1 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:16,079 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Friday edition? 2 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 1: Friday episode of the Dili Juice Podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,959 Speaker 1: Paroltz at Sports Talk Matt on Twitter to follow me, 4 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 1: you can fellow betting pros at Betting Pros on Twitter. 5 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: Bet MGM. I spent a lot of time tonight at BETMGM. 6 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: I was down there giving away some hats, having some 7 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 1: fun over there at BETMGM. Saw some Juice listeners. We 8 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:37,480 Speaker 1: actually saw Tim there yesterday. We saw Maddie r who 9 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 1: is a former student of mine. He came down justin, 10 00:00:40,200 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: came down all at bet MGM tonight. Did a lot 11 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 1: of fun at the MGM Grand You guys know the 12 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: offer by now. It's BETMGM BETMGM dot com ten dollars 13 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 1: bet one hundred and fifty bucks automatically with the promo 14 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:57,800 Speaker 1: code Juice one fifty. Okay, so I'm on a heater 15 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 1: on my TikTok TikTok is at Sports Talk Matt LVI 16 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: hit six straight bets Dallas minus one or a pick 17 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:10,479 Speaker 1: check Mark sweat and a half that Bugdanovich had an 18 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:15,119 Speaker 1: open shot, couldn't hit it under comes in. That was nice. 19 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: Two and oh day there. NBA has been very good, 20 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:20,720 Speaker 1: Dallas has been very good to me. The Bulls are gone. 21 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 1: They were very good to me too. But we did 22 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: get the Raptors wrong, and we got the Raptors betting 23 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:28,039 Speaker 1: on the series wrong. But I told you last night 24 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:29,760 Speaker 1: the reason why I was betting that was because I 25 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 1: was pretty confident we were going to go two and 26 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: zero with the NFL Draft, and we did plus one 27 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: ninety for Walker to go first check, Hutchinson to go 28 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 1: over one and a half, he went two check. So 29 00:01:43,440 --> 00:01:46,759 Speaker 1: plus one sixty plus one ninety only quarter unit bets, 30 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 1: but we took the winnings. We rolled that over to 31 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 1: the Raptors. Raptors got bounced and killed by the Sixers. 32 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 1: So overall, with the Dallas situation, it's a winning night 33 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 1: for us. I'll take that every single time. Yes, two 34 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 1: bets wrong, but overall it's a three and two night. 35 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: But it's also some plus money wagers that we cash 36 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: in there. If you bet Dallas minus two, minus one 37 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: or pick whatever you bet Dallas at you came in, 38 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 1: you got that. I gave you the Suns as well. 39 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 1: On the Discord channel, I was talking about betting on 40 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 1: the Suns there at minus two on Twitter as well. 41 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:19,920 Speaker 1: For my other show, we were on the Suns. So 42 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 1: good day, fun day, profitable day. Let's do it again 43 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 1: here today on a Friday. Okay, I've got the parlay 44 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: baseball parlay, I've got two baseball bets, and I've got 45 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 1: one NBA play coming up here for us. All right, 46 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 1: So let's start with the NBA with Memphis on the road, 47 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 1: minus one up against Minnesota, leading three games to two. 48 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 1: It's the exact same situation we just had with the Suns, 49 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 1: with the Mavericks and the Sixers. They went three and oh, 50 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 1: ats three and oh against the spread. Why am I 51 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:55,960 Speaker 1: stopping I'm betting the trend here, Memphis minus one here 52 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 1: to close out the Minnesota timberwolfs. Now. You might go, Matt, 53 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:02,639 Speaker 1: someone's gonna play seven, don't you think? No, I actually 54 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 1: don't think so. I think Memphis has a lot going 55 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:08,400 Speaker 1: for them here. They're good on the road. I like 56 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:13,080 Speaker 1: Memphis on the road this season twenty six sixteen and one. 57 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 1: Ats from Memphis on the road. Minnesota not bad at 58 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 1: home twenty three, nineteen and two. But talking about a 59 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 1: record against the Western Conference of thirty five, twenty one 60 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 1: and one, and Memphis has not covered over the last 61 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 1: two games. They get streaky. They didn't cover twice, then 62 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 1: they covered by twenty seven. Against New Orleans, they didn't 63 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:33,919 Speaker 1: cover twice, then they covered by twenty eight and nine. 64 00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: The next two games against Minnesota, they actually have a 65 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 1: losing record ats here two and three going into this 66 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: game six. I think they bounce back here. I don't 67 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 1: think they fail to cover three straight times. I think 68 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 1: Memphis is just the more talented basketball team. I know 69 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: Minnesota's gonna have a lot going on here, but I 70 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 1: just think they've been really trying hard to push their 71 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 1: young not a ton of playoff experience. I know Memphis 72 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:59,040 Speaker 1: doesn't have a ton of experience either, but I think 73 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 1: in the clutch, Jaw is going to make a big play. 74 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 1: I think Jaw is going to be a little bit 75 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: too much. I like the fact that road favorites have 76 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 1: done very very well here over the last couple of years, 77 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 1: and they're three to oh ats three to oh straight 78 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: up so far here in these playoffs. In a closeout 79 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:18,760 Speaker 1: game six Memphis minus one half a unit. Jumping in 80 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: with Memphis here going up against Minnesota on the road, 81 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 1: road favorite again, road favorite covers again three and oh 82 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 1: last night. Let's bet the streak. Let's go four and 83 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 1: oh with road favorites here Memphis to close out the 84 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:34,359 Speaker 1: Minnesota Timberwolves and minus one. Okay, let's hit to the 85 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 1: baseball parlay before I give you the two baseball bets. 86 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:43,800 Speaker 1: All right, So I'm looking at moneyline trends, run line trends. Okay. 87 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 1: I found three teams, Seattle, La, Dodgers, and the Mets, 88 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:52,039 Speaker 1: who are all playing who currently have the three best 89 00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 1: mark marks right now for run line wins. Seattle's thirteen 90 00:04:56,480 --> 00:05:00,479 Speaker 1: and six, Dodgers are twelve and six. Mets are thirteen 91 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 1: and seven on the run line record, Okay, sixty eight percent, 92 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:09,280 Speaker 1: sixty six point seven percent, and sixty five percent, respectively. 93 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 1: These three teams are playing tonight. Seattle is playing at Miami. 94 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: Not a great team. Laying one and a half runs 95 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:23,799 Speaker 1: is plus one fifty. Dodgers minus one and a half 96 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:29,279 Speaker 1: against the Tigers is minus one ten. Mets plus one 97 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 1: and a half is minus two oh five. Phillies are 98 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:35,159 Speaker 1: favored in the game, and so you get the run 99 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 1: line the reverse run line of plus two oh five. 100 00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:41,280 Speaker 1: If you want to bet the Phillies laying one and 101 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:43,719 Speaker 1: a half runs is plus one sixty eight at FanDuel. 102 00:05:43,760 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 1: But Phillies haven't been great on the run line. Phillies 103 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 1: actually have been kind of mediocre ten and ten on 104 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 1: the run line this year. So I'd rather take the 105 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:53,839 Speaker 1: team that's been hot. The team is thirteen and seven 106 00:05:53,880 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 1: and the Mets and lay the two oh five. That 107 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 1: is a plus six' ten. Bet for the dope better, 108 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 1: Parlay seattle minus one and a half, Runs dodgers one 109 00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:08,280 Speaker 1: and a half, runs and The mets plus one and a. 110 00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:11,000 Speaker 1: HALF i like the pitching matchups here and THIS i 111 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 1: like the team. Records best three teams on the run 112 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: line all going on A friday Night, Dodgers, mets and The. 113 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 1: Mariners here for the don't bet a parlay parlay six. 114 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 1: Hundreds been a couple of weeks since we cash one of, 115 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 1: these so lets hopefully let's catch this coming up this. 116 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:30,039 Speaker 1: Week let's hit on it all, Right so we're going 117 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 1: with that for the don't bet a parlay. Parley, NOW 118 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 1: i do have two half unit bets coming up in, 119 00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: baseball and let's talk a little bit about over unders 120 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 1: and where teams. Are we know that unders have been 121 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:45,600 Speaker 1: very very. Successful so we've got The dodgers who are 122 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 1: five twelve and one to the. Under detroit is seven and. 123 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:53,599 Speaker 1: Eleven sorry to the to the. Over sorry so to 124 00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 1: the under twelve five and, One dodgers eleven and Seven 125 00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:01,919 Speaker 1: detroit to the. Under their playing each other total is 126 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:04,240 Speaker 1: eight and a half juiced a little bit to the 127 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 1: under at mich one. Fifteen, okay don't like these. Offenses 128 00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 1: they haven't been scoring very. Much dodgers last three games for, 129 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 1: nothing five to, three three to. One gone under this 130 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:19,440 Speaker 1: eight and a half. Number you've got, eight nine and 131 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 1: five for The. Tigers if you go back to their fourth, 132 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 1: five eight nine and, five so one in three over 133 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: the last four games for the todd for The. Dodgers 134 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 1: start for The tigers up against this number of eight 135 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 1: and the, half AND i think you got two decent. 136 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:38,680 Speaker 1: Pitchers ALEXANDER'S era is a little. Inflated he's a lefty 137 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:42,400 Speaker 1: seven point two zero. Era But Tyler anderson for The 138 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 1: yankees also so sorry for The, dodgers also a, lefty 139 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 1: he's TWO era of two point eight four one to 140 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 1: zero in twelve and two thirds only give up one 141 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 1: home run in the. Year both Guys alexander And, anderson only 142 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 1: giving up one home run on the year each. Other 143 00:07:56,960 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 1: detroit six and twelve lost five games in a. Row 144 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 1: twelve bad Bad Star Tier dodgers are twelve and. Six 145 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 1: they're actually half a game Behind San francisco, now they 146 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:07,840 Speaker 1: lost back to back. Games that's WHY i put them 147 00:08:07,840 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: into the run line teaser. Here it's going to four 148 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 1: to one win for The dodgers against The. Tigers tigers 149 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 1: are two and four on the. Road dodgers are six and. 150 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:20,720 Speaker 1: One let's go. Under don't mind a play on The dodgers, 151 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 1: either but their minus two forty So i'm not in 152 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:24,880 Speaker 1: love with. That so that's what we're. Doing that run 153 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 1: line with The dodgers here with the parlay under eight 154 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:31,360 Speaker 1: and a half. Runs dodgers and The tigers at minus 155 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 1: one eighteen and the last bet for us here on A. 156 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:41,640 Speaker 1: Friday Red sox and The. Orioles Red sox are fourteen 157 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: and six to the. Under this Season baltimore thirteen to 158 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: five and. One Red sox offense has been absolutely. Anemic 159 00:08:50,559 --> 00:08:54,000 Speaker 1: baltimore's offense is anemic as. Well Rich hill starting scares 160 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:56,200 Speaker 1: me a little. Bit Kyle, bradish WHO i don't know 161 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 1: anything about first start of the year for the bluefoot 162 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 1: for The orioles is. Concern but The orioles ARE i, 163 00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:08,160 Speaker 1: mean the total's, nine, okay, eight, nine, thirteen twenty and. Seven, 164 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:11,880 Speaker 1: OKAY i understand The. Yankees you, know they went To 165 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 1: Yankee stadium and they gave up seventeen runs in two. 166 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 1: Games that's not, good. Okay but The Red, sox, yeah 167 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 1: they just Beat toronto seven to. One but three two, five, two, 168 00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 1: six two, six five and seven to. One the number is. 169 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 1: Nine they only covered once over the last five games 170 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:32,959 Speaker 1: of getting over this. Number Red sox offense just isn't 171 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:36,560 Speaker 1: impressive right. Now they're not hitting at. All and, yeah, 172 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: okay maybe you go To baltimore on A friday night 173 00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:41,840 Speaker 1: and you get, right but who Says baltimore scores and 174 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,199 Speaker 1: he runs? Themselves and who Says baltimore is gonna have 175 00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:48,680 Speaker 1: this offense? Right two, eight, six five and five for 176 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:51,160 Speaker 1: them to? Score so you, know hopefully they don't score 177 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:52,959 Speaker 1: a ton of runs here and The Red sox hold them, 178 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 1: down they win the game something like four to, two 179 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:58,719 Speaker 1: five to, three somewhere in that. Range it's nine minus one. 180 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 1: Ten i'm gonna run the understreak here with baseball and 181 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:05,040 Speaker 1: not scoring any. Runs baltimore And boston's a little, shaky but, 182 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 1: again both these teams are incredibly right. Now they're Hitting 183 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:12,280 Speaker 1: baltimore seventy two percent of the time on the, Under 184 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:15,080 Speaker 1: boston seventy percent of the time to the. Under put 185 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:19,360 Speaker 1: them both. Together bet the under Nine Baltimore boston under 186 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 1: nine minus one. Ten all, right so we're Going memphis 187 00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:25,600 Speaker 1: minus one for a half of, unit miss one, Ten 188 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 1: baltimore And boston under nine at minus one ten for 189 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 1: a half a, unit And Dodgers tigers eight and a 190 00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:35,600 Speaker 1: half under minus one. Eighteen we're jumping on that today 191 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:38,520 Speaker 1: as well as they don't bet a parlay parlay run 192 00:10:38,559 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 1: line Bets seattle run line miss one and a, Half 193 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 1: dodgers misus one and a, Half mets plus one and 194 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 1: a half plus six' ten actually, just moved So the 195 00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:53,319 Speaker 1: mariners are now plus one fifty five on the run 196 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 1: line Against. The marlins so now it's a plus six 197 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 1: to twenty. Four bet, all right, even better let's take 198 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:01,559 Speaker 1: that plus six to twenty Four bet mets, Run line dodgers, 199 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:03,959 Speaker 1: Run line mariners run line for the don't bet a 200 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 1: parley parley here On. A Friday Mine's. Matt parolt you 201 00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:10,319 Speaker 1: follow Me on twitter At Sports. Talk matt let's see 202 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:11,960 Speaker 1: WHICH bet i pick of these to put on the 203 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: TikTok because they've hit six. Straight times let's see if 204 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:17,960 Speaker 1: you keep that hot streak going on the. TikTok Account 205 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:20,960 Speaker 1: But Mine's. Matt parolt follow Me on twitter At Sports. 206 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 1: Talk matt each and, every morning It's The. ALJUICE podcast 207 00:11:23,920 --> 00:11:25,839 Speaker 1: i was being brought to YOU by betemgm