Speaker 1: the options that are available realistically pitching wise for the Mets, 132 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 1: on the starting rotation market, both free agency and trade wise, 133 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:21,679 Speaker 1: I think this is the plan. 134 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:22,240 Speaker 2: I really do. 135 00:05:22,320 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 1: I think that they're still gonna get Edwin Diaz and 136 00:05:24,560 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 1: they're gonna be like eighth to ninth inning interchangeable. Those 137 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,040 Speaker 1: guys can pitch out either moment it's gonna be shut down, 138 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:31,600 Speaker 1: and then we just kind of got to get to 139 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,279 Speaker 1: the seventh. If we can get to the seventh, we're 140 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 1: feeling good. Obviously it's easier said than done. But over 141 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,039 Speaker 1: a season, like you still love the idea that the 142 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:41,280 Speaker 1: final six outs of the game are pretty locked up. 143 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:43,839 Speaker 2: I came on here so ready to be so excited 144 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 2: about this signing and like kind of waxed poetic. Poetic 145 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 2: can pontificate about all the reasons that Devin Williams like 146 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 2: better luck next year, but seeing that deal and seeing 147 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 2: the way that his relatives to the rest of relievers 148 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 2: in baseball. But the deferrals, the deferrals are big though. Okay, 149 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:00,920 Speaker 2: so deferrals still bring it down to twelve million against 150 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:03,280 Speaker 2: the luxury tax a year maybe best case scenario. I 151 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:04,480 Speaker 2: don't know exactly how those are going to work. 152 00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 1: I don't know how those numbers work, but like in 153 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,520 Speaker 1: terms of AAV, I'm just we're just gonna talk about 154 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 1: AV because we can't talk about luxury tax right now. 155 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 1: Taking fifteen million off over those three years because of 156 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 1: the deferrals, that's how much it's gonna be. Five million 157 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: a year. That puts them right around ten million dollars 158 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:21,839 Speaker 1: a year. Like that's what Lesson Tanner Scott got. This 159 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,279 Speaker 1: doesn't take better than Tanner Scott. That's like less than 160 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:25,239 Speaker 1: Kirbyate's got. 161 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:27,920 Speaker 2: It's scary when you look at, you know, Robert Stevenson too. 162 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 1: Also the fact that Robert Stevenson also never had the 163 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:33,160 Speaker 1: say success that Devin Williams had either, that's I think 164 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: that's it's it's hard when you see Devin Williams really 165 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: stinking up like he did with the Yankees, Like there's 166 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: no doubt that having not gonna spin you that A 167 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 1: four era was ever good for him by any means. 168 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: But he had the sustained success and was dominant before 169 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:49,720 Speaker 1: that like disgustingly dominant, similar way where Edwin Diaz when 170 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 1: he came to the Mets had the one horrendous season 171 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 1: and then has been quite literally the best reliever in baseball. 172 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:57,279 Speaker 2: Since I am only talking about it in the context 173 00:06:57,320 --> 00:07:00,720 Speaker 2: of I'm still assuming my head with Yez now back. Honestly, 174 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 2: that's how I'm taking these back. That's how I feel. 175 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:04,479 Speaker 2: AFT is. If if I were to tell you a 176 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 2: world maybe you can get in my headspace here. You know, 177 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:08,599 Speaker 2: Edwin Diaz is not back. What do you think of this? 178 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 2: Don't love it? That's I kind of said that at 179 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 2: the beginning. 180 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: As I said, that's been Stearns' offseason is He's made 181 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: moves where I'm like, well, there's gotta be more to this, 182 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 1: right like this this can't be the move, just like 183 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: sime and trade couldn't be the move. Like you're you're 184 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:25,920 Speaker 1: worst off trading Simeon for Nimo if that's the only 185 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 1: thing that you do. Simeon does not make this team 186 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 1: better than brand Neimo does. If you go from Edwin 187 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 1: das Devin Williams, the Mets are a worst team. 188 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 2: I just want to be more excited about this. I'm sad. 189 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 2: I'm not letting myself get side about this. 190 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:41,120 Speaker 1: Well, listen, I'm not excited. I'm not pretending like I'm excited. 191 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 2: You seem like you're excited. 192 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 1: I think it's just a different vibe right now of 193 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:46,360 Speaker 1: where we're at in the night, where you know, I 194 00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 1: might I just have a little more energy. 195 00:07:48,200 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 2: Maybe that. But man, like, if he's the closer, I 196 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:54,200 Speaker 2: just you pay them kind of closer ish money. This 197 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:56,360 Speaker 2: is the closest thing, the closer money that. But maybe 198 00:07:56,440 --> 00:07:58,840 Speaker 2: especially with that third year, maybe because Uncle Stevie got 199 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:01,320 Speaker 2: that casino today, maybe he's like, we got all it. 200 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:05,200 Speaker 1: Hey it big brain, Uncle Steve goes, We're gonna own 201 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:08,680 Speaker 1: a casino next to City Field, all the hotels, the 202 00:08:08,680 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 1: casino property. I'm gonna be making such boatloads of money. 203 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 1: And we saw the reports that came out about his 204 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:17,000 Speaker 1: networth now being close to thirty billion dollars, which is 205 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 1: double basically where it was when he bought the Mets, 206 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: which is absolutely insane because the Mets still haven't done 207 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 1: shit and his net worth is doubled in terms of billions. 208 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 1: Maybe he was just like, go get Devin Williams. It's 209 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:29,800 Speaker 1: our eighth and guy we're gonna pay Edwin Das. Maybe 210 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 1: he goes nuclear and he pulls kind of a Dodger 211 00:08:32,040 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 1: and said, we want our guys. 212 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:34,840 Speaker 2: We're just gonna pay him. We're gonna pay the guys 213 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:36,679 Speaker 2: that we want to hear. How many years do you 214 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:39,320 Speaker 2: think edwind Diaz going to get his contract? Now? Five? 215 00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:41,680 Speaker 2: You think he's going to get five? Five? Five for 216 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:42,560 Speaker 2: the record? 217 00:08:42,600 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 1: Was what five for one hundred, right, that's what he 218 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:46,160 Speaker 1: originally signed and that was the record five. 219 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 2: For like one hundred two. Okay, so he'll probably go five. 220 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 1: He'll probably go five for one oh three, like just whatever, 221 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:52,200 Speaker 1: whatever is the minimum to break it. 222 00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:54,600 Speaker 2: I think that's what's gonna happen. My brain went there 223 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:56,720 Speaker 2: too when this happened. If like, if Devin Williams getting 224 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:58,840 Speaker 2: three like Edward has to get, I'm Ryan Helsley just 225 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 2: got two, like I mean, I think also with an 226 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 2: opt out. The surprising thing about the Devin Williams is 227 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:05,560 Speaker 2: the no opt out because there is a world where, 228 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 2: like you're saying, like it's definitely possible here, like Devin 229 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 2: Williams reverts to being an easy top five closer in baseball, Yes, 230 00:09:10,960 --> 00:09:13,839 Speaker 2: you wouldn't be one hundred percent very possible, probably better 231 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 2: than fifty percent chance of that happening. Now you're locking 232 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:18,880 Speaker 2: yourself into everything I'm saying against. Now you're locking yourself 233 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:20,800 Speaker 2: into like eight million lower av than you actually could 234 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:22,319 Speaker 2: get if you got right back on the market. That's 235 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 2: what makes this very weird to me. It feels like 236 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 2: both teams made the really honest concession. Like usually deals 237 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 2: like this, teams seem to avoid more risk and like 238 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:31,480 Speaker 2: just throw the opt out but give you more money. 239 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:34,280 Speaker 2: This is kind of like, this is a huge bet 240 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:36,439 Speaker 2: on Devin Williams. This huge bet that's the bet of 241 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:38,959 Speaker 2: Devon Warms and kind of a lack of a lack 242 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 2: of bet at Devin Williams on itself a little bit. 243 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:46,040 Speaker 3: KP. The website is chubbishorts dot com. The brand is Chubby's, 244 00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:47,400 Speaker 3: but it's not just shorts. 245 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, don't be fooled by the website's name. This is 246 00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 2: a one stop shot for all things that I love, 247 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 2: swimming trunks, golf, polos, and even flannels. It fits me perfectly. 248 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 2: One stop is the place to go. 249 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 3: Yes, sir KP. I've been wearing their flannel overshirt. 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Then seeing the money, 275 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 2: it totally shifted my entire perspective. 276 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 1: I mean, couldn't Devin Williams went the years in the 277 00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:19,280 Speaker 1: money like be like, I need the three years because 278 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 1: it takes you through the lockout too, like you just 279 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 1: don't want to think about it, and then you have 280 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:23,480 Speaker 1: a clean year after the lockout. 281 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 2: Maybe I guess we're already to get into the lockout 282 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:28,720 Speaker 2: though we can't. I think these guys are are thinking 283 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:31,280 Speaker 2: about that, and front officers too. We're all seeing like 284 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 2: the bit of reversal on that because we've seen more 285 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 2: guys take the qualifying offer than years past than possibly 286 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:38,480 Speaker 2: Devin Williams taking away from AAV that gives some extra years. 287 00:11:38,600 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 2: This also seemed to me like the Luis Evrino deal 288 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 2: of I don't want to move out of New York, 289 00:11:42,760 --> 00:11:44,240 Speaker 2: but I don't have an offer out there that want 290 00:11:44,280 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 2: good enough yet, which is why I was like, nice, 291 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:48,080 Speaker 2: one year, two year opt out, no risk, Let's have 292 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 2: some fun. It's this is strange. This is not a 293 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 2: risk averse move. No, this is this is risk move. 294 00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:56,160 Speaker 1: This is another guy that Stern's taken back from his 295 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 1: Milwaukee days as well. 296 00:11:58,280 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 2: The first one did not work out well. It seemed 297 00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 2: weird because that's the way definitely was left me walk in. 298 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:04,959 Speaker 2: Know David Stearns wasn't there at the time. It was 299 00:12:05,000 --> 00:12:07,080 Speaker 2: kind of like bye bye, see later. Yeah, let the 300 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:08,920 Speaker 2: door hit you on the way out. We could figure 301 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 2: how the new version of you. I mean, there's also 302 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 2: going to be that narrative. People can be like, he 303 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 2: can't pitch in New York. We kept him in New 304 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 2: York again, I don't think fair. He is a bit 305 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:18,960 Speaker 2: of a head case. Devid Williams is. He'd he barked 306 00:12:18,960 --> 00:12:20,720 Speaker 2: at some umpires, but also he got that from his 307 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:22,160 Speaker 2: manager last year. That was kind of part of the 308 00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 2: Yankee way. Yeah, I've heard things he's a head case 309 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:27,640 Speaker 2: off the field, So for sure he might he might be. 310 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:30,440 Speaker 2: Definitely could be. I guess Stearns knows him kind of well, yeah, 311 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 2: definitely does n't better than us. It's the confidence right there. 312 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:35,200 Speaker 2: The other big thing with dev Williams that was very 313 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:37,600 Speaker 2: weird is that just for some reason, last year he 314 00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 2: gave up a lot more singles on pitches outside the 315 00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 2: strike zone. Strange anominally that happened. Hitter swung on pitches 316 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:44,920 Speaker 2: outside the strike zone a good bit more than they 317 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:47,200 Speaker 2: did the previous year. The wiff ray and those went down. 318 00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:49,679 Speaker 2: The batting average went up, but the slugging percentage, the 319 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 2: quality of contact and those didn't go up. So that's 320 00:12:51,559 --> 00:12:53,920 Speaker 2: kind of something that we were alluding to before. Just 321 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:55,679 Speaker 2: hit it, throwing the bat out there, trying to get 322 00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:58,520 Speaker 2: through the Yankee infield. It's just he I can't get 323 00:12:58,520 --> 00:12:59,760 Speaker 2: over how weird of the season it was, and I 324 00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:02,160 Speaker 2: can't over the fact that we guaranteed them three seasons. Yeah, 325 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 2: maybe it just maybe it doesn't matter that much. Maybe 326 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:05,719 Speaker 2: this is maybe this. 327 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:08,800 Speaker 1: Is us being a little PTSD two of like old Mets, Yeah, 328 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: where it's like three years, like we're never gonna sign 329 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 1: another reliever. But maybe it doesn't matter. I mean, you 330 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:17,320 Speaker 1: see how important these guys can be in the back 331 00:13:17,360 --> 00:13:19,720 Speaker 1: end of the games. Maybe Edwin Diaz asking for crazy 332 00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:21,679 Speaker 1: maybe once one hundred and twenty million, Like we don't 333 00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:24,560 Speaker 1: know where he's actually going with all this. Maybe this 334 00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 1: is just the insurance if for some reason ed when 335 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:29,199 Speaker 1: Diaz gets absolutely insane in his asking. 336 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 2: Price, I guess that's true. So we just became the 337 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:34,440 Speaker 2: third team in baseball to have two relievers in our bullpen, 338 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:36,960 Speaker 2: even without it. When Diaz signed to at least two 339 00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:39,720 Speaker 2: to each of them signed a ten million dollars AAV contract. 340 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:44,080 Speaker 2: Try and name the other teams Dodgers. Dodgers are one 341 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 2: of them, anywain one of these teams shows up here 342 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:48,440 Speaker 2: in the contracts. But one of the guys originally was 343 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:50,840 Speaker 2: signed as a starting pitchers, I'm not counting him in this, Okay, 344 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:53,680 Speaker 2: So Dodgers. How many teams are there? There's one more? 345 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:57,600 Speaker 1: Is it going to be the Boston Red Sox? 346 00:13:58,080 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 2: They were the team that was the technical because they've hicks, 347 00:14:00,800 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 2: But I'm not Countingham's for the fair what and then? 348 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:06,640 Speaker 2: So there's still one more team? One more team? Atlanta Braves, 349 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 2: No Toronto Blue Jays, No? Oh? 350 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:12,960 Speaker 3: Is it? 351 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:15,760 Speaker 2: Is it the Orioles. It's the Baltimore Oriols. Just kick 352 00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 2: just got them both Ryan Helsey and Edrew Kittridge. So 353 00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 2: this is this is strange. We have three of them, 354 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 2: will be the only team to have that. We're we're the. 355 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 1: Only team that's where it's got an owner who's got 356 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: thirty billion dollars. 357 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 2: Hopefully that's the case. Maybe just spend, just absolutely spend 358 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 2: out of our assets. Maybe this it is the sign 359 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 2: for that. That's great. If this is going to be 360 00:14:34,280 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 2: the only big bullpen acquisition, I'll feel a little bit 361 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 2: uneasy despite liking Devin Wood. 362 00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 1: Okay, now to just really give you some crazy hypotheticals here, 363 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 1: Edwin Diaz one hundred million for five right, we're just 364 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 1: gonna give that a round number, just so freezy math 365 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:50,400 Speaker 1: ed Devin Williams fifty million for the three theoretically fifty 366 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:52,400 Speaker 1: million more dollars to play with. Could you put those 367 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:55,720 Speaker 1: fifty million more dollars now towards Pete Alonzo Cody Bellinger? 368 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:58,440 Speaker 1: Do you feel better if that money saved by going 369 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 1: to Williams go towards getting better players overall, or maybe 370 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 1: even the starting pitcher. 371 00:15:03,520 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 2: Possibly that's also the opposite of what you're saying. We're 372 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:07,040 Speaker 2: saying this deal. I just I just want to know 373 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 2: this deal should mean that money's limitless. But I'm gonna 374 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:11,520 Speaker 2: throw it with you rather right back because it just 375 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 2: hit me in the head. So you're not gonna answer mine. 376 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 2: You're just gonna throw it right back. I think, I 377 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:17,400 Speaker 2: think yes, But I also still assume those guys aren't effected. 378 00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:19,880 Speaker 2: I think the most direct correlation here has to be Edwin. 379 00:15:20,040 --> 00:15:23,320 Speaker 2: So I'll give you one for this for five for 380 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:25,640 Speaker 2: one hundred pretends even the exact same contract. Or maybe 381 00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:27,280 Speaker 2: we'll give it five for one hundred verus a five 382 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 2: for one to twenty. Would you either Edwin or Couleey Bellinger? Oh? 383 00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 1: Wow, ed now knowing that Devin Williams is on the team, Yes, Bellinger, 384 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 1: a little bit more expensive, same length of a deal 385 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 1: for two kind of interesting risk, differently risked players. 386 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 2: God, I love Edwin. Give me Edwin. Bring it back, 387 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:45,840 Speaker 2: Bring back boys. I thought that too. But is that stupid? 388 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:48,320 Speaker 2: Are we stupid for thinking that? Too attached? Are we 389 00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:50,840 Speaker 2: too attached to Edwin Diaz for this conversation right now? 390 00:15:51,040 --> 00:15:53,520 Speaker 1: Probably it's probably not really a fair conversation. But also 391 00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:55,920 Speaker 1: at the same time, we know, we know how important 392 00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 1: it is to just lock down the last three outs 393 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 1: of the game or the last four sometimes with how 394 00:16:01,560 --> 00:16:04,720 Speaker 1: Edwin's been and when you look around the league, it's 395 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:07,680 Speaker 1: almost impossible to find someone that's had the consistency that 396 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 1: Edwin Diaz has had since the juice ball era, Like, 397 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 1: besides blowing out his knee in the World Baseball Classic, 398 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:17,920 Speaker 1: he's basically been unhittable since what twenty twenty one. 399 00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:20,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely, But even when all those things were happening, 400 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:23,360 Speaker 2: there was never actually, I mean again, you actually had 401 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:24,800 Speaker 2: a lot of doubt about it. But everything you looked 402 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:26,960 Speaker 2: at for Edmond Diaz looked like it was totally fine. 403 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:29,920 Speaker 2: Like every philosophy, everything movement wise, everything swinging miss and 404 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 2: that is the same thing that just happened with Devin Williams. 405 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 2: Devin Williams last he did go down, but also during 406 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:37,280 Speaker 2: twenty twenty four just went up for some reason. He 407 00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 2: was always like a ninety four and ninety five guy. 408 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 2: Then he went to ninety six and this year went 409 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 2: back to ninety four. So that's also in line with 410 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 2: where he was when he was elite. Like it's this 411 00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:47,320 Speaker 2: is kind of one of those things where we saw 412 00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 2: another team make a steal would be like, Wow, what 413 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 2: a fun risk to take. Yeah, of course, and now 414 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:54,160 Speaker 2: we're making this deal. We're like, oh, we're taking the risk. 415 00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:56,760 Speaker 2: You're like, it's kind of like the Dylan C's picture contract. Yeah, 416 00:16:56,760 --> 00:16:57,800 Speaker 2: really Pitcher contracts. 417 00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 1: It's one of those where again I'll say one more time, 418 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: got to see what the next move is for David Sterens. Like, again, 419 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:06,359 Speaker 1: this can't be the only one, because then I don't 420 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:08,200 Speaker 1: like it if it is the only one. 421 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:08,480 Speaker 2: Eh. 422 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:11,679 Speaker 1: If this is in addition to Edwin Diaz or in 423 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,640 Speaker 1: addition to maybe now we're more involved in some other 424 00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 1: players that we haven't even been thinking. 425 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:16,920 Speaker 2: About, that could be good. 426 00:17:17,119 --> 00:17:20,639 Speaker 1: Okay, great, But if Devin Williams is the closer, and 427 00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:22,200 Speaker 1: that's kind of like that's our best arm in the 428 00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:23,639 Speaker 1: bullpen going into the. 429 00:17:23,600 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 2: Twenty twenty sixth season, don't don't love it. Don't love it, No, 430 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:28,400 Speaker 2: do not do not love it that much. 431 00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:31,199 Speaker 1: That being said, And David Stearns, we trust I trust them, 432 00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 1: I trust me. He's gonna get the job done. 433 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:34,440 Speaker 2: And still like Devin Williams, like Devin won. Yeah, I 434 00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:37,879 Speaker 2: like Devin Williams. Love Devin Williams. Like the contract scary, 435 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:38,960 Speaker 2: It's just it's scary. 436 00:17:39,040 --> 00:17:41,399 Speaker 1: It's scary when you think the guy that was never 437 00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 1: gonna leave is gonna possibly leave. 438 00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 2: Would you push them chips into the table like this 439 00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 2: it's like, all right, now you gotta start paying attention, 440 00:17:46,560 --> 00:17:47,560 Speaker 2: like you tighten up a little bit. 441 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:49,800 Speaker 1: This is like, this is like for gamblers out there, 442 00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:51,679 Speaker 1: like playing blackjack. You get the you get the split, 443 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 1: and then it gives you another eight on top of rate. 444 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:55,240 Speaker 1: You have to split again. Like, this is why we gamble. 445 00:17:55,320 --> 00:17:56,760 Speaker 1: This is why we play the game. You don't play 446 00:17:56,840 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 1: to just have to stick around the zero. You try 447 00:17:59,080 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 1: and make a big move here. 448 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,200 Speaker 2: It's kind of also like Texas, hold them. If you're 449 00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 2: bluffing and you put a big bet, everyone falls, one 450 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:06,720 Speaker 2: person stays in and they hit you back. You're like, 451 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:08,720 Speaker 2: all right, let's let's play ball. Let's play some ball. 452 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:10,960 Speaker 2: This is a play this This is a playball move. 453 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:11,840 Speaker 2: This is a playball move. 454 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:13,160 Speaker 1: We'd love to know what you guys have to think 455 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:15,520 Speaker 1: about it down in the comments section below. Don't forget 456 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:17,879 Speaker 1: to subscribe to mess Up, not only just on YouTube, 457 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:21,080 Speaker 1: but also on the audio side, Google. 458 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:24,119 Speaker 2: Audio, Google Audio. Now we're not promoting them. 459 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 1: First, Apple podcasts, Spotify, Google if you listen on there, 460 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:29,520 Speaker 1: wherever you listen to your podcast, subscribe to us. 461 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,760 Speaker 2: Download, leave us a rating, leave us a review. We 462 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 2: do appreciate you can follow James on social media at 463 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:36,000 Speaker 2: James Ghana. 464 00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:38,359 Speaker 1: I'm Draftnckmark with the Sea. Thank you guys for listening 465 00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:40,399 Speaker 1: and watching. We will all catch you later this week. 466 00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:42,840 Speaker 1: James said it it's gonna be a crazy week and 467 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:44,720 Speaker 1: it's already off to a ridiculous start. 468 00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:46,200 Speaker 2: Let's come mess baby,