1 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:07,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 2: Hey guys, great to be with you day two of 3 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 2: the World Economic Forum here in Davos, Switzerland. Mine's firmly 4 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 2: elsewhere in Washington, DC, isn't that right, Lea? So twenty 5 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:19,079 Speaker 2: four hours of conversations about how great America is and 6 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 2: how the rest of the world will struggle with the 7 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 2: incoming president Donald Trump. 8 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, every conversation here at Davos has been what's America 9 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 3: going to do? How can I leverage myself to be 10 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:31,160 Speaker 3: in the best position possible? And oh yeah, what's the 11 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 3: latest headline? 12 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 2: Brom Onehan alongside us, the chairman of CEO at Bank 13 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 2: for America. We're going to cover all of that through 14 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:39,199 Speaker 2: the next eight minutes or so. There's an important occasion 15 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 2: to mark fifteen years at the top of Bank for America. 16 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 4: Now, it's been an honor to lead to company, and 17 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 4: we've had some fun and it was interesting to start. 18 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 1: For the last ten years or so, we've. 19 00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 4: Been on a role just producing responsible growth and the 20 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 4: team does a great job and we can take private. 21 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 4: We've put the company to where it should be. Is 22 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 4: one of the big great companies in the world. 23 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:59,400 Speaker 2: Beyond interesting fifteen years ago was the absorption of countrywide 24 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 2: Financial It was Meril. It's a very very different bank 25 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 2: and a very very different moment. That phrase you use 26 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:07,759 Speaker 2: is one you've used so many times, responsible growth. There 27 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 2: is a feeling that maybe we move towards something house 28 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 2: in the world of banking over the next few years. 29 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:13,560 Speaker 2: Some might say it's sort of reckless growth, which is 30 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 2: going to go for it? How would you describe the future? 31 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 4: So what you're hearing is an enthusiasm for in the 32 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 4: investment banking side of particularly transactions right for a long time, 33 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 4: for the last couple of years, it's been hard to 34 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:27,399 Speaker 4: get a transaction through. And what stops a seller from 35 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 4: selling or a buyer from buying is this thing is delayed. 36 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 1: I'm exposed and so what they'll do is they'll push 37 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 1: it through. 38 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 4: So there's a lot of enthusiasm that they'll be better 39 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:36,679 Speaker 4: growth in United States. There a lot of enthusiasm by 40 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:38,560 Speaker 4: the bankers saying these deals can get done, so I 41 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 4: can go have this future conversation. It's just not another 42 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 4: idea that goes through the system. Everybody says that's a 43 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 4: great idea, but it now can be a great idea. 44 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 1: Let's go do it, or a great idea. 45 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 4: I don't want to do it, but it's a more 46 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 4: of a substance space than it is more of a 47 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 4: worry about the environment around us. 48 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:54,640 Speaker 3: Are you basically saying that there's more enthusiasm, that there 49 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 3: is conviction and will to actually get stuff done. 50 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:59,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think you saw some deals getting announced and 51 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:01,680 Speaker 4: you'll see more deals geting announced in our sector. In banking, 52 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 4: especially in the United States, the consolidation is still far 53 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 4: away from being. 54 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 1: Done. 55 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:10,680 Speaker 4: There will always be big banks or always be small banks, 56 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 4: but you'll let people make a decision what they want 57 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 4: to do. And there haven't been a lot of bank 58 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 4: deals done. Bank to bank deals we can't do them, 59 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:19,079 Speaker 4: it's not legal, but as investment banking, we can help 60 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 4: other people do them. 61 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: And it haven't been a lot done because just uncertain. 62 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 4: You're getting caught in a transaction and having issues. So 63 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:27,239 Speaker 4: the belief that they should promote the banks consoliding and 64 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 4: getting more efficient, passing that through to customers, passing that 65 00:02:29,560 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 4: through to small businesses, et cetera, is different. 66 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 1: Will be a change. 67 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 3: Well, there's the banking sector specifically, and some of the 68 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 3: deregulation and whether some of these mergers in consolidation will 69 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:40,240 Speaker 3: be allowed, and. 70 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 1: Then there's a broader corporate sector. 71 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 3: As some of the enthusiasm we've seen and we've heard 72 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 3: from the cities, a head of banking from JP Morgan, 73 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 3: how much do you see that being maybe a little 74 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 3: premature based on some of the policies coming down the 75 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:57,239 Speaker 3: pike and the uncertainty around debt, deficit and rates. 76 00:02:57,680 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 4: Well, I think you have to divorce a little bit 77 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 4: some of the fiscal work that has to be done, 78 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 4: and in coming Treasury or Secretary and others have to 79 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:07,840 Speaker 4: take very seriously this question of how do we manage 80 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 4: the revenue stream, the expense stream and the amount of 81 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:11,160 Speaker 4: debt and get. 82 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:11,839 Speaker 1: It all to work out. 83 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:14,840 Speaker 4: That one of the ways that that becomes easier if 84 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 4: you have more activity and more things going on. 85 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 1: So I think the enthusiasm. 86 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 4: You're here when the bankers is more structurally that the 87 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 4: belief is that even starting yesterday, you don't have you 88 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 4: don't have the constraint that you have, so you can 89 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 4: go if there's more that enables more, that's good stuff, 90 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 4: but right now it'll stop it going in the wrong 91 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 4: direction and look hard, medium small sized businesses their biggest. 92 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 1: Complaint last summer. 93 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 4: Last time I was here and we talked to the 94 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 4: to the administration about it was the biggest complaint was 95 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 4: you're in my pocket. You're slow me down. I can't 96 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 4: get things done. I want to permit to do something 97 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 4: it takes forever. 98 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: I want your labor rules. 99 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 4: All this stuff was going on just over and over, 100 00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 4: and small medium sized business don't have the thousands of 101 00:03:56,680 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 4: people that big companies have to figure it all out, 102 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 4: and they're figuring out their own. The same person's running 103 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 4: the business at nice sittingers say, so, what does this 104 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 4: new taxation strategy on so security mean to me? 105 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 1: How does it apply? How I have to change all 106 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: my systems? 107 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 4: And so they're just saying, if you just stop, you 108 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 4: know things will get better. 109 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 2: So you're on the number one lender to small businesses 110 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 2: in the United States, give us the read on things 111 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:20,160 Speaker 2: right now. Are they already making those decisions to make 112 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:22,039 Speaker 2: a move to make those investments that they were on 113 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:24,920 Speaker 2: hold over the last four years doing? Are they already 114 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 2: making that move? 115 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 4: So if you come over the last say, six eight 116 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:31,240 Speaker 4: months or so, that it went from regulation and inflation, 117 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 4: the inflation. 118 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: Has kind of come down as their worry. 119 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 4: Right now, what's actually interesting is they're going back to 120 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:38,040 Speaker 4: labor shortages and rightly. 121 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:39,240 Speaker 1: Now the interesting thing. 122 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:41,840 Speaker 4: About that that has a question about immigration and all 123 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 4: this stuff going on. But what they're feeling is demand. 124 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:47,679 Speaker 4: I need people to do things. And so they're starting 125 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 4: to feel the demand steady. Remember when the Fed was 126 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 4: raising rates, hid their cost of. 127 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:53,719 Speaker 1: Barring went up a lot. 128 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 4: They went from three hundred basis points over an index 129 00:04:56,560 --> 00:04:58,360 Speaker 4: that went up by five hundred basis points. That's a 130 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 4: big number, and so that cause them to say, let 131 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 4: me be careful and then if as the rates come 132 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:05,040 Speaker 4: download but they feel a little better. 133 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:06,920 Speaker 1: And now let's say, okay, I have the opportunity to grow, 134 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:08,719 Speaker 1: but can I get the people? 135 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 4: And remember that was the twenty twenty one twenty two timeframe, 136 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 4: so in there there's got to be a solution this immigration. 137 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:16,760 Speaker 1: It doesn't constrain those small medium. 138 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:18,400 Speaker 4: Sized business for growing or they're going to start letting. 139 00:05:18,400 --> 00:05:19,840 Speaker 2: Would you say, just to jump in, would you say 140 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 2: we are supply constrained. Do you think we are prone 141 00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 2: to have these bursts of inflation? 142 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:26,120 Speaker 1: Yes and no, And. 143 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:31,480 Speaker 4: We don't know honestly, because because of stimulus after the. 144 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:34,040 Speaker 1: Pandemic, there was so much more than there maybe had 145 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:35,839 Speaker 1: to be by technical economic. 146 00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 4: Discussion, you know, it's hard to say whether we're supply 147 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:41,480 Speaker 4: constrained and other things. And it were supply constraints because 148 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:45,040 Speaker 4: it cut off a supply and the stoppage of goods 149 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 4: coming in the country and shipping and all that stuff 150 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 4: that we went through. So you haven't gotten to a 151 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:51,719 Speaker 4: real normalized side of that yet. But that's the blame 152 00:05:51,760 --> 00:05:55,039 Speaker 4: for the current thing. I think the supply shortages can 153 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 4: mitigate if you know, we got to be a little 154 00:05:57,320 --> 00:05:59,039 Speaker 4: careful about labor supply, We've got to be a little 155 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:00,680 Speaker 4: care for about tariff. 156 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:01,799 Speaker 1: Impacting supply and things. 157 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:04,200 Speaker 4: But I think people the second sourcing has gone on, 158 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:06,919 Speaker 4: people are finding places to get stuff. So I'm not 159 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 4: quite sure that's going to be the issue, but a 160 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:10,480 Speaker 4: lot of what we think it was the issue is 161 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 4: actually the pandemic, the stimulus and the impact the pandemic 162 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 4: on supply. 163 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:15,320 Speaker 1: That's worked a suit of system. 164 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 3: So John started with the fact that you've been a 165 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,039 Speaker 3: Bank of America for fifteen years. We keep hearing about 166 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 3: succession plans in different places. What's your succession plan? 167 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 1: But you're trying to throw me out. 168 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:27,280 Speaker 3: No, no, not at all. I'm just wondering because this 169 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 3: is something that we. 170 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 2: Lost. 171 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 4: Questions are the way the fascination with all this is interesting, 172 00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:38,119 Speaker 4: and one just means we're all getting older. 173 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:40,920 Speaker 1: So what they'reality is run. 174 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 4: We run across in our company through the top three layers, 175 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 4: including for the CEO succession. Every six months, we go 176 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 4: through everything who the media successors, for every one of 177 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 4: our teammates jobs, and we have a slate and we 178 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 4: go from a slate because if we run a company, 179 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:58,119 Speaker 4: people leave for a whole, they retire, they get another job, whatever, 180 00:06:58,200 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 4: and you're always filling jobs. 181 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 1: And so with the way, the board will make. 182 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:04,080 Speaker 4: A choice at some point, I'm not going anywhere unless 183 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:06,799 Speaker 4: they throw me out. They know that. But my job, 184 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:08,839 Speaker 4: and one of the biggest jobs I have, is preparing 185 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:11,920 Speaker 4: people for the what it would be like to run 186 00:07:11,960 --> 00:07:16,280 Speaker 4: this company out there, and that's important. So we do 187 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 4: a lot with our team to get them used to 188 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 4: experiences and get them to learn more about the. 189 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 1: Trade offs you have to make at the top of 190 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 1: the house. 191 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 4: Because if you come through a business or come through 192 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:25,600 Speaker 4: a function, you haven't made those trails. That's part of 193 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 4: our general strategy, and so we talked to our board. 194 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 4: But you'll never hear us discuss A is in and 195 00:07:30,520 --> 00:07:32,880 Speaker 4: B is. That to me is the worst thing you 196 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 4: can do. I went through that process and the end 197 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 4: of two thousand and nine. Whether it's DAI to day speculation, 198 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 4: that's not. 199 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 1: The way to do it. Well, thank you for that 200 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 1: very much. You'll be the first person. 201 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 2: Okay, thank you. 202 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 3: I appreciate that we only have about thirty seconds. You 203 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 3: said something to us when we were at Bank of 204 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 3: America that AI would basically keep the staff the same 205 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:51,880 Speaker 3: size but increase the footprint of business. Do you stand 206 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 3: by that? 207 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:55,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, there are two facts I'll give you. One is 208 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: we run the company on the. 209 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 4: Nominal amount of dollars of expenses we did ten years 210 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 4: ago almost now nomena not not inflation, just and we 211 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:05,800 Speaker 4: run it on thirty thousand less people. That is all digitization, 212 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 4: and AI is an extension of automation, digitization models, et cetera, 213 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:14,160 Speaker 4: automating work, taking out work and automated. Therefore you don't 214 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 4: need and I think he keeps going. The idea is, 215 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:19,800 Speaker 4: if we're good, we'll keep adjusting where the teammates end 216 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 4: up so it may not be the same two hundred 217 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 4: twelve thousand people, two hundred and thirteen thousand people doing 218 00:08:24,200 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 4: the same thing ten years from now. Yeah, but my 219 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 4: guess is that our employment levels will stay relatively static 220 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 4: if you work towards stuff that can't be replicated near 221 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:31,520 Speaker 4: turned by air. 222 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:33,559 Speaker 2: Ron gent And you've been super generous with your time 223 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 2: and you show me up every year because you always 224 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:36,840 Speaker 2: come out here with a suit jacket on and I'm 225 00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 2: sitting here with like a winter jacket. Yeah, but I 226 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 2: have Yeah, I know, I know you've been influenced by Brian. 227 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 1: No, it's actually just a lot warmer. 228 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 2: Thanks for America, CEA, you and Chairman, thank you.