Speaker 1: The volume. All right, NBA fans basketball is officially back,
Speaker 1: and the DraftKings sports Book, official sports betting partner the
Speaker 1: NBA is celebrating with an unbeatable offer. Here you go.
Speaker 1: New customers can get two one hundred dollars instantly in
Speaker 1: bonus bets by throwing down just five bucks on the NBA.
Speaker 1: That is a good deal. Win or lose doesn't matter.
Speaker 1: You'll start the season with an instant w a win.
Speaker 1: Draftking parlays. Everybody's got a shot to even more basketball
Speaker 1: wins and bigger basketball wins. String together multiple bets. It's
Speaker 1: called a parlay. Same game parlay. Build your parlay across
Speaker 1: multiple games. And what does that give you? Better odds
Speaker 1: so you can make a smaller bet and win more money.
Speaker 1: I like doing them. I like parlays. There fun. Basketball
Speaker 1: is more fun when you're in on the action, and
Speaker 1: with DraftKings you will be. Download the DraftKings sports Book
Speaker 1: app right now. Use the code column clin It's fun.
Speaker 1: Ten bucks, five bucks, it's fun, it's juice.
Speaker 2: Love it.
Speaker 1: New customers two hundred dollars instantly in bonus bets by
Speaker 1: betting just five dollars. Yeah, you heard it right, only
Speaker 1: on DraftKings Sportsbook. The code is Collin col I n.
Speaker 1: The crown is yours gambling problem called one eight hundred
Speaker 1: gambler or visit www dot one eight hundred gambler dot net.
Speaker 1: In New York, call eight seven seven eight hope and
Speaker 1: why or text hope and y four six seven three
Speaker 1: sixty nine. In Connecticut, help is available for problem gambling.
Speaker 1: Call eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven
Speaker 1: seven or visit CCPG dot org. Please play responsibly on
Speaker 1: behalf of Boothill Casino and Resort KS licensee partner Golden
Speaker 1: Nugget Lake Charles twenty one plus. Age varies by jurisdiction
Speaker 1: void in Ontario. Bonus bets expire one hundred and sixty
Speaker 1: eight hours after issuance. Se sportsbook dot DraftKings dot com,
Speaker 1: slash Basketball Terms for eligibility and deposit restrictions, Terms and
Speaker 1: responsible gaming resources. All right, I'm for an instant reaction.
Speaker 1: Buffalo beats Tampa Bay as expected. You know, one of
Speaker 1: the things about tonight, it was a perfect game to
Speaker 1: kick off the week. And if you ever go to
Speaker 1: therapy in life, and I've been going to therapy for
Speaker 1: a long time, and one of the reasons I do
Speaker 1: therapy every Wednesday with my wife Ann and I look
Speaker 1: forward to it every week. It's not about winning, it's
Speaker 1: about self awareness. How does she view me. I think
Speaker 1: it makes our relationship really strong and fun. We often
Speaker 1: laugh during it, We've cried during it. But one of
Speaker 1: the reasons I like therapy is because it's a mirror,
Speaker 1: and I like to look and see all sorts of
Speaker 1: things about me, my flaws, where I'm vulnerable, where I
Speaker 1: can be better because I love my wife and you know,
Speaker 1: and I want to make her life as good as
Speaker 1: possible and kind of be the best me I can.
Speaker 1: Right So, without getting too personal or too into that
Speaker 1: is that I've always thought when it comes to pro
Speaker 1: football is that you have these mirror moments where you
Speaker 1: have to look yourself in the mirror, and you can
Speaker 1: fool a lot of people. In September, in early October,
Speaker 1: the weather's good. Teams that aren't very physical have some
Speaker 1: nice skill players. Miami Dolphins, you can fool a lot
Speaker 1: of people for about six weeks in this league. And
Speaker 1: I thought the Philadelphia Miami game last week was a
Speaker 1: real moment where Miami had to look itself in the
Speaker 1: mirror and go. We're kind of a fake, a fake
Speaker 1: gold watch releasing the speedboat. These are not really Gucci loafers.
Speaker 1: We can't really play with physical teams, and that's okay.
Speaker 1: The weather gets colder, they don't have good O line
Speaker 1: D line play, and as the weather gets colder and
Speaker 1: it gets windier, physicality beats speed. And I also thought
Speaker 1: tonight was a great example where Tampa is convincing themselves
Speaker 1: because they do have some really nice players of what
Speaker 1: they think they are. Buffalo is what they want to be.
Speaker 1: What they want is to have a superstar quarterback and
Speaker 1: Baker was the number one pick. He's not a superstar quarterback.
Speaker 1: Josh Allen is. They want to have the physicality kind
Speaker 1: of the overall momentum of the franchise. And I think
Speaker 1: when you get to week seven, in Week eight and
Speaker 1: they're gonna be games this week, the Texans are a
Speaker 1: good team. The Panthers are not. I think you'll see
Speaker 1: that the Lions are a good team. The Raiders are not.
Speaker 1: You'll see that Ravens are a good team. The Cardinals
Speaker 1: are not. Cardinals. Vegas won that first game going to
Speaker 1: Denver and Mile High, they felt really good about themselves.
Speaker 1: Carolina competitive early, Tampa Bay for an hour land their division.
Speaker 1: You start getting the week seven and eight, you got
Speaker 1: to kind of look in the mirror, got to have
Speaker 1: a little self awareness. Tampa's not a very good football team.
Speaker 1: Buffalo is one of the better football teams, and I
Speaker 1: think Miami last weekend and Miami is still really talented,
Speaker 1: top ten twelve team in the league. But you really
Speaker 1: can fool a lot a lot of people in this league.
Speaker 1: Teams that are average convince themselves they're pretty good. Teams
Speaker 1: that are pretty good convince themselves they're very good. And
Speaker 1: Tampa was really talking a game for about four or
Speaker 1: five weeks, and here's what they are not close to
Speaker 1: being able to go on the road and control a
Speaker 1: game tonight. And that's why I think that's one of
Speaker 1: the reasons I like to go to therapy, is that
Speaker 1: you can convince yourself of all sorts of things. But
Speaker 1: when somebody, a neutral voice comes and says, no, that's
Speaker 1: not really true, No that doesn't really work, No that's
Speaker 1: not going to pass the smell test, it's really refreshing.
Speaker 1: It's kind of like, Oh, I can't bullshit people, I
Speaker 1: can't bullshit anybody I got a neutral voice Week seven
Speaker 1: and eight. Is that neutral voice in the NFL. You're
Speaker 1: not fooling anybody. Miami, you're a track meet team. You're
Speaker 1: not gonna win the super Bowl without that kind of
Speaker 1: line play. Miami's line play is just not good enough
Speaker 1: to win a super Bowl. Buffalo's may not be, philadelp
Speaker 1: may not be, but they're much more built for the
Speaker 1: duration and not September. Another topic I had today is
Speaker 1: I thought it was a gut scene move. One of
Speaker 1: my favorite things about Dana White in the UFC is
Speaker 1: sort of this quality that he is willing to put
Speaker 1: himself out there and be completely vulnerable and be hated.
Speaker 1: During COVID, you know a lot of people the media
Speaker 1: was really pushing back when Dana White went and leased
Speaker 1: an island, and he just said, I don't give a rip.
Speaker 1: I don't think my fighters are in peril, in danger.
Speaker 1: I'm going to go to an island. And he was right.
Speaker 1: Thirty five year old athletes were not in danger. Kids
Speaker 1: were not in danger, despite what the media wanted to claim.
Speaker 1: And so Dana again took a big swing recently with
Speaker 1: bud Light, so blood Light, real men of genius, very
Speaker 1: popular beer, and then they had a marketing pivot to
Speaker 1: something that I thought was for a lot of people.
Speaker 1: It was just it was too much, too quickly. But
Speaker 1: I wasn't outraged by it, because I don't know if
Speaker 1: I've ever had a bud light. I'm not a full
Speaker 1: outrage guy. And one of the things I thought about
Speaker 1: is the UFC fans have pushed back on data and
Speaker 1: Dane's pushed back on them.
Speaker 2: Is that.
Speaker 1: One of the things I've always appreciated about Dana, whether
Speaker 1: and Dana and I have gone back and forth on stuff,
Speaker 1: whether Dana and I agree on things, He's totally upfront
Speaker 1: with me. I try to be totally upfront with him.
Speaker 1: He's confrontational, I can be. We've resolved any brief issues
Speaker 1: we've had, and we don't really have many, because I
Speaker 1: think I really respect him and he's always been good
Speaker 1: to me. But one of the things that happened, so
Speaker 1: I went to three UFC cards this summer, and I
Speaker 1: knew Donald Trump was going to be at one or
Speaker 1: two of them. I knew that beforehand, but I wasn't
Speaker 1: going to let Trump, who I think is a buffoon
Speaker 1: and a narcissist, get in the way of my fun.
Speaker 1: And the reason being is there's an old adage be
Speaker 1: less selfish. I don't believe in it at the volume.
Speaker 1: I believe our motto should be be more selfish, because
Speaker 1: more selfish means happy and less fake outrage. You don't.
Speaker 1: You don't really care what the marketing campaign for bud
Speaker 1: Light is. He just needed something to be outraged by.
Speaker 1: Remember years ago people outraged by the Dixie Chicks. Let's
Speaker 1: be honest. You didn't love their music. That's okay. Wasn't
Speaker 1: my cup of tea either? Is that when you're selfish?
Speaker 1: And by the way, you loved Michael Jordan, he was selfish,
Speaker 1: all you MJ fans. MJ didn't pass punch the teammate.
Speaker 1: People called him an ass, difficult. You don't like Lebron.
Speaker 1: Lebron passes and elevates others. You love Kobe and MJ.
Speaker 1: Tom Brady didn't let his backup have snaps. He wanted
Speaker 1: Garoppolo out of town. Selfish. I'm on team Tom. Garoppolo
Speaker 1: shouldn't get snaps, Brady should get all of them. Do
Speaker 1: you want to win Super Bowls? Garoppolo's not the guy
Speaker 1: Brady was. Do you want to win titles. Don't pass
Speaker 1: to Matthew Dela Vedova take the shot, Lebron, Michael Jordan
Speaker 1: take more shots, Kobe take more shots. People look at
Speaker 1: selfish as mean. I look at selfish as often realistic
Speaker 1: and happy. I care about my wife and my children,
Speaker 1: my business, my employees, and a small group of friends.
Speaker 1: I go to UFC cards even if Trump is there.
Speaker 1: Why would I let Trump get in the way of
Speaker 1: my happiness. I'm going to be selfish and have fun.
Speaker 1: I took my cousin Matt and then my friend Eric
Speaker 1: and his kids. I didn't care if Trump was there.
Speaker 1: I would never vote for Trump. I'm not call that
Speaker 1: Trump dissuade my plans, get in the way of my happiness.
Speaker 1: The athletes that we truly love are selfish Brady MJ,
Speaker 1: Kobe Shack. I mean, how many commercials does Shaq have?
Speaker 1: Six hundred? He think he's worried about you. He's worried
Speaker 1: about his commercials in his bank. Good for Shaq, Shaq
Speaker 1: takes care of Shack. Oh for the record, Travis Kelsey,
Speaker 1: who's dating Taylor Swift, who's worth like four billion dollars,
Speaker 1: hated a Pfiser commercial and above light commercial. He's not
Speaker 1: pretending he's outraged. He's taking care of Travis Kelcey in
Speaker 1: his business. I don't have to agree with it, but
Speaker 1: he's not faking outrage. He's being sort of selfish. And
Speaker 1: I love the Chiefs and I'm gonna keep watching them
Speaker 1: because they're usually the most entertaining team in the league.
Speaker 1: On Sunday, am I not gonna watch the Chiefs and
Speaker 1: Travis Kelcey. I can't watch that whole pfisor thing. You
Speaker 1: don't want to get a vaccine, don't get one? What
Speaker 1: do I care? But I want to watch Travis Kelcey.
Speaker 1: Is that when I see all this outrage and I
Speaker 1: can't believe this politician and this band and this beer company,
Speaker 1: I don't care. I just want to have fun and
Speaker 1: be happy. I have people occasionally say, you know, Colin,
Speaker 1: you have a great job. I'm like, yeah, I get up,
Speaker 1: I get to talk about sports. It's just I'm happy.
Speaker 1: When I first met my wife, she said, you just
Speaker 1: really you live your best life. I'm like, yeah, I'd
Speaker 1: love you to be part of it. But I don't
Speaker 1: have a lot of time to be unhappy. Jerry Jonesoa
Speaker 1: says this, I don't have a lot of time for
Speaker 1: a bad time. You view selfish as mean, I viewed
Speaker 1: as happy. Dana White said they want to pay us
Speaker 1: one hundred million. We had multiple Bealer sponsors interested. I'm
Speaker 1: going to go and get bud Lights money and do
Speaker 1: a business deal with bud Light. If you don't want
Speaker 1: to watch UFC, don't. I'll take your seats. I'll take
Speaker 1: your seats, but I don't let people get in the
Speaker 1: way of my fund Politicians, beer companies, ad campaigns, musicians, Hollywood.
Speaker 1: What do I care what a Hollywood writer votes. If
Speaker 1: the show's funny, I watch. I figure everybody that works
Speaker 1: for Netflix, who writes and acts is probably left leaning.
Speaker 1: I probably disagree with them that ninety percent of their
Speaker 1: political views. No I care if the show's funny. I'm
Speaker 1: watching Netflix and Jill instant reaction. See you tomorrow at
Speaker 1: FS one. Listen. We've all had fender benders in our life.
Speaker 1: Sometimes it's even more serious. Between the ages of twenty
Speaker 1: five and thirty four, in fact, have the highest amount
Speaker 1: of drivers involved in car crashes. Be careful, but even
Speaker 1: if it's somebody else's mistake, you can lean on Morgan
Speaker 1: and Morgan If you've ever been injured, check out Morgan
Speaker 1: and Morgan. It's the nation's largest injury law firm, one
Speaker 1: hundred offices and over eight hundred lawyers with over fifteen
Speaker 1: billion that to be billion dollars recovered with over three
Speaker 1: hundred thousand clients. Morgan and Morgan has a proven track
Speaker 1: record of fighting for you to get full and fair compensation.
Speaker 1: Fighting for people for over thirty five years. Starting for
Speaker 1: an entire football franchise as a rookie quarterback is hard.
Speaker 1: Submitting an injury claim with Morgan and Morgan is easy.
Speaker 1: If you're ever injured, check out Morgan and Morgan. Their
Speaker 1: fee is free unless they win. For more information, go
Speaker 1: forthpeople dot com slash Colin or dial pound law. That's
Speaker 1: pound five to nine from your cell phone. That's four
Speaker 1: the people dot com slash Colin or pound law five
Speaker 1: to two nine from your cell This is a paid advertisement.
Speaker 1: All right, Time for another edition of Sharp or Square.
Speaker 1: Chad was super sharp, I was kind of sharp. I
Speaker 1: was three and two last week. All of our odds
Speaker 1: provided by Draft Kings. Chad, of course, to CCEO the
Speaker 1: Action Network, I'll tell you I have taken more favorites
Speaker 1: than any other year, because I think there's becoming a
Speaker 1: gap offensively between the halves, the quarterbacks that are good
Speaker 1: and the have nots. And so Monday I made a
Speaker 1: huge mistake. I took Rock Purtty over Kirk Cousins at home,
Speaker 1: and Cousins was great. So I'm gonna throw you a game.
Speaker 1: And it's very number dependent. I don't like it at
Speaker 1: three and a half, but at three it's interesting. I
Speaker 1: don't think we're paying attention to how good the Texans are.
Speaker 1: And just hear me out. They destroyed Pittsburgh, they destroyed Jacksonville. Okay,
Speaker 1: this is a team that is a play away. They
Speaker 1: should have beaten the Falcons, although the Falcons was the
Speaker 1: right side. This team has taken quality teams, playoff teams,
Speaker 1: high seeds potentially and destroyed them. Carolina, we lagged them
Speaker 1: for keeping it close in the first half against Miami.
Speaker 1: They are in complete utter rebuild. At minus three, I
Speaker 1: love Houston. At three and a half, I'm a square,
Speaker 1: But let's say the number drifts back to Texans minus three,
Speaker 1: which I take is that sharper square, totally sharp.
Speaker 3: The wise guys have been on CJ. Stroud from the
Speaker 3: beginning and when I say from the beginning, I mean March.
Speaker 3: There's nobody in the professional competting community who spent a
Speaker 3: lot of time looking at a tape and spent a
Speaker 3: lot of money betting on the NFL draft who thought,
Speaker 3: oh yeah, I like Bryce Young over CJ.
Speaker 2: Stroud.
Speaker 3: It's pretty well known within sort of the inner circle
Speaker 3: of NFL executive dom that Bryce Young was an owner's
Speaker 3: pick and that the player most people wanted was CJ.
Speaker 2: Stroud.
Speaker 3: He lands at the Texans. He's been by far the
Speaker 3: best rookie quarterback, and not just sort of making good
Speaker 3: plays and then not making mistakes, but he's made Robert
Speaker 3: Woods look good. He's made Nico Collins look good.
Speaker 1: He he's one of the targets back this week too,
Speaker 1: by the way I think tanks practice. Yeah, that's right.
Speaker 3: You know, his worst game, he still ended up leading
Speaker 3: the team to a touchdown drive in the final two minutes,
Speaker 3: and then they ended up losing because the defense couldn't
Speaker 3: stop anybody.
Speaker 2: But look this guy off of by.
Speaker 3: The wise guys like the Texans at minus three, which
Speaker 3: is why it's gone up to three and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, The Steelers have been out gained in every game,
Speaker 1: and in fact, they've often been awful for large chunks
Speaker 1: of the game offensively, but they found ways to win.
Speaker 1: I think that ends this week. Jacksonville's a better team
Speaker 1: at two and a half. Jacksonville I think has a
Speaker 1: real shot. I mean, what's interesting about Jacksonville three games
Speaker 1: on a very short period on the road for two
Speaker 1: games we were worried how they play against Indy. They
Speaker 1: keep kind of busting up these trends because they're probably
Speaker 1: pretty good outside of Kansas City last year where they
Speaker 1: felt a little overwhelmed. The kind of stack up with
Speaker 1: everybody when I watch them play minus two and a half,
Speaker 1: that are the side to me over the Steelers don't
Speaker 1: care about home in a way. Whether it's not a
Speaker 1: factor yet sharper square.
Speaker 3: Now it's the Steelers are the sharp side. It all
Speaker 3: may come undone one day for the Steelers, but Mike
Speaker 3: Tomlin is the most profitable coach in the NFL against
Speaker 3: the spread the past twenty years. Mike Tomlin against teams
Speaker 3: that are over sixty percent winning percentage, regularly wins at
Speaker 3: home as an underdog. Tomlin as an underdog at home
Speaker 3: sixteen and nine straight up. Forget about against the spread.
Speaker 3: We saw it last week. We've seen it against the Ravens.
Speaker 3: This team is really weird because they played terribly in
Speaker 3: the first half and then in the second half the
Speaker 3: defense starts to grind down the offense a little bit.
Speaker 2: And TJ.
Speaker 3: Watt when he's on the field, it's just a different team, right.
Speaker 3: He tilts the field in the direction of the Steelers.
Speaker 3: We saw last week the first play the second half interception,
Speaker 3: runs it back to the three yard line. It catapulted
Speaker 3: them to a win. I think the Steelers are better
Speaker 3: with Deontay Johnson back. It frees up George Pickens to
Speaker 3: be more of a threat downfield. That makes Kenny Pickett
Speaker 3: more comfortable. It's just a better offense that set. The
Speaker 3: Jags are an interesting team. So I'm a little bit
Speaker 3: nervous about it, Like there have been times this year.
Speaker 3: Steelers against the Ravens, Bet it didn't even think about it.
Speaker 3: Steelers against the Rams last week, Bet it didn't even
Speaker 3: think about it.
Speaker 2: I don't know why I'm a little more.
Speaker 3: Nervous about the Jags, but I'm still taking the Steelers
Speaker 3: and as the sharp side.
Speaker 1: All right, an interesting game that I and I'm I'm
Speaker 1: reticent to do this because I have twice had the
Speaker 1: Jets as my last team I didn't take, and I
Speaker 1: believe in both times they would have covered. So I
Speaker 1: don't like the Jets as a favorite against anybody. So
Speaker 1: I would tend to take the Giants plus a field
Speaker 1: goal with Tyrod Taylor, who's not prone to mistakes, that
Speaker 1: would be my feeling. I just don't think Zach Wilson
Speaker 1: is a favorite as ever a comfortable bet. I think
Speaker 1: this defense, I mean, let's be honest about it. The
Speaker 1: Jets really have one perimeter weapon one Garrett Wilson. It's
Speaker 1: still a really meager receiving core. So if they can't
Speaker 1: run the football effectively, Washington struggled against the Giants. Doing that,
Speaker 1: I got to take three points in a game that
Speaker 1: should be really low scoring. Sharper Square, totally sharp.
Speaker 2: Whise. Guys love the Giants this week.
Speaker 3: They like the idea of Tyrod Taylor playing instead of
Speaker 3: Daniel Jones. He's not mistake prone. He runs the offense
Speaker 3: that Brian Dable wants him to run, which is really important.
Speaker 3: But also defensively, the Jets, everyone believes are lights out.
Speaker 3: The Jets defense and its success is predicated this season
Speaker 3: on their ability to force turnovers thirteen turnovers this year,
Speaker 3: sixteen all of last year, but last year sort of
Speaker 3: the advanced metrics, their expected points allowed per drives, things
Speaker 3: like that, and Bill Barnwell at ESPN wrote a great
Speaker 3: column about all this this week. They're kind of middle
Speaker 3: of the road and they're winning and keeping themselves in games.
Speaker 3: We saw it against the Eagles based on their ability
Speaker 3: to force turnovers. If you're playing Tyrod Taylor, who's not
Speaker 3: as pro I want to turning the ball over. That
Speaker 3: takes away a huge advantage for the Jets defensively. So yes,
Speaker 3: the wise guys are on the Giants all right.
Speaker 1: Another game which I'm undecided now, but off of by
Speaker 1: offensive coach Joe Burrow against a San Francisco team now
Speaker 1: in a backup quarterback with no Trent Williams or Debo.
Speaker 1: Sam Darnold is built for Kyle Shanahan, perhaps, but I'm
Speaker 1: not sure if he's built to be inserted missing a
Speaker 1: left tackle in one of their specialty players. If I
Speaker 1: get four, it feels like a slam dunk. Cincinnati at
Speaker 1: three and a half probably still is. I'm undecided on it,
Speaker 1: but I've gone back and forth. J Mack and I
Speaker 1: talked about this on the air and off on FS one.
Speaker 1: I would think Bengals anything over three would be the
Speaker 1: side sharper square.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's right, and you're you're nailing it
Speaker 3: at the number. Similarly to the Texans conversation. You get
Speaker 3: minus three, you're probably gonna take the Niners. If you
Speaker 3: can get the hook at three and a half, you
Speaker 3: can get it at four, then you're gonna take the Bengal.
Speaker 3: I think before before this game, a lot of consensus
Speaker 3: was going to be on the Niners.
Speaker 2: They've had some bad luck.
Speaker 3: They missed a field goal that cost them against the Browns,
Speaker 3: they missed a field goal, had three strange, uncharacteristic turnovers.
Speaker 3: Turns out two of them might have come after brock
Speaker 3: Party was concussed and through interceptions, and they gave up
Speaker 3: a weird touchdown at the end of that first half
Speaker 3: against the Vikings on an all out.
Speaker 2: Blitz that is just rare for Steve Wilkes to call.
Speaker 3: And so this team was coming back home as a
Speaker 3: five and a half point favorite in a game where
Speaker 3: I think a lot of wise guys thought, Okay, the
Speaker 3: Niners are going to get right now. Party's out, But
Speaker 3: I think the consensus is going to be if they're
Speaker 3: a short favorite, they're still going to back them.
Speaker 2: People.
Speaker 3: If wise guys can get the hook, they'll take the Bengals.
Speaker 3: People are not that convinced. Joe Burrows back, and he
Speaker 3: did not look great in the second half of that
Speaker 3: game they had right before the bye. He's still having
Speaker 3: trouble getting the ball downfield. Not great percentage wise throwing
Speaker 3: the ball downfield. So there's a lot of sort of
Speaker 3: nixed feelings about this. This is entirely about the number.
Speaker 1: Okay, I think Patriots plus nine and a half at
Speaker 1: Miami feels right, not because they beat Buffalo injuries on
Speaker 1: the O line. I think it's very clear that Miami
Speaker 1: has not beaten a playoff team since Week three of
Speaker 1: last year, or what we consider a top end team.
Speaker 1: It's a lot of fake Gucci loafers and leasing a speedboat.
Speaker 1: It's fun to look at, but when you dig deeper,
Speaker 1: don't have much of a chin. Offensive lines bad translation,
Speaker 1: New England will get pressure. They do usually even against
Speaker 1: decent O lines. They're running the ball a little better.
Speaker 1: Mac Jones with confidence Belichick buoyed by that contract that's public.
Speaker 1: The team played with a certain swagger. It's not just
Speaker 1: the Buffalo number. It's a division game. Nine and a
Speaker 1: half's a ton. I do think weather cools, You're not
Speaker 1: going down to Miami in the swamp in the second
Speaker 1: week of September. It's not going to be a factor.
Speaker 1: I think I would have to take New England in
Speaker 1: the points Sharper square.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the sharp side.
Speaker 3: And it's funny you say, sort of the fake guccies
Speaker 3: and speedboats. Right, Like, Look, Miami is reflection of the
Speaker 3: city is playing in right now, and they have not
Speaker 3: beaten good teams. And we've talked about this last week.
Speaker 3: My biggest bet at the season was the Eagles at
Speaker 3: two and a half over the Dolphins. Right, and what
Speaker 3: we're going to see what we started to see with
Speaker 3: the Patriots against the Bills, Bill O'Brien, a lot more
Speaker 3: with Mac Jones under center, a lot more short passes.
Speaker 3: That defense, which had lost Matthew Judon, had lost Christian Gonzales,
Speaker 3: started to figure out, Okay, how are we going to play?
Speaker 3: How are we going to rush the passer? The Dolphins
Speaker 3: without key players on the offensive line. I do think
Speaker 3: Tyreek Hill practice today, so very good chance that he
Speaker 3: plays on Sunday. But the the wise guys, they push
Speaker 3: this number from ten down to nine and a half,
Speaker 3: down to nine divisional games, the underdogs and divisional games.
Speaker 3: The last decade sixty games above five hundred against the spread,
Speaker 3: and we got a few of those games this week.
Speaker 1: I don't like big favorites, but I do think my
Speaker 1: general rule, if quality teams get humiliated, they almost always
Speaker 1: play well the following week. We saw this with the
Speaker 1: Cowboys and the Chargers. Detroit humiliated at home. Raiders Jimmy
Speaker 1: Garoppolo very few snaps this year. This is a very
Speaker 1: average team. I know it's eight to eight and a half,
Speaker 1: all odds provided by DraftKings. I said this this week,
Speaker 1: don't sell your Detroit stock. They're going to win the division.
Speaker 1: They're going to win eleven twelve games. They're built the
Speaker 1: right way, pass rush, O line, solid coaching. They need
Speaker 1: another corner. So does everybody not name the Jets. This
Speaker 1: is the rare large number, And you know I don't
Speaker 1: bet big favorites. I could see a thirty twenty here
Speaker 1: and not be shocked. Sharper Square Yeah, it's pretty sharp.
Speaker 3: Actually, the early ween has been on the Lions because
Speaker 3: of everything you just said. Good chance to get right
Speaker 3: at home, much better coaching, much better team. Talk about
Speaker 3: a team and a coach that reflects the ethos of
Speaker 3: its town, right, Like this is as high flying as
Speaker 3: they can be and as good as Jared Goff has been. Like,
Speaker 3: this is a smash mouth team in their run defense
Speaker 3: is fierce, and that's something that the Raiders haven't been
Speaker 3: able to figure out when they're on offense. Jimmy g
Speaker 3: who knows what he's going to be when he comes back.
Speaker 3: But also the Raiders, the coaching is terrible, the roster
Speaker 3: is terrible. They got lucky in their last couple of wins.
Speaker 3: This should be a huge, huge opportunity for the Lions.
Speaker 3: The one thing, it's funny, you say that they should
Speaker 3: win the division, so because you know this is what
Speaker 3: we do. I was looking at the NFC North futures
Speaker 3: and the Lions are minus four hundred, the Vikings, who
Speaker 3: have won two in a row or plus five point fifty,
Speaker 3: and who knows what will happen with the Packers this weekend,
Speaker 3: and maybe we're going to talk about that game but
Speaker 3: the Lions and Vikings play each other twice in the
Speaker 3: last three weeks of the year.
Speaker 1: I know it.
Speaker 3: Who knows, Like, can the Vikings stay within two games
Speaker 3: of the Lions?
Speaker 1: Look at the Viking schedule coming up. A lot of
Speaker 1: Jordan loves on it. Watch Minnesota go on a six
Speaker 1: game heater. This was the one you circled as an
Speaker 1: l They got nothing but Desmond Ritter and Jordan love
Speaker 1: And by the way, Justin Jefferson comes back. Jordan Addison
Speaker 1: now established old Lions playing very well. Watch Minnesota sneak
Speaker 1: into a wild card discussion.
Speaker 3: Here's what I would say. I think the Packers are
Speaker 3: going to beat them now. It doesn't mean it doesn't
Speaker 3: mean that they can't stay in sort of in contention because,
Speaker 3: like you said, their schedule the rest of the year
Speaker 3: is so easy, really easy. Like you're not kidding when
Speaker 3: you talk about the quarterbacks, they're gonna face And I
Speaker 3: don't know if you're gonna ask me about the Packers,
Speaker 3: but I'll just give you a freebee right now.
Speaker 2: Wise, guys love the Packers.
Speaker 1: Why tell me why?
Speaker 2: They just think this is a stinky line. They feel like.
Speaker 3: They look at what happened last week in Denver and
Speaker 3: Jordan Love's receivers had a lot of drop passes. They're
Speaker 3: going against a defense that still is so blitz happy,
Speaker 3: and that's going to Jordan Love has actually been very
Speaker 3: good against the blitz. It frees his receivers up into
Speaker 3: single coverage. It gives Christian Watson an opportunity to extend
Speaker 3: the field. It gives Aaron Jones an opportunity to be
Speaker 3: in single coverage out of the backfield. Minnesota last week,
Speaker 3: I said it about the Niners. It's just as true
Speaker 3: about Minnesota playing the Niners. Kirk was on fire, but
Speaker 3: they got very lucky. Like the Niners had many many
Speaker 3: opportunities to win that game and had some really sort
Speaker 3: of what we like to call luck factors working against them,
Speaker 3: with some odd uncharacteristic moments, not just for the Niners
Speaker 3: but in the game of football. Right, and so, I
Speaker 3: think that the Vikings going into this game just overvalued.
Speaker 3: They beat a dominant team in a really high profile
Speaker 3: spot on television, and that lends to people coming into back.
Speaker 3: Then it's a pros Joe's game. Majority of the money,
Speaker 3: meaning the big betters are on the Packers. The majority
Speaker 3: of the tickets, smaller money. More schmucks are on the vikings.
Speaker 1: All right, we finish with two things. The first is
Speaker 1: talk me into a game. I often give it to you,
Speaker 1: and it's the Rams plus six to six and a
Speaker 1: half against Dallas. So, against Philadelphia and against San Francisco
Speaker 1: they were clearly outclassed. But the fact that they hung
Speaker 1: around Pittsburgh. They are in a rebuild. One RAMS player,
Speaker 1: one high end RAMS player. They have one that's in
Speaker 1: his prime, Ernest Cooper, Stafford Havenstein Donald. They're out of
Speaker 1: their prime. Pittsburghs probably got nine guys in their prime.
Speaker 1: They're young. That game was go either way entering the
Speaker 1: fourth and it was a Pittsburgh Steedeler crowd. So I
Speaker 1: think McVeigh is doing a remarkable job with an old
Speaker 1: Aaron Donald and mostly rookies and six round, fourth round picks.
Speaker 1: I like the coaching here. It's a lot of points.
Speaker 1: I think the Rams will stay close. They're fairly healthy.
Speaker 1: I think i'd like the Rams plus the points, but
Speaker 1: the Vegas is so smart DraftKings. It's seven. I think
Speaker 1: it's such a great bet for the Rams. It's six
Speaker 1: and a half. I don't know. You tell me talk
Speaker 1: me into it.
Speaker 2: So it's interesting you bring this up.
Speaker 3: This was the biggest debate that me and my bff
Speaker 3: Simon Hunter had in our podcast, and I love the Cowboys.
Speaker 3: In this spot, Simon wants to love the Cowboys. Can't
Speaker 3: quite find the exact number, like it's six six and
Speaker 3: a half. It's basically lined right. Like you just said,
Speaker 3: the book makers know what they're doing. We cannot find
Speaker 3: sort of a consensus wise guy opinion on this because
Speaker 3: the number is so right. I'm all in on the
Speaker 3: Cowboys for a couple of reasons. I think they're much
Speaker 3: more talented. I think I think Mike McCarthy's a terrible coach,
Speaker 3: and I think he is he is putting his team
Speaker 3: at a disadvantage inside the red zone. And I think
Speaker 3: over the course of his career, it has been proven
Speaker 3: that if any other coach was working with Aaron Rodgers,
Speaker 3: he probably would have more Super Bowls. Like he's just
Speaker 3: not a very good play caller. But the Cowboys defense
Speaker 3: is so good. Their pressure from just four players on
Speaker 3: the front line is insane. And the reason the Steelers
Speaker 3: beat the Rams last week is because of the pressure
Speaker 3: they got on a terrible, terrible rams O line. So
Speaker 3: the opportunity here is to put a lot of pressure
Speaker 3: on Matthew Stafford and look if he can beat the
Speaker 3: pressure and get the ball to Puka Nukua. If he
Speaker 3: can get the ball to Cooper Cup, that changes it.
Speaker 3: Because the Cowboys do have a lot of issues with
Speaker 3: their back line. But we saw against Justin Herbert the
Speaker 3: Cowboys had thirty three pressures and hit Justin Herbert twenty
Speaker 3: six times, even though they barely sacked him like the
Speaker 3: end of the game. Micah Parsons got him once, but
Speaker 3: that impacted him enough that he was making bad throws,
Speaker 3: rushing throws.
Speaker 2: So I also like the Cowboys off of by coming home.
Speaker 3: Dak when he's at home, covers and he covers Big
Speaker 3: Dak on the road as an underdog in these games
Speaker 3: against teams where they are playing opponents who are usually
Speaker 3: better than them in the high profile spots that we're
Speaker 3: used to seeing, that's when he struggles and that's where
Speaker 3: you see sort of the disadvantage that he has with
Speaker 3: Mike McCarthy as a coach. But at home, as a favorite,
Speaker 3: he's a front runner. That's a good spot to get healthy.
Speaker 3: I like the Cowboys in this spot.
Speaker 1: Finally, what did I miss? What's the stinker rooney that
Speaker 1: you want to talk me into?
Speaker 2: There's two of them. There's two of them. We didn't
Speaker 2: talk about two ugly division.
Speaker 1: Listen, I know Washington's one of them, right that. I
Speaker 1: looked at that and I thought, you know what's funny
Speaker 1: about them?
Speaker 2: Half to half?
Speaker 1: Game to game you have no idea what you're getting.
Speaker 1: But I got to tell you this. There are moments
Speaker 1: when I watched Sam Hall and I'm like, he's a
Speaker 1: mid level franchise quarterback. When you give him time to
Speaker 1: step and throw, it is pretty good.
Speaker 3: Right, Yeah, that's exactly it. Washington plus six and a half. Look,
Speaker 3: Denver opened at eight and a half, got bet down
Speaker 3: to eight by the wise guys, got bet down to
Speaker 3: seven and a half by the wise guys. Some places
Speaker 3: it's seven now. A wise guys love in Denver in
Speaker 3: the past couple of weeks. First when they played Kansas City,
Speaker 3: they thought, oh, was Mahomes just off of this game?
Speaker 2: Is that why the defense was so good?
Speaker 3: And then they played Green Bay and Matt Lafloor is
Speaker 3: really good at scheming his guys open, and Denver did
Speaker 3: a good job of stopping the Packers plus Javonte Williams
Speaker 3: six weeks into the season. Seven weeks into the season,
Speaker 3: much more explosive. You're starting to see Sean Payton give
Speaker 3: him the ball more. It's why you've seen again Brother
Speaker 3: Division games. Big favorites. The Chiefs not great at covering
Speaker 3: three and a half.
Speaker 1: Not a big cover, big number team.
Speaker 3: It's hard to cover big numbers when you're always favored
Speaker 3: by a big number, right, So there's a little bit
Speaker 3: of a self fulfilling prophecy here where you get Patrick
Speaker 3: Mahomes as a short favorite and underdog. He's so good
Speaker 3: he's gonna win those games. But if every game you're
Speaker 3: favored by three and a half to ten, it's hard
Speaker 3: to always cover in those games. So the wise guys
Speaker 3: like Denver, and the wise guys love Washington. They think
Speaker 3: it's a spot for for the Eagles. They've got big
Speaker 3: games coming up. So it's a little bit of a
Speaker 3: look ahead, a little bit of a trap game on
Speaker 3: the road.
Speaker 2: Is hurts hurt?
Speaker 3: We don't know, is Lane Johnson struggling, We don't know.
Speaker 3: That oftense still isn't perfect. So there's some some money
Speaker 3: coming on the Commanders. I like them both. I bet
Speaker 3: them both. Uh be my buddy, be my buddy, Colin,
Speaker 3: be my bad game betting buddy. I went four and
Speaker 3: one last week. You went three and two. I went
Speaker 3: four and one because I went. I made the extra effort. Okay,
Speaker 3: I made the effort.
Speaker 1: You know. The downside to having taste is you want
Speaker 1: you won't go down to the stinkorama game, the dumpster game.
Speaker 2: Oh is that what you're calling it? Taste?
Speaker 1: Is that.
Speaker 2: How you're framing this that that is a masterclass and
Speaker 2: narrative right there. I like it, well done.
Speaker 1: All dumpster dive into Washington? Why not? I kind of
Speaker 1: you will, yeah, I kind of. They're all over the map.
Speaker 1: But I mean Philadelphia comes off a big TV emotional game,
Speaker 1: late game, little less prep time to division rival, big
Speaker 1: games ahead. I do think it's the kind of game
Speaker 1: that you would say to yourself, let's rest lane Johnson.
Speaker 1: You know what I mean. This is a deep team,
Speaker 1: and we know this that Washington has moments. We know this,
Speaker 1: so I and Philadelphia has I thought that Miami game
Speaker 1: was the first game. I thought they really played well.
Speaker 1: And at one point it was seventeen seventeen, so in
Speaker 1: Miami's really a team Philadelphia's built to beat. Washington's a
Speaker 1: team that's built to play Philadelphia close physical trenches, can
Speaker 1: run it a little.
Speaker 2: That's that.
Speaker 1: I don't think that's big dumpster diving. I looked at
Speaker 1: that game. You know again, these the wise guys are smart,
Speaker 1: like like you know, six and a half, three and
Speaker 1: a half like I like San Francisco. But you make
Speaker 1: if three and a half four was Sam Darnold, then
Speaker 1: it's not as attractive. It's just not a good bad
Speaker 1: all right, we gotta go.
Speaker 3: I like how this ended up being, you know what,
Speaker 3: I like them. It's no longer dumpster diving. It's really
Speaker 3: this is the file A. I'm like a home underdog
Speaker 3: likes right.
Speaker 1: Here, the Stanza. I'm grabbing an e Claire out of
Speaker 1: the garbage.
Speaker 2: Just quickly.
Speaker 1: It was only the five seconds.
Speaker 3: That's why you are a multi medium mobile.
Speaker 1: Yeah, those kind of references quick. All right, buddy, see
Speaker 1: you'd rather.
Speaker 2: I'll see you later.
Speaker 1: The volume