1 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:16,200 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday 2 00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:21,239 Speaker 1: Perrault at Sports Talk Matt de follow me across all 4 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 1: socials and this podcast being brought to you by Omaha 5 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:27,120 Speaker 1: Steaks dot Com. That promo code Juice still relevant right 6 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 1: now for the end of year sale going on right 7 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: now at Omaha Steaks dot com. Thirty bucks off at 8 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:36,559 Speaker 1: checkout with the code Juice. Minimum purchase may be required. Okay, 9 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: so here we are with a one in one day 10 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 1: and we're going into the Sunday night game with the 11 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:43,519 Speaker 1: Dallas team total over twenty eight and a half, and 12 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 1: wouldn't you know it, Dallas about to score a fourteen 13 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:50,200 Speaker 1: their second touchdown to score fourteen points in the first half, 14 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:52,559 Speaker 1: they fumble the ball out of the end zone and 15 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 1: it goes out of the end zone for a touchback, 16 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 1: which is a really tough rule. They're going to change it, 17 00:00:57,360 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 1: I think in the off season. But man, that's just 18 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: how I'm running. Because we're at halftime and my gut 19 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:05,040 Speaker 1: tells me that we're going to see two more touchdowns. 20 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 1: It's going to wind up falling twenty eight or sorry, 21 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 1: twenty one, and we'll probably have a one in two day. 22 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: Maybe I'm lucky, maybe I'm wrong, and the team total 23 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:15,039 Speaker 1: will come in. Maybe Dallas will score twenty four points 24 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 1: in the second half, but I would be surprised if 25 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 1: they score that many points in the second half, just 26 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 1: given the way the game is going at the moment 27 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 1: and the way Dallas is not moving the football as 28 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: well as they probably should be. And look, the Lions 29 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 1: are going to run the ball, They're gonna try to 30 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: keep limit possessions. So that's a really tough loss there 31 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 1: on that one, but not one hundred percent, but most 32 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:36,880 Speaker 1: likely going to be a one and two day after today, 33 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:40,319 Speaker 1: because it is New Year's Eve. After today tomorrow's podcast, 34 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 1: I'll give you a full recount of the entire year. 35 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:47,480 Speaker 1: I'll give you a full recap of the months December November, 36 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: and I'll go through everything. I'll do a lot of accounting, 37 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 1: so we'll have a bunch of records for you guys 38 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 1: as we start a new year, which will start everything new. 39 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: By the way, it'll be a new slate entirely twenty 40 00:01:58,240 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: twenty four. We will completely wipe out everything. We'll go 41 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: to zero on everything and start over again. Also a 42 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 1: decent time if you guys want to reassess your personal 43 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: unit size's not a bad time to do that as well. 44 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: So it's been a very bad month. And if you 45 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,359 Speaker 1: guys are fading these bets, I'm not mad at all. 46 00:02:15,639 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 1: Look I totally understand people have been arguing about it 47 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 1: in the discord channel. I look up to be perfectly clear, 48 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 1: this has been a really rough December. Okay, I had 49 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: a very good November. I was doing some math. I 50 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 1: mean we were up. I got to do it again. 51 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 1: But I think I was up something like twelve to 52 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 1: fourteen units in November. We had a great November. December 53 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:37,520 Speaker 1: has been the exact opposite. I'm down more than that 54 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 1: in December. I don't know what the exact number is, 55 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:42,919 Speaker 1: but it's been a really rough December. So went up, 56 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:45,679 Speaker 1: gave it all back, digged in deep. I think we're 57 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:48,080 Speaker 1: up the peak for the podcast. We were up forty 58 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 1: five units. That was the peak, and now I'm just 59 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 1: hoping to get out of the year up twenty or so. 60 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:55,960 Speaker 1: Given the way the year is gone. So it's been 61 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:58,520 Speaker 1: rough in December. Okay, We've definitely given a lot back, 62 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 1: but this is the send downs of sports betting. If 63 00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:04,119 Speaker 1: you bet every day, you're not gonna win every day. 64 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 1: You're not gonna win every week, not gonna win every month. 65 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: Just it's the mental fight you gotta get into. So 66 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: we'll see. Maybe today goes two and one and we 67 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:14,240 Speaker 1: end Saturday with a good note, with a winning note. 68 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 1: But I don't know Sunday. Today, I am sitting here. 69 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:20,399 Speaker 1: If you're watching the podcast, I am sitting here in 70 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:24,360 Speaker 1: and over mass and I will be doing our Betting 71 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:28,359 Speaker 1: Pros NFL Live show with myself and Pat fitz Morris 72 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:32,800 Speaker 1: noon Eastern time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. I'll 73 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 1: be doing it today from here, but at noon Eastern 74 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 1: time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Come over and 75 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:41,160 Speaker 1: join us. Should be a lot of fun three bets 76 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:44,600 Speaker 1: for you guys, like normal two one unit plays, and 77 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 1: then a one point two unit teaser for you guys 78 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 1: like we always do one Sunday Tomorrow will be the 79 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 1: long teaser, and then the four player props also be 80 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 1: given up tomorrow on the show with myself and Pat 81 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 1: fitz Morris. Okay, let's start with the Falcons Atlanta. This 82 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 1: is going to be a really interesting week there's a 83 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: lot of wild games going on right now, like Carolina 84 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 1: and Jacksonville. I mean that numbers come way down because 85 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: Jacksonville's not without starting quarterback is out for Jacksonville. No 86 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:13,920 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence for Jacksonville. So it's like, what do you 87 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:18,599 Speaker 1: do with that? Atlanta is at Chicago Dome, team outdoors. 88 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:22,719 Speaker 1: I mean again, here, I am looking at this team 89 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:26,719 Speaker 1: for Atlanta. The line is three at DraftKings. Some books 90 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:29,120 Speaker 1: have it at two and a half already, and I 91 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 1: think it's time to jump on the Atlanta Falcons here 92 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:33,839 Speaker 1: and kind of ride the trend here. Yes, I know 93 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 1: Atlanta is five and ten ats on the year. Yes, 94 00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: I know Atlanta is two and five on the road ats, 95 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 1: but look, I don't buy Chicago at three, two and two. 96 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 1: This game doesn't mean anything for Chicago. It means a 97 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 1: ton for Atlanta. There are road dogs here and the 98 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:54,599 Speaker 1: weather is not going to be that big of an issue. Now. 99 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,760 Speaker 1: If the weather turns okay, if we wind up waking 100 00:04:57,839 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 1: up this morning and we look at the weather and 101 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 1: we're like, oh, oh my gosh, Chicago's got a much 102 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:04,800 Speaker 1: different weather situation, I very well might get out of this. 103 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: But by all intensive purposes. Looking at the weather and 104 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:09,479 Speaker 1: people that I love to go in and take a 105 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:12,479 Speaker 1: look at. We have a very clean, fine day. I 106 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 1: mean the winds ten to fifteen miles per hour GUS 107 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:20,280 Speaker 1: maybe up to twenty or so. But the Falcons run 108 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 1: the football. That's what they do. They run the ball. 109 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:26,479 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the points. I'm gonna take Atlanta plus three. 110 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 1: They need the game more. I think they're playing pretty 111 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:32,840 Speaker 1: well with their quarterback situation kind of stabilizing. I'm taking 112 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:38,800 Speaker 1: Atlanta plus three on the Falcons. Second bet Colts and 113 00:05:38,839 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 1: the Raiders. Man, this number is four. It was three 114 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 1: and a half for a while. It currently sits at four. 115 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 1: Vegas is just really bad right now with their quarterback situation. Okay, 116 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 1: I mean they're three and four ats on the road 117 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 1: India is four and three. But you look at the 118 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:59,039 Speaker 1: road performances. Yeah, they come off for a win over 119 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:02,320 Speaker 1: Kansas City on Day which was stunning and shocking. Okay, 120 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:05,159 Speaker 1: I'll give you that, but kind of an anomaly. I 121 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 1: think given the way they've performed on the road against Miami, 122 00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 1: they lost the game by seven. Against Detroit, they lost 123 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 1: by twelve against Chicago on the road, they lost by 124 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 1: eighteen against the Charge on the road, they lost by seven. 125 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 1: Against Buffalo, they lost by twenty eight. Okay, typically speaking, 126 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:23,080 Speaker 1: this team for the Raiders not very good and they're 127 00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: not playing for much. You can say they're playing really hard. 128 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 1: But this is a chance to sell on the Raiders here. 129 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:30,279 Speaker 1: It's a chance to go. You know what. I think 130 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: this offense for Indy can move the football, and I 131 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: think this Raiders team, you know, second game on the 132 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 1: road in a row is a game. If you guys 133 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 1: watch the podcast, you know I've bet against this quite 134 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 1: a bit. I'm gonna go with the Colts, laying the 135 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 1: Colts on minus four for Indianapolis. Okay, and then my 136 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:50,799 Speaker 1: personal teaser, we'll have a Wong teaser. My personal teaser, 137 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to New Orleans. Everyone's on the Bucks. 138 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 1: Everyone's on the Bucks. Okay, and I like the Bucks too. Okay, 139 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:03,160 Speaker 1: everyone likes the Bucks. It's a big divisional matchup and 140 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:05,680 Speaker 1: I know it's outdoors and you're gonna go. Man, no 141 00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:08,040 Speaker 1: one's playing better right now than Tampa Bay. But this 142 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 1: is when you sell on the Bucks. This is when 143 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 1: you say, eh, you can win the game. But I'm 144 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:17,600 Speaker 1: not buying it because, by the way, Tampa is seven 145 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 1: and one ATS on the road. They're just three and 146 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 1: four ATS at home. New Orleans two five and one. 147 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 1: I'll give that to you. On the road, that ATS 148 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 1: is not great for them. This is the second game 149 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 1: on the road again. Last week four point Dogs to 150 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 1: the Rams. They lost by eight. So again, this would 151 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 1: be a spot where i'd bet against New Orleans. Everyone's 152 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: on Tampa. That makes me concerned in case I'm wrong 153 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 1: plus eight and a half. I'm gonna take the New 154 00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 1: Orleans Saints plus eight and a half in a massive 155 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 1: divisional game. And then I'm gonna go to the Rams 156 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 1: game and the Rams are on the road against the Giants. 157 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 1: The number is six. Look the Giants, you could say, Matt. 158 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 1: The Giants look compartable. They look competent. In their last game. 159 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 1: Look what they did against Philadelphia only lost by eight points. 160 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:06,320 Speaker 1: Their offense looked alive. Eh Okay. Rams have won four 161 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 1: of the last five, They've covered their last five. I'm 162 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: going to pull the Rams from six down to a 163 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:14,840 Speaker 1: pick and I'm taking the Rams Rams to win the 164 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 1: game against the Giants. The Rams absolutely need this football game. 165 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 1: The same thing and not can be said for the Giants, 166 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 1: who are just playing out the string here and trying 167 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: not to embarrass themselves at home. Eight and seven, the 168 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:30,000 Speaker 1: Rams five and ten straight up for the Giants. Giants 169 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:33,360 Speaker 1: are three and three at home. Yes, we've seen a 170 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 1: three and four record on the road, but the Rams 171 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 1: played well on the road against Baltimore they lost by six. 172 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:41,880 Speaker 1: They played well on the road against Arizona, won the 173 00:08:41,880 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 1: game by twenty three. They got killed against Green Bay 174 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 1: and killed against Dallas early in the year, but their 175 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: last two road games have looked pretty good for them 176 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:54,000 Speaker 1: here one on the east, one in the middle part 177 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 1: of the country against Cleveland, one on the West coast. 178 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: I know you can say, Matt, this team's coming across 179 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 1: the country, but I think they just win the game. 180 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 1: Maybe they don't cover, but I like the Rams to 181 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 1: win the game. They need it. They're still alive at 182 00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 1: eight and seven. They're still alive for a playoff berth, 183 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 1: so they absolutely have to have this w Rams pulled 184 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:14,319 Speaker 1: down just to a pick. Okay, so long teaser will 185 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: come at you. During the live stream neon Eastern Time 186 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:19,600 Speaker 1: with myself and Pat Fitzmorris on the Bedding Pros YouTube channel, 187 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:23,199 Speaker 1: my three plays and again for feel free to fade 188 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:25,400 Speaker 1: these bets because things have not been going great for me. 189 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: But Falcons plus three for one point one units, Colts 190 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:33,120 Speaker 1: minus four for one point one units, New Orleans plus 191 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:36,199 Speaker 1: eight and a half teased with the rams to a pick. 192 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 1: That's a one point two unit play for us here 193 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 1: on a Sunday. I cannot believe we're already here to 194 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 1: Week seventeen, the second and last week of NFL football. 195 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 1: I'll talk to you later today for the NFL live 196 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:50,200 Speaker 1: stream on the Bidding Pros YouTube channel. My name is 197 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:52,280 Speaker 1: Matt Parolt, you guys and follow me across all socials 198 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:55,320 Speaker 1: at sports Talk Map. The Daily Juice I was being 199 00:09:55,320 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 1: brought to you by Omasteakes dot com