1 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Law with June Grosso from Bloomberg Radio. 2 00:00:08,680 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 2: What a difference a day makes. On Thursday, President elect 3 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:16,520 Speaker 2: Donald Trump appeared at the National Cathedral, sitting with every 4 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 2: other living president at the funeral for President Jimmy Carter. 5 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:24,479 Speaker 3: Mister Trump, you appeared before this court today to conclude 6 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 3: this criminal proceeding by the imposition of sentence. 7 00:00:27,200 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 2: But on Friday he appeared virtually in a Manhattan courtroom 8 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:35,160 Speaker 2: to be sentenced for his criminal conviction on thirty four 9 00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 2: felon accounts in the hush money case. Trump addressed Judge 10 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 2: wanmer Shan for about six minutes, saying he did nothing 11 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 2: wrong and repeating familiar complaints about the case, the DA 12 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 2: and the weaponization of government. 13 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 4: I get indicted for business records. 14 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 2: Everybody should be so accurate. 15 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 5: It's been a political witch hunt. 16 00:00:56,840 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 2: It was done to damage my reputation so that I'd 17 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:03,840 Speaker 2: lose the election, and obviously that didn't work. The judge 18 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 2: explained that he was giving Trump an unconditional discharge, a 19 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 2: rare sentence which carries no prison time or penalty because 20 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 2: of the extraordinary legal protections given to a president. 21 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 3: However, despite the extraordinary breath of those protections. 22 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:23,959 Speaker 4: One power they do not provide is the power to 23 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 4: erase at ury verdict. 24 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 2: Trump had tried to delay the largely symbolic sentencing with 25 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:33,319 Speaker 2: a series of rapid fire legal challenges, including one to 26 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:36,960 Speaker 2: the Supreme Court, but they all failed, and now he'll 27 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 2: be the first convicted felon to take office as president 28 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 2: of the United States. 29 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 3: Therefore, at this time, I impose that sentence to cover 30 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 3: all thirty four accounts, sir, I wish he. 31 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 4: Got speed as you assumed second term in office. 32 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 2: Joining me is litigator Dave Ahrenberg, former Palm Beach County 33 00:01:56,560 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 2: state attorney. They've put this historic sentencing in context. 34 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:03,760 Speaker 6: Trump cares about his legacy deeply, and this is going 35 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 6: to bother him, and that's why he wanted the Supreme 36 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:11,120 Speaker 6: Court to intervene even before the sentencing happens. That's not 37 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:13,919 Speaker 6: how any of this is supposed to work. The normal 38 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 6: procedure for any other criminal defendant is you wait till 39 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 6: after sentencing, then you appeal. But Trump wanted to be 40 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 6: treated differently this time. He was not, and it surprised 41 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 6: even Trump, especially when one of his appointees, Justice Amy 42 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 6: Cony Barrett, ruled with the liberals, along with Chief Justice Roberts, 43 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 6: to deny him his requests for an appeal and an 44 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 6: end to the sentencing, or at least a post moment 45 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 6: until twenty twenty nine. So Trump can still appeal, but 46 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:45,280 Speaker 6: he's going to go into the White House as a 47 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 6: convicted felon. 48 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:48,359 Speaker 2: I have to say, I was surprised that he got 49 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:52,000 Speaker 2: four votes to stay the sentencing, even from this Supreme 50 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 2: Court that has been friendly to him of late. They 51 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 2: would have been extending they're already controversial grant of president 52 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:05,120 Speaker 2: immunity from prosecution for official conduct to a president elect. 53 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 6: Well, there is some ground to say that the transition 54 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 6: period is something that is to be respected, where you 55 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:16,440 Speaker 6: want to ensure that there's nothing that would interfere with 56 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 6: the president's transition. And here that was a consideration for 57 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 6: amy Cony Barrett and for Chief Justice Robberts. But they 58 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 6: said that because Judge Murshan said in advance that he 59 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:30,080 Speaker 6: would not give Trump any penalty, meaning he's just going 60 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:33,040 Speaker 6: to let him walk without even probation, then the level 61 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 6: of intrusion upon the power of the presidency and the 62 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 6: transition period is negligible. And because of that they let 63 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 6: it go. On. But had Judge Murshan not said in 64 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 6: advance that he would essentially let Trump walk, then I 65 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 6: do think the Supreme Court would have stepped in, and 66 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 6: I do think they would have put the cabash on 67 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 6: this sentencing. You can sort of read the writing on 68 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 6: the wall by their one page statement that addressed that 69 00:03:57,200 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 6: very issue. So for those of us who believe in 70 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 6: the rule of law, in equal justice under the law, 71 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 6: we praised Josh Marshan for being so shrewd, smart and 72 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:08,840 Speaker 6: savvy to make that statement in advance. It was a 73 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 6: game changer. 74 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 2: Trump was treated differently from other defendants. This unconditional discharge 75 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 2: is rare. He was convicted on thirty four felonies and 76 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 2: didn't get any kind of punishment at all. Even the 77 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 2: delays in the sentencing. Everything was because he was in 78 00:04:26,440 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 2: this special position of running for president and now being 79 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:31,479 Speaker 2: the president elect. 80 00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:35,279 Speaker 6: Totally. Trump supporters have said that there are two standards 81 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 6: of justice in this country, and they're not wrong, but 82 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:39,479 Speaker 6: it's not in the way they think it is. It's 83 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:44,080 Speaker 6: because Trump was treated better than any other criminal defendant. 84 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:46,279 Speaker 6: The one time he was treated the same was just 85 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 6: now with the Supreme Court, and then it was five 86 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:52,479 Speaker 6: to four. By the skin of their nose. Equal justice prevailed. 87 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 6: But Trump was treated differently. Number One, look at the 88 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 6: number of times he violated the Court's gag order ten 89 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 6: times given any real punishment. Think about how he was 90 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 6: treated from the beginning in this case. Now, you can 91 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 6: make the case that if he was not Donald Trump, 92 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 6: that he would never have been brought up on those 93 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:10,920 Speaker 6: charges in New York. And actually you could debate that, 94 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 6: but as far as the DC election interference case, as 95 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 6: far as the Marlago Document's case, anyone would have been 96 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:19,599 Speaker 6: charged with that, and other people had been charged with 97 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 6: those things. So Trump was treated better because the Supreme 98 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:25,720 Speaker 6: Court stepped in, put his thumb on the scale and 99 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 6: said no, we're not going to let this case go 100 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 6: forward in DC. They knowingly delayed it so that he 101 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 6: could not be tried before the election. And then you 102 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 6: had Judge Cannon in South Florida, who was appointed by 103 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 6: Donald Trump, who dismissed the whole Marlago Document's case entirely 104 00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:45,479 Speaker 6: based on a strange legal theory that no other court 105 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 6: has even recognized relating to the constutionality of the Special Council. 106 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:52,360 Speaker 6: So yes, I don't know how you can come up 107 00:05:52,360 --> 00:05:54,720 Speaker 6: to an explanation other than he was treated differently in 108 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 6: this system. 109 00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:58,040 Speaker 2: For the most part, Trump had argued to the Supreme 110 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:01,799 Speaker 2: Court that allowing to send it to go forward would 111 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 2: be a distraction to his presidential transition, and that the 112 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:09,240 Speaker 2: trial was tainted by evidence that would have been barred 113 00:06:09,320 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 2: under the new standard on presidential immunity they handed down 114 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:16,360 Speaker 2: last July. Tell us about that five to four decision 115 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 2: turning Trump down. 116 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 6: The Court said that we can deal with the problems, 117 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:27,720 Speaker 6: if any, in the New York trial after the sentencing, 118 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 6: because that's how it's normally supposed to be done. And 119 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:33,800 Speaker 6: as far as the claim that going to New York, 120 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:38,400 Speaker 6: appearing via zoom, having a one hour hearing and not 121 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:41,719 Speaker 6: even receiving a sentence a penalty, other than you're free 122 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:43,600 Speaker 6: to go. You're just a convicted felon from here on out. 123 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 6: That that does not intrude upon the powers of the presidency, 124 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 6: That doesn't even detract from your transition. It's an hour 125 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 6: out of your day. So we'll deal with this later. Now, 126 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:55,760 Speaker 6: he may ultimately succeed in overturning the New York conviction 127 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 6: based on the immunity decision, but that would be down 128 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:02,599 Speaker 6: the line. So essentially, the Court said, you may not 129 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:05,360 Speaker 6: be wrong, mister President elect, but you're early. 130 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 2: Trump was unusually gracious about the Supreme Court's decision. He 131 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 2: said that I read it, and I thought it was 132 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:19,360 Speaker 2: a fair decision. Actually, do you think he's looking ahead 133 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 2: to possible fields to the Supreme Court during the next 134 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 2: four years? 135 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 6: Definitely. Trump is transactional. He knows Supreme Court has unique 136 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 6: power in this country and doesn't want to upset them 137 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 6: in the way that he attacks other judges, especially when 138 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 6: you have the swing justices on the Supreme Court when 139 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 6: appointed by him, and the other Chief Justice Roberts, who 140 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 6: had been moving in his direction. He's the one, after all, 141 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:48,040 Speaker 6: who wrote the immunity decision. So I don't think he 142 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 6: wanted to go after people who he would depend on 143 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 6: in the next four years to rule his way. He 144 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:56,120 Speaker 6: was playing the long game here. 145 00:07:56,240 --> 00:07:59,880 Speaker 2: Going back to things that make him different from other defendants. 146 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 2: Trump called Justice Alito on his cell phone on Tuesday, 147 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 2: hours before his lawyers filed their request with the court 148 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 2: to ask him about a former clerk who's under consideration 149 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 2: for a job in the new administration. Alito says they 150 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 2: didn't discuss Trump's case, but many are saying that Alito 151 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:25,680 Speaker 2: should have recused himself because of the appearance of impropriety, 152 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,640 Speaker 2: even if it was just the future president of the 153 00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:33,520 Speaker 2: United States asking a Supreme Court justice about a job reference. 154 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:38,000 Speaker 6: Well, the president doesn't check references for people who apply 155 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 6: to the White House. Is that where you're saying that 156 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:42,680 Speaker 6: June that I'm saying that it's preposterous And it just 157 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,199 Speaker 6: shows you why people have such a dim view of 158 00:08:45,240 --> 00:08:47,559 Speaker 6: the Supreme Court. When you have a Supreme Court justice 159 00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 6: like Alito, who has flown the American flag upside down 160 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 6: his house. He blamed it on his wife, who has 161 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 6: flown the flag that the January sixth insurrectionists flew. When 162 00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:00,439 Speaker 6: you have someone who speaks to the president elect on 163 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:02,720 Speaker 6: the day that a matter is filed with the court, 164 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 6: and even if they didn't specifically talk about that matter, 165 00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:11,440 Speaker 6: it is improper because Trump, as Michael Cohen said Hoffen, 166 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:13,600 Speaker 6: talks like a mob boss where he doesn't go directly 167 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 6: to it. He talks around a subject. Alito knows what's 168 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:19,080 Speaker 6: going on, and for him to say, oh, he was 169 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 6: just checking references, like doesn't he have someone underneath him 170 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 6: to do that. Doesn't he have like staff who could 171 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:27,840 Speaker 6: do that. It just shows you how much the Supreme 172 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:31,000 Speaker 6: Court needs ethics reform. And if Chief Justice Roberts won't 173 00:09:31,000 --> 00:09:33,719 Speaker 6: do it, then the reputation of the Supreme Court is 174 00:09:33,760 --> 00:09:35,440 Speaker 6: going to continue to be in the sewer. 175 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:39,320 Speaker 2: I think we know from the many motions made in 176 00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:41,520 Speaker 2: this case, some of the arguments that will come up 177 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:43,800 Speaker 2: on appeal. Does he have a chance on appeal? 178 00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 6: Like I said, it's not crazy for him to say 179 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:50,480 Speaker 6: that had he not been President Trump, then he would 180 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:53,080 Speaker 6: never have been prosecuted for it. Alvin Bragg, when he 181 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 6: was running for DA had mentioned going after Trump, and 182 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 6: so prosecutors need to be careful when you campaign. Targeting 183 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:03,840 Speaker 6: into it gives grist to that individual to then claim 184 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:06,480 Speaker 6: it was a politically motivated prosecution. But keep in mind 185 00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 6: that a jury found him guilty unanimously beyond a reasonable doubt. 186 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 6: The evidence was strong. Now, maybe because of the Supreme 187 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 6: Court's immunity decision, he'll get that case overturned. Because of 188 00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:21,000 Speaker 6: the admission into evidence of Hopepix and Madeline Westerhot, who 189 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 6: are two White House employees who testified on minor matters. 190 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:27,640 Speaker 6: They were minor witnesses, but because they were included, it 191 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 6: violated the Supreme Court's immunity decision. I think it's harmless 192 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 6: error and they should just let the conviction stand. But 193 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:34,680 Speaker 6: we'll see what the Supreme Court says. 194 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:38,960 Speaker 2: Mind you, Trump walked down of the courtroom a convicted felon, 195 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 2: but he's not unlike other Americans. He's not going to 196 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 2: be looking for a job where they're going to be 197 00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:47,560 Speaker 2: asking him about his felony conviction. Is there any kind 198 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 2: of repercussions for him from this. 199 00:10:51,600 --> 00:10:55,200 Speaker 6: Well, he will, other than reputational damage, have to deal 200 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 6: with possibly losing the right to vote. That in Florida 201 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 6: happens when you are a convict. It's felon, and in 202 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 6: Florida you can rest assured that if that does happen, 203 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:09,920 Speaker 6: then Governor Santis will step in and make sure that 204 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 6: his voting rights will be immediately restored. Yet another example 205 00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 6: of comp being treated differently than everyone else. So even 206 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:20,719 Speaker 6: though he walks free without any real repercussions, he has 207 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:23,680 Speaker 6: to deal with the matter of history. His permanent record 208 00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 6: will always reflect he's a fellon unless it's overturned on appeal. 209 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:30,600 Speaker 6: And yeah, there are potential civil rights voting rights implication. 210 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:34,120 Speaker 2: It's a saga that has not really ended yet. Thanks 211 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:37,560 Speaker 2: so much, Dave. That's former Palm Beach County State Attorney 212 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:40,839 Speaker 2: Dave Ehrenberg, coming up next on the Bloomberg Law Show. 213 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 2: The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on the TikTok band 214 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 2: today and it seems likely the justices will uphold the ban. 215 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:52,840 Speaker 2: I'm June Grosso when you're listening to Bloomberg. The future 216 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:57,560 Speaker 2: of the wildly popular social media platform TikTok rides on 217 00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:02,000 Speaker 2: the US Supreme Court. After the oral arguments on Friday, 218 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 2: its future looks cloudy. Under a federal law set to 219 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 2: take effect on January nineteenth, TikTok will be banned in 220 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 2: the US if it isn't so by its Chinese parent company. 221 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 2: The legal arguments pit national security against free speech, and 222 00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 2: a majority of justice has suggested that national security concerns 223 00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 2: override the free speech interests of the companies and content creators. 224 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:32,360 Speaker 2: Here are Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice is Brett 225 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 2: Kavanaugh and Katanji Brown Jackson. 226 00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:37,280 Speaker 1: So are we supposed to ignore the fact that the 227 00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:41,520 Speaker 1: ultimate parent is in fact subject to doing intelligence work 228 00:12:41,559 --> 00:12:42,559 Speaker 1: for the Chinese government. 229 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 4: I think Congress and the President were concerned that China 230 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 4: was accessing information about millions of Americans, tens of millions 231 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 4: of Americans, including teenagers, people in their twenties, that they 232 00:12:56,400 --> 00:13:02,079 Speaker 4: would use that information over time developed spies to turn 233 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 4: people to blackmail people, people who a generation from now 234 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:08,800 Speaker 4: will be working in the FBI or the CIA. 235 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:16,080 Speaker 2: But why cann't Congress prohibit Americans from associating with certain 236 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 2: foreign organizations that have interests that are hostile to the 237 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 2: United States. In fact, it seemed like Justice Neil Gorsuch 238 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:26,679 Speaker 2: was the only likely vote to strike down the law, 239 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:30,880 Speaker 2: calling the government's defense of the band paternalistic and asking 240 00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 2: why Congress couldn't just have required TikTok to post a disclaimer. 241 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 3: I mean, don't we normally assume that the best remedy 242 00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 3: for problematic speech is counter speech? And TikTok says that 243 00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:49,559 Speaker 3: could even live with a disclaimer on its website, saying 244 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:52,440 Speaker 3: this can be covertly manipulated by China. 245 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:58,880 Speaker 2: Joining me is Matthew Shettenhelm, Bloomberg Intelligence litigation and government analyst. Matt, 246 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,800 Speaker 2: you're at the oral argan. Was there one issue that 247 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 2: dominated that two and a half hours. 248 00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 1: I didn't take away any one single issue other than 249 00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 1: it looked a lot like the argument at the DC Circuit, 250 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 1: when a majority of the justices seemed inclined to defer 251 00:14:19,120 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 1: to Congress's decision on national security and really not that 252 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:28,920 Speaker 1: concern that this was a major First Amendment problem for 253 00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:33,160 Speaker 1: a US company, and I think really focused on the 254 00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:37,920 Speaker 1: idea that, hey, this is regulating byte edance because it's 255 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:41,920 Speaker 1: located in China, and so overall, there was a sense 256 00:14:41,920 --> 00:14:46,480 Speaker 1: that the justices weren't that concerned about a major change 257 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 1: in First Amendment law because of the unique setup here, 258 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 1: that this really was about regulating corporate structure, because of 259 00:14:55,280 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 1: the unique situation of this company. 260 00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 2: Were there any justices who were simple to the idea 261 00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:04,320 Speaker 2: that the free speech rights of a one hundred and 262 00:15:04,360 --> 00:15:07,560 Speaker 2: seventy million Americans are going to be affected if this 263 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 2: platform shuts down. 264 00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 1: Let me first say, I think Justice gorsicch I think 265 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,200 Speaker 1: is the most likely vote for TikTok on this, and 266 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:20,200 Speaker 1: he expressed a number of concerns, mostly about whether Congress 267 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:25,120 Speaker 1: had tailored its response to this issue properly, whether they 268 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 1: are too disruptive to speech when they could have done 269 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:32,520 Speaker 1: something that didn't need to go that far, and I 270 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:35,880 Speaker 1: think he was most sympathetic to TikTok's view. Generally, I 271 00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 1: think there were a number of justices knowing that this 272 00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:42,440 Speaker 1: decision is going to announce the law of the First 273 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:45,480 Speaker 1: Amendment going forward, and they want to be careful about 274 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:49,280 Speaker 1: how they write it. And I think because this case 275 00:15:49,560 --> 00:15:54,280 Speaker 1: involves both a concern about access to US data but 276 00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 1: also concerns about propaganda, and that's where the First Amendment 277 00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:01,479 Speaker 1: concerns are sort of the large just where we're regulating 278 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:05,800 Speaker 1: content of a message, and a number of justices express 279 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 1: concern about how do we address that. Should it be 280 00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:14,520 Speaker 1: strict scrutiny or should it be intermediate scrutiny. I think 281 00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:17,240 Speaker 1: they want to get the law right on that so 282 00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 1: that they announced the First Amendment standard properly. But I 283 00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:25,280 Speaker 1: didn't read a lot of concern about ruling against the 284 00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:27,480 Speaker 1: US for that reason, and what kind. 285 00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:31,360 Speaker 2: Of scrutiny did the DC Circuit use in upholding the law? 286 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 1: So the DC Circuit said, we're going to assume we 287 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 1: need to apply strict scrutiny. We think it will pass 288 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 1: any standard. But they wrote their decision assuming they had 289 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 1: to apply the highest level of scrutiny strict scrutiny, and 290 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:50,160 Speaker 1: they said the law passes that standard. Judge shrishn Avasen 291 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 1: wrote a concurrence and said, I would apply intermediate scrutiny. 292 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 1: I don't think we need to go to strict scrutiny 293 00:16:57,080 --> 00:17:02,040 Speaker 1: because this law focuses on on the data security, which 294 00:17:02,080 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 1: really doesn't raise First Amendment issues in the same way. 295 00:17:05,600 --> 00:17:07,719 Speaker 1: And so for that reason, we don't need to focus 296 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:10,479 Speaker 1: on strict scrutiny. Let's do intermediate scrutiny. And this has 297 00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 1: an important justification. That's enough. I think you'll see something 298 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:17,200 Speaker 1: similar from the Supreme Court. Some justices probably will want 299 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 1: to apply strict scrutiny, some of them will say we 300 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 1: should apply intermediate scrutiny. Either way, it's hard to do 301 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:26,399 Speaker 1: the math to get TikTok up to five justices on 302 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 1: its side. 303 00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:31,040 Speaker 2: In the congressional hearings and in the DC Circuit hearings, 304 00:17:31,320 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 2: there's been no evidence presented that China is using TikTok 305 00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:41,359 Speaker 2: to spy on Americans, or using Americans data or manipulating 306 00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:45,159 Speaker 2: the content where any of the justice is concerned about 307 00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:47,280 Speaker 2: this supposedly secret evidence. 308 00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:50,840 Speaker 1: Justice gorse Its raised that most directly, and I think 309 00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:54,119 Speaker 1: Chief Justice Roberts did mention it as well. And I 310 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 1: think there was some concern less to do with this case. 311 00:17:58,320 --> 00:17:59,879 Speaker 1: It didn't seem like it was going to be a 312 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:03,040 Speaker 1: reason for the justices to overturn this decision, but it 313 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 1: was kind of a signal to Congress and to the 314 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 1: United States Justice Department. Maybe the secret law stuff where 315 00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:14,160 Speaker 1: you don't even let the other side see the evidence, 316 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,160 Speaker 1: Let's not keep going down that road. I think Justice 317 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 1: Gorsicch at one point even said, Hey, this might be 318 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:22,680 Speaker 1: something Congress should address that we don't start going down 319 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:26,680 Speaker 1: the road of using secret evidence. But generally, I don't 320 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:30,280 Speaker 1: think that was really driving the court in TikTok's favor. 321 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:32,960 Speaker 1: I think there was an overall concern that you know, 322 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:35,800 Speaker 1: the United States has stressed this is not about hard 323 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:39,879 Speaker 1: evidence of China actually doing this. This is about avoiding 324 00:18:39,920 --> 00:18:44,440 Speaker 1: the risk of China potentially doing this. And TikTok can 325 00:18:44,520 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 1: continue to operate, it just needs to continue to operate 326 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:52,920 Speaker 1: without an owner that's located in China, where this risk 327 00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:54,160 Speaker 1: is at its greatest. 328 00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:58,200 Speaker 2: And what about that that was mentioned as a possibility, 329 00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:01,359 Speaker 2: But as far as I understand, China won't sell or 330 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:02,679 Speaker 2: won't sell its algorithm. 331 00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 1: That's the big hang up. Potentially, the law gives TikTok 332 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:10,439 Speaker 1: a path to continue operating if byte Dance is willing 333 00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:14,560 Speaker 1: to do a sale, but there's no indication so far 334 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 1: that byte Dance is willing to do that, and if 335 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:22,879 Speaker 1: they won't, there really aren't many options. If China is 336 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:27,080 Speaker 1: concerned about the sale of the algorithm, it's possible that 337 00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:32,320 Speaker 1: there's no path forward after January nineteenth because the company's 338 00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 1: not willing to do a divestiture. 339 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:37,920 Speaker 2: The idea of slapping a disclaimer on TikTok came up. 340 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 2: Did that go very far? 341 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:43,800 Speaker 1: As I said, Justice Gorsch is most willing to rule 342 00:19:43,840 --> 00:19:46,159 Speaker 1: for TikTok and say, look, maybe you didn't tailor this 343 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:48,879 Speaker 1: law as closely as you should have. Maybe you should 344 00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,879 Speaker 1: have considered things that were less disruptive. I think disclosure 345 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:55,200 Speaker 1: would probably be on his list of things that Congress 346 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 1: should have looked at first, making them maybe put a 347 00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 1: message on their screen that hey, there's a risk of 348 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 1: interference by China here, and the company pushed that message 349 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:06,880 Speaker 1: a lot. I didn't see other than, as I said 350 00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 1: Justice Gorsic, I didn't really see it catching on with 351 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:10,840 Speaker 1: very many justices. 352 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:14,320 Speaker 2: It is surprising to me that there wasn't more expression 353 00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:19,080 Speaker 2: of real concerns, real free speech First Amendment concerns, when 354 00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 2: this would be the first time that Congress is shutting 355 00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:24,640 Speaker 2: down a platform for free speech. 356 00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 7: Right. 357 00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:28,720 Speaker 1: There were excellent briefs files in this case, and a 358 00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:32,439 Speaker 1: number of them raised exactly the point that you're making 359 00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:36,440 Speaker 1: right now, that this is a novel application of US law, 360 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:41,320 Speaker 1: that one hundred and seventy million users expressing themselves are 361 00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:44,359 Speaker 1: suddenly going to get knocked off this platform. Not suddenly, 362 00:20:44,400 --> 00:20:45,960 Speaker 1: I shouldn't say that it's not going to be a 363 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:49,399 Speaker 1: sudden death, but it is disruptive to speech in a 364 00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:52,800 Speaker 1: way that US law has never done before. And so 365 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: there was a pretty compelling First Amendment argument to make. 366 00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:59,040 Speaker 1: It just didn't get a lot of traction when you 367 00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:03,399 Speaker 1: weigh the fact that Congress, on a bipartisan basis, said, look, 368 00:21:03,520 --> 00:21:06,480 Speaker 1: this is a national security risk we need to address. 369 00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:09,920 Speaker 1: Judges struggled to get in the middle of that because 370 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,720 Speaker 1: they're not experts on national security, and so I think 371 00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:15,879 Speaker 1: they were hesitant to second guest Congress on that. I 372 00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,440 Speaker 1: think it's going to make them struggle to rule for TikTok. 373 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:23,160 Speaker 2: Here, President elect Trump submitted a brief asking the court 374 00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:25,439 Speaker 2: to put it off until he comes in. There were 375 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:28,680 Speaker 2: no constitutional arguments, but there were arguments about his being 376 00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:31,879 Speaker 2: a savvy businessman, who is the one who can solve 377 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:35,119 Speaker 2: this right? So what about the possibility of the court 378 00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,840 Speaker 2: issuing a stay of the effective date? 379 00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 1: That came up directly? I think Justice Kavanaugh at one 380 00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:45,359 Speaker 1: point asked about it, and I think the Solicitor General's 381 00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:48,320 Speaker 1: point was the only way to do that. As you said, 382 00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:51,439 Speaker 1: President Trump didn't address the legal standard to do that. 383 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 1: But the legal standard really runs to is TikTok likely 384 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,640 Speaker 1: to win this case? And as we've talked about, TikTok 385 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,720 Speaker 1: is not likely to win this case if you're applying 386 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 1: that legal standard. The test for issuing a stay of 387 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:07,879 Speaker 1: a deadline that Congress set is not that President Trump 388 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:09,879 Speaker 1: has a warm spot in his heart for a company 389 00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:13,240 Speaker 1: and would like it that way. It is whether the 390 00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:16,600 Speaker 1: company is likely to prevail because this violates the law. 391 00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:20,119 Speaker 1: And I don't see any way that five Supreme Court 392 00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 1: justices are going to say that TikTok is likely to 393 00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:26,480 Speaker 1: succeed on that argument. So for that reason, a stay 394 00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:29,760 Speaker 1: doesn't really make sense. They don't issue stays just because 395 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 1: the next administration wishes Congress had set a different date. 396 00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:36,920 Speaker 2: If the court rules against TikTok, as we now expect 397 00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:40,520 Speaker 2: after these oral arguments, is there any hope for TikTok? 398 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 1: So it's going to get really interesting there because of 399 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:48,120 Speaker 1: what President Trump has said. So, if I'm a company 400 00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:52,680 Speaker 1: that hosts TikTok and this law takes effect on January nineteenth, 401 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:58,000 Speaker 1: I am very concerned about accruing substantial liability on that day. 402 00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:03,000 Speaker 1: The law subjects those companies to five thousand dollars per user, 403 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: and as we said, one hundred and seventy million users 404 00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:08,760 Speaker 1: in the United States. The math is astronomical in terms 405 00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:13,080 Speaker 1: of the potential liability for hosting TikTok on January nineteenth, 406 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:16,200 Speaker 1: which is before President Trump takes office. So I think 407 00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:19,880 Speaker 1: there's real risk for those companies to continue hosting TikTok. 408 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 1: It's possible President Trump comes in and says, don't worry 409 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 1: about that law. I'm not going to enforce it. But 410 00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:31,000 Speaker 1: if you're a company facing the appruval of that much liability, 411 00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:33,960 Speaker 1: are you willing to take that chance? Are you willing 412 00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,280 Speaker 1: to potentially give him leverage over your company if he 413 00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:38,520 Speaker 1: wants to change his mind. 414 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 6: Do you want to. 415 00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:42,200 Speaker 1: Litigate over whether that would violate due process for him 416 00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,399 Speaker 1: to change his mind? I don't think so. That's a 417 00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,800 Speaker 1: big dollar amount. So the best path forward for TikTok 418 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:52,080 Speaker 1: would be convincing Congress to reverse itself and maybe getting 419 00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:55,840 Speaker 1: President Trump to push that idea or some alternative have 420 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,480 Speaker 1: Congress pass the new law. But short of that, it's 421 00:23:58,560 --> 00:23:59,880 Speaker 1: really hard to see a path. 422 00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:03,840 Speaker 2: It does look quite bleak for TikTok, and we should 423 00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 2: get a decision on this from the Supreme Court next 424 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:11,680 Speaker 2: week before the TikTok ban goes into effect on January nineteenth. 425 00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:16,120 Speaker 2: Thanks so much, Matt. That's Bloomberg Intelligence, litigation and government 426 00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:20,440 Speaker 2: analyst Matthew Shettenhelm, coming up next on the Bloomberg Lawn Show. 427 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:25,200 Speaker 2: Nippon Steel and US Deal are suing the Biden administration 428 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:29,000 Speaker 2: in a last ditch effort to save their merger. I'm 429 00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:32,919 Speaker 2: June Grosso and you're listening to Bloomberg. Nippon Steele is 430 00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,919 Speaker 2: standing firm on its plans to acquire US Steal, with 431 00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:40,760 Speaker 2: both companies suing the Biden administration this week in a 432 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 2: last ditch effort to save the fifteen billion dollar merger. 433 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 2: President Biden blocked the deal citing a risk to national security, 434 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:52,159 Speaker 2: but the companies say the review by the Committee on 435 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:56,040 Speaker 2: Foreign Investment in the United States was a sham and 436 00:24:56,080 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 2: that Biden blocked the deal for purely political reasons, that is, 437 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:04,320 Speaker 2: to gain favor with union steel workers in Pennsylvania in 438 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:08,360 Speaker 2: his re election bid. The President had announced his opposition 439 00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:12,720 Speaker 2: to the deal in March, before the Scyphius review even began, 440 00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:16,639 Speaker 2: and in April at the US Steel headquarters in Pittsburgh, 441 00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:19,760 Speaker 2: Biden made this promise to the union workers. 442 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:23,480 Speaker 5: US still has been an iconic American company for more 443 00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:27,560 Speaker 5: than a century, and it should remain a totally American company, 444 00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:34,919 Speaker 5: American owned, American operated by American union steel workers, the 445 00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,479 Speaker 5: best of the world, and that's going to happen, I 446 00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:38,040 Speaker 5: promise you. 447 00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:43,080 Speaker 2: Joining me is John Kabilo, a Washington, DC attorney who 448 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:49,120 Speaker 2: specializes in cross border transactions. John. Since nineteen ninety, only 449 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:53,600 Speaker 2: eight other foreign transactions have been blocked by presidents, according 450 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:58,720 Speaker 2: to the Congressional Research Service, and here President Biden reportedly 451 00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 2: went against his top national security aids in blocking the 452 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:06,480 Speaker 2: sale to a Japanese company, even though Japan is a 453 00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:10,920 Speaker 2: longstanding ally of our country. 454 00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:14,400 Speaker 7: Right, it is extraordinarily rare for a president to formally 455 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:18,399 Speaker 7: block any investment via syfius. I think it's unprecedented that 456 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:22,200 Speaker 7: a president would block a transaction like this, an investment 457 00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 7: coming from an allied nation, a critical allied nation, and 458 00:26:26,040 --> 00:26:30,600 Speaker 7: in particular where there's no clear national security threat posed 459 00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:31,880 Speaker 7: by the investment. 460 00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:36,320 Speaker 2: I'm confused about what Biden says is a national security threat. 461 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:38,960 Speaker 2: Is it a national security threat as you know, the 462 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:41,320 Speaker 2: average person might see it, or is it a threat 463 00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:43,159 Speaker 2: to the domestic steel industry. 464 00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:46,639 Speaker 7: That's a great question, and part of that gets at 465 00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:50,600 Speaker 7: the evolution of pythias over the years. You know, ten, fifteen, 466 00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:53,760 Speaker 7: twenty years ago, things that were thought of as quote 467 00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:58,320 Speaker 7: unquote national security issues. That really was a limited set 468 00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:03,879 Speaker 7: of things, and it related to weapons, system and telecommunications 469 00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:08,880 Speaker 7: networks in big pretty clearly strategic assets in the United States. 470 00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:12,440 Speaker 7: It is true that the notion of national security has 471 00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:16,080 Speaker 7: expanded some over time, and now it includes things like 472 00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:20,320 Speaker 7: the personal data of US citizens. Certainly, software and things 473 00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:24,080 Speaker 7: like that have been lumped into this concept of things 474 00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 7: that can cause national security concerns. Feel itself obviously is 475 00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:33,080 Speaker 7: useful to the military, but there's no evidence that in 476 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:36,200 Speaker 7: this transaction, Knepon Steel was going to do anything other 477 00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:40,040 Speaker 7: than expand production in the United States and bring more 478 00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:44,280 Speaker 7: investment and frankly, better steelmaking technology into the United States. 479 00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:47,320 Speaker 7: So it's hard to say that there's any sort of 480 00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:51,919 Speaker 7: threat to steelmaking in the United States because of the transaction. 481 00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:54,800 Speaker 7: And ultimately it looks like it boils down to just 482 00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:58,880 Speaker 7: kind of a US centric notion that this company that's 483 00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:02,040 Speaker 7: an iconic company in the United States, it should be 484 00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:06,440 Speaker 7: owned by US persons and not owned by a foreign company. 485 00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:09,960 Speaker 7: And that's really not at all what Syphius was set 486 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:12,080 Speaker 7: up to do. And so what we're looking at is 487 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:15,640 Speaker 7: the President is sort of abusing his authorities under Sythius 488 00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:17,040 Speaker 7: to achieve a political. 489 00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:19,600 Speaker 2: Outcome that sort of echoes some of the claims the 490 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:23,520 Speaker 2: steel companies are making in their lawsuit that argues that 491 00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 2: Biden violated the Constitution in blocking the merger. Tell us 492 00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:29,000 Speaker 2: more about their arguments. 493 00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 7: So SIPIUS is an authority, it's under the Defense Production 494 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 7: Act of nineteen fifty and its authorities were just expanded 495 00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:39,240 Speaker 7: recently in twenty eighteen. But really what the law says 496 00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:42,920 Speaker 7: is that first and foremost, the US is intended to 497 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 7: have an open investment environment that allows foreign direct investment 498 00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:51,120 Speaker 7: into the United States, and what Syphius is empowered to 499 00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 7: do is review investments from foreign parties. Syphius has the 500 00:28:55,760 --> 00:29:00,640 Speaker 7: ability to approve those transactions, but if a transaction may 501 00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:04,320 Speaker 7: pose a threat to the US national security, then Sophius 502 00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:09,040 Speaker 7: can negotiate conditions and require an investor to comply with 503 00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:12,680 Speaker 7: whatever conditions it needs before it approves the transaction. Only 504 00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:16,440 Speaker 7: in the rarest of circumstances. If there's a threat that 505 00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:19,280 Speaker 7: is so great and Sifius can't find a way to 506 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:21,800 Speaker 7: solve the threat, then it goes to the president, and 507 00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 7: the president has the authority to block the transaction. With 508 00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:28,040 Speaker 7: that is background, what the lawsuit essentially is saying is 509 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 7: that the process and the requirements necessary for a president 510 00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:36,000 Speaker 7: to block the transaction were never followed. Before Sophius even 511 00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:40,400 Speaker 7: began to review the transaction, President Biden, vice President Harris, 512 00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:44,240 Speaker 7: and Secretary Yellen had already gone public saying that the 513 00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:47,480 Speaker 7: transaction should not go through, that US Steel needed to 514 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:51,320 Speaker 7: remain domestically owned, and Biden even told the steel workers 515 00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:54,080 Speaker 7: that he guaranteed that the transaction was not going to 516 00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:57,240 Speaker 7: go through. And again, this is before the Sifius process 517 00:29:57,240 --> 00:30:00,560 Speaker 7: had started. I think fundamentally shows that they had no 518 00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:04,080 Speaker 7: intention of sort of looking at the facts or following 519 00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:07,880 Speaker 7: the requirements of the law. They had essentially looked at 520 00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:10,640 Speaker 7: the transaction and knew that it was a political hot 521 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:14,080 Speaker 7: potato and we're currying favor with voters in a swing 522 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:15,920 Speaker 7: state by saying, you know, we're never going to let 523 00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 7: this go forward. But that's not what the law allows 524 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 7: the president to do. 525 00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:24,800 Speaker 2: The steel companies say that the Scythius panel sent a 526 00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:30,120 Speaker 2: seventeen page letter of security concerns Riddle with inaccuracies over 527 00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:33,160 Speaker 2: the Labor Day weekend and only gave them one business 528 00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:38,440 Speaker 2: day to respond, and they claimed that the scipious staff 529 00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:44,160 Speaker 2: were told not to offer counter proposals or engage in discussions. That, 530 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:48,440 Speaker 2: on its face, if true, seems to support the steel 531 00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:49,960 Speaker 2: company's arguments. 532 00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:52,760 Speaker 7: I think that's right, and I think it's important to 533 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:56,200 Speaker 7: draw out that distinction, which is that the President did 534 00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,560 Speaker 7: this to Knipon Steel and US Steel, and the President 535 00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:02,000 Speaker 7: also did the Pacifius itself. You know, I think the 536 00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:05,400 Speaker 7: career staff at Syphius. They are quite good at running 537 00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:09,440 Speaker 7: their process, and so when you see things like a 538 00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:14,760 Speaker 7: seventeen page letter that again allegedly was riddled with factual inaccuracies, 539 00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:17,280 Speaker 7: that's not the type of thing that you would ordinarily 540 00:31:17,280 --> 00:31:19,200 Speaker 7: see out of Pythias, and I think it would show 541 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:22,000 Speaker 7: you that Siphius was being ordered to do something that 542 00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:25,680 Speaker 7: it really didn't have evidence or justification to do, and 543 00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:27,360 Speaker 7: so they were sort of put in a position where 544 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:30,200 Speaker 7: they had to stretch to meet the directive from above. 545 00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:35,320 Speaker 2: Presidents have brought authority to determine what constitutes a national 546 00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:40,680 Speaker 2: security threat. Can the president's authority here be challenged successfully 547 00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:41,240 Speaker 2: in court? 548 00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:42,600 Speaker 6: This is the. 549 00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:45,880 Speaker 7: Novel issue here, which is, you know, courts historically for 550 00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 7: centuries have deferred to the president on questions of national security, 551 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:54,040 Speaker 7: you know, the substantive decision making regarding what counts as 552 00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:57,120 Speaker 7: a national security threat and what does not. So in 553 00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,400 Speaker 7: that regard, the president does have broad authorities and it's 554 00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:02,040 Speaker 7: hard to challenge them. But here, I think what the 555 00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:04,840 Speaker 7: parties are saying is that the process itself was still flawed. 556 00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:07,520 Speaker 7: They were denied their rights from the beginning, and ultimately 557 00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:10,560 Speaker 7: what the president was doing was not making a national 558 00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:13,360 Speaker 7: security determination. What the president was doing was making a 559 00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:17,400 Speaker 7: political determination. And so I think that's the really interesting issue, 560 00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 7: at least in my mind, that the courts are going 561 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 7: to have to consider, is, you know, when a president 562 00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:28,240 Speaker 7: pretty clearly is engaged in political behavior but just claiming 563 00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:31,760 Speaker 7: that it's national security decision making, what degree of deference 564 00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:34,840 Speaker 7: does a court have to give the president in those situations? 565 00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:37,480 Speaker 7: And I think that's a nuanced and a novel question, 566 00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:40,000 Speaker 7: in one where I think the parties may have more 567 00:32:40,040 --> 00:32:43,080 Speaker 7: traction than if it were, you know, pretty clearly a 568 00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:47,440 Speaker 7: standard national security type decision that maybe the parties didn't 569 00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:49,480 Speaker 7: like or maybe they thought that the president was going 570 00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:52,000 Speaker 7: too far. But I don't even think there was really 571 00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:55,000 Speaker 7: much of an attempt to call this, you know, national security. 572 00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:59,080 Speaker 7: This was economic nationalism, This was election year politics, This 573 00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,360 Speaker 7: was all sorts of things, but it was not national security. 574 00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:06,520 Speaker 2: The companies here are basically making a due process argument. 575 00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:10,680 Speaker 2: And nearly a decade ago, there was a court challenge 576 00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:14,800 Speaker 2: to the Sifius review process and the president's authority over 577 00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:18,960 Speaker 2: foreign business deals that concerned a Chinese owned company, and 578 00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:22,640 Speaker 2: a federal appeals court ruled that the company's due process 579 00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:26,600 Speaker 2: rights were violated by the Scifius review, but still the 580 00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 2: court didn't overturn President Barack Obama's order that the Chinese 581 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,960 Speaker 2: company had to sell. Does that case have relevance here? 582 00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:34,760 Speaker 4: Right? 583 00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:37,560 Speaker 7: That was a little different. I think that case is 584 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 7: instructive in that, first of all, due process challenges can 585 00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:45,240 Speaker 7: be successful when the Syfius process itself is corrupted. And 586 00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:49,040 Speaker 7: so in that case, Fifius pursued an action against a 587 00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:52,760 Speaker 7: Chinese acquirer of wind farms that were next to military 588 00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:56,000 Speaker 7: airspace that was used to train unman burial vehicles, and 589 00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,680 Speaker 7: Sifias issued an interim ortar very early in the process. 590 00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:04,280 Speaker 7: They ordered the deconstruction of windmills, they ordered that the 591 00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:07,680 Speaker 7: acquirer not access to property, They ordered all sorts of 592 00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:10,759 Speaker 7: extremely onerous things. And what the parties argued there was 593 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:14,440 Speaker 7: that essentially the order from Syphius was so onerous that 594 00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:18,280 Speaker 7: it was equivalent to blocking the transaction, and really only 595 00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:20,360 Speaker 7: the President of the United States has the authority to 596 00:34:20,360 --> 00:34:23,600 Speaker 7: block a transaction. And so I think there they got 597 00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:26,040 Speaker 7: a lot of traction on that angle, which was that 598 00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:29,239 Speaker 7: there are limitations to what Syphius as a committee can do. 599 00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:32,440 Speaker 7: And then additionally they got some traction on the notion 600 00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:36,440 Speaker 7: that SPHIUS does have to provide some information about its 601 00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:39,680 Speaker 7: decision making process when it's going to take an adverse 602 00:34:39,719 --> 00:34:43,080 Speaker 7: action against the party. And then again when that process 603 00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:46,080 Speaker 7: was rerun and when the decision was in Obama's hands, 604 00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:51,120 Speaker 7: there was not a substantive way to challenge a president's 605 00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:54,839 Speaker 7: decision on national security grounds. But the parties did make 606 00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:57,359 Speaker 7: a lot of progress on the procedural violations. 607 00:34:57,600 --> 00:35:00,400 Speaker 2: So do you think it's possible that a court would 608 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:03,040 Speaker 2: order another review by Ciphius here? 609 00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:05,440 Speaker 7: Yeah, I think it's possible that a court would order 610 00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:09,360 Speaker 7: another review. It's clear that the process was corrupted from 611 00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:12,840 Speaker 7: even before day one, and so in that regard, whatever 612 00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:16,719 Speaker 7: sort of the maximal remedy for due process violations is, 613 00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:19,480 Speaker 7: any court should provide that remedy, you know. And then 614 00:35:19,640 --> 00:35:22,520 Speaker 7: I think the next question, which is, Okay, there's going 615 00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:25,240 Speaker 7: to be a new administration in town. The next president 616 00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:28,880 Speaker 7: has come out against this transaction. What happens there? And 617 00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:31,400 Speaker 7: this is just sort of crystal ball talk here, but 618 00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:34,319 Speaker 7: I do think that the parties are presented with an 619 00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:37,719 Speaker 7: opportunity to actually reach some kind of a deal with 620 00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:39,840 Speaker 7: the new administration. When you look at all of the 621 00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:43,959 Speaker 7: commitments that Nipon Steel was willing to make to get 622 00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:47,760 Speaker 7: the deal done. I think ultimately that transaction was really 623 00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:50,960 Speaker 7: really good for the steel workers and for US steel, 624 00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:55,960 Speaker 7: and for our domestic steel industry and for our supply 625 00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:59,759 Speaker 7: chain security. I think that the parties may well be 626 00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:02,799 Speaker 7: able to make a compelling pitch to the next administration 627 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:04,640 Speaker 7: and find a way to get a deal done the 628 00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:07,000 Speaker 7: next administration, you know. I think they pride themselves in 629 00:36:07,080 --> 00:36:09,439 Speaker 7: finding ways to get deals done, and I think when 630 00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:11,719 Speaker 7: they look at what's being offered, they may find something 631 00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:12,800 Speaker 7: very compelling. 632 00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:16,280 Speaker 2: At that and if all else fails, might assert petition 633 00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:18,000 Speaker 2: to the Supreme Court be ahead. 634 00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:21,360 Speaker 7: There are some novel legal questions here that I would 635 00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:23,560 Speaker 7: love to see in the hands of the Supreme Court, 636 00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:28,000 Speaker 7: because I think it's really critical, really really critical, not 637 00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:32,280 Speaker 7: just for the scipious process and not just for transaction parties, 638 00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:34,920 Speaker 7: but I really think for everyone. It's important that we 639 00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:37,759 Speaker 7: come up with some idea that no president can just 640 00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:40,759 Speaker 7: you know, wave a wand and call something national security 641 00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:43,799 Speaker 7: and then be exempt from all scrutiny. More and more 642 00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:46,880 Speaker 7: things are being called national security, and at some point 643 00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:48,759 Speaker 7: we have to have some guardrails. 644 00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:50,920 Speaker 2: Thanks so much for joining me on the show. John. 645 00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:56,160 Speaker 2: That's John Kabilo, who specializes in cross border transactions. And 646 00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:58,360 Speaker 2: that's it for this edition of The Bloomberg Law Show. 647 00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:01,000 Speaker 2: Remember you can always get the LA legal news on 648 00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:05,360 Speaker 2: our Bloomberg Law podcasts. You can find them on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, 649 00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:10,600 Speaker 2: and at www dot Bloomberg dot com slash podcast Slash Law, 650 00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:13,560 Speaker 2: And remember to tune into The Bloomberg Law Show every 651 00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:17,560 Speaker 2: weeknight at ten pm Wall Street Time. I'm June Grosso 652 00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:19,279 Speaker 2: and you're listening to Bloomberg