WEBVTT - Wearable Devices for Virus Early Detection

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanibek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

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<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. President bind planning to announce

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<v Speaker 1>that n of US adults will be eligible to get

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<v Speaker 1>a COVID nineteen vaccine in three weeks three weeks, and

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<v Speaker 1>that his administration will more than double the number of

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<v Speaker 1>pharmacies where shots are available. This according to officials familiar

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<v Speaker 1>with the matter, we are expected to hear from the

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<v Speaker 1>President shortly to know where we should everybody to d

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<v Speaker 1>c when we should be hearing from him in just

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<v Speaker 1>a few minutes. We're also seeing some other headlines. The

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<v Speaker 1>reason the President will be able to say that is

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<v Speaker 1>because states like New York. Just announcing that the vast

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<v Speaker 1>majority of adult we'll be able to get vaccines starting

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<v Speaker 1>very soon, doesn't mean that they can get them just

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<v Speaker 1>with the you know, they can access to them, they're

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<v Speaker 1>eligible to them. This comes to is ahead of the

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<v Speaker 1>CDC pleaded with Americans to wear masks again. Listen, hospitalizations

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<v Speaker 1>are going up, cases are going up, and deaths allogging

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<v Speaker 1>indicator have also started to rise. Again. Let's bring in

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<v Speaker 1>doctor Heather Failing, chief scientific officer at Clinical Reference Labs.

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<v Speaker 1>She is on the phone in Kansas, doctor Failing. Nice

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<v Speaker 1>to have you here with Tim and me. That bulk

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<v Speaker 1>of headlines again, great that there seems to be more

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines out there. Not so great that cases, hospitalizations, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and the like are going up. How do you see it? Yes, absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>I agree with that, and we definitely need to stay vigilant,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, in our mask wearing as well as in

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<v Speaker 1>our testing measures. I think that's key, you know, keeping

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<v Speaker 1>everyone safe and especially as the variants are uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>continuing to spread, which is affecting transmissibility. Why do you

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<v Speaker 1>think we are seeing this uptick? Is it because people

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<v Speaker 1>are are just not being vigilant? We saw so many

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<v Speaker 1>images in the last few weeks about spring breakers. People

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<v Speaker 1>have been cooped up for more than a year at

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<v Speaker 1>this point. Maybe people saw the numbers going down and

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<v Speaker 1>thought they were safer than they actually are. Why do

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<v Speaker 1>you think we're seeing it? Yes, I agree, I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's all of that. I think we've seen a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit of COVID fatigue. Folks are you know, a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit tired of all of the COVID measures. Uh. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we've come against spring break and as well. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of folks are getting the vaccine. Uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's starting to cut down on some of the

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<v Speaker 1>masks wearing. But they really need to to stay vigilant,

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<v Speaker 1>and yeah, keep those measures up so we can really

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<v Speaker 1>curb this bread. So we have to stay vigilant. We

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<v Speaker 1>know that masks social distancing. We're gonna talk shortly with

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<v Speaker 1>our own Riley Griffin about COVID pill that could come

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<v Speaker 1>from Mark uh and kind of a way that would

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<v Speaker 1>give us a new treatment and a weapon against coronaviruses

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<v Speaker 1>and future pandemics. You guys are also involved in creating tools,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, for ways for us to man something like

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<v Speaker 1>a COVID nineteen tell us about wearables and the role

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<v Speaker 1>that they might play going forward. Oh. Absolutely, and you're

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<v Speaker 1>at Clinical Reference Lab. We're really excited by a partnership

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<v Speaker 1>that we put into play with Stanford to use wearables

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<v Speaker 1>for the early detection of COVID nineteen. And how this

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<v Speaker 1>works is eligible study participants are provided a wearable that's

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<v Speaker 1>made by Impatica as well as thirty days of CRLs

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<v Speaker 1>at homes saliva based rapid CRLs. It's a it's an

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<v Speaker 1>at home saliva based collection kit for COVID nineteen and

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<v Speaker 1>it has FDA Emergency Use authorization for self collection. And

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<v Speaker 1>so the study of using the individual's biometric data from

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<v Speaker 1>their wearable like body temperature, heart rate, and even electrodermal activity,

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<v Speaker 1>which are basically just micro sweats. It's a form of

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<v Speaker 1>a stress sensor. And these metrics are then used to

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<v Speaker 1>track changes that might indicate possible infection and the CRL

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<v Speaker 1>rapid response COVID testing comes into play uh to confirm

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<v Speaker 1>actual infection. So in other words, like is it going

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<v Speaker 1>to tract a higher temperature and then that can tell

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<v Speaker 1>you to go get a test, because I'm going to

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<v Speaker 1>say I get warm just running around this office. So

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<v Speaker 1>so how is it something that's actually intuitive and actually

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<v Speaker 1>maybe a really reliable indicator that there's something more than

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<v Speaker 1>just a spike in your temperature, a normal spike in

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<v Speaker 1>your temperature, right, And there are different levels of alert.

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<v Speaker 1>So the algorithm is programmed to understand that there could

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<v Speaker 1>be temporary elevations caused by stress or you know, alcohol

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<v Speaker 1>or working out things of that nature, and so UM

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<v Speaker 1>it is trained to understand, you know, more serious alerts,

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<v Speaker 1>and it will alert the user or the participant in

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<v Speaker 1>the study. You know, have you had exercise yes or no?

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<v Speaker 1>And so it'll just kind of mark that and then

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<v Speaker 1>the more serious alerts UM. You know, they definitely need to,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, do this year all rapid response test to

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<v Speaker 1>confirm potential infection there dr fail. How how are you

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about this being endemic when we're on the other

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<v Speaker 1>side of this pandemic, because it does feel like with

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<v Speaker 1>you know, what we're going to hear from the president. Reportedly,

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<v Speaker 1>according to sources you tell Bloomberg News of the country

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<v Speaker 1>has access to a vaccine or is eligible for a

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine at this point that we are getting close to

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<v Speaker 1>to at least having the ability for almost every single

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<v Speaker 1>American adult to have to get this vaccine, and if

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<v Speaker 1>that is the case, then we can be on the

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<v Speaker 1>other side of this pandemic. Like the President said in July, correct,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we are going to see that. I think,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, COVID will become more like a diasonal flu

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<v Speaker 1>as it becomes endemic, and we'll need those booster vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>that are variant specific and and just kind of a

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<v Speaker 1>regular watch of symptoms. And that's why I think the

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<v Speaker 1>wearable technology is so important, because it's more of a

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<v Speaker 1>passive testing technology. It's just sitting there in the background, monitoring,

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<v Speaker 1>and it can then prompt you that you know something

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<v Speaker 1>is amiss here, you need to pay attention and potentially

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<v Speaker 1>get it past. And what's nice is it identifies you

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<v Speaker 1>in that pre symptomatic phase when you would be uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, more higher to transmit the disease as compared

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<v Speaker 1>to other stages. Are you guys anticipating that the likes

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<v Speaker 1>of Apple and others, some of these high tech firms

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<v Speaker 1>already Apple Watch and some others that are out there,

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<v Speaker 1>that this is going to be something that they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to be pursuing. I'm curious if you guys are having

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<v Speaker 1>any conversations with the likes of Apple and other high

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<v Speaker 1>tech companies about you know, amping up their health monitoring applications. Oh. Absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>and others are involved in similar requests for different applications. UH.

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<v Speaker 1>Fit that has has been involved and even they've donated

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<v Speaker 1>devices as part of Stanford studies and UM as part

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<v Speaker 1>of Stanford's program. If that you do have a wearable UH,

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<v Speaker 1>you can actually go to the Apple app store and

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<v Speaker 1>UH there is an app there that you can download

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<v Speaker 1>called my PhD UM and this is their study app

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<v Speaker 1>and it doesn't require a p HD like the name says,

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<v Speaker 1>it actually stands for my Personal Health Dashboard. And so

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<v Speaker 1>you can download the app and roll in the study

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<v Speaker 1>and then use your own wearable UH, including an Apple

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<v Speaker 1>Watch to to monitor COVID nineteen as well as as

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<v Speaker 1>other potential infectious diseases. What's the regulatory approval process like

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<v Speaker 1>for this? You know, if you're using it in more

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<v Speaker 1>of a general wellness sense, UM, it's it's not as strict,

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<v Speaker 1>but correct. When you do get into a disease diagnosis, UH,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you do need to pursue some sort of

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<v Speaker 1>a regulatory pathway like an FD You have to get

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<v Speaker 1>FDA clearance as a medical devices right, if you're doing

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<v Speaker 1>a diagnostic that's is this going to do that? Um?

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<v Speaker 1>I know there have been discussions about it. It's because

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<v Speaker 1>it's kind of That's why I ask about the idea

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<v Speaker 1>of it's going to be endemic versus pandemic, because that

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<v Speaker 1>type of process can take a significant amount of time. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>it can take time. But you know, I believe with

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<v Speaker 1>the f d A, I mean CRL, we've taken a

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<v Speaker 1>test through the FDA and with the Emergency Use Authorization

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<v Speaker 1>path A. You know, that's a great pathway to be

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<v Speaker 1>the process of review and an authorization. Hey, one thing

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<v Speaker 1>I'm curious to, well, what does this cost? What will

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<v Speaker 1>it cost an individual? Um? I'm not sure exactly on

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<v Speaker 1>the cost of the app itself. Right now, it's available

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<v Speaker 1>for free for download. And you know, we've talked with

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<v Speaker 1>you in the past about your COVID nineteen saliva tests.

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<v Speaker 1>In terms of it's been a year and counting since

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<v Speaker 1>we all began all of this. What have we learned

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<v Speaker 1>about those saliva tests and those you know tests in

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<v Speaker 1>general that so many of us have done so many times.

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<v Speaker 1>Have they gotten better? Have we learned how to do

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<v Speaker 1>them better? What have we learned in this process, Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I definitely been. Folks have learned to do them better.

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<v Speaker 1>And here at Zero, we've done over six hundred thousand

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<v Speaker 1>saliva tests in our lab and we've really demonstrated of

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<v Speaker 1>utility and the accuracy of our saliva based tests and UH.

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<v Speaker 1>Since we've launched and since we left Folk, we've partnered

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<v Speaker 1>with DNA Geno Tech as well of the CDC in

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<v Speaker 1>our local public health lab to do viral strain analysis. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>so we've recently we've been learning a lot about the

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<v Speaker 1>different strains that we've been seeing, and we're seeing Brazilian

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<v Speaker 1>variants like p to the UK variant, California, and a

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<v Speaker 1>whole host of others. So it's really been fascinating to

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<v Speaker 1>look at those different variants and transmissibility within schools and workplaces.

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<v Speaker 1>So vaccinations and UH testing are certainly a part of it,

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<v Speaker 1>but another big part of it is is treatment. And

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<v Speaker 1>in just a few minutes a little later in the show,

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<v Speaker 1>we're gonna be speaking with our US healthcare reporter Riley

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<v Speaker 1>Griffin about a great new piece that's in the magazine

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<v Speaker 1>about Mark's COVID pill being a frontrunner in the elusive

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<v Speaker 1>anti viral quest. How do you see treatments playing out

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<v Speaker 1>over the next couple of years, Considering the US and

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<v Speaker 1>the UK and Israel are really the only places in

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<v Speaker 1>the world at this point that have huge, significant vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>programs that are underway right now, I think, yeah, treatment

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<v Speaker 1>is definitely going to become key, and I think if

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<v Speaker 1>we can get in a treatment that's similar to a

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<v Speaker 1>Tama flu, I think we're going to go a long

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<v Speaker 1>way into comparing this virus. But I also think the

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<v Speaker 1>early detection is even you know, also have a big part. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>good to know covered a lot of ground. Dr Heather Failing,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much, Chief scientific officer at Clinical Reference Labs,

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<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from Kansas. This is Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio. The force liquidation of more than

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<v Speaker 1>twenty billion dollars in holdings linked to Bill Whang's investment

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<v Speaker 1>from drawing attention to the covert financial instruments he used

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<v Speaker 1>to build large stakes in the companies. The stock market

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<v Speaker 1>may be largely shrugging it off, but the individual stocks

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<v Speaker 1>that were the target of his trades, they are not

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<v Speaker 1>let's get into what you need to know. And certainly

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<v Speaker 1>the banks involved are not shrugging this off. She not

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<v Speaker 1>Arajan is finance reporter at Bloomberg New is on the

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<v Speaker 1>phone in New York City. First of all, who is

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<v Speaker 1>Bill Hwang? Because all of a sudden, we're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>this individual that is not very well known to Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street Tree Um and kudas to you guys for breaking this.

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<v Speaker 1>So what do we need to know? Try try try

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<v Speaker 1>asking the who's Bill jeg question to Nomura and Curt

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<v Speaker 1>exactly Bill Huang, Let's do a quick biography on him.

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<v Speaker 1>In the ninety nineties work for Julian Robertson and Tiger

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<v Speaker 1>Uh went off to set off his set off and

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<v Speaker 1>started his on hedge fund Tiger Asia got the title

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<v Speaker 1>of a so called Tiger Club. He was feaded by

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<v Speaker 1>Julians Robertson was doing really well and hedge sharted a

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<v Speaker 1>short rise in a quick rise, But then came two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand twelve when he was charged over inside and trading

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<v Speaker 1>his hedge when admitted to wire fraud and effectively had

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<v Speaker 1>to shut down the hedge fund, return all the outside

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<v Speaker 1>money and turn into a family office. But since then

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<v Speaker 1>he seems to have had this improbable second chance were

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<v Speaker 1>again he grew into a major force in the market,

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<v Speaker 1>largely with the use of borrowed money to make massive,

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<v Speaker 1>massive wages on a few concentrated positions. And uh, that's

0:12:12.679 --> 0:12:16.920
<v Speaker 1>pretty much water has led us to this breathtaking unraveling

0:12:16.920 --> 0:12:18.680
<v Speaker 1>that we've seen over the last two days. Okay, so

0:12:18.760 --> 0:12:21.400
<v Speaker 1>let's go back just to you Thursday Friday and what

0:12:21.480 --> 0:12:25.640
<v Speaker 1>happened last week, specifically with Viacom, CBS and and and Discovery.

0:12:25.960 --> 0:12:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Talk to us about the big block trads there and

0:12:28.400 --> 0:12:33.040
<v Speaker 1>why Huang was exposed. Sure, we're still trying to piece

0:12:33.080 --> 0:12:38.440
<v Speaker 1>together exactly what all triggered this mad dash to unload stuff,

0:12:38.600 --> 0:12:42.720
<v Speaker 1>but from what we understand, the main source of Quang's

0:12:42.840 --> 0:12:45.480
<v Speaker 1>funding with these swaps that he had struck up with

0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:49.360
<v Speaker 1>major Waltreet finances, prime brokers from Goldman Sax to Morgan

0:12:49.440 --> 0:12:52.559
<v Speaker 1>Stanley to Kred Sweets and Deutsche Bank and Amora, which

0:12:52.720 --> 0:12:57.599
<v Speaker 1>which allowed him to have a big exposure Wednesday afternoon.

0:12:57.679 --> 0:13:00.520
<v Speaker 1>We know that there was a Viacom equity deal that

0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:05.680
<v Speaker 1>sent its stock slumping some. There were some other moves

0:13:05.720 --> 0:13:09.600
<v Speaker 1>that we speculated were also positions in which Wang was

0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:13.079
<v Speaker 1>present in a large visible manners that had also gone

0:13:13.320 --> 0:13:16.720
<v Speaker 1>against him. This led to some panic that many of

0:13:16.760 --> 0:13:19.680
<v Speaker 1>the big banks, which were worried about their exposure and

0:13:19.760 --> 0:13:22.480
<v Speaker 1>whether margin limits were going to be breached. They tried

0:13:22.520 --> 0:13:25.120
<v Speaker 1>to work out an arrangement, but by Friday it was

0:13:25.160 --> 0:13:28.640
<v Speaker 1>clear that each on their own they tried to save

0:13:28.720 --> 0:13:32.079
<v Speaker 1>the collateral, make sure that they could find bias for

0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:35.520
<v Speaker 1>that block and stem their losses. From what we can see,

0:13:35.760 --> 0:13:39.880
<v Speaker 1>Goldman Sachs seems to have emerged from this incident, at

0:13:39.960 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 1>least as of now. They're telling some of their clients

0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:46.200
<v Speaker 1>that largely unscaped. But on the other hand, you have

0:13:46.520 --> 0:13:48.839
<v Speaker 1>places like Nomura, which says it has a two billion

0:13:48.920 --> 0:13:52.040
<v Speaker 1>claim against this client, which could expose them to a

0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:54.120
<v Speaker 1>significant loss in credit s ways, which hasn't put a

0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:57.600
<v Speaker 1>figure to it, but it's also clearly flagged that there

0:13:57.679 --> 0:14:00.240
<v Speaker 1>is a big possible hit that they might have to

0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:02.720
<v Speaker 1>take shreck. What strikes me and all of this is

0:14:02.760 --> 0:14:05.400
<v Speaker 1>that if the VIA companies didn't come out, and if

0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:09.720
<v Speaker 1>fire Colm Shares didn't start to maybe tank, that maybe

0:14:09.760 --> 0:14:11.920
<v Speaker 1>we would have this wouldn't have happened and we would

0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:15.640
<v Speaker 1>have never known about it. What seems to be a

0:14:15.720 --> 0:14:23.040
<v Speaker 1>somewhat risky trade with incredible exposure that has gone horribly wrong,

0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:26.480
<v Speaker 1>and it just makes me think about the system overall

0:14:26.920 --> 0:14:31.360
<v Speaker 1>and the lack of checks and balances. Oh absolutely, as

0:14:31.360 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 1>we as we pick up the pieces from this garnage

0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:36.920
<v Speaker 1>and we move ahead from this point, one of the

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:39.320
<v Speaker 1>big things that will play out, and I think something

0:14:39.320 --> 0:14:42.200
<v Speaker 1>that the regulators may very well pay attention to, is

0:14:42.320 --> 0:14:44.640
<v Speaker 1>this idea of on a non leveraged house bit that

0:14:44.760 --> 0:14:48.480
<v Speaker 1>one family office could the mass positions of this sizing

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:52.480
<v Speaker 1>tens of billions of dollars without anyone really knowing about it.

0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:54.360
<v Speaker 1>If you were a regular hedge fund, that is going

0:14:54.360 --> 0:14:57.280
<v Speaker 1>out and buying, if taken a company you need to

0:14:57.320 --> 0:14:59.120
<v Speaker 1>in the U S company you would have to put

0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:03.040
<v Speaker 1>out if I think then there are various sec supports

0:15:03.080 --> 0:15:05.680
<v Speaker 1>you have to file when you have outside money. The

0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:08.800
<v Speaker 1>fact that he was using spots, the fact that Bill

0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:12.040
<v Speaker 1>Hongs was Bill Hongs family office and not and did

0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:15.080
<v Speaker 1>not have any other outside money, you were left in

0:15:15.160 --> 0:15:20.040
<v Speaker 1>a situation where none of those requirements apply, and you

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:25.440
<v Speaker 1>had a from that was effectively a large will in

0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:30.640
<v Speaker 1>the market. And yet barely anyone talked about this from

0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:34.160
<v Speaker 1>and now everyone's sitting up and taking notice. That is

0:15:34.160 --> 0:15:36.680
<v Speaker 1>a problem. Yeah, imagine regulators are going to be looking

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:40.800
<v Speaker 1>at that question pretty closely, Sree. I wonder when it

0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:45.360
<v Speaker 1>comes to risk management, how a financial institution thinks about

0:15:45.440 --> 0:15:49.560
<v Speaker 1>somebody who may have had some regulatory challenges in the past,

0:15:49.920 --> 0:15:55.040
<v Speaker 1>charge of it trading regulatory I'm trying to I mean,

0:15:55.560 --> 0:15:58.120
<v Speaker 1>is it rare that That's look, Wall Street is full

0:15:58.160 --> 0:16:00.120
<v Speaker 1>of second acts and third acts, But is it rare

0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:02.200
<v Speaker 1>that somebody of this profile would be able to build

0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:06.040
<v Speaker 1>such a sizeable war dress chest with several different banks,

0:16:06.120 --> 0:16:09.480
<v Speaker 1>given this history like Goldman and Morgan and the venerable

0:16:09.480 --> 0:16:13.720
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street firm Street. Oh look, I mean, Timm, you

0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 1>do say that Wall streets for the second chances and

0:16:15.720 --> 0:16:18.440
<v Speaker 1>third chances, But just step away two blocks from Wall

0:16:18.480 --> 0:16:20.720
<v Speaker 1>Street on the main street and ask people how how

0:16:20.720 --> 0:16:23.360
<v Speaker 1>often do people get their second chance in the third chance?

0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 1>The question here really is how did someone who was

0:16:27.240 --> 0:16:31.120
<v Speaker 1>so publicly shamed they were inside a trading hedge fund

0:16:31.440 --> 0:16:36.360
<v Speaker 1>admitting to wire fraud such a rebound to become become

0:16:36.400 --> 0:16:39.120
<v Speaker 1>a big force in the market. Was to your of

0:16:39.240 --> 0:16:42.400
<v Speaker 1>the commission and the interest that flowed to all these

0:16:42.440 --> 0:16:47.080
<v Speaker 1>dealers so blinding that they were all willingly happy to

0:16:47.240 --> 0:16:49.840
<v Speaker 1>give this film a second chance. And maybe maybe the

0:16:49.920 --> 0:16:51.880
<v Speaker 1>argument in right be but crimes that took place in

0:16:51.880 --> 0:16:53.760
<v Speaker 1>two thousand eight, more than a decade it past, and

0:16:54.840 --> 0:16:58.000
<v Speaker 1>it was it was located to do business. But it

0:16:58.160 --> 0:17:01.880
<v Speaker 1>is definitely something that does not sit well with everyone,

0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:05.120
<v Speaker 1>like why would Well should be so eager and willing

0:17:05.160 --> 0:17:07.400
<v Speaker 1>to do business with him? And what does it say

0:17:07.400 --> 0:17:12.119
<v Speaker 1>about our markets? It's the repercussions for something as serious

0:17:12.359 --> 0:17:17.720
<v Speaker 1>as the charges of insider trading are so minimal. Yeah, listen,

0:17:17.760 --> 0:17:19.399
<v Speaker 1>I feel like there's lots of questions out there, and

0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:22.720
<v Speaker 1>you have to wonder about the phone conversations and phones

0:17:22.880 --> 0:17:26.280
<v Speaker 1>ringing cell phones, you know, the text messages and ringing

0:17:26.560 --> 0:17:29.280
<v Speaker 1>with David Solomon over at Goldman everybody who heads up

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:31.719
<v Speaker 1>one of these firms like what's our position? What's our

0:17:31.840 --> 0:17:34.360
<v Speaker 1>risk here? Uh? And all of their risk teams kind

0:17:34.359 --> 0:17:36.320
<v Speaker 1>of looking at the situation and how it got there.

0:17:36.560 --> 0:17:40.240
<v Speaker 1>Shre unbelievable reporting. You guys breaking this? You breaking this?

0:17:40.880 --> 0:17:43.199
<v Speaker 1>Our finance reporter at Bloomberg News on the phone in

0:17:43.200 --> 0:17:46.879
<v Speaker 1>New York City. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:17:46.960 --> 0:17:51.320
<v Speaker 1>Masser and Bloomberg Quick takes Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio.

0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Let's get into our next story because it's in the magazine.

0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:58.919
<v Speaker 1>It's a story about Mark's COVID pill, and Tim, it's

0:17:58.960 --> 0:18:00.840
<v Speaker 1>about how it could be a front runner in the

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:03.920
<v Speaker 1>world elusive anti viral quest. This might be just another

0:18:03.960 --> 0:18:06.080
<v Speaker 1>tool in the toolkit that we need. Yeah, and we

0:18:06.080 --> 0:18:08.560
<v Speaker 1>need a big toolkit with a global pandemic. Joel Webber

0:18:08.600 --> 0:18:10.520
<v Speaker 1>is editor at Bloomberg Business Week, joining us on the

0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:13.359
<v Speaker 1>remote from Brooklyn. Riley Griffin, us healthcare reporter for a

0:18:13.400 --> 0:18:15.720
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News joins us on the phone from here in

0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:19.040
<v Speaker 1>New York. Joel, we talked about vaccines. We heard from

0:18:19.080 --> 0:18:22.920
<v Speaker 1>the President just now about the vaccination efforts. Where does

0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:27.320
<v Speaker 1>treatment fit in, Well, we haven't had any reason for

0:18:27.480 --> 0:18:30.240
<v Speaker 1>it to fit in, and that's because we just have

0:18:30.480 --> 0:18:34.080
<v Speaker 1>not had that many tools in the pipeline. And that's

0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:37.600
<v Speaker 1>what's significant about the story that Riley and or co

0:18:37.760 --> 0:18:42.920
<v Speaker 1>author Cynthia Coon's brought to this week's issue of the magazine,

0:18:43.400 --> 0:18:46.480
<v Speaker 1>Um which you know, there's this little pill that Mark

0:18:46.520 --> 0:18:50.440
<v Speaker 1>has been developing. It's one of several hundred different varieties

0:18:51.080 --> 0:18:54.879
<v Speaker 1>of treatments that are basically underway right now, but based

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:58.359
<v Speaker 1>on on the reporting, we think Marx is maybe closest

0:18:58.400 --> 0:19:01.560
<v Speaker 1>to some data which could be forthcoming within a matter

0:19:01.600 --> 0:19:04.359
<v Speaker 1>of days, and that will really give us a look

0:19:04.480 --> 0:19:09.199
<v Speaker 1>at UM. What we all hope is another chapter in

0:19:09.200 --> 0:19:12.000
<v Speaker 1>this fight against COVID which would start to look like treatment,

0:19:12.080 --> 0:19:15.639
<v Speaker 1>something that you could give someone when they get sick. UM.

0:19:15.680 --> 0:19:18.440
<v Speaker 1>That's different than the vaccine. Obviously we need the vaccines too,

0:19:18.480 --> 0:19:22.960
<v Speaker 1>but what happens if someone has a vaccine, is vaccinated,

0:19:23.920 --> 0:19:26.480
<v Speaker 1>get sick or for all of those people out there

0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:29.199
<v Speaker 1>who might not have a vaccine, and that's where this

0:19:29.320 --> 0:19:32.439
<v Speaker 1>merc development comes in. So so Riley talk to us

0:19:32.440 --> 0:19:35.199
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about what an anti viral with the

0:19:35.240 --> 0:19:40.080
<v Speaker 1>promise of an anti viral like this anti viral is

0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:44.040
<v Speaker 1>that hundreds of thousands of people continue to contract COVID

0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:47.120
<v Speaker 1>each and every day, So we need those therapies UM

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:51.320
<v Speaker 1>to get to patients quickly at the beginning of their disease. Cynthia,

0:19:51.480 --> 0:19:53.520
<v Speaker 1>my colleague and I like to bring this as tama

0:19:53.560 --> 0:19:58.240
<v Speaker 1>fluper covid, something that could be deployed broadly to your sister,

0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:02.240
<v Speaker 1>your grandparents, those high risk, those low risks at the

0:20:02.280 --> 0:20:04.919
<v Speaker 1>earliest course of their disease. As you said, there are

0:20:05.000 --> 0:20:08.520
<v Speaker 1>hundreds of anti virals in development, two hundred fifty about

0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:12.480
<v Speaker 1>so to speak, Um, and viruses are really uniquely difficult

0:20:12.520 --> 0:20:15.760
<v Speaker 1>to attack with drugs. I don't think we, you know,

0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:20.000
<v Speaker 1>in the press, speak enough about the complexity of developing therapeutics.

0:20:20.119 --> 0:20:23.960
<v Speaker 1>These viruses hijack human cells and set up machinery to

0:20:24.040 --> 0:20:27.840
<v Speaker 1>turn out copies of themselves within the body, which creates

0:20:27.840 --> 0:20:30.760
<v Speaker 1>a real challenge. How do you destroy the virus without

0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:34.359
<v Speaker 1>harming those cells? And success when it comes can be

0:20:34.480 --> 0:20:38.520
<v Speaker 1>quite fleeting because, as we've already seen, viruses mutape to survive.

0:20:39.000 --> 0:20:41.240
<v Speaker 1>So Mark is the leader of the pack. We could

0:20:41.320 --> 0:20:44.280
<v Speaker 1>see data before the end of the month. Um, should

0:20:44.280 --> 0:20:47.320
<v Speaker 1>it prove safe and effective? Which is a real question. Um,

0:20:47.359 --> 0:20:49.840
<v Speaker 1>it's likely to be that data is likely to be

0:20:49.880 --> 0:20:53.000
<v Speaker 1>the backbone of an emergency use authorization here in the US.

0:20:53.160 --> 0:20:55.240
<v Speaker 1>So if it happens for emergency use authorization here in

0:20:55.280 --> 0:20:58.880
<v Speaker 1>the US, and we're at a point where we've been

0:20:58.920 --> 0:21:02.320
<v Speaker 1>really gotten on a good job with becoming vaccinated, does

0:21:02.400 --> 0:21:05.520
<v Speaker 1>then that does that then mean that this moves into

0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:09.760
<v Speaker 1>the global fight against COVID. Yeah, that's a fabulous question.

0:21:09.880 --> 0:21:11.800
<v Speaker 1>For one, I think there will still be need here.

0:21:11.840 --> 0:21:14.880
<v Speaker 1>We've got a great population that's vaccine hesitant. We've got

0:21:15.400 --> 0:21:18.560
<v Speaker 1>um a population under the age of sixteen that doesn't

0:21:18.560 --> 0:21:23.400
<v Speaker 1>have access. But globally, this is definitely necessary and compared

0:21:23.440 --> 0:21:25.240
<v Speaker 1>to some of the other tools out there, like the

0:21:25.320 --> 0:21:28.880
<v Speaker 1>monoclonal an embody like gileads RUM does a viere, it's

0:21:28.920 --> 0:21:31.840
<v Speaker 1>also poised to be much cheaper as an alternative. It's

0:21:31.920 --> 0:21:35.520
<v Speaker 1>not in hours long infusion that is required to be

0:21:35.600 --> 0:21:39.000
<v Speaker 1>given in specialized settings. UM. It's what we call a

0:21:39.400 --> 0:21:43.199
<v Speaker 1>mall molecule, which means the manufacturing is much more simple.

0:21:43.640 --> 0:21:47.400
<v Speaker 1>And Mark says it can churn out about ten million courses,

0:21:47.520 --> 0:21:50.240
<v Speaker 1>which is a hundred million pills. You take it twice

0:21:50.280 --> 0:21:53.159
<v Speaker 1>a day for five days UM within the span of

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:56.679
<v Speaker 1>this year. But in our interviews Mark also said, and

0:21:56.760 --> 0:22:00.920
<v Speaker 1>mind you, Mark is so global health oriented. They said

0:22:00.960 --> 0:22:05.480
<v Speaker 1>that they want to create licenses that basically allow other

0:22:05.600 --> 0:22:09.080
<v Speaker 1>manufacturers to make this pill to should it prove safe

0:22:09.080 --> 0:22:15.280
<v Speaker 1>and effective, thereby um creating greater access worldwide. Well, let's

0:22:15.480 --> 0:22:18.400
<v Speaker 1>just stick with Mirk here, because Murk is very well

0:22:18.440 --> 0:22:23.000
<v Speaker 1>known for its public health work. Uh it fell short

0:22:23.160 --> 0:22:27.600
<v Speaker 1>on its vaccine efforts. What's that stake here for for

0:22:27.640 --> 0:22:30.879
<v Speaker 1>Mark when this data comes out Joel, that was a

0:22:31.200 --> 0:22:34.440
<v Speaker 1>big disappointment earlier in the year when Mark two vaccine

0:22:34.480 --> 0:22:39.359
<v Speaker 1>candidates both showed lackluster data in early clinical trials. I

0:22:39.359 --> 0:22:42.120
<v Speaker 1>think they need a big win, not just because they

0:22:42.119 --> 0:22:45.040
<v Speaker 1>want to put their stamp on the pandemic and show

0:22:45.040 --> 0:22:47.480
<v Speaker 1>that they can have an impact here too. Of course

0:22:47.480 --> 0:22:51.760
<v Speaker 1>they're helping manufacturer jane Ja's vaccine, But let's think longer

0:22:51.880 --> 0:22:54.840
<v Speaker 1>term about Mark's business model. This is a company that

0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:59.840
<v Speaker 1>has become highly reliant on one product alone, key Truda,

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:03.560
<v Speaker 1>a cancer product UM that is making up a great

0:23:03.640 --> 0:23:06.800
<v Speaker 1>chunk of their revenue, and investors keep asking what's next

0:23:06.880 --> 0:23:10.400
<v Speaker 1>in the pipeline? So Muli peer of your could partially

0:23:10.400 --> 0:23:13.000
<v Speaker 1>be that. And I think what Mark has said to

0:23:13.119 --> 0:23:16.439
<v Speaker 1>us UM they're very eager to know is whether this

0:23:16.520 --> 0:23:21.040
<v Speaker 1>has broad spectrum activity? What does that mean? Can this

0:23:21.200 --> 0:23:26.399
<v Speaker 1>pill work not just in cobon nineteen, but in other coronaviruses,

0:23:26.520 --> 0:23:30.120
<v Speaker 1>in other viruses period, thinky bola. And if it does

0:23:30.200 --> 0:23:34.600
<v Speaker 1>have that broad spectrum activity, and mind you, that's quite rare, um,

0:23:34.600 --> 0:23:38.120
<v Speaker 1>it could certainly be more like a ten billion dollar

0:23:38.200 --> 0:23:40.800
<v Speaker 1>drug rather than a one billion dollar drug per year?

0:23:41.400 --> 0:23:43.240
<v Speaker 1>What about And I know the company is studying a

0:23:43.280 --> 0:23:47.080
<v Speaker 1>variety of dosages as you report, but what about risk concerns?

0:23:47.080 --> 0:23:48.880
<v Speaker 1>And I'm wondering, is this the kind of thing you've

0:23:48.880 --> 0:23:51.520
<v Speaker 1>got to wait a couple of years to really understand

0:23:52.200 --> 0:23:56.520
<v Speaker 1>the risk impact. So the greatest risk that we've heard

0:23:56.600 --> 0:24:00.560
<v Speaker 1>broadly from the scientific community comes to genetic beauty. And

0:24:00.640 --> 0:24:03.560
<v Speaker 1>that's back to the fact that this is a kind

0:24:03.560 --> 0:24:07.520
<v Speaker 1>of drug. It's called a nucleuside analog that basically works

0:24:07.560 --> 0:24:11.400
<v Speaker 1>by interfering with the replication of the virus by inducing

0:24:11.560 --> 0:24:14.960
<v Speaker 1>errors into the viruses RNA that are then rest replicated

0:24:15.000 --> 0:24:18.919
<v Speaker 1>until it's defunct. Put much more simply, somebody explained this

0:24:18.960 --> 0:24:22.040
<v Speaker 1>in this analogy. If you put a grain of sand

0:24:22.440 --> 0:24:25.520
<v Speaker 1>into the gears, you might stop its motion, but you

0:24:25.600 --> 0:24:28.880
<v Speaker 1>don't know where the sand end up elsewhere in the body.

0:24:29.200 --> 0:24:31.840
<v Speaker 1>Um that has been a concern. I think molecule has

0:24:31.840 --> 0:24:33.800
<v Speaker 1>been around for decades, so that's been a concern for

0:24:33.800 --> 0:24:37.080
<v Speaker 1>a little while. But Mark, there are very conservative presence

0:24:37.080 --> 0:24:40.760
<v Speaker 1>in the pharmaceutical industry and they have conducted a number

0:24:40.800 --> 0:24:44.840
<v Speaker 1>of tests um to to study whether this could potentially

0:24:44.840 --> 0:24:49.879
<v Speaker 1>be UH cause genetic mutations, and they say the data

0:24:49.920 --> 0:24:52.359
<v Speaker 1>as far as clear. Of course, everybody's going to be

0:24:52.359 --> 0:24:54.520
<v Speaker 1>looking for that in the phase two three data that

0:24:54.600 --> 0:24:57.480
<v Speaker 1>comes out within days. But from what we know now,

0:24:57.600 --> 0:25:01.280
<v Speaker 1>Mark is confident and comfortable. And some who have previously

0:25:01.320 --> 0:25:03.480
<v Speaker 1>been critical of model in the pier of year have

0:25:03.600 --> 0:25:07.800
<v Speaker 1>actually changed their tune since Murk came in UM to

0:25:07.880 --> 0:25:11.639
<v Speaker 1>the picture and actually began developing this alongside a smaller biotech.

0:25:13.040 --> 0:25:15.160
<v Speaker 1>And let's just talk about that smaller biotech for a second,

0:25:15.160 --> 0:25:17.520
<v Speaker 1>because I always think these stories are are amazing, Like

0:25:17.560 --> 0:25:22.800
<v Speaker 1>to take us back even at the beginning of before

0:25:22.800 --> 0:25:26.960
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic UH struck Riley, and what was what was

0:25:27.240 --> 0:25:29.760
<v Speaker 1>how did this all come together? What was the players?

0:25:29.800 --> 0:25:33.280
<v Speaker 1>Who were the players? Just got about seconds? Riley. Yeah,

0:25:33.320 --> 0:25:35.920
<v Speaker 1>this is a little bit of pharma industry one oh one.

0:25:36.200 --> 0:25:38.919
<v Speaker 1>A lot of the time, big pharmaceutical players come in

0:25:38.960 --> 0:25:43.040
<v Speaker 1>and they actually acquire or they licensed assets from smaller biotech.

0:25:43.440 --> 0:25:47.120
<v Speaker 1>In this case, that biotech was ridge Back Bio. And

0:25:47.160 --> 0:25:49.560
<v Speaker 1>if you take if you go back to the outset

0:25:49.640 --> 0:25:52.800
<v Speaker 1>of January at one of the world's biggest healthcare conferences,

0:25:52.880 --> 0:25:57.960
<v Speaker 1>JP Morgan, they're UM the chief executive Officer Bridge Back Bio.

0:25:58.040 --> 0:26:02.040
<v Speaker 1>Wendy Holman was meeting in a hotel in San Francisco

0:26:02.119 --> 0:26:05.040
<v Speaker 1>with George Painter of Emory University and she actually could

0:26:05.040 --> 0:26:08.479
<v Speaker 1>a deal with Emery for the for the drug. Eight

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:11.639
<v Speaker 1>months later it was in Merc's hands. So that's the

0:26:11.680 --> 0:26:13.840
<v Speaker 1>story history. There's a lot that goes into it. Check

0:26:13.840 --> 0:26:16.240
<v Speaker 1>out the story. It's incredible, guys, Thank you so much.

0:26:16.320 --> 0:26:20.199
<v Speaker 1>Jill Webber, Riley Griffin. This is Bloomberg Business Week with

0:26:20.320 --> 0:26:25.000
<v Speaker 1>Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio.

0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:32.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm bloom the Journal. Yeah, but you let me drive.

0:26:32.520 --> 0:26:36.439
<v Speaker 1>Oh no, no, no, no, who's going to run? Please?

0:26:36.520 --> 0:26:46.440
<v Speaker 1>I'll drivel. I want to drive. Just drive, baby, it's

0:26:46.520 --> 0:26:57.880
<v Speaker 1>the question Dry. This is the Drive to the Globe Comics.

0:26:57.880 --> 0:27:01.399
<v Speaker 1>We'll drive us. Dawn on Bomber Radio. All right, just

0:27:01.440 --> 0:27:04.360
<v Speaker 1>got about nine minutes left in today's trading session. Let's

0:27:04.400 --> 0:27:06.480
<v Speaker 1>do the drive to the close. David's back with us,

0:27:06.480 --> 0:27:10.120
<v Speaker 1>managing Principal and senior portfolio Strategies at Pepack Private Wealth

0:27:10.160 --> 0:27:14.040
<v Speaker 1>Management eight billion in assets under management. David joining Tim

0:27:14.040 --> 0:27:16.800
<v Speaker 1>and myself once again on the phone in Summat New Jersey, David,

0:27:16.960 --> 0:27:20.880
<v Speaker 1>nice to have you here. Uh, what's interesting is we

0:27:20.960 --> 0:27:26.600
<v Speaker 1>are focused big time on this hedge fund actually family office,

0:27:27.160 --> 0:27:30.280
<v Speaker 1>and this kind of unwinding of twenty billion dollars worth

0:27:30.320 --> 0:27:34.760
<v Speaker 1>of trades. I'm just curious. We're talking about Articos Capital Management.

0:27:34.920 --> 0:27:37.840
<v Speaker 1>We're all kind of continuing to gather more and more information,

0:27:37.880 --> 0:27:40.439
<v Speaker 1>but it helps explain some of the crazy trading that

0:27:40.480 --> 0:27:44.080
<v Speaker 1>we saw in some names like Viacom and others last week.

0:27:44.720 --> 0:27:47.160
<v Speaker 1>What's your view on this. You're someone who's been trading

0:27:47.200 --> 0:27:49.840
<v Speaker 1>in the markets for a long time. How do you

0:27:49.880 --> 0:27:51.199
<v Speaker 1>see it? What is it that we need to know

0:27:51.240 --> 0:27:54.879
<v Speaker 1>from your perspective? So, Carol, good to be with you

0:27:54.920 --> 0:27:59.040
<v Speaker 1>and Tim. Um, So we're watching this closely. We don't

0:27:59.080 --> 0:28:02.680
<v Speaker 1>have all the fact X. I think it's obviously not

0:28:02.880 --> 0:28:06.520
<v Speaker 1>a positive for the markets, but I would caution our

0:28:06.560 --> 0:28:10.439
<v Speaker 1>clients and investor generally not to overreact. A couple of

0:28:10.480 --> 0:28:14.840
<v Speaker 1>rolls of thumb. One is hedge fund implosions, unfortunately are

0:28:15.119 --> 0:28:19.360
<v Speaker 1>not an infrequent occurrence on the landscape, but typically they

0:28:19.440 --> 0:28:25.400
<v Speaker 1>do not provide systemic cause systemic crisis, and and that's

0:28:25.440 --> 0:28:29.320
<v Speaker 1>kind of what we're saying here. Um, we're seeing extreme

0:28:29.400 --> 0:28:33.240
<v Speaker 1>volatility in some media names via Common Discovery as two

0:28:33.280 --> 0:28:36.320
<v Speaker 1>of them, and of course some of the Chinese tech stocks.

0:28:36.320 --> 0:28:39.040
<v Speaker 1>But overall, uh, you know, the market is the that

0:28:39.280 --> 0:28:42.600
<v Speaker 1>was in positive territory today. The Dow ended up strongling

0:28:42.720 --> 0:28:46.280
<v Speaker 1>on Friday afternoons first broke. We're seeing some volatility and

0:28:46.320 --> 0:28:50.120
<v Speaker 1>the banking names um, which is worth watching, but again

0:28:50.240 --> 0:28:53.040
<v Speaker 1>we're not hearing or seeing anything that would cause the

0:28:53.160 --> 0:28:57.320
<v Speaker 1>systemic risk UM going forward. What would I watch for one,

0:28:57.640 --> 0:29:00.440
<v Speaker 1>is you know, to what extent does this cause banks

0:29:00.520 --> 0:29:03.480
<v Speaker 1>to be a little bit more cautious in lending, which

0:29:03.520 --> 0:29:07.200
<v Speaker 1>perhaps is a slight a cloud on the recovery here.

0:29:07.400 --> 0:29:09.720
<v Speaker 1>And of course we're coming up to these all important

0:29:09.760 --> 0:29:11.760
<v Speaker 1>stress tests when the Federal Reserve is going to be

0:29:11.760 --> 0:29:14.880
<v Speaker 1>looking at all the banks and deciding who can um

0:29:15.080 --> 0:29:18.560
<v Speaker 1>start returning money to shareholders and who can't, And maybe

0:29:18.600 --> 0:29:21.080
<v Speaker 1>those stress stress tests will be tightened a little bit.

0:29:21.280 --> 0:29:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Maybe there's a little bit less cash in the coffers

0:29:24.000 --> 0:29:25.920
<v Speaker 1>of the banks to distribute even if they pass the

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:29.560
<v Speaker 1>stress tests. So that's something I would I would watch closely,

0:29:29.600 --> 0:29:31.600
<v Speaker 1>but you know, I don't think it changes a long

0:29:31.720 --> 0:29:34.239
<v Speaker 1>term positive themes here. Okay, fair enough, Well, let's talk

0:29:34.280 --> 0:29:37.360
<v Speaker 1>about some of those long term positive themes, David, David,

0:29:37.440 --> 0:29:41.360
<v Speaker 1>because we have this conflicting sort of outlook when it

0:29:41.400 --> 0:29:45.040
<v Speaker 1>comes to coronavirus. Vaccinations on the one hand, are going

0:29:45.280 --> 0:29:47.040
<v Speaker 1>really well, three days in a row of more than

0:29:47.080 --> 0:29:50.800
<v Speaker 1>three million doses each day. Some great stats shared by

0:29:50.800 --> 0:29:53.080
<v Speaker 1>the President earlier in the day about just how many

0:29:53.080 --> 0:29:56.040
<v Speaker 1>people and how quickly are getting vaccinated at the same

0:29:56.080 --> 0:29:59.320
<v Speaker 1>time that we are seeing cases go up and hospitalizations

0:29:59.320 --> 0:30:01.480
<v Speaker 1>go up in on areas. How concerned are you about

0:30:01.480 --> 0:30:06.080
<v Speaker 1>a potential fourth wave? Well, it's definitely on our radar.

0:30:06.240 --> 0:30:09.640
<v Speaker 1>Is probably, of course, was the factor in causing the

0:30:09.760 --> 0:30:12.880
<v Speaker 1>downturn last year. It's been the factor as the vaccines

0:30:12.920 --> 0:30:15.640
<v Speaker 1>were announced to lift us out of it. You know,

0:30:15.680 --> 0:30:18.240
<v Speaker 1>I think investors have to realize it was never gonna

0:30:18.280 --> 0:30:21.000
<v Speaker 1>be one, two, three, four or five, rather than like

0:30:21.120 --> 0:30:24.400
<v Speaker 1>two steps forward, one step back, two steps forward, one

0:30:24.400 --> 0:30:26.640
<v Speaker 1>step back. So I think the good news is we're

0:30:26.680 --> 0:30:30.080
<v Speaker 1>having a great at least in this country rollout of

0:30:30.160 --> 0:30:33.520
<v Speaker 1>the vaccines. We've got three now Fiser, Madonna, J and J.

0:30:33.920 --> 0:30:36.840
<v Speaker 1>I think Astrodnica will soon be approved. Novavax is on

0:30:36.960 --> 0:30:39.680
<v Speaker 1>the horizon. You know, here's what we have to watch for,

0:30:39.920 --> 0:30:42.840
<v Speaker 1>of course, is the fact that there's lagging vaccination overseas.

0:30:42.840 --> 0:30:45.120
<v Speaker 1>To what extent does that blowback in the United States?

0:30:45.160 --> 0:30:48.160
<v Speaker 1>To what extent is that a damper on international trade?

0:30:48.360 --> 0:30:50.800
<v Speaker 1>Of course, you've got the mutations. To what extent did

0:30:50.840 --> 0:30:53.920
<v Speaker 1>the current vaccine is going to handle that? We're optimistic,

0:30:53.920 --> 0:30:55.840
<v Speaker 1>but you've got to watch it. And of course I

0:30:55.840 --> 0:30:58.680
<v Speaker 1>think we're realizing now that we've got to get the

0:30:58.720 --> 0:31:02.480
<v Speaker 1>approval for the U stegious vaccines with the kids, because

0:31:02.560 --> 0:31:05.720
<v Speaker 1>without the kids being vaccinated, we're going to be unlikely

0:31:05.760 --> 0:31:08.000
<v Speaker 1>to develop her immunity and that's going to be the

0:31:08.040 --> 0:31:11.120
<v Speaker 1>final nail in the coffin, we hope in terms of

0:31:11.120 --> 0:31:14.560
<v Speaker 1>this epidemic. So, um, David, when it comes to trading

0:31:14.640 --> 0:31:17.400
<v Speaker 1>in the equity market, do you set up for you

0:31:17.440 --> 0:31:21.040
<v Speaker 1>continue the recovery trade or do you do how much?

0:31:21.560 --> 0:31:23.160
<v Speaker 1>Do you be a little bit cautious here because we

0:31:23.200 --> 0:31:24.840
<v Speaker 1>don't know if we'll get another wave? How do you

0:31:24.840 --> 0:31:30.760
<v Speaker 1>play it? Yeah? So, um, we remain constructive here. Basically

0:31:31.040 --> 0:31:34.560
<v Speaker 1>as we just discussed, COVID nineteen, progress going well and

0:31:34.720 --> 0:31:36.920
<v Speaker 1>ultimately we have the low interest rates now I know

0:31:36.960 --> 0:31:39.840
<v Speaker 1>they just touched another two thousand twenty one high here

0:31:40.160 --> 0:31:43.840
<v Speaker 1>just over one point, but basically that's still low interest rate.

0:31:43.960 --> 0:31:46.240
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't get retirees to where they need to be.

0:31:46.320 --> 0:31:49.080
<v Speaker 1>It does not allow endowments and charitable funds to make

0:31:49.080 --> 0:31:51.760
<v Speaker 1>the distributions they want. So we still think that there's

0:31:51.760 --> 0:31:54.480
<v Speaker 1>a wall of money into stocks. And guess what this

0:31:54.600 --> 0:31:59.920
<v Speaker 1>economy is recovering. The forecast GDP six or more. Core

0:32:00.200 --> 0:32:03.720
<v Speaker 1>earning is going to be as much as versus last

0:32:03.800 --> 0:32:06.320
<v Speaker 1>year and another ten percent last year. So we really

0:32:06.360 --> 0:32:08.480
<v Speaker 1>think if you roll up your sleeves, there's lots of

0:32:08.480 --> 0:32:11.640
<v Speaker 1>opportunities relative to keep in cash under the mattress. Now

0:32:11.640 --> 0:32:15.640
<v Speaker 1>in terms of uh, you know what areas of the market, Well,

0:32:15.920 --> 0:32:18.840
<v Speaker 1>you want to be diversified. But on the other hand,

0:32:19.320 --> 0:32:21.720
<v Speaker 1>you know last year growth with scary stre in the

0:32:21.760 --> 0:32:25.120
<v Speaker 1>pandemics to people chase the megacap text this year, I

0:32:25.120 --> 0:32:26.920
<v Speaker 1>think worth is going to be more plentiful, so you

0:32:26.920 --> 0:32:28.920
<v Speaker 1>can go for the value place, all right, Canna leave

0:32:28.920 --> 0:32:30.920
<v Speaker 1>it on that note, Hey, David, Thanks David Eats, he's

0:32:30.960 --> 0:32:34.520
<v Speaker 1>managing principal senior portfolio Strategies at Pepack Private Wealth Management.

0:32:34.800 --> 0:32:38.960
<v Speaker 1>Joining us on the phone from New Jersey. Thanks for

0:32:39.000 --> 0:32:42.760
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:32:42.880 --> 0:32:45.000
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to

0:32:45.040 --> 0:32:47.640
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0:32:47.760 --> 0:32:50.520
<v Speaker 1>or watch us on YouTube. Sara to Bloomberg Global News