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Speaker 1: What's going on everybody? Scott Bogman here for Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: to tell you my favorite bets and props for Week

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Speaker 1: eight of the college football season. Remember you can follow

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Speaker 1: all of my picks. Tail me, fade me, or roll

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Speaker 1: with me here at Betting Pros on the app or

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com. Slash Bogman will get you there to

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Speaker 1: see the bets that I am picking for this week.

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Speaker 1: Looking back at last week, it was exactly a five

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Speaker 1: hundred week. We went five and five on my picks.

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Speaker 1: I got the UNLV Utah State over the Texas and

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma under and the half got by a tiny the

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Speaker 1: tiniest of margins in that one because two missfield goals

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Speaker 1: at the end that stayed under Mississippi State plus thirty

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Speaker 1: three and a half. That was completely right. They only

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Speaker 1: lost by ten. And then on Kansas State Colorado also

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Speaker 1: got that one. And then we had the under in

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Speaker 1: the ole miss LSU game and we got the under there,

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Speaker 1: but we did miss the old miss side. The other

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Speaker 1: misses that I had, Penn State and USC got the

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Speaker 1: hook there three and a half. They won by three

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Speaker 1: pit I had minus three. They ended up winning by

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Speaker 1: two Tennessee and Florida, complete miss that came went into overtime.

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Speaker 1: I was laying the points on Florida and then Iosa

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Speaker 1: West Virginia. I the over in that one, and that

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Speaker 1: one was a complete miss as well. So five and

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Speaker 1: five on the picks one on one on the touchdown props.

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Speaker 1: I did not realize that Caden Vegan was not going

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Speaker 1: to play. Neither did a lot of people for Illinois,

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Speaker 1: so I cut that prop out actually had a three

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Speaker 1: leg with that in his got pushed aside because he

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Speaker 1: was a DNP. Four and four on the props as well.

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Speaker 1: Mendoza hit, Brosmer hit barely. Then we got ja Cory

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Speaker 1: Brooks that was an easy one, and Daniel Jackson fifty

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Speaker 1: two and a half. The ones I missed were Hodgemen Leak,

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Speaker 1: Williams on the rush yards, John Mattier on the rush yards,

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Speaker 1: Singleton on the reck yards, and Antoine Wells just didn't

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Speaker 1: have a catch, and a big chunk of that game

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Speaker 1: for ole miss. So that was Week seven, five hundred

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Speaker 1: four and four on the picks one on one in

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Speaker 1: the touchdown calls, five and five on or excuse me,

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Speaker 1: four and four and the props five and five on

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Speaker 1: the picks. So let's go into this week. I don't

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Speaker 1: have as many plays for you this week. Let's start

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Speaker 1: with the picks. The first one I'm going to give you,

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Speaker 1: guys is Indiana minus six and a half at home

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Speaker 1: hosting Nebraska. Now, this is a big challenge, and I

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Speaker 1: hear everyone talking about how well Indiana hasn't played anybody.

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Speaker 1: Indiana hasn't played anybody. Well. Nebraska hasn't played a lot either.

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Speaker 1: They played Illinois and they lost that game at home,

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Speaker 1: but they also played Colorado, who is not nearly as

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Speaker 1: good as we thought they were going into this season.

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Speaker 1: So there's the strength of schedule is better for Indiana,

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Speaker 1: surprisingly than it is for Nebraska so far this season.

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Speaker 1: I use PFF. A lot of people use other places,

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Speaker 1: but I looked at two or three places like the

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Speaker 1: schedule has been tougher for Indiana. So both teams are

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Speaker 1: coming off a bye. But I trust coach Signetti a

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Speaker 1: little bit more on the Indiana side, and Indiana has dominated.

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Speaker 1: They won every game by two touchdowns that they've played.

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Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna win by two touchdowns here,

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Speaker 1: but I could see a ten point victory. I could

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Speaker 1: see a thirteen point victory for Indiana two weeks to

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Speaker 1: prepare for both teams. It should be a very good game.

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Speaker 1: But I would lay the points the six and a

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Speaker 1: half and take the Hoosiers in that game the next one.

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Speaker 1: And look, I've been bad at picking Michigan, So if

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Speaker 1: you want to avoid this call because I have not

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Speaker 1: been hitting these Michigan calls very often, fine, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: keep hammering it. Though. I really like Michigan on the road.

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Speaker 1: In this game at Illinois, the line has moved to

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Speaker 1: three and a half and opened it one and a half.

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Speaker 1: But people are buying in on Michigan, and for me,

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Speaker 1: it's the run game, right. Jack Tuttle is going to

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Speaker 1: bring a little bit more to this offense, keep it

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Speaker 1: a little more balanced. But we saw Purdue put up

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Speaker 1: a ton of rushing yards last week on this Illinois

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Speaker 1: team and they had to win fifty to forty nine

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Speaker 1: in that game. Michigan still has a very good defense,

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Speaker 1: so I think the Illinois offense is going to be

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Speaker 1: a little bit overmatched by this Michigan defense. And we

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Speaker 1: saw what happening against Penn State when they played an

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Speaker 1: elite level defense, right They only scored seven points in

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Speaker 1: that game. They are hosting this one, but Michigan also

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Speaker 1: coming off of bye two weeks to prep for this game.

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Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna lay the points and go with

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Speaker 1: the Jack Tuttles here. I mean, last week, the LNA

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Speaker 1: gave up one hundred yards to both Ryan Brown and

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Speaker 1: Devin Mockaby, the quarterback and running back for Purdue. There

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Speaker 1: and the LNA will also have a hard time fighting

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Speaker 1: back if they get down because their offensive line is

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Speaker 1: given up nineteen sacks. That's tied for one hundred and twentieth.

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Speaker 1: Michigan has seventeen this season. That's nineteenth in the nation.

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Speaker 1: They had the number one PFF pass rush grade. Michigan

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Speaker 1: isn't the same team they were last season, but I

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Speaker 1: think the issues with Michigan have been exacerbated by the

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Speaker 1: strength of schedule. The strength of schedule for them so

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Speaker 1: far has been fourth in the country. They've had a

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Speaker 1: tough roaddho here. So I think they get back on

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Speaker 1: track and I think they win this game at Purdue

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Speaker 1: or excuse me, at Illinois. And the line is Michigan

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Speaker 1: by three and a half, and I'm laying them. Let's

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Speaker 1: go to I'm gonna take some points here, and this

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Speaker 1: isn't a whole game bet. Iowa State, I think is

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Speaker 1: going to probably beat the breaks off of UCF. I

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Speaker 1: don't think that is a question. These teams are headed

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Speaker 1: in different directions here. But what we've seen from Iowa

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Speaker 1: State so far this season is they play it slow

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Speaker 1: in the first half. Matt Campbell makes his adjustments and

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Speaker 1: they roar back in the second half. We saw them

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Speaker 1: do it do it to Iowa in that Syhawk matchup earlier,

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Speaker 1: and they just get off the slow starts. They beat

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Speaker 1: WVU by twelve, they were only up four at halftime.

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Speaker 1: They beat Baylor by twenty two, they were up five

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Speaker 1: at halftime. They were up three to zero on Houston

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Speaker 1: before winning twenty to zip in that game, and in

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Speaker 1: that Iowa game, they scored all twenty points in the

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Speaker 1: second half. So because of that and we getting we're

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Speaker 1: getting changes to the offense at UCF. They're going with

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Speaker 1: a new quarterback, Curry Brown this week. Played pretty well

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Speaker 1: in the last game. I'm gonna take UCF plus seven

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Speaker 1: and a half in the first half. That's a first

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Speaker 1: half bet plus seven and a half for UCF because

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Speaker 1: what Matt Campbell likes to do is do the feeling

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Speaker 1: out process, see what the team looks like, and then

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Speaker 1: make adjustments in the second half. And I think that

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Speaker 1: is what we're going to see again from Iowa State.

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Speaker 1: I have two big point totals I am laying in

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Speaker 1: these next games, and it's because they played bad opponents.

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Speaker 1: We're picking on some bad opponents in these next two.

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Speaker 1: First one is Army minus sixteen and a half versus

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Speaker 1: East Carolina. ECU has been rough this season. The three

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Speaker 1: and three record is very deceiving in my opinion. The

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Speaker 1: Pirates started hot with two wins against Norfolk State and

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Speaker 1: Old Dominion, but since they've gone one in three and

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Speaker 1: have been getting torched on the ground. The Pirates gave

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Speaker 1: up rushing totals of one hundred and ninety one at Liberty,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy to TSA, and three hundred and

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Speaker 1: eleven rushing yards last week against Charlotte, and Army comes

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Speaker 1: into this game with the leading rushing attack in the country.

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Speaker 1: They average three hundred and sixty nine point eight yards

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Speaker 1: per game. Army QB. Bryson daily is eighth in rushing nationally.

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Speaker 1: Kanye Udo their running back is thirty third. Army has

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Speaker 1: been challenged has not been challenged defensively yet this season,

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Speaker 1: but ECU is one hundred and thirty three out of

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Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty four in time of possession. Only

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Speaker 1: Southern miss is worse than them. Army is third in

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Speaker 1: the country in time of possession this season, their second

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Speaker 1: scoring defense behind only Texas and thirty third and pass defense.

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Speaker 1: ECU passes at a fifty eight point five percent clip.

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Speaker 1: Army has been middling on defense. I mean, maybe ECU

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Speaker 1: scores because Army hasn't been challenged yet, but Army is

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Speaker 1: not going to be stopped in this game. I just

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Speaker 1: don't think they match up very well in this game

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Speaker 1: with Army, and I'm gonna lay the points and take

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Speaker 1: Army the other game that I'm gonna lay big points here,

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Speaker 1: and that one is sixteen and a half. It has

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Speaker 1: already moved. I had it at fourteen and a half,

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Speaker 1: I believe earlier this week maybe it was fifteen, but

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Speaker 1: it has moved towards Army SMU. I'm going to lay

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Speaker 1: the points here minus sixteen at Stanford and this is

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Speaker 1: you know, this is a decent side travel game going

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Speaker 1: from Texas to California. It's a late game, late start

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Speaker 1: for SMU. I don't think it matters. These teams are

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Speaker 1: heading opposite directions at this point. Stanford has already been

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Speaker 1: blown out and two of their three home games. SMU

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Speaker 1: has some struggles offensively early. They benched their starting quarterback

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Speaker 1: Preston Stone for Kevin Jennings in their first game in

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Speaker 1: Nevada and then lost to what we now know is

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Speaker 1: a good BYU team in week two. We were kind

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Speaker 1: of thinking, woof, they played Nevada close. Nevada is better

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Speaker 1: than we thought. They lost to BYU, BYUS way better

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Speaker 1: than we thought. Jennings has found his stride as Mustangs

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Speaker 1: have had sixty six points versus TCU, forty two versus FSU,

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Speaker 1: and thirty four at Louisville in their last three games.

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Speaker 1: SMU looks like the team that was projected to at

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Speaker 1: least compete in the ACC, and they're now sitting at

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Speaker 1: five and one. Stanford won two of their first three games,

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Speaker 1: but have been mired in a three game losing streak,

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Speaker 1: and it's at the end of a brutal stretch of

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Speaker 1: their schedule against Clemson, Vawtech, Notre Dame and now SMU.

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Speaker 1: Stanford has been having issues at quarterback and if they

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Speaker 1: get down, it will be tough for them to mount

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Speaker 1: a comeback. With the one hundred and twenty second rinked

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Speaker 1: pass offense in the nation, Stanford has only scored twenty

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Speaker 1: eight points in this three game losing streak, and while

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Speaker 1: they might score against SMU, they will not be able

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Speaker 1: to stop SMU. SMU is likely going to win this

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Speaker 1: one going away and get this one quick because the

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Speaker 1: line keeps opening up towards SMU every day. The last

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Speaker 1: game pick I'm going to give you is Navy versus Arlotte.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna go over the fifty six and a half there.

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Speaker 1: Navy is five and zero and Charlotte is four and two,

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Speaker 1: playing to the over this season for a combined nine

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Speaker 1: to two record towards the over. Navy is going to

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Speaker 1: do the heavy lifting here. Charlotte is one hundred and

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Speaker 1: ninth in rushing offense rushing yards allowed excuse me, and

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Speaker 1: one hundred and seventh in passing yards allowed. Maybe he's

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Speaker 1: fifth in scoring, averaging forty three points six points per game,

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Speaker 1: behind quarterback Blake Horvath, who's eleventh in the country. In

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Speaker 1: rushing five hundred and sixty five yards and ten touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: He mixes in some passes as well, which is not

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Speaker 1: something Navy and these service academies typically do, but they've

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Speaker 1: been doing it very well this season. Navy hasn't given

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Speaker 1: up a lot of points, but the one opponent with

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Speaker 1: the competent offense they played in Memphis, they did give

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Speaker 1: up forty four. Charlotte hasn't been great recently on offense,

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Speaker 1: but they did seem to figure out the offense with

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Speaker 1: five hundred and seventeen yards last week against ECU. Another

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Speaker 1: reason why I don't like ECU, but Charlotte did score

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Speaker 1: twenty one points on a defense that quit in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter, But that thirty four points that they had

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Speaker 1: scored up through the first three quarters would have been

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Speaker 1: there high for the season. So it seems like behind

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Speaker 1: their running back Hassan Wilson, they've kind of been breaking out.

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Speaker 1: He had fifteen rushes for one hundred and sixty four

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Speaker 1: yards and three tons down. So Navy does most of it,

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Speaker 1: but Charlotte is showing, at least last week, that they

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Speaker 1: are not wholly and completely incompetent on offense. They're kind

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Speaker 1: of figuring it out right now. So I like the

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Speaker 1: over in that game, So just to go through the

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Speaker 1: picks one more time, We're going Charlotte Navy over fifty

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Speaker 1: six and a half SMU minus sixteen at Stanford Army

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Speaker 1: minus sixteen and a half first East Carolina. We're going

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Speaker 1: UCF plus seven and a half in the first half.

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Speaker 1: We are laying the points for Michigan at Illinois's three

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Speaker 1: and a half. And we are laying the points for

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Speaker 1: Indiana minus six and a half hosting Nebraska. Before we

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Speaker 1: get into the props. If you're looking to up your

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Speaker 1: sports betting game, joining our exclusive sports betting discord community

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Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com slash chat. Not only can you

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Speaker 1: connect with expert handicappers who provide free picks for NBA, NFL, MLB,

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Speaker 1: college sports player props, live betting, and more, but now

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Speaker 1: you can also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast

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Speaker 1: your vote, see how your pick stack up against the experts,

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Speaker 1: and track your success. Let's go to the props for

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Speaker 1: this week. I got two touchdown calls for you guys.

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Speaker 1: Luthor Burton Missouri wide receiver versus Auburn. It is plus

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Speaker 1: money right now, plus one ten and Auburn has a

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Speaker 1: good defense. But the only game that Luther Burton has

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Speaker 1: not scored in so far this season was the Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M game, So every other game he has

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Speaker 1: a touchdown. Last week didn't have a receiving touchdown, but

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Speaker 1: he didn't run one in So Luthor Burton just announced

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Speaker 1: standing player gonna be very high NFL draft pick. I

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Speaker 1: think he gets in the end zone. We're gonna go

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Speaker 1: to my Texas Longhorns for the second one and take

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Speaker 1: gunner Helm the tight end. This one is paying you

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Speaker 1: plus one thirty five. Two touchdowns this season came in

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Speaker 1: the big games that the long ruin to have played

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Speaker 1: against Michigan and Oklahoma, and also the thirteen targets in

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Speaker 1: those games versus ten in the other four games they

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Speaker 1: played show that Sark likes to target gunner Helm in

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Speaker 1: these big spots in these big games, and quinn Ewers

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Speaker 1: back through to him a bunch in that Oklahoma game.

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Speaker 1: Quinn Ewers was also there for the Michigan game, so

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Speaker 1: it also could have been an arch manning thing. Wasn't

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Speaker 1: really looking for the tight end here. But now that

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Speaker 1: quinn is back, he has been getting his looks again.

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Speaker 1: So Gunnerhilm plus one thirty five, Luther Burden plus one ten,

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Speaker 1: both plus money. I like both those calls. Let's go

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Speaker 1: to passing yard props. I'm gonna go back to that

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Speaker 1: Stanford game. We're gonna go Kevin Jennings for SMU. The

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Speaker 1: total here is only two hundred three and a half yards,

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Speaker 1: which you know, it's a low total. So if this

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Speaker 1: is a blowout, like I kind of predict that it's

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Speaker 1: going to be, this is a low enough total for

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Speaker 1: him to get this before the blowout. So that is

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Speaker 1: really why I like this total. He's kind of hit

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Speaker 1: his stride in his last two games as well, twenty

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Speaker 1: one of twenty seven for two one yards against Louisville

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Speaker 1: last week, and then two weeks ago sixteen to twenty

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Speaker 1: three two hundred and fifty four yards and three touchdowns

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Speaker 1: against Florida State. They had two weeks to prep for

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Speaker 1: this game. Stanford, on average is given up two hundred

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Speaker 1: and sixty six point seven yards per game. Two hundred

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Speaker 1: three yards. Two hundred three and a half is a

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Speaker 1: prop on price picks underdog those places. But if you're

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Speaker 1: just taking this on DraftKings, you can get it. You know,

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Speaker 1: T twenty five is plus one fifty. Two oh three

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Speaker 1: is minus one twenty five. Two hundred and fifty yards

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Speaker 1: is plus three twenty and two seventy five is plus

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Speaker 1: six fifty. I don't like the larger numbers. Two fifty

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Speaker 1: is probably okay, but two twenty five again a number

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Speaker 1: that can be hit before you know, you run the

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Speaker 1: whole ball, and the second you run the whole second half,

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Speaker 1: excuse me, and you know, kind of ignore the passing

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Speaker 1: game when you get there. I got a couple rushing

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Speaker 1: yard props for you guys here. Cam Skataboo, Arizona State

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Speaker 1: running back at Cincinnati. It is ninety two and a

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Speaker 1: half yards. That's a lot, but Skataboo is fifth in

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Speaker 1: the nation in rushing yards seven hundred and seventy three

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Speaker 1: yards and eight touchdowns so far this year. Since he

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Speaker 1: is a good team ninety second in rushing yards allowed

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Speaker 1: per game. They were just gashed by the running back

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Speaker 1: quarterback combo of Harvey and Brown for UCF And in

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Speaker 1: this game, Sam leave it. The Arizona State quarterback is out.

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Speaker 1: So Jeff Simms, the transfer from Nebraska, is going to

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Speaker 1: be coming in here and he is replacing. He's a runner.

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Speaker 1: Is a point here, so he's replacing leave it and

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Speaker 1: he is a runner. I think Skataboo is going to

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Speaker 1: be able to work off of him. I do you

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Speaker 1: know a lot of people laying points stake in SENSI

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Speaker 1: I think that's fine. But for Arizona State, they're gonna

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Speaker 1: want to run the ball, try to control the clock

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Speaker 1: in this game, and you know, work it that way.

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Speaker 1: And I just think Skataboo is too good to be stopped.

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Speaker 1: He looks like Mike Alstott if you watch him. We're

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Speaker 1: going to take another quarterback rushing prop here because the

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Speaker 1: line is low. It's forty two and a half for

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Speaker 1: Xeon Chris, the quarterback for Houston. They are at Kansas.

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Speaker 1: Really it's the Arrowhead game again, but I do think

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Speaker 1: this counts as a home game for Kansas. But the

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Speaker 1: line here's forty two and a half. That's the prop

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Speaker 1: and his first start against TCU because he took over

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Speaker 1: for Donovan Smith, who I thought was a good quarterback

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Speaker 1: but has not been getting it done for Houston. They've

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Speaker 1: had massive problems on offense so far this year. But

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Speaker 1: he ran ten for seventy seven or excuse me leave

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Speaker 1: it against Kansas ran ten for seventy seven last year,

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Speaker 1: and they've had some problems against running quarterbacks Garrett Green

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Speaker 1: for West Virginia seventeen for eighty seven, Matthew Sluca before

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Speaker 1: he quit on UNLV nineteen for one hundred and twenty four,

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Speaker 1: and pretty decent first start for Xeon Chris last week

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Speaker 1: eleven rushes for ninety seven yards in a score against TCU,

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Speaker 1: who admittedly is not a good defense. But I think

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Speaker 1: that Xeon Chris this is a tool in his toolbox

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Speaker 1: and they are going to use it. They need everything

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Speaker 1: they can to get some offense here in Houston and

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Speaker 1: make it work. So forty two plus is minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five. You can bet this one all the way

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Speaker 1: up to eighty eight plus six fifty, so anywhere in

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Speaker 1: between that you feel feel comfortable with. But if you're

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Speaker 1: doing those props, I like this forty two and a

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Speaker 1: half line a lot, all right. I got two receiving

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Speaker 1: yard props for you guys here. Xavier Rostrepo, the Miami

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Speaker 1: wide receiver at Louisville eighty six and a half. He's

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Speaker 1: cleared this total in four of six games that he's

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Speaker 1: played and Louisville has given up some big games. Number

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Speaker 1: one wideouts. UVA wide receiver Malachai fields at seventeen targets

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Speaker 1: nine catches on in twenty nine. Georgia Tech wide receiver

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Speaker 1: Malik rut the third nine targets, seven catches, hunting three

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Speaker 1: teen yards, and even SMU's tight end r J. Maryland

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Speaker 1: had six catches for eighty three yards against them. And

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Speaker 1: I think this is a back and forth game. I

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Speaker 1: do like Miami in this game, even on the road.

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Speaker 1: A lot of people don't. But if you don't, then

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Speaker 1: you're probably thinking Miami is playing comeback late and cam

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00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:18,719
Speaker 1: Wod is gonna get the ball to his playmakers. So

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Speaker 1: we know that he is at least going to do that.

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Speaker 1: Eighty five plus is minus one twenty five here. You

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00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:26,280
Speaker 1: can bet this one up to one to ten plus

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Speaker 1: a plus two to ninety. But like I said, he's

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Speaker 1: cleared this in most games and the games that he

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Speaker 1: has in our games that they haven't needed him, They're

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Speaker 1: gonna need him in this game against Louisville. So I

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Speaker 1: think he has a decent week. And my last pick,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to Jamal Banks. So Nebraska wide receiver

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Speaker 1: at Indiana. I picked Indiana. I think they do win

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Speaker 1: this game, but that means I think Nebraska is playing

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Speaker 1: from behind late and throwing the ball a decent amount

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Speaker 1: in the second half. The total here for him is

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Speaker 1: forty one and a half. On an underdog and prize picks,

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Speaker 1: it's minus one fifteen for forty four plus. You can

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Speaker 1: bet this one all the way up to ninety plus.

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Speaker 1: At plus seven fifty, I think fifty or sixty yards

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Speaker 1: is probably more than enough if you want to delve

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Speaker 1: in here, if you're not doing just the parlays on

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Speaker 1: underdog and price picks. But he leaves Nebraska wide receivers

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00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:15,600
Speaker 1: and snaps and receptions three yards and two touchdowns. Indiana

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Speaker 1: is the favorite, and you know, again, I think that

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Speaker 1: Nebraska's playing from behind. He's gone over this total in

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Speaker 1: three of six games. Games he didn't go over this

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Speaker 1: were interesting. Travis Hunter had him in Colorado, and we

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Speaker 1: know how good Travis Hunter is. He wasn't needed in

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Speaker 1: the Northern Illinois blowout, and the whole offense was bad

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Speaker 1: against Rutgers a couple weeks ago, but two weeks to

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Speaker 1: prepare for this game. I also heard the PFF guys

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Speaker 1: talking about how Indiana plays a lot of zone and

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Speaker 1: Rail has been very very good against so in this season.

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Speaker 1: You know, I do for the game context. I think

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Speaker 1: they will take that into consideration and figure it out

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Speaker 1: with coach Sig. But it could make some big plays

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Speaker 1: for these wide receivers for Nebraska. So those are my picks.

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Speaker 1: Remember you can follow me on the Betting prosapp or

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slash Bogman. That is what I got

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Speaker 1: for you guys this week. Good luck and I we'll

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Speaker 1: see you next week. Take it easy, everybody. Thanks for

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Speaker 1: listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

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Speaker 2: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

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Speaker 2: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

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Speaker 2: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

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Speaker 2: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros