Speaker 1: Welcome in What dravn nick Wright Episode four sixteen. My
Speaker 1: favorite NFL weekend of the year, NFL Divisional Round weekend
Speaker 1: is upon us in this episode of What Tryman Nickright
Speaker 1: is presented to you, as always by our friends at
Speaker 1: boost Mobile and a reminder to everybody out there like
Speaker 1: rate subscribe review helps us a ton demons. Welcome in you.
Speaker 1: Last week gave your six picks against the spread thanks
Speaker 1: to the lines at hard rock Bet. All lines of
Speaker 1: course from hard rock Bet. I also gave my six picks.
Speaker 1: Mine didn't go great, yours went better. We'll start with mine.
Speaker 1: Good to see you, pal, So I started off with
Speaker 1: a loser. It was the only favorite. I picked the
Speaker 1: Rams minus ten and a half, and the first half
Speaker 1: hour of that game I felt great about It felt
Speaker 1: like the Rams were cruising up seventeen to and then
Speaker 1: they needed a furious rally just to escape. So I'm
Speaker 1: on the wrong side of that one. Bears plus one
Speaker 1: against Green Bay. I guess you could say I got
Speaker 1: lucky there, but the Bears end up winning out right.
Speaker 1: Jacksonville plus one against Buffalo, you could say I got
Speaker 1: unlucky there, but the most important moment of that game
Speaker 1: was Trevor slipping on the fourth down early after the
Speaker 1: Bills fumbled the kickoff. The Jags ro ugh seven to three,
Speaker 1: they're in the red zone, they go for a fourth
Speaker 1: and two and Trevor slips. I think that game's totally
Speaker 1: different if they go up fourteen to three. But Trevor's
Speaker 1: got owned that one. He's and then obviously they had
Speaker 1: a chance late and he threw the pick. Niners plus
Speaker 1: four and a half at Philly. I told you guys,
Speaker 1: I thought they could win out right. They did, and
Speaker 1: then I I don't hate the side I was on
Speaker 1: in either of these, to be totally, I feel like
Speaker 1: my logic was sound, but the logic and Chargers Patriots was.
Speaker 1: I thought the Patriots would struggle to get to twenty
Speaker 1: points against that Charger defense. They only scored sixteen. I
Speaker 1: did not expect Justin Herbert to have somehow a worst
Speaker 1: playoff performance than he had last year when he threw
Speaker 1: four picks. And I know Steelers Texans. It sounds ridiculous
Speaker 1: say the logic was sound. They lost thirty to six,
Speaker 1: but that game is seven to six entering the fourth quarter.
Speaker 1: It's ten to six with the Steelers having the ball
Speaker 1: Rogers just picked a tough time to have the worst
Speaker 1: playoff game of his life, and that Texans defense was unstoppable.
Speaker 1: And so listen, it's bad weekend of picks. You, on
Speaker 1: the other hand, started you had drames demons of going
Speaker 1: six to oh. You were four and oh going into
Speaker 1: the final game of the final game of Sunday.
Speaker 2: Night and and yeah, Chargers, I didn't like that. I
Speaker 2: didn't like taking the Chargers with the points against New
Speaker 2: England after the fact, I know exactly, yeah, because you're
Speaker 2: saying the process.
Speaker 1: But yeah, listen, yeah, so you had Buffalo when I
Speaker 1: had Jacksonville. You had Carolina when I had the Rams.
Speaker 1: That so that got you to.
Speaker 2: Four playoff team taking them ten points.
Speaker 1: Well, listen, you, like I said, you at the sharper
Speaker 1: side of these things than me. So you're four and two.
Speaker 1: So now I'm chasing you the rest of this postseason,
Speaker 1: and we might have a lot of the same picks.
Speaker 1: I don't know, but that does make me nervous that
Speaker 1: I might just you might be able to run away
Speaker 1: and hide and I'm not able to chase you down.
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Speaker 1: All right, it's time now for Nick's pick reminder. All
Speaker 1: lines from our friends at hard Rock Bet Demonse. We're
Speaker 1: just gonna go in order of the games go ahead.
Speaker 2: First off, you've got Buffalo plus one at Denver.
Speaker 1: Who would have thought, Yeah, listen, I think that the Bills.
Speaker 1: I understand the Bills are down to three and it'll
Speaker 1: be four receivers when they elevate McCole Hardman. I don't
Speaker 1: think that's going to matter that much, and it might actually,
Speaker 1: as long as those four guys can stay healthy slightly
Speaker 1: play to their advantage because it will force them Demonse
Speaker 1: to be in a bunch of twelve personnel, one running back,
Speaker 1: two tight end personnel, and that's where the Bills are
Speaker 1: at their best. Anyway, the bills past defense is at
Speaker 1: the strength of their defense. I think that is going
Speaker 1: to impact bon Nicks. I think Josh Allen is not
Speaker 1: going to be impacted at all by the altitude in Denver.
Speaker 1: He went to college and played his home games in Wyoming,
Speaker 1: which is at an actual higher altitude. And I just
Speaker 1: think I don't think the Broncos were actually better than
Speaker 1: the Bills this year. I know they won fourteen games,
Speaker 1: and the Bills won won eleven games twelve. I don't
Speaker 1: even know if they remember if they won eleven or twelve.
Speaker 1: To me, I think the Bills are better, and I
Speaker 1: think we have overstated how vulnerable the Bills are. They
Speaker 1: have a great running back, they have a great offensive line,
Speaker 1: they have a very good pass defense, and they have
Speaker 1: the best quarterback left in the playoffs. I think Jacksonville
Speaker 1: is better. Jacksonville right now, I think is better than Denver,
Speaker 1: and the Bills just beat the Jags. I really like
Speaker 1: the Bills in this spot. And the other piece of
Speaker 1: it is if the Bills fall down double digits, obviously
Speaker 1: that's a rough spot to be in, but they have
Speaker 1: come back in those spots throughout this year. They have
Speaker 1: trailed at halftime a bunch this year. They've been unbelievable
Speaker 1: second half team. If the Broncos fall down double digits,
Speaker 1: I just don't think they have a path forward, and
Speaker 1: I know they did it against Philly early in the season.
Speaker 1: That's the only instance. This is a step up in
Speaker 1: class for the Broncos, who had the league's second easiest schedule.
Speaker 1: This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the
Speaker 1: Bills plus one in Denver. Bills win this game twenty
Speaker 1: seven to thirteen, and it's not some close classic the Bills.
Speaker 1: The Bills are in control of this game and win
Speaker 1: this game. Bon Nicks makes a big mistake in it.
Speaker 1: That's my official prediction for how the Broncos season ends.
Speaker 2: Next, I'm there with you. San Francisco to at plus
Speaker 2: seven at Seattle.
Speaker 1: All right, and so I forgot, so you're you also
Speaker 1: have Bills plus one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the line had shifted. I think I had chosen.
Speaker 2: I chose them minus one, and then yeah, I'll definitely
Speaker 2: take them plus one.
Speaker 3: Two.
Speaker 1: Yeah, not a huge Listen the lines. The these one
Speaker 1: point lines flip back and forth, Abait. It sound a
Speaker 1: huge difference, obviously, but you'd rather get the one point
Speaker 1: than give the one point. But yeah, I think the
Speaker 1: Bills win, potentially by margin. And then I am taking
Speaker 1: the the Niners plus seven at Seattle. I also expect
Speaker 1: Seattle to win. Yeah, I just and if you listened
Speaker 1: to yesterday's show, you probably my analysis was expecting Seattle
Speaker 1: to win. So maybe you're surprised by this. This is
Speaker 1: just a lot of points. When I think Seattle is
Speaker 1: going to be incredibly conservative from an offensive gameplay standpoint,
Speaker 1: because they aren't going to want to run the risk
Speaker 1: that Darnald sees a few ghosts, makes some mistakes and
Speaker 1: the Niners all of a sudden the are in control of
Speaker 1: the game. And I think the Niners have shown even
Speaker 1: in Week eighteen with the defense as banged up as
Speaker 1: it was, Seattle only scored thirteen points in that game.
Speaker 1: So there's something about Robert sala And in Week one
Speaker 1: they held the Niners to what seventeen points in that
Speaker 1: game they once said they lost. The Niners won seventeen thirteen,
Speaker 1: so they I'm sorry they held Seattle, I said it
Speaker 1: wrong to thirteen in both of their matchup ups. So
Speaker 1: I don't think Seattle is going to be able to
Speaker 1: put up a big number. And so twenty to fourteen,
Speaker 1: twenty one, seventeen, maybe even thirteen.
Speaker 3: To like.
Speaker 2: Over under any type of game. Say it again, I
Speaker 2: wonder what the over under is going to be on
Speaker 2: that game.
Speaker 1: Well, I mean, we can find what is the total
Speaker 1: in that game right now?
Speaker 2: My guess, Oh wait, it's forty five, it's forty five,
Speaker 2: forty five.
Speaker 3: Yeah, kind of surprises.
Speaker 1: Me again, that feels high.
Speaker 3: I take the under. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we don't really do totals in this on this show,
Speaker 1: but I would take the under if it's the game
Speaker 1: script I'm describing all of those. Forty five is a
Speaker 1: big number for in how I see this game going now.
Speaker 1: I imagine Bears Rams total is gosh three and a
Speaker 1: half forty nine forty nine. Oh, that's surprising. So I
Speaker 1: was way off on that. Maybe that's why we don't
Speaker 1: do tolls. I guess that's probably a weather component because
Speaker 1: it's gonna be so cold, but I expect there to
Speaker 1: be I think Bears Rams is going to be a shootout,
Speaker 1: and I think Seahawks Niners is going to be a
Speaker 1: because the Niners are going to try to limit possessions
Speaker 1: run the ball. But I just the Niners getting seven,
Speaker 1: and I don't think they win. I do think they cover.
Speaker 3: It.
Speaker 1: Sounds like you're with me on it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm taking San Francisco plus the seven definitely there.
Speaker 3: Next New England minus three versus Houston.
Speaker 1: New England's at home with the far, far far better quarterback.
Speaker 1: They just faced a very very tough defense. Houston's is better,
Speaker 1: but still a tough defense, so they're kind of ready
Speaker 1: for the challenge, if you will. Meanwhile, Houston's defense just
Speaker 1: played an offense that had no plan and whose quarterback
Speaker 1: was totally immobile. Drake May, on the other hand, obviously,
Speaker 1: Canon will beat you with his legs. I think this
Speaker 1: is a good game, but I'll say twenty four twenty
Speaker 1: or twenty four to seventeen that range for New England,
Speaker 1: and I think the Texans this year are twelve to
Speaker 1: zero when they get to twenty points. I don't think though,
Speaker 1: they do get to twenty points, so I will take
Speaker 1: New England minus the three I am. I think they
Speaker 1: are a scary, scary team if the Chargers had an
Speaker 1: opportunity to clip them. When Drake had his first playoff game,
Speaker 1: Jitters and the offense could do nothing. It was shameful
Speaker 1: that the Chargers didn't have the lead going into halftime
Speaker 1: of that game, or weren't even tied going into halftime. Now,
Speaker 1: the Patriots I think have their legs underneath them. You
Speaker 1: don't love the fact that Christian Gonzalez suffered a concussion
Speaker 1: in the last game, but Nico Collins suffered a concussion
Speaker 1: two so you know, if they I'm more confident Nico's
Speaker 1: gonna miss the game than Gonzales, but if they both
Speaker 1: missed the game, it kind of cancels each other out.
Speaker 1: So I'll lay the three points with the Pats.
Speaker 2: Unfortunately or fortunately, whatever you want to call it. We
Speaker 2: are three for three right now.
Speaker 1: That means it's gonna be hard for me to catch
Speaker 1: up with you. I can't.
Speaker 2: Yeah. And then lastly, you have the Rams minus four
Speaker 2: at Chicago.
Speaker 1: Yeah. I I just don't trust that the Bears defense
Speaker 1: is gonna be able to slow down the Rams at all.
Speaker 1: And I honestly think even though it's gonna be freezing cold,
Speaker 1: and I know there's a lot of trends I'm going
Speaker 1: against about home dogs of more than a field goal
Speaker 1: and dome teams outdoors. Matt Stafford played more than a
Speaker 1: decade in the NFC North. He played on the road
Speaker 1: in Chicago and on the road in Green Bay every
Speaker 1: single year. Matt Stafford has plenty of experience playing in
Speaker 1: the cold. And there's a lot of fake news stats
Speaker 1: going around about Stafford being like one in eight in
Speaker 1: cold weather games. It's there, it's just not accurate. I
Speaker 1: just think the Rams defense is, the Rams offense is
Speaker 1: too good for the Bears defense. And I think losing
Speaker 1: your starting left tackle in the wildcard round for the
Speaker 1: Bears is a really tough spot. This was an unbelievable
Speaker 1: season of nothing but steps in the right direction. But
Speaker 1: I think it ends for the Bears this weekend. And
Speaker 1: I think this is forty two to twenty seven Rams
Speaker 1: where they score on like three of their first four
Speaker 1: possessions in with touchdowns and they keep it rolling into
Speaker 1: the second half.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I got Chicago plus the points here. I
Speaker 2: think there's I'm giving them a chance to win the game.
Speaker 2: I think they can win the game. I think that
Speaker 2: it'll at least be a close game. You think this
Speaker 2: can be much more dominant on the Rams side. But yeah,
Speaker 2: I'm take Chicago. There's your chance.
Speaker 1: Well listen, at least there's a and there's a chance
Speaker 1: to rena make up one game in the stands against
Speaker 1: you going into the final weekend, all right, and then
Speaker 1: a bonus pick, Demon's.
Speaker 2: We have a bonus pick before we get to the
Speaker 2: other Vets. So the National Championship game is this Monday
Speaker 2: or next Monday, whatever we wanna call it, Miami and Indiana,
Speaker 2: and the line is set at Indiana minus eight and
Speaker 2: a half, and it's also at hard Rock Stadium.
Speaker 3: Who are you taking?
Speaker 1: I'll take Miami plus the points, and I'll take Miami
Speaker 1: on the money line plus two sixty.
Speaker 3: Oh, juice it up a little bit.
Speaker 1: Here is what I think people are failing to recognizing
Speaker 1: their handicapping of this game as great and Indiana has
Speaker 1: been great this year. Indiana was neck and neck all
Speaker 1: season long with Ohio State. They both went in to
Speaker 1: that Big Ten championship game undefeated. It was Ohio State,
Speaker 1: you know, led at halftime of that game. Indiana takes
Speaker 1: the lead mid third quarter and then hangs on for
Speaker 1: the win thirteen to ten. That that is obviously a great,
Speaker 1: great win for Indiana, and Indiana during this playoff has
Speaker 1: been utterly dominant. So why do I bring that up.
Speaker 1: I bring it up because Miami a couple weeks later
Speaker 1: played Ohio State and Miami beat Ohio State twenty four
Speaker 1: to ten or twenty four to fourteen, pardon me, and
Speaker 1: really controlled that entire game. So the idea that Indiana
Speaker 1: is just in a different weight class than Miami is
Speaker 1: right now. I don't agree with. I think that Indiana
Speaker 1: has played better in this playoff than Miami has. Indiana
Speaker 1: has just dog walked their two opponents and Miami has
Speaker 1: not done that in any of their games. And Indiana
Speaker 1: Baby is just an all time team. But getting eight
Speaker 1: and a half points in Miami is to me far
Speaker 1: too many. And if it's close late, I like Indiana,
Speaker 1: I like Miami's chances, so I'll take Miami on the
Speaker 1: money line. Uh. I also think there are gonna be
Speaker 1: a lot of NFL betters this weekend. Demnsey that whatever
Speaker 1: bets they make on the NFL playoffs, they include Indiana
Speaker 1: on the money line as part of a at you know,
Speaker 1: add a little juice to my bet free money parlay,
Speaker 1: and those tend to screw people over. You've won your
Speaker 1: bets in the weekend, you just need the big money
Speaker 1: line favorite to cash Monday night, and it doesn't work.
Speaker 1: So I will take Miami plus the eight and a
Speaker 1: half and Miami on the money line. Demanse, your picks
Speaker 1: are Buffalo plus one, the Niners plus seven, New England
Speaker 1: minus three, Chicago plus four the one we disagree with,
Speaker 1: and Miami plus the eight and a half. We will
Speaker 1: get to your teaser in a moment, but first let
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Speaker 1: All right, demon's you finally lost a teaser last week?
Speaker 1: The charge Screwgia. Yeah, you were getting twelve points put.
Speaker 3: On them and they still lost for me.
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, your season record falls to eleven and eight
Speaker 1: the Bears you had, the bills, you had the chargers
Speaker 1: not so much. What are you doing this week?
Speaker 3: Three?
Speaker 2: Team mate point teaser at plus one hundred Seattle, We're
Speaker 2: gonna tease them to plus one, Houston, gonna tease them
Speaker 2: up to plus eleven and then Buffalo. I'm teasing up
Speaker 2: to plus nine.
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is all. This is all pretty solid in
Speaker 3: my opinion. I like all of it.
Speaker 1: I like all of it. Now. I didn't grade last
Speaker 1: week because I said you were past it, but maybe
Speaker 1: that was bad juju. So I'm gonna give this an
Speaker 1: a minus. You did tease through the zero with Seattle,
Speaker 1: so I can't give it a straight A. But I
Speaker 1: will give this an a minus.
Speaker 3: Uh, thank you, sir.
Speaker 1: Down this week, I would like to do I never
Speaker 1: do this. I would like to do a three player
Speaker 1: touchdown Genie Parlay.
Speaker 3: Oh wow, the money in the pockets.
Speaker 1: Josh Allen, Davante, Adams, Pookinakua. A three player touchdown, Genie Parlay.
Speaker 1: That's gotta be better than six to one.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it was just like that.
Speaker 1: Plus seven four Alan, Pooka, Davante. Alan's gonna have to
Speaker 1: run one in Pookin Davante. I think the Rams are
Speaker 1: gonna score almost at will. I'm doing that as touchdown
Speaker 1: Genie this week. All right, what are the offers, Demons?
Speaker 2: So you declined last week's offer, Trevor. I think it
Speaker 2: was three touchdowns at no pick. He got the three touchdowns,
Speaker 2: but he threw a couple of picks this week. We're
Speaker 2: going Stafford and Caleb Williams to both record fifteen plus
Speaker 2: pass yards in each quarter at plus one hundred like that.
Speaker 3: You got it, No, you got it?
Speaker 1: No, No, I don't like fears that. The problem is this.
Speaker 1: I don't like those every quarterbacks because sometimes a team
Speaker 1: only has one position like the the every quarterbacks can
Speaker 1: be tricky.
Speaker 3: Earlier or something, and then the other.
Speaker 1: Of thumb. I just think there's no way to handicap it.
Speaker 1: However we did. I will take this as an offer.
Speaker 1: What we stumbled upon the under and niner Seahawks under
Speaker 1: forty five and the over in Rams Bears over forty
Speaker 1: nine at plus two sixty five. And I would even
Speaker 1: do under forty Now I'll leave that. I'll leave it
Speaker 1: like that. I was gonna get a little ambitious, but
Speaker 1: under forty five and nin er Seahawks over forty nine
Speaker 1: in Rams Bears plus two sixty five, I'll take that.
Speaker 1: So this is what we call chasing. I went too
Speaker 1: and four in the first week in my regular picks.
Speaker 1: Now I'm doing a touchdown Jeanie Parlay, and I'm taking
Speaker 1: an offer. It is what it is huge thank you
Speaker 1: to hard Rock Bet and Boost Mobile Reminder. Everybody like rate, subscribe,
Speaker 1: review if you can. It greatly helps us. We greatly
Speaker 1: appreciate it. It's the best weekend of football all year long.
Speaker 1: Divisional Round weekend and then the National Championship game should
Speaker 1: be five awesome games. Enjoy. We will talk to you
Speaker 1: guys on Tuesday. Enjoy the weekend. What's right,