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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Monday morning edition of the Dayly Just Podcast.

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Speaker 1: I am your host, Matt Parolt here Bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 1: and this podcast it's being brought to you by BETHMGM. Well,

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Speaker 1: boys and girls, it's been a fun, fun time.

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Speaker 2: Huh.

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Speaker 1: We have to appreciate runs like this because you don't

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Speaker 1: always have them, and we're gonna come down from it

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Speaker 1: at some point. We're not gonna be this hot forever.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna have a bad run. But like I told

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Speaker 1: you back when we were going eleven and eighteen in

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Speaker 1: the first week of August, that it was a long

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Speaker 1: month and we had a chance to get hot and

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Speaker 1: if we did, we could recover.

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Speaker 2: And that is the name of the game.

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Speaker 1: Slow and steady, right, keep at it, keep believing in yourself,

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Speaker 1: keep trying figure out different ways of making money. It's

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Speaker 1: not gonna all come back right away. You're gonna be down.

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Speaker 1: I know I was down going into the day. I

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Speaker 1: think I was down for the month. And we went

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Speaker 1: five and oh yesterday. We have hit eleven consecutive wagers

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Speaker 1: here on the Daily Juice eleven. That is a record.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna keep track of that. But eleven and oh.

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Speaker 1: I started out yesterday oh and two, and then we

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Speaker 1: ran the table six consecutive wins. Today we run the

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Speaker 1: table again, we go five and oh.

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Speaker 2: Today we are hot.

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Speaker 1: We want to continue, right, But look at when you're

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Speaker 1: talking about the Boston Celtics at plus two and a

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Speaker 1: half winning easily, the under coming in nicely. The over

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Speaker 1: for the Avalanche and the Stars five and a half,

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Speaker 1: that comes in easily. They scored nine goals in that game.

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Speaker 2: Nine.

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Speaker 1: We took the Denver Nuggets and their game to go

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Speaker 1: over against the Utah Jazz, and for the eleventh time

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Speaker 1: in twelve games, the Denver Nuggets go over to nineteen

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Speaker 1: and a half and it goes over. And one of

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Speaker 1: you guys on Twitter, we're talking smack after the third period.

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Speaker 1: You're saying that my over bet was dead. Oh contraire,

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Speaker 1: my friend, don't count things before they're hatched. I got

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Speaker 1: more on that here in one second, though, because I

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Speaker 1: got into something on Twitter. I want to get into

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Speaker 1: a little conversation in one point. But really fun day,

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Speaker 1: really fun to watch the hockey plays come in the

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Speaker 1: Vegas gold Knights. That play goes over. Very cool, right,

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Speaker 1: very very cool? Three and oh in the NBA two

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Speaker 1: and oh in hockey, it's a five and oh day.

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Speaker 1: We are feeling very good about ourselves right now. So

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Speaker 1: before I get to the picks, and I've got three

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Speaker 1: picks in one lean and I'm by by now, you

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Speaker 1: might be able to know where I'm going to go

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Speaker 1: in a couple of these picks, because we're just gonna

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Speaker 1: ride them until well until we can't keep on cashing,

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Speaker 1: and then we'll reassess. But right now, there's a couple

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Speaker 1: of trends we're just rolling. And what's really fun is

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Speaker 1: that you guys are starting to share information. And this

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Speaker 1: is what I really want to build the Daily Juice community.

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Speaker 1: This is what I'm looking for. The second period. Have

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Speaker 1: you guys been following this. I've been talking about it

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Speaker 1: a lot on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt, But the

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Speaker 1: second period overs yesterday went three and oh. Now, I

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Speaker 1: can't give it to you because at most books, the

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Speaker 1: second period is going to be an in game wager.

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Speaker 1: I know William Hill, it's one better in Iowa. I've

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Speaker 1: been talking to him consistently. He's the one that him

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Speaker 1: and I kind of figured out these numbers as I

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Speaker 1: was betting first period unders and he asked me, you

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Speaker 1: know what about third period numbers, and he pulled some

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Speaker 1: numbers and then I said, wait, go pull second period

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Speaker 1: for me for a second, and when he did, we

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Speaker 1: both went, WHOA, wait a minute. There's a crazy trend

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Speaker 1: going on right now where if it's one and a

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Speaker 1: half goals in the second period, it is hitting at

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Speaker 1: a seventy five percent clip, basically going over. It's nuts

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Speaker 1: right now in the playoffs. So if your book offers

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Speaker 1: it pregame, great. The books here in Vegas there was

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Speaker 1: one book Station's casino did actually on the Vegas Gold

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Speaker 1: Nights did actually offer a second period pregame bet at

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Speaker 1: one and a half goals, which the over hit, so

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Speaker 1: you could have gotten a pregame, but William Hill tends

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Speaker 1: to do it during the game and it's getting expensive.

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Speaker 2: They're starting to figure it out.

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Speaker 1: For the Islanders game, I believe it was miss one

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Speaker 1: seventy and the Vegas gold Knights might have been on

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Speaker 1: the over mis one seventy as well. So you're paying

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Speaker 1: some stiff juice. But if it's cashing, it's cashing, right.

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Speaker 1: I mean they're trying to prevent you or keep you

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Speaker 1: off of it, but it's red hot right now. So

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Speaker 1: that comes from a listener. This is just me going

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Speaker 1: back and forth with you guys every day on the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juices. We're sweating these games together, dming back and

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Speaker 1: forth during games and whatnot. So at Sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 1: is my Twitter account. We're having a lot of fun

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Speaker 1: watching these games and trying to uncover different betting angles

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Speaker 1: and I'm betting them and I'm cashing, and you guys

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Speaker 1: are betting them and you're cashing. It's just a lot

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Speaker 1: of fun right now. So we're doing that in hockey.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what my hockey numbers are. I just

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Speaker 1: know they're pretty good. I mean, we got to be

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Speaker 1: way way up right now on NHL playoff betting because

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Speaker 1: I mean, what that's at least six bets in a

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Speaker 1: row I've gotten correct here on the NHL. So very

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Speaker 1: feeling very good about where we are right now for

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Speaker 1: the NHL. And look at the streak is gonna come

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Speaker 1: to an end, but at some point, you know, at

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Speaker 1: some point it does. But right now, let's just enjoy

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Speaker 1: it and have some fun with it. And you know,

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Speaker 1: today Monday is the start of another month. It's the

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Speaker 1: thirty first where we start the weeks. You know, we're

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Speaker 1: going like on the radio broadcast week, So technically this

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Speaker 1: Monday is the start of a new week. It's now

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Speaker 1: technically September for us. So we'll do some calibrations. We'll

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Speaker 1: find out how many I'm going to predict that. I

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Speaker 1: think I wound up like up a unit or two

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Speaker 1: for the entire month, so we were up three and

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Speaker 1: a half units I believe it was or three units

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Speaker 1: for the month of July. I think we're gonna wind

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Speaker 1: up up a couple of units for the month of August. So,

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Speaker 1: you know, two back to back winning months. Bad start,

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Speaker 1: but a really hot recovery at the end of the

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Speaker 1: month got us back into the black, which is really exciting.

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Speaker 1: But this is a time if you've not opened up

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Speaker 1: a betmgm account, this is the time to do it right.

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Speaker 1: Use the promo code Juice. Use that promo code juice

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Speaker 1: download bet mgm Sports and just have some fun with this. Man.

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Speaker 1: If you had taken one of my wagers put five

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Speaker 1: hundred bucks down on it, they're gonna match it with

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Speaker 1: a five hundred buck deposit bonus. You would have doubled it,

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Speaker 1: and yeah, you gotta roll it over a little bit.

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Speaker 1: But you'd feel pretty good today about where you were

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Speaker 1: spending on how often, how many bets you trailed, if

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Speaker 1: you trailed them all today on Sunday it was a

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Speaker 1: five and oh day. So what baseball, basketball, hockey.

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Speaker 2: We're just we're.

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Speaker 1: Doing well right now. So go and download the betmgmapp.

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Speaker 1: physically located in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, Nevada, or West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: Please gamble responsibly if you have gambling problem called one

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Speaker 1: hundred five to two to two forty seven hundred in

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Speaker 1: Colorado and Nevada, one hard gambler in New Jersey, in

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Speaker 1: West Virginia or one eight hundred.

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Speaker 2: With it before the picks.

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Speaker 1: Just want to say one quick thing about a term

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Speaker 1: that maybe some of you guys know, maybe some of

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Speaker 1: you guys don't. So the term mush means basically, somebody

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Speaker 1: who jinkses your bet by talking about it before it ends,

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Speaker 1: before the game is over, before the ticket cashes. I've

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Speaker 1: come across this a lot in my broadcasting career, and

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Speaker 1: I just want to say one quick thing, that idea

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Speaker 1: is incredibly stupid. This is what happened to me last

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Speaker 1: night where somebody told me that the Utah Jazz Denver

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Speaker 1: Nuggets bet was dead, that you lost. And then I

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Speaker 1: came back and I ran some smack at I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: having some fun. I was feeling myself a little bit,

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Speaker 1: and I'm like, don't ever run your mouth at me

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Speaker 1: when I have a whole quarter to go in the

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Speaker 1: in the playoffs and Jamal Murray goes off and we

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Speaker 1: get the heat, we hit the over right. So later

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Speaker 1: in the night and so that guy, I wouldn't call

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Speaker 1: that guy a mush. I'd call that guy wrong like

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Speaker 1: he made he was trying to say, you're like basically

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Speaker 1: rubbing into my face that my over bet was dead.

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Speaker 1: I'm not calling him a mush. I'm miss saying he

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Speaker 1: was wrong. There's a difference. So Rex Byers is a

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Speaker 1: dude who worked here in Las Vegas, and he had

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Speaker 1: bet the puck line and he was at three to two.

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Speaker 1: He was like, I feel like I'm on the wrong

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Speaker 1: side of this bet. And then it was four to

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Speaker 1: three Vegas and so I wrote back to him. I

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Speaker 1: was like, hey, your BET's alive because they're up four

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Speaker 1: to three. Vegas would go on to win five to three.

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Speaker 1: But he wrote to me that don't ever congratulate me

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Speaker 1: on a bet cashing before the bet cases. Now that's

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Speaker 1: not what I said. Okay, just just for the record,

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Speaker 1: that's not what I said to him. My official bet was.

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Speaker 1: My official comment to him was you are alive. He said,

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Speaker 1: easy with that, with that much time and time alive,

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Speaker 1: I said, it's I said, I said, hey, it's alive.

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Speaker 1: So it was three two a second ago, and as

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Speaker 1: you said, you were on the wrong side. He said,

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Speaker 1: you will learn one day about the MUSHes and anti

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Speaker 1: MUSHes when it comes to this, my man. I I

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Speaker 1: did very good here so far, and that kind of

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Speaker 1: tipped me off to this idea of MUSHes. This is

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Speaker 1: what people say all the time with no hitters, that

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Speaker 1: broadcasters somehow jinks no hitters or broadcasters jink somebody at

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Speaker 1: the foul line. Broadcasters and tweeters and people talking have

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Speaker 1: no influence, have no record, have no power over any bet,

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Speaker 1: any no hitter or streak. This idea of a mush

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Speaker 1: is dumb. It's actually a weak minded idea.

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Speaker 2: In my mind.

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Speaker 1: Broadcasters do not jinx athletes. Human beings make plays and

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Speaker 1: we bet on it, and we can lose bets because

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Speaker 1: human beings make plays. There's no black cat that ran

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Speaker 1: across the Cubs. There's no curse of the band being on.

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Speaker 1: When it comes to the Red Sox, the Red Sox

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Speaker 1: just sucked.

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Speaker 2: The Cubs just sucked.

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Speaker 1: They weren't good, they had bad management, they had bad players,

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Speaker 1: and when they were good, they were always on the

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Speaker 1: edge of blowing it. Bill Buckner, right, they always were

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Speaker 1: just there. Steve Bartman, It's just there were plays, things

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Speaker 1: that happened to them that were bad, bad breaks that hurt.

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Speaker 1: But it had nothing to do with whether or not

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Speaker 1: somebody was cashing a ticket earlier. Trying to talk about

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Speaker 1: cashing a ticket early. One thing that sports gambling has

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Speaker 1: taught me over the years, which is really interesting. You

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Speaker 1: tend to take the emotion out of sports, and some

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Speaker 1: people get angry about that, but I don't. I think

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Speaker 1: that's a better way of being when it comes to

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Speaker 1: athletes in sports, you understand these as a human beings.

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Speaker 1: You were betting on them, predicting on them to act

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Speaker 1: in a certain way and do a certain thing. And

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Speaker 1: so that's got nothing to do with whether I say

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Speaker 1: to somebody, Hey, your BET's alive.

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Speaker 2: Sh be quiet. Don't say that. How dumb is that?

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Speaker 1: Did somebody in some sports book or some dude on

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Speaker 1: Twitter writes a tweet and all of a sudden, it's

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Speaker 1: a mush or an anti mush. As we get going here,

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Speaker 1: As we go through this over the next couple of years,

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Speaker 1: as Americans become more accustomer to sports gambling, can we

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Speaker 1: please get rid of that stupid tradition and not have it.

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Speaker 2: It doesn't exist.

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Speaker 1: Whether I say your BET's looking good or your BET's

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Speaker 1: not looking good, you can turn around, look at me

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Speaker 1: and go, ha, you were wrong or ha good call. Yes,

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Speaker 1: that's totally true, right, But it had nothing to do

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Speaker 1: with the actual outcome. There is nothing I do, nothing

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Speaker 1: I say to make you win or lose your bet.

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Speaker 1: Nothing I do, whether I unless I run on the

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Speaker 1: court and physically block the shot, there is nothing I

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Speaker 1: can do when a guy shoots a shot, either it

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Speaker 1: goes in or it doesn't.

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Speaker 2: That's it. That's that's the end of it.

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Speaker 1: And if you lose, no one cursed you, no one

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Speaker 1: caused your bet to lose, because they go ahead and

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Speaker 1: talk about your bet early or prematurely tell you that

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Speaker 1: you wind up cashing again. You can try to be

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Speaker 1: right and say, hey, your BET's gonna lose, and then

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Speaker 1: if your bet wins, that guy should catch heat. That

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Speaker 1: guy could and should catch blowback for doing that. But

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Speaker 1: that's not a mush, not just somebody being wrong. Can

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Speaker 1: we stop these dumb traditions. We gotta be stronger willed

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Speaker 1: than that in our brains. Okay, all right to the picks.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to three plays in one lean. Let's begin

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Speaker 1: in the NBA with the Miami Heat taken on the

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee Bucks here today in game number one of their

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Speaker 1: Eastern Conference semifinal. What's very interesting about this Bucks team.

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Speaker 1: They lost game one to the Island of Magic. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what to make of this Milwaukee Bucks team,

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Speaker 1: except that I don't like them.

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Speaker 2: Right now, Bucks are very by.

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Speaker 1: Five and a half, but Miami played really well against them.

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Speaker 1: They are the only Eastern Conference team to have won

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Speaker 1: their head to heads this year in Milwaukee.

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Speaker 2: From the three point line. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how good of a shooting team they are.

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Speaker 1: It's Janis and stopping Giannis is not easy to do.

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Speaker 1: But you let Giannis have his and then you're in

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Speaker 1: Miami and you start shooting threes.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 1: If Miami is hot from behind three point line, they're

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Speaker 1: gonna be alive here to win this series, They're going

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Speaker 1: to be alive. I'm gonna take the five and a

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Speaker 1: half points here.

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Speaker 2: Game one.

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee hasn't looked good defensively at all. Miami's playing with

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Speaker 1: some swagger, Jimmy Butler and whatnot. I think Miami plus

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Speaker 1: five and a half they might lose, but I think

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Speaker 1: this is a tight basketball game coming down to the wall.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking Miami plus five and a half for our

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Speaker 1: first play here on Monday morning. Number two to baseball,

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Speaker 1: there is an old adage, and I was talking to

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Speaker 1: a sportsbook friend of mine who I was going through

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Speaker 1: some plays, and he was like, hey, Lucas Giolito, first

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Speaker 1: start after a no hitter, it's always really tough. So

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Speaker 1: I went and looked at a couple of plays a

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Speaker 1: couple of games after guys through no hitters justin Verlanders,

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Speaker 1: Mike Fires and James Paxxton. Now, Verlander pitched pretty well

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Speaker 1: after throwing his no hitter last year, but he took

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Speaker 1: on a really bad team in the next game, so it's.

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Speaker 2: A little hard to judge it.

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Speaker 1: Mike Fires after throwing a no hitter, lost his next game,

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Speaker 1: didn't pitch well. James Packson as well. There were some

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Speaker 1: combo no hitters last year, like four team like four

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Speaker 1: pitcher guys two pitchers combining for a no hitter. So

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Speaker 1: some of the last year no hitters didn't really factor

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Speaker 1: into this. But I saw enough to say, Okay, with

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Speaker 1: this Twins lineup and rich Hill going to the mound,

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Speaker 1: Giolito his first start after throwing the nineteenth no hitter

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Speaker 1: in White Sox history, Twins their lineup, rich Hill extra

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Speaker 1: day off because of the rain out. I got plus

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Speaker 1: money on this. We're taking the Twins against the White Sox.

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Speaker 1: We're going against the hot team, right, We're going against

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Speaker 1: that buzz saw, the team that's making trades and trying

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Speaker 1: to get involved in everything. It's the trade deadline, so

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Speaker 1: I think you gotta watch out for that for distractions here.

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Speaker 1: But I got the twins on the money line at

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty twins money line fading the White Sox

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Speaker 1: taking Rich Hill taking Minnesota to get a victory here

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Speaker 1: over the White Sox getting plus money at it at

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty is our second play of the day

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Speaker 1: and two plays in hockey that I want to get to.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the play that I can Mate can

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Speaker 1: make and I did make. The Bruins. Are the Boston

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Speaker 1: Bruins gonna lose four games to one? Whether hallocks and

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Speaker 1: then they or not, They're gonna lose four games to one?

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Speaker 1: Is this veteran team who had one hundred points going

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Speaker 1: into the bubble. Are they gonna lose like this to

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Speaker 1: Tampa four games to one. I just can't see it.

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Speaker 1: I just can't see Boston going out like this. I

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Speaker 1: can't see them, even in the bubble with the distractions.

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Speaker 1: I just can't see them turtling like this, even with

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Speaker 1: how poorly they've been playing, even with their injuries. I

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Speaker 1: think this is a veteran team. I don't think they

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Speaker 1: win the series, but I don't think they go out

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Speaker 1: like this. Plus money on the Bruins at plus one

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Speaker 1: oh five on the money line. I'm taking Boston to

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Speaker 1: win this game. I can't see them getting getting beaten

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Speaker 1: like this and getting embarrassed like this and being sent

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Speaker 1: home by Tampa.

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Speaker 2: I think the team plays hard.

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Speaker 1: They just find a way to win, just find a

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Speaker 1: way to extend the series past a game. Number five

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Speaker 1: Bruins plus one oh five on the money line is

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Speaker 1: our third play and our fourth play. You know what

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Speaker 1: this is, right, Dallas and Colorado five? I think is

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Speaker 1: it six now? I think it's six straight, six straight games.

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Speaker 1: The over is hit for the Colorado Avalanche in New Jersey.

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Speaker 1: I saw it at Draft Kings at six. I can't

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Speaker 1: bet it here, obviously, six for a total. I am

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Speaker 1: assuming the reason why Vegas, the books here in Vegas

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Speaker 1: have not hung a number here is because they're all cowards. No,

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Speaker 1: I'm kidding, but I think they are scared to hang

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Speaker 1: a number here. I think they're all gonna wait and

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Speaker 1: see what the offshores do. I think they want to

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Speaker 1: see what the global market does, and when they get

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Speaker 1: up in the morning, they'll figure it out. I'm gonna say,

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Speaker 1: play the six. I don't like six and a half,

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Speaker 1: but there's nothing that tells me that either one of

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Speaker 1: those teams are gonna play any defense whatsoever, and Dallas

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Speaker 1: it's scoring goals like crazy. Colorado gets going as well.

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Speaker 1: I just think in this situation again, we just keep

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Speaker 1: on betting it until we don't bet it anymore, until

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Speaker 1: we can't. If it's six and a half, I don't

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Speaker 1: like it, but six, I don't love it. I'm gonna cringe.

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00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:37,720
Speaker 1: I'm gonna hold my nose and probably take it. I

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Speaker 1: saw it at minus one oh six at DraftKings for

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Speaker 1: six goals, so that's not horrible from a juice perspective.

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Speaker 1: So if that's what Vegas goes, I'll play it and

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Speaker 1: we'll just hope that either we get a push or

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Speaker 1: we get a victory here. But a four to three

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Speaker 1: type of victory for somebody between Dallas and Colorado.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that's crazy.

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Speaker 1: I don't think that that's one of those games where

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Speaker 1: we're like, nah, there's no way. I just don't think

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Speaker 1: either one of these teams plays any defense and they

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Speaker 1: just score a ton of goals and the books are

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Speaker 1: getting absolutely killed by it. So five and a half.

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Speaker 1: If it's five and a half, I don't care what

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00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:11,879
Speaker 1: the juice is other than up to like one eighty,

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00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:15,240
Speaker 1: go ahead and lay it. Okay, take the over. If

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Speaker 1: it's six goals and it's not crazy juice like I

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Speaker 1: just saw a DraftKings, I would say take it, Yes,

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00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:23,560
Speaker 1: take it, but be careful. At six and a half.

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Speaker 1: I don't like six and a half. That's a scary number.

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Speaker 1: You could lose that pretty easily. You know, you'd hate

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Speaker 1: to lose on a four to two empty net, three

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Speaker 1: two empty net, or and it's a four to.

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Speaker 2: Two win and you lose because of it. So on

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Speaker 2: the hook.

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Speaker 1: So six is the highest I would go. But if

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Speaker 1: it's six and the juice isn't too bad, go ahead

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00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:44,720
Speaker 1: and bet the over for Dallas and Colorado. Okay again,

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00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:48,840
Speaker 1: to recap our plays, Miami plus five and a half

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Speaker 1: twins on the money line, plus one twenty bruins on

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00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:55,639
Speaker 1: the money line plus one oh five, and we're taking

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Speaker 1: Dallas and Colorado on a lean six over. I officially

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Speaker 1: bet it with the odds. I'll tell you on my

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Speaker 1: Twitter account at sports Talk Matt once once I can

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Speaker 1: bet it. Because here in the overnights, these books here

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Speaker 1: in Vegas are getting crushed, so they're very, very hesitant

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Speaker 1: to lay numbers right now that gets them in trouble

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Speaker 1: when it comes to the gamblers, because gamblers are doing

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Speaker 1: quite well right now here in certain markets, in particular

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Speaker 1: in hockey here in Las Vegas. So good stuff. Eleven

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00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:28,639
Speaker 1: straight bets have hit. We start a new week and

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Speaker 1: a new month, we go zero and zero, start over again,

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Speaker 1: start over on the month as well. Tomorrow we'll spend

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Speaker 1: a day recapping the whole month and tell you what

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Speaker 1: I went from a number perspective and a unit's perspective.

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Speaker 1: I know I wound up up on my record. I

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Speaker 1: think I wound up a little up on units, but

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Speaker 1: I'm not positive about that. I gotta check that out.

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Speaker 1: I think I'm up one or two units for the

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Speaker 1: month of August, but I'll check on that and let

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Speaker 1: you guys know. Coming up tomorrow on the podcast, my

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Speaker 1: name is Matt Perrault. We're back for a Tuesday morning,

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Speaker 1: same place, same spot. It's the Daily Juice, brought to

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Speaker 1: you by bet MGM, every morning on bettingpros dot com.