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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast podcasts.

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Speaker 2: If you are even remotely a savage, you'll run these

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Speaker 2: people over for a second.

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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Action Network podcast presented by bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host Brendan glas Sheen, joined by Sean Zarillo

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Speaker 1: and Billy Ward, two of our very best at Action Network,

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Speaker 1: and they cover that's right.

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Speaker 3: UFC UFC betting.

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Speaker 1: Previews are back on the Action Network podcast. Please subscribe,

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Speaker 1: rate and review the pod on the audio side. Also

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Speaker 1: on our Action Network YouTube channel, subscribe like the video.

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Speaker 1: Every Friday, we're back Sean, Billy and myself. These two

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Speaker 1: will give out some underdogs, props and best bets.

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Speaker 3: In the UFC UFC Vegas eighty five at the Apex

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Speaker 3: Facility in Las Vegas. UFC Fight Night.

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Speaker 1: Getting you set will dive into all the angles. Just

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Speaker 1: a couple of housekeeping notes before we dive in. If

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Speaker 1: you are new to UFC, you're using this weekend as

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Speaker 1: a break from the NFL with the bye week, and

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Speaker 1: you're getting yourself back into it. If you're accustomed to

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Speaker 1: betting UFC and you're diving back in a great way

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Speaker 1: to get yourself refamiliarized.

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Speaker 3: The Action Network has a great guide for you if.

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Speaker 1: You go to the Action Network YouTube page, we have

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Speaker 1: a video going back to last summer UFC betting strategy,

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Speaker 1: expert tips and advice from pro betters.

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Speaker 3: That is a video. That's the title of the video.

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Speaker 1: And Sean and Billy actually joined Maria Marino and they

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Speaker 1: give some insight on some dues, some don't, some suggestions

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Speaker 1: as far as how you want to look at a

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Speaker 1: card each week. So, without further ado, let's dive in.

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Speaker 1: Shall we UFC Vegas Fight Night? Here we go main

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Speaker 1: event Roman Dalids. He is the underdog this weekend of

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Speaker 1: the main event taking on nazardined Imvov.

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Speaker 3: This is going to take a bit to get reaccustomed

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Speaker 3: names too. Of course, they just want you to get

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Speaker 3: right back into it. Okay, Sean Zarella, I'll go to

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Speaker 3: you first. So what do you make of the line?

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Speaker 3: And then how do you want to bet this fight?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, if you are taking a break from the NFL

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Speaker 4: this week, trying to bet on something else, I'm sorry

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Speaker 4: this is not the best fight card, but always happy

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Speaker 4: to have fights to bet on, and especially after a

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Speaker 4: week off, having to have some fights to watch again.

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Speaker 4: And Imava versus Dalids not the most interesting main event,

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Speaker 4: but an important one for the rankings in the middleweight division. Now,

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Speaker 4: breaking this fight down, Delids the bigger finisher. The bigger

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Speaker 4: man used to fight at two to five amv off

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Speaker 4: a little bit smaller. The measurables on paper look pretty comparable,

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Speaker 4: but once they're in the cage, I expect Aleeds to

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Speaker 4: be the more powerful striker and to have more finishing upside.

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Speaker 4: If he wins the fight, I expect him to win

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Speaker 4: by finish either knockout re submission close to eighty percent

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Speaker 4: of the time. If a Mavov wins the fight, I

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Speaker 4: have him winning the decision about fifty five percent of

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Speaker 4: the time. So generally speaking, I tend to see a

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Speaker 4: Mavov winning later, Dealids a winning earlier, and that also

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Speaker 4: sort of trends with their career experience and their trend

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Speaker 4: line of their recent fights.

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Speaker 5: A Mavov coming off of.

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Speaker 4: A career best performance against Chris Curtis, that fight ended

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Speaker 4: early due to accidental head but he has been in

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Speaker 4: a main event before. We've seen him stretch that cardio

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Speaker 4: out over five rounds. Doesn't have the best cardio, but

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Speaker 4: he has had to go five rounds before and prove

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Speaker 4: it and that experience certainly helps going forward.

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Speaker 6: Dealieds is older.

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Speaker 4: I believe he's six or seven years older, so going

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Speaker 4: five rounds for the first time not going to be

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Speaker 4: to his benefit. He also hasn't shown the best cardio

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Speaker 4: even in the three round fights, so I think the

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Speaker 4: later fights rounds four and five certainly favor a Mavov.

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Speaker 4: I think it may be a spot where you can

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Speaker 4: live bet, but he hasn't shown the best cardio, as

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Speaker 4: I've mentioned throughout his career, so I just view him

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Speaker 4: as the fighter with more ways to win, the better

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Speaker 4: minute winner, more likely to be on top after eight downs,

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Speaker 4: and probably more likely to be on head in head

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Speaker 4: in terms of striking volume.

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Speaker 5: Two.

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Speaker 4: I think if Delizi wins this fight, he's either going

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Speaker 4: to need to get a finish where he's probably gonna

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Speaker 4: need a few big moments where he gets knocked downs

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Speaker 4: without ultimately securing the finish. So a Mavov at minus

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Speaker 4: one sixty I think is a fair price. I projected

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Speaker 4: him closer to about sixty five percent, so roughly minus

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Speaker 4: one eighty, So anything about minus one seventy or better,

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Speaker 4: I'll take on the favorite and lay it with Noserdina Mavov,

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Speaker 4: and as I said, you may look into maybe some

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Speaker 4: decision props for a mavav with a fight going longer

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Speaker 4: or even a same game parlay with a Mavov and

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Speaker 4: the over two and a half rounds that pays out

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Speaker 4: at about plus one forty, you're essentially giving away one

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Speaker 4: third of his win condition over the first half of

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Speaker 4: the fight, So not necessarily to your benefit, but you know,

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Speaker 4: in terms of breaking it down, but in terms of

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Speaker 4: the way the fight plays out, I actually think he's

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Speaker 4: more likelier to win in the final two and a

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Speaker 4: half rounds.

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Speaker 1: I mov ofv using the takedown in three of his

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Speaker 1: last four UFC wins. Billy Ward, they should also add

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Speaker 1: housekeeping a plug for Billy.

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Speaker 3: The Action Network UFC luck.

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Speaker 1: Ratings not rankings, not to be confused with NFL the

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Speaker 1: luck ratings. You found this line to be fairly valued.

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Speaker 1: So with that being said, how would you like to

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Speaker 1: bet the main event?

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Speaker 6: Billy?

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Speaker 5: Yeah? You know, Sean fewed me up nicely.

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Speaker 7: I'm actually viewing the fight mostly the same way he is,

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Speaker 7: and that Dalidze needs a finish. Imav Off probably can

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Speaker 7: win a decision, you know, imav Off, he's the better

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Speaker 7: technical striker I'd say by a pretty wide margin here,

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Speaker 7: But he's mostly just trying to touch you in score points.

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Speaker 7: He's not really a guy who more or less comes

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Speaker 7: out aggressively hunting finishes on the feet. His last two

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Speaker 7: stoppages have both been ground and pounded on the ground.

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Speaker 7: But Dalidze is a former ADCC competitor, super dangerousubmission guy.

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Speaker 7: You know, got into MMA kind of late. He was

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Speaker 7: just a pure submission grappler through much of his twenties.

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Speaker 7: That says a lot about his cardio. You know, I

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Speaker 7: always bring up on here that those guys usually just

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Speaker 7: do one long round. They don't really have the cardio

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Speaker 7: to go back to the stool, back out, back to

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Speaker 7: the stool, back out the way they do in UFC. So,

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Speaker 7: you know, everything in line with what Sean was saying,

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Speaker 7: two ways you can play it. I took Dalidze by

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Speaker 7: finish only right around even money. That means if the

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Speaker 7: fight goes to a decision, doesn't matter who wins, your

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Speaker 7: bet gets refunded. Only way it pays out if someone

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Speaker 7: gets a finish, and then obviously the other way is

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Speaker 7: Delidze to do the finishing right around plus two hundred

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Speaker 7: a little bit better. You could split between those two,

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Speaker 7: but it's really just a risk tolerance thing if you

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Speaker 7: want to be on that side. Those are the ways

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Speaker 7: to play Dalidze. And then how much you know, do

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Speaker 7: you want to chase the bigger payout or do you

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Speaker 7: want a little bit more insurance if the likelier option

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Speaker 7: of it going to a decision happens.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, just you know, just to reiterate, I said, you know,

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Speaker 4: I Givedaledze about an eighty percent chance to finish if

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Speaker 4: he wins the fight, you mob of about forty five percent.

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Speaker 4: So the way I would handicap that finish only market,

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Speaker 4: I'd probably make Delize closer about minus one seventy minus

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Speaker 4: one seventy five. I think his finishing upside is much higher,

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Speaker 4: and I think that's a very square price getting him

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Speaker 4: at plus money to be the only one.

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Speaker 5: To finish billion.

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Speaker 1: Shawn's Fight of the Night for UFC Fight Night cannot

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Speaker 1: Mokano taking on Drew Dober. Dober the underdog at plus

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Speaker 1: one point fifty. So Moykano Zerillo has the height advantage.

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Speaker 1: He's got about three inches on Dover. Is he properly

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Speaker 1: valued on the money line?

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Speaker 4: I think so he's taller, longer, and if these two

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Speaker 4: just strike it out for fifteen minutes, I might actually

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Speaker 4: favor moy Kano straight up. He's the better technical striker.

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Speaker 4: Dober is a brawler though, and he's three to zero

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Speaker 4: inside the Apex. I think the smaller cage helps him

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Speaker 4: just having opponents being more on top of him, not

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Speaker 4: having to go as far to close the distance, and

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Speaker 4: he does have more finishing upside on the feet. He

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Speaker 4: hits very hard. I think a lot of people, myself included,

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Speaker 4: kind of running back that ma Kano fight against Rafael

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Speaker 4: Fhazive at the Apex where he got deaded in the

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Speaker 4: first round. Moy Cono doesn't have the best chin, he's

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Speaker 4: a BJJ guy, but he is the better technical fighter,

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Speaker 4: the better technician on the feet in the stand up,

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Speaker 4: and I think the striking will be very close, if

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Speaker 4: not favor him outright, aside from the moments where he

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Speaker 4: potentially gets clipped. But the favorite to comes down to

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Speaker 4: all of the grappling upside in this fight being in

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Speaker 4: his favor. He's one of the best backtakers in the sport.

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Speaker 4: Pretty confident that he's going to get dover down multiple times,

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Speaker 4: if not just once and finish the fight. Dover has

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Speaker 4: decent submission defense, but not as good once people get

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Speaker 4: on his back. So Moikano, just as I said, one

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Speaker 4: of the best fighters at taking the back in the sport,

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Speaker 4: and once he gets the back it's usually a wrap

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Speaker 4: from there. So Mokano by submission. There's a bit of

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Speaker 4: a price differentiation depending on a book. If you shop around,

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Speaker 4: you can get his lowest plus one twenty. I saw

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Speaker 4: as high as plus one seventy, though that seems like

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Speaker 4: a pretty good price to me. Moykano to win inside

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Speaker 4: the distance, and then just Mokano on the money line

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Speaker 4: as well. I think there's definitely a chance that he

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Speaker 4: just secures control, back control backpack against Dover for a

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Speaker 4: large part of his fight and ultimately wins a decision. So,

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Speaker 4: finallying minus one eighty five on Mokano, I projected his

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Speaker 4: money line closer to you about minus two hundred. It's

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Speaker 4: about where I played up to his minus one eighty five.

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Speaker 4: But think he's the right side in this fight.

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Speaker 3: Billy, where do you stand?

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Speaker 1: And you can't ignore Mokanto in his takedown accuracy.

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Speaker 3: That's a big differentiator against Dover.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, that one's a little bit tricky because much of

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Speaker 7: that came at one forty five, where he wasn't giving

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Speaker 7: up the size and strength he is up at one

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Speaker 7: fifty five. I came into watching tape on this fight,

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Speaker 7: like really trying to talk myself into Drew Dober, trying

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Speaker 7: to find an angle to play the underdog here.

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Speaker 5: I just couldn't get there. I ended up.

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Speaker 7: Agreeing with Sean. I think we're looking at this to

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Speaker 7: a degree as a striker and Drew Dober versus grappler

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Speaker 7: and Moicano. But the more tape I watched on Mokano,

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Speaker 7: I became less and less convinced that he's not the

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Speaker 7: better striker too. You know, Sean made some good points.

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Speaker 7: Dober's probably got more power on the feet. You know,

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Speaker 7: could definitely clip him and change the course of the

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Speaker 7: fight with one. But if you look back, Drew Dober

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Speaker 7: fought Brad Riddell, you know, striking coach over at City

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Speaker 7: Kickboxing kind of got picked apart by Riddell. Mokano fought

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Speaker 7: Brad Riddell. He finished him with a submission, but he

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Speaker 7: hurt him on the feet before that. You know, three

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Speaker 7: minute sample size we can't say for sure that he's

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Speaker 7: the better striker, and we know MMA math doesn't work

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Speaker 7: that way, but it was a pretty convincing data point

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Speaker 7: for me that not only is he we can all

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Speaker 7: agree it's the better grappler, might even be the better striker.

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Speaker 7: Don't feel confident that he ends up getting the submission

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Speaker 7: because Dober's you don't got the good submission defense. Wouldn't

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Speaker 7: be shocked if he pounded him out on the ground

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Speaker 7: or landed a kick or something, so that leaves me

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Speaker 7: no choice. I gotta take the money line straight up.

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Speaker 7: Think he wins. Don't really know how fine with lay

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Speaker 7: in the juice if he's better and we think all

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Speaker 7: areas other than.

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Speaker 4: Power, Yeah, unless he gets like knocked down hard, you know,

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Speaker 4: eats one big shot and gets clipped and hurt, I

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Speaker 4: really think he's going to control the fight, control the

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Speaker 4: pace of the fight.

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Speaker 6: Really chewed over up at range. Dober is very hit

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Speaker 6: a ble.

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Speaker 4: That second half of the Sancho's fight for Moikana was

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Speaker 4: very impressive too. You know how badly he was getting

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Speaker 4: beaten up, seemed like it was going to be stopped,

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Speaker 4: and then he ultimately fought back, and I leave he

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Speaker 4: won the fifth round against Tho Xandres as well. So

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Speaker 4: a lot of heart in this guy, and as long

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Speaker 4: as he's not flat on the canvas after a big

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Speaker 4: power shot, I think he's going to be the win.

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Speaker 5: I will say real quick before we move on.

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Speaker 7: I guess my hesitancy early and why I was looking

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Speaker 7: to Dover is we haven't seen mcno in a little bit.

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Speaker 7: He's had some injury issues. I think he's been out

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Speaker 7: for a little over a year at this point. Yeah,

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Speaker 7: its November twenty two is last fight. That's the one

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Speaker 7: thing that gives me a little bit of pause. I'm

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Speaker 7: going too heavy here. But if we knew that that

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Speaker 7: wasn't a factor, and that he's in good shape and

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Speaker 7: he's been training and he's sharp and all those other

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Speaker 7: things that we occasionally take for granted, I'd be all in.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's just the five knockout losses against the guy

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Speaker 4: with big.

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Speaker 6: Power who's super durable as well in Dover.

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Speaker 4: You know, Dover tends to be a fun guy to

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Speaker 4: bet as an underdog because he's very difficult to knock out,

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Speaker 4: and if you decide to brawl with him, he's more

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Speaker 4: likelier to finish you so yeah, big, big juicy number

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Speaker 4: on Dover, but don't think this is necessarily the right

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Speaker 4: matchup for him.

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Speaker 7: And we saw him get knocked out pretty badly recently too.

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Speaker 7: You know, everyone's got a great chin until they don't.

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Speaker 7: And I'm going to talk about that with another fighter

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Speaker 7: later on. But you know, we all say, oh, you know,

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Speaker 7: Chuck Ledell for a million years, couldn't hurt him, and

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Speaker 7: then everybody knocked him out. So sometimes I worry if

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Speaker 7: that's not Dover's thirty five, maybe it's just the start

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Speaker 7: of a time.

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Speaker 4: And it's also a sign of a you know, physical decline,

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Speaker 4: not only in terms of the chin, but also in

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Speaker 4: terms of the speed, like the athleticism. You know, once

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Speaker 4: the knockouts start coming. We'll talk about this with Alexander

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Speaker 4: Volkanovsky in a few weeks. Once the knockouts start coming,

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Speaker 4: that athleticism, the speed tends to dip too, and all

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Speaker 4: the skills sort of fold into one another. So even

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Speaker 4: though these two were at the same age, I think

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Speaker 4: way Conno is the much fresher fighter in terms of

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Speaker 4: physical you know, trajectory going forward.

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Speaker 3: to the podcast.

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Speaker 1: I love the underdog segment because I'm curious as to

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Speaker 1: what Sean and Billy might cook up and they might

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Speaker 1: see value, and you two are not shy to identify

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Speaker 1: underdogs responsibly.

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Speaker 3: You do your work behind the scenes, watch film.

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Speaker 1: And look at numbers and if there's a number that

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Speaker 1: you like in the market that doesn't make a lot

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Speaker 1: of sense, and you're actually in alignment in the welterweight

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Speaker 1: matchup Zorilla to take it away.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I like when Billy and I line up in

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Speaker 4: an underdog. I think we've had a lot of success

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Speaker 4: actually when we land out a consensus underdog. And this

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Speaker 4: week we're going with Pete Rodriguez, which is kind of

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Speaker 4: an atypical underdog play, I'd say for us, because Billy

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Speaker 4: and I usually find ways to fade fighters who don't

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Speaker 4: make it out of the first round. Pete Rodriguez, all

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Speaker 4: of his career in MMA fights have ended in two

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Speaker 4: minutes and twenty one.

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Speaker 6: Seconds or less.

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Speaker 4: So there is so much unknown about this kid beyond

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Speaker 4: the first round, beyond the three minute mark of the

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Speaker 4: first round, And I think what Billy and I probably

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Speaker 4: are falling back on here is where he trains. This

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Speaker 4: is a kid who trains an MMA Lab, and this

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Speaker 4: is one of the best gyms in the sport. And

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Speaker 4: we continually see MMA Lab produce prospects with relatively no

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Speaker 4: name status right to the UFC level and immediately impressed

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Speaker 4: Marcus McGee, the most recent name that comes to mind.

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Speaker 4: They do tend to have more smaller fighters, more of

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Speaker 4: these bantam HETEs, fly weights, not as many Walter Waits guys,

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Speaker 4: Pete Rodriguez the size, So not really sure right who

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Speaker 4: he's training with in that room. But I do trust

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Speaker 4: the gym, and I do trust that there's some sort

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Speaker 4: of base beyond three minutes of skill in Pete Rodriguez's

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Speaker 4: game if this fight does extend, and you're getting all

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Speaker 4: of that baked into the price here at plus two ten.

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Speaker 4: I think he's clearly clearly the better boxer in this

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Speaker 4: fight with Thema Grimbo. He is at a huge reach

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Speaker 4: disadvantage six inch reach discrepancy. Really don't think that is

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Speaker 4: going to matter on the feet, Garimbo, the better grappler,

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Speaker 4: the longer limbs, probably going to help him if he

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Speaker 4: gets this fight to the MAC, but standing Rodrigue is

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Speaker 4: a huge speed advantage, huge technical boxing advantage. I think

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Speaker 4: he's very live to finish this fight, and I like

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Speaker 4: his odds at plus two ten. You're also baking in

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Speaker 4: the unknown here, that we get him winning a decision,

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Speaker 4: get him as the better striker of the course of

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Speaker 4: fifteen minutes, that his takedown defense holds up better than

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Speaker 4: we think it might. Again, there's so much unknown that

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Speaker 4: we're betting into with Rodriguez here. Don't really know how

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Speaker 4: his defensive grappling is, what is Cardio looks like. So

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Speaker 4: some alternative ways to play this fight Rodriguez by knockout,

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Speaker 4: Rodriguez in round one, Rodriguez by round one knockout. That

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Speaker 4: is how he's won fights in the past, and frankly,

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Speaker 4: I do expect him to win the first round here,

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Speaker 4: which is why I'm betting him pre fight, and then

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Speaker 4: I think you'll get an opportunity to jump in on

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Speaker 4: Garimba live after round one. So Pete Rodriguez the clear

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Speaker 4: pre fight side from my perspective, especially finishing all of

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Speaker 4: his wins in round one, and then I think you

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Speaker 4: take it from there and maybe look for a live

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Speaker 4: price on Garimbo after around one, potentially a plus money two,

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Speaker 4: and try to get plus money on both sides of

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Speaker 4: this fight as Rodriguez moves away from his likeliest win conditions.

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Speaker 4: So Rodriguez early and then Garimba live is how I.

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Speaker 1: Play this, okay, And Billy Pete Rodriguez has come down

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Speaker 1: from plus two forty, so this number keeps coming down

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Speaker 1: at price you want to jump on sooner rather than later.

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Speaker 3: Bet MGM is still offering plus two hundred.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, so this is a really I think fun fight

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Speaker 7: to try to handicap because we don't know a ton

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Speaker 7: about either guy. Pete Rodriguez came in on super short

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Speaker 7: notice and fought Jack Della Madelina, who's now like a

360
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Speaker 7: top ten ranked welterweight that went exactly how you'd expect.

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Speaker 7: They got starts in the first round, actually had some

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Speaker 7: moments with some good body shots before that, Jackie made

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Speaker 7: it a little adjustment, picked him apart. Man next fight,

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Speaker 7: he fights like the worst UFC fighter ever in Mike

365
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Speaker 7: Jackson and obliterates him in the first round. Neither of

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Speaker 7: those tell us anything like I would have had the

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Speaker 7: exact same results in those two fights as Pete Rodriguez did.

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Speaker 5: Brandon, you probably would have sewn.

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Speaker 7: You probably would have too, Like I think all three

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Speaker 7: of us would have lost to Jack Della Madelina, And

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Speaker 7: I don't think I would.

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Speaker 6: Have landed a body shot on Jack Della.

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Speaker 5: But yes, well not that far.

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Speaker 4: But the final result would have been the same results,

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Speaker 4: right THUMBA Grimbo has a loss against a J.

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Speaker 7: Fletcher, who's fine whatever. His only win in the UFC

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Speaker 7: was Takashi Sado. Is the fourth straight loss for Sado

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Speaker 7: doesn't tell us much. The biggest thing for me, and

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Speaker 7: why I ultimately felt fairly confident in Rodriguez, is we're

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Speaker 7: being sold on THEMBA Grimbo is this grappling ace, right like,

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Speaker 7: that's why that's his thing? That's what the broadcast keeps

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Speaker 7: talking about. He got hit with like a first day

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Speaker 7: a jiu jitsu class guillotine by A J. Fletcher, made

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Speaker 7: no attempt to defend it and just tapped out. I

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Speaker 7: understand that he was a little bit rocked going into that.

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Speaker 7: Getting rocked by like five foot two a J. Fletcher

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Speaker 7: is a whole other issue with his game. But you

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Speaker 7: can't tell me that your thing is grappling, and then

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Speaker 7: you're getting caught in the guillotine without even trying to

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Speaker 7: defend it. So I don't know a ton about either guys.

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Speaker 7: I don't feel confident in my reading either of them.

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Speaker 7: If you're going to bank on your grappling, you better

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Speaker 7: not fall for something.

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Speaker 5: Basic like that.

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Speaker 7: And then I wanted to be on knockout or early

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Speaker 7: stuff with Rodriguez, but not even that different from the

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Speaker 7: money line. I think the books have figured out that

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Speaker 7: that's what's going to happen. Probably we'll be grudgingly come

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Speaker 7: back in with a hedge on theumb alive the way

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Speaker 7: that Sean pointed out, but would rather just let this

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Speaker 7: one ride out and hopefully we don't have to see

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Speaker 7: him back on the stools.

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Speaker 4: Now, this is one of those things, right, Like I'm

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Speaker 4: anticipating maybe a live entry on SEBA. Watch their body language,

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Speaker 4: see how they're both. If Pete looks fresh after round one,

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Speaker 4: If Pete looks like he's rare and to go for

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Speaker 4: round two, don't bet against them.

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Speaker 6: We don't know what he's going to look like.

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Speaker 4: You know, oftentimes when I'm recommending a live bet, it's

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Speaker 4: because I'm very confident that guy is going to be

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Speaker 4: tired after the first round, or will tire halfway through

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Speaker 4: the second round.

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Speaker 6: We really don't know with Pete Rodriguez.

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Speaker 5: So watch it.

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Speaker 6: See how he looks.

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Speaker 4: He's standing up in the corner in between rounds, looking

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Speaker 4: like he's ready for round two. Don't live bet against them.

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Speaker 4: I think he's going to be fresh at that point.

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Speaker 4: But definitely watch this one closely. Good fight to gather information.

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Speaker 4: But I think the tall man defense for Garriba here,

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Speaker 4: as you mentioned against Letcher, a smaller fighter clipped them.

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Speaker 4: I think with Rodriguez it's going to be a problem too.

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Speaker 4: These taller fighters sometimes who have the reach advantage but

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Speaker 4: are not as good of strikers as their opponent, they

425
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Speaker 4: tend to have that tall man defense and they get

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Speaker 4: clipped with those three ounce gloves because they can't shell

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Speaker 4: up as much as they might with boxing gloves in

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Speaker 4: a gym. So I think it does make a difference.

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Speaker 4: This actually may be a situation where the striking favors

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Speaker 4: the shorter fighter, and the height and the reach favors

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Speaker 4: the shorter fighter.

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Speaker 7: Well, especially in the small cage at the apex against

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Speaker 7: a guy who loves to work the body anyway, Like

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Speaker 7: you had those two factors in and he just doesn't.

435
00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:07,720
Speaker 7: You've said it in the past when I've tried to use,

436
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:11,160
Speaker 7: you know, reach advantages of selling point on fighter, You're like, yeah,

437
00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:13,080
Speaker 7: but so and so doesn't use that at all, Like

438
00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:15,760
Speaker 7: he doesn't actually keep you at range. So I think

439
00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:18,760
Speaker 7: THEMBA is a perfect example of that where yeah, he's taller,

440
00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:21,439
Speaker 7: but he doesn't really utilize that in a way that

441
00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:21,960
Speaker 7: helps him.

442
00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:23,760
Speaker 5: So I'm not too worried about the height.

443
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:27,320
Speaker 1: Noted on the on the body language. You have a

444
00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:30,520
Speaker 1: price targeted mind. If Grimbo is alive, bet plus.

445
00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:32,200
Speaker 4: Money if you can go, if you can get plus

446
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:34,200
Speaker 4: money on Pete pre fight and then get plus money

447
00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,040
Speaker 4: on the other side after round one, or you know,

448
00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:38,399
Speaker 4: even a pick them price and sort of just have

449
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:41,480
Speaker 4: both sides riding at plus money where you're profitable no

450
00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:41,920
Speaker 4: matter what.

451
00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:43,280
Speaker 6: Just sort of arbor out on it.

452
00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:45,440
Speaker 4: That's that's what I look for, you know, find a

453
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,480
Speaker 4: way to profit no matter who wins after round one.

454
00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,920
Speaker 3: Okay, very good, Let's go to the prop market. Where

455
00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:52,399
Speaker 3: are we looking this week? Zerrilla.

456
00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:55,520
Speaker 4: There's a few angles that I like for prop perspectives.

457
00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:58,479
Speaker 4: One I didn't write down here Randy Brown to win

458
00:19:58,520 --> 00:20:00,320
Speaker 4: in round two and round three in the future fight

459
00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:03,520
Speaker 4: on the main card against Muslim Salakov. Salakov forty years old.

460
00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:05,880
Speaker 4: Randy Brown a number of round two and round three

461
00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,520
Speaker 4: finishes on his record, tends to build as the fight goes.

462
00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:10,760
Speaker 4: I also kind of like him to win by submission.

463
00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:13,080
Speaker 4: But Randy Brown round two, round three I think is

464
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 4: a worthy late prop pro on this card. I also

465
00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 4: like Viviani Arajujo by decision at plus four to fifty.

466
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:24,240
Speaker 4: She's a big underdog against Natalie Silva. I don't mind

467
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:27,720
Speaker 4: her money line at plus two eighty, but Aurujo very

468
00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:30,040
Speaker 4: likely to win by a decision there if she does win,

469
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,600
Speaker 4: and plus four fifty a very juicy number.

470
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:34,959
Speaker 6: She's going to be tough for the first two rounds there.

471
00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:37,080
Speaker 4: Cardio tends to fade the longer her fights go, but

472
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:39,960
Speaker 4: a veteran been in main events before fighting a prospect

473
00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:42,640
Speaker 4: who's taking a step up in competition. Prospect, by the way,

474
00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:45,040
Speaker 4: with five losses on a record. I think Vivi Ujo

475
00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:48,920
Speaker 4: very live here this weekend nearly a plus three hundred underdog.

476
00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:53,320
Speaker 4: And then lastly, Julius Storriorenko one of my favorite fighters

477
00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,600
Speaker 4: to bet because I bet her the same way every

478
00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 4: time and.

479
00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:57,840
Speaker 6: She keeps catching it.

480
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 4: Stolelyorenko round one Ko by submission, and then after round

481
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,159
Speaker 4: one you'll look to live bet her opponent because she

482
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,159
Speaker 4: tends to quit so slowly to finish the fight early.

483
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:12,160
Speaker 4: Maybe also slowly. Ranco and Carolina fight to end inside

484
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,359
Speaker 4: the distance at a pick them price as well. That

485
00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:17,359
Speaker 4: also caught my attention. If Slowly doesn't get the finish,

486
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:19,439
Speaker 4: she tends to quit on herself, So I like that

487
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:21,560
Speaker 4: fight to end inside the distance and still wear a

488
00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:23,000
Speaker 4: rank out to finish at round one.

489
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,159
Speaker 3: Billy, how about yourself, prop market what jumps out to you?

490
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:27,720
Speaker 5: Yeah?

491
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,240
Speaker 7: Real quick on the stolar Enco, I believe I don't

492
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,320
Speaker 7: think they're up yet. Usually at bet MGM we can

493
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:35,240
Speaker 7: bet on the type of submission. Soli Erenco has won

494
00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:38,360
Speaker 7: her last like nine or something have all been first

495
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:39,840
Speaker 7: round armbars when she wins.

496
00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,240
Speaker 4: So and Carolina has a very long limbs and is

497
00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 4: just like begging to get arm bard.

498
00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:46,680
Speaker 6: So yeah, that's that's an easy play there.

499
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:47,680
Speaker 5: Yeah.

500
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 7: Honestly, looking through her record, I don't know if she's

501
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:52,359
Speaker 7: ever won by anything other than an.

502
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:53,600
Speaker 6: Arm bar bar specialist.

503
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:57,359
Speaker 7: Like she has one split decision and then yeah, ten submissions.

504
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,080
Speaker 7: I believe every single one is an arm bar. So

505
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 7: just fun little thing they do at beut MGM that

506
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:04,120
Speaker 7: most places don't allow you to bet on, probably mind.

507
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 6: Even money and maker's submission prop for to one.

508
00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:10,879
Speaker 7: But yeah, yeah, but no mine is. You know, I

509
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 7: teased it a little bit earlier. We were talking about differences

510
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 7: in camps. Markel Madero's coming and off a Contender series.

511
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 7: He's a factory X Muayai product out in Colorado. That's

512
00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:22,240
Speaker 7: where you know Chris Gutierrez, Kamara Ousman, kind of Anthony Smith,

513
00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 7: really high level camp. I expect that to pay off

514
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 7: for him. You know, he picked up a knockout in

515
00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:31,080
Speaker 7: his Contender series fight. He has six knockouts of his

516
00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 7: eight pro wins. He's fighting a guy Landing Kenona is

517
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:37,440
Speaker 7: not really impressed by. Don't exactly know where he trains

518
00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:41,320
Speaker 7: tepology list is it as either Kao Gang or co Gang,

519
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,639
Speaker 7: And I don't know if it's like a traditional martial

520
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 7: arts school that's pronounced coogang or it's the Knockout Gang.

521
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,360
Speaker 7: But either way, you know, not like one of these

522
00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 7: big camps where we've heard of people didn't look great

523
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:55,119
Speaker 7: against Nazareth. Hekparis in his debut. Heckparus more of a

524
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:57,120
Speaker 7: point fighter, not really trying to kill people the way

525
00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:00,119
Speaker 7: that at least we've seen so far from Madero's. So

526
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:02,399
Speaker 7: he got to check the odds real quick mark Helmandero's

527
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:04,840
Speaker 7: knockout plus two twenty. I'm also gonna sprinkle a little

528
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:06,639
Speaker 7: bit of his money line, but I think if he

529
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:07,639
Speaker 7: wins it, it's probably going to.

530
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 4: Be a knockout Canonas is nicknamed the Lone Wolf, so

531
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,120
Speaker 4: I'd say it's very likely that he trains at a

532
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:16,400
Speaker 4: at a small gym that is not a very big name.

533
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:20,680
Speaker 4: Jim considering the nickname, so yeah, lone Wolf kind of

534
00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:23,240
Speaker 4: giving me the indication that it's a smaller gym.

535
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:24,440
Speaker 5: I just want to know.

536
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:26,479
Speaker 7: If it's like a traditional martial arts school and I'm

537
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 7: supposed to pronounce that like it's a Chinese word, or

538
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 7: if he's like knockout gang, knockout gang.

539
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:32,640
Speaker 4: You know, it kind of looks like it's written as

540
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 4: like knockout in capitals like knockout gang.

541
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:36,760
Speaker 6: But yeah, I don't know.

542
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:39,120
Speaker 4: They have a wolf pack logo on the wall on

543
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:40,480
Speaker 4: his topology photo as well.

544
00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 3: He's really he's a one man wolf pack.

545
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:45,679
Speaker 4: Well it's you know, it's ironic though, because he's posing

546
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,840
Speaker 4: with another fighter, so it's a two man lone wolf pack.

547
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,120
Speaker 7: But you can see with all of this discussion why

548
00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:53,119
Speaker 7: I'm fading him To bring it back to the betting angle.

549
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 7: You know, these are not things we like to see

550
00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 7: at this level of the sport. You can get through

551
00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,639
Speaker 7: some regional fights kind of just bopsing around jims, usually

552
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:01,440
Speaker 7: we don't that for these high level of fights.

553
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:03,520
Speaker 1: All right, let's wrap it up as we normally do

554
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 1: with best bets. Sometimes it's a final bet if you're

555
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:07,879
Speaker 1: new to if you're not new at the show and

556
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:12,479
Speaker 1: you're a normal listener to the program. Sometimes I don't know,

557
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:14,720
Speaker 1: with Sean and billy if it's really a final bet

558
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:16,960
Speaker 1: or if this indeed is a best bet, so Sorilla,

559
00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:18,679
Speaker 1: I'll let you take the baton.

560
00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 4: It's a best bet. It's a best bet, all right.

561
00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,800
Speaker 4: I like Dina Belbata a lot this week. This is

562
00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 4: a rematch from a fight I believe six years ago. Sorry,

563
00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:33,440
Speaker 4: it's it's four years ago. McCann and Belbata faced off,

564
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:36,159
Speaker 4: and McCann at that point in the prime of her career.

565
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:40,880
Speaker 4: Bel Beata twenty three years old at the time, now

566
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:42,960
Speaker 4: in the prime of her career right at twenty seven,

567
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:46,400
Speaker 4: whereas McCann is thirty three, had her arm broken by

568
00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:50,399
Speaker 4: Julius thier Enko and her last fight the arm bar Specialist.

569
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:53,320
Speaker 4: But in terms of how these two were trending in

570
00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 4: their respective careers, McCann kind of seems like she's on

571
00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:59,520
Speaker 4: her way out of the UFC, you know, has hit

572
00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:04,360
Speaker 4: her ceiling in terms of performances. It's been very evident

573
00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:07,719
Speaker 4: that she is going to struggle when facing higher level grapplers,

574
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:10,200
Speaker 4: and they are trying to give her a step down

575
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:11,120
Speaker 4: into a striker.

576
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:12,480
Speaker 6: Here and Diana Belbeda.

577
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:14,639
Speaker 4: But the last time these two fought, even though Molly

578
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 4: thirty twenty five across the board. Rewatch the fight. It

579
00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 4: is more competitive than those scorecards indicate. And when you

580
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 4: bake in four years of progression both athletically and in

581
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:30,560
Speaker 4: terms of training, you give Balbida slightly better takedown defense

582
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:34,600
Speaker 4: this time around. You actually regress McCann's skill set right,

583
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:36,919
Speaker 4: going from twenty nine to thirty three, being out of

584
00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:40,520
Speaker 4: her physical prime. And you do see how this kind

585
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:42,639
Speaker 4: of plays out as much closer to a fifty to

586
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 4: fifty fight than the odds would indicate. So I think

587
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:48,280
Speaker 4: you're getting a very square number here on Belbida purely

588
00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:51,200
Speaker 4: because McCann won the first fight. Where if you analyze

589
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:53,720
Speaker 4: their recent performances and you bake in the progression, the

590
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:57,159
Speaker 4: progression on either side, I think this is going to

591
00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:01,160
Speaker 4: be a very competitive striking fight. McCann can possibly edge

592
00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:03,960
Speaker 4: her out again with the takedowns and with the grappling,

593
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:06,960
Speaker 4: but I expect Belbiita's defensive grappling to be much better

594
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,399
Speaker 4: than it was the first time around. So bel Beata

595
00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:13,360
Speaker 4: the younger fighter here, reach advantage, six inch reach advantage,

596
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:16,159
Speaker 4: she's three inches taller. She's going to be the better kicker.

597
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:18,320
Speaker 4: And when we talk about using your link using your

598
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 4: range as we did at the Grimbou fight, Grimbo not

599
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:22,639
Speaker 4: going to use it well. Belbita is going to use

600
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:25,199
Speaker 4: her kicks really well, and that will probably be her

601
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 4: most thrown strike here against McCann, or at least it

602
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:30,600
Speaker 4: should be when these two were out range. But she

603
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 4: throws a lot of volume with her hands as well.

604
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 4: I think this is going to be a very high

605
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:37,240
Speaker 4: volume striking affair. Both of them are going to land

606
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:40,320
Speaker 4: probably over one hundred significant strikes. As I said, maybe

607
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 4: the takedowns with McCann edge or over, but they should

608
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 4: be a much closer fight than it was last time,

609
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:47,240
Speaker 4: and an even closer fight than that. Plus two to

610
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:50,120
Speaker 4: twenty line indicates so bel Beta on the money line

611
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,160
Speaker 4: and I think at a fifty to fifty fight. Also

612
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:53,840
Speaker 4: like her by decision a little bit, but just going

613
00:26:53,880 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 4: to take the money on here, all.

614
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:59,240
Speaker 1: Right, another plus money doc as a best bet. Didn't

615
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:01,280
Speaker 1: see that one coming for the first one back in

616
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:02,359
Speaker 1: twenty twenty.

617
00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:05,920
Speaker 3: Four, Billy Ward best bet final bet.

618
00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 7: Yeah, before I get to mind, just one thing, and

619
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:10,880
Speaker 7: I'm fully in agreement with Sean. I think I'll even

620
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:13,440
Speaker 7: put it in the look article. But yeah, Dollie mccannon

621
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 7: dropping ten pounds for this one for the first time

622
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:16,520
Speaker 7: in a while.

623
00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:18,000
Speaker 5: Thirty three years old.

624
00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:20,640
Speaker 7: I have never heard someone say, hey, now that I'm

625
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 7: in my thirties, it's so much easier to lose weight.

626
00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 7: Never once heard someone say that. I think it's kind

627
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:28,680
Speaker 7: of like one of those things where rather than fix

628
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:30,680
Speaker 7: the hole in your game or figure out what went wrong,

629
00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:32,439
Speaker 7: you're like, I'll just drop a weight class and bully

630
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:34,640
Speaker 7: everyone down there. And it usually doesn't work that way,

631
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 7: even if you can physically get down there. So yeah,

632
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 7: I love that pick from Sean full agreement and more.

633
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 4: Actually, to Molly, she's never had the physique that it's

634
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:45,639
Speaker 4: like she can clearly move down and wait. Her nickname

635
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 4: is literally meatball, Like she has that kind of physique.

636
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:49,399
Speaker 5: You know.

637
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:51,640
Speaker 4: She doesn't have a physique that you would go, yeah,

638
00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:54,120
Speaker 4: she should clearly be a weight division lower. So we

639
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 4: just talked about the speed advantage, right, that should already

640
00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:59,120
Speaker 4: exist her dropping down and wait against the fighter who's

641
00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:02,400
Speaker 4: already accustomed to division. That's that's gonna factor in even

642
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:03,080
Speaker 4: more to the speed.

643
00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:07,199
Speaker 7: All right, sorry to cull you that aggression, but yeah, Minor,

644
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:09,439
Speaker 7: I'd say more in the realm of final bets the

645
00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:12,440
Speaker 7: one and I'm gonna even butcher this one. Ali Askab

646
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:16,199
Speaker 7: Kizriev I believe taking on Mackwood Murredoff it's more of

647
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:18,560
Speaker 7: just a fad of Murdoff. He's one in two in

648
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:21,600
Speaker 7: his last three fights. His win was against Brian Barberina

649
00:28:21,600 --> 00:28:23,879
Speaker 7: at middleweight. Barberina had no business to be in a

650
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 7: middleweight I don't know what's going on there. Kizri have

651
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:29,199
Speaker 7: his fourteen and zero. Looks like a legit prospect, just

652
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 7: been very inactive Contender Series. Fight in twenty twenty took

653
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 7: him three years to get back in there, fought in

654
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:36,840
Speaker 7: twenty twenty two or two years to get back in there,

655
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 7: another two years before this one. Don't know what's going

656
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:41,920
Speaker 7: on there, but he has given us nothing to think.

657
00:28:41,960 --> 00:28:44,080
Speaker 7: He's not, you know, just a total marauder and gonna

658
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:47,640
Speaker 7: roll through people pretty fair price in the minus one forties.

659
00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 5: Depending on whinning where you look.

660
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 7: I'm fine with that. I don't think Murdof's that good.

661
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 7: Then the other one, Thomas Peterson and the opener minus

662
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:56,760
Speaker 7: one sixty five, another guy I think is a legit prospect.

663
00:28:57,400 --> 00:28:59,680
Speaker 7: Taking on Jamal Pogues Pogues is really just a two

664
00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:01,840
Speaker 7: of five who either didn't want to cut weight anymore

665
00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:05,440
Speaker 7: or wanted to fight worse competition, or potentially both. I

666
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 7: don't think the USC is trying to get in the

667
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:09,160
Speaker 7: Jamal Pog's business here. Peterson looked really good on the

668
00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:12,560
Speaker 7: Contender series D one Wrestler. It's South Dakota State, way

669
00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:16,000
Speaker 7: better athlete overall. You know, I just like the size.

670
00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 7: I think is too much for a guy like Pokus

671
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:20,480
Speaker 7: who really should be fighting two o five. So I'm

672
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 7: you know, don't love laying the juice on it. I

673
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,560
Speaker 7: wish I felt a little more confident in the method

674
00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 7: of victory, but minus one sixty five isn't bad.

675
00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 5: I'm Peterson either, all.

676
00:29:27,720 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 3: Right, gents, good stuff.

677
00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 1: Good to have us back on the saddle and we're

678
00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 1: often running UFC betting previews here on the Action Network

679
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 1: podcast That'll do It. For this week's episode, we're presented

680
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681
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Speaker 1: Find more from Sean and Billy, especially those live betting angles,

682
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Speaker 1: and as we get closer to Saturday, this pot will

683
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Speaker 1: be out Friday afternoon whenever you're listening, But once.

684
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:49,719
Speaker 3: We get to Saturday.

685
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:51,760
Speaker 1: Find these guys in the app if they add anything

686
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Speaker 1: else in the free, award winning Action Network app. Best

687
00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:57,400
Speaker 1: of luck with all your picks this weekend for Shanzillo

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Speaker 1: and Billy Ward.

689
00:29:57,920 --> 00:29:58,600
Speaker 3: Brendan glass Sheen.

690
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to our UFC heading preview on the

691
00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:03,840
Speaker 1: Action Network podcast presented by BETTMGM.

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00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

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Speaker 6: hundred Gambler