1 00:00:02,279 --> 00:00:05,720 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,760 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: dot com, the radio, plus Globo Lab and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash from Bloomberg World Handquarters. 4 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:18,080 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pullett. SMP five hundred index now trading below 5 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,079 Speaker 1: it's record one thirty eight. We have got the S 6 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 1: and P five hundred index climbing eight points up find 7 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: four tenths of one percent just about thirteen minutes to 8 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: go ahead of the close on this Monday. Down Industrial 9 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 1: is up eighty eight points to eighteen thousand, two hundred 10 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 1: thirty four. Again there are five tenths of one percent. 11 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 1: Nastak is up thirty four points, a gain of seven 12 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:42,200 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent. The tenure down twenty one thirty seconds, 13 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 1: with the yield of one point four three percent, Gold 14 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 1: down three seventy the ounce the thirteen fifty four, a 15 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 1: drop there of three tenths of one percent, and crude 16 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 1: oil down cents forty four forty six right now for 17 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 1: a barrel of West Texas intermediate crude. That is a 18 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: drop right now of two point one percent. So again, 19 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: recapping stocks are higher, but off their session highs. The 20 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 1: SMP up eight, a gain of four tenths of one percent. 21 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:13,640 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellot and that's a Bloomberg business flash. Charlie Pella, 22 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: thank you so very much. Time now for the e 23 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 1: t F report, brought to you by National Realty Providers 24 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:23,479 Speaker 1: of Satisfaction Guaranteed New York City realty investments see them 25 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: at n r I A dot net. Gold up twenty 26 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 1: eight percent this year. That means a lot for some 27 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 1: of the biggest gold e t s. For this now 28 00:01:33,959 --> 00:01:37,880 Speaker 1: we turn to our own Catherine Cowdry. Gold is climbed 29 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:40,560 Speaker 1: twenty eight percent this year as investors turned to haven's 30 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 1: in the wake of the UK's Brexit vote and as 31 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: traders cut bets on the Federal Reserve, increasing interest rates 32 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 1: this year. Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Eric beltounis and what this 33 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: means for the biggest gold ETF, the Spider Gold Shares 34 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: or g l D. G l D has taken in 35 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: thirteen point five billion dollars. That is by far the 36 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 1: most taken in any year, and we're only halfway done. 37 00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 1: Bealtuna says, there's broad based interest in ETFs in this category. 38 00:02:06,160 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 1: You look down the precious metal ttfs, you see fifteen 39 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 1: different ones have taken in flows, none of them close 40 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: to g l D, but still it means somewhere out 41 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 1: there people are buying different types of precious metal ttfs. 42 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,920 Speaker 1: That is a sign that the depth of the concern 43 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 1: in the market right now is great because it just 44 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: means that people are using a different variety of flavors 45 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 1: to start to work gold into their portfolio. Tuna says 46 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: investors are turning to gold as a crisis head and 47 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: to diversify their portfolios in a time of volatility. That's 48 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 1: your Bloomberg ETF report. I'm Catherine Cowderie. This is taking 49 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:46,359 Speaker 1: Stock with Kathleen Hayes and Pim Box on Bloomberg Radio, 50 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:52,080 Speaker 1: searching for income in a yield starved world. Scott Davis 51 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: his senior portfolio manager and head of income Strategies at 52 00:02:55,800 --> 00:03:00,800 Speaker 1: Columbia thread Needle Investments and he joins us now Boston. 53 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:04,359 Speaker 1: Scott Davis, thank you very much for being with us. 54 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:07,600 Speaker 1: What if you could tell us some of your strategies 55 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:11,799 Speaker 1: to run the Columbia Dividend income funded ticker symbol they're 56 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 1: a g s F t X. Yeah, thanks for having 57 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: me on UM. You know, I think one of the 58 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 1: things that does make us unique is dividends are never 59 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:23,680 Speaker 1: our first cut on a stock. Actually, um, we actually 60 00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: look at what we think sources the dividend, and for us, 61 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:30,520 Speaker 1: that's sustainable pre cash flow from operations. And I think 62 00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: that's where oftentimes people get confused. A lot of people 63 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 1: will talk about diving in the yield, and we we 64 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: prefer to talk about actually income generation and looking for 65 00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 1: companies that can you know, generate decent income but from 66 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 1: their cash flow from operations. That's how they fund it. 67 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 1: That's what makes it sustainable over time and and can 68 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,840 Speaker 1: grow that over time. That that that's key to what 69 00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: we do. Well. That sounds very sensible to me. What 70 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 1: what would you say right now is distinguishing companies that 71 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 1: you know, meet your hurdle, that past that bar, and 72 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: those that don't. Again, what we do is, by first 73 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 1: of all, we do two things. You know, I think 74 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:14,280 Speaker 1: a lot of people are concerned that some of the 75 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:17,040 Speaker 1: dividend stocks have gotten overvalued, and I think there are 76 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:20,919 Speaker 1: areas where where there is real overvaluation. UM. But what 77 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:22,919 Speaker 1: we are trying to do is we actually make We 78 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 1: don't think dividend yield is a value metric. We actually 79 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:28,839 Speaker 1: use cash flow yield. So most of our companies still 80 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:30,720 Speaker 1: are you know, our average pre cash flow and our 81 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:34,040 Speaker 1: companies is about five percent. Market is down under three 82 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: percent currently. A great example of the name would be 83 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:40,520 Speaker 1: something like a Johnson and Johnson UM. You know this. 84 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:42,960 Speaker 1: You know, this company has been in business since the 85 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 1: car Field administration, last of the triple A balance sheets. UH. 86 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 1: You know, trades in a multi multiple market multiple but 87 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:52,679 Speaker 1: has great pre cash flow yield and growing pre cash 88 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:56,400 Speaker 1: flow UH and has basically has a dividend yield above 89 00:04:56,440 --> 00:04:59,159 Speaker 1: that of a tenure treasury and compounds it at about 90 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:01,720 Speaker 1: seven percent per and their dividend. And I was gonna 91 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 1: say it's got that. The year to date, the Columbia 92 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:08,160 Speaker 1: Dividend Income Fund is up about eight a little bit 93 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 1: more than eight and a half per cent, and that's 94 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:16,719 Speaker 1: almost twice as good as the SMP five. Yeah, I think, 95 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 1: you know, some of the things that really have helped 96 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 1: us this year at the focus on quality yield is 97 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 1: obviously helped UM. But I think you know, if you 98 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:27,360 Speaker 1: look at what's gone on for six months in the 99 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: market and for the year, it's it's sort of a 100 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 1: tale of two cities. I mean, one where and one 101 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 1: that some people are sort of playing momentum like recovery 102 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 1: and energy stocks that we've seen, But a lot of 103 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 1: people really do seem to be seeking out this stability, 104 00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 1: and you know, I think that our focus on quality 105 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 1: has helped us there. So what is the challenge going ahead? Uh? 106 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:55,599 Speaker 1: Is it? Uh? The economy growing, getting more strong, and 107 00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 1: the market broadly rising more. So people say, oh, well, 108 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: you know why so I put my money in a 109 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 1: dividend fund when I could go for something that's got 110 00:06:03,800 --> 00:06:07,240 Speaker 1: more growth or a momentum. I think, yeah, that is 111 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 1: a risk um. I will see that with certain dividend stocks, 112 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 1: but a lot of the companies, well, we actually owned 113 00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 1: stocks across the buckets of yield. Uh you know if 114 00:06:16,839 --> 00:06:19,640 Speaker 1: it so over eight percent of the names in SMP 115 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:23,279 Speaker 1: paid dividends. Uh, We're not just buying stocks for dividend heal, 116 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 1: We're buying them for total return. So you know, you 117 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 1: could have a company like Mark, for example, that you know, 118 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 1: may react to the fact that they have a drug 119 00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 1: that may come be used as a first line treatment 120 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:38,920 Speaker 1: with lung cancer, those types of things. So we're always 121 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:42,359 Speaker 1: looking for things that actually drive stocks beyond just the 122 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:45,520 Speaker 1: fact that they're yield vehicles. I noticed that you've got 123 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:48,279 Speaker 1: a large holding in Microsoft, and I'm wondering whether you 124 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 1: could comment you also have Apple about investing in technology 125 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 1: stocks based on the criteria that you describe that cash generation. Well, one, 126 00:06:57,680 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 1: I would say one of the things that we think 127 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 1: is very porton is remaining um uh diversified throughout sectors. UM. 128 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 1: Some of my people that I compete with now are 129 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 1: invested basically in consumer stables and utility stocks, and so 130 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 1: they're almost running sector funds UM. So we we do 131 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:21,160 Speaker 1: try to keep it diversified across UM industries. So we 132 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 1: do play in technology for example. And you have names 133 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:26,840 Speaker 1: like Microsoft, and that's a company that you know, a 134 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 1: few years ago people sort of left them for dead 135 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:31,520 Speaker 1: and in a lot of ways, and they've done a 136 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 1: great job. The new CEO came in and really done 137 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 1: a great job of transitioning this company to one where 138 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:39,560 Speaker 1: uh you know, people think of them as one of 139 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: the leaders in in UH cloud for example. And so 140 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:47,400 Speaker 1: it's a company generating tremendous fly cash flow. It's probably 141 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 1: it's growing revenues, it's growing income. And those are the 142 00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 1: names that you tend to like. Apple is a stock 143 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 1: that we do own. Their generating a tremendous amount of cash. 144 00:07:57,400 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: They have some growth challenges right now, and but we 145 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 1: would tell you that we probably think that that sort 146 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 1: of troughs this year, and uh so that may be 147 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:10,320 Speaker 1: an opportunity to I always think of energy being at 148 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 1: the opposite end of the spectrum from technology, right, it 149 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 1: comes out the ground, it's crude, it's black, etcetera, etcetera. 150 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 1: Uh And xCE on Mobile is your second biggest holding 151 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:22,880 Speaker 1: in the Columbia Dividend Income from funds. PIM just said 152 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:26,480 Speaker 1: g s f t X as a ticker symbol. Uh So, 153 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 1: what what is your outlook? Is it because of x 154 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 1: in particularly or does this also reflect your view for 155 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 1: energy companies more broadly. Well, one of the things we 156 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:38,200 Speaker 1: did in two thousand and fourteen one soil prices cracked. Um, 157 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: you know it's I work with two other people, Mike 158 00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 1: Barkley and Peter San Touro, and we've all been in 159 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 1: the business over twenty years, and so when you see 160 00:08:47,320 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 1: oil prices cracked the way they did, that wasn't our 161 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:52,320 Speaker 1: first rodeo. We went through that in the eighties too, 162 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:55,199 Speaker 1: and so we actually de risked the portfolio and went 163 00:08:55,240 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: to companies that we thought had great balance sheets and 164 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:01,320 Speaker 1: and and just great position UM and ex On Mobile. 165 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 1: That that's one of the reasons that we hold this 166 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 1: stock UM. I think one of the things we're seeing 167 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 1: now though, as we are seeing a supply response dramatic 168 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:12,800 Speaker 1: to dramatic cutbacks and cap X and I think that 169 00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 1: that has allowed oil prices to stabilize. And so we 170 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 1: actually do think that, you know, there's a good chance 171 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:22,199 Speaker 1: that you know, supply and demand is coming UH is 172 00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:24,640 Speaker 1: being matched all of a sudden, and that's probably a 173 00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 1: good thing for oil prices. We tend to play with 174 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:30,840 Speaker 1: the companies that historically, you know, just have great balance 175 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:34,360 Speaker 1: sheets and companies that we now have stained power. UM. 176 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:36,840 Speaker 1: I will tell you we'll probably lag with an ex 177 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 1: On Mobile of oil prices go up dramatically, but it 178 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:43,160 Speaker 1: didn't go down dramatically. Actually as a march that was 179 00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 1: one of our few oil companies that was actually in 180 00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:49,280 Speaker 1: plus territory. So it's it's the way we do a 181 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 1: lot of things. We tend to play stocks with lower 182 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 1: volatility and and and that's been sort of key to 183 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 1: to a lot of our shareholders. Scott maybe just offer 184 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:04,080 Speaker 1: up the ample of t j X companies because they 185 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:08,080 Speaker 1: raised their dividend in March. But that kind of illustrates 186 00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:13,079 Speaker 1: your your focus on cash flow. Yeah, and one of 187 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:15,319 Speaker 1: the things that we're always talking to people because again 188 00:10:15,400 --> 00:10:19,000 Speaker 1: people make the mistake of focusing on dividends first, and 189 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:21,880 Speaker 1: and we actually think that dividends, you know, actually the 190 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 1: residual that you get from great business operations UM and 191 00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:27,560 Speaker 1: t j X is just a great example, you know 192 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 1: that where they increase their dividend over UM, a company 193 00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:34,520 Speaker 1: that has consistently growing their dividend for twenty years. What 194 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:37,760 Speaker 1: I love is that the statement that is actually made 195 00:10:38,440 --> 00:10:41,080 Speaker 1: by t t X as management and they say, you know, 196 00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 1: with our tremendous cash flow and excellent financial returns, remain 197 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:49,440 Speaker 1: committed to returning cash to shareholder, will simultaneously reinvesting in 198 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:51,959 Speaker 1: the business. That's what we want. We want companies growing 199 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:55,320 Speaker 1: their business and growing their dividends. Well, I think a 200 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 1: lot of us wants. That's what Scott Davis. We're very 201 00:10:57,280 --> 00:11:00,080 Speaker 1: happy you joined us today. Scott is Senior portfolio a 202 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 1: manager and head of income Strategies at Columbia Thread and 203 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 1: Needle Investments. Coming up We're gonna be looking at the 204 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 1: movers and shakers at the close. Our stocks that are 205 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:12,200 Speaker 1: Dave Wilson way back on Kathleen Hayes along with Tim Fox, 206 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:13,359 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg