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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials and we got our butts kicked yesterday. I

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Speaker 1: mentioned it four and one, I had gone six and two,

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Speaker 1: and then I turn around and I wind up going one,

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Speaker 1: six and one, zero to four officially for myself on Friday.

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Speaker 1: No good. Now, one little bit of good news is

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Speaker 1: at the Saint John's game. If you bet that late,

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Speaker 1: it was one thirty two and a half, so you won,

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Speaker 1: which gives you a one in four record, which isn't

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Speaker 1: as bad as down four point four units. That one

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Speaker 1: wind really does help a lot when it's one in

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Speaker 1: four versus zero to four and or four and one

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Speaker 1: is the official mark. But Utah State Nova collapsed. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what happened to Villanova. Clemson did not play

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Speaker 1: well in the first tap that played better in the

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Speaker 1: second half. Akron got destroyed, so did Miami of Ohio.

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Speaker 1: It was an absolute blood bath for dogs, and I

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Speaker 1: mean absolute bloodbath. It was all about the favorites. It

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Speaker 1: was all about the higher seeded teams. It was ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: All favorites one today, all sixteen favorites one. If you

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Speaker 1: had parlayed that a one hundred dollars bet would have

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Speaker 1: brought back nearly three thousand dollars. Gonna admit and I

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Speaker 1: like it. There were fourteen games decided by twenty or

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Speaker 1: more points in the round of sixty four this year.

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Speaker 1: That is the most ever in a single round of

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Speaker 1: the NCAA tournament. Sixteen and oh is sixteen and oh

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Speaker 1: for favorites ridiculous. I mean just absolutely ridiculous when you

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Speaker 1: look at this in terms of where we are. And

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Speaker 1: I'm a dog player, so somebody like me who bets

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Speaker 1: dogs gets killed today, gets killed today. The last time

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Speaker 1: we saw a sixteen and oh straight up day for

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Speaker 1: favorites was March nineteenth of nineteen ninety two. That is unbelievable.

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Speaker 1: I mean that is that is simply unbelievable. Yukon did

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Speaker 1: not cover. Yukon won, but Yukon did not cover, so

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Speaker 1: that run of fourteen consecutive covers in the tournament for

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Speaker 1: Yukon came to a close. They won eighty two to

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Speaker 1: seventy one up against Furman, but I mean Florida one

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Speaker 1: one fourteen to fifty five, Miami BA Missouri eighty to

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Speaker 1: sixty six. We saw la, We saw just a bunch

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Speaker 1: of blowouts all over the place on Friday, and so

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Speaker 1: on Saturday, what happens. Well, we gotta wait and see,

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Speaker 1: because I'm back on the dog train here on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go down with the ship, I guess with

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Speaker 1: all of this, But I do have four place three

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Speaker 1: bets and a hard rock play of the day to

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Speaker 1: give you guys before that reminder of the pick them

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Speaker 1: contest that we have going on right now. It's going

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Speaker 1: on throughout the entire tournament, so it's not like you

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Speaker 1: gotta if you didn't get in in the round of

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Speaker 1: sixty four, you can still get get in here now

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Speaker 1: because you can take your bracket knowledge to the next

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Speaker 1: level with the brand new n TOAA Tournament Pick Them Contest,

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Speaker 1: pick winners, or make your predictions against the spread all

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Speaker 1: Enter now at Bettingpros dot com slash pick that's betting

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Speaker 1: pro dot com slash pick. Okay, let's get into the

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Speaker 1: plays for today. Let's start with a bet I don't

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Speaker 1: normally make. I don't like laying big juice. I normally

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Speaker 1: try to avoid it. But Michigan State's game here today,

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Speaker 1: up against Louisville, it concerns me. The number is four

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Speaker 1: and a half. I really like Michigan State to win

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Speaker 1: this game. I think Michigan State makes a run. I

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Speaker 1: do really like tom Izzo. Pat Kelsey's a good coach

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Speaker 1: for Louisville, but obviously some injuries. Mckel brown will see

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Speaker 1: if he's gonna wind up playing in this game or not.

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Speaker 1: He did not play in the last game. It didn't matter.

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Speaker 1: Louisville destroyed South Florida. I guess the final score is

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Speaker 1: eighty three seventy nine, but they were up big in

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Speaker 1: the first half, and then South Florida did come back,

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Speaker 1: but not enough to catch Louisville. So they win that

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Speaker 1: game in the advance, taking on Michigan State here today.

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Speaker 1: For Michigan State, they took care of northtiot To State

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Speaker 1: pretty easily, ninety two to sixty seven to set this

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Speaker 1: game up here. And I think when you look at

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Speaker 1: the way these teams match up with each other. Louisville's

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Speaker 1: offense against Michigan State's defense, right, that's going to be

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Speaker 1: the matchup. You have the twentieth most efficient offense, you

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Speaker 1: have the fourteenth most efficient defense. You have a thirteenth

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Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage team in Louisville. You got a

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Speaker 1: fifty three defensive effective field goal percentage. You have the

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Speaker 1: eleventh best two point percentage shooting team in Louisville and

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Speaker 1: the forty seventh best defensive shooting team. And defensively, Louisville

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Speaker 1: is a bit better than people think. They're twenty fourth

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Speaker 1: in efficiency versus twenty third from Michigan State on offense,

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Speaker 1: seventeenth in effective field goal percentage for Michigan State up

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Speaker 1: against fiftieth for Louisville. Pretty much the same on three

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Speaker 1: point defense and three point shooting, two point defense and

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Speaker 1: two point shooting on both sides. These teams match up

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Speaker 1: pretty well against each other. I think the biggest difference

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Speaker 1: is coaching. I think the biggest difference is tom Izzo

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Speaker 1: here going into this game and the question marks from

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Speaker 1: a health perspective for Louisville. I don't want to lay

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Speaker 1: four and a half I'm gonna lay the juice on

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Speaker 1: the money and just take Michigan State to win the game.

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Speaker 1: Don't go crazy, don't start jumping into all different you know.

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Speaker 1: I don't normally lay it, but I got burned yesterday

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Speaker 1: and four and a half over two buckets concerned me.

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Speaker 1: Like it just it feels like it could be a

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Speaker 1: three point win. It feels like it might come down

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Speaker 1: to a last second three point shot, and I'm just

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Speaker 1: gonna take tom Izzo in Michigan State to get it

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Speaker 1: done and to win. But it it does worry me.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie. It does concern me about the

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Speaker 1: way that this number is. I'd rather just lay the

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Speaker 1: money line on it versus laying a big four and

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Speaker 1: a half five point number here. I just think Michigan

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Speaker 1: State's the better basketball team, But to cover a four

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Speaker 1: and a half point number, I'd rather not get involved

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Speaker 1: with it. So I'm just gonna lay it. Let's go

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Speaker 1: Michigan State money line minus one ninety for one point

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Speaker 1: nine units from Michigan State here up against Louisville to

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Speaker 1: win and advance second bet. You may have seen it there,

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Speaker 1: twelve and a half Duke and TCU so Here's the thing.

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Speaker 1: TCU this year away from home is now ten and

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Speaker 1: five ats. They were dogs against Ohio State. They were

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Speaker 1: catching two and a half points, they got up to

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Speaker 1: a big lead, they collapsed in the second half, and

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Speaker 1: they hung on to win the game and cover the

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Speaker 1: two and a half point Number ten in five ats,

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Speaker 1: seven and three over their last ten games nineteen and

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Speaker 1: fifteen on the year against the number. Jamie Dixon's a

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Speaker 1: very good coach. Here is Duke who almost lost to Sienna,

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Speaker 1: who was down at halftime to Siena, that didn't cover

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Speaker 1: against Virginia, that didn't cover against Florida State, and didn't

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Speaker 1: cover against North Carolina. They did cover against Clemson in

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Speaker 1: the ACC Tournament final. But this has been a really

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Speaker 1: rocky road here for Duke over the last two weeks.

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Speaker 1: They're not playing with much confidence. I think teams are

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Speaker 1: starting to expose them a bit. And the ACC has

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Speaker 1: been awful in this tournament so far. Awful. You look

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Speaker 1: at the games that the ACC has lost, and Duke

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Speaker 1: is the one hope for the ACC to actually go

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Speaker 1: and do something. But you know, Virginia one, so I

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Speaker 1: guess they could say them. But Miami lost North Carolina lost,

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Speaker 1: Clemson lost, Louisville. I think loses today. It's just not

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Speaker 1: been a good run here for NC State lost. It's

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Speaker 1: not been good in the in the tournament so far

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Speaker 1: for the ACC. And I know Duke's the best team

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Speaker 1: in the ACC and maybe the best team in the country.

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Speaker 1: But I think this number is too heavy. I think

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Speaker 1: TCU is gonna hang around. I think TCU is gonna

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Speaker 1: give fits here to Duke. I don't trust Duke to

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Speaker 1: blow out TCU. I think Jamie Dixon is gonna have

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Speaker 1: a game plan to keep them in the game. I

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Speaker 1: like TCU catching the points TCU plus twelve and a

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Speaker 1: half up against Duke. Now there is a favorite that

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Speaker 1: I like today and it goes against the team that

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Speaker 1: I really like. I like A and M a lot,

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Speaker 1: but Houston defensively is such a difficult team to match

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Speaker 1: up against. Houston destroyed Idaho like you would expect. Kempom

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Speaker 1: has this as a ten point win for Houston over

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Speaker 1: TECHS A and M seventy seven to sixty seven. Here's

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Speaker 1: the problem. You look at pace of play, average possession

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Speaker 1: length for TECHS A and M is sixteenth in the country,

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Speaker 1: fifteen point seven seconds. Houston's defense is three hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirty ninth. They're gonna make A and M work and

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Speaker 1: work and work. And I just don't think a team

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Speaker 1: that can go up tempo that wants to go up tempo.

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Speaker 1: I just think this is a bad matchup for Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M. Houston's offense is better than people think.

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Speaker 1: A and M's defense is a little bit suspect, including

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Speaker 1: being two hundred and twenty fourth in two point shooting.

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Speaker 1: I don't like laying big numbers. I don't make a

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Speaker 1: habit of laying really big numbers. But I think when

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Speaker 1: you look at this Houston team and you look at

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Speaker 1: the way that they're built, this is a bad matchup

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Speaker 1: for Texas A and M. And I think Houston's defense

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Speaker 1: is going to be the biggest reason why. Look A

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Speaker 1: and M is ten and five away from home after

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Speaker 1: winning and beating Saint Mary's. But Saint Mary's had a

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Speaker 1: flu bug going through their team and they looked awful.

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Speaker 1: I think that was more of Saint Mary's to me

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Speaker 1: than it was Texas A and M. And I do

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Speaker 1: like Texas A and M, but this is the same

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Speaker 1: team that the game before the Saint Mary's game. They

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Speaker 1: lost by twenty to Oklahoma. Now they beat LSU and

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Speaker 1: they beat Kentucky. There's a good wins. But they lost

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Speaker 1: to Texas, they lost to Arkansas. You know that they

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Speaker 1: went through a stretch in the month of February in

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Speaker 1: March where they didn't cover. They had covered one time

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Speaker 1: in I guess two times in the month of February.

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Speaker 1: That's it. Every other game they either lost outright or

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Speaker 1: didn't cover. I just think this is too tough of

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Speaker 1: a task against Houston, because of their defense, because of

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Speaker 1: how ferocious they are. I'm willing to late late. I

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Speaker 1: know it's a big number, and I know A and

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Speaker 1: M's not been covering big numbers. I mean, you go

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Speaker 1: back to you know, laying nine and a half against

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Speaker 1: BYU in the Big twelve tournament didn't cover it. Laid

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Speaker 1: thirteen and a half to Tokaoma State didn't cover it.

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Speaker 1: Laying thirteen and a half to Baylor didn't cover it.

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Speaker 1: You know, Laying twenty two and a half to Kansas

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Speaker 1: State didn't cover it. Laying twenty four and a half

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Speaker 1: to Idaho they did cover it. I just think in

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Speaker 1: the tournament, with a chance to go to the sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 1: I think this is Houston flexing here a bit in

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Speaker 1: A and M just being a little bit undermanned talent

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Speaker 1: wise up against a really ferocious Houston team. I'll lay

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Speaker 1: the ten and a half Houston minus ten and a

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Speaker 1: half against Texas A and M. Before I give you

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Speaker 1: the hard Rock play of the day, which pushed yesterday

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Speaker 1: with you and I in Saint John's Landing at one

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Speaker 1: thirty two. Let's remind you about our friends at hard

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Speaker 1: Rock Bet Florida Sportsbook in a book that's got a

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Speaker 1: ton of stuff going on right now for the hardwood,

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Speaker 1: the tournament, everything happening all tournament long. Hard Rock Bet

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Speaker 1: is rolling out daily dancing boosts featuring a live profit

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Speaker 1: boost in a parlay profit boost every single day. You

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Speaker 1: can find that more ways to get involved with hard

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Speaker 1: rock Bet. If you bet on a team to win

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Speaker 1: or cover and they hit a buzzer beater, hard Rock

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Speaker 1: BET's going to give you twenty five dollars in bonus

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Speaker 1: bets for doing so. If it's I don't know if

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Speaker 1: they rule it on the Kentucky game, but like how

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Speaker 1: that works, but any buzzer beater they'll give it to you.

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Speaker 1: So don't sit on the bench. Download the hard rock

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Speaker 1: bet app today and let's get the party started. Let's

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Speaker 1: talk about the hard rock bet of the day and

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Speaker 1: talk about VCU. VCU up against Illinois. All Right, here

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Speaker 1: we are with VCU, a team that has been just

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Speaker 1: tremendous down the stretch. What a comeback. We were on

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Speaker 1: VCU in the last game against North Carolina. They won

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Speaker 1: the game outright. You look at the way this team

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Speaker 1: has played down the stretch. They've lost one game, one

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Speaker 1: game since the ninth, sorry, the eleventh of January. They

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Speaker 1: lost to George Mason on the tenth they didn't lose

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Speaker 1: again to Saint Louis on the twentieth of February, and

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Speaker 1: they've won every game since. Now. You could say the

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Speaker 1: level of competition whatever you want to do it. But

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Speaker 1: Phil Martelli Junior is a really good good coach. I

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Speaker 1: like Brett Underwood, I really do. He's a great coach

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Speaker 1: as well in Illinois. With a huge win obviously in

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Speaker 1: their game beating Penn by thirty five points. They destroyed

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Speaker 1: Penn by thirty five. But VC you now is ten

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Speaker 1: and seven on the road away from home, seven and

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Speaker 1: three over their last ten Illinois is two in three

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Speaker 1: ats over their last five games and four and six

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Speaker 1: over their last ten games. And you have a team

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Speaker 1: in VCU that just knows how to win. Wisconsin beat

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Speaker 1: Illinois in the excuse me in the Big Ten Tournament.

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Speaker 1: Michigan beat Illinois by fourteen points back on the twenty

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Speaker 1: seventh of February. The covers haven't been pretty. Didn't cover

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Speaker 1: against UCLA, didn't cover against Michigan, didn't cover against Maryland,

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Speaker 1: didn't cover against Wisconsin. For Illinois, three straight covers in

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Speaker 1: four or five here for VCU, and they're catching double digits.

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Speaker 1: They're catching ten and a half points, eleven and actually

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Speaker 1: eleven and a half points. I just think this is too

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Speaker 1: many points. I think VCU is gonna hang around. I

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Speaker 1: think VCU is gonna give Illinois some problems. I like

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Speaker 1: VCU catching eleven and a half points. VCU plus eleven

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Speaker 1: and a half up against Illinois. Hard rock bet of

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Speaker 1: the day now is twenty fourteen and one. After our

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Speaker 1: push yesterday, VCU catching eleven and a half to Illinois,

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Speaker 1: I think they got a shot to beat Illinois in

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Speaker 1: a shot to advance. Should be a super fun basketball game.

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Speaker 1: Can't wait to watch it. Anybody who's a casual, a

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Speaker 1: neutral in that building is gonna be cheering for VCU

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Speaker 1: after what they did North Carolina. You know, it's a

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Speaker 1: far at Greenville, South Carolina, long far far away from Illinois.

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Speaker 1: So VC used to have a lot of fans in there,

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Speaker 1: and anybody who's cheering for somebody else in the South

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Speaker 1: will cheer for VCU. Let's go VCU plus eleven and

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Speaker 1: a half up against Illinois. All right, so one money line,

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Speaker 1: two dogs in one favorite for US, technally embedding two

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Speaker 1: favorites and two dogs. Today here on a Saturday once again,

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Speaker 1: Michigan State money line TCU plus twelve and a half

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Speaker 1: against Duke Houston laying ten and a half up against

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M and VCU catching eleven and a

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Speaker 1: half up against Illinois. My name is Matt Parolet you

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Speaker 1: guys can follow me across all my socials at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice