WEBVTT - Interview Only w/ Katherine Mangu-Ward - The Libertarian’s Guide To The Galaxy

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<v Speaker 2>Well.

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<v Speaker 1>Joining me now is somebody I've actually multiple iterations of

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<v Speaker 1>my podcast over the years, but I think it's the

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<v Speaker 1>first time since I left NBC that I have had

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<v Speaker 1>her on. It'sine Mango Ward. She's the editor in chief

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<v Speaker 1>of Reason magazine, essentially the magazine of the libertarian movement.

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<v Speaker 1>I would say, and I'll let her describe how closely

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<v Speaker 1>aligned they are with the party itself. But what triggered

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<v Speaker 1>the invite? And frankly, it was more of like, why

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<v Speaker 1>haven't I had Catherine on sooner? Was this op ed?

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<v Speaker 1>She wrote a couple of weeks ago the New York

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<v Speaker 1>Times that was so helpfully headlined, Libertarians tried to warn

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<v Speaker 1>you about Trump, but maybe we got lost in an

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<v Speaker 1>at Aleppo rabbit hole. But I'm sorry for that, Sorry

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<v Speaker 1>for that little poke and joke there, going back to

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<v Speaker 1>Gary Johnson, but Catherine joins me now, and Catherine, it's

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<v Speaker 1>good to see you. Sorry it's taken so long.

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<v Speaker 3>Of course, thanks for having me on.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, I use this all the time whenever

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<v Speaker 1>I'm asked to do talks. I said, you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>all find out how libertarian we are when we don't

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<v Speaker 1>like the party that's in charge of our politics in

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<v Speaker 1>any given moment, which is why when you see people

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<v Speaker 1>from a majority party behaving as libertarians before they're partisans,

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<v Speaker 1>it gives you a little bit of hope. But there's

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<v Speaker 1>not many of those folks that behave this way. But

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I think fundamentally that's what the Supreme Court

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<v Speaker 1>ruling last week in some ways was as a reminder

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<v Speaker 1>that that there is structure that should you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>whole goal of the Founders was not to let any

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<v Speaker 1>body become a king and let unilateral control of government

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<v Speaker 1>arguably a libertarian point of view. So tell me your

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<v Speaker 1>motivation for writing the outbed was it I told you so?

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<v Speaker 3>You know, I actually have said in public. In fact,

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<v Speaker 3>that I told you so doesn't usually win arguments. But

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<v Speaker 3>what I discovered is that there is an exception here,

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<v Speaker 3>which is when the I told you so is also

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<v Speaker 3>kind of validating in the readers, in this case, the

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<v Speaker 3>readers of the New York Times, something they had been

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<v Speaker 3>telling themselves too. So part of what this piece is

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<v Speaker 3>about is, you know, libertarians have been making this sort

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<v Speaker 3>of thorough going, consistent case against the rise of executive

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<v Speaker 3>power and kind of the imbalance that that's creating. But

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of folks who identify as kind of mainstream

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<v Speaker 3>Democrats or the kind of imagined reader of the Times

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<v Speaker 3>are skeptical about those things when it comes to a

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<v Speaker 3>bunch of the places where Trump has suddenly started pushing hard.

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<v Speaker 3>So we're talking here about trade, we're talking here about immigration,

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<v Speaker 3>that kind of thing. There was already a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>commonality there, so in some ways it was more of

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<v Speaker 3>a remember how you're a little bit libertarian to my

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<v Speaker 3>friends and readers.

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<v Speaker 1>No, it's I like to remind people that this, and

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's probably explains why it's been so difficult

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<v Speaker 1>for the libertarian movement to fully unify, because there is

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<v Speaker 1>a libertarian wing of the Democratic Party. It's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like Jared Poulos and Colorad I was sort

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<v Speaker 1>of the poster child that most repress. He would say,

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<v Speaker 1>he goes, We're for freedoms, freedoms here, freedom on your body,

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<v Speaker 1>freedom of autonomy, things like that. And then of course

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<v Speaker 1>we've we've known there's a libertarian wing of the Republican

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<v Speaker 1>Party for some time, but it went dormant for a

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<v Speaker 1>little while, but it was What's interesting is it's mostly

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<v Speaker 1>been a phenomenon geographically out west right. When you look

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<v Speaker 1>at the old Republican coalition pre Trump, it was the

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<v Speaker 1>Western Republicans who were the conservatives who would surprise quote

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<v Speaker 1>unquote surprise people by votes sometimes because there was a

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<v Speaker 1>libertarian streak in them. Alan Simpson is probably the best

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<v Speaker 1>example of this in the previous era, and maybe Lisa

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<v Speaker 1>Markowski is the best example of this today well.

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<v Speaker 3>And you do see this in some unexpected places as well,

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<v Speaker 3>like in Utah, where of course the politics are often

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<v Speaker 3>quite dominated by Mormons, but where they do actually quite

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<v Speaker 3>a good job of protecting minority rights, probably because of

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<v Speaker 3>the backstory of Mormons and other things, right, so they're

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<v Speaker 3>riff for a Laws that protect religious freedoms, for example,

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<v Speaker 3>are surprisingly libertarian. You see a lot of school choice

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<v Speaker 3>out west for similar reasons, sometimes with bipartisan or kind

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<v Speaker 3>of mixed support. In terms of who's sending libertarians to

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<v Speaker 3>the hill right now though, Kentucky, you know we have

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<v Speaker 3>both right of all places, Primus Massey, who are neither

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<v Speaker 3>neither I would say, are you know, as libertarian as

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<v Speaker 3>I would like them to be every day, all the time,

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<v Speaker 3>but pretty clearly deserve the title of most libertarian on

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<v Speaker 3>the hill.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I think they're culturally. You know, it's always culture

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<v Speaker 1>where that I think gets somebody on either side of

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<v Speaker 1>the spectrum tripped up on libertarianism, right, whether it's on

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<v Speaker 1>racial or social justice on the left or on call

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<v Speaker 1>it wokeness on the right.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, Yeah, I think that's true. I also think you know,

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<v Speaker 3>there there's a version of this piece. We can get

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<v Speaker 3>into the details a little bit more. But as I

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<v Speaker 3>say that, the piece for the Times, the last you know,

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<v Speaker 3>a couple of weeks ago, I focused on immigration and

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<v Speaker 3>trade and speech where you know, Trump is kind of

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<v Speaker 3>being the least libertarian, although quite unlibertarian in so many ways.

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<v Speaker 3>There's a version of this piece I could have written

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<v Speaker 3>under the Biden administration on the other side of the equation, where.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, was that tell me, tell it, express it so

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<v Speaker 1>that we're not just saying absolutely yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean I think that the version of this piece

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<v Speaker 3>here is, you know, libertarians have been warning you about

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<v Speaker 3>the dangers of debt and deficit. We've been warned, and

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<v Speaker 3>that actually, frankly, you can make that argument just as

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<v Speaker 3>well under any administration. But you know, libertarians have been

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<v Speaker 3>warning you about the dangers of an entitlement programs that

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<v Speaker 3>are totally out of control, and we've been warrying about

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<v Speaker 3>the dangers of overregulation. And this would be places where

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<v Speaker 3>people on the right would be in that moment when

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<v Speaker 3>they are out of power and predisp supposed to be

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<v Speaker 3>friendly to libertarians saying like, oh yeah, that is something

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<v Speaker 3>libertarians have been saying, and it is something that you know,

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<v Speaker 3>kind of Reaganite conservative maybe once said, but we might

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<v Speaker 3>have lost sight of.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the one place where and this is where

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<v Speaker 1>I want to, because you know, there are some sort

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<v Speaker 1>of sixty thousand foot point of views of libertarianism where

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<v Speaker 1>it's easy to get sixty or seventy percent in agreement

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<v Speaker 1>of where government shouldn't be. And arguably, you know, if

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<v Speaker 1>you read the Bill of Rights, you could argue that's

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<v Speaker 1>the libertarian that it's almost like we built in right,

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<v Speaker 1>there sons of liberty for a reason. Right, libertarian is

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<v Speaker 1>built off of liberty for a reason. Right. The first

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<v Speaker 1>ten Amendments are those amendments that regardless of your personal ideology,

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<v Speaker 1>and these and they were designed to protect minority rights. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>people always forget the entire Constitution is premised on minority rights,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's always something that I think the majority always

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<v Speaker 1>seems to forget.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, well, when you're in the majority, you are tempted,

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<v Speaker 3>understandably so to think, you know, this is where we

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<v Speaker 3>The word mandate always gets thrown around, right, Oh, we

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<v Speaker 3>have a mandate for first of all, American elections in

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<v Speaker 3>recent memory haven't given anyone a mandate anywhere as far

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<v Speaker 3>as I'm concerned. They're often very close. There's low participation.

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<v Speaker 1>To me, sixty percent of mandate and we haven't had

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<v Speaker 1>a sixty percent president even in job approval ratings. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>you had it briefly for Bush at after nine to eleven,

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<v Speaker 1>and Bill Clinton only got it after they came after

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<v Speaker 1>him to impeach him for sex. Like Soda was like,

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<v Speaker 1>well wait a minute. You know we liked the job.

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<v Speaker 1>This guy's do it, but it was only when it

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<v Speaker 1>was threatened to take away. Right, you really haven't seen

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<v Speaker 1>us with a with a sixty percent mindset as an

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<v Speaker 1>electorate since the Cold War.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, So there's this temptation to say, like, we won

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<v Speaker 3>the election, we do what we want, and I think

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<v Speaker 3>not only is that poisonously bad politics, and especially not

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<v Speaker 3>just we won the election, but we hold the presidency

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<v Speaker 3>and we do what we want because increasingly that is

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<v Speaker 3>what it means to do things in politics in any

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<v Speaker 3>way shape or form. Is emergency orders, executive orders. It's

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<v Speaker 3>all coming out of the executive Congress. You know, the

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<v Speaker 3>Supreme Court in their in their ruling this week begged

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<v Speaker 3>Congress to do their jobs again.

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<v Speaker 1>Gorst chop ed was something.

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<v Speaker 3>Huh, it was so good.

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<v Speaker 1>Excuse me I called it a not ed because it

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<v Speaker 1>really was.

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<v Speaker 3>You were right the first time.

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<v Speaker 1>It is it op ed He basically was like, I

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<v Speaker 1>got to get something off my chest here. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>It was juicy. And you know, I have had my

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<v Speaker 3>disagreements with some of Gorsch's rulings, but I think the

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<v Speaker 3>way that he hit the nail on the head there

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<v Speaker 3>is just, you know, it's undeniable.

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<v Speaker 1>By the way, a Western conservative avative. I mean, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>just not saying, I'm just saying Colorado.

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<v Speaker 3>So I think, you know, this this kind of this

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<v Speaker 3>idea that we hold power whoever we are and whatever

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<v Speaker 3>power is, and so therefore speed ahead. When as you say,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, our founding documents do not endorse that perspective

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<v Speaker 3>on the presidency or the executive branch, and the American

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<v Speaker 3>public doesn't actually think that either. They don't you know,

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<v Speaker 3>when you look at the polling, especially about you know,

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<v Speaker 3>about the ice enforcement actions in major cities, they don't

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<v Speaker 3>like it. They see it, and they don't like it.

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<v Speaker 3>When you look at the you know, how the markets

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<v Speaker 3>are responding to tariffs, they're seeing it and they don't

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<v Speaker 3>like it. And then you know, additionally, now we have

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<v Speaker 3>how the court responds. They see it and they don't

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<v Speaker 3>like it. And all of those signals are really meaningful

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<v Speaker 3>and the founders meant them to be meaningful.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, you brought up in the in the times

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<v Speaker 1>up at about you know, the warrantless searches when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to the ice agents and what we're seeing there.

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<v Speaker 1>Where are all the conservatives who are up in arms

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<v Speaker 1>about giving Obama you know this power, you know, supposedly

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<v Speaker 1>eavesdropping power. Back when we were fighting the so called

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<v Speaker 1>warrant terror, we're quite a few conservatives. It wasn't majority,

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<v Speaker 1>but it was a healthy minority of conservatives and a

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<v Speaker 1>and a smaller but a healthy minority of liberals who

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<v Speaker 1>did raise some civil liberties issues at the time on

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<v Speaker 1>that issue. Where are those folks today?

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<v Speaker 3>I wish I knew I would find them. I would,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, bring them into a safe shelter here at

0:12:22.080 --> 0:12:24.880
<v Speaker 3>the Reason Offices. I would. I would give them a

0:12:24.920 --> 0:12:28.040
<v Speaker 3>hot meal and a blanket, because surely they have been

0:12:28.080 --> 0:12:30.360
<v Speaker 3>out in the cold for so long I think, I

0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:33.560
<v Speaker 3>mean the So the actual answer, right is that over

0:12:33.600 --> 0:12:37.439
<v Speaker 3>the over the years, the presence of Trump in particular

0:12:37.679 --> 0:12:39.960
<v Speaker 3>and also just in general, the kind of will to

0:12:40.000 --> 0:12:43.280
<v Speaker 3>power conservatism that has risen in the GOP, this kind

0:12:43.280 --> 0:12:46.440
<v Speaker 3>of this idea that it is we are no longer

0:12:46.480 --> 0:12:48.280
<v Speaker 3>We no longer have to play fair. The other side

0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:51.320
<v Speaker 3>has already cheated, so we simply have to seize power

0:12:51.360 --> 0:12:56.000
<v Speaker 3>and use justify the means, justifies the means. That attitude

0:12:56.040 --> 0:12:58.839
<v Speaker 3>has sort of become a sendant on the left and

0:12:59.000 --> 0:13:02.560
<v Speaker 3>the right, but conservatives or Republicans, I should say, have

0:13:02.679 --> 0:13:06.160
<v Speaker 3>had more chance to put that into action, and that

0:13:06.240 --> 0:13:10.480
<v Speaker 3>has slowly pushed out a whole bunch of sub types

0:13:10.559 --> 0:13:13.559
<v Speaker 3>of Republicans and Conservatives who were a little more on

0:13:13.600 --> 0:13:17.040
<v Speaker 3>the libertarian side. So they've been primaried out. They've been

0:13:17.280 --> 0:13:19.360
<v Speaker 3>bullied out by Trump. You know he does. He is

0:13:19.400 --> 0:13:22.640
<v Speaker 3>not afraid to use his you know, true social account

0:13:22.720 --> 0:13:25.880
<v Speaker 3>to just say, you know, Thomas Massey's on the outscrew

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:30.800
<v Speaker 3>this guy, and and some of them I think just

0:13:30.920 --> 0:13:33.880
<v Speaker 3>left in despair. I mean a lot of people who

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:36.800
<v Speaker 3>I joined the right, a lot of people who I

0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:39.120
<v Speaker 3>admired in politics and who were sort of maybe slightly

0:13:39.200 --> 0:13:43.880
<v Speaker 3>quirky figures, just said I can't do this anymore. Basically,

0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:45.440
<v Speaker 3>anyone from Arizona ever.

0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:49.600
<v Speaker 1>Get out Matt Salmon, right, what happened?

0:13:49.800 --> 0:13:52.360
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, good old Matt Salmon, who I profiled when I

0:13:52.400 --> 0:13:57.080
<v Speaker 3>was an Internet reason twenty five years ago, and who

0:13:57.200 --> 0:14:01.080
<v Speaker 3>was you know, like quite libertarian and in many ways

0:14:01.200 --> 0:14:03.839
<v Speaker 3>and just you know, in that case, actually I think

0:14:03.840 --> 0:14:06.679
<v Speaker 3>he was part of the term limited crew, the voluntarily

0:14:06.800 --> 0:14:09.520
<v Speaker 3>self term limited crew who all went out at the

0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:12.320
<v Speaker 3>and that kind of end stage of the Gingra Revolution.

0:14:12.559 --> 0:14:15.839
<v Speaker 1>But here's where I think, you know, if I were

0:14:15.840 --> 0:14:18.199
<v Speaker 1>to say, boy, this should be a moment for libertarianism,

0:14:18.240 --> 0:14:20.280
<v Speaker 1>and there's we can and I think you're uped sort

0:14:20.280 --> 0:14:22.960
<v Speaker 1>of showed it a little bit. But if there's one

0:14:23.040 --> 0:14:28.760
<v Speaker 1>giant area where I have my doubts, it's in how

0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:33.440
<v Speaker 1>to deal with big tech m because right there's and

0:14:33.520 --> 0:14:35.200
<v Speaker 1>to me, this is and and I'd love for you

0:14:35.240 --> 0:14:38.760
<v Speaker 1>to get at this tension, right, don't know if I

0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:43.640
<v Speaker 1>love the government forcing you know, sort of you know,

0:14:43.720 --> 0:14:47.560
<v Speaker 1>picking winners and losers here overly regulating at the same time,

0:14:49.040 --> 0:14:53.720
<v Speaker 1>these cats don't deserve an open runway without some restraint,

0:14:54.360 --> 0:14:57.160
<v Speaker 1>and the market is not mature enough to restrain them

0:14:57.280 --> 0:15:00.400
<v Speaker 1>at this moment. Right, market restraint hasn't worked the way

0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:04.360
<v Speaker 1>it should work. There's been too much consolidation. So let

0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:08.400
<v Speaker 1>me start it this way. It's Teddy Roosevelt a libertarian.

0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:13.160
<v Speaker 3>For reasons if my own safety, among other things. I

0:15:13.160 --> 0:15:15.560
<v Speaker 3>wouldn't presume to put a label on that man, even

0:15:15.720 --> 0:15:20.560
<v Speaker 3>this many years later, you know. I I think the

0:15:20.600 --> 0:15:24.000
<v Speaker 3>thing about big tech is that almost always when people

0:15:24.160 --> 0:15:28.320
<v Speaker 3>describe the thing they fear from big tech, what is

0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:32.840
<v Speaker 3>the what is the consequence that we're looking to to prevent?

0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 3>When we talk about, you know, our worries with big tech,

0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:38.920
<v Speaker 3>actually it is almost always a fear about the state.

0:15:39.480 --> 0:15:43.200
<v Speaker 3>And so when I say that, I mean, well, okay,

0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:46.480
<v Speaker 3>maybe I don't want you know, one company having all

0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 3>my data. Well, okay, why is it because you're worried

0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:51.800
<v Speaker 3>that they're going to sell you stuff? No, that's not

0:15:51.840 --> 0:15:58.000
<v Speaker 3>Why is it because you're worried that they might aggregate

0:15:58.040 --> 0:16:03.960
<v Speaker 3>that data and you know, paint a portrait of the market,

0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:07.440
<v Speaker 3>or or even of the electorate. Okay, maybe, But what

0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:09.840
<v Speaker 3>we actually are worried about is, well, what happens when

0:16:10.680 --> 0:16:14.960
<v Speaker 3>the government gets its hands on that data and uses

0:16:15.000 --> 0:16:20.400
<v Speaker 3>it to punish, in prison, censor or otherwise, you know,

0:16:20.480 --> 0:16:22.560
<v Speaker 3>infringe on your rights. And what we've seen, what we

0:16:22.600 --> 0:16:25.480
<v Speaker 3>saw for example in the Twitter files was sometimes big

0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:29.520
<v Speaker 3>tech gladly cooperates with the state, and I think that

0:16:29.760 --> 0:16:33.520
<v Speaker 3>is gross and bad but I'm not sure that the

0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:36.080
<v Speaker 3>entity at fault or kind of the place that I

0:16:36.080 --> 0:16:38.320
<v Speaker 3>want to lay the blame there fully is with big tech,

0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:42.640
<v Speaker 3>because of course they understand that, you know, in that instance,

0:16:42.680 --> 0:16:48.080
<v Speaker 3>the Biden administration, but all presidential administrations, they hold a

0:16:48.160 --> 0:16:50.000
<v Speaker 3>huge amount of power in that relationship. You know, it's

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:51.720
<v Speaker 3>a nice it's a nice big tech company. You have

0:16:51.760 --> 0:16:53.520
<v Speaker 3>there be a shame if something happened to it. Is

0:16:53.600 --> 0:16:55.840
<v Speaker 3>kind of the energy that a lot of these interactions have.

0:16:57.360 --> 0:17:01.920
<v Speaker 3>I for one, don't mind Mark Zuckerberg selling trying to

0:17:01.960 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 3>sell me, or put in front of my eyeballs whatever

0:17:04.920 --> 0:17:09.399
<v Speaker 3>videos of AI puppies and you know, Chinese toys he

0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:12.600
<v Speaker 3>wants to try to sell me. I just don't want

0:17:13.040 --> 0:17:16.400
<v Speaker 3>to have consequences to my personal freedom. And I think

0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:18.720
<v Speaker 3>the fear there is that the state acts, not that

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:19.800
<v Speaker 3>the tech companies act.

0:17:20.040 --> 0:17:22.840
<v Speaker 1>Well, so, I mean this is where I think that

0:17:22.880 --> 0:17:26.200
<v Speaker 1>this is another But this is the tension that I

0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:29.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm detecting, which is I think most libertarians agree they

0:17:30.040 --> 0:17:32.720
<v Speaker 1>distrust anybody who's consolidating power.

0:17:33.359 --> 0:17:36.520
<v Speaker 3>Right, well, there are lots of types of libertarians, right

0:17:36.960 --> 0:17:42.480
<v Speaker 3>so I actually think, you know, I hate to be

0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:44.400
<v Speaker 3>that guy, but It depends what you mean by power.

0:17:44.520 --> 0:17:47.920
<v Speaker 3>If you mean market power, not necessarily, if you mean

0:17:48.880 --> 0:17:50.280
<v Speaker 3>monopoly on violence and the like.

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:53.760
<v Speaker 1>I think it's money. I think, I know, maybe it's

0:17:53.800 --> 0:17:55.639
<v Speaker 1>like pornography, you know, when you see it, it's the

0:17:55.760 --> 0:18:02.480
<v Speaker 1>it's sort of you know, it's monopolistic power, where like

0:18:02.560 --> 0:18:06.520
<v Speaker 1>Amazon may be a monopoly, but they kind of earned it, right,

0:18:06.520 --> 0:18:11.240
<v Speaker 1>they just outworked everybody perhaps, And you can make that case. Yeah,

0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:14.280
<v Speaker 1>you know the fact that they get deliveries at my house,

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:17.199
<v Speaker 1>but the US Postal Service still isn't reliable since that

0:18:17.320 --> 0:18:20.400
<v Speaker 1>first snowstorm, right, it like it tells you you're like, look,

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:24.200
<v Speaker 1>whatever you think of them, right, they are customer first.

0:18:24.320 --> 0:18:26.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I kind of wish Jeff Bezos thought about

0:18:26.280 --> 0:18:29.720
<v Speaker 1>that in the way he owns News a newspaper. But

0:18:29.800 --> 0:18:33.680
<v Speaker 1>that's okay, But I digress. So they may be a monopoly,

0:18:33.720 --> 0:18:36.840
<v Speaker 1>but one could argue they earned it. But if you

0:18:36.880 --> 0:18:40.080
<v Speaker 1>look at when government helps a company, when government is

0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:43.119
<v Speaker 1>involved and the inner So I guess the question is,

0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:45.600
<v Speaker 1>how do you prevent what Trump is doing right now

0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:48.760
<v Speaker 1>with the tech industry? Right, that has to come with

0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:51.080
<v Speaker 1>some government, Like you're going to have to have government

0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:54.840
<v Speaker 1>regulation intervened to stop government from doing what it's doing right.

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:56.840
<v Speaker 3>And so this is this is where you get into

0:18:56.880 --> 0:18:59.680
<v Speaker 3>a horrible circumstance because any of the solutions that I

0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:04.000
<v Speaker 3>might proposed now at best are a balance of power

0:19:04.080 --> 0:19:07.200
<v Speaker 3>solution where one part of government might constrain another part

0:19:07.240 --> 0:19:10.520
<v Speaker 3>of government, but sometimes are just kind of like a

0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:16.080
<v Speaker 3>cultural sea change type solution where we would just all

0:19:16.119 --> 0:19:18.120
<v Speaker 3>agree in some way that this has gone too far

0:19:18.280 --> 0:19:19.360
<v Speaker 3>and people would win.

0:19:19.560 --> 0:19:21.520
<v Speaker 1>Our founders would say, well, Congress, should.

0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:24.600
<v Speaker 3>It right their job. So I think this is you know,

0:19:24.680 --> 0:19:26.480
<v Speaker 3>what what Trump has done. The place is where Trump

0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:28.840
<v Speaker 3>has really pushed the envelope in terms of corporate governance,

0:19:28.880 --> 0:19:30.800
<v Speaker 3>and this is often with respect to big tech, although

0:19:30.840 --> 0:19:33.959
<v Speaker 3>not always is. He's really moved into like full fledged

0:19:34.000 --> 0:19:38.200
<v Speaker 3>economic nationalism in ways that his predecessors were not always

0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:40.479
<v Speaker 3>refusing to do, but a little more hesitant. So this

0:19:40.560 --> 0:19:44.359
<v Speaker 3>is the Golden Shares. This is you know, with Intel

0:19:44.440 --> 0:19:48.159
<v Speaker 3>and other This is approval of the TikTok deal just

0:19:48.520 --> 0:19:51.679
<v Speaker 3>arbitrarily kind of coming from the from this the federal

0:19:51.720 --> 0:19:54.760
<v Speaker 3>government a bunch of other things like that, where it's

0:19:54.760 --> 0:19:57.239
<v Speaker 3>a much more direct intervention in the market. And then

0:19:57.240 --> 0:20:01.919
<v Speaker 3>when you pair that with the tariffs, where I think

0:20:01.960 --> 0:20:03.879
<v Speaker 3>Trump just likes tariffs and he does tariffs because he

0:20:04.000 --> 0:20:05.800
<v Speaker 3>just likes tariffs. And that's a bizarre thing that I

0:20:05.840 --> 0:20:08.560
<v Speaker 3>can't fully understand. But what it does do is it

0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:12.439
<v Speaker 3>creates infinite opportunities for cronyism. And that's what you're talking about, right,

0:20:12.480 --> 0:20:18.280
<v Speaker 3>You're talking about where the prize of buying influence is

0:20:18.480 --> 0:20:21.560
<v Speaker 3>worth the cost. And so if we have a tariff,

0:20:22.119 --> 0:20:24.400
<v Speaker 3>but if you know the right guy, you can get

0:20:24.440 --> 0:20:27.080
<v Speaker 3>an exception from the tariff, and if that guy is

0:20:27.240 --> 0:20:32.080
<v Speaker 3>always Donald Trump, are one of his children, then that,

0:20:32.480 --> 0:20:36.320
<v Speaker 3>you know, that creates all these opportunities for the kind

0:20:36.359 --> 0:20:39.640
<v Speaker 3>of cronyism that, for whatever reason, so often does seem

0:20:39.680 --> 0:20:44.200
<v Speaker 3>to make Americans hate the corporations and not the government.

0:20:44.240 --> 0:20:46.120
<v Speaker 3>And I would just say, like, hate the government. Hate

0:20:46.119 --> 0:20:50.080
<v Speaker 3>the government for creating all these opportunities to buy influence.

0:20:50.240 --> 0:20:53.359
<v Speaker 3>And the solution is, you know, if tariffs are low

0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:58.479
<v Speaker 3>and simple and implemented equally across the board, there's no

0:20:58.520 --> 0:21:03.840
<v Speaker 3>influence to buy. The FCC is disempowered, there's no threats

0:21:03.880 --> 0:21:07.959
<v Speaker 3>that can be made by the White House to you know,

0:21:08.359 --> 0:21:13.000
<v Speaker 3>revoke your broadcast license, and that kind of move is

0:21:13.040 --> 0:21:15.439
<v Speaker 3>just like a very classic libertarian move, Like, this is

0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:19.200
<v Speaker 3>what libertarians have been saying all along is if there

0:21:19.240 --> 0:21:23.520
<v Speaker 3>is no FCC, you don't have cronyism in that area.

0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:28.280
<v Speaker 3>If there is no elaborate new tariff scheme every time

0:21:28.320 --> 0:21:31.440
<v Speaker 3>that someone comes into office, that reduces those opportunities.

0:21:31.480 --> 0:21:34.800
<v Speaker 1>So this is what you're basically saying is, look is

0:21:36.720 --> 0:21:46.440
<v Speaker 1>regulatory capture can be just as damaging then no regulation itself.

0:21:47.000 --> 0:21:50.560
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. Absolutely, And I well, I mean I guess I

0:21:50.600 --> 0:21:53.400
<v Speaker 3>think the fact.

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:55.480
<v Speaker 1>That's what the cronyism leads to, right, which is a

0:21:55.560 --> 0:21:59.119
<v Speaker 1>fact what the AI guys want. The AI companies are

0:21:59.160 --> 0:22:02.119
<v Speaker 1>afraid of the state. It's getting involved in regulation, so

0:22:02.160 --> 0:22:05.520
<v Speaker 1>they want federal right and they're just because they want to.

0:22:06.480 --> 0:22:10.400
<v Speaker 1>You know, once they get market share, then they want to, wow,

0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:12.560
<v Speaker 1>we've got Now we can fix the market because it'll

0:22:12.560 --> 0:22:16.160
<v Speaker 1>be designed around our piece of the pie. I mean,

0:22:17.160 --> 0:22:19.800
<v Speaker 1>this is a totally non sequitur, but it drives me crazy,

0:22:19.840 --> 0:22:22.199
<v Speaker 1>Like I do not want to hear from Nick Saban

0:22:22.640 --> 0:22:25.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm fixing college football because Nick Saban just wants to

0:22:25.359 --> 0:22:29.440
<v Speaker 1>restore the dominance he once had and Alabama once had.

0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:33.399
<v Speaker 1>So he says, boy, college football is a mess because

0:22:33.440 --> 0:22:37.080
<v Speaker 1>there's no because the way the order that we previously

0:22:37.200 --> 0:22:41.480
<v Speaker 1>had is no longer operable. Well from his point of view,

0:22:41.480 --> 0:22:44.280
<v Speaker 1>it's a mess, and maybe it is a mess, but

0:22:44.400 --> 0:22:46.960
<v Speaker 1>you don't want somebody who was the previous beneficiary to

0:22:46.960 --> 0:22:47.680
<v Speaker 1>be the fixer of.

0:22:47.640 --> 0:22:50.480
<v Speaker 3>It, right, And so this is you know, as you say,

0:22:50.640 --> 0:22:54.199
<v Speaker 3>regulatory capture is a huge issue here, rent seeking. I

0:22:54.280 --> 0:22:57.840
<v Speaker 3>do think though, you know, my perspective is that is

0:22:58.000 --> 0:23:02.600
<v Speaker 3>all the more reason to have few or simple and

0:23:02.720 --> 0:23:06.760
<v Speaker 3>very egalitarian regulations. And I think you know, you see this,

0:23:06.880 --> 0:23:11.240
<v Speaker 3>you see this temptation showing up all kinds of places.

0:23:11.240 --> 0:23:14.919
<v Speaker 3>I mean, you remember the period whatever it was, maybe

0:23:14.960 --> 0:23:17.560
<v Speaker 3>like seven or eight years ago, when they kept bringing

0:23:17.600 --> 0:23:21.520
<v Speaker 3>in the big tech CEOs and founders to sort of testify,

0:23:21.640 --> 0:23:23.639
<v Speaker 3>and they did, they have hearings and they'd say, like,

0:23:24.240 --> 0:23:27.760
<v Speaker 3>my iPhone's not working, and then it would be like, sir,

0:23:27.880 --> 0:23:30.520
<v Speaker 3>I work for Google. Like that whole interaction that was

0:23:30.520 --> 0:23:35.080
<v Speaker 3>happening regularly, and some of that was about the big

0:23:35.119 --> 0:23:39.280
<v Speaker 3>tech companies that had become dominant trying to lock in

0:23:39.320 --> 0:23:42.400
<v Speaker 3>their place. And I think you're quite right that there

0:23:42.560 --> 0:23:44.600
<v Speaker 3>is and will be more of a similar phenomenon with

0:23:44.640 --> 0:23:47.080
<v Speaker 3>some of the bigger AI players. But at the same time,

0:23:47.080 --> 0:23:49.879
<v Speaker 3>what we've seen is there's actually a lot of churn

0:23:50.080 --> 0:23:53.919
<v Speaker 3>in big tech. Like one of the reasons that debate

0:23:53.960 --> 0:23:56.160
<v Speaker 3>was happening around Facebook at that time where we were

0:23:56.160 --> 0:23:59.000
<v Speaker 3>saying should we treat Facebook as a public utility is

0:23:59.000 --> 0:24:00.720
<v Speaker 3>because it seemed like they were the biggest game in

0:24:00.720 --> 0:24:03.880
<v Speaker 3>town and no one would ever break Facebook's hold. And

0:24:04.359 --> 0:24:06.560
<v Speaker 3>Facebook is certainly still big and certainly still around, but

0:24:06.600 --> 0:24:10.679
<v Speaker 3>there are several major competitors and if you if you

0:24:10.760 --> 0:24:13.080
<v Speaker 3>look at the market cap or the market you know,

0:24:13.119 --> 0:24:15.399
<v Speaker 3>the share of users that these different companies have, it

0:24:15.560 --> 0:24:17.919
<v Speaker 3>changes rapidly. So that does seem to me like market

0:24:17.920 --> 0:24:20.480
<v Speaker 3>discipline is working to some extent. They're like, they're not

0:24:20.600 --> 0:24:21.560
<v Speaker 3>permanent monopolies.

0:24:25.359 --> 0:24:27.679
<v Speaker 1>This episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you

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0:25:15.560 --> 0:25:19.160
<v Speaker 1>alcohol a personal endorsement. But my producer Lauren does drink

0:25:19.359 --> 0:25:21.680
<v Speaker 1>and he tried it out. Lauren, how was your experience,

0:25:21.800 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 1>I'll be honest, Chuck. I was a bit skeptical at first,

0:25:24.000 --> 0:25:25.440
<v Speaker 1>but the other night I went out with my wife

0:25:25.440 --> 0:25:27.879
<v Speaker 1>to our favorite spot from Margarita's and tried pre alcohol

0:25:27.960 --> 0:25:30.199
<v Speaker 1>beforehand and got to admit I was surprised by how

0:25:30.200 --> 0:25:32.000
<v Speaker 1>good I felt the next morning. Disable the pop right

0:25:32.040 --> 0:25:34.040
<v Speaker 1>out of bed, get a workout in, have a great

0:25:34.119 --> 0:25:36.680
<v Speaker 1>day of work. So pre alcoholic gets my stamp of approval.

0:25:36.680 --> 0:25:38.720
<v Speaker 1>So there you go. You ready to try it, Go

0:25:38.800 --> 0:25:42.840
<v Speaker 1>to zbiotics dot com slash Chuck podcast right now. You'll

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<v Speaker 1>use the code Chuck Toodcast. This episode of the Chuck

0:26:09.119 --> 0:26:12.200
<v Speaker 1>Podcast is brought to you by American Financing. Let's be honest,

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<v Speaker 1>or American Financing dot net slash the chucktodcast. Well, I

0:27:41.160 --> 0:27:43.600
<v Speaker 1>could you know. This is what makes the FCC community,

0:27:43.760 --> 0:27:47.720
<v Speaker 1>the whole FCC such a weird place now, because you know,

0:27:47.760 --> 0:27:53.840
<v Speaker 1>the monopoly of broadcast television has been broken up by YouTube, right,

0:27:53.960 --> 0:27:56.600
<v Speaker 1>and the FCC has no oversight over YouTube at all.

0:27:56.880 --> 0:27:58.879
<v Speaker 1>And on YouTube you can use say whatever word you

0:27:58.920 --> 0:28:00.880
<v Speaker 1>want and on YouTube, you're going to whatever you know,

0:28:01.000 --> 0:28:04.320
<v Speaker 1>there isn't the same FCC sort of you know, so

0:28:04.359 --> 0:28:08.160
<v Speaker 1>I now it arguably took fifty years for a competitor

0:28:08.200 --> 0:28:11.440
<v Speaker 1>to come up to break that monopoly, or maybe had

0:28:11.440 --> 0:28:13.119
<v Speaker 1>they not had the FCC in the first place, there

0:28:13.119 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 1>would have been more TV networks popping up on the

0:28:16.600 --> 0:28:18.720
<v Speaker 1>spectrum than the three that we had.

0:28:18.960 --> 0:28:21.960
<v Speaker 3>So you know, well, that actually for sure is my argument.

0:28:21.960 --> 0:28:23.920
<v Speaker 3>I think that is the argument of kind of dynamists

0:28:24.200 --> 0:28:28.119
<v Speaker 3>or pro market folks, especially in media and communications, is

0:28:28.160 --> 0:28:30.720
<v Speaker 3>you will you can almost always tell a story and

0:28:30.760 --> 0:28:34.119
<v Speaker 3>it's a pretty plausible one about how any amount of

0:28:34.160 --> 0:28:39.040
<v Speaker 3>regulation is in a market where there's where, there will

0:28:39.040 --> 0:28:41.720
<v Speaker 3>be competitors, where there's where, and it's an attractive market,

0:28:43.440 --> 0:28:46.000
<v Speaker 3>is so likely to serve to lock in existing players

0:28:46.200 --> 0:28:48.920
<v Speaker 3>and then they will capitalize on that.

0:28:49.800 --> 0:28:53.960
<v Speaker 1>So this is how it's like, we're in its purest form. Right.

0:28:54.000 --> 0:28:57.600
<v Speaker 1>The libertarians sometimes get tossed aside by saying, well, they

0:28:57.600 --> 0:29:01.400
<v Speaker 1>don't even believe in driver's licenses, right, like, and this

0:29:01.480 --> 0:29:03.800
<v Speaker 1>is where, you know, where where do you draw the

0:29:03.800 --> 0:29:06.400
<v Speaker 1>line where is some government regulation acceptable?

0:29:07.360 --> 0:29:11.280
<v Speaker 3>I mean, for me, libertarianism is directional, right, So I

0:29:11.480 --> 0:29:14.960
<v Speaker 3>would like, if we get to a place where you

0:29:15.040 --> 0:29:17.400
<v Speaker 3>and I have to come back on the Chuck Podcast

0:29:17.480 --> 0:29:21.960
<v Speaker 3>and earnestly debate like the driver's license removal Bill of

0:29:22.040 --> 0:29:23.440
<v Speaker 3>twenty thirty seven.

0:29:23.360 --> 0:29:26.280
<v Speaker 1>Is you're like, we're winning. I don't care, right, I'll

0:29:26.360 --> 0:29:27.120
<v Speaker 1>lose this, Sue.

0:29:27.720 --> 0:29:30.320
<v Speaker 3>I am delighted if we get to that place, but

0:29:30.440 --> 0:29:33.200
<v Speaker 3>we are so far from there right now.

0:29:33.200 --> 0:29:34.920
<v Speaker 1>No, in fact, just the opposite. I'm going to need

0:29:34.960 --> 0:29:37.240
<v Speaker 1>a Burth certificate just to like go to the grocery store.

0:29:37.480 --> 0:29:39.440
<v Speaker 1>And when we're all said and done, the.

0:29:39.440 --> 0:29:42.080
<v Speaker 3>Way you have a real id for this, you know.

0:29:42.720 --> 0:29:45.200
<v Speaker 1>Get airplan that I paid for a ticket, right.

0:29:45.840 --> 0:29:49.440
<v Speaker 3>So I think you know, I totally understand you know

0:29:49.480 --> 0:29:53.240
<v Speaker 3>that people would say I'm interested in knowing where where

0:29:53.280 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 3>you think the limits are, and that's a perfectly legitimate

0:29:55.120 --> 0:29:57.920
<v Speaker 3>conversation to have. But at this point, and this is

0:29:57.920 --> 0:30:00.280
<v Speaker 3>sort of what the Times editorial was meant to highlight,

0:30:00.480 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 3>like there are a bunch of places where it's just

0:30:04.200 --> 0:30:08.160
<v Speaker 3>very very clear that from a libertarian perspective, the critique

0:30:08.200 --> 0:30:11.160
<v Speaker 3>is broadly shared. Like I think trade actually is the

0:30:11.200 --> 0:30:15.960
<v Speaker 3>most straightforward. The way that Trump has conducted trade policy

0:30:16.040 --> 0:30:21.960
<v Speaker 3>in his second term is wildly unmoored both from good

0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:27.720
<v Speaker 3>economic sense and from legality, like from any kind of

0:30:27.760 --> 0:30:32.080
<v Speaker 3>constitutional understanding of who holds these powers and why. And

0:30:32.800 --> 0:30:34.480
<v Speaker 3>that just doesn't seem like a hard one to me.

0:30:34.720 --> 0:30:35.800
<v Speaker 3>That one seems like And.

0:30:35.760 --> 0:30:39.040
<v Speaker 1>In fact, who knew that this is how the free

0:30:39.040 --> 0:30:41.880
<v Speaker 1>trade argument would end? Because I actually think in some way,

0:30:42.120 --> 0:30:44.640
<v Speaker 1>you know Trump is going to be has been a

0:30:44.720 --> 0:30:51.840
<v Speaker 1>useful mri on so many people entities and ideas. Trade

0:30:51.880 --> 0:30:55.120
<v Speaker 1>is a big one, right, I mean, you've got an

0:30:55.280 --> 0:31:00.280
<v Speaker 1>entire Democratic Party expressing free trade rhetoric in ways they

0:31:00.400 --> 0:31:03.480
<v Speaker 1>never would have done even five years ago. Yeah, I mean,

0:31:03.520 --> 0:31:08.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm I'll know for sure that this is

0:31:08.240 --> 0:31:11.960
<v Speaker 1>over when Shared Brown starts advocating for free trade in

0:31:12.000 --> 0:31:14.360
<v Speaker 1>his center race, I'm very curious how that plays out,

0:31:14.920 --> 0:31:17.360
<v Speaker 1>read because he's sort of like he is a a

0:31:18.200 --> 0:31:23.280
<v Speaker 1>bridge to the older Democratic Party, the one that used

0:31:23.280 --> 0:31:25.120
<v Speaker 1>to have all the union workers, and now that it's

0:31:25.200 --> 0:31:28.520
<v Speaker 1>the it's Trump's party that does so I'm curious there.

0:31:28.560 --> 0:31:31.480
<v Speaker 1>But it does feel as if this has been a

0:31:31.600 --> 0:31:34.760
<v Speaker 1>useful lesson in Oh, free trade is why I can

0:31:34.800 --> 0:31:38.200
<v Speaker 1>get an avocado anytime maybe you're at the grocery store. Yes,

0:31:38.680 --> 0:31:42.240
<v Speaker 1>And that was always the dream, and here we are right, like, hey,

0:31:42.240 --> 0:31:44.720
<v Speaker 1>you don't understand. If you start getting rid of this stuff,

0:31:44.760 --> 0:31:48.000
<v Speaker 1>then then free trade is going to benefit you in

0:31:48.040 --> 0:31:50.160
<v Speaker 1>ways you haven't thought of. And to me, the produce

0:31:50.200 --> 0:31:53.400
<v Speaker 1>section is the number one way to show people how

0:31:53.720 --> 0:31:56.080
<v Speaker 1>free trade over the last twenty years. I mean, I

0:31:57.320 --> 0:31:59.880
<v Speaker 1>forgot how seasonal the produce section used to be in

0:32:00.080 --> 0:32:02.240
<v Speaker 1>grocery store. I worked in one in the eighties and

0:32:02.280 --> 0:32:04.960
<v Speaker 1>before when I was a night school in college. And

0:32:05.000 --> 0:32:08.240
<v Speaker 1>now you're like, oh, right, we've gotten rid of seasonality

0:32:08.360 --> 0:32:12.040
<v Speaker 1>basically in the twenty first century due to lowering trade barriers.

0:32:12.240 --> 0:32:17.720
<v Speaker 3>I was talking with my son who had heard about,

0:32:18.120 --> 0:32:23.400
<v Speaker 3>but never consumed a red Delicious apple, and he was like,

0:32:23.720 --> 0:32:26.920
<v Speaker 3>what was the deal with those? Because they were bad? Right?

0:32:27.600 --> 0:32:31.640
<v Speaker 3>And I was like, well, okay, And we got into

0:32:31.680 --> 0:32:34.000
<v Speaker 3>it right, and we're talking about how the supply chain

0:32:34.080 --> 0:32:35.959
<v Speaker 3>used to be so different for grocery stores, and our

0:32:36.000 --> 0:32:39.240
<v Speaker 3>transportation technology used to be so different. Consumers used to

0:32:39.280 --> 0:32:42.720
<v Speaker 3>be so much less discerning. You know, we were prioritizing

0:32:42.840 --> 0:32:45.000
<v Speaker 3>an apple the wooden bruise and would still look shiny

0:32:45.080 --> 0:32:47.240
<v Speaker 3>and like who cares so much about the inside? And

0:32:47.320 --> 0:32:48.600
<v Speaker 3>last long time, so what if.

0:32:48.560 --> 0:32:50.440
<v Speaker 2>It has no flavor on these And we had this

0:32:50.480 --> 0:32:54.520
<v Speaker 2>whole conversation about how that thing made sense in that moment,

0:32:54.600 --> 0:32:57.160
<v Speaker 2>and he has lived his entire life in a radically

0:32:57.240 --> 0:33:01.320
<v Speaker 2>different moment that's totally marked by by free trade and

0:33:01.360 --> 0:33:03.760
<v Speaker 2>by all of the technologies that support it.

0:33:04.840 --> 0:33:06.560
<v Speaker 3>I do think, though, the thing you're describing where a

0:33:06.560 --> 0:33:08.760
<v Speaker 3>bunch of people on the left are suddenly like, ooh,

0:33:08.880 --> 0:33:14.120
<v Speaker 3>free movement of people and goods across borders. That sounds great.

0:33:14.320 --> 0:33:16.920
<v Speaker 3>The flip side, though, the other side of the horseshoe,

0:33:16.920 --> 0:33:19.520
<v Speaker 3>where we have people on the left and the right

0:33:20.320 --> 0:33:27.040
<v Speaker 3>agreeing deeply confusingly for me on we should all live

0:33:27.120 --> 0:33:30.760
<v Speaker 3>simpler lives with only one kind of deodorant and do

0:33:30.880 --> 0:33:34.600
<v Speaker 3>the manufacturing here. And you know the kind of Tucker

0:33:34.800 --> 0:33:37.560
<v Speaker 3>Carlson meets Elizabeth Warren.

0:33:38.240 --> 0:33:43.560
<v Speaker 1>Uh. You know, it's a form of naomic policy.

0:33:43.560 --> 0:33:45.800
<v Speaker 3>Again. That's that's where we end up. And I think

0:33:45.960 --> 0:33:50.240
<v Speaker 3>the shared rhetoric at that side of things is more reactionary,

0:33:50.280 --> 0:33:52.120
<v Speaker 3>both from the left and the right. And you are

0:33:52.240 --> 0:33:55.479
<v Speaker 3>right that what's happening is this kind of ever fatter

0:33:55.760 --> 0:34:02.600
<v Speaker 3>middle that remembers that we like grapes. But we had

0:34:02.600 --> 0:34:04.320
<v Speaker 3>that a little at the end of Trump's first term,

0:34:04.400 --> 0:34:08.160
<v Speaker 3>and then it sort of faded away. So I'm a

0:34:08.200 --> 0:34:12.040
<v Speaker 3>little concerned that what looks like maybe a popular movement

0:34:12.120 --> 0:34:13.880
<v Speaker 3>or some kind of agreement or god forbid, we call

0:34:13.960 --> 0:34:17.799
<v Speaker 3>it again the libertarian moment, I'm concerned about how to

0:34:17.840 --> 0:34:19.080
<v Speaker 3>lock that in.

0:34:19.719 --> 0:34:21.960
<v Speaker 1>Well, I mean, here's I'll give you another challenge. I

0:34:23.160 --> 0:34:25.080
<v Speaker 1>for my subject this week, I wrote off of a

0:34:25.200 --> 0:34:28.719
<v Speaker 1>survey that my friend Dante Cheni did with what he

0:34:28.840 --> 0:34:31.160
<v Speaker 1>calls the what he works on. It's called the American

0:34:31.160 --> 0:34:34.319
<v Speaker 1>Communities Project, and it put it divides the electorate up

0:34:34.320 --> 0:34:37.120
<v Speaker 1>by county type, and it's like fifteen different types, and

0:34:37.160 --> 0:34:39.640
<v Speaker 1>it's it's so it's less ideological. It's more like, you know,

0:34:40.040 --> 0:34:42.640
<v Speaker 1>here's what folks that live in the rural South versus

0:34:42.680 --> 0:34:46.520
<v Speaker 1>the evangelical hubs things in this various And one of

0:34:46.560 --> 0:34:49.920
<v Speaker 1>the he was writing about, where do where are their

0:34:50.080 --> 0:34:53.400
<v Speaker 1>large agreements even between the most rural parts of this

0:34:53.400 --> 0:34:56.439
<v Speaker 1>country and the most urban parts of this country. It's

0:34:56.480 --> 0:35:00.960
<v Speaker 1>on the belief in the social safety net. So when

0:35:01.000 --> 0:35:05.000
<v Speaker 1>I think about the quote libertarian moment, how do you

0:35:05.040 --> 0:35:07.640
<v Speaker 1>have a libertarian moment and be supportive of the social

0:35:07.719 --> 0:35:09.680
<v Speaker 1>safety net? Like, where do you draw the line? And

0:35:09.719 --> 0:35:12.160
<v Speaker 1>I know you talked about it directionally, but I think

0:35:12.200 --> 0:35:16.360
<v Speaker 1>this is when I've thought about ways that where generally

0:35:16.600 --> 0:35:21.120
<v Speaker 1>what the libertarians are advocating are very agreeable. When you

0:35:21.160 --> 0:35:25.879
<v Speaker 1>start to get to specifics, that's where people fall off, right,

0:35:26.080 --> 0:35:27.920
<v Speaker 1>And the social safety net is a big one.

0:35:28.200 --> 0:35:30.920
<v Speaker 3>And arguably the last libertarian moment was sometime around the

0:35:30.960 --> 0:35:35.920
<v Speaker 3>Tea Party, which you remember, and you know that was

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:40.279
<v Speaker 3>about in its original form, was about fiscal responsibility and

0:35:40.320 --> 0:35:44.000
<v Speaker 3>government spending, but it also gave us the immortal and

0:35:44.560 --> 0:35:47.440
<v Speaker 3>frankly maybe apocryphal. I'm not sure if how real it

0:35:47.600 --> 0:35:49.680
<v Speaker 3>was or how widespread, but the government hands off my

0:35:49.719 --> 0:35:51.600
<v Speaker 3>Medicare protest sign?

0:35:51.760 --> 0:35:54.240
<v Speaker 1>Right? Oh? That was that was when Mike, uh oh,

0:35:54.280 --> 0:35:56.320
<v Speaker 1>we really have a civics education problem.

0:35:56.719 --> 0:35:59.600
<v Speaker 3>I see, My uh oh? Wasn't we have a civic

0:35:59.680 --> 0:36:00.480
<v Speaker 3>education problem?

0:36:00.719 --> 0:36:01.319
<v Speaker 1>Though we do?

0:36:01.560 --> 0:36:05.880
<v Speaker 3>My uh oh was we found that we found the

0:36:06.000 --> 0:36:08.440
<v Speaker 3>edge of people's willingness to cut things, and it is

0:36:08.640 --> 0:36:11.920
<v Speaker 3>well south of what we're going to need to cut

0:36:12.000 --> 0:36:15.440
<v Speaker 3>to solve this problem. Right, So I would say, again,

0:36:17.960 --> 0:36:20.360
<v Speaker 3>there are plenty of folks who identify as libertarians and

0:36:20.400 --> 0:36:23.200
<v Speaker 3>support some form of social safety net but I think

0:36:23.239 --> 0:36:25.560
<v Speaker 3>that that is a radically different thing than what we

0:36:25.680 --> 0:36:28.120
<v Speaker 3>have right now. So what we have right now is,

0:36:29.440 --> 0:36:33.080
<v Speaker 3>you know, for older people, we have a universal entitlement, right.

0:36:33.160 --> 0:36:36.879
<v Speaker 3>It is a it is a transfer to the It.

0:36:36.800 --> 0:36:39.040
<v Speaker 1>Was originally pitched as poverty prevention.

0:36:38.960 --> 0:36:40.600
<v Speaker 3>Right, And it's not if they transfer to one of

0:36:40.600 --> 0:36:44.360
<v Speaker 3>the wealthiest demographics. It goes to everyone without much regard

0:36:44.480 --> 0:36:48.239
<v Speaker 3>to their income. We've been extremely reluctant to push up

0:36:48.280 --> 0:36:51.400
<v Speaker 3>the age limit more than just a couple of years,

0:36:51.440 --> 0:36:55.160
<v Speaker 3>despite people living longer and being healthier. There's all these

0:36:55.200 --> 0:36:58.839
<v Speaker 3>places where a thing that has that was pitched as

0:36:58.840 --> 0:37:03.360
<v Speaker 3>a social safety net is is operating totally unlike you

0:37:03.400 --> 0:37:06.520
<v Speaker 3>would expect a reasonable social safety net to operate. And

0:37:06.600 --> 0:37:08.680
<v Speaker 3>I think you can see that with social Security, you

0:37:08.719 --> 0:37:12.440
<v Speaker 3>can see it with our health care entitlements, especially Medicare,

0:37:12.520 --> 0:37:16.520
<v Speaker 3>and you know, we can also see it in all

0:37:16.600 --> 0:37:19.200
<v Speaker 3>kinds of other places where I think you can get

0:37:19.200 --> 0:37:21.440
<v Speaker 3>even more controversial, like education entitlements.

0:37:21.560 --> 0:37:21.719
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:37:22.280 --> 0:37:26.359
<v Speaker 3>I'm not saying cut public schools tomorrow, but I am.

0:37:26.280 --> 0:37:27.920
<v Speaker 1>Saying what about loans.

0:37:28.440 --> 0:37:31.000
<v Speaker 3>Student loans is a great example of you know, we

0:37:31.320 --> 0:37:34.520
<v Speaker 3>like the amount of student loan debt that is held

0:37:34.520 --> 0:37:39.080
<v Speaker 3>by people in possession of master's degrees. Just that, like,

0:37:39.239 --> 0:37:43.040
<v Speaker 3>just that simple fact really puts paid to me to

0:37:43.120 --> 0:37:46.800
<v Speaker 3>the idea that that is a poverty alleviation program, right,

0:37:47.080 --> 0:37:49.799
<v Speaker 3>and in fact, we've built it to encourage the acquisition

0:37:49.840 --> 0:37:53.319
<v Speaker 3>of that kind of debt in particular. You know, people

0:37:53.360 --> 0:37:55.480
<v Speaker 3>who will carry one hundred thousand dollars of student loan

0:37:55.520 --> 0:37:58.320
<v Speaker 3>debt are people who are better off than most people.

0:37:58.840 --> 0:38:00.920
<v Speaker 1>And the idea is, why does a creditor agree to

0:38:00.960 --> 0:38:02.839
<v Speaker 1>do that if you're trying to because they assume you're

0:38:02.840 --> 0:38:04.840
<v Speaker 1>actually going to have better earning power, You're going to

0:38:04.920 --> 0:38:07.080
<v Speaker 1>use that degree to go get better earning power and

0:38:07.120 --> 0:38:09.239
<v Speaker 1>therefore actually be a pretty safe credit risk.

0:38:09.920 --> 0:38:11.800
<v Speaker 3>Well, and the fact that of course you can't dislarge

0:38:11.960 --> 0:38:16.799
<v Speaker 3>dislodge student discharged student loan debt unlike other types of

0:38:16.840 --> 0:38:20.600
<v Speaker 3>debts makes it a safer bad as well. So I think,

0:38:20.880 --> 0:38:24.200
<v Speaker 3>you know again, that's that's another program, this hugely expensive

0:38:24.719 --> 0:38:29.600
<v Speaker 3>that is sort of sold to some kind of you know,

0:38:30.160 --> 0:38:34.680
<v Speaker 3>equity enhancing program and is in fact functioning nothing like that.

0:38:35.320 --> 0:38:37.840
<v Speaker 3>If we had any appetite for talking about any of

0:38:37.880 --> 0:38:41.600
<v Speaker 3>those things and cutting back benefits to the already wealthy

0:38:41.680 --> 0:38:45.040
<v Speaker 3>and really building a real safety net. Lots of libertarians

0:38:45.080 --> 0:38:47.320
<v Speaker 3>would say like, fine, let's get there. And then again,

0:38:48.320 --> 0:38:51.360
<v Speaker 3>if we want to talk about really intense, you know,

0:38:51.440 --> 0:38:55.480
<v Speaker 3>minimal government stuff down the line, we can do it,

0:38:55.600 --> 0:38:57.480
<v Speaker 3>but we're so far.

0:38:59.560 --> 0:39:02.359
<v Speaker 1>No. And that's the I mean, it's sort of like,

0:39:03.640 --> 0:39:06.600
<v Speaker 1>while there's glimmers of hope for the movement, when you

0:39:06.640 --> 0:39:10.360
<v Speaker 1>look at trade in other ways, right, I mean, the

0:39:10.440 --> 0:39:14.960
<v Speaker 1>amount of people who think government should have an act

0:39:15.320 --> 0:39:18.160
<v Speaker 1>a more active roles pretty pretty large now because.

0:39:17.880 --> 0:39:21.040
<v Speaker 3>It is although you know, you did see most.

0:39:20.880 --> 0:39:22.719
<v Speaker 1>Of all of our lives, government's been a big part

0:39:22.719 --> 0:39:23.000
<v Speaker 1>of them.

0:39:23.360 --> 0:39:25.359
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you did see. On the student loan debt question,

0:39:25.440 --> 0:39:28.040
<v Speaker 3>there was some pushback, right and not just from the courts,

0:39:28.040 --> 0:39:31.560
<v Speaker 3>who rightly noted that Biden's plans were all totally unconstitutional.

0:39:32.239 --> 0:39:34.520
<v Speaker 1>I never understood why that, because there was an easy

0:39:34.560 --> 0:39:37.120
<v Speaker 1>way to sell that, which is, if you if they

0:39:37.200 --> 0:39:39.400
<v Speaker 1>if you ask people to do something to get the

0:39:39.440 --> 0:39:42.720
<v Speaker 1>debt retired, i e. Service to the country in some form,

0:39:42.840 --> 0:39:46.439
<v Speaker 1>six months, here, work there, whatever it is, you'd had

0:39:46.480 --> 0:39:49.120
<v Speaker 1>support for it, right like we there is sort of

0:39:49.120 --> 0:39:52.640
<v Speaker 1>a the public would have been more supportive of the

0:39:52.680 --> 0:39:57.239
<v Speaker 1>student debt relief if there had been something that that

0:39:57.680 --> 0:39:59.600
<v Speaker 1>said student had to get back to the country.

0:40:00.080 --> 0:40:01.960
<v Speaker 3>I think that's true, but I also think there were

0:40:02.000 --> 0:40:05.439
<v Speaker 3>just a lot of people who said, listen, I didn't

0:40:05.480 --> 0:40:07.200
<v Speaker 3>go to college at all because I couldn't afford it,

0:40:07.640 --> 0:40:09.799
<v Speaker 3>or I took out some debt and then I paid

0:40:09.800 --> 0:40:12.839
<v Speaker 3>it back. And I don't know why we would be

0:40:12.960 --> 0:40:15.480
<v Speaker 3>forgiving debt for people who are clearly not the neediest

0:40:16.120 --> 0:40:18.200
<v Speaker 3>or at least twelve off in our country. And so

0:40:18.239 --> 0:40:21.520
<v Speaker 3>I do think that argument has some purchase. But you

0:40:21.920 --> 0:40:28.760
<v Speaker 3>are quite right that the political coalition for cutting Medicare

0:40:28.760 --> 0:40:32.640
<v Speaker 3>and Medicaid social security, which in the in the late

0:40:32.760 --> 0:40:35.480
<v Speaker 3>nineties early oughts, there was like this little moment when

0:40:35.480 --> 0:40:36.960
<v Speaker 3>it was like, oh, could we do it? Are we

0:40:37.000 --> 0:40:39.759
<v Speaker 3>going to do it? And then absolutely not. We did

0:40:39.760 --> 0:40:43.080
<v Speaker 3>not do it. The Tea Party tried again, absolutely not.

0:40:43.400 --> 0:40:47.680
<v Speaker 3>So it's an idea that hasn't really risen into any

0:40:47.760 --> 0:40:49.400
<v Speaker 3>kind of political reality in a long time.

0:40:52.680 --> 0:40:55.319
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0:42:15.440 --> 0:42:18.320
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<v Speaker 1>Myself sixteen trying to figure out how am I going

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0:42:30.600 --> 0:42:34.000
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0:42:34.360 --> 0:42:37.080
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0:42:37.200 --> 0:42:40.440
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0:43:20.680 --> 0:43:23.839
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0:43:23.840 --> 0:43:27.000
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0:43:31.400 --> 0:43:34.759
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0:43:38.640 --> 0:43:43.640
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0:43:43.719 --> 0:43:46.400
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0:43:46.800 --> 0:43:49.200
<v Speaker 1>life insurance is something you should really think about it,

0:43:49.280 --> 0:43:55.480
<v Speaker 1>especially if you've got a growing family. Could you sell

0:43:55.520 --> 0:43:57.799
<v Speaker 1>a libertarian on this thought? Because as I've been look

0:43:57.840 --> 0:44:03.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm in an entrepreneurial stage, like a lot of people

0:44:03.600 --> 0:44:06.080
<v Speaker 1>that leave a big company, big corporation after a period

0:44:06.120 --> 0:44:08.960
<v Speaker 1>of time, and I've in the middle of starting a

0:44:08.960 --> 0:44:12.680
<v Speaker 1>couple of different small businesses, and the biggest impediment in

0:44:12.800 --> 0:44:16.840
<v Speaker 1>trying to get employees or something is the cost of benefits.

0:44:18.040 --> 0:44:23.240
<v Speaker 1>They're just it's Is there a libertarian argument for national

0:44:23.280 --> 0:44:23.719
<v Speaker 1>health care.

0:44:24.920 --> 0:44:26.960
<v Speaker 3>Oh no, we're going to go the other way on

0:44:26.960 --> 0:44:27.640
<v Speaker 3>that one, my friend.

0:44:27.680 --> 0:44:30.400
<v Speaker 1>All right, but hear me out, which is, it is

0:44:30.440 --> 0:44:33.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot easier to start a small business if I

0:44:33.680 --> 0:44:36.680
<v Speaker 1>don't have to also worry about trying to figure out

0:44:36.760 --> 0:44:39.360
<v Speaker 1>how to get a health care plan to pay for

0:44:39.400 --> 0:44:43.440
<v Speaker 1>every get every health care, and get some people a

0:44:43.480 --> 0:44:47.200
<v Speaker 1>childcare benefit. If the government took both of those things

0:44:47.200 --> 0:44:50.719
<v Speaker 1>off my plate, I'd have an easier time starting up

0:44:50.719 --> 0:44:51.560
<v Speaker 1>a business.

0:44:52.160 --> 0:44:55.200
<v Speaker 3>So I have good news for you. Uh, the government

0:44:55.360 --> 0:44:58.440
<v Speaker 3>put both of those things on your plate, and it

0:44:58.480 --> 0:45:02.600
<v Speaker 3>could take them off by changing some of our underlying

0:45:02.840 --> 0:45:06.200
<v Speaker 3>tax and legal requirements. So I'm sure you know this.

0:45:06.600 --> 0:45:11.120
<v Speaker 3>The fact that employers provide healthcare insurance as a matter

0:45:11.200 --> 0:45:13.719
<v Speaker 3>of course in the United States is entirely an artifact

0:45:13.760 --> 0:45:19.319
<v Speaker 3>of the post World War two kind of leftover price

0:45:19.360 --> 0:45:25.080
<v Speaker 3>controls and kind of regularly regulatory controls around conversation increases,

0:45:25.120 --> 0:45:28.200
<v Speaker 3>so there were caps and how much you could pay people.

0:45:28.320 --> 0:45:30.879
<v Speaker 3>Employers wanted to attract good employees. They realized they could

0:45:30.880 --> 0:45:34.120
<v Speaker 3>offer these benefits and they didn't count against those caps.

0:45:34.200 --> 0:45:39.600
<v Speaker 3>So the tax benefit that accrues to you if you

0:45:39.680 --> 0:45:44.240
<v Speaker 3>provide these benefits is kind of an extra little cherry.

0:45:44.360 --> 0:45:47.879
<v Speaker 3>We could undo that whole system, and we could have

0:45:48.000 --> 0:45:50.920
<v Speaker 3>a provision of healthcare that is done like we provide

0:45:51.200 --> 0:45:55.440
<v Speaker 3>all kinds of other absolutely necessary to life goods, which

0:45:55.480 --> 0:45:58.279
<v Speaker 3>is in the private market. So I agree it's a

0:45:58.400 --> 0:46:00.200
<v Speaker 3>huge cost to people who want to start a business

0:46:00.239 --> 0:46:02.520
<v Speaker 3>to have to figure out how to provide these services.

0:46:03.040 --> 0:46:06.000
<v Speaker 3>But you know, you don't have to provide food to

0:46:06.080 --> 0:46:09.640
<v Speaker 3>your employees, right, even though that's totally they have to

0:46:09.640 --> 0:46:10.680
<v Speaker 3>have food to live and work.

0:46:10.760 --> 0:46:12.400
<v Speaker 1>That's the best thing, right in theory.

0:46:13.040 --> 0:46:16.920
<v Speaker 3>So the kind of libertarianism one oh one argument is

0:46:16.960 --> 0:46:18.760
<v Speaker 3>there is no reason why we can't have a market

0:46:18.760 --> 0:46:21.359
<v Speaker 3>in healthcare and or a market in health insurance, which

0:46:21.360 --> 0:46:25.239
<v Speaker 3>of course are two different things. And similarly, you know,

0:46:25.320 --> 0:46:29.560
<v Speaker 3>childcare is you know, absolutely choked with regulation right now

0:46:30.800 --> 0:46:33.800
<v Speaker 3>get and that's getting worse. We're actually more aggressively regulating

0:46:33.920 --> 0:46:36.799
<v Speaker 3>childcare providers than we ever have in the past, and

0:46:36.840 --> 0:46:41.000
<v Speaker 3>it's creating a totally unsurprising set of shortages and price increases.

0:46:41.120 --> 0:46:44.279
<v Speaker 3>So I think these are places where, of course you're

0:46:44.360 --> 0:46:48.120
<v Speaker 3>right that those are barriers to entrepreneurship, but it's not

0:46:48.400 --> 0:46:50.399
<v Speaker 3>it's the solution, isn't What if the government just gave

0:46:50.400 --> 0:46:51.120
<v Speaker 3>everyone every no.

0:46:51.360 --> 0:46:53.040
<v Speaker 1>And I hear you this is one of those where

0:46:53.040 --> 0:46:56.600
<v Speaker 1>you're like, well, boy, I'd love to rewind the tape

0:46:56.600 --> 0:46:58.399
<v Speaker 1>seventy years, but that's tough to do.

0:46:59.320 --> 0:47:03.760
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I think there's there are First of all,

0:47:04.040 --> 0:47:06.440
<v Speaker 3>I am close personal friends with plenty of wonks that

0:47:06.480 --> 0:47:08.360
<v Speaker 3>would be happy to sit here and talk for forty

0:47:08.400 --> 0:47:10.800
<v Speaker 3>five minutes about exactly how we could do this stuff.

0:47:10.960 --> 0:47:13.160
<v Speaker 3>You've been at parties with those guys and they are fun.

0:47:13.800 --> 0:47:16.600
<v Speaker 3>But you know, I do think there are ways to

0:47:16.680 --> 0:47:19.040
<v Speaker 3>unwind it, and we've tried over the years. In some

0:47:19.280 --> 0:47:23.400
<v Speaker 3>perverse ways. Obamacare contained the seeds of some of that.

0:47:23.760 --> 0:47:26.160
<v Speaker 1>No, it did. I mean, it was trying to take

0:47:26.400 --> 0:47:28.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the fact is there are people that stay

0:47:28.200 --> 0:47:31.920
<v Speaker 1>in jobs simply because they can't afford healthcare. I mean,

0:47:32.360 --> 0:47:37.120
<v Speaker 1>you know it is, you know. I it was interesting

0:47:37.120 --> 0:47:40.440
<v Speaker 1>to experience what is clearly a fraudulent market. And I'll

0:47:40.440 --> 0:47:42.880
<v Speaker 1>tell you what that fraudulent market is here in a second.

0:47:43.280 --> 0:47:47.239
<v Speaker 1>When I was in the midst of changing insurance providers

0:47:47.360 --> 0:47:50.279
<v Speaker 1>and there was a there was tech. I thought I

0:47:50.320 --> 0:47:52.040
<v Speaker 1>followed all the rules so that there'd be no gap,

0:47:52.040 --> 0:47:54.080
<v Speaker 1>but there was a one day gap and thanks to

0:47:54.120 --> 0:47:56.799
<v Speaker 1>the friendly pharmacy benefit managers. They say, well, we only

0:47:56.840 --> 0:47:59.239
<v Speaker 1>update our files once a week, and you're like, oh great.

0:47:59.239 --> 0:48:01.799
<v Speaker 1>So I basically had a week where I couldn't get

0:48:02.520 --> 0:48:07.440
<v Speaker 1>the prescriptions covered by insurance until this paper the computer

0:48:07.560 --> 0:48:10.520
<v Speaker 1>caught up, and if I wanted to get the prescription

0:48:10.640 --> 0:48:13.520
<v Speaker 1>in that moment, and I'd have gotten reimbursed instead of

0:48:13.560 --> 0:48:16.000
<v Speaker 1>costing thirty dollars, it was going to cost six hundred

0:48:16.000 --> 0:48:21.200
<v Speaker 1>and fifty dollars. And you're sitting there going six hundred

0:48:21.200 --> 0:48:23.359
<v Speaker 1>and fifty dollars. But if I have this insurance, it's

0:48:23.400 --> 0:48:26.360
<v Speaker 1>thirty dollars. What am I missing here? Right? This is

0:48:26.400 --> 0:48:31.720
<v Speaker 1>something where neither price is accurate and these prices are phony,

0:48:31.840 --> 0:48:35.200
<v Speaker 1>and yet this is the system we are. So it's like, well, geez,

0:48:35.200 --> 0:48:37.640
<v Speaker 1>I got to have this benefits. But you're like, I

0:48:37.680 --> 0:48:41.359
<v Speaker 1>have a feeling if everybody were staring at a six

0:48:41.400 --> 0:48:45.120
<v Speaker 1>hundred dollars cost, by the way, for blood pressure medication,

0:48:45.360 --> 0:48:47.960
<v Speaker 1>this is like mainstream medication. I wasn't talking about some

0:48:48.280 --> 0:48:51.400
<v Speaker 1>boutique cancer drug or even a nozepic. I mean just

0:48:51.520 --> 0:48:54.280
<v Speaker 1>your basic sort of you know, to keep your blood

0:48:54.280 --> 0:48:59.719
<v Speaker 1>pressure in check. And it was this false essentially, you know,

0:49:00.560 --> 0:49:02.719
<v Speaker 1>it's either thirty dollars or it's six hundred dollars. You're like,

0:49:03.160 --> 0:49:06.880
<v Speaker 1>it's something's missing here. The market's not involved.

0:49:07.400 --> 0:49:10.279
<v Speaker 3>Well, and I think the phrase like phony prices, like

0:49:10.320 --> 0:49:14.000
<v Speaker 3>these fake prices, that's that is the key actually to

0:49:14.160 --> 0:49:17.360
<v Speaker 3>almost all of the dysfunction in the way that healthcare

0:49:17.440 --> 0:49:22.160
<v Speaker 3>is provided in this country. Because we no one can

0:49:22.239 --> 0:49:26.200
<v Speaker 3>see prices anywhere in the system. Prices are very very

0:49:26.239 --> 0:49:29.600
<v Speaker 3>invisible to all parties. So the doctor actually doesn't know

0:49:29.640 --> 0:49:31.880
<v Speaker 3>how much you're getting charged. You don't know how much

0:49:31.920 --> 0:49:34.680
<v Speaker 3>you're getting charged. And the insurance company on some level

0:49:34.719 --> 0:49:36.840
<v Speaker 3>has this information, but they of course are also taking

0:49:36.840 --> 0:49:40.759
<v Speaker 3>their cues from the government set prices that come out

0:49:40.800 --> 0:49:43.640
<v Speaker 3>of a I was going to be cret they come

0:49:43.680 --> 0:49:47.080
<v Speaker 3>out of someone's head in a in a government office.

0:49:47.640 --> 0:49:51.080
<v Speaker 1>I know where you're going. Yeah, and and people have

0:49:51.120 --> 0:49:52.120
<v Speaker 1>their head up there as well.

0:49:52.160 --> 0:49:55.200
<v Speaker 3>But yes, and all of the prices are fake. And

0:49:57.080 --> 0:49:59.319
<v Speaker 3>I think one of the most important, like if you

0:49:59.320 --> 0:50:01.000
<v Speaker 3>were to ask me one of the what is one

0:50:01.000 --> 0:50:06.040
<v Speaker 3>of the core insights that has shaped your personal political philosophy,

0:50:06.080 --> 0:50:10.799
<v Speaker 3>it's that prices contain information and we are being you know,

0:50:11.440 --> 0:50:13.880
<v Speaker 3>totally deprived of that information.

0:50:14.239 --> 0:50:16.920
<v Speaker 1>In the healthcare well, that's where we're being gas lit sector.

0:50:17.120 --> 0:50:20.080
<v Speaker 3>Right, and we're being lied to. We're being given sort

0:50:20.080 --> 0:50:23.560
<v Speaker 3>of seemingly true information, none of which is really true.

0:50:23.560 --> 0:50:25.520
<v Speaker 3>And so of course we all think we're losing our minds.

0:50:26.520 --> 0:50:30.480
<v Speaker 3>So I think again, it's we don't have to stretch

0:50:30.520 --> 0:50:33.480
<v Speaker 3>that hard to imagine a world where we know the

0:50:33.520 --> 0:50:35.640
<v Speaker 3>prices of things and then make decisions about how to

0:50:35.680 --> 0:50:39.879
<v Speaker 3>consume them based on those prices. That's all the other

0:50:40.000 --> 0:50:42.040
<v Speaker 3>market like, that's what I do when I think about

0:50:42.080 --> 0:50:45.520
<v Speaker 3>whether I'm gonna buy books or food or even dental care,

0:50:45.560 --> 0:50:47.920
<v Speaker 3>where we at least can sort of see those prices, right,

0:50:47.960 --> 0:50:50.399
<v Speaker 3>I mean, that market has its flaws, but is much

0:50:50.400 --> 0:50:53.759
<v Speaker 3>more efficient. And of course people are going to say, well,

0:50:53.800 --> 0:50:56.239
<v Speaker 3>what about people who can't afford it? And that's what

0:50:56.280 --> 0:50:58.719
<v Speaker 3>a safety net might look like. Is for the for

0:50:58.800 --> 0:51:01.400
<v Speaker 3>the people who really can't for their blood pushure medicine.

0:51:01.760 --> 0:51:02.319
<v Speaker 1>What do we do?

0:51:02.400 --> 0:51:04.279
<v Speaker 3>And we have as a society also a lot of

0:51:04.280 --> 0:51:04.960
<v Speaker 3>answers to that.

0:51:06.760 --> 0:51:09.840
<v Speaker 1>Well, let me get you one area where to go

0:51:09.920 --> 0:51:15.479
<v Speaker 1>back to Obamacare, which actually was creating where some would argue,

0:51:15.520 --> 0:51:17.920
<v Speaker 1>this is why the market is it's just harder to

0:51:20.400 --> 0:51:23.640
<v Speaker 1>make it competitive. Is if you if you tell an

0:51:23.680 --> 0:51:28.680
<v Speaker 1>insurance company that cannot use a pre exit, they cannot

0:51:28.840 --> 0:51:35.280
<v Speaker 1>use a pre existing condition to price your insurance policy,

0:51:36.160 --> 0:51:42.480
<v Speaker 1>and that this you know. I well instead of me

0:51:42.680 --> 0:51:45.920
<v Speaker 1>saying where's their tension in the libertarian movement, to me,

0:51:46.000 --> 0:51:48.560
<v Speaker 1>this is right there right Like you are who you are?

0:51:49.080 --> 0:51:51.759
<v Speaker 1>Should you because of just how you were born, you

0:51:51.760 --> 0:51:54.719
<v Speaker 1>were born with something, you automatically get charged more for

0:51:54.800 --> 0:51:57.840
<v Speaker 1>something versus if you weren't born without it. You don't

0:51:57.960 --> 0:51:59.880
<v Speaker 1>like that seems unfair?

0:52:00.719 --> 0:52:02.479
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So I think there are a couple of things

0:52:02.680 --> 0:52:07.280
<v Speaker 3>going on there. One is, you know, we do allow

0:52:07.280 --> 0:52:10.880
<v Speaker 3>that in other markets. So just for example auto insurance,

0:52:12.480 --> 0:52:16.200
<v Speaker 3>auto insurance rates are set to reflect a lot of

0:52:16.360 --> 0:52:19.680
<v Speaker 3>things about you, including your demographics, including where you live

0:52:20.880 --> 0:52:22.320
<v Speaker 3>and your driving behavior.

0:52:22.840 --> 0:52:26.279
<v Speaker 1>That's still behavioral, It is behavioral.

0:52:25.719 --> 0:52:29.040
<v Speaker 3>But behavioral is often closely connected to demographics, right, like

0:52:29.120 --> 0:52:31.320
<v Speaker 3>men pay more for car insurance and women, for example,

0:52:31.360 --> 0:52:34.759
<v Speaker 3>across the board. So I think that there's not as

0:52:34.880 --> 0:52:38.400
<v Speaker 3>much daylight between the way that auto insurance functions and

0:52:38.400 --> 0:52:40.479
<v Speaker 3>the way that health insurance could function as some people

0:52:40.520 --> 0:52:46.640
<v Speaker 3>would like to suggest. But also I think you know,

0:52:46.719 --> 0:52:51.759
<v Speaker 3>we live in a time of incredibly complex and interesting

0:52:51.880 --> 0:52:56.719
<v Speaker 3>financial instruments to deal with risk, and none of those

0:52:56.760 --> 0:53:03.560
<v Speaker 3>instruments have been allowed to blossom do experiments exaction.

0:53:03.360 --> 0:53:06.000
<v Speaker 1>That you might do that on a pre in order

0:53:06.040 --> 0:53:10.160
<v Speaker 1>to mitigate the high price of covering somebody with a

0:53:10.200 --> 0:53:11.200
<v Speaker 1>pre existing condition.

0:53:11.960 --> 0:53:14.840
<v Speaker 3>Right, So, I mean, I think at the very very baseline,

0:53:14.880 --> 0:53:18.880
<v Speaker 3>we have the fact that you know, what we used

0:53:18.880 --> 0:53:21.359
<v Speaker 3>to call catastrophic plans are more or less illegal now

0:53:21.360 --> 0:53:23.080
<v Speaker 3>it's not quite true. There's a bunch of.

0:53:23.280 --> 0:53:27.000
<v Speaker 1>Short term time. My wife loves that her parents are

0:53:27.040 --> 0:53:31.560
<v Speaker 1>both deceased died of can't had cancer policies, which is

0:53:31.719 --> 0:53:34.239
<v Speaker 1>no longer right, They just they bought them early, and

0:53:34.640 --> 0:53:37.000
<v Speaker 1>thank goodness, it saved their family a bunch of money.

0:53:37.400 --> 0:53:40.160
<v Speaker 1>But you can't buy a cancer policy anymore. Right.

0:53:40.320 --> 0:53:45.080
<v Speaker 3>So that's one example of just you know, there are

0:53:45.080 --> 0:53:47.319
<v Speaker 3>all you know, long term care insurance functions this way

0:53:47.360 --> 0:53:50.240
<v Speaker 3>as well, the younger you buy life insurance functions this way.

0:53:51.040 --> 0:53:55.440
<v Speaker 3>There are so many tools you can imagine where people could,

0:53:56.880 --> 0:53:59.920
<v Speaker 3>in anticipation of various risks that they might that they

0:54:00.040 --> 0:54:04.239
<v Speaker 3>I have get insurance against those risks that are the

0:54:04.320 --> 0:54:07.719
<v Speaker 3>prices will still reflect the relative risk, but you can

0:54:07.800 --> 0:54:10.680
<v Speaker 3>build a policy where the risk reward works for both

0:54:10.719 --> 0:54:13.600
<v Speaker 3>the insurance company and the consumer. And I think the

0:54:13.600 --> 0:54:16.160
<v Speaker 3>fact that we are asking health insurance to also be

0:54:17.040 --> 0:54:20.760
<v Speaker 3>basically a pre pay system for basic health care further

0:54:20.800 --> 0:54:23.200
<v Speaker 3>complicates things. Right, there's no reason why you and I

0:54:23.200 --> 0:54:26.840
<v Speaker 3>shouldn't just be paying out of pocket for basic health care.

0:54:27.280 --> 0:54:28.920
<v Speaker 3>You know, you get in your infection, you should go

0:54:28.960 --> 0:54:31.319
<v Speaker 3>to the doctor and pay the full price of that

0:54:31.480 --> 0:54:33.960
<v Speaker 3>visit and call it good. And your insurance company shouldn't

0:54:33.960 --> 0:54:34.839
<v Speaker 3>be involved in all that stuff.

0:54:34.920 --> 0:54:38.279
<v Speaker 1>But you're describing as homeowner's insurance, right, insurances?

0:54:38.480 --> 0:54:38.680
<v Speaker 2>Right?

0:54:38.880 --> 0:54:40.440
<v Speaker 3>So I think, like just the fact that in this

0:54:40.480 --> 0:54:43.600
<v Speaker 3>conversation you and I have just named like forty different

0:54:43.680 --> 0:54:45.800
<v Speaker 3>kinds of insurance, and they all are different shapes and

0:54:45.800 --> 0:54:47.799
<v Speaker 3>they're all different sizes, there's just no reason to think

0:54:47.840 --> 0:54:48.919
<v Speaker 3>we can't do that with health.

0:54:49.120 --> 0:54:51.080
<v Speaker 1>I guess I go back on health. The problem is

0:54:51.080 --> 0:54:53.400
<v Speaker 1>that there's some people who are risks simply because they

0:54:53.400 --> 0:54:56.640
<v Speaker 1>were born. And that does feel like if you're born

0:54:56.680 --> 0:55:01.480
<v Speaker 1>with inalienable rights, right, you know that where every every

0:55:01.520 --> 0:55:04.840
<v Speaker 1>other type of insurance we've talked about is somewhat behavioral triggered.

0:55:05.320 --> 0:55:07.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so, and I think, you know, there are certainly

0:55:07.680 --> 0:55:11.360
<v Speaker 3>people who are just born with disabilities or with extremely

0:55:11.440 --> 0:55:14.680
<v Speaker 3>high risk for certain you know, traits or conditions, and

0:55:14.680 --> 0:55:18.600
<v Speaker 3>they're gonna they're gonna be really hard to ensure. I

0:55:18.600 --> 0:55:20.520
<v Speaker 3>think I can give you the science fiction answer and

0:55:20.560 --> 0:55:22.080
<v Speaker 3>I can give you the real life answer. So the

0:55:22.120 --> 0:55:26.560
<v Speaker 3>science fiction answer is, let's say I'm a carrier for

0:55:26.600 --> 0:55:29.920
<v Speaker 3>a genetic illness. I should be able to buy insurance

0:55:29.920 --> 0:55:33.560
<v Speaker 3>for my unborn children before they're born, when it's only

0:55:33.560 --> 0:55:35.560
<v Speaker 3>a one and four odd that they'll have it, maybe

0:55:35.719 --> 0:55:38.279
<v Speaker 3>instead of when they're already born. I don't know, I'm

0:55:38.360 --> 0:55:42.200
<v Speaker 3>just making it up, but like insurance could be more

0:55:42.320 --> 0:55:45.359
<v Speaker 3>complex and more and take into account even more of

0:55:45.400 --> 0:55:48.560
<v Speaker 3>the probabilities of life if you could, if the market

0:55:48.600 --> 0:55:50.960
<v Speaker 3>were truly open, I would bet you know, if I

0:55:51.000 --> 0:55:53.120
<v Speaker 3>was a betting man, I might say, Okay, you're a

0:55:53.120 --> 0:55:55.200
<v Speaker 3>carrier of disease. You're gonna do various things to mitigate

0:55:55.200 --> 0:55:57.200
<v Speaker 3>your risk, but ILL sure, I'll take an insurance policy

0:55:57.200 --> 0:55:59.759
<v Speaker 3>out on your kid. On the flip side, I also

0:55:59.800 --> 0:56:03.080
<v Speaker 3>think like this is again the role for charity or

0:56:03.120 --> 0:56:09.399
<v Speaker 3>even potentially government subsidies if we can meaningfully circumscribe those

0:56:09.480 --> 0:56:13.080
<v Speaker 3>people who you are talking about, Those people who truly,

0:56:13.200 --> 0:56:16.799
<v Speaker 3>through you know, extreme circumstances and no fault to their own,

0:56:16.840 --> 0:56:20.280
<v Speaker 3>simply are not eligible to be too participants in this market. Okay,

0:56:20.719 --> 0:56:25.200
<v Speaker 3>charity exists, and you know, simple kind of straightforward block

0:56:25.200 --> 0:56:29.400
<v Speaker 3>grants or cash shubsanies do exist. I think most libertarians

0:56:29.400 --> 0:56:32.279
<v Speaker 3>and most pro market types would say there's space for

0:56:32.360 --> 0:56:36.080
<v Speaker 3>that in the world. There's no reason though, because of

0:56:36.120 --> 0:56:39.840
<v Speaker 3>those people who we do want to protect that you

0:56:39.920 --> 0:56:42.359
<v Speaker 3>and I should be part of any of this system,

0:56:42.680 --> 0:56:45.839
<v Speaker 3>like us, participating in this system to somehow protect those

0:56:45.840 --> 0:56:48.800
<v Speaker 3>people is not working. Those people are not well protected,

0:56:49.520 --> 0:56:50.840
<v Speaker 3>and it's making us miserable.

0:56:53.080 --> 0:56:55.759
<v Speaker 1>Well, look, I guess there's a part of me that

0:56:55.760 --> 0:56:59.640
<v Speaker 1>thinks that, you know, you could get a directionally libertarian

0:56:59.680 --> 0:57:02.799
<v Speaker 1>person to represent eighty percent of what you believe in

0:57:02.880 --> 0:57:05.520
<v Speaker 1>like and then telling you I ain't touching ain't touch

0:57:05.520 --> 0:57:08.400
<v Speaker 1>in healthcare. That's a different situation there.

0:57:08.520 --> 0:57:10.000
<v Speaker 3>And there are a bunch of people who identify as

0:57:10.000 --> 0:57:12.600
<v Speaker 3>libertarians who would probably say that, And you know what,

0:57:12.960 --> 0:57:15.280
<v Speaker 3>I welcome them. They're welcome to use the word liberty.

0:57:15.360 --> 0:57:17.640
<v Speaker 1>What you're saying is that your your eighty percent friend

0:57:17.680 --> 0:57:18.920
<v Speaker 1>is not your one hundred percent enemy.

0:57:19.440 --> 0:57:24.760
<v Speaker 3>It's so true, and that like tattoo it on our foreheads, man, like.

0:57:25.960 --> 0:57:28.640
<v Speaker 1>That needs to be the problem. You know, the Bill

0:57:28.680 --> 0:57:33.120
<v Speaker 1>of Rights was a compromise, and so is everything else. Right,

0:57:33.800 --> 0:57:35.360
<v Speaker 1>let me get you out of here on this. The

0:57:35.400 --> 0:57:39.600
<v Speaker 1>prediction markets, which is the ultimate in some ways, right,

0:57:40.200 --> 0:57:43.600
<v Speaker 1>maybe this is the you know, a good way for

0:57:43.680 --> 0:57:47.600
<v Speaker 1>some of these bedheadging and sort of libertarian basically to

0:57:47.720 --> 0:57:52.760
<v Speaker 1>play out some libertarian policy ideas. But prediction markets need

0:57:52.880 --> 0:57:55.480
<v Speaker 1>to be trusted, right, and you need to know they're

0:57:55.520 --> 0:57:57.560
<v Speaker 1>not being gained or if they're going to be gained,

0:57:58.040 --> 0:58:01.520
<v Speaker 1>that the bad actors are caught. That takes some regulation,

0:58:02.280 --> 0:58:05.000
<v Speaker 1>like this is not a market that self regulates, and

0:58:05.200 --> 0:58:09.680
<v Speaker 1>I don't think yet maybe it will. I just you know,

0:58:09.960 --> 0:58:13.640
<v Speaker 1>right now, it feels my concern of the prediction markets

0:58:13.640 --> 0:58:15.760
<v Speaker 1>are for the things where you know somebody has the

0:58:15.800 --> 0:58:18.840
<v Speaker 1>answer and if it leaks at like you know, the

0:58:18.880 --> 0:58:21.840
<v Speaker 1>Nobel Peace Prize is the perfect was the perfect example

0:58:21.840 --> 0:58:25.160
<v Speaker 1>of that or what I know took place. I'm like

0:58:25.320 --> 0:58:28.960
<v Speaker 1>ninety percent confident took place when Peter Navarro gained the

0:58:29.040 --> 0:58:31.840
<v Speaker 1>jobs report and then suddenly it was the exact opposite

0:58:31.840 --> 0:58:33.640
<v Speaker 1>of what he said twenty four hours later, and you're like,

0:58:34.360 --> 0:58:38.840
<v Speaker 1>somebody made a bunch of money on cal she and

0:58:39.320 --> 0:58:43.920
<v Speaker 1>so give me how a libertarian would clean up the

0:58:43.920 --> 0:58:44.800
<v Speaker 1>prediction markets.

0:58:46.800 --> 0:58:50.479
<v Speaker 3>So I think there's a couple things. Many many years ago,

0:58:50.640 --> 0:58:54.920
<v Speaker 3>Reason magazine did a cover story with Martha Stewart on it,

0:58:55.200 --> 0:58:58.200
<v Speaker 3>and the cover line was something like, Saint Martha. You

0:58:58.240 --> 0:59:01.800
<v Speaker 3>know she didn't do anything wrong. And while Martha Stewart's

0:59:01.840 --> 0:59:06.640
<v Speaker 3>story is complicated, the piece was basically a defensive insider trading.

0:59:07.040 --> 0:59:12.360
<v Speaker 3>So the I think the the kind of most entertaining

0:59:12.440 --> 0:59:15.919
<v Speaker 3>or most colorful case I can give you is all

0:59:15.960 --> 0:59:19.640
<v Speaker 3>markets have insiders, they just have smarter and stupider insiders.

0:59:20.360 --> 0:59:26.280
<v Speaker 3>And in fact that a market that incentivizes as many

0:59:26.320 --> 0:59:29.320
<v Speaker 3>insiders as possible to contribute is the most accurate market.

0:59:29.680 --> 0:59:31.880
<v Speaker 3>Now that's like a little tendentist. It's got a bunch

0:59:31.920 --> 0:59:33.440
<v Speaker 3>of you know, I understand why that's not going to

0:59:33.480 --> 0:59:37.400
<v Speaker 3>like it's impect to find the cruct right and in fact,

0:59:37.480 --> 0:59:41.160
<v Speaker 3>like in a market where you have the understanding that

0:59:41.240 --> 0:59:44.600
<v Speaker 3>this type of thing is occurring, you know, a little

0:59:44.600 --> 0:59:46.960
<v Speaker 3>spike here looks different, a little fall here looks different.

0:59:47.000 --> 0:59:50.640
<v Speaker 3>If you understand, like, is that little spike Peter tomorrow

0:59:51.000 --> 0:59:52.960
<v Speaker 3>is like a question you could be asking yourself or

0:59:53.000 --> 0:59:57.320
<v Speaker 3>his friends or his family whoever. I think we do

0:59:57.400 --> 1:00:00.240
<v Speaker 3>already have an intuitive understanding that smaller market sort of

1:00:00.280 --> 1:00:04.280
<v Speaker 3>much or more subject to gaming. Right, So the fewer

1:00:04.320 --> 1:00:07.000
<v Speaker 3>participants in the market, the less the less resilient it

1:00:07.000 --> 1:00:11.320
<v Speaker 3>will be, and the less likely we are too, you know,

1:00:11.640 --> 1:00:15.280
<v Speaker 3>to uh to catch kind of anomalies before someone someone

1:00:15.360 --> 1:00:21.360
<v Speaker 3>profits on them. You know, I think almost all libertarians,

1:00:21.440 --> 1:00:26.000
<v Speaker 3>myself included, would say fraud is something one of the

1:00:26.120 --> 1:00:28.920
<v Speaker 3>very few things that we agree the state should prevent.

1:00:29.240 --> 1:00:33.200
<v Speaker 3>And so I think so often in cases where you know,

1:00:33.240 --> 1:00:36.840
<v Speaker 3>what we see are kind of you know, inappropriate behavior

1:00:36.840 --> 1:00:38.800
<v Speaker 3>in those type of markets, it's a violation of the

1:00:38.880 --> 1:00:42.080
<v Speaker 3>terms of service, or someone has misrepresented themselves, or there

1:00:42.160 --> 1:00:46.200
<v Speaker 3>is in fact fraud occurring, and fraud should be illegal.

1:00:46.640 --> 1:00:48.640
<v Speaker 3>So I do also think there is there is a

1:00:48.680 --> 1:00:50.440
<v Speaker 3>case for, like, some of this is going to be

1:00:50.480 --> 1:00:53.800
<v Speaker 3>worked out through the courts, through torts, through kind of

1:00:54.520 --> 1:00:56.240
<v Speaker 3>it's going to take a while, and you're right that,

1:00:57.200 --> 1:00:59.440
<v Speaker 3>you know, many people are impatient for that process to

1:00:59.480 --> 1:01:02.560
<v Speaker 3>play out, and as in so many cases, people often

1:01:02.640 --> 1:01:06.840
<v Speaker 3>want a short circuit kind of evolutionary processes. With regulation,

1:01:07.240 --> 1:01:08.720
<v Speaker 3>we already know what the rules should be. Let's just

1:01:08.720 --> 1:01:12.280
<v Speaker 3>make them and announce them. That goes wrong so often,

1:01:12.320 --> 1:01:15.000
<v Speaker 3>and I think, especially with fledgling markets that can have

1:01:15.080 --> 1:01:17.840
<v Speaker 3>so much power to be useful tools, I'm hesitant to

1:01:17.840 --> 1:01:19.800
<v Speaker 3>just slap a regulation on it and say good now,

1:01:19.840 --> 1:01:20.760
<v Speaker 3>this market is stable.

1:01:21.360 --> 1:01:25.080
<v Speaker 1>No, I mean, I've look I I look at the

1:01:25.880 --> 1:01:29.520
<v Speaker 1>first of all, I don't understand why we call Calshie

1:01:29.520 --> 1:01:33.240
<v Speaker 1>a prediction market, but FanDuel of sportsbook it's also a

1:01:33.240 --> 1:01:34.000
<v Speaker 1>prediction market.

1:01:34.040 --> 1:01:34.960
<v Speaker 3>But that's indeed it is.

1:01:35.680 --> 1:01:38.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't think there is a difference between the two, which,

1:01:38.360 --> 1:01:43.960
<v Speaker 1>of course, but everybody's trying to have one. But I

1:01:43.960 --> 1:01:50.160
<v Speaker 1>I have I think that the look by adding more

1:01:50.200 --> 1:01:52.480
<v Speaker 1>people to the system, we have found out who the

1:01:52.520 --> 1:01:55.800
<v Speaker 1>people are that are cheating on the individual sports right

1:01:56.160 --> 1:02:00.200
<v Speaker 1>the you know Who's Now the question is whether and

1:02:00.240 --> 1:02:03.280
<v Speaker 1>I think that this will be a market. This should

1:02:03.320 --> 1:02:07.080
<v Speaker 1>be the If I were FanDuel, I might not want

1:02:07.120 --> 1:02:10.920
<v Speaker 1>to do player props because they can get gained, because

1:02:10.960 --> 1:02:14.440
<v Speaker 1>they can get manipulated, and so to me, instead of

1:02:14.480 --> 1:02:17.200
<v Speaker 1>being told to not do them, you know, you just

1:02:17.240 --> 1:02:19.800
<v Speaker 1>would have you know, you're going to have better you're

1:02:19.840 --> 1:02:21.800
<v Speaker 1>going to be more trusted if you don't offer.

1:02:21.600 --> 1:02:26.040
<v Speaker 3>Them reputational mechanisms, right right, yeah, yeah, And I think

1:02:26.040 --> 1:02:28.240
<v Speaker 3>people you want people to trust your brand, and you

1:02:28.280 --> 1:02:33.240
<v Speaker 3>know this is you know previously in trade had you

1:02:33.280 --> 1:02:35.960
<v Speaker 3>know a lot of these same questions and controversies around it.

1:02:37.880 --> 1:02:44.560
<v Speaker 3>And I think you know, easily gameable markets or bets

1:02:45.440 --> 1:02:47.600
<v Speaker 3>or hurt your reputation as a company. And it doesn't

1:02:47.600 --> 1:02:49.880
<v Speaker 3>happen instantly. People are going to lose money. People are

1:02:49.880 --> 1:02:52.720
<v Speaker 3>going to make money for sure. So if your goal

1:02:52.960 --> 1:02:58.400
<v Speaker 3>is that can't happen even once you know you're going

1:02:58.440 --> 1:03:02.320
<v Speaker 3>to have a very heavy regulatory But I think I

1:03:02.360 --> 1:03:05.240
<v Speaker 3>think that's not the way if we want again, you know,

1:03:05.280 --> 1:03:08.160
<v Speaker 3>libertarians were very early and kind of pro market types

1:03:08.160 --> 1:03:12.120
<v Speaker 3>in general. We're very early in saying we are underutilizing

1:03:12.240 --> 1:03:17.520
<v Speaker 3>prediction markets in all areas of life, and that's turned

1:03:17.520 --> 1:03:20.360
<v Speaker 3>out to be true. There are tons of places in

1:03:20.440 --> 1:03:23.840
<v Speaker 3>life where we are now using what are functionally little

1:03:24.640 --> 1:03:27.880
<v Speaker 3>micro prediction markets, are betting markets to help us figure

1:03:27.880 --> 1:03:32.520
<v Speaker 3>out how to do things. And to cut that off

1:03:33.040 --> 1:03:38.000
<v Speaker 3>because some of the markets are inappropriately structured or gamable,

1:03:38.360 --> 1:03:39.920
<v Speaker 3>doesn't seem like the right trade off to me.

1:03:42.440 --> 1:03:45.160
<v Speaker 1>What's the best place to judge whether libertarians are having

1:03:45.160 --> 1:03:47.480
<v Speaker 1>a moment at the ballot box this year? What are

1:03:47.480 --> 1:03:49.960
<v Speaker 1>the races that we should be following from a libertarian lens.

1:03:50.280 --> 1:03:53.320
<v Speaker 3>I don't know. I can't. It might be too sad

1:03:53.360 --> 1:03:55.480
<v Speaker 3>to even think about this. No, I mean, obviously I

1:03:55.520 --> 1:03:58.360
<v Speaker 3>would like to see some of the folks that I

1:03:58.480 --> 1:04:01.960
<v Speaker 3>named in the Times are coal re elected at the

1:04:02.080 --> 1:04:04.440
<v Speaker 3>very least. You know, we have a pretty short list,

1:04:04.480 --> 1:04:08.320
<v Speaker 3>but you know, the gentleman from Kentucky I mentioned, Jared

1:04:08.360 --> 1:04:10.760
<v Speaker 3>paul Is. You're quite right if he's up and down.

1:04:11.040 --> 1:04:14.080
<v Speaker 1>But the you know, there are.

1:04:15.600 --> 1:04:16.920
<v Speaker 3>There are some folks that are already on the way

1:04:16.920 --> 1:04:19.320
<v Speaker 3>out run Widen. You know we've got you know, the

1:04:19.320 --> 1:04:24.880
<v Speaker 3>the already small numbers are even smaller. Like I say,

1:04:24.960 --> 1:04:28.760
<v Speaker 3>I'm a little obsessed with Arizona because Arizona does seem

1:04:28.800 --> 1:04:29.600
<v Speaker 3>to kick out.

1:04:30.200 --> 1:04:32.120
<v Speaker 1>It's always been a liberty I mean.

1:04:31.960 --> 1:04:35.120
<v Speaker 3>You knows, I think is what I would say.

1:04:35.360 --> 1:04:37.240
<v Speaker 1>Like little well, you know it all like for me,

1:04:37.360 --> 1:04:41.400
<v Speaker 1>my first taste of the crazy of Arizona was was

1:04:41.440 --> 1:04:44.040
<v Speaker 1>Evan Meekham. I don't know if you know that story

1:04:44.760 --> 1:04:45.480
<v Speaker 1>as a governor.

1:04:46.000 --> 1:04:47.280
<v Speaker 3>Tell me the story of Evan Meekham.

1:04:47.480 --> 1:04:49.040
<v Speaker 1>Well, I mean, he was sort of this whack of

1:04:49.080 --> 1:04:51.000
<v Speaker 1>doodle governor that got elected in a sort of a

1:04:51.000 --> 1:04:53.680
<v Speaker 1>weird three way race and they ended up having to

1:04:53.720 --> 1:04:56.520
<v Speaker 1>impeach him. But the point was that he It was

1:04:56.680 --> 1:04:59.840
<v Speaker 1>just Arizona has always been home to sort of a

1:05:00.040 --> 1:05:03.840
<v Speaker 1>lot of different quirky politics and left right and center

1:05:04.440 --> 1:05:06.600
<v Speaker 1>more on the right, and there's always been these you know,

1:05:06.600 --> 1:05:09.960
<v Speaker 1>it's almost been a coalition of conservatives with these weird

1:05:10.080 --> 1:05:13.080
<v Speaker 1>strains to them. You know, there's been if you've had

1:05:13.080 --> 1:05:15.840
<v Speaker 1>some religious based strains, you've had some sort of libertarian

1:05:15.880 --> 1:05:18.959
<v Speaker 1>based strains, you've had sort of whatever you would call McCain, right,

1:05:19.080 --> 1:05:22.000
<v Speaker 1>he was sort of he was his own ideology, right.

1:05:22.040 --> 1:05:24.280
<v Speaker 3>That was just as I wouldn't dare put a label on.

1:05:24.640 --> 1:05:27.520
<v Speaker 3>So you can't. I shan't label McCain either, But.

1:05:27.520 --> 1:05:29.920
<v Speaker 1>I can't either because I can. You know, there's some

1:05:29.960 --> 1:05:31.800
<v Speaker 1>things he was a libertarian on. There were some things

1:05:31.840 --> 1:05:33.640
<v Speaker 1>he was you know, pro governing, you know what I mean.

1:05:33.720 --> 1:05:36.920
<v Speaker 1>So it on American national security, he couldn't have been

1:05:36.960 --> 1:05:41.440
<v Speaker 1>less libertarian, right, So, but I think on domestic policy

1:05:41.480 --> 1:05:43.040
<v Speaker 1>he would have been very at home.

1:05:44.240 --> 1:05:47.800
<v Speaker 3>With I would say, my my, this is not my nit.

1:05:49.480 --> 1:05:52.560
<v Speaker 3>Think it's the level answer, but as a macro answer,

1:05:53.480 --> 1:05:56.280
<v Speaker 3>if it's gonna if a new kind of libertarianism that

1:05:56.360 --> 1:05:59.880
<v Speaker 3>could be electoral electorally successful is going to come from anywhere,

1:06:00.520 --> 1:06:02.440
<v Speaker 3>it kind of seems like it has to come out

1:06:02.440 --> 1:06:05.400
<v Speaker 3>of whatever has been thrown. And you know, your Gerson cinemas,

1:06:05.480 --> 1:06:06.640
<v Speaker 3>You're like, there's a bunch of.

1:06:07.280 --> 1:06:09.240
<v Speaker 1>The West is just filled with them West.

1:06:09.280 --> 1:06:12.479
<v Speaker 3>I feel like, yeah, I am interested in and keeping

1:06:12.520 --> 1:06:15.200
<v Speaker 3>an eye on, but I wouldn't I'm not sure i'd

1:06:15.200 --> 1:06:17.080
<v Speaker 3>go so far as to use the word optimism.

1:06:17.240 --> 1:06:19.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I look at a guy like Dave Schweikert and

1:06:19.760 --> 1:06:23.920
<v Speaker 1>Mark Kelly right from Arizona who both sort of aren't

1:06:24.280 --> 1:06:31.000
<v Speaker 1>conventional trumpy or conventional liberal who you know, and maybe,

1:06:31.040 --> 1:06:33.880
<v Speaker 1>but you're not wrong to look at Arizona. That feels

1:06:33.920 --> 1:06:39.160
<v Speaker 1>like an interesting laboratory. I don't know what else to do.

1:06:39.480 --> 1:06:41.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, I think it's because the sun

1:06:41.280 --> 1:06:44.280
<v Speaker 1>fries people's brains there differently than it fries our brains.

1:06:44.320 --> 1:06:46.360
<v Speaker 3>To a delicious crisp, if you know what I mean.

1:06:48.880 --> 1:06:50.960
<v Speaker 1>I think I do. I think I think the biggest

1:06:51.000 --> 1:06:54.560
<v Speaker 1>cryogenic labs are storage units are in Arizona. Right, isn't

1:06:54.560 --> 1:06:56.360
<v Speaker 1>that where Ted Williams's head is at. I don't know.

1:06:56.480 --> 1:06:59.080
<v Speaker 3>I think maybe things didn't work out for Ted Williams's

1:06:59.080 --> 1:07:02.400
<v Speaker 3>head in the end unfortunately. But yes, but that's the

1:07:02.480 --> 1:07:04.000
<v Speaker 3>kind of thing that you do see out there, and

1:07:04.360 --> 1:07:12.080
<v Speaker 3>that is it is also kind of adjacent to you know,

1:07:12.360 --> 1:07:15.440
<v Speaker 3>it's it's the kind of futurism of those type of

1:07:15.520 --> 1:07:18.920
<v Speaker 3>you know, it is both the sage sagebrush libertarians and

1:07:18.960 --> 1:07:21.400
<v Speaker 3>the kind of futurest libertarians tend to meet right along

1:07:21.440 --> 1:07:24.840
<v Speaker 3>that seam and and the folks that just kind of

1:07:24.840 --> 1:07:26.560
<v Speaker 3>want to be left.

1:07:26.040 --> 1:07:29.160
<v Speaker 1>At the state the only the only state to defeat

1:07:29.320 --> 1:07:30.840
<v Speaker 1>a ban on same sex marriage.

1:07:32.560 --> 1:07:33.960
<v Speaker 3>I don't know, but that sounds true.

1:07:34.160 --> 1:07:36.160
<v Speaker 1>I think that's right, if I'm not mistaken. The point

1:07:36.200 --> 1:07:40.400
<v Speaker 1>is is that it it is pretty you know, there

1:07:40.440 --> 1:07:43.080
<v Speaker 1>is there's some real evidence there that both on economic

1:07:43.120 --> 1:07:45.720
<v Speaker 1>and social that they've you know, sort of there's been

1:07:45.760 --> 1:07:47.720
<v Speaker 1>this unit. And that's the beauty of Arizona. If you

1:07:47.800 --> 1:07:50.160
<v Speaker 1>really if you're really pushing the libertarian movement, is you've

1:07:50.160 --> 1:07:54.360
<v Speaker 1>got the ballot referendum process to you know, you don't

1:07:54.400 --> 1:07:57.960
<v Speaker 1>need a candidate to institute some libertarian ideas. Sometimes you

1:07:58.040 --> 1:08:00.440
<v Speaker 1>just need a referendum at the ballot box.

1:08:00.720 --> 1:08:02.280
<v Speaker 3>That's true. I'm going out in a couple of weeks,

1:08:02.280 --> 1:08:05.919
<v Speaker 3>so I'll let you know if I see any little reader.

1:08:05.960 --> 1:08:10.360
<v Speaker 3>I'll be very working lurking in the in the landscape.

1:08:10.720 --> 1:08:12.800
<v Speaker 1>Catherine, this is awesome. I mean, look, I think there's

1:08:12.840 --> 1:08:17.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of Here's what's true. There's a growing plurality

1:08:17.520 --> 1:08:22.320
<v Speaker 1>in America. The plurality of Americans are politically homeless. We

1:08:22.439 --> 1:08:26.000
<v Speaker 1>see it every day. The numbers show it. Right. We're

1:08:26.040 --> 1:08:27.879
<v Speaker 1>not at a third and a third and a third anymore.

1:08:28.280 --> 1:08:30.760
<v Speaker 1>The Republicans have less than a third, the Democrats have

1:08:30.840 --> 1:08:33.200
<v Speaker 1>less than a third. There's a whole bunch of people

1:08:33.240 --> 1:08:36.200
<v Speaker 1>just sort of sitting there in search of something. So

1:08:39.000 --> 1:08:41.640
<v Speaker 1>let's see what happens. Right, That's all we can do,

1:08:42.160 --> 1:08:43.840
<v Speaker 1>all right, Catherine, great to see you.

1:08:43.920 --> 1:08:44.760
<v Speaker 3>Thanks having me on