WEBVTT - FREE NFL Week 7 Early Picks | Line Movement Predictions (Ep. 550) 0:00:01.040 --> 0:00:03.200 Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to play 0:00:03.200 --> 0:00:05.720 short bets. It's me Joey p Joe pez Apia and 0:00:05.880 --> 0:00:09.520 this is VP NFL to look ahead for the early 0:00:09.600 --> 0:00:11.920 value in Week seven in the NFL is my boy 0:00:11.960 --> 0:00:16.120 Andrew eericckson the Undertaker, Andrew. We got our debut from 0:00:16.200 --> 0:00:19.920 Drake May. He took his shots, but he delivered some touchdowns. 0:00:19.920 --> 0:00:22.120 It was nice to see the Patriots have an offense again. 0:00:22.920 --> 0:00:26.320 And if you're a Detroit Lions fan, you're very happy. 0:00:26.360 --> 0:00:29.440 But my goodness, the Dallas Cowboys fans are hurting this 0:00:29.520 --> 0:00:30.400 morning on a Monday. 0:00:31.000 --> 0:00:31.640 Yeah, it's funny. 0:00:31.640 --> 0:00:34.320 Somebody messaged me on Instagram in reference to a comment 0:00:34.360 --> 0:00:36.000 I made. I'm not sure if it was the last show, 0:00:36.200 --> 0:00:38.839 but one of the previous shows where the Dallas Cowboys 0:00:38.880 --> 0:00:41.400 only playing blowouts. I don't know why they feel the 0:00:41.440 --> 0:00:43.800 need to always play in blowouts, but it's either they're 0:00:43.840 --> 0:00:46.159 blowing out the team or they're getting blown out, and 0:00:46.360 --> 0:00:49.000 more recently it's been the latter, especially at home, where 0:00:49.040 --> 0:00:53.000 Dallas has been a superstar team playing at home. I 0:00:53.080 --> 0:00:55.880 believe they're zero to three now in Dallas. In Jerry 0:00:55.920 --> 0:00:58.400 World and I mean, I'm not sure if that meme 0:00:58.480 --> 0:01:00.680 was real, but I was seeing something where the graphics 0:01:00.680 --> 0:01:03.160 of the scores actually blurred out of the giant screen 0:01:03.280 --> 0:01:05.400 to not show the fans what the actual score of 0:01:05.440 --> 0:01:07.400 the game was. In the Detroit Lion, social media is 0:01:07.400 --> 0:01:10.920 obviously trolling the Dallas Cowboys, and I mean, when you're 0:01:11.000 --> 0:01:13.120 up that big and you're throwing, you're trying to get 0:01:13.160 --> 0:01:16.399 offensive lineman touchdowns with hooking ladders. I mean, you're just 0:01:16.400 --> 0:01:20.120 having your will with the Dallas Cowboys. So just an 0:01:20.120 --> 0:01:21.520 old fashioned spanking. 0:01:22.280 --> 0:01:25.880 Sure was, Sure was, but hopefully will spank week seven 0:01:26.720 --> 0:01:29.039 right back here. And of course if you want some 0:01:29.040 --> 0:01:31.280 free stuff, well we're giving away a sign Michael Strahan 0:01:31.360 --> 0:01:33.760 Giants jersey this month. So if you want a chance 0:01:33.840 --> 0:01:37.119 to win this bad boy free from our good friends 0:01:37.120 --> 0:01:38.880 at Pristine Auction dot com, all you need to do 0:01:38.920 --> 0:01:42.039 is head to Bettingpros dot com slash contest complete the format, 0:01:42.080 --> 0:01:44.440 either download the Betting Pros app, leave a review of 0:01:44.480 --> 0:01:47.000 the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe to our social media 0:01:47.040 --> 0:01:49.840 channels at Betting Pros on x and on TikTok and 0:01:49.880 --> 0:01:53.200 of course Betting Pros NFL on Instagram. The more actions 0:01:53.240 --> 0:01:55.720 you complete, the more entries you get to win the 0:01:55.720 --> 0:01:57.920 straighthand jerseys. So we'll be announcing the winner right here 0:01:57.960 --> 0:02:00.640 in the channel. Subscribe to the channel ring the belt 0:02:00.640 --> 0:02:02.120 tolet Goes Dings, so you know if you're the big 0:02:02.120 --> 0:02:05.120 winner and you never miss an episode of BP. Let's 0:02:05.200 --> 0:02:08.440 get to week seven. Let's start here on Thursday Night football, 0:02:08.440 --> 0:02:11.000 the Denver Broncos coming off a home loss. Here Sartan 0:02:11.080 --> 0:02:13.480 as a concussion. I doubt he plays this week. New 0:02:13.560 --> 0:02:17.240 Orleans Saints with Spencer Ratler or rookie QB who at 0:02:17.280 --> 0:02:20.359 times had some decent moments, at times had some rookie moments. 0:02:20.400 --> 0:02:22.600 The New Orleans Saints are one point favorites. That feels 0:02:22.600 --> 0:02:24.200 about right to me. Thirty seven and a half is 0:02:24.200 --> 0:02:26.520 the number and the money line right now. The best 0:02:26.600 --> 0:02:28.760 numbers are getting are Denver minus one oh five and 0:02:28.840 --> 0:02:31.800 New Orleans minus one fifteen. I think I'd go straight 0:02:31.840 --> 0:02:34.359 money line here to New Orleans and the minus one fifteen. 0:02:34.560 --> 0:02:35.480 What are your thoughts here? 0:02:35.560 --> 0:02:38.480 Ericson, Yeah, this one is tough. You have two rookie 0:02:38.520 --> 0:02:41.360 quarterbacks going ahead to head. For me, I'm leaning on 0:02:41.440 --> 0:02:43.359 the coaching match up here. Sean Payton going back to 0:02:43.360 --> 0:02:45.959 play his old team, coming off of bye, or coming 0:02:45.960 --> 0:02:48.120 off a bad loss at home. I mean he's been 0:02:48.120 --> 0:02:51.799 good on the road this season. Look Bonnicks versus Spencer Rattler. 0:02:51.960 --> 0:02:54.200 Could Raller be better than Bonick, Sure, but in one 0:02:54.280 --> 0:02:56.440 matchup doesn't really matter where he's without his number one 0:02:56.440 --> 0:02:58.800 wide receiver, Chris Alave. You talked about certain being out 0:02:58.800 --> 0:03:00.840 with the concussion, Well going to be out too with 0:03:00.919 --> 0:03:04.000 his concussion. So I think both teams are undermanned here. 0:03:04.320 --> 0:03:06.200 There's a reason why the total is what you said, 0:03:06.200 --> 0:03:07.960 thirty six and a half. It's very very low and 0:03:08.000 --> 0:03:10.920 at primetime unders on Thursday night, short week for two 0:03:11.000 --> 0:03:15.280 rookie quarterbacks. This is shaping up to be Jaguars Titans 0:03:15.360 --> 0:03:18.080 esque for those that remember those AFC South battles on 0:03:18.160 --> 0:03:21.160 Thursday Night football with the color Rush jerseys. This game 0:03:21.160 --> 0:03:23.600 could get ugly. So I will take take the underdog. 0:03:23.639 --> 0:03:26.920 I'll take Sean Payton winning in a homecoming against the Saints. 0:03:27.240 --> 0:03:29.040 All right, let's move on to the next one here, 0:03:29.080 --> 0:03:32.800 which is again another London game for the Jacksonville Jaguars. 0:03:32.800 --> 0:03:35.400 They're four and a half point favorites. I'm not sure 0:03:35.400 --> 0:03:38.200 how or why against the New Engle Patriots. I know 0:03:38.280 --> 0:03:40.680 Drake May's a rookie, but Drake May had some signs 0:03:40.680 --> 0:03:43.000 of life there, and I don't know, I'm just checking 0:03:43.000 --> 0:03:45.240 for a heartbeat when it comes to the Jaguars. Forty 0:03:45.280 --> 0:03:47.280 two and a half is the number plus one eighty 0:03:47.280 --> 0:03:49.680 for New England. I like the four and a half 0:03:49.720 --> 0:03:51.760 here with the Pats. Ericson your thoughts. 0:03:52.200 --> 0:03:54.800 When I was doing my projection to this game, I 0:03:54.920 --> 0:03:58.240 had to make myself give the Jaguars, make them favorites, 0:03:58.400 --> 0:04:01.080 because well, they're playing at home, quote in jackson or 0:04:01.080 --> 0:04:02.160 in London here. 0:04:02.200 --> 0:04:03.560 But I didn't feel good about it. 0:04:03.640 --> 0:04:05.360 So the fact that this line is four and a 0:04:05.400 --> 0:04:07.600 half opened at five and a half, so you're seeing 0:04:07.720 --> 0:04:10.640 money already pour onto the Patriots here because why back 0:04:10.640 --> 0:04:12.520 to the Jacksonville Daguars I did last week and to 0:04:12.520 --> 0:04:14.360 the first half, I was like, okay, like I feel 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:16.680 pretty good about this, and then they just got absolutely 0:04:16.720 --> 0:04:19.320 annihilated in the second half of that game against another 0:04:19.360 --> 0:04:22.919 rookie quarterback. So look, Drake May threw more touchdowns in 0:04:22.960 --> 0:04:26.160 Week six than Jacoby Brissett had thrown the five weeks combined. 0:04:26.720 --> 0:04:28.560 This is one of the worst defenses in the NFL. 0:04:28.600 --> 0:04:30.839 He drew against the Houston Texans, one of the toughest 0:04:30.839 --> 0:04:33.040 matchup he could have on paper. And I don't know 0:04:33.080 --> 0:04:35.320 how or why. It seemed like the Patriots offensive line 0:04:35.360 --> 0:04:37.679 just gave Drake May more time than they had ever done. 0:04:37.560 --> 0:04:40.880 With well he take. He got hit hard a couple 0:04:40.920 --> 0:04:41.359 of times, but. 0:04:41.760 --> 0:04:43.479 There were times where he was just standing there in 0:04:43.520 --> 0:04:45.279 the pocket, in a clean pocket, and he was able 0:04:45.279 --> 0:04:48.119 to operate that. I from the five weeks watching Jacoby Brissett, 0:04:48.360 --> 0:04:50.719 I don't remember ever him having that situation, So I 0:04:50.720 --> 0:04:52.680 wasn't sure if it was. Hey, offensive lineman, now that 0:04:52.720 --> 0:04:54.479 we have the rookie back there, you actually need to 0:04:54.480 --> 0:04:59.159 block people. So they stepped up. Jacksonville's defenses is so bad. 0:04:59.520 --> 0:05:01.520 I think that Drake, I'm taking the Patriots here. 0:05:01.520 --> 0:05:04.800 Easy, I'm with you here. At least we got that 0:05:04.839 --> 0:05:07.360 Drake May over on the rushing yards. Nailed that one. 0:05:07.520 --> 0:05:09.080 Even though it went up, we still got it at 0:05:09.080 --> 0:05:11.080 twenty four and a half and it was a clear 0:05:11.160 --> 0:05:14.160 easy sale. All right, So Miami comes back off the buy. 0:05:14.279 --> 0:05:16.920 The Indianapolis Colts defense is not good. We don't know 0:05:16.920 --> 0:05:19.960 if we're gonna get Flacco or Richardson for this game. 0:05:19.960 --> 0:05:21.800 We thought we might get Richardson last week and ended 0:05:21.880 --> 0:05:24.440 up being Flacco again in Week six. So the Colts 0:05:24.440 --> 0:05:26.720 at home are four point favorites. Forty two and a 0:05:26.720 --> 0:05:29.880 half is the number. Plus one sixty five for Miami. Look, 0:05:31.120 --> 0:05:32.560 this is a tough one here because there's a lot 0:05:32.560 --> 0:05:35.039 of unknowns. It feels like a stay away from me. 0:05:35.560 --> 0:05:37.320 If I had a lean right now, it would just 0:05:37.480 --> 0:05:40.320 be taking the value, which is the team coming off 0:05:40.360 --> 0:05:43.200 of bye, maybe having a better game plan, figuring out 0:05:43.240 --> 0:05:45.479 a way to get things right in Miami. I know 0:05:45.520 --> 0:05:47.599 the Miami defense hasn't played well, but neither was the 0:05:47.640 --> 0:05:51.120 Colts defense. So maybe, just maybe, just it was it 0:05:51.160 --> 0:05:53.400 closure eye special as terrell I to say plus one 0:05:53.480 --> 0:05:55.599 sixty five for the Miami Dolphins on the money line, 0:05:55.640 --> 0:05:58.359 like that's my instinct, but right now again more of 0:05:58.360 --> 0:06:00.360 it incomplete. When it comes to news for this game, 0:06:00.360 --> 0:06:01.800 do you feel the same way I do? 0:06:02.200 --> 0:06:02.800 I think that. 0:06:03.520 --> 0:06:05.360 I mean, how can you confantly back the Colts as 0:06:05.360 --> 0:06:06.920 four and a half point favorites when you don't know 0:06:06.960 --> 0:06:08.920 who their quarterback is going to be, and if it's 0:06:09.320 --> 0:06:12.000 their second year quarterback, you probably feel worse about their 0:06:12.120 --> 0:06:14.720 chances to win the game. Not Oh, they're gonna get 0:06:14.720 --> 0:06:17.119 their starter back. I feel good about them. You're probably 0:06:17.120 --> 0:06:19.760 gonna feel worse about the Colts if they get Anthony Richardson. 0:06:19.880 --> 0:06:22.120 So I agree again he was trending in the right 0:06:22.120 --> 0:06:24.080 direction to play. I'm not sure why it didn't work out, 0:06:24.520 --> 0:06:27.120 but yeah, I think Miami off the bye week, you 0:06:27.120 --> 0:06:29.400 look at one of the Colts' biggest weaknesses against the run. 0:06:29.560 --> 0:06:31.880 So even if Tyler helped me back on her center, 0:06:31.880 --> 0:06:32.760 he's a mobile quarterback. 0:06:32.800 --> 0:06:33.320 He can run. 0:06:33.600 --> 0:06:36.720 You have eight chan Moster Jalen Wright. Running backs that 0:06:36.720 --> 0:06:39.200 are coming off a bye week should be healthy potentially, 0:06:39.440 --> 0:06:40.320 so you can see them rip. 0:06:40.240 --> 0:06:42.680 Off some big plays. So I like the Dolphins here as. 0:06:42.560 --> 0:06:46.760 Well Tennessee Titans and Will Levis who did not quite 0:06:46.839 --> 0:06:49.680 cross the one hundred yard mark here for passing. Yeah, 0:06:49.680 --> 0:06:53.400 it's just the shy under there at ninety five. Well, 0:06:53.400 --> 0:06:55.200 they're gonna go to Buffalo. We'll see what the Bills 0:06:55.240 --> 0:06:57.440 do tonight on Monday Night football. I'll make sure you 0:06:57.480 --> 0:06:59.560 follow us on social media. My Monday Night Football bets 0:06:59.560 --> 0:07:01.919 are out and really hot last month or so, so 0:07:02.279 --> 0:07:04.640 check those out. All player props staying away from this game. 0:07:04.960 --> 0:07:06.640 I like the Bills to win, but I'm not betting 0:07:06.680 --> 0:07:08.640 on it. I'm betting on Breisee Hall. I'm betting on 0:07:08.720 --> 0:07:11.520 Josh Allen under for passing yards. But Allen at home 0:07:11.600 --> 0:07:13.600 eight and a half way favorites. This makes sense. Forty 0:07:13.600 --> 0:07:16.400 two and a half is the number, and then plus 0:07:16.400 --> 0:07:18.960 three fifty for the Tennessee upsite, which you can stick 0:07:19.000 --> 0:07:21.200 that one. I don't want it. I kind of want 0:07:21.200 --> 0:07:23.040 to see what the Buffalo Bills do today and I 0:07:23.120 --> 0:07:24.320 kind of want to see how they come out of 0:07:24.320 --> 0:07:26.560 this game in terms of health with the Jets defense 0:07:26.640 --> 0:07:29.440 before I get to Tennessee. But eight and a half, 0:07:29.560 --> 0:07:32.080 it's hard not to justify that number, Andrew. 0:07:32.400 --> 0:07:35.040 No, but we saw this last week with the Eagles 0:07:35.080 --> 0:07:37.600 being almost ten point favorites against the Brown Sometimes the 0:07:37.680 --> 0:07:38.960 number is just so big. 0:07:38.720 --> 0:07:41.920 Which we said, it's too big of a number exactly. 0:07:41.960 --> 0:07:43.960 So that's kind of like here, it's no, you don't 0:07:43.960 --> 0:07:45.920 feel comfortable back in the Titans, But that's why the 0:07:46.000 --> 0:07:47.880 number is so large as it is, especially because we 0:07:47.920 --> 0:07:49.680 don't know they haven't played yet, right, so what if 0:07:49.760 --> 0:07:51.440 Josh Allen gets banged up and then this number is 0:07:51.440 --> 0:07:53.480 gonna plumb it, so I think right now it's easy 0:07:53.520 --> 0:07:55.920 for me. The Titans, especially Bills, don't usually cover these 0:07:55.960 --> 0:07:58.480 massive spreads playing at home. We've seen them. They're a 0:07:58.520 --> 0:08:00.320 team that plays down in their competition. Coming off a 0:08:00.320 --> 0:08:04.040 big Monday night game against the Jets AFC East rival, 0:08:04.480 --> 0:08:06.640 I think that as gross as it sounds, I mean, 0:08:06.800 --> 0:08:08.200 eight and a half is just too many points. So 0:08:08.240 --> 0:08:10.120 I'll take the Titans speak gredging Lan and. 0:08:10.120 --> 0:08:12.080 Poward's played very well too. I think that's the lone 0:08:12.120 --> 0:08:15.680 bright spot there for the Tennessee Titans offense. I see 0:08:15.680 --> 0:08:17.520 what you're saying. I don't feel as strongly about this 0:08:17.560 --> 0:08:20.000 one as I did last week about the Cleveland Browns Eagles. 0:08:20.360 --> 0:08:22.880 That one I felt very confident in, and that did 0:08:22.880 --> 0:08:26.120 come to Fruition and Cincinnati and Cleveland. We'll see, well 0:08:26.160 --> 0:08:29.120 Deshaun Watson make it out of Week seven. Tune in 0:08:29.240 --> 0:08:32.719 to find out. The Cincinnati Bengals a four and a 0:08:32.720 --> 0:08:34.640 half point favorites on the road. Forty four and a 0:08:34.679 --> 0:08:36.880 half is the number plus one eighty. I'm just gonna 0:08:36.880 --> 0:08:38.720 copy and paste last week, which is I'm waiting for 0:08:38.760 --> 0:08:43.000 Winston to take over and kind of ruin the good time. Spread. 0:08:43.520 --> 0:08:45.880 That being said, I mean the Bengals should win this 0:08:46.000 --> 0:08:48.160 game in theory. I mean that's what they should do 0:08:48.800 --> 0:08:51.520 against the Cleveland Browns, but in division games are always tricky. 0:08:51.880 --> 0:08:54.560 It is on the road. Sininai's defense has played better 0:08:54.600 --> 0:08:57.560 but still not well. Andrew any early value on this 0:08:57.600 --> 0:08:58.640 one because I don't see much. 0:08:58.679 --> 0:09:01.960 What did you say, the spread one four and a half? Okay, 0:09:02.040 --> 0:09:05.319 right now, Courryah, that's pretty inligned with what I was projecting. 0:09:05.400 --> 0:09:09.080 So yeah, I think that on paper, we don't consider 0:09:09.120 --> 0:09:10.520 that it's a divisional match. Iup, you think, oh, this 0:09:10.600 --> 0:09:12.480 is easy spot for the Bengals, but we've seen the Bengals, 0:09:12.559 --> 0:09:15.880 especially Joe Burrows, struggle traditionally against AFC North opponents, Like 0:09:15.880 --> 0:09:18.440 we've seen this a lot, especially with the Browns defense, 0:09:18.480 --> 0:09:21.720 which has been very hotter cold, but much better defense 0:09:21.840 --> 0:09:23.480 at home. And you saw them at least show up 0:09:23.559 --> 0:09:25.920 last week against Philadelphi Eagles, who had all their weapons back. 0:09:26.120 --> 0:09:28.319 Eagles offense didn't look great, and that's his credit to 0:09:28.360 --> 0:09:31.040 the Cleveland Browns defense. So I think maybe for me 0:09:31.120 --> 0:09:33.959 it's be leaned towards the under here and when you're 0:09:33.960 --> 0:09:36.600 going back to yeah, maybe jamis Winson gets in. Maybe 0:09:36.600 --> 0:09:38.880 they're just at this point they're just hoping that Deshaun Watson, 0:09:38.880 --> 0:09:40.640 they're trying to get him to break the sack record 0:09:40.679 --> 0:09:42.920 at this point, and maybe the coach Exavas give it. 0:09:43.080 --> 0:09:44.960 There's no way he can last this entire season if 0:09:45.000 --> 0:09:48.080 he gets sacked six seven times every single game. 0:09:48.120 --> 0:09:48.480 I don't know. 0:09:48.559 --> 0:09:50.160 I mean, they say that he's gonna be the starter again, 0:09:50.240 --> 0:09:52.880 but for what it's worth, so I think right now, 0:09:52.920 --> 0:09:54.560 I'm probably just gonna be hands away from this game, 0:09:54.600 --> 0:09:55.640 except for maybe the under. 0:09:56.400 --> 0:09:58.040 All right, let's get to the next one on the board. 0:09:58.080 --> 0:09:58.240 Here. 0:09:58.320 --> 0:10:02.400 The Packers now four and two, hosting the Houston Texans. Now, 0:10:02.440 --> 0:10:04.760 the Houston Texans are three point underdogs here going to 0:10:04.800 --> 0:10:08.160 Green Bay. The numbers forty seven, the Houston money line 0:10:08.160 --> 0:10:10.640 plus one thirty is tempting because I think Houston has 0:10:10.640 --> 0:10:13.040 a real shot to win this game. Jordan Love throwing 0:10:13.080 --> 0:10:15.440 the ball all over the places, Christian Watson, Alvi, Romeo 0:10:15.480 --> 0:10:18.079 Dobbs back in the good graces. Jane Reid did pick 0:10:18.120 --> 0:10:20.040 up an injury there, so that's one to watch. But 0:10:20.640 --> 0:10:23.680 to me, the clear winner here is the over forty seven. 0:10:23.760 --> 0:10:25.320 That's where I want to go for this one? Where 0:10:25.320 --> 0:10:26.280 do you want to go? Andrew? 0:10:26.720 --> 0:10:29.760 Yeah, I think that the over is probably the play here. 0:10:29.840 --> 0:10:32.480 Jordan Love is kind of one of those streaky quarterbacks 0:10:32.480 --> 0:10:34.360 where it seems like he has one half of football 0:10:34.360 --> 0:10:37.079 where he's absolutely amazing. Right the last two weeks, it's 0:10:37.120 --> 0:10:38.959 been the second half where he's been amazing, and in 0:10:39.040 --> 0:10:40.839 this past game it was the first half. And then 0:10:41.800 --> 0:10:44.400 I'm like, twenty four to nothing, Why are the Cardinals 0:10:44.440 --> 0:10:45.720 getting back in this game? Why are they just not 0:10:45.760 --> 0:10:48.839 blowing out the Cardinals altogether? So I think that they 0:10:48.840 --> 0:10:51.360 still just have too much offensive firepower. And I would 0:10:51.360 --> 0:10:53.560 be maybe a little hesitant if Jaden Reid, you know, 0:10:53.600 --> 0:10:55.000 ends up missing this game because he's one of their 0:10:55.040 --> 0:10:57.960 biggest explosive playmakers. And you also don't have Nico Collins, 0:10:58.000 --> 0:10:59.760 but that you know, the Texans didn't nessily miss him 0:10:59.760 --> 0:11:02.319 against the Patriots. So yeah, I think for me, two 0:11:02.400 --> 0:11:06.800 young quarterbacks sending offenses defenses that I think can be exposed, 0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:08.520 I think, yeah, the over is probably the right move, 0:11:09.440 --> 0:11:09.840 all right. 0:11:09.880 --> 0:11:12.600 Next on the docket, we have the Atlanta Falcons who 0:11:12.640 --> 0:11:16.040 are riding high. No traps for them. They're at home 0:11:16.080 --> 0:11:17.840 taking on the Seahawks, who are now three and three 0:11:17.920 --> 0:11:21.719 after Cinderella turned into a pumpkin and real competition showed up. 0:11:21.920 --> 0:11:24.720 So Falcons continue to look really sharp here. The offense 0:11:24.760 --> 0:11:26.920 is humming, everybody's getting work. I love to see what 0:11:26.960 --> 0:11:29.800 Kirk Cousins is doing. Their three point favorites against Seattle. 0:11:30.160 --> 0:11:31.880 Forty nine and a half is the number. It's a 0:11:31.880 --> 0:11:34.600 pretty big number there plus one thirty on Seattle for 0:11:34.600 --> 0:11:37.360 the money line. I will take the Falcons here with 0:11:37.400 --> 0:11:39.920 the points and the three. I think they handle their business. 0:11:39.960 --> 0:11:43.240 I think Seattle's got some holes. I think they're again 0:11:43.760 --> 0:11:46.600 exactly who you look at. They're a mediocre team, and 0:11:46.840 --> 0:11:49.319 I think they can beat the teams that are beneath them, 0:11:49.440 --> 0:11:51.319 and I think any team that's got better personnel and 0:11:51.360 --> 0:11:53.079 coaching ahead of them, they are going to lose to. 0:11:53.640 --> 0:11:55.880 That kind of feels like the identity of the Seahawks 0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:57.920 now that we are in Week seven. Do you agree 0:11:58.000 --> 0:11:58.959 or disagree with that fact? 0:11:59.040 --> 0:12:01.720 I would agree the Seattle Seahawks. We were kind of 0:12:01.920 --> 0:12:05.480 always skeptical based on well, they're the cakewalk scheduled to 0:12:05.480 --> 0:12:08.000 open the year. They're facing rookie quarterback after rookie quarterback 0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:10.240 backups all over the place, and then when they've actually 0:12:10.280 --> 0:12:12.240 played real opponents the last couple of weeks they have 0:12:12.600 --> 0:12:14.840 fallen just short. So I mean, yeah, right now the 0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:17.680 Falcons offenses, he's cooking right, Kirk Cousin looks really good. 0:12:17.679 --> 0:12:19.839 The run game is getting going. They're kind of firing 0:12:19.840 --> 0:12:22.520 on all facets. So I think right now, Atlanta at home. 0:12:22.559 --> 0:12:24.720 I looked at this game and my projections at more 0:12:24.720 --> 0:12:28.240 like Atlanta minus three and a half. So at minus three, yeah, 0:12:28.280 --> 0:12:30.160 I like the Falcons at home. No. 0:12:30.280 --> 0:12:32.520 Right. The next one we have is a great match 0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:35.320 up here, the Minnesota Vikings, undefeated, fresh off the by 0:12:35.960 --> 0:12:38.200 five and zero, taking on the Detroit Lions, who just 0:12:39.040 --> 0:12:42.080 put on a clinic against the Cowboys. Just embarrassing. How 0:12:42.760 --> 0:12:44.880 they keep getting their ass kicked at home and McCarthy's 0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:46.719 allows a job. I don't know. I just I don't 0:12:46.760 --> 0:12:48.640 know how it happened last year in the playoffs against 0:12:48.640 --> 0:12:52.880 Green Bay, and it just keeps happening. This one's close. 0:12:52.960 --> 0:12:55.840 The Vikings at home one and a half point favorites 0:12:55.880 --> 0:12:57.920 at minus one. Ten fifty and a half is the 0:12:58.040 --> 0:13:00.839 number even money on Detroit and the money line minus 0:13:00.880 --> 0:13:03.320 won twenty four of the Minnesota Vikings to win. This 0:13:03.320 --> 0:13:05.440 looks like a fun one. It's a very high total 0:13:05.559 --> 0:13:07.200 fifty and a half. Do you think it lives up 0:13:07.200 --> 0:13:08.760 to expectations, Andrew. 0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:09.240 I don't think so. 0:13:09.559 --> 0:13:12.320 I think that this is probably an underspot for me. 0:13:12.720 --> 0:13:15.719 Looking at the Vikings. What's their strength, right, you look 0:13:15.720 --> 0:13:18.120 at their defense. I know Sam Donald has played really well, 0:13:18.160 --> 0:13:19.800 but he was a little bit more shaky in the 0:13:19.840 --> 0:13:22.880 Jets matchup. They didn't necessarily fire on all cylinders in 0:13:22.920 --> 0:13:25.079 that particular game, So maybe the Lions have Again, They're 0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:27.400 gonna be aout eight Huchinson, so that's a big hurdle 0:13:27.440 --> 0:13:30.440 for them to overcome defensively. But I think the Vikings 0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:33.320 defense can definitely thrown off at Jared Goff where they 0:13:33.320 --> 0:13:36.000 can actually stop the run, which the Dallas Cowboys cannot. 0:13:36.120 --> 0:13:39.640 So if Detroit is running into stack boxes and not 0:13:39.679 --> 0:13:42.120 necessarily picking up first down, you could see this game 0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:44.840 stalling out a little bit. So again, at this number, 0:13:45.000 --> 0:13:47.920 it's Jarreed Goff or Sam Darnold, right, that's what we're 0:13:47.920 --> 0:13:49.880 expecting to be a fifty one point, fifty one and 0:13:49.880 --> 0:13:52.040 a half point game. That seems a little aggressive to me, 0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:54.439 So I like the under here just because the number 0:13:54.480 --> 0:13:56.640 is is just so massive, And I want to ask 0:13:56.640 --> 0:13:59.720 you something. Do you think that the Vikings are favored 0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:01.679 because they're just undefeated and it's hey, you know, you 0:14:01.679 --> 0:14:03.480 guys are undefeated, you haven't lost, you're playing at home. 0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:05.040 That's why you are the favorites. Or do you think 0:14:05.040 --> 0:14:07.559 they're actually the better team between the Vikings and Lines. 0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:09.800 You know, this is an interesting one. That's a really 0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:12.360 interesting question because I think the Vikings have started to 0:14:12.400 --> 0:14:14.079 get tested a little bit. You know, that Jets game 0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:16.000 was a little bit of a test for them. You know, 0:14:16.360 --> 0:14:18.840 I don't think where they've caught certain teams. They've caught 0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:21.440 them when they were down, I think, which has been beneficial. 0:14:21.480 --> 0:14:24.200 But I think it's a matter of the Vikings defense 0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:26.640 has been good. They're at home again, it's only one 0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:27.840 and a half, so it's not like you're getting two 0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:30.880 and a half or three here. So no matter what 0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:33.800 we saw in the Detroit Lions this past week beating 0:14:33.840 --> 0:14:36.600 up on Dallas, that doesn't necessarily carry over. This is 0:14:36.640 --> 0:14:39.000 these are teams that know each other well in the division, 0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:41.880 you know, tense situation. I think there's a lot of 0:14:41.880 --> 0:14:44.120 reasons to favor I would be favoring Minnesota in this game. 0:14:44.160 --> 0:14:46.880 That's exactly the line I would say, especially with Hutchinson out, 0:14:46.880 --> 0:14:49.360 because when you lose that pass rush, you allow Sam 0:14:49.440 --> 0:14:52.120 Darnold to complete more passes. And he's been able to 0:14:52.640 --> 0:14:54.320 show you that he can sit there in the pocket 0:14:54.360 --> 0:14:57.600 and deliver over and over again. So I think this 0:14:57.680 --> 0:14:59.480 line is exactly right. The fifteen and a half does 0:14:59.520 --> 0:15:01.520 seem a little large, and for an Indivision game, I 0:15:01.520 --> 0:15:03.480 think I would shade the under two. But this is 0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:06.840 another more of like a stay away from me or 0:15:07.040 --> 0:15:09.200 you know, just kind of look at some props instead. 0:15:09.240 --> 0:15:11.760 Speaking of props, there's no line you can set that 0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:13.840 I won't go over on this week with Saekon Barkley. 0:15:14.160 --> 0:15:16.920 None zero. You know why because he's going back to 0:15:16.960 --> 0:15:19.720 New York to face the Giants. So the Giants are 0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:22.160 four point underdog. Saquon Barkley comes into town. It gets 0:15:22.200 --> 0:15:26.200 to remind everybody, Hey, remember me, I'm Saquon, I'm the franchise, 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:28.240 and you didn't want to pay me. This is a 0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:30.400 now you talking about revenge game. To hear that nerves 0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:33.000 so much in this what we do. This is a 0:15:33.040 --> 0:15:34.880 revenge game. This is a I'm gonna stick it up 0:15:34.920 --> 0:15:37.360 your rear end. This is why you sign with the Eagles, 0:15:37.520 --> 0:15:40.040 because if you're Saquon Barkley for this moment in New York, 0:15:40.520 --> 0:15:42.000 forty five and a half is a number. I don't 0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:45.120 want that plus one seventy for the Giants. I certainly 0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:47.360 don't want that. I don't even want the minus four 0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:49.840 for the Eagles. All I want is Saquon Barkley in 0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:52.640 this game, all the overs. I think that leans towards 0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:55.400 a victory here for the Eagles, I would assume. But 0:15:55.560 --> 0:15:59.480 my faith in Nick Sirianni is very very little at 0:15:59.480 --> 0:15:59.960 this stage. 0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:02.800 Ericson, I mean, is it? He's going up talking smack 0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:05.400 to his own face. What are we doing, dude? 0:16:05.400 --> 0:16:08.560 In Philadelphia? No good can come of that. I lived 0:16:08.560 --> 0:16:12.000 in Philly for six and a half years. Nothing, no 0:16:12.040 --> 0:16:14.760 good can come of this. Nick, trust me, he's falling 0:16:14.800 --> 0:16:16.320 apart with the Seams. I think he really is. 0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:19.600 I really do so for me, Yeah, yeah, the Eagle 0:16:19.600 --> 0:16:23.000 should win this game, but how many points is it by? Again, 0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.120 the coaching matchup, I think Dabele's the better coach here, 0:16:26.160 --> 0:16:28.280 So that doesn't make me feel great about backing Philly. 0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:30.440 But I will say from the total perspective, I do 0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:33.160 like the under. We saw the Giants defense play. I 0:16:33.200 --> 0:16:35.560 mean they slowed down the Bengals offense. No one has 0:16:35.560 --> 0:16:36.880 done that up to this point. As bad as the 0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:39.160 Bengals defense has been, you know, the Giants defense was 0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:41.440 able to slow them down and have answers for Jamar 0:16:41.480 --> 0:16:43.400