1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:05,120 Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of his information. Wouldn't 2 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:08,480 Speaker 1: you agree? I got five dollars? This is a rat 3 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 1: up happy tackle ship one man. You're saying that humans 4 00:00:16,320 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 1: need fantasy to make life bearable. Humans need fantasy to 5 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 1: be my goodness, that was good. I suppose it's the best, 6 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 1: relentless refusing to give up. All right, hit that horn, babe. 7 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:40,199 Speaker 1: Let's welcome to the Week ten Fantasy flex Prop Podcast, 8 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: presented by Prize Picks. I'm your host, Chris Raybon, joined 9 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 1: us always, but my dude, Sean Kerner, Sean, what's going on? 10 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:51,560 Speaker 1: What's up? You know, just hanging out? How about you? 11 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: You know, we had a we had some we had 12 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 1: pretty effort Tuesday. Can't get into that, but yeah, Shenanigan 13 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 1: so on to recover, and you know, it's been a 14 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: day or so since Thursday, so almost back to one 15 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:09,040 Speaker 1: hundred percent. But guess we got some Sunday Night showdown 16 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: to talk about the Chiefs and the Raiders. We got 17 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: some and some props are going to so let's get 18 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:17,279 Speaker 1: to it. Let's start with that Sunday Night showdown Slate. 19 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 1: The Chiefs are going to Vegas to two and a 20 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 1: half point favorites the totals fifty two and a half, 21 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: so we're expecting a high scoring close game. Sean, you nailed. 22 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:30,040 Speaker 1: I think it was Tyreek in the captain spot from 23 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: the last Primetime Chief game. Who do you like this time? Yeah? 24 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:36,480 Speaker 2: I think Tyre makes sense again. He obviously has the 25 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 2: highest ceiling out of anybody in this game. 26 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 1: And I'm with you. 27 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 2: I think Patrick Mahomes breaks out this game. You know, 28 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 2: I offered you the prop two seventy eight and a half. 29 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:45,960 Speaker 1: I think it was. 30 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 2: I think he'll be closer to three hundred, if not 31 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 2: way over in this matchup. So you know, Travis Kelcey 32 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 2: Tyreek Hill are obviously in play. It's really hard to 33 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:59,160 Speaker 2: find anybody outside of those two, so I think everything 34 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 2: is going to go to those. I think it's getting 35 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 2: getting that right. So but I think I'm going Tyreek Hill. 36 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 2: I think if if you want to go with the Raiders, 37 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 2: you know, Darren Waller or Hunter Renfro, you know, either 38 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 2: one of those guys could end up getting you know, 39 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:15,360 Speaker 2: eight plus catches in this game as well. So if 40 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 2: you want to get sneaky, I don't think you go 41 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 2: wrong with either one of those guys. I think Derek 42 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 2: Carr once surprised me if he ends up for throwing 43 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:25,799 Speaker 2: over three hundred yards as well. So a lot to 44 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,720 Speaker 2: choose from, but I think the concern play would be 45 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 2: to go with a Waller or renfro here. 46 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:34,519 Speaker 1: How about you? Yeah, I like Kelsey. I think you know, 47 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 1: I was talking of Stucky about this about Gus Bradway, 48 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:38,919 Speaker 1: and he did make the good point that bradwy was 49 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 1: actually one of the coordinators that laid the blueprint for 50 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:42,919 Speaker 1: how to slow down Mahomes back when he was with 51 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 1: the Chargers. They did play a lot of like deep 52 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: safeties and just make him throw underneath. So that's good 53 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:49,920 Speaker 1: for the chief receivers. So I like I like Tyreek, 54 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 1: obviously like Kelsey again, just because I think, especially on 55 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 1: a full PPR, that they're going to need more receptions 56 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: than usual to get their yardage. I still think they 57 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 1: get a bunch of you you know, it's still zone coverage. 58 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:04,120 Speaker 1: He's going to be his zone heavy look for the Raiders, 59 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:06,239 Speaker 1: but I like the receivers. I think a contrarian player 60 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 1: on the other side is Josh Jacobs the Raiders, you know, 61 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: coming out of that game against the Giants, one of 62 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:15,799 Speaker 1: the talking points in Vegas was they ran the ball 63 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 1: really well, but they didn't run it enough. And Jacobs 64 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 1: have you know, his best game in terms of rushing efficiency. 65 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 1: So you know, this Chiefs team, they invite the run, 66 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:28,919 Speaker 1: and you know, whether it's kind of a fallacy or not, 67 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:30,679 Speaker 1: I think a lot of coaches believe, you know, you 68 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 1: want to kind of play keep away against this team, 69 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 1: keep the offense off the field. So the Chiefs are 70 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: twenty ninth in run defense DVOA. I think Jacobs could 71 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: push for twenty carries here and be efficient with those carries, 72 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 1: and we've already seen him, you know, get get a 73 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 1: lot of work in the red zone. So that's a 74 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 1: contrarian play where you know, the Chiefs are favored on 75 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:51,119 Speaker 1: the road, the Raiders are home dogs, but we've seen 76 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 1: the chief struggle. If the Raiders can control this game 77 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: or at least keep it to a one score game, 78 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 1: I think Jacob is going to get a lot of 79 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 1: work from wire to wires. So I like him is 80 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 1: a control and play as well. Yeah, I do like that. 81 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 2: And you know, one of the knocks you know about 82 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 2: Josh Jacobs in Fantasy, especially on like I said, like 83 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 2: dk is a lack of receptions, but he's had three 84 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 2: or more catches and four out of the past five games. 85 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 2: So I mean, obviously that that's a good sign. Why 86 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,800 Speaker 2: do you think that is, Like, is that Gruden being gone? 87 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 2: Like what what do you think change where they're using 88 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 2: it more as a pass catching back? Uh? Be good, 89 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:29,359 Speaker 2: he should have always beenses, But I. 90 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 1: Think it's a more there's a more material reason. You 91 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 1: have Brian Edwards out there, who's basically like a non 92 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:39,520 Speaker 1: entity most week running routes, especially you know, he doesn't 93 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:42,520 Speaker 1: really he doesn't really do anything against zone coverage. You know, 94 00:04:42,560 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 1: he's one of those guys that if you have him 95 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 1: singled up, maybe you throw a contested ball to him, 96 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 1: but he's not really separating. And he's too you know, 97 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: he's still kind of young, doesn't really, I guess, know 98 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 1: how to find those soft spots. So car usually it's 99 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 1: like Waller renfro dump it down. That's the seem to 100 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,280 Speaker 1: be the reads. And then when you know when Rug's there, 101 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: obviously he takes some shots with him against against man 102 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:02,919 Speaker 1: coverage as well. But I think the way the teams 103 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: are playing the Raiders here, it just kind of wends 104 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:08,160 Speaker 1: itself to you know it Carres one of those quarterbacks, 105 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 1: but he doesn't like to hold it too long. He's 106 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: been a lot better over these last few years that 107 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 1: getting the boat down the field, but he's still gonna 108 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,040 Speaker 1: be very decisive if if it's not there, he's going 109 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 1: he's gonna dump it down. So yeah, it's probably why 110 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:21,160 Speaker 1: they got Drake. It's just that Jacobs has been out 111 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 1: playing Drake for most of the year, So yeah, I 112 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:25,840 Speaker 1: expect it to continue. All right, what about cheat coos 113 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:28,160 Speaker 1: do you like on the lower end of the salary 114 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 1: spectrum in this game? 115 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:32,039 Speaker 2: Well, like I said, you know, it's for the Chiefs, 116 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 2: it's Terry Kill and Travis Kelcey, you know, obviously god Teer, 117 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:40,920 Speaker 2: and then at the bottom it seems like DeMarcus Robinson, 118 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 2: Josh Gordon, Byron Pringle, they're all kind of like sharing 119 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 2: the DeMarcus Robinson role of just running around the field 120 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 2: not getting targets, and me Cole Hardman is like in 121 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:52,320 Speaker 2: the middle, like he's not quite that tier and he's 122 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:55,040 Speaker 2: obviously not the god teer, so I'm gonna have to 123 00:05:55,080 --> 00:05:57,360 Speaker 2: stick with me Cole Hardman as being my cheat code. 124 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 2: He could He's still a threat to score from anywhere 125 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:03,920 Speaker 2: on the field, despite you know, Josh Gordon getting more 126 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:07,280 Speaker 2: playing time. Hartman's still running, you know, around sixty five 127 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 2: to seventy percent routes run. So he's on the field. 128 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 2: That's all we ask for with him. So it's Hardman 129 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 2: for me. And now on the other side, I guess 130 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:17,840 Speaker 2: we don't know yet if Deshaun Jackson is playing, but 131 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 2: obviously if he's suiting up and he's active, he's just 132 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 2: a walking cheat code because all he needs is one catch. 133 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 1: And that's what I said for. 134 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 2: Monday Night Football with you know, markis Goodwin and James Washington, 135 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 2: they each had just one catch only I think, and 136 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 2: still put up fifty yards. So Deshaun Jackson falls in 137 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 2: that bucket. He's perfect for a showdown slate. So if 138 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,760 Speaker 2: he's active, he'll be my cheek code on the Raiders side. 139 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like, you know, going kind of correlated with 140 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 1: my Josh Jacobs play. I really like the Raiders defense. 141 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: The Chiefs twenty point five percent turnover rate per drive. 142 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:54,120 Speaker 1: They're turning over essentially one to every five drive. So 143 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:57,479 Speaker 1: you know, again I think he still have to target 144 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: this Chief team against with opposing d fences. It seems weird. 145 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:03,600 Speaker 1: And obviously they could always you know, break out for 146 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 1: like a thirty point game and and not really give 147 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 1: up much. But right now they're still trying to figure 148 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:08,039 Speaker 1: things out. 149 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:08,560 Speaker 2: Uh. 150 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 1: You know, the Raiders defense seems disgusting, but they can 151 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 1: get pressure, you know, with that front four. So I 152 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: like the Raiders d and and Gus Bradley has had 153 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:18,040 Speaker 1: some success against my homes in the past, so I 154 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 1: expect another couple of turnovers here for the Raiders. So 155 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 1: like them obviously D Jacks as well. And uh, I 156 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 1: think looking at maybe a bounce back for Byron Pringle here. 157 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 1: Gordon is another guy. He's his playing time has kind 158 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:32,000 Speaker 1: of been going up. But Pringle, you know, since Gordon 159 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 1: was acquired, Uh, Pringle's routes run have gone thirty two 160 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 1: percent per dropback, forty two percent, and then sixty three 161 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: percent last week. So Pringle's no no targets, no targets. 162 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 1: But all you need is one, right, you need is 163 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 1: one here you kind of called it with Marky's Goodwin 164 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 1: the other night and h and James Washington and Pringle, 165 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 1: I mean sixty three percent routes run. That's that's pretty 166 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: high for a guy that's kind of in that mix 167 00:07:56,640 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 1: of like you know, the wide receiver three four five range. 168 00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:01,720 Speaker 1: Uh So, so, you know, some starting to watch out 169 00:08:01,760 --> 00:08:04,680 Speaker 1: for here, because I agree, I think DeMarcus Robinson's really 170 00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 1: the guy that's trending down eighty five percent routes from 171 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 1: three weeks ago, thirty seven percent two weeks ago, twenty 172 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 1: four percent last week. So he's the guy that's really 173 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 1: been kind of losing out here, whether it's to Pringle 174 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 1: or Josh Gordon. You know, it seems like the Chiefs 175 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 1: are looking for an upgrade. They remember, they didn't necessarily 176 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 1: rush to bring him back. He kind of tested free 177 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 1: agency and didn't find anything, and then they resigned him. 178 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:29,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think, you know, really scraping out of 179 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:33,520 Speaker 2: ball and barrel here. Foster Moreau, the backup tight end play, 180 00:08:34,160 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 2: you know, one of the faultuts. I thought, you know, 181 00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 2: following Henry Ruggs the tragedy, like I thought they might 182 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 2: run more two tight end sets. They opened up the 183 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:47,240 Speaker 2: season doing. So, you know, Foster Moreau was averaging thirty 184 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:50,719 Speaker 2: five to forty five percent routes run. Really talented for 185 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:53,079 Speaker 2: a backup tight end, and he stepped up when Waller 186 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:55,400 Speaker 2: was up, but he only ran fifteen percent last week, 187 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 2: so who knows, maybe they run more two tight end sets. 188 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 2: But he's He's the kind of guy that could sneak 189 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 2: in two catches for twenty hours and a touchdown. So 190 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 2: for a Showdown Slay, I like sprinkling just a couple 191 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 2: of shares of a guy like Moreau just in case. 192 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:10,480 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, you gotta get some Moreau, some Blake beoll 193 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:12,319 Speaker 1: and here. It seems like every every Showdown Slate some 194 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 1: one of those backup tight ends. Yeah, that's something I 195 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:15,680 Speaker 1: almost I was. 196 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 2: Just close to saying Jimmy Graham last week, but I 197 00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 2: was like, I can't bring myself to do it, and 198 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 2: I regretted that, so I just had to throw Moreau 199 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:23,679 Speaker 2: out there. 200 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I mean, listen, we saw in a couple 201 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:28,760 Speaker 1: of weeks ago. We didn't see it last week. But 202 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:32,600 Speaker 1: you can never predict Andy Reid's usage. So Derek Gore, 203 00:09:32,640 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 1: I mean, we've seen him have a game where he 204 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: pretty much split the work with Williams and then a 205 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:38,680 Speaker 1: game where he was the clear backup and even McKinnon 206 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:40,920 Speaker 1: was a little more involved. But I don't forget about 207 00:09:40,960 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 1: Gore either because if they get if they want to 208 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:45,120 Speaker 1: run the football, especially in the red zone, it seems 209 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:47,559 Speaker 1: like they trust Gore as well. So a lot of 210 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:50,280 Speaker 1: options here. But yeah, that's how That's how I'm kind 211 00:09:50,280 --> 00:09:52,439 Speaker 1: of looking, and I'd say Raiders D for me is 212 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 1: probably going to be the one I kind of go 213 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,320 Speaker 1: with the most, just because I think it'll be while 214 00:09:56,360 --> 00:10:00,040 Speaker 1: we rostered, all right, let's get into our props. We 215 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 1: do five props each, a quarterback, to running back, and 216 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 1: two receivers. The lines our courtesy of Prize Picks, who 217 00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 1: presents the Week ten Action Network Fancy Flex Props podcast. 218 00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:16,679 Speaker 1: So let's get to it. Sean, who is your quarterback 219 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 1: prop for Week ten? 220 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:22,160 Speaker 2: So you know I took Trevor Simon under two twenty 221 00:10:22,200 --> 00:10:24,920 Speaker 2: earlier that has dropped to two ten. So my new 222 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:28,839 Speaker 2: favorite prop at quarterback is MATC. Jones over two hundred 223 00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:32,360 Speaker 2: and twenty passing yards against the Browns. We don't even 224 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:34,599 Speaker 2: know what running backs are going to be active for 225 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:36,920 Speaker 2: the Patriots this week, so they could be really finnted 226 00:10:36,960 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 2: running back, which would force you know, the Patriots into 227 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:41,439 Speaker 2: more of a pass heavy game script. But I think 228 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:43,760 Speaker 2: they might be doing that anyway, because this this Brown's 229 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,120 Speaker 2: defense is more of a pass funnel one. You know, 230 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:49,959 Speaker 2: they ranked nineteenth in DdO against the pass and fifth. 231 00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 1: Verst the run. So this is why I took the 232 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:54,640 Speaker 1: over for Joe Burrow last week. He crushed that. 233 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 2: So I think you know that the Patriots tend to 234 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 2: be really savvy, you know, no coincidence, Bill Belichick one 235 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 2: of the greatest coaches of all time, and game planning 236 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:06,680 Speaker 2: for their opponent. So I think with this matchup, they're 237 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:08,160 Speaker 2: gonna lean on mac Jones a bit more. 238 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:09,079 Speaker 1: So. 239 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 2: You know, I'm projecting him above two forty here, so 240 00:11:11,920 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 2: I think this is about twenty yards off. So I 241 00:11:13,960 --> 00:11:15,679 Speaker 2: love the over two twenty and a half yards for 242 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 2: mac Jones here. Yeah, we've talked about it. 243 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:20,360 Speaker 1: You want to target mac Jones not in the games 244 00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:23,160 Speaker 1: where you expect positive game script, but in the games 245 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:24,959 Speaker 1: where they might have some trouble. And I expect the 246 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:26,679 Speaker 1: Browns to win this game. I think the Browns have 247 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 1: the edge on both sides of the ball here against 248 00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:32,680 Speaker 1: the Patriots, So you know, I you know, obviously Mac Jones, 249 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:34,959 Speaker 1: I think Belichick will worry about the pressure. Cleveland is 250 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 1: number two in pressure rate, but I agree that Cleveland's 251 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:39,040 Speaker 1: been stout on run defense. I think they're six and 252 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:41,400 Speaker 1: dvoa and without your running backs, you just don't have 253 00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:43,959 Speaker 1: that physical element if you're going to be missing Stevenson 254 00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:46,960 Speaker 1: and Harris. So I think Jones gets it. I think 255 00:11:46,960 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 1: it will be ugly, you know. I don't think it 256 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: will be like an efficient two hundred and forty yards 257 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:54,280 Speaker 1: or whatever it is. But I do think he would 258 00:11:54,280 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 1: just have to get there because I expect the Browns 259 00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:59,559 Speaker 1: to be able to control this game. All right, for 260 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:03,680 Speaker 1: my you graciously gave it up. I'm going bang Trevor 261 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:07,559 Speaker 1: and a half like, come on here, Like I have 262 00:12:07,679 --> 00:12:10,079 Speaker 1: Trevor Simeon not even playing the full game. We don't 263 00:12:10,120 --> 00:12:11,880 Speaker 1: even know right now if he's gonna start or how 264 00:12:11,920 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 1: long he's going to play. Because yes, Trevor Simeon wasn't 265 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 1: the issue in the Saints game against the Falcons. His 266 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 1: receivers were. I mean, I know you saw the one 267 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 1: where Deontay Harris just completely flipped and it was like 268 00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:27,959 Speaker 1: a wide open conversion big fish out of Troutman dropped 269 00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:30,840 Speaker 1: a couple of balls. So it's just been it wasn't 270 00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:34,719 Speaker 1: on Simeon, but and Sean Payton said this before. The 271 00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:37,679 Speaker 1: coverage has changed when we get Taysom Hill in the game, 272 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:40,199 Speaker 1: Like he can't do as much man coverage because you 273 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 1: don't you're you're scared of him running. So another one 274 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:45,400 Speaker 1: of the issues with the Falcons is the Falcons they 275 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:47,440 Speaker 1: were one of the worst defenses coming into the game, 276 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:49,599 Speaker 1: and they just played a lot of man coverage and 277 00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:53,200 Speaker 1: locked up the Saints receivers. And so I think Sean Payton, 278 00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:56,520 Speaker 1: whether it's you know, with the starter or just if 279 00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 1: they struggle or in the game, because we know the 280 00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:00,599 Speaker 1: Titans always seem to find a way to hang in 281 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 1: these games regardless and surprise people, I think he's gonna 282 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: have to make a change. So this is kind of 283 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:07,600 Speaker 1: like that low hanging fruit like Sam Darnold a few 284 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:09,760 Speaker 1: weeks ago, where it's like he either could struggle for 285 00:13:09,800 --> 00:13:12,720 Speaker 1: efficiency as is or he could just straight up get 286 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 1: get pulled from the game. So I still like Simeon 287 00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 1: under to ten and a half. I have him at 288 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 1: one fifty three. Nice. 289 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:23,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I still love the under. It's just one 290 00:13:23,880 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 2: of those things where if he can't even project the 291 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:28,079 Speaker 2: guy to play the full game, which is rare for 292 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 2: a quarterback, just the lower floor. And I wonder if 293 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:34,079 Speaker 2: Alvin Kamara ends up missing for this game, and it 294 00:13:34,200 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 2: makes even more sense to use Taysom Hill. Yeah, and 295 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 2: you know, use Taysom Hill and mark Ingram that's a 296 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 2: pretty powerful combo. So yeah, just all signs points to 297 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:45,760 Speaker 2: take Trevor Simmy going under this. 298 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 1: All right, what are we doing for running back? 299 00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 2: So I'm sticking with Zeke Elliott over sixty five and 300 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 2: a half rushing yards this week. I took the same 301 00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:58,560 Speaker 2: exact prop last week and it failed miserably. But then again, 302 00:13:58,600 --> 00:14:02,040 Speaker 2: I thought the Cowboys were gonna beat the Broncos. But 303 00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:05,040 Speaker 2: you know, once they went down by what thirty points 304 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:07,480 Speaker 2: and Zeke was dealing with a knee injury, I knew 305 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 2: this was toast. But you know, he was able to 306 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:13,760 Speaker 2: come in and he got carries down multiple scores late 307 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:16,160 Speaker 2: in the fourth. So I don't think they're too worried 308 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:18,720 Speaker 2: about this knee injury, but certainly something in a monitor. 309 00:14:18,800 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 2: But against this Falcons defense that ranks twenty seventh against 310 00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 2: the running DBA, he doesn't even need the full complement 311 00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 2: of snaps or even need to be one hundred percent 312 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 2: healthy to clear this prop so I'm projecting him seventy 313 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 2: and a half yards, and you know, I'm factoring him 314 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 2: to be limited earlier in the week. So if he's 315 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:39,160 Speaker 2: closer to one hundred percent come game day, Mike Prop's 316 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 2: only going to go up for this, or my projection. 317 00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 1: Is going to go for this. 318 00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 2: So I want to lock this in early because, yeah, 319 00:14:45,200 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 2: just I think this entire Cowboys offense is going to 320 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 2: have a bounce back game this week. 321 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 1: So I love the over sixty five and a half 322 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 1: yards for Zeke this week. Yeah, I figured to get 323 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 1: a litlewonkee with the Cowboys. Lest I mean when they 324 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 1: come into the game seven to zero against the spread 325 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 1: like the broad Those are one of my picks for 326 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 1: last week. But this week, I do like the Cowboys 327 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: to bounce back, So I do like and I think 328 00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:09,440 Speaker 1: this is where you kind of buy in to Zeke here, 329 00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:11,360 Speaker 1: And remember you got to you gotta have Zeke in 330 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 1: the game to keep defenses on it so you can 331 00:15:13,160 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: hit the week Turner over the top. 332 00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, screw CD Lamb in the market, Dallas back. 333 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 2: Just just funnel targets and Lake Turner, please, you know. 334 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 1: It all right? For my running back prop, I'm going 335 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,680 Speaker 1: with Jordan Howard under forty and a half rushing yards. 336 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 1: Last week I gave you Boston Scott under forty four 337 00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 1: and a half. I think it was that hit, even 338 00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:37,480 Speaker 1: in a great matchup. And the reason is we have 339 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 1: no idea how this team is gonna slit carries from 340 00:15:39,760 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 1: week to week. You know, they're given Kenneth Gainwell goal 341 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:45,720 Speaker 1: line carries. Howard comes off the practice squad and he's 342 00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:47,640 Speaker 1: essentially their top back two weeks in a row. But 343 00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:51,120 Speaker 1: I think the Howard you know, game plan last week 344 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 1: because a lot of people thought Boston Scott was going 345 00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:54,600 Speaker 1: to be the guy, and like I, you know, I 346 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:57,720 Speaker 1: expressed some pessimism of him, you know, both in terms 347 00:15:57,760 --> 00:16:00,120 Speaker 1: of you know, waiver pickup and in terms of you know, 348 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:03,120 Speaker 1: his proper and DFS and all that stuff. And now 349 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:04,760 Speaker 1: I think now that we're you know, books aren't even 350 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 1: posting props for Boston Scott now, but we get Jordan Howard. 351 00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:10,240 Speaker 1: So now we're gonna take that and go into that. 352 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 1: Because the Chargers were thirty second, dead last and run 353 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 1: defense DVOA. So that's the team that you want to 354 00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:17,640 Speaker 1: have a power run game, you know, you just want 355 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:19,560 Speaker 1: to you just want to keep wearing them down, wearing 356 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 1: them down. But this Broncos team, I mean, what do 357 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,640 Speaker 1: they hold Zeke two s game? Like sixteen yards or something, 358 00:16:26,280 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 1: next thirty yards something, right? Right? He had like sixteen 359 00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 1: at one point. Yeah, you know like that. The Broncos 360 00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:35,440 Speaker 1: like they had some issues earlier in the year, they 361 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:38,800 Speaker 1: lost you know, a couple of their key run stopping linebackers. 362 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 1: But I still don't think you know, you're gonna go 363 00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 1: at this Broncos team, this physical team in Mile High 364 00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:45,720 Speaker 1: and say, oh yeah, we're gonna run it down and 365 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 1: wrote with Jordan Howard like that's just not gonna fly. Uh. 366 00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 1: We still can't trust this Eagles team to be a 367 00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 1: run heavy team. You know we we kind of know 368 00:16:52,280 --> 00:16:54,480 Speaker 1: that what's the m O has been to throw the ball. 369 00:16:54,680 --> 00:16:57,160 Speaker 1: They have two really good matchups to run h you know, 370 00:16:57,320 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 1: forty four to six romp of the Lions, and then 371 00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:01,080 Speaker 1: they face the work run defense in the week. So 372 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,440 Speaker 1: now you're talking about Jordan Howard in a game that 373 00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,680 Speaker 1: I mean, they're underdogs. You know, maybe they wind, maybe 374 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:09,040 Speaker 1: they lose the game, but I don't think we could 375 00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:11,719 Speaker 1: trust the Eagles to run, you know, to hand off 376 00:17:11,800 --> 00:17:14,520 Speaker 1: more than like twenty times if that. You know, they've 377 00:17:14,560 --> 00:17:17,960 Speaker 1: been averaging under that for the year. So I still 378 00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:21,119 Speaker 1: think he's splitting carries three ways and we can't trust this. 379 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:23,440 Speaker 1: And even if he gets you know, fifteen carries, he's 380 00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 1: not a lot to go over. We've seen that throughout 381 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 1: his career. He can be very inefficient at times. So 382 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 1: under forty forty and a half for Jordan Howard, Yeah, 383 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 1: I love this call. 384 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:35,600 Speaker 2: And you know in fantasy he's a touchdown dependent, you know, 385 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 2: low end RB three flex, So he's one of those 386 00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:41,159 Speaker 2: guys that just has a really low floor, especially with 387 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 2: you know, still a three way running back by committee. 388 00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 2: But how do you think Miles Sanders feels where he 389 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:47,360 Speaker 2: gets hurt all of a sudden the Eagles turn into 390 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:50,240 Speaker 2: the you know, twenty nineteen Baltimore Ravens like it's got 391 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 2: to feel good. 392 00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:53,840 Speaker 1: Right right, Yeah, it's it's it's you know, I mean 393 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 1: he had that that good drive. I guess it was 394 00:17:56,960 --> 00:17:59,160 Speaker 1: against the Bucks, remember where like all of a sudden 395 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 1: they started getting the ball, So I think it was 396 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:03,520 Speaker 1: kind of in motion a little bit. They realized they 397 00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:06,080 Speaker 1: were kind of skewing too heavy. But right when he 398 00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 1: gets hurt. They finally decided to make get the great matchups. Yeah, 399 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:11,919 Speaker 1: they get the mashups. And that's the thing. You got 400 00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:14,080 Speaker 1: to kind of take it as it comes. And every 401 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:16,640 Speaker 1: time we see something with this egos backfield, you can't 402 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 1: trust it. You fade that and then like next week 403 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:22,000 Speaker 1: we might be talking about Kenn's gainwell unders or something. 404 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:25,320 Speaker 1: You know, So let's keep it moving. Who do you 405 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:26,720 Speaker 1: like for your second running back prop? 406 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 2: So I'm stick of Jonathan Taylor over eighty five and 407 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,600 Speaker 2: a half rushing yards against the Jaguars. Just make life 408 00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:37,200 Speaker 2: easy on yourself. Whenever the Colts play a really bad team, 409 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:40,119 Speaker 2: just take the over on Jonathan Taylor's rushing prop and 410 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:42,399 Speaker 2: think me later. You know, he had one hundred and 411 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:45,000 Speaker 2: forty six rushing yards against the Texans, then he had 412 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:47,280 Speaker 2: one hundred and seventy two yards against the Jets last week. 413 00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:49,600 Speaker 1: Now he faces the Jaguars. Just fill in the blank. 414 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:52,040 Speaker 2: You know, I'm projecting closer to ninety two and a 415 00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:54,120 Speaker 2: half rushing yards, and that still feels a little low 416 00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:57,800 Speaker 2: because you know, they finally got their offensive line back 417 00:18:57,880 --> 00:18:59,400 Speaker 2: healthy just a couple of games ago. 418 00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:02,320 Speaker 1: So Jonathan Taylor's firing on all cylinders. 419 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 2: They made Marlon mack inactive last week, so he's just 420 00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 2: gonna get a ton of carries here. Last week, I 421 00:19:07,680 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 2: liked the Nauji Harris rushing yards over just because I 422 00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:14,320 Speaker 2: liked him getting you know, twenty two to twenty three carries. Unfortunately, 423 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:17,640 Speaker 2: he wasn't effishing up and fishing enough to go over 424 00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:20,560 Speaker 2: the prop. But with Jonathan Taylor, there's no question when 425 00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 2: it comes to efficiency, So I feel better about this 426 00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:25,359 Speaker 2: prop than I did nausea last week. But yeah, I 427 00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:27,639 Speaker 2: love Taylor over eighty five and a half rushing yards here. 428 00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:31,000 Speaker 1: Yeah I'm around eighty seven, so I'm over this as well, 429 00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:33,879 Speaker 1: just barely. I don't think he'll be quite as efficient. 430 00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:36,640 Speaker 1: I do think the Jaguars have a good run. They're 431 00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 1: number two in the week at womiting explosive run plays, 432 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:40,840 Speaker 1: so I think Taryor's gonna have to get it, you know, 433 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:42,919 Speaker 1: kind of churn it out. But I still have projected 434 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:45,520 Speaker 1: for five yards per carry, which is kind of Chubb 435 00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:48,760 Speaker 1: Nick Chubb level, so I don't disagree here. 436 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,480 Speaker 2: This is actually the first week I have Taylor projected 437 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:55,720 Speaker 2: over five carries, so I'm usually with you when it 438 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:58,399 Speaker 2: comes to like being careful about projecting running backs over 439 00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:01,680 Speaker 2: five yards to carry, but Jonathan Taylor has joined that 440 00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 2: club this week. 441 00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:06,640 Speaker 1: For me, I'm going with Dalvin Cook over eighty nine 442 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,320 Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards. He's averaging ninety two on 443 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:12,159 Speaker 1: the season in the games that he's played more than 444 00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:14,879 Speaker 1: half the snap. He's gone over this in three out 445 00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:17,200 Speaker 1: of five with a median of one to ten. So 446 00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:19,960 Speaker 1: I haven't projected over one hundred yards. This number has 447 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 1: gone up I think four yards since we last talked 448 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:24,600 Speaker 1: about it, and I'm still bagging the over here. This 449 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 1: is the league's worst defense. It's the Chargers. Cook. I 450 00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:30,080 Speaker 1: know he's going through some legal situations, but it doesn't 451 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,399 Speaker 1: look like it's gonna affect his availability at all for 452 00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:34,879 Speaker 1: Week ten. And this Vikings team, you know what they 453 00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:36,919 Speaker 1: do and when their backs are against the wall, they 454 00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 1: want to run the football. Mike Zimmer is great coming 455 00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:42,320 Speaker 1: off the loss multi game losing streak. He's fifteen and 456 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,879 Speaker 1: five against the spread. So the Vikings could actually surprise 457 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,640 Speaker 1: people and jump out to a league or well, that's 458 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 1: not surprising, they always jump out to a league. But 459 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,520 Speaker 1: they may actually be able to yeah, right, they may 460 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:54,680 Speaker 1: actually be able to control this game wire to wire. 461 00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:57,280 Speaker 1: But either way, I think Cook He's going to be 462 00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 1: efficient regardless of the circumstances. I don't see the Chargers 463 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:02,560 Speaker 1: running away with it in this spot. So Dalvin Cook 464 00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 1: over eighty nine and a half rushing yards. Yeah, love it. 465 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:08,679 Speaker 2: And you know early in the week when you were 466 00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 2: touting Dalvin Cook, that was before I did my you know, 467 00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,000 Speaker 2: deep dive when it comes to my projections. Yesterday was 468 00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:19,119 Speaker 2: my deep dive and I added two carries and you know, 469 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 2: ten yards basically to his rushing prop So I'm right 470 00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 2: there with you now. He's up to ninety three rushing yards. 471 00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:27,600 Speaker 2: Still love the over. He's right there with Taylor at 472 00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 2: you know, I had him like my running back five, 473 00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:31,760 Speaker 2: I think, and you're giving me crap. He's up still 474 00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:35,159 Speaker 2: running back. That was But you know, remember that I 475 00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:37,280 Speaker 2: told you the famous quote by Abraham Lincoln. 476 00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 1: You know, never judge a man by his fancy projections 477 00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:41,320 Speaker 1: on a Tuesday morning. Right. 478 00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:44,240 Speaker 2: But it's Thursday now, so my projections are good to go. 479 00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:48,040 Speaker 2: Dalvin Cook is my running back to Jonathan Taylor's by 480 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:48,880 Speaker 2: running back one. 481 00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:50,800 Speaker 1: So all is right with the world, and I'm with 482 00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:54,639 Speaker 1: you on this Cook over Finally, all right, let's go 483 00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:58,479 Speaker 1: to receiver. Who's your first receiver prop for week number ten? 484 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,879 Speaker 2: So I'm going with Russ Gauge under fifty and a 485 00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:06,359 Speaker 2: half receiving yards against Cowboys. You know, Russell Gage is 486 00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:10,240 Speaker 2: typically a high floor type of receiver, but you know, 487 00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,160 Speaker 2: he's only played five games this year and he's had 488 00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 2: zero catches in two of those, so he's been surprisingly 489 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,560 Speaker 2: valladle this season. He's a he's a low a doc 490 00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:22,600 Speaker 2: kind of player. His eight out seven point seven, his 491 00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:24,879 Speaker 2: yards per catches nine point nine. So even if he 492 00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 2: does end up getting five to six catches here, he 493 00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:30,440 Speaker 2: could still go under. So I'm projecting him for four 494 00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:32,960 Speaker 2: and a half catches here. Last week he benefited from 495 00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,200 Speaker 2: Kyle Pitts, you know, dropping a couple of deep balls, 496 00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 2: and then you know after that, you know, Russell Gage 497 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:39,720 Speaker 2: got a catch or two from there. I was watching 498 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:42,080 Speaker 2: quite a bit of that game, so I think, you know, 499 00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:44,880 Speaker 2: Russell Gage had a ceiling game last week and still 500 00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:47,360 Speaker 2: barely clear this number. So I think he's gonna progress 501 00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 2: a bit here. I'm expecting a massive game from Kyle Pitts. 502 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:53,159 Speaker 2: You know, Cordell Patterson is always going to be involved 503 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:54,960 Speaker 2: in the passing attack. So I think Gage is gonna 504 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:56,479 Speaker 2: cool off a bit here, and I'm you know, I'm 505 00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:58,480 Speaker 2: projecting him closer to forty three and a half yards, 506 00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:01,520 Speaker 2: so like the ender here, So you're thing Russell Gage 507 00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:03,639 Speaker 2: is gonna fail to get over, just like he failed 508 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,560 Speaker 2: to get over the defender on that ill advised hurdles. 509 00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:10,240 Speaker 1: Did you see that a hurdle he just jumped into nothing. Yeah, 510 00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 1: that's that's Russell Gage in a nutshell. Yeah, I m 511 00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:16,680 Speaker 1: I have him about forty two yards, have him four 512 00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:19,040 Speaker 1: point eight catches, but just not like his yards per catch, 513 00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:21,399 Speaker 1: as you mentioned, is under ten in my in my 514 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,320 Speaker 1: model as well. So yeah, I think, you know, this 515 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:28,399 Speaker 1: is a spot where he'll probably catch four or five balls. 516 00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:31,879 Speaker 1: But will you get anything downfield? I don't know. All right, 517 00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:35,160 Speaker 1: let's go to mine. I'm still going Donovan People's Jones 518 00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:37,240 Speaker 1: under forty five and a half receiving yards. I just 519 00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,840 Speaker 1: think this is way too high. Even without Odell Beckham, 520 00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:43,280 Speaker 1: He's had thirty nine or less in four of the 521 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:47,120 Speaker 1: seven games. I'm projecting him for about thirty five receiving 522 00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,600 Speaker 1: yards here. This is a you know, you're going against 523 00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,719 Speaker 1: the first of all you're going against the Bill Belichick defense. 524 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:54,880 Speaker 1: Second of all, you know, just be I mean, we'll 525 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,120 Speaker 1: see what happens with you know, Chubb, But either way, 526 00:23:57,280 --> 00:23:58,920 Speaker 1: the Browns are gonna run the ball regardless of what 527 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,000 Speaker 1: back they have in the back field. I don't think 528 00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 1: like all of the situations going out with Cleveland all 529 00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:06,400 Speaker 1: of a sudden, mcdonovan people's jones this like guy that's 530 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,879 Speaker 1: going to get close to fifty yards receiving. He's been 531 00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,640 Speaker 1: a kind of a volatile guy. Yes, he could break 532 00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:14,159 Speaker 1: this on one catch, but he could also go a 533 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:17,880 Speaker 1: whole game without being targeted. So the Donovan People's Jones 534 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,120 Speaker 1: under forty five and a half receiving yards. 535 00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:23,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's one of those guys. He does have the upside, 536 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:26,000 Speaker 2: but he still has a really love floor. And you know, 537 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,080 Speaker 2: when I was doing my deep dive projections process yesterday, 538 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:31,359 Speaker 2: I was kind of scared when he took this prop 539 00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:35,280 Speaker 2: because Anthony Schwartz is running seventy percent of the routes 540 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,680 Speaker 2: run now, which you know means more targets are gonna 541 00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:41,879 Speaker 2: be funneled elsewhere. But you know, DOVVN people Jones like 542 00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:46,200 Speaker 2: just they you know, Jarvis Landry is a target hog 543 00:24:46,359 --> 00:24:48,879 Speaker 2: and they have the three headed tight end monster. Like 544 00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:51,080 Speaker 2: there's so many outs for this prop where, yeah, I 545 00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,800 Speaker 2: think People's Jones has to get like a long catch 546 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,399 Speaker 2: to clear this prop. And you know, defenses by now 547 00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:58,959 Speaker 2: know who is and can game plan for that. There 548 00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:00,640 Speaker 2: aren't many things that you need to do to stop 549 00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:03,080 Speaker 2: the Browns at this point. So yeah, the more he 550 00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:05,240 Speaker 2: looked into it, I'm right there with you. I'm projecting 551 00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:09,520 Speaker 2: his mean projections thirty six, so you know, his meeting 552 00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:12,320 Speaker 2: is even closer to thirty. So this this prop is 553 00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 2: a good like fifteen yards off. Yeah, I totally agree. 554 00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:18,560 Speaker 1: I mean, last week the routes run with Odo Beckham 555 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:22,879 Speaker 1: out or Jarvis Landry eighty three percent, Schwartz seventy percent, 556 00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:26,480 Speaker 1: People's Jones sixty five percent, So People's Jones was actually 557 00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 1: and he's sixty six percent for the year, So I 558 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:31,240 Speaker 1: mean that's kind of you're gonna get, you know, maybe 559 00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:34,119 Speaker 1: you know, two thirds to three quarters of the of 560 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:37,080 Speaker 1: the snaps for People's Jones. And he's gonna have to 561 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 1: catch like, you know, some some deep ones to kind 562 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:40,200 Speaker 1: of go over this. He's not going to be a 563 00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:41,399 Speaker 1: guy that catches like six balls. 564 00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,320 Speaker 2: No, No, way, and I'm not sure why, but Richard 565 00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 2: Higgins only ran around four percent of the time. Don't 566 00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:49,040 Speaker 2: know if I was injury related or they're just really 567 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,320 Speaker 2: trying to get Schwartz playing time. But you know, if 568 00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:54,000 Speaker 2: if Higgins goes back up to fifty percent and Schwartz 569 00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:56,359 Speaker 2: is back down to forty, that's only going to benefit 570 00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:57,640 Speaker 2: this market even more. 571 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:00,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's kind of game plan specific. The 572 00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:03,480 Speaker 1: week before Higgins went sixty four percent Sports eleven, so 573 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 1: I think. I mean, People's Jones is the queer number two. 574 00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:07,760 Speaker 1: Now he's not. I'm not saying he's going to be 575 00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,280 Speaker 1: like bench, but this number is just way toro ac 576 00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:13,240 Speaker 1: because his role hasn't changed, you know, regardless of what 577 00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:14,760 Speaker 1: happens with THEBJ. Yeah. 578 00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 2: The best was when we were sweating the People's Jones 579 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,400 Speaker 2: prop when we just needed him to play one snap. 580 00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 1: Oh yeah for action. 581 00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, because yeah, I knew he's gonna go under that 582 00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:28,199 Speaker 2: even if he played the whole game, but he tweaked 583 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:30,080 Speaker 2: his growing and we just we needed him to play 584 00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:31,720 Speaker 2: one snap to the prop would count. 585 00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:35,679 Speaker 1: So to thing, all right, are you going with your 586 00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:37,000 Speaker 1: second receiving proper weekday? 587 00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:40,960 Speaker 2: So I love this one it's Deantay Johnson over sixty 588 00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:44,640 Speaker 2: five and a half receiving yards against the Lions. He's 589 00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:47,000 Speaker 2: gone over this in five of seven games this year. 590 00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:51,359 Speaker 2: The Lions don't have anyone who can stop him. You know, 591 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:53,600 Speaker 2: Danty Johnson is one of those high flour players where 592 00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,919 Speaker 2: I'm comfortable taking us over and Chase Claypole's banged up, 593 00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,200 Speaker 2: so we don't even know if he's gonna play. If Chase, 594 00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:01,320 Speaker 2: if Chase clay polls ruled out. I mean this prop 595 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:03,320 Speaker 2: is going to go up, you know, closer to eighty 596 00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:07,920 Speaker 2: even if Claypole plays. I think Deontay Johnson, you know, 597 00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:10,240 Speaker 2: there's a lot to go over this. I'm projecting it 598 00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,560 Speaker 2: closer to you know, seventy three seventy five and a 599 00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,640 Speaker 2: half yards. And like I said, I don't mind betting 600 00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:17,600 Speaker 2: the over on someone like Deontay just because he has 601 00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:20,520 Speaker 2: such a high floor. He's going to see targets regardless 602 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,120 Speaker 2: of you know, you know, if even if the Steelers 603 00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:25,440 Speaker 2: get up early, I'm not too worried about it. He's 604 00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 2: still going to get his So love is over this 605 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 2: bit at sixty five and a half. 606 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's my understanding that Quapo was weak to week, Like, 607 00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:34,320 Speaker 1: I know he's not officially ruled out, but I'm not, 608 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:36,680 Speaker 1: Like I'm already projecting him for zero's across the board, 609 00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:39,280 Speaker 1: like I didn't think he's playing. So I think this 610 00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:41,600 Speaker 1: is looking good. And yeah, the Lions, I mean, their 611 00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:46,280 Speaker 1: their issue is they just you know, they can't on 612 00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 1: the perimeter. They just don't have enough talent at corner 613 00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:54,119 Speaker 1: or in the secondary really defend some of these perimeter receivers. 614 00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:59,080 Speaker 1: So Deontay Johnson is my wide receiver six, yeah, you know, 615 00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:01,360 Speaker 1: heading into the week, and it's yeah, like you said, 616 00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:04,159 Speaker 1: it's thirty Thursday, so I don't think he's gonna move 617 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 1: too much. I have him around seventy seven and a 618 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 1: half for a media in eighty three for a mean 619 00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:11,520 Speaker 1: Oh my god, so I realized. So I'm not with 620 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:14,760 Speaker 1: you on Chase Clickpool yet I still have him in there. 621 00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:17,880 Speaker 1: And DeAnda just is my wide receiver five. So I'm 622 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:20,400 Speaker 1: terrified to see what happens when I take out. Yes, 623 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,520 Speaker 1: he's gonna be like above Defonte Adams. Oh my god. Yeah, 624 00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,639 Speaker 1: Like I'm worried. So I'm gonna leave Chase Clickpoole on 625 00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:31,240 Speaker 1: there for now. Hey, you gotta bump up Cody White 626 00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:34,240 Speaker 1: and see what happens. All right. For my second receiver prop, 627 00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:37,879 Speaker 1: I'm going with Jamison Prowder under forty nine and a 628 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 1: half receiving yards against the Buffalo Bills. Prowder's averaging forty 629 00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:44,760 Speaker 1: eight yards per game, but his median is thirty eight, 630 00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:47,400 Speaker 1: and he's been under this number in sixty percent or 631 00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:50,120 Speaker 1: three out of his five games this season. This is 632 00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,680 Speaker 1: one of those things where number One, you have Corey 633 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:54,440 Speaker 1: Davis coming back. The Jets have been using a lot 634 00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:57,320 Speaker 1: of four receiver sets lately, which kind of muddies up 635 00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:59,360 Speaker 1: the target waters. It kind of spreads the ball around, 636 00:28:59,840 --> 00:29:02,200 Speaker 1: and on top of that, Crowder could get four or 637 00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:05,000 Speaker 1: five six catches and still full short of this number. 638 00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:08,000 Speaker 1: Because this average depth of target this season is just 639 00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:12,200 Speaker 1: five point one. That would be a career low for Crowder. 640 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:14,480 Speaker 1: Just for context. You know last year it was seven 641 00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,840 Speaker 1: point six and the year before his first year on 642 00:29:16,840 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 1: the Jets, it was seven point three. So they're using 643 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,960 Speaker 1: them even closer to the lineup scrimmage this year. You know, 644 00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:26,720 Speaker 1: they have other receivers like Corey Davis, Keelan Cole, Elijah 645 00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 1: Moore is coming on into his own which is going 646 00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:30,920 Speaker 1: to cut into crowders. I think snaps as well. So 647 00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:32,760 Speaker 1: I think crowd is s treading down. And this is 648 00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:35,200 Speaker 1: a tough Bills defense. I mean, everyone's talking about how 649 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,520 Speaker 1: they lost the game to the Jags last week, but 650 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:40,840 Speaker 1: this team still ranks number one in past defense DVOA 651 00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:45,040 Speaker 1: six against number one receivers, two against number two receivers, 652 00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 1: and four against non number one and number two receivers. 653 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 1: It's just really tough, you know, to be productive as 654 00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:54,760 Speaker 1: a wide receiver against his Buffalo Bill defense. So love 655 00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:57,240 Speaker 1: the Crowder under forty nine and a half. Yeah, it 656 00:29:57,320 --> 00:29:59,240 Speaker 1: was nice enough to let you have this one. And 657 00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,640 Speaker 1: the Simeon up I love this one as well. 658 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 2: Basically what you said like, whenever it comes to projecting 659 00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:08,520 Speaker 2: the Jets wide receivers, you know, it's so crowded right 660 00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:12,239 Speaker 2: now that it's hard to give give Crowder anything more 661 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:15,120 Speaker 2: than five catches. I agree that, you know, he's probably 662 00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,640 Speaker 2: gonna lead the team in targets, but you know, Corey 663 00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,880 Speaker 2: Davis coming back, Elijah Moore, Denzel Mims is still you know, 664 00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:22,520 Speaker 2: really talented and keeling. 665 00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:24,320 Speaker 1: Cole on a COVID list. I think Mims might be 666 00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:26,200 Speaker 1: on a COVID Oh really, it doesn't matter because they 667 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:30,000 Speaker 1: have other Yeah, Barrios, Jess Smith, Barrios can step up 668 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:33,160 Speaker 1: Keeling Cole. You know, the coaching staff still loves Keeling Cole, 669 00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:35,880 Speaker 1: so you know he just has to fight for playing time. 670 00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:39,040 Speaker 1: Michael Carter and Ty Johnson, you know, we'll see their 671 00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 1: targets as well. So there's just a lot of targets 672 00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,720 Speaker 1: that go around. So yeah, I love Crowder under forty 673 00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:45,640 Speaker 1: nine and a half. I wouldn't touch his receiving prop 674 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,800 Speaker 1: like if it's four and a half or even five, like, yeah, yeah, 675 00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,200 Speaker 1: I wouldn't touch it because he could go over that. 676 00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:52,960 Speaker 2: But like you said, he could catch six balls and 677 00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:54,520 Speaker 2: still go under this. So that's that's why I like 678 00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:55,320 Speaker 2: the under here as well. 679 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:57,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, I have him for a mean, I have him 680 00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:01,040 Speaker 1: five point three for forty six yards and his median 681 00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:05,040 Speaker 1: is about about five catches for forty so yeah, I 682 00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:07,600 Speaker 1: like him to go well under this. This number that 683 00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:10,600 Speaker 1: is going to wrap it up for our Week ten 684 00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:14,480 Speaker 1: Props on the Week ten Fantasy Flex Props Pod presented 685 00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:17,560 Speaker 1: by Prize Picks, to recap Sean is going Matt Jones 686 00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 1: over two hundred and twenty and a half passing yards, 687 00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:23,200 Speaker 1: Ezekiel Elliott over sixty five and a half rushing yards, 688 00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:26,240 Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor over eighty five and a half rushing yards, 689 00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:30,760 Speaker 1: Russell Gage under fifty and a half receiving yards, and 690 00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:34,400 Speaker 1: Deontay Johnson over sixty five and a half receiving yards. 691 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:36,640 Speaker 1: I am going with Trevor Simeon under two hundred and 692 00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 1: ten and a half passing yards, Jordan Howard under forty 693 00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:42,720 Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards, Dalvin Cook over eighty nine 694 00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:47,719 Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards, Donovan People's Jones under forty 695 00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:51,960 Speaker 1: five and a half receiving yards, and Jamison Crowder under 696 00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:56,120 Speaker 1: forty nine and a half receiving yards. Next up here 697 00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:58,920 Speaker 1: on the Fantasy Flex is a segment we call Elite Entries, 698 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,320 Speaker 1: where Sean and I dive into the prize picks app 699 00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:04,200 Speaker 1: and compare our player projections to the props to build 700 00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:07,680 Speaker 1: some entries. Sean with your first prize pick a week 701 00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:09,560 Speaker 1: entry best bet for week number ten. 702 00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:12,479 Speaker 2: So for both my props, I think these lines are 703 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:15,360 Speaker 2: going to go way up by kickoff time this Sunday, 704 00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:17,200 Speaker 2: so I want to get on early, and the first 705 00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 2: one is Mac Jones to go over two hundred and 706 00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:23,480 Speaker 2: twenty passing yards against the Browns. You know, Damian Harris 707 00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:25,920 Speaker 2: or Mandre Stevenson are dealing with head injuries, so they 708 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:28,360 Speaker 2: might not even suit up this week. You know, those 709 00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:31,680 Speaker 2: two backs are the early down grinders that the Patriots 710 00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:34,280 Speaker 2: like to use when they get up. But if they're 711 00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:35,680 Speaker 2: both out, you know they're gonna have to lean on, 712 00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:38,640 Speaker 2: you know, Brandon Bowl and JJ Taylor, which you know 713 00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:40,680 Speaker 2: those two are more pass catching backs, so I think 714 00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:43,280 Speaker 2: they could come up with a pass heavy game script 715 00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:46,800 Speaker 2: either way. Here against the Browns. You know, they ranked 716 00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 2: nineteenth versus the pass into VA, but they ranked fifth 717 00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 2: versus the run, so I consider them a pass final defense. 718 00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:56,040 Speaker 2: And yeah, I'm projecting Mac Jones for about two hundred 719 00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:57,560 Speaker 2: and forty five yards, and I think that's where this 720 00:32:57,640 --> 00:32:59,280 Speaker 2: line will end up if one or both of those 721 00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:01,719 Speaker 2: running backs ruled out. So I like the over two 722 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 2: twenty and a half passing yards for Mac Jones. 723 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:06,640 Speaker 1: Here from my first Prize Pickle lead entry best beat 724 00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:09,120 Speaker 1: for Week ten, I'm going with Donovan People's Jones under 725 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:12,080 Speaker 1: forty five and a half receiving yards. His median on 726 00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:15,360 Speaker 1: the year is under forty yards and he's been under 727 00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:17,640 Speaker 1: this in more games, and he's been over his role 728 00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:19,920 Speaker 1: really didn't change at all with Odell Beckham out of 729 00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:23,080 Speaker 1: the lineup. Just sixty six percent of the routes run 730 00:33:23,160 --> 00:33:25,760 Speaker 1: per dropback last week. And now you're facing a Bill 731 00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:29,520 Speaker 1: Belichick defense in Foxborough. So I don't expect People's Jones 732 00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:33,320 Speaker 1: to be a guy that's the Patriots spring loose in 733 00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:36,040 Speaker 1: the secondary. So People's Jones under forty five and a 734 00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:39,120 Speaker 1: half receiving yards. Sean, what is your second Prize Prix 735 00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:40,680 Speaker 1: lead entry best bet for Week ten? 736 00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:44,400 Speaker 2: So my second prob is Deantey Johnson over sixty five 737 00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:47,360 Speaker 2: and a half for sen yards against the Lions. He's 738 00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:50,320 Speaker 2: gone over this number in five of seven games, and 739 00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:53,680 Speaker 2: the Lions don't have anybody that can stop Deanta Johnson. 740 00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:56,360 Speaker 2: He's a high floor player where I'm comfortable, you know, 741 00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:59,120 Speaker 2: taking is over And right now I'm projecting Chase Papel 742 00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:03,320 Speaker 2: to play, and I'm projecting Deontay closer to seventy seventy 743 00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:05,560 Speaker 2: two and a half receiving yards. So if Chase Colipole's 744 00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:08,360 Speaker 2: ruled out, which you seem to think he's, you know, 745 00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:11,680 Speaker 2: leaning closer to doubtful this week. You know my projection 746 00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:14,320 Speaker 2: for Deantea Johnson's going to be closer to eighty, so 747 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:15,759 Speaker 2: that's why I want to get on this early. I 748 00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:18,680 Speaker 2: think the market's going to react as soon as Chase 749 00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:21,239 Speaker 2: Coop Coal's presumably ruled out, so I want to get 750 00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:23,680 Speaker 2: on this early. So love the over sixty five and 751 00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:27,200 Speaker 2: a half receiving yards for Gantere Johnson against the lowly Lions. 752 00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:30,680 Speaker 1: For my second project lead entry best bet for Weekken, 753 00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:33,160 Speaker 1: I'm going Jamison Crowder under forty nine and a half 754 00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:36,759 Speaker 1: receiving yards. He's averaging forty eight, but his median is 755 00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:39,520 Speaker 1: just thirty eight. He's been under this number in three 756 00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:41,920 Speaker 1: out of his five games. Jet should get Corey Davis back. 757 00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:44,480 Speaker 1: They're going to spread the targets around. Elijah Moore, who 758 00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:47,800 Speaker 1: could directly impact Crowder's playing time, is breaking out in 759 00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:49,960 Speaker 1: the second half of the season as a rookie, and 760 00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:52,640 Speaker 1: the Jets are going to involve even Cole. You're going 761 00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:57,040 Speaker 1: to involve Davis and maybe even Brackton Burios as well, 762 00:34:57,160 --> 00:35:00,359 Speaker 1: So a lot of targets and Crowder's eight out five 763 00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:02,760 Speaker 1: point one, so he could catch five six balls still 764 00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:05,759 Speaker 1: under the numbers, So it's Prouder under forty nine and 765 00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:08,680 Speaker 1: a half receiving yards. All right, So that's our Prize 766 00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:12,319 Speaker 1: Picks the lead entry for week ten. As recap, Sewan going, 767 00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:14,080 Speaker 1: Matt Jones over two hundred and twenty and a half 768 00:35:14,120 --> 00:35:16,839 Speaker 1: passing yards, Deontay Johnson over sixty five and a half 769 00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:20,479 Speaker 1: receiving yards, and I'm going Donovan People's Jones under forty 770 00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,399 Speaker 1: five and a half receiving yards and Jamison Prouder under 771 00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:25,840 Speaker 1: forty nine and a half receiving yards. As a reminder, 772 00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:27,960 Speaker 1: these Prize Picks markets do move, so you want to 773 00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:30,040 Speaker 1: get on it quickly in order to lock in the 774 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:32,440 Speaker 1: best numbers. If you have not created a prize Pix 775 00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:35,080 Speaker 1: account yet, check out the link in our episode description 776 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:38,920 Speaker 1: and they will match your first deposit of one hundred dollars. 777 00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:41,759 Speaker 1: Or you can visit prize picks dot com and use 778 00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:46,239 Speaker 1: the promo code Action ten. That's act ion one zero. 779 00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:49,719 Speaker 1: All right, now back to the show. Guy's gonna do 780 00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:52,520 Speaker 1: it for the pod. You can find Sean on Twitter 781 00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:55,560 Speaker 1: at the Underscore Odds Maker and me on Twitter at 782 00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:58,400 Speaker 1: Chris Raybond. You can find us at those same handles 783 00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:01,600 Speaker 1: in the free award winning Action Network app, where you 784 00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:04,400 Speaker 1: can follow all of our bets, including our player prop bets, 785 00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:06,920 Speaker 1: as well as track yours for free. Be sure to 786 00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:10,200 Speaker 1: check out our fantasy football rankings, projections, and content at 787 00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:12,480 Speaker 1: actionnetwork dot com or in the app, and you can 788 00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:18,160 Speaker 1: find our DFS content, tools and models at fantasywabs dot com. 789 00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:21,120 Speaker 1: Good luck this weekend with gestish money.