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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It was me Joey p joep Zapia, and

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Speaker 1: it's time to look ahead to the futures market in

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Speaker 1: the National League because Major League Baseball is beginning in

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Speaker 1: just days from now. And to help us do it,

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Speaker 1: the Welsh and the Scott Bogman joining us this time around.

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Speaker 1: In case you missed it, we did the American League

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Speaker 1: stuff last week, so go back and watch on demand

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Speaker 1: on our YouTube channel. And while you're at it, subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the YouTube channel because it's good for your health.

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Speaker 1: It's proven you subscribe to the Betting pro YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: It's good for your health. Plus, we got all the

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Speaker 1: March Madness coverage going on right now, tons of fun

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Speaker 1: stuff and a little bit of baseball sprinkled. It never

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Speaker 1: hurt nobody. And of course subscribe to the YouTube and

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Speaker 1: also subscribe to the podcast feeded as well that you

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Speaker 1: get your podcasts on so you can listen when you're

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Speaker 1: on the go to the Betting Pros pod. All right, today,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna look at some win totals, some over unders,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna look at awards. We're gonna do a little

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Speaker 1: favorite bets of the year, and let's start here, gentlemen,

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Speaker 1: with the favorite overs for some teams. Welshy, don't you

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Speaker 1: kick us off with your favorite over for a win

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Speaker 1: total for a team in the National Lege.

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Speaker 2: I kind of waivered on this one, and actually we

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Speaker 2: were just talking off air about this team, and I

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Speaker 2: think Bogman said, Ah, this team might be the one

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Speaker 2: that could take the division ironically, and Joe you said, well,

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Speaker 2: how they not lost Hunter Green? I think we all

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Speaker 2: would have maybe picked them, but I think we're kind

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Speaker 2: of sleeping on it a little bit. It is the

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati Reds, and the Cincinnati Reds total is sitting.

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Speaker 3: At eighty and a half.

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Speaker 2: And the thing I kind of sat with this was

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Speaker 2: a Hunter Green is a very important piece of this

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Speaker 2: no doubt. I was pretty big on this team last

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Speaker 2: year making a push, But their ballpark is always a

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Speaker 2: big question. Their pitching is going to hold through, but

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Speaker 2: it's their offense that carries them, and that's the thing

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Speaker 2: that I decided to just kind of stick with.

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Speaker 4: You know.

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Speaker 2: They added Eohineo Swarrez. Matt McClain looks like he's kind

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Speaker 2: of primed for a big breakout. I think this offense

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Speaker 2: is going to keep them in games. And when you

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Speaker 2: go and look at the division, I think we're going

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Speaker 2: to talk about it, but the Saint Louis Cardinals are

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Speaker 2: in for a hurt. Pittsburgh has gotten better, but I

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Speaker 2: don't know the high level of competitive news they're going

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Speaker 2: to be sitting with. Maybe Milwaukee isn't quite as good.

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Speaker 2: The Cubs are fine. Like, I think there's a pretty

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Speaker 2: easy path for the Cincinnati Reds to get over that

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Speaker 2: eighty win marker again because they have a prominent offense.

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Speaker 3: Hunter Green will come back.

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Speaker 2: They've got a decent bullpen and they might and they've

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Speaker 2: got the pieces, by the way, and they might be

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Speaker 2: aggressive in the trade market. So I'm okay with the

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati Reds, regardless of the Hunter Green injury, to be

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Speaker 2: able to keep doing this. So I like eighty point

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Speaker 2: five over wins. I think it's a low total that

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Speaker 2: is a little bit attached to Hunter Green right now.

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Speaker 2: So eighty point five wins over for the Reds, that's

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Speaker 2: my favorite in the NL.

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Speaker 1: I like the Reds too, even regardless to go over

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Speaker 1: this number. So I'm definitely in agreement with you on

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Speaker 1: that one. Wash I'll love the manager too, the old

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Speaker 1: school actually, you know, coaching human beings. Yeah, frank Tons, Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I love Teto. He does a great job. And as

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Speaker 1: you mentioned too, really young athletic team. If Marte continues

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Speaker 1: to thrive, if McLean's spring is for real, all of

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Speaker 1: a sudden, the Reds look really good. Who looks good

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Speaker 1: to you for an over and a win total this year,

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Speaker 1: Scott Bogwin in the National League.

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with the Marlins. And this is mainly

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Speaker 5: because they're pitching staff. It's a little bit opposite of

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Speaker 5: what Wels just said with you know, the hitting for

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Speaker 5: the Reds. The pitching I think for the Marlins is great.

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Speaker 5: You have Sandy of Yuri, max Meyer looked good in

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Speaker 5: the spring, Chad Patrick or Chris Patrick Paddock excuse me,

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Speaker 5: and Junk are at the end of this. But we

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Speaker 5: still have guys like Robbie Snelling Thomas White making their

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Speaker 5: way up. Oh and Casey is going to be up,

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Speaker 5: it seems like from the beginning of the season. So

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Speaker 5: I think this lineup is good enough to put together

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Speaker 5: a below average season and the pitching staff can bring them,

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Speaker 5: you know, to at least seventy three wins. Seventy two

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Speaker 5: and a half is their numbers. So I was looking

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Speaker 5: for a team with a low win total and a

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Speaker 5: pitching staff that could possibly get them over that, and

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Speaker 5: that is why I went with the Miami Marlins, all

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Speaker 5: right for me, as the San Diego Padres over eighty

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Speaker 5: three and a half wins. Look, they won ninety games

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Speaker 5: last year, and they had a fair amount of injuries

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Speaker 5: and issues and all kinds of things. I don't think

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Speaker 5: they're six or seven games worse than they were last season.

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Speaker 5: And we're talking about divisions too. We still know that

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Speaker 5: the Rockies are going to be the Rockies, and I

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Speaker 5: think the Diamondbacks and Giants are still kind of five

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Speaker 5: hundred teams.

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Speaker 1: But the rest of the National League I think is

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Speaker 1: a lot more wide open besides the Dodgers to really

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Speaker 1: go for it. I'll tell you this much too. The

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Speaker 1: Dodgers starting off with injuries with to Blake Snell already.

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Speaker 1: You know, we could talk about rookie Sazaki's lack of

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Speaker 1: spring performance too. Tyler glassnow always gets hurt. Emma Chihan

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Speaker 1: has never thrown, you know, one hundred and sixty seventy

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Speaker 1: innings at the Major League level. There's a lot of

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Speaker 1: questions still with that Dodger rotation for me going into

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Speaker 1: this year, so I think they can go over this number.

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Speaker 1: Still like the offense quite a bit. Bounce back from

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Speaker 1: Jackson Merrill will go a long way on the flip

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Speaker 1: side for the Unders. I'm going to stay in this

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Speaker 1: division and I'm gonna go with the under one hundred

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Speaker 1: and three and a half wins for the Dodgers. I

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Speaker 1: think the numbers just too large. Last year, this team

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Speaker 1: was a juggernaut. They were amazing, right they went ninety three.

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Speaker 1: So what I'm failing to grasp right now is I'm

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Speaker 1: already looking at some guys who have some injury questions

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Speaker 1: going into the season, right and you're telling me the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers or ten wins better on a roster year over year.

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Speaker 1: I know they don't edit Kyle Tucker. I get that

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Speaker 1: he's a tremendous player, but every team in the Major

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Speaker 1: League is gonna have an injury quotient. I know they've

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Speaker 1: got some good young kids that comes with the system too.

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Speaker 1: Perhaps they'll start to tap into that if they do too.

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Speaker 1: But you've also got Freddy Freeman, Mookie Bets, everybody another

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Speaker 1: year older. I just don't know how this team is

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Speaker 1: ten wins better than it was last season on paper.

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Speaker 1: I don't think Kyle Tucker is a ten war player.

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Speaker 1: I just don't see it.

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Speaker 3: I don't think. I mean, you're attaching it all to

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Speaker 3: Kyle Tucker.

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Speaker 2: They also what was their biggest crutch last year was

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Speaker 2: their bullpen, and they added.

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Speaker 1: Let me tell you something too, But the Edwin ds thing. Yes,

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Speaker 1: But my whole point is you got to get there right.

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Speaker 1: You always got to get to it at the end

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Speaker 1: of the day. And if we're going the six man

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Speaker 1: rotation or we're going these guys who are limited to

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Speaker 1: five innings, it means we're taxing the middle of that bullpen. Again.

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Speaker 1: If there's a lot of limitations on Shihan, limitations on Glass,

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Speaker 1: no limitations on Snell, like Yamamoto is incredible. I want

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Speaker 1: you know he was absolute g during the World Series.

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Speaker 1: I look, maybe they went a hundred games, even if

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Speaker 1: they want one hundred games, I clear this by three.

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Speaker 1: So to me, I just I don't see them being

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Speaker 1: one hundred plus win team this year based on Edwin

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Speaker 1: Diaz and Kyle Tucker. I just think it's too big

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Speaker 1: of a number, and sometimes things are too big to fail. Bogman,

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Speaker 1: for you, what's an under when you're looking at the

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Speaker 1: National league win totals?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I don't think the Dodgers are too big to fail.

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Speaker 5: So I knew my team that I was going to

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Speaker 5: pick the under four was going to come out of

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Speaker 5: the West for sure, and I kind of debated between

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Speaker 5: the Diamondbacks and the Giants. I think it's fair for

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Speaker 5: both of them because they both have massive weaknesses. I

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Speaker 5: ended up picking the Giants here because I'm a stupid

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Speaker 5: Homer and I love my d Backs. But honestly, like,

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Speaker 5: if you look at this team, the lineup is weak

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Speaker 5: outside of Chapman endeavors right, maybe Jung Hooley works out

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Speaker 5: at the leadoff spot. Maybe Williadamas has a bounce back,

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Speaker 5: but I don't think Halio Ramos is anything special and

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Speaker 5: he should clean up hitter. The bottom third of this

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Speaker 5: lineup is Will Brendan, Harrison, Bader, and Patrick Bailey. I mean,

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Speaker 5: could be okay, but I think his best days are

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Speaker 5: behind him. And the pitching staff is Web and Ray

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Speaker 5: and then kind of a mess. Outside of that, it's Molly,

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Speaker 5: it's Houser, it's Land and roup and you know, Ryan

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Speaker 5: Walker I think could be a good closer, but inexperience

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Speaker 5: at the closing position along with a bullpen that is

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Speaker 5: just okay better than the Diamondbacks. Like the Diamondbacks bullpen

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Speaker 5: is disgusting and that is their big weakness. And I

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Speaker 5: think their pitching staff, they don't have the front guys like,

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Speaker 5: they don't have a Logan web right now, not until

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Speaker 5: Corbyn Burns comes back, and who knows what he's going

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Speaker 5: to look like when he comes back off of TJ surgery.

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Speaker 5: So I think both these teams could be in for

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Speaker 5: the under, but I ended up going with the Giants

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Speaker 5: because I think you can see holes across all three spots.

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Speaker 5: I think the d Backs lineup is pretty good. I

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Speaker 5: think the back end of the rotation is better than

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Speaker 5: the Giants. So that's why I ended up taking the

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Speaker 5: Giants here.

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Speaker 1: All right, Welsh, what's an under? Excuse me on an over?

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Speaker 1: On the win total for you this year? No way,

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Speaker 1: I was right the first time. Unders give me the

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Speaker 1: under for you? Make your brain works. It's Monday, baby.

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Speaker 1: They still still try to kick off the dust for

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Speaker 1: the weekend, and.

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Speaker 3: I don't blame you guys.

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Speaker 2: You guys a little bit more focused on like higher

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Speaker 2: win totals, and I think that's definitely the place to,

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Speaker 2: you know, to start to poke at when you're staring

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Speaker 2: at unders for them. But there was just one clear

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Speaker 2: team to me that I kind of didn't care what

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Speaker 2: the number was going to look like, and I was

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Speaker 2: really hoping it was going to be a pretty number.

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Speaker 2: And it sure was a pretty number. It's a Saint

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Speaker 2: Louis Cardinals. Saint Louis Cardinals at sixty nine point five.

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Speaker 3: They look and.

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Speaker 2: At least are projected if you look at like Baseball

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Speaker 2: perspectus as a Pacoda projected standings, they are projected out

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Speaker 2: to be the second worst NL team and it is

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Speaker 2: three wins under this total that's being put out.

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Speaker 3: On the books. And beyond that you go and take

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Speaker 3: a look.

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Speaker 2: It's it's a group of a couple fun players. Obviously

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Speaker 2: we still like Alec Burlson, You've got Victor Scott in there.

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Speaker 2: But this is like a prove it offense, so many

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Speaker 2: players that need to prove it.

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Speaker 3: While throwing out.

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Speaker 2: Of a Herrera as your util, Pedro Pajas as your catcher,

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Speaker 2: the offense has a ton of questions and it's not

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Speaker 2: gonna score a lot of runs. Okay, cool, Hopefully they've

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Speaker 2: got a good bullpen and rotation that can hold them down.

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Speaker 2: They have one of the worst rotations out there. Matthew

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Speaker 2: Libertor is set to be their ace on this staff.

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Speaker 2: It is not a good rotation, it's not a complete

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Speaker 2: and maybe they have a couple decent pieces in the bullpen,

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Speaker 2: but it's not a shutdown. So you've got a team

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Speaker 2: that doesn't look like they're gonna score a bunch of runs,

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Speaker 2: doesn't have a rotation that can carry them, and really

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Speaker 2: doesn't have a bullpen that can protect Saint Louis Cardinals.

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Speaker 2: They might end up being like a you know, like

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Speaker 2: a Brewers, where the Brewers they just look on paper,

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Speaker 2: they look crappy and they could play or the Rays

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Speaker 2: do that. I don't think so they have. They're gonna

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Speaker 2: need a lot of things to go their way. They're

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Speaker 2: gonna need Jordan Walker to have his big breakout and

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Speaker 2: carry this team.

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Speaker 3: There are three holes.

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Speaker 2: There's not something that's gonna end up carrying them, and

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Speaker 2: I think the Saint Louis Cardinals are in for a

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Speaker 2: rough season. Projections and models see it the same way.

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Speaker 2: And they're throwing us at almost seventy games. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: take the under on the Cardinals at sixty nine point five.

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Speaker 1: All right, before we get to the MVPs, the cy

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Speaker 1: Youngs and the Rookie of the Year picks, I want

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to our pix here four MVP.

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Speaker 1: I'm going Juan Soto baby, and I know, well, you

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Speaker 1: found this number at plus eleven hundred. I got it

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Speaker 1: a plus seven hundred recently, and it's I'm just getting

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Speaker 1: bored of going with Altana. Even though I've won on

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Speaker 1: Atani a couple of times. There's no value there anymore.

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Speaker 1: So the narrative I'm trying to write is everything breaks

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Speaker 1: right for the Mets, and maybe something carries over from

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Speaker 1: the WBC where it feels like Wan Soto's living his

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Speaker 1: best life. He seems like the happiest guy I've ever seen.

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Speaker 1: He was not this guy last year in camp. He's

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Speaker 1: out there, Joko with teammate, loves anybody. So whatever the

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Speaker 1: additions by subtraction that they did in this locker room

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Speaker 1: that people were questioning, it seems like it's working out,

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Speaker 1: and it seems like Juan Soto is a very very

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Speaker 1: happy camper this And if the Dodgers should fail or

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Speaker 1: the Mets should really just succeed, I think they'll look

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Speaker 1: at it and say, yeah, it's because Wan Soto is

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Speaker 1: the straw that stirs the drink there. And I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go with Sodo here. Welsh, you are in agreement on

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Speaker 1: this one. Let's talk about your reasons why.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: The only thing I put out there is like, I

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Speaker 2: do think that Otani is the bet. So when you're

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Speaker 2: making this bet on MVP, you know you're kind of

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Speaker 2: just throwing caution to the win. You're just like, well,

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Speaker 2: I hope this pays off, but like you're going up

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Speaker 2: against a juggernaut and show hey, Otani show Atani is

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Speaker 2: going to have to miss time for this to not

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Speaker 2: cash unless something goes Bizerco.

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Speaker 3: But that's why Soto.

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Speaker 2: Is kind of the in your face bet here because

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Speaker 2: I mean, if you look at just some projections, just

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Speaker 2: looking at ATC here second projected war out of the

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Speaker 2: NL is Juan Soto. I think the Mets are going

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Speaker 2: to be kind of a powerhouse this year. I think

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Speaker 2: they can take this division. Adding Freddy Peralta and Devin

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Speaker 2: Williams is huge. Obviously getting Boba shed and they're like

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Speaker 2: they've been aggressive, very very aggressive to win big games

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Speaker 2: and it's going to be on the back of one soo.

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Speaker 2: Who you know, the stolen base numbers were huge. It

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Speaker 2: was pure five tool.

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Speaker 3: What's the competition look like.

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Speaker 2: I think obviously we're not talking to Otani like Akunya could,

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Speaker 2: but like the Braves don't even have like a rotation

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Speaker 2: right now. It's a disaster. But he could put up

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Speaker 2: some big, monstrous here so to get like more than

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Speaker 2: ten to one on the number two front running NL

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Speaker 2: MVP guy, I think it's kind of a no brainer

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Speaker 2: here with one soda based on the team context, he

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Speaker 2: could lead this team to ninety five wins or something,

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Speaker 2: and everyone's really gonna have to pay attention, especially if

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Speaker 2: he puts up like another forty twenty hits close to

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Speaker 2: three hundred. He will be the reason we're looking at

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Speaker 2: them carrying this team. And it's in a huge market,

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Speaker 2: and we know, like you know, the public perception just

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Speaker 2: plays such a role in this. So I think Juan

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Speaker 2: Soto is actually a good bet, even though I don't

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Speaker 2: want to sit on here and pretend like Chohiotani's not

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Speaker 2: going to win, but this is a good bet.

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Speaker 1: Well, the other thing is it's a media award, right,

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Speaker 1: and we know that the media you know in New

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Speaker 1: York is always going to hype up certain guys. It's

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Speaker 1: a market that's just part of the gig here. But

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Speaker 1: if you want to go with the chalk, make the

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Speaker 1: case here because it's minus money already here, Scott Bagmans,

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Speaker 1: how would you approach the show? How Otani bet?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 5: Look, anything betting anything about Otani, specifically investing your money

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Speaker 5: for the entire season, I think is not the way

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Speaker 5: to go. Like I'll take a long shot, but not

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Speaker 5: on an l MVP. Right, So Wan Sooto is a

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Speaker 5: guy I would pick you're right about that both you guys.

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Speaker 5: If I wasn't going to take Otani, but Otani is

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Speaker 5: minus one, he's minus one thirty. The dude won the

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Speaker 5: MVP last year with forty seven eight's pitch. He's supposed

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Speaker 5: to have way more than that this season. It's just

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Speaker 5: like Wells said in the beginning, you're going up against

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Speaker 5: a juggernaut. So I think betting anything but Otani is

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Speaker 5: a shot in the dark. I think, like well said

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Speaker 5: also at the beginning, the only way he doesn't win

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Speaker 5: it is if he gets hurt.

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Speaker 3: That's why.

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Speaker 2: Also, what I would like to do if if you

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Speaker 2: are someone that wants to lock up a decent amount

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Speaker 2: of money and minus money for the entire baseball season,

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Speaker 2: just think about that. Yeah, I what I would do

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Speaker 2: is I would bet Otani, and then I would bet

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Speaker 2: something like Sodo, and I might go However, you guys

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Speaker 2: end up doing it. But maybe I'm like, you know,

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Speaker 2: two or three units whatever, I'm just throwing out a

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Speaker 2: random thing on an Otani, put on a half to

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Speaker 2: a full on a guy like Sodo, and then you

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Speaker 2: know you're you're kind of hedging yourself. You're also creating

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Speaker 2: potential biout opportunities. If Atani misses. If Atani misses time,

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Speaker 2: you're in a great spot. If not, maybe they're kind

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Speaker 2: of close into each other. And obviously, if Sodo ends

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Speaker 2: up paying off, you're gonna get, you know, close to

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Speaker 2: ten to one on your money, and then you've put

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Speaker 2: a bunch on Otani and you've kind of protect yourself.

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Speaker 2: That's probably the only way I'm approaching doing something that's

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Speaker 2: a minus money season long bet.

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Speaker 1: All right, Bogs, let's loop back to you here for

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Speaker 1: your Cy Young pick. Who is it?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, my Cy Young pick for this season. I think

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Speaker 5: Schemes is almost like that bet. But Chris Sale won

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Speaker 5: in twenty twenty four. He missed games last year with

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Speaker 5: a rib injury. It wasn't a you know, anything wrong

395
00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:02,640
Speaker 5: with his arm or anything like that, and his numbers

396
00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:05,359
Speaker 5: were still good. I think he still got it, and

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Speaker 5: I think for him it's just about making it to

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Speaker 5: the end of the season, which of course is a

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Speaker 5: question for Chris Sale. But if he can get there,

400
00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:15,080
Speaker 5: I think he definitely can can win the Cy Young again.

401
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Speaker 5: And his numbers plus thirteen hundred, so thirteen to one.

402
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Speaker 5: I'll take a little bit. This one is more open,

403
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Speaker 5: way way way more open than the NLMVP in my opinion.

404
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Speaker 5: So I think you can put it. You can put

405
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Speaker 5: your bet wherever you want here and kind of have

406
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Speaker 5: just way better odds than you know, taking Otani with

407
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Speaker 5: the bad bet. So plus thirteen hundred and thirteen to

408
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Speaker 5: one on Chris Sales, what I would do here?

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Speaker 1: Look, Sale was right there at the top two for

410
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Speaker 1: that race before he got hurt last year, and I

411
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Speaker 1: think a lot of people forget that. They just push

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Speaker 1: it aside. They forget how good he was and it

413
00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:48,119
Speaker 1: was basically a two man race between him and Skaens.

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Speaker 5: The injury happened to that really a freak injury for

415
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Speaker 5: him too. And I know he's people don't want to

416
00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:57,119
Speaker 5: hear that, right, But the fractured rib.

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Speaker 1: On a die, it's just strange, crazy ocurrence. All right.

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Speaker 1: Everything went poorly for the Braves last year. It looks

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Speaker 1: like it's carrying over to this year too. Spencer Schreider

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Speaker 1: goes to the IL with an oblique to start the

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Speaker 1: year and small Box Ert everybody's art in Atlanta already

422
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Speaker 1: get your ditty or fuinte shares ready to go? All right?

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Speaker 1: Welsh National League, say Young who's your pick this year?

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Speaker 3: A couple things.

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Speaker 2: I think this is similar to Otani. I think Skeens

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Speaker 2: is the play, and frankly, Skeens is actually a good

427
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Speaker 2: play to bet. I'm not doing it because someone else

428
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Speaker 2: is gonna say that here, so I want to give

429
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Speaker 2: you guys a pivot. But I think Skeen's a plus money.

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Speaker 2: It makes sense. I'm probably doing the same thing I

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Speaker 2: did in the MVP Awards, taking the favorite and then

432
00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:38,480
Speaker 2: I'm gonna caveat it with my favorite bet. My favorite

433
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:41,400
Speaker 2: bet here is a bit much bigger long shot. We're

434
00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:44,320
Speaker 2: talking thirty to one plus three thousand. But let's stick

435
00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,159
Speaker 2: with the narrative. I just painted with the Mets. The

436
00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:49,040
Speaker 2: Mets go and win ninety one ninety two games, they

437
00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:50,879
Speaker 2: take the division against the Phillies.

438
00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:52,240
Speaker 3: They're near the top, you.

439
00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:54,040
Speaker 2: Know, maybe they're competing with the Dodgers or one of

440
00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:56,200
Speaker 2: the best teams in baseball won So to is an MVP.

441
00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:00,360
Speaker 2: It's probably also because of Freddie Peralta, Freddie Perulta coming

442
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:02,080
Speaker 2: into this. And if Freddy pearlt is a monster by the

443
00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:04,840
Speaker 2: way they went out, he's back with his buddy Devin Williams.

444
00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:06,880
Speaker 2: But if Devin Williams is back to closing out games.

445
00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:09,720
Speaker 2: They've got a great bullpen, Williams and Weaver locking it

446
00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:11,879
Speaker 2: down there in a great spot there. Their offense is

447
00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:14,840
Speaker 2: a powerhouse. The Mets are looking like they're going to

448
00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:18,320
Speaker 2: be scary, and Freddy Prawltz could win seventeen eighteen games

449
00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,720
Speaker 2: on this and I think it's gonna be really hard

450
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:24,200
Speaker 2: to compete against Paul Skins. That's why I'm betting Paul

451
00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:26,920
Speaker 2: Skins here. But this is the scenario where he just

452
00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:29,480
Speaker 2: wins a bunch of games. It's two hundred plus strikeouts.

453
00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 2: He gets that really low three ERA and at thirty

454
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 2: to one, this is a tough division. I mean, you

455
00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:37,200
Speaker 2: got Yamamoto in there, but if there are a six

456
00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:39,600
Speaker 2: man rotation, maybe that takes him out. Logan Web is

457
00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:41,760
Speaker 2: awesome and will probably be a high war guy, but

458
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:43,120
Speaker 2: the numbers are really never.

459
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:45,600
Speaker 1: Never get credit. I feel like Logan Web doesn't get it.

460
00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:47,840
Speaker 1: He's such a bulldog two hundred and ings every year.

461
00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 5: He's just like, it's never in the playoffs, floating around it,

462
00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:53,960
Speaker 5: you know, Yeah.

463
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:54,240
Speaker 3: He's just not in.

464
00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 2: And then he got Chris Sale in there. I just

465
00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:59,120
Speaker 2: think it's it's open seat. If it's not Sale, it's

466
00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:01,480
Speaker 2: open season quite a few guys. And I think the

467
00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:02,640
Speaker 2: narrative I feel.

468
00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:04,600
Speaker 1: About the Mets teams or not Sale.

469
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:04,960
Speaker 3: I'm sorry Sale.

470
00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:07,040
Speaker 2: If it's not no, no, no, I'm saying, if it's not

471
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:11,080
Speaker 2: Schemes winning the Cy Young, gotcha, I think it's open

472
00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:14,119
Speaker 2: season for quite a few pitchers. And then my narrative

473
00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:17,280
Speaker 2: to the Mets is if they are winning ninety plus games,

474
00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:19,720
Speaker 2: obviously I think Sodo's carrying. I mean, it's gonna be

475
00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:21,600
Speaker 2: hard for the same team to have the Cy Young

476
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:23,480
Speaker 2: winner in an MVP. But but you know, I think

477
00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:24,719
Speaker 2: that's why I make this bet.

478
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:27,159
Speaker 5: I love this bet, Welsh, And the reason I like

479
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:30,200
Speaker 5: it too, is because you get Peralta away from the Brewers,

480
00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:32,720
Speaker 5: and they've kind of always handicapped him with, you know,

481
00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:35,680
Speaker 5: babying him through. Now he's had some injuries and stuff,

482
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:38,520
Speaker 5: so it's it's understandable to why they have done it.

483
00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,320
Speaker 5: But he's never eclipsed one hundred and seventy six innings

484
00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:43,679
Speaker 5: and he's gone over two hundred strikeouts three years in

485
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:45,520
Speaker 5: a row. If they let him get you know, bump

486
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:47,640
Speaker 5: up against one ninety or two hundred innings. He could

487
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 5: have two hundred and thirty two hundred and forty strikeouts,

488
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:53,400
Speaker 5: so he could easily get there if they do let.

489
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:56,400
Speaker 1: Him go more on Freddy Peralta later in the show

490
00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:58,680
Speaker 1: as a tease, that's what they call that. For cy Young,

491
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:01,760
Speaker 1: I'm going chalk so Bogs with chalk on MVP. The

492
00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:03,880
Speaker 1: chalk on Skiens is still I'm getting more than two

493
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:05,760
Speaker 1: to one on it. That's good enough for me. So

494
00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:08,120
Speaker 1: I'd rather go heavy on Skiens at the top there

495
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,520
Speaker 1: because I do think, you know, having Chris Sale stay

496
00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 1: healthy a whole season. Also, God knows what's happening with

497
00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 1: the Braves too. This this mojo they can't seem to shake.

498
00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 1: I like the Peralta one too, that was definitely a

499
00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:20,480
Speaker 1: long shot one. Bog. You mentioned the two hundred shrikecasts

500
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:22,200
Speaker 1: three years in a row, makes thirty starts every year

501
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:24,280
Speaker 1: or two. That's very important, and he's pitching for a

502
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:26,199
Speaker 1: contract year. It's a lot of stuff there that to like.

503
00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 1: But I just think Skiens gets so much national media

504
00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:33,160
Speaker 1: attention that even last year we when he was struggling

505
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 1: to get wins, and though there was no run support

506
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,000
Speaker 1: at all for him, people were still trying to write

507
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:39,879
Speaker 1: the narrative for him as cy Young, and I know

508
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:41,600
Speaker 1: on the show that we do on the Fantasy Pros

509
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,160
Speaker 1: MLB channel. Well, I was like, you know, you can't

510
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,520
Speaker 1: win six games and be cy Young. I think we

511
00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:49,440
Speaker 1: found the last guy who won nine games was cy

512
00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:51,280
Speaker 1: Young's focus.

513
00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:53,520
Speaker 2: We're like, like, can he win a Cy Young if

514
00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:57,080
Speaker 2: he doesn't have a double digits, that's what they're looking.

515
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:58,639
Speaker 1: For, and for a while he was on pace to

516
00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:01,680
Speaker 1: not have that, but didn't improve year over year. They

517
00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 1: bring in Ozoo and they bring in Brandon Law. They've

518
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 1: got some guys here now, some professional hitters, and I

519
00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:12,320
Speaker 1: think that's important. So you know, it's it's hopefully on'el

520
00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 1: Cruz starts to you know, mature a little bit and

521
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:16,280
Speaker 1: maybe brings him his game up a little bit too.

522
00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 1: But I think just bringing in some veteran presence was

523
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 1: a good thing for this team.

524
00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:23,840
Speaker 2: Just from there, they did announce Don Kelly announced today

525
00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:25,800
Speaker 2: though that they're not going to commit to a closer,

526
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 2: that Dennis Santana will get some of them, but they're

527
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:29,480
Speaker 2: going to look at other guys. And I read that

528
00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:32,959
Speaker 2: and I go, all right, just get someone that can

529
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:34,840
Speaker 2: close out games for Skeens, please, just.

530
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,560
Speaker 1: Because well DeLand Skeins gets there. Please, for the love

531
00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:39,200
Speaker 1: of God, all right, let's talk about Rookie of the

532
00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 1: Year here for me, guys, I've already bet this one

533
00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:45,359
Speaker 1: early and again I told you Rookie the Year stuff.

534
00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:47,560
Speaker 1: I'm very hesitant to do that early, but I do

535
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:49,560
Speaker 1: think JJ Weatherholt is the guy in the National League,

536
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:51,359
Speaker 1: and you're getting a nice number plus five to fifty

537
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 1: on it. However, I did bet a long shot too,

538
00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:56,840
Speaker 1: because he's having a great spring for the New York Mets,

539
00:22:56,840 --> 00:23:00,240
Speaker 1: and it's Carson benje A plus twenty two hundred. It

540
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 1: seems like he's got a path to possibly be the

541
00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:04,359
Speaker 1: opening day every day right fielder. Will he play every

542
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,399
Speaker 1: single day at the beginning, No, but I think if

543
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 1: he continues to hit, he's gonna be in good shape.

544
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,200
Speaker 1: I've compared him already to Sean Green. A great conversation

545
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 1: with Sporer on a show the other day about it too,

546
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:14,719
Speaker 1: where he was like, oh, yeah, that's a good one.

547
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:16,159
Speaker 1: He's up a green and for more power, and I

548
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 1: said not right away, he didn't. You go back and

549
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:20,000
Speaker 1: look at Sean Green. He was a fifteen home run

550
00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:21,480
Speaker 1: guy for the first couple of years of his career

551
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 1: and then exploded into a forty home run guy. Benj

552
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,000
Speaker 1: reminds me a lot of Sean Green, and I do

553
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,520
Speaker 1: believe that in this batting order where he doesn't have

554
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:30,439
Speaker 1: to do a whole lot, there's really no pressure on

555
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:35,160
Speaker 1: this kid, and once again media award, big attention market.

556
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:37,280
Speaker 1: If he plays every day, gets off to a good

557
00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:40,000
Speaker 1: start and can continue on throughout the year. I think

558
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:42,359
Speaker 1: Carson Benj is a guy that is fascinating. I do

559
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,080
Speaker 1: think regardless, you throw a little bit on Benj because

560
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:46,760
Speaker 1: you could always cash out if he has a great

561
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 1: first half and he ends up at five to one

562
00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:50,199
Speaker 1: or three to one. At some point, you don't have

563
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:51,560
Speaker 1: to see the ticket all the way through if you're

564
00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 1: getting offered a cash out for it. Welsh, who was

565
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:55,959
Speaker 1: your Rookie of the Year? Per pick? You are, of

566
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,199
Speaker 1: course the prospect google around these parts. So let's get

567
00:23:58,240 --> 00:23:59,480
Speaker 1: to your pick for the NL.

568
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 2: Weather hold is like, for sure the pick I'm putting

569
00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:05,600
Speaker 2: in at plus five point fifty. Yeah, I love them

570
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:08,760
Speaker 2: right out the gates. They can go for their you know,

571
00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 2: their PPI pick. I do think they're going to kind

572
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,240
Speaker 2: of stink this team obviously, but digit there should be

573
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 2: no reason why jjo Weatherholt doesn't get a full run.

574
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:19,560
Speaker 2: And he's very unlike, you know, like a Jordan Walker

575
00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:22,200
Speaker 2: with weird contact issues. I think he's gonna be out

576
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 2: there and I think he can put up a solid season.

577
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:26,640
Speaker 2: But my other kind of in your same vein, because

578
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 2: I'm going to put that bed in that five p

579
00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 2: fifty on jjit weatherhold there's another one I do kind

580
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:31,800
Speaker 2: of like, and I want to throw it out because

581
00:24:31,840 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 2: I think this is a market rookie of the year

582
00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:36,120
Speaker 2: market that you can actually bet a couple if you're

583
00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:38,879
Speaker 2: comfortable with buyouts because of the swings. They see crazy

584
00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:42,800
Speaker 2: swings in the year. But watch sal Stewart. Sal Stewart

585
00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:44,760
Speaker 2: with the Reds. I know we've got some questions about,

586
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:46,639
Speaker 2: you know, positionally, where he's going to go.

587
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 3: But here's an important thing.

588
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:51,240
Speaker 2: We just noticed recently sal Stewart's been hitting four for

589
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 2: this team and he was asked about it and Terry

590
00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 2: Francona said, yeah, he reserves the right to change up

591
00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:57,560
Speaker 2: the lineups how he has.

592
00:24:57,600 --> 00:24:59,760
Speaker 3: But if salas Stewart hits four and.

593
00:24:59,840 --> 00:25:03,880
Speaker 2: He Henel Swarz is hitting behind him. Incredible RBI opportunities

594
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:07,000
Speaker 2: the guy hits for average homers are going to be there.

595
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:09,440
Speaker 2: He's going to put up some big offensive numbers.

596
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:10,720
Speaker 3: Now it might.

597
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 2: Be a little bit, you know how well the Reds

598
00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:16,000
Speaker 2: are doing, and obviously he's got to stay on the

599
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,159
Speaker 2: field as much as possible. But he's at ten to

600
00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 2: one plus one thousand on Sal Stewart. So those are

601
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 2: two bets that I really like him staying away from pitchers,

602
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 2: even though Andrew Painter is in the NL and you

603
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:28,040
Speaker 2: could put a little bit of bet on him and

604
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:29,919
Speaker 2: he'll get some early starts. I think there's just two

605
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,439
Speaker 2: months offense, so Jojo Weatherhold and Sal Stewart or the

606
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:33,359
Speaker 2: two I like in the NL.

607
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:36,000
Speaker 1: Speaking of Philly, that's where Bogs is going for his pick,

608
00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:37,720
Speaker 1: I believe for a National Rookie the year. What do

609
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 1: you have, Bogs?

610
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean I like, I think Weatherholt is the favorite,

611
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:43,439
Speaker 5: and if you can get him like you guys have

612
00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:45,080
Speaker 5: at five and a half to one, I think that

613
00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 5: is the bet to make right. He's supposed to hit

614
00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:50,159
Speaker 5: lead off for the Cardinals. He's in a good spot,

615
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:53,840
Speaker 5: so I do think that he's the best, but everyone's

616
00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:55,800
Speaker 5: giving you too. I'll give you a second one as well.

617
00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:59,640
Speaker 5: It's Justin Crawford from Philly, Carl Crawford's kid, the dude

618
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 5: who is going to be a capable fielder. He hit

619
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:04,800
Speaker 5: three thirty in the miners last season. He steals a

620
00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,199
Speaker 5: ton of basses projected to hit at the bottom of

621
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 5: the lineup right now. But he's also twenty to one.

622
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 5: So I think, like Well said, this is kind of

623
00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:14,919
Speaker 5: an open debate, there are guys that are ahead of

624
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:18,040
Speaker 5: the others. Like I would absolutely put my first bet

625
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,920
Speaker 5: on JJ Weatherholt. I think that he is the leader

626
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:23,280
Speaker 5: in the clubhouse there. I do like that Joe had

627
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 5: to make sure that we got a met in at

628
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 5: all three sections of this person has.

629
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:31,720
Speaker 1: A two of Welsh's three picks being mets for the worse.

630
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:33,160
Speaker 1: I did not pay that at all.

631
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:36,200
Speaker 5: But I think Crawford, you know, he's going to hit high.

632
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:39,120
Speaker 5: There's an opportunity, if anything happens to the older guys

633
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:41,480
Speaker 5: in the lineup, to get a spot near the top

634
00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:43,440
Speaker 5: at some point this season, and he's going to start

635
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:47,040
Speaker 5: the season on the Phillies and starting so I think

636
00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:48,080
Speaker 5: that's a big part of it.

637
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 1: So twenty to one.

638
00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 5: I'll go ahead and throw a little change on.

639
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,679
Speaker 2: One other thing I want to add is when the

640
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 2: season starts, because this is the one guy we didn't

641
00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:59,640
Speaker 2: talk about you should pay attention to if anyone is underperforming,

642
00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:01,960
Speaker 2: because because I would say the first three weeks is

643
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 2: one of the best times to bet Connor Griffin. Connor

644
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 2: Griffin all world, he's going to go to Triple A.

645
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:10,000
Speaker 2: I do think it's more competitive than in now than

646
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,600
Speaker 2: it's ever been before. But if Dijit Weatherhold's not hitting homers,

647
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:17,000
Speaker 2: if Sal Stewart's disappointing, and Connor Griffin's not up, Connor

648
00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 2: Griffin is going to probably go ten, twelve, fifteen to one,

649
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:23,480
Speaker 2: and then the minute he gets called up, watch Connor

650
00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 2: Griffin go into the top three rookie of the year.

651
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:28,800
Speaker 2: So if you want to play a little sprinkle, sprinkle

652
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:30,959
Speaker 2: a little Conor Griffin, so you cover yourself because a

653
00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:34,920
Speaker 2: slow start, Conor Griffin can miss two, three, maybe even

654
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 2: four weeks of the season and he could still take

655
00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:40,359
Speaker 2: that award if he does the Conor Griffin thing and

656
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:41,960
Speaker 2: goes off. So just wanted to mention him.

657
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:44,880
Speaker 1: All right, Uh, let's get to the next picks here

658
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:46,800
Speaker 1: for the Division. We do a little division parlay on

659
00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: the AL Show. It was a lot of fun. I'm

660
00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:49,959
Speaker 1: gonna do one on the NL Show as well. And

661
00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:52,600
Speaker 1: don't forget when you're making these picks and you're making

662
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 1: your bets, use the Betting Pros app. Download it today

663
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 1: for free. Stay accountable and level up by downloading the

664
00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:00,200
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app. With the sports books you have, you

665
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 1: sync them automatically for free. Track all your bets across

666
00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:06,520
Speaker 1: all major platforms in one easy spot. You can monitor

667
00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:09,879
Speaker 1: your performance by sport, by bet type, including game picks, props,

668
00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:13,440
Speaker 1: and parlays. Create custom betting systems to find winning trends

669
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:16,800
Speaker 1: and profitable opportunities. And new users can get six months

670
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 1: of Betting Pros Premium for free with your first deposit

671
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:22,720
Speaker 1: and wager at one of our partner sportsbooks. To learn

672
00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:25,679
Speaker 1: more at bettingpros dot com, slash Premium and download the

673
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:28,520
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app today. All right, So if you put

674
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,680
Speaker 1: the Mets, you put the Dodgers together, which is something

675
00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 1: I know Welsh and I like to do. And then

676
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:37,359
Speaker 1: you throw out the Milwaukee Brewers, who last time I checked,

677
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 1: they won the Central last year, not the Cubs, and

678
00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:42,600
Speaker 1: they won it by five games. I know they lost

679
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 1: Freddy Peralta last year. Year before, they lost Corbyn Burns

680
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,120
Speaker 1: and the sky was falling, and what happened. The Brewers

681
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 1: won the division again. The Brewers have one of the

682
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:53,600
Speaker 1: best managers in baseball and Pat Murphy. They have a

683
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 1: really scrappy team. They have a great farm system. They

684
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:59,240
Speaker 1: have had some pitching injuries, and Woodrof being hurt to

685
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,720
Speaker 1: start the year certainly hurts them. I really like the

686
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:03,880
Speaker 1: Kyle Harrison addition too. I'm telling you he's gonna be good.

687
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 1: If Misarowski can stay healthy, you have another frontline guy there.

688
00:29:07,280 --> 00:29:09,479
Speaker 1: They've got depth of starting pitching, and they've also got

689
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:11,120
Speaker 1: a good farm system. So if they have to make

690
00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:15,120
Speaker 1: a deal, they will. But I keep coming back to

691
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:18,000
Speaker 1: the athleticism of this team, the way they grind, the

692
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 1: way they're managed, and I just feel like we're discounting

693
00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 1: the Milwaukee Brewers every single year, and every single year

694
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 1: they go out there and they find a way to

695
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:26,480
Speaker 1: win the division. And I think they can do it

696
00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:29,160
Speaker 1: yet again here if you go back and look last

697
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:31,520
Speaker 1: year what they did and how great they came on,

698
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:33,400
Speaker 1: and I feel like We said the same thing once

699
00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 1: again in twenty twenty four, and what do they do?

700
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:37,200
Speaker 1: They won ninety three games and won the division. And

701
00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:40,040
Speaker 1: then in twenty twenty five we said the same thing,

702
00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,120
Speaker 1: and what did they do? They won ninety seven games

703
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:43,720
Speaker 1: and won the division. So I'm just gonna go with

704
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:46,520
Speaker 1: the Brewers. And the fun thing is when you do this,

705
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 1: you get the best odds of any of the three

706
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 1: we're gonna throw out at you plus eight twenty nine,

707
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 1: eight twenty nine for the Mets, the Dodgers, and the

708
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:57,520
Speaker 1: brew Crew. That's my pick, Welsh. When you change out

709
00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:00,320
Speaker 1: my Brewers for your Cubs, he goes to plus four nine.

710
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:02,520
Speaker 1: So make a case for the Cubs winning this division.

711
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the Cubs are a more complete team.

712
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 2: I totally see what you're saying with the Brewers. But

713
00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:10,240
Speaker 2: when they lost Corbyn Burns, they had a Freddy Pralta.

714
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:12,320
Speaker 2: They don't have a Freddy Pralta. I guess you could

715
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:15,719
Speaker 2: argue maybe that's Jacob Mizerowski if he's gonna take that

716
00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 2: big step.

717
00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 3: There are some guys.

718
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 2: I like on this team. I mean, I like Chad

719
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 2: Patrick that's going to get an opportunity. But we don't

720
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:23,720
Speaker 2: know how long Woodruff is going to be out.

721
00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:27,239
Speaker 1: Anderson still in there. I know he's got injury right

722
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:28,880
Speaker 1: now he's dealing with too, But that's another really good

723
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 1: young pitcher in that system too.

724
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:32,360
Speaker 2: Like they're not They're not a team that's going to

725
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 2: get demolished or anything like that. But I also think

726
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 2: the Cubs did improve them. Like I think Daniel Polinci

727
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:40,920
Speaker 2: has said to be going out, I think Alex Bregman

728
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,280
Speaker 2: is going to bring a bigger life force to this team.

729
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:46,560
Speaker 2: I think if pet kra Armstrong can get more consistent,

730
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:48,680
Speaker 2: I think the Cubs are and this is it was

731
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 2: pretty close for them last year, and I think it's

732
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 2: just gonna flip. And I think the Cubs are going

733
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 2: to take this division because I think the Brewers are

734
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 2: more susceptible than they've been in years past. And that's

735
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:00,360
Speaker 2: why if I'm putting this together, I'm going to I'm

736
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:01,200
Speaker 2: with you on the Mets.

737
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 3: You could put the Phillies.

738
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 2: I'm with the Mets here and then give me the Cubs,

739
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 2: and then of course give me the Dodgers. And that

740
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,120
Speaker 2: is the worst odds of all these. But it's still

741
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 2: close to five to one and that would be the

742
00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 2: parlay I would put for the division winners.

743
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 1: All right, So Boggs, how do you want to flip

744
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:17,040
Speaker 1: this around here? Because you want to work in some

745
00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 1: different teams. You want to put the Dodgers in there, right,

746
00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:23,239
Speaker 1: and you want to do Phillies and Cubs. Correct. That

747
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 1: gets you to yes, five sixty eight, so a little

748
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 1: higher than Welsh is, but not quite as moonshot as

749
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,520
Speaker 1: mine almost. You know, a thousand there plus eight twenty nine.

750
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 1: So walk me through Phillies Cubs. How do these teams

751
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:34,360
Speaker 1: get there?

752
00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 3: Yeah?

753
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:37,320
Speaker 5: I think you know the Cubs we just talked about

754
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 5: with Welsh. You know, the lineup is a little bit better.

755
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:43,320
Speaker 5: The rotation maybe is the questionable part there. But I

756
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:47,480
Speaker 5: really think Polentsi is moving into an elite closure territory.

757
00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:49,400
Speaker 5: He has the opportunity to do that this season. So

758
00:31:49,520 --> 00:31:52,720
Speaker 5: I'm with the Cubs as well. Brewers are good, but

759
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:56,600
Speaker 5: I think with those injuries to Woodruff and Logan Henderson,

760
00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 5: it's just a tall hill to climb. I'm not counting

761
00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 5: them out at all. I think the Reds are still

762
00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 5: in it. The Pirates are pretty good. I think that

763
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,320
Speaker 5: division is kind of tough to pick, but the Cubs

764
00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 5: are the leader in the at the front of the

765
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:10,800
Speaker 5: pack there in my opinion, but I'll take Philly in

766
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:13,120
Speaker 5: the East. I think this can go either way. I

767
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 5: do think it comes down to Philly and the Mets.

768
00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 5: I really like the rotation for Philly. The lineup is

769
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 5: still really good. They have a lot of experience as well,

770
00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 5: so it's kind of that one. I really feel like,

771
00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:26,880
Speaker 5: as a coin flip, we're all just The Dodgers are

772
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 5: gonna win easy, even with their injuries to start the

773
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:33,080
Speaker 5: season this show mentioned before, I don't really care. They

774
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 5: spend way more money than anybody else. They have a

775
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:37,120
Speaker 5: lot of depth, they have a lot of great players

776
00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:40,280
Speaker 5: at every position. They're gonna be fine. But Philly in

777
00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:42,800
Speaker 5: the Mets, I think that's gonna be a battle all

778
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:46,040
Speaker 5: season long. I think the Braves are gonna have their

779
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 5: voice heard in there as well. But I think ultimately

780
00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:50,760
Speaker 5: it's gonna come down to Philly and the Mets, and

781
00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 5: I'll take Philly in Philly, Chicago and the Dodgers would

782
00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 5: make it. Plus five seventy three was a number that

783
00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 5: is pulling up down.

784
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 1: All right, not bad. So those are three different approaches

785
00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:03,720
Speaker 1: there to the division. Winners, So go ahead and choose

786
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 1: whatever one you prefer the most. And of course that

787
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 1: brings us to our hard Rock Best Bets of the

788
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 1: Year segment for our futures in the National League and

789
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:13,760
Speaker 1: the Boys and I are gonna give you our favorite

790
00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 1: bets for twenty twenty six for the n L. Again,

791
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:17,840
Speaker 1: if you miss it and go back and watch our

792
00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 1: al ones, those are out there floating around from last week,

793
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:23,440
Speaker 1: and of course make sure that you download the hard

794
00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 1: Rock Bet Sportsbook app, especially this time of year with

795
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 1: all the fun going on there. For me, this is

796
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:30,360
Speaker 1: a simple one. Freddy perulta three years in a row,

797
00:33:30,560 --> 00:33:33,960
Speaker 1: has had two hundred strikeouts and uh pitching for a

798
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 1: contract year. As Bogman said earlier in the show, I

799
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 1: do think they let him go out there a little

800
00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:40,680
Speaker 1: bit more, maybe an extra starter too, or another inning

801
00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:43,440
Speaker 1: here and there, and I think that's gonna add up

802
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 1: at the end of the day. So for him to

803
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,080
Speaker 1: go over two hundred strikeouts again four years in a

804
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,480
Speaker 1: row and stay healthy and again make thirty starts will

805
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 1: be four years in a row. If he did it,

806
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:53,840
Speaker 1: you get plus two twenty. That's a pretty good return

807
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:57,320
Speaker 1: on something that I think is going to return dividends

808
00:33:57,360 --> 00:34:01,360
Speaker 1: in fantasy baseball, in real baseball, and in the wagering

809
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:03,280
Speaker 1: community as well. So give me Freddy Perl to go

810
00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:06,560
Speaker 1: over two hundred strikeouts Welsh What is your best bet

811
00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:07,920
Speaker 1: of the year by hard Rock.

812
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 2: Bet Well looking over in the Annalyos bounced around at

813
00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:12,279
Speaker 2: a bunch of different things and it came across this.

814
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:16,399
Speaker 2: There were only four players in twenty twenty five that

815
00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 2: had double digit triples, only four players. The player with

816
00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:26,320
Speaker 2: the least amount of played games had the most triples

817
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 2: and scored four more or hit three four more triples

818
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:33,760
Speaker 2: than the next guy. We're going to Corbyn Carroll. Corbyn

819
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 2: Carroll led the league with seventeen triples last year. Number

820
00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 2: two was Jared Durant, who had thirteen. Jaron Durant played

821
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:45,000
Speaker 2: fourteen more games than him. The projections all agree that

822
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:46,399
Speaker 2: Corbyn Carroll is going to do it. And I would

823
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:48,239
Speaker 2: throw this out to you if you're one of the

824
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:50,839
Speaker 2: people that's worried that a handmappone is going to take

825
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:52,880
Speaker 2: off some power, Well what is that power going to

826
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:54,680
Speaker 2: be taken off of? Instead of going over the wall,

827
00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:57,320
Speaker 2: it hits the wall, it bounces in and Corbyn Carroll

828
00:34:57,680 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 2: glides glides into third base regularly. He easily led the

829
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:05,719
Speaker 2: league in triples last year projections believe it, and you're

830
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:07,600
Speaker 2: getting this at almost two and a half to one

831
00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:09,560
Speaker 2: plus two thirty five is where I found it. For

832
00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 2: Corbyn kre this is easy money. This is I mean,

833
00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 2: this isn't a big, crazy, big bet, big odds or

834
00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:16,760
Speaker 2: anything like that. You know, we've had some of the

835
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,680
Speaker 2: best bets before. Plus eight hundred plus nine hundred. That's

836
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 2: a lot more fun to do when you're doing your

837
00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:24,400
Speaker 2: season long ones. But to me, this is easy money.

838
00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:26,160
Speaker 2: Two and a half to one for Corbyn Carroll to

839
00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:28,160
Speaker 2: lead the league in triples when he did it last year,

840
00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 2: projected to it this year, and the power could be suppressed,

841
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:33,680
Speaker 2: so he's hitting more balls in stadium, which will lead

842
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:34,920
Speaker 2: to more triples.

843
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:37,759
Speaker 1: All right, Scott Bogman, what is your favorite bet for

844
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 1: twenty twenty six with the National League?

845
00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:42,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, let's go with the most saves for Edwin Diaz

846
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:45,759
Speaker 5: this year. The Dodgers are obviously projected to win the

847
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:48,080
Speaker 5: most games. We think they're gonna win the most games.

848
00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 5: Edwin Diaz is one of the best closes in the league,

849
00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:53,520
Speaker 5: and this is paying you four to one right now.

850
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:56,839
Speaker 5: I did consider because I think on hard Rock they

851
00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:59,960
Speaker 5: have like if he gets fifty saves or forty sive,

852
00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 5: fifty saves pays the same, so he wouldn't have to lead.

853
00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:07,040
Speaker 5: But I think fifty saves leads anyway. Because last season

854
00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:11,960
Speaker 5: Carlos Distevis led with forty two, then Suarez had forty

855
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:14,239
Speaker 5: and Andres Munoz at thirty eight. That was the most

856
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:17,400
Speaker 5: saves that we had last season. I think you go

857
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:19,400
Speaker 5: out and you get a guy like Edwin Diaz because

858
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:22,560
Speaker 5: the Dodgers had so many blown saves last year. So

859
00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:24,880
Speaker 5: I think if he cuts their blown saves in half,

860
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:27,880
Speaker 5: he is the closer all year. He leads the league easily,

861
00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:30,600
Speaker 5: and you're getting four to one here, So that is

862
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:34,000
Speaker 5: my favorite bet long term. For in this show, I

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Speaker 1: for us, But the story of the game goes on

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Speaker 1: for Scott Bogman and the Welsh. I'm Joey P. We'll

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Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids.

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Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros