WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 18) 0:00:00.920 --> 0:00:05.560 Ka boom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes 0:00:05.600 --> 0:00:09.360 a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants 0:00:09.400 --> 0:00:12.680 of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He 0:00:12.760 --> 0:00:15.680 treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the 0:00:15.840 --> 0:00:20.440 rich pill poppers in the penthouse to clearinghouse of hot takes, 0:00:20.520 --> 0:00:24.320 break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben 0:00:24.360 --> 0:00:34.000 Maller starts right now in the air everywhere, and it 0:00:34.159 --> 0:00:38.440 is a brain spanking new year. The first full weekend 0:00:39.400 --> 0:00:42.519 of the Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny G 0:00:42.840 --> 0:00:47.199 as we officially kick off. I know we had the 0:00:47.240 --> 0:00:52.360 mailbag last week, Dandy, but this is the full Monty 0:00:52.680 --> 0:00:55.440 for the brand new year, as we kick things off 0:00:55.480 --> 0:00:59.280 and we do it the right way. The final full 0:01:00.000 --> 0:01:03.960 mission of Betty versus the Penny. Let's strike up the band. 0:01:05.920 --> 0:01:14.319 Welcome players, You're welcome. It's time now Betty versus the 0:01:14.400 --> 0:01:22.240 Penny and the crowd goes wild and all that, and 0:01:22.600 --> 0:01:25.800 Danny G we have reached the end of the regular 0:01:25.880 --> 0:01:30.360 season in the NFL. It's always odd because doing what 0:01:30.400 --> 0:01:33.160 we do for a living in sports radio, we pretty 0:01:33.240 --> 0:01:36.600 much make our entire lives. We mold our lives around 0:01:36.600 --> 0:01:40.160 the NFL. And so it's a weird thing because it's 0:01:40.160 --> 0:01:43.039 it's exciting the playoffs starting, but at the same time, 0:01:43.040 --> 0:01:46.679 you're like, now like most of the team's half the 0:01:46.680 --> 0:01:49.760 teams are being eliminated, um and more than half of 0:01:49.760 --> 0:01:52.000 the team. So it's a weird time of the year. 0:01:52.560 --> 0:01:55.240 First of all, I can't believe that we've already gone 0:01:55.240 --> 0:01:59.120 through an entire season. Secondly, does this mean I'm gonna 0:01:59.240 --> 0:02:06.960 now spend off of my life again chasing around Brian Billick. Yes, yes, 0:02:07.040 --> 0:02:09.200 I did get some email from people saying I can't 0:02:09.240 --> 0:02:11.600 wait till the interviews come back, and I'm like, well, yeah, 0:02:11.639 --> 0:02:14.000 I don't know. On this side, it might not be 0:02:14.080 --> 0:02:16.720 the same. Well no, I mean we we can rotate through. 0:02:16.800 --> 0:02:18.880 We have we have friends at Fox Sports three. We'll 0:02:18.919 --> 0:02:23.560 figure it out. Brian bill Brian Billick. He used the whale, 0:02:23.560 --> 0:02:27.680 though it used to be Michael Jordan's. The whale is 0:02:27.800 --> 0:02:31.000 Brian Billick. I think what we should do is just 0:02:31.000 --> 0:02:33.520 just let's just funk around and we'll just put on 0:02:33.560 --> 0:02:35.600 a bunch of like old school NFL coaches, Like we'll 0:02:35.600 --> 0:02:39.240 track down Jerry Glanville, we'll put him on right well, 0:02:39.240 --> 0:02:41.440 you know, you know these guys that are they dead, 0:02:41.440 --> 0:02:43.520 are alive. You know the guys that we were we 0:02:43.520 --> 0:02:45.440 were younger. We'll track them down, we'll put them on. 0:02:45.639 --> 0:02:50.200 Just we had Jim, Jim Moron, who's God bless Jim. 0:02:50.200 --> 0:02:52.919 He's close to ninety, but we knew him. I knew 0:02:52.960 --> 0:02:54.880 him from his days at Fox Pus Radio. Baby, like 0:02:54.960 --> 0:02:57.000 these old school coaches. Man, that's the way to go. 0:02:57.040 --> 0:02:58.960 I think we'll do a bunch of those guys And 0:02:59.000 --> 0:03:01.760 if anybody wants to recommend. Now, we still have Benny 0:03:01.800 --> 0:03:04.960 Versus I want to clarify we will have a hybrid 0:03:05.080 --> 0:03:07.359 version of Benny Versus the Penny coming up because we've 0:03:07.360 --> 0:03:09.800 got the wild Card weekend next week, so that'll do it. 0:03:10.160 --> 0:03:12.679 And we can pretty much do this all the way 0:03:12.760 --> 0:03:14.640 up to the Super Bowl, with the exception in the 0:03:14.639 --> 0:03:17.919 week before depending on what's going on. So we will 0:03:17.960 --> 0:03:21.480 have a lot of a lot of Benny Versus the Penny. Still, 0:03:21.600 --> 0:03:27.800 we're gonna be broadcasting live from the Pro Bowl, right, Yes, yes, 0:03:27.919 --> 0:03:31.079 unless we don't. I'm sure. I'm sure that's in the budget, 0:03:31.320 --> 0:03:33.919 unless it's not. So before we get to the games 0:03:33.960 --> 0:03:36.880 on hand, let's look back and see what happened back 0:03:36.920 --> 0:03:39.680 in Week seventeen. Before you look ahead, you gotta look back, 0:03:40.120 --> 0:03:42.840 learned from me mistakes, and never make them again. So 0:03:43.000 --> 0:03:46.680 Week seventeen, I've been saying all year, at some point, 0:03:46.760 --> 0:03:48.720 the ship's gonna hit the fan. I've been winning way 0:03:48.760 --> 0:03:52.160 too many bets here, and it happened in Week seventeen. 0:03:52.880 --> 0:03:57.560 It was a debacle for yours, truly here. Everything I 0:03:57.640 --> 0:03:59.920 thought was going to happen didn't happen. Guys that I 0:04:00.080 --> 0:04:02.760 expected to play or play well didn't play well or 0:04:02.800 --> 0:04:06.720 got hurt. It was a total crap fest. I lost 0:04:06.760 --> 0:04:10.080 a couple of games on bad beats, and that's what happens. 0:04:10.120 --> 0:04:12.840 And so five there were fifteen games. They're supposed to 0:04:12.840 --> 0:04:16.680 be sixteen games. Obviously the story in Buffalo and Cincinnati 0:04:16.720 --> 0:04:20.760 that game was not played. But the fifteen games, I 0:04:20.800 --> 0:04:24.920 want five and ten Danny five and ten against the spread. 0:04:25.320 --> 0:04:29.839 That's any like performance. God, that blows man. I suck 0:04:30.400 --> 0:04:33.320 five and ten, three thirty three winning percentage half the 0:04:33.320 --> 0:04:37.159 Sign of the Devil. The Penny beat Me had eight wins, 0:04:37.200 --> 0:04:40.000 but only one game above five. Eight and seven for 0:04:40.040 --> 0:04:43.159 the Penny. That is now back to back winning weeks 0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:45.320 for the Penny, and three out of the last four 0:04:45.360 --> 0:04:48.159 weeks the Pennies had a winning record, and this is 0:04:48.200 --> 0:04:54.920 my first losing week I believe all actually since Week two, 0:04:54.920 --> 0:04:58.120 so I've had two losing weekends overall, Week two and 0:04:58.200 --> 0:05:04.640 Week seventeen, and so overall overall my record a hundred 0:05:04.720 --> 0:05:08.240 forty five wins, hundred four losses to five eighty two 0:05:08.240 --> 0:05:10.240 winning percent so I'm still within the margin of making 0:05:10.240 --> 0:05:14.880 money the penny hundred wins, hundred and thirty losses and 0:05:14.960 --> 0:05:19.479 four ties, that's a four eighty two winning percentage. Just 0:05:19.520 --> 0:05:21.680 to recap a couple of things. In Week seventeen, I 0:05:21.720 --> 0:05:24.840 mentioned I had some bad beats. The Patriots gave up 0:05:24.880 --> 0:05:28.320 a touchdown with a minute four left in the in 0:05:28.360 --> 0:05:31.120 the in the g D game on the clock, they 0:05:31.240 --> 0:05:33.719 lost the bet by a half point on the spread, 0:05:34.360 --> 0:05:39.800 and just brutal Carolina was up fourteen nothing early in Tampa. 0:05:40.240 --> 0:05:44.760 They had a lead fourth quarter, end up losing by 0:05:44.920 --> 0:05:49.080 six and they were three point underdogs, which seems hard 0:05:49.120 --> 0:05:52.880 to do, but Sam Donald puked it up the Bears. 0:05:53.160 --> 0:05:55.279 That was not a close game, but they led after 0:05:55.320 --> 0:05:58.200 the first quarter, and then Justin Fields got dinged up 0:05:59.080 --> 0:06:01.800 and from that point from the time Justin Fields got hurt. 0:06:01.839 --> 0:06:04.839 To the end of the game, Chicago was outscored thirty 0:06:04.920 --> 0:06:10.760 four nothing by the Lions. I had some some investment 0:06:10.760 --> 0:06:13.839 in the Colts. Nick Foles got hurt on the snow 0:06:13.920 --> 0:06:19.040 Angel Sack uh covon Thip Thibodeau, and that did in 0:06:19.080 --> 0:06:22.800 the the Colts. Mike White stunk for the Jets, he 0:06:22.880 --> 0:06:26.560 got hurt. Carson Wentz garbage for the Commanders. I go 0:06:26.560 --> 0:06:28.719 on and on um anyway, so it was it not 0:06:28.800 --> 0:06:30.960 a great weekend for We made a good call on 0:06:31.080 --> 0:06:34.160 stid Um though. Remember how I told you really spinning 0:06:34.160 --> 0:06:37.760 the ball in McDaniel's system. Yeah, he looked great. That 0:06:37.839 --> 0:06:40.000 was That was one I didn't have to sweat. Even 0:06:40.040 --> 0:06:42.440 though the Raiders lost the game, they were right there 0:06:42.560 --> 0:06:45.039 neck and neck, and they were they were leading the game, 0:06:45.040 --> 0:06:47.080 playing very well. And I guess the number one defense 0:06:47.080 --> 0:06:48.960 in the NFL. All right, let's get to it. Here 0:06:49.000 --> 0:06:53.920 we go, final full weekend for twenty two slash three. 0:06:54.000 --> 0:06:56.760 We'll have to wait till next year for the full Monty, 0:06:56.800 --> 0:06:59.120 but here is week A team Remember sports handicapping for 0:06:59.120 --> 0:07:01.800 the regular guy Wench The Numbers spent a lot of 0:07:01.839 --> 0:07:04.800 time looking over these games. Home team is heads. Road 0:07:04.839 --> 0:07:07.800 team is tales. The penny does not speak, so representing 0:07:07.800 --> 0:07:12.040 the penny, that would be Danny G. Radio, Daddy or 0:07:12.160 --> 0:07:14.840 Daddy G Radio as we're calling him. Now. All right, 0:07:14.920 --> 0:07:18.840 here we go Kansas City thirteen and three at Las 0:07:18.920 --> 0:07:22.920 Vegas six and ten, This game kicking off Saturday afternoon, 0:07:23.040 --> 0:07:27.920 the final game for Danny G's Raiders this season. Yeah, 0:07:27.960 --> 0:07:31.520 I got got flexed. The Chiefs opened up a ten 0:07:31.560 --> 0:07:33.560 point favorite. The line on this is nine and a 0:07:33.600 --> 0:07:38.800 half Chiefs favored by the public, almost se of the 0:07:38.880 --> 0:07:42.040 handle in favor of Kansas City at Allegian Stadium, the 0:07:42.040 --> 0:07:44.560 house Danny G visited a couple of weeks ago. The 0:07:44.720 --> 0:07:48.080 Chiefs one in ten against the spread, their last ten 0:07:48.120 --> 0:07:51.160 against the a f C. They've been miserable owen seven 0:07:51.200 --> 0:07:54.640 on the road their last seven against conference rivals, and 0:07:54.840 --> 0:07:57.240 the Raiders have been very good as an underdog, although 0:07:57.320 --> 0:08:00.880 most of that with different players who are not currently 0:08:00.920 --> 0:08:03.040 playing for the Silver and Black. But I'm gonna take 0:08:03.040 --> 0:08:06.520 the Raiders in this game. I was a little concerned, 0:08:06.640 --> 0:08:09.120 Danny I saw Jared stidn't miss some time and practice 0:08:09.160 --> 0:08:12.040 this week. We believe he's going to play. He better play. 0:08:12.080 --> 0:08:14.040 He got off to a blazing start against the Niners 0:08:14.080 --> 0:08:17.280 last week. Just mentioned that three sixty five yards, three 0:08:17.320 --> 0:08:20.400 touchdowns against the supposed number one defense in the NFL. 0:08:20.640 --> 0:08:24.280 He did have the two interceptions. This is it the Stidhum. 0:08:25.000 --> 0:08:27.600 You realize what's on the line in this game. If 0:08:27.640 --> 0:08:29.920 he goes out there and has three more touchdowns and 0:08:30.040 --> 0:08:33.880 passes for three yards and looks great against the Chiefs, 0:08:34.720 --> 0:08:37.240 all of a sudden, the Raiders have to say, wait 0:08:37.240 --> 0:08:38.920 a minute, what do we do next year? Do we 0:08:39.000 --> 0:08:41.079 allow this guy to have a legitimate chance to win 0:08:41.120 --> 0:08:44.640 the starting job? I mean that that's that's what's on 0:08:44.679 --> 0:08:47.520 the line here for this audition for Stidham. So it's 0:08:47.559 --> 0:08:50.680 a big f and deal for him and the Raiders 0:08:51.120 --> 0:08:53.720 looking to end on a positive note for whatever that's worth. 0:08:53.760 --> 0:08:57.280 The Chiefs have shown a tendency here to not blow 0:08:57.320 --> 0:09:00.840 the doors off opponents that yet think they're gonna blow 0:09:00.880 --> 0:09:05.360 the doors off here. I'm I might be crazy on this, Danny, 0:09:05.400 --> 0:09:07.120 but I actually like the Raiders a lot. Getting that 0:09:07.160 --> 0:09:10.160 many points, almost double digits, So I'm gonna take the 0:09:10.240 --> 0:09:13.560 Raiders with the points, Chiefs will win the game. Raiders 0:09:14.080 --> 0:09:17.720 win the bet, Chiefs seven, and the Raiders twenty four 0:09:17.880 --> 0:09:26.439 the final and the Penny lands on Heads agrees with you, 0:09:26.480 --> 0:09:29.000 going with Las Vegas. All right, Now, keep in mind 0:09:29.000 --> 0:09:32.000 this is the hardest week in the NFL. The handicapped 0:09:32.080 --> 0:09:35.360 Danny because you don't know the motivation. Now this next game, 0:09:35.440 --> 0:09:39.800 you do know the motivation. Tennessee seven and nine, you're 0:09:39.840 --> 0:09:43.360 the only ten I see at Jacksonville eight and eight, 0:09:43.960 --> 0:09:49.560 and this game being played in Jacksonville, and the Jaguars 0:09:50.360 --> 0:09:52.600 opened up a six and a half point favorite. They're 0:09:52.600 --> 0:09:56.040 favored by six. What kind of bizarro world is this 0:09:56.080 --> 0:09:59.600 where Jacksonville's favored by six points in a key game 0:09:59.679 --> 0:10:01.480 to make the playoffs. But that's the story. At t 0:10:01.679 --> 0:10:05.360 I a a bank field as temperatures in the sixties 0:10:05.400 --> 0:10:07.480 that kick off her Titans and won eleven of the 0:10:07.520 --> 0:10:10.720 last fourteen meetings. Mike Rabel has been so good as 0:10:10.720 --> 0:10:14.480 an underdog. We give the stat all the time. Great 0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:17.360 record one and nine as an underdog with three or 0:10:17.400 --> 0:10:19.680 more points. And I'm gonna take the Titans in this game. 0:10:20.040 --> 0:10:24.000 Joshua Dobbs making his second start. I learned a little 0:10:24.000 --> 0:10:26.040 bit about him this week. He played against the Cowboys 0:10:26.679 --> 0:10:29.760 and it was okay. He wasn't great. He's okay in 0:10:30.120 --> 0:10:33.280 that game. Uh, the Cowboys ended up covering the spread. 0:10:33.280 --> 0:10:36.439 But Dobbs isn't He's got an aerospace degree. He was 0:10:36.480 --> 0:10:39.280 an intern at NASA. So that's all kind of interesting crap. 0:10:39.760 --> 0:10:42.040 And it's the a f C championship game. These teams 0:10:42.040 --> 0:10:46.280 played back in Week fourteen. Jacksonville won that game thirty two, 0:10:46.400 --> 0:10:50.520 but that game misleading. Jacksonville scored twenty of their thirty 0:10:50.559 --> 0:10:55.800 six points directly off turnovers from Tennessee. The Titans very 0:10:55.800 --> 0:10:58.320 generous in that game. They were in the holiday spirit. 0:10:58.600 --> 0:11:01.199 They gave They gave the ball away four times. Derrick 0:11:01.280 --> 0:11:06.000 Henry had two fumbles, and certainly expect a cleaner game here. 0:11:06.040 --> 0:11:10.600 Despite Dobbs not having much experience, Tennessee will be able 0:11:10.640 --> 0:11:14.480 to move the ball. Henry average seven yards per carry 0:11:14.520 --> 0:11:17.480 against Jacksonville the last time out. I know some new 0:11:17.520 --> 0:11:20.200 players in the lineup. Things are a little different than 0:11:20.200 --> 0:11:22.920 they were back then, but the choke factor is very big. 0:11:23.440 --> 0:11:29.280 I don't completely trust Jacksonville. They've looked great lately. I'm 0:11:29.320 --> 0:11:32.000 not sold that's legit. This should be a nip and 0:11:32.040 --> 0:11:36.240 tuck game. Even with the backup backup quarterback third stringer 0:11:36.280 --> 0:11:40.679 plan for the Titans. Remember the Titans in this game Tennessee. 0:11:41.840 --> 0:11:50.480 They win the game Jacksonville the final and the Penny 0:11:50.600 --> 0:11:53.480 says that it looks like Trevor Lawrence is going to 0:11:53.559 --> 0:11:56.720 be the one who looks like an astronaut going with 0:11:56.760 --> 0:11:59.880 the Jags. Well, the NFL would like that because I 0:12:00.480 --> 0:12:02.520 was talking to I was actually texting. I don't talk 0:12:02.520 --> 0:12:04.440 to anybody's you know, Danny, but I was texting somebody, 0:12:04.480 --> 0:12:06.720 and they were like, oh yeah. The NFL, they they're 0:12:06.760 --> 0:12:09.520 ready to hype up Lawrence next year that Jacksonville is 0:12:09.520 --> 0:12:11.680 gonna be one of those teams that gets those extra 0:12:12.160 --> 0:12:13.920 prime time games. You know how they've been doing it 0:12:13.960 --> 0:12:15.920 with the Chargers where they're trying to hype up Justin 0:12:15.960 --> 0:12:20.080 Herbert and building up the mythology of Herbert. Will keep 0:12:20.080 --> 0:12:22.199 an eye on Jacksonville next year, especially if they win 0:12:22.240 --> 0:12:26.559 this game. Watch out. All right, Let's get to the 0:12:26.600 --> 0:12:31.000 Sunday card. The New York Jets wicked bad in the year. 0:12:31.200 --> 0:12:34.079 At seven and nine. They are at Miami eight and eight. 0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:36.800 It's on Fox. Joe Davis and Darryl Johnson have a 0:12:36.840 --> 0:12:40.560 call on Fox and the Jets. This game opened up 0:12:40.559 --> 0:12:44.360 Dolphins by four. Jets are actually favored in this game 0:12:44.720 --> 0:12:48.959 by one. Hello at hard Rock Stadium, temperatures in the 0:12:49.040 --> 0:12:54.640 high seventies at kickoff, and the reason the Jets are 0:12:54.720 --> 0:12:58.000 favorite because of the injury situation with the Dolphins. But 0:12:58.040 --> 0:13:00.640 the Jets two and five against the spread their last seven, 0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:03.640 they've been a miserable team going back several years when 0:13:03.640 --> 0:13:06.400 they've had to travel more than a thousand yards, more 0:13:06.440 --> 0:13:08.480 than a thousand miles. Thousand yards, I think they'll be 0:13:08.480 --> 0:13:11.679 all right. Thousand miles probably not so much. But anyway, 0:13:11.720 --> 0:13:14.000 I'm gonna take the Dolphins in this game. There's two 0:13:14.000 --> 0:13:16.200 main reasons here. Let me tell you my my logic 0:13:16.280 --> 0:13:18.520 behind this is how I came up with this as 0:13:18.559 --> 0:13:21.280 I dissected this game. So the Dolphins, there's two reasons. 0:13:21.320 --> 0:13:24.960 Like Miami, they still have a shot at the playoffs 0:13:25.000 --> 0:13:28.360 even with their backup Skyler Thompson. I'm not sitting here 0:13:28.400 --> 0:13:30.520 saying Skylar Thompson is good. I don't think he is 0:13:31.000 --> 0:13:34.000 nors Mike Glenn in the draft, who they just signed 0:13:34.080 --> 0:13:38.319 with that long neck as the the emergency quarterback. But 0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:41.440 this is a vote of no confidence for Gang Green 0:13:41.520 --> 0:13:45.000 the Jets. Mike White poop the bed in Seattle. He 0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:47.720 had no control over his passes. I don't think that 0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:51.520 changes much here. This has Debacco written all over it. 0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:55.000 We would not be shocked if this Jets team just 0:13:55.080 --> 0:13:58.559 goes through the motions and and plays safe and not 0:13:58.640 --> 0:14:00.400 to get hurt. You know, I hear that a lot. 0:14:00.440 --> 0:14:02.319 We've worked with a lot of NFL guys over the years, 0:14:02.320 --> 0:14:04.679 and they always, they often have said, in week eighteen 0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:07.280 or it used to be week seventeen, just be week sixteen. 0:14:07.720 --> 0:14:11.680 But the main goal when you're not making the playoffs 0:14:11.760 --> 0:14:13.200 is to not get hurt because you want to go 0:14:13.200 --> 0:14:15.680 on vacation. You don't want to have to rehab when 0:14:15.720 --> 0:14:17.720 you're when you're in the off season, and if you 0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:21.680 get hurt in week seventeen or week eighteen, you gotta rehab. Anyway, 0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:23.840 it's gonna be an ugly game. Dolphins will end up 0:14:23.840 --> 0:14:28.360 winning it nineteen ten, Miami in the win column, l 0:14:28.480 --> 0:14:36.240 end up nine and eight in the regular season, and 0:14:36.320 --> 0:14:39.320 the penny goes again in the other direction, going with 0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:42.760 the J T J E T S suck sucks suck, 0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:44.720 all right. See, it would have been better if you 0:14:44.840 --> 0:14:46.440 misspelled it. Then we could have used that as a 0:14:46.520 --> 0:14:53.880 drop Dandy almost gonna j U c K sucks b 0:14:54.160 --> 0:14:58.080 B L O W blow. All right, uh, all right, 0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:03.400 next up Cleveland. Hello, seven and nine at Pittsburgh. And 0:15:03.840 --> 0:15:09.080 they come into this game with a miserable record themselves. 0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:14.000 They are a game better than Cleveland. The Steelers opened 0:15:14.080 --> 0:15:16.760 up a one and a half point favorite. They're favored 0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:21.320 by two and a half in this game. And uh 0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:24.280 the slight lean on the money to the Browns at 0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:28.320 the stadium formerly known as Heinz Field, temperatures in the 0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:32.520 thirties and cloudy at kickoff in the Berg. And I'm 0:15:32.520 --> 0:15:34.200 gonna take the Steelers in this game now when you 0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:38.480 boil things down. Kenny Pickett has been captain come back, 0:15:38.600 --> 0:15:41.000 Captain clutch every want to say it, but he's also 0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:44.840 been crummy for seventy of these recent Steeler games. And 0:15:44.880 --> 0:15:48.520 then he's been, you know, been amazing late in the game, 0:15:48.640 --> 0:15:52.240 these these drives against Baltimore and your Raiders. Sorry Danny 0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:55.400 the week before, but living on a wing and a prayer, 0:15:56.240 --> 0:15:58.120 and I expect much of the same in this game. 0:15:58.120 --> 0:16:00.840 There's gonna be a close game, and then the Steelers 0:16:00.880 --> 0:16:02.720 should be able to actually have more success on the 0:16:02.720 --> 0:16:06.720 ground with Nag Harris against a very suspect Cleveland run defense. 0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:10.480 In the passing game, Deshaun Watson had a had a 0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:14.960 big game the creepy quarterback last week against Washington. However, 0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:20.360 that was more of a byproduct of the secondary for 0:16:20.680 --> 0:16:23.600 the Commanders being dinged up. I don't I don't think 0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:26.240 we'll see the similar result here. T J. Watt will 0:16:26.240 --> 0:16:30.360 be in the face of Watson early and often, but 0:16:30.520 --> 0:16:34.120 this will be another nail biter. And the fact that 0:16:34.160 --> 0:16:38.520 you're getting over you're getting two and a half. So 0:16:38.800 --> 0:16:41.920 if the number was three, I would likely go the other. 0:16:41.960 --> 0:16:43.640 I think that's how close this game is. I think 0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:45.720 it comes down to the field. I think Pittsburgh. I 0:16:45.720 --> 0:16:49.120 believe Pittsburgh the better team here, and you will have 0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:51.560 a mix of Cleveland guys that are not gonna be 0:16:51.560 --> 0:16:54.320 playing with pride. They'll be like worried about going on vacation. 0:16:54.400 --> 0:17:05.080 So Steelers sixteen and the Browns thirteen. The final penny 0:17:05.160 --> 0:17:09.119 fittingly lands on tails where the poop color Brown's helmet 0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:14.119 comes from. Going with Cleveland alright, Cleveland is the team 0:17:14.200 --> 0:17:17.199 next up Houston to and one boy. This is a 0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:21.320 game designed for the penny to and one Houston at 0:17:21.400 --> 0:17:25.679 Indianapolis four eleven and one. It's on CBS Game of 0:17:25.720 --> 0:17:29.919 the Week. Ye oh yeah, who's gonna be watching this? 0:17:30.160 --> 0:17:32.280 And it with Spirodidas and Jay Feel you have the 0:17:32.320 --> 0:17:34.520 call over there on CBS. The Colts opened at two 0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:36.840 and a half point favorite, and they are favored by 0:17:36.880 --> 0:17:39.560 two and a half. Still, the money's pretty even on 0:17:39.560 --> 0:17:42.240 this game. Both teams would be better off long term 0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:48.280 by losing at Lucas Oil Stadium a dome. And I'm 0:17:48.320 --> 0:17:49.840 not going to give you any kind of numbers on 0:17:49.840 --> 0:17:52.879 this because across the board the numbers are irrelevant. I'm 0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:55.280 gonna take the Texans in this game. This is a game, 0:17:55.320 --> 0:17:58.440 as we said, design for the penny, not for me. 0:17:58.760 --> 0:18:02.120 Both these teams as will be better off higher draft picks. 0:18:02.160 --> 0:18:04.240 Houston can wrap up the number one pick. They'll screw 0:18:04.280 --> 0:18:07.440 themselves over though they will end up blowing the number 0:18:07.440 --> 0:18:09.440 one pick. The Bears will get the number one pick, 0:18:09.640 --> 0:18:11.840 and then Lovey Smith will end up losing his job. 0:18:12.320 --> 0:18:14.639 The main reason I like the Texans is because Sam 0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:16.640 Ellinger is going to start for the Colts and I've 0:18:16.680 --> 0:18:19.639 seen this guy and he stinks. And Davis Mills should 0:18:19.680 --> 0:18:21.800 be able to use the play action. The Colts can't 0:18:21.800 --> 0:18:24.880 stop the run. The play actions should open things up, 0:18:25.080 --> 0:18:27.479 but who are we kidding? This game is gonna be 0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:37.120 unly the capital you Texans. It's twenty and the Colts ten. 0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:42.720 The final. There goes the number one pick. Congratulations Chicago. Yea, 0:18:48.520 --> 0:18:52.800 the penny lands on heads going with the Colts. Alright, Colts, 0:18:52.840 --> 0:18:57.000 it is next up Tampa Bay at Atlanta. It's on 0:18:57.280 --> 0:18:59.720 Fox with Adam Amine and Mark Slabor. They have the 0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:03.480 call All and Bucks come in eight and eight, Atlanta 0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:06.440 six and ten. Falcons favored by four. This game open 0:19:06.480 --> 0:19:08.880 to pick him. Everyone's like, why is Atlanta favored by four? 0:19:09.080 --> 0:19:14.320 I'll tell you because the gambling market they understand that 0:19:14.400 --> 0:19:16.920 Tampa Bay is not going to play their starters. Todd 0:19:16.920 --> 0:19:19.600 Bowles said He's going to play as starters, but the 0:19:19.600 --> 0:19:23.200 the insiders say that's not the case. Falcons. My I'm 0:19:23.240 --> 0:19:26.600 taking the Falcons because I would rather have my money 0:19:26.600 --> 0:19:31.600 on the starters for Atlanta then the backups Blaine Gabbard 0:19:31.920 --> 0:19:36.400 and Kyle Trask and those guys for the Tampa Buccaneers. 0:19:36.520 --> 0:19:38.399 But Brady'll like the start this game. You'll play a 0:19:38.400 --> 0:19:40.720 couple of series and then that's it. And even when 0:19:40.720 --> 0:19:43.800 he's in there, you'll talk about a very conservative vanilla offense. 0:19:44.520 --> 0:19:49.560 Falcons twenty seven bucks seventeen. I must be I must 0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:58.800 be high. Yeah, an he going the other way again, 0:19:58.920 --> 0:20:03.440 taking the bucks. All right? Next up Carolina at Orlans. 0:20:03.600 --> 0:20:08.760 It's on Fox with Jason Bennetti and Fox Sports Radios 0:20:08.880 --> 0:20:12.760 Brady Quinn. They will have the call there. Yeah, well 0:20:12.920 --> 0:20:15.600 on the Fox box that rocks. The Saints open a 0:20:15.640 --> 0:20:18.520 three point favorite at the Superdome. They are favored by 0:20:18.560 --> 0:20:21.520 three and a half. And I actually like Carolina. Both 0:20:21.600 --> 0:20:23.320 these teams not going to the place, but I'm gonna 0:20:23.320 --> 0:20:25.480 take Caroline. Actually have a strong opinion on this game, 0:20:26.160 --> 0:20:30.160 which makes no sense, but uh, styles make fights. Carolina 0:20:30.200 --> 0:20:32.440 matches up very well with the Orleans and the Panthers 0:20:32.960 --> 0:20:38.480 should be able to box up Alvin Kamara and Taysom Hill, 0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:42.880 forcing Andy Dalton to throw and that is a recipe 0:20:42.920 --> 0:20:47.000 for despair. Also, the Panthers offense, they are able to 0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:48.919 move the ball on the ground here. The Saints have 0:20:49.040 --> 0:20:52.720 shown some weak spots on that run defense, so Deonte 0:20:52.840 --> 0:20:57.080 Foreman and Cuba Hubbard. Uh, those two guys should be 0:20:57.080 --> 0:20:59.040 able to move the ball, it's gonna be closed. But 0:20:59.119 --> 0:21:00.960 the Saints should not be favored by more than a 0:21:01.040 --> 0:21:05.280 field goal. So I'll take the Panthers and the Saints 0:21:05.359 --> 0:21:08.399 twenty three as Carolina ends the year on a winning 0:21:08.440 --> 0:21:16.200 note and the Penny go in the other direction again. 0:21:16.280 --> 0:21:19.280 What a battle so far this week, taking the as 0:21:19.840 --> 0:21:22.480 a lot of disagreement, A lot of disagreement, all right. 0:21:23.240 --> 0:21:26.360 So this next game is up in the air. It's 0:21:26.400 --> 0:21:29.680 New England eight and eight at Buffalo twelve and three. 0:21:29.720 --> 0:21:33.840 It's on CBS with Jim Nance and Tony Romo. The 0:21:34.040 --> 0:21:37.080 Bill's favored in this game. They opened up a tenant 0:21:37.119 --> 0:21:39.240 a point favorite. They're favored by six and a half. 0:21:39.760 --> 0:21:42.040 At the time we are recording Venni versus the Penny, 0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:44.080 it is green light go. This game will be played. 0:21:44.080 --> 0:21:47.479 That is obviously something that could change, but at this moment, 0:21:47.640 --> 0:21:49.840 as we're talking right now, this game will be played 0:21:49.960 --> 0:21:53.000 at High March Stadium in Buffalo, temperatures in the twenties 0:21:53.000 --> 0:21:55.399 that kick off. It is a must win game for 0:21:55.440 --> 0:21:59.119 the Patriots, and the Patriots have not done well against 0:21:59.200 --> 0:22:02.320 running quarterback acts. And obviously this story here is what 0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:06.679 happens with Buffalo and the game Monday night postponed because 0:22:06.800 --> 0:22:11.439 Damar Hamlin was injured in Cincinnati hospital and all that 0:22:11.560 --> 0:22:16.920 just a horrible, horrible situation. And this is a a 0:22:17.160 --> 0:22:19.479 mind bendor to handicap. I'm gonna take the Patriots. Now, 0:22:19.480 --> 0:22:22.040 this is gonna go one of two ways here, uh 0:22:22.119 --> 0:22:26.840 this game. Either Buffalo comes out flat, emotionally spent, just 0:22:26.920 --> 0:22:28.760 not wanting to play the game, and they come out 0:22:28.800 --> 0:22:33.679 like zombies, and the Patriots win this game either comfortably 0:22:33.880 --> 0:22:36.960 or that they end up winning the game outright, does 0:22:37.640 --> 0:22:40.439 Josh Allen rally trips? The other scenario is that the 0:22:40.520 --> 0:22:45.440 Bills rally around their falling teammate Damar Hamlin, and they 0:22:45.480 --> 0:22:50.240 stampede the Buffalo Rome past the Patriots. And if if 0:22:50.240 --> 0:22:52.199 all things were equal, you would take Buffalo and they 0:22:52.240 --> 0:22:54.600 would win this game by a wide margin. But all 0:22:54.640 --> 0:22:59.120 things are not equal here. Uh and and so I'm 0:22:59.119 --> 0:23:01.240 gonna take the page. I don't think Buffalo they play 0:23:01.280 --> 0:23:02.879 this game. I don't think Buffalo's got much in it. 0:23:02.920 --> 0:23:05.280 So I'll take the Patriots twenty and the Bills seventeen. 0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:13.280 And the penny says the Bills are gonna storm out 0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:18.159 like the Sabers and win it for Hamlin. All right, 0:23:18.200 --> 0:23:22.040 let's get back to it here and the next game up. 0:23:22.359 --> 0:23:25.760 Next game up for US Baltimore ten and six at 0:23:25.800 --> 0:23:31.239 Cincinnati eleven and four. The Bengals another one of these 0:23:31.280 --> 0:23:34.840 teams affected by obviously what happened in Monday Night Monday 0:23:34.880 --> 0:23:39.280