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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast, presented by Brett three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Volume podcast Network,

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Speaker 1: live from our Tommy John Home studios.

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Speaker 2: I am Chad Millman of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: This is our Sunday Night episode in which we review

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Speaker 1: the faves five picks we put into the contest, dissect

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Speaker 1: why we left some games out, and we'll preview the

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Speaker 1: early lines we already like for week seven. I'm joined

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Speaker 1: as always by my cos my companion, my Campadre, my

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Speaker 1: BFF Professional Better.

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Speaker 2: Simon hunter head O Soomon.

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Speaker 1: Today when Chalk was having its way in every single way,

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Speaker 1: and that was the baseline of a comment that you

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Speaker 1: made to me this morning that helped us keep some

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Speaker 1: games in and allowed us to get to a two

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Speaker 1: and two day.

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Speaker 2: We are.

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Speaker 1: Five hundred right now, two and two. Like I said,

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Speaker 1: we have the Jets plus two and a half remaining.

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Speaker 1: The games we won we won handily. The games we

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Speaker 1: lost we were kind of in but not really. Mostly,

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Speaker 1: I thought this conversation we had before our final picks

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Speaker 1: this morning that led us all the way around the

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Speaker 1: league and back again was really fun. The whole day

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Speaker 1: was interesting. We are going to review what we missed.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna break it all down. If you believe you

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Speaker 1: could beat our picks this season, be our guest and

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Speaker 1: let us pay you forty thousand dollars. Sign up at

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Speaker 1: Favorites at actionnetwork dot com for the contest. Catch every

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Speaker 1: episode at the Favorites live on YouTube. For those enjoying

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Speaker 1: on YouTube, don't forget to give us a like and

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Speaker 1: subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page as a reminder

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Speaker 1: of The Favorites podcast is presented by Bet three sixty

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Speaker 1: five and now new Bet.

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Speaker 2: Three sixty five.

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Speaker 1: Customers get two hundred dollars in bonus bets when you

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Speaker 1: bet five dollars, sign up using promo code Favorites, deposit

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Speaker 1: ten dollars. Place a bet for five dollars to get

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Speaker 1: two hundred dollars in bonus bets. Those bonus bets can

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Speaker 1: be used on spreads, totals, player props, futures, and more.

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Speaker 1: Whatever the moment, It's never ordinary at Bet three sixty five.

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Speaker 1: Must be twenty one or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or eighteen and

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Speaker 1: older in Kentucky gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler

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Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms, conditions

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Speaker 1: restrictions apply.

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Speaker 2: All right, So a.

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Speaker 1: Couple things trends we were paying attention to. The public

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Speaker 1: had been having a terrible year, and then today the

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Speaker 1: public was on Houston, the public one. The public was

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Speaker 1: on Detroit the public one. The public was on who

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Speaker 1: am I missing? Tampa Bay? The public one. That's number one.

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Speaker 2: Number two.

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Speaker 1: We've been tracking the NFL underdogs of six plus points

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Speaker 1: or more. They had been sixteen to two and one

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Speaker 1: against the spread this season. After today, that is no

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Speaker 1: longer the case. The Panthers did not cover as six

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Speaker 1: plus point favorites. The Commanders pushed as six plus point underdogs.

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Speaker 1: I mean the Panthers were doused too. The Browns covered.

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Speaker 1: So not a great day if you were a six

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Speaker 1: plus point dog. It's in line with the chalkiness of

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Speaker 1: the day. We're gonna run through these games. First one up,

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Speaker 1: Arizona Green Bay. We had Green Bay five and a half.

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Speaker 2: Loved it all week. I really loved it all week.

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Speaker 1: I believe you came around in my thinking I might

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Speaker 1: have bullieted you into it and it went exactly as

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Speaker 1: we expected Simon Big exactly.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Kyler didn't show up, and that was really our

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Speaker 3: preference about the whole reason for Ben. It was like,

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Speaker 3: we haven't seen him put back to back really competitive

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Speaker 3: road starts in his career that are against really competitive,

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Speaker 3: good teams. And you know, that was a huge win

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Speaker 3: they pulled off against forty nine ers, But me and

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Speaker 3: you talked about it. It was a little I don't

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Speaker 3: know if they really won that game so much as

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Speaker 3: the forty nine ers might have lost that game. Yes,

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Speaker 3: And you know, we were five minutes into this Green

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Speaker 3: Bay game and Kyler coun't get anything going. They punted

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Speaker 3: back to Green Bay and they're already up seven to nothing.

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Speaker 3: They come right down score another fourteen, and then off

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Speaker 3: from there. It was just a bad game all together

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Speaker 3: from the Cardinals team. I think Arvan Harris went out

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Speaker 3: in the first quarter after a hit. Yeah, okay, so yeah,

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Speaker 3: I didn't know that was injury. So yeah, it just

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Speaker 3: it just battle around for them. On the flip side,

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Speaker 3: you know, Jordan Love it took him a little bit

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Speaker 3: to get going, but he looked really good in that game.

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Speaker 3: Like a couple of big time throws really nice reads

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Speaker 3: using his idds and move the safety's around to get

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Speaker 3: his receivers open deep and like you know, once the

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Speaker 3: floor gets a team on their heels, you know, he

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Speaker 3: just schemes it up so well. So yeah, all the around,

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Speaker 3: that was a fun game. Like we talk all the time,

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Speaker 3: it's fun sometimes to bet on the chalk. That was fun.

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Speaker 3: Our fear was, you know, you bet four and a half.

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Speaker 3: I bet a lot of money at five. It got

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Speaker 3: up to five and a half in our contest and

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Speaker 3: it was just like, okay, is this gonna come down

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Speaker 3: and matter this half a point? Clearly we overreacted to

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Speaker 3: that half point. It did not matter at all. Really

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Speaker 3: happy we didn't take it out or even think about

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Speaker 3: taking out. It's just a week where unfortunately we didn't

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Speaker 3: take all favorites, but we talked about how we got

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Speaker 3: force in some of these favorites and luckily we did

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Speaker 3: with this Green Bay team.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the public was eight three and one today. This

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Speaker 1: was the last one in. To be honest, and we

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Speaker 1: we love this game because we believed Jordan Love and

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Speaker 1: the Packers were undervalued after losing to the Vikings and

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Speaker 1: then playing badly against the rams on the road. We thought,

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Speaker 1: now three weeks return from his injury, playing at home

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Speaker 1: against a soft defense, he would just be the better

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Speaker 1: quarterback leading the better team.

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Speaker 2: And he was right.

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Speaker 1: Like this offense gained four hundred and thirty seven yards,

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Speaker 1: It ran seventy plays, it had more than six yards

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Speaker 1: per play. Jordan Love threw for nearly two to sixty

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Speaker 1: and had four touchdowns. And the Cardinals did what we

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Speaker 1: thought they would do. They just made a lot of mistakes,

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Speaker 1: three fumbles lost. We should explain we had a conversation

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Speaker 1: this morning and we nearly pulled the Packers out. It's

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Speaker 1: fair to say the Packers were our last team in

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Speaker 1: Explain from your point of view why we nearly pulled

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Speaker 1: the Packers out, and also tell people we almost put

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Speaker 1: it in.

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Speaker 3: It was bad weather, honestly, I mean I liked the

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Speaker 3: under there and it was forty seven and a half

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Speaker 3: got really lucky, landed right on forty seven. They only

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Speaker 3: scored three points in the fourth quarter, and that's just classic.

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Speaker 3: Bet the number, bet the spot, and yeah, that was

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Speaker 3: that was the main concern was the weather. Honestly, in

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Speaker 3: my opinion, it was just we know how random weather

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Speaker 3: can make these football games, and we saw with Arizona,

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Speaker 3: right with all those stupid fumbles. That's the scary part

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Speaker 3: with bad weather. It's just you don't know which team's

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Speaker 3: gonna react better to it. Shocking to no one. The

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Speaker 3: indoor team did not react well to it, right, and

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Speaker 3: clearly green Bay they're used to playing in forty degrees

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Speaker 3: shitty weather. So the team we thought about putting with

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Speaker 3: the Raiders, and you know it was honestly though, between

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Speaker 3: them and the Chargers, and you know you were your

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Speaker 3: love for the Raiders was just a good sales by

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Speaker 3: Sean Kerner, totally just he got you with a good

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Speaker 3: sales pitch. You fell in love with it, and I

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Speaker 3: was just like, I can't do it. Even though it

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Speaker 3: was a great number, is Aidan O'Connell. I just couldn't

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Speaker 3: get there with the kid. And I was just like,

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Speaker 3: it's still it's something's throwing off because they're playing against

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Speaker 3: the Pittsburgh defense. So, like you just said, thank god

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Speaker 3: we didn't do because it would be a brutal sin

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Speaker 3: here on one in three, knowing we switched out a

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Speaker 3: Green Bay team to end up not even being a sweat.

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Speaker 1: We're going to talk about the Chargers. After we get

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Speaker 1: through our games Houston and New England. If the Packers

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Speaker 1: went exactly as we expected, this one didn't go anywhere

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Speaker 1: near the way we expected. New England was kind of

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Speaker 1: never in this game, except they were tantalizingly close to

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Speaker 1: putting themselves in the game. And I want to give

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Speaker 1: you some some scenarios just from the second half, the

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Speaker 1: very start of the second half, they're down fourteen to

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Speaker 1: seven to start the second half, they get the ball. Actually,

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Speaker 1: let me take it back further. Early in the game,

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Speaker 1: they had been stopping the Texans in the red zone

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Speaker 1: twice on third down, and both times they got called

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Speaker 1: for pass interference penalties, and the Texans score on the

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Speaker 1: very next play. Yep, So all of a sudden, they're

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Speaker 1: up fourteen to nothing. They got lucky with a Kayimi

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Speaker 1: Fairbairn missed field goal.

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Speaker 2: So now they just.

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Speaker 3: Said that felt like to me that was the game.

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Speaker 3: There's two third down calls like both times too, the

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Speaker 3: defense outplayed the offense and got off the field. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: but those calls flipped it. Like you just said, it

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Speaker 3: gave them fourteen points, but it should have been six.

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Speaker 3: And like you said, once you're up fourteen on Drake May,

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Speaker 3: who now has to push the ball downfield. You're dead,

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Speaker 3: like you said, that's if we would have saw the

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Speaker 3: game going that way in any way, we wouldn't have

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Speaker 3: taken it. I put it on me because I my

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Speaker 3: whole problem with that game was it was his first

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Speaker 3: star Drake Mate chat I said that to you, It's like,

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Speaker 3: we are backing this kid in his first start, and

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Speaker 3: we've seen how much better these other rookies have played

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Speaker 3: after their first start. It's just that first start is

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Speaker 3: such a brutal game. Even when we talk a little

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Speaker 3: bit about the Saints, and I told you I couldn't

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Speaker 3: do it. Just car he had money on Tampa. I

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Speaker 3: didn't want to betting again on a rookie making his

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Speaker 3: first start. Looked like the same with Drake May. He

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Speaker 3: had a couple of really good plays, but overall he's

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Speaker 3: on a really bad team. It doesn't matter if he's

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Speaker 3: making a couple of plays here and there. It's like

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Speaker 3: they need the bounces to go their way and the

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Speaker 3: referees calls to go their way, and we didn't get

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Speaker 3: any of that. And then the nail on the coffin

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Speaker 3: was Joe Mixon, like we talked, that's what we were

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Speaker 3: hoping for last week and to be back with the Bills.

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Speaker 3: You saw today, they're just a totally different team when

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Speaker 3: he's on the field. He's that good for them, and

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Speaker 3: he's that big of a difference maker in their run

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Speaker 3: blocking scheme where he just knows how to be patient,

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Speaker 3: pick his holes, and when he hits it, he hits

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Speaker 3: it so hard. It's just he's just so much better

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Speaker 3: than the other guys they've been running back there, Like

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Speaker 3: you immediately saw a difference once he was in the field.

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Speaker 3: So that's definitely as much as I want to be, like,

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Speaker 3: this was your whatever scoot for left pick. You love them,

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Speaker 3: I love them too. We talked last Sunday. I bet

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Speaker 3: Hi when they were plus seven. I thought it was

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Speaker 3: a good number, bad read, just a bad read overall,

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Speaker 3: being Drake May his first start and I should have

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Speaker 3: put more stock into Joan Mixon coming back for this one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I was gonna say that.

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Speaker 1: I feel like we completely screwed this one up because

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Speaker 1: we had the chance. This morning, like we were going

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Speaker 1: through the games and we were really focused on Green

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Speaker 1: Bay and Detroit, and at one point I said, are

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Speaker 1: we sure we don't want to take out the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: the Panthers, or.

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Speaker 2: The Jets, and.

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Speaker 1: We've sort of felt like we liked all those games

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Speaker 1: and we liked the spots for those teams, and here

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Speaker 1: we sit. The favorites were the ones that were easy,

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Speaker 1: and the dogs are the ones that lost the way

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Speaker 1: they always lose. The Patriots had they were down fourteen seven,

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Speaker 1: got the opening kick in the second half, Drake May

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Speaker 1: fumbles deep in his territory. Texans scored a touchdown. Patriod's

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Speaker 1: down twenty four to seven. They fumbled on the first

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Speaker 1: drive after going down twenty four to seven in their

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Speaker 1: own territory, leads to a field goal. They're down twenty

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Speaker 1: seven to fourteen. After they go down twenty seven to fourteen,

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Speaker 1: first play the next drive through a pick at their

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Speaker 1: own twenty two. Like every time they came close to

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Speaker 1: getting it in, they lost the way these teams lose,

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Speaker 1: which is what you get when you're betting on these teams.

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Speaker 1: But it occurs to me, and I will put this

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Speaker 1: note down. We didn't like We both love the Texans

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Speaker 1: with Joe Mixon, it's been a reason why we felt

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Speaker 1: they haven't been playing as well and one of the

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Speaker 1: reasons why we faded them. Why didn't either of us

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Speaker 1: think to say, wait a second, he's back. We knew

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Speaker 1: he was back at this point, he had been announced

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Speaker 1: he was going to play.

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Speaker 2: Why didn't we even mention that?

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Speaker 3: I mean, obvious answer is I had a decent amount

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Speaker 3: of money already bet on it. The luck rankings loved it,

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Speaker 3: which I put a lot of stake into, And there's

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Speaker 3: trends at pointed two taking this number. So if you

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Speaker 3: would have just going back in time to be like, well,

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Speaker 3: Joe Mixon is back this week out of said that,

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Speaker 3: who fucking cares it's his first game back, clearly would

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Speaker 3: not have known he was going to come in and

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Speaker 3: just wipe the floor with us. So, yeah, you're right,

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Speaker 3: it's like I wish I could have thought about back.

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Speaker 3: But again, it's not just you know, just the the

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Speaker 3: fading of the public for what we do. Sometimes it's

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Speaker 3: there's trends, there's what we're hearing the professionals are doing.

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Speaker 3: And like we always say, if the luck Rankings love

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Speaker 3: a spot, it's always gonna tilt us to it towards it.

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Speaker 3: So and I think you picked it for your best

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Speaker 3: bet on convinced me this morning, didn't you.

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Speaker 2: I went with the Patriots.

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Speaker 3: There's no we were dead. We were dead. It's it's

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Speaker 3: just picking teams. You get caught every now and then.

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Speaker 1: It was a dead bet. It was a dead bet,

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Speaker 1: a great bet. Detroit at Dallas. We had Detroit minus

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Speaker 1: three and a half. We handicapped this one perfectly. Our

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Speaker 1: analysis was this team is on the rise. They are

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Speaker 1: still undervalued. The Cowboys are getting more credit than they

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Speaker 1: deserve for beating a bad Steelers team that could not

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Speaker 1: take advantage of offensively of Dallas miscues. We believed the

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Speaker 1: Lions would be physically dominant, and they were in.

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Speaker 2: Every aspect to your credit, To your credit.

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Speaker 1: When we were discussing the lines this morning, I was

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Speaker 1: so nervous about it being Chalky. I did ask if

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Speaker 1: we should take the Lions out because it was so

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Speaker 1: public and we had a bad line, and we had

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Speaker 1: been hearing noise all week about people liking the Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: about professionals life king the Cowboys. And what you said

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Speaker 1: to me was, Chalk is due. Thank god you were right.

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Speaker 1: Chalk is eight three and one today, heading into the

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Speaker 1: Senate football game, we need the Giants. We're going against

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Speaker 1: the chalk tonight. We're going against the chalk tomorrow. But

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Speaker 1: it was true today the Lions were on the right

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Speaker 1: side from the get go, that they were never nervous

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Speaker 1: in this game.

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Speaker 3: I also never wavered on it. I mean I loved it.

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Speaker 3: I think we talked Sunday about it. I bet it

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Speaker 3: early just in case, I said, in case Dallas got

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Speaker 3: blown out Sunday night. They didn't. We came in Tuesday show,

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Speaker 3: you you believe me of your exact decision, and I

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Speaker 3: said to you, you hadn't. I was gonna make it,

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Speaker 3: Simon says. And then on Thursday show, I literally made

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Speaker 3: it my sputure let pick.

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Speaker 1: You totally fucked me on that totally. You totally stole

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Speaker 1: it from me because you had first choice, and like

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Speaker 1: I'm like, you fucker.

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Speaker 3: But that's my whole point of Like, there was never

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Speaker 3: a minute all week where I wasn't heavy betting this

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Speaker 3: Detroit team, Like I bet them all along. And the

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Speaker 3: scariest part was why was the number not moving? And

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Speaker 3: I tell you all the time, sometimes the books know

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Speaker 3: they're fucked and they know if they move it too much,

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Speaker 3: they'll get even more money on the other side because

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Speaker 3: then people will be like, see the professionals moved that.

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Speaker 3: That is the right side. Now let's keep going heavier

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Speaker 3: on Detroit. But even then, you know, it was just

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Speaker 3: a bad number I took. Like I talked to bookmakers Friday, Saturday,

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Speaker 3: and Sunday. All of them were saying it was like

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Speaker 3: ten times the amount of money was on the lines,

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Speaker 3: on the spread and all their parlays everything, And I

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Speaker 3: was just like, man, you guys are really taking a

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Speaker 3: standard on a bad Dallas team. I just did not

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Speaker 3: understand it. Yeah, thank god we hammered that one. We

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Speaker 3: needed it to go to and two. And like we

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Speaker 3: always say, when you when you bet on these good quarterbacks,

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Speaker 3: it's sometimes it's the best feel in the world because

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Speaker 3: it's like, man, that was a no doubter, or they

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Speaker 3: were just imposing their will the entire game. I think

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Speaker 3: even the first drive, Dallas went down and kicked the

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Speaker 3: field goal, and I just remember thinking, if if Detroit

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Speaker 3: goes down and scores a touchdown, me and chat are

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Speaker 3: good here. Not even that. They just literally ran it

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Speaker 3: down their throat their first drive, and it's like, Okay,

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Speaker 3: Montgomery's humming if once he gets going, you know, they're

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Speaker 3: gonna get it going through the air, and that's what happened.

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Speaker 3: I mean they almost put up fifty points once again.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, But we talked about with Dallas, they're coming

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Speaker 3: into this year. They're not that good of a team.

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Speaker 3: Can't run the ball, can't stop the run. Detroit, we

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Speaker 3: talked about them being my number one seed in the NFC.

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Speaker 3: Every week. They just keep proving they're the best team

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Speaker 3: right now. It's just when that offense is humming. I

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Speaker 3: don't care what defense in the league can't stop them

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Speaker 3: when it's indoors. So yeah, they're the team. Yeah, they're

336
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Speaker 3: the team. If they get that one seed, it's gonna

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Speaker 3: be crazy important. But I really can't wait to talk

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Speaker 3: next week's games because it's like your division right now,

339
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Speaker 3: every Divis game is going to be amazing, like all

340
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Speaker 3: your all the teams in the NFC North are so good.

341
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Speaker 3: I really can't wait to start getting these divisional matchups.

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Speaker 1: So look, the NFC North right now was eighteen and

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Speaker 1: four again bred entering week seven. It's the best ATS

344
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Speaker 1: win percentage for any division through six weeks. In the

345
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Speaker 1: wild card eras.

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Speaker 3: With a rookie Sam Darnold and second year starter Jordan Love.

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Speaker 3: That's pretty impressive.

348
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Speaker 1: And by the way, Jordan Love, who missed multiple games,

349
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Speaker 1: Yeah right, And so like, the Vikings are five and

350
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Speaker 1: o ats, the Bears are five and one Ats, it's crazy.

351
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Speaker 1: Lions are four and one. Packers are four and two.

352
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Speaker 1: Caleb Williams. We're not going to spend too much time

353
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Speaker 1: on it, but the guy accounted for five touchdowns today.

354
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Speaker 1: Like he was freaking brawless, four touchdown passes, a touchdown run.

355
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Speaker 1: He's scrambling strategically on a beautiful, beautifully designed play where

356
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Speaker 1: it was like reverse like he had to fake a

357
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Speaker 1: reverse fake, a screen hit Cole Commit streaking down the middle.

358
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Speaker 1: The fort work was beautiful. The way he handled the

359
00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:18,600
Speaker 1: fakes was perfect. I mean, this team was insanely good.

360
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Speaker 1: Now all admittedly they played bad teams, but you gotta

361
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Speaker 1: beat bad teams, and they're looking really good doing it

362
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Speaker 1: right now, especially today. Here's the story out of this game,

363
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Speaker 1: as much as it was about how terrible the Cowboys

364
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Speaker 1: are and the Lions dominating on offensively. Aiden Hutchinson was

365
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Speaker 1: the leading candidate for Defensive Player of the Year. He

366
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Speaker 1: was leading the league in sacks. He was a guy

367
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Speaker 1: we both bet at fourteen to one to lead the

368
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:46,520
Speaker 1: league in sacks. This team has finally figured it out

369
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Speaker 1: what their identity is as a physically dominant team, dynamic

370
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Speaker 1: athletically on both sides of the ball. He represents so

371
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Speaker 1: much of who they are. He went out with a

372
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Speaker 1: gruesome leg injury. Had to he cut it off. He

373
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Speaker 1: knew it immediately on his second sack of the game.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what happens now, Like I, how do

375
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Speaker 1: you as a professional better handicap this? Because it does

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Speaker 1: change their dynamic defensively.

377
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Speaker 3: It does. No, it's brutal. I mean, it's hard to

378
00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:21,119
Speaker 3: put what it's going to mean to the model. I

379
00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:24,440
Speaker 3: mean maybe half a point, but I doubt that I'll

380
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:27,000
Speaker 3: move it that much honestly, But we'll see he could.

381
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Speaker 3: But I would say for any fan, it just makes

382
00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:32,920
Speaker 3: you not think, No, I shouldn't say. It makes you

383
00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:36,320
Speaker 3: think that maybe this team come playoff time won't go

384
00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:37,719
Speaker 3: to the super Bowl, like a lot of people are

385
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:39,720
Speaker 3: picking them for right, because you know there's any moments

386
00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:42,919
Speaker 3: where you need yeah guy, And we see it like

387
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:46,159
Speaker 3: Nick Bosa in that Seahawks game. He took over right

388
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:48,680
Speaker 3: once the team had to pass the ball. That's when

389
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 3: these guys who are just such game changers take over.

390
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:54,480
Speaker 3: And how do you not suffer when you lose a

391
00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:58,720
Speaker 3: top five pass rusher. It's like, these guys are so rare,

392
00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:01,439
Speaker 3: so unique, that's why they make so much money. You

393
00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 3: just can't replace something like that. So for me, I

394
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:07,240
Speaker 3: don't know. I probably doesn't do anything for me divisionalwise.

395
00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:09,480
Speaker 3: I'm just gonna let my lines bet keep riding for

396
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:12,119
Speaker 3: right now. But how does it not make you nervous

397
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,000
Speaker 3: knowing that in the playoffs it's going to matter, like

398
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:15,880
Speaker 3: him not being there is going to matter in these

399
00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:20,000
Speaker 3: really close games where every little snap is the difference,

400
00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,680
Speaker 3: and he is the ultimate game changer for that defense

401
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:26,159
Speaker 3: in Detroit. So yeah, brutal for Detroit fans, big loss.

402
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,479
Speaker 1: Reddick is out there, been dropped by his agency, has

403
00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:31,080
Speaker 1: lost about twenty million bucks around.

404
00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 3: I mean, don't want to kind a big story about it.

405
00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:35,879
Speaker 3: But what happened to him in Japan? The man went

406
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:40,560
Speaker 3: to Japan, skipped camp and has not been the same since.

407
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:44,360
Speaker 2: Like, so that's a whole other story. It's bizarre, It's

408
00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:45,639
Speaker 2: totally bizarre.

409
00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,440
Speaker 1: The fact he was shuttled out of Philly is kind

410
00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:51,680
Speaker 1: of bizarre considering how well he was playing.

411
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,439
Speaker 3: Well he wanted new money, and how he was just like, Okay,

412
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,399
Speaker 3: get him out of here before this comes into a problem.

413
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,160
Speaker 3: And I never thought it would be like this though

414
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Speaker 3: He's a good dude.

415
00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:03,919
Speaker 1: What I was going to say is that Trayvon Walker,

416
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 1: who was the number one overall pick of the Jags

417
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:10,959
Speaker 1: taken instead of Aden Hutchinson, there was a mention in

418
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 1: a story this past week that could the Lions trade

419
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,760
Speaker 1: for him as sort of the complementary rusher if the

420
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:21,400
Speaker 1: Jags continue to fall out of contention. So who knows

421
00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:23,760
Speaker 1: what the Lions are going to do, but certainly it's

422
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:26,439
Speaker 1: something that's going to be a conversation because this is.

423
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:27,639
Speaker 2: A team I like.

424
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 1: Going into this week, I felt like they were the

425
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 1: number one team in the NFC, like what they had

426
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 1: done against Seattle and what I expected them to do

427
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:40,000
Speaker 1: against the Cowboys. Most complete team changes a little bit,

428
00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 1: so we've talked about a little bit so we don't

429
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:44,280
Speaker 1: just spend too much time on it. But the conversation

430
00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:47,320
Speaker 1: we had this morning, like we weren't loving the lines

431
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 1: we were getting. They were about half point worse than

432
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:54,320
Speaker 1: the market. Ultimately, it didn't matter. You know, we nearly

433
00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:56,679
Speaker 1: put the Raiders in and kicked out the Packers. We

434
00:22:56,760 --> 00:22:59,879
Speaker 1: decided we were overthinking it. The one game we screwed up,

435
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 1: think was the Chargers. Like it's similar to the Cardinals.

436
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 1: Last week we had the best number of any game

437
00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:09,879
Speaker 1: that was two and a half. We had great analysis

438
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 1: on this team all week. We loved it. Do you

439
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:16,240
Speaker 1: think we passed because this was a game where while

440
00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:19,680
Speaker 1: we loved it, we were hearing whispers from professionals that

441
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,960
Speaker 1: they liked the Broncos, Like, why did we end up

442
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:24,200
Speaker 1: walking away from this one?

443
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 3: It could be you're right, though we definitely did talk

444
00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:31,040
Speaker 3: about I mean we both bet it. We thought, yeah,

445
00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 3: this was a funky number all week. It was very

446
00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:37,359
Speaker 3: telling by the sports books that this number was off

447
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,920
Speaker 3: in favoring this Vegas I mean this Chargers team, where

448
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:43,960
Speaker 3: us and the general public were like, well, this Broncos

449
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:46,679
Speaker 3: defense is playing really good and bow Knicks has been

450
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:49,359
Speaker 3: playing well enough not turn the ball over and keeping

451
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,520
Speaker 3: them in games. And you know the last time we

452
00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:53,359
Speaker 3: saw this Chargers team, they were all banged up and

453
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 3: all out of sorts, especially Herbert, I mean talk about

454
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 3: night and day. Right, that was a great Herbert game,

455
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,800
Speaker 3: you have a complete contry all the whole game. You know, Cowherd,

456
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:05,720
Speaker 3: I know Cowhard's crazy theory about just taking the better QB.

457
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, yeah, I hate that theory, but today he's

458
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:15,280
Speaker 3: a genius. Basically every game the better quarterback to Yeah,

459
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:19,280
Speaker 3: a good day for Cowherd and his his betting. But

460
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 3: like he was right talking about this game with that

461
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 3: where it's like one side has the better quarterback and

462
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 3: right now the best weaponry is their offensive line. Like

463
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:33,920
Speaker 3: when those guys are all healthy up front, they completely

464
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 3: neutralize the front seven of Denver, which is what's been

465
00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:41,439
Speaker 3: Denver's strength. And Patrick Sartaine, I believe went out in

466
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:43,359
Speaker 3: the second quarter. I could be maybe it was a

467
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,960
Speaker 3: third quarter, but no, really think you would think that's

468
00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,600
Speaker 3: not big of a difference, but it is. He's that dominant,

469
00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:50,240
Speaker 3: that shutdown of a corner that as soon as he

470
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:53,639
Speaker 3: did go out, you saw every third down Herbert needed it.

471
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,199
Speaker 3: He had guys streaking open in the middle for you know,

472
00:24:56,359 --> 00:25:00,879
Speaker 3: various reasons. So yeah, that that was good number A

473
00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:02,240
Speaker 3: game I wish we had put in. But at the

474
00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 3: end of the day, I don't know for me to

475
00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:08,000
Speaker 3: convince you to put three favorites in. That would have been, Uh,

476
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 3: that would have been pretty tough. I think same for me,

477
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,879
Speaker 3: Like for you to be like, let's go three favorites.

478
00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:14,399
Speaker 2: This week, we wouldn't have done it.

479
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:16,680
Speaker 3: I know. We're just not built that way unfortunately, which

480
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:20,920
Speaker 3: I hate, like even today again that we both had bets,

481
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 3: liked them all week in Detroit and just because they

482
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:27,560
Speaker 3: were so public, for a second we thought about switching

483
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 3: them out, which is like, again I said it to

484
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:31,840
Speaker 3: you in the moment, it was just like, we're overthinking

485
00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 3: this right now. Don't switch any of these fucking guys out.

486
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:37,920
Speaker 3: Let's just keep these five. And no matter what we

487
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 3: would have done, I'm just so glad we didn't put

488
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 3: that Raiders winning because that was just just a bad bet. Right,

489
00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:45,359
Speaker 3: So the charge one we did read write, but it

490
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 3: was just tough to put a third favorite in.

491
00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:49,880
Speaker 1: I wish we had taken out Carolina. We had Carolina

492
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:53,359
Speaker 1: five and a half. Shame on us, Shame on the Panthers. Uh.

493
00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 1: The only thing I'll say is that this there was

494
00:25:56,320 --> 00:26:00,680
Speaker 1: a drive in the fourth quarter.

495
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:01,679
Speaker 3: One five against the spread this season.

496
00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:06,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, this drive to start the fourth quarter epitomizes Carolina

497
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 1: and why we didn't deserve to win. They're in the

498
00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:10,040
Speaker 1: game the whole time. They're down twenty eight to twenty.

499
00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:12,720
Speaker 1: To start the fourth, they're playing against the worst rush

500
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:17,280
Speaker 1: defense in the league. They have Tuba Hubbard to start

501
00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 1: this quarter runs the ball four times for thirty four yards.

502
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:26,920
Speaker 1: Run run, run, run, run, running all over this team.

503
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,280
Speaker 1: Then they decide to get cute. They have Andy Dalton

504
00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:35,720
Speaker 1: roll out, throws it in completion. Next play, fake run,

505
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:40,480
Speaker 1: Andy Dalton throws a pick at the falcons sixteen yard line.

506
00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:45,680
Speaker 1: Next drive, the Falcons go eighty four yards score put

507
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:51,399
Speaker 1: away touchdown. And by the way, Algiers he was running

508
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:55,440
Speaker 1: on one of the plays first got gang tackled at

509
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:58,639
Speaker 1: the twenty two yard line of the Falcons didn't go

510
00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:03,040
Speaker 1: down until the thirty six. Like we get what we deserve.

511
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:06,640
Speaker 1: I'm I'm ashamed. We shouldn't have done it. We were

512
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:09,040
Speaker 1: so excited we thought, like, oh my god, I was like,

513
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:11,159
Speaker 1: I got I got the Panthers plus six and a

514
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:18,560
Speaker 1: half today, Like, fuck me, that's just ridiculous. How do

515
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 1: we not put the Colts in? We had the Colts

516
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:22,920
Speaker 1: of plus three and we knew Joe Flaka was playing,

517
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:25,440
Speaker 1: which if we knew Joe Flacca was playing on Tuesday

518
00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 1: and we had the Colts of plus three, we would

519
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:28,719
Speaker 1: have taken that in two seconds.

520
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 3: Well it's two and a half contest, but I agree,

521
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:34,159
Speaker 3: like we talked about it on convinced me. We're like,

522
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,239
Speaker 3: oh my god, Joe flatc goes in, he's getting two

523
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 3: and a half against Will Levis. But no, the Panthers.

524
00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:42,960
Speaker 3: I don't want to talk about too much because I

525
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 3: just know our fans have already turned the show off

526
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:46,880
Speaker 3: as soon as we brought them up. I'm sorry everyone,

527
00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 3: I promise I don't even care. If they win five

528
00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 3: straight in a row, we will never have them again.

529
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:56,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's talk about some week seven lines,

530
00:27:56,320 --> 00:28:00,320
Speaker 1: thank you, that we're looking at. Like, obviously Casey is

531
00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:04,639
Speaker 1: minus one at San Francisco right now, every part of

532
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:09,600
Speaker 1: my being wants to take San Francisco's.

533
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:09,960
Speaker 3: Bet three, six, five or plus one.

534
00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,600
Speaker 2: Really, so it's move, it's moved, It's moved.

535
00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:19,960
Speaker 1: Then it's moved since I came upstairs to my very

536
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:26,160
Speaker 1: expansive third floor studio, the Tommy John Studio. So wow,

537
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 1: that's interesting. That is so all right, give me your

538
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:31,840
Speaker 1: your hot take right now. It's not a game that,

539
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 1: like I was pegging we have to bet it, but

540
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:35,880
Speaker 1: I didn't want to not talk about it.

541
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:42,480
Speaker 3: I mean, we're supposed to take the Chiefs now, but

542
00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:44,600
Speaker 3: I don't got to read on this one. I'll love

543
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:47,960
Speaker 3: the number, dictate it where it's like, if it moves

544
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 3: up to Chief's been a bigger dog, no brainer. If

545
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:53,680
Speaker 3: the forty nine Ers end up becoming the dog, maybe

546
00:28:53,680 --> 00:28:55,200
Speaker 3: I'll end up being the forty nine ers, but I

547
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:59,360
Speaker 3: just like the dog on the side. It's just in

548
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:02,000
Speaker 3: my mind this this number should be minus one and

549
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,440
Speaker 3: a half Chiefs, Like, I think they're the better team

550
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 3: right now. I think the value is in the Chiefs,

551
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 3: So I'll take the one right now. But it's like,

552
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 3: if this is one and a half, you gotta find

553
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 3: a partner for a teaser. Teasing the Chiefs up to

554
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 3: seven and a half against the forty nine ers team

555
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:19,560
Speaker 3: is like a gift. We see we talked about last week.

556
00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:20,880
Speaker 3: They're just the forty nine ers is not the same

557
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:24,520
Speaker 3: team without Christian McCaffrey and yep, it's it's apparent that

558
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:28,320
Speaker 3: you're putting a lot onder brock pretty shoulder. Now he's

559
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:31,200
Speaker 3: going up against the Spags defense that you know they're

560
00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:32,760
Speaker 3: going to turn you over. If you're throwing the ball

561
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 3: a lot. It's just only a matter of time. He'll

562
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 3: he'll get you eventually. So yeah, I definitely think the

563
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:40,920
Speaker 3: Chiefs keep becoming a bigger dog. This will end up

564
00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 3: being one over five.

565
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 1: Green Bay is a two and a half point home

566
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:51,360
Speaker 1: favored against Houston. My immediate instinct is I like green

567
00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 1: Bay less than field goal.

568
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 3: Wow, my immediate I like Houston. So we're split.

569
00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:59,840
Speaker 2: Interesting, All right, Well, give me give me your take.

570
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 3: My take is I think the public will think like

571
00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:06,480
Speaker 3: you and maybe I'll maybe maybe you're right, this is

572
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:07,800
Speaker 3: a good time we take it now, because I do

573
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,000
Speaker 3: think I'll go up a little bit, That's what I think.

574
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 3: So I think maybe I'll be able to get a

575
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:15,920
Speaker 3: better number on Houston. But yeah, that's that's that's a

576
00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:19,560
Speaker 3: fun game. You know, you're probably right. I bet you.

577
00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:21,960
Speaker 3: The Packers probably is the smart side to take right now,

578
00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:25,520
Speaker 3: just because it is under three. But I think this

579
00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:29,480
Speaker 3: is just a nice matchup for a Houston team that,

580
00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:33,760
Speaker 3: you know, say what you want about them, when when

581
00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:37,200
Speaker 3: CJ is in rhythm and that defense is getting pressure

582
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:39,280
Speaker 3: from the outside, they're just really hard to beat Houston.

583
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:41,280
Speaker 3: There's a reason they have only lost one game this year.

584
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:47,640
Speaker 1: CJ on the road. The Packers are a better team

585
00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:52,800
Speaker 1: than the Patriots. Jordan Love is a better quarterback than

586
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:57,640
Speaker 1: Drake may We don't know from a defensive back point

587
00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 1: of view, who's going to be back for Huon. A

588
00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:03,760
Speaker 1: lot of guys missed today as much against the Patriots.

589
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 1: But Matt LeFlore is a better coach than Girad Mayo. Like,

590
00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,640
Speaker 1: this is a very interesting game. I think you're getting

591
00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:16,320
Speaker 1: It would be very interesting on Tuesday when we talk

592
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 1: to see where the money is and how the line

593
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 1: is moved, because I think Houston's the public side here.

594
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 3: That could be that's fair. I'm torn on this one.

595
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:30,400
Speaker 1: Uh, Detroit Minnesota. We just talked about, like this division

596
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 1: against the spread.

597
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:35,280
Speaker 3: And you know we have to do what's that? So

598
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 3: you know what we have to do? Tell me we

599
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:41,120
Speaker 3: have to feed the Vikings. They haven't they've covered every week.

600
00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:45,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, Detroit to a one point underdog. I like, I

601
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:47,280
Speaker 1: was worried you were going to say take the Vikings.

602
00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:49,479
Speaker 3: Well, we're supposed to do, because it's like every one

603
00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:51,440
Speaker 3: in their grandmom's gonna bet the Detroit team as a

604
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:57,560
Speaker 3: dog here, but it's like we're indoors. They everything the

605
00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 3: Vikings do well. Detroit could come at that with their run,

606
00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:04,480
Speaker 3: Like you can't do that style of defense against a

607
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:06,280
Speaker 3: good team, a team that could run the ball. And

608
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 3: you know, I guess is a letdown spot for the

609
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:13,960
Speaker 3: Lions after that big win on the road, a big

610
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 3: injury to one of their best defenders, and Minnesota coming

611
00:32:16,600 --> 00:32:20,000
Speaker 3: off a bye week here, But what a fishy number.

612
00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:23,640
Speaker 3: Because Chad's right, like we should want to take the Vikings.

613
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 3: The book's telling us to take the Vikings here, but

614
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:28,960
Speaker 3: it's hard to me to back a Vikings team that's

615
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:32,360
Speaker 3: just so inflated right now value wise, just because they've

616
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:37,720
Speaker 3: covered every fucking week. It's it's mental. So yeah, it's crazy,

617
00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:40,960
Speaker 3: it really is. So yeah, My gut instinct right now

618
00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:43,640
Speaker 3: is I'm gonna throw a nice teaser with Detroit Lions

619
00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 3: seven and a half and the Chiefs up to seven

620
00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:48,800
Speaker 3: right now, Like that's just an easy bet to make

621
00:32:48,800 --> 00:32:51,000
Speaker 3: the night. And you know books are gonna limit to

622
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 3: you a thousand bucks right now, I'm happy to make

623
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:56,160
Speaker 3: a thousand dollar teaser. It's like that both those guys

624
00:32:56,160 --> 00:33:01,000
Speaker 3: as big dogs against these two favorites. I don't know

625
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:03,520
Speaker 3: when we talked about this week, road teams have been

626
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:06,479
Speaker 3: doing well even today, right, road teams really dominated the day.

627
00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:12,240
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, home Field really you know, it's we talked

628
00:33:12,240 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 3: about it last year, like Homefield was down to two

629
00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:17,280
Speaker 3: and a half. Two, I mean, it's right there still.

630
00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:20,560
Speaker 3: So I don't know this This line feels like it's

631
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:22,840
Speaker 3: a little too much respect to this Minnesota team, especially

632
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,160
Speaker 3: at minus one and a half on about three six live.

633
00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:28,720
Speaker 2: I do wonder if the books are are.

634
00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 1: Positioning this as they know that the public might come

635
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 1: in on the Vikings, not just because of Vikings have played.

636
00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:39,720
Speaker 3: The Lions have to be the public side, right.

637
00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:42,640
Speaker 1: I don't know because of Aiden Hutchinson, Like people will

638
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:46,080
Speaker 1: You're right, people will look at this and think this

639
00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:49,000
Speaker 1: team is going to feel devastated. He is a very

640
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 1: popular player, right, Like he is a guy who people

641
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,120
Speaker 1: loved when he was at Michigan. They love the narrative,

642
00:33:56,600 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 1: they love how dominant he has been, Like he's in commercials.

643
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:03,480
Speaker 1: You don't get a lot of defensive ends other than

644
00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 1: guys named Watt who are in commercials, right, right, So

645
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 1: I think all that is going to have an impact

646
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 1: on how the public looks at this team. And him

647
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:16,520
Speaker 1: being gone, I think is going to send people to Minnesota,

648
00:34:16,600 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 1: especially with them being as good as they've been and

649
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:24,719
Speaker 1: getting so much attention. So that'll be another one. It'll

650
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:28,600
Speaker 1: be really interesting to see how things are trending. Forty

651
00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:34,440
Speaker 1: eight hours from now. I had two more games kind

652
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 1: of but one more specifically. It's a Sunday night game.

653
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:42,080
Speaker 1: It's Tampa Bay as a four and a half.

654
00:34:41,880 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 3: Point Monday night. There's Monday night games.

655
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:46,800
Speaker 1: Oh, it's two Monday nights Tampa Bay plus four and

656
00:34:46,840 --> 00:34:52,239
Speaker 1: a half at home against Baltimore. This Baltimore team is.

657
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:58,560
Speaker 2: Really good. They've still got so many issues defensively in

658
00:34:58,560 --> 00:34:59,279
Speaker 2: the middle of the field.

659
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,200
Speaker 3: Two year old coordinator is not getting the job done

660
00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:04,399
Speaker 3: right now. I think they need to make a change

661
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:04,719
Speaker 3: of DC.

662
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 1: They cannot stop anybody like that what Jaden Daniels was

663
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:10,400
Speaker 1: doing to them. This is someone who had the under

664
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 1: and feels like he got kicked in the dick because

665
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:17,920
Speaker 1: they they basically had the under. It was thirty twenty

666
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,960
Speaker 1: and Jaden Daniels through a hail Mary thirty five yards

667
00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:26,359
Speaker 1: downfield that the Ravens got called for a pass interference,

668
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 1: they're down ten. They kicked the easy field goal. It's

669
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:33,720
Speaker 1: thirty to twenty three. That's where it lands. I lose

670
00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:38,759
Speaker 1: the over. I lose the under And it was only

671
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:41,400
Speaker 1: as close as it was because they couldn't stop them ever.

672
00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:47,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I mean Baker, we're not giving them enough credit,

673
00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:50,279
Speaker 3: abou how well he's played this year. In Night Sayings game,

674
00:35:50,400 --> 00:35:53,359
Speaker 3: everything was going wrong. Mike Evans was hurt. I think

675
00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 3: he had three picks. Maybe it was only two, it

676
00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:59,400
Speaker 3: felt like three. And he's still found a way to

677
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:01,560
Speaker 3: win that game by double digits.

678
00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:02,520
Speaker 2: Yeah.

679
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 3: It was really impressive because they had a total meltdown.

680
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:08,279
Speaker 3: What were they up seventeen to nothing? Yeah, and the

681
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:10,880
Speaker 3: Saints come all the way back through up twenty to seventeen.

682
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:13,120
Speaker 2: And they were winning like a few times they were up.

683
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:17,200
Speaker 3: Yeah. And you know a guy I love today, It

684
00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:19,040
Speaker 3: was Godwin. He went off I think at one hundred

685
00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:20,640
Speaker 3: and twenty five yards or two touchdowns.

686
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:24,120
Speaker 2: That acced me. That was your over on the prop today.

687
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, and it was one of my biggest bet brother

688
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:30,200
Speaker 3: props where it's like Godwin and Mike Evans that combo

689
00:36:30,680 --> 00:36:33,920
Speaker 3: are just so dominant right now and with Baker, you know,

690
00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:36,480
Speaker 3: being in total zone. They're always going to be in

691
00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:38,520
Speaker 3: these games, Like it feels like they're always gonna be

692
00:36:38,560 --> 00:36:40,359
Speaker 3: able to eve me. If they're down double digits, they

693
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 3: can find a way to get back in these games

694
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 3: and stay scrappy. Now we talked about their defense. I

695
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:49,120
Speaker 3: think the key to this defense is definitely them against

696
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:52,239
Speaker 3: their run, like they can be passed on. So this

697
00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:54,280
Speaker 3: is gonna be another matchup of I think the team's

698
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:57,040
Speaker 3: going to try and make Lamar beat them. And you know,

699
00:36:57,560 --> 00:37:00,960
Speaker 3: Lamar probably the MVP right now. Foot he stepped up

700
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:02,839
Speaker 3: to the plate throwing this year, I mean he has

701
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:06,479
Speaker 3: done really well passing the ball. So I would grab

702
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:07,960
Speaker 3: the four and a half. I could see this being

703
00:37:07,960 --> 00:37:09,960
Speaker 3: going down to four three and a half by kickoff.

704
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:12,640
Speaker 3: It's just even if the public's really heavy on this

705
00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:15,640
Speaker 3: Baltimore team, I just I can't see the professionals coming

706
00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:19,280
Speaker 3: in on this Buccaneers team, especially four and a half.

707
00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 3: That's just too many points to me.

708
00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:23,400
Speaker 2: So I wouldn't got that right now, Who am I missing?

709
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:27,040
Speaker 3: Just for games that jumped out to me that I

710
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:30,040
Speaker 3: haven't bet it, or I shouldn't say haven't, but I

711
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,319
Speaker 3: did bet it, but it's like very small. I took

712
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,200
Speaker 3: the Rams five and a half against Vegas just in

713
00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:38,560
Speaker 3: case it is Aidan O'Connell. I can see keep going up.

714
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:43,680
Speaker 3: They just look totally hopeless and this has got to

715
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:45,359
Speaker 3: be it for this Rams team. I mean, they don't

716
00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:47,480
Speaker 3: get any more desperate after there by a week Cooper

717
00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:52,160
Speaker 3: Cups supposed to be back. We'll see if Puka's back. Unlikely,

718
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:54,800
Speaker 3: but you know that right there can move this point,

719
00:37:54,840 --> 00:37:56,640
Speaker 3: this up to a point right moving up to six

720
00:37:56,640 --> 00:37:58,600
Speaker 3: and a half if both those guys are back. So

721
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:01,319
Speaker 3: that's just a number I'm grabbing early. And they are

722
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:04,280
Speaker 3: fully healthy offensively coming out of this bye a week

723
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:08,280
Speaker 3: and I mean a game you know that just jumps

724
00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:10,600
Speaker 3: out to me just to grab it right now? Is

725
00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:12,560
Speaker 3: that Atlanta is minus two and a half right now

726
00:38:12,560 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 3: against Seattle at home? Don't we have to grab that

727
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:19,120
Speaker 3: Atlanta at home under three against three.

728
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 2: So that's why I didn't mention it.

729
00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's two and a half right now, befre it's

730
00:38:24,200 --> 00:38:27,040
Speaker 3: minus one twenty. But like to me, that's something I'm

731
00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:30,800
Speaker 3: gonna bet right now, just because Seattle's defense needs to

732
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:34,160
Speaker 3: show me they can get stops like every game we've

733
00:38:34,160 --> 00:38:37,680
Speaker 3: watched of them when they've played offenses that are just

734
00:38:37,719 --> 00:38:40,640
Speaker 3: aren't dumb. They can move the ball anyway they want.

735
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:44,440
Speaker 3: And say which went about Atlanta's defense. Their offense is

736
00:38:44,480 --> 00:38:47,080
Speaker 3: really good right now. Like Kirk even if he's not

737
00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:49,719
Speaker 3: even putting any pressure on his back legs still on

738
00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:52,759
Speaker 3: that achilles, it doesn't matter. Like he's in total rhythm.

739
00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:54,600
Speaker 3: He doesn't need to throw the ball all the way downfield.

740
00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 3: He can just keep picking you apart in between twenty

741
00:38:57,239 --> 00:38:59,120
Speaker 3: thirty yards and it's it's just been working with a

742
00:38:59,160 --> 00:39:01,720
Speaker 3: one two punch on their run game right now for Atlanta.

743
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:04,960
Speaker 3: So I make this number three and a half. I'd

744
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:06,360
Speaker 3: grab it right now if you could still get the

745
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 3: minus two and a half for Atlanta.

746
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:11,320
Speaker 1: All Right, We're going to take a deeper dive at Detroit.

747
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:13,640
Speaker 1: With Detroit and Minnesota, we want to see how things

748
00:39:13,640 --> 00:39:17,680
Speaker 1: play out there. Obviously, Kansas City and San Francisco early

749
00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:21,160
Speaker 1: leans on Tampa Bay plus four and a half, the

750
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:24,839
Speaker 1: Rams minus five and a half, Atlanta minus two and

751
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:28,680
Speaker 1: a half. As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented

752
00:39:28,680 --> 00:39:31,319
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Speaker 1: Whatever the moment, it's never ordinary. At bet three sixty

760
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Speaker 1: five must be twenty one or older in president in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

761
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Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or eighteen and

762
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Speaker 1: older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler

763
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Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditioned

764
00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:12,280
Speaker 1: restrictions apply. Catch our next episode live Tuesday, one thirty

765
00:40:12,400 --> 00:40:16,880
Speaker 1: pm Eastern on Action Networks YouTube channel will cover the

766
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:22,360
Speaker 1: whole Week seven board, announce our Week six contest winner.

767
00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:25,400
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768
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:28,520
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769
00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:31,720
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770
00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:32,520
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771
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