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Speaker 1: Now welcome to Lake His Live.

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Speaker 2: It is Tuesday night, November one, the Year of Our Lord,

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 1: Before they tear you down, they.

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Speaker 2: Have to build you up. Remember that, children, we are

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Speaker 2: jam packed. Hi a top a Paul saying he's scintillating

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Speaker 2: downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Brian Harson's out. You and I have

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Speaker 2: not spoken since then. I intentionally waited for tonight. If

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Speaker 2: you want to know what I think, these shows are

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Speaker 2: the shows you come to to hear that. I will

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Speaker 2: also give you several thoughts on where I think Auburn

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Speaker 2: may be headed. We've got playoff rankings out and we'll

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Speaker 2: not spend five seconds talking about it tonight. We will, however,

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Speaker 2: release a brand new japee pull. We are ninety six

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Speaker 2: hours and counting away from Tennessee versus Georgia. It turns

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Speaker 2: out we're going to see the number one team in

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Speaker 2: the country Saturday, and it ain't Georgia, at least not

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Speaker 2: according to the playoff. Can Now the JP poll may

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Speaker 2: say something different. Tonight, We're gonna talk about Bama LSU.

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Speaker 2: We've got a lot of game breakdowns to get to

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Speaker 2: both tonight and then on Thursday night. I've got some

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Speaker 2: q at A. We're gonna add several best bets. I

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Speaker 2: am telling you we're going for broke this week. We

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Speaker 2: have got the most best bets on the Romaninul Express

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Speaker 2: that we will have in any week all year. One

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Speaker 2: of them is already live tonight. I hope you've been

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Speaker 2: following on social because we got Ohio plus three in

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Speaker 2: play tonight. Mactionin has returned to us. They're watching us

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Speaker 2: in Jacksboro, Tennessee, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, Provo, Utah, Punta Gorda, Florida.

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Speaker 2: We are at one hundred and forty one thousand subs

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Speaker 2: to this channel on YouTube and climbing. I'm adjusting the

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Speaker 2: date again. I think we can get to one hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifty k by the time Conference Championship Saturday rolls around.

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Speaker 2: That's my challenge to you. And as soon as we

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Speaker 2: get there, we, and I do mean we, not as

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Speaker 2: a staff. We you and I decide on what we're

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Speaker 2: going to do to reward ourselves. And let me just

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Speaker 2: let me just put a little bug in you here.

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Speaker 2: Here's what I would do if I were you, I

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Speaker 2: would suggest a collaborative piece of content. You hear me

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Speaker 2: talking this microphone solo all the time. Dare we bring

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Speaker 2: someone else onto this show? Dare we partner with someone

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Speaker 2: out there that has a name of their own? Dare

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Speaker 2: we extend that invite? It's just an idea. You can

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Speaker 2: also get me to do the show naked. This is

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Speaker 2: the Internet.

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Speaker 1: There are no rules, and so it's up to you.

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Speaker 1: Our balls are in your court.

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Speaker 2: But first you got to get us to one hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifty thousand subs subscribe to that podcast too.

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Speaker 1: Thank you, guys, because we're.

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Speaker 2: Well well well on our way to getting there. We

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Speaker 2: got so many directions to go tonight. It's like an

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Speaker 2: octopus of a show at Tentacle everywhere you look. Let's

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Speaker 2: get to the latest with Auburn, shall we. We haven't spoken.

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Speaker 2: I was gonna, for a second or two thought about

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Speaker 2: doing a very ratchety handheld eye Josh video and telling

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Speaker 2: Colin to make a thumbnail and put it on the

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Speaker 2: YouTube channel. Then I thought better of it. We got

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Speaker 2: to show every forty eight hours, so we'll just wait.

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Speaker 2: Brian Harson is out at Auburn. That news is old

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Speaker 2: by now. How about I suggest to you this this

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Speaker 2: is going to be a little change up from what

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Speaker 2: I've said about the Auburn job in the past, or

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Speaker 2: so let me grease the wheels with this. I think

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Speaker 2: the most underrated job in America just opened up, and

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Speaker 2: it is Auburn University. Sounds kind of hypocritical based on

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Speaker 2: what I've said about that job in the past. I

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Speaker 2: have said and still maintained for the time being, it's

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Speaker 2: the toughest job in America when you combined expectation with

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Speaker 2: the reality of their schedule. That's the only place, or

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Speaker 2: at least one of very few any given year where

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Speaker 2: you got to play Georgia. You gotta play Bama. You

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Speaker 2: know what they play every year, So you've got that.

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Speaker 2: That's a mess behind the scenes, has been, doesn't have

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Speaker 2: to be, but has been. These things are true, but

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Speaker 2: I will just I will put this out there as

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Speaker 2: we get into this a little bit tonight, because I

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Speaker 2: have some negative things to say about this program. But

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Speaker 2: I am going to bookmarket and I'm going to bookend

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Speaker 2: it with some very positive things. I think this is

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Speaker 2: going to end up being the most underrated job in

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Speaker 2: this entire cycle. Everything's there, and I'm not leaving anything

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Speaker 2: off the table. I don't think some of you realize

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Speaker 2: how primed the Auburn job is to succeed. Everything's there.

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Speaker 2: It's been a disaster as of late. It doesn't have

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Speaker 2: to be that. So a lot of what has been

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Speaker 2: at Auburn could be then. It doesn't have to be

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Speaker 2: now in the future. There are many truths that we

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Speaker 2: need to dissect. Okay, and this is I think prevalent

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Speaker 2: in a lot of other athletic departments. I think this

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Speaker 2: is relevant for a lot of college football. It just

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Speaker 2: happened to go down at Auburn. Twenty twenty two is

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Speaker 2: a wasted year for this program, no two ways about it.

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Speaker 2: What started to happen in February ended up happening in

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Speaker 2: what are we We're October. So you ended up firing

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Speaker 2: a guy that you tried to fire several months back.

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Speaker 2: You wasted an entire season of your program. And for

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Speaker 2: fans who are forty or fifty or sixty years old,

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Speaker 2: big deal, We'll just have other seasons.

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Speaker 1: Well, you got players on the roster who only get

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Speaker 1: to do.

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Speaker 2: Four of them most of the cases at least, and

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Speaker 2: so that's a wasted season and you fall further behind

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Speaker 2: the pack by the way in doing something that dumb

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Speaker 2: results will change there until the recipe changes. That's another

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Speaker 2: truth that is inarguable. Even when you're doing it the

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Speaker 2: right way, it's hard enough to win in this sport,

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Speaker 2: and especially in the division and in the conference therein.

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Speaker 2: If you're not doing it the right way, you got

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Speaker 2: no prayer. If you're not hiring the right way, you've

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Speaker 2: got no prayer. If you're not recruiting the right way,

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Speaker 2: you got no prayer. I thought Pete Thamil wrote an

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Speaker 2: interesting piece today. Now they can't stand Pete Thamil around Auburn,

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Speaker 2: and I know many of the reasons why you think

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Speaker 2: he's out to get you. He scoops most of your

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Speaker 2: beat writers. Most of the time, I just take it

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Speaker 2: for what it is on the surface. I thought Famil

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Speaker 2: had a really good piece today on Auburn.

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Speaker 1: It's tough. It's a bitter pill to swallow.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna read you a couple of excerpts because

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Speaker 2: I want to dovetail off of it and give you

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Speaker 2: a couple of thoughts here. This is from Pete Thamill.

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Speaker 2: This article is available on ESPN dot com. I rarely

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Speaker 2: do this, but I thought it was very well written.

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Speaker 2: After a middling six and seven first season. In twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty one, Auburn launched a ham handed and unsuccessful investigation

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Speaker 2: into Harson. Pay attention to this language, because I will

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Speaker 2: give you my thoughts on this. It was baseless, and

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Speaker 2: the Cringey execution basically doubled as a vote of no

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Speaker 2: confidence for Harson's tenure. It turned both this season's three

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Speaker 2: and five tire fire on the field and a recruiting

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Speaker 2: class that's last among the SEC in twenty twenty three

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Speaker 2: into inevitables.

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Speaker 1: I hear you screaming, I'm going to give you time

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Speaker 1: to stop. Okay.

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Speaker 2: It could very well be that they were on their

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Speaker 2: way to doing nothing special in recruiting.

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Speaker 1: Regardless of what happened off the field. I'll grant you that.

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Speaker 2: I'll also grant you there is no guarantee they would

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Speaker 2: have been any better on the field this year than

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Speaker 2: they were anyway if nothing happened off the field. Those

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Speaker 2: things we can't prove, but you absolutely can have your opinion.

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Speaker 1: There.

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Speaker 2: The biggest discrepancy behind the scenes around the Auburn program

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Speaker 2: right now, the biggest discrepancy with some of the local

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Speaker 2: beat down there and the fan base as opposed to

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Speaker 2: the national perspective is what the basis of that investigation

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Speaker 2: over the winter into Brian Harrison was the cause of,

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Speaker 2: and the national perspective, the fifty thousand foot perspective was well,

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Speaker 2: they alleged impropriety, and they set him up, and they

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Speaker 2: allowed a social media scandal that was based in nothingness

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Speaker 2: to flourish so they could dive into whatever they could

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Speaker 2: try and find to oust him. And then the closer

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Speaker 2: you get to the situation, you find that, no, there's

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Speaker 2: a prevalent belief around Auburn that that investigation and the

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Speaker 2: attempted ouster of Brian Harrison was not so much based

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Speaker 2: in Internet rumors as it was in speculation and allegations

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Speaker 2: from players about mistreatment.

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Speaker 1: This is where I start to have a little problem.

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Speaker 2: I've seen some of the local folks down there go

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Speaker 2: after some of the national types who have suggested Brian

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Speaker 2: Harrison kind of got mistreated, he got handled poorly. Here

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Speaker 2: I happen to believe he did get handled poorly. Now,

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Speaker 2: two things could be true. You absolutely could be holding

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Speaker 2: in your hand allegations from anonymous players about mistreatment. I

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Speaker 2: don't doubt for a second based on the way Harson

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Speaker 2: handles his business, that there are some players down there

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Speaker 2: that felt mistreated, that there may be some players who

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Speaker 2: were dealt some tough coaching and some tough love, and

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Speaker 2: that may be the extent of it, by the way,

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Speaker 2: and they felt as though they were victims of verbal abuse, etc.

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Speaker 2: Now here's what I don't know. I don't know the

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Speaker 2: exact details. Here's what I encourage you to do, though.

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Speaker 2: If you have details, don't just throw him at folks

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Speaker 2: when they suggest the guy was done wrong. Don't hide

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Speaker 2: behind that anonymity because he's gone now you got nothing

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Speaker 2: to hide.

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Speaker 1: So if you have.

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Speaker 2: Details, if you have specific details and specific evidence that

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Speaker 2: Brian Harson was guilty of verbal abuse, we're talking about

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Speaker 2: that extends beyond bylaws that you were allowed to operate

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Speaker 2: your program under. To be clear, if you have specific

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Speaker 2: evidence that he was guilty of player abuse or mistreatment,

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Speaker 2: I'd love to hear it, and I would change my

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Speaker 2: tune in a heartbeat. What I think happened is some

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Speaker 2: guys who probably weren't going to see the field, were

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Speaker 2: already a little disgruntled, and then they got ridden pretty

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Speaker 2: hard and they didn't like it.

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Speaker 1: And it's twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 2: That's what I think happened, And you really wanted him

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Speaker 2: out to begin with, And so what you did is

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Speaker 2: you took the equivalent of some unpaid parking tickets and

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Speaker 2: used it to launch a raid on the guy's house.

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Speaker 2: Like really, you could tell me all you want to.

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Speaker 1: Oh, that investigation was based in allegations from players. I

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Speaker 1: bet it was. Here's what I also bet.

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Speaker 2: I never would have heard a word about it had

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Speaker 2: he gone eleven and one last year. And I never

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Speaker 2: would have had a single player come to the forefront

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Speaker 2: if he went eleven and one using the exact same

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Speaker 2: tactics he uses. I don't think we have to be

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Speaker 2: ignorant in the room to acknowledge that. And we can

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Speaker 2: also acknowledge that maybe Brian Harson wasn't a perfect coach.

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Speaker 2: I'm not here to defend him. He's not on the

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Speaker 2: program later or anything like that.

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Speaker 1: That's the first thing that I want to get out

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Speaker 1: of the way.

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Speaker 2: Okay, so you can acknowledge, Oh, there may have been

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Speaker 2: some players disgruntled.

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Speaker 1: That investigation absolutely was based.

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Speaker 2: In him not being the guy they wanted, and then

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Speaker 2: wanting to get him out of there by any means

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Speaker 2: necessary or at least try. They failed, and then they

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Speaker 2: succeeded a little while later because results on the field

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Speaker 2: weren't good enough. I heard Reese Davis say it the

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Speaker 2: other day. I saw some folks very, very blindly pushed

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Speaker 2: back on it. I agree with Reese Davis. He said,

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Speaker 2: if you want to get rid of them cause he's

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Speaker 2: a bad football coach, if you want to get rid

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Speaker 2: of them and causey recruited poorly, just go ahead and

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Speaker 2: do it and state that is the reason. I probably

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Speaker 2: wouldn't even doing the segment if you stated that as

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Speaker 2: the reason. But there's some other reasons being pushed that

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Speaker 2: until further evidence is produced, I don't really go along

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Speaker 2: with the second quote. I want to read you also

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Speaker 2: from the family piece. It would be wise to see

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Speaker 2: the actions of this new era before believing its words.

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Speaker 2: As the school will welcome its third coach since December

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Speaker 2: of twenty twenty, the question looming will be whether Auburn

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Speaker 2: can get out of its own way, or will the

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Speaker 2: cycle just repeat itself and the spiral continue.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: Part of the reason that the Auburn fan base rejects

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Speaker 2: this stuff is they know some of it's true. They

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Speaker 2: just get tired of Nash types beating on him. It's

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Speaker 2: almost like, you know, hearing someone that you don't respect

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Speaker 2: pointing out your flaws. You'll take it from your friend.

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Speaker 2: You're not interested in what they have to say. A

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Speaker 2: lot of them may not be interested in what I

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Speaker 2: have to say tonight. That's fine, but it's in my

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Speaker 2: best interest for Auburn University to succeed. So if anything,

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Speaker 2: I'm kind of on the side of rooting for Auburn

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Speaker 2: for whatever that's worth. What Pete Thamill just said there

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Speaker 2: is accurate. There's a lot of talk right now with

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Speaker 2: John Cohen, the new ad coming in there by way

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Speaker 2: of Mississippi State. There's a lot of talk about a

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Speaker 2: fresh start, a clean initiative, and the very encouraging language

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Speaker 2: around his hiring has been He's going to be given

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Speaker 2: autonomy to run his own athletic department. That's wonderful, That's

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Speaker 2: exactly what the doctor ordered. Those are also words, and

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Speaker 2: so what a lot of people have said, and I

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Speaker 2: will echo in this case because I agree with him,

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Speaker 2: is it would be.

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Speaker 1: Very wise to let that play out.

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Speaker 2: And if you start to see mister Cohen independently running

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Speaker 2: an athletic department over there. Well, first off, it would

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Speaker 2: be for one of the first times in my lifetime

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Speaker 2: or your lifetime. And secondly, you would be on the

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Speaker 2: precipice of unlocking what I think is the most underrated

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Speaker 2: job in America. Because if he John Cohen hires his

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Speaker 2: own football coach and he gets it right, this is

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Speaker 2: a gold mine.

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Speaker 1: The Auburn football job is a gold mine. Right now.

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Speaker 2: They are massively upgrading their facilities as we speak.

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Speaker 1: That's happening.

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Speaker 2: So whoever gets that job is going to inherit that

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Speaker 2: without having to pull a single lever or touch a

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Speaker 2: single button. A schedule shift is coming in this conference,

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Speaker 2: and I don't know when, and I don't know exactly

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Speaker 2: what it's.

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Speaker 1: Going to look like.

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Speaker 2: They're not gonna have to tote disproportionately the toughest schedule

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Speaker 2: in the conference or one of every single season.

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna get some help there.

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Speaker 2: The Saban runs gotta be on the back end, doesn't it.

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Speaker 2: It's got to end sometime. They've got an NIL war

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Speaker 2: chest built up. They are ready to go. They're ready

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Speaker 2: to play the NIL game, and I think they're ready

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Speaker 2: to be a huge player in the transfer portal as

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Speaker 2: soon as that place is attractive enough for players who

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Speaker 2: want to contend for championships to go to. They could

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Speaker 2: be in a couple of years. What tennessee is right now,

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Speaker 2: there's nothing standing in the way except Auburn. There's never

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Speaker 2: been anything standing in the way except Auburn. So I'm

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Speaker 2: sitting here wondering, like everyone else, are those words true?

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Speaker 2: Will actions back up those words? If they do, you'll

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Speaker 2: see Auburn explode. And I don't know if it's going

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Speaker 2: to be Kiffin. I don't know if it's gonna be

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Speaker 2: Hugh Freeze. I don't know if they'll take a chance

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Speaker 2: on Dion Sanders. My personal belief is they could win

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Speaker 2: with any of a number of these guys if they

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Speaker 2: are given full autonomy and if the alignment that's a

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Speaker 2: word that's being used a lot around Auburn right now.

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Speaker 2: Harson put it in his outgoing statement today. If the

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Speaker 2: alignment is there, sky's the limit for Auburn. The fan

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Speaker 2: base knows it, the beat writers know it.

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Speaker 1: I know it. You know what. Everyone knows it.

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Speaker 2: And it's why it's the dirty little secret that around

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Speaker 2: the SEC people talk about.

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Speaker 1: Behind the scenes. They they don't want.

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Speaker 2: People talking about this publicly. A lot of the rival staffs,

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Speaker 2: a lot of the rival fan bases. They don't want

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Speaker 2: these national type calling out Auburn either, because they want

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Speaker 2: status quo to be maintained at Auburn. No one wants

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Speaker 2: them in in the contender seat, no one wants them

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Speaker 2: at the head table. They want to pencil that in

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Speaker 2: as a w on the schedule every year. That's what

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Speaker 2: they want, and they've gotten it for a while. But

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Speaker 2: it's not because of them as much as it's been

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Speaker 2: because of Auburn.

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Speaker 1: Times could be changing. We'll see. I got big news

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Speaker 1: for those of you in Houston. Big news.

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Speaker 2: You already got a few academies down there, but I'm

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Speaker 2: about to give you one more. And chawli of supremacy

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Speaker 2: are up for grabs, so pay attention. This Friday eleven four,

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Speaker 2: November four, we got a grand opening a new Academy

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Speaker 2: Sports and Outdoors in Houston. Here's the address, eighty seven

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Speaker 2: point fifteen West Loop South.

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Speaker 1: I assume you guys know where that is.

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Speaker 2: I can tell you there will be a big, brand

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Speaker 2: new Academy Sports and Outdoors waiting for you there. And

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Speaker 2: if you prove to me that you visit during the

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Speaker 2: grand opening this entire weekend, ten of you are going

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Speaker 2: to take home Chaai of Supremacy. You cannot win these things, well,

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Speaker 2: you can only win them, you can't buy them. Look,

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Speaker 2: I'm sipping the questionable liquid. It could be orange, it

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Speaker 2: could be red.

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Speaker 1: Who knows.

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Speaker 2: We're not giving anything away just yet. It is delicious,

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Speaker 2: though it's not true blood for those wondering. So if

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Speaker 2: you can prove those of you in the Houston area,

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Speaker 2: I don't care if you live in Minneapolis and you

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Speaker 2: just want to fly to Houston this weekend. If the

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Speaker 2: Chalice of Supremacy means that much to you and it

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00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:28,000
Speaker 2: should paper pop, then go for it. Academy Sports and

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00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:30,840
Speaker 2: Outdoors are exclusive partner, your one stop shop for everything

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00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:32,960
Speaker 2: you could possibly need in life and then some and

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00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:34,560
Speaker 2: if you can't get there in person. I was just

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Speaker 2: talking to one of our viewers in Columbus, Ohio. Academy

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Speaker 2: dot Com gonna have them hooked up. Thank you so

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00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:42,920
Speaker 2: much to them, and thank you so much to you

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Speaker 2: for patronizing them and making them want to come back

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Speaker 2: again and again and again. What a weekend we have

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Speaker 2: ahead of us. Thank you guys for being tuned in live.

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Speaker 1: If you are.

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Speaker 2: Make sure you like this video and subscribe to this channel.

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Speaker 2: Deep breaths I think are necess Siah here there's another one. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee at Georgia Saturday, three thirty Eastern, kickoff a little

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Speaker 2: after three thirty, actually on CBS.

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Speaker 1: We will be there.

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Speaker 2: The every given Saturday tour is headed back to Athens.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna be there Friday. There will be no live show.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna do the Thursday show here and then I'll

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Speaker 2: head down there. I don't know sometime Friday. Excited is

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Speaker 2: how I would describe myself.

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Speaker 1: Every week. This is like five or six levels up.

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Speaker 2: I've told you we don't get to go to Georgia

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Speaker 2: nearly as much as I'd like because their schedule doesn't

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Speaker 2: dictate it. But it does dictate it this week. Do

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Speaker 2: you realize how big this game is. It's number one

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Speaker 2: versus number two in the AP, It's number one versus

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Speaker 2: number three in the College Football Playoff rankings. What it

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Speaker 2: is in the JP pol is TBD. I'll reveal that

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Speaker 2: later tonight. This could be the biggest game in the

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Speaker 2: SEC East this millennium. This is the biggest game in

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Speaker 2: the SEC East in many of your lifetimes. It's a

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Speaker 2: three thirty kick. Sanford Stadium will be on fire. It'll

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Speaker 2: be an environment unlike some of these guys have ever seen.

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Speaker 2: Tennessee saw one in their home building. They're going on

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Speaker 2: the road, They're going into one now. It is what

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Speaker 2: regular season college football is all about. I'm not gonna

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Speaker 2: jump on this soapbox again. Enjoy these kind of matchups

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Speaker 2: and enjoy this urgency. Enjoy this zero safety net under

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Speaker 2: the game kind of mentality while you have it, because

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Speaker 2: it won't exist much longer. I'm gonna put a question

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Speaker 2: out there to you as we dive into the preview,

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Speaker 2: and I'm not gonna answer it.

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Speaker 1: If Georgia loses this game.

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Speaker 2: Are they out of the playoff? That's why I heard

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Speaker 2: a lot of people talking about that today. I don't

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Speaker 2: have a solid answer for you, but there's some speculation

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Speaker 2: that their strength of schedule may not be good enough

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Speaker 2: to where if they lose this game, they're not in Atlanta.

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Speaker 2: You've got a one loss Georgia that won the title

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Speaker 2: last year, but their strength of schedule is just not

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Speaker 2: good enough to vault them into the playoff. Who knows, Hey,

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Speaker 2: the best shot they have clearly is to win. Tennessee's

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Speaker 2: getting eight and a half here, you see that line.

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Speaker 2: A lot of confusion about this. A lot of people thought.

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Speaker 2: Some people thought Tennessee was going to be favored. No,

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Speaker 2: but many of you thought Tennessee was going to be.

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Speaker 1: About a four or a five point dog. But odds

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Speaker 1: makers are handing you over a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: What do we think about that? Well, here's the argument

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Speaker 2: i'd make. I think the line is a little bit.

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Speaker 2: I'll show you what we think in a little while.

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Speaker 2: Don't change anything about Tennessee except one detail. Put Alabama

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Speaker 2: jerseys on them, march them in the Sanford Stadium. What's

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Speaker 2: the line on this game? It ain't eight and a half,

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Speaker 2: it's below a touchdown. So a lot of what's going

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Speaker 2: on here is Tennessee just doesn't have the proven pedigree

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Speaker 2: that a team like Alabama would have. You could have

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Speaker 2: the exact same production, exact same roster, everything could be

405
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Speaker 2: the same, but take the pedigree of an Alabama for example,

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Speaker 2: and march them in there.

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Speaker 1: So, yeah, that's in play. It should be in play.

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Speaker 1: That's all part of this. But you want to make

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Speaker 1: sense of this line.

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Speaker 2: You want to make sense of Tennessee getting over eight

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Speaker 2: and a half going into Georgia, recruiting pedigree and freeze points.

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Speaker 1: That's all this line's about. Let's talk about it.

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Speaker 2: Key number one and that Tennessee passing game meet the

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Speaker 2: freeze point. I've done a lot of radio in Knoxville

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Speaker 2: the last two years, really, but last couple of weeks

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Speaker 2: we've been talking a lot about this. The concept is

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Speaker 2: we saw this game looming of whether Tennessee's passing game

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Speaker 2: was so good their offense and their passing game was

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Speaker 2: so good it can just operate on anyone. Because we've

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Speaker 2: seen that happen before. There are a lot of comparisons

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Speaker 2: about twenty nineteen LSU floating around so much so that

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Speaker 2: I think I'm going to shy away from it just

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Speaker 2: makes you sound like a seal.

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Speaker 1: At this point, it was just kind of repeating everyone.

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Speaker 2: But the twenty twenty Bama team, the twenty nineteen LSU teams,

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Speaker 2: some of these really really prolific offensive teams. What we

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Speaker 2: saw is they were so good it didn't matter what

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Speaker 2: kind of defense you put in front of them, because

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Speaker 2: there was a certain level the freeze point, if you will,

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Speaker 2: where if you got pasted it it doesn't matter We

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Speaker 2: use the freeze point all the time on the show.

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Speaker 2: Kind of think about it inverted. But you got thirty

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Speaker 2: four degrees, nothing's freezing. You got thirty eight degrees, nothing's freezing.

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Speaker 2: You get to thirty two point four, all of a sudden,

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00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 2: that water will freeze. The reality is most teams aren't

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Speaker 2: good enough to do that. But then the further past

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Speaker 2: that freeze point you get, you just get a harder

438
00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:20,160
Speaker 2: and harder freeze. But you got to get to thirty

439
00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:23,800
Speaker 2: two point four. Most teams offensively can't get to that point.

440
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,240
Speaker 2: That's why most of them just grind to a halt

441
00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:28,879
Speaker 2: when they play Georgia and you see their production just

442
00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,560
Speaker 2: fall off a cliff. It doesn't kind of taper off,

443
00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:34,639
Speaker 2: It falls off a cliff. Tennessee could be different, And

444
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,359
Speaker 2: if Tennessee meets that freeze point, then all of a sudden,

445
00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:41,200
Speaker 2: it's the Georgia defensive statistics that you see start to

446
00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 2: look weird and start to spike in the wrong direction.

447
00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 1: Does Tennessee have that?

448
00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,119
Speaker 2: You got Jalen Hyatt there, guys, in the middle of

449
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:50,639
Speaker 2: what could be a Belitanikoff Award winning campaign. You've also

450
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 2: got Cedric Tillman back But the key to me here

451
00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:58,560
Speaker 2: is that run game Tennessee.

452
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:00,800
Speaker 1: Tennessee runs the ball more than Georgia does.

453
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,520
Speaker 2: I was listening to our buddies' college football nerds talk

454
00:21:03,520 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 2: about this game, and they were pointing out basically, they

455
00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:08,399
Speaker 2: were simultaneously saying it as I was looking at it

456
00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:09,120
Speaker 2: on a stat sheet.

457
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:09,600
Speaker 1: They're right.

458
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,880
Speaker 2: If you thought about the offensive profiles of these teams,

459
00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:16,080
Speaker 2: you would think Tennessee airs it out, Georgia ground and pound.

460
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,760
Speaker 2: Tennessee runs the ball more than Georgia does. Georgia throws

461
00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:20,760
Speaker 2: the ball more than Tennessee does. If I did the

462
00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:23,080
Speaker 2: blind resume, every one of you would lose ten dollars

463
00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:23,600
Speaker 2: betting on that.

464
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:26,080
Speaker 1: You just wouldn't suspect that. But that's the case.

465
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:29,760
Speaker 2: If you're high on Tennessee, if you're picking them to

466
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:32,439
Speaker 2: win this game, no doubt you are thinking about the

467
00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:34,959
Speaker 2: Bama game and not the back of your mind. If

468
00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:37,560
Speaker 2: you're picking Tennessee. If you're picking Tennessee to win this game,

469
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:39,760
Speaker 2: you're thinking about the Bama game in the forefront of

470
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:42,239
Speaker 2: your mind. What did Tennessee do that day? Well, they

471
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:45,520
Speaker 2: threw the ball all afternoon to Jalen Hyde. Anytime they

472
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:45,959
Speaker 2: wanted it.

473
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:49,359
Speaker 1: He was there. Boom, touchdown, touchdown, touchdown, touchdown, touchdown was

474
00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:49,959
Speaker 1: a five of them.

475
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 2: I think, yeah, they did that because they could run

476
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:56,159
Speaker 2: the ball. Bama couldn't afford to do what Bama's been

477
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:57,480
Speaker 2: able to do in the past and play that two

478
00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 2: high shell safety look because they had to march another

479
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 2: guy down there, because they couldn't stop the Tennessee run

480
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:06,280
Speaker 2: effectively enough. And that's the question for Georgia. It's probably

481
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,879
Speaker 2: one of the huge deciding factors in this game is

482
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:12,120
Speaker 2: are they good enough upfront to stop Tennessee's run.

483
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:13,160
Speaker 1: With four for example?

484
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:17,640
Speaker 2: If they can, George is gonna win the game. It's

485
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 2: pretty simple unless they turn the ball over four or

486
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:20,119
Speaker 2: five times.

487
00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:21,800
Speaker 1: So for all the talk.

488
00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,199
Speaker 2: About Tilman, all the talk about these wide receivers, the

489
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,159
Speaker 2: thing to watch early on, it won't take long for

490
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:28,480
Speaker 2: you to realize it. The thing to watch early on

491
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:32,400
Speaker 2: is how is Tennessee running? How are they having success?

492
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:34,919
Speaker 2: What is the yards per carry? Are they getting stoned?

493
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:37,360
Speaker 2: Is it second and nine constantly or are they really

494
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:40,640
Speaker 2: putting themselves in position with those second and manageable third

495
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:42,640
Speaker 2: and short to where they can get that first down

496
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:43,880
Speaker 2: and then start tempoing you.

497
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:44,800
Speaker 1: To death Solus.

498
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:47,680
Speaker 2: The other thing to think about is how that game

499
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:52,159
Speaker 2: starts to play out early on, decides how much conditioning

500
00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:53,960
Speaker 2: is going to matter in the second half for Georgia.

501
00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 2: Kirby Smart talked about this earlier this week. They've spoken

502
00:22:57,000 --> 00:23:01,119
Speaker 2: about it internally the entire summer because they this particular

503
00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 2: game is going to offer a different challenge than pretty

504
00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,480
Speaker 2: much any other one on their schedule, because this is

505
00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:08,959
Speaker 2: a team that runs tempo and runs more plays per

506
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:10,640
Speaker 2: minute than any other team on their schedule.

507
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:13,440
Speaker 1: Well, if you force a bunch of three.

508
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 2: And outs in the first half, you're good to go

509
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:17,680
Speaker 2: in the second half. If they've already run forty five

510
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:22,040
Speaker 2: plays on you in the first half. Georgia defensively, the

511
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:25,520
Speaker 2: most plays they've been on the field all year seventy one,

512
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 2: and that was last week, and a lot of that

513
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 2: was garbage time, so you could get them into some

514
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 2: unfamiliar territory and all of a sudden, It's crazy what

515
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:38,960
Speaker 2: happens to your discipline. It's crazy what happens to your

516
00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:42,960
Speaker 2: gap soundness. It's crazy what happens to your angles when

517
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:43,919
Speaker 2: you're sucking win.

518
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 1: A little bit more than you have all year.

519
00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:49,440
Speaker 2: Now, Kirby smart knows that Josh Heipel knows that. That's

520
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:52,399
Speaker 2: why that first half is really imperative. You may not

521
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 2: crack them in the first half just with whatever you

522
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:58,000
Speaker 2: put on the scoreboard, but you could plant the seeds

523
00:23:58,000 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 2: to doing it.

524
00:23:58,480 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 1: In the second half because of what you do in

525
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:02,919
Speaker 1: the first. Key Number two, Georgia needs the game.

526
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,360
Speaker 2: Of the year from their offensive line. There have been

527
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:08,200
Speaker 2: mixed results from that crew. They played horrifically at Missouri.

528
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:11,120
Speaker 2: Lately they've played some of their best ball. They need

529
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:14,879
Speaker 2: an incredible day from their offensive line. These are the

530
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:18,560
Speaker 2: games that Todd Monkin was brought to Athens, Georgia for.

531
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:20,959
Speaker 2: He's been there a few years the offensive coordinator, but

532
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:23,840
Speaker 2: this is really the one. This is the kind of

533
00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 2: game where you need him. You got a bunch of

534
00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 2: three and outs early, you are flirting with disaster playing

535
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 2: a team like Tennessee. But what Georgia can do, really

536
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:36,800
Speaker 2: even more so than Bama probably this year, is Georgia

537
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:41,959
Speaker 2: can maintain drives on you. Bama can home run you

538
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,439
Speaker 2: like Bryce Young any given moment he can pop you.

539
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:48,479
Speaker 2: But Bama doesn't sustain consistent drives like George has been

540
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:49,359
Speaker 2: able to this year.

541
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:51,120
Speaker 1: And again, what are we talking about.

542
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:52,800
Speaker 2: We're talking about what this game looks like in the

543
00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,959
Speaker 2: third and fourth quarter. One of the other surest ways

544
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,199
Speaker 2: to make sure your defense is good to go in

545
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,680
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter is being able to to first and ten,

546
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:03,760
Speaker 2: second and five, third and one.

547
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:04,879
Speaker 1: Move the chains.

548
00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 2: You don't have to sit there and snap the ball

549
00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:09,600
Speaker 2: like Tennessee is gonna do every five seconds. You can

550
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:12,440
Speaker 2: use those tight ends. You can screen them to death,

551
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:16,200
Speaker 2: and you can just what's the word matriculate, You can

552
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:18,720
Speaker 2: matriculate it down the field. I think it's the first

553
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 2: time we have ever used that word on this program.

554
00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 1: Huge Chiefs fan, I'm just saying this first time I've

555
00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:24,679
Speaker 1: ever used it.

556
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:28,480
Speaker 2: If they start to do that, that's the monk in effect.

557
00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:32,119
Speaker 2: You're not beating Tennessee by bombing away on them. You

558
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:35,560
Speaker 2: don't get sucked into that. That's not Georgia's modus operandi.

559
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:36,040
Speaker 1: Anyway.

560
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:40,600
Speaker 2: Now here's what I am curious about. There's a lot

561
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:44,359
Speaker 2: of question out there about how to gauge Tennessee defensively.

562
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 1: What are they defensively? There's some of that that mains.

563
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:51,679
Speaker 2: To be seen, but I will tell you pretty confidently

564
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:53,479
Speaker 2: what I think they are. And that is a good

565
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:57,080
Speaker 2: run defense. They are good at defending the run. And

566
00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:59,920
Speaker 2: if you haven't watched them a lot, and you're a

567
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 2: Georgia fan, and you think that you're just gonna lean

568
00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:05,880
Speaker 2: on them and just physically you'll outclass them, and you're

569
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:07,840
Speaker 2: just kind of bully ball your way down the field.

570
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 2: You're here for a long afternoon. That's not what's gonna happen.

571
00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 1: You can beat them, You can absolutely beat them.

572
00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 2: It's not gonna because you're running it for six or

573
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 2: seven yards per carry.

574
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:18,120
Speaker 1: It's not gonna be all of a sudden. Well, let

575
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:19,480
Speaker 1: me take this back because it ends up in a

576
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 1: hype video.

577
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 2: Otherwise I have a hard time seeing it turn out

578
00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:26,280
Speaker 2: that way. And we've got enough of a profile on

579
00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:28,560
Speaker 2: Tennessee now to know if you're gonna beat them, you

580
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:31,120
Speaker 2: better have enough offensive balance. It doesn't have to look

581
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 2: pretty on the stat sheet, but they better be convinced

582
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:35,439
Speaker 2: you can throw the ball on them and you're willing to.

583
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:37,520
Speaker 1: Which brings us to the next point.

584
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 2: And this is really where if you're absent a d Mitchell,

585
00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 2: which they will be, this is really where it could

586
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:45,920
Speaker 2: show up for Georgia. Great tight end room. Darnell Washington

587
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 2: probably gonna be a little more active this week, I

588
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:50,760
Speaker 2: would imagine. Then we've seen him brock Bowers as a superstar.

589
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,560
Speaker 2: They've got to have those guys. You got to find

590
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,400
Speaker 2: your own mismatch. Hyatt did it against Bama. You need

591
00:26:56,440 --> 00:27:00,440
Speaker 2: those tight ends doing it against Tennessee. Here's a third key,

592
00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 2: and this is one that's all encompassing. You never know

593
00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:06,880
Speaker 2: how staffs and how teams are going to handle these

594
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,359
Speaker 2: spots until they get at them. Sometimes you see a

595
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 2: team that looks like they were shot out of a.

596
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:12,560
Speaker 1: Cannon in these moments.

597
00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 2: And sometimes you see teams, especially if it's new to them,

598
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 2: you see them kind of trying and feel their way

599
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:20,160
Speaker 2: into it, kind of try and find their footing.

600
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:20,480
Speaker 1: So to speak.

601
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,080
Speaker 2: Tennessee needs to be so ultra aggressive coming out of

602
00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 2: the gate.

603
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:25,719
Speaker 1: Here I'm talking about coaching staff.

604
00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,040
Speaker 2: I'm talking about the way they call plays, how they

605
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:31,040
Speaker 2: make decisions on third and fourth downs, special teams.

606
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:32,720
Speaker 1: They need to be ultra aggressive.

607
00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:36,240
Speaker 2: Because if you want to see Georgia pucker even at home,

608
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 2: put a fourteen to nothing lead on them, watch what happens.

609
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:41,919
Speaker 2: That's not an offense built to come from behind like that.

610
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:43,240
Speaker 1: It's absolutely not.

611
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:48,000
Speaker 2: Few offenses are, I'll grant you that, but Tennessee has

612
00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:48,720
Speaker 2: that ability.

613
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 1: They've done it.

614
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:50,919
Speaker 2: We've seen them do it a couple of times already

615
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 2: in big games this year. But you got tempo, you

616
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 2: got new looks taking chances on defense, which they can

617
00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:56,919
Speaker 2: afford to do because they.

618
00:27:56,760 --> 00:27:57,560
Speaker 1: Know they can score.

619
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:00,879
Speaker 2: It's kind of become one of their trademarks is a

620
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:03,679
Speaker 2: little more aggressive play, kind of like LSU did in

621
00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:06,800
Speaker 2: twenty nineteen on defense. Because they know we're not Texas

622
00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 2: A and them, we're not Iowa State. We don't have

623
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 2: to hold the opposition to seventeen or less to give

624
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:12,200
Speaker 2: ourselves a shot to win.

625
00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:15,000
Speaker 1: My biggest questions here and what made.

626
00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:18,680
Speaker 2: Me struggle so much today, I just decided my pick

627
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:21,240
Speaker 2: like thirty minutes ago. What made me struggle so much

628
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 2: today is I wonder will Georgia make the Bama adjustment.

629
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 2: Bama got shredded because Josh Hipel isolated a mismatch and

630
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:35,440
Speaker 2: he exploited it. I mean, really, that game, that Tennessee

631
00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:37,879
Speaker 2: Bama game comes down to a mismatch and home field.

632
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 2: That's what it came down to, and Tennessee took full

633
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:42,720
Speaker 2: advantage of it, and they leveraged it well.

634
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 1: They don't have home field in this one.

635
00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:47,880
Speaker 2: And the second unknowable part is is there a.

636
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 1: Mismatch out there?

637
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 2: I keep thinking back every time I go about it

638
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:56,320
Speaker 2: on this game. I keep thinking back to the spring

639
00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:59,640
Speaker 2: and the summer when our focus was on that corner

640
00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 2: rote at Georgia. And surely surely you think to yourself,

641
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:07,000
Speaker 2: they've got those questions answered by now, Well, yeah, they

642
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,080
Speaker 2: answer the questions in fall camp pretty convincingly to their

643
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 2: coaching staffs, liking what you don't know is overall, what

644
00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:15,320
Speaker 2: caliber of player.

645
00:29:15,320 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 1: Do you have in that secondary.

646
00:29:16,840 --> 00:29:19,920
Speaker 2: You don't really know overall how the caliber of player

647
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,480
Speaker 2: you have matches up to this kind of pressure put

648
00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:24,880
Speaker 2: on it, because the pressure hadn't been put on it yet.

649
00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:28,160
Speaker 2: The great unknowable is you saw all those guys go

650
00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:31,240
Speaker 2: off to the draft, right, and then the next thing

651
00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 2: you saw was Georgia obliterate Oregon, and you forgot all

652
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 2: about it. That Oregon team in week one wasn't the

653
00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:39,640
Speaker 2: one that was going to provide.

654
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 1: The stiffest challenge. This Tennessee team is.

655
00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:44,960
Speaker 2: And so we've got the huge dam with that block

656
00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:48,000
Speaker 2: g on it and it is. It's just Georgia, right,

657
00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 2: it's just a Georgia defense. Again, it may very well be,

658
00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:52,840
Speaker 2: That's why I'm calling it a question. But you finally

659
00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 2: get the water pressure against it, and much as was

660
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:58,400
Speaker 2: the case with Bama. Who in the world was talking

661
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:02,160
Speaker 2: about DeMarco Hellams going into that game? Bama fans, how

662
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 2: many of you were talking about the Hyatt versus DeMarco

663
00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 2: Hellam's mismatch? Absolutely none of you, myself included, We didn't

664
00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:11,920
Speaker 2: talk about on this game. That's what a great offense

665
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 2: can do. It's what a great play caller can do.

666
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 2: And they got one at Tennessee. So when we get

667
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 2: halftime Saturday, as it played out largely like you would

668
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:24,520
Speaker 2: expect on paper or is there one or two little

669
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:27,720
Speaker 2: columns in that stat sheet they hand you at halftime.

670
00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:30,560
Speaker 1: Paper's still hot. Rub it against your face feels.

671
00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:34,160
Speaker 2: Great where you say, wow, didn't expect that. And if

672
00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:36,720
Speaker 2: that's the case, where are they? Plus Georgia could do

673
00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:39,360
Speaker 2: it to Tennessee too. I'm just saying it feels like

674
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:41,520
Speaker 2: we know a lot less about Tennessee because George is

675
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:43,800
Speaker 2: a more proven commodity. Here we go, Let's take a

676
00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:45,719
Speaker 2: look at what the model thinks as opposed to what

677
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 2: the Vegas line is. And then we're recording this live

678
00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:51,280
Speaker 2: on Tuesday night and George's favored by eight and a half.

679
00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 2: I don't know what it'll be come Friday. I expect

680
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:55,560
Speaker 2: there's got to be some Tennessee money out there somewhere.

681
00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 2: The model is only two points off, but it's under

682
00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:02,720
Speaker 2: a very important number. The Caesars line is Georgia minus

683
00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:05,600
Speaker 2: eight and a half. Our line is Georgia minus six

684
00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 2: and a half. When I went back to that Bama

685
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 2: game and I told you I thought it was about

686
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:13,320
Speaker 2: a mismatch and home field, what I kept coming back

687
00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:16,840
Speaker 2: to on this game is how much I thought home

688
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:20,360
Speaker 2: field mattered to Tennessee when they beat Alabama. Now here's

689
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,520
Speaker 2: what I'm not telling you. I don't think the environment

690
00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 2: and the atmosphere that in San Frase Stadium this Saturday

691
00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:28,960
Speaker 2: as great as it's going to be. I don't think

692
00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:31,240
Speaker 2: it's going to do a number on Tennessee only because

693
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 2: I think the kind of offense they run sort of

694
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:37,320
Speaker 2: limits a crowd's ability to impact them as much as

695
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 2: you would a more traditional offense. So it's not that

696
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 2: it's the inability to harness that home crowd that I

697
00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:48,239
Speaker 2: worry about a little bit too much to pick them

698
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:51,080
Speaker 2: out right, But those are way too many points for me,

699
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 2: So I'm taking Tennessee plus eight and a half. I do, however,

700
00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 2: trust the model, and I'll go Georgia to win. And

701
00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 2: that means I think it's a one possession for quarter,

702
00:32:00,800 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 2: maybe an instant classic kind of game, at which point,

703
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:08,200
Speaker 2: if I'm right, we walk away saying how far is

704
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:12,480
Speaker 2: Tennessee really about to drop? And then you regardless, obviously

705
00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:15,120
Speaker 2: a top three team is gonna lose here when we're

706
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:18,200
Speaker 2: talking about the playoff rankings, So you're gonna have conversation

707
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 2: in the what if game either way. But currently the

708
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,800
Speaker 2: odds to win the national Championship, we got number two

709
00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 2: Georgia at plus three hundred or plus two hundred, and

710
00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 2: we got number four Tennessee at plus one thousand. Again,

711
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 2: if you think Tennessee's gonna win Saturday, you might as

712
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:36,440
Speaker 2: well place a dollar or two there on Tennessee at

713
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,600
Speaker 2: plus one thousand to win it all, because they would

714
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 2: put themselves in the driver's seat.

715
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:41,200
Speaker 1: So I'll take Georgia to win.

716
00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 2: We'll take Tennessee to cover, probably probably the kind of

717
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:48,280
Speaker 2: game where no outcome surprises me.

718
00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:51,280
Speaker 1: Wild variants on this one.

719
00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 2: This is not one of those games where you look

720
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 2: at it and you say, you know, it's like when

721
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:59,120
Speaker 2: the Titans and the Steelers used to play in the

722
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 2: NFL playoffs. Then you felt so confident that's a three

723
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:05,560
Speaker 2: or six point game either way. That's not this. This

724
00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:07,800
Speaker 2: thing could be a twenty one point win either way.

725
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:10,800
Speaker 2: You have no clue how much variance there is on

726
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:14,200
Speaker 2: this kind of game because of the amount of volatility

727
00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:16,360
Speaker 2: that the kinds of offensive pieces we have in this

728
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:18,560
Speaker 2: game can throw into the blender. So I'm looking forward

729
00:33:18,600 --> 00:33:20,200
Speaker 2: to it will be there, We'll be on the field.

730
00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:22,280
Speaker 2: I'm ecstatic. I'm excited. We hadn't been to a game

731
00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 2: in Athens in quite a while. They're watching us in Valdosta, Georgia. Man,

732
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:34,160
Speaker 2: they're watching us in Fredericksburg, Virginia, Indianapolis, Indiana, and Clanton, Alabama.

733
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 1: Thank you so much. Wherever you guys are, remember to

734
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:38,480
Speaker 1: like the video while you're here, please.

735
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:44,520
Speaker 2: I'm told, and that is strictly through the grapevine that

736
00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 2: they released.

737
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:46,440
Speaker 1: The playoff rankings earlier tonight.

738
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 2: I could not be bothered to watch them because I

739
00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 2: was busy putting together the actual ratings, the power ratings.

740
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:59,320
Speaker 2: If you will, Colin, here's your endpoint. Playoff rankings came out.

741
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:02,200
Speaker 2: Don't really care about those. It's largely a TV product

742
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 2: at this point. We will sort this out on the

743
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,480
Speaker 2: field in the regular season the way that it's supposed

744
00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 2: to be sorted out. But in the meantime, I do

745
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:10,839
Speaker 2: have a brand new jap pole for you. I am

746
00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 2: going to explain something to you about a certain team

747
00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:17,879
Speaker 2: that is still in the top fifteen that illustrates everything

748
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:19,400
Speaker 2: this power rating is about.

749
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 1: I got an itch in my nose.

750
00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 2: Okay, let's go, because we've got movement in the top three.

751
00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:25,799
Speaker 2: We got a new number one, we got a new

752
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:26,319
Speaker 2: number two.

753
00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:27,040
Speaker 1: So let's go.

754
00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:30,239
Speaker 2: Let's dive in twenty five through twenty one. Kentucky twenty five.

755
00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 2: They plummeted the horrific showing against Tennessee Saturday night, barely

756
00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:36,919
Speaker 2: in the top twenty five. Oklahoma is an interesting case

757
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 2: study here. Okay, the model is picking up on Oklahoma.

758
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:43,680
Speaker 2: Remember all this is is favorability on a neutral field

759
00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:47,000
Speaker 2: today and moving forward, So Oklahoma could be winless if

760
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:49,080
Speaker 2: the model thinks there's something starting to click with the

761
00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 2: team a little bit. It only cares about this point

762
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 2: moving forward. So basically your your zero and zero every week.

763
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 2: As far as the model's concerned, it's ping in Oklahoma

764
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:00,359
Speaker 2: a little bit.

765
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:01,319
Speaker 1: We'll see what happens there.

766
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:05,240
Speaker 2: Illinois twenty three again favorability not where you should be ranked,

767
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:09,240
Speaker 2: favorability on a neutral field. Florida State. Model loves Florida

768
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:12,000
Speaker 2: State still at twenty two. They played Miami. They're favored

769
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:14,120
Speaker 2: by seven and a half this week, and Texas Texas

770
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 2: at twenty one, Top twenty Mississippi states still there. Oklahoma

771
00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:21,520
Speaker 2: State fell. Frankly, the model had no clue what to

772
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:25,120
Speaker 2: do with Oklahoma State. They are, I mean, they're probably

773
00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:27,759
Speaker 2: going to be in a dogfight again this week. UCLA's

774
00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:30,120
Speaker 2: floating around eighteen. They've kind of been their Oregon State

775
00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:33,799
Speaker 2: around the same spot seventeen. Arkansas Model still likes them.

776
00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:36,640
Speaker 2: They play Liberty, favored by thirteen and a half at

777
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:39,279
Speaker 2: home against Liberty this week. Arkansas has sixteen. Here we

778
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:44,279
Speaker 2: go top fifteen time. Ole Miss is number fifteen. Lane

779
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:47,560
Speaker 2: Kiffin leading the ole Miss rebels there. Okay, Texas is.

780
00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:49,440
Speaker 1: Who I want to talk to you about now.

781
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:54,920
Speaker 2: I disagree, but then again, I can't disagree. Now, remember

782
00:35:54,920 --> 00:36:00,520
Speaker 2: what this thing's about. For everyone calling Texas overrated, the

783
00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:03,879
Speaker 2: sole purpose of this is to talk about which teams

784
00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:09,359
Speaker 2: would be favored against twitch teams on a neutral field. Texas,

785
00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:12,040
Speaker 2: the last time you saw them, they were losing, right,

786
00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 2: they lost to Oklahoma State.

787
00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:17,399
Speaker 1: Irrelevant, they were favored in the game. That's all we

788
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 1: care about.

789
00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:21,080
Speaker 2: From there. Whatever the result is is. Whatever the result is,

790
00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:23,520
Speaker 2: Texas plays you know who.

791
00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:28,600
Speaker 1: This weekend, Texas plays Kansas State at Kansas State, and

792
00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:29,680
Speaker 1: they're favored.

793
00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:34,160
Speaker 2: So if anything, I got Texas too low here or

794
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:38,399
Speaker 2: either I got Kansas State too high. It's nothing more

795
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 2: than that. Okay, there's nothing more. You cannot argue with

796
00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 2: me about this.

797
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,760
Speaker 1: I've got the proof Texas is still favored every week.

798
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,560
Speaker 2: So the odds makers are really the only thing we're

799
00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:51,560
Speaker 2: trying to gauge here. So Texas, I've got a fourteen

800
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 2: odds makers are saying you probably should bump them up there. Yeah,

801
00:36:55,719 --> 00:36:58,359
Speaker 2: by the way, if you were unaware, you heard me right.

802
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,439
Speaker 2: That Kansas State team one by half one hundred. They're

803
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 2: a dog at home against Texas. It's your money. Do

804
00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:08,879
Speaker 2: whatever you will with it LSUS at thirteen Ascension mode team.

805
00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:11,359
Speaker 2: They play Bama this week. Penn State's at twelve. They

806
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,120
Speaker 2: actually ticked up a couple of spots with a closer,

807
00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 2: slightly closer than expected loss against Ohio State, and Utah

808
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:20,719
Speaker 2: has unchanged at eleven. All right, he gets fun here.

809
00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:24,880
Speaker 2: Top ten time TCUs at ten, and a lot of

810
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:28,440
Speaker 2: this is not teams falling, it's other teams rising.

811
00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:29,480
Speaker 1: So you had to adjust accordingly.

812
00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:31,759
Speaker 2: Kansas State's in the top ten for the first time.

813
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:35,080
Speaker 2: They're at number nine, USC's at eight. Oregon is now

814
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:37,880
Speaker 2: the top power rated team in the PAC twelve.

815
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:39,399
Speaker 1: Yes, you heard me right.

816
00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:42,760
Speaker 2: We would favor Oregon against any team on a neutral

817
00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:45,920
Speaker 2: field tomorrow in the PAC twelve. That's news. It's the

818
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 2: first time we've had them that high. Plumson is at six.

819
00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:50,440
Speaker 2: Here's the top five. We got a bunch of movement

820
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:52,359
Speaker 2: up here, and I'll tell you what the gaps are.

821
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:55,160
Speaker 1: Michigan's at five, Tennessee's at four.

822
00:37:55,280 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 2: They swapped places there favorability neutral field. Ohio State eight

823
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:03,520
Speaker 2: fell to number three, Bama's at two, and Georgia is

824
00:38:03,560 --> 00:38:06,600
Speaker 2: at one. Remember Ohio State was one last week. Now,

825
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:10,759
Speaker 2: in reality, nothing much changed. But here's the difference. We

826
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 2: got Georgia minus one against Bama if they played on

827
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:15,240
Speaker 2: a neutral field.

828
00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:15,720
Speaker 1: Tomorrow.

829
00:38:16,200 --> 00:38:19,520
Speaker 2: We got Georgia minus one and a half against Ohio State,

830
00:38:19,600 --> 00:38:22,359
Speaker 2: So there is essentially no gap between the top three.

831
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:24,680
Speaker 1: Here's where things have changed.

832
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:28,560
Speaker 2: Georgia and minus four and a half against Tennessee on

833
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:31,279
Speaker 2: a neutral field.

834
00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:33,280
Speaker 1: That's not a big gap at all.

835
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:35,879
Speaker 2: So remember there was a time a few weeks ago

836
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:37,800
Speaker 2: where we thought there was a double digit point gap

837
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 2: between three and then the rest of the field.

838
00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:41,360
Speaker 1: That has evaporated.

839
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:45,000
Speaker 2: Furthermore, we would have Georgia and minus seven on a

840
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:47,880
Speaker 2: neutral field against Michigan. So all of a sudden, we

841
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 2: don't have a Tier one. Well at least we don't

842
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:52,279
Speaker 2: have a Tier one with only three teams. We got

843
00:38:52,280 --> 00:38:54,239
Speaker 2: a bunch of teams. You see why I'm starting to

844
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:57,360
Speaker 2: say I think multiple teams could actually win the national

845
00:38:57,400 --> 00:39:00,000
Speaker 2: title this year as opposed to just make the playoff.

846
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 1: That's why.

847
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:06,560
Speaker 2: So we've got obviously a couple of top ten showdowns

848
00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:11,760
Speaker 2: in the playoff rankings. We got Georgia versus Tennessee this week,

849
00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:14,560
Speaker 2: So you are sure that a top three team will lose,

850
00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:16,799
Speaker 2: I'm talking about the plaoff ratings for a second, and

851
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:19,919
Speaker 2: you've also got Bama versus LSU. That's I think six

852
00:39:19,960 --> 00:39:22,839
Speaker 2: against ten, So you're guaranteed to have at least two

853
00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:25,040
Speaker 2: top ten teams lose this week in your playoff rankings.

854
00:39:25,200 --> 00:39:27,560
Speaker 1: As for our power ratings, what would we have.

855
00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:31,240
Speaker 2: We'd have one versus four, and we would have Bama

856
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:34,200
Speaker 2: at number two and we had LSU at twelve, So

857
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:39,360
Speaker 2: we got one verses four and two versus twelve. Comments

858
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:43,240
Speaker 2: are wide open speaking of the Alabama Crimson Tide.

859
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:50,000
Speaker 1: Let me take a sip here. I never thought I

860
00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:53,920
Speaker 1: would live to see the day where the Bama LSU

861
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:57,800
Speaker 1: game featured two top ten teams and it got overshadowed

862
00:39:57,800 --> 00:40:00,839
Speaker 1: in the SEC. But yet here we are, look at

863
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:02,920
Speaker 1: the SEC East flexing its muscle.

864
00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:08,800
Speaker 2: Bama versus LSU Saturday seven Eastern kickoff on ESPN because

865
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:12,759
Speaker 2: Georgia and Tennessee got the A list window in CBS

866
00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:15,960
Speaker 2: three point thirty, LSU get to night game against Bama

867
00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:18,520
Speaker 2: Death Valley at night?

868
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:20,960
Speaker 1: What more could you want? If you're an LSU fan,

869
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:22,200
Speaker 1: I would.

870
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:24,760
Speaker 2: Advise you don't go back and look at historical trends

871
00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:28,160
Speaker 2: here forget about the serious history, it will only make

872
00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:31,520
Speaker 2: you furious, So just worry about the here and now.

873
00:40:31,880 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 2: I got a little blind resume test for you guys.

874
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 2: I should have had it made graphically, but whatever. I

875
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,200
Speaker 2: got two quarterbacks playing in this game. We've got Jayden

876
00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:45,799
Speaker 2: and Daniels. We've got Bryce Young. One of them has

877
00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 2: passed for two hundred and ninety two yards a game,

878
00:40:48,760 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 2: the other has passed for two hundred and ninety one

879
00:40:52,040 --> 00:40:55,280
Speaker 2: point nine yards per game. One of them has thrown

880
00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:58,719
Speaker 2: for One of them has accumulated twenty one touchdowns, the

881
00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:02,960
Speaker 2: other one has accumulated twenty one touchdowns. One of them

882
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:05,719
Speaker 2: has turned the ball over twice this year. One of

883
00:41:05,760 --> 00:41:07,799
Speaker 2: them has turned the ball over three times this year.

884
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:12,320
Speaker 2: I did not say totals there, I said averages per game.

885
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:17,280
Speaker 1: They're nearly identical, at least in those stat categories. If anything,

886
00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 1: it looks like Jaden Daniels has about a zero point

887
00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:22,240
Speaker 1: one yard per game edge.

888
00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:26,400
Speaker 2: So congratulations to the quarterback there at lsu point being

889
00:41:27,600 --> 00:41:30,240
Speaker 2: numbers can lie to you, because Bryce Young is solidly

890
00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:34,080
Speaker 2: the better quarterback in this game. But we do not

891
00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:37,360
Speaker 2: have chopped liver on the other side with which to

892
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:40,200
Speaker 2: chalk this up as an easy win for Alabama. So

893
00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:44,000
Speaker 2: the line on the game right now is thirteen Bama

894
00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:47,080
Speaker 2: minus thirteen. Is there a path to an upset? Yeah,

895
00:41:47,120 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 2: Bama's playing on the road. There is absolutely a path

896
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:51,080
Speaker 2: to an upset. They could play Shaw High School in

897
00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:53,360
Speaker 2: Columbus and there would be a path to an upset

898
00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:54,799
Speaker 2: because Bama's not Bama on.

899
00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 1: The road anymore.

900
00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,240
Speaker 2: I will continue to say that until they prove me otherwise.

901
00:41:58,840 --> 00:42:01,840
Speaker 2: Look at that place, it's not an easy place to play.

902
00:42:02,680 --> 00:42:05,879
Speaker 2: LSU has had three games this year with a one

903
00:42:05,960 --> 00:42:06,960
Speaker 2: hundred yard rusher.

904
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,920
Speaker 1: This is the whole game Saturday. Forget about the rest

905
00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 1: of the don't forget about it.

906
00:42:11,000 --> 00:42:12,440
Speaker 2: I want you to watch it, but I'm telling you

907
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:16,840
Speaker 2: the most important stat category Saturday is LSU running the football.

908
00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:19,279
Speaker 2: They have not been good doing it this year. They've

909
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:22,440
Speaker 2: had three games where they've had a one hundred yard rusher.

910
00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:23,760
Speaker 1: Two of the three were.

911
00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:28,280
Speaker 2: Jayden Daniels at quarterback, So they have not had anything

912
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:29,960
Speaker 2: close to what they need.

913
00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:30,960
Speaker 1: At the running back position.

914
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:35,440
Speaker 2: And if you have any hope for LSU pulling this

915
00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:39,319
Speaker 2: upset off absent some crazy turnover game, what are we

916
00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:42,920
Speaker 2: thinking about. We're thinking about the struggles BAMA had at Tennessee.

917
00:42:43,440 --> 00:42:46,840
Speaker 2: Why did BAMA struggle at Tennessee home crowd which LSU

918
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:49,480
Speaker 2: will have and Tennessee running the ball to set up

919
00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:53,000
Speaker 2: mismatches out wide on the perimeter and LSU do that

920
00:42:53,080 --> 00:42:55,839
Speaker 2: because you can't have one without the other. So I

921
00:42:56,160 --> 00:42:59,640
Speaker 2: strongly question whether LSU can run the ball and put

922
00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:03,840
Speaker 2: themselves in favorable matchup situations enough. The second part is

923
00:43:04,800 --> 00:43:07,560
Speaker 2: for some of the names on this LSU roster at

924
00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 2: wide receiver.

925
00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:10,200
Speaker 1: The production hasn't been there.

926
00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:14,320
Speaker 2: So if we have a Jalen Hyatt performance in the wings,

927
00:43:14,520 --> 00:43:15,800
Speaker 2: it's gonna surprise everyone.

928
00:43:15,960 --> 00:43:18,000
Speaker 1: Not saying it can't happen. I'm saying it's gonna surprise

929
00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:19,080
Speaker 1: everyone if it does happen.

930
00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:23,080
Speaker 2: The other thing that that creates in terms of a

931
00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:27,200
Speaker 2: problem is LSU has allowed twenty six sacs this year

932
00:43:28,160 --> 00:43:31,920
Speaker 2: and that is second worst in the SEC. And you

933
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:37,959
Speaker 2: go back to that Tennessee game to familiar theme. Alabama's

934
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:41,279
Speaker 2: pass rush was non existent in that Tennessee game.

935
00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:42,640
Speaker 1: Why was that?

936
00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:47,279
Speaker 2: It was because of the versatility and then success in

937
00:43:47,320 --> 00:43:51,120
Speaker 2: the passing game that Tennessee was able to have quick

938
00:43:51,200 --> 00:43:54,080
Speaker 2: strikes too in the past game, but also it wasn't

939
00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:58,680
Speaker 2: just a bunch of slants. Tennessee ended up somehow, some

940
00:43:58,800 --> 00:44:02,160
Speaker 2: way convincing ban I'm going to drop Dallas Turner into coverage.

941
00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:04,400
Speaker 1: You had Will Anderson occasionally dropped into coverage.

942
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 2: And the reason you can do that is because they're

943
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:08,880
Speaker 2: terrified of what you can do through the air, and

944
00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:13,040
Speaker 2: they're adjusting defensively Accordingly, I don't necessarily expect to see

945
00:44:13,040 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 2: fifteen dropping in pass coverage a lot Saturday night, only

946
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:18,440
Speaker 2: because I don't know that LSU can get them into that.

947
00:44:18,480 --> 00:44:18,800
Speaker 1: Look.

948
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:21,080
Speaker 2: I don't know that LSU can convince them that they

949
00:44:21,120 --> 00:44:23,920
Speaker 2: have to worry about the same things that Tennessee convinced

950
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:24,279
Speaker 2: them they.

951
00:44:24,280 --> 00:44:25,040
Speaker 1: Had to worry about.

952
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:29,080
Speaker 2: And because of that, I think Alabama's pass rush and

953
00:44:29,120 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 2: this is a crazy concept, but follow me here, is

954
00:44:32,120 --> 00:44:34,320
Speaker 2: going to be concentrated on rushing the passer.

955
00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:38,640
Speaker 1: What a pin drop that is and almost rolled off

956
00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:41,880
Speaker 1: the table. If that's the case, Jaden Daniels will be

957
00:44:41,920 --> 00:44:43,720
Speaker 1: under duress all night. Now.

958
00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:46,000
Speaker 2: There have been times in the past where you've seen

959
00:44:46,040 --> 00:44:50,239
Speaker 2: Nick Saban defensive teams face mobile quarterbacks and they don't

960
00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 2: pin their ears back. They do more like that mush

961
00:44:52,680 --> 00:44:54,360
Speaker 2: rush concept, and they want to keep a guy in

962
00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:57,439
Speaker 2: the pocket because they're basically telegraphing to him, we don't

963
00:44:57,480 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 2: think you can beat us with your arm, and eventually

964
00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:01,800
Speaker 2: we'll get at home. But we're not rushing up the

965
00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:03,920
Speaker 2: field past you, and we're not letting you outside the

966
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:06,759
Speaker 2: pocket as much as we can. We'll see how they

967
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:10,680
Speaker 2: go about things Saturday night. Field position integral in any

968
00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:14,960
Speaker 2: football game is probably something that LSU needs to flip

969
00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:18,000
Speaker 2: the script on here and again. If you hear me

970
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 2: talking a lot about what LSU needs to do, it's

971
00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:22,239
Speaker 2: because in these games with bigger points spreads, that's how

972
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:24,160
Speaker 2: we do the preview. What would have to happen for

973
00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:28,000
Speaker 2: the upset to occur. LSU's average starting field position this

974
00:45:28,080 --> 00:45:30,880
Speaker 2: year their own twenty eight yard line, that's one hundred

975
00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:34,880
Speaker 2: and fifth in the nation, point blank. They need that

976
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:37,719
Speaker 2: to change Saturday, even if it's just a one off,

977
00:45:38,040 --> 00:45:40,480
Speaker 2: they need to have that be different. They need to

978
00:45:40,520 --> 00:45:42,960
Speaker 2: force some turnovers, they need to have that flip, and

979
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:44,120
Speaker 2: you need to look at the end of the.

980
00:45:44,160 --> 00:45:46,120
Speaker 1: Night and say, wow, look at that.

981
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 2: Their average was the twenty eight when they started on

982
00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:50,239
Speaker 2: like the forty yard line on average tonight? How did

983
00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:52,200
Speaker 2: they do That doesn't matter how they did it. They

984
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:53,920
Speaker 2: just need to be able to do it. Can you

985
00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:56,799
Speaker 2: consistently drive the field otherwise on Bama? I don't think

986
00:45:56,840 --> 00:46:01,200
Speaker 2: they can. Hey, fun stat here. If you're an Alabama fan,

987
00:46:01,560 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 2: how do you think your defense is played?

988
00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:07,600
Speaker 1: This year? Jeopardy, Jeopardy music in the background, give you

989
00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:10,640
Speaker 1: some time? Do you know that Bama?

990
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 2: Counting the Tennessee game, Bama has allowed the sixth fewest

991
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:20,479
Speaker 2: defensive touchdowns in America this year, fifteen of them total.

992
00:46:20,600 --> 00:46:23,160
Speaker 1: Tennessee's got seven out of the fifteen. By the way,

993
00:46:24,200 --> 00:46:26,920
Speaker 1: is that how you feel about your defense? Do you

994
00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:29,080
Speaker 1: think that they're one of the six best in the

995
00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:30,960
Speaker 1: country right now? I don't think many of you do.

996
00:46:31,920 --> 00:46:33,520
Speaker 1: Numbers can do funny things to you.

997
00:46:33,920 --> 00:46:36,960
Speaker 2: Or maybe you're holding your team to the standard of

998
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:39,400
Speaker 2: past Bama teams instead of looking around the rest of

999
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:41,640
Speaker 2: the country and thinking, wow, there aren't really many elite

1000
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:43,839
Speaker 2: units out there, are there. Let's take a look at

1001
00:46:43,880 --> 00:46:46,720
Speaker 2: what the model thinks, and let's talk about what Vegas thinks.

1002
00:46:47,000 --> 00:46:50,600
Speaker 2: The Vegas line right here is Bama minus thirteen, and

1003
00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:53,640
Speaker 2: the model is right in line. Actually, we've got Bama

1004
00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:57,000
Speaker 2: minus twelve. Here's what I think I think that there

1005
00:46:57,160 --> 00:47:00,439
Speaker 2: is obviously the elephant in the room pun intended being

1006
00:47:00,440 --> 00:47:03,520
Speaker 2: the Tennessee game, that is baked into what our model

1007
00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:05,719
Speaker 2: thinks and quite frankly, what the Vegas number is too.

1008
00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:08,880
Speaker 2: I think it's a bad matchup night for LSU. I

1009
00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:11,520
Speaker 2: just don't like it at all. I think Alabama's gonna win.

1010
00:47:11,560 --> 00:47:13,960
Speaker 2: I think Bama's gonna cover, and I don't even think

1011
00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:16,840
Speaker 2: they'll be without some of their usual self inflicted wounds

1012
00:47:16,840 --> 00:47:19,240
Speaker 2: on the road. I don't think they'll play a clean game.

1013
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:22,040
Speaker 2: I think at this point it's foolish to expect that

1014
00:47:22,040 --> 00:47:24,480
Speaker 2: from Alabama. They've shown you they struggle with that too

1015
00:47:24,520 --> 00:47:27,960
Speaker 2: many times. I'm counting that in and I still think.

1016
00:47:28,120 --> 00:47:29,799
Speaker 2: I know there's gonna be a lot of noise made

1017
00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:33,080
Speaker 2: about this is the time that the LSU's gonna trip

1018
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:35,400
Speaker 2: them up. Brian Kelly Year one, I got full confidence

1019
00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:37,759
Speaker 2: in Brian Kelly. I don't think it's happening in year one.

1020
00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:39,960
Speaker 2: I'm taking Bama to win. I think they win by

1021
00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:43,319
Speaker 2: over two touchdowns. I hope I haven't been unclear in

1022
00:47:43,320 --> 00:47:47,839
Speaker 2: how I think that game's gonna go. I want to

1023
00:47:47,880 --> 00:47:49,480
Speaker 2: do a couple of things. I know I'm looking at

1024
00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:52,520
Speaker 2: the live chat because someone said something interesting. But I

1025
00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:54,360
Speaker 2: want to do a couple of things here. So earlier

1026
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:57,600
Speaker 2: today I opened up the inbox, or well, I.

1027
00:47:57,520 --> 00:47:59,600
Speaker 1: Guess I asked for questions. It's a kind of a

1028
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,960
Speaker 1: figurative inbox, and we got a couple of them. I

1029
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 1: want to hit here. So let's tee up the one

1030
00:48:05,160 --> 00:48:10,520
Speaker 1: about cristal Ball. First, John asked, what's a true time

1031
00:48:10,640 --> 00:48:13,480
Speaker 1: frame for Mario Cristaball to get it right in Miami

1032
00:48:13,600 --> 00:48:15,080
Speaker 1: next year? Year two?

1033
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:19,080
Speaker 2: That's college football today, year two. So you've heard me

1034
00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:21,080
Speaker 2: talk about my thoughts on where they are right now.

1035
00:48:21,120 --> 00:48:23,080
Speaker 2: You've heard me talk about my thoughts on a rebuild.

1036
00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:25,120
Speaker 2: I'm not saying it's a finished product in year two,

1037
00:48:25,600 --> 00:48:29,759
Speaker 2: but there are too many examples already, even in the

1038
00:48:30,360 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 2: early age of the transfer portal and NIL to where

1039
00:48:34,080 --> 00:48:37,399
Speaker 2: guys are radically turning around programs. Josh Haipel the most

1040
00:48:37,520 --> 00:48:40,000
Speaker 2: glaring example right now in year two of their tenure,

1041
00:48:40,640 --> 00:48:44,280
Speaker 2: that I expect Mario Christball to have a competitive product

1042
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:47,000
Speaker 2: on the field next year from Miami. I think it's

1043
00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:50,880
Speaker 2: going to be a wild winter and spring. I think

1044
00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:54,040
Speaker 2: a massive chunk of their roster is going to turn over.

1045
00:48:54,480 --> 00:48:56,640
Speaker 2: But I think they'll be competitive next year. I don't

1046
00:48:56,680 --> 00:48:59,719
Speaker 2: have doubt about this. I really don't. And I'm talking

1047
00:48:59,719 --> 00:49:01,680
Speaker 2: about some of their coaching staff too. I don't think

1048
00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:04,759
Speaker 2: the coaches are immune. He's gonna get it right. They're

1049
00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 2: not gonna win a national title next year, or at

1050
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:09,520
Speaker 2: least that's not my prediction. I think they'll be competitive

1051
00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:12,120
Speaker 2: in virtually every game they play, or I will expect

1052
00:49:12,160 --> 00:49:13,160
Speaker 2: them to be next year.

1053
00:49:13,600 --> 00:49:16,840
Speaker 1: That's not too high a level of expectation. Now.

1054
00:49:17,080 --> 00:49:20,640
Speaker 2: Having said that, I also think that it's very, very

1055
00:49:20,719 --> 00:49:24,400
Speaker 2: important to understand there are kind of levels to that.

1056
00:49:24,440 --> 00:49:27,840
Speaker 2: They're kind of layers to that. A roster is not

1057
00:49:27,920 --> 00:49:30,799
Speaker 2: a program. So what he can do this time next

1058
00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:35,040
Speaker 2: year just with his roster that affects next year and

1059
00:49:35,160 --> 00:49:38,760
Speaker 2: next year alone. But to build a program, you're talking

1060
00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:42,239
Speaker 2: about pillars. You're talking about principles and values and concepts

1061
00:49:42,560 --> 00:49:46,080
Speaker 2: that art well over just the year twenty twenty three,

1062
00:49:46,719 --> 00:49:49,840
Speaker 2: and for that to happen you need to allow a

1063
00:49:49,840 --> 00:49:52,160
Speaker 2: few years. Now you can be ahead of schedule on

1064
00:49:52,200 --> 00:49:54,920
Speaker 2: the field. Josh Heipel was talking about it when we

1065
00:49:54,920 --> 00:49:56,719
Speaker 2: were up there and they beat Alabama a couple of

1066
00:49:56,760 --> 00:49:59,040
Speaker 2: weeks ago. What did he talk about in this postgame

1067
00:49:59,040 --> 00:50:03,359
Speaker 2: press conference? He said, we're celebrating. I'm about to die

1068
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 2: from smoke inholation from all the cigar smoke. But it's

1069
00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:09,480
Speaker 2: great that we won tonight. We're only kind of starting

1070
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:12,920
Speaker 2: our process. We're only kind of just just getting into

1071
00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:15,960
Speaker 2: what we want to do now. A simpleton could sit

1072
00:50:16,000 --> 00:50:18,120
Speaker 2: at home and say, how could you say that you're

1073
00:50:18,160 --> 00:50:19,280
Speaker 2: at the pinnacle of the sport.

1074
00:50:19,360 --> 00:50:23,239
Speaker 1: You just beat Alabama? They did, Yeah, they did. And

1075
00:50:23,320 --> 00:50:23,760
Speaker 1: if they.

1076
00:50:23,600 --> 00:50:25,960
Speaker 2: Played the game tomorrow Bama may win forty one to

1077
00:50:26,000 --> 00:50:28,279
Speaker 2: twenty three. Would that prove they're not back all of

1078
00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:30,200
Speaker 2: a sudden whereas they were back the day before.

1079
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:32,719
Speaker 1: No. The point is a lot of crazy stuff.

1080
00:50:32,440 --> 00:50:35,360
Speaker 2: Can happen over one four quarter football game, but winning

1081
00:50:35,480 --> 00:50:39,040
Speaker 2: a big game does not prove that you're a finished product.

1082
00:50:39,160 --> 00:50:41,359
Speaker 2: And Josh Eipel knows that, so he was talking about

1083
00:50:41,400 --> 00:50:44,839
Speaker 2: it that night. If Miami goes ten and two next year,

1084
00:50:45,000 --> 00:50:47,640
Speaker 2: eleven and one, if they play for the ACC Championship,

1085
00:50:47,640 --> 00:50:49,680
Speaker 2: if they win the thing, if they knock on the

1086
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:52,520
Speaker 2: door of the playoff, that doesn't mean they're a finished product.

1087
00:50:52,560 --> 00:50:55,200
Speaker 2: So John asked the question of how long until he

1088
00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:58,000
Speaker 2: has them back well, it really depends on how you

1089
00:50:58,080 --> 00:50:58,800
Speaker 2: define back.

1090
00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:01,319
Speaker 1: Just being competitive. Is that back?

1091
00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:03,879
Speaker 2: If so, the answer is next year, or at least

1092
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:07,800
Speaker 2: it should be. If you're talking about a fortified, forced

1093
00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:10,480
Speaker 2: to be reckoned with football program, it's a couple of

1094
00:51:10,560 --> 00:51:12,600
Speaker 2: years away, minimum, and that's if you ever get there.

1095
00:51:13,320 --> 00:51:16,120
Speaker 2: But I do think that a lot of this year

1096
00:51:16,200 --> 00:51:19,000
Speaker 2: is going to be badly misleading as to how.

1097
00:51:18,840 --> 00:51:19,800
Speaker 1: Soon it can happen.

1098
00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:23,520
Speaker 2: But you just you don't have to look very far, guys,

1099
00:51:23,560 --> 00:51:25,840
Speaker 2: I mean, think about I keep going back to Tennessee,

1100
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:28,560
Speaker 2: CAUs there's such a good example. Think back to how

1101
00:51:28,600 --> 00:51:31,879
Speaker 2: big a disaster that program felt like it was when

1102
00:51:32,239 --> 00:51:36,360
Speaker 2: Pruitt was fired unceremoniously and Hypel comes in, and he

1103
00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:39,400
Speaker 2: came in late too. They didn't hire him in December

1104
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:41,280
Speaker 2: or January. That was a late firing.

1105
00:51:41,480 --> 00:51:43,200
Speaker 1: So if anything, he started behind the eight ball.

1106
00:51:43,239 --> 00:51:45,560
Speaker 2: I talked to him about it at SEC media Days

1107
00:51:45,560 --> 00:51:47,680
Speaker 2: and he said, we were drinking water from a fire

1108
00:51:47,719 --> 00:51:49,960
Speaker 2: hose in year one, and yet here they are in

1109
00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:51,080
Speaker 2: year two and they're number one in.

1110
00:51:51,000 --> 00:51:51,640
Speaker 1: The country tonight.

1111
00:51:51,719 --> 00:51:54,319
Speaker 2: So I mean, the twenty twenty two schedule is what

1112
00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:55,600
Speaker 2: it is for Miami right now.

1113
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:56,839
Speaker 1: They've got four left.

1114
00:51:56,920 --> 00:51:59,040
Speaker 2: They're a seven and a half point dog against Florida

1115
00:51:59,040 --> 00:52:01,160
Speaker 2: State Saturday night. They still got to go to Clemson.

1116
00:52:01,160 --> 00:52:03,560
Speaker 2: They still got Pitt. So it is what it is

1117
00:52:03,600 --> 00:52:05,319
Speaker 2: this year for him. It would be nice for him

1118
00:52:05,360 --> 00:52:06,960
Speaker 2: to make a bowl. Win two games and make a bowl.

1119
00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:09,799
Speaker 2: That'd be nice to get some extra practices. Next up,

1120
00:52:10,400 --> 00:52:12,200
Speaker 2: this is a conversation christ Ball is not going to

1121
00:52:12,200 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 2: be a part of.

1122
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:16,200
Speaker 1: That's great, Bradley.

1123
00:52:16,280 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 2: You hit me up and said, I love the show

1124
00:52:19,400 --> 00:52:22,200
Speaker 2: now that Harson is out. Whose seat is the hottest

1125
00:52:22,200 --> 00:52:26,560
Speaker 2: in college football? Neil Brown at West Virginia, I think

1126
00:52:26,680 --> 00:52:30,200
Speaker 2: is the answer here. Full disclosure, I don't enjoy doing

1127
00:52:30,200 --> 00:52:30,840
Speaker 2: these segments.

1128
00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:33,280
Speaker 1: We rarely do them. Mainly, it's just when.

1129
00:52:33,160 --> 00:52:36,480
Speaker 2: You ask about them. Things have gone awry at West

1130
00:52:36,520 --> 00:52:39,239
Speaker 2: Virginia this year. Most recently, I think they got it

1131
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:42,479
Speaker 2: blown out last game they played. It just hasn't gone

1132
00:52:42,600 --> 00:52:45,080
Speaker 2: according to plan, and there were a lot of people

1133
00:52:45,120 --> 00:52:48,640
Speaker 2: willing to give benefit of the doubt. But and even

1134
00:52:48,680 --> 00:52:51,200
Speaker 2: if the losses are close, that's one thing, But it

1135
00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:53,200
Speaker 2: just seems like the program's trending in the wrong direction.

1136
00:52:53,320 --> 00:52:54,399
Speaker 1: So there's a lot of.

1137
00:52:54,360 --> 00:52:56,640
Speaker 2: Smoke up there that there will be a move made

1138
00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:58,719
Speaker 2: at the end of the year on Neil Brown. Now

1139
00:52:58,719 --> 00:53:02,160
Speaker 2: that's the only one as I look around the country

1140
00:53:02,719 --> 00:53:05,880
Speaker 2: at the major power five level that I think is

1141
00:53:06,320 --> 00:53:10,760
Speaker 2: more likely than not. But there are several names coming

1142
00:53:10,840 --> 00:53:14,480
Speaker 2: up next year that, if their jobs aren't on the line,

1143
00:53:14,600 --> 00:53:16,920
Speaker 2: it is very much a show me year. And you

1144
00:53:16,960 --> 00:53:18,680
Speaker 2: know what I said, Mario is not a part of this.

1145
00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:23,400
Speaker 2: There will be a need for him to show radical

1146
00:53:23,440 --> 00:53:27,200
Speaker 2: improvement next year at Miami, So not a hot seat thing,

1147
00:53:27,280 --> 00:53:29,960
Speaker 2: per se, but a need to show radical improvement. What

1148
00:53:30,000 --> 00:53:32,040
Speaker 2: about Jimbo Fisher at Texas A and m For as

1149
00:53:32,120 --> 00:53:34,960
Speaker 2: much as I've told you that talk this year's nonsense,

1150
00:53:35,040 --> 00:53:40,000
Speaker 2: and it is what's the expectation next year? A lot

1151
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:42,600
Speaker 2: of that is going to be directly tied to what

1152
00:53:42,680 --> 00:53:45,319
Speaker 2: moves he makes after this year. So what does the

1153
00:53:45,320 --> 00:53:48,000
Speaker 2: coaching staff look like, what's the dynamic? Is he still

1154
00:53:48,040 --> 00:53:52,160
Speaker 2: calling plays, et cetera. But there will be, rightly so,

1155
00:53:52,840 --> 00:53:56,280
Speaker 2: massive amounts of pressure on him next year. And while

1156
00:53:56,320 --> 00:53:59,000
Speaker 2: I'm not automatically saying the guy's starting the season on

1157
00:53:59,040 --> 00:54:03,640
Speaker 2: the hot seat unlike this year, it's not out of

1158
00:54:03,640 --> 00:54:06,480
Speaker 2: the roma possibility for that to enter the equation next year,

1159
00:54:06,880 --> 00:54:09,640
Speaker 2: even as wild as that buyout would be. That is

1160
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:12,239
Speaker 2: Texas A and M they can spend money because they

1161
00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:15,680
Speaker 2: would print more of it tomorrow. Yes, that's potentially on

1162
00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:19,000
Speaker 2: the table for him next year. Steve Sarkesan at Texas

1163
00:54:19,320 --> 00:54:21,319
Speaker 2: entering year three, we don't know how this year is

1164
00:54:21,320 --> 00:54:22,320
Speaker 2: going to end yet.

1165
00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 1: But if they don't, if they don't end up playing

1166
00:54:25,200 --> 00:54:25,600
Speaker 1: for the Big.

1167
00:54:25,440 --> 00:54:29,120
Speaker 2: Twelve championship this year, they're getting ever closer to moving

1168
00:54:29,160 --> 00:54:29,800
Speaker 2: to the SEC.

1169
00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:32,520
Speaker 1: Need to take advantage of these years while you can.

1170
00:54:32,840 --> 00:54:36,120
Speaker 2: And so if they continue to trend the direction that

1171
00:54:36,120 --> 00:54:38,120
Speaker 2: they're going. Right now, they're five and three, They're already

1172
00:54:38,120 --> 00:54:40,880
Speaker 2: a three loss team this year, They've got games left.

1173
00:54:40,960 --> 00:54:42,840
Speaker 2: It's the Big Twelve. They've got several games left that

1174
00:54:42,880 --> 00:54:46,040
Speaker 2: are tough to win this time. Next year you could

1175
00:54:46,080 --> 00:54:48,080
Speaker 2: have some of that talk around him. Not out of

1176
00:54:48,080 --> 00:54:51,480
Speaker 2: the ROMA possibility at all. What about mel Tucker. Look

1177
00:54:51,480 --> 00:54:54,080
Speaker 2: at Michigan State right now. I mean, they're spending a

1178
00:54:54,120 --> 00:54:58,120
Speaker 2: ton of money on mel Tucker and they can't run

1179
00:54:58,160 --> 00:54:58,560
Speaker 2: the ball.

1180
00:54:59,200 --> 00:55:00,959
Speaker 1: They have some of the same problems this year.

1181
00:55:01,560 --> 00:55:04,120
Speaker 2: It compounded that they had last year, and they don't

1182
00:55:04,160 --> 00:55:06,640
Speaker 2: have those star players to bail them out, like Kenneth Walker,

1183
00:55:07,440 --> 00:55:09,239
Speaker 2: that's not what you're paying nine and a half million

1184
00:55:09,239 --> 00:55:09,640
Speaker 2: a year for.

1185
00:55:10,080 --> 00:55:10,360
Speaker 1: Now.

1186
00:55:10,640 --> 00:55:12,920
Speaker 2: The follow up is okay, well how long do you

1187
00:55:13,000 --> 00:55:15,360
Speaker 2: let it go? And each program has their own standard.

1188
00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:18,799
Speaker 2: But I'm just saying that's not in the conversation this year,

1189
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:21,200
Speaker 2: even though they're three and five. That's not in the

1190
00:55:21,200 --> 00:55:24,760
Speaker 2: conversation this year. It's next year where it would start.

1191
00:55:25,000 --> 00:55:29,040
Speaker 2: So whether it's Mario, Jimbo, Sark, Mel Tucker, Brenton, Venables

1192
00:55:29,120 --> 00:55:33,439
Speaker 2: at Oklahoma, it's nonsense to talk about that this year.

1193
00:55:34,200 --> 00:55:37,799
Speaker 2: Next year, if they are appearing to fall off a

1194
00:55:37,800 --> 00:55:39,800
Speaker 2: cliff the first couple of months of the season, again,

1195
00:55:40,239 --> 00:55:43,840
Speaker 2: you could have talk around him. So I think twenty

1196
00:55:43,880 --> 00:55:47,840
Speaker 2: twenty three will be an incredible year if you love.

1197
00:55:47,719 --> 00:55:48,920
Speaker 1: To traffic in this stuff.

1198
00:55:49,239 --> 00:55:51,640
Speaker 2: The twenty twenty two year, I just think we're gonna

1199
00:55:51,640 --> 00:55:53,640
Speaker 2: get to the end of it and a lot of

1200
00:55:53,640 --> 00:55:56,279
Speaker 2: guys are gonna know, Okay, I've burned up a lot

1201
00:55:56,280 --> 00:55:56,960
Speaker 2: of my equity.

1202
00:55:57,160 --> 00:55:58,799
Speaker 1: I got to show him something next year.

1203
00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:03,960
Speaker 2: Here's the downside, unless you're sadistic, the downside is not

1204
00:56:04,120 --> 00:56:06,279
Speaker 2: everybody's going to be able to follow through next year

1205
00:56:06,320 --> 00:56:09,200
Speaker 2: with a good campaign. So these are high profile names.

1206
00:56:09,239 --> 00:56:12,759
Speaker 2: I just read to you someone's getting the acts next year.

1207
00:56:13,200 --> 00:56:15,560
Speaker 2: I mean, I see no way around that, and so

1208
00:56:15,760 --> 00:56:18,799
Speaker 2: buckle up because you've got a very very volatile what

1209
00:56:18,840 --> 00:56:21,319
Speaker 2: would that be about a eighteen to twenty four month

1210
00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:24,160
Speaker 2: period coming up in our sport? All right, I've got

1211
00:56:24,239 --> 00:56:27,760
Speaker 2: several best bets to add, several of them.

1212
00:56:28,360 --> 00:56:30,200
Speaker 1: One of them is in play right now.

1213
00:56:31,120 --> 00:56:33,440
Speaker 2: You need to make sure that you're following me at

1214
00:56:33,520 --> 00:56:36,239
Speaker 2: late Kick Josh, Twitter and Instagram. This is the time

1215
00:56:36,280 --> 00:56:38,600
Speaker 2: of year where I put a lot of plays out

1216
00:56:38,640 --> 00:56:41,280
Speaker 2: on social media because we've gotten the Mac games happening

1217
00:56:41,320 --> 00:56:43,040
Speaker 2: in the middle of the week, and the Model has

1218
00:56:43,040 --> 00:56:46,440
Speaker 2: always done really good on maction. So Ohio right now,

1219
00:56:46,480 --> 00:56:48,799
Speaker 2: for example, you know, let me tell you, I put

1220
00:56:48,800 --> 00:56:52,759
Speaker 2: Ohio up today at plus three. Ohio's leading twenty four

1221
00:56:52,840 --> 00:56:56,319
Speaker 2: to three. Right now, we are good betting the Mac.

1222
00:56:56,920 --> 00:56:59,560
Speaker 2: So Return of the Mac is our favorite song around here.

1223
00:57:00,160 --> 00:57:02,640
Speaker 2: Love it because it is the time where we make money.

1224
00:57:03,239 --> 00:57:06,760
Speaker 2: I cannot in strong enough terms encourage you. Make sure

1225
00:57:06,920 --> 00:57:09,000
Speaker 2: you get these numbers when we put them out this week.

1226
00:57:09,040 --> 00:57:11,640
Speaker 2: I'm gonna have over ten best bets this week. The

1227
00:57:11,680 --> 00:57:14,120
Speaker 2: model is lit up like a Christmas tree. We're waiting

1228
00:57:14,120 --> 00:57:16,680
Speaker 2: on line moves. Here are the games we're on. So

1229
00:57:16,720 --> 00:57:18,920
Speaker 2: we're already on Texas Tech plus ten. We got that

1230
00:57:19,000 --> 00:57:19,840
Speaker 2: number two nights ago.

1231
00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:20,520
Speaker 1: That's dropped.

1232
00:57:20,840 --> 00:57:22,640
Speaker 2: Still like it at nine and a half, but we

1233
00:57:22,680 --> 00:57:26,160
Speaker 2: want ten. Ohio plus three. I just told you Western

1234
00:57:26,240 --> 00:57:28,600
Speaker 2: Michigan plays tomorrow night plus.

1235
00:57:28,320 --> 00:57:31,120
Speaker 1: Four and a half. Mac Mac Mac.

1236
00:57:31,640 --> 00:57:36,880
Speaker 2: We like Nebraska plus sixteen against PJ. Fleck and Minnesota.

1237
00:57:37,320 --> 00:57:41,520
Speaker 2: We like Virginia Tech laying three points against Georgia Tech.

1238
00:57:42,120 --> 00:57:45,400
Speaker 2: We like Oregon State going on the road to Washington

1239
00:57:45,680 --> 00:57:48,200
Speaker 2: getting three and a half. Now, those are six games,

1240
00:57:49,160 --> 00:57:50,800
Speaker 2: one of them looking pretty good for us right now.

1241
00:57:50,840 --> 00:57:55,560
Speaker 2: Already I may double that by either the Thursday show

1242
00:57:55,680 --> 00:57:59,440
Speaker 2: or Friday night Lines, which will be live from Athens, Georgia.

1243
00:57:59,800 --> 00:58:02,360
Speaker 1: Make sure you're following on Instagram.

1244
00:58:01,840 --> 00:58:05,800
Speaker 2: At late kick Josh every week without fail, I get

1245
00:58:05,840 --> 00:58:08,400
Speaker 2: done with the broadcast and my dms are full of

1246
00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:10,560
Speaker 2: people saying, hey, can you send me the picks? That

1247
00:58:10,600 --> 00:58:13,560
Speaker 2: ain't the way it works at Lake Kick Josh. Now

1248
00:58:13,560 --> 00:58:15,080
Speaker 2: I may leave the video up for a little while

1249
00:58:15,080 --> 00:58:17,480
Speaker 2: this weekend. I learned the lesson on that, so make

1250
00:58:17,520 --> 00:58:21,280
Speaker 2: sure you're following there. Also, we're sitting at nine eighty

1251
00:58:21,360 --> 00:58:23,600
Speaker 2: seven on the likes on this video. We got over

1252
00:58:23,640 --> 00:58:26,520
Speaker 2: four thousand people watching. Just hit the thumbs up button.

1253
00:58:26,680 --> 00:58:29,640
Speaker 2: The show's free. That's how we keep it free. I

1254
00:58:29,720 --> 00:58:31,800
Speaker 2: keep telling you guys that that's how we keep the

1255
00:58:31,840 --> 00:58:35,240
Speaker 2: show free. So subscribing to the channel, subscribing to the

1256
00:58:35,280 --> 00:58:38,040
Speaker 2: podcast if you haven't already, I know you guys are listening.

1257
00:58:38,080 --> 00:58:40,919
Speaker 2: I see our numbers. Just subscribe or follow. I guess

1258
00:58:40,960 --> 00:58:42,800
Speaker 2: you would call it in podcast world. While you're there,

1259
00:58:43,080 --> 00:58:44,800
Speaker 2: and make sure you like the video here and subscribe

1260
00:58:44,800 --> 00:58:46,920
Speaker 2: on the YouTube channel. We get to one fifty k,

1261
00:58:47,360 --> 00:58:49,160
Speaker 2: we get to one hundred and fifty thousand subs. We're

1262
00:58:49,200 --> 00:58:51,240
Speaker 2: doing something really special and I don't even know what

1263
00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:52,880
Speaker 2: it is. Yeah, because you're gonna come up with it.

1264
00:58:53,120 --> 00:58:54,800
Speaker 2: But I know it's gonna be fun because I.

1265
00:58:54,760 --> 00:58:57,600
Speaker 1: Know our audience. You got to be a Thursday show

1266
00:58:57,640 --> 00:58:58,000
Speaker 1: coming up.

1267
00:58:58,160 --> 00:59:00,520
Speaker 2: The mail bag will be open and you get those

1268
00:59:00,600 --> 00:59:04,400
Speaker 2: questions in until then for producer Jesse for director calling,

1269
00:59:04,520 --> 00:59:05,280
Speaker 2: I'm Josh Bate.

1270
00:59:05,320 --> 00:59:07,280
Speaker 1: Have a great evening to take care and goblins