1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,600
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast podcas All right, here.

2
00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:12,480
Speaker 2: We go spreading the court.

3
00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:16,240
Speaker 1: Ten seconds remaining, so just go show under the basket.

4
00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:18,720
Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's the crew for the wind.

5
00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:21,680
Speaker 3: God make a miracle.

6
00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:27,160
Speaker 2: I'd go up the water hit that one from the

7
00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:27,960
Speaker 2: parking lot.

8
00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:32,839
Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. I am

9
00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:35,960
Speaker 4: your host, Jim Root, joined by the rest of the

10
00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:38,559
Speaker 4: three man Weave crew, Kai McEwan and Matt Cox. We

11
00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:42,199
Speaker 4: are back for another season on the Action Network Podfeed.

12
00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:46,279
Speaker 4: We are pumped. It is not our typical Wednesday episode anymore.

13
00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:49,879
Speaker 4: We have altered our recording schedule. We're talking Monday and

14
00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:53,320
Speaker 4: Tuesday games for now. We might flip it later in

15
00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:56,720
Speaker 4: the in the season once Stuckey flips over to college

16
00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:59,200
Speaker 4: basketball from the college football world, but as of now,

17
00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:01,680
Speaker 4: it is a Monday and Tuesday focus show. We're going

18
00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,200
Speaker 4: to go through all kinds of different games there. We're

19
00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:06,800
Speaker 4: going to talk the biggest games, the biggest mid major games,

20
00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,680
Speaker 4: go back to live Dogs as we always had last year,

21
00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:13,280
Speaker 4: some favorite favorites, the old overdogs as Stucky calls it,

22
00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:17,080
Speaker 4: some spots that we like on Monday and Tuesday, we'll

23
00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,080
Speaker 4: dive into some trash. We have a little spotlight and

24
00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:21,240
Speaker 4: then we'll give you a recap what we like, what

25
00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:23,040
Speaker 4: we are actually locking in, what we are going to

26
00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:27,120
Speaker 4: be backing on Monday and Tuesday. We'll get through all that, Kai, Matt,

27
00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:30,360
Speaker 4: let's get to it, Fellas. We're starting with the big

28
00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:33,760
Speaker 4: games of the week, and this is really the Jimmy V.

29
00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:36,680
Speaker 2: Classic on Tuesday. We love the Jimmy V. Classic. We

30
00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:39,400
Speaker 2: watch the speech between games. It's mandatory.

31
00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:41,360
Speaker 4: You must do that if you're a college basketball fan.

32
00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:46,280
Speaker 4: Matt were kingoff with Arkansas Michigan first one, Michigan minus

33
00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:48,120
Speaker 4: four here against Pig Suey.

34
00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:50,680
Speaker 3: What do you got, well, Jimmy, it wouldn't be a

35
00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:54,400
Speaker 3: full day unless you went, laughed, cried, showed emotion and

36
00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:57,040
Speaker 3: then also faded Arkansas in this spot. I just I

37
00:01:57,080 --> 00:01:59,560
Speaker 3: don't think the Pigsouey Razorbacks have it this year.

38
00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:00,440
Speaker 1: They don't have yet.

39
00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:03,400
Speaker 3: Cali Party has talked about how he loves the ceiling,

40
00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:06,080
Speaker 3: loves the individual pieces, but I mean, have all the

41
00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:09,200
Speaker 3: coaches of the Power Conference that are just pulling random

42
00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:12,080
Speaker 3: levers with rotations a lot of it Obviously, Kai is

43
00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,120
Speaker 3: the lack of depth he has, But I think Michigan,

44
00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:16,160
Speaker 3: with the way they've played so far. Dusty made the

45
00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:18,959
Speaker 3: two big twin tower seven foot pick and roll action

46
00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:21,440
Speaker 3: with Lad and Danny Wolf tough to prepare for him.

47
00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:23,320
Speaker 3: I think they get it done here. Yeah, it is,

48
00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:25,960
Speaker 3: and we should mention minus four per Kin Pom. We're

49
00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:29,320
Speaker 3: gonna use Kin Pom lines to kind of level set.

50
00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:32,000
Speaker 5: We'll say the market might not reflect that totally on

51
00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:35,560
Speaker 5: the opener, but it's a general good litmus tests. Yeah.

52
00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:39,600
Speaker 5: Right now, for me, these teams feel miles apart. Arkansas

53
00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,560
Speaker 5: hasn't necessarily done anything wrong from a win loss perspective,

54
00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:45,600
Speaker 5: but the wins have not been comfortable and they're two

55
00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:46,639
Speaker 5: and seven against the spread.

56
00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:49,839
Speaker 6: Not a feel good situation for Cali par right now.

57
00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:52,400
Speaker 5: They have kept opponents off the boards, But I do

58
00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:55,880
Speaker 5: think Golden and Wolf, to Matt's point, are a different beast.

59
00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:59,960
Speaker 5: I think Michigan's pressure can bother Arkansas a bit shaky

60
00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:03,840
Speaker 5: so far this season their guards. I do think Michigan

61
00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:04,640
Speaker 5: is going to take this.

62
00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:07,520
Speaker 6: Game four points. I would lean their way if that

63
00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:08,640
Speaker 6: ends up being the line.

64
00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:10,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't think i'd lay anything over for but

65
00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:14,280
Speaker 4: I'm with you, guys, Michigan's just way more finished product

66
00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:17,560
Speaker 4: to Esque. Right now, they're more adult team bunch of

67
00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:21,240
Speaker 4: fifthyear seniors on that squad compared to Boogie Flann arguably

68
00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:23,079
Speaker 4: being the best player as a freshman for Arkansas.

69
00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:24,960
Speaker 2: They're still figuring it out, finding their way.

70
00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:27,200
Speaker 4: The one concern in Michigan is they turn it over

71
00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:29,880
Speaker 4: a ton bottom thirty in the country and turnover rate.

72
00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:32,600
Speaker 4: They have had issues with that against a somewhat stronger

73
00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:35,200
Speaker 4: schedule so far, and Arkansas can pressure a little bit.

74
00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,560
Speaker 4: So maybe the Razorbacks create some points with defense turning

75
00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:41,720
Speaker 4: into offense. But as Kay said, Michigan can do that

76
00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:46,040
Speaker 4: same thing, and they have the gigantic four or five.

77
00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:48,000
Speaker 2: Pick and roll that Matt also alluded to.

78
00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:50,040
Speaker 4: It it's fun to watch Danny Wolf handle it like

79
00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:51,440
Speaker 4: a guard out there, throw it over the top to

80
00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:52,280
Speaker 4: Golden for a dunk.

81
00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:54,280
Speaker 3: It didn't look good. That's actually where all the turnovers

82
00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:55,680
Speaker 3: came from. The first like two weeks of the year.

83
00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:58,200
Speaker 3: It was like Danny Wolf's like really trying to find himself,

84
00:03:58,240 --> 00:03:59,880
Speaker 3: and now it looks really good. So I think that

85
00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:04,200
Speaker 3: sort of an undervalued element to Michigan's stylistic handicap they're

86
00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:06,160
Speaker 3: not turning over because they're all smart and they know

87
00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:08,720
Speaker 3: how to play in this weird, unorthodox lineup that May

88
00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:09,880
Speaker 3: is constructed.

89
00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:11,680
Speaker 2: Yep, and they find ways to score despite the turnovers.

90
00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:14,120
Speaker 4: It's still top fifty offense and they're having two rim

91
00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:16,680
Speaker 4: protectors on the floor most of the time. Makes it

92
00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:18,400
Speaker 4: really really hard to score on that number eight.

93
00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,200
Speaker 2: In the country in two point percentage of defense.

94
00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:22,760
Speaker 4: So yeah, we like Michigan, that's what we're looking I

95
00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,479
Speaker 4: would not lay over for, like I said, but definitely

96
00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:29,200
Speaker 4: definitely interested there. The other game in this doubleheader is

97
00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:33,840
Speaker 4: much more one sided, Tennessee laying fifteen per Kenpom against

98
00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:38,320
Speaker 4: Miami Florida, who Kai is already circling the drain as

99
00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:40,920
Speaker 4: Jimmy Laira Naga on his way out the door. It's

100
00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:44,200
Speaker 4: been ugly for their Hurricanes so far. Do the balls

101
00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:45,360
Speaker 4: just demolish them?

102
00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:46,080
Speaker 2: What are we looking at?

103
00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:49,320
Speaker 5: Yes, money can't buy you happiness, jim Miami is full

104
00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:53,080
Speaker 5: proof of that concept. A beatdown it might be. In

105
00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:56,560
Speaker 5: no question. Tennessee's been immense. They're number two in kim

106
00:04:56,600 --> 00:04:58,599
Speaker 5: Pom right now. We'll see later. They are one of

107
00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:01,720
Speaker 5: the best ATS team in the country. They're hitting out

108
00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:04,800
Speaker 5: all cylinders right now. Miami season, to me, it's over.

109
00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:05,840
Speaker 6: You know, maybe they.

110
00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:07,680
Speaker 5: Bounce back a little bit in acc play, but I

111
00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:10,719
Speaker 5: don't even think that happens. I think they have no

112
00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:14,360
Speaker 5: shot in this game. You aren't scoring inside against Tennessee.

113
00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:17,400
Speaker 5: Miami really struggles to shoot, at least this season, at

114
00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:19,560
Speaker 5: least in the early going. Their offense has been good,

115
00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:22,120
Speaker 5: but that from the outside. I do not trust them

116
00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:25,200
Speaker 5: to hit shots, hit three pointers. It's a glass bloodbath.

117
00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:27,880
Speaker 5: On the other end, mat I think Tennessee scores pretty much,

118
00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:31,520
Speaker 5: it will, especially inside. Yeah, it's gonna be a blowout

119
00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:33,960
Speaker 5: in my opinion, So I would lean towards Tennessee.

120
00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:38,480
Speaker 3: I can't even contrive any entririon take here. Like Tennessee's

121
00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:40,279
Speaker 3: been off for a week. I don't know if they

122
00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:42,640
Speaker 3: have finals to speak Like, maybe that's a thing.

123
00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:43,839
Speaker 1: Just this year.

124
00:05:43,880 --> 00:05:45,840
Speaker 3: Fact that it's college basketball, the team that's lost six

125
00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:48,159
Speaker 3: in a row against the team that looks invincible. You

126
00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:50,599
Speaker 3: could maybe see Miami coming out and making like ten

127
00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:52,840
Speaker 3: threes in the first half. Tennessee looks really cold. Their

128
00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:56,039
Speaker 3: offense is stagnant. I don't know that's reaching Jim grasking

129
00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:57,839
Speaker 3: for straws. I don't see any way any reason this

130
00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:01,760
Speaker 3: isn't gonna be double digits. It's sixteen fifty seventeen. I

131
00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:05,880
Speaker 3: could see this be induced closer to twenty, just with

132
00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:09,640
Speaker 3: how stark these two teams look right now. But yeah, no,

133
00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:11,480
Speaker 3: I'm not this is I'm not get involved in this game.

134
00:06:11,480 --> 00:06:14,400
Speaker 3: This spreads me too big Lake game garbage stuff.

135
00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:14,719
Speaker 6: I don't know.

136
00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:16,159
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna I will be betting this.

137
00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:18,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, I probably won't bet it, but if it was

138
00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:20,039
Speaker 4: gun to my head, I would be of all.

139
00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:22,760
Speaker 2: I just don't really have a lot of interest in Miami.

140
00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,159
Speaker 4: I backed them against Clemson and they were in it

141
00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,640
Speaker 4: most of the way and then just kind of melted

142
00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:31,400
Speaker 4: down the end. Really couldn't handle the physicality inside of Clemson.

143
00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:35,360
Speaker 4: And if you can't handle Clemson, Milicic and Okpara are

144
00:06:35,400 --> 00:06:38,239
Speaker 4: going to beat you up inside. Tennessee is a gritty,

145
00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:40,480
Speaker 4: tough team. They're going to put an incredible ball. Pressure

146
00:06:40,520 --> 00:06:42,680
Speaker 4: was the Kay Zigler, the raining SEC defensive Player of

147
00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:47,320
Speaker 4: the Year. Mayshack is everywhere guarding everybody. I don't see

148
00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:49,880
Speaker 4: a path for Miami right now, and it does feel

149
00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:54,039
Speaker 4: like they put out two awesome efforts fell short against Arkansas,

150
00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:56,560
Speaker 4: fell short against Clemson, and now they have to go

151
00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:57,359
Speaker 4: play in.

152
00:06:57,200 --> 00:06:59,000
Speaker 2: One of the top five teams in the country. Good luck.

153
00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:01,960
Speaker 4: Like it's it's just again, I said, circling the drain.

154
00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:04,960
Speaker 4: It does feel like their season is almost over already,

155
00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:07,600
Speaker 4: like they can't get that large. It's I don't know

156
00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:10,400
Speaker 4: what they're playing for besides the NC State miracle run

157
00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:11,360
Speaker 4: of the a SEC tournament.

158
00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:12,360
Speaker 2: That's that's their home head.

159
00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:15,320
Speaker 3: We speculated the nil checks are going to cash end

160
00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:17,240
Speaker 3: of December, so maybe they're c g's left in the

161
00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:20,080
Speaker 3: tank contractually to collect those. But then after December and

162
00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:21,680
Speaker 3: it's just you know, all bets are off at that.

163
00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,400
Speaker 4: Point, play out the string through conference play. Yeah, that

164
00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:28,200
Speaker 4: does sound likely. Okay, one other Marquee game, let's discuss here,

165
00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:31,960
Speaker 4: Wisconsin headed to Illinois and the Big Ten. Wisconsin coming

166
00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,240
Speaker 4: off the loss to Marquette at five Serve where the

167
00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:36,880
Speaker 4: Golden Eagles really handled them and scored at will and

168
00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:39,680
Speaker 4: Illinois coming off a loss up here in Chicago where

169
00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:42,600
Speaker 4: we all reside, losing at Welsh Ryan in overtime to

170
00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:47,000
Speaker 4: Northwestern Matthias ken pom as this Illinois minus six, you

171
00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:49,400
Speaker 4: are the world's biggest Illinois hater.

172
00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,240
Speaker 2: For the listeners new to the pod, Matt All through

173
00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:55,280
Speaker 2: prec versions was digging on the A line.

174
00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:56,960
Speaker 4: You've come around a little bit, though, So where do

175
00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:59,960
Speaker 4: you land on? John Tanjay and the Badgers going to Champagne?

176
00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:03,560
Speaker 3: Everybody's coming around? Well, hey, I'm not I'm sorry. I

177
00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,000
Speaker 3: like the Badgers here as a road short dog. The

178
00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:08,640
Speaker 3: number is going to be key here, right kem pom

179
00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:11,840
Speaker 3: minus six? I got to think it's closer to like four.

180
00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:14,960
Speaker 3: We'll see kai and he gets we higher than that.

181
00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:19,640
Speaker 3: I know the allt of respected in betting markets and analytically,

182
00:08:19,680 --> 00:08:21,920
Speaker 3: so maybe maybe six is actually a pretty good indicator.

183
00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:24,440
Speaker 3: I just think the matchup here is going to favor Wisconsin.

184
00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:26,679
Speaker 3: I think they can keep them in the half court

185
00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:28,320
Speaker 3: and illinoy in the half court. As we sort of

186
00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:32,440
Speaker 3: saw against Northwestern, they get very isolation y and very

187
00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:35,680
Speaker 3: shot makers, shot making reliant. Now, maybe Underwood makes adjustments

188
00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:37,560
Speaker 3: coming out of that game. But I think for a

189
00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:39,800
Speaker 3: young Illinois team, I know they are at home here,

190
00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:41,440
Speaker 3: they should play better at home. Maybe they can kind

191
00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:43,920
Speaker 3: of get out in transition find some opportunities here. But

192
00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:45,599
Speaker 3: I just think that that was sort of a blueprint

193
00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:48,800
Speaker 3: to stall this very potent talent in Illinois offense. If

194
00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:51,400
Speaker 3: teams can replicate it the way Northwestern did, we'll see.

195
00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:53,439
Speaker 3: I like the Badgers though, think the spot kind of

196
00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:54,520
Speaker 3: sets up pretty well too.

197
00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:56,719
Speaker 5: Yeah, I do think it'll be better up, but I

198
00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:59,720
Speaker 5: think we've seen a lot of home biased in the

199
00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:03,319
Speaker 5: market so far. In true to the Big Ten's reputations.

200
00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:06,000
Speaker 5: So far, they're home team's nine to four straight up.

201
00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:07,800
Speaker 5: That's the second best mark right now in kem POM.

202
00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:11,319
Speaker 5: Very early on in conference play, obviously, but Big Ten

203
00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:15,400
Speaker 5: home court matters. Wisconsin not quite in my opinion, the

204
00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:17,960
Speaker 5: same defense in the half court this season as Northwestern

205
00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:21,320
Speaker 5: as Northwestern really gets in your jock, extremely physical, Not

206
00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:24,000
Speaker 5: that Wisconsin can't be that, but not quite the same

207
00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:27,360
Speaker 5: terrifying defense in my opinion. Well, where is me about Illinois?

208
00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:29,560
Speaker 5: And I think Illinois is a very good team. They're

209
00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:31,160
Speaker 5: gonna be great at the end of the year, but

210
00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:33,880
Speaker 5: they're still really young, and we mentioned they're still trying

211
00:09:33,880 --> 00:09:37,000
Speaker 5: to figure it out. Casparis and Kutzionas has been awesome.

212
00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:39,680
Speaker 5: He did make some great individual plays, but still really

213
00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:43,320
Speaker 5: young team and gets a really experienced Badger team now, Jim,

214
00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:45,760
Speaker 5: Illinois does not foul a whole lot. Wisconsin's been a

215
00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:48,360
Speaker 5: little bit foul merchiny this season, getting to the free

216
00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:51,440
Speaker 5: throw line, especially Tanjay. Maybe that's an advantage that Illinois

217
00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:53,559
Speaker 5: plays a little more disciplined, But I do kind of

218
00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:55,960
Speaker 5: lean towards Wisconsin as well, just because of the experience

219
00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:58,920
Speaker 5: factor Wisconsin bouncing back. I know Illinois lost as well

220
00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:01,720
Speaker 5: last game, but Badgers I think a really tough team

221
00:10:01,720 --> 00:10:02,560
Speaker 5: to beat by margin.

222
00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:04,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, this one's a sit out for me, Like I

223
00:10:04,559 --> 00:10:07,559
Speaker 4: make this almost exactly what Ken Palm has it. I

224
00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,520
Speaker 4: see some advantages for both teams, Like I think Wisconsin

225
00:10:10,520 --> 00:10:13,480
Speaker 4: can be feisty, but Illinois back home for the young

226
00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:15,360
Speaker 4: team in front of their own in front of their

227
00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:17,480
Speaker 4: home crowd, I think that matters a lot for them,

228
00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:20,880
Speaker 4: and coming off the loss, I'd rather be back the

229
00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:23,120
Speaker 4: team going home than the one going on the road

230
00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:25,319
Speaker 4: again the way the Badgers are, but not going to

231
00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,520
Speaker 4: take a side, I kind of in terms the over here,

232
00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:31,760
Speaker 4: Wisconsin has been like a monster over team this season.

233
00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,160
Speaker 2: It's been fun to wager on it. It's like it's weird.

234
00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:38,320
Speaker 4: I'm backing Wisconsin overs confidently, and I think Illinois can't

235
00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:40,120
Speaker 4: speed them up a little bit, and even if they can't,

236
00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:42,400
Speaker 4: they can score as efficiently in a half court.

237
00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:45,200
Speaker 2: As Marquette did. Marquette just cut them to ribbons.

238
00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:46,920
Speaker 4: And I could definitely see Illinois doing the same thing

239
00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:49,000
Speaker 4: at home with the passing that they have. Evasitch was

240
00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:52,600
Speaker 4: a great post passer against Northwestern, scored much that way,

241
00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:55,640
Speaker 4: and they've got cutters rebounders, and I don't think Ben

242
00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,400
Speaker 4: Hummerkows will go one for a million from three again.

243
00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:00,000
Speaker 2: That really killed them at Northwestern.

244
00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:03,160
Speaker 6: To your point, the over Wisconsin eight and too to

245
00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:04,360
Speaker 6: the over this season.

246
00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:07,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's it's wild and the numbers have been getting higher,

247
00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:09,319
Speaker 4: Like they had a one hundred and fifty total against

248
00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:11,000
Speaker 4: Marquette and it soared over.

249
00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:13,240
Speaker 2: It was over with like five minutes left. It was great.

250
00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:15,840
Speaker 4: I enjoyed a comfy, cozy winner on that one. Kay

251
00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:20,920
Speaker 4: Next up, mid Major Games of the Week of the

252
00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:24,200
Speaker 4: Day of Monday slash Tuesday. A couple of these will

253
00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:26,160
Speaker 4: come up in other sections as well, but we're just

254
00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:28,720
Speaker 4: going to talk about them from a broad stroke sense

255
00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:33,320
Speaker 4: right now. Charleston heading to Saint Joseph's College of Charleston

256
00:11:33,400 --> 00:11:36,199
Speaker 4: was a Darling. Early in the season, Ante Berzevich has

257
00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:37,679
Speaker 4: been a total monster.

258
00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:39,760
Speaker 2: For them to big lefty Croatian. They play through him

259
00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:40,240
Speaker 2: on the block.

260
00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:42,240
Speaker 4: He can score, he can pass, he can run, he

261
00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:44,679
Speaker 4: can grab and go off the off the defensive boards,

262
00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:48,400
Speaker 4: and then Saint Joseph's electric guard combos Davy Brown, Eric

263
00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:51,320
Speaker 4: Reynolds Kaile worry a little bit about the match up

264
00:11:51,360 --> 00:11:56,040
Speaker 4: here with with Fleming and Ajigbo to potentially defend Berzhevich,

265
00:11:56,920 --> 00:12:02,200
Speaker 4: But there's also a spot here for for Saint Joe's

266
00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:05,400
Speaker 4: coming off the Philly five Championship. It's Billy Lang team.

267
00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:08,280
Speaker 4: I don't know, Yeah, it's Billy Lang team. The coaching

268
00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:10,360
Speaker 4: edge is huge, Chris Mack versus Billy Lang. I know

269
00:12:10,400 --> 00:12:12,960
Speaker 4: which coach I prefer. Which Sat Joe's team shows up

270
00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:14,800
Speaker 4: is a really good question. The team that beat Texas

271
00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:17,559
Speaker 4: Tech or the team that lost to Central Connecticut. They

272
00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:20,480
Speaker 4: are like Ultimate jekylin high team, so much talent. They

273
00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:21,520
Speaker 4: have a talent edge in this game.

274
00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:24,200
Speaker 5: And I can't think of a better person I'd rather

275
00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:27,120
Speaker 5: have on Berzovich than ra Sheer Fleming. I think he

276
00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:29,280
Speaker 5: can blanket him and he can pretty much stick with him.

277
00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:33,520
Speaker 5: In all facets. Burzovich a very versatile player. Fleming more versatile,

278
00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:37,080
Speaker 5: especially on the defensive end. Charles has been solid. They

279
00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:39,840
Speaker 5: got smashed in by Fau and Liberty. I'm not sure

280
00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:41,880
Speaker 5: that I think they kind of wore down in that

281
00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:45,839
Speaker 5: field in that tournament. I do think they bounce back

282
00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:47,640
Speaker 5: a bit and again with the coaching edge, I would

283
00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:50,839
Speaker 5: prefer their side if had to, if I had to

284
00:12:50,920 --> 00:12:51,520
Speaker 5: choose a side.

285
00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:54,400
Speaker 3: Matthew and Charleston I think is getting better. They were

286
00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:56,319
Speaker 3: a little bit shorthanded to start the year. Boyd was

287
00:12:56,360 --> 00:12:59,040
Speaker 3: out one of their key players. I think they're still

288
00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:00,880
Speaker 3: out Jackson front see I think he's out for the year.

289
00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:03,280
Speaker 3: Correct me if I'm wrong. He doesn't matter, But it

290
00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:05,559
Speaker 3: doesn't matter. He was pretty good in those first two games.

291
00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:08,960
Speaker 3: She could shoot her depth for that. That system matters

292
00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:11,240
Speaker 3: a little bit. I think the team you saw that

293
00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:13,040
Speaker 3: looked really impressive in the opener. I guess the first

294
00:13:13,080 --> 00:13:15,040
Speaker 3: two games, really guess first three games. They went three

295
00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:18,920
Speaker 3: not to start right Fau South Florida SIU. They lost

296
00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:20,559
Speaker 3: Fuldon for a game. I think now you're getting a

297
00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:23,280
Speaker 3: little bit of a kind of a slowly subtly improving

298
00:13:23,360 --> 00:13:26,920
Speaker 3: Charleston team that if it is anywhere close to like eight,

299
00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:29,360
Speaker 3: I just don't like laying anything more than like five

300
00:13:29,400 --> 00:13:31,920
Speaker 3: points of Billy Lank just kind of general. I know

301
00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:33,560
Speaker 3: it could be a good spot. I think talent wise,

302
00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:37,000
Speaker 3: you're right. Saint Joe's talent is is. It's impressive. I

303
00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:38,520
Speaker 3: think you have to want you to see it to

304
00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:42,120
Speaker 3: really appreciate it. But I like mac and and just

305
00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:44,640
Speaker 3: the dog ish angle there more.

306
00:13:45,160 --> 00:13:47,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll bet Charleston if it's seven or lower. If

307
00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:49,800
Speaker 4: it's eight where Kenmum's at it, I'll be excited. I'll

308
00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:52,360
Speaker 4: happily take that. I know that there is the matchup concern.

309
00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:55,480
Speaker 4: One thing I will say is watching the Saint Joe's

310
00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:59,040
Speaker 4: Villanova game, Fleming got two fouls guarding Dixon and Billy

311
00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:00,839
Speaker 4: lang is three hundred fIF fieth in the country and

312
00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:04,520
Speaker 4: two foul participation. He just sat flomming down for sixteen minutes.

313
00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:06,680
Speaker 4: Was like, you're not playing until the second half, and

314
00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:09,280
Speaker 4: if Berszevich gets him into and gets two files on him,

315
00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:11,160
Speaker 4: then you don't see Flemming again for the rest of

316
00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:13,880
Speaker 4: the half. So I think that is a potential edge

317
00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:17,560
Speaker 4: for Charleston coaching matchup that these guys talked about, I

318
00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:20,400
Speaker 4: make it a lower number. So yeah, gimme the Cougar's

319
00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:22,240
Speaker 4: on the road against an up and down Saint Joe's

320
00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,680
Speaker 4: team that's riding high from that Philly five title. And

321
00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:26,680
Speaker 4: this is exactly when you want to fade Billy Lang.

322
00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:29,080
Speaker 4: When they're feeling good about themselves. That's when you go

323
00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:29,560
Speaker 4: the other way.

324
00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:30,520
Speaker 6: Okay.

325
00:14:30,600 --> 00:14:33,440
Speaker 4: The other mid major game of the week Rhode Island

326
00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:37,280
Speaker 4: at Brown another a ten darling here. The Rams one

327
00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:41,120
Speaker 4: of the undefeated teams left in the country. They just

328
00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:44,480
Speaker 4: are coming off a big, big win over Providence, which

329
00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:48,360
Speaker 4: is why Matthew I think this spot is fantastic for.

330
00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:49,160
Speaker 2: The Brown Bears.

331
00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:53,600
Speaker 4: Rhode Island is just so emotional at home, and they've

332
00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:55,680
Speaker 4: they've gotten lucky down the stretch of every game. We're

333
00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:57,160
Speaker 4: not lucky, but the fact that they have won every

334
00:14:57,200 --> 00:15:01,040
Speaker 4: game with some close games. Dick tats that I have

335
00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:03,960
Speaker 4: to lean Brown here a six point spread per Ken Pum.

336
00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:05,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like Brown too.

337
00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:08,760
Speaker 3: I mean that's the whole that what makes Brown unique

338
00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:10,440
Speaker 3: in the IVY is that they are like the most

339
00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:12,680
Speaker 3: athletic team generally, Like I know, Harvard's sort of rival

340
00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:14,800
Speaker 3: them Yale has been really athletically, but Hartbard Brown is

341
00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:17,760
Speaker 3: very athletic. They have size and they're playing well. And

342
00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:20,920
Speaker 3: it's hard to look at the Vermont and Bryant wins

343
00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:23,440
Speaker 3: is like awesome wins because Vermont's a little bit down,

344
00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:25,840
Speaker 3: but like Brian's been pretty good this year. To go

345
00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:28,800
Speaker 3: into those two places get wins, I think it kind

346
00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:30,880
Speaker 3: of maybe shows that this Brown team is starting to

347
00:15:30,880 --> 00:15:33,760
Speaker 3: look more like the French dark horse favorite and the

348
00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:35,520
Speaker 3: ivy we thought to start the year and it kind

349
00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:38,640
Speaker 3: of fell off. These lost three o their first four. Yeah,

350
00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:40,920
Speaker 3: this spot is just so clearly Brown for me. I

351
00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:42,280
Speaker 3: don't know what kind of environment we're gonna have there

352
00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:44,400
Speaker 3: at Brown. Obvious it's been pretty good, but could argue

353
00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:47,400
Speaker 3: could be half roady fans too, you know, kind of

354
00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:49,800
Speaker 3: like we saw at Tulsa, Oklahoma State or the WEEKND.

355
00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:51,920
Speaker 3: Like big rivalry, but like when it's a big boy

356
00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,400
Speaker 3: versus a little brother type thing, the crowd doesn't really

357
00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:55,920
Speaker 3: play that well in the favor of the home team.

358
00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:56,360
Speaker 6: So I don't know.

359
00:15:56,440 --> 00:15:57,120
Speaker 1: I like Brown.

360
00:15:57,880 --> 00:15:59,960
Speaker 3: I'd like to be catching like closer to a touchdown.

361
00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:02,320
Speaker 3: We'll see where the market opens in where it shapes.

362
00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:05,080
Speaker 6: Yeah, Brown really did bounce back from a brutal start.

363
00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,800
Speaker 5: Ousu Andane they're they're one of their best players right

364
00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:09,960
Speaker 5: expected this season.

365
00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:12,720
Speaker 6: He was out after the preseason, after the whole year.

366
00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:15,560
Speaker 5: I believe took him some time to overcome that. Now

367
00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:18,640
Speaker 5: they're really playing well. Rhode Island, Jim said, it one

368
00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,320
Speaker 5: of nine teams that are undefeated. Like Archie finally has

369
00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:23,880
Speaker 5: this program humming. It seems like they just beat Providence.

370
00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:27,120
Speaker 5: This is another big rivalry. Rody's actually lost three straight

371
00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:31,600
Speaker 5: games against Brown. Surprisingly, they have kind of been dominated

372
00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,200
Speaker 5: in this in this game in recent history, especially under Archie.

373
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:36,880
Speaker 5: Don't think Archie has beaten Brown at the helm of

374
00:16:36,920 --> 00:16:39,520
Speaker 5: Rhode Island. You gotta be tough. You got to play

375
00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:41,560
Speaker 5: without fouling. If you're going to play against Rhode Island

376
00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:43,120
Speaker 5: and beat them. I think Brown can do that. Matt

377
00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:46,640
Speaker 5: mentioned in the athleticism and Rody's three point percentage defense. Jim,

378
00:16:46,680 --> 00:16:49,320
Speaker 5: it's going to regress. It's number four in the country

379
00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:52,720
Speaker 5: and three point percentage allowed, and Brown can shoot.

380
00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:56,480
Speaker 4: This game is Brown for me? Yeah, it's it's keeno Lily, right, kay.

381
00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:59,320
Speaker 4: I mean he's made thirty eight threes in nine games.

382
00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:02,880
Speaker 4: He is a bomber of all bombers for Brown. They're

383
00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:06,560
Speaker 4: also missing Brown has been missing Alexander Lesbert, They're other

384
00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:09,520
Speaker 4: best shooters missed the last three games. He went into

385
00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:12,440
Speaker 4: the starting lineup late last year and they really took off.

386
00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:16,000
Speaker 4: They almost won the IVY Tournament. They made great adjustments

387
00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,040
Speaker 4: down the stretch, and they've kind of carried that over

388
00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:19,840
Speaker 4: into this year even without a Wusuanane.

389
00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:23,560
Speaker 2: The spot is just such a home run for them.

390
00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:25,639
Speaker 4: I make it a little lower. I will likely be

391
00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:28,879
Speaker 4: on Brown. I fully expect Brown to take money. So

392
00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,120
Speaker 4: if you're chasing the Bears here, I think you got

393
00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:32,760
Speaker 4: to get in early. I think people are going to

394
00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:34,679
Speaker 4: be wise to that angle with Rhode Island coming off

395
00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:35,360
Speaker 4: the prominence win.

396
00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:37,640
Speaker 2: Okay, fellas, that's the mid major game of the week.

397
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:39,919
Speaker 2: We're going to go to the live dog section. This

398
00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:41,160
Speaker 2: used to be the start of our.

399
00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:44,919
Speaker 4: Pod on Wednesday's Bark Bark Kai Yes, Spark Live dogs

400
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:48,879
Speaker 4: potential candidates to win outright, looking for high variance games.

401
00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:51,560
Speaker 4: We're looking for maybe dogs that shoot a lot of

402
00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:54,960
Speaker 4: threes or slow the game down, or just inconsistent favorites, that.

403
00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:55,360
Speaker 2: Type of thing.

404
00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:09,040
Speaker 4: We'll start with Hofstra plus five at Norfolk State. Kay,

405
00:18:09,119 --> 00:18:11,400
Speaker 4: the Pride have been very good this year. They beat

406
00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:13,639
Speaker 4: Seaton Hall. That tells you what the the upside is

407
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,080
Speaker 4: for them Norfolk. You're a little surprised to see a

408
00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:19,800
Speaker 4: MEAC team laying five to a CIA team is especially

409
00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:20,760
Speaker 4: one as good as Hostra.

410
00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:21,600
Speaker 2: But Norfolk's no.

411
00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:23,840
Speaker 5: Joke, I will say, Jim, I think this game actually

412
00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:25,600
Speaker 5: opened two and a half. This game is on Monday,

413
00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:29,359
Speaker 5: so the the bookmakers were not paying attention to Kimpom

414
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:30,320
Speaker 5: when they made this line.

415
00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:31,879
Speaker 2: They did open it lower.

416
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:35,520
Speaker 5: You know, I think Norfolk's been really impressive again, one

417
00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:37,960
Speaker 5: of the more one of the better ATS teams so far.

418
00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:40,359
Speaker 5: I think they're six and two, seven to one, but

419
00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:42,720
Speaker 5: I think Hawfstra can get it done. I don't like

420
00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:45,239
Speaker 5: to fade the Miak and Swag teams at home. I

421
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:48,320
Speaker 5: think generally they non con home games are so rare

422
00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:51,600
Speaker 5: for these for these teams that it's scary to go against.

423
00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:54,040
Speaker 5: So you know, at two and a half, I'm probably

424
00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:55,880
Speaker 5: gonna ignore this kim Pom line.

425
00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:57,920
Speaker 6: I would I would definitely back Hofstra.

426
00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:00,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, an easy pass for me. I guess sort of

427
00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:02,960
Speaker 3: who the heck knows what happens in this game. All

428
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:04,520
Speaker 3: show is better than I thought to start the year.

429
00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:05,600
Speaker 3: I didn't think this team would be that good. I

430
00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:07,439
Speaker 3: though I'd be like one of speed Claxon's worst teams.

431
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,240
Speaker 3: But I think this is sort of a wow. Speed

432
00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:11,760
Speaker 3: Claxson's actually a pretty good coach type of the campaign.

433
00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:14,320
Speaker 1: Still, Norfolk I lean their way.

434
00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:15,919
Speaker 3: Just think they're a tough prep in at home and

435
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:18,040
Speaker 3: with Kai I like back in the HPC's at home

436
00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:18,560
Speaker 3: when they get.

437
00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:21,440
Speaker 4: Them, Yeah, nothing for me. With the spread being where

438
00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:23,920
Speaker 4: it is. That's a well done Odds makers. You sniff

439
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,159
Speaker 4: this one out before we could even give you a

440
00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 4: home run answer. On the plus five, there a couple

441
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,240
Speaker 4: bigger dogs that I actually am very intrigued by, just

442
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 4: in terms of, like we said, high variance games. I

443
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:37,920
Speaker 4: think could go a multitude of different directions, which could

444
00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 4: be great for the underdog. North Dakota State plus twelve

445
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:44,560
Speaker 4: at Butler and Eastern Washington plus twelve at Washington. Those

446
00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 4: are both Ken Pond spreads. Both of these home favorites

447
00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:52,320
Speaker 4: are extremely vulnerable. Washington has been bad this year, Butler's

448
00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:55,480
Speaker 4: already lost to Austin p At home, they played Western

449
00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:57,720
Speaker 4: Michigan close for thirty minutes before extending.

450
00:19:58,520 --> 00:19:59,840
Speaker 2: They are no mon.

451
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:03,120
Speaker 4: They're coming off a war against Houston getting beat down

452
00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:06,000
Speaker 4: by twenty eight points. Matthew, which of these two do

453
00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:08,840
Speaker 4: you like most? Is it the fireball Bison of North

454
00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:11,880
Speaker 4: Coast State the Campus threes, or is it Dan Munson

455
00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:13,680
Speaker 4: and the Eastern Washington Eagles.

456
00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:15,680
Speaker 1: Neither can I send neither.

457
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:19,680
Speaker 3: I don't like North Coast States like neither of these.

458
00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:20,560
Speaker 1: I know, I don't.

459
00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:23,880
Speaker 3: I think Butler actually there was a stretch last year

460
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:26,200
Speaker 3: and the year before where like Butler as a home

461
00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:28,480
Speaker 3: non con favor, like they really put it on some

462
00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:31,200
Speaker 3: decent mid to low ish majors. Now this year they've

463
00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:33,399
Speaker 3: sort of struggled in that spot. But I think with

464
00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:37,600
Speaker 3: the shooting regression momentum that lurks with the Bison, I

465
00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:40,639
Speaker 3: think it might all come back to spiral in a

466
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,360
Speaker 3: Butler by twenty type game and an ewash.

467
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:44,000
Speaker 1: They're not healthy.

468
00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:45,880
Speaker 3: I don't know if I trust their depth to hold

469
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:50,679
Speaker 3: up against Sprinkle and Sir Great osibor upfront to I

470
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:52,680
Speaker 3: just think that's a tough task. I know Washington struggling,

471
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:56,600
Speaker 3: they have point guard problems, but I honestly neither I

472
00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:58,399
Speaker 3: think the well, we're gonna pull one from this bat.

473
00:20:58,480 --> 00:20:59,639
Speaker 1: It's gonna be Charleston, that's it.

474
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:03,080
Speaker 5: Kin. Yeah, I like both of these big sky dogs

475
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:07,480
Speaker 5: a lot. North of State one Summit, excuse me, the

476
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:10,359
Speaker 5: Ceco State Summit. I can't They're they're challenge. Screwed me

477
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 5: up North Skakota State. Yeah, forty percent from deep this year,

478
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:15,399
Speaker 5: number one three point a temper rate in the country.

479
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:18,600
Speaker 5: Almost fifty five percent of their attempts are from three.

480
00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:21,920
Speaker 5: That is like definition of high variants. And they've been

481
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:24,240
Speaker 5: really good lately. They've been hitting shots. Yeah, regression might

482
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:26,080
Speaker 5: be coming, but they also just might be a really

483
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:29,080
Speaker 5: good shooting team. If you put up thirty thirty five,

484
00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:30,720
Speaker 5: I don't know, forty three is a game.

485
00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 6: You got a real shot.

486
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:33,840
Speaker 5: Butler does take away the three, it's gonna be really

487
00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:37,720
Speaker 5: interesting dynamic there, Like coaches x'es and O's type of thing.

488
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:40,640
Speaker 5: Will Will Butler be able to take away the NBSU three,

489
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:42,560
Speaker 5: So they do? You know, I think it's a it's

490
00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 5: bad news for the Bison, but I'm not like confident

491
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:48,320
Speaker 5: laying double disis the Butler and certainly Washington Gym I

492
00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:51,719
Speaker 5: think is super vulnerable as a double digit favorite. I

493
00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:55,440
Speaker 5: was on them against against UCLA and I was lucky

494
00:21:55,480 --> 00:22:00,040
Speaker 5: to cover because that team Washington looked horrible osibores and

495
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 5: now look like the same player he did to get

496
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:03,720
Speaker 5: a Utah State. It doesn't look like the team is

497
00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:07,080
Speaker 5: very much in sync. The guard plays really bad. Any

498
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 5: Wash game was zoo a scare. They can muck this

499
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:11,199
Speaker 5: game up. So I like both dogs in this one.

500
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:13,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, the variants in North Coast State. Matt, you say

501
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:15,359
Speaker 4: shooting aggression, I don't know if it's coming. They might

502
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 4: just be the best shooting team of all time. They

503
00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:19,360
Speaker 4: have made fifty three threes in their last four games,

504
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:22,040
Speaker 4: all over forty percent from deep in all four of

505
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:23,480
Speaker 4: those games, some of them over fifty percent.

506
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:25,120
Speaker 2: It's been absurd, like.

507
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,720
Speaker 4: They just bomb away and everything goes in, and that's

508
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,440
Speaker 4: what we're looking for with a dog. I think there's

509
00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:31,840
Speaker 4: worth an outright stab there. And the other one, to me,

510
00:22:31,920 --> 00:22:34,760
Speaker 4: is way more just about how bad Washington is. Washington

511
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 4: was down at halftime to D two Seattle Pacific.

512
00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 2: That tells you how bad they are.

513
00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 4: They did come back and win that one by double digits,

514
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:43,440
Speaker 4: of course, but they're just very vulnerable.

515
00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 2: DJ Davis.

516
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,800
Speaker 4: The Butler transfer has been a shell of himself. Mackay

517
00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 4: Mason is zero. That is not a team that's likely

518
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 4: to extend as a big favorite. And I think e

519
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 4: Washin can hang around there with the talent despite the

520
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:58,040
Speaker 4: injury concerns that Matt voiced. So I will be sprinkling

521
00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 4: both of those. But Matt, you like Charleston plus eight

522
00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:02,639
Speaker 4: we talked about them before, you like, not just spread.

523
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:04,000
Speaker 2: You're gonna give a little money line.

524
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:05,200
Speaker 3: Of sprink call do you moner line sprint col But

525
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,240
Speaker 3: I think that's it for me. Kind of a tight

526
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:07,840
Speaker 3: slate for me.

527
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 4: Kai tight, keep it tight, keep it tight, Kai, anything

528
00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:13,719
Speaker 4: else for you? In the live dog section, before we

529
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 4: move into our favorite favorites.

530
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:17,680
Speaker 6: No, let's move into the favorite favorites, the.

531
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,600
Speaker 2: Overdogs, Kai, the favorite favorites.

532
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:26,920
Speaker 4: I'm starting with Houston because Houston beats the crap out

533
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 4: of inferior competition over and over and over again.

534
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:30,720
Speaker 2: It's what they do.

535
00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:33,160
Speaker 4: It's why they're so highly rated in Ken pondspite having

536
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:36,720
Speaker 4: three losses, they just had Butler in town and one

537
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 4: by twenty eight. Matthew, it was a complete embarrassment that

538
00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:42,840
Speaker 4: pants Butler in the second half. I know you love

539
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:46,400
Speaker 4: Scott Cross, I know you love Troy. I know they're athletic.

540
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,280
Speaker 4: They are probably going to get crushed by Houston.

541
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 3: Do you agree, yes, because Troy doesn't take care of

542
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:56,520
Speaker 3: the ball that well. They're a little bit loosey goosey

543
00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:56,720
Speaker 3: with it.

544
00:23:56,760 --> 00:23:57,240
Speaker 1: I watched them.

545
00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:00,199
Speaker 3: It'st Arkansas, and I know Arkansas has good pressure, but

546
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:03,840
Speaker 3: that's an Arkansas team that's like short on bodies, Like

547
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:07,119
Speaker 3: they shouldn't be pressuring Troy for forty minutes and having success.

548
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 1: That's my concern.

549
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:10,399
Speaker 3: I think Troy can maybe actually hang around for a half,

550
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,520
Speaker 3: which goes against like the Houston first half dominance angle

551
00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 3: that I know we've all been betting for years. But

552
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:18,000
Speaker 3: I think second half is this gets ugly quickly. So

553
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 3: if you're gonna bet Troy, which I might just have

554
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:22,359
Speaker 3: a principal because Scottie Cross to dog is my guy,

555
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,480
Speaker 3: it'll be a small bet. If you're back in Houston,

556
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:27,040
Speaker 3: it's got to be full game or second half. That's

557
00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:29,000
Speaker 3: my angle here. I just have one thing to say

558
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 3: about this, Jim. Only three teams in the country of

559
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 3: a higher turnover eight than Troy. That's not a team

560
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:34,919
Speaker 3: I'm going to back against Houston.

561
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, you're not getting like with Houston getting so many

562
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:40,960
Speaker 4: offensive rebounds, and if you're also turning it over, Maddie,

563
00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:42,200
Speaker 4: you're a shot volume guy.

564
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 2: Houston's gonna take a lot more.

565
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 4: Shots than Troy, and that's that's a problem when they're

566
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:48,880
Speaker 4: also bigger, more talented.

567
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,359
Speaker 2: Good luck, good luck to Troy. Okay.

568
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:55,159
Speaker 4: A couple others here we mentioned Michigan Arkansas. We all

569
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:58,360
Speaker 4: like Michigan as the favorite in that game, probably going

570
00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:01,920
Speaker 4: to lay it if it's four or five. Davidson, though,

571
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:06,399
Speaker 4: kai for Charlotte a big, big rivalry. May I remind

572
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:09,040
Speaker 4: you these two teams play every year, a lot of

573
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:10,600
Speaker 4: back and forth with them. I think there's been a

574
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 4: bunch of blowouts in recent years where you kind of

575
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:16,440
Speaker 4: expect it to be a close game because the rivalry,

576
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 4: but it's been one team running it up on the other.

577
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:23,280
Speaker 4: Davidson minus seven per ken Palm, you are out on Charlotte.

578
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:23,840
Speaker 2: Is this correct?

579
00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:24,719
Speaker 6: Out on Charlotte?

580
00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 5: The last two years have actually been close, but I

581
00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:30,919
Speaker 5: think before that they were there were blowout Yeah. Yeah,

582
00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 5: I think Charlotte's really bad, really really bad. Their wins

583
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,960
Speaker 5: are Presbyterian Richmond and Gardner Webb Richmond might be the

584
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:39,479
Speaker 5: worst team in the A ten. Actually, I think they

585
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:41,680
Speaker 5: are the worst team in the A ten. Gardner Webb

586
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,640
Speaker 5: not great Presbyterian upstart, but not great.

587
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:45,359
Speaker 6: Blown out.

588
00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:47,920
Speaker 5: Utah State lost to LU at home. East Sense State

589
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 5: beat in my twenty at home. I just don't think

590
00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:51,880
Speaker 5: that good. And I think Davidson's a really good team.

591
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 5: I know the Charleston Southern game is a little bit weird,

592
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:57,919
Speaker 5: but losing an Arizona Gonzaga it doesn't bother me too much.

593
00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:00,400
Speaker 6: The other games they've really handled business. I think it's all.

594
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,040
Speaker 5: Such other Rocks now apparently one of my apparently apparently

595
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:05,160
Speaker 5: Charles still is good now without to their starters.

596
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:07,119
Speaker 6: Yeah, it doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

597
00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:09,440
Speaker 6: Uh yeah, I like Davidson a lot in this game.

598
00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:12,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think David's I don't really have a I'm

599
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:15,440
Speaker 3: not as like Charleston or Charlotte's bad. I was sort

600
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:17,480
Speaker 3: of down in them preseason. But I do think Davidson's

601
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 3: a very real team. They have more dynamism on the

602
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:25,720
Speaker 3: on the perimeter. What Zach Laputt the D two, I

603
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 3: think transfer has been like he looks like a real player,

604
00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:29,480
Speaker 3: like they need some guys who can get in the

605
00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:31,520
Speaker 3: lane and do stuff. I suppose just like overly relying

606
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 3: on their execution. They look very methodical sometimes, although they

607
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 3: are very skilled and precise.

608
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:38,240
Speaker 1: I think he adds a new element to them.

609
00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:43,320
Speaker 3: And Davidson's issue is like closing out games, and I

610
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:46,640
Speaker 3: don't think Charlotte brings any game pressure with their defense

611
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:48,760
Speaker 3: to really bother Davidson here. So I think Davidson does

612
00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:49,600
Speaker 3: what they want mostly.

613
00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:54,320
Speaker 4: Matt Who is your favorite favorite of the Monday Tuesday slate?

614
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:56,520
Speaker 4: Do you have one that you're going to wind up

615
00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:57,480
Speaker 4: and go to bat for here?

616
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:01,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, probably Michigan. I guess I like Davidson to not Houston,

617
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:06,879
Speaker 3: but probably Michigan. Kai, I'll on Michigan, Okay, Yeah, I'm

618
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:07,280
Speaker 3: with you.

619
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:09,879
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's Houston for me. That's that's the

620
00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:11,760
Speaker 4: one I'm gonna way. I'm tempted by the other the

621
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:15,120
Speaker 4: other two, but again in Michigan. If it's four but Houston,

622
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:18,360
Speaker 4: I just I trust them against inferior foes. I could

623
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 4: see that being thirty five points, just a complete blot.

624
00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 2: We'll see.

625
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:23,960
Speaker 4: Maybe I'll all line at Matthew get a little plus

626
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:27,960
Speaker 4: money going on it okay. Next section spots we talked

627
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:30,800
Speaker 4: about a couple of these. Uh So I'll remind people

628
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 4: of the Brown coming off. You get Rhode Island coming

629
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 4: to town, Rhode Island coming off that giant win over Providence.

630
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,160
Speaker 4: I think that is a great spot for Brown. Let's

631
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 4: keep an eye off for that one.

632
00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:41,119
Speaker 2: Kai.

633
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:43,000
Speaker 4: One thing we sometimes like to look at is the

634
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:45,680
Speaker 4: to one team in conference play against the one and

635
00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 4: O team in conference play. Maybe you catch a team

636
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:49,959
Speaker 4: fat and happy, you're a little more desperate when you're

637
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:54,000
Speaker 4: own one. Rutgers is at home at the Rack Slash

638
00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 4: Jersey Mike's Arena, hosting Penn State, who smacked Purdue in

639
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:02,840
Speaker 4: Happy Valley. This feels like a great spot for Rutgers

640
00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:04,959
Speaker 4: just given the circumstances around it.

641
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 5: Fantastic spot for Rutgers. Definitely backing Rutgers. They're gonna take money,

642
00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 5: so it's going to get up there quite a bit.

643
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 5: They're thirty dogs dog forer Ken Bona. They will probably

644
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 5: be laying three when it's yeah, two and a half

645
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 5: when it's all said and done. They've three straight tough

646
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 5: games in a row, competed with Alabama and A and

647
00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:25,960
Speaker 5: M on Neutrals really should have beaten heck, maybe both

648
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 5: of those teams. Then the Ohio State loss. I think

649
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 5: they get it back here against Penn State, a team

650
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,560
Speaker 5: who is much better than I expected in the preseason,

651
00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,120
Speaker 5: but a team that's still not like a world beater

652
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:36,960
Speaker 5: in my opinion.

653
00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess the big ten home angle, so just

654
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:44,080
Speaker 3: to run today, only six and seven against the spread guys,

655
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:46,960
Speaker 3: small sample, but you know, last two years, I think

656
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 3: it's been like thirteen to oh at this point. But

657
00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:51,880
Speaker 3: Rutgers at the rack, I think is obviously a different beast,

658
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:55,760
Speaker 3: especially with those young freshmen. I like backing those young

659
00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:58,240
Speaker 3: freshmen in a home hype spot, like take them on

660
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 3: the road, you know, a little more jitter, there's questional

661
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:02,400
Speaker 3: decision making. But at home and a spot where you

662
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 3: got to have it, I think it's just a no

663
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 3: brainer for me.

664
00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 2: Jim, Yeah, I.

665
00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:08,640
Speaker 4: Love Rutgers there, especially because it's going to be so

666
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:11,080
Speaker 4: close to a pick em or you know, laying one

667
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:13,640
Speaker 4: or even maybe getting one. But they just need to

668
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:15,840
Speaker 4: win the game. It's not like I'm laying five and

669
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:17,360
Speaker 4: a half and it's going to maybe dance around with

670
00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 4: free throws or something, or I need them to execute

671
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:21,920
Speaker 4: perfectly down stretched. They just need to win most likely,

672
00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 4: and I think they will get the job done there.

673
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:26,760
Speaker 2: I believe it is Penn State's first true road game.

674
00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:30,200
Speaker 4: Yes, confirmed, Penn State's first true road game, which is

675
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,680
Speaker 4: a big thing. Anecdotally, guys, this year, I've been fading

676
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 4: a lot of these first true road games and it's

677
00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 4: gone fairly well.

678
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 2: Rutgers first true road game was at Kennesas State and

679
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:39,840
Speaker 2: they lost.

680
00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:43,560
Speaker 4: So there's a one example of it. But I think

681
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:46,120
Speaker 4: that sets up really well for Rutgers. One other spot

682
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:49,760
Speaker 4: kind of an odd travel here for Cornell, who has

683
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 4: consistently impressed me.

684
00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 2: With their results.

685
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 4: They might be the best team in the IVY, like

686
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:57,959
Speaker 4: I know Princeton rocks. But Cornell is right in that

687
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 4: conversation to me with how they've been playing. But they're

688
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 4: going to cal forty eight hours after playing at Army

689
00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:07,320
Speaker 4: on Sunday. Not forty eight, maybe like fifty five because

690
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 4: afternoon in a night game. But Matt, why are they

691
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 4: going one off road trip all the way across the

692
00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:15,040
Speaker 4: country two days after playing another game.

693
00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:16,000
Speaker 2: This is weird for them.

694
00:30:16,080 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 1: I don't have the answer. I two smart schools.

695
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 3: Maybe they're going to study for finals together after game

696
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:21,200
Speaker 3: or something.

697
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:21,600
Speaker 1: I don't know.

698
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 3: So Cornell will have finals after this. It's very clearly

699
00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:27,640
Speaker 3: finals week after this game for Cornell. All the IVY

700
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 3: leagues have defined breaks in their schedule for finals.

701
00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:31,920
Speaker 1: They take them very seriously.

702
00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 3: So bad spot, Jim, But I think it's like the

703
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:36,120
Speaker 3: last game with it off for a while. So if

704
00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:37,280
Speaker 3: you're gonna fly all the way out there, I mean

705
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 3: as we'll, you know, make a game effort. And I

706
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,320
Speaker 3: don't really think col is anything to be scared of

707
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:45,520
Speaker 3: right now. So yes, bad spot, but maybe market over

708
00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:47,520
Speaker 3: bets it, and I might be waiting at the end

709
00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 3: of the line for a little CounterPunch on Cornell out

710
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 3: of maybe inflated line.

711
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 1: That's my hope.

712
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:55,080
Speaker 6: We'll see. Yeah, if it's four, I'm on Cal for sure.

713
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,280
Speaker 5: I think the spot's horrible for Cornell, and I think

714
00:30:57,320 --> 00:30:59,840
Speaker 5: Cal dominates them inside. They just got to guard the

715
00:30:59,840 --> 00:31:03,520
Speaker 5: three guard the three guard the three that's a Nicetel.

716
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,800
Speaker 3: Mac Mark, their point guard back helps with handling the

717
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,520
Speaker 3: pressure that Cornell will bring, so that does probably So yeah.

718
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 2: They got blacksheer healthy.

719
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:11,960
Speaker 4: They also got DJ Campbell, the other starting guard back

720
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:14,240
Speaker 4: lass game they are almost whole. I think bj O

721
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,080
Speaker 4: Mott is out for a little while, longer than North

722
00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 4: Dakota transfer, but they are close to being full strength

723
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 4: and that matters a lot for Cow.

724
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 2: Now they are coming off the rivalry game against.

725
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 4: Stanford, so maybe there's emotional letdown possibilities there, but I

726
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:30,400
Speaker 4: think the fact that they've lost two games in a

727
00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:33,400
Speaker 4: row is going to matter more. And to Kyle's point

728
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:37,120
Speaker 4: about the inside, but they got twenty offensive rebounds against Stanford,

729
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 4: they were all over the glass. That's against Stanford, who

730
00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:43,840
Speaker 4: has a All Conference, all ACC center. Now you're taking

731
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:45,640
Speaker 4: on a smaller front court and Cornell. I'm with Kay,

732
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 4: I think so Soko is gonna be all over the glass.

733
00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 4: The Dort is a monster as well, so that sets

734
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:53,680
Speaker 4: up well for Cal. Maybe the boys will be head

735
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:55,200
Speaker 4: to head on that one. If MAT's sitting there waiting

736
00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:56,720
Speaker 4: for big Red Bunny, I was.

737
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:59,560
Speaker 3: Just looking at Cornell's rebound. Yeah, they glass is tough

738
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 3: for bigger ed and it's not been great. They've had

739
00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:04,280
Speaker 3: friendlyish matchups to date.

740
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 1: Maybe this is where they get exposed.

741
00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:09,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're always scrambling around because of the pressure, Like

742
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:11,280
Speaker 4: they're not in great rebounding position most of the time,

743
00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:13,040
Speaker 4: and you could see some dunks.

744
00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:13,200
Speaker 2: Out of that.

745
00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 1: The trash man pick of the week.

746
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 6: I'm the trash man.

747
00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 4: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it,

748
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:24,720
Speaker 4: totally unreliable, undependable, and that's it.

749
00:32:24,800 --> 00:32:25,400
Speaker 2: You've been told off.

750
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:26,000
Speaker 1: How do you like that?

751
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 5: Good?

752
00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:31,840
Speaker 4: Okay, the trash section fellas, we are digging into some

753
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 4: trash piles. Any any games that probably not going to

754
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 4: be watched or we're holding our noses and betting a

755
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 4: bad team. Kay, you wrote down Kansas City at Portland

756
00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:43,320
Speaker 4: here and tell us why you're looking at the ruse

757
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:45,080
Speaker 4: heading to the sea pilots.

758
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:49,280
Speaker 5: Yeah, gross, gross game Kansas City hasket going at some point.

759
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 6: It's been a odd I've seen it too many times,

760
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:55,840
Speaker 6: an odd lifeless start. I really expect.

761
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:58,160
Speaker 5: I think all of us expected them to be quite

762
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,600
Speaker 5: good this season, after a game effort last year, after

763
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,400
Speaker 5: getting a lot of guys back.

764
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:06,400
Speaker 6: Now they've had little injury issues. But to have zero

765
00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 6: no excuse me, zero.

766
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:10,960
Speaker 5: D one wins this point is quite shocking and looking

767
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:13,280
Speaker 5: like they've frankly given up in a few efforts is

768
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,200
Speaker 5: surprising for a Menzies team. I think their shots are

769
00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:18,400
Speaker 5: gonna start falling. They take a bunch of threes just

770
00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 5: have not fallen yet. Portland three hundred and fiftieth in

771
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 5: the country and three point a tempt rate, So it's

772
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,760
Speaker 5: literally a game of is Kansas City hitting threes? If

773
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:28,680
Speaker 5: they are, I think they win this game out right.

774
00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 5: If they're not, Portland could win. Portland's offense, though, is

775
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 5: not something to be scared of. Not potent, so not

776
00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:37,320
Speaker 5: a team I'm afraid of. I think Kansey knows they're

777
00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 5: on par or better than this team, So I do

778
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 5: like the roost in the trash game of the week.

779
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:43,240
Speaker 1: Jim R.

780
00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:47,160
Speaker 3: Brown's not healthy, Anderson cop did not play last game.

781
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:50,880
Speaker 3: Jason Petty is four of his last thirty six, and

782
00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 3: I'm doing math. Cam Foss, who I love as a shooter,

783
00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:58,960
Speaker 3: is this I watched this team too many times. It's

784
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 3: just a disaster. I was dead wrong. And I know

785
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:02,600
Speaker 3: maybe if they're healthy, it's a different story. But this

786
00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:06,720
Speaker 3: is like a complete hobble together operation right now. Montana

787
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 3: State should beat them by like thirty last night, so

788
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:10,480
Speaker 3: maybe all the more reason why they played better and

789
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:12,479
Speaker 3: they bounce back and it's Portland, who you know, doesn't

790
00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:13,799
Speaker 3: really scare you defensively at all.

791
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:16,000
Speaker 1: But I don't know. I'm out on MKC right now.

792
00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:19,239
Speaker 4: Just as a quick aside, Yeah, I got absolutely nothing

793
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:20,840
Speaker 4: in that game that is not my trash, Matt. My

794
00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:25,719
Speaker 4: trash is potentially the incarnate word first half against Duke.

795
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:27,480
Speaker 2: This is real trash.

796
00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 4: Maybe the under, but this is gonna be Duke playing

797
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 4: forty eight hours after their road conference opener at Louisville

798
00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:37,879
Speaker 4: that is happening on Sunday. Now, you've got to come

799
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 4: home and play a team that has two very good

800
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 4: shot makers transfers from ball State, Davean Bailey and Jalen Anderson.

801
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:49,200
Speaker 4: Those guys are like legitimately good players. I have a

802
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:51,439
Speaker 4: feeling Duke is going to be sleepwalking through the first

803
00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:53,920
Speaker 4: half of that and then fork some pretty hard in

804
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:56,960
Speaker 4: the second half and wins by thirty or something. But

805
00:34:57,040 --> 00:34:58,960
Speaker 4: I could see them being up like eleven at half, Matt,

806
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:00,000
Speaker 4: And this is gonna be a giant spread.

807
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:01,919
Speaker 2: How do you feel about my take on your Blue

808
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:02,399
Speaker 2: Devils here?

809
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,040
Speaker 1: It's contingent on if Duke wents. I think we think

810
00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:06,040
Speaker 1: they're going to beat Louisville.

811
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:09,280
Speaker 3: As decimated as Louville is injury wise, but like, let's

812
00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:11,040
Speaker 3: you know, we'll see if you listen to this on Monday,

813
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 3: how done that confident takes sound.

814
00:35:12,600 --> 00:35:13,280
Speaker 6: I think if Duke.

815
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,839
Speaker 1: Loses that I would I would break on this.

816
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:19,120
Speaker 3: But if does win, and they win maybe convincingly or

817
00:35:19,160 --> 00:35:22,319
Speaker 3: going away, I like the angle for sure, because yeah,

818
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 3: I think Incarnate Word obviously you hear that name. It's like, okay,

819
00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:26,799
Speaker 3: can they really have real players? But they do have

820
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:29,360
Speaker 3: two players who, especially in Cameron, can just kind of

821
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:31,360
Speaker 3: run hot for a half for sure, make shots.

822
00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:32,839
Speaker 1: I'm into it.

823
00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:34,920
Speaker 4: So they also have one of the best offensive rebounders

824
00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 4: in the country. They paid like three hundred K for him.

825
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:40,800
Speaker 4: He's a freshman. It's like Incarnate Word had some random

826
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:43,480
Speaker 4: nil money. So that rosters like way better than you

827
00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 4: would think it would be for typical Incarnate Word. But

828
00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:49,520
Speaker 4: to Matt's point, the last time Duke came home after

829
00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:53,560
Speaker 4: a loss and played a mid major, they embarrassed Wafford.

830
00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:55,520
Speaker 4: So if they lose to Louisville, I will not be

831
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:58,920
Speaker 4: touching this. That's just keep that contingent, folks. We are

832
00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 4: recording basically as that game spot to tip, so we

833
00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:03,960
Speaker 4: can't actually give a take on that, but it's contingent.

834
00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:07,880
Speaker 4: That's our our disclaimer on that one. Quick spotlight guys,

835
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:12,520
Speaker 4: quick spotlight section. Talking about the early against the spread

836
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,359
Speaker 4: Darlings and scrubs. Do we want to keep backing them?

837
00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:17,880
Speaker 4: Do we want to go the other way and start fading?

838
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:21,880
Speaker 4: Start with the Darlings Oregon State seven and zero against

839
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:23,200
Speaker 4: the spread, fellas.

840
00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 2: I faded them on Saturday with.

841
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:28,480
Speaker 4: Idaho and I lost by half point because idahom is

842
00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 4: two free throws in the final twenty seconds That drove

843
00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:31,479
Speaker 4: me nuts.

844
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 2: But they are covering their monster. Saint Bonaventure eight and

845
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,400
Speaker 2: one against the spread. The Elon Phoenix, who I have

846
00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:40,480
Speaker 2: enjoyed backing a couple of times. They are seven to

847
00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:42,120
Speaker 2: one against the spread. I think that team is all

848
00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:42,399
Speaker 2: the way.

849
00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:47,680
Speaker 4: Legit Tennessee seven to one, and Liberty, Liberty, Liberty also.

850
00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:48,080
Speaker 2: Seven and one.

851
00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 1: Kai.

852
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:50,560
Speaker 2: Who's your favorite.

853
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:52,759
Speaker 4: And least favorite of this group? That's the way I'll

854
00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:54,360
Speaker 4: frame it. Who are you going to keep writing? And

855
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:55,680
Speaker 4: who are you most skeptical of?

856
00:36:56,360 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 6: Yeah?

857
00:36:56,680 --> 00:37:00,279
Speaker 5: Most scouts goal the Bonnies for sure, definitely better than

858
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:02,759
Speaker 5: I expected, but yeah, plus four cover margin on eight

859
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:04,920
Speaker 5: and one against the spread. I think they're flying a

860
00:37:04,920 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 5: little high. I backed Canichius against them. Caniches somehow stuck

861
00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:11,040
Speaker 5: with them and covered in that game if you had

862
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:11,760
Speaker 5: a good number.

863
00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:14,000
Speaker 6: So we skeptical the Bonnies.

864
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:16,879
Speaker 5: Oregon States won me over and I've watched them now,

865
00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:20,399
Speaker 5: it's it's legit. They they work well together, the team

866
00:37:20,440 --> 00:37:24,279
Speaker 5: fits well. Tinkle is doing his normal mucket up sort

867
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:26,719
Speaker 5: of thing. He does agree with you. Elon has been

868
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,520
Speaker 5: really solid. They have some real players this season, and

869
00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 5: Tennessee and Liberty I've loved all years. So of the

870
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:35,000
Speaker 5: group skeptical to the Bonnies eight, the other four could

871
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:37,480
Speaker 5: kind of keep going. Market's going to catch up eventually,

872
00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:40,279
Speaker 5: but I think you've got a little bit more more

873
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 5: runway on a few of them.

874
00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:42,000
Speaker 2: Yeah.

875
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:44,120
Speaker 4: The cover margins that they have ten point seven points,

876
00:37:44,120 --> 00:37:46,760
Speaker 4: ten points, yeah, indicates how far the market is from

877
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:48,600
Speaker 4: being right on them right now.

878
00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:52,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, where I think the Bonnies are. They've Yeah, I

879
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:54,920
Speaker 3: think the smaller cover margin. You know, every team that

880
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:57,680
Speaker 3: has like the best end of year against the spread

881
00:37:57,680 --> 00:38:00,880
Speaker 3: record mostly they've done an ice job of just barely

882
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:02,920
Speaker 3: covering and then the market doesn't overact. And you know,

883
00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:04,800
Speaker 3: I think Minnesota was a prime example that lot like

884
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:07,200
Speaker 3: very good team obviously, but you know, covering by one

885
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:09,560
Speaker 3: point for every ten games in a row is going

886
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:13,160
Speaker 3: to help you sustain your undetected value. I think Elon's

887
00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:16,680
Speaker 3: like very real, like their guard talent with the Simpkins Bros.

888
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:19,840
Speaker 3: And then Matthew vont Coman, the former Saint Mary's product

889
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:21,480
Speaker 3: who disappeared off the face of the earth for three

890
00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:23,640
Speaker 3: years and now is back with an awesome mustache and

891
00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:26,399
Speaker 3: swatting everything at the rim. And I think they proved

892
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:30,279
Speaker 3: that they're real by playing UNC to the wire at

893
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 3: Chapel Hill.

894
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:31,839
Speaker 6: So there you go.

895
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:34,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, Elon, if you take out preseason priors from Bart Torvick,

896
00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:37,879
Speaker 4: there eighty seventh, So with no influence at Kem Pond,

897
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:40,959
Speaker 4: there's still one forty fifth. So maybe that's the gap

898
00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:42,880
Speaker 4: where you have a like, I don't this might be

899
00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:45,480
Speaker 4: a top one hundred team because their interior defense is

900
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:48,440
Speaker 4: incredible with Van Coleman six in the country in two

901
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,480
Speaker 4: point percentage defense, and they played UNC like that's a

902
00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:53,720
Speaker 4: you know, a legit acc team, So they.

903
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 2: They have been fantastic. I have enjoyed the Phoenix so far.

904
00:38:56,760 --> 00:38:59,759
Speaker 4: All right, the duds, the scrubs, the bad squad so far.

905
00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:04,279
Speaker 4: This here Louisiana, the Cajuns oh and seven negative eight

906
00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:07,640
Speaker 4: cover margin. Kay, you mentioned Brown losing ousu Anane. They're

907
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:11,520
Speaker 4: big man. Louisiana lost their big man, Hosanna Katenja, and

908
00:39:11,560 --> 00:39:12,239
Speaker 4: they have not.

909
00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:13,359
Speaker 2: Been able to replace him.

910
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:17,000
Speaker 4: It looks bleak for Bob Marlin down in the Bayou.

911
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:19,840
Speaker 4: Penn Is one in eight with a negative ten cover margin.

912
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:21,320
Speaker 4: They stink, They stink out loud.

913
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:22,040
Speaker 6: It so bad.

914
00:39:22,520 --> 00:39:26,480
Speaker 4: The market has not fully processed how terrible this team is.

915
00:39:26,520 --> 00:39:29,360
Speaker 4: With no priors, they are three hundred and fortieth in

916
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:32,400
Speaker 4: the country. It is like a bottom twenty team. They're terrible,

917
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:34,960
Speaker 4: so I think they have some more sinking to do.

918
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:37,520
Speaker 4: Stonybrook one and seven. I have lost on him a

919
00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:41,160
Speaker 4: couple of times. They suck Minnesota one and seven. They've

920
00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:44,480
Speaker 4: been injured in Saint Louis one and six, and I

921
00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:46,479
Speaker 4: believe now one and seven because they did not cover

922
00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:48,440
Speaker 4: right as we started recording this.

923
00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:52,840
Speaker 2: They are not good right now. Matthew, who are you

924
00:39:52,920 --> 00:39:55,080
Speaker 2: most likely to buy lo on of this group?

925
00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 3: I would say Minnesota, and I say that not confidently

926
00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:02,319
Speaker 3: as my inflection. My voice inflection indicates I just when

927
00:40:02,360 --> 00:40:05,359
Speaker 3: they get healthier. I think we read Ben Johnson good coach.

928
00:40:05,400 --> 00:40:07,719
Speaker 3: I think in conference play there'll be a feisty dog.

929
00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:09,880
Speaker 3: I think there'll be tough, There'll be more of the

930
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:13,320
Speaker 3: platinum sorry, the titanium cockroach that we've come to know,

931
00:40:13,920 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 3: Uh Louisiana. I think when they get healthier, could be

932
00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:19,640
Speaker 3: a by low in the sun Belt. Bob Marlin's a

933
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:22,040
Speaker 3: good coach. There is talent there. They just had a

934
00:40:22,040 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 3: bunch of guys sick. I think there's a spell. They

935
00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:23,799
Speaker 3: had a bunch of.

936
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:24,319
Speaker 1: Guys with the flu.

937
00:40:24,400 --> 00:40:26,919
Speaker 3: So it's been sort of a whirlwind of shit that's

938
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:31,000
Speaker 3: hit them. Frankly, the rest of these teams like Pennstony Brook,

939
00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 3: they just don't have the Jimmies and Joe's this year.

940
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,720
Speaker 3: Frankly and Saint Louis Well, I think they will be better.

941
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:38,240
Speaker 3: The market won't give you any opportunity to find value

942
00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:40,839
Speaker 3: with them, like they're already getting overpriced as is. When

943
00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 3: they start playing better, people will be bouncing on them.

944
00:40:43,719 --> 00:40:44,960
Speaker 3: I just like, yeah, I don't know, you know what

945
00:40:44,960 --> 00:40:46,400
Speaker 3: I mean, Like I love slu It's just there's not

946
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:48,399
Speaker 3: This is not a good year to make money off slow.

947
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:50,000
Speaker 1: It's just a funny year to watch slou play.

948
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:52,359
Speaker 5: It's a good point, Matthew, because Slew is I think

949
00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 5: Slew's the obvious bounce back here because they've they've dealt

950
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:57,960
Speaker 5: with a ton of injuries. They they haven't really had

951
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:00,319
Speaker 5: a chance to be their full selves. But you're right,

952
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:03,879
Speaker 5: the market has tended to bet them almost every single

953
00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:06,640
Speaker 5: game because a little Josh Shirtz is very well known

954
00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:09,960
Speaker 5: as a fantastic coach and an ovula and it was

955
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:12,040
Speaker 5: supposed to be like kind of the Darling team this season.

956
00:41:12,080 --> 00:41:14,399
Speaker 5: They just have not been healthy, So I agree might

957
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 5: have been a lot of opportunities there. I'm kicking myself

958
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:18,120
Speaker 5: on Louisiana because matt I think you're the one that

959
00:41:18,160 --> 00:41:21,200
Speaker 5: said Bob Marlin is really down on this team this season,

960
00:41:21,280 --> 00:41:23,360
Speaker 5: and he said, ah, yeah, like we're not going to

961
00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:25,239
Speaker 5: be very good and it should have listened because they've

962
00:41:25,239 --> 00:41:25,760
Speaker 5: been horrible.

963
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:27,799
Speaker 1: Pet he is very explicit. I should listen to him.

964
00:41:27,800 --> 00:41:30,839
Speaker 5: He told us Penn's horrible. That team is not found

965
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:33,640
Speaker 5: its bottom yet. Yeah, Stony Brook, I was I lost

966
00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:37,520
Speaker 5: against them air Force. The answer is Minnesota for of

967
00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 5: these five teams bouncing back a little bit and being competitive.

968
00:41:40,800 --> 00:41:41,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Penn.

969
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:43,799
Speaker 4: Thing is interesting because I watch them and I'm like,

970
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:46,799
Speaker 4: this team is awful. Their results are all terrible, like

971
00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,759
Speaker 4: uniformly bad across the board. Even their wins are like,

972
00:41:50,120 --> 00:41:52,319
Speaker 4: I'm not even that impressed with it. They have weird

973
00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:54,960
Speaker 4: shooting splits. Opponents are making forty one percent of their

974
00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 4: threes and Penn is making less.

975
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:57,880
Speaker 2: Than twenty nine percent.

976
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:01,759
Speaker 4: So if that starts to normalize, maybe there's something there.

977
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:04,480
Speaker 4: They are top one hundred and two point percentage defense,

978
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:07,200
Speaker 4: so maybe their defense isn't quite three hundred and thirty

979
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:09,319
Speaker 4: fifth bad. But telling you the eye test is not

980
00:42:09,360 --> 00:42:10,839
Speaker 4: good for them. It does not treat them well. Their

981
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:13,479
Speaker 4: bigs can't move their feet, their cards can't really either.

982
00:42:15,080 --> 00:42:18,759
Speaker 4: I'm most inclined to buy low on Slough, but it's

983
00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:21,120
Speaker 4: taken time and they're not there yet. They basically played

984
00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:23,160
Speaker 4: six and a half guys today on Sunday as we

985
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:26,319
Speaker 4: record this. Their their rotation is just not there and

986
00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 4: their continuity and the reeds within shirts of system takes

987
00:42:29,120 --> 00:42:31,719
Speaker 4: a lot of familiarity. People recall he did not win

988
00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:34,239
Speaker 4: right away in Indiana State. It took him a little bit,

989
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:37,520
Speaker 4: even though he brought players from D two and now

990
00:42:37,560 --> 00:42:39,560
Speaker 4: he's bringing guys from Slough, a couple of them.

991
00:42:39,760 --> 00:42:41,280
Speaker 2: It's just it's not quite the same.

992
00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:44,480
Speaker 4: Jimmerson and Anya are still kind of finding their roles offensively,

993
00:42:44,520 --> 00:42:47,239
Speaker 4: and they again, they just don't have bodies. So I'm

994
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:50,600
Speaker 4: kind of just gonna let these these knives continue to fall, Kyle,

995
00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:52,000
Speaker 4: I'm not going to try to catch any of them.

996
00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:55,400
Speaker 3: I mean, Jim here for context slu plays at Illinois

997
00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:59,200
Speaker 3: State next Sunday. Kempom has Illinois State favored by two

998
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:01,759
Speaker 3: against Slut. Like the market will probably open that what

999
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:04,440
Speaker 3: Slew miyes too, like a four point shade, So kind

1000
00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:06,520
Speaker 3: of that's we'll see. That's sort of my the essence

1001
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:07,439
Speaker 3: of my point right there.

1002
00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:11,040
Speaker 2: Yep. And I'll probably take Slew and I'm gonna take yeah.

1003
00:43:13,320 --> 00:43:15,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, So whatever I said, screw it, let's go Slou.

1004
00:43:16,080 --> 00:43:16,279
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1005
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 4: But that's okay, that's it, guys. Let's give a quick

1006
00:43:18,600 --> 00:43:21,920
Speaker 4: recap what we liked throughout the show. I will I

1007
00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:25,320
Speaker 4: will start it off Michigan in the Jimmy v. Classic

1008
00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:27,520
Speaker 4: against Arkansas. I'm gonna lay it. Hopefully we'll get four,

1009
00:43:27,719 --> 00:43:29,799
Speaker 4: like the Ken Tom number that's out there. Maybe if

1010
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:31,920
Speaker 4: be a living bet Arkansas because they love cal Parry.

1011
00:43:31,960 --> 00:43:32,400
Speaker 2: We'll see.

1012
00:43:32,840 --> 00:43:35,000
Speaker 4: I'm gonna lay it with Houston, my favorite favorite of

1013
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:37,359
Speaker 4: the week. I think they're gonna blow out Troy taking

1014
00:43:37,480 --> 00:43:41,480
Speaker 4: Charleston with the points. Brown I also like in that

1015
00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:46,040
Speaker 4: spot of spots against Rhode Island, Sprinkle Kai, sprinkle those

1016
00:43:46,080 --> 00:43:49,080
Speaker 4: outright dogs, North Dakota State and Eastern Washington. I think

1017
00:43:49,120 --> 00:43:50,919
Speaker 4: they've got a chance to to steal one of those,

1018
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 4: and then you're making money. And then if Duke beats

1019
00:43:54,040 --> 00:43:57,680
Speaker 4: Louisville today, incarnate word first half, that's my trash dumping,

1020
00:43:57,760 --> 00:43:58,480
Speaker 4: dumpster diving.

1021
00:43:58,880 --> 00:43:59,960
Speaker 2: What about you, mister mckewan.

1022
00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:04,840
Speaker 5: Yeah, my number, we won't say it, but Tennessee against Miami,

1023
00:44:05,160 --> 00:44:07,319
Speaker 5: if it's under twenty, I think is a bet for me.

1024
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:10,600
Speaker 5: Brown for sure against Torode Island, I'm hoping to get

1025
00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:13,200
Speaker 5: around a touchdown. Like Matt said earlier in the show,

1026
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:15,759
Speaker 5: I do think North Dakota State and schwash and are

1027
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:19,279
Speaker 5: both worthy bets, certainly as dogs. And yeah, sprinkle the

1028
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:22,640
Speaker 5: money line if you'd like Kansas City. I'm pretty Luke

1029
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:25,200
Speaker 5: Warma and Luke Warman. Still, I know that was my

1030
00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:29,720
Speaker 5: trash man, but if I'm catching three, I'll be a rue.

1031
00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:31,040
Speaker 1: I wish you luck.

1032
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:33,240
Speaker 3: I'm going to go with the buzz cut badger him

1033
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:36,800
Speaker 3: Wisconsin as an official pick. Charleston I mentioned, and I

1034
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:38,279
Speaker 3: will take Brown. I was sort of that was my

1035
00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:40,240
Speaker 3: third on the fence. I will take Brown. I would

1036
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:42,960
Speaker 3: like to catch seven, maybe six if I feel a

1037
00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:45,080
Speaker 3: little bit, but I think anything belows six. It would

1038
00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:48,160
Speaker 3: be fiscally irresponsible for me to recommend that in good faith.

1039
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:50,960
Speaker 3: So that's my two and a half pick three on

1040
00:44:51,000 --> 00:44:51,440
Speaker 3: the fence.

1041
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:55,920
Speaker 4: If we know anything about Matthew, it is fiscal responsibility,

1042
00:44:56,080 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 4: so he would never lead you astray anywhere besides that. Yes, okay, folks,

1043
00:45:01,120 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 4: that is it for this opening episode of Big Bets

1044
00:45:04,560 --> 00:45:07,080
Speaker 4: on Campus from us the Three Man Weave. We'll be

1045
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:10,040
Speaker 4: back every single week on this feed. Thank you to

1046
00:45:10,080 --> 00:45:12,520
Speaker 4: the Action Network for hosting us again. We're happy to

1047
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:14,040
Speaker 4: be here. We're going to be guiding you through Monday

1048
00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:16,400
Speaker 4: and Tuesday slates for a few weeks, and then we'll

1049
00:45:16,440 --> 00:45:19,520
Speaker 4: see once conference play starts and stuck in Mike Cawbrasy,

1050
00:45:19,600 --> 00:45:22,560
Speaker 4: roll over to this feed or roll with your college basketball.

1051
00:45:22,440 --> 00:45:23,520
Speaker 2: We'll figure out the schedule.

1052
00:45:23,560 --> 00:45:26,600
Speaker 4: But going forward, Mondays and Tuesdays, we'll see you again

1053
00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:27,120
Speaker 4: next week.

1054
00:45:27,400 --> 00:45:28,959
Speaker 2: Hope you find some winners out there.

1055
00:45:29,200 --> 00:45:46,879
Speaker 3: Cheers Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1056
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1057
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:53,000
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1058
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:53,920
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler