WEBVTT - Rerun: The Artemis Program

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to tech Stuff, a production from iHeartRadio. Hey there,

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<v Speaker 1>and welcome to tech Stuff. I'm your host, Jovan Strickland.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm an executive producer with iHeart Podcasts. Send how the

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<v Speaker 1>tech are you? So? Initially I had planned to have

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<v Speaker 1>a brand new episode because we have so few left

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<v Speaker 1>before I hand the show over to new hosts. But unfortunately,

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<v Speaker 1>in the process of putting that show together, I had

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<v Speaker 1>multiple no this is ironic technological failures that have set

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<v Speaker 1>me back. So rather than go without an episode today,

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<v Speaker 1>I thought one thing we could do is revisit an

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<v Speaker 1>episode that published a couple of years ago about the

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<v Speaker 1>Artemis program. This is the program at NASA that it

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<v Speaker 1>aims to return astronauts to the surface of the Moon.

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<v Speaker 1>Now that particular program has recently it's been announced that

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<v Speaker 1>it's had some setbacks, some delays, not a big surprise.

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<v Speaker 1>There have been a lot of issues going on with

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<v Speaker 1>NASA and spacecraft in general, and so now the mission

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<v Speaker 1>that would send astronauts to do a flyby of the Moon,

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<v Speaker 1>they would pass behind the Moon and then come back

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<v Speaker 1>to Earth. That is pushed back to twenty twenty six,

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<v Speaker 1>and hopefully we would once again have astronauts on the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon's surface by twenty twenty seven. Whether that happens or

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<v Speaker 1>not remains to be seen, but I thought perhaps it

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<v Speaker 1>would be a good idea to revisit this episode the

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<v Speaker 1>Artemis program and kind of reflect on the mission itself,

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<v Speaker 1>like why does the mission exist, what are its goals,

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<v Speaker 1>and what potentially could we gain from this, keeping in

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<v Speaker 1>mind that it's frequently impossible to predict what you could

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<v Speaker 1>gain because these missions come with them certain massive challenges

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<v Speaker 1>the engineers have to figure out how to solve, and

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<v Speaker 1>in the process of solving those challenges, we can sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>uncover the possibility for technologies that can benefit us in

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<v Speaker 1>other ways, not just in order to survive on the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon's surface, but do other stuff. And so it's really impossible,

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<v Speaker 1>I would argue, to anticipate what benefits we could see

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<v Speaker 1>beyond just the mission accomplished section of these sorts of things,

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<v Speaker 1>And in my mind, that's a great reason to pursue

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<v Speaker 1>these really challenging goals. Now, should we pursue the challenging

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<v Speaker 1>goal of going back to the Moon as opposed to

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<v Speaker 1>some other challenging goal. That's a different discussion, one that

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<v Speaker 1>I think is also worth having I don't think, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a zero sum game necessarily, but ultimately we do

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<v Speaker 1>have to start prioritizing what we're focusing on, what we're

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<v Speaker 1>dedicating resources to, and in the process we might come

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<v Speaker 1>to the conclusion that one pursuit is more worthy than another.

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<v Speaker 1>And we'll really see how that shakes out once the

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<v Speaker 1>new administration takes power here in the United States, and

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<v Speaker 1>whether or not we see a more aggressive approach toward

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<v Speaker 1>space exploration. I would certainly expect that to happen, considering

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<v Speaker 1>that Elon Musk, you know, he has a private space company,

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<v Speaker 1>and he's real buddy buddy with the President elect. So

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<v Speaker 1>if I had to wager, I would say that we'd

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<v Speaker 1>see a lot more space stuff in twenty twenty five.

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<v Speaker 1>But in the meantime, let's listen to this episode the

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<v Speaker 1>Artemis Program, and I'll talk to you again really soon.

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<v Speaker 1>Today we're going to talk about space and NASA's most

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<v Speaker 1>recent program, intended to put American astronauts back on the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon and eventually to go beyond the Moon. But first

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<v Speaker 1>let's do a quick look back into the history of

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<v Speaker 1>the space program. So back in the early nineteen sixties,

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<v Speaker 1>the United States was in a fierce competition with the

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<v Speaker 1>then Soviet Union. The Soviets had shocked Americans upon the

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<v Speaker 1>launch of the satellite Sputnik that was the first man

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<v Speaker 1>made object launched into orbit around the Earth. Sputnik didn't

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<v Speaker 1>really do a whole lot other than send out a

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<v Speaker 1>little beep of a radio signal as it traveled miles

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<v Speaker 1>above the Earth's surface, but the implications of that launch

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<v Speaker 1>were enormous. First, the fact that the Soviets could launch

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<v Speaker 1>an object into orbit suggested that the USSR also had

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<v Speaker 1>the capability of launching, say, you know, a missile somewhere else,

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<v Speaker 1>like across the world at the United States. Coupled with

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<v Speaker 1>a nuclear warhead. That was a chilling thought. The US

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<v Speaker 1>and the USSR held a great deal of animosity for

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<v Speaker 1>each other, which is putting it lightly, or at least

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<v Speaker 1>the governments of those countries did, and each government supported

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<v Speaker 1>an awful lot of propaganda aimed at vilifying the other side.

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<v Speaker 1>As a child of the eighties, I remember a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of sort of anti Soviet, anti Russian kind of messaging

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<v Speaker 1>in pop culture and beyond well, anyway, the second part

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<v Speaker 1>of this is that the world is a stage, as

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<v Speaker 1>Shakespeare once wrote, and on that stage, the Soviets were

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<v Speaker 1>poised to take on the role of most technologically and

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<v Speaker 1>scientifically advanced nation on the planet, and that was something

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<v Speaker 1>that the US government wasn't too keen on either, and

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<v Speaker 1>so there was a very strong incentive to give the

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<v Speaker 1>US space industry its own shot in the arm to

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<v Speaker 1>catch up and then ultimately to pass the Soviet space program.

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<v Speaker 1>The space race would showcase the best and worst of

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<v Speaker 1>human traits. Among the best were ingenuity, problem solving, collaboration, exploration,

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<v Speaker 1>and curiosity. Among the worst, you had pride, you had

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<v Speaker 1>boasting not to mention the fact that the finish line

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<v Speaker 1>kept getting pushed back whenever one side would achieve something notable,

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<v Speaker 1>like you might say, oh, well, really, the real test

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<v Speaker 1>is to put the first person up in space, And

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<v Speaker 1>then the Soviets did that, and the Americans said, well, really,

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<v Speaker 1>the real test is docking two spacecraft in space together.

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<v Speaker 1>And then the Americans did that, and the Soviets said, well, really,

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<v Speaker 1>it's and so they kept pushing that back until finally

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<v Speaker 1>it got to the real goal isn't to put something

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<v Speaker 1>into orbit, but to get to the Moon, and that

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<v Speaker 1>was viewed as the ultimate goal. The ultimate finish line. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, for reals, a lot of the space race

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<v Speaker 1>was really just about moving those goal posts so that

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<v Speaker 1>one side could not easily declare victory and superiority over

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<v Speaker 1>the other side. And yes, it is more than a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit childish. It might remind you of kids playing

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<v Speaker 1>a game where they keep changing the rules whenever it

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<v Speaker 1>seems like they're losing. However, that childish desire is also

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<v Speaker 1>what helped drive and perhaps more importantly, fund the actual

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<v Speaker 1>engineering and science that would lead to some of the

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<v Speaker 1>greatest achievements in human history. These are achievements that would

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<v Speaker 1>spin off numerous beneficial technologies that we rely upon and

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<v Speaker 1>benefit from today. Anyway, in nineteen sixty three, the US

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<v Speaker 1>Space Agency NASA initiated a new program named Apollo, and

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<v Speaker 1>this was an official response to a promise that had

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<v Speaker 1>been made in nineteen sixty one by US President John F. Kennedy.

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<v Speaker 1>He announced a commitment to get astronauts to the Moon

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<v Speaker 1>by the end of that decade. Now, in Greek mythology,

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<v Speaker 1>Apollo is the son of Zeus. He's the god of

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<v Speaker 1>the arts, of poetry and of the Sun. The Apollo

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<v Speaker 1>missions saw several successful Moon landings, beginning with Apollo eleven

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<v Speaker 1>in July nineteen sixty nine and ending with Apollo seventeen

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<v Speaker 1>in December nineteen seventy two. The program also had its

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<v Speaker 1>share of tragedy. In nineteen sixty seven, three astronauts died

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<v Speaker 1>in a pre flight test when a fire broke out

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<v Speaker 1>in the cockpit of the command module. NASA would later

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<v Speaker 1>designate this mission, originally known as Apollo two oh four

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<v Speaker 1>Apollo one, in an effort to honor the three astronauts

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<v Speaker 1>who lost their lives in this accident. Apollo seventeen would

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<v Speaker 1>mark the last time a human would set foot on

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<v Speaker 1>the Moon, and that stands true up to the date

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<v Speaker 1>of this recording. No human has been back to the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon since December nineteen seventy two. And that's what brings

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<v Speaker 1>us to today's topic, because once again NASA and numerous

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<v Speaker 1>partnering companies and organizations are looking to send people back

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<v Speaker 1>to the Moon's surface. This time, the goal is to

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<v Speaker 1>include women astronauts in the project, something that just did

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<v Speaker 1>happen back in the sixties and seventies. The new program

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<v Speaker 1>is called Artemis. Now, like Apollo, the name Artemis comes

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<v Speaker 1>to us from Greek mythology, she's actually Apollo's twin sister,

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<v Speaker 1>which makes sense. This is sort of the twin sister

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<v Speaker 1>project to Apollo. Now. Frankly, I would argue Artemis is

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<v Speaker 1>much better suited as a name for this project because

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<v Speaker 1>she's the goddess of the Moon. She's also the goddess

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<v Speaker 1>of the wilderness and hunting and other stuff. The Greek

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<v Speaker 1>gods were famous multitaskers. As goddess of the Moon, she

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<v Speaker 1>does have the perfect name for the NASA endeavor to

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<v Speaker 1>put people up there. She did not just spring into being,

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<v Speaker 1>either in mythology or in the space project. In space terms,

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<v Speaker 1>Artemis follows some earlier attempts to get astronauts back to

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<v Speaker 1>the Moon. She's sort of the evolution of some earlier

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<v Speaker 1>programs that have since been either canceled or just transformed.

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<v Speaker 1>So this means we need to look at a span

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<v Speaker 1>of time between the Apollo missions and the upcoming Artemis missions.

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<v Speaker 1>In the first decade of the twenty first century, NASA

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<v Speaker 1>announced a program called Constellation. The scope of Constellation was

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<v Speaker 1>pretty darned big. It laid out the many advances NASA

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<v Speaker 1>identified as being pivotal for the most extensive missions to

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<v Speaker 1>the Moon and beyond. It called for the retirement of

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<v Speaker 1>the Space Shuttle program. It was already on its way out.

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<v Speaker 1>And so the reason for that was that the Space

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<v Speaker 1>Shuttle program was limited in its ability. Really could only

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<v Speaker 1>go into orbit. It can't go to the Moon or beyond.

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<v Speaker 1>And also the Columbia disaster had brought up serious questions

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<v Speaker 1>about the viability of the Space Shuttle program. In general,

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<v Speaker 1>it was an aging fleet of spacecraft. So this particular

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<v Speaker 1>Constellation program laid out requirements for a new type of

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<v Speaker 1>spacecraft called Orion, also known as the Crew Exploration Vehicle,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's similar to the old Apollo capsules, but it's

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<v Speaker 1>actually larger and has a lot more features and could

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<v Speaker 1>support a crew of astronauts on a mission to the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon and back or extended trips to the International Space Station.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll talk more about the Orion in detail a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit later. So the Constellation program, in turn was a

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<v Speaker 1>response to a call from the US President, George W. Bush,

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<v Speaker 1>and he was asking NASA to really shoot for these goals.

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<v Speaker 1>He wanted something really aspirational and inspirational to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>get people excited about this. Presidents tend to do this,

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, when they need a kind of a

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<v Speaker 1>boost in their own popularity. It's great that we benefit

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<v Speaker 1>from it from a scientific perspective, but it does not

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<v Speaker 1>always come from a genuine desire to push science. Sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>that desire is more linked to the politics of the

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<v Speaker 1>situation than the actual scientific goal of the situation. And

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<v Speaker 1>in fact, there are plenty of people who argued that

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<v Speaker 1>this whole approach was not the right thing for NASA

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<v Speaker 1>to do, that putting people back on the Moon didn't

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<v Speaker 1>really solve any big issues or didn't open up any

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<v Speaker 1>other opportunities we had already been to the moon. People

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<v Speaker 1>were arguing that maybe we wouldn't be able to learn

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<v Speaker 1>anything new by going back to the Moon, that we

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<v Speaker 1>should instead dedicate our efforts toward other things. But the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon is one of those things that's easy to point

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<v Speaker 1>at and say that is a big challenge, how do

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<v Speaker 1>we get back there? And then you can worry about

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<v Speaker 1>the other stuff later on down the line. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that there is value going back to the moon. By

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<v Speaker 1>the way, I don't want to dismiss it out of hand,

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<v Speaker 1>but I can see the validity of arguments that state

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<v Speaker 1>maybe we should look at other goals instead. Goals that

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<v Speaker 1>might have a more obvious payout in either the benefits

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<v Speaker 1>we get from technological advancement or the direct result of

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<v Speaker 1>the missions themselves. So I could see both sides of

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<v Speaker 1>both arguments, and so I haven't I guess I haven't

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<v Speaker 1>really fully made up my mind of which side I

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<v Speaker 1>really subscribed to anyway, So we get this deadline set

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<v Speaker 1>for this idea of going back to the Moon. The vehicle,

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<v Speaker 1>the Orion spacecraft, was supposed to be ready by twenty fourteen,

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<v Speaker 1>and then you had the goal of actually getting people

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<v Speaker 1>back on the Moon by twenty twenty. It is twenty twenty,

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<v Speaker 1>and spoiler alert, that ain't gonna happen this year. NASA

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<v Speaker 1>Administrator Michael Griffin unveiled this plan in two thousand and five,

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<v Speaker 1>and that included a plan for two new rocket systems

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<v Speaker 1>that would provide the umph needed to get the Orion

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<v Speaker 1>spacecraft out into space on its way to the Moon

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<v Speaker 1>or the International Space Station. And those rockets were the

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<v Speaker 1>Ares one and the Ares five launch vehicles No. Two

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<v Speaker 1>and three just one in five, and they were or four,

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<v Speaker 1>I should say, but one in five were also meant

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of mirror the Saturn one and Saturn five

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<v Speaker 1>rockets that were used in previous NASA programs. ARES one

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<v Speaker 1>was the smaller of the two rockets. That one was

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<v Speaker 1>intended to launch payloads like the Orion spacecraft and its

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<v Speaker 1>crew into orbit. The ARES five would be a heavy

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<v Speaker 1>lifting rocket and it would be used to launch significance

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<v Speaker 1>amounts of a payload into space of cargo. So if

0:14:31.840 --> 0:14:35.280
<v Speaker 1>you wanted to create, say a Moon station, you know,

0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:37.360
<v Speaker 1>to actually build a station on the Moon, you would

0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:40.920
<v Speaker 1>use a series of ARES five rockets to launch those

0:14:40.920 --> 0:14:44.240
<v Speaker 1>payloads into space, and then presumably you would find a

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:48.280
<v Speaker 1>way of getting them to the Moon for construction. So

0:14:48.320 --> 0:14:52.240
<v Speaker 1>it's not that different from models like SpaceX, where they

0:14:52.240 --> 0:14:56.200
<v Speaker 1>have the Falcon nine rocket or launch vehicle that can

0:14:56.320 --> 0:15:00.520
<v Speaker 1>send a capsule into space, or the Falcon nine heavy

0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:04.240
<v Speaker 1>which is meant to push much heavier payloads into space.

0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:08.720
<v Speaker 1>Developing the rockets would be another really big task on

0:15:08.800 --> 0:15:13.640
<v Speaker 1>top of building this Orion spacecraft, But this was a

0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:17.600
<v Speaker 1>thing that Griffin thought was necessary. Lunar missions are going

0:15:17.640 --> 0:15:19.760
<v Speaker 1>to require a lot of support systems in order to

0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:22.360
<v Speaker 1>make sure the astronauts can get to the Moon, they

0:15:22.400 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 1>can land there, they can operate on the Moon, and

0:15:24.640 --> 0:15:27.200
<v Speaker 1>then they can return from the Moon safely back to Earth.

0:15:27.240 --> 0:15:30.680
<v Speaker 1>That requires a lot of work. So, according to NASA estimates,

0:15:30.960 --> 0:15:34.680
<v Speaker 1>relying on older launch vehicles like the Delta or Atlas

0:15:34.760 --> 0:15:38.920
<v Speaker 1>rockets would require many more launches to get the required

0:15:38.960 --> 0:15:43.040
<v Speaker 1>equipment back into space. So that would drive up the

0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:46.360
<v Speaker 1>cost of the program. And Griffin was saying, well, it's

0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:48.200
<v Speaker 1>going to cost a huge amount of money to develop

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:51.480
<v Speaker 1>new rockets, but it will cost another huge amount of

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:54.240
<v Speaker 1>money if we rely on older rockets because we'll have

0:15:54.240 --> 0:15:56.960
<v Speaker 1>to use more of them. And so he was weighing

0:15:56.960 --> 0:15:59.640
<v Speaker 1>those two options and ultimately decided that it made more

0:15:59.680 --> 0:16:05.120
<v Speaker 1>sense to push for brand new launch systems. Now, spoiler alert,

0:16:05.840 --> 0:16:08.480
<v Speaker 1>this whole plan that was laid out in two thousand

0:16:08.480 --> 0:16:11.760
<v Speaker 1>and five did not pan out, at least not as

0:16:11.880 --> 0:16:15.880
<v Speaker 1>Constellation had laid it all out. We didn't have a

0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:19.200
<v Speaker 1>spacecraft ready in time, nor are we ready to put

0:16:19.240 --> 0:16:22.080
<v Speaker 1>anyone on the Moon this year. And one of the

0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:26.840
<v Speaker 1>main contributors to the shortfall was down to budget. The

0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:30.520
<v Speaker 1>original Apollo program had a budget of twenty five point

0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:35.680
<v Speaker 1>eight billion dollars from nineteen sixty to nineteen seventy three.

0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:39.480
<v Speaker 1>If we adjust that for inflation and look at it

0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:42.720
<v Speaker 1>in today's money, that would come out to about two

0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:48.640
<v Speaker 1>hundred sixty billion dollars, a truly princely sum. But that

0:16:48.800 --> 0:16:52.840
<v Speaker 1>was across the entire lifespan of the Apollo program, not

0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:57.040
<v Speaker 1>just one particular year. In nineteen sixty six, the peak

0:16:57.120 --> 0:17:00.920
<v Speaker 1>year the Apollo program. From a vedgetary perspective, the agency

0:17:01.000 --> 0:17:05.399
<v Speaker 1>spent the equivalent of forty seven point eight billion dollars

0:17:05.400 --> 0:17:09.639
<v Speaker 1>in today's money, and that was just for the Apollo program.

0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:13.000
<v Speaker 1>So the budget for all of NASA in two thousand

0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:15.919
<v Speaker 1>and five, not just Constellation, but all the programs that

0:17:16.000 --> 0:17:21.600
<v Speaker 1>NASA oversees was fifteen point six billion dollars. That's a

0:17:21.640 --> 0:17:23.800
<v Speaker 1>lot less than forty seven point eight billion. Trust me,

0:17:23.840 --> 0:17:27.440
<v Speaker 1>I ran the math. Even adjusted for inflation, that comes

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:30.840
<v Speaker 1>out to just under seventeen billion dollars. It is an

0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:36.520
<v Speaker 1>enormous amount less than what was spent in nineteen sixty six,

0:17:36.640 --> 0:17:39.520
<v Speaker 1>or the equivalent of what was spent in nineteen sixty six.

0:17:39.560 --> 0:17:44.440
<v Speaker 1>And yet Griffin was describing Constellation as Apollo on steroids.

0:17:44.920 --> 0:17:46.879
<v Speaker 1>So that got a lot of people asking, can you

0:17:46.960 --> 0:17:51.200
<v Speaker 1>really design Apollo on steroids if you're using a budget

0:17:51.280 --> 0:17:55.280
<v Speaker 1>that's less than half of what Apollos program spent in

0:17:55.359 --> 0:18:00.280
<v Speaker 1>nineteen sixty six, So this was a question, and then

0:18:00.280 --> 0:18:02.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people were asking, and ultimately the answer

0:18:02.560 --> 0:18:06.280
<v Speaker 1>appears to be no, you can't really do it. So

0:18:06.320 --> 0:18:09.680
<v Speaker 1>despite having access to less money, NASA still really tackled

0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:12.119
<v Speaker 1>this challenge. I mean a lot of people poured a

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:15.760
<v Speaker 1>ton of work and effort into trying to make this happen.

0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:18.359
<v Speaker 1>In two thousand and nine, the agency released a statement

0:18:18.400 --> 0:18:21.040
<v Speaker 1>saying the Orion would not be ready for a twenty

0:18:21.160 --> 0:18:24.360
<v Speaker 1>fourteen launch. They were hoping that they could maybe make

0:18:24.400 --> 0:18:30.359
<v Speaker 1>it a twenty fifteen deadline. But here's the thing. While

0:18:31.240 --> 0:18:33.359
<v Speaker 1>on the surface that says, oh, it's a delay of

0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:35.800
<v Speaker 1>just one year, that's actually not that bad, especially when

0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:39.639
<v Speaker 1>you consider the budgetary restraints, it actually was three years

0:18:39.680 --> 0:18:42.240
<v Speaker 1>later than what Griffin had been hoping for. He had

0:18:42.240 --> 0:18:45.400
<v Speaker 1>hoped to have the Orion ready for launch by twenty twelve,

0:18:46.000 --> 0:18:47.920
<v Speaker 1>So now they were sure it wasn't going to be

0:18:47.960 --> 0:18:51.040
<v Speaker 1>ready till at least twenty fifteen. The agency was really

0:18:51.080 --> 0:18:53.680
<v Speaker 1>trying to narrow a gap that was going to exist

0:18:53.920 --> 0:18:57.639
<v Speaker 1>when the space shuttles retired and the USA would no

0:18:57.720 --> 0:19:01.960
<v Speaker 1>longer have a spacecraft capable of launching and docking with

0:19:02.080 --> 0:19:06.200
<v Speaker 1>the newly finished International Space Station. So the ISS gets

0:19:06.240 --> 0:19:09.000
<v Speaker 1>finished around twenty ten at the same time the space

0:19:09.000 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 1>Shuttle program retires. Now the USA is reliant on other

0:19:14.440 --> 0:19:17.520
<v Speaker 1>countries and their space program in order to get astronauts

0:19:17.520 --> 0:19:22.200
<v Speaker 1>to and from the space station, typically Russia, so that's

0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:28.040
<v Speaker 1>not ideal, and they were waiting on commercial space companies

0:19:28.080 --> 0:19:31.120
<v Speaker 1>like SpaceX to catch up, but that just hadn't happened yet.

0:19:31.920 --> 0:19:35.160
<v Speaker 1>So the real hope was that the Orion spacecraft could

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:38.800
<v Speaker 1>take over those duties and make USA independent of other

0:19:38.840 --> 0:19:44.520
<v Speaker 1>countries and also of commercial spacecraft companies, where NASA would

0:19:44.520 --> 0:19:48.240
<v Speaker 1>be owning and operating these vehicles. But that just wasn't

0:19:48.240 --> 0:19:50.320
<v Speaker 1>going to happen. That gap was going to get wider

0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:54.480
<v Speaker 1>and wider, not narrower. NASA did have a cost overrun

0:19:54.600 --> 0:19:58.600
<v Speaker 1>of three point one billion dollars, though again this was

0:19:58.720 --> 0:20:00.639
<v Speaker 1>much less than what the agents he spent during the

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:04.679
<v Speaker 1>Apollo program years. But that delay of the program and

0:20:04.760 --> 0:20:08.600
<v Speaker 1>the twenty six percent overrun in costs gave Constellation a

0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:12.600
<v Speaker 1>really bad reputation. That was a reputation that President Barack

0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:16.840
<v Speaker 1>Obama actually referenced back in two thousand and eight NASA

0:20:17.440 --> 0:20:20.359
<v Speaker 1>also predicted that the program would continue to cost more

0:20:20.680 --> 0:20:23.960
<v Speaker 1>than had been originally projected, with an increase of about

0:20:24.160 --> 0:20:26.960
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and forty percent of the original budget marked

0:20:26.960 --> 0:20:30.360
<v Speaker 1>out for the years between twenty ten and twenty fourteen.

0:20:31.000 --> 0:20:33.600
<v Speaker 1>Not great news. On top of that, the focus of

0:20:33.680 --> 0:20:38.760
<v Speaker 1>NASA was almost entirely on the Orion spacecraft and the

0:20:38.840 --> 0:20:42.320
<v Speaker 1>Areas one launch vehicle. Again no big surprise here. The

0:20:42.400 --> 0:20:45.720
<v Speaker 1>idea of sending people to the Moon is generally one

0:20:45.760 --> 0:20:50.840
<v Speaker 1>that people really get excited about, and excitement translates into

0:20:51.080 --> 0:20:56.119
<v Speaker 1>governments approving bigger budgets because you know, representatives want to

0:20:56.800 --> 0:20:59.959
<v Speaker 1>support the things that their constituents are really excited about.

0:21:00.320 --> 0:21:02.920
<v Speaker 1>But that meant that the ARES five rocket, the heavy

0:21:03.000 --> 0:21:07.600
<v Speaker 1>lifting rocket, had a much smaller development budget. All the

0:21:07.600 --> 0:21:13.520
<v Speaker 1>focus was on the crude stuff. The Orion crew doesn't crewed,

0:21:14.080 --> 0:21:17.040
<v Speaker 1>the Orion spacecraft, and the ARES one launch vehicle, not

0:21:17.160 --> 0:21:19.159
<v Speaker 1>the ARES five, but the Areas five was going to

0:21:19.240 --> 0:21:20.800
<v Speaker 1>need a lot of money. I mean, this was a

0:21:20.840 --> 0:21:24.760
<v Speaker 1>heavy lifting rocket concept. But that meant that because it

0:21:24.800 --> 0:21:27.600
<v Speaker 1>didn't get that big budget, the development was getting delayed

0:21:27.640 --> 0:21:29.400
<v Speaker 1>over and over again, and that led to a point

0:21:29.440 --> 0:21:34.479
<v Speaker 1>where analysts believe that based on the budgetary trajectory at NASA,

0:21:34.920 --> 0:21:37.720
<v Speaker 1>the earliest the ARES five rocket would be able to

0:21:37.760 --> 0:21:41.280
<v Speaker 1>launch the lunar landing hardware that would be necessary to

0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 1>actually land on the Moon would be sometime in the

0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:49.040
<v Speaker 1>twenty thirties, if that were at all possible even then,

0:21:49.600 --> 0:21:53.000
<v Speaker 1>so that would delay that deadline of landing on the

0:21:53.000 --> 0:21:56.720
<v Speaker 1>Moon by more than a decade. The idea here was

0:21:56.760 --> 0:21:59.840
<v Speaker 1>that the Space Agency would put a lunar landing space

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:03.159
<v Speaker 1>into Earth orbit, and it was to be called the

0:22:03.280 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Lunar Surface Access Module or el SAM. Later it was

0:22:07.200 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 1>renamed the Altair and an ARIS five would launch this

0:22:12.200 --> 0:22:15.879
<v Speaker 1>Altair into Earth orbit. Because it was heavier than the

0:22:15.920 --> 0:22:18.280
<v Speaker 1>Orion spacecraft, so you wouldn't want to use like an

0:22:18.280 --> 0:22:20.840
<v Speaker 1>ARES one rocket, you need the heavy lifting rocket. There

0:22:22.040 --> 0:22:26.320
<v Speaker 1>a separate AREAS one rocket would launch an Orion spacecraft

0:22:26.680 --> 0:22:30.720
<v Speaker 1>into Earth orbit, and then the Orion spacecraft would rendezvous

0:22:30.960 --> 0:22:34.240
<v Speaker 1>with the orbiting Altair. The two would dock, and then

0:22:34.320 --> 0:22:36.359
<v Speaker 1>together they would make the rest of the trip to

0:22:36.400 --> 0:22:40.400
<v Speaker 1>the Moon. Upon entering lunar orbit, the two spacecraft could separate.

0:22:40.480 --> 0:22:43.440
<v Speaker 1>The entire crew of the Orion could move over into

0:22:43.480 --> 0:22:45.680
<v Speaker 1>the Altair Because the Orion would be automated and it

0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:48.280
<v Speaker 1>would just remain in orbit around the Moon. Then the

0:22:48.280 --> 0:22:51.600
<v Speaker 1>Altair would land on the Moon. The astronauts would go

0:22:51.600 --> 0:22:54.800
<v Speaker 1>out and you know, do moon stuff. Then they would

0:22:54.800 --> 0:22:57.920
<v Speaker 1>come back to the Altair, launch off the Moon, back

0:22:57.960 --> 0:23:01.720
<v Speaker 1>into orbit, dock with the Orion, transferred back over to

0:23:01.760 --> 0:23:04.639
<v Speaker 1>the Orion spacecraft, and then they could make the trip

0:23:04.720 --> 0:23:08.879
<v Speaker 1>back to Earth. But because of these budget limitations, the

0:23:08.920 --> 0:23:11.800
<v Speaker 1>focus on the Orion and the ares IE vehicles meant

0:23:11.800 --> 0:23:14.840
<v Speaker 1>that all of this other stuff, the ARES five and

0:23:14.880 --> 0:23:18.720
<v Speaker 1>the lunar module, all of that just remained hypothetical. It

0:23:18.760 --> 0:23:22.720
<v Speaker 1>was a proposal, not an actual spacecraft. So while the

0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:25.680
<v Speaker 1>agency might have produced an Orion spacecraft in time to

0:23:25.680 --> 0:23:28.439
<v Speaker 1>get into space by twenty fifteen, there was just no

0:23:28.640 --> 0:23:30.960
<v Speaker 1>hope of making enough progress to land on the Moon

0:23:31.080 --> 0:23:34.240
<v Speaker 1>any earlier than the twenty thirties, and some people thought

0:23:34.240 --> 0:23:38.480
<v Speaker 1>that even that was too ambitious. Meanwhile, NASA, the agency

0:23:38.880 --> 0:23:41.840
<v Speaker 1>was struggling with budget constraints in general, not just for

0:23:41.920 --> 0:23:46.320
<v Speaker 1>the Constellation program. Sometimes one project would have to siphon

0:23:46.440 --> 0:23:49.480
<v Speaker 1>funds intended for a totally different project. You had a

0:23:49.480 --> 0:23:53.280
<v Speaker 1>lot of internal battles in NASA as different project leads

0:23:53.320 --> 0:23:57.760
<v Speaker 1>would kind of squirrel budgetary money away that was intended

0:23:57.800 --> 0:24:00.879
<v Speaker 1>for some other project for their own. That did not

0:24:01.040 --> 0:24:03.680
<v Speaker 1>help morale in the agency, And moreover, it was never

0:24:03.800 --> 0:24:05.960
<v Speaker 1>enough to cover all the costs that were mounting up.

0:24:06.600 --> 0:24:09.760
<v Speaker 1>In twenty ten, NASA received its new budget from the

0:24:09.840 --> 0:24:15.400
<v Speaker 1>US government, and that budget listed zero for the Constellation project.

0:24:15.880 --> 0:24:17.880
<v Speaker 1>I'll explain more in just a moment, but we'll take

0:24:17.920 --> 0:24:27.600
<v Speaker 1>a quick break. So why did the US government pull

0:24:27.640 --> 0:24:30.760
<v Speaker 1>the plug in twenty ten on the Constellation project? Well,

0:24:30.760 --> 0:24:33.520
<v Speaker 1>it's actually pretty complicated to answer that, but it comes

0:24:33.560 --> 0:24:36.960
<v Speaker 1>down to several factors. So, for one thing, the design

0:24:37.080 --> 0:24:40.359
<v Speaker 1>specs or the various components in the Constellation project had

0:24:40.640 --> 0:24:43.280
<v Speaker 1>changed over time. Some of them had changed a few

0:24:43.280 --> 0:24:46.320
<v Speaker 1>times since two thousand and five. The team made various

0:24:46.359 --> 0:24:50.080
<v Speaker 1>determinations that then led them down different paths, requiring NASA

0:24:50.119 --> 0:24:53.520
<v Speaker 1>to invest more in new technologies and new designs and

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:57.240
<v Speaker 1>launch craft. And the initial plan would have seen using

0:24:57.840 --> 0:25:00.919
<v Speaker 1>them using more components that already exist did right, that

0:25:00.960 --> 0:25:03.480
<v Speaker 1>were already in production. But a lot of the decisions

0:25:03.520 --> 0:25:05.000
<v Speaker 1>they made meant, oh no, we're going to have to

0:25:05.000 --> 0:25:08.480
<v Speaker 1>actually make new stuff. So that meant that the process

0:25:08.520 --> 0:25:11.719
<v Speaker 1>was going to take longer and also cost more. The

0:25:11.760 --> 0:25:16.080
<v Speaker 1>prospects didn't look promising as far as achieving goals on time,

0:25:16.240 --> 0:25:18.960
<v Speaker 1>so that was another strike against it. And you also

0:25:19.040 --> 0:25:22.800
<v Speaker 1>had the case of a change in political administrations, which

0:25:23.119 --> 0:25:27.040
<v Speaker 1>frequently shakes things up with government funded projects. In fact,

0:25:27.320 --> 0:25:31.040
<v Speaker 1>that's one of the biggest challenges NASA faces with space travel.

0:25:31.400 --> 0:25:35.520
<v Speaker 1>It's not just the incredibly difficult task of designing technology

0:25:35.560 --> 0:25:39.080
<v Speaker 1>capable of bringing people into space safely and back home again.

0:25:39.640 --> 0:25:42.639
<v Speaker 1>It's dealing with a changing political climate that may have

0:25:42.840 --> 0:25:47.040
<v Speaker 1>vastly different priorities than the previous administration, which in turn

0:25:47.080 --> 0:25:50.280
<v Speaker 1>could mean that the funding you were counting on early

0:25:50.440 --> 0:25:55.280
<v Speaker 1>in the project disappears midway through the project, and that

0:25:56.640 --> 0:26:00.240
<v Speaker 1>just means it's the end of your whole process. What

0:26:00.400 --> 0:26:03.399
<v Speaker 1>a way to run a space railroad, right, So, in

0:26:03.400 --> 0:26:08.080
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and eight, when Obama won the presidency, one

0:26:08.119 --> 0:26:11.600
<v Speaker 1>of the things that followed was a change in NASA administrators.

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:14.159
<v Speaker 1>He and his advisors had a different set of priorities

0:26:14.200 --> 0:26:17.600
<v Speaker 1>than the previous administration, which included dedicating more money toward

0:26:17.680 --> 0:26:21.600
<v Speaker 1>commercial space companies like SpaceX, rather than going down the

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:25.120
<v Speaker 1>traditional path in which NASA would contract with big companies

0:26:25.119 --> 0:26:29.760
<v Speaker 1>like Boeing or Lockheed Griffin resigned upon Obama taking office,

0:26:29.880 --> 0:26:32.159
<v Speaker 1>which in turn is not an unusual thing to happen

0:26:32.200 --> 0:26:36.840
<v Speaker 1>when you have a change in administrations. It's not out

0:26:36.840 --> 0:26:43.080
<v Speaker 1>of the realm of normal practice for administrators to resign.

0:26:43.720 --> 0:26:47.800
<v Speaker 1>In those cases, it often happens. His replacement would eventually

0:26:48.000 --> 0:26:52.320
<v Speaker 1>be Charles Bolden, himself a former astronaut, though it takes

0:26:52.320 --> 0:26:56.879
<v Speaker 1>several months before Bolden would be appointed that position and

0:26:56.960 --> 0:27:01.040
<v Speaker 1>confirmed as the new administrator of NASA. These challenges are

0:27:01.080 --> 0:27:03.919
<v Speaker 1>part of why the private space industry was able to

0:27:03.960 --> 0:27:07.960
<v Speaker 1>get a foothold. Private companies aren't beholden to a government

0:27:08.040 --> 0:27:10.800
<v Speaker 1>for their budgets, although a private company might find itself

0:27:10.840 --> 0:27:13.119
<v Speaker 1>burning through its startup cash before it can become a

0:27:13.200 --> 0:27:17.400
<v Speaker 1>viable business, and private space companies like SpaceX were becoming

0:27:17.440 --> 0:27:20.320
<v Speaker 1>prominent right around the same time, which in turn created

0:27:20.400 --> 0:27:23.040
<v Speaker 1>a chance to rely on those companies for key components

0:27:23.480 --> 0:27:27.120
<v Speaker 1>rather than having them all be designed or contracted through NASA.

0:27:27.640 --> 0:27:31.680
<v Speaker 1>After a committee evaluated Constellation and determine that the program

0:27:31.760 --> 0:27:36.360
<v Speaker 1>simply could not succeed given its very ambitious goals coupled

0:27:36.400 --> 0:27:40.000
<v Speaker 1>with its very limited resources, the project got the axe

0:27:40.359 --> 0:27:43.520
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't necessarily that the project was bad, just that

0:27:43.680 --> 0:27:47.520
<v Speaker 1>its reach was further than its grasp. NASA was to

0:27:47.560 --> 0:27:50.640
<v Speaker 1>shift money over to long range goals such as developing

0:27:50.720 --> 0:27:54.120
<v Speaker 1>new heavy lift rockets and propulsion systems to be used

0:27:54.119 --> 0:27:57.240
<v Speaker 1>in space, all with an eye toward powering missions to

0:27:57.320 --> 0:27:59.879
<v Speaker 1>Mars in the future. The areas rockets and the air

0:28:00.119 --> 0:28:05.840
<v Speaker 1>ryan were scrapped, at least temporarily. Congress reacted negatively to

0:28:05.920 --> 0:28:10.000
<v Speaker 1>these changes because, well mostly because they weren't included in

0:28:10.119 --> 0:28:16.480
<v Speaker 1>the decisions. Obama amended his decision after encountering intense opposition

0:28:16.600 --> 0:28:20.200
<v Speaker 1>from certain members of Congress, and he brought Oryan back

0:28:20.200 --> 0:28:22.760
<v Speaker 1>into the picture, so it no longer was scrapped. It

0:28:22.800 --> 0:28:25.760
<v Speaker 1>was now back on the docket, and he set a

0:28:25.840 --> 0:28:28.840
<v Speaker 1>deadline for a new launch system to be ready to

0:28:28.840 --> 0:28:32.359
<v Speaker 1>go by twenty fifteen. Congress then took that plan and

0:28:32.400 --> 0:28:36.040
<v Speaker 1>tweaked it by giving NASA the directive to repurpose the

0:28:36.160 --> 0:28:40.280
<v Speaker 1>rocket designs for the Constellation project and have that ready

0:28:40.320 --> 0:28:43.200
<v Speaker 1>to go by twenty sixteen. The new launch vehicle would

0:28:43.240 --> 0:28:47.120
<v Speaker 1>be called the Space Launch System or SLS. One of

0:28:47.160 --> 0:28:50.920
<v Speaker 1>Obama's advisors said it was it was pretty clear that

0:28:51.000 --> 0:28:53.840
<v Speaker 1>members of Congress were doing their best to keep contracts

0:28:53.880 --> 0:28:57.480
<v Speaker 1>with big companies that had been involved in constellation, indicating

0:28:57.520 --> 0:28:59.560
<v Speaker 1>that this might have been some sort of you know,

0:28:59.680 --> 0:29:03.600
<v Speaker 1>smoke key filled room politicking going on here rather than

0:29:04.440 --> 0:29:08.360
<v Speaker 1>technical discussions. One other goal in this era was to

0:29:08.360 --> 0:29:11.040
<v Speaker 1>develop a mission in which NASA would send astronauts to

0:29:11.040 --> 0:29:14.440
<v Speaker 1>an asteroid, again as sort of a staging ground for

0:29:14.520 --> 0:29:19.480
<v Speaker 1>an eventual mission to Mars. And that's where things mostly stayed.

0:29:19.640 --> 0:29:24.120
<v Speaker 1>During Obama's administration, NASA was working on developing these initiatives,

0:29:24.440 --> 0:29:27.400
<v Speaker 1>and the private space industry began to grow at the

0:29:27.480 --> 0:29:31.160
<v Speaker 1>same time. Now, ultimately that asteroid mission would get scrapped,

0:29:31.480 --> 0:29:33.600
<v Speaker 1>but it would stick around for quite some time. Now.

0:29:33.600 --> 0:29:37.600
<v Speaker 1>When Donald Trump won the presidency, things would change again.

0:29:38.160 --> 0:29:40.440
<v Speaker 1>So one thing you do often see with these changes

0:29:40.480 --> 0:29:44.840
<v Speaker 1>in administrations is that a succeeding administration will attempt to

0:29:44.880 --> 0:29:48.400
<v Speaker 1>set more ambitious goals than the preceding one. It's a

0:29:48.440 --> 0:29:51.240
<v Speaker 1>way for presidents to kind of set themselves apart and

0:29:51.360 --> 0:29:56.160
<v Speaker 1>to try and get the nation excited about some particular initiative.

0:29:56.440 --> 0:29:59.640
<v Speaker 1>So Obama's administration was looking at the Moon and asteroids,

0:30:00.080 --> 0:30:02.840
<v Speaker 1>with a further goal being Mars in the future. Trump's

0:30:02.840 --> 0:30:05.280
<v Speaker 1>approach was similar in that it was Moon and then

0:30:05.440 --> 0:30:07.920
<v Speaker 1>straight onto Mars. Now I'm not going to go into

0:30:07.960 --> 0:30:11.280
<v Speaker 1>all the budget details here except to say, despite the

0:30:11.320 --> 0:30:13.720
<v Speaker 1>fact that you kept seeing these lofty goals in place,

0:30:14.280 --> 0:30:18.520
<v Speaker 1>you didn't necessarily see an enormous boost in budgets at NASA,

0:30:18.680 --> 0:30:21.200
<v Speaker 1>certainly nothing close to the peak that was spent back

0:30:21.240 --> 0:30:24.560
<v Speaker 1>in nineteen sixty six with the Apollo program. The budget

0:30:24.600 --> 0:30:28.400
<v Speaker 1>fluctuated year to year. In twenty sixteen it was nineteen

0:30:28.720 --> 0:30:32.400
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars, but a year later the budget had reduced

0:30:32.440 --> 0:30:36.360
<v Speaker 1>down to eighteen point eight billion dollars. In twenty eighteen,

0:30:36.400 --> 0:30:39.760
<v Speaker 1>it would bounce back to nineteen point five billion, but

0:30:39.840 --> 0:30:43.000
<v Speaker 1>it kind of hovered right around that area, just under

0:30:43.040 --> 0:30:47.360
<v Speaker 1>twenty billion dollars. And there's still political battles being fought

0:30:47.440 --> 0:30:50.840
<v Speaker 1>around the subject of relying on commercial space companies like

0:30:50.880 --> 0:30:56.000
<v Speaker 1>SpaceX versus going the traditional route where NASA lands contracts

0:30:56.000 --> 0:30:59.680
<v Speaker 1>with specific big companies like Boeing and Lockheed in order

0:30:59.720 --> 0:31:04.200
<v Speaker 1>to build spacecraft. These battles typically play out with congressional

0:31:04.240 --> 0:31:08.280
<v Speaker 1>representatives from states that rely on big manufacturing jobs, with

0:31:08.360 --> 0:31:11.560
<v Speaker 1>those companies like Boeing and Lockheed, arguing that the key

0:31:11.600 --> 0:31:14.720
<v Speaker 1>elements of any mission should ultimately be owned and operated

0:31:14.720 --> 0:31:19.160
<v Speaker 1>by NASA. Then others say that the financially responsible thing

0:31:19.200 --> 0:31:22.600
<v Speaker 1>to do is to outsource this to commercial space companies,

0:31:22.800 --> 0:31:25.280
<v Speaker 1>whom they argue can do the same work but for

0:31:25.440 --> 0:31:28.080
<v Speaker 1>less money. And a lot of these arguments come down

0:31:28.160 --> 0:31:32.240
<v Speaker 1>to financial and political matters, again, not technological decisions, and

0:31:32.280 --> 0:31:37.000
<v Speaker 1>it gets really messy. Tech is way easier to explain.

0:31:37.800 --> 0:31:41.680
<v Speaker 1>In April twenty nineteen, NASA announced that the Artemis program

0:31:41.720 --> 0:31:44.280
<v Speaker 1>and its ambitious goal of putting a man and woman

0:31:44.320 --> 0:31:47.400
<v Speaker 1>on the Moon by twenty twenty four would become a reality.

0:31:47.960 --> 0:31:50.320
<v Speaker 1>Of course, we have to remember that elements of this

0:31:50.440 --> 0:31:53.000
<v Speaker 1>plan had been in development since two thousand and five,

0:31:53.680 --> 0:31:57.520
<v Speaker 1>but because the SLS is largely built upon the bones

0:31:57.560 --> 0:32:01.920
<v Speaker 1>of the proposed Areas five rocket design. Heck, the Orion spacecraft,

0:32:01.960 --> 0:32:06.960
<v Speaker 1>which will actually hold the crew of a NASA Artemis mission,

0:32:07.280 --> 0:32:10.040
<v Speaker 1>has been the one piece that's been most consistently in

0:32:10.080 --> 0:32:14.080
<v Speaker 1>development since George W. Bush was president. In February twenty twenty,

0:32:14.520 --> 0:32:19.440
<v Speaker 1>the document titled Moon twenty twenty four Mission manifest made

0:32:19.520 --> 0:32:23.080
<v Speaker 1>the rounds now. NASA has since disputed the contents of

0:32:23.120 --> 0:32:25.960
<v Speaker 1>this document, saying that it does not accurately reflect the

0:32:26.000 --> 0:32:29.480
<v Speaker 1>current state of the Artemis program. However, as of the

0:32:29.520 --> 0:32:32.680
<v Speaker 1>time of this recording, it's the most recent version of

0:32:32.720 --> 0:32:35.640
<v Speaker 1>the plan I can find. Everything else is kind of

0:32:36.280 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 1>gone dark, So I'll explain the manifest version of the

0:32:41.400 --> 0:32:44.720
<v Speaker 1>mission here with the caveat that things have already changed.

0:32:45.000 --> 0:32:47.320
<v Speaker 1>But this plan kind of gives us a peek into

0:32:47.440 --> 0:32:52.600
<v Speaker 1>the ambition surrounding the Artemis program, even if the subsequent

0:32:52.640 --> 0:32:55.560
<v Speaker 1>plan that will get announced probably right around the time

0:32:55.600 --> 0:32:59.040
<v Speaker 1>this episode publishes, might have more details. So here we go.

0:32:59.400 --> 0:33:04.520
<v Speaker 1>In a twenty twenty one, according to this manifest, NASA

0:33:04.600 --> 0:33:09.800
<v Speaker 1>would test a Block one SLS launch vehicle carrying an

0:33:09.920 --> 0:33:14.440
<v Speaker 1>unmanned Orion spacecraft in a mission dubbed Artemis one. So

0:33:14.760 --> 0:33:18.960
<v Speaker 1>that raises a question, what's a Block one SLS. Well,

0:33:19.400 --> 0:33:22.080
<v Speaker 1>the SLS is designed in a way that will allow

0:33:22.160 --> 0:33:26.160
<v Speaker 1>NASA to swap out elements further down the line to

0:33:26.320 --> 0:33:31.360
<v Speaker 1>give it a boost in performance. Specifically, it will allow

0:33:31.440 --> 0:33:36.000
<v Speaker 1>NASA to include more powerful boosters and rockets that are

0:33:36.040 --> 0:33:39.239
<v Speaker 1>intended to get a crew to Mars. But those are

0:33:39.280 --> 0:33:43.560
<v Speaker 1>still being designed and constructed, and so we don't even

0:33:43.880 --> 0:33:47.680
<v Speaker 1>have an example to point at for the more advanced ones,

0:33:48.040 --> 0:33:50.080
<v Speaker 1>and rather than wait on all of that to finish

0:33:50.160 --> 0:33:54.200
<v Speaker 1>before making any other progress, NASA has placed a strategy

0:33:54.520 --> 0:33:57.800
<v Speaker 1>in which an initial version of the Space Launch System

0:33:58.000 --> 0:34:00.960
<v Speaker 1>Block one will be used to get the Orion into

0:34:01.080 --> 0:34:03.239
<v Speaker 1>orbit or to send it to the Moon, and the

0:34:03.240 --> 0:34:07.480
<v Speaker 1>future will get a more powerful Block two SLS that

0:34:07.560 --> 0:34:10.800
<v Speaker 1>would be able to send the Orion and cargo to Mars.

0:34:11.280 --> 0:34:15.120
<v Speaker 1>So how does all this play out? Well, keep in

0:34:15.160 --> 0:34:18.520
<v Speaker 1>mind that the Block two doesn't really exist yet, so

0:34:18.760 --> 0:34:21.560
<v Speaker 1>things could change dramatically by the time we actually have

0:34:21.760 --> 0:34:25.600
<v Speaker 1>something built, if it even gets built. The Block one

0:34:25.880 --> 0:34:31.040
<v Speaker 1>SLS is the version that's currently being finalized now, and

0:34:31.239 --> 0:34:34.480
<v Speaker 1>it will have two boosters similar to the Space Shuttle,

0:34:34.680 --> 0:34:37.080
<v Speaker 1>and it will also have a core stage like a

0:34:37.160 --> 0:34:43.080
<v Speaker 1>central rocket tank with four engines. The pair of solid

0:34:43.080 --> 0:34:46.839
<v Speaker 1>propellant rocket boosters are really similar to what the Space

0:34:46.840 --> 0:34:49.919
<v Speaker 1>Shuttle used. In fact, some of the early SLS launch

0:34:50.000 --> 0:34:56.080
<v Speaker 1>vehicles will be using unused Space Shuttle booster casings. Then

0:34:56.160 --> 0:34:58.960
<v Speaker 1>in the future new casings will have to be made

0:34:58.960 --> 0:35:01.560
<v Speaker 1>because we'll have run out of ones that weren't used

0:35:01.600 --> 0:35:04.120
<v Speaker 1>in the Space Shuttle program. But the old Space Shuttle

0:35:04.120 --> 0:35:08.919
<v Speaker 1>boosters had four segments of solid propellant rocket fuel. The

0:35:08.960 --> 0:35:14.760
<v Speaker 1>Block one SLS boosters will have five segments the core stage.

0:35:14.800 --> 0:35:19.319
<v Speaker 1>That central rocket will have four engines, and it will

0:35:19.400 --> 0:35:23.560
<v Speaker 1>use liquid propellant. Once in space and the Orion spacecraft

0:35:23.600 --> 0:35:27.560
<v Speaker 1>separates from its launch vehicle, the Orion spacecraft will use

0:35:27.600 --> 0:35:31.720
<v Speaker 1>what is called the interim cryogenic propulsion stage to travel

0:35:31.760 --> 0:35:35.160
<v Speaker 1>to its destination, such as the Moon. This version of

0:35:35.239 --> 0:35:39.040
<v Speaker 1>the SLS will be able to send fifty seven thousand

0:35:39.360 --> 0:35:43.280
<v Speaker 1>pounds or twenty six metric tons of payload into space.

0:35:43.640 --> 0:35:46.360
<v Speaker 1>In fact, it'll be able to deliver payloads of that

0:35:46.560 --> 0:35:51.279
<v Speaker 1>size into orbits beyond the Moon. Now between Block one

0:35:51.480 --> 0:35:55.080
<v Speaker 1>and Block two, NASA also plans a version of the

0:35:55.200 --> 0:35:58.839
<v Speaker 1>SLS called Block one B. It'll have a little bit

0:35:58.880 --> 0:36:02.879
<v Speaker 1>more oomph. The central core will have more fuel, it'll

0:36:02.920 --> 0:36:06.200
<v Speaker 1>be a bigger fuel tank, and it will be able

0:36:06.239 --> 0:36:09.319
<v Speaker 1>to put not just the Orion spacecraft into orbit, but

0:36:09.520 --> 0:36:12.720
<v Speaker 1>an orbiting habitat up into space. It can lift a

0:36:12.760 --> 0:36:17.239
<v Speaker 1>heavier payload up into space, creating opportunities for missions and

0:36:17.320 --> 0:36:21.320
<v Speaker 1>more ambitious goals. Block two's goal is to create a

0:36:21.360 --> 0:36:24.640
<v Speaker 1>launch vehicle capable of putting forty five tons of payload

0:36:24.719 --> 0:36:27.400
<v Speaker 1>into deep space and will be used for missions that

0:36:27.440 --> 0:36:30.000
<v Speaker 1>aim to go to Mars. All right, so let's get

0:36:30.120 --> 0:36:33.800
<v Speaker 1>back to this timeline that has since been disputed by NASA.

0:36:34.440 --> 0:36:37.080
<v Speaker 1>So according to that original timeline, or at least the

0:36:37.120 --> 0:36:42.400
<v Speaker 1>manifest timeline, NASA planned for the first crude Orion mission.

0:36:42.400 --> 0:36:46.120
<v Speaker 1>The first mission to have astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft,

0:36:46.960 --> 0:36:49.920
<v Speaker 1>which would be called the Artemis two mission, would launch

0:36:50.040 --> 0:36:53.680
<v Speaker 1>in January twenty twenty three. The mission will use a

0:36:53.719 --> 0:36:58.160
<v Speaker 1>Block one SLS as the launch vehicle, and it would

0:36:58.160 --> 0:37:00.920
<v Speaker 1>see the astronauts go on a path round the Moon

0:37:01.080 --> 0:37:03.759
<v Speaker 1>and back to Earth, not landing on the Moon, but

0:37:03.880 --> 0:37:06.800
<v Speaker 1>doing an orbit of the Moon and then returning or

0:37:06.840 --> 0:37:08.440
<v Speaker 1>maybe not even a full orbit. I think it's just

0:37:08.719 --> 0:37:11.560
<v Speaker 1>a flyby behind the Moon, similar to some of the

0:37:11.600 --> 0:37:16.520
<v Speaker 1>earlier Apollo missions. In August twenty twenty four, NASA plans

0:37:16.560 --> 0:37:20.279
<v Speaker 1>to launch the Artemis three mission. This mission's purpose is

0:37:20.280 --> 0:37:22.759
<v Speaker 1>to send a lunar lander to the Moon on a

0:37:23.160 --> 0:37:27.480
<v Speaker 1>Block one BSLS. More on the whole lunar lander thing

0:37:27.520 --> 0:37:29.839
<v Speaker 1>in a bit, because that part of the plan has

0:37:30.040 --> 0:37:34.239
<v Speaker 1>definitely changed a couple of times. October twenty twenty four

0:37:34.560 --> 0:37:37.480
<v Speaker 1>is the big one. That would be a mission called

0:37:37.600 --> 0:37:40.839
<v Speaker 1>Artemis four, and the purpose would be to send astronauts

0:37:41.120 --> 0:37:43.759
<v Speaker 1>to actually set foot on the Moon, including at least

0:37:43.880 --> 0:37:48.239
<v Speaker 1>one woman. This mission would use a Block one SLS

0:37:48.280 --> 0:37:53.960
<v Speaker 1>to send the Orion to rendezvous with a thing around

0:37:54.080 --> 0:37:56.560
<v Speaker 1>the Moon's orbit. We'll get back to that because it

0:37:56.640 --> 0:37:58.440
<v Speaker 1>has changed. It originally was just going to be a

0:37:58.480 --> 0:38:02.640
<v Speaker 1>lunar lander. Now it's slightly different. And this does not

0:38:03.160 --> 0:38:06.319
<v Speaker 1>end the Artemis program, right The landing on the Moon

0:38:06.400 --> 0:38:10.400
<v Speaker 1>is not the ultimate end of Artemis. NASA plans a

0:38:10.440 --> 0:38:14.640
<v Speaker 1>few other missions. One would happen in September twenty twenty five.

0:38:14.760 --> 0:38:19.480
<v Speaker 1>This one is not technically an Artemis mission, but it

0:38:19.520 --> 0:38:24.320
<v Speaker 1>will use the same spacecraft. It'll use the SLS Block

0:38:24.440 --> 0:38:30.080
<v Speaker 1>one in order to launch a satellite called the Europa Clipper,

0:38:30.520 --> 0:38:33.719
<v Speaker 1>and this one would fly over to Jupiter and get

0:38:33.760 --> 0:38:36.719
<v Speaker 1>an orbit around Jupiter and do flybys of Jupiter's moon

0:38:36.800 --> 0:38:39.320
<v Speaker 1>Europa to get a closer look. And part of the

0:38:39.360 --> 0:38:41.440
<v Speaker 1>purpose of this mission is to see if Europa has

0:38:41.560 --> 0:38:44.960
<v Speaker 1>environments that could potentially support life, So that's really exciting.

0:38:45.840 --> 0:38:49.040
<v Speaker 1>Then in June twenty twenty six, NASA plans to send

0:38:49.120 --> 0:38:52.400
<v Speaker 1>another mission to the Moon. This one designated Artemis five,

0:38:52.920 --> 0:38:56.200
<v Speaker 1>with more astronauts visiting Old Luna, using a Block one

0:38:56.480 --> 0:39:00.320
<v Speaker 1>B SLS to get there. So this is the lightly

0:39:00.480 --> 0:39:04.640
<v Speaker 1>larger version of the SLS. The following June, NASA would

0:39:04.680 --> 0:39:07.440
<v Speaker 1>launch a lander to head to Europa, giving us an

0:39:07.440 --> 0:39:10.120
<v Speaker 1>even closer look at Jubiter's Moon because we'd have a

0:39:10.239 --> 0:39:15.600
<v Speaker 1>lander setting foot, a lander uncrewed lander setting foot or

0:39:15.680 --> 0:39:19.879
<v Speaker 1>landing on Europa. But that would be super cool. In

0:39:19.960 --> 0:39:23.879
<v Speaker 1>August twenty twenty eight, NASA, according to this manifest, would

0:39:23.880 --> 0:39:26.680
<v Speaker 1>plan to launch the Artemis six mission, which would once

0:39:26.680 --> 0:39:28.800
<v Speaker 1>again take astronauts to the Moon, but this time aboard

0:39:28.800 --> 0:39:32.879
<v Speaker 1>a Block one B SLS, and in February twenty twenty nine,

0:39:33.239 --> 0:39:36.680
<v Speaker 1>Artemis seven would send cargo to the Moon and would

0:39:36.680 --> 0:39:40.320
<v Speaker 1>be the first mission to rely on a Block two SLS.

0:39:40.800 --> 0:39:44.320
<v Speaker 1>August twenty twenty nine also brings us to Artemis eight,

0:39:46.120 --> 0:39:48.759
<v Speaker 1>and that is also using a block to SLS to

0:39:48.920 --> 0:39:52.400
<v Speaker 1>send people astronauts aboard and orion mission. I have no

0:39:52.440 --> 0:39:54.960
<v Speaker 1>idea where that one's specifically going. It might be a

0:39:55.080 --> 0:39:59.080
<v Speaker 1>mission to test the Block two for a manned spaceflight

0:39:59.320 --> 0:40:02.560
<v Speaker 1>mission in general, but maybe it's going to the Moon.

0:40:02.600 --> 0:40:05.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't know the manifest was unclear, and the final

0:40:05.640 --> 0:40:09.000
<v Speaker 1>two Artemist missions that were in that manifest included a

0:40:09.680 --> 0:40:12.400
<v Speaker 1>twenty thirty one called Artomis nine that would be a

0:40:12.440 --> 0:40:15.800
<v Speaker 1>cargo mission using an SLS block two and an Artemis

0:40:15.920 --> 0:40:19.840
<v Speaker 1>ten that would also use a astronaut led mission on

0:40:20.120 --> 0:40:24.080
<v Speaker 1>a block to SLS. So that's what the manifest had

0:40:24.160 --> 0:40:27.440
<v Speaker 1>laid out, which NASA again has disputed, saying that there

0:40:27.440 --> 0:40:31.799
<v Speaker 1>are numerous errors or discrepancies with their current plan. But

0:40:31.960 --> 0:40:34.960
<v Speaker 1>that's the most information I have as of the recording

0:40:34.960 --> 0:40:36.960
<v Speaker 1>of this podcast. It gives us a general idea of

0:40:37.000 --> 0:40:39.399
<v Speaker 1>what they were thinking. When we come back, I'll talk

0:40:39.400 --> 0:40:42.560
<v Speaker 1>about some other things that have complicated this, But first

0:40:42.640 --> 0:40:52.760
<v Speaker 1>let's take a quick break. As I record this, we're

0:40:52.800 --> 0:40:55.680
<v Speaker 1>in a blackout on information about further details of the

0:40:55.800 --> 0:40:59.600
<v Speaker 1>Artimist program, largely because NASA is in contract negotiations with

0:40:59.680 --> 0:41:03.319
<v Speaker 1>multiple companies for different parts of this program. So there's

0:41:03.360 --> 0:41:06.239
<v Speaker 1>a lot of details that haven't been nailed down. There's

0:41:06.320 --> 0:41:09.600
<v Speaker 1>nothing to share because they haven't decided which version they're

0:41:09.640 --> 0:41:12.680
<v Speaker 1>going with on some of these things. Meanwhile, the clock

0:41:13.040 --> 0:41:15.640
<v Speaker 1>is ticking, but while we don't have concrete facts to

0:41:15.640 --> 0:41:17.800
<v Speaker 1>talk about, we can at least go over what NASA

0:41:17.920 --> 0:41:21.480
<v Speaker 1>has in mind. Now, I've mentioned the Orion spacecraft several

0:41:21.480 --> 0:41:24.880
<v Speaker 1>times without really going into any real detail about it. Again,

0:41:24.960 --> 0:41:27.200
<v Speaker 1>out of all the pieces for the Artemis program, this

0:41:27.239 --> 0:41:29.919
<v Speaker 1>one has had the most consistent support behind it. Since

0:41:29.920 --> 0:41:33.120
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and five, the first Orion spacecraft has been

0:41:33.360 --> 0:41:37.720
<v Speaker 1>completed in manufacturing. So it's something that we can actually

0:41:37.760 --> 0:41:40.879
<v Speaker 1>talk about because there is one. It hasn't been used yet,

0:41:41.200 --> 0:41:44.239
<v Speaker 1>but it exists. It has changed a few times since

0:41:44.239 --> 0:41:47.880
<v Speaker 1>its original concept. The prime company responsible for building the

0:41:47.880 --> 0:41:52.120
<v Speaker 1>Orion spacecraft is Lockheed. Now lots of folks call Orion

0:41:52.280 --> 0:41:55.640
<v Speaker 1>a gum drop shaped spacecraft, and to me, it looks

0:41:55.640 --> 0:41:58.600
<v Speaker 1>really similar in design of the old Apollo capsules, but

0:41:58.680 --> 0:42:02.359
<v Speaker 1>it's larger and fancier than this old spacecraft. It could

0:42:02.360 --> 0:42:05.239
<v Speaker 1>carry more people. The Apollo spacecraft would carry a crew

0:42:05.239 --> 0:42:08.160
<v Speaker 1>of three. The Orion is designed to carry a crew

0:42:08.239 --> 0:42:12.480
<v Speaker 1>of four. A lot of the documentation says they could

0:42:12.600 --> 0:42:16.399
<v Speaker 1>carry a crew of up to six, but NASA consistently

0:42:16.440 --> 0:42:21.200
<v Speaker 1>describes it as being a four person spacecraft. It is

0:42:21.239 --> 0:42:25.680
<v Speaker 1>capable of traveling in space for twenty one days, or

0:42:25.800 --> 0:42:28.919
<v Speaker 1>it can exist out in space for up to six

0:42:29.040 --> 0:42:32.920
<v Speaker 1>months when docked with some other spacecraft like the International

0:42:32.960 --> 0:42:37.799
<v Speaker 1>Space Station. NASA's plan is to crew the Orion spacecraft

0:42:37.800 --> 0:42:40.839
<v Speaker 1>with four astronauts, though as I said before, it could

0:42:40.880 --> 0:42:43.239
<v Speaker 1>potentially hold as many a six, at least according to

0:42:43.360 --> 0:42:47.799
<v Speaker 1>most documentation I've read. The crew module, which is the

0:42:47.840 --> 0:42:50.640
<v Speaker 1>bit that the astronauts will actually be in, is the

0:42:50.680 --> 0:42:53.040
<v Speaker 1>part that looks like an old Apollo capsule, but bigger.

0:42:53.080 --> 0:42:57.040
<v Speaker 1>It has three hundred and sixteen cubic feet of habitable volume.

0:42:57.800 --> 0:43:01.319
<v Speaker 1>The old Apollo spacecraft had numerous die switches, buttons and

0:43:01.360 --> 0:43:05.279
<v Speaker 1>screens all over the place, but the Orion has just

0:43:05.360 --> 0:43:08.280
<v Speaker 1>three computer screens, and it distills all of those various

0:43:08.320 --> 0:43:11.239
<v Speaker 1>technologies that were represented by those buttons and dials and

0:43:11.320 --> 0:43:16.360
<v Speaker 1>switches into a computer controlled system accessible through on screen commands,

0:43:16.400 --> 0:43:19.799
<v Speaker 1>which in itself is a pretty big departure and a

0:43:19.840 --> 0:43:21.680
<v Speaker 1>big bet. It's one of those things that makes some

0:43:21.719 --> 0:43:25.880
<v Speaker 1>people nervous, the idea that you have these computerized systems,

0:43:25.880 --> 0:43:28.320
<v Speaker 1>and you question, well, what happens if something goes wrong?

0:43:28.600 --> 0:43:31.640
<v Speaker 1>How do you take manual control of the spacecraft. I've

0:43:31.640 --> 0:43:34.880
<v Speaker 1>already talked about the SLS, but there's a third part

0:43:34.960 --> 0:43:37.440
<v Speaker 1>of that that we need to mention really quickly, which

0:43:37.480 --> 0:43:41.920
<v Speaker 1>is what NASA calls the Exploration Ground Systems or EGS.

0:43:43.000 --> 0:43:46.480
<v Speaker 1>I would call that a launch pad. The SLS will

0:43:46.560 --> 0:43:49.080
<v Speaker 1>use new ones constructed for that purpose, and the project

0:43:49.120 --> 0:43:52.719
<v Speaker 1>will also make use of two new spacesuit designs. But

0:43:53.520 --> 0:43:55.920
<v Speaker 1>rather than go into detail about those spacesuits, I'm going

0:43:56.000 --> 0:43:58.240
<v Speaker 1>to save that for its own podcast to talk about

0:43:58.239 --> 0:44:02.200
<v Speaker 1>the evolution of the space suit and how that has

0:44:02.360 --> 0:44:06.839
<v Speaker 1>changed over the past few decades. To actually visit the Moon,

0:44:07.280 --> 0:44:10.080
<v Speaker 1>NASA does have some other plans, and one of those

0:44:10.160 --> 0:44:13.160
<v Speaker 1>now is the Lunar Gateway. Before I was talking about

0:44:13.160 --> 0:44:18.160
<v Speaker 1>a lunar lander that the Orion would have presumably rendezvous

0:44:18.160 --> 0:44:20.879
<v Speaker 1>with around orbit in the Moon and then gone down

0:44:20.960 --> 0:44:24.640
<v Speaker 1>to the surface. But things have changed since then. So

0:44:24.960 --> 0:44:28.560
<v Speaker 1>here's how it's supposed to work. You have what is

0:44:28.680 --> 0:44:33.680
<v Speaker 1>essentially a lunar satellite or lunar space station. This not

0:44:33.760 --> 0:44:36.880
<v Speaker 1>as big as the International Space Station, but a station

0:44:37.080 --> 0:44:41.720
<v Speaker 1>in orbit around the Moon itself, and NASA would launch

0:44:41.920 --> 0:44:45.759
<v Speaker 1>this in parts in several launches, and then construct it

0:44:45.920 --> 0:44:50.680
<v Speaker 1>in space around lunar orbit, and when finished, it should

0:44:50.719 --> 0:44:54.680
<v Speaker 1>be the size of a studio apartment. According to NASA,

0:44:55.040 --> 0:44:58.120
<v Speaker 1>capable of supporting astronauts for several months at a time

0:44:58.160 --> 0:45:04.400
<v Speaker 1>if necessary. Orion would be docking with this gateway satellite

0:45:04.520 --> 0:45:08.000
<v Speaker 1>or gateway station in order to go to Moon missions,

0:45:08.440 --> 0:45:11.919
<v Speaker 1>and astronauts would not stay aboard the Lunar Gateway all

0:45:12.000 --> 0:45:14.040
<v Speaker 1>year round. Instead, they would just be there for the

0:45:14.120 --> 0:45:17.160
<v Speaker 1>duration of a mission before departing in the Orion capsule

0:45:17.200 --> 0:45:20.759
<v Speaker 1>to come back home, and you would have to occasionally

0:45:21.000 --> 0:45:27.280
<v Speaker 1>or frequently send cargo up to replenish the Lunar Gateway.

0:45:28.680 --> 0:45:33.279
<v Speaker 1>From the gateway, astronauts would board a spacecraft that would

0:45:33.280 --> 0:45:37.120
<v Speaker 1>be a type of transfer module, so they would dock

0:45:37.560 --> 0:45:41.160
<v Speaker 1>their Orion capsule with the Lunar Gateway, transfer over into

0:45:41.239 --> 0:45:44.839
<v Speaker 1>the Lunar Gateway, get stuff ready for their Moon adventures.

0:45:45.120 --> 0:45:48.160
<v Speaker 1>Then they would go over into this transfer module and

0:45:48.200 --> 0:45:53.160
<v Speaker 1>that would detach from the Lunar Gateway. It would make

0:45:53.200 --> 0:45:57.520
<v Speaker 1>its way to the descent point for the Moon's surface.

0:45:58.120 --> 0:45:59.880
<v Speaker 1>It would then separate so that you would have a

0:46:00.080 --> 0:46:04.759
<v Speaker 1>descent stage, a descent module that would go down and

0:46:04.880 --> 0:46:08.040
<v Speaker 1>land on the surface of the Moon. Astronauts would then

0:46:08.120 --> 0:46:11.760
<v Speaker 1>do their thing on the lunar surface, using the descent

0:46:11.880 --> 0:46:14.440
<v Speaker 1>stage as sort of a base of operations for up

0:46:14.440 --> 0:46:17.799
<v Speaker 1>to two weeks. Then they would board the part of

0:46:17.840 --> 0:46:20.879
<v Speaker 1>that module that would be the ascent module. So this

0:46:20.920 --> 0:46:23.960
<v Speaker 1>is the part that actually launches back off of the

0:46:23.960 --> 0:46:29.160
<v Speaker 1>Moon's surface, leaving part of it behind, right, So everyone

0:46:29.200 --> 0:46:32.920
<v Speaker 1>piles into the Ascent Module, they launch, and then that

0:46:33.000 --> 0:46:36.960
<v Speaker 1>puts them into a trajectory where they can rendezvous with

0:46:37.120 --> 0:46:39.840
<v Speaker 1>the Lunar Gateway, dock with it, and come back to

0:46:39.920 --> 0:46:42.799
<v Speaker 1>that studio apartment floating around the surface of the Moon.

0:46:43.320 --> 0:46:46.560
<v Speaker 1>They could then continue work in the Lunar Gateway, or

0:46:46.600 --> 0:46:49.120
<v Speaker 1>they could transfer over to the Orion spacecraft for the

0:46:49.200 --> 0:46:52.920
<v Speaker 1>journey home. Now that part of the plan is largely

0:46:52.960 --> 0:46:56.480
<v Speaker 1>being left to commercial space programs, so this is really

0:46:56.520 --> 0:47:00.160
<v Speaker 1>not a description of a specific piece of technology. It's

0:47:00.200 --> 0:47:04.080
<v Speaker 1>more of a description of what NASA wants in order

0:47:04.120 --> 0:47:06.239
<v Speaker 1>for them to be able to have these missions work.

0:47:06.480 --> 0:47:09.080
<v Speaker 1>So it's more like, this is what the technology needs

0:47:09.120 --> 0:47:11.719
<v Speaker 1>to be able to do, but we're leaving it up

0:47:11.760 --> 0:47:16.040
<v Speaker 1>to various companies to present proposals on how they want

0:47:16.080 --> 0:47:20.239
<v Speaker 1>to do that. So while there's some concept art, it's

0:47:20.440 --> 0:47:24.040
<v Speaker 1>all just a placeholder. These companies could each come up

0:47:24.040 --> 0:47:26.959
<v Speaker 1>with very different proposals on how to achieve the same goal,

0:47:27.320 --> 0:47:30.920
<v Speaker 1>and then ultimately NASA will select whichever one the agency

0:47:31.040 --> 0:47:34.000
<v Speaker 1>feels as the most the perfect one for their mission.

0:47:34.320 --> 0:47:38.400
<v Speaker 1>Hard to say the best, because things like not just

0:47:38.440 --> 0:47:41.960
<v Speaker 1>the technological capability, but also the price factor into this

0:47:42.000 --> 0:47:46.320
<v Speaker 1>sort of stuff. Anyway, honestly, that's pretty much where Artemis

0:47:46.360 --> 0:47:49.799
<v Speaker 1>shakes out today. It's a lot of placeholders. Even to

0:47:49.840 --> 0:47:52.400
<v Speaker 1>this day that still blows my mind considering that the

0:47:52.440 --> 0:47:55.640
<v Speaker 1>goal is to get boots on the Moon by twenty

0:47:55.800 --> 0:47:59.200
<v Speaker 1>twenty four. But then we've moved pretty quickly in the

0:47:59.239 --> 0:48:02.480
<v Speaker 1>past in the space race, and honestly, this might be

0:48:02.600 --> 0:48:06.120
<v Speaker 1>exactly what we need to drive innovation. We'll be right

0:48:06.160 --> 0:48:10.080
<v Speaker 1>back with more about the Artemis program after these short messages.

0:48:18.239 --> 0:48:21.000
<v Speaker 1>So there are generally two paths you can take when

0:48:21.040 --> 0:48:24.319
<v Speaker 1>you're making these sort of big, big programs. One is

0:48:24.360 --> 0:48:27.120
<v Speaker 1>you can work on the technology that you're gonna need

0:48:27.239 --> 0:48:30.400
<v Speaker 1>for space exploration, and then you can set a timeline

0:48:30.640 --> 0:48:35.319
<v Speaker 1>based on your progress as you produce these pieces of technology.

0:48:35.840 --> 0:48:37.960
<v Speaker 1>But that opens up the chance for projects to fall

0:48:38.000 --> 0:48:42.520
<v Speaker 1>into an observation called Parkinson's law that's named after Cyril

0:48:42.640 --> 0:48:47.400
<v Speaker 1>Northcote Parkinson, a British author and Parkinson observed that work

0:48:47.520 --> 0:48:50.759
<v Speaker 1>tends to expand to fill the time available for it

0:48:50.800 --> 0:48:54.160
<v Speaker 1>to be completed. So, for example, let's say I'm researching

0:48:54.160 --> 0:48:57.880
<v Speaker 1>a podcast, and initially I have a deadline of four

0:48:57.880 --> 0:49:00.040
<v Speaker 1>hours to finish my research before I have to go

0:49:00.080 --> 0:49:02.799
<v Speaker 1>into the studio, and that means it's going to take

0:49:02.800 --> 0:49:04.800
<v Speaker 1>me four hours to complete that research. I've got it

0:49:04.800 --> 0:49:07.320
<v Speaker 1>all planned out, I'm ready to go. I'm hitting the

0:49:07.360 --> 0:49:10.279
<v Speaker 1>ground running. I'll be done in four hours. But let's

0:49:10.320 --> 0:49:13.920
<v Speaker 1>say that something happens. Let's say that there's another podcast

0:49:14.080 --> 0:49:15.920
<v Speaker 1>in the studio where I was supposed to go in

0:49:16.320 --> 0:49:19.759
<v Speaker 1>they're running late. Then I'm told, hey, it's actually going

0:49:19.800 --> 0:49:21.839
<v Speaker 1>to be two hours later than what you thought. Now

0:49:21.880 --> 0:49:25.440
<v Speaker 1>you have six hours to finish that research. Well, according

0:49:25.480 --> 0:49:29.080
<v Speaker 1>to Parkinson's law, the work of that research will actually

0:49:29.120 --> 0:49:33.279
<v Speaker 1>expand for that six hours. That does not necessarily mean

0:49:33.520 --> 0:49:36.120
<v Speaker 1>that the podcast I record is going to be longer

0:49:36.160 --> 0:49:38.640
<v Speaker 1>than it would have been if it had stated its

0:49:38.640 --> 0:49:42.160
<v Speaker 1>original studio time, or that'll even be better than it

0:49:42.160 --> 0:49:44.560
<v Speaker 1>would have been when I was supposed to go in,

0:49:44.920 --> 0:49:48.640
<v Speaker 1>rather than just the work itself expanded to fill in

0:49:48.680 --> 0:49:52.040
<v Speaker 1>those extra two hours. So let's say we're working on

0:49:52.080 --> 0:49:54.960
<v Speaker 1>a project, and we're not sure how long it's going

0:49:55.040 --> 0:49:57.920
<v Speaker 1>to take us to complete this project, but we're supposed

0:49:57.920 --> 0:50:01.239
<v Speaker 1>to give an estimate. So if we're conserv then we'll

0:50:01.239 --> 0:50:03.839
<v Speaker 1>give an estimate that's further out than what we think

0:50:03.880 --> 0:50:07.960
<v Speaker 1>we actually need. And the idea being well, things are

0:50:07.960 --> 0:50:10.160
<v Speaker 1>gonna pop up, we're gonna have to deal with them,

0:50:10.360 --> 0:50:14.239
<v Speaker 1>so let's plan for it to take twenty days, but

0:50:14.320 --> 0:50:17.160
<v Speaker 1>we think it's really gonna only take ten. Well, according

0:50:17.200 --> 0:50:19.319
<v Speaker 1>to Parkinson's law, the work we're doing is actually going

0:50:19.400 --> 0:50:21.520
<v Speaker 1>to expand to fill up those extra ten days. So

0:50:22.000 --> 0:50:23.560
<v Speaker 1>at the end we're going to say, boy, aren't we

0:50:23.600 --> 0:50:25.839
<v Speaker 1>glad we said twenty days because it turned out that's

0:50:25.840 --> 0:50:30.600
<v Speaker 1>how long we needed. But there's also the possibility that

0:50:30.719 --> 0:50:33.440
<v Speaker 1>you could have completed it in ten days, and that

0:50:33.560 --> 0:50:36.239
<v Speaker 1>you really just allowed the work to expand to fill

0:50:36.280 --> 0:50:39.600
<v Speaker 1>that space, that if you had given a ten day deadline,

0:50:39.600 --> 0:50:42.239
<v Speaker 1>you still have gotten the work done. There is a

0:50:42.280 --> 0:50:44.880
<v Speaker 1>diminishing return here, though. There is a point where you

0:50:44.960 --> 0:50:47.719
<v Speaker 1>might give a deadline that's just too aggressive, right that

0:50:47.840 --> 0:50:50.120
<v Speaker 1>maybe you say, oh, it's going to take us five days,

0:50:50.280 --> 0:50:51.879
<v Speaker 1>when you really think it's going to take you ten,

0:50:52.239 --> 0:50:54.400
<v Speaker 1>and you're doing it so that you motivate yourself, but

0:50:54.480 --> 0:50:57.239
<v Speaker 1>it turns out you've sabotaged the whole project because there's

0:50:57.280 --> 0:50:59.560
<v Speaker 1>just no way to get it all done in five days.

0:51:00.000 --> 0:51:02.080
<v Speaker 1>That can also happen. So it's a delicate line you

0:51:02.160 --> 0:51:06.319
<v Speaker 1>have to walk right. So Parkinson's law is really more

0:51:06.360 --> 0:51:08.840
<v Speaker 1>about how we let time get away from us, or

0:51:08.840 --> 0:51:11.520
<v Speaker 1>how we allow bureaucracy to play a large role in things,

0:51:11.640 --> 0:51:14.239
<v Speaker 1>or otherwise bog ourselves down in the stuff that keeps

0:51:14.320 --> 0:51:17.680
<v Speaker 1>us from getting the core work done. However, it does

0:51:17.719 --> 0:51:21.359
<v Speaker 1>not mean we can set these arbitrarily short deadlines and

0:51:21.400 --> 0:51:24.640
<v Speaker 1>then magically get things done faster. As I said, there

0:51:24.719 --> 0:51:26.799
<v Speaker 1>is that tipping point that you have to look at.

0:51:27.560 --> 0:51:32.759
<v Speaker 1>NASA's approach is to set aggressive but potentially achievable deadlines

0:51:33.280 --> 0:51:36.240
<v Speaker 1>that in turn sets expectations and the pace of work.

0:51:36.520 --> 0:51:38.919
<v Speaker 1>It also gets people into the habit of looking at

0:51:39.040 --> 0:51:42.239
<v Speaker 1>practical approaches. If the goal is to get people back

0:51:42.320 --> 0:51:45.799
<v Speaker 1>on the Moon by twenty twenty four, what are the

0:51:45.880 --> 0:51:49.080
<v Speaker 1>things that have to happen in order to achieve that goal.

0:51:49.920 --> 0:51:52.200
<v Speaker 1>If we're going to send people to Mars in the

0:51:52.239 --> 0:51:56.120
<v Speaker 1>following decade in twenty thirties, what do we absolutely have

0:51:56.239 --> 0:51:59.959
<v Speaker 1>to have nailed down to make that happen, rather than

0:52:00.400 --> 0:52:03.239
<v Speaker 1>just having feature creep come in where we say, oh,

0:52:03.280 --> 0:52:06.359
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't it be nice if we also added this. By

0:52:06.400 --> 0:52:09.560
<v Speaker 1>saying these aggressive goals, you kind of push feature creep

0:52:09.600 --> 0:52:13.200
<v Speaker 1>to the side because you say, listen, our main concern

0:52:13.360 --> 0:52:17.160
<v Speaker 1>is getting this to happen by this date. The things

0:52:17.160 --> 0:52:20.600
<v Speaker 1>that would be nice are out of the discussion because

0:52:20.600 --> 0:52:24.680
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't contribute to what we actually have as our goal.

0:52:25.600 --> 0:52:29.440
<v Speaker 1>So that's kind of what happened in the nineteen sixties

0:52:29.760 --> 0:52:33.799
<v Speaker 1>to a large extent, and it does work as a

0:52:33.800 --> 0:52:39.200
<v Speaker 1>motivating factor to a certain level. Now. Besides, these timelines

0:52:39.239 --> 0:52:42.759
<v Speaker 1>have to be aggressive anyway, because NASA can't count on

0:52:42.880 --> 0:52:46.440
<v Speaker 1>having a budget sufficient for achieving its goals from one

0:52:46.520 --> 0:52:51.520
<v Speaker 1>year to the next, definitely not between presidential administrations, and

0:52:51.560 --> 0:52:55.000
<v Speaker 1>there's the potential for the presidential administration to make a

0:52:55.040 --> 0:52:58.960
<v Speaker 1>big change in twenty twenty, So who knows what the

0:52:59.000 --> 0:53:03.560
<v Speaker 1>next president might prioritize when it comes to budgets. So

0:53:03.840 --> 0:53:07.279
<v Speaker 1>if they set longer timelines, if NASA said, Okay, we're

0:53:07.280 --> 0:53:11.480
<v Speaker 1>gonna give ourselves more space, no pun intended, to get

0:53:11.480 --> 0:53:14.920
<v Speaker 1>this stuff done, there'd be a lot more chances for

0:53:14.960 --> 0:53:18.200
<v Speaker 1>things like budget cutbacks which would sabotage emission just as

0:53:18.200 --> 0:53:22.040
<v Speaker 1>effectively as hitting some sort of technical or design challenge

0:53:22.040 --> 0:53:25.520
<v Speaker 1>that would become harder to solve than you thought. NASA

0:53:25.640 --> 0:53:28.160
<v Speaker 1>is moving forward with their goals that we're gonna have

0:53:28.200 --> 0:53:30.759
<v Speaker 1>to wait and see if they actually are achievable. But

0:53:30.800 --> 0:53:33.600
<v Speaker 1>in the meantime, the agency has opened up the application

0:53:33.719 --> 0:53:38.000
<v Speaker 1>process for people who are interested in becoming astronauts. Right now,

0:53:38.360 --> 0:53:41.400
<v Speaker 1>the US Astronaut program has about forty eight people in it.

0:53:41.800 --> 0:53:44.840
<v Speaker 1>NASA needs more for this program to be workable, so

0:53:45.600 --> 0:53:48.400
<v Speaker 1>it's possible someone listening to this podcast could be the

0:53:48.520 --> 0:53:51.000
<v Speaker 1>first woman or the next man to set foot on

0:53:51.040 --> 0:53:54.160
<v Speaker 1>the moon. To apply, you have to meet some pretty

0:53:54.320 --> 0:53:58.680
<v Speaker 1>high standards, which again is understandable. There are three general

0:53:58.719 --> 0:54:02.520
<v Speaker 1>types of folks that NASA's looking for during this application process.

0:54:03.040 --> 0:54:05.880
<v Speaker 1>They're looking for people who hold at least a master's

0:54:05.880 --> 0:54:09.799
<v Speaker 1>degree in a STEM related field, so like engineering or

0:54:09.880 --> 0:54:13.400
<v Speaker 1>astrophysics or something like that. They are also looking for

0:54:13.440 --> 0:54:17.160
<v Speaker 1>people who are medical doctors. It gets more specific than that,

0:54:17.400 --> 0:54:19.760
<v Speaker 1>but that's one of the three types, and the third

0:54:19.880 --> 0:54:24.000
<v Speaker 1>are people who are certified test pilots. Those are the

0:54:24.080 --> 0:54:26.960
<v Speaker 1>three types that NASA's looking for. So if you belong

0:54:27.040 --> 0:54:29.000
<v Speaker 1>to one of those three groups, you can look into

0:54:29.000 --> 0:54:31.200
<v Speaker 1>the requirements that NASA has in place to see if

0:54:31.239 --> 0:54:35.040
<v Speaker 1>you meet all the criteria. The application process includes an

0:54:35.040 --> 0:54:38.480
<v Speaker 1>online component for the very first time, which, as I understand,

0:54:38.520 --> 0:54:41.400
<v Speaker 1>it takes a couple of hours to complete. I wouldn't

0:54:41.400 --> 0:54:44.799
<v Speaker 1>know because I don't meet the initial criteria, but maybe

0:54:44.800 --> 0:54:47.120
<v Speaker 1>one of you guys can find out, and we'll have

0:54:47.160 --> 0:54:49.120
<v Speaker 1>to wait and see if Artemis actually gets people to

0:54:49.160 --> 0:54:51.279
<v Speaker 1>the Moon. We just don't know if it's going to

0:54:51.280 --> 0:54:54.239
<v Speaker 1>be possible, yet I have high hopes. I would love

0:54:54.280 --> 0:54:57.560
<v Speaker 1>to see it happen. I don't know how useful it

0:54:57.600 --> 0:54:59.919
<v Speaker 1>will be in the long term unless we're actually able

0:54:59.920 --> 0:55:01.719
<v Speaker 1>to to use the stuff we learn on the Moon

0:55:02.400 --> 0:55:06.480
<v Speaker 1>as a platform for learning how we can get to Mars.

0:55:07.200 --> 0:55:11.520
<v Speaker 1>But it's definitely something that is inspirational and that alone

0:55:11.600 --> 0:55:14.840
<v Speaker 1>has value. You just have to weigh that value against

0:55:14.840 --> 0:55:19.799
<v Speaker 1>other considerations, like risk and the other goals that you

0:55:19.880 --> 0:55:22.480
<v Speaker 1>have with the agency, because NASA is doing obviously a

0:55:22.520 --> 0:55:26.360
<v Speaker 1>lot more than just these programs, and you don't want

0:55:26.600 --> 0:55:31.920
<v Speaker 1>to have a big, high risk, high payoff project fail

0:55:32.239 --> 0:55:36.080
<v Speaker 1>like the Constellation project did, and potentially set the agency backward.

0:55:36.239 --> 0:55:38.319
<v Speaker 1>So it's a complicated thing, but we'll have to keep

0:55:38.320 --> 0:55:40.759
<v Speaker 1>our eyes open. I'm sure I'll do an update on

0:55:40.800 --> 0:55:42.960
<v Speaker 1>this in the future, once we know more about what

0:55:43.040 --> 0:55:47.200
<v Speaker 1>the Artemis program is going to be moving forward, and

0:55:47.280 --> 0:55:50.520
<v Speaker 1>whether those deadlines stay in place or if they shift around.

0:55:50.800 --> 0:55:53.239
<v Speaker 1>And in the meantime, if you guys have any suggestions

0:55:53.239 --> 0:55:56.600
<v Speaker 1>for future topics, whether they're space related or a tech

0:55:56.640 --> 0:55:59.560
<v Speaker 1>company or some trend in technology you want to know

0:55:59.600 --> 0:56:03.120
<v Speaker 1>more about out send me a message. You can contact

0:56:03.120 --> 0:56:05.560
<v Speaker 1>me on social media at Facebook or Twitter. We are

0:56:05.640 --> 0:56:08.440
<v Speaker 1>tech Stuff hsw at both and I'll talk to you

0:56:08.520 --> 0:56:19.120
<v Speaker 1>again really soon. Tech Stuff is an iHeartRadio production. For

0:56:19.239 --> 0:56:24.080
<v Speaker 1>more podcasts from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts,

0:56:24.200 --> 0:56:29.960
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